MLB Predictions — July 6, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ SD	6 - 2	6 - 2	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 6-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ LAD	2 - 6	2 - 6	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ WAS	3 - 5	3 - 5	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 5-3	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ STL	6 - 2	6 - 2	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ ATL	3 - 5	3 - 5	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ TB	2 - 4	2 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 4-2	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ KC	5 - 1	5 - 1	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ SF	5 - 2	5 - 2	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 5-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

ARI 44-45 (4.24 RPG / 4.56 RA)

6 - 2

SD 44-45 (3.91 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 6-2 TARGET: ARI 6 - 2 SD (ARI) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	6	10
SD	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed0.6

Run Diff31.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed7.3

Run Diff-38.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record44-45

Win%0.494

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.326

SD Season Quality

Record44-45

Win%0.494

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.472

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1461; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Troy	OF	23	75	18	0.240	3	5	0.321	5	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.247	0.319	0.428	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.225	0.349	0.335	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.279	0.331	0.460	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.242	0.319	0.355	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.282	0.358	0.463	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.296	0.348	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.279	0.357	0.544	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.310	0.403
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.197	0.244	0.282	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	6	6	3	4	0.270

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	87	345	98	0.284	5	33	0.346	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.261	0.318	0.391	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	38	119	20	0.168	2	7	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.301	0.331	OK
Manny Machado	3B	87	317	60	0.189	18	51	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.210	0.314	0.456	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	82	259	61	0.236	14	39	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.332	0.436	OK
Ty France	DH	60	194	49	0.253	10	30	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.272	0.408	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	85	332	71	0.214	10	34	0.271	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.274	0.400	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	24	82	27	0.329	1	11	0.415	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.182	0.283	0.260	OK
Sung-Mun Song	SS	27	67	16	0.239	1	9	0.338	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.316	0.348	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	27	73	10	0.137	3	8	0.222	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.171	0.233	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	2	2	2	12	0.156

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	5	1	1	2	8	107	6.2	8	1
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	0	1	1	0	1	21	0.1	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	17	79.2	4.77	1.427	8.6	76	5.0	7	5	5	1	3	88	5.0	3	5
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	35	34.1	1.06	0.880	17.7	67	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	41	39.0	4.15	1.308	12.5	54	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hart	Middle Reliever	21	27.4	5.91	1.168	9.2	28	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	6	1.1	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	34	31.3	2.59	1.406	10.1	35	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	22	26.8	2.35	1.418	11.4	34	0.0	1	1	1	1	0	17	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

ARI wins 6-2

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers

COL 37-54 (4.87 RPG / 5.74 RA)

2 - 6

LAD 59-32 (5.31 RPG / 3.52 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-2 TARGET: COL 2 - 6 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	3
LAD	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	2	x	6	10

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs7.0

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff13.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff21.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record37-54

Win%0.407

Run Diff-79

RD/Game-0.868

LAD Season Quality

Record59-32

Win%0.648

Run Diff163

RD/Game1.791

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 3.022; margin adjustment: 1.2692; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willi Castro	2B	75	268	72	0.269	6	35	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.284	0.335	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	83	247	66	0.267	7	29	0.365	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.271	0.359	0.503	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	84	319	81	0.254	27	51	0.318	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.317	0.520	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	85	309	94	0.304	12	46	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.296	0.362	0.454	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	23	76	22	0.289	4	19	0.374	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.271	0.354	0.521	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	57	198	53	0.268	3	23	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.148	0.186	0.215	OK
Jake McCarthy	LF	70	255	78	0.306	9	46	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.271	0.305	0.539	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	79	261	82	0.314	3	38	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.339	0.387	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	82	289	61	0.211	7	30	0.253	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.204	0.242	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	3	2	2	5	5	0.100

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	82	312	90	0.288	18	51	0.404	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.269	0.375	0.448	OK
Andy Pages	CF	90	348	93	0.267	16	63	0.332	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.336	0.435	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	88	331	97	0.293	15	49	0.383	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.300	0.386	0.534	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	54	220	53	0.241	11	29	0.297	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.274	0.326	0.458	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	83	305	75	0.246	7	45	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.276	0.366	0.412	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	57	203	53	0.261	8	36	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.316	0.399	OK
Max Muncy	3B	83	276	73	0.264	17	39	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.270	0.349	0.463	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	54	129	38	0.295	3	15	0.326	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.320	0.357	0.507	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	54	166	43	0.259	10	29	0.337	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.280	0.343	0.499	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	6	6	2	8	0.294

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	15	74.2	7.52	1.658	8.2	68	4.2	8	5	5	1	6	88	4.2	6	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	26	40.1	3.37	1.297	8.1	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	22	1.1	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	21	19.9	4.07	1.307	10.9	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	24	24.1	5.60	1.867	7.1	19	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eric Lauer	Starter	6	33.4	2.96	1.078	4.9	18	5.1	3	2	2	3	3	93	5.1	3	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	38	33.1	2.18	0.755	12.2	45	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Middle Reliever	33	32.1	2.80	0.966	9.8	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	39	22.0	3.27	1.409	16.8	41	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-2

Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals

HOU 45-47 (4.49 RPG / 4.97 RA)

3 - 5

WAS 46-45 (5.33 RPG / 5.23 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-3 TARGET: HOU 3 - 5 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 60.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
WAS	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	x	5	8

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record45-47

Win%0.489

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.478

WAS Season Quality

Record46-45

Win%0.505

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.099

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6017; margin adjustment: 0.2527; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	68	259	61	0.236	8	22	0.314	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.312	0.360	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	89	321	104	0.324	29	67	0.433	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.310	0.404	0.627	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	84	303	75	0.248	12	47	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.254	0.315	0.417	OK
Christian Walker	1B	89	332	80	0.241	20	57	0.314	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.241	0.304	0.447	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	6	18	4	0.222	1	4	0.263	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.302	0.496	OK
Cam Smith	RF	88	303	67	0.221	11	32	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.287	0.396	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	37	145	34	0.234	4	18	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.242	0.361	OK
Braden Shewmake	SS	24	74	18	0.243	3	8	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.121	0.152	0.210	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	67	190	35	0.184	6	17	0.235	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.164	0.220	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	3	3	2	8	0.206

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	91	349	93	0.266	23	56	0.393	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.278	0.396	0.561	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	84	280	79	0.282	19	64	0.313	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.246	0.480	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	74	237	55	0.232	14	39	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.269	0.334	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	87	323	87	0.269	18	61	0.348	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.294	0.426	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	40	155	36	0.232	6	18	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.308	0.403	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	89	348	89	0.256	10	43	0.308	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.275	0.315	0.480	OK
Jacob Young	CF	75	258	58	0.225	8	31	0.273	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.214	0.261	0.350	OK
Drew Millas	C	41	125	23	0.184	2	9	0.277	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.199	0.280	0.284	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	78	251	59	0.235	1	28	0.323	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.218	0.314	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	8	5	5	1	6	0.250

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Burrows	Starter	17	88.7	5.68	1.533	7.3	72	4.0	7	5	5	0	1	85	4.0	1	5
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	15	15.0	0.60	0.600	14.4	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	37	34.1	2.38	1.349	7.9	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	31	26.2	6.53	1.794	12.7	37	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0.0	0	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	43	36.8	2.93	1.033	10.0	41	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever	34	54.0	3.50	1.278	8.8	53	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	4	1.1	3	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Miles Mikolas	Starter	18	81.3	5.65	1.341	5.2	47	4.2	6	3	3	2	4	85	4.2	4	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	26	23.1	3.51	1.429	11.3	29	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.2	2	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	34	29.4	3.37	1.565	6.7	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	28	24.0	3.75	1.250	8.2	22	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	27	53.1	4.24	1.337	8.8	52	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIL 55-33 (5.1 RPG / 3.66 RA)

6 - 2

STL 47-40 (4.63 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-2 TARGET: MIL 6 - 2 STL (MIL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	6	8
STL	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	6

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff7.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record55-33

Win%0.625

Run Diff127

RD/Game1.443

STL Season Quality

Record47-40

Win%0.540

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.149

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.4209; margin adjustment: -0.5968; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	54	209	50	0.239	6	28	0.325	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.207	0.290	0.353	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	54	229	68	0.297	13	35	0.352	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.331	0.489	OK
Brice Turang	2B	83	324	88	0.272	12	51	0.365	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.281	0.361	0.451	OK
William Contreras	C	82	322	95	0.295	9	51	0.357	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.273	0.328	0.391	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	77	268	72	0.269	16	54	0.362	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.331	0.460	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	73	238	62	0.261	7	36	0.349	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.287	0.365	0.552	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	78	249	60	0.241	3	29	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.307	0.355	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	17	50	10	0.200	0	2	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.212	0.318	0.289	OK
David Hamilton	3B	66	199	46	0.231	3	13	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.285	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	6	6	2	3	0.229

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	81	322	87	0.270	13	35	0.365	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.261	0.328	0.391	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	86	314	79	0.252	10	38	0.388	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.324	0.348	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	84	324	95	0.293	19	64	0.354	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.274	0.340	0.504	OK
Nelson Velázquez	LF	18	44	12	0.273	3	9	0.353	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.330	0.451	OK
José Fermín	3B	51	136	36	0.265	3	16	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.314	0.395	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	77	288	72	0.250	4	37	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.315	0.369	OK
Nathan Church	CF	64	216	55	0.255	8	27	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.270	0.414	OK
Blaze Jordan	1B	18	61	15	0.246	1	13	0.265	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.258	0.349	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	45	139	30	0.216	4	11	0.255	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.202	0.234	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	2	2	1	9	0.182

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Drohan	Starter	17	55.1	3.27	1.289	9.6	59	5.2	4	2	2	1	5	97	5.2	5	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	35	35.0	2.06	0.914	11.3	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	36	32.4	3.06	1.111	9.4	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	42	47.3	3.62	1.543	13.3	70	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	16	82.7	4.90	1.294	8.5	78	5.1	6	5	5	2	1	93	5.1	1	5
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	36	34.7	3.89	1.210	9.1	35	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	40	31.3	4.60	1.629	11.2	39	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.2	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	37	27.6	5.87	1.775	12.7	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-2

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves

NYM 37-53 (4.02 RPG / 4.7 RA)

3 - 5

ATL 52-37 (4.87 RPG / 3.84 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-3 TARGET: NYM 3 - 5 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	9
ATL	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	x	5	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-13.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record37-53

Win%0.411

Run Diff-61

RD/Game-0.678

ATL Season Quality

Record52-37

Win%0.584

Run Diff91

RD/Game1.022

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.96; margin adjustment: 0.8232; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	50	166	44	0.265	5	20	0.346	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.303	0.387	OK
Juan Soto	LF	70	251	76	0.303	18	43	0.409	5	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.262	0.374	0.457	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	89	358	92	0.257	10	50	0.302	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.251	0.296	0.354	OK
Francisco Lindor	DH	33	129	29	0.225	4	10	0.310	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.225	0.294	0.384	OK
Carson Benge	RF	85	328	84	0.256	10	34	0.313	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.277	0.367	OK
Jared Young	1B	42	121	27	0.223	6	15	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.129	0.184	0.242	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	57	190	46	0.242	9	19	0.306	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.219	0.268	0.391	OK
Brett Baty	2B	80	258	57	0.221	3	27	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.290	0.328	OK
Ronny Mauricio	SS	16	46	8	0.174	1	2	0.174	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.105	0.114	0.176	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	3	3	3	5	0.250

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	82	302	92	0.305	16	51	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.293	0.323	0.490	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	89	340	92	0.271	14	49	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.302	0.444	OK
Matt Olson	1B	89	344	93	0.270	22	54	0.340	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.258	0.325	0.502	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	66	256	65	0.254	16	44	0.338	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.235	0.305	0.405	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	85	313	86	0.275	9	49	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.288	0.356	0.453	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	67	196	53	0.270	6	33	0.301	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.249	0.282	0.367	OK
Austin Riley	3B	89	319	67	0.210	9	41	0.289	3	3	2	1	1	0	1	0.667	0.228	0.291	0.369	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	77	213	48	0.225	5	21	0.311	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.234	0.327	0.395	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	4	11	2	0.182	0	0	0.182	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.235	0.246	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	7	5	5	1	5	0.226

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	18	92.3	4.97	1.463	9.0	92	5.0	6	5	5	0	1	96	5.0	1	5
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	31	26.9	4.01	1.524	14.4	43	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	35	34.9	2.06	0.831	10.6	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	35	27.1	2.66	1.439	11.6	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	36	35.7	3.53	1.261	9.8	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	5	1.0	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reynaldo López	Starter	20	50.5	3.39	1.327	8.2	46	5.0	3	2	2	2	4	88	5.0	4	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	28	28.4	1.58	1.092	10.1	32	2.1	2	0	0	0	0	35	2.1	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	41	34.2	1.84	0.760	12.9	49	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	35	27.6	4.24	1.377	10.4	32	0.2	2	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-3

New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays

NYY 49-40 (4.8 RPG / 3.92 RA)

2 - 4

TB 52-35 (4.55 RPG / 4.15 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-2 TARGET: NYY 2 - 4 TB (TB) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	6
TB	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	x	4	10

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs2.4

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-33.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff32.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record49-40

Win%0.551

Run Diff78

RD/Game0.876

TB Season Quality

Record52-35

Win%0.598

Run Diff35

RD/Game0.402

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4034; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	67	233	55	0.236	9	37	0.339	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.260	0.351	0.462	OK
Ben Rice	DH	83	311	83	0.267	24	55	0.362	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.227	0.320	0.471	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	60	218	59	0.271	14	41	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.207	0.255	0.383	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	87	319	80	0.251	11	50	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.204	0.298	0.341	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	28	107	23	0.215	4	10	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.249	0.394	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	84	298	67	0.225	12	33	0.300	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.222	0.292	0.351	OK
José Caballero	SS	75	250	61	0.244	8	29	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.251	0.322	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	65	191	40	0.209	8	23	0.271	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.199	0.266	0.350	OK
Austin Wells	C	60	176	27	0.153	4	10	0.250	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.168	0.249	0.241	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	2	2	5	4	0.182

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	83	315	101	0.321	12	53	0.404	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.261	0.335	0.380	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	86	314	90	0.287	13	58	0.388	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.270	0.355	0.401	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	87	330	95	0.288	26	56	0.378	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.269	0.354	0.586	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	75	258	55	0.213	10	29	0.293	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.248	0.313	0.431	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	47	152	41	0.270	5	25	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.257	0.308	0.463	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	78	303	84	0.277	0	16	0.314	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.195	0.241	0.269	OK
Nick Fortes	C	64	193	50	0.259	2	19	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.282	0.408	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	61	182	42	0.231	2	24	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.146	0.237	0.246	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	65	205	47	0.229	0	20	0.331	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.234	0.334	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	10	4	4	3	9	0.294

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	18	101.9	2.12	0.981	10.9	123	6.0	7	2	2	3	7	113	6.0	7	2
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	41	27.4	3.28	1.752	15.4	47	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	44	34.7	1.82	1.412	12.2	47	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	22	57.2	3.15	1.259	9.1	58	5.2	3	0	0	4	4	96	5.2	4	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	36	33.4	1.89	0.838	10.0	37	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	38	34.7	2.85	1.037	7.8	30	1.1	3	2	2	0	0	18	1.1	0	2
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	28	22.1	4.48	1.448	13.0	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-2

Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals

PHI 50-41 (4.43 RPG / 4.51 RA)

5 - 1

KC 37-54 (4.22 RPG / 5.0 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-1 TARGET: PHI 5 - 1 KC (PHI) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	7
KC	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff7.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.2

Avg Allowed7.1

Run Diff-49.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record50-40

Win%0.556

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.078

KC Season Quality

Record36-54

Win%0.400

Run Diff-85

RD/Game-0.944

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2556; margin adjustment: -0.5273; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	85	360	86	0.239	10	31	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.286	0.417	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	84	321	81	0.252	29	54	0.364	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.258	0.362	0.454	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	88	314	85	0.271	20	57	0.372	4	4	1	1	3	0	3	0.250	0.267	0.369	0.479	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	84	312	70	0.224	11	45	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.291	0.422	OK
Brandon Marsh	RF	84	313	97	0.310	15	46	0.342	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.296	0.463	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	47	135	30	0.222	5	24	0.252	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.149	0.164	0.287	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	83	291	72	0.247	7	39	0.306	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.328	0.409	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	60	208	42	0.202	6	27	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.269	0.348	OK
Derek Hill	CF	12	33	10	0.303	2	5	0.303	3	3	3	1	1	0	0	1.000	0.155	0.182	0.292	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	5	5	1	8	0.206

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lane Thomas	CF	70	204	44	0.216	5	23	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.302	0.346	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	DH	83	325	94	0.289	12	35	0.359	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.326	0.466	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	81	318	65	0.204	10	32	0.244	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.205	0.229	0.314	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	82	284	72	0.254	14	31	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.146	0.203	0.279	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	51	152	34	0.224	3	25	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.207	0.287	0.354	OK
Starling Marte	LF	38	103	27	0.262	1	7	0.328	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.302	0.338	OK
Tyler Tolbert	SS	18	37	9	0.243	0	1	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.131	0.209	0.177	OK
Luke Maile	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.282	0.370
Josh Rojas	3B	10	20	4	0.200	1	4	0.200	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.111	0.122	0.211	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	1	1	1	4	0.182

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	18	115.6	2.02	1.099	10.6	136	6.1	6	1	1	1	4	102	6.1	4	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	30	29.2	0.92	0.856	13.9	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	37	32.3	2.79	1.238	11.1	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	37	26.1	7.24	1.992	14.8	43	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	5	0.2	0	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	16	81.8	5.06	1.443	8.3	75	4.2	4	3	3	1	4	95	4.2	4	3
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	36	34.3	5.25	1.574	9.7	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	3	1.0	2	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	34	31.8	4.81	1.667	7.1	25	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	11	1.0	0	2
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	37	31.8	2.83	1.101	9.1	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	38	30.1	3.59	1.429	8.1	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-1

Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants

TOR 42-48 (3.96 RPG / 4.42 RA)

5 - 2

SF 38-52 (4.12 RPG / 4.8 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 5-2 TARGET: TOR 5 - 2 SF (TOR) Confidence: 56.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	5	9
SF	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	3

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-14.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-16.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record42-48

Win%0.467

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.467

SF Season Quality

Record38-52

Win%0.422

Run Diff-61

RD/Game-0.678

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2778; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ernie Clement	2B	87	331	97	0.293	7	29	0.316	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.252	0.279	0.365	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	55	179	51	0.285	4	17	0.332	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.244	0.278	0.350	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	84	312	83	0.266	4	35	0.343	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.238	0.315	0.335	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	86	315	74	0.235	19	54	0.315	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.288	0.386	OK
Sean Keys	DH	6	21	4	0.190	1	3	0.190	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.227	0.236	0.396	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	21	74	14	0.189	2	7	0.247	4	4	1	1	3	0	3	0.250	0.213	0.271	0.321	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	71	257	64	0.249	7	23	0.314	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.216	0.272	0.363	OK
Myles Straw	LF	63	135	32	0.237	3	15	0.291	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.200	0.255	0.351	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	83	271	64	0.236	7	35	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.265	0.343	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	5	5	3	10	0.250

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heliot Ramos	RF	50	188	48	0.255	6	23	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.281	0.439	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	84	332	111	0.334	4	32	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.296	0.332	0.459	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	80	319	90	0.282	17	44	0.309	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.243	0.258	0.418	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	89	340	85	0.250	18	47	0.315	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.266	0.333	0.579	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	CF	80	304	97	0.319	5	33	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.261	0.287	0.386	OK
Willy Adames	SS	84	330	77	0.233	14	34	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.290	0.401	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	48	165	46	0.279	7	20	0.372	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.337	0.430	OK
Victor Bericoto	LF	18	47	14	0.298	4	6	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.169	0.192	0.345	OK
Eric Haase	C	24	69	12	0.174	4	9	0.250	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.169	0.238	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	2	2	3	8	0.100

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	18	98.9	4.28	1.213	9.1	100	5.1	3	2	2	2	6	98	5.1	6	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	42	43.5	1.03	1.034	13.4	65	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	42	37.4	1.93	1.310	5.1	21	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	41	34.7	4.93	1.585	16.1	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	17	86.2	4.70	1.415	10.3	99	5.0	3	0	0	1	5	97	5.0	5	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	36	32.1	4.77	1.464	12.6	45	1.0	4	4	4	1	1	17	1.0	1	4
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	24	20.6	6.12	1.845	8.3	19	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	28	19.8	4.09	1.818	15.0	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	4.29	1.429	10.3	12	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

ARI Recent Form

SD Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers

COL Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

COL Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals

HOU Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves

NYM Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

NYM Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays

NYY Recent Form

TB Recent Form

NYY Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals

PHI Recent Form

KC Recent Form

PHI Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants