MLB Predictions — July 12, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ LAD	4 - 3	4 - 3	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ STL	5 - 1	5 - 1	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ NYM	5 - 3	5 - 3	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ CIN	5 - 3	5 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ MIA	4 - 3	4 - 3	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ SF	4 - 5	4 - 5	SF	SF	SF wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ TEX	2 - 3	2 - 3	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 3-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ BAL	3 - 4	3 - 4	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ MIN	3 - 4	3 - 4	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ PIT	4 - 5	4 - 5	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ WAS	4 - 1	4 - 1	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ CHW	1 - 3	1 - 3	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 3-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ DET	3 - 4	3 - 4	DET	DET	DET wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ TB	3 - 4	3 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 4-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ SD	5 - 3	5 - 3	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 5-3	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers

ARI 48-47 (4.33 RPG / 4.48 RA)

4 - 3

LAD 61-35 (5.24 RPG / 3.67 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 4-3 TARGET: ARI 4 - 3 LAD (ARI) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	4	7
LAD	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	9

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed0.5

Run Diff32.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-12.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record47-47

Win%0.500

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.234

LAD Season Quality

Record61-34

Win%0.642

Run Diff158

RD/Game1.663

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.1104; margin adjustment: 0.8864; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Troy	OF	23	75	18	0.240	3	5	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.310	0.415	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.216	0.340	0.324	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.320	0.445	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.193	0.249	0.304	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.347	0.446	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.224	0.285	0.335	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.267	0.345	0.526	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.302	0.392
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.189	0.236	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	4	4	1	9	0.206

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	87	331	96	0.290	21	57	0.402	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.275	0.378	0.546	OK
Andy Pages	CF	94	365	99	0.271	17	66	0.334	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.333	0.447	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	93	351	103	0.293	15	49	0.379	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.280	0.353	0.456	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	58	234	56	0.239	11	31	0.295	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.237	0.293	0.372	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	18	63	22	0.349	1	9	0.423	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.282	0.350	0.445	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	88	324	80	0.247	7	47	0.336	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.336	0.381	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	61	219	54	0.247	8	36	0.317	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.207	0.276	0.331	OK
Max Muncy	3B	87	291	76	0.261	17	40	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.325	0.418	OK
Eliezer Alfonzo	C	4	7	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.188	0.201	0.288
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	3	3	4	5	0.257

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	5	0	0	3	5	111	6.2	5	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	0.0	4	2	2	0	0	20	0.0	0	2
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	0	1	1	0	0	6	0.1	0	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	16	74.2	5.09	1.321	10.4	86	5.0	5	4	4	0	5	89	5.0	5	4
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	40	35.1	2.82	0.855	12.6	49	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Middle Reliever	36	35.4	2.54	0.989	9.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	42	24.2	2.98	1.488	16.7	45	1.2	2	0	0	0	2	27	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-3

Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals

ATL 54-41 (4.82 RPG / 3.92 RA)

5 - 1

STL 50-44 (4.53 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-1 TARGET: ATL 5 - 1 STL (ATL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	7
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff4.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff13.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record54-41

Win%0.568

Run Diff86

RD/Game0.905

STL Season Quality

Record50-44

Win%0.532

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.074

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8856; margin adjustment: -0.3719; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	72	277	71	0.256	16	46	0.343	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.315	0.384	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	95	364	97	0.266	14	51	0.318	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.232	0.287	0.371	OK
Matt Olson	1B	95	367	98	0.267	25	58	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.310	0.493	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	88	331	100	0.302	16	53	0.330	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.274	0.299	0.443	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	91	339	92	0.271	10	52	0.325	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.301	0.425	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	71	208	55	0.264	6	33	0.300	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.275	0.339	OK
Austin Riley	3B	95	341	71	0.208	9	42	0.286	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.217	0.279	0.337	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	9	27	8	0.296	1	3	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.266	0.298	0.431	OK
Brewer Hicklen	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.248	0.310	0.411
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	5	5	3	6	0.206

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	87	342	90	0.263	13	35	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.240	0.311	0.358	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	93	339	84	0.248	11	39	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.317	0.341	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	91	349	103	0.295	21	71	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.276	0.330	0.492	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	92	352	95	0.270	15	65	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.291	0.427	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	31	102	27	0.265	3	12	0.350	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.322	0.423	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	83	309	75	0.243	4	38	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.276	0.320	OK
Nathan Church	CF	70	235	56	0.238	8	27	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.189	0.229	0.324	OK
José Fermín	3B	57	154	40	0.260	4	18	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.282	0.381	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	22	58	10	0.172	2	8	0.250	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.198	0.253	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	1	1	3	10	0.182

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Danny Young	Starter	4	2.4	3.75	1.250	11.2	3	3.0	2	0	0	2	5	52	3.0	5	0
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	30	30.4	2.37	1.151	10.4	35	2.0	3	1	1	1	2	38	2.0	2	1
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	43	36.2	1.74	0.773	12.7	51	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	28	2.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	30	33.4	2.96	1.317	11.3	42	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	25	2.0	2	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	17	86.9	4.66	1.277	8.8	85	5.0	7	5	5	2	2	92	5.0	2	5
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	39	37.7	3.58	1.167	9.3	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	43	34.3	4.20	1.574	11.3	43	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	10	1.0	2	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	41	35.3	3.82	1.275	8.9	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	39	29.6	5.47	1.757	11.9	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	38	35.9	3.76	1.365	6.0	24	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-1

Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets

BOS 45-48 (4.11 RPG / 3.83 RA)

5 - 3

NYM 40-56 (4.12 RPG / 4.79 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-3 TARGET: BOS 5 - 3 NYM (BOS) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	1	5	9
NYM	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	3

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff22.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed6.8

Run Diff-18.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

BOS Season Quality

Record45-48

Win%0.484

Run Diff26

RD/Game0.280

NYM Season Quality

Record40-56

Win%0.417

Run Diff-64

RD/Game-0.667

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.047; margin adjustment: -0.4398; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	21	70	19	0.271	2	5	0.354	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.158	0.241	0.308	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	87	337	95	0.282	8	39	0.330	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.265	0.302	0.430	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	91	349	92	0.264	11	43	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.326	0.433	OK
Romy Gonzalez	1B	10	36	9	0.250	1	5	0.308	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.236	0.281	0.387	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	84	283	65	0.230	9	39	0.293	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.305	0.426	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	53	155	35	0.226	5	15	0.264	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.160	0.201	0.357	OK
Jarren Duran	DH	86	336	65	0.193	13	44	0.259	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.194	0.264	0.332	OK
Nate Eaton	LF	11	29	4	0.138	1	4	0.286	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.110	0.228	0.237	OK
Connor Wong	C	38	108	31	0.287	1	15	0.386	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.182	0.280	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	9	5	5	1	8	0.257

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	56	192	53	0.276	7	24	0.352	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.264	0.327	0.452	OK
Juan Soto	DH	76	269	80	0.297	21	51	0.412	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.369	0.502	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	38	149	31	0.208	4	10	0.293	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.194	0.267	0.312	OK
Eric Wagaman	1B	15	31	6	0.194	2	4	0.265	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.117	0.194	0.214	OK
Carson Benge	RF	91	348	93	0.267	11	37	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.272	0.341	0.403	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	45	114	24	0.211	5	16	0.237	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.254	0.474	OK
Luis Torrens	C	54	159	34	0.214	2	18	0.273	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.133	0.188	0.237	OK
Brett Baty	3B	86	282	64	0.227	4	31	0.297	3	2	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.288	0.358	OK
Zack Short	2B	5	11	1	0.091	0	0	0.167	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.113	0.235	0.166	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	3	3	2	8	0.100

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	14	79.4	3.17	1.083	9.1	80	5.2	3	3	3	2	7	98	5.2	7	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	28	27.2	1.32	1.103	11.6	35	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	33	31.3	2.30	0.990	10.4	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	26	17.9	7.04	1.955	15.6	31	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zach Thornton	Starter	2	10.1	4.46	1.188	8.9	10	5.0	5	4	4	1	4	82	5.0	4	4
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	33	28.1	4.48	1.637	14.1	44	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	36	35.9	2.01	0.891	10.5	42	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	38	29.2	2.47	1.370	11.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	39	38.9	3.24	1.285	10.2	44	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-3

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

CHC 53-42 (5.01 RPG / 4.51 RA)

5 - 3

CIN 43-51 (4.16 RPG / 4.76 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-3 TARGET: CHC 5 - 3 CIN (CHC) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	5	8
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	4

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff14.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record53-42

Win%0.558

Run Diff48

RD/Game0.505

CIN Season Quality

Record43-51

Win%0.457

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.596

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2517; margin adjustment: -0.5257; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	94	351	103	0.293	21	52	0.387	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.280	0.363	0.541	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	79	297	80	0.269	15	48	0.349	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.276	0.344	0.496	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	92	361	86	0.238	8	37	0.336	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.312	0.368	OK
Carson Kelly	C	66	216	60	0.278	6	31	0.363	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.268	0.352	0.460	OK
Michael Busch	1B	93	339	81	0.239	11	48	0.370	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.254	0.364	0.409	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	92	368	87	0.236	4	38	0.306	5	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.221	0.286	0.320	OK
Ian Happ	LF	89	334	75	0.225	17	42	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.330	0.401	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	89	305	65	0.213	16	58	0.297	4	3	3	1	2	1	0	1.000	0.237	0.307	0.424	OK
Kevin Alcántara	DH	10	15	3	0.200	0	1	0.200	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.123	0.135	0.182	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	34	8	5	5	6	8	0.235

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	74	294	82	0.279	15	44	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.335	0.493	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	93	355	92	0.259	19	65	0.341	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.246	0.320	0.467	OK
Spencer Steer	CF	88	309	76	0.246	14	36	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.325	0.400	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	65	234	57	0.244	16	42	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.343	0.508	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	65	234	49	0.209	10	33	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.291	0.402	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	70	223	54	0.242	6	24	0.324	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.347	0.392	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	38	124	24	0.194	6	13	0.242	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.199	0.246	0.376	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	29	96	23	0.240	0	4	0.282	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.232	0.301	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	38	124	17	0.137	2	5	0.189	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.158	0.206	0.244	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	3	3	2	8	0.129

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	8	37.8	4.52	1.376	10.5	44	5.1	2	2	2	2	6	87	5.1	6	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	41	36.7	3.43	1.444	11.8	48	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	30	22.2	4.86	1.441	14.2	35	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	25	26.9	2.68	1.078	4.3	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	19	98.9	4.00	1.436	7.4	81	5.0	3	1	1	4	2	106	5.0	2	1
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	17	15.4	6.43	1.494	9.4	16	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	20	1.0	2	1
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	28	24.5	2.57	1.020	9.2	25	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	47	37.9	3.56	1.636	9.3	39	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	19	14.0	3.21	1.857	10.9	17	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins

CLE 50-46 (3.96 RPG / 4.01 RA)

4 - 3

MIA 52-44 (4.55 RPG / 4.27 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-3 TARGET: CLE 4 - 3 MIA (CLE) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	5
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	6

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed1.8

Run Diff22.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff2.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Season Quality

Record50-46

Win%0.521

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.052

MIA Season Quality

Record52-44

Win%0.542

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.281

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3646; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	64	241	58	0.241	7	28	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.296	0.342	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	92	313	86	0.275	7	42	0.339	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.257	0.304	0.403	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	77	291	82	0.282	10	45	0.347	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.346	0.475	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	85	266	57	0.214	10	29	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.271	0.303	OK
Kahlil Watson	RF	22	72	15	0.208	1	9	0.240	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.207	0.242	0.323	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	26	85	21	0.247	5	10	0.281	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.247	0.281	0.443	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	25	58	10	0.172	0	1	0.186	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.124	0.143	0.211	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	31	93	20	0.215	2	10	0.260	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.255	0.341	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	85	292	65	0.223	1	16	0.326	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.333	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	4	4	0	8	0.156

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	94	375	127	0.339	9	45	0.373	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.284	0.325	0.466	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	64	199	47	0.236	13	36	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.325	0.555	OK
Liam Hicks	1B	84	294	85	0.289	13	58	0.362	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.279	0.343	0.403	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	95	349	105	0.301	6	36	0.384	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.268	0.356	0.388	OK
Javier Sanoja	RF	67	224	60	0.268	3	34	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.272	0.394	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	36	106	23	0.217	2	8	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.153	0.212	0.285	OK
Esteury Ruiz	CF	41	94	23	0.245	4	9	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.196	0.246	0.382	OK
Rece Hinds	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.200	0.227	0.353
Brian Navarreto	C	5	9	2	0.222	0	0	0.300	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.205	0.279	0.387	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	9	0.182

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	19	93.9	3.74	1.416	9.2	96	5.1	4	1	1	0	8	90	5.1	8	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	41	41.0	2.85	1.146	13.4	61	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	25	1.1	0	2
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	34	25.0	2.88	1.480	9.7	27	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	34	30.2	1.79	0.894	11.6	39	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	24	71.2	3.41	1.419	7.0	55	5.0	3	2	2	0	2	73	5.0	2	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	30	26.6	7.11	1.504	12.9	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	39	32.3	5.29	1.796	10.9	39	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	38	35.8	3.27	1.089	12.1	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15	1.0	3	0
William Kempner	Middle Reliever	9	11.4	3.16	1.053	11.1	14	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	8	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-3

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

COL 39-58 (4.79 RPG / 5.69 RA)

4 - 5

SF 41-55 (4.16 RPG / 4.79 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 5-4 TARGET: COL 4 - 5 SF (SF) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	7
SF	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	x	5	9

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff11.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record39-58

Win%0.402

Run Diff-87

RD/Game-0.897

SF Season Quality

Record41-55

Win%0.427

Run Diff-61

RD/Game-0.635

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.299; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	RF	76	276	83	0.301	9	51	0.341	5	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.276	0.317	0.487	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	59	202	57	0.282	15	38	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.313	0.513	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	89	334	84	0.251	27	51	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.325	0.446	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	91	329	99	0.301	12	46	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.290	0.373	0.430	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	89	270	73	0.270	9	34	0.368	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.276	0.366	0.506	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	29	96	27	0.281	4	22	0.360	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.251	0.336	0.472	OK
Troy Johnston	LF	82	269	82	0.305	3	38	0.371	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.245	0.317	0.363	OK
Tyler Freeman	2B	62	216	57	0.264	3	23	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.152	0.191	0.214	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	88	308	63	0.205	8	32	0.249	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.188	0.234	0.330	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	4	0.206

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heliot Ramos	LF	56	214	56	0.262	8	28	0.296	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.256	0.287	0.443	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	90	356	121	0.340	4	34	0.377	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.312	0.355	0.444	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	86	343	96	0.280	19	49	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.266	0.290	0.493	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	95	359	91	0.253	19	52	0.324	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.269	0.347	0.509	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	86	323	100	0.310	5	33	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.252	0.280	0.376	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	54	186	51	0.274	8	21	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.257	0.352	0.461	OK
Willy Adames	SS	90	351	79	0.225	15	36	0.276	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.266	0.381	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	67	185	44	0.238	4	19	0.300	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.251	0.303	0.430	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	11	30	7	0.233	0	2	0.303	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.237	0.304	0.315	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	5	5	4	9	0.273

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	20	88.5	6.71	1.853	7.3	72	4.2	8	5	5	2	5	91	4.2	5	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	29	43.1	3.34	1.323	8.6	41	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	4	3.2	2.81	2.500	14.1	5	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	0.1	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	23	21.9	4.11	1.416	10.3	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	45	30.4	3.85	1.612	7.7	26	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	16	0.2	1	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor McDonald	Starter	12	57.0	5.68	1.439	7.9	50	4.1	5	4	4	2	3	82	4.1	3	4
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	37	33.1	4.62	1.480	12.8	47	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.1	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	30	21.8	3.72	1.697	14.9	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	22	13.7	2.63	1.971	13.8	21	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	3.91	1.304	10.2	13	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 5-4

Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers

HOU 47-50 (4.58 RPG / 5.05 RA)

2 - 3

TEX 48-47 (4.14 RPG / 4.31 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 3-2 TARGET: HOU 2 - 3 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	7
TEX	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-3.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-15.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record47-50

Win%0.485

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.474

TEX Season Quality

Record48-47

Win%0.505

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.168

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3369; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	49	191	56	0.293	6	21	0.355	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.273	0.320	0.380	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	94	342	109	0.319	31	70	0.426	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.283	0.377	0.580	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	89	323	80	0.248	12	47	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.315	0.383	OK
Christian Walker	1B	94	352	85	0.241	20	58	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.235	0.294	0.416	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	73	281	66	0.235	10	26	0.308	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.231	0.296	0.411	OK
Cam Smith	RF	92	317	69	0.218	11	32	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.291	0.361	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	9	28	7	0.250	2	8	0.300	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.283	0.434	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	71	204	39	0.191	7	21	0.242	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.198	0.255	0.338	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	57	171	38	0.222	5	22	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.280	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	2	2	3	7	0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	86	248	58	0.234	15	32	0.332	5	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.142	0.251	0.317	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	43	173	48	0.277	9	22	0.328	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.270	0.317	0.500	OK
Josh Jung	3B	86	333	98	0.294	9	34	0.361	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.272	0.336	0.427	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	89	341	88	0.258	9	32	0.327	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.243	0.301	0.422	OK
Jake Burger	1B	91	335	81	0.242	16	58	0.304	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.218	0.270	0.388	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	84	294	80	0.272	10	50	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.175	0.228	0.359	OK
Evan Carter	CF	76	221	41	0.186	7	22	0.296	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.137	0.248	0.241	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	37	108	35	0.324	1	11	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.175	0.208	0.243	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	49	155	34	0.219	6	16	0.301	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.137	0.217	0.237	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	33	7	3	3	7	8	0.212

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristian Javier	Starter	5	11.4	11.05	2.456	6.3	8	3.0	5	2	2	2	4	69	3.0	4	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	16	15.1	0.60	0.728	14.9	25	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	39	36.1	3.24	1.440	8.0	32	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	45	38.9	2.78	1.003	10.6	46	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	32	27.2	6.29	1.765	12.6	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever	36	57.2	3.93	1.329	9.4	60	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	33	1.0	0	1

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	19	98.9	4.82	1.335	10.1	111	5.2	2	1	1	2	5	89	5.2	5	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	33	41.1	1.09	0.584	10.1	46	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	13	1.1	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	26	29.5	3.66	1.288	11.3	37	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	41	34.2	2.63	1.491	9.5	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 3-2

Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles

KC 38-58 (4.26 RPG / 5.11 RA)

3 - 4

BAL 45-51 (4.57 RPG / 4.83 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 4-3 TARGET: KC 3 - 4 BAL (BAL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	6
BAL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	4	9

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff12.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record38-58

Win%0.396

Run Diff-82

RD/Game-0.854

BAL Season Quality

Record45-51

Win%0.469

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.260

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7031; margin adjustment: 0.2953; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	86	303	73	0.241	13	49	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.286	0.372	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	89	352	100	0.284	13	38	0.351	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.238	0.300	0.401	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	88	312	80	0.256	15	35	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.167	0.217	0.322	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	76	227	51	0.225	7	29	0.324	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.237	0.325	0.424	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	DH	68	252	56	0.222	6	32	0.310	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.314	0.340	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	87	341	72	0.211	11	37	0.251	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.249	0.346	OK
Michael Massey	2B	73	223	59	0.265	7	31	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.324	0.411	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	13	30	6	0.200	1	5	0.200	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.124	0.135	0.251	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	82	259	62	0.239	5	27	0.348	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.335	0.407	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	6	3	3	2	5	0.188

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	93	384	84	0.219	16	41	0.289	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.215	0.268	0.370	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	93	349	90	0.258	6	24	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.392	0.404	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	39	123	29	0.236	2	12	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.251	0.315	0.393	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	94	350	90	0.257	21	64	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.354	0.497	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	79	268	67	0.250	15	45	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.298	0.448	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	69	214	66	0.308	4	29	0.358	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.284	0.325	0.434	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	74	193	42	0.218	7	24	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.206	0.292	0.305	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	76	246	57	0.232	3	31	0.307	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.114	0.201	0.220	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	41	117	25	0.214	5	15	0.304	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.245	0.339	0.390	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	4	4	2	10	0.273

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	18	98.8	4.65	1.457	7.3	80	5.0	4	1	1	1	8	85	5.0	8	1
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	37	34.5	6.52	1.681	9.7	37	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	0.1	1	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	39	33.9	2.65	1.062	8.8	33	1.2	2	0	0	0	1	25	1.2	1	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	36	33.9	4.51	1.593	6.6	25	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	26	1.0	0	3

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	18	104.2	4.32	1.411	7.8	90	6.0	4	3	3	2	3	98	6.0	3	3
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	35	41.4	3.26	1.111	10.0	46	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	40	24.5	2.57	1.143	10.3	28	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	43	35.9	3.01	0.947	10.8	43	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 4-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins

LAA 38-58 (4.46 RPG / 5.01 RA)

3 - 4

MIN 47-49 (4.86 RPG / 5.03 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 4-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 4 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	9
MIN	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	x	4	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-11.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff14.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record38-58

Win%0.396

Run Diff-53

RD/Game-0.552

MIN Season Quality

Record47-49

Win%0.490

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.167

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.526; margin adjustment: 0.2209; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	93	367	87	0.237	19	45	0.329	5	5	2	1	1	0	3	0.400	0.250	0.325	0.423	OK
Mike Trout	DH	77	279	65	0.233	18	39	0.389	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.242	0.369	0.495	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	75	283	77	0.272	6	35	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.274	0.334	0.393	OK
Jorge Soler	RF	73	267	58	0.217	11	42	0.304	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.216	0.294	0.365	OK
Jo Adell	LF	95	368	91	0.247	13	53	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.241	0.268	0.426	OK
Josh Lowe	CF	55	169	35	0.207	7	20	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.255	0.332	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	77	257	62	0.241	7	23	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.198	0.220	0.312	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	26	103	26	0.252	3	13	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.269	0.328	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	63	209	45	0.215	4	23	0.276	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.181	0.231	0.268	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	3	3	2	10	0.250

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	76	249	71	0.285	6	29	0.371	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.177	0.266	0.317	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	36	126	37	0.294	7	26	0.400	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.285	0.388	0.537	OK
Josh Bell	DH	93	340	85	0.250	13	60	0.307	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.266	0.318	0.459	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	81	297	73	0.246	16	46	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.174	0.234	0.357	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	62	226	50	0.221	10	29	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.316	0.455	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	89	339	85	0.251	14	50	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.310	0.392	OK
Alan Roden	RF	4	11	3	0.273	0	3	0.385	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.268	0.369	0.373	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	89	303	77	0.254	4	28	0.342	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.269	0.345	0.399	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	46	126	31	0.246	5	23	0.307	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.276	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	4	4	3	10	0.250

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	19	103.9	3.46	1.309	10.0	115	5.1	5	2	2	1	8	101	5.1	8	2
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	37	38.7	4.19	1.370	13.7	59	1.2	2	2	2	2	1	35	1.2	1	2
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	23	19.6	2.76	1.020	12.9	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	17	93.8	3.74	1.247	10.7	112	6.0	6	3	3	2	8	102	6.0	8	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	30	22.6	1.99	1.150	10.0	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	34	37.7	4.06	1.485	11.0	46	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	39	24.8	6.53	2.097	10.9	30	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.2	1	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	18	22.8	6.71	1.667	12.6	32	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	11	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 4-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MIL 59-36 (5.09 RPG / 3.67 RA)

4 - 5

PIT 49-47 (5.23 RPG / 4.86 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-4 TARGET: MIL 4 - 5 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
PIT	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	5	9

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff9.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record59-36

Win%0.621

Run Diff135

RD/Game1.421

PIT Season Quality

Record49-47

Win%0.510

Run Diff35

RD/Game0.365

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2224; margin adjustment: -0.5134; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	60	234	56	0.239	6	31	0.327	5	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.314	0.369	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	61	256	72	0.281	13	36	0.335	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.247	0.293	0.412	OK
Brice Turang	2B	89	350	94	0.269	13	58	0.361	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.260	0.348	0.455	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	84	289	78	0.270	18	59	0.371	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.260	0.371	0.531	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	51	138	30	0.217	8	24	0.366	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.390	0.420	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	80	262	71	0.271	7	37	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.270	0.346	0.445	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	84	268	64	0.239	4	32	0.300	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.225	0.276	0.361	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	71	209	47	0.225	3	22	0.289	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.238	0.300	0.372	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	24	74	19	0.257	0	7	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.270	0.367	0.396	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	34	7	4	4	6	7	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	66	225	70	0.311	2	18	0.358	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.294	0.330	0.415	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	89	353	87	0.246	21	64	0.317	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.251	0.312	0.427	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	96	348	98	0.282	14	58	0.397	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.258	0.371	0.466	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	27	90	28	0.311	10	26	0.370	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.275	0.338	0.613	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	79	304	86	0.283	16	61	0.339	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.255	0.304	0.474	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	89	333	102	0.306	4	41	0.368	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.346	0.371	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	58	219	44	0.201	7	26	0.283	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.201	0.281	0.315	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	58	188	42	0.223	1	14	0.295	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.188	0.251	0.276	OK
Henry Davis	C	52	159	25	0.157	7	24	0.258	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.191	0.280	0.328	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	34	9	5	5	7	7	0.265

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	8	41.7	4.32	1.223	8.6	40	5.2	5	3	3	4	4	102	5.2	4	3
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	36	36.0	2.00	0.917	11.5	46	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	18	1.0	1	1
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	39	35.4	2.80	1.130	8.9	35	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	45	50.3	3.94	1.590	13.4	75	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	0.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	37	33.4	4.04	1.377	8.4	31	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.1	0	0
Jared Koenig	Middle Reliever	8	5.6	3.21	2.679	11.2	7	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	18	0.0	0	1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	19	101.6	3.63	1.053	10.9	123	5.2	6	3	3	2	6	98	5.2	6	3
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	41	38.0	5.68	1.447	8.8	37	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	6	1.0	0	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	37	30.7	4.40	1.498	16.1	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	39	37.9	3.56	1.029	10.4	44	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	19	1.0	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	40	47.0	3.64	1.468	11.1	58	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	20	0.1	0	0
Carmen Mlodzinski	Middle Reliever	20	78.1	3.34	1.408	7.4	64	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals

NYY 53-42 (4.81 RPG / 3.87 RA)

4 - 1

WAS 48-48 (5.34 RPG / 5.25 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-1 TARGET: NYY 4 - 1 WAS (NYY) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	4	8
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	6

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff9.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record53-42

Win%0.558

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.937

WAS Season Quality

Record48-48

Win%0.500

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.094

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9299; margin adjustment: -0.3906; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	73	256	61	0.238	10	40	0.336	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.259	0.343	0.462	OK
Ben Rice	1B	89	333	93	0.279	29	65	0.374	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.303	0.393	0.657	OK
Jasson Domínguez	DH	34	128	31	0.242	5	11	0.281	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.305	0.448	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	93	344	86	0.250	11	51	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.249	0.328	0.385	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	89	315	69	0.219	13	36	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.213	0.288	0.378	OK
José Caballero	SS	81	269	67	0.249	10	34	0.301	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.287	0.387	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	70	204	44	0.216	9	26	0.276	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.301	0.441	OK
Austin Wells	C	65	192	29	0.151	6	12	0.244	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.181	0.263	0.343	OK
Max Schuemann	RF	22	50	12	0.240	2	6	0.377	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.149	0.258	0.330	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	4	7	0.229

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	96	367	102	0.278	27	63	0.407	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.305	0.430	0.663	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	89	301	86	0.286	20	68	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.194	0.231	0.394	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	92	341	94	0.276	20	67	0.353	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.271	0.336	0.506	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	45	171	37	0.216	6	18	0.276	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.205	0.257	0.319	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	94	366	91	0.249	10	44	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.225	0.264	0.380	OK
José Tena	2B	68	168	39	0.232	5	20	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.327	0.478	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	66	175	43	0.246	3	16	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.235	0.311	0.338	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	60	197	55	0.279	7	35	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.243	0.270	0.429	OK
Jacob Young	CF	78	268	60	0.224	8	31	0.273	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.214	0.266	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	1	1	2	9	0.182

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	18	89.6	4.32	1.429	9.4	94	5.0	6	1	1	2	6	101	5.0	6	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	37	37.9	2.85	1.161	10.7	45	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	44	28.8	3.12	1.701	15.6	50	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	47	37.0	1.95	1.486	12.9	53	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	19	90.1	4.00	1.421	10.5	105	4.2	2	0	0	4	4	85	4.2	4	0
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	28	24.3	3.33	1.358	11.5	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	35	30.6	3.24	1.569	7.4	25	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	30	25.1	4.30	1.355	8.2	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Justin Lawrence	Middle Reliever	6	3.7	7.30	3.514	12.2	5	1.0	5	3	3	0	0	22	1.0	0	3

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-1

Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox

OAK 41-54 (4.43 RPG / 5.46 RA)

1 - 3

CHW 49-45 (4.73 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 3-1 TARGET: OAK 1 - 3 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4
CHW	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	x	3	4

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-31.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs0.3

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-33.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record41-54

Win%0.432

Run Diff-98

RD/Game-1.032

CHW Season Quality

Record49-45

Win%0.521

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.287

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4534; margin adjustment: 0.6104; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	SS	55	220	62	0.282	4	26	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.293	0.371	OK
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	3B	11	41	18	0.439	0	1	0.452	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.303	0.309	0.442	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	85	346	89	0.257	20	45	0.325	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.276	0.372	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	38	121	28	0.231	8	21	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.277	0.420	OK
Colby Thomas	LF	41	96	20	0.208	4	11	0.240	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.200	0.230	0.348	OK
Joey Meneses	1B	8	17	2	0.118	0	2	0.238	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.206	0.309	0.292	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	81	236	47	0.199	5	22	0.297	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.202	0.305	0.307	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	50	173	46	0.266	3	16	0.342	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.199	0.252	0.317	OK
Alika Williams	2B	27	81	22	0.272	2	8	0.298	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.135	0.169	0.277	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	1	1	1	4	0.129

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.176	0.234	0.335	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.215	0.285	0.458	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.249	0.304	0.359	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.319	0.391	OK
Kyle Teel	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.318	0.417
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.300	0.358	0.495	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.248	0.301	0.437	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.283	0.465	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	48	130	28	0.215	1	10	0.262	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.280	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	28	4	3	3	2	5	0.143

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	20	96.1	3.18	1.249	8.1	86	5.2	4	3	3	1	5	89	5.2	5	3
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	25	23.6	5.72	1.314	13.3	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	45	33.6	4.29	1.935	15.0	56	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	16	1.1	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	2	0	0	1	3	94	6.0	3	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	5	1.0	0	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 3-1

Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers

PHI 53-43 (4.36 RPG / 4.52 RA)

3 - 4

DET 44-51 (4.28 RPG / 3.98 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-3 TARGET: PHI 3 - 4 DET (DET) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	6
DET	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	4	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-19.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff25.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record53-43

Win%0.552

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.156

DET Season Quality

Record44-51

Win%0.463

Run Diff29

RD/Game0.305

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3281; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	90	378	90	0.238	10	33	0.282	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.270	0.345	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	90	343	86	0.251	31	57	0.361	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.234	0.334	0.472	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	94	333	87	0.261	20	57	0.368	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.215	0.331	0.385	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	90	334	72	0.216	11	46	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.251	0.324	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	50	145	32	0.221	5	25	0.252	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.135	0.158	0.247	OK
Brandon Marsh	RF	89	332	101	0.304	15	46	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.288	0.381	OK
Derek Hill	CF	17	48	17	0.354	3	8	0.367	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.181	0.214	0.320	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	65	225	45	0.200	7	30	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.253	0.348	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	89	313	77	0.246	7	40	0.306	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.219	0.279	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	6	0.182

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	91	342	98	0.287	8	34	0.396	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.269	0.364	0.424	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	85	317	85	0.268	19	60	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.286	0.421	OK
Colt Keith	3B	84	248	61	0.246	8	21	0.294	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.290	0.482	OK
Riley Greene	LF	93	336	98	0.292	13	45	0.385	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.365	0.461	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	93	318	66	0.208	16	42	0.306	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.296	0.436	OK
Kerry Carpenter	DH	72	201	45	0.224	13	36	0.300	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.208	0.273	0.384	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	67	212	42	0.198	4	19	0.277	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.212	0.293	0.347	OK
Matt Vierling	RF	72	231	46	0.199	5	29	0.256	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.146	0.211	0.251	OK
James Outman	CF	19	58	9	0.155	3	10	0.210	3	2	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.097	0.147	0.214	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	6	4	4	1	7	0.207

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	14	85.6	2.31	0.923	10.3	98	6.0	3	2	2	1	7	99	6.0	7	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	33	32.2	0.84	0.839	14.0	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	38	32.5	2.77	1.323	11.1	40	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	4	1.0	0	1
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	38	27.1	8.30	2.103	14.9	45	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0.0	0	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	32	25.7	3.50	1.284	13.0	37	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	37	39.4	3.88	1.168	9.8	43	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.0	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	12	68.8	3.14	0.974	11.0	84	6.0	5	3	3	1	6	95	6.0	6	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	26	21.8	4.13	1.239	10.3	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	39	37.9	1.90	1.557	7.6	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	15	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	40	35.0	3.86	1.600	9.0	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-3

Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays

SEA 47-49 (4.0 RPG / 3.9 RA)

3 - 4

TB 56-37 (4.55 RPG / 4.14 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-3 TARGET: SEA 3 - 4 TB (TB) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	x	4	5

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record47-49

Win%0.490

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.104

TB Season Quality

Record56-37

Win%0.602

Run Diff38

RD/Game0.409

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4733; margin adjustment: 0.1988; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	78	280	59	0.211	10	25	0.327	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.306	0.316	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	88	320	92	0.288	10	42	0.382	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.351	0.444	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	64	238	40	0.168	9	29	0.269	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.196	0.291	0.324	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	89	350	88	0.251	8	36	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.293	0.326	OK
Mitch Garver	C	38	105	20	0.190	4	14	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.214	0.323	0.379	OK
Cole Young	2B	96	344	87	0.253	11	43	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.225	0.280	0.409	OK
Victor Robles	CF	32	94	21	0.223	0	4	0.270	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.193	0.237	0.276	OK
Weston Wilson	RF	6	14	2	0.143	0	2	0.143	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.186	0.257	0.272	OK
Buddy Kennedy	3B	2	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.092	0.104	0.149
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	7	0.206

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	89	341	109	0.320	13	55	0.397	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.336	0.438	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	92	337	100	0.297	13	62	0.393	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.302	0.383	0.448	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	93	352	99	0.281	28	59	0.373	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.337	0.507	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	80	276	56	0.203	11	30	0.282	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.196	0.261	0.350	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	84	326	92	0.282	0	17	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.227	0.285	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	28	86	19	0.221	5	12	0.306	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.335	0.453	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	70	221	48	0.217	0	21	0.315	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.199	0.293	0.292	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	66	196	47	0.240	3	27	0.330	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.167	0.246	0.299	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	47	116	27	0.233	2	10	0.302	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.156	0.228	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	28	5	4	4	3	6	0.179

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	17	96.5	3.26	1.026	8.6	92	5.2	1	2	2	2	5	94	5.2	5	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	35	31.7	3.97	1.293	13.9	49	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	27	1.1	0	2
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	42	33.9	3.45	1.534	8.5	32	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ian Seymour	Starter	31	56.2	3.68	1.085	11.5	72	6.0	6	3	3	3	5	110	6.0	5	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	38	35.4	1.78	0.847	10.4	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	40	37.7	2.86	1.061	7.6	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	31	25.1	3.94	1.434	13.6	38	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres

TOR 45-50 (4.08 RPG / 4.44 RA)

5 - 3

SD 47-48 (3.94 RPG / 4.4 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 5-3 TARGET: TOR 5 - 3 SD (TOR) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	5	6
SD	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record45-49

Win%0.479

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.351

SD Season Quality

Record46-48

Win%0.489

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.479

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1117; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ernie Clement	2B	92	353	105	0.297	7	30	0.320	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.275	0.300	0.386	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	60	195	56	0.287	4	17	0.343	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.312	0.357	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	DH	89	332	88	0.265	6	41	0.343	4	3	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.329	0.405	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	91	336	79	0.235	22	62	0.315	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.300	0.468	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	76	275	66	0.240	7	24	0.307	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.206	0.271	0.334	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	53	158	38	0.241	7	20	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.310	0.353	OK
Sean Keys	1B	8	29	6	0.207	1	5	0.207	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.239	0.350	OK
Jonatan Clase	LF	5	13	4	0.308	2	5	0.400	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.149	0.251	0.285	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	87	285	66	0.232	7	38	0.277	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.240	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	5	5	1	6	0.182

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	93	368	103	0.280	5	34	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.252	0.313	0.362	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	91	356	79	0.222	10	38	0.281	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.240	0.296	0.365	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	90	313	70	0.224	9	37	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.294	0.321	OK
Manny Machado	DH	92	336	66	0.196	19	54	0.286	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.228	0.312	0.425	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	88	277	62	0.224	14	40	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.196	0.306	0.339	OK
Ty France	1B	63	204	54	0.265	11	32	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.283	0.436	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	44	139	26	0.187	3	11	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.286	0.352	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	29	78	12	0.154	3	8	0.233	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.245	0.318	OK
Sung-Mun Song	3B	32	83	18	0.217	1	12	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.177	0.276	0.263	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	3	3	2	8	0.206

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	19	104.0	4.41	1.250	9.3	108	5.1	5	1	1	0	6	94	5.1	6	1
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	44	45.5	1.19	1.055	13.3	67	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	44	39.4	1.83	1.244	4.8	21	1.2	2	2	2	2	2	28	1.2	2	2
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	43	35.9	4.76	1.532	16.0	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Germán Márquez	Starter	8	37.2	5.08	1.452	5.8	24	5.1	6	5	5	1	5	89	5.1	5	5
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	37	36.1	1.00	0.859	17.7	71	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	43	41.0	3.95	1.268	12.5	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	37	34.5	2.61	1.304	9.7	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hart	Middle Reliever	22	29.4	5.82	1.190	8.6	28	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers

ARI Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals

ATL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets

BOS Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

CHC Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins

CLE Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

MIA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

COL Recent Form

SF Recent Form

COL Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers

HOU Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles