MLB Predictions — June 30, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
CHW @ BAL	4 - 2	4 - 2	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 4-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ MIL	2 - 6	2 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ NYY	1 - 2	1 - 3	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-1	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAA @ SEA	4 - 3	4 - 3	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ OAK	6 - 3	6 - 3	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ COL	5 - 4	5 - 4	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ HOU	6 - 3	6 - 3	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 6-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ TOR	3 - 2	3 - 2	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 3-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PIT @ PHI	1 - 2	1 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 3-1	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SD @ CHC	3 - 4	3 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ ARI	5 - 2	5 - 2	SF	SF	SF wins 5-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ ATL	3 - 4	3 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ KC	4 - 3	4 - 3	TB	TB	TB wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ CLE	3 - 2	3 - 2	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 3-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ BOS	5 - 2	5 - 2	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 5-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

CHW 44-39 (4.82 RPG / 4.53 RA)

4 - 2

BAL 39-47 (4.58 RPG / 4.95 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 4-2 TARGET: CHW 4 - 2 BAL (CHW) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	4

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff12.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record44-39

Win%0.530

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.289

BAL Season Quality

Record39-47

Win%0.453

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.372

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7762; margin adjustment: -0.326; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.172	0.231	0.331	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.209	0.279	0.447	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.243	0.297	0.351	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.200	0.266	0.281	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.105	0.179	0.216	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.316	0.383	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.296	0.431	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.282	0.341	0.469	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.218	0.277	0.455	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	34	7	4	4	7	6	0.206

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	83	344	77	0.224	15	38	0.295	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.271	0.359	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	83	314	80	0.255	5	21	0.384	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.353	0.361	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	34	107	25	0.234	2	11	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.237	0.318	0.370	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	84	316	80	0.253	19	58	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.247	0.338	0.466	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	70	238	60	0.252	12	36	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.289	0.442	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	69	224	55	0.246	2	30	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.136	0.214	0.244	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	67	175	41	0.234	7	24	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.243	0.328	0.358	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	60	180	54	0.300	3	25	0.355	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	0.500	0.238	0.299	0.369	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	33	95	20	0.211	5	14	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.304	0.426	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	2	2	5	9	0.129

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	2	1	1	3	6	104	6.0	6	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trey Gibson	Starter	7	28.7	5.96	1.742	7.8	25	4.2	6	4	4	4	3	100	4.2	3	4
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	17	14.4	4.38	1.528	13.1	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	36	21.4	2.94	1.075	11.4	27	0.2	0	0	0	2	0	16	0.2	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	38	30.7	2.93	0.977	11.1	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	23	16.2	6.67	1.790	10.6	19	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	12	0.2	2	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	29	34.4	3.66	1.221	10.5	40	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-2

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers

CIN 39-44 (4.25 RPG / 4.89 RA)

2 - 6

MIL 51-31 (5.16 RPG / 3.67 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-2 TARGET: CIN 2 - 6 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
MIL	0	0	4	0	2	0	0	0	x	6	9

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record39-44

Win%0.470

Run Diff-53

RD/Game-0.639

MIL Season Quality

Record51-31

Win%0.622

Run Diff122

RD/Game1.488

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.3545; margin adjustment: 0.9889; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	63	251	68	0.271	13	40	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.289	0.396	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	82	311	80	0.257	15	57	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.321	0.429	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	54	195	48	0.246	13	37	0.355	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.212	0.322	0.377	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	54	195	41	0.210	8	29	0.276	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.207	0.265	0.368	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	60	174	44	0.253	8	24	0.340	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.146	0.233	0.275	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	29	93	18	0.194	4	6	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.198	0.260	0.354	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	20	65	18	0.277	0	4	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.278	0.340	OK
Jose Trevino	C	16	49	10	0.204	0	4	0.220	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.200	0.220	0.293	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	47	161	28	0.174	2	8	0.251	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.165	0.221	0.241	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	2	2	5	6	0.129

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	49	190	49	0.258	5	26	0.336	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.249	0.317	0.383	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	48	206	60	0.291	11	31	0.344	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.264	0.315	0.461	OK
Brice Turang	2B	77	296	78	0.264	12	48	0.364	4	4	1	1	3	0	3	0.250	0.254	0.339	0.441	OK
William Contreras	C	77	299	89	0.298	9	50	0.361	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.296	0.365	0.497	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	71	243	65	0.267	14	49	0.371	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.258	0.359	0.469	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	67	215	52	0.242	5	31	0.336	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.331	0.424	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	73	235	57	0.243	3	28	0.309	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.285	0.348	0.399	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	58	169	34	0.201	2	17	0.277	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.201	0.270	0.316	OK
David Hamilton	3B	62	189	44	0.233	3	13	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.289	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	9	6	6	3	10	0.273

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	12	55.9	4.99	1.521	7.7	48	4.2	7	6	6	2	8	100	4.2	8	6
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	23	20.3	3.10	1.133	9.3	21	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	28	1.1	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	41	33.6	3.21	1.607	9.4	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	27	18.4	5.87	1.739	12.2	25	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Sproat	Starter	15	66.4	5.69	1.416	9.9	73	5.0	3	2	2	5	5	92	5.0	5	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	32	32.0	2.25	0.906	12.1	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	39	45.1	3.59	1.508	13.6	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	31	26.7	4.38	1.498	8.1	24	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	7	1.1	0	0
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	9	7.5	7.20	2.133	9.6	8	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	19	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-2

Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees

DET 36-49 (4.13 RPG / 4.12 RA)

1 - 3

NYY 48-36 (4.9 RPG / 3.75 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-1 TARGET: DET 1 - 2 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3
NYY	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	x	3	8

DET Recent Form

Win%0.306

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-108.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.188

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-99.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record36-49

Win%0.424

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.012

NYY Season Quality

Record48-36

Win%0.571

Run Diff97

RD/Game1.155

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.3648; margin adjustment: 0.5732; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	81	301	86	0.286	6	30	0.399	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.374	0.380	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	77	286	76	0.266	19	59	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.286	0.466	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	62	174	41	0.236	12	35	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.249	0.306	0.484	OK
Riley Greene	LF	83	301	87	0.289	9	34	0.381	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.331	0.379	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	83	280	59	0.211	13	34	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.234	0.321	0.428	OK
Colt Keith	DH	75	224	55	0.246	5	17	0.293	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.220	0.259	0.371	OK
Zach McKinstry	SS	57	175	35	0.200	3	14	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.315	0.375	OK
James Outman	CF	11	31	6	0.194	2	5	0.265	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.115	0.180	0.229	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	45	128	33	0.258	3	13	0.291	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.258	0.296	0.410	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	1	1	4	11	0.100

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	57	208	59	0.284	14	41	0.339	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.236	0.291	0.436	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	44	132	34	0.258	8	25	0.296	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.263	0.306	0.470	OK
Ben Rice	DH	78	294	79	0.269	22	52	0.359	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.203	0.283	0.396	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	23	86	18	0.209	3	8	0.253	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.214	0.254	0.376	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	35	114	28	0.246	1	13	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.219	0.321	0.338	OK
José Caballero	2B	71	237	59	0.249	8	28	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.276	0.365	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	26	68	16	0.235	2	7	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.240	0.322	0.395	OK
Max Schuemann	LF	16	35	7	0.200	1	4	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.113	0.226	0.305	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	10	21	6	0.286	0	3	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.223	0.260	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	3	3	5	12	0.250

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	10	57.8	3.43	1.021	10.3	66	6.0	7	3	3	3	9	109	6.0	9	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	22	18.7	4.81	1.230	11.1	23	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	27	23.4	6.92	1.624	10.4	27	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	36	34.9	1.81	1.547	7.7	30	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	12	1.0	2	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	36	31.9	3.95	1.630	9.3	33	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.0	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	17	97.9	1.65	0.940	10.8	118	6.0	1	0	0	2	8	94	6.0	8	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	39	25.2	3.57	1.786	16.4	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	41	31.6	1.99	1.551	12.0	42	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	37	25.5	3.88	1.137	5.3	15	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-1

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

LAA 36-50 (4.51 RPG / 4.98 RA)

4 - 3

SEA 43-43 (4.05 RPG / 3.95 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 4-3 TARGET: LAA 4 - 3 SEA (LAA) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
SEA	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-8.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record36-49

Win%0.424

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.424

SEA Season Quality

Record42-43

Win%0.494

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.047

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5765; margin adjustment: 0.2421; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	83	327	74	0.226	18	40	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.292	0.434	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	46	156	37	0.237	4	29	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.290	0.370	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	67	252	65	0.258	6	30	0.330	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.239	0.308	0.365	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	64	233	52	0.223	11	37	0.310	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.326	0.427	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	32	102	29	0.284	2	15	0.365	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.268	0.353	0.400	OK
Jo Adell	RF	85	334	83	0.249	11	45	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.240	0.261	0.406	OK
Josh Lowe	CF	46	140	30	0.214	6	18	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.288	0.438	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	56	182	42	0.231	4	22	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.264	0.324	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	24	85	27	0.318	3	12	0.341	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.245	0.271	0.438	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	4	4	1	7	0.206

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	68	243	53	0.218	10	25	0.334	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.216	0.301	0.318	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	85	339	86	0.254	14	40	0.317	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.258	0.312	0.387	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	79	311	79	0.254	8	34	0.317	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.296	0.337	OK
Randy Arozarena	DH	78	286	80	0.280	8	36	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.307	0.405	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	54	204	34	0.167	8	23	0.268	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.196	0.304	0.320	OK
Cole Young	2B	86	311	81	0.260	9	40	0.321	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.267	0.310	0.446	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	36	115	23	0.200	7	17	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.200	0.277	0.394	OK
Victor Robles	LF	23	69	16	0.232	0	2	0.264	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.197	0.234	0.269	OK
Weston Wilson	RF	3	7	1	0.143	0	0	0.143	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.198	0.278	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	3	3	4	7	0.229

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	17	92.9	3.39	1.346	9.9	102	5.1	5	3	3	4	3	98	5.1	3	3
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	31	33.7	3.74	1.335	10.1	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	37	24.5	2.94	1.714	12.9	35	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	19	16.5	2.73	0.970	13.6	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	33	34.6	4.68	1.445	13.8	53	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	16	92.3	4.29	1.051	9.0	92	6.0	5	3	3	1	6	95	6.0	6	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	31	27.7	4.55	1.336	14.9	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	39	31.8	2.83	1.478	8.5	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	39	30.6	2.35	1.503	10.0	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	26	17.5	2.06	1.371	9.8	19	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	10	0.0	0	0
Nick Davila	Middle Reliever	13	13.2	2.73	1.439	6.1	9	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.0	0	0
Michael Rucker	Reliever	6	6.1	8.85	1.475	16.2	11	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	7	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

LAA wins 4-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Oakland Athletics

LAD 55-30 (5.32 RPG / 3.47 RA)

6 - 3

OAK 40-45 (4.6 RPG / 5.29 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-3 TARGET: LAD 6 - 3 OAK (LAD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	6	8
OAK	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	4

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff13.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-13.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record54-30

Win%0.643

Run Diff152

RD/Game1.810

OAK Season Quality

Record40-44

Win%0.476

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.643

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.7024; margin adjustment: -1.135; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	77	293	87	0.297	18	50	0.412	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.297	0.395	0.529	OK
Andy Pages	CF	84	327	88	0.269	16	60	0.328	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.267	0.326	0.460	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	82	310	90	0.290	13	46	0.379	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.317	0.399	0.497	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	49	200	47	0.235	11	27	0.290	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.281	0.330	0.522	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	52	186	52	0.280	7	31	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.289	0.352	0.439	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	78	289	70	0.242	7	44	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.352	0.435	OK
Tommy Edman	3B	9	33	11	0.333	0	4	0.405	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.266	0.344	0.444	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	50	119	33	0.277	2	13	0.310	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.303	0.336	0.465	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	48	150	37	0.247	9	24	0.331	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.232	0.303	0.422	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	8	6	6	2	6	0.235

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	40	139	41	0.295	2	13	0.371	5	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.306	0.334	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	77	319	84	0.263	19	43	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.281	0.377	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	84	305	85	0.279	19	64	0.423	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.230	0.362	0.403	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	29	88	21	0.239	6	12	0.292	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.220	0.283	0.420	OK
Joey Meneses	LF	6	11	1	0.091	0	2	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.181	0.338	0.267	OK
Colby Thomas	RF	34	77	17	0.221	3	8	0.259	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.205	0.241	0.348	OK
Max Muncy	3B	43	145	34	0.234	5	20	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.225	0.282	0.377	OK
Alika Williams	SS	21	63	19	0.302	1	7	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.156	0.184	0.283	OK
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	2B	1	4	3	0.750	0	1	0.750	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.247	0.542	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	3	3	5	9	0.129

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	14	85.4	2.74	1.019	5.6	53	6.2	2	3	3	4	5	110	6.2	5	3
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	36	32.0	2.25	0.750	11.8	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	37	20.9	3.44	1.435	16.8	39	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	29	26.5	3.74	1.283	12.2	36	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	16	0.2	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	17	85.9	5.66	1.362	8.2	78	4.1	7	6	6	1	2	88	4.1	2	6
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	20	19.3	6.53	1.295	12.6	27	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.1	2	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	41	29.5	4.58	2.034	14.3	47	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	40	33.3	4.59	1.321	10.8	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Mason Barnett	Middle Reliever	9	14.4	1.25	1.042	11.9	19	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	7	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-3

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

MIA 45-40 (4.34 RPG / 4.19 RA)

5 - 4

COL 33-52 (4.64 RPG / 5.72 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 5-4 TARGET: MIA 5 - 4 COL (MIA) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	5	9
COL	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	4	6

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff13.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-1.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record44-40

Win%0.524

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.119

COL Season Quality

Record33-51

Win%0.393

Run Diff-89

RD/Game-1.060

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.375; margin adjustment: -0.5775; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	1B	73	248	69	0.278	13	53	0.359	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.287	0.356	0.430	OK
Kyle Stowers	DH	61	224	51	0.228	8	32	0.320	5	5	3	1	4	0	0	0.600	0.245	0.319	0.429	OK
Griffin Conine	LF	16	44	10	0.227	3	8	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.156	0.242	0.310	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	84	310	92	0.297	6	29	0.377	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.290	0.368	0.412	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	82	290	56	0.193	4	21	0.313	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.200	0.296	0.300	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	72	201	48	0.239	9	43	0.293	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.313	0.367	0.510	OK
Javier Sanoja	SS	58	188	50	0.266	2	29	0.298	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.275	0.305	0.419	OK
Joe Mack	C	42	128	32	0.250	4	19	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.304	0.412	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	29	82	16	0.195	0	3	0.272	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.129	0.189	0.198	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	5	5	2	4	0.250

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	RF	64	229	70	0.306	6	35	0.340	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.294	0.325	0.517	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	49	166	43	0.259	12	31	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.239	0.387	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	79	302	74	0.245	26	48	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.231	0.282	0.551	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	79	290	86	0.297	12	44	0.373	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.296	0.367	0.471	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	18	60	16	0.267	3	11	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.353	0.430	OK
Tyler Freeman	DH	53	185	51	0.276	3	22	0.353	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.163	0.194	0.238	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	66	186	42	0.226	2	18	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.360	0.354	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	77	227	59	0.260	5	25	0.354	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.260	0.347	0.458	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	76	272	57	0.210	6	26	0.255	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.187	0.231	0.310	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	3	8	0.182

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	13	66.4	4.47	1.235	9.9	73	5.1	4	3	3	2	4	93	5.1	4	3
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	27	23.6	7.25	1.441	12.6	33	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	35	30.0	3.90	1.700	10.5	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	35	27.8	3.24	1.187	13.3	41	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	16	82.0	4.94	1.354	5.3	48	5.1	6	4	4	2	2	93	5.1	2	4
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	25	39.1	3.45	1.304	8.3	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	19	17.9	4.53	1.397	11.6	23	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	39	25.2	4.64	1.746	8.9	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-4

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros

MIN 41-45 (4.85 RPG / 5.19 RA)

6 - 3

HOU 42-45 (4.49 RPG / 4.99 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 6-3 TARGET: MIN 6 - 3 HOU (MIN) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	6	10
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	6

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record40-45

Win%0.471

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.353

HOU Season Quality

Record42-44

Win%0.488

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.488

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1088; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	67	220	63	0.286	5	26	0.369	5	4	3	1	4	1	0	0.750	0.203	0.280	0.338	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	79	299	75	0.251	14	46	0.303	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.277	0.325	0.460	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	71	257	61	0.237	13	35	0.302	5	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.147	0.207	0.329	OK
Josh Bell	DH	83	300	73	0.243	10	53	0.300	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.233	0.282	0.424	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	52	187	40	0.214	8	23	0.287	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.241	0.299	0.417	OK
Victor Caratini	C	61	195	47	0.241	7	32	0.333	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.270	0.352	0.476	OK
Ryan Kreidler	CF	37	97	28	0.289	5	21	0.349	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.278	0.332	0.492	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	52	148	36	0.243	4	28	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.278	0.339	OK
Austin Martin	RF	67	217	53	0.244	2	17	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.314	0.325	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	10	6	6	4	10	0.278

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	63	242	57	0.236	8	21	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.288	0.353	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	84	301	94	0.312	25	56	0.429	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.360	0.438	OK
Isaac Paredes	DH	79	284	70	0.246	11	45	0.344	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.267	0.337	0.428	OK
Christian Walker	1B	84	317	76	0.240	19	56	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.296	0.431	OK
Cam Smith	RF	83	284	63	0.222	11	32	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.297	0.487	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	34	91	25	0.275	3	11	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.164	0.229	0.367	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	33	131	32	0.244	3	15	0.268	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.267	0.378	OK
Nick Allen	SS	28	66	17	0.258	1	5	0.306	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.141	0.191	0.215	OK
Raynel Delgado	3B	8	25	7	0.280	1	4	0.280	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.195	0.205	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	3	0.182

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joe Ryan	Starter	17	92.4	3.21	1.039	10.5	108	5.2	1	0	0	2	3	90	5.2	3	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	25	18.5	1.95	1.081	10.7	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	29	32.4	4.72	1.667	11.1	40	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	15	19.8	7.73	1.667	13.2	29	1.0	5	3	3	0	0	11	1.0	0	3

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Burrows	Starter	16	83.7	5.59	1.529	7.4	69	4.0	6	3	3	3	7	97	4.0	7	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	0.75	0.583	14.2	19	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	34	31.1	2.60	1.415	7.8	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	35	31.3	5.75	1.438	9.8	34	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	26	1.0	0	3
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	40	33.7	2.94	1.098	9.6	36	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	32	2.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-3

New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays

NYM 35-50 (4.0 RPG / 4.54 RA)

3 - 2

TOR 40-45 (4.06 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 3-2 TARGET: NYM 3 - 2 TOR (NYM) Confidence: 54.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9
TOR	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	4

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.205

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-164.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.239

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-160.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record35-50

Win%0.412

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.541

TOR Season Quality

Record40-45

Win%0.471

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.376

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2529; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	80	306	79	0.258	9	32	0.318	5	3	1	0	0	2	1	0.333	0.240	0.289	0.360	OK
Juan Soto	LF	65	233	71	0.305	17	39	0.409	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.279	0.395	0.490	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	84	339	85	0.251	10	46	0.294	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.231	0.273	0.360	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	28	109	24	0.220	3	8	0.303	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.230	0.298	0.409	OK
Jared Young	1B	37	107	25	0.234	6	13	0.305	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.141	0.212	0.279	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	45	149	41	0.275	4	19	0.363	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.274	0.361	0.445	OK
Mark Vientos	DH	70	230	48	0.209	10	33	0.249	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.117	0.164	0.243	OK
Brett Baty	2B	75	241	51	0.212	3	26	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.176	0.267	0.264	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	53	175	43	0.246	8	18	0.311	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.210	0.269	0.377	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	3	3	5	12	0.250

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	62	240	53	0.221	8	21	0.309	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.220	0.290	0.354	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	50	158	48	0.304	4	17	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.325	0.441	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	80	299	80	0.268	4	34	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.234	0.297	0.315	OK
Sean Keys	3B	1	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.246	0.338	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	17	60	11	0.183	2	7	0.231	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.250	0.346	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	66	240	62	0.258	7	22	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.307	0.426	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	82	314	94	0.299	7	28	0.321	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.286	0.313	0.404	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	44	137	37	0.270	5	19	0.310	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.266	0.383	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	79	260	63	0.242	7	34	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.290	0.384	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	7	0.129

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	16	87.7	4.10	1.140	10.9	106	5.2	2	1	1	1	6	94	5.2	6	1
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	29	25.7	3.85	1.440	14.4	41	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	12	1.1	0	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	33	32.9	2.19	0.881	10.7	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	33	25.1	2.87	1.554	11.5	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	17	92.9	4.46	1.216	9.0	93	5.1	7	2	2	2	7	102	5.1	7	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	41	42.5	1.06	1.035	13.6	64	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	41	36.4	1.98	1.346	4.9	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	40	33.7	5.07	1.632	16.0	60	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	41	37.7	4.06	1.326	10.0	42	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	19	0.2	2	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	43	23.7	4.94	1.899	14.8	39	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	11	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

NYM wins 3-2

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies

PIT 43-42 (5.18 RPG / 4.8 RA)

1 - 3

PHI 47-38 (4.41 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 3-1 TARGET: PIT 1 - 2 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 52.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5
PHI	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	x	3	5

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.323

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-115.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.151

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-128.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record43-42

Win%0.506

Run Diff32

RD/Game0.376

PHI Season Quality

Record47-38

Win%0.553

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.024

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3294; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	53	203	56	0.276	5	23	0.332	5	5	0	1	1	0	3	0.000	0.267	0.309	0.432	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	16	45	13	0.289	6	12	0.360	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.298	0.364	0.678	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	85	305	87	0.285	11	52	0.402	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.259	0.372	0.422	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	54	206	42	0.204	7	26	0.281	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.239	0.306	0.403	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	78	292	86	0.295	3	35	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.322	0.361	OK
Endy Rodríguez	1B	30	85	23	0.271	4	15	0.380	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.383	0.500	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	48	155	37	0.239	1	11	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.298	0.369	OK
Billy Cook	CF	14	26	4	0.154	0	0	0.154	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.102	0.114	0.155	OK
Henry Davis	C	45	141	21	0.149	6	19	0.239	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.189	0.252	0.366	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	1	1	4	10	0.156

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	80	337	80	0.237	8	25	0.283	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.292	0.373	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	79	302	76	0.252	29	54	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.352	0.518	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	83	294	81	0.276	20	53	0.376	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.305	0.399	0.598	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	79	291	94	0.323	14	44	0.355	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.295	0.326	0.549	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	79	293	65	0.222	9	42	0.278	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.212	0.264	0.318	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	78	271	64	0.236	7	39	0.297	3	3	2	1	2	0	1	0.667	0.233	0.295	0.374	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	57	198	41	0.207	5	25	0.284	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.218	0.277	0.337	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	11	36	4	0.111	1	3	0.111	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.206	0.289	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	76	235	56	0.238	2	15	0.292	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.293	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									29	29	5	3	3	0	10	0.172

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	16	77.7	4.52	1.416	8.5	73	5.1	3	2	2	0	8	84	5.1	8	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	35	32.9	3.83	1.064	11.2	41	1.2	2	1	1	0	1	11	1.2	1	1
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	35	32.0	4.50	1.406	8.4	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	17	108.6	2.15	1.123	10.5	127	6.1	2	0	0	4	8	102	6.1	8	0
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	29	28.2	0.96	0.851	14.0	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	35	30.1	2.99	1.329	11.4	38	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	36	25.1	6.81	1.952	14.7	41	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	18	0.2	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	26	20.6	4.37	1.311	11.8	27	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 3-1

San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs

SD 43-40 (3.89 RPG / 4.06 RA)

3 - 4

CHC 47-38 (4.89 RPG / 4.41 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-3 TARGET: SD 3 - 4 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	8
CHC	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	x	4	8

SD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.8

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff32.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record43-39

Win%0.524

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.159

CHC Season Quality

Record46-38

Win%0.548

Run Diff40

RD/Game0.476

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6696; margin adjustment: 0.2812; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	81	319	90	0.282	3	30	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.302	0.354	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	20	72	23	0.319	1	11	0.402	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.165	0.265	0.219	OK
Manny Machado	3B	81	296	55	0.186	15	44	0.272	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.208	0.303	0.418	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	60	205	53	0.259	5	17	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.291	0.404	OK
Ty France	1B	54	169	44	0.260	10	29	0.311	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.300	0.524	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	79	310	66	0.213	8	31	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.261	0.326	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	79	274	64	0.234	8	32	0.325	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.248	0.338	0.334	OK
Jase Bowen	RF	12	31	4	0.129	0	0	0.182	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.168	0.220	0.268	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	43	131	19	0.145	3	11	0.245	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.159	0.255	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	3	3	1	4	0.229

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	84	316	90	0.285	17	45	0.374	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.356	0.446	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	82	322	79	0.245	6	27	0.343	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.230	0.321	0.318	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	69	256	68	0.266	12	39	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.340	0.458	OK
Carson Kelly	C	59	192	53	0.276	4	28	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.334	0.392	OK
Michael Busch	1B	83	301	71	0.236	9	45	0.372	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.343	0.349	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	82	331	81	0.245	4	36	0.317	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.322	0.359	OK
Ian Happ	LF	79	299	67	0.224	17	41	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.313	0.407	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	79	268	53	0.198	11	46	0.294	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.208	0.293	0.374	OK
Kevin Alcántara	RF	6	9	1	0.111	0	0	0.111	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.109	0.122	0.170	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	4	4	2	6	0.250

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
JP Sears	Starter	1	5.2	3.46	1.346	8.7	5	5.0	6	3	3	2	5	90	5.0	5	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	33	32.1	0.84	0.903	18.5	66	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	39	36.8	3.91	1.168	12.5	51	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	36	30.0	2.70	1.267	6.6	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	6	26.8	5.37	1.455	11.8	35	5.1	6	2	2	0	3	85	5.1	3	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	37	32.6	3.87	1.503	12.4	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	26	18.9	4.76	1.481	13.8	29	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	26	27.0	2.33	1.296	10.3	31	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	23	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks

SF 36-49 (4.09 RPG / 4.64 RA)

5 - 2

ARI 42-42 (4.23 RPG / 4.58 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 5-2 TARGET: SF 5 - 2 ARI (SF) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	5	12
ARI	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-3.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record36-48

Win%0.429

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.536

ARI Season Quality

Record41-42

Win%0.494

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.373

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2603; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	79	311	104	0.334	3	30	0.370	6	6	2	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.304	0.343	0.443	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	43	145	42	0.290	6	17	0.385	6	4	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.251	0.344	0.407	OK
Casey Schmitt	SS	75	297	85	0.286	16	42	0.312	6	6	2	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.248	0.263	0.409	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	84	322	78	0.242	14	43	0.303	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.238	0.290	0.480	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	75	283	92	0.325	5	31	0.358	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.260	0.290	0.411	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	45	168	43	0.256	5	21	0.296	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.246	0.294	0.437	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	83	301	70	0.233	7	43	0.321	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.211	0.298	0.329	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	59	163	38	0.233	3	16	0.300	5	4	0	1	1	0	3	0.000	0.225	0.288	0.347	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	3	7	2	0.286	0	1	0.375	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.329	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									48	44	12	5	5	3	9	0.273

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jorge Barrosa	CF	40	105	19	0.181	2	9	0.246	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.275	0.440	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.346	0.332	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	5	4	2	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.273	0.326	0.459	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.238	0.315	0.350	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.279	0.355	0.464	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.291	0.343	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.274	0.353	0.539	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.243	0.308	0.400
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.243	0.280	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	41	8	2	2	3	8	0.195

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	16	84.0	4.18	1.321	10.2	95	5.1	8	2	2	2	5	99	5.1	5	2
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	34	30.1	4.78	1.495	12.3	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	23	18.4	6.36	1.848	8.8	18	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	26	17.6	4.60	1.932	14.8	29	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Matt Gage	Reliever	32	18.3	4.92	2.077	10.3	21	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	22	2.1	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	16	77.8	6.25	1.671	6.0	52	5.0	8	5	5	0	5	89	5.0	5	5
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	27	2.0	2	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.2	1	0	0	1	0	28	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 5-2 (Extra Innings - 11)

St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves

STL 43-38 (4.47 RPG / 4.57 RA)

3 - 4

ATL 49-34 (4.72 RPG / 3.72 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-3 TARGET: STL 3 - 4 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	6
ATL	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	x	4	10

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-19.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-14.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record43-38

Win%0.531

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.099

ATL Season Quality

Record49-34

Win%0.590

Run Diff83

RD/Game1.000

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.188; margin adjustment: 0.499; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	75	297	79	0.266	12	33	0.360	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.237	0.301	0.354	OK
Iván Herrera	C	80	290	73	0.252	10	34	0.392	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.312	0.331	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	78	305	89	0.292	17	55	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.301	0.396	OK
Nelson Velázquez	DH	14	36	10	0.278	2	6	0.333	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.249	0.291	0.425	OK
José Fermín	3B	45	118	32	0.271	3	15	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.266	0.311	0.404	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	71	267	65	0.243	3	32	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.239	0.292	0.339	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	20	68	20	0.294	2	7	0.395	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.267	0.371	0.431	OK
Blaze Jordan	1B	14	48	12	0.250	1	12	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.218	0.253	0.379	OK
Nathan Church	CF	58	194	50	0.258	5	19	0.300	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.209	0.252	0.327	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	11	0.182

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	60	232	60	0.259	15	40	0.340	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.195	0.261	0.337	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	83	315	86	0.273	12	44	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.294	0.377	OK
Matt Olson	1B	83	320	88	0.275	20	52	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.271	0.334	0.450	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	76	277	83	0.300	14	43	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.293	0.422	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	79	293	79	0.270	8	44	0.318	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.310	0.449	OK
Eli White	RF	43	105	23	0.219	3	14	0.259	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.261	0.370	OK
Austin Riley	3B	83	297	62	0.209	8	37	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.203	0.275	0.310	OK
Joey Bart	C	4	14	2	0.143	1	3	0.143	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.258	0.369	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	42	107	28	0.262	4	11	0.301	3	3	2	1	1	0	1	0.667	0.204	0.242	0.335	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	10	4	4	1	7	0.294

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	16	75.1	5.75	1.638	8.4	70	4.1	8	4	4	1	5	86	4.1	5	4
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	34	32.7	4.13	1.223	9.4	34	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	36	30.0	3.90	1.367	8.7	29	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	28	2.0	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	16	70.6	3.06	1.147	7.6	60	5.2	4	2	2	3	5	98	5.2	5	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	25	25.4	1.42	1.102	10.3	29	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	38	32.1	1.12	0.717	12.3	44	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	25	28.3	2.86	1.237	11.4	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever	15	18.6	2.90	1.022	10.6	22	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-3

Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals

TB 48-33 (4.52 RPG / 4.22 RA)

4 - 3

KC 35-50 (4.2 RPG / 5.02 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-3 TARGET: TB 4 - 3 KC (TB) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	7
KC	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	5

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff17.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed7.2

Run Diff-19.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record48-33

Win%0.593

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.296

KC Season Quality

Record35-50

Win%0.412

Run Diff-70

RD/Game-0.824

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.3911; margin adjustment: -0.5842; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	78	295	99	0.336	12	53	0.416	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.336	0.402	0.479	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	80	290	83	0.286	13	57	0.390	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.294	0.386	0.487	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	81	305	89	0.292	22	49	0.384	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.311	0.401	0.689	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	44	123	34	0.276	5	26	0.331	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.313	0.458	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	43	141	37	0.262	4	23	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.249	0.281	0.447	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	74	288	77	0.267	0	16	0.304	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.167	0.220	0.240	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	56	174	41	0.236	2	19	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.215	0.277	0.363	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	60	188	42	0.223	0	18	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.318	0.333	OK
Nick Fortes	C	60	182	46	0.253	1	15	0.297	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.240	0.261	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	4	4	4	12	0.206

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	76	266	67	0.252	11	45	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.315	0.430	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	78	306	88	0.288	10	32	0.359	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.259	0.335	0.437	OK
Jac Caglianone	DH	77	265	69	0.260	14	30	0.331	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.159	0.224	0.366	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	65	185	40	0.216	5	22	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.211	0.301	0.319	OK
Michael Massey	2B	63	193	51	0.264	7	27	0.293	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.292	0.415	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	78	306	63	0.206	10	30	0.247	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.205	0.231	0.322	OK
John Rave	RF	6	15	4	0.267	1	1	0.353	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.123	0.219	0.458	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	46	139	33	0.237	3	24	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.287	0.402	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	72	231	53	0.229	3	24	0.341	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.316	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	3	10	0.156

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	21	51.2	2.99	1.309	9.3	53	5.2	4	2	2	2	7	96	5.2	7	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	34	31.4	2.01	0.892	10.0	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	36	32.4	3.06	1.080	8.3	30	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	25	20.7	4.78	1.353	13.0	30	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Casey Legumina	Middle Reliever	18	18.7	2.89	1.390	7.2	15	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	0.1	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	15	78.6	4.58	1.349	8.6	75	5.1	5	4	4	3	7	95	5.1	7	4
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	35	33.3	5.41	1.622	10.0	37	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	16	1.0	2	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	32	29.8	4.83	1.711	7.6	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	35	29.8	3.02	1.174	9.1	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	36	28.1	3.84	1.495	8.3	26	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians

TEX 44-42 (4.07 RPG / 4.1 RA)

3 - 2

CLE 44-42 (3.91 RPG / 4.06 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 3-2 TARGET: TEX 3 - 2 CLE (TEX) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	8
CLE	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	7

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-9.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record43-42

Win%0.506

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.059

CLE Season Quality

Record44-41

Win%0.518

Run Diff-11

RD/Game-0.129

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0529; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	77	224	54	0.241	13	29	0.337	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.174	0.268	0.381	OK
Josh Jung	3B	79	309	91	0.294	8	31	0.355	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.307	0.386	OK
Corey Seager	SS	50	187	34	0.182	10	25	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.198	0.303	0.398	OK
Jake Burger	1B	82	300	77	0.257	14	52	0.320	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.263	0.327	0.439	OK
Ezequiel Duran	RF	74	255	68	0.267	6	41	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.163	0.222	0.272	OK
Evan Carter	CF	67	198	36	0.182	6	21	0.288	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.144	0.242	0.236	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	50	139	35	0.252	0	14	0.346	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.310	0.318	OK
Elias Díaz	C	12	37	12	0.324	0	8	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.245	0.379	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	28	82	28	0.341	1	7	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.221	0.243	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	3	3	1	10	0.229

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	54	200	50	0.250	7	25	0.342	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.295	0.361	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	66	246	67	0.272	7	37	0.339	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.276	0.340	0.403	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	74	231	53	0.229	9	27	0.318	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.220	0.298	0.351	OK
Kahlil Watson	RF	11	35	10	0.286	1	8	0.306	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.262	0.286	0.410	OK
Cooper Ingle	LF	3	7	1	0.143	0	2	0.400	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.233	0.431	0.334	OK
Daniel Schneemann	SS	67	212	45	0.212	6	27	0.283	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.203	0.271	0.318	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	17	57	13	0.228	3	6	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.216	0.255	0.366	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	25	73	15	0.205	1	7	0.253	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.189	0.247	0.269	OK
Steven Kwan	CF	74	264	56	0.212	1	13	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.211	0.300	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	34	7	2	2	7	7	0.206

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	16	87.5	3.60	1.040	10.9	106	5.2	3	1	1	2	6	103	5.2	6	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	31	38.9	1.16	0.566	9.5	41	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	37	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	31	32.3	3.07	1.115	7.5	27	1.0	3	1	1	1	0	33	1.0	0	1
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	21	26.1	3.45	1.111	11.0	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Robby Ahlstrom	Middle Reliever	12	9.6	4.69	1.562	5.6	6	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	14	0.0	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	17	93.7	3.84	1.163	7.8	81	6.0	7	3	3	1	4	101	6.0	4	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	36	36.0	3.25	1.278	14.2	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	9	1.0	3	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	27	19.7	3.65	1.574	9.1	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	25	19.7	2.74	1.421	11.9	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	29	17.4	4.14	1.609	22.2	43	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 3-2

Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox

WAS 43-43 (5.26 RPG / 5.23 RA)

5 - 2

BOS 37-46 (4.02 RPG / 3.93 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-2 TARGET: WAS 5 - 2 BOS (WAS) Confidence: 55.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	6
BOS	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	9

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-7.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff16.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record43-43

Win%0.500

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.023

BOS Season Quality

Record37-46

Win%0.446

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.096

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0082; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	86	330	85	0.258	21	50	0.382	5	3	1	1	1	2	2	0.333	0.219	0.332	0.433	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	18	43	7	0.163	0	5	0.280	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.203	0.292	0.328	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	70	220	50	0.227	14	39	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.158	0.235	0.329	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	83	306	84	0.275	17	59	0.357	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.285	0.418	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	35	137	30	0.219	5	17	0.262	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.237	0.265	0.367	OK
Jacob Young	CF	73	253	56	0.221	8	30	0.265	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.236	0.327	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	84	327	81	0.248	8	39	0.304	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.227	0.273	0.363	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	74	239	56	0.234	0	27	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.292	0.280	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	54	176	49	0.278	6	30	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.269	0.381	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	6	5	5	5	11	0.188

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	12	36	13	0.361	1	3	0.425	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.188	0.265	0.360	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	77	293	83	0.283	7	35	0.331	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.291	0.389	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	81	310	83	0.268	10	39	0.334	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.309	0.404	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	79	287	81	0.282	18	53	0.374	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.335	0.515	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	77	309	61	0.197	12	39	0.253	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.200	0.244	0.317	OK
Romy Gonzalez	DH	1	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	2	0	0	0	1	0.667	0.224	0.233	0.322
Caleb Durbin	3B	74	247	57	0.231	7	35	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.317	0.474	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	45	137	27	0.197	2	5	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.252	0.298	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	4	12	2	0.167	0	2	0.214	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.222	0.280	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	2	2	1	8	0.250

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	17	81.0	4.11	1.469	9.9	89	4.2	6	1	1	0	7	86	4.2	7	1
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	25	23.0	3.52	1.435	11.0	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	25	49.9	3.61	1.242	9.2	51	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	24	1.1	0	1
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	25	21.0	4.29	1.286	7.7	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	33	29.2	3.39	1.507	6.8	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connelly Early	Starter	16	85.1	3.70	1.293	9.3	88	5.1	5	4	4	4	6	98	5.1	6	4
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	25	24.2	1.12	1.116	11.9	32	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	28	27.2	2.65	1.066	10.6	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	21	15.3	7.06	1.895	13.5	23	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	32	25.3	4.27	1.462	10.7	30	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	16	10.7	4.21	1.402	17.7	21	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

CHW Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers

CIN Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees

DET Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

DET Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

LAA Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Oakland Athletics

LAD Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

MIA Recent Form

COL Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros

MIN Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays