MLB Predictions — July 10, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ LAD	2 - 6	2 - 6	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ STL	5 - 2	5 - 2	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ NYM	5 - 4	5 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ CIN	4 - 3	4 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ MIA	4 - 3	4 - 3	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ SF	3 - 5	3 - 5	SF	SF	SF wins 5-3	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ TEX	5 - 2	5 - 2	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ BAL	3 - 4	3 - 4	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ MIN	3 - 6	3 - 6	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 6-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ PIT	5 - 3	5 - 3	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ WAS	3 - 2	3 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ CHW	4 - 5	4 - 5	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 5-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ DET	3 - 4	3 - 4	DET	DET	DET wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ TB	2 - 5	2 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ SD	4 - 5	4 - 5	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers

ARI 46-47 (4.23 RPG / 4.53 RA)

2 - 6

LAD 61-33 (5.3 RPG / 3.55 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-2 TARGET: ARI 2 - 6 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
LAD	2	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	x	6	12

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed0.5

Run Diff32.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff12.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record45-47

Win%0.489

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.326

LAD Season Quality

Record61-33

Win%0.649

Run Diff164

RD/Game1.745

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.3105; margin adjustment: 0.9704; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Troy	OF	23	75	18	0.240	3	5	0.321	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.233	0.306	0.413	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.211	0.335	0.323	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.314	0.445	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.245	0.304	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.343	0.446	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.282	0.335	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.262	0.341	0.524	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.233	0.298	0.387
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.234	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	2	2	4	7	0.129

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	85	324	94	0.290	20	56	0.405	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.274	0.382	0.527	OK
Andy Pages	CF	92	357	94	0.263	16	64	0.328	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.236	0.309	0.397	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	91	345	102	0.296	15	49	0.382	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.293	0.370	0.498	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	56	228	54	0.237	11	30	0.294	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.231	0.291	0.386	OK
Tommy Edman	3B	16	57	20	0.351	1	9	0.422	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.279	0.346	0.445	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	86	317	79	0.249	7	47	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.354	0.393	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	59	212	54	0.255	8	36	0.326	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.224	0.293	0.378	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	56	134	38	0.284	3	16	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.279	0.314	0.437	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	56	174	46	0.264	10	30	0.342	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.337	0.470	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	12	6	6	5	6	0.333

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	7	3	3	2	5	113	6.2	5	3
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	6	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	20	0.0	0	1
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.0	1	1	1	1	0	5	0.0	0	1
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	16	0.0	0	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Hurt	Starter	31	28.5	4.74	1.404	11.7	37	5.0	4	2	2	3	3	93	5.0	3	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	40	35.1	2.82	0.855	12.6	49	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Middle Reliever	35	34.2	2.63	0.965	9.2	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	41	23.2	3.10	1.509	16.7	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	31	31.7	2.56	1.546	11.6	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-2

Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals

ATL 54-39 (4.9 RPG / 3.94 RA)

5 - 2

STL 48-44 (4.57 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-2 TARGET: ATL 5 - 2 STL (ATL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	5	8
STL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff6.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff10.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record54-39

Win%0.581

Run Diff90

RD/Game0.968

STL Season Quality

Record48-44

Win%0.522

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.033

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0235; margin adjustment: -0.4299; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	86	323	99	0.307	16	53	0.335	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.292	0.319	0.469	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	93	357	97	0.272	14	51	0.322	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.256	0.304	0.423	OK
Matt Olson	1B	93	360	97	0.269	25	58	0.342	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.247	0.323	0.554	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	70	270	70	0.259	16	46	0.345	5	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.335	0.436	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	89	331	91	0.275	9	51	0.330	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.274	0.325	0.422	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	81	227	52	0.229	6	27	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.338	0.435	OK
Austin Riley	3B	93	335	69	0.206	9	41	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.273	0.338	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	70	205	55	0.268	6	33	0.305	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.230	0.275	0.338	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	7	24	7	0.292	1	3	0.320	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.285	0.415	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	5	5	5	6	0.229

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	85	336	90	0.268	13	35	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.309	0.367	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	91	331	81	0.245	11	39	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.305	0.360	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	89	342	101	0.295	21	70	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.333	0.529	OK
Nelson Velázquez	LF	22	55	14	0.255	4	12	0.323	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.238	0.296	0.474	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	90	345	95	0.275	15	65	0.338	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.242	0.296	0.450	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	81	304	75	0.247	4	38	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.290	0.341	OK
José Fermín	CF	56	151	40	0.265	4	18	0.313	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.299	0.406	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	21	70	16	0.229	1	13	0.247	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.221	0.255	0.346	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	47	145	31	0.214	4	11	0.252	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.189	0.221	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	2	2	0	5	0.182

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	16	93.6	2.31	1.132	10.8	112	6.0	4	1	1	0	5	100	6.0	5	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	30	30.4	2.37	1.151	10.4	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	43	36.2	1.74	0.773	12.7	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	29	32.4	2.78	1.265	11.4	41	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	4	1.0	0	1

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	17	85.4	3.90	1.464	7.7	73	5.1	6	5	5	4	3	101	5.1	3	5
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	37	35.7	3.78	1.204	9.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	42	33.3	4.32	1.622	11.4	42	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	39	33.2	3.80	1.295	8.7	32	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	22	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-2

Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets

BOS 43-48 (4.09 RPG / 3.89 RA)

5 - 4

NYM 40-54 (4.19 RPG / 4.79 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-4 TARGET: BOS 5 - 4 NYM (BOS) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	1	5	10
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	4	8

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff17.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-8.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

BOS Season Quality

Record43-48

Win%0.473

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.198

NYM Season Quality

Record40-54

Win%0.426

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.596

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.864; margin adjustment: -0.3629; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	19	60	17	0.283	1	3	0.377	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.164	0.262	0.317	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	85	329	93	0.283	8	39	0.330	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.261	0.297	0.428	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	89	342	89	0.260	10	41	0.330	5	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.230	0.307	0.382	OK
Romy Gonzalez	1B	8	29	9	0.310	1	5	0.375	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.279	0.327	0.503	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	55	170	44	0.259	2	12	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.188	0.245	0.312	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	82	275	62	0.225	9	39	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.278	0.417	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	84	328	65	0.198	13	44	0.262	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.294	0.395	OK
Connor Wong	C	37	105	31	0.295	1	15	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.190	0.283	0.301	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	7	22	6	0.273	0	4	0.320	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.309	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	10	5	5	3	10	0.278

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	54	184	51	0.277	7	24	0.356	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.332	0.478	OK
Juan Soto	LF	74	263	79	0.300	21	50	0.416	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.263	0.394	0.558	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	36	142	30	0.211	4	10	0.296	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.280	0.351	OK
Carson Benge	RF	89	341	92	0.270	11	37	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.276	0.341	0.441	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	16	64	12	0.188	1	3	0.257	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.202	0.263	0.332	OK
Jared Young	1B	46	136	32	0.235	6	17	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.157	0.211	0.270	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	60	201	50	0.249	9	22	0.312	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.240	0.292	0.379	OK
Brett Baty	3B	84	275	61	0.222	3	30	0.292	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.220	0.278	0.329	OK
Zack Short	2B	3	8	1	0.125	0	0	0.125	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.128	0.239	0.185	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	4	4	0.229

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	16	88.5	2.64	1.119	8.3	82	6.1	2	1	1	4	4	102	6.1	4	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	28	27.2	1.32	1.103	11.6	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	32	30.3	2.38	0.957	10.7	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	25	17.7	7.12	1.864	14.7	29	0.2	4	3	3	0	0	11	0.2	0	3

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	18	99.7	3.79	1.133	10.7	118	5.2	8	3	3	2	6	110	5.2	6	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	33	28.1	4.48	1.637	14.1	44	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	36	35.9	2.01	0.891	10.5	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	37	28.2	2.55	1.418	11.5	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	38	38.7	3.26	1.292	10.0	43	0.1	1	1	1	1	1	20	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-4

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

CHC 52-42 (5.01 RPG / 4.52 RA)

4 - 3

CIN 43-50 (4.17 RPG / 4.75 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-3 TARGET: CHC 4 - 3 CIN (CHC) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	8
CIN	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	6

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff14.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-1.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record52-41

Win%0.559

Run Diff50

RD/Game0.538

CIN Season Quality

Record42-50

Win%0.457

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.630

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.322; margin adjustment: -0.5552; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	92	344	103	0.299	21	52	0.391	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.318	0.400	0.593	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	90	353	85	0.241	7	35	0.339	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.232	0.319	0.352	OK
Michael Busch	1B	91	331	78	0.236	11	48	0.370	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.350	0.383	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	77	289	77	0.266	15	47	0.347	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.258	0.326	0.484	OK
Ian Happ	LF	87	328	73	0.223	17	41	0.328	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.226	0.311	0.391	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	90	361	87	0.241	4	38	0.311	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.248	0.311	0.352	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	58	137	34	0.248	8	21	0.327	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.174	0.257	0.386	OK
Carson Kelly	C	64	209	58	0.278	5	30	0.366	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.259	0.349	0.410	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	87	298	64	0.215	16	58	0.300	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.241	0.313	0.438	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	8	4	4	7	8	0.229

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	72	285	78	0.274	14	43	0.349	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.241	0.317	0.444	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	91	347	89	0.256	19	64	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.236	0.314	0.482	OK
Spencer Steer	CF	86	302	73	0.242	14	36	0.323	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.306	0.413	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	63	227	55	0.242	14	39	0.348	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.330	0.422	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	63	227	46	0.203	9	32	0.278	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.197	0.272	0.354	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	68	218	51	0.234	6	24	0.319	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.332	0.379	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	36	120	24	0.200	6	13	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.203	0.250	0.379	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	27	88	21	0.239	0	4	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.205	0.230	0.309	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	55	183	32	0.175	3	11	0.255	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.176	0.240	0.292	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	6	3	3	2	11	0.188

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	18	100.9	4.37	1.120	8.9	100	5.2	5	3	3	2	6	97	5.2	6	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	40	35.7	3.53	1.457	11.8	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	29	21.2	5.09	1.462	14.0	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	23	25.8	2.79	1.085	4.5	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Greene	Starter	1	3.1	23.23	3.548	20.3	7	3.0	3	1	1	3	4	89	3.0	4	1
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	16	14.4	6.88	1.597	8.1	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	27	23.5	2.68	1.064	9.2	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	45	36.8	3.67	1.630	9.3	38	1.0	0	0	0	2	2	21	1.0	2	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	18	13.8	2.61	1.739	11.1	17	2.0	4	3	3	0	0	29	2.0	0	3
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	29	20.4	5.29	1.667	11.0	25	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins

CLE 49-46 (3.96 RPG / 4.04 RA)

4 - 3

MIA 52-43 (4.59 RPG / 4.27 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-3 TARGET: CLE 4 - 3 MIA (CLE) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	11
MIA	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.9

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff16.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

CLE Season Quality

Record48-46

Win%0.511

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.096

MIA Season Quality

Record52-42

Win%0.553

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.330

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4894; margin adjustment: 0.2055; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	62	233	57	0.245	7	27	0.336	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.210	0.292	0.343	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	90	304	83	0.273	7	42	0.339	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.258	0.306	0.419	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	75	284	80	0.282	9	43	0.344	5	5	4	1	2	0	0	0.800	0.274	0.333	0.465	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	83	259	56	0.216	10	29	0.307	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.190	0.274	0.319	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	71	210	38	0.181	9	30	0.314	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.207	0.333	0.465	OK
Kahlil Watson	CF	20	65	14	0.215	1	9	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.204	0.242	0.317	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	75	236	50	0.212	6	28	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.215	0.273	0.334	OK
Austin Hedges	C	42	125	36	0.288	3	14	0.348	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.259	0.314	0.437	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	83	285	63	0.221	1	14	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.228	0.341	0.329	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	4	4	3	8	0.289

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	92	368	127	0.345	9	45	0.378	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.325	0.362	0.567	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	62	192	45	0.234	12	35	0.305	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.270	0.347	0.594	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	93	341	103	0.302	6	36	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.287	0.382	0.415	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	65	216	60	0.278	3	34	0.311	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.311	0.446	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	69	259	63	0.243	12	42	0.327	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.267	0.331	0.559	OK
Leo Jiménez	DH	35	103	22	0.214	1	7	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.147	0.209	0.256	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	41	94	23	0.245	4	9	0.308	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.200	0.250	0.387	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	90	317	63	0.199	5	25	0.320	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.330	0.337	OK
Joe Mack	C	49	148	36	0.243	7	23	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.282	0.413	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	3	3	4	10	0.182

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	18	101.8	2.92	1.130	9.6	109	6.0	4	2	2	3	6	112	6.0	6	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	40	40.0	2.92	1.175	13.7	61	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	25	1.0	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	33	24.0	3.00	1.500	9.8	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	32	29.0	1.86	0.897	11.8	38	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	20	1.0	2	1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	19	121.8	4.06	1.273	6.8	92	6.1	8	3	3	2	5	112	6.1	5	3
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	30	26.6	7.11	1.504	12.9	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	39	32.3	5.29	1.796	10.9	39	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	6	1.0	2	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	38	35.8	3.27	1.089	12.1	48	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0
William Kempner	Middle Reliever	8	9.4	1.91	0.957	10.5	11	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-3

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

COL 38-57 (4.83 RPG / 5.74 RA)

3 - 5

SF 40-54 (4.17 RPG / 4.83 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 5-3 TARGET: COL 3 - 5 SF (SF) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	5
SF	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	x	5	11

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-17.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record38-56

Win%0.404

Run Diff-80

RD/Game-0.851

SF Season Quality

Record39-54

Win%0.419

Run Diff-68

RD/Game-0.731

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1425; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	74	268	80	0.299	9	50	0.338	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.259	0.295	0.475	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	87	261	69	0.264	8	31	0.366	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.363	0.516	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	27	92	27	0.293	4	21	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.276	0.350	0.510	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	87	327	82	0.251	27	51	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.337	0.475	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	89	324	97	0.299	12	46	0.377	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.282	0.351	0.436	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	61	211	57	0.270	3	23	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.165	0.209	0.241	OK
Willi Castro	2B	79	283	75	0.265	7	37	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.304	0.379	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	57	194	54	0.278	15	38	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.298	0.504	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	86	303	62	0.205	8	32	0.247	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.189	0.232	0.353	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	3	3	5	6	0.156

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heliot Ramos	LF	54	206	55	0.267	8	28	0.303	5	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.269	0.303	0.519	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	88	348	116	0.333	4	34	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.285	0.330	0.438	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	84	335	93	0.278	18	46	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.262	0.464	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	93	353	88	0.249	18	49	0.319	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.253	0.331	0.519	OK
Willy Adames	SS	88	343	79	0.230	15	36	0.280	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.228	0.289	0.415	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	52	179	50	0.279	8	21	0.372	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.260	0.354	0.462	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	84	316	99	0.313	5	33	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.287	0.388	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	65	178	42	0.236	4	19	0.301	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.299	0.429	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	10	27	6	0.222	0	2	0.276	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.279	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	11	5	5	2	8	0.324

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Gordon	Starter	11	45.1	6.98	1.596	9.2	46	4.2	10	5	5	1	5	93	4.2	5	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	28	42.1	3.42	1.354	8.6	40	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	1.1	1	0
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	0.00	1.333	15.0	5	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	0.0	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	22	20.9	3.88	1.340	10.3	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	44	29.4	3.98	1.633	8.0	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	25	25.3	5.34	1.858	7.8	22	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	18	99.1	3.54	1.261	7.8	86	6.0	4	3	3	4	4	109	6.0	4	3
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	37	33.1	4.62	1.480	12.8	47	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	29	20.8	3.89	1.731	15.1	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	21	12.6	2.86	2.063	12.9	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 5-3

Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers

HOU 46-49 (4.55 RPG / 5.05 RA)

5 - 2

TEX 47-46 (4.12 RPG / 4.27 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-2 TARGET: HOU 5 - 2 TEX (HOU) Confidence: 55.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	9
TEX	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	7

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-11.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record46-49

Win%0.484

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.505

TEX Season Quality

Record46-46

Win%0.500

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.163

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3659; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yordan Alvarez	DH	92	335	105	0.313	29	67	0.420	5	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.261	0.352	0.525	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	87	316	78	0.247	12	47	0.342	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.309	0.412	OK
Christian Walker	1B	92	343	84	0.245	20	58	0.321	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.244	0.304	0.458	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	71	273	63	0.231	10	26	0.306	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.224	0.298	0.420	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	7	21	4	0.190	1	4	0.261	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.213	0.281	0.395	OK
Cam Smith	RF	91	313	69	0.220	11	32	0.296	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.292	0.367	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	39	153	37	0.242	5	20	0.267	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.225	0.247	0.407	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	70	201	39	0.194	7	21	0.245	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.199	0.256	0.345	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	39	107	26	0.243	3	11	0.302	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.128	0.190	0.256	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	36	9	5	5	6	6	0.250

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	84	243	57	0.235	14	31	0.330	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.151	0.251	0.305	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	41	167	46	0.275	8	21	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.313	0.516	OK
Josh Jung	3B	84	327	97	0.297	9	34	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.274	0.338	0.454	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	87	334	86	0.257	9	31	0.328	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.227	0.290	0.404	OK
Jake Burger	1B	89	328	80	0.244	15	54	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.275	0.384	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	82	287	77	0.268	8	47	0.317	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.161	0.209	0.316	OK
Evan Carter	CF	74	214	39	0.182	7	22	0.293	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.126	0.238	0.239	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	35	103	34	0.330	1	11	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.185	0.207	0.246	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	48	151	34	0.225	6	16	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.144	0.235	0.254	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	2	2	2	10	0.206

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	6	28.4	3.49	1.408	11.1	35	5.1	6	2	2	1	7	101	5.1	7	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	16	15.1	0.60	0.728	14.9	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	38	35.1	2.31	1.339	7.9	31	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	32	27.2	6.29	1.765	12.6	38	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	24	1.2	2	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	18	38.7	3.49	1.214	6.3	27	5.0	7	4	4	2	3	98	5.0	3	4
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	33	41.1	1.09	0.584	10.1	46	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	26	29.5	3.66	1.288	11.3	37	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	40	33.2	2.71	1.506	9.5	35	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	34	26.9	7.36	1.599	10.7	32	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	15	0.2	0	0
Robby Ahlstrom	Middle Reliever	14	10.8	5.83	1.574	6.7	8	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	14	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-2

Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles

KC 38-57 (4.29 RPG / 5.11 RA)

3 - 4

BAL 44-51 (4.56 RPG / 4.87 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 4-3 TARGET: KC 3 - 4 BAL (BAL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	5
BAL	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	x	4	7

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-12.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record38-56

Win%0.404

Run Diff-75

RD/Game-0.798

BAL Season Quality

Record43-51

Win%0.457

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.340

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5372; margin adjustment: 0.2256; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	84	296	73	0.247	13	49	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.298	0.397	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	87	344	99	0.288	13	38	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.265	0.329	0.451	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	86	304	77	0.253	14	34	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.158	0.209	0.301	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	74	219	51	0.233	7	29	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.274	0.366	0.503	OK
Michael Massey	2B	71	217	57	0.263	7	31	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.266	0.322	0.409	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	85	335	71	0.212	11	36	0.253	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.237	0.266	0.393	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	12	26	4	0.154	1	4	0.154	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.115	0.126	0.229	OK
Nick Loftin	DH	55	169	43	0.254	4	29	0.342	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.271	0.346	0.474	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	80	253	60	0.237	4	26	0.348	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.356	0.395	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	4	7	0.156

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	91	376	82	0.218	15	39	0.290	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.205	0.261	0.335	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	62	232	60	0.259	8	47	0.327	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.254	0.325	0.416	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	91	343	88	0.257	5	23	0.383	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.256	0.375	0.360	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	92	343	87	0.254	20	62	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.343	0.456	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	77	261	65	0.249	14	42	0.308	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.231	0.292	0.430	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	38	120	28	0.233	2	12	0.306	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.237	0.305	0.383	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	73	189	42	0.222	7	24	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.301	0.322	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	68	210	64	0.305	3	28	0.355	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.261	0.303	0.379	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	39	112	24	0.214	5	14	0.302	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.236	0.333	0.396	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	7	4	4	5	6	0.226

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luinder Avila	Starter	17	50.5	5.17	1.624	8.4	47	4.0	6	3	3	3	4	92	4.0	4	3
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	37	34.5	6.52	1.681	9.7	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	38	32.9	2.74	1.094	8.8	32	1.1	1	1	1	2	1	28	1.1	1	1
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	36	33.9	4.51	1.593	6.6	25	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	23	1.2	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	14	75.0	3.48	1.400	7.4	62	5.2	3	1	1	2	4	91	5.2	4	1
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	34	40.4	3.34	1.139	10.0	45	1.1	1	2	2	1	1	21	1.1	1	2
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	39	24.4	2.58	1.148	10.0	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	42	34.9	3.09	0.974	10.8	42	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 4-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins

LAA 37-57 (4.48 RPG / 5.03 RA)

3 - 6

MIN 46-48 (4.88 RPG / 5.06 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 6-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 6 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
MIN	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	x	6	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-11.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff16.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record37-56

Win%0.398

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.548

MIN Season Quality

Record46-48

Win%0.489

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.181

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5048; margin adjustment: 0.212; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	91	359	84	0.234	19	45	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.243	0.316	0.457	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	73	275	74	0.269	6	33	0.339	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.322	0.381	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	51	177	44	0.249	4	33	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.306	0.380	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	71	260	56	0.215	11	40	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.207	0.280	0.346	OK
Josh Lowe	CF	54	166	35	0.211	7	20	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.259	0.387	OK
Jo Adell	RF	93	361	91	0.252	13	53	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.269	0.292	0.464	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	76	253	61	0.241	7	23	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.211	0.309	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	38	119	35	0.294	2	17	0.364	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.257	0.322	0.373	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	5	15	3	0.200	0	0	0.250	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.195	0.226	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	9	0.182

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	74	242	68	0.281	6	29	0.367	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.176	0.270	0.328	OK
Joe Ryan	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.303	0.397
Kody Clemens	2B	79	290	73	0.252	16	45	0.312	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.190	0.245	0.407	OK
Josh Bell	DH	91	332	82	0.247	13	60	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.266	0.321	0.496	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	60	218	47	0.216	9	27	0.294	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.239	0.313	0.422	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	87	333	83	0.249	14	49	0.303	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.256	0.307	0.390	OK
Alan Roden	RF	2	7	2	0.286	0	2	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.343	0.369	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	56	162	37	0.228	4	29	0.269	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.254	0.316	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	87	298	76	0.255	4	27	0.343	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.269	0.346	0.430	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	6	6	3	4	0.250

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	6	23.8	8.70	1.975	9.1	24	4.0	7	4	4	1	3	93	4.0	3	4
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	34	35.9	4.76	1.448	10.0	40	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	29	2.1	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	37	38.7	4.19	1.370	13.7	59	1.2	1	2	2	2	0	32	1.2	0	2

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	10	60.3	4.48	1.177	7.6	51	6.0	4	3	3	2	5	99	6.0	5	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	29	21.6	2.08	1.111	10.0	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	33	35.7	4.29	1.541	11.1	44	1.1	1	0	0	1	2	24	1.1	2	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	39	24.8	6.53	2.097	10.9	30	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MIL 59-34 (5.12 RPG / 3.65 RA)

5 - 3

PIT 47-47 (5.23 RPG / 4.88 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-3 TARGET: MIL 5 - 3 PIT (MIL) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	5	9
PIT	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	9

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record59-34

Win%0.634

Run Diff137

RD/Game1.473

PIT Season Quality

Record47-47

Win%0.500

Run Diff33

RD/Game0.351

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.3237; margin adjustment: -0.5559; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	78	255	69	0.271	7	37	0.355	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.305	0.375	0.504	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	22	66	17	0.258	0	6	0.370	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.284	0.387	0.408	OK
Brice Turang	2B	87	342	93	0.272	13	56	0.363	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.271	0.353	0.468	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	82	284	77	0.271	17	57	0.368	5	4	3	1	2	1	0	0.750	0.268	0.362	0.504	OK
William Contreras	C	86	338	95	0.281	9	52	0.342	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.232	0.290	0.334	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	69	202	45	0.223	3	22	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.318	0.401	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	83	264	63	0.239	3	30	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.289	0.346	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	59	250	71	0.284	13	36	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.292	0.409	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	58	226	54	0.239	6	31	0.324	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.215	0.301	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	5	5	5	7	0.250

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	65	222	69	0.311	2	18	0.356	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.280	0.318	0.404	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	56	181	42	0.232	1	14	0.305	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.237	0.296	0.357	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	87	345	84	0.243	21	64	0.315	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.230	0.295	0.419	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	77	298	86	0.289	16	61	0.342	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.280	0.335	0.523	OK
Henry Davis	C	51	157	24	0.153	7	24	0.247	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.195	0.265	0.374	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	87	326	101	0.310	4	41	0.370	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.299	0.369	0.406	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	OF	25	82	24	0.293	7	18	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.323	0.501	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	94	342	96	0.281	14	57	0.395	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	0.500	0.241	0.354	0.457	OK
Tyler Callihan	LF	26	73	19	0.260	3	15	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.153	0.237	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	3	3	3	8	0.250

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Sproat	Starter	17	75.5	5.36	1.430	10.0	84	5.0	7	2	2	1	5	91	5.0	5	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	36	36.0	2.00	0.917	11.5	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	38	34.4	2.88	1.105	9.2	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	44	49.3	3.47	1.562	13.1	72	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	36	33.2	4.07	1.355	8.4	31	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Jared Koenig	Middle Reliever	8	5.6	3.21	2.679	11.2	7	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	18	0.0	0	1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	18	106.0	3.31	1.123	10.4	122	6.0	2	1	1	4	7	110	6.0	7	1
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	40	37.0	5.84	1.486	8.8	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	23	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	36	29.7	4.55	1.515	16.1	53	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	38	36.9	3.66	1.003	10.7	44	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	26	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-3

New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals

NYY 51-42 (4.82 RPG / 3.9 RA)

3 - 2

WAS 48-46 (5.4 RPG / 5.27 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-2 TARGET: NYY 3 - 2 WAS (NYY) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	8
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-15.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff10.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record51-42

Win%0.548

Run Diff85

RD/Game0.914

WAS Season Quality

Record48-46

Win%0.511

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.138

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8323; margin adjustment: -0.3496; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Amed Rosario	3B	50	148	36	0.243	9	26	0.283	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.238	0.278	0.453	OK
Ben Rice	DH	87	327	90	0.275	28	64	0.367	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.277	0.356	0.622	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	71	248	58	0.234	9	38	0.332	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.240	0.326	0.421	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	63	230	59	0.257	14	41	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.237	0.349	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	91	336	83	0.247	11	51	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.307	0.358	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	32	120	28	0.233	4	10	0.276	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.245	0.286	0.396	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	87	307	68	0.221	12	34	0.299	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.219	0.301	0.350	OK
José Caballero	SS	79	264	65	0.246	10	34	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.267	0.413	OK
Austin Wells	C	63	186	28	0.151	5	11	0.246	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.175	0.260	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	3	11	0.229

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	94	357	96	0.269	25	61	0.402	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.272	0.422	0.621	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	77	250	60	0.240	15	42	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.189	0.281	0.369	OK
Dylan Crews	LF	43	164	37	0.226	6	18	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.276	0.374	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	90	333	92	0.276	20	67	0.355	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.331	0.499	OK
Jacob Young	CF	77	264	59	0.223	8	31	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.223	0.276	0.366	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	23	51	8	0.157	1	7	0.259	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.190	0.265	0.365	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	80	259	64	0.247	1	28	0.331	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.268	0.349	0.376	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	87	292	85	0.291	20	68	0.322	3	3	2	0	0	0	1	0.667	0.204	0.243	0.441	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	59	193	54	0.280	6	34	0.307	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.283	0.412	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	2	2	0	11	0.129

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	17	89.3	4.43	1.288	10.5	104	5.0	2	0	0	0	4	90	5.0	4	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	35	34.9	3.09	1.232	11.3	44	1.1	2	2	2	0	3	6	1.1	3	2
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	42	27.6	3.26	1.775	15.7	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	46	36.9	1.95	1.409	12.7	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	31	42.0	2.57	1.262	7.5	35	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.2	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Palmquist	Starter	4	6.1	7.38	1.639	10.3	7	3.0	5	2	2	1	6	69	3.0	6	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	27	24.2	3.35	1.364	11.2	30	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	24	1.2	2	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	34	29.4	3.37	1.565	6.7	22	2.0	1	1	1	0	0	34	2.0	0	1
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	29	25.0	3.60	1.280	8.3	23	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Justin Lawrence	Middle Reliever	5	3.5	5.14	2.571	10.3	4	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	21	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-2

Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox

OAK 41-52 (4.52 RPG / 5.42 RA)

4 - 5

CHW 47-45 (4.67 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 5-4 TARGET: OAK 4 - 5 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	4	11
CHW	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	x	5	8

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-27.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed0.9

Run Diff27.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record41-52

Win%0.441

Run Diff-84

RD/Game-0.903

CHW Season Quality

Record47-45

Win%0.511

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.141

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1495; margin adjustment: 0.4828; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lawrence Butler	RF	79	231	46	0.199	5	22	0.291	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.223	0.308	0.341	OK
Shea Langeliers	DH	83	339	89	0.263	20	45	0.331	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.241	0.301	0.427	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	82	293	71	0.242	13	41	0.344	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.244	0.342	0.418	OK
Jonah Heim	C	36	113	28	0.248	8	21	0.301	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.237	0.289	0.451	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	53	213	58	0.272	4	26	0.307	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.278	0.342	OK
Joey Meneses	1B	7	14	2	0.143	0	2	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.332	0.305	OK
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	3B	9	34	15	0.441	0	1	0.457	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.303	0.310	0.447	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	48	168	47	0.280	3	16	0.353	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.222	0.275	0.343	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	82	260	60	0.231	3	26	0.293	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.223	0.272	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	4	4	3	7	0.289

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.175	0.234	0.341	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.213	0.283	0.459	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.301	0.361	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.204	0.270	0.294	OK
Kyle Teel	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.318	0.416
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.226	0.318	0.392	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.300	0.442	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.288	0.348	0.483	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.221	0.280	0.467	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	5	5	5	13	0.250

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Lopez	Starter	13	51.8	7.30	1.911	7.3	42	3.2	5	3	3	3	6	88	3.2	6	3
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	24	21.6	6.25	1.435	13.3	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	44	32.6	4.42	1.994	14.9	54	1.2	2	1	1	1	2	31	1.2	2	1
Mason Barnett	Middle Reliever	12	19.4	3.71	1.289	9.7	21	1.2	1	1	1	1	3	40	1.2	3	1

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	5	0	0	0	3	104	6.0	3	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	3	3	3	3	1	34	1.0	1	3
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers

PHI 52-43 (4.37 RPG / 4.55 RA)

3 - 4

DET 44-50 (4.31 RPG / 3.98 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-3 TARGET: PHI 3 - 4 DET (DET) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	5
DET	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	4	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-10.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff21.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record52-42

Win%0.553

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.096

DET Season Quality

Record43-50

Win%0.462

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.247

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2068; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	88	372	90	0.242	10	32	0.285	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.233	0.271	0.363	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	88	336	85	0.253	31	57	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.335	0.482	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	92	326	85	0.261	20	57	0.368	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.203	0.328	0.386	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	87	325	100	0.308	15	46	0.343	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.250	0.290	0.418	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	88	327	72	0.220	11	46	0.283	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.203	0.265	0.341	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	87	306	75	0.245	7	40	0.304	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.246	0.303	0.386	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	19	59	12	0.203	2	6	0.238	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.264	0.417	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	85	262	67	0.256	2	20	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.276	0.319	0.395	OK
Rafael Marchán	C	27	81	9	0.111	2	6	0.153	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.174	0.201	0.263	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	3	3	4	5	0.156

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	89	333	96	0.288	7	32	0.400	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.275	0.379	0.404	OK
Colt Keith	3B	82	242	60	0.248	7	20	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.300	0.486	OK
Riley Greene	LF	91	332	97	0.292	13	45	0.380	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.280	0.361	0.516	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	91	310	65	0.210	15	40	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.221	0.308	0.429	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	70	198	45	0.227	13	36	0.304	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.233	0.295	0.413	OK
Eduardo Valencia	DH	1	1	1	1.000	1	1	1.000	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.135	0.148	0.287	LARGE
Zach McKinstry	2B	65	205	42	0.205	4	18	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.311	0.377	OK
James Outman	CF	18	54	8	0.148	3	8	0.207	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.089	0.142	0.176	OK
Jake Rogers	C	29	82	14	0.171	3	9	0.263	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.296	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	4	4	3	10	0.200

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	18	89.2	6.05	1.502	9.5	94	5.0	6	4	4	2	6	93	5.0	6	4
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	32	31.2	0.87	0.865	14.4	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	38	32.5	2.77	1.323	11.1	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	38	27.1	8.30	2.103	14.9	45	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	22	1.0	2	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Flaherty	Starter	17	73.3	4.79	1.514	11.3	92	5.0	2	2	2	2	3	88	5.0	3	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	25	20.8	4.33	1.250	10.4	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	39	37.9	1.90	1.557	7.6	32	1.1	1	1	1	2	0	24	1.1	0	1
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	39	34.0	3.97	1.618	9.0	34	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-3

Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays

SEA 47-48 (4.03 RPG / 3.87 RA)

2 - 5

TB 55-37 (4.53 RPG / 4.17 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-2 TARGET: SEA 2 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	7
TB	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	x	5	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff18.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record47-47

Win%0.500

Run Diff20

RD/Game0.213

TB Season Quality

Record54-37

Win%0.593

Run Diff28

RD/Game0.308

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.235; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	76	272	57	0.210	10	25	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.199	0.307	0.303	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	86	314	90	0.287	10	42	0.380	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.270	0.344	0.475	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	79	219	59	0.269	15	39	0.336	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.260	0.319	0.522	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	62	232	39	0.168	9	29	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.291	0.358	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	87	343	86	0.251	8	36	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.290	0.326	OK
Luke Raley	CF	78	230	54	0.235	14	36	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.239	0.277	0.413	OK
Cole Young	2B	94	337	85	0.252	10	42	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.227	0.283	0.401	OK
Miles Mastrobuoni	RF	8	23	5	0.217	0	1	0.269	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.195	0.261	0.271	OK
Buddy Kennedy	3B	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.098	0.111	0.166
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	2	9	0.206

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	87	331	108	0.326	13	55	0.405	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.279	0.340	0.438	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	90	328	94	0.287	13	61	0.387	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.263	0.352	0.390	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	91	346	96	0.277	27	57	0.367	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.302	0.454	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	78	269	55	0.204	10	29	0.285	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.198	0.271	0.328	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	82	318	88	0.277	0	16	0.312	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.175	0.213	0.278	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	27	82	16	0.195	4	11	0.287	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.217	0.308	0.387	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	69	218	48	0.220	0	20	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.208	0.304	0.307	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	64	188	46	0.245	2	26	0.338	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.175	0.262	0.301	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	46	112	26	0.232	2	10	0.304	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.147	0.225	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	6	5	5	3	10	0.200

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Castillo	Starter	17	80.1	4.94	1.373	8.7	77	5.1	6	5	5	1	9	99	5.1	9	5
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	35	31.7	3.97	1.293	13.9	49	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	41	33.8	2.66	1.420	8.5	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	17	97.9	2.67	1.154	5.6	61	6.0	6	2	2	1	7	110	6.0	7	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	38	35.4	1.78	0.847	10.4	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	39	35.7	3.03	1.120	7.8	31	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	25	1.1	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	29	23.1	4.29	1.429	13.2	34	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres

TOR 44-49 (4.04 RPG / 4.42 RA)

4 - 5

SD 46-47 (3.9 RPG / 4.37 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: TOR 4 - 5 SD (SD) Confidence: 53.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	4	8
SD	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	x	5	5

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-3.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-28.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record44-49

Win%0.473

Run Diff-35

RD/Game-0.376

SD Season Quality

Record46-46

Win%0.500

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.446

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.029; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ernie Clement	SS	90	344	102	0.297	7	30	0.318	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.263	0.286	0.379	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	87	325	85	0.262	5	37	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.302	0.359	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	89	329	78	0.237	21	59	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.281	0.429	OK
George Springer	DH	64	248	55	0.222	9	22	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.226	0.302	0.389	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	23	81	15	0.185	2	7	0.256	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.284	0.319	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	74	268	66	0.246	7	24	0.312	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.209	0.269	0.339	OK
Luis Urías	2B	8	19	6	0.316	1	2	0.409	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.338	0.400	OK
Myles Straw	RF	65	140	32	0.229	3	15	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.180	0.232	0.317	OK
Jonatan Clase	LF	3	8	2	0.250	1	3	0.250	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.136	0.149	0.249	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	4	4	1	7	0.229

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	91	360	102	0.283	5	34	0.345	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.314	0.399	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	89	349	76	0.218	10	37	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.271	0.358	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	88	306	69	0.225	8	35	0.315	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.290	0.301	OK
Manny Machado	3B	90	327	63	0.193	19	52	0.285	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.214	0.312	0.458	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	86	272	62	0.228	14	39	0.320	3	3	2	1	5	0	0	0.667	0.214	0.297	0.377	OK
Ty France	1B	61	197	50	0.254	10	30	0.308	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.261	0.396	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	68	225	59	0.262	5	21	0.297	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.246	0.269	0.411	OK
Jase Bowen	RF	17	40	5	0.125	0	1	0.167	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.165	0.205	0.255	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	28	76	10	0.132	3	8	0.214	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.162	0.223	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	5	5	5	2	6	0.172

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Bieber	Starter	3	12.3	9.51	2.195	6.6	9	4.1	5	5	5	1	3	85	4.1	3	5
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	43	44.5	1.01	1.011	13.3	66	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	4	1.1	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	43	38.4	1.88	1.276	4.9	21	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	42	34.9	4.90	1.576	16.2	63	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.1	1	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	46	26.7	5.06	1.835	14.5	43	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	13	0.2	0	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
JP Sears	Starter	3	14.4	5.00	1.458	8.8	14	5.2	5	2	2	0	4	86	5.2	4	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	36	35.1	1.03	0.855	17.7	69	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	42	40.0	4.05	1.275	12.6	56	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	17	1.1	1	1
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	36	33.4	2.43	1.317	10.0	37	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers

ARI Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals

ATL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets

BOS Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

CHC Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins

CLE Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

MIA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

COL Recent Form

SF Recent Form

COL Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers

HOU Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles