MLB Predictions — July 4, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ CIN	5 - 2	5 - 2	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 5-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ LAA	4 - 2	4 - 2	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ CLE	4 - 2	4 - 2	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 4-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ TEX	3 - 2	3 - 2	DET	DET	DET wins 3-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ OAK	4 - 3	4 - 3	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ ARI	3 - 2	3 - 2	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 3-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ NYY	4 - 5	4 - 5	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ ATL	1 - 4	1 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ KC	5 - 3	5 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ WAS	3 - 4	3 - 4	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ LAD	1 - 6	1 - 6	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ COL	5 - 4	5 - 4	SF	SF	SF wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ CHC	4 - 6	4 - 6	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 6-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ HOU	5 - 3	5 - 3	TB	TB	TB wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ SEA	5 - 3	5 - 3	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Baltimore Orioles @ Cincinnati Reds

BAL 41-48 (4.56 RPG / 4.9 RA)

5 - 2

CIN 40-47 (4.18 RPG / 4.85 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 5-2 TARGET: BAL 5 - 2 CIN (BAL) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	5	8
CIN	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-13.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record41-48

Win%0.461

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.337

CIN Season Quality

Record40-47

Win%0.460

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.667

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3309; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	86	355	80	0.225	15	38	0.299	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.236	0.304	0.378	OK
Adley Rutschman	DH	57	212	54	0.255	8	43	0.321	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.229	0.294	0.387	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	86	325	82	0.252	5	22	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.340	0.332	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	87	326	82	0.252	19	59	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.235	0.323	0.421	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	72	244	63	0.258	13	39	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.267	0.329	0.469	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	70	182	41	0.225	7	24	0.312	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.321	0.354	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	71	231	57	0.247	3	31	0.319	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.148	0.228	0.284	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	36	104	20	0.192	5	14	0.277	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.292	0.373	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	63	190	58	0.305	3	26	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.313	0.404	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	5	5	2	10	0.229

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	67	267	74	0.277	13	40	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.254	0.321	0.437	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	86	327	84	0.257	17	60	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.319	0.469	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	58	208	50	0.240	13	37	0.347	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.321	0.380	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	58	209	43	0.206	8	29	0.277	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.202	0.273	0.345	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	62	182	46	0.253	8	24	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.155	0.238	0.297	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	81	286	68	0.238	13	34	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.290	0.358	OK
Jose Trevino	C	18	56	13	0.232	1	7	0.246	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.258	0.369	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	50	166	30	0.181	3	10	0.263	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.268	0.332	OK
Matt McLain	2B	76	263	51	0.194	8	25	0.293	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.173	0.255	0.285	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	3	10	0.156

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	13	70.0	3.21	1.343	7.3	57	5.2	4	2	2	2	7	97	5.2	7	2
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	37	22.4	2.81	1.071	10.8	27	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	31	37.4	3.37	1.123	10.3	43	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	30	17.3	4.68	1.676	15.1	29	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	17	96.5	2.42	1.088	10.8	116	6.0	4	1	1	1	7	96	6.0	7	1
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	15	13.4	6.72	1.493	8.1	12	1.0	4	4	4	1	2	29	1.0	2	4
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	25	21.5	2.93	1.116	9.2	22	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	16	12.7	2.13	1.654	11.3	16	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 5-2

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

BOS 38-48 (3.98 RPG / 4.02 RA)

4 - 2

LAA 36-53 (4.42 RPG / 4.97 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-2 TARGET: BOS 4 - 2 LAA (BOS) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	4	7
LAA	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	5

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-15.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BOS Season Quality

Record37-48

Win%0.435

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.082

LAA Season Quality

Record36-52

Win%0.409

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.523

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4797; margin adjustment: -0.2015; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	14	44	14	0.318	1	3	0.388	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.177	0.259	0.350	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	80	306	87	0.284	7	35	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.266	0.301	0.401	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	84	323	86	0.266	10	39	0.332	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.312	0.396	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	82	297	85	0.286	18	53	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.283	0.355	0.510	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	77	256	59	0.230	8	37	0.289	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.304	0.463	OK
Romy Gonzalez	DH	4	15	5	0.333	0	2	0.333	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.260	0.269	0.455	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	79	314	61	0.194	12	41	0.249	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.181	0.227	0.299	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	48	137	30	0.219	3	12	0.257	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.134	0.174	0.275	OK
Connor Wong	C	34	97	28	0.289	1	14	0.375	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.186	0.274	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	7	4	4	1	7	0.212

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	86	338	77	0.228	18	43	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.228	0.301	0.415	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	20	79	20	0.253	3	13	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.283	0.368	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	70	264	69	0.261	6	31	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.295	0.348	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	67	244	54	0.221	11	37	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.226	0.307	0.382	OK
Josh Lowe	CF	49	149	32	0.215	6	18	0.253	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.285	0.422	OK
Jo Adell	RF	88	345	83	0.241	11	45	0.285	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.200	0.220	0.326	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	34	110	31	0.282	2	15	0.358	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.244	0.320	0.358	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	25	88	27	0.307	3	12	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.262	0.401	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	4	12	3	0.250	0	0	0.308	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.197	0.228	0.296	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	2	2	4	5	0.156

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	15	82.5	2.73	1.127	8.2	75	6.1	4	2	2	1	5	96	6.1	5	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	26	25.2	1.07	1.151	11.8	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	29	27.3	2.64	1.062	10.5	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	22	15.5	7.55	2.000	14.5	25	0.2	0	0	0	3	0	18	0.2	0	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sam Aldegheri	Starter	8	28.5	5.05	1.509	6.3	20	4.1	5	3	3	1	4	86	4.1	4	3
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	32	34.7	3.63	1.326	10.1	39	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	26	2.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	34	35.6	4.55	1.433	13.7	54	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	20	17.5	2.57	0.971	13.9	27	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.2	1	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-2

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

CHW 45-42 (4.8 RPG / 4.54 RA)

4 - 2

CLE 47-42 (3.99 RPG / 4.06 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 4-2 TARGET: CHW 4 - 2 CLE (CHW) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	4	6
CLE	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed1.4

Run Diff22.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-5.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record45-42

Win%0.517

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.264

CLE Season Quality

Record47-42

Win%0.528

Run Diff-6

RD/Game-0.067

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3155; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.166	0.225	0.324	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.204	0.274	0.437	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	5	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.237	0.292	0.344	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.196	0.263	0.277	OK
Kyle Teel	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.307	0.400
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.218	0.311	0.380	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.237	0.290	0.423	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.335	0.460	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.272	0.445	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	4	4	5	9	0.182

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	57	212	54	0.255	7	27	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.314	0.354	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	70	264	72	0.273	7	39	0.336	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.323	0.401	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	78	243	55	0.226	10	29	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.302	0.385	OK
Kahlil Watson	RF	15	48	13	0.271	1	9	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.259	0.291	0.402	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	85	288	78	0.271	6	37	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.258	0.317	0.397	OK
Cooper Ingle	LF	5	14	1	0.071	0	2	0.235	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.336	0.303	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	70	220	47	0.214	6	27	0.285	3	2	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.299	0.348	OK
Austin Hedges	C	40	118	32	0.271	2	13	0.336	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.307	0.395	OK
Steven Kwan	CF	78	274	60	0.219	1	14	0.321	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.332	0.323	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	2	2	1	8	0.100

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	2	1	1	1	5	94	6.0	5	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	8	1.0	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	17	96.8	2.98	1.105	9.9	106	6.1	4	1	1	2	6	112	6.1	6	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	37	37.0	3.16	1.243	13.9	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	29	20.8	3.46	1.635	9.5	22	0.2	1	1	1	2	1	19	0.2	1	1
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	31	27.9	1.94	0.932	12.3	38	1.0	1	2	2	1	2	20	1.0	2	2

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-2

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers

DET 39-50 (4.19 RPG / 4.1 RA)

3 - 2

TEX 45-44 (4.09 RPG / 4.15 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 3-2 TARGET: DET 3 - 2 TEX (DET) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	8
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	7

DET Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff10.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record38-50

Win%0.432

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.057

TEX Season Quality

Record45-43

Win%0.511

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.023

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0398; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	84	315	90	0.286	7	31	0.397	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.360	0.405	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	80	301	82	0.272	19	59	0.331	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.254	0.296	0.458	OK
Kerry Carpenter	DH	65	185	43	0.232	13	36	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.304	0.472	OK
Riley Greene	LF	86	313	90	0.288	11	38	0.377	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.331	0.449	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	86	291	62	0.213	14	37	0.315	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.325	0.454	OK
Colt Keith	3B	78	233	58	0.249	6	18	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.270	0.404	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	60	188	38	0.202	3	16	0.280	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.296	0.361	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	4	11	3	0.273	0	2	0.308	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.202	0.265	0.287	OK
James Outman	CF	14	41	7	0.171	3	8	0.244	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.097	0.162	0.215	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	2	5	0.229

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	79	229	55	0.240	14	31	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.165	0.259	0.376	OK
Josh Smith	1B	35	105	25	0.238	1	8	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.265	0.337	0.394	OK
Josh Jung	3B	82	319	95	0.298	9	34	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.274	0.340	0.439	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	82	317	83	0.262	8	29	0.333	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.238	0.308	0.402	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	53	151	39	0.258	0	15	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.312	0.321	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	77	268	74	0.276	6	43	0.328	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.188	0.239	0.286	OK
Evan Carter	CF	69	204	38	0.186	7	22	0.289	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.150	0.238	0.274	OK
Elias Díaz	C	15	48	16	0.333	2	11	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.269	0.464	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	31	93	33	0.355	1	9	0.388	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.231	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	2	7	0.206

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Flaherty	Starter	16	68.1	5.15	1.586	11.5	87	4.2	5	2	2	2	4	88	4.2	4	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	23	18.8	4.79	1.277	11.0	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	37	35.9	2.01	1.588	7.8	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	37	32.9	4.10	1.672	9.0	33	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	31	47.3	4.76	1.480	12.6	66	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	17	33.7	3.47	1.276	6.7	25	5.0	5	2	2	0	3	81	5.0	3	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	32	39.9	1.13	0.551	9.7	43	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	31	32.3	3.07	1.115	7.5	27	1.1	3	1	1	0	0	26	1.1	0	1
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	23	27.3	3.30	1.172	11.2	34	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 3-2

Miami Marlins @ Oakland Athletics

MIA 47-42 (4.52 RPG / 4.31 RA)

4 - 3

OAK 41-47 (4.61 RPG / 5.36 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 4-3 TARGET: MIA 4 - 3 OAK (MIA) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	4	8
OAK	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff15.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-12.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record46-42

Win%0.523

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.125

OAK Season Quality

Record41-46

Win%0.471

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.678

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8804; margin adjustment: -0.3697; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	DH	77	266	75	0.282	13	54	0.362	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.281	0.350	0.397	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	65	243	59	0.243	10	37	0.330	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.277	0.340	0.516	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	87	347	117	0.337	7	37	0.368	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.309	0.337	0.505	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	88	321	96	0.299	6	34	0.380	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.293	0.378	0.414	OK
Griffin Conine	LF	20	56	14	0.250	3	10	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.168	0.286	0.320	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	76	214	51	0.238	11	49	0.292	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.279	0.324	0.541	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	85	302	57	0.189	5	22	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.181	0.287	0.310	OK
Joe Mack	C	45	136	34	0.250	6	22	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.243	0.299	0.461	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	61	199	56	0.281	3	34	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.289	0.330	0.478	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	9	0.229

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	87	316	89	0.282	20	66	0.424	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.251	0.378	0.448	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	58	209	59	0.282	11	29	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.179	0.234	0.345	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	74	217	43	0.198	5	22	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.311	0.317	OK
Jonah Heim	C	32	98	24	0.245	7	15	0.299	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.293	0.437	OK
Carlos Cortes	DH	66	188	52	0.277	6	22	0.357	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.151	0.223	0.251	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	43	150	44	0.293	2	14	0.368	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.306	0.330	OK
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	3B	1	4	3	0.750	0	1	0.750	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.268	0.567	MODERATE
Jeff McNeil	2B	79	253	58	0.229	3	25	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.205	0.256	0.293	OK
Alika Williams	SS	24	73	22	0.301	2	8	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.157	0.193	0.309	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	2	5	0.206

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	18	113.8	4.27	1.301	6.6	84	6.1	4	1	1	2	5	100	6.1	5	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	27	23.6	7.25	1.441	12.6	33	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	8	1.0	0	2
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	37	31.1	4.92	1.768	11.0	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	35	32.8	3.57	1.189	12.3	45	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.2	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Civale	Starter	14	66.5	5.14	1.609	6.5	48	4.0	7	3	3	0	7	82	4.0	7	3
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	21	19.5	6.46	1.282	12.5	27	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	42	30.6	4.41	1.993	15.0	51	2.0	1	1	1	0	1	28	2.0	1	1
Mason Barnett	Middle Reliever	10	16.4	3.29	1.220	11.5	21	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	23	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MIL 54-32 (5.15 RPG / 3.67 RA)

3 - 2

ARI 43-44 (4.26 RPG / 4.6 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 3-2 TARGET: MIL 3 - 2 ARI (MIL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	8
ARI	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed2.1

Run Diff16.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record53-32

Win%0.624

Run Diff124

RD/Game1.459

ARI Season Quality

Record43-43

Win%0.500

Run Diff-26

RD/Game-0.302

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.9464; margin adjustment: -0.8175; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	81	315	84	0.267	12	51	0.363	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.349	0.449	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	52	201	49	0.244	5	26	0.332	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.307	0.331	OK
Jake Bauers	LF	75	261	71	0.272	15	52	0.368	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.280	0.359	0.496	OK
William Contreras	C	81	317	93	0.293	9	51	0.356	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.265	0.322	0.387	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	71	230	60	0.261	7	36	0.352	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.300	0.384	0.577	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	44	128	43	0.336	2	24	0.415	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.296	0.376	0.507	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	76	244	60	0.246	3	29	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.283	0.343	0.395	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	16	47	9	0.191	0	2	0.304	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.205	0.304	0.284	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	62	179	36	0.201	2	19	0.274	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.206	0.272	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	3	3	4	4	0.229

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Troy	OF	23	75	18	0.240	3	5	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.306	0.409	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.211	0.335	0.318	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.263	0.316	0.445	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.227	0.305	0.336	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.343	0.447	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.281	0.330	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.264	0.343	0.523	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.298	0.387
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.186	0.233	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	2	10	0.156

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Woodruff	Starter	8	40.5	2.67	0.864	9.1	41	5.2	3	2	2	2	6	100	5.2	6	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	34	34.0	2.12	0.912	11.6	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	35	31.2	3.17	1.122	9.5	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	41	47.2	3.43	1.483	13.3	70	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	24	1.1	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	5	2	2	1	4	103	6.2	4	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	2	1	1	1	0	17	0.1	0	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 3-2

Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees

MIN 43-47 (4.91 RPG / 5.16 RA)

4 - 5

NYY 49-39 (4.84 RPG / 3.9 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-4 TARGET: MIN 4 - 5 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	5
NYY	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	x	5	6

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-19.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record42-47

Win%0.472

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.326

NYY Season Quality

Record49-38

Win%0.563

Run Diff90

RD/Game1.034

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4973; margin adjustment: 0.6289; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	70	230	66	0.287	5	28	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.186	0.270	0.313	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	73	302	81	0.268	25	43	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.275	0.447	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	74	270	66	0.244	15	39	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.158	0.210	0.372	OK
Josh Bell	DH	86	311	75	0.241	11	56	0.300	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.282	0.433	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	55	198	42	0.212	8	23	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.291	0.390	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	82	311	77	0.248	14	46	0.301	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.297	0.394	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	40	108	29	0.269	5	23	0.331	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.239	0.298	0.417	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	82	283	71	0.251	3	25	0.334	4	4	2	1	3	0	2	0.500	0.240	0.321	0.383	OK
Alex Jackson	C	15	45	14	0.311	0	3	0.340	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.251	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	4	4	3	9	0.156

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	DH	65	227	54	0.238	9	37	0.341	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.278	0.368	0.476	OK
Ben Rice	1B	81	304	82	0.270	24	55	0.363	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.318	0.486	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	85	310	78	0.252	11	49	0.351	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.310	0.342	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	26	98	21	0.214	3	9	0.252	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.257	0.373	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	37	122	30	0.246	1	13	0.343	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.322	0.342	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	82	293	65	0.222	12	33	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.218	0.284	0.369	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	64	188	40	0.213	8	23	0.271	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.228	0.289	0.401	OK
Max Schuemann	CF	17	37	7	0.189	1	4	0.333	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.112	0.218	0.294	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	12	25	6	0.240	0	3	0.296	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.204	0.238	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	5	5	3	9	0.200

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	9	56.1	4.17	1.141	7.4	46	6.1	6	4	4	1	6	102	6.1	6	4
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	26	19.5	1.85	1.077	10.6	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	30	33.5	4.57	1.642	10.7	40	0.2	0	0	0	2	2	16	0.2	2	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	15	19.8	7.73	1.667	13.2	29	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	4	0.0	0	1
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	36	24.2	6.69	2.025	10.0	27	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.0	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brendan Beck	Starter	1	3.0	6.00	1.667	3.0	1	3.0	3	2	2	1	7	61	3.0	7	2
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	41	27.4	3.28	1.752	15.4	47	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	43	33.7	1.87	1.454	12.0	45	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	37	27.3	5.93	1.502	10.5	32	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	37	25.5	3.88	1.137	5.3	15	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-4

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves

NYM 36-52 (3.97 RPG / 4.55 RA)

1 - 4

ATL 51-36 (4.71 RPG / 3.78 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-1 TARGET: NYM 1 - 4 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
ATL	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	x	4	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-18.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-7.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record36-52

Win%0.409

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.580

ATL Season Quality

Record51-36

Win%0.586

Run Diff81

RD/Game0.931

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.7763; margin adjustment: 0.746; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	31	121	26	0.215	4	9	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.278	0.408	OK
Juan Soto	LF	68	243	73	0.300	18	41	0.408	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.374	0.459	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	87	349	88	0.252	10	47	0.298	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.228	0.278	0.339	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	70	230	48	0.209	10	33	0.249	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.118	0.164	0.246	OK
Eric Wagaman	DH	13	26	5	0.192	2	4	0.222	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.118	0.153	0.214	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	56	187	46	0.246	9	19	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.280	0.420	OK
Carson Benge	RF	83	319	83	0.260	10	34	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.281	0.372	OK
Tyrone Taylor	CF	40	101	20	0.198	2	13	0.221	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.194	0.222	0.287	OK
Brett Baty	2B	78	251	54	0.215	3	27	0.291	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.191	0.271	0.298	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	1	1	4	7	0.129

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mauricio Dubón	LF	83	304	82	0.270	8	46	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.265	0.330	0.406	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	64	248	63	0.254	15	40	0.336	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.217	0.282	0.354	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	87	331	90	0.272	14	49	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.292	0.429	OK
Matt Olson	1B	87	334	91	0.272	22	54	0.344	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.270	0.343	0.528	OK
Austin Riley	3B	87	311	64	0.206	8	38	0.284	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.272	0.314	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	80	292	87	0.298	15	46	0.330	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.303	0.442	OK
Eli White	RF	44	107	23	0.215	3	14	0.254	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.244	0.333	OK
Joey Bart	C	5	16	2	0.125	1	3	0.176	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.217	0.239	0.353	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	45	115	29	0.252	4	11	0.295	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.196	0.244	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	7	4	4	1	8	0.226

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	18	60.2	4.93	1.429	9.6	64	5.0	5	3	3	0	5	78	5.0	5	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	30	26.7	3.71	1.423	13.8	41	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	0.1	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	34	33.9	2.12	0.855	10.4	39	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	34	26.1	2.76	1.494	11.7	34	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	22	1.2	1	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	15	88.6	2.13	1.095	11.1	109	6.1	2	1	1	2	7	101	6.1	7	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	28	28.4	1.58	1.092	10.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	40	33.2	1.90	0.783	12.5	46	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	34	27.4	4.27	1.387	10.5	32	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-1

Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals

PHI 49-39 (4.48 RPG / 4.42 RA)

5 - 3

KC 35-53 (4.12 RPG / 5.07 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-3 TARGET: PHI 5 - 3 KC (PHI) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	5	7
KC	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff10.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed7.0

Run Diff-40.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record49-39

Win%0.557

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.057

KC Season Quality

Record35-53

Win%0.398

Run Diff-83

RD/Game-0.943

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2386; margin adjustment: -0.5202; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	83	351	85	0.242	10	31	0.286	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.266	0.301	0.451	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	82	314	78	0.248	29	54	0.359	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.239	0.341	0.473	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	86	306	84	0.275	20	57	0.375	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.267	0.369	0.510	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	82	304	96	0.316	15	46	0.349	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.291	0.324	0.548	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	82	305	68	0.223	10	44	0.279	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.280	0.380	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	81	283	69	0.244	7	39	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.328	0.409	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	59	204	41	0.201	5	25	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.279	0.334	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	14	44	7	0.159	1	3	0.196	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.258	0.300	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	79	245	60	0.245	2	18	0.297	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.263	0.304	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	7	5	5	3	17	0.189

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	79	278	70	0.252	13	47	0.315	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.249	0.304	0.457	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	81	318	92	0.289	12	35	0.359	5	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.322	0.470	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	68	197	42	0.213	5	22	0.316	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.211	0.292	0.330	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	80	277	72	0.260	14	30	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.156	0.219	0.317	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	49	147	33	0.224	3	24	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.198	0.280	0.358	OK
Starling Marte	DH	37	100	26	0.260	1	7	0.321	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.304	0.340	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	74	237	55	0.232	4	25	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.242	0.328	0.411	OK
Michael Massey	2B	66	203	52	0.256	7	27	0.287	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.228	0.275	0.366	OK
Tyler Tolbert	RF	17	35	7	0.200	0	1	0.275	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.119	0.201	0.165	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	5	3	3	3	11	0.147

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	17	94.3	4.01	1.347	11.1	116	6.0	2	1	1	1	8	97	6.0	8	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	30	29.2	0.92	0.856	13.9	45	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	36	31.3	2.88	1.278	10.9	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	37	26.1	7.24	1.992	14.8	43	1.2	2	1	1	1	1	19	1.2	1	1
Seth Johnson	Reliever	9	9.4	6.70	1.702	12.4	13	0.0	0	1	1	1	0	22	0.0	0	1

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	17	107.5	3.35	1.153	7.0	84	6.1	1	1	1	2	13	105	6.1	13	1
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	35	33.3	5.41	1.622	10.0	37	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	33	1.2	2	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	33	30.8	4.68	1.656	7.3	25	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	36	30.8	2.92	1.136	9.1	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	37	29.1	3.71	1.443	8.0	26	0.0	4	3	3	1	0	16	0.0	0	3

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-3 (Extra Innings - 10)

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals

PIT 45-45 (5.16 RPG / 4.86 RA)

3 - 4

WAS 46-44 (5.33 RPG / 5.17 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 3 - 4 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	6
WAS	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	x	4	9

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff7.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff7.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record44-45

Win%0.494

Run Diff21

RD/Game0.236

WAS Season Quality

Record46-43

Win%0.517

Run Diff21

RD/Game0.236

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0337; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	56	216	59	0.273	5	23	0.329	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.263	0.306	0.402	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	82	321	78	0.243	20	58	0.320	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.235	0.312	0.429	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	89	323	91	0.282	12	55	0.395	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.257	0.360	0.442	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	20	62	21	0.339	6	16	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.326	0.385	0.645	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	72	279	78	0.280	13	51	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.270	0.315	0.457	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	82	310	94	0.303	4	39	0.356	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.300	0.345	0.422	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	60	202	63	0.312	1	14	0.352	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.284	0.323	0.373	OK
Tyler Callihan	1B	22	59	14	0.237	3	13	0.333	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.131	0.225	0.311	OK
Henry Davis	C	47	147	22	0.150	7	20	0.236	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.191	0.251	0.393	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	3	3	6	9	0.182

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	89	344	92	0.267	22	55	0.389	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.273	0.380	0.537	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	82	272	77	0.283	18	62	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.261	0.524	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	72	229	52	0.227	14	39	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.163	0.251	0.335	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	85	315	86	0.273	18	60	0.354	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.298	0.446	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	38	148	34	0.230	5	17	0.283	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.249	0.296	0.356	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	87	340	87	0.256	10	43	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.305	0.478	OK
Jacob Young	CF	75	258	58	0.225	8	31	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.260	0.354	OK
Drew Millas	C	39	121	23	0.190	2	9	0.279	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.212	0.283	0.313	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	77	249	59	0.237	1	28	0.323	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.314	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	9	4	4	3	9	0.273

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	17	100.8	3.39	1.101	10.3	115	5.2	5	3	3	2	7	99	5.2	7	3
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	36	33.0	4.91	1.424	8.7	32	1.1	2	0	0	1	1	27	1.1	1	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	33	27.6	4.89	1.594	16.0	49	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Palmquist	Starter	2	4.1	2.20	1.220	8.8	4	3.0	3	2	2	3	4	59	3.0	4	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	26	23.1	3.51	1.429	11.3	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	33	29.2	3.39	1.507	6.8	22	1.1	0	0	0	2	2	25	1.1	2	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	27	23.0	3.91	1.304	7.8	20	2.0	2	1	1	1	1	35	2.0	1	1
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	26	52.0	3.46	1.269	9.0	52	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	19	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 4-3

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SD 43-44 (3.94 RPG / 4.43 RA)

1 - 6

LAD 58-31 (5.37 RPG / 3.54 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-1 TARGET: SD 1 - 6 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3
LAD	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	1	x	6	10

SD Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed7.7

Run Diff-35.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs7.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff31.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record43-43

Win%0.500

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.477

LAD Season Quality

Record57-31

Win%0.648

Run Diff162

RD/Game1.841

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.5392; margin adjustment: 1.0665; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	85	336	93	0.277	5	32	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.287	0.388	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	36	113	20	0.177	2	7	0.290	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.297	0.326	OK
Manny Machado	3B	85	311	59	0.190	17	48	0.278	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.201	0.294	0.418	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	80	251	59	0.235	14	39	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.314	0.456	OK
Ty France	1B	58	185	49	0.265	10	30	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.289	0.427	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	83	288	67	0.233	8	33	0.322	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.229	0.310	0.333	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	83	325	70	0.215	10	33	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.209	0.260	0.378	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	64	212	56	0.264	5	19	0.300	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.291	0.402	OK
Luis Campusano	C	18	52	15	0.288	3	10	0.362	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.293	0.478	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	1	1	4	7	0.100

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Edman	CF	12	45	17	0.378	1	9	0.451	5	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.314	0.392	0.521	OK
Andy Pages	DH	88	342	92	0.269	16	62	0.331	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.276	0.338	0.466	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	86	324	95	0.293	14	47	0.383	5	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.313	0.398	0.513	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	52	213	52	0.244	11	29	0.299	5	5	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.279	0.328	0.454	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	81	301	74	0.246	7	45	0.339	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.273	0.361	0.407	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	55	197	53	0.269	8	36	0.341	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.263	0.335	0.435	OK
Max Muncy	3B	81	272	73	0.268	17	39	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.273	0.355	0.489	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	52	163	43	0.264	10	29	0.339	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.286	0.344	0.499	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	63	179	40	0.223	3	17	0.305	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.213	0.301	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	10	6	6	5	6	0.303

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Wandy Peralta	Starter	38	39.5	2.73	1.519	6.8	30	5.0	5	2	2	3	4	100	5.0	4	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	33	32.1	0.84	0.903	18.5	66	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	40	37.8	4.05	1.243	12.1	51	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2
Kyle Hart	Middle Reliever	20	25.4	6.02	1.220	8.9	25	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	26	1.0	1	2

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	15	96.5	2.70	0.902	8.4	90	7.0	2	1	1	3	7	106	7.0	7	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	38	33.1	2.18	0.755	12.2	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Middle Reliever	33	32.1	2.80	0.966	9.8	35	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	38	21.9	3.29	1.416	16.4	40	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	29	30.6	2.65	1.536	11.5	39	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-1

San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies

SF 37-51 (4.08 RPG / 4.78 RA)

5 - 4

COL 36-53 (4.85 RPG / 5.73 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 5-4 TARGET: SF 5 - 4 COL (SF) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	5	11
COL	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-15.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.9

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff14.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record37-50

Win%0.425

Run Diff-50

RD/Game-0.575

COL Season Quality

Record35-53

Win%0.398

Run Diff-90

RD/Game-1.023

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4894; margin adjustment: -0.2055; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heliot Ramos	RF	48	179	46	0.257	6	23	0.295	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.252	0.290	0.480	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	82	323	108	0.334	4	31	0.368	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.307	0.342	0.487	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	78	310	87	0.281	16	43	0.306	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.239	0.254	0.386	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	87	331	82	0.248	16	45	0.312	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.262	0.326	0.526	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	CF	78	294	95	0.323	5	32	0.355	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.274	0.302	0.409	OK
Willy Adames	SS	82	322	74	0.230	14	32	0.272	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.239	0.283	0.426	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	46	157	44	0.280	6	18	0.374	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.251	0.343	0.401	OK
Victor Bericoto	LF	17	43	12	0.279	4	6	0.295	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.163	0.190	0.316	OK
Eric Haase	C	23	66	12	0.182	4	9	0.239	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.176	0.233	0.325	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	11	5	5	4	6	0.289

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willi Castro	2B	73	263	71	0.270	6	35	0.341	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.289	0.343	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	81	239	64	0.268	6	26	0.368	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.300	0.393	0.522	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	82	313	77	0.246	27	50	0.308	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.292	0.540	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	56	195	53	0.272	3	23	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.169	0.198	0.247	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	21	71	20	0.282	3	16	0.372	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.368	0.498	OK
Jake McCarthy	LF	68	247	76	0.308	9	46	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.289	0.324	0.556	OK
Braxton Fulford	DH	25	45	9	0.200	1	7	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.120	0.214	0.230	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	80	284	61	0.215	7	30	0.257	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.260	0.390	OK
Troy Johnston	1B	77	256	81	0.316	3	37	0.379	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.281	0.351	0.411	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	8	4	4	0	12	0.229

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	17	93.1	3.48	1.257	7.9	82	6.0	6	2	2	0	10	94	6.0	10	2
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	35	31.1	4.63	1.447	12.4	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	24	20.6	6.12	1.845	8.3	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	27	18.6	4.35	1.935	15.0	31	0.2	2	2	2	0	0	14	0.2	0	2
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	11	8.5	2.12	1.412	11.6	11	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Sullivan	Starter	2	7.0	10.29	1.857	5.1	4	3.0	6	3	3	3	5	80	3.0	5	3
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	25	39.1	3.45	1.304	8.3	36	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	27	1.1	0	1
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	20	18.9	4.29	1.323	11.0	23	2.0	3	1	1	0	0	38	2.0	0	1
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	23	23.1	5.84	1.861	6.6	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	41	27.3	4.29	1.648	8.6	26	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

SF wins 5-4

St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs

STL 46-39 (4.66 RPG / 4.52 RA)

4 - 6

CHC 49-39 (5.1 RPG / 4.57 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 6-4 TARGET: STL 4 - 6 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	4	6
CHC	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	x	6	7

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.8

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff23.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record46-39

Win%0.541

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.141

CHC Season Quality

Record49-39

Win%0.557

Run Diff47

RD/Game0.534

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4164; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	79	314	82	0.261	12	34	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.304	0.333	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	84	307	78	0.254	10	37	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.321	0.348	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	82	319	93	0.292	18	60	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.320	0.444	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	83	322	88	0.273	14	61	0.338	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.284	0.410	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	75	281	71	0.253	4	37	0.320	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.267	0.326	0.402	OK
José Fermín	3B	49	129	35	0.271	3	16	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.319	0.409	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	23	80	24	0.300	2	8	0.387	3	3	2	1	3	0	0	0.667	0.271	0.358	0.426	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	44	135	30	0.222	4	11	0.262	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.254	0.333	OK
Nathan Church	CF	62	210	54	0.257	8	27	0.296	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.225	0.258	0.437	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	4	4	0	6	0.182

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	87	327	95	0.291	19	49	0.378	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.282	0.369	0.519	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	85	334	82	0.246	7	31	0.345	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.329	0.362	OK
Michael Busch	1B	86	315	75	0.238	11	47	0.370	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.228	0.343	0.425	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	72	269	73	0.271	13	42	0.356	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.274	0.351	0.464	OK
Ian Happ	LF	82	309	69	0.223	17	41	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.211	0.309	0.391	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	85	343	83	0.242	4	36	0.314	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.251	0.316	0.355	OK
Michael Conforto	RF	54	125	30	0.240	7	20	0.321	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.167	0.253	0.382	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	39	118	27	0.229	3	13	0.336	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.221	0.297	0.343	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	82	279	59	0.211	16	57	0.302	3	2	1	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.252	0.326	0.574	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	7	6	6	2	8	0.226

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	16	80.4	4.14	1.493	7.5	67	5.0	6	6	6	2	6	89	5.0	6	6
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	35	33.7	4.01	1.217	9.1	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	39	30.3	4.75	1.617	11.0	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	38	32.2	3.91	1.335	8.4	30	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	17	96.7	4.37	1.096	8.6	92	5.2	4	3	3	0	5	87	5.2	5	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	37	32.6	3.87	1.503	12.4	45	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	5	1.0	0	1
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	26	18.9	4.76	1.481	13.8	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.1	0	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	20	23.6	2.67	1.059	4.2	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-4

Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros

TB 52-33 (4.56 RPG / 4.11 RA)

5 - 3

HOU 43-47 (4.46 RPG / 4.99 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-3 TARGET: TB 5 - 3 HOU (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	5	10
HOU	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4

TB Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff32.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record51-33

Win%0.607

Run Diff37

RD/Game0.440

HOU Season Quality

Record43-46

Win%0.483

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.517

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.1433; margin adjustment: -0.4802; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonathan Aranda	DH	84	305	88	0.289	13	58	0.392	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.281	0.373	0.421	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	85	323	93	0.288	25	55	0.376	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.287	0.366	0.630	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	73	253	54	0.213	10	29	0.290	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.249	0.302	0.459	OK
Ryan Vilade	1B	45	126	35	0.278	6	27	0.340	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.321	0.508	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	LF	23	72	13	0.181	3	8	0.262	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.284	0.333	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	45	146	38	0.260	4	23	0.303	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.235	0.292	0.410	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	59	176	40	0.227	1	22	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.136	0.228	0.215	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	64	201	46	0.229	0	20	0.329	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.242	0.339	0.354	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	43	105	25	0.238	1	8	0.302	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.152	0.211	0.259	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	5	5	2	9	0.270

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	66	253	58	0.229	8	22	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.272	0.312	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	87	313	101	0.323	27	61	0.435	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.283	0.393	0.537	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	82	295	72	0.244	11	45	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.304	0.387	OK
Christian Walker	1B	87	325	78	0.240	19	56	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.282	0.396	OK
Cam Smith	RF	86	296	66	0.223	11	32	0.296	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.232	0.289	0.447	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	36	141	33	0.234	3	16	0.262	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.215	0.241	0.325	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	37	101	26	0.257	3	11	0.318	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.148	0.214	0.305	OK
Nick Allen	SS	31	75	18	0.240	1	6	0.284	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.133	0.178	0.200	OK
Joey Loperfido	LF	36	102	22	0.216	1	12	0.296	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.186	0.260	0.329	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	4	3	3	3	8	0.133

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	16	91.3	2.46	0.876	9.3	94	6.1	4	3	3	3	7	106	6.1	7	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	36	33.4	1.89	0.838	10.0	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	38	34.7	2.85	1.037	7.8	30	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	27	21.9	4.52	1.416	12.7	31	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.1	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	5	24.4	1.84	1.230	11.8	32	5.0	4	2	2	2	6	92	5.0	6	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	13	13.0	0.69	0.538	14.5	21	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	35	32.1	2.52	1.371	7.9	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	31	26.2	6.53	1.794	12.7	37	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	25	1.0	1	2
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	42	35.7	3.03	1.064	10.1	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-3

Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners

TOR 42-47 (4.0 RPG / 4.43 RA)

5 - 3

SEA 46-44 (4.09 RPG / 3.83 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 5-3 TARGET: TOR 5 - 3 SEA (TOR) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	0	5	9
SEA	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	11

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-2.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record41-46

Win%0.471

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.333

SEA Season Quality

Record45-43

Win%0.511

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.159

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5526; margin adjustment: 0.2321; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	53	171	50	0.292	4	17	0.341	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.247	0.285	0.389	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	DH	82	306	82	0.268	4	35	0.344	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.225	0.297	0.311	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	84	308	74	0.240	19	54	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.299	0.407	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	69	252	64	0.254	7	23	0.320	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.224	0.281	0.383	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	85	325	96	0.295	7	29	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.282	0.369	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	47	146	39	0.267	5	19	0.305	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.225	0.265	0.360	OK
Sean Keys	1B	4	16	4	0.250	1	3	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.227	0.236	0.403	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	50	150	36	0.240	7	19	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.199	0.292	0.323	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	82	269	64	0.238	7	35	0.285	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.232	0.275	0.353	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	9	5	5	0	9	0.257

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	71	255	55	0.216	10	25	0.330	5	5	2	1	0	0	3	0.400	0.218	0.302	0.327	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	81	296	83	0.280	8	37	0.370	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.236	0.301	0.378	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	75	201	54	0.269	13	34	0.338	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.249	0.311	0.490	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	57	213	34	0.160	8	24	0.264	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.183	0.290	0.300	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	82	323	81	0.251	8	34	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.239	0.297	0.334	OK
Luke Raley	RF	73	212	49	0.231	14	35	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.270	0.384	OK
Cole Young	2B	89	320	83	0.259	9	41	0.320	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.276	0.323	0.461	OK
Victor Robles	CF	25	75	18	0.240	0	3	0.278	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.252	0.281	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	39	125	26	0.208	7	19	0.283	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.210	0.271	0.366	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	3	3	2	9	0.289

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Bieber	Starter	2	8.3	6.51	2.169	6.5	6	4.2	8	3	3	0	4	84	4.2	4	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	42	43.5	1.03	1.034	13.4	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	41	36.4	1.98	1.346	4.9	20	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	41	34.7	4.93	1.614	16.1	62	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	42	38.7	3.95	1.318	10.0	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	44	24.7	5.10	1.862	14.6	40	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.1	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	17	97.9	3.49	1.032	9.8	107	6.0	5	3	3	0	7	98	6.0	7	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	33	29.7	4.24	1.347	14.2	47	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	40	32.8	2.74	1.463	8.5	31	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	41	31.8	2.55	1.541	10.2	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Cincinnati Reds

BAL Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

BOS Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

CHW Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers

DET Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

DET Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Oakland Athletics

MIA Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MIL Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees

MIN Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves