MLB Predictions — July 8, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ SD	4 - 3	4 - 3	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 4-3	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ PIT	5 - 1	5 - 1	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-1	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ CHW	2 - 6	2 - 6	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ BAL	6 - 3	6 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 6-3	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ MIN	7 - 2	7 - 2	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 7-2	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ LAD	4 - 5	4 - 5	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-4	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ WAS	4 - 5	4 - 5	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 5-4	62%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ NYM	2 - 6	2 - 6	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 6-2	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ TEX	2 - 3	2 - 3	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 3-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ STL	5 - 4	5 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-4	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ TB	5 - 3	5 - 3	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ DET	4 - 5	4 - 5	DET	DET	DET wins 5-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ CIN	4 - 3	4 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ MIA	4 - 3	4 - 3	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ SF	4 - 2	4 - 2	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 4-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

ARI 45-46 (4.24 RPG / 4.51 RA)

4 - 3

SD 45-46 (3.87 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 4-3 TARGET: ARI 4 - 3 SD (ARI) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	4	8
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	8

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed0.5

Run Diff32.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-35.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record45-45

Win%0.500

Run Diff-21

RD/Game-0.233

SD Season Quality

Record44-46

Win%0.489

Run Diff-50

RD/Game-0.556

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3389; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Troy	OF	23	75	18	0.240	3	5	0.321	5	5	2	1	4	0	1	0.400	0.245	0.318	0.428	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.223	0.348	0.334	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.276	0.329	0.459	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.239	0.317	0.353	OK
James McCann	C	11	32	8	0.250	0	4	0.273	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.284	0.411	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.293	0.345	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.356	0.542	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.311	0.405
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.194	0.242	0.280	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	4	4	3	12	0.229

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	89	352	99	0.281	5	33	0.343	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.254	0.308	0.391	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	87	340	74	0.218	10	35	0.273	4	4	0	1	1	0	3	0.000	0.232	0.276	0.380	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	86	297	68	0.229	8	33	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.303	0.319	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	84	266	62	0.233	14	39	0.322	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.230	0.309	0.390	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	40	126	23	0.183	3	10	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.306	0.362	OK
Luis Campusano	C	22	60	18	0.300	3	10	0.382	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.272	0.350	0.498	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	66	218	56	0.257	5	19	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.269	0.372	OK
Jase Bowen	LF	16	36	4	0.111	0	0	0.158	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.151	0.195	0.237	OK
Sung-Mun Song	3B	29	74	16	0.216	1	9	0.310	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.182	0.272	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	8	3	3	0	9	0.229

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	3	0	0	0	6	95	6.2	6	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	3	1	1	0	1	14	0.1	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	18	100.0	3.60	1.190	7.9	88	5.2	5	1	1	1	7	103	5.2	7	1
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	36	35.1	1.03	0.855	17.7	69	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	41	39.0	4.15	1.308	12.5	54	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Kyle Hart	Middle Reliever	21	27.4	5.91	1.168	9.2	28	1.1	2	3	3	1	1	33	1.1	1	3

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-3

Atlanta Braves @ Pittsburgh Pirates

ATL 53-39 (4.85 RPG / 3.92 RA)

5 - 1

PIT 47-46 (5.24 RPG / 4.83 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-1 TARGET: ATL 5 - 1 PIT (ATL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	7
PIT	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-7.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs7.0

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff14.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record52-39

Win%0.571

Run Diff82

RD/Game0.901

PIT Season Quality

Record47-45

Win%0.511

Run Diff41

RD/Game0.446

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5463; margin adjustment: -0.2294; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	84	313	97	0.310	16	53	0.339	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.305	0.333	0.507	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	91	349	95	0.272	14	50	0.321	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.249	0.296	0.429	OK
Matt Olson	1B	91	353	96	0.272	24	57	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.328	0.567	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	68	262	67	0.256	16	44	0.342	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.305	0.403	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	87	322	89	0.276	9	50	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.336	0.445	OK
Austin Riley	3B	91	327	69	0.211	9	41	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.290	0.373	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	79	221	50	0.226	5	23	0.309	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.321	0.394	OK
Joey Bart	C	8	22	3	0.136	1	4	0.269	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.238	0.330	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	47	121	30	0.248	4	11	0.289	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.192	0.237	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	5	5	1	9	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	63	213	65	0.305	1	15	0.352	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.291	0.330	0.373	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	85	336	83	0.247	21	64	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.320	0.457	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	92	334	94	0.281	13	56	0.397	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.369	0.469	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	23	74	23	0.311	6	17	0.373	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.291	0.358	0.542	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	75	290	85	0.293	16	61	0.347	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.286	0.344	0.526	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	85	322	101	0.314	4	41	0.368	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.324	0.374	0.444	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	56	213	43	0.202	7	26	0.283	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.216	0.296	0.354	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	54	175	42	0.240	1	14	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.303	0.357	OK
Henry Davis	C	50	155	24	0.155	7	24	0.246	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.187	0.259	0.353	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	1	1	3	7	0.156

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	18	82.0	4.17	1.439	8.0	73	4.1	5	1	1	2	4	78	4.1	4	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	29	29.4	2.45	1.156	10.1	33	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	42	35.2	1.79	0.795	12.5	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	28	31.4	2.87	1.274	11.2	39	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever	19	22.6	2.39	0.885	10.8	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	7	28.3	5.41	1.413	9.9	31	4.1	4	3	3	1	7	71	4.1	7	3
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	38	35.0	4.63	1.371	8.5	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	35	28.7	4.70	1.533	16.0	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	38	44.0	3.89	1.523	11.5	56	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	16	1.1	0	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	37	35.9	3.76	1.031	11.0	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-1

Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox

BOS 41-48 (4.1 RPG / 3.97 RA)

2 - 6

CHW 47-43 (4.77 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-2 TARGET: BOS 2 - 6 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	6
CHW	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	x	6	7

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff19.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed1.0

Run Diff26.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Season Quality

Record41-48

Win%0.461

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.135

CHW Season Quality

Record47-43

Win%0.522

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.211

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1686; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	17	57	17	0.298	1	3	0.375	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.168	0.244	0.314	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	83	320	91	0.284	8	38	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.308	0.430	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	87	333	87	0.261	10	41	0.332	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.308	0.370	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	85	310	89	0.287	20	61	0.380	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.288	0.365	0.556	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	54	165	43	0.261	2	12	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.249	0.304	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	80	268	59	0.220	8	37	0.282	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.205	0.271	0.373	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	82	324	65	0.201	13	44	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.281	0.384	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	48	148	28	0.189	2	5	0.256	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.228	0.264	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	6	19	4	0.211	0	2	0.238	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.216	0.253	0.334	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	1	10	0.182

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.168	0.227	0.326	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.203	0.273	0.436	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.289	0.341	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.193	0.260	0.273	OK
Kyle Teel	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.241	0.306	0.398
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.216	0.309	0.372	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.233	0.286	0.419	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	3	3	1	1	2	0	2	0.333	0.270	0.331	0.455	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.206	0.266	0.433	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	7	6	6	1	11	0.226

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	7	39.5	3.19	1.013	7.1	31	6.0	4	3	3	0	8	96	6.0	8	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	27	26.2	1.37	1.145	12.0	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	31	29.3	2.46	0.990	10.4	34	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	23	1.0	1	3

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	4	0	0	1	7	94	6.0	7	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	14	1.0	1	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	5	1.0	0	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-2

Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles

CHC 51-40 (5.05 RPG / 4.52 RA)

6 - 3

BAL 42-50 (4.54 RPG / 4.88 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 6-3 TARGET: CHC 6 - 3 BAL (CHC) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	6	8
BAL	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	6

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff15.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-7.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record51-40

Win%0.560

Run Diff49

RD/Game0.538

BAL Season Quality

Record42-50

Win%0.457

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.337

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0313; margin adjustment: -0.4331; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	90	337	100	0.297	19	50	0.387	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.300	0.377	0.509	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	88	346	85	0.246	7	34	0.344	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.244	0.330	0.359	OK
Michael Busch	1B	89	323	76	0.235	11	48	0.371	5	4	2	1	4	1	1	0.500	0.232	0.349	0.403	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	75	281	73	0.260	13	42	0.343	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.245	0.321	0.431	OK
Ian Happ	LF	85	320	70	0.219	17	41	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.298	0.382	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	88	354	86	0.243	4	38	0.312	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.246	0.307	0.341	OK
Michael Conforto	RF	56	132	33	0.250	7	20	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.186	0.275	0.386	OK
Carson Kelly	C	62	202	57	0.282	4	29	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.268	0.362	0.394	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	85	290	62	0.214	16	58	0.301	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.237	0.310	0.490	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	6	6	5	6	0.229

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	89	368	82	0.223	15	39	0.294	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.208	0.272	0.329	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	60	226	59	0.261	8	47	0.323	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.300	0.405	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	89	336	85	0.253	5	22	0.379	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.354	0.338	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	90	337	86	0.255	19	60	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.241	0.330	0.406	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	75	253	65	0.257	14	42	0.317	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.257	0.323	0.498	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	37	117	26	0.222	2	12	0.298	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	0.000	0.214	0.289	0.344	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	72	187	42	0.225	7	24	0.313	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.203	0.295	0.302	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	66	202	63	0.312	3	28	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.265	0.313	0.388	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	38	108	20	0.185	5	14	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.174	0.280	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	3	3	5	7	0.182

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Colin Rea	Starter	18	85.6	4.94	1.495	7.1	68	5.0	5	2	2	4	3	97	5.0	3	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	39	34.7	3.63	1.499	12.2	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	27	20.0	4.50	1.400	13.5	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	22	25.7	2.80	1.051	4.6	13	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	30	27.7	3.57	1.516	11.4	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	3	17.0	3.18	0.882	10.6	20	5.1	4	2	2	3	2	103	5.1	2	2
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	38	23.4	2.69	1.154	10.4	27	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	16	0.2	1	1
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	32	38.4	3.28	1.146	10.1	43	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.1	0	0
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	31	18.3	4.92	1.639	14.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	41	33.8	2.66	0.947	10.9	41	0.2	3	3	3	0	2	17	0.2	2	3

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins

CLE 47-45 (3.95 RPG / 4.07 RA)

7 - 2

MIN 45-47 (4.9 RPG / 5.07 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 7-2 TARGET: CLE 7 - 2 MIN (CLE) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	2	0	4	1	0	0	0	7	8
MIN	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff18.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Season Quality

Record47-45

Win%0.511

Run Diff-11

RD/Game-0.120

MIN Season Quality

Record45-47

Win%0.489

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.163

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0761; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
David Fry	LF	55	123	26	0.211	6	13	0.307	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	0.750	0.225	0.308	0.467	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	73	276	77	0.279	8	41	0.341	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.268	0.324	0.422	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	88	296	81	0.274	6	37	0.341	5	4	2	1	3	1	0	0.500	0.265	0.322	0.402	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	70	206	37	0.180	8	29	0.312	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.208	0.337	0.416	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	60	225	55	0.244	7	27	0.333	5	5	0	0	0	0	5	0.000	0.226	0.307	0.358	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	23	75	17	0.227	4	9	0.266	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.268	0.392	OK
Kyle Manzardo	DH	81	252	56	0.222	10	29	0.312	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.199	0.287	0.331	OK
Austin Hedges	C	41	121	34	0.281	3	14	0.343	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.312	0.436	OK
Kahlil Watson	CF	18	60	14	0.233	1	9	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.239	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	8	7	7	7	10	0.229

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	72	235	68	0.289	6	29	0.377	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.198	0.295	0.346	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	85	325	81	0.249	14	48	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.248	0.297	0.386	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	77	282	70	0.248	16	44	0.308	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.179	0.231	0.423	OK
Josh Bell	DH	89	323	81	0.251	13	60	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.266	0.328	0.519	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	58	210	45	0.214	8	25	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.226	0.300	0.374	OK
Victor Caratini	C	66	214	51	0.238	7	34	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.315	0.376	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	85	294	75	0.255	4	26	0.339	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.277	0.346	0.452	OK
Alan Roden	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.314	0.414
Ryan Kreidler	SS	43	121	31	0.256	5	23	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.212	0.268	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	2	14	0.206

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Slade Cecconi	Starter	18	93.0	4.55	1.430	7.1	73	5.1	4	2	2	1	8	98	5.1	8	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	38	38.0	3.08	1.211	13.5	57	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	24	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	31	22.8	3.16	1.491	9.9	25	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	31	27.9	1.94	0.932	12.3	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	33	21.4	4.21	1.495	20.2	48	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	12	61.2	5.00	1.389	9.6	65	5.1	5	6	6	7	7	110	5.1	7	6
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	28	20.6	2.18	1.117	10.5	24	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	33	35.7	4.29	1.541	11.1	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	16	20.8	7.36	1.779	13.0	30	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	38	24.6	6.59	2.033	10.2	28	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 7-2

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers

COL 38-55 (4.88 RPG / 5.73 RA)

4 - 5

LAD 60-33 (5.31 RPG / 3.56 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-4 TARGET: COL 4 - 5 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	4	3
LAD	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5	10

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs6.7

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff11.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff13.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record37-55

Win%0.402

Run Diff-80

RD/Game-0.870

LAD Season Quality

Record60-32

Win%0.652

Run Diff164

RD/Game1.783

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 3.0272; margin adjustment: 1.2714; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	DH	72	261	79	0.303	9	50	0.341	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.271	0.301	0.514	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	56	192	54	0.281	15	37	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.266	0.304	0.527	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	25	85	27	0.318	4	21	0.390	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.297	0.367	0.565	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	87	317	95	0.300	12	46	0.377	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.275	0.344	0.422	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	85	254	67	0.264	7	30	0.366	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.260	0.362	0.467	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	80	264	82	0.311	3	38	0.375	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.332	0.387	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	71	200	44	0.220	2	19	0.333	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	0.000	0.216	0.340	0.303	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	84	296	62	0.209	8	32	0.252	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.243	0.379	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	39	118	26	0.220	4	15	0.248	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.222	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	30	3	4	4	7	5	0.100

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	84	320	94	0.294	20	56	0.409	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.293	0.402	0.549	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	15	53	18	0.340	1	9	0.417	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.275	0.348	0.443	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	90	341	100	0.293	15	49	0.381	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.286	0.366	0.484	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	55	225	53	0.236	11	29	0.291	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.294	0.407	OK
Max Muncy	3B	85	284	75	0.264	17	40	0.357	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.265	0.350	0.451	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	58	208	54	0.260	8	36	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.310	0.391	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	85	314	78	0.248	7	45	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.267	0.351	0.397	OK
Alex Call	CF	44	107	28	0.262	1	16	0.362	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.166	0.280	0.274	OK
Eliezer Alfonzo	C	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.221	0.233	0.327
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	10	5	5	3	8	0.278

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gabriel Hughes	Starter	1	3.0	0.00	1.000	3.0	1	3.0	5	2	2	1	4	68	3.0	4	2
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	27	41.1	3.28	1.314	8.3	38	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	22	20.9	3.88	1.340	10.3	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	24	24.1	5.60	1.867	7.1	19	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	26	1.0	1	2
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	43	28.4	4.12	1.690	8.2	26	1.2	1	1	1	1	2	28	1.2	2	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	15	73.6	5.50	1.427	9.2	75	4.2	3	2	2	1	4	90	4.2	4	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	39	34.1	2.90	0.880	12.4	47	1.1	0	2	2	5	0	26	1.1	0	2
Edgardo Henriquez	Middle Reliever	34	34.1	2.64	0.968	9.2	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	40	23.0	3.13	1.435	16.0	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	31	31.7	2.56	1.546	11.6	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	19	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-4

Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals

HOU 46-48 (4.57 RPG / 5.02 RA)

4 - 5

WAS 47-46 (5.38 RPG / 5.3 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-4 TARGET: HOU 4 - 5 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 61.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	4	4
WAS	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	0	x	5	8

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff4.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record46-48

Win%0.489

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.447

WAS Season Quality

Record47-46

Win%0.505

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.075

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5461; margin adjustment: 0.2294; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	70	269	63	0.234	10	26	0.310	4	4	1	1	3	0	3	0.250	0.234	0.306	0.427	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	91	331	105	0.317	29	67	0.425	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.274	0.366	0.561	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	86	312	76	0.244	12	47	0.340	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.312	0.406	OK
Christian Walker	1B	91	339	83	0.245	20	58	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.318	0.463	OK
Cam Smith	RF	90	309	69	0.223	11	32	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.309	0.396	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	38	149	36	0.242	5	20	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.261	0.425	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	69	197	38	0.193	7	20	0.245	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.203	0.261	0.354	OK
Zach Dezenzo	LF	23	51	10	0.196	1	3	0.281	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.201	0.290	0.340	OK
Nick Allen	SS	34	83	20	0.241	1	9	0.293	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.139	0.203	0.212	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	4	4	2	9	0.129

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	93	355	96	0.270	25	61	0.400	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.282	0.415	0.627	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	86	288	82	0.285	19	65	0.315	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.212	0.248	0.472	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	76	247	60	0.243	15	42	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.282	0.380	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	89	330	91	0.276	19	65	0.354	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.323	0.457	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	91	356	89	0.250	10	43	0.302	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.248	0.288	0.443	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	42	160	36	0.225	6	18	0.279	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.221	0.269	0.367	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	64	170	42	0.247	3	16	0.319	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.296	0.341	OK
José Tena	DH	66	163	39	0.239	5	19	0.303	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.342	0.520	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	58	190	53	0.279	6	33	0.308	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.252	0.284	0.413	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	8	5	5	1	6	0.250

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	14	77.3	3.84	1.242	9.2	79	5.1	8	5	5	1	3	95	5.1	3	5
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	16	15.1	0.60	0.728	14.9	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	8	1.0	2	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	38	35.1	2.31	1.339	7.9	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	32	27.2	6.29	1.765	12.6	38	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	18	102.4	2.90	1.045	8.8	100	6.0	1	3	3	2	6	102	6.0	6	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	27	24.2	3.35	1.364	11.2	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	34	29.4	3.37	1.565	6.7	22	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	28	24.0	3.75	1.250	8.2	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-4

Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets

KC 38-54 (4.35 RPG / 5.08 RA)

2 - 6

NYM 38-54 (4.14 RPG / 4.84 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 6-2 TARGET: KC 2 - 6 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 63.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
NYM	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	x	6	6

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed6.8

Run Diff-21.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-13.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record38-54

Win%0.413

Run Diff-67

RD/Game-0.728

NYM Season Quality

Record38-54

Win%0.413

Run Diff-64

RD/Game-0.696

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0326; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	82	291	72	0.247	13	48	0.313	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.235	0.297	0.416	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	85	335	97	0.290	12	37	0.359	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.255	0.324	0.409	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	84	296	75	0.253	14	33	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.152	0.207	0.276	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	72	211	49	0.232	6	28	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.366	0.457	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	83	327	70	0.214	11	35	0.256	4	2	1	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.236	0.266	0.392	OK
Michael Massey	2B	70	214	56	0.262	7	31	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.305	0.393	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	53	162	40	0.247	4	29	0.335	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.253	0.328	0.444	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	78	247	59	0.239	4	26	0.349	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.351	0.423	OK
Tyler Tolbert	RF	20	48	19	0.396	2	5	0.434	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.200	0.257	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	31	5	2	2	3	8	0.161

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	52	174	48	0.276	6	23	0.359	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.272	0.345	0.469	OK
Juan Soto	LF	72	258	78	0.302	20	49	0.412	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.285	0.401	0.561	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	91	368	95	0.258	10	50	0.302	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.265	0.306	0.368	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	35	138	29	0.210	4	10	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.287	0.353	OK
Carson Benge	RF	87	335	88	0.263	11	36	0.323	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.260	0.316	0.420	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	15	60	11	0.183	1	3	0.258	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.271	0.351	OK
Jared Young	1B	44	130	30	0.231	6	15	0.296	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.145	0.195	0.245	OK
Brett Baty	2B	82	267	59	0.221	3	28	0.293	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.223	0.291	0.335	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	58	194	48	0.247	9	20	0.310	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.273	0.381	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	6	6	3	8	0.200

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Steven Cruz	Starter	26	24.6	5.85	1.667	13.5	37	4.1	5	4	4	2	6	78	4.1	6	4
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	36	34.3	5.25	1.574	9.7	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	35	32.8	4.66	1.616	6.9	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	38	32.9	2.74	1.094	8.8	32	1.1	1	2	2	1	1	23	1.1	1	2

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Christian Scott	Starter	11	46.2	3.70	1.429	11.7	60	5.0	4	2	2	3	6	90	5.0	6	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	32	27.1	4.65	1.661	14.3	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	36	35.9	2.01	0.891	10.5	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	36	27.2	2.65	1.434	11.9	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	37	37.7	3.34	1.326	9.8	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 6-2

Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers

LAA 36-56 (4.37 RPG / 5.05 RA)

2 - 3

TEX 46-45 (4.12 RPG / 4.15 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 3-2 TARGET: LAA 2 - 3 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	6
TEX	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	x	3	6

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.6

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-27.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record36-55

Win%0.396

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.637

TEX Season Quality

Record45-45

Win%0.500

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.089

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7051; margin adjustment: 0.2961; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	89	350	80	0.229	19	45	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.220	0.294	0.416	OK
Mike Trout	DH	74	265	62	0.234	17	36	0.394	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.367	0.473	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	49	168	39	0.232	4	29	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.274	0.332	OK
Jo Adell	RF	91	355	88	0.248	11	47	0.292	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.261	0.359	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	23	91	23	0.253	3	13	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.279	0.330	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	75	249	61	0.245	7	22	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.222	0.317	OK
Jose Siri	CF	34	80	20	0.250	5	17	0.299	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.210	0.253	0.400	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	60	197	45	0.228	4	23	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.239	0.284	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	52	160	34	0.212	7	20	0.249	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.207	0.239	0.361	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	6	0.182

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	82	240	57	0.238	14	31	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.168	0.258	0.348	OK
Josh Smith	2B	38	118	27	0.229	1	8	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.327	0.397	OK
Jake Burger	1B	87	320	79	0.247	15	53	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.284	0.392	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	85	329	84	0.255	8	30	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.298	0.382	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	80	279	76	0.272	7	45	0.322	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.245	0.318	OK
Evan Carter	CF	72	210	39	0.186	7	22	0.295	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.151	0.255	0.278	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	56	159	40	0.252	1	18	0.339	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.252	0.309	0.355	OK
Elias Díaz	C	18	59	18	0.305	2	11	0.311	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.239	0.262	0.446	OK
Nicky Lopez	SS	34	100	34	0.340	1	11	0.371	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.219	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	6	3	3	1	5	0.200

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	16	75.7	3.09	1.334	8.9	75	5.2	4	2	2	1	5	93	5.2	5	2
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	33	34.9	4.90	1.490	10.1	39	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	6	1.1	0	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	35	36.7	4.41	1.417	13.7	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	18	93.9	4.41	1.299	10.0	104	5.2	5	1	1	0	4	90	5.2	4	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	32	39.9	1.13	0.551	9.7	43	2.0	1	1	1	2	1	33	2.0	1	1
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	25	29.3	3.07	1.195	11.1	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 3-2

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIL 58-33 (5.13 RPG / 3.63 RA)

5 - 4

STL 47-43 (4.57 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-4 TARGET: MIL 5 - 4 STL (MIL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	11
STL	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	4

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff11.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff13.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record58-33

Win%0.637

Run Diff137

RD/Game1.505

STL Season Quality

Record47-43

Win%0.522

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.033

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6449; margin adjustment: -0.6908; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	57	223	53	0.238	6	31	0.321	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.222	0.297	0.374	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	57	241	69	0.286	13	36	0.342	5	5	2	1	0	0	3	0.400	0.252	0.308	0.451	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	80	277	75	0.271	16	54	0.366	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.265	0.349	0.491	OK
William Contreras	C	84	330	95	0.288	9	51	0.351	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.243	0.301	0.340	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	76	246	66	0.268	7	37	0.356	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.297	0.373	0.493	OK
Luis Lara	RF	1	4	1	0.250	0	2	0.400	5	3	1	0	0	2	1	0.333	0.243	0.379	0.342	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	20	60	13	0.217	0	4	0.342	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.243	0.359	0.367	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	67	196	44	0.224	3	22	0.289	5	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.260	0.316	0.387	OK
Greg Jones	2B	8	21	2	0.095	0	1	0.095	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.180	0.191	0.258	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	38	11	5	5	5	14	0.289

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Masyn Winn	SS	79	296	74	0.250	4	38	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.294	0.349	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	89	324	81	0.250	11	39	0.384	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.220	0.305	0.355	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	87	334	98	0.293	20	66	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.334	0.504	OK
Nelson Velázquez	LF	21	52	14	0.269	4	12	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.242	0.310	0.471	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	88	338	92	0.272	14	62	0.334	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.235	0.284	0.378	OK
José Fermín	2B	54	145	39	0.269	3	17	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.251	0.299	0.366	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	20	67	15	0.224	1	13	0.243	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.213	0.250	0.341	OK
Lars Nootbaar	CF	27	92	25	0.272	2	8	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.222	0.309	0.368	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	46	142	31	0.218	4	11	0.257	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.201	0.233	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	4	4	4	8	0.129

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	16	77.8	2.89	1.105	11.5	99	5.1	3	3	3	3	6	100	5.1	6	3
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	36	36.0	2.00	0.917	11.5	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	37	33.4	2.96	1.108	9.4	35	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	43	48.3	3.54	1.553	13.2	71	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	17	94.4	3.15	1.123	5.7	60	5.2	4	1	1	2	11	103	5.2	11	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	36	34.7	3.89	1.210	9.1	35	1.1	3	1	1	1	1	42	1.1	1	1
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	41	32.3	4.46	1.641	11.1	40	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	24	1.0	1	1
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	38	28.6	5.66	1.783	12.3	39	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	26	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-4

New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays

NYY 50-42 (4.74 RPG / 3.9 RA)

5 - 3

TB 54-36 (4.51 RPG / 4.11 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-3 TARGET: NYY 5 - 3 TB (NYY) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	1	5	4
TB	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	8

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-24.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff15.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record50-41

Win%0.549

Run Diff80

RD/Game0.879

TB Season Quality

Record53-36

Win%0.596

Run Diff33

RD/Game0.371

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4393; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	62	226	59	0.261	14	41	0.314	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.238	0.340	OK
Ben Rice	DH	85	319	87	0.273	26	59	0.365	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.249	0.333	0.542	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	49	144	35	0.243	9	26	0.284	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.222	0.270	0.430	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	89	327	81	0.248	11	50	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.302	0.344	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	30	112	24	0.214	4	10	0.254	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.251	0.388	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	40	129	31	0.240	1	13	0.338	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.311	0.319	OK
Max Schuemann	CF	20	44	10	0.227	2	6	0.370	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.133	0.255	0.310	OK
Austin Wells	C	61	179	27	0.151	4	10	0.246	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.166	0.247	0.239	OK
José Caballero	2B	77	257	63	0.245	10	33	0.300	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.210	0.252	0.383	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	5	5	5	10	0.129

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	85	323	103	0.319	13	55	0.401	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.254	0.326	0.406	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	88	321	90	0.280	13	58	0.383	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.328	0.361	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	89	338	95	0.281	26	56	0.370	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.244	0.331	0.502	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	77	265	55	0.208	10	29	0.289	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.205	0.278	0.342	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	48	155	42	0.271	5	25	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.313	0.455	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	80	310	85	0.274	0	16	0.310	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.185	0.225	0.251	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	61	187	44	0.235	2	20	0.306	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.296	0.333	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	67	212	48	0.226	0	20	0.325	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.214	0.307	0.308	OK
Nick Fortes	C	65	196	50	0.255	2	19	0.297	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.238	0.256	0.375	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	3	3	5	8	0.229

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gerrit Cole	Starter	8	41.5	4.12	1.229	8.9	41	5.0	6	3	3	5	6	101	5.0	6	3
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	41	27.4	3.28	1.752	15.4	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	45	35.7	1.76	1.373	12.4	49	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	39	29.3	5.53	1.604	10.8	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	39	27.7	3.90	1.155	5.2	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane McClanahan	Starter	16	77.8	3.12	1.195	8.9	77	5.2	3	3	3	2	9	100	5.2	9	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	37	34.4	1.83	0.843	9.9	38	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	39	35.7	3.03	1.120	7.8	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	29	23.1	4.29	1.429	13.2	34	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-3

Oakland Athletics @ Detroit Tigers

OAK 41-50 (4.59 RPG / 5.43 RA)

4 - 5

DET 41-50 (4.23 RPG / 4.07 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-4 TARGET: OAK 4 - 5 DET (DET) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
OAK	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	10
DET	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	5	10

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-19.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff23.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record41-50

Win%0.451

Run Diff-76

RD/Game-0.835

DET Season Quality

Record41-50

Win%0.451

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.165

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0; margin adjustment: 0.42; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zack Gelof	3B	61	221	62	0.281	11	29	0.335	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.171	0.218	0.311	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	90	329	89	0.271	20	66	0.410	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.230	0.352	0.415	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	81	333	88	0.264	20	45	0.330	5	5	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.288	0.407	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	DH	80	289	70	0.242	13	41	0.343	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.234	0.328	0.402	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	51	206	56	0.272	4	26	0.304	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.262	0.321	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	77	225	45	0.200	5	22	0.291	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.213	0.315	0.312	OK
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	2B	6	22	9	0.409	0	1	0.435	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.255	0.264	0.399	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	68	196	55	0.281	6	23	0.357	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.164	0.232	0.279	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	46	161	47	0.292	3	15	0.366	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.234	0.291	0.346	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	40	10	4	4	3	5	0.250

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt Vierling	CF	68	218	42	0.193	5	29	0.247	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.147	0.200	0.276	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	83	313	83	0.265	19	60	0.325	6	4	1	1	0	2	2	0.250	0.251	0.291	0.437	OK
Kevin McGonigle	3B	87	326	94	0.288	7	32	0.401	6	3	2	1	1	3	0	0.667	0.285	0.393	0.434	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	89	303	64	0.211	14	37	0.311	6	5	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.227	0.316	0.398	OK
Riley Greene	LF	89	325	95	0.292	13	44	0.380	6	4	2	1	3	1	0	0.500	0.279	0.360	0.519	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	50	140	35	0.250	4	15	0.286	6	5	2	1	1	1	0	0.400	0.257	0.297	0.442	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	6	16	5	0.312	0	4	0.368	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.310	0.367	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	52	92	13	0.141	2	7	0.210	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.102	0.166	0.168	OK
Zach McKinstry	SS	63	199	41	0.206	3	16	0.283	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.235	0.306	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									51	39	10	5	5	10	10	0.256

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	18	91.0	5.93	1.418	7.9	80	4.1	6	4	4	6	3	97	4.1	3	4
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	24	21.6	6.25	1.435	13.3	32	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	43	31.6	4.27	1.962	14.8	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0
Mason Barnett	Middle Reliever	11	18.4	3.91	1.250	10.3	21	1.1	2	1	1	0	2	21	1.1	2	1
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	42	35.3	4.59	1.331	10.2	40	0.2	0	0	0	3	1	20	0.2	1	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	27	37.1	3.64	1.482	11.6	48	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	27	0.2	1	0
José Suarez	Reliever	19	23.5	4.21	1.489	9.2	24	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	25	0.2	1	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Troy Melton	Starter	7	43.3	2.08	0.808	6.7	32	6.1	5	2	2	2	5	103	6.1	5	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	24	19.8	4.55	1.212	10.5	23	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	38	36.9	1.95	1.572	7.6	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	38	33.0	4.09	1.667	9.0	33	1.1	3	2	2	1	0	8	1.1	0	2
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	33	49.3	4.75	1.460	12.4	68	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds

PHI 51-41 (4.42 RPG / 4.47 RA)

4 - 3

CIN 41-49 (4.14 RPG / 4.84 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 4-3 TARGET: PHI 4 - 3 CIN (PHI) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	4	4
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-14.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record51-41

Win%0.554

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.043

CIN Season Quality

Record41-49

Win%0.456

Run Diff-63

RD/Game-0.700

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8047; margin adjustment: -0.338; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bryce Harper	1B	90	319	85	0.266	20	57	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.346	0.429	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	86	328	83	0.253	30	56	0.364	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.250	0.355	0.480	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	85	317	97	0.306	15	46	0.340	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.285	0.436	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	85	299	74	0.247	7	39	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.314	0.395	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	86	320	71	0.222	11	46	0.282	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.288	0.399	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	17	52	11	0.212	2	6	0.236	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.294	0.428	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	83	256	64	0.250	2	18	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.267	0.304	0.360	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	62	215	43	0.200	6	27	0.278	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.253	0.329	OK
Edmundo Sosa	SS	49	142	31	0.218	5	25	0.250	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.129	0.152	0.238	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	4	4	3	9	0.129

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	70	278	76	0.273	13	41	0.346	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.312	0.392	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	89	339	87	0.257	17	61	0.341	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.236	0.313	0.444	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	61	219	52	0.237	13	37	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.324	0.372	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	61	220	46	0.209	9	32	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.283	0.378	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	84	296	71	0.240	14	36	0.316	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.236	0.307	0.404	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	34	112	22	0.196	5	9	0.244	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.209	0.254	0.366	OK
Jose Trevino	C	19	60	16	0.267	1	8	0.279	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.275	0.400	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	25	81	20	0.247	0	4	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.209	0.236	0.283	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	53	177	31	0.175	3	11	0.254	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.180	0.242	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	5	0.182

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	19	118.7	2.65	1.179	10.4	137	6.0	4	2	2	2	5	96	6.0	5	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	31	30.2	0.89	0.861	14.3	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	38	32.5	2.77	1.323	11.1	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	37	26.1	7.24	1.992	14.8	43	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	17	96.5	2.42	1.088	10.8	116	6.0	2	2	2	2	7	106	6.0	7	2
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	16	14.4	6.88	1.597	8.1	13	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	26	22.5	2.80	1.067	9.6	24	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	14	0.2	1	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	17	12.8	2.81	1.797	11.2	16	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-3

Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins

SEA 47-46 (4.05 RPG / 3.8 RA)

4 - 3

MIA 51-42 (4.58 RPG / 4.29 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-3 TARGET: SEA 4 - 3 MIA (SEA) Confidence: 54.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	4	9
MIA	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed2.2

Run Diff24.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff12.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record47-45

Win%0.511

Run Diff26

RD/Game0.283

MIA Season Quality

Record50-42

Win%0.543

Run Diff25

RD/Game0.272

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.038; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	74	264	56	0.212	10	25	0.332	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.208	0.314	0.319	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	84	307	89	0.290	9	41	0.381	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.280	0.349	0.460	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	77	210	56	0.267	14	37	0.336	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.246	0.311	0.502	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	60	225	38	0.169	9	29	0.266	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.198	0.288	0.352	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	85	336	84	0.250	8	36	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.271	0.303	OK
Luke Raley	RF	76	222	51	0.230	14	36	0.292	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.216	0.257	0.392	OK
Cole Young	2B	92	330	85	0.258	10	42	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.293	0.415	OK
Victor Robles	CF	28	86	20	0.233	0	4	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.200	0.238	0.263	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	42	135	28	0.207	7	19	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.262	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	4	4	2	8	0.250

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	DH	80	281	83	0.295	13	56	0.368	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.293	0.356	0.411	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	90	361	124	0.343	9	43	0.374	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.317	0.345	0.542	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	91	333	100	0.300	6	35	0.385	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.271	0.374	0.381	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	67	251	61	0.243	11	40	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.327	0.511	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	78	218	52	0.239	12	50	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.306	0.519	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	60	186	44	0.237	12	35	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.341	0.595	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	88	311	61	0.196	5	24	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.321	0.348	OK
Joe Mack	C	48	145	36	0.248	7	23	0.310	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.290	0.440	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	64	213	59	0.277	3	34	0.311	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.253	0.293	0.412	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	8	0.206

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	17	101.9	3.89	1.344	8.0	91	6.0	4	3	3	3	7	100	6.0	7	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	35	31.7	3.97	1.293	13.9	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	41	33.8	2.66	1.420	8.5	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	42	32.8	2.47	1.494	10.2	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	28	19.5	2.31	1.385	8.8	19	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	11	0.0	0	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	23	66.2	3.67	1.435	7.1	52	5.0	3	2	2	2	4	88	5.0	4	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	29	25.6	7.38	1.523	12.7	36	1.1	4	0	0	0	1	29	1.1	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	38	32.1	5.33	1.807	10.9	39	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	37	34.8	3.36	1.121	12.2	47	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.2	1	1

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-3

Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants

TOR 44-49 (4.04 RPG / 4.42 RA)

4 - 2

SF 39-54 (4.13 RPG / 4.86 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 4-2 TARGET: TOR 4 - 2 SF (TOR) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	11
SF	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-15.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record42-49

Win%0.462

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.560

SF Season Quality

Record39-52

Win%0.429

Run Diff-52

RD/Game-0.571

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0604; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ernie Clement	2B	89	339	101	0.298	7	30	0.319	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.286	0.379	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	57	186	53	0.285	4	17	0.337	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.243	0.288	0.348	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	86	320	84	0.262	4	35	0.340	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.230	0.309	0.321	OK
George Springer	DH	63	244	54	0.221	8	21	0.308	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.221	0.292	0.354	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	73	264	64	0.242	7	23	0.307	5	3	1	1	1	2	1	0.333	0.188	0.245	0.314	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	88	324	76	0.235	20	55	0.313	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.277	0.398	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	22	77	14	0.182	2	7	0.247	5	2	0	0	0	3	1	0.000	0.204	0.272	0.306	OK
Jonatan Clase	LF	2	5	2	0.400	1	3	0.400	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.140	0.154	0.243	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	85	278	65	0.234	7	36	0.280	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.251	0.329	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	38	11	4	4	6	9	0.289

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heliot Ramos	LF	52	197	53	0.269	8	28	0.306	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.303	0.518	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	86	340	114	0.335	4	33	0.371	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.294	0.334	0.436	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	82	327	91	0.278	17	44	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.258	0.419	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	91	346	86	0.249	18	47	0.316	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.256	0.326	0.542	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	82	311	98	0.315	5	33	0.347	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.284	0.372	OK
Willy Adames	SS	86	336	78	0.232	14	34	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.292	0.391	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	50	173	48	0.277	7	20	0.367	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.339	0.434	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	63	172	42	0.244	4	19	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.308	0.443	OK
Eric Haase	C	25	72	12	0.167	4	9	0.241	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.164	0.230	0.297	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	30	5	2	2	5	4	0.167

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	16	88.0	2.86	1.216	14.0	137	5.2	4	2	2	4	4	100	5.2	4	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	43	44.5	1.01	1.011	13.3	66	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	42	37.4	1.93	1.310	5.1	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	42	34.9	4.90	1.576	16.2	63	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	15	93.1	3.67	1.171	7.5	78	6.1	8	3	3	3	6	116	6.1	6	3
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	36	32.1	4.77	1.464	12.6	45	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	25	21.6	6.25	1.852	7.9	19	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	28	19.8	4.09	1.818	15.0	33	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	14	0.2	1	0
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	4.29	1.429	10.3	12	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.0	0	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	21	12.6	2.86	2.063	12.9	18	0.0	0	0	0	2	0	12	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 4-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

ARI Recent Form

SD Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Pittsburgh Pirates

ATL Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox

BOS Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles

CHC Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins

CLE Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers

COL Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

COL Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals

HOU Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets