MLB Predictions — July 2, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
CHW @ CLE	4 - 1	4 - 1	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 4-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ MIL	1 - 5	1 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ TEX	5 - 3	5 - 3	DET	DET	DET wins 5-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ SEA	3 - 4	3 - 4	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ COL	8 - 1	8 - 1	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 8-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ PHI	4 - 5	4 - 5	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-4	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ LAD	1 - 7	1 - 7	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 7-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ ATL	3 - 5	3 - 5	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ KC	4 - 2	4 - 2	TB	TB	TB wins 4-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

CHW 45-40 (4.82 RPG / 4.53 RA)

4 - 1

CLE 45-42 (3.97 RPG / 4.06 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 4-1 TARGET: CHW 4 - 1 CLE (CHW) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	8
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	6

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed1.7

Run Diff19.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-9.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record45-40

Win%0.529

Run Diff25

RD/Game0.294

CLE Season Quality

Record45-42

Win%0.517

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.092

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4043; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	2	1	1	0	3	0	0.500	0.170	0.229	0.328	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.206	0.276	0.441	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.240	0.295	0.348	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.197	0.264	0.278	OK
Kyle Teel	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.311	0.404
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.222	0.314	0.384	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.295	0.429	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.282	0.342	0.468	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.278	0.460	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	4	4	6	5	0.229

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	55	204	50	0.245	7	25	0.336	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.213	0.290	0.354	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	68	255	71	0.278	7	38	0.343	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.289	0.344	0.426	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	76	238	55	0.231	10	29	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.225	0.295	0.383	OK
Kahlil Watson	RF	13	42	12	0.286	1	8	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.266	0.287	0.426	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	83	281	76	0.270	5	34	0.338	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.256	0.306	0.364	OK
Cooper Ingle	LF	4	11	1	0.091	0	2	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.366	0.320	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	19	64	14	0.219	3	6	0.254	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.219	0.256	0.371	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	26	76	15	0.197	1	7	0.244	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.175	0.231	0.261	OK
Steven Kwan	CF	76	269	58	0.216	1	13	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.218	0.304	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	1	1	5	7	0.182

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	4	0	0	4	4	106	6.0	4	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	20	1.0	2	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Slade Cecconi	Starter	17	88.0	4.30	1.398	7.2	70	5.2	6	2	2	3	2	113	5.2	2	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	36	36.0	3.25	1.278	14.2	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	26	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	28	19.8	3.64	1.667	9.5	21	0.2	1	2	2	1	2	15	0.2	2	2
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	30	26.9	2.01	0.967	12.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	30	18.4	4.40	1.576	22.0	45	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-1

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers

CIN 40-46 (4.23 RPG / 4.87 RA)

1 - 5

MIL 53-32 (5.13 RPG / 3.67 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-1 TARGET: CIN 1 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4
MIL	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	x	5	5

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-12.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff17.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record39-45

Win%0.464

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.690

MIL Season Quality

Record52-31

Win%0.627

Run Diff127

RD/Game1.530

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.4639; margin adjustment: 1.0348; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	65	259	72	0.278	13	40	0.346	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.239	0.303	0.423	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	84	319	83	0.260	16	59	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.315	0.454	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	56	200	48	0.240	13	37	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.307	0.361	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	56	202	42	0.208	8	29	0.275	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.197	0.257	0.356	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	61	178	45	0.253	8	24	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.150	0.235	0.289	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	31	100	20	0.200	5	8	0.252	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.198	0.250	0.364	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	22	71	19	0.268	0	4	0.321	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.271	0.329	OK
Jose Trevino	C	17	52	10	0.192	0	4	0.208	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.214	0.285	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	48	162	28	0.173	2	8	0.254	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.158	0.224	0.234	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	1	1	1	7	0.129

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	50	194	49	0.253	5	26	0.333	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.317	0.367	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	50	213	63	0.296	12	33	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.337	0.496	OK
Brice Turang	2B	79	305	80	0.262	12	48	0.362	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.351	0.450	OK
William Contreras	C	79	307	91	0.296	9	51	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.271	0.331	0.412	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	73	251	68	0.271	15	51	0.370	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.270	0.357	0.493	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	69	223	58	0.260	5	33	0.349	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.306	0.382	0.525	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	74	239	60	0.251	3	29	0.316	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.314	0.374	0.430	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	14	41	8	0.195	0	2	0.292	3	3	2	1	3	0	0	0.667	0.221	0.319	0.316	OK
David Hamilton	3B	63	192	44	0.229	3	13	0.299	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.234	0.291	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	5	5	5	2	6	0.172

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	16	90.5	2.39	1.094	11.1	112	6.0	3	3	3	2	6	99	6.0	6	3
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	15	13.4	6.72	1.493	8.1	12	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	24	21.3	2.96	1.127	8.9	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	16	98.3	1.46	0.773	13.4	146	7.0	2	0	0	1	7	98	7.0	7	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	33	33.0	2.18	0.909	12.0	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	34	30.2	3.28	1.126	9.5	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	40	46.2	3.51	1.494	13.6	70	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	2	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-1

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers

DET 38-49 (4.21 RPG / 4.08 RA)

5 - 3

TEX 44-43 (4.07 RPG / 4.16 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-3 TARGET: DET 5 - 3 TEX (DET) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	5	8
TEX	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	6

DET Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff16.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record38-49

Win%0.437

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.126

TEX Season Quality

Record44-43

Win%0.506

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.092

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1149; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	83	311	88	0.283	7	31	0.394	5	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.250	0.352	0.401	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	79	296	80	0.270	19	59	0.330	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.244	0.287	0.446	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	64	181	43	0.238	13	36	0.309	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.263	0.317	0.520	OK
Riley Greene	LF	85	308	89	0.289	11	38	0.380	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.335	0.450	OK
Colt Keith	DH	77	231	57	0.247	5	17	0.293	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.269	0.378	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	85	287	61	0.213	14	37	0.315	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.240	0.331	0.474	OK
Zach McKinstry	SS	59	184	36	0.196	3	16	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.295	0.357	OK
James Outman	CF	13	39	7	0.179	3	8	0.256	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.106	0.174	0.232	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	47	133	34	0.256	3	13	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.295	0.411	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	5	5	2	7	0.229

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Justin Foscue	2B	35	91	25	0.275	5	15	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.187	0.238	0.365	OK
Josh Jung	3B	81	316	93	0.294	9	32	0.357	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.262	0.321	0.420	OK
Ezequiel Duran	RF	76	264	72	0.273	6	41	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.186	0.242	0.292	OK
Jake Burger	1B	84	308	77	0.250	14	52	0.315	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.301	0.371	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	44	141	31	0.220	5	15	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.140	0.239	0.217	OK
Cameron Cauley	CF	3	9	1	0.111	0	0	0.200	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.226	0.298	0.497	OK
Elias Díaz	DH	14	44	14	0.318	1	10	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.252	0.415	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	52	146	36	0.247	0	14	0.337	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.295	0.301	OK
Nicky Lopez	SS	30	88	30	0.341	1	8	0.376	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.194	0.221	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	4	0.182

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	17	94.5	4.10	1.344	7.3	77	5.2	5	3	3	2	3	94	5.2	3	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	22	18.7	4.81	1.230	11.1	23	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	36	34.9	1.81	1.547	7.7	30	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	37	32.9	4.10	1.672	9.0	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.1	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	16	99.4	3.98	1.167	9.1	101	6.1	6	3	3	0	6	98	6.1	6	3
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	32	39.9	1.13	0.551	9.7	43	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	16	1.1	0	2
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	31	32.3	3.07	1.115	7.5	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	22	27.1	3.32	1.107	11.0	33	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	18	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

LAA 36-51 (4.49 RPG / 5.01 RA)

3 - 4

SEA 44-43 (4.09 RPG / 3.94 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 4 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4
SEA	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	x	4	7

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff1.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record36-51

Win%0.414

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.517

SEA Season Quality

Record44-43

Win%0.506

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.149

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8046; margin adjustment: 0.3379; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	84	331	75	0.227	18	42	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.291	0.419	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	68	256	67	0.262	6	31	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.307	0.361	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	18	71	19	0.268	3	13	0.325	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.304	0.402	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	65	236	52	0.220	11	37	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.321	0.418	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	33	106	31	0.292	2	15	0.370	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.269	0.348	0.396	OK
Jo Adell	RF	86	338	83	0.246	11	45	0.290	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.230	0.251	0.398	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	72	239	61	0.255	7	22	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.223	0.246	0.351	OK
Josh Lowe	CF	47	143	31	0.217	6	18	0.257	3	3	1	1	3	0	1	0.333	0.258	0.294	0.435	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	57	186	43	0.231	4	23	0.294	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.262	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	3	3	2	10	0.129

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	69	248	53	0.214	10	25	0.329	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.208	0.293	0.309	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	86	344	89	0.259	14	40	0.321	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.276	0.328	0.395	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	73	194	53	0.273	13	34	0.341	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.252	0.316	0.514	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	79	290	82	0.283	8	37	0.370	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.317	0.427	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	80	315	81	0.257	8	34	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.311	0.349	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	55	207	34	0.164	8	23	0.268	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.189	0.299	0.311	OK
Luke Raley	RF	71	206	49	0.238	14	35	0.302	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.284	0.421	OK
Cole Young	2B	87	314	82	0.261	9	41	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.320	0.454	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	37	119	26	0.218	7	19	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.228	0.297	0.418	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	4	4	5	5	0.226

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	15	70.5	3.19	1.362	8.8	69	5.2	5	1	1	2	5	106	5.2	5	1
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	31	33.7	3.74	1.335	10.1	38	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	32	1.1	0	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	34	35.6	4.55	1.433	13.7	54	0.0	1	3	3	2	0	17	0.0	0	3
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	19	16.5	2.73	0.970	13.6	25	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Miller	Starter	8	44.5	2.02	0.742	10.9	54	6.0	2	2	2	2	7	90	6.0	7	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	32	28.7	4.39	1.289	14.7	47	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	17	1.0	2	1
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	39	31.8	2.83	1.478	8.5	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	40	30.8	2.63	1.591	9.9	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-3

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

MIA 46-42 (4.43 RPG / 4.31 RA)

8 - 1

COL 35-53 (4.74 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 8-1 TARGET: MIA 8 - 1 COL (MIA) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	3	0	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	8	10
COL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff17.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-10.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record46-40

Win%0.535

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.279

COL Season Quality

Record33-53

Win%0.384

Run Diff-103

RD/Game-1.198

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.7035; margin adjustment: -0.7155; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	DH	75	258	73	0.283	13	53	0.360	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.286	0.349	0.417	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	85	337	112	0.332	7	37	0.365	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.285	0.314	0.474	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	63	234	54	0.231	8	34	0.320	5	4	0	1	0	1	4	0.000	0.254	0.321	0.448	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	86	317	96	0.303	6	30	0.381	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.318	0.390	0.447	OK
Griffin Conine	LF	18	50	14	0.280	3	10	0.357	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.180	0.265	0.340	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	74	208	50	0.240	10	46	0.296	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.287	0.337	0.515	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	83	296	56	0.189	4	21	0.307	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.188	0.283	0.291	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	60	195	54	0.277	3	34	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.297	0.337	0.487	OK
Joe Mack	C	44	133	34	0.256	6	22	0.312	4	3	3	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.258	0.305	0.476	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	10	8	8	5	10	0.278

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	RF	66	238	70	0.294	6	36	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.285	0.441	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	51	174	47	0.270	14	35	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.274	0.526	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	81	297	87	0.293	12	44	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.270	0.342	0.437	OK
Willi Castro	SS	72	260	70	0.269	6	33	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.234	0.292	0.347	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	76	252	79	0.313	3	35	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.337	0.389	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	19	64	17	0.266	3	11	0.368	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.247	0.342	0.416	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	79	232	61	0.263	6	26	0.359	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.269	0.366	0.507	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	37	109	23	0.211	4	13	0.241	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.187	0.220	0.346	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	67	188	42	0.223	2	18	0.333	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.234	0.357	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	1	1	2	6	0.156

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Gusto	Starter	7	20.4	5.29	1.618	8.8	20	4.1	4	1	1	1	4	73	4.1	4	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	27	23.6	7.25	1.441	12.6	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	35	30.0	3.90	1.700	10.5	35	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	34	32.6	3.59	1.135	12.1	44	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
John King	Middle Reliever	38	30.0	2.40	0.867	8.7	29	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	18	78.4	7.12	1.862	7.6	66	4.2	7	4	4	2	6	88	4.2	6	4
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	25	39.1	3.45	1.304	8.3	36	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	15	1.1	1	1
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	20	18.9	4.29	1.323	11.0	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	22	22.0	6.14	1.909	7.0	17	1.1	1	1	1	1	2	24	1.1	2	1
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	40	26.2	4.47	1.679	8.9	26	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	13	0.2	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	35	33.3	7.30	1.922	11.1	41	0.0	1	1	1	1	0	18	0.0	0	1
Zach Agnos	Reliever	22	49.0	7.71	1.755	6.4	35	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

MIA wins 8-1

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies

PIT 44-44 (5.14 RPG / 4.85 RA)

4 - 5

PHI 49-39 (4.48 RPG / 4.42 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-4 TARGET: PIT 4 - 5 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
PHI	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	x	5	10

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff8.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff12.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record43-44

Win%0.494

Run Diff20

RD/Game0.230

PHI Season Quality

Record49-38

Win%0.563

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.115

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0115; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	58	192	58	0.302	1	14	0.345	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.287	0.328	0.373	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	80	313	75	0.240	20	57	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.287	0.425	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	87	314	88	0.280	11	53	0.395	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.243	0.353	0.402	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	18	53	16	0.302	6	12	0.373	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.308	0.378	0.647	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	70	269	77	0.286	13	51	0.338	4	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.268	0.316	0.454	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	80	300	90	0.300	3	36	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.294	0.353	0.385	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	55	210	42	0.200	7	26	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.282	0.354	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	31	89	24	0.270	4	15	0.375	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.262	0.362	0.460	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	50	160	38	0.238	1	14	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.296	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	2	12	0.206

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	82	347	84	0.242	10	31	0.286	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.254	0.292	0.439	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	81	311	78	0.251	29	54	0.361	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.245	0.343	0.508	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	85	302	83	0.275	20	56	0.377	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.372	0.524	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	81	300	96	0.320	15	46	0.353	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.295	0.328	0.560	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	81	301	67	0.223	10	44	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.272	0.360	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	80	279	68	0.244	7	39	0.305	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.262	0.320	0.398	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	13	41	7	0.171	1	3	0.209	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.226	0.267	0.314	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	78	242	60	0.248	2	18	0.300	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.274	0.314	0.382	OK
Rafael Marchán	C	25	78	9	0.115	2	6	0.148	4	3	3	1	0	1	0	1.000	0.191	0.204	0.298	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	10	5	5	3	6	0.294

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	6	24.3	5.93	1.481	9.3	25	4.0	6	4	4	2	3	78	4.0	3	4
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	36	33.0	4.91	1.424	8.7	32	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	32	26.6	5.08	1.654	15.6	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	37	43.0	3.98	1.488	11.5	55	1.2	1	0	0	1	1	28	1.2	1	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Alan Rangel	Starter	3	12.0	4.50	1.167	9.8	13	4.0	6	4	4	2	5	76	4.0	5	4
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	30	29.2	0.92	0.856	13.9	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	36	31.3	2.88	1.278	10.9	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	36	25.1	6.81	1.952	14.7	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	27	21.6	4.17	1.343	12.5	30	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	33	35.4	3.05	1.073	9.7	38	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-4

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SD 43-42 (3.92 RPG / 4.34 RA)

1 - 7

LAD 56-31 (5.31 RPG / 3.51 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 7-1 TARGET: SD 1 - 7 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8
LAD	2	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	x	7	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-29.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff15.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record43-42

Win%0.506

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.424

LAD Season Quality

Record56-30

Win%0.651

Run Diff163

RD/Game1.895

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.5368; margin adjustment: 1.0655; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	83	328	92	0.280	5	32	0.342	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.236	0.288	0.393	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	34	105	17	0.162	1	4	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.274	0.263	OK
Manny Machado	3B	83	305	58	0.190	16	46	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.291	0.433	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	78	244	57	0.234	14	38	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.318	0.487	OK
Ty France	1B	56	176	48	0.273	10	30	0.332	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.283	0.328	0.545	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	81	317	67	0.211	8	31	0.271	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.207	0.261	0.317	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	81	280	65	0.232	8	32	0.324	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.236	0.326	0.324	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	45	136	20	0.147	3	11	0.244	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.164	0.250	0.288	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	22	78	26	0.333	1	11	0.416	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.162	0.262	0.238	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	1	1	2	7	0.229

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	79	302	88	0.291	18	50	0.406	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.275	0.379	0.486	OK
Andy Pages	CF	86	336	91	0.271	16	60	0.328	5	4	3	1	3	1	0	0.750	0.275	0.328	0.463	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	84	316	93	0.294	14	47	0.384	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.316	0.400	0.538	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	50	205	50	0.244	11	28	0.297	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.276	0.324	0.486	OK
Max Muncy	3B	79	264	70	0.265	17	37	0.360	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.266	0.345	0.489	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	79	293	70	0.239	7	44	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.344	0.406	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	53	189	52	0.275	7	32	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.342	0.424	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	50	156	38	0.244	9	25	0.326	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.303	0.418	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	11	41	15	0.366	1	8	0.435	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.280	0.356	0.470	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	9	7	7	5	9	0.273

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	16	78.9	4.56	1.496	6.8	60	4.1	7	7	7	4	3	98	4.1	3	7
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	33	32.1	0.84	0.903	18.5	66	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18	1.0	3	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	39	36.8	3.91	1.168	12.5	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	36	30.0	2.70	1.267	6.6	22	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kyle Hart	Middle Reliever	20	25.4	6.02	1.220	8.9	25	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	22	0.2	1	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	14	70.6	4.97	1.360	9.2	72	5.2	6	1	1	2	4	97	5.2	4	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	36	32.0	2.25	0.750	11.8	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Middle Reliever	31	30.1	2.99	1.030	9.9	33	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	10	1.2	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	37	20.9	3.44	1.435	16.8	39	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 7-1

St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves

STL 44-39 (4.43 RPG / 4.55 RA)

3 - 5

ATL 50-35 (4.71 RPG / 3.71 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-3 TARGET: STL 3 - 5 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	4
ATL	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	5	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-14.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-9.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record44-39

Win%0.530

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.120

ATL Season Quality

Record50-35

Win%0.588

Run Diff85

RD/Game1.000

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2077; margin adjustment: 0.5072; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	77	304	79	0.260	12	33	0.357	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.227	0.299	0.342	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	82	299	74	0.247	10	34	0.385	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.212	0.303	0.338	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	81	312	85	0.272	13	56	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.212	0.274	0.359	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	80	311	90	0.289	17	56	0.344	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.309	0.395	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	22	75	22	0.293	2	7	0.386	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.263	0.356	0.411	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	73	273	66	0.242	3	32	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.289	0.334	OK
Nathan Church	CF	60	200	51	0.255	6	22	0.296	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.217	0.257	0.378	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	16	54	12	0.222	1	13	0.233	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.211	0.240	0.359	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	19	53	8	0.151	1	7	0.237	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.186	0.250	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	4	3	3	3	13	0.133

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	62	240	62	0.258	15	40	0.339	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.206	0.275	0.346	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	85	323	89	0.276	13	48	0.324	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.292	0.422	OK
Matt Olson	1B	85	328	89	0.271	20	52	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.321	0.441	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	78	284	84	0.296	14	44	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.285	0.392	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	81	299	80	0.268	8	45	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.311	0.411	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	64	183	51	0.279	6	30	0.311	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.296	0.368	OK
Austin Riley	3B	85	305	63	0.207	8	38	0.284	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.198	0.260	0.307	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	73	204	45	0.221	4	18	0.306	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.203	0.290	0.326	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.246	0.307	0.394
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	8	5	5	2	9	0.242

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	15	82.5	4.36	1.212	8.4	77	5.2	4	2	2	1	9	89	5.2	9	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	35	33.7	4.01	1.217	9.1	34	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	24	1.1	0	1
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	38	29.3	4.91	1.638	11.1	36	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	37	31.2	4.04	1.346	8.7	30	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hurston Waldrep	Starter	1	2.0	0.00	3.000	13.5	3	3.0	3	3	3	2	7	62	3.0	7	3
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	27	27.4	1.31	1.022	10.2	31	2.1	1	0	0	0	2	32	2.1	2	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	39	33.1	1.09	0.695	12.5	46	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	33	27.2	3.31	1.287	10.6	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	26	29.3	2.76	1.195	11.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-3

Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals

TB 50-33 (4.58 RPG / 4.17 RA)

4 - 2

KC 35-52 (4.15 RPG / 5.07 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-2 TARGET: TB 4 - 2 KC (TB) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	4	10
KC	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff27.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed7.7

Run Diff-39.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record50-33

Win%0.602

Run Diff34

RD/Game0.410

KC Season Quality

Record35-52

Win%0.402

Run Diff-80

RD/Game-0.920

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6293; margin adjustment: -0.6843; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	80	304	100	0.329	12	53	0.410	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.300	0.372	0.438	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	82	296	87	0.294	13	58	0.399	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.312	0.413	0.494	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	83	314	92	0.293	24	54	0.383	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.301	0.385	0.671	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	21	65	13	0.200	3	8	0.288	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.238	0.317	0.397	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	76	295	80	0.271	0	16	0.309	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.188	0.236	0.267	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	71	245	52	0.212	9	27	0.291	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.259	0.315	0.455	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	62	195	45	0.231	0	19	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.352	0.366	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	58	173	39	0.225	1	21	0.325	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.143	0.235	0.222	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	42	101	22	0.218	1	7	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.132	0.196	0.214	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	4	4	2	9	0.270

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	78	274	68	0.248	12	46	0.313	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.238	0.297	0.424	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	80	314	92	0.293	12	35	0.363	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.260	0.329	0.476	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	79	273	71	0.260	14	30	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.154	0.218	0.321	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	67	193	41	0.212	5	22	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.201	0.287	0.311	OK
Starling Marte	DH	36	97	26	0.268	1	7	0.330	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.306	0.341	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	48	144	33	0.229	3	24	0.317	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.196	0.272	0.357	OK
Michael Massey	2B	65	199	52	0.261	7	27	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.279	0.371	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	73	234	54	0.231	3	24	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.228	0.315	0.356	OK
Kameron Misner	RF	10	33	9	0.273	0	4	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.119	0.148	0.189	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	2	2	4	7	0.156

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ian Seymour	Starter	29	45.1	3.79	1.153	10.4	52	5.1	5	2	2	2	4	99	5.1	4	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	34	31.4	2.01	0.892	10.0	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	37	33.5	2.96	1.075	8.1	30	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	26	20.9	4.74	1.435	13.3	31	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Stephen Kolek	Starter	9	50.6	4.27	1.225	6.0	34	5.1	7	2	2	1	7	97	5.1	7	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	35	33.3	5.41	1.622	10.0	37	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	24	1.2	2	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	33	30.8	4.68	1.656	7.3	25	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	35	29.8	3.02	1.174	9.1	30	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

CHW Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers

CIN Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers

DET Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

DET Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

LAA Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

MIA Recent Form

COL Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies

PIT Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

PIT Season Quality

PHI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SD Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

SD Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves