MLB Predictions — July 5, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ CIN	5 - 4	5 - 4	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 5-4	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ LAA	6 - 3	6 - 3	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 6-3	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ CLE	3 - 1	3 - 1	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 3-1	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ TEX	4 - 3	4 - 3	DET	DET	DET wins 4-3	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ OAK	4 - 3	4 - 3	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ ARI	7 - 4	7 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 7-4	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ NYY	4 - 5	4 - 5	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ ATL	3 - 7	3 - 7	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 7-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ KC	5 - 3	5 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ WAS	4 - 3	4 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ LAD	3 - 5	3 - 5	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ COL	2 - 5	2 - 5	COL	COL	COL wins 5-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ CHC	4 - 5	4 - 5	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ HOU	5 - 0	5 - 0	TB	TB	TB wins 5-0	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ SEA	4 - 5	4 - 5	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 5-4	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Baltimore Orioles @ Cincinnati Reds

BAL 42-49 (4.57 RPG / 4.88 RA)

5 - 4

CIN 41-48 (4.18 RPG / 4.85 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 5-4 TARGET: BAL 5 - 4 CIN (BAL) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
BAL	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	10
CIN	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	9

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-14.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record42-48

Win%0.467

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.300

CIN Season Quality

Record40-48

Win%0.455

Run Diff-61

RD/Game-0.693

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4114; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	87	360	81	0.225	15	38	0.298	6	6	1	0	0	0	1	0.167	0.232	0.297	0.367	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	58	217	56	0.258	8	45	0.322	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.241	0.302	0.411	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	87	330	83	0.252	5	22	0.377	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.337	0.322	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	88	329	85	0.258	19	60	0.349	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.260	0.355	0.433	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	64	209	40	0.191	10	31	0.261	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.210	0.276	0.371	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	49	136	26	0.191	3	9	0.295	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.232	0.330	0.407	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	72	235	57	0.243	3	31	0.317	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.139	0.223	0.273	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	58	195	48	0.246	6	27	0.262	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.220	0.236	0.340	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	64	194	59	0.304	3	28	0.358	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.304	0.383	OK
TEAM TOTALS									46	43	10	5	5	3	7	0.233

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	68	271	76	0.280	13	41	0.352	6	6	1	1	1	0	1	0.167	0.265	0.334	0.427	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	87	331	85	0.257	17	60	0.343	6	5	1	0	0	1	3	0.200	0.246	0.324	0.476	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	59	212	51	0.241	13	37	0.348	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.320	0.375	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	59	214	45	0.210	8	31	0.280	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.216	0.284	0.356	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	82	289	69	0.239	13	34	0.317	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.229	0.305	0.371	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	65	207	47	0.227	6	24	0.316	5	3	1	1	3	2	0	0.333	0.258	0.343	0.404	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	33	109	22	0.202	5	9	0.250	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.211	0.257	0.370	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	51	170	31	0.182	3	11	0.263	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.206	0.275	0.368	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	24	78	19	0.244	0	4	0.294	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.202	0.232	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									47	42	9	4	4	5	11	0.214

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	17	91.6	3.83	1.474	9.4	96	5.1	5	1	1	4	7	98	5.1	7	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	38	23.4	2.69	1.154	10.4	27	1.2	1	2	2	1	0	22	1.2	0	2
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	32	38.4	3.28	1.146	10.1	43	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	31	18.3	4.92	1.639	14.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	40	33.7	2.67	0.950	10.9	41	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	26	19.2	5.62	1.562	10.3	22	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	11	0.0	0	1
Anthony Nunez	Reliever	31	31.3	4.60	1.278	10.9	38	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	21	0.1	1	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	10	49.8	5.24	1.526	7.6	42	4.2	8	4	4	2	1	91	4.2	1	4
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	15	13.4	6.72	1.493	8.1	12	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.2	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	25	21.5	2.93	1.116	9.2	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	16	12.7	2.13	1.654	11.3	16	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	43	34.8	3.62	1.638	9.3	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15	1.0	3	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	28	19.4	5.57	1.701	11.6	25	1.1	1	1	1	0	3	20	1.1	3	1

Game Summary

BAL wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 11)

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

BOS 39-48 (4.02 RPG / 3.99 RA)

6 - 3

LAA 36-54 (4.38 RPG / 5.0 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 6-3 TARGET: BOS 6 - 3 LAA (BOS) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	1	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	6	10
LAA	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	6

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff9.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-17.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BOS Season Quality

Record38-48

Win%0.442

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.047

LAA Season Quality

Record36-53

Win%0.404

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.551

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5601; margin adjustment: -0.2352; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	15	47	15	0.319	1	3	0.407	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.186	0.275	0.365	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	81	310	88	0.284	7	36	0.333	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.272	0.312	0.414	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	85	326	87	0.267	10	41	0.336	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.240	0.316	0.390	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	83	302	86	0.285	19	56	0.376	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.279	0.350	0.542	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	53	160	40	0.250	2	11	0.320	5	3	1	1	2	2	0	0.333	0.167	0.235	0.290	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	78	261	59	0.226	8	37	0.284	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.230	0.288	0.444	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	80	316	61	0.193	12	41	0.254	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.181	0.242	0.300	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	47	144	28	0.194	2	5	0.262	4	2	1	1	0	2	1	0.500	0.193	0.244	0.288	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	5	15	2	0.133	0	2	0.176	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.211	0.260	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	6	6	5	9	0.270

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	87	342	77	0.225	18	43	0.320	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.221	0.293	0.405	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	21	83	21	0.253	3	13	0.303	5	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.275	0.347	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	48	164	39	0.238	4	29	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.288	0.363	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	68	247	54	0.219	11	37	0.306	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.211	0.298	0.366	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	73	242	61	0.252	7	22	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.242	0.345	OK
Jo Adell	RF	89	347	83	0.239	11	45	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.200	0.226	0.330	OK
Jose Siri	CF	32	76	20	0.263	5	17	0.313	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.216	0.261	0.427	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	58	189	43	0.228	4	23	0.290	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.197	0.246	0.306	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	50	152	33	0.217	7	19	0.255	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.265	0.398	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	6	3	3	3	9	0.188

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	16	86.8	3.01	1.152	9.5	92	5.2	3	2	2	2	7	92	5.2	7	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	26	25.2	1.07	1.151	11.8	33	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	24	1.1	1	1
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	29	27.3	2.64	1.062	10.5	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	22	15.5	7.55	2.000	14.5	25	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	7	24.1	7.47	1.535	6.7	18	3.2	9	6	6	3	3	85	3.2	3	6
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	32	34.7	3.63	1.326	10.1	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	35	36.7	4.41	1.417	13.7	56	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	20	17.5	2.57	0.971	13.9	27	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	9	9.0	5.00	1.333	15.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	39	26.5	3.40	1.698	13.6	40	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 6-3

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

CHW 47-42 (4.81 RPG / 4.52 RA)

3 - 1

CLE 47-44 (3.98 RPG / 4.08 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 3-1 TARGET: CHW 3 - 1 CLE (CHW) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	3	8
CLE	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed1.2

Run Diff24.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record46-42

Win%0.523

Run Diff25

RD/Game0.284

CLE Season Quality

Record47-43

Win%0.522

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.089

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3737; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.172	0.230	0.330	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.204	0.273	0.439	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.235	0.290	0.346	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.261	0.275	OK
Kyle Teel	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.243	0.308	0.401
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.310	0.379	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.235	0.288	0.421	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.273	0.333	0.458	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.208	0.268	0.442	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	3	3	3	7	0.235

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	58	216	54	0.250	7	27	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.299	0.341	OK
Kahlil Watson	CF	16	52	13	0.250	1	9	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.271	0.370	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	71	268	73	0.272	7	39	0.334	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.319	0.389	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	79	246	56	0.228	10	29	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.308	0.389	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	21	69	15	0.217	3	6	0.260	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.263	0.368	OK
Cooper Ingle	DH	6	17	1	0.059	0	2	0.200	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.309	0.293	OK
Daniel Schneemann	SS	71	222	47	0.212	6	27	0.283	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.212	0.280	0.321	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	27	80	17	0.212	1	7	0.256	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.200	0.249	0.291	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	79	277	61	0.220	1	14	0.321	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.333	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	1	1	1	7	0.100

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	2	0	0	1	6	94	6.0	6	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	8	1.0	1	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	18	100.7	3.75	1.132	7.4	83	6.1	6	3	3	2	5	115	6.1	5	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	37	37.0	3.16	1.243	13.9	57	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	30	21.8	3.30	1.560	9.9	24	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	31	27.9	1.94	0.932	12.3	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 3-1

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers

DET 40-50 (4.21 RPG / 4.09 RA)

4 - 3

TEX 45-45 (4.08 RPG / 4.17 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-3 TARGET: DET 4 - 3 TEX (DET) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	7
TEX	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	10

DET Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff14.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record39-50

Win%0.438

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.090

TEX Season Quality

Record45-44

Win%0.506

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.056

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0449; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	85	318	90	0.283	7	31	0.395	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.354	0.400	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	81	304	82	0.270	19	59	0.330	4	4	1	1	4	0	2	0.250	0.249	0.291	0.451	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	66	189	44	0.233	13	36	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.294	0.458	OK
Riley Greene	LF	87	317	92	0.290	12	40	0.379	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.249	0.331	0.472	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	87	295	62	0.210	14	37	0.311	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.217	0.307	0.411	OK
Colt Keith	3B	79	237	59	0.249	6	18	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.275	0.410	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	61	192	39	0.203	3	16	0.279	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.291	0.335	OK
Jake Rogers	C	26	75	11	0.147	1	6	0.224	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.244	0.297	OK
James Outman	CF	15	45	7	0.156	3	8	0.224	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.091	0.154	0.206	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	10	0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	80	233	56	0.240	14	31	0.333	5	5	2	0	0	0	3	0.400	0.166	0.252	0.361	OK
Jake Burger	1B	85	313	77	0.246	14	52	0.310	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.208	0.273	0.342	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	83	321	83	0.259	8	29	0.330	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.228	0.297	0.383	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	78	271	74	0.273	6	43	0.324	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.178	0.229	0.275	OK
Evan Carter	CF	70	205	39	0.190	7	22	0.298	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.166	0.261	0.297	OK
Elias Díaz	C	16	51	16	0.314	2	11	0.321	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.245	0.270	0.466	OK
Josh Smith	LF	36	109	25	0.229	1	8	0.320	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.246	0.321	0.363	OK
Cameron Cauley	2B	4	12	2	0.167	0	0	0.231	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.278	0.442	OK
Nicky Lopez	SS	32	96	33	0.344	1	9	0.376	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.191	0.214	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	3	3	5	12	0.270

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	12	62.2	2.75	1.013	9.8	68	6.0	7	3	3	4	8	113	6.0	8	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	23	18.8	4.79	1.277	11.0	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	37	35.9	2.01	1.588	7.8	31	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	38	33.0	4.09	1.667	9.0	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	31	47.3	4.76	1.480	12.6	66	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	0.0	0	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	16	77.9	3.93	1.374	8.1	70	5.0	5	3	3	2	5	90	5.0	5	3
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	32	39.9	1.13	0.551	9.7	43	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	23	27.3	3.30	1.172	11.2	34	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	38	32.1	2.80	1.495	9.0	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	31	23.8	8.32	1.765	11.0	29	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	15	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

DET wins 4-3

Miami Marlins @ Oakland Athletics

MIA 49-42 (4.59 RPG / 4.33 RA)

4 - 3

OAK 41-49 (4.62 RPG / 5.42 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 4-3 TARGET: MIA 4 - 3 OAK (MIA) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	4	9
OAK	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	3

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff18.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-15.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record47-42

Win%0.528

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.202

OAK Season Quality

Record41-47

Win%0.466

Run Diff-66

RD/Game-0.750

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0455; margin adjustment: -0.4391; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	88	352	120	0.341	8	40	0.371	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.323	0.348	0.547	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	58	180	40	0.222	9	32	0.288	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.246	0.314	0.451	OK
Liam Hicks	1B	78	271	78	0.288	13	54	0.365	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.299	0.366	0.416	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	89	324	97	0.299	6	35	0.383	5	3	1	1	2	2	1	0.333	0.295	0.392	0.417	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	62	203	57	0.281	3	34	0.316	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.310	0.349	0.510	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	39	87	21	0.241	4	9	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.245	0.391	OK
Leo Jiménez	DH	33	95	19	0.200	0	4	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.146	0.204	0.228	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	86	306	58	0.190	5	22	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.181	0.289	0.308	OK
Brian Navarreto	C	4	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.167	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.185	0.305	0.285
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	4	4	5	6	0.250

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	44	154	46	0.299	2	14	0.371	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.262	0.318	0.348	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	88	320	89	0.278	20	66	0.420	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.242	0.369	0.436	OK
Zack Gelof	2B	59	212	60	0.283	11	29	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.181	0.235	0.338	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	75	220	44	0.200	5	22	0.290	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.211	0.310	0.307	OK
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	SS	1	4	3	0.750	0	1	0.750	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.267	0.562	MODERATE
Carlos Cortes	LF	67	192	54	0.281	6	22	0.359	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.165	0.235	0.277	OK
Max Muncy	3B	44	149	35	0.235	5	20	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.287	0.389	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	33	102	24	0.235	7	15	0.288	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.217	0.279	0.414	OK
Brian Serven	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.286	0.376
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	3	3	3	5	6	0.100

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	14	71.5	4.28	1.231	10.2	81	5.0	2	2	2	4	2	87	5.0	2	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	27	23.6	7.25	1.441	12.6	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	37	31.1	4.92	1.768	11.0	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	35	32.8	3.57	1.189	12.3	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
John King	Middle Reliever	39	32.0	2.81	0.875	8.4	30	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gage Jump	Starter	7	39.3	2.98	1.145	9.2	40	5.2	3	2	2	5	6	100	5.2	6	2
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	22	19.6	6.43	1.327	12.9	28	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	42	30.6	4.41	1.993	15.0	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Mason Barnett	Middle Reliever	10	16.4	3.29	1.220	11.5	21	1.1	3	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MIL 55-33 (5.1 RPG / 3.66 RA)

7 - 4

ARI 44-45 (4.24 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 7-4 TARGET: MIL 7 - 4 ARI (MIL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	7	8
ARI	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	12

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed1.2

Run Diff25.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record54-32

Win%0.628

Run Diff127

RD/Game1.477

ARI Season Quality

Record43-44

Win%0.494

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.333

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.0106; margin adjustment: -0.8444; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	82	320	87	0.272	12	51	0.367	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.357	0.452	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	53	225	66	0.293	13	35	0.350	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.273	0.331	0.505	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	52	201	49	0.244	5	26	0.332	5	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.214	0.306	0.330	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	45	131	43	0.328	2	24	0.411	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.288	0.374	0.495	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	76	264	71	0.269	15	52	0.364	5	3	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.265	0.346	0.476	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	72	234	62	0.265	7	36	0.354	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.309	0.388	0.580	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	48	130	28	0.215	8	22	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.223	0.359	0.423	OK
David Hamilton	3B	65	196	46	0.235	3	13	0.306	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.308	0.344	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	63	183	38	0.208	2	19	0.278	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.216	0.280	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	8	7	7	7	7	0.229

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Troy	OF	23	75	18	0.240	3	5	0.321	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.232	0.304	0.411	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.212	0.335	0.323	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.263	0.315	0.443	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.226	0.304	0.335	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.345	0.449	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	5	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.221	0.282	0.330	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.263	0.342	0.522	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.300	0.389
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.185	0.233	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	38	12	4	4	4	7	0.316

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Sproat	Starter	16	71.5	5.54	1.399	10.1	80	5.0	5	2	2	3	6	97	5.0	6	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	34	34.0	2.12	0.912	11.6	44	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	35	31.2	3.17	1.122	9.5	33	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	41	47.2	3.43	1.483	13.3	70	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	34	30.9	4.08	1.424	8.4	29	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	25	1.0	1	2

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	1	2	2	5	5	113	6.2	5	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	6	4	4	0	0	22	0.1	0	4
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.1	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	0.2	1	1	1	1	1	20	0.2	1	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 7-4

Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees

MIN 44-47 (4.92 RPG / 5.11 RA)

4 - 5

NYY 49-40 (4.8 RPG / 3.92 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-4 TARGET: MIN 4 - 5 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	7
NYY	0	1	0	1	0	3	0	0	x	5	5

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-26.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record43-47

Win%0.478

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.244

NYY Season Quality

Record49-39

Win%0.557

Run Diff83

RD/Game0.943

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.3062; margin adjustment: 0.5486; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	LF	68	220	53	0.241	2	17	0.333	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.254	0.325	0.342	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	74	305	82	0.269	25	45	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.287	0.459	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	75	274	68	0.248	16	42	0.311	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.175	0.232	0.404	OK
Josh Bell	DH	87	316	78	0.247	13	59	0.304	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.246	0.299	0.520	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	56	203	43	0.212	8	23	0.286	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.224	0.289	0.383	OK
Victor Caratini	C	64	205	49	0.239	7	34	0.333	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.332	0.403	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	83	315	77	0.244	14	46	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.286	0.376	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	41	113	29	0.257	5	23	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.270	0.362	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	83	287	72	0.251	4	26	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.325	0.430	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	7	4	4	2	10	0.219

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	66	229	54	0.236	9	37	0.341	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.264	0.357	0.462	OK
Ben Rice	1B	82	307	82	0.267	24	55	0.363	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.322	0.484	OK
Jasson Domínguez	DH	27	103	23	0.223	4	10	0.259	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.262	0.422	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	86	315	79	0.251	11	50	0.349	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.203	0.302	0.349	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	38	126	31	0.246	1	13	0.340	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.231	0.318	0.338	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	83	296	66	0.223	12	33	0.299	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.221	0.292	0.371	OK
Max Schuemann	RF	18	39	9	0.231	2	6	0.388	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.137	0.272	0.348	OK
Austin Wells	C	59	173	26	0.150	4	10	0.249	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.161	0.245	0.240	OK
José Caballero	3B	74	247	61	0.247	8	29	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.255	0.329	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	29	5	5	5	7	7	0.172

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joe Ryan	Starter	18	96.4	3.64	1.089	10.5	113	5.2	4	3	3	6	7	114	5.2	7	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	26	19.5	1.85	1.077	10.6	23	1.0	0	1	1	1	0	17	1.0	0	1
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	31	33.7	4.54	1.632	10.9	41	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	16	85.3	4.22	1.254	10.3	98	5.2	3	2	2	2	6	90	5.2	6	2
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	41	27.4	3.28	1.752	15.4	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	44	34.7	1.82	1.412	12.2	47	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	38	28.3	5.72	1.555	10.8	34	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	12	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-4

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves

NYM 37-53 (4.02 RPG / 4.7 RA)

3 - 7

ATL 52-37 (4.87 RPG / 3.84 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 7-3 TARGET: NYM 3 - 7 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	4
ATL	0	0	0	0	4	0	3	0	x	7	10

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-20.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record36-52

Win%0.409

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.580

ATL Season Quality

Record51-36

Win%0.586

Run Diff81

RD/Game0.931

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.7763; margin adjustment: 0.746; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	32	125	28	0.224	4	9	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.280	0.403	OK
Juan Soto	DH	69	247	74	0.300	18	41	0.406	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.357	0.448	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	88	353	89	0.252	10	47	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.270	0.321	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	71	235	50	0.213	11	35	0.252	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.125	0.170	0.265	OK
Carson Benge	RF	84	323	84	0.260	10	34	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.281	0.375	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	41	104	21	0.202	3	14	0.231	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.243	0.352	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	49	162	42	0.259	4	19	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.210	0.289	0.328	OK
Luis Torrens	C	50	147	32	0.218	2	16	0.272	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.128	0.173	0.235	OK
Brett Baty	2B	79	254	55	0.217	3	27	0.294	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.195	0.269	0.301	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	3	3	3	5	0.129

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	65	252	63	0.250	15	40	0.333	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.285	0.355	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	88	335	91	0.272	14	49	0.323	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.250	0.305	0.443	OK
Matt Olson	1B	88	339	92	0.271	22	54	0.342	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.326	0.500	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	81	297	90	0.303	16	48	0.334	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.324	0.501	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	84	308	83	0.269	9	48	0.328	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.266	0.340	0.444	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	66	191	52	0.272	6	33	0.304	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.243	0.277	0.363	OK
Austin Riley	3B	88	315	65	0.206	9	41	0.286	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.203	0.270	0.349	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	76	212	48	0.226	5	21	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.323	0.397	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	3	9	2	0.222	0	0	0.222	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.243	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	10	7	7	4	5	0.294

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	17	93.7	3.84	1.142	10.9	113	5.2	6	4	4	3	4	103	5.2	4	4
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	30	26.7	3.71	1.423	13.8	41	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	19	0.0	0	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	34	33.9	2.12	0.855	10.4	39	1.0	4	3	3	0	0	25	1.0	0	3
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	34	26.1	2.76	1.494	11.7	34	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	17	75.6	3.33	1.177	7.3	61	5.0	4	3	3	2	4	83	5.0	4	3
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	28	28.4	1.58	1.092	10.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	41	34.2	1.84	0.760	12.9	49	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	8	1.0	0	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	34	27.4	4.27	1.387	10.5	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	27	30.4	2.66	1.184	11.2	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 7-3

Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals

PHI 50-40 (4.47 RPG / 4.39 RA)

5 - 3

KC 36-54 (4.1 RPG / 5.04 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-3 TARGET: PHI 5 - 3 KC (PHI) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	5	11
KC	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	5

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff10.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed7.2

Run Diff-43.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record49-39

Win%0.557

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.057

KC Season Quality

Record35-53

Win%0.398

Run Diff-83

RD/Game-0.943

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2386; margin adjustment: -0.5202; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	84	356	86	0.242	10	31	0.285	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.263	0.297	0.446	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	83	318	81	0.255	29	54	0.365	5	4	1	1	1	1	3	0.250	0.255	0.357	0.456	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	87	310	85	0.274	20	57	0.376	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.377	0.512	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	83	309	96	0.311	15	46	0.343	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.269	0.303	0.510	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	83	309	70	0.227	11	45	0.284	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.239	0.289	0.426	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	82	287	70	0.244	7	39	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.268	0.322	0.391	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	15	48	9	0.188	2	5	0.220	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.245	0.282	0.400	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	80	249	61	0.245	2	18	0.296	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.266	0.304	0.365	OK
Garrett Stubbs	C	9	24	4	0.167	0	1	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.171	0.205	0.246	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	11	5	5	2	12	0.297

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	80	282	70	0.248	13	47	0.311	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.236	0.290	0.440	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	82	322	92	0.286	12	35	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.310	0.453	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	81	281	72	0.256	14	30	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.147	0.204	0.281	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	69	201	43	0.214	5	22	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.292	0.337	OK
Michael Massey	2B	67	206	52	0.252	7	27	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.249	0.342	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	80	314	64	0.204	10	30	0.244	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.197	0.222	0.303	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	9	16	4	0.250	1	4	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.115	0.127	0.232	OK
Kameron Misner	RF	12	37	9	0.243	0	4	0.263	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.112	0.139	0.176	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	75	240	55	0.229	4	25	0.337	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.301	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	12	0.156

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	17	82.2	6.24	1.545	9.5	87	4.2	4	3	3	1	9	89	4.2	9	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	30	29.2	0.92	0.856	13.9	45	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	37	32.3	2.79	1.238	11.1	40	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	18	1.0	2	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	37	26.1	7.24	1.992	14.8	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	29	23.6	3.81	1.356	13.3	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luinder Avila	Starter	16	45.5	5.54	1.714	8.5	43	4.0	5	2	2	1	8	81	4.0	8	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	35	33.3	5.41	1.622	10.0	37	1.2	3	2	2	0	2	30	1.2	2	2
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	34	31.8	4.81	1.667	7.1	25	1.1	3	1	1	1	1	30	1.1	1	1
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	36	30.8	2.92	1.136	9.1	31	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	31	2.0	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals

PIT 46-45 (5.22 RPG / 4.86 RA)

4 - 3

WAS 46-45 (5.33 RPG / 5.23 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 4 - 3 WAS (PIT) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	4	9
WAS	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	4

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record45-45

Win%0.500

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.300

WAS Season Quality

Record46-44

Win%0.511

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.167

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1167; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	57	221	60	0.271	5	23	0.326	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.259	0.300	0.395	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	83	326	79	0.242	20	60	0.318	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.235	0.309	0.426	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	90	328	93	0.284	12	55	0.395	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.260	0.357	0.437	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	21	66	22	0.333	6	17	0.384	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.313	0.367	0.599	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	73	283	80	0.283	13	51	0.332	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.269	0.313	0.422	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	83	313	96	0.307	4	40	0.361	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.313	0.362	0.434	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	33	96	25	0.260	5	16	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.259	0.367	0.490	OK
Tyler Callihan	LF	23	62	15	0.242	3	13	0.342	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.138	0.240	0.312	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	61	205	63	0.307	1	14	0.350	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.270	0.307	0.354	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	4	4	2	13	0.250

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	90	346	93	0.269	23	56	0.393	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.278	0.387	0.577	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	83	275	77	0.280	18	62	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.250	0.473	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	73	233	53	0.227	14	39	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.169	0.254	0.333	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	86	319	86	0.270	18	60	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.286	0.422	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	39	152	35	0.230	5	17	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.284	0.346	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	88	344	89	0.259	10	43	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.282	0.322	0.495	OK
Jacob Young	CF	75	258	58	0.225	8	31	0.273	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	0.333	0.209	0.256	0.350	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	56	183	51	0.279	6	33	0.309	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.291	0.409	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	78	251	59	0.235	1	28	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.312	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	3	3	4	6	0.129

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	17	83.8	4.73	1.420	8.5	79	5.1	2	1	1	2	4	85	5.1	4	1
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	37	34.0	4.76	1.382	8.7	33	1.1	2	2	2	2	0	16	1.1	0	2
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	34	27.7	4.87	1.588	16.2	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	38	44.0	3.89	1.523	11.5	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	22	1.1	2	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	18	88.0	3.78	1.364	10.4	102	5.0	7	4	4	2	8	92	5.0	8	4
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	26	23.1	3.51	1.429	11.3	29	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.2	2	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	33	29.2	3.39	1.507	6.8	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	27	23.0	3.91	1.304	7.8	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	26	52.0	3.46	1.269	9.0	52	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SD 43-45 (3.9 RPG / 4.41 RA)

3 - 5

LAD 59-31 (5.34 RPG / 3.5 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-3 TARGET: SD 3 - 5 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	5
LAD	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	x	5	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed7.4

Run Diff-39.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff26.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record43-44

Win%0.494

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.483

LAD Season Quality

Record58-31

Win%0.652

Run Diff163

RD/Game1.831

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.5504; margin adjustment: 1.0712; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	86	340	95	0.279	5	32	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.289	0.387	OK
Jake Cronenworth	DH	37	117	20	0.171	2	7	0.281	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.289	0.316	OK
Manny Machado	3B	86	315	59	0.187	17	48	0.275	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.192	0.282	0.406	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	81	254	60	0.236	14	39	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.323	0.451	OK
Ty France	1B	59	189	49	0.259	10	30	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.272	0.407	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	84	328	70	0.213	10	33	0.271	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.254	0.374	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	84	290	68	0.234	8	33	0.325	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.308	0.325	OK
Sung-Mun Song	2B	26	64	15	0.234	1	9	0.329	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.199	0.291	0.337	OK
Luis Campusano	C	19	54	15	0.278	3	10	0.350	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.278	0.436	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	5	3	3	0	8	0.156

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	81	309	89	0.288	18	50	0.403	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.265	0.368	0.463	OK
Andy Pages	CF	89	346	93	0.269	16	63	0.330	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.266	0.327	0.438	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	87	327	97	0.297	15	49	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.318	0.407	0.555	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	53	217	53	0.244	11	29	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.275	0.323	0.457	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	56	200	53	0.265	8	36	0.336	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.326	0.424	OK
Alex Call	RF	43	105	28	0.267	1	16	0.363	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.185	0.286	0.298	OK
Miguel Rojas	3B	53	127	37	0.291	3	15	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.313	0.351	0.515	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	64	182	41	0.225	3	17	0.306	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.229	0.310	0.328	OK
Tommy Edman	LF	13	48	17	0.354	1	9	0.436	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.262	0.342	0.449	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	9	5	5	1	4	0.281

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
JP Sears	Starter	2	9.4	7.66	1.915	8.6	9	4.2	7	5	5	1	3	88	4.2	3	5
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	34	33.1	1.09	0.906	17.9	66	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	40	37.8	4.05	1.243	12.1	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hart	Middle Reliever	21	27.4	5.91	1.168	9.2	28	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0.1	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	33	31.1	2.32	1.383	9.8	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	15	70.1	5.26	1.312	10.4	81	4.2	4	3	3	0	5	83	4.2	5	3
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	38	33.1	2.18	0.755	12.2	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Middle Reliever	33	32.1	2.80	0.966	9.8	35	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	5	1.2	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	39	22.0	3.27	1.409	16.8	41	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	30	31.6	2.56	1.487	11.7	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-3

San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies

SF 38-52 (4.12 RPG / 4.8 RA)

2 - 5

COL 37-54 (4.87 RPG / 5.74 RA)

WINNER: COL wins 5-2 TARGET: SF 2 - 5 COL (COL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5
COL	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	0	x	5	10

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-15.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs7.1

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff15.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record37-51

Win%0.420

Run Diff-62

RD/Game-0.705

COL Season Quality

Record36-53

Win%0.404

Run Diff-78

RD/Game-0.876

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1958; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	83	328	111	0.338	4	32	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.311	0.342	0.483	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	79	315	89	0.283	16	43	0.307	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.242	0.257	0.393	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	49	184	47	0.255	6	23	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.242	0.277	0.473	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	88	335	83	0.248	16	45	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.330	0.525	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	79	299	96	0.321	5	33	0.352	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.267	0.293	0.398	OK
Willy Adames	SS	83	326	76	0.233	14	34	0.277	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.248	0.293	0.419	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	47	162	46	0.284	7	20	0.374	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.345	0.447	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	62	168	38	0.226	3	16	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.269	0.323	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	6	17	4	0.235	0	2	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.232	0.273	0.323	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	5	2	2	4	8	0.161

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	69	251	77	0.307	9	46	0.341	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.289	0.322	0.552	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	54	185	52	0.281	15	37	0.330	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.286	0.326	0.612	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	83	315	79	0.251	27	50	0.316	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.264	0.321	0.566	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	84	305	91	0.298	12	46	0.377	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.290	0.362	0.451	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	78	259	81	0.313	3	37	0.377	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.290	0.360	0.422	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	82	243	65	0.267	6	26	0.366	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.290	0.387	0.509	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	69	195	43	0.221	2	19	0.336	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.235	0.365	0.340	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	38	114	25	0.219	4	14	0.248	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.240	0.361	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	81	287	61	0.213	7	30	0.255	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.213	0.251	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	10	5	5	5	10	0.294

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	13	64.8	5.83	1.512	8.9	64	5.0	8	3	3	3	7	99	5.0	7	3
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	36	32.1	4.77	1.464	12.6	45	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	16	1.0	1	2
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	24	20.6	6.12	1.845	8.3	19	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	0.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	27	18.6	4.35	1.935	15.0	31	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	14	0.2	1	0
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	12	9.5	1.89	1.368	10.4	11	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Gordon	Starter	10	40.1	6.73	1.596	8.8	39	4.1	4	2	2	1	6	83	4.1	6	2
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	26	40.1	3.37	1.297	8.1	36	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	26	1.1	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	20	18.9	4.29	1.323	11.0	23	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	23	23.1	5.84	1.861	6.6	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	41	27.3	4.29	1.648	8.6	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

COL wins 5-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs

STL 47-40 (4.63 RPG / 4.48 RA)

4 - 5

CHC 50-40 (5.06 RPG / 4.54 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-4 TARGET: STL 4 - 5 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 51.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	4	9
CHC	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	x	5	9

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff13.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record46-39

Win%0.541

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.141

CHC Season Quality

Record49-39

Win%0.557

Run Diff47

RD/Game0.534

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4164; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	80	318	85	0.267	13	35	0.363	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.316	0.382	OK
Iván Herrera	C	85	310	79	0.255	10	38	0.392	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.241	0.326	0.355	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	84	326	90	0.276	14	62	0.340	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.244	0.294	0.419	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	83	322	94	0.292	18	60	0.352	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.262	0.328	0.462	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	24	84	24	0.286	2	8	0.371	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.252	0.335	0.400	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	76	285	71	0.249	4	37	0.316	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.253	0.312	0.376	OK
Nathan Church	CF	63	212	54	0.255	8	27	0.300	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.221	0.269	0.442	OK
José Fermín	3B	50	133	36	0.271	3	16	0.315	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.306	0.395	OK
Bryan Torres	DH	16	45	10	0.222	3	6	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.198	0.261	0.420	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	9	4	4	5	4	0.257

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	88	328	96	0.293	19	49	0.384	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.288	0.375	0.528	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	86	337	82	0.243	7	31	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.332	0.359	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	73	273	73	0.267	13	42	0.351	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.260	0.334	0.444	OK
Carson Kelly	C	61	200	56	0.280	4	29	0.363	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.271	0.354	0.402	OK
Michael Busch	1B	87	319	75	0.235	11	47	0.367	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.223	0.339	0.420	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	86	347	84	0.242	4	36	0.314	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.303	0.335	OK
Ian Happ	LF	83	313	70	0.224	17	41	0.332	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.210	0.306	0.386	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	83	282	59	0.209	16	57	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.247	0.321	0.558	OK
Kevin Alcántara	DH	9	13	3	0.231	0	1	0.231	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.118	0.131	0.177	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	5	5	4	7	0.273

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	17	80.1	5.51	1.598	8.9	79	4.0	7	5	5	3	4	95	4.0	4	5
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	36	34.7	3.89	1.210	9.1	35	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	40	31.3	4.60	1.629	11.2	39	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	32	1.2	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	37	27.6	5.87	1.775	12.7	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Javier Assad	Starter	13	48.4	4.83	1.198	5.8	31	5.1	5	3	3	3	3	104	5.1	3	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	37	32.6	3.87	1.503	12.4	45	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	27	20.0	4.50	1.400	13.5	30	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	21	24.7	2.91	1.093	4.4	12	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros

TB 52-35 (4.55 RPG / 4.15 RA)

5 - 0

HOU 45-47 (4.49 RPG / 4.97 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-0 TARGET: TB 5 - 0 HOU (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	5	11
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3

TB Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff37.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record52-34

Win%0.605

Run Diff37

RD/Game0.430

HOU Season Quality

Record44-47

Win%0.484

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.505

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.1174; margin adjustment: -0.4693; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	82	311	101	0.325	12	53	0.408	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.271	0.346	0.396	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	85	310	89	0.287	13	58	0.390	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.280	0.369	0.420	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	86	327	95	0.291	26	56	0.379	5	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.277	0.360	0.622	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	74	256	55	0.215	10	29	0.295	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.252	0.317	0.461	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	77	299	83	0.278	0	16	0.314	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.198	0.245	0.278	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	59	181	43	0.238	2	20	0.310	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.230	0.305	0.369	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	24	74	13	0.176	3	9	0.271	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.197	0.287	0.314	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	60	180	42	0.233	2	24	0.332	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.146	0.244	0.254	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	44	108	25	0.231	1	8	0.300	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.150	0.218	0.256	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	37	11	5	5	6	9	0.297

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	67	256	60	0.234	8	22	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.290	0.345	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	88	317	104	0.328	29	67	0.438	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.305	0.403	0.624	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	83	299	73	0.244	11	46	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.224	0.291	0.353	OK
Christian Walker	1B	88	328	79	0.241	19	56	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.216	0.281	0.378	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	5	15	4	0.267	1	4	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.290	0.493	OK
Cam Smith	RF	87	300	66	0.220	11	32	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.279	0.424	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	38	105	27	0.257	3	11	0.316	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.150	0.210	0.295	OK
Nick Allen	SS	32	78	19	0.244	1	6	0.294	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.135	0.191	0.218	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	54	162	35	0.216	4	19	0.270	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.191	0.243	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	0	0	2	12	0.100

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	17	96.3	2.80	0.903	9.0	96	6.0	2	0	0	2	8	96	6.0	8	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	36	33.4	1.89	0.838	10.0	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	38	34.7	2.85	1.037	7.8	30	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	28	22.1	4.48	1.448	13.0	32	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	13	72.7	3.59	1.210	8.4	68	5.2	5	2	2	6	5	110	5.2	5	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	14	14.0	0.64	0.571	14.1	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	36	33.1	2.45	1.360	8.2	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	31	26.2	6.53	1.794	12.7	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	42	35.7	3.03	1.064	10.1	40	0.1	4	3	3	0	1	16	0.1	1	3
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever	34	54.0	3.50	1.278	8.8	53	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	8	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-0

Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners

TOR 42-48 (3.96 RPG / 4.42 RA)

4 - 5

SEA 47-44 (4.09 RPG / 3.79 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 5-4 TARGET: TOR 4 - 5 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
TOR	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	5
SEA	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	1	5	8

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-12.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff9.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record42-47

Win%0.472

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.427

SEA Season Quality

Record46-44

Win%0.511

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.256

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7413; margin adjustment: 0.3114; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	54	175	50	0.286	4	17	0.333	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.267	0.349	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	83	309	82	0.265	4	35	0.341	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.292	0.304	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	85	311	74	0.238	19	54	0.319	5	2	2	1	0	2	0	1.000	0.223	0.290	0.385	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	20	70	14	0.200	2	7	0.260	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.215	0.274	0.344	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	70	254	64	0.252	7	23	0.318	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.278	0.371	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	86	328	96	0.293	7	29	0.316	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.276	0.365	OK
Sean Keys	DH	5	19	4	0.211	1	3	0.211	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.218	0.227	0.382	OK
Luis Urías	2B	7	16	6	0.375	1	2	0.474	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.335	0.371	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	48	149	40	0.268	5	19	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.214	0.251	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	5	4	4	4	4	0.143

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	72	258	55	0.213	10	25	0.329	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.203	0.294	0.317	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	82	300	86	0.287	9	41	0.376	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.271	0.338	0.460	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	58	217	35	0.161	9	27	0.264	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.181	0.279	0.323	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	83	327	82	0.251	8	34	0.313	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.230	0.288	0.320	OK
Luke Raley	RF	74	215	49	0.228	14	35	0.294	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.256	0.373	OK
Cole Young	2B	90	323	84	0.260	9	41	0.320	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.273	0.318	0.463	OK
Mitch Garver	C	35	100	19	0.190	3	12	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.207	0.318	0.315	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	40	129	28	0.217	7	19	0.289	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.284	0.380	OK
Victor Robles	CF	26	79	19	0.241	0	4	0.277	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.207	0.249	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	8	5	5	3	10	0.216

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trey Yesavage	Starter	12	65.0	3.46	1.138	8.4	61	6.0	4	3	3	2	6	96	6.0	6	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	42	43.5	1.03	1.034	13.4	65	1.2	2	1	1	1	3	31	1.2	3	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	41	36.4	1.98	1.346	4.9	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	41	34.7	4.93	1.614	16.1	62	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Spencer Miles	Reliever	24	49.1	3.12	1.141	10.1	55	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	10	0.1	0	1

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	16	89.5	3.52	1.061	8.7	87	5.2	3	2	2	4	4	96	5.2	4	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	33	29.7	4.24	1.347	14.2	47	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	40	32.8	2.74	1.463	8.5	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	41	31.8	2.55	1.541	10.2	36	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	21	1.1	0	2
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	26	17.5	2.06	1.371	9.8	19	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	10	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Cincinnati Reds

BAL Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

BOS Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

CHW Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers

DET Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

DET Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Oakland Athletics

MIA Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MIL Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees

MIN Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves