MLB Predictions — June 29, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
CHW @ BAL	3 - 2	3 - 2	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 3-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CIN @ MIL	1 - 5	3 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
DET @ NYY	2 - 3	0 - 3	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-0	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAA @ SEA	2 - 4	3 - 5	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 5-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ OAK	4 - 3	6 - 3	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ COL	5 - 2	4 - 3	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 4-3	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIN @ HOU	4 - 3	6 - 3	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 6-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYM @ TOR	1 - 2	1 - 5	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 5-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PIT @ PHI	3 - 2	5 - 2	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SD @ CHC	3 - 4	2 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SF @ ARI	6 - 4	6 - 2	SF	SF	SF wins 6-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ CLE	2 - 1	2 - 1	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 2-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
WAS @ BOS	1 - 3	1 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-1	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

CHW 43-39 (4.78 RPG / 4.56 RA)

3 - 2

BAL 39-46 (4.61 RPG / 4.92 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 3-2 TARGET: CHW 3 - 2 BAL (CHW) Confidence: 52.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	8
BAL	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	4

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.348

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff-74.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.197

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-162.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record43-39

Win%0.524

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.220

BAL Season Quality

Record39-46

Win%0.459

Run Diff-26

RD/Game-0.306

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6237; margin adjustment: -0.262; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.172	0.231	0.331	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.209	0.279	0.446	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.243	0.298	0.351	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.201	0.268	0.283	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.105	0.180	0.216	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.315	0.381	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.246	0.299	0.434	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.281	0.341	0.468	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.217	0.277	0.454	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	3	3	4	9	0.229

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	82	341	75	0.220	15	38	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.257	0.340	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	82	310	80	0.258	5	21	0.388	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.245	0.356	0.364	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	54	202	52	0.257	8	40	0.329	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.229	0.298	0.396	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	83	312	80	0.256	19	58	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.252	0.346	0.475	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	69	234	59	0.252	12	36	0.309	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.236	0.289	0.441	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	33	103	25	0.243	2	11	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.349	0.408	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	66	173	41	0.237	7	24	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.313	0.359	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	59	177	54	0.305	3	25	0.358	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.296	0.373	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	32	92	19	0.207	5	14	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.296	0.417	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	2	2	3	6	0.129

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	2	1	1	1	4	94	6.0	4	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	16	91.2	4.44	1.425	8.0	81	6.0	4	2	2	3	4	112	6.0	4	2
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	17	14.4	4.38	1.528	13.1	21	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	35	21.3	2.11	0.892	11.4	27	0.2	2	1	1	1	1	18	0.2	1	1
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	37	30.6	2.94	0.948	11.2	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	23	1.0	3	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	23	16.2	6.67	1.790	10.6	19	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	12	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 3-2

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers

CIN 39-43 (4.27 RPG / 4.89 RA)

3 - 4

MIL 50-31 (5.16 RPG / 3.68 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-3 TARGET: CIN 1 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 59.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	7
MIL	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	x	4	8

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.194

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-192.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.239

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-109.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record39-43

Win%0.476

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.622

MIL Season Quality

Record50-31

Win%0.617

Run Diff120

RD/Game1.481

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.3159; margin adjustment: 0.9727; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	DH	62	246	67	0.272	12	38	0.344	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.218	0.292	0.368	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	81	307	79	0.257	15	57	0.346	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.245	0.321	0.431	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	77	275	66	0.240	13	34	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.279	0.396	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	53	192	47	0.245	13	37	0.352	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.316	0.372	OK
Dane Myers	CF	50	113	29	0.257	3	13	0.351	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.145	0.245	0.235	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	28	89	17	0.191	4	6	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.194	0.258	0.359	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	62	196	44	0.224	6	24	0.316	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.247	0.336	0.398	OK
Matt McLain	SS	71	253	50	0.198	8	25	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.172	0.266	0.287	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	19	61	17	0.279	0	4	0.338	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.273	0.328	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	3	3	4	10	0.206

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	47	202	60	0.297	11	31	0.347	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.270	0.315	0.464	OK
William Contreras	C	76	296	89	0.301	9	50	0.363	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.302	0.371	0.497	OK
Brice Turang	2B	76	292	77	0.264	11	47	0.365	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.252	0.340	0.408	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	41	121	40	0.331	2	24	0.406	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.283	0.362	0.485	OK
Gary Sánchez	DH	46	127	28	0.220	8	22	0.351	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.251	0.365	0.474	OK
Blake Perkins	CF	39	87	14	0.161	1	10	0.232	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.150	0.210	0.273	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	72	232	55	0.237	3	28	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.323	0.367	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	12	36	8	0.222	0	2	0.310	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.229	0.321	0.319	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	57	165	33	0.200	1	15	0.278	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.201	0.272	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	4	4	3	7	0.250

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	9	44.8	5.83	1.585	7.6	38	4.2	6	3	3	2	4	91	4.2	4	3
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	22	20.2	2.67	1.089	9.4	21	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	41	33.6	3.21	1.607	9.4	35	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	27	18.4	5.87	1.739	12.2	25	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	18	0.2	1	1

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	6	29.3	4.61	1.297	9.5	31	5.0	5	2	2	3	5	93	5.0	5	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	31	31.0	2.32	0.935	11.9	41	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	38	44.1	3.67	1.519	13.7	67	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	31	26.7	4.38	1.498	8.1	24	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	9	7.5	7.20	2.133	9.6	8	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	19	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-3

Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees

DET 35-49 (4.1 RPG / 4.13 RA)

0 - 3

NYY 48-35 (4.93 RPG / 3.71 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-0 TARGET: DET 2 - 3 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	x	3	10

DET Recent Form

Win%0.296

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-118.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.203

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-101.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record35-49

Win%0.417

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.036

NYY Season Quality

Record48-35

Win%0.578

Run Diff101

RD/Game1.217

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4951; margin adjustment: 0.6279; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt Vierling	LF	63	203	39	0.192	5	26	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.138	0.197	0.248	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	76	282	75	0.266	19	58	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.234	0.283	0.451	OK
Kevin McGonigle	3B	80	297	84	0.283	6	28	0.397	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.372	0.384	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	82	276	58	0.210	13	33	0.310	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.230	0.315	0.435	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	44	123	31	0.252	3	11	0.287	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.265	0.304	0.415	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	51	91	13	0.143	2	7	0.212	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.112	0.175	0.175	OK
Zach McKinstry	SS	56	170	33	0.194	3	14	0.280	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.309	0.370	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	2	6	2	0.333	0	1	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.181	0.194	0.256	OK
James Outman	CF	10	27	5	0.185	2	5	0.267	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.108	0.180	0.233	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	0	0	1	7	0.100

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	77	290	79	0.272	22	52	0.363	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.225	0.301	0.427	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	82	298	78	0.262	11	49	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.326	0.365	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	56	204	59	0.289	14	41	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.312	0.514	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	79	283	63	0.223	12	33	0.300	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.207	0.279	0.356	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	22	84	18	0.214	3	8	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.255	0.410	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	34	111	28	0.252	1	13	0.357	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.231	0.334	0.345	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	25	65	14	0.215	2	7	0.311	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.220	0.307	0.342	OK
Austin Wells	C	55	166	26	0.157	4	10	0.258	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.171	0.257	0.249	OK
José Caballero	3B	70	234	59	0.252	8	28	0.311	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.218	0.271	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	10	3	3	3	7	0.294

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	11	55.2	3.10	1.123	9.5	58	5.2	5	0	0	2	5	106	5.2	5	0
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	22	18.7	4.81	1.230	11.1	23	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	26	1.2	0	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	27	23.4	6.92	1.624	10.4	27	0.2	4	3	3	1	2	24	0.2	2	3

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	15	84.1	4.07	1.177	10.2	95	5.2	2	0	0	1	4	93	5.2	4	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	33	32.9	3.28	1.307	10.9	40	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	12	1.1	2	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	39	25.2	3.57	1.786	16.4	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	40	30.6	2.06	1.569	12.4	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-0

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

LAA 36-49 (4.54 RPG / 4.96 RA)

3 - 5

SEA 42-43 (4.02 RPG / 3.98 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 5-3 TARGET: LAA 2 - 4 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 52.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	7
SEA	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	x	5	6

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.297

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-180.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.299

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record36-49

Win%0.424

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.424

SEA Season Quality

Record42-43

Win%0.494

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.047

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5765; margin adjustment: 0.2421; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	82	324	72	0.222	17	39	0.318	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.210	0.280	0.382	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	17	67	18	0.269	3	12	0.329	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.247	0.307	0.404	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	66	248	65	0.262	6	30	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.326	0.405	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	63	230	51	0.222	11	37	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.317	0.445	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	31	99	28	0.283	2	15	0.366	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.265	0.351	0.398	OK
Jo Adell	RF	84	330	82	0.248	11	45	0.294	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.238	0.259	0.406	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	71	235	61	0.260	7	22	0.301	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.257	0.364	OK
Josh Lowe	CF	45	137	28	0.204	6	18	0.241	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.269	0.387	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	55	179	42	0.235	4	22	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.217	0.268	0.329	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	2	9	0.206

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	67	239	53	0.222	10	25	0.339	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.224	0.309	0.326	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	84	336	85	0.253	14	40	0.315	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.261	0.310	0.392	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	72	190	52	0.274	12	33	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.254	0.322	0.503	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	77	283	80	0.283	8	36	0.370	4	3	1	1	4	1	0	0.333	0.249	0.318	0.428	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	78	308	79	0.256	8	34	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.306	0.357	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	53	200	33	0.165	8	21	0.268	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.303	0.318	OK
Cole Young	2B	85	308	78	0.253	7	37	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.245	0.291	0.362	OK
Victor Robles	RF	22	66	16	0.242	0	2	0.275	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.203	0.242	0.275	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	35	112	23	0.205	7	17	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.197	0.278	0.388	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	6	5	5	6	4	0.200

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	6	19.1	8.95	1.728	7.1	15	3.2	5	4	4	4	2	89	3.2	2	4
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	31	33.7	3.74	1.335	10.1	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	37	24.5	2.94	1.714	12.9	35	2.0	0	0	0	2	0	37	2.0	0	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	19	16.5	2.73	0.970	13.6	25	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	16	93.9	4.03	1.374	8.1	84	5.2	4	1	1	2	8	94	5.2	8	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	31	27.7	4.55	1.336	14.9	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	38	30.8	2.92	1.461	8.5	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	39	30.6	2.35	1.503	10.0	34	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	20	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Oakland Athletics

LAD 54-30 (5.27 RPG / 3.46 RA)

6 - 3

OAK 40-44 (4.61 RPG / 5.25 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-3 TARGET: LAD 4 - 3 OAK (LAD) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	6	9
OAK	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.318

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-109.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.211

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-196.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record54-30

Win%0.643

Run Diff152

RD/Game1.810

OAK Season Quality

Record40-44

Win%0.476

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.643

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.7024; margin adjustment: -1.135; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	76	288	85	0.295	17	47	0.412	5	5	2	1	2	0	3	0.400	0.287	0.390	0.498	OK
Andy Pages	CF	83	322	86	0.267	15	58	0.327	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.272	0.335	0.429	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	81	305	88	0.289	13	45	0.379	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.319	0.405	0.519	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	48	195	46	0.236	11	27	0.292	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.286	0.336	0.529	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	77	285	68	0.239	7	44	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.330	0.415	OK
Max Muncy	3B	77	255	67	0.263	16	35	0.361	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.268	0.351	0.458	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	49	116	31	0.267	2	13	0.302	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.289	0.324	0.439	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	47	146	35	0.240	9	23	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.281	0.417	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	9	33	11	0.333	0	4	0.405	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.255	0.335	0.427	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	6	6	4	12	0.250

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	39	134	40	0.299	2	12	0.377	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.254	0.321	0.350	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	76	314	84	0.268	19	43	0.334	5	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.229	0.293	0.385	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	83	301	84	0.279	19	64	0.423	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.356	0.403	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	28	83	20	0.241	6	12	0.297	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.226	0.294	0.436	OK
Colby Thomas	LF	33	74	15	0.203	2	7	0.244	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.185	0.224	0.285	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	70	206	42	0.204	5	21	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.317	0.347	OK
Max Muncy	3B	42	142	33	0.232	5	20	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.279	0.408	OK
Alika Williams	SS	20	60	17	0.283	1	7	0.306	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.145	0.175	0.282	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	50	202	56	0.277	4	26	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.223	0.266	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	7	3	3	5	6	0.212

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eric Lauer	Starter	5	27.4	2.63	0.949	5.3	16	5.0	5	2	2	4	3	101	5.0	3	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	36	32.0	2.25	0.750	11.8	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	37	20.9	3.44	1.435	16.8	39	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	15	0.2	0	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	28	25.5	3.88	1.333	11.6	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	28	28.6	2.83	1.608	11.3	36	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gage Jump	Starter	6	35.1	2.05	0.969	9.0	35	5.2	6	3	3	3	8	109	5.2	8	3
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	20	19.3	6.53	1.295	12.6	27	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.1	2	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	41	29.5	4.58	2.034	14.3	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	39	32.3	4.74	1.331	10.6	38	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-3

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

MIA 44-40 (4.27 RPG / 4.15 RA)

4 - 3

COL 33-51 (4.61 RPG / 5.67 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 4-3 TARGET: MIA 5 - 2 COL (MIA) Confidence: 57.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	11
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-124.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.309

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-246.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record44-40

Win%0.524

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.119

COL Season Quality

Record33-51

Win%0.393

Run Diff-89

RD/Game-1.060

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.375; margin adjustment: -0.5775; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	83	328	109	0.332	6	36	0.365	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.288	0.322	0.453	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	83	305	91	0.298	6	29	0.380	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.297	0.374	0.417	OK
Esteury Ruiz	LF	36	79	21	0.266	4	9	0.322	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.171	0.223	0.350	OK
Heriberto Hernández	RF	53	166	36	0.217	8	29	0.276	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.222	0.281	0.402	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	60	221	50	0.226	8	32	0.315	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.251	0.322	0.454	OK
Leo Jiménez	DH	28	80	15	0.188	0	1	0.267	5	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.130	0.190	0.192	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	81	285	56	0.196	4	21	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.205	0.309	0.320	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	57	183	47	0.257	2	26	0.290	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.252	0.283	0.366	OK
Joe Mack	C	41	124	31	0.250	4	18	0.311	4	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.309	0.420	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	11	4	4	4	6	0.297

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	63	224	68	0.304	6	33	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.289	0.324	0.497	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	48	161	43	0.267	12	30	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.245	0.396	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	78	297	72	0.242	25	47	0.308	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.225	0.277	0.524	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	78	286	85	0.297	12	44	0.373	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.302	0.369	0.480	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	17	56	15	0.268	3	11	0.382	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.358	0.435	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	74	247	78	0.316	3	35	0.374	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.292	0.345	0.437	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	76	223	57	0.256	5	23	0.351	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.360	0.471	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	75	269	57	0.212	6	25	0.259	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.196	0.242	0.337	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	65	184	40	0.217	2	18	0.318	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.314	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	3	3	1	7	0.206

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	17	108.6	4.06	1.252	6.7	81	6.1	3	0	0	1	3	98	6.1	3	0
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	26	22.6	7.17	1.416	12.7	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	3	1.0	2	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	34	29.0	4.03	1.759	10.9	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	35	27.8	3.24	1.187	13.3	41	0.2	3	3	3	0	2	11	0.2	2	3

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Sullivan	Starter	2	7.0	10.29	1.857	5.1	4	3.0	6	2	2	1	2	71	3.0	2	2
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	24	38.9	2.54	1.183	8.3	36	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	19	17.9	4.53	1.397	11.6	23	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	19	1.0	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	39	25.2	4.64	1.746	8.9	25	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	21	20.9	6.03	1.914	7.3	17	1.0	2	2	2	2	0	27	1.0	0	2
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	34	31.3	7.48	1.981	10.9	38	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-3

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros

MIN 40-45 (4.85 RPG / 5.2 RA)

6 - 3

HOU 42-44 (4.5 RPG / 4.99 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 6-3 TARGET: MIN 4 - 3 HOU (MIN) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	1	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	6	8
HOU	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	4

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.236

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-202.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.352

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-215.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record40-45

Win%0.471

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.353

HOU Season Quality

Record42-44

Win%0.488

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.488

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1088; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	66	215	62	0.288	5	26	0.373	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.211	0.288	0.355	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	78	294	73	0.248	14	46	0.302	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.319	0.491	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	70	252	61	0.242	13	34	0.308	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.154	0.220	0.353	OK
Josh Bell	DH	82	296	72	0.243	9	51	0.300	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.237	0.288	0.395	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	51	183	39	0.213	7	22	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.296	0.380	OK
Victor Caratini	C	60	193	46	0.238	6	31	0.326	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.326	0.414	OK
Ryan Kreidler	CF	36	93	27	0.290	5	21	0.353	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.276	0.334	0.496	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	51	145	36	0.248	4	28	0.287	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.282	0.351	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	78	274	67	0.245	2	24	0.325	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.214	0.296	0.292	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	6	6	3	12	0.229

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	62	238	57	0.239	8	21	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.305	0.374	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	83	298	94	0.315	25	56	0.431	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.375	0.464	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	78	281	70	0.249	11	45	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.340	0.439	OK
Christian Walker	1B	83	313	76	0.243	19	56	0.314	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.240	0.300	0.434	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	33	87	23	0.264	2	9	0.326	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.158	0.229	0.350	OK
Cam Smith	RF	82	280	61	0.218	9	30	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.289	0.395	OK
Joey Loperfido	LF	34	95	21	0.221	1	11	0.306	3	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.300	0.387	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	53	159	34	0.214	4	19	0.269	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.256	0.298	OK
Jake Meyers	CF	41	132	27	0.205	3	11	0.264	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.248	0.301	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	3	3	1	6	0.129

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	8	49.1	4.58	1.202	7.1	39	6.0	2	3	3	1	4	94	6.0	4	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	24	18.4	1.47	1.033	10.8	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	39	25.7	5.95	1.790	11.6	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	4	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	29	32.4	4.72	1.667	11.1	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	12	67.5	3.33	1.185	8.5	64	5.2	4	2	2	1	7	106	5.2	7	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	0.75	0.583	14.2	19	1.0	3	4	4	1	3	26	1.0	3	4
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	34	31.1	2.60	1.415	7.8	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	35	31.3	5.75	1.438	9.8	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	40	33.7	2.94	1.098	9.6	36	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	15	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-3

New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays

NYM 35-49 (4.04 RPG / 4.57 RA)

1 - 5

TOR 39-45 (4.08 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 5-1 TARGET: NYM 1 - 2 TOR (TOR) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4
TOR	0	0	2	0	1	1	1	0	x	5	9

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.222

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-160.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.225

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-161.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record35-49

Win%0.417

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.536

TOR Season Quality

Record39-45

Win%0.464

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.393

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2143; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	79	302	78	0.258	9	32	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.294	0.367	OK
Juan Soto	LF	64	230	70	0.304	17	39	0.408	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.387	0.474	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	83	335	85	0.254	10	46	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.287	0.398	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	27	105	23	0.219	2	7	0.305	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.235	0.307	0.405	OK
Jared Young	1B	36	103	24	0.233	6	13	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.138	0.212	0.289	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	44	147	41	0.279	4	19	0.359	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.294	0.373	0.489	OK
Mark Vientos	DH	69	226	48	0.212	10	33	0.253	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.126	0.179	0.270	OK
Brett Baty	2B	74	239	51	0.213	3	26	0.294	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.177	0.267	0.260	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	52	172	42	0.244	8	18	0.311	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.209	0.268	0.382	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	1	1	1	8	0.129

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	61	236	52	0.220	8	21	0.310	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.217	0.290	0.336	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	49	155	48	0.310	4	17	0.357	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.290	0.328	0.485	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	79	295	79	0.268	4	34	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.295	0.319	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	81	298	71	0.238	19	53	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.240	0.305	0.476	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	81	311	93	0.299	7	28	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.278	0.299	0.397	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	49	147	36	0.245	7	19	0.329	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.237	0.321	0.386	OK
Luis Urías	2B	4	10	3	0.300	1	2	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.310	0.395	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	43	134	37	0.276	5	19	0.317	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.224	0.271	0.390	OK
Myles Straw	CF	59	129	31	0.240	2	11	0.298	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.130	0.194	0.215	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	5	5	4	8	0.273

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	17	55.0	5.07	1.473	9.8	60	5.0	4	3	3	2	5	83	5.0	5	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	29	25.7	3.85	1.440	14.4	41	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	20	0.1	1	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	33	32.9	2.19	0.881	10.7	39	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	33	25.1	2.87	1.554	11.5	32	1.2	1	0	0	1	2	28	1.2	2	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trey Yesavage	Starter	11	58.8	3.67	1.207	8.9	58	5.2	2	0	0	0	5	91	5.2	5	0
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	40	41.5	1.08	1.012	13.4	62	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	40	35.4	2.03	1.328	5.1	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	40	33.7	5.07	1.632	16.0	60	1.1	2	1	1	0	2	11	1.1	2	1

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-1

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies

PIT 42-42 (5.11 RPG / 4.77 RA)

5 - 2

PHI 47-37 (4.38 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-2 TARGET: PIT 3 - 2 PHI (PIT) Confidence: 52.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	5	4
PHI	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.312

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-111.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.167

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-120.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record42-42

Win%0.500

Run Diff28

RD/Game0.333

PHI Season Quality

Record47-37

Win%0.560

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.024

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2202; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	DH	52	198	54	0.273	5	23	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.262	0.305	0.440	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	78	305	74	0.243	20	56	0.318	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.234	0.302	0.466	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	84	301	86	0.286	11	52	0.402	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.268	0.377	0.428	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	68	259	74	0.286	13	50	0.339	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.281	0.329	0.490	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	15	42	11	0.262	5	10	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.286	0.332	0.607	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	29	82	21	0.256	3	11	0.358	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.266	0.357	0.445	OK
Tyler Callihan	3B	20	54	14	0.259	3	12	0.359	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.152	0.250	0.347	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	47	151	36	0.238	0	10	0.307	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.292	0.318	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	56	185	55	0.297	1	14	0.335	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.243	0.281	0.315	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	5	5	3	12	0.129

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	79	332	78	0.235	7	24	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.255	0.295	0.353	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	78	299	76	0.254	29	53	0.365	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.353	0.532	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	82	290	80	0.276	19	51	0.376	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.297	0.389	0.556	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	78	286	92	0.322	12	42	0.354	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.298	0.329	0.491	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	78	289	65	0.225	9	42	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.281	0.334	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	77	267	63	0.236	7	39	0.298	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.234	0.296	0.377	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	56	195	40	0.205	5	24	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.281	0.352	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	10	34	4	0.118	1	3	0.118	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.201	0.210	0.287	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	75	231	54	0.234	2	15	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.280	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	2	2	3	7	0.182

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	16	94.8	3.13	1.108	10.2	107	5.2	3	2	2	2	7	93	5.2	7	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	34	32.7	3.30	1.009	11.0	40	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	35	32.0	4.50	1.406	8.4	30	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	35	41.8	4.09	1.411	10.8	50	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	16	78.1	5.76	1.498	9.4	82	4.2	4	5	5	3	4	89	4.2	4	5
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	29	28.2	0.96	0.851	14.0	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	35	30.1	2.99	1.329	11.4	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	3	1.0	3	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	36	25.1	6.81	1.952	14.7	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	26	20.6	4.37	1.311	11.8	27	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.2	0	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	32	33.4	3.23	1.078	9.7	36	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	17	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-2

San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs

SD 43-39 (3.91 RPG / 4.07 RA)

2 - 4

CHC 46-38 (4.92 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-2 TARGET: SD 3 - 4 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 52.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	5
CHC	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	x	4	7

SD Recent Form

Win%0.275

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-146.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.155

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-164.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record43-39

Win%0.524

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.159

CHC Season Quality

Record46-38

Win%0.548

Run Diff40

RD/Game0.476

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6696; margin adjustment: 0.2812; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	80	314	89	0.283	3	29	0.348	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.318	0.394	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	19	68	22	0.324	1	11	0.410	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.175	0.282	0.231	OK
Manny Machado	3B	80	293	55	0.188	15	44	0.272	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.308	0.427	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	59	201	50	0.249	5	17	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.264	0.366	OK
Ty France	1B	53	165	42	0.255	10	29	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.290	0.517	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	78	306	65	0.212	8	31	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.269	0.348	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	78	271	62	0.229	8	31	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.326	0.320	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	42	127	18	0.142	3	11	0.245	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.151	0.250	0.277	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	75	238	55	0.231	13	35	0.317	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.233	0.310	0.427	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	5	2	2	2	9	0.161

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	83	313	88	0.281	17	45	0.368	4	2	2	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.249	0.336	0.441	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	81	318	77	0.242	6	27	0.340	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.210	0.307	0.298	OK
Michael Busch	1B	82	297	71	0.239	9	45	0.374	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.213	0.337	0.353	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	68	252	66	0.262	12	37	0.349	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.331	0.437	OK
Ian Happ	LF	78	295	67	0.227	17	41	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.329	0.434	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	81	328	80	0.244	4	36	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.325	0.373	OK
Michael Conforto	RF	50	112	26	0.232	5	15	0.312	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.153	0.229	0.330	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	37	110	25	0.227	3	10	0.336	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.218	0.295	0.351	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	78	264	51	0.193	11	46	0.291	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.207	0.293	0.384	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	29	7	4	4	4	7	0.241

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Canning	Starter	10	40.8	7.72	1.740	9.5	43	3.2	6	4	4	2	6	80	3.2	6	4
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	32	31.9	0.85	0.846	18.6	66	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	38	35.7	4.03	1.176	12.4	49	2.0	1	0	0	2	0	36	2.0	0	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	35	29.0	2.48	1.241	6.5	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	16	90.6	4.47	1.071	8.7	88	5.2	4	2	2	2	7	99	5.2	7	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	37	32.6	3.87	1.503	12.4	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	25	18.8	4.79	1.383	13.9	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	26	27.0	2.33	1.296	10.3	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-2

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks

SF 36-48 (4.1 RPG / 4.63 RA)

6 - 2

ARI 41-42 (4.22 RPG / 4.59 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 6-2 TARGET: SF 6 - 4 ARI (SF) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	0	0	6	11
ARI	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	10

SF Recent Form

Win%0.229

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-174.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.318

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-107.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record36-48

Win%0.429

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.536

ARI Season Quality

Record41-42

Win%0.494

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.373

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2603; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt Chapman	3B	82	296	70	0.236	7	43	0.326	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.216	0.301	0.329	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	78	307	102	0.332	3	30	0.368	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.299	0.340	0.437	OK
Casey Schmitt	SS	74	294	85	0.289	16	41	0.316	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.266	0.281	0.429	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	83	318	77	0.242	14	43	0.304	5	5	3	0	0	0	0	0.600	0.243	0.297	0.513	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	44	164	42	0.256	4	20	0.297	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.291	0.402	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	42	141	40	0.284	6	17	0.382	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.235	0.338	0.411	OK
Victor Bericoto	LF	14	32	8	0.250	3	4	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.150	0.183	0.283	OK
Eric Haase	C	22	63	12	0.190	4	9	0.250	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.188	0.252	0.351	OK
Jonah Cox	CF	12	24	7	0.292	1	2	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.130	0.142	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	11	6	6	2	2	0.314

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jorge Barrosa	CF	40	105	19	0.181	2	9	0.246	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.220	0.275	0.441	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.221	0.345	0.331	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.275	0.328	0.461	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.239	0.317	0.352	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.278	0.355	0.464	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.291	0.341	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.279	0.357	0.544	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.243	0.309	0.400
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.196	0.243	0.280	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	2	2	4	12	0.270

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	12	60.7	5.63	1.499	9.0	61	5.1	7	1	1	1	7	95	5.1	7	1
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	34	30.1	4.78	1.495	12.3	41	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	23	18.4	6.36	1.848	8.8	18	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	26	17.6	4.60	1.932	14.8	29	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	10	7.5	2.40	1.467	12.0	10	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	18	11.4	3.16	2.018	12.6	16	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	16	77.8	6.25	1.671	6.0	52	5.0	8	5	5	2	0	95	5.0	0	5
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	6	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 6-2

Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians

TEX 42-42 (4.05 RPG / 4.14 RA)

2 - 1

CLE 44-40 (3.94 RPG / 4.04 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 2-1 TARGET: TEX 2 - 1 CLE (TEX) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8
CLE	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	4

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.277

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-133.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.224

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-116.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record42-42

Win%0.500

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.095

CLE Season Quality

Record44-40

Win%0.524

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.095

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0357; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Justin Foscue	DH	33	82	22	0.268	5	13	0.315	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.168	0.213	0.341	OK
Josh Jung	3B	78	304	89	0.293	8	31	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.301	0.369	OK
Ezequiel Duran	RF	73	251	68	0.271	6	41	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.170	0.234	0.280	OK
Jake Burger	1B	81	296	76	0.257	14	50	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.332	0.444	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	42	136	31	0.228	5	14	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.138	0.227	0.216	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	49	135	34	0.252	0	14	0.348	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.313	0.321	OK
Nicky Lopez	SS	27	78	26	0.333	1	6	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.195	0.225	0.246	OK
Evan Carter	CF	66	195	34	0.174	6	21	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.125	0.228	0.212	OK
Corey Seager	SS	50	187	34	0.182	10	25	0.292	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.188	0.299	0.379	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	2	2	1	7	0.229

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	53	195	50	0.256	7	25	0.350	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.227	0.308	0.383	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	80	271	73	0.269	5	34	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.296	0.353	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	65	242	65	0.269	7	36	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.329	0.383	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	63	192	35	0.182	7	28	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.324	0.370	OK
Kahlil Watson	RF	10	31	9	0.290	1	8	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.283	0.310	0.465	OK
David Fry	LF	48	110	23	0.209	4	9	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.187	0.298	0.323	OK
Steven Kwan	CF	73	260	55	0.212	1	13	0.315	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.222	0.313	0.288	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	16	54	12	0.222	2	5	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.208	0.238	0.331	OK
Austin Hedges	C	37	108	29	0.269	1	9	0.333	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.238	0.294	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	1	1	3	7	0.129

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Alexander	Starter	35	29.9	3.01	1.505	8.1	27	5.0	3	1	1	2	3	80	5.0	3	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	30	36.9	1.22	0.596	9.8	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	30	31.3	2.88	1.086	7.5	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	21	26.1	3.45	1.111	11.0	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Robby Ahlstrom	Middle Reliever	11	8.6	5.23	1.628	6.3	6	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	15	0.2	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	16	90.6	2.78	1.093	10.0	101	6.0	7	2	2	0	6	98	6.0	6	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	36	36.0	3.25	1.278	14.2	57	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	27	19.7	3.65	1.574	9.1	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	25	19.7	2.74	1.421	11.9	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 2-1

Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox

WAS 43-42 (5.28 RPG / 5.22 RA)

1 - 4

BOS 36-46 (4.0 RPG / 3.94 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-1 TARGET: WAS 1 - 3 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 52.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	7
BOS	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	x	4	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.209

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-175.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.258

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-124.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record43-42

Win%0.506

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.059

BOS Season Quality

Record36-46

Win%0.439

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.061

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0981; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	LF	85	326	84	0.258	20	49	0.384	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.212	0.327	0.392	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	17	41	6	0.146	0	5	0.255	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.200	0.278	0.332	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	69	216	48	0.222	14	39	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.149	0.229	0.339	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	82	302	83	0.275	17	57	0.358	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.224	0.293	0.416	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	34	133	30	0.226	5	17	0.270	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.270	0.373	OK
Jacob Young	CF	72	250	56	0.224	8	30	0.268	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.205	0.239	0.329	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	78	258	72	0.279	16	55	0.307	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.213	0.257	0.533	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	73	236	56	0.237	0	27	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.310	0.296	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	53	173	48	0.277	6	30	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.281	0.410	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	1	1	2	12	0.206

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Masataka Yoshida	DH	52	156	39	0.250	2	11	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.172	0.242	0.307	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	76	289	81	0.280	7	35	0.329	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.292	0.404	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	80	307	82	0.267	10	38	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.300	0.394	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	78	285	80	0.281	17	50	0.373	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.259	0.331	0.471	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	76	305	61	0.200	12	39	0.256	4	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.199	0.244	0.316	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	73	244	56	0.230	6	34	0.283	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.278	0.319	0.460	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	11	33	11	0.333	1	3	0.405	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.176	0.260	0.326	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	44	135	27	0.200	2	4	0.273	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.257	0.297	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	3	9	1	0.111	0	2	0.182	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.291	0.403	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	8	4	4	0	6	0.250

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Miles Mikolas	Starter	17	74.3	5.45	1.346	5.3	44	4.1	7	3	3	0	5	76	4.1	5	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	25	23.0	3.52	1.435	11.0	28	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	25	49.9	3.61	1.242	9.2	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	22	1.1	0	0
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	27	17.4	5.17	2.471	10.9	21	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	15	80.8	2.90	1.163	9.4	84	5.2	4	1	1	1	8	94	5.2	8	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	25	24.2	1.12	1.116	11.9	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	27	26.2	2.75	1.069	10.3	30	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	21	15.3	7.06	1.895	13.5	23	0.2	2	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	32	25.3	4.27	1.462	10.7	30	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-1

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

CHW Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers

CIN Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees

DET Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

DET Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

LAA Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Oakland Athletics

LAD Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

MIA Recent Form

COL Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros

MIN Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays