MLB Predictions — June 28, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ TB	2 - 5	3 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
ATL @ SF	3 - 1	3 - 1	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 3-1	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ MIL	1 - 2	1 - 2	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 2-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CIN @ PIT	4 - 3	4 - 3	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ MIN	3 - 4	3 - 5	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ DET	2 - 1	2 - 1	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 2-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
KC @ CHW	1 - 4	3 - 4	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ SD	3 - 4	3 - 4	SD	SD	SD wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ STL	3 - 2	4 - 2	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 4-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYY @ BOS	1 - 2	0 - 3	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 3-0	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
OAK @ LAA	6 - 5	6 - 2	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 6-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PHI @ NYM	3 - 1	4 - 1	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 4-1	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ CLE	2 - 1	4 - 1	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ TOR	5 - 2	6 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 6-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
WAS @ BAL	1 - 4	2 - 5	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 5-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays

ARI 41-42 (4.22 RPG / 4.59 RA)

3 - 5

TB 48-33 (4.52 RPG / 4.22 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-3 TARGET: ARI 2 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	8
TB	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	x	5	11

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.299

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-107.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.206

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-121.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record41-41

Win%0.500

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.329

TB Season Quality

Record47-33

Win%0.588

Run Diff20

RD/Game0.250

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7105; margin adjustment: 0.2984; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jorge Barrosa	CF	40	105	19	0.181	2	9	0.246	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	0.333	0.212	0.268	0.431	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	5	2	0	1	1	2	0	0.000	0.217	0.342	0.327	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.270	0.323	0.451	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.231	0.309	0.343	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.273	0.351	0.454	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.227	0.288	0.339	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.271	0.350	0.534	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.305	0.395
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.240	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	8	3	3	5	6	0.235

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	77	293	98	0.334	12	52	0.417	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.327	0.397	0.470	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	79	287	83	0.289	13	57	0.391	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.304	0.391	0.493	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	80	302	86	0.285	21	47	0.377	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.291	0.378	0.632	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	14	42	8	0.190	2	5	0.306	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.227	0.335	0.360	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	73	284	75	0.264	0	16	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.164	0.218	0.233	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	69	237	49	0.207	7	24	0.288	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.241	0.306	0.365	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	55	170	40	0.235	1	18	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.206	0.269	0.313	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	59	185	41	0.222	0	18	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.318	0.324	OK
Nick Fortes	C	59	179	45	0.251	1	15	0.297	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.234	0.255	0.327	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	11	5	5	5	5	0.314

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	16	77.8	6.25	1.671	6.0	52	5.0	8	5	5	0	3	91	5.0	3	5
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	2	1	24	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	15	85.3	2.64	0.891	9.4	89	6.0	5	2	2	3	6	106	6.0	6	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	34	31.4	2.01	0.892	10.0	35	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	36	32.4	3.06	1.080	8.3	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	24	19.7	4.57	1.371	12.8	28	1.0	3	1	1	1	0	26	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

TB wins 5-3

Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants

ATL 49-34 (4.72 RPG / 3.72 RA)

3 - 1

SF 36-48 (4.1 RPG / 4.63 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 3-1 TARGET: ATL 3 - 1 SF (ATL) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	8
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.169

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-135.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.232

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-174.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record49-32

Win%0.605

Run Diff89

RD/Game1.099

SF Season Quality

Record34-48

Win%0.415

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.622

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.0062; margin adjustment: -0.8426; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mauricio Dubón	LF	78	289	78	0.270	8	44	0.319	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.271	0.309	0.440	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	75	274	83	0.303	14	42	0.333	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.305	0.432	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	82	311	86	0.277	12	44	0.328	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.299	0.385	OK
Matt Olson	1B	82	316	85	0.269	20	52	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.255	0.324	0.429	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	59	228	60	0.263	15	40	0.345	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.201	0.273	0.358	OK
Austin Riley	3B	82	293	62	0.212	8	36	0.292	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.304	0.348	OK
Joey Bart	C	3	11	2	0.182	1	3	0.182	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.248	0.271	0.390	OK
Eli White	RF	42	102	22	0.216	3	14	0.257	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.211	0.247	0.351	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	22	71	5	0.070	0	3	0.165	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.134	0.220	0.180	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	3	3	4	12	0.229

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt Chapman	3B	81	292	68	0.233	7	43	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.192	0.280	0.296	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	77	304	100	0.329	3	29	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.275	0.323	0.412	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	74	294	85	0.289	16	41	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.271	0.413	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	82	314	76	0.242	14	43	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.292	0.507	OK
Willy Adames	SS	80	315	73	0.232	14	32	0.275	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.280	0.441	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	CF	73	278	91	0.327	5	30	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.267	0.301	0.453	OK
Victor Bericoto	RF	13	28	7	0.250	3	4	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.137	0.173	0.260	OK
Eric Haase	C	21	60	12	0.200	4	9	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.188	0.241	0.351	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	57	161	37	0.230	3	16	0.294	3	2	2	0	0	1	0	1.000	0.205	0.271	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	1	1	4	6	0.129

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	14	82.6	2.18	1.065	10.8	99	6.0	2	0	0	3	6	101	6.0	6	0
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	25	25.4	1.42	1.102	10.3	29	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	22	1.0	0	1
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	37	31.9	1.13	0.721	11.8	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	24	28.2	2.55	1.135	11.5	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	16	85.1	3.81	1.316	8.5	80	5.1	7	1	1	1	7	107	5.1	7	1
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	33	29.1	4.64	1.478	12.4	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	23	18.4	6.36	1.848	8.8	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	26	17.6	4.60	1.932	14.8	29	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	14	0.2	0	0
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	10	7.5	2.40	1.467	12.0	10	1.0	1	2	2	2	2	24	1.0	2	2

Game Summary

ATL wins 3-1

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

CHC 46-38 (4.92 RPG / 4.44 RA)

1 - 2

MIL 50-31 (5.16 RPG / 3.68 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 2-1 TARGET: CHC 1 - 2 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	x	2	5

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.139

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-164.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.254

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-105.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record45-38

Win%0.542

Run Diff39

RD/Game0.470

MIL Season Quality

Record50-30

Win%0.625

Run Diff121

RD/Game1.512

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1669; margin adjustment: 0.4901; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	82	311	88	0.283	17	45	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.321	0.444	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	80	314	77	0.245	6	27	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.212	0.311	0.301	OK
Michael Busch	1B	81	293	71	0.242	9	44	0.377	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.340	0.377	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	67	247	65	0.263	12	35	0.352	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.335	0.439	OK
Ian Happ	LF	77	291	67	0.230	17	41	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.325	0.429	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	80	324	78	0.241	4	36	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.313	0.362	OK
Michael Conforto	RF	49	110	26	0.236	5	15	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.149	0.226	0.327	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	36	108	24	0.222	3	10	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.284	0.325	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	77	260	51	0.196	11	46	0.295	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.215	0.302	0.429	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	1	1	2	4	0.156

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	47	184	47	0.255	5	25	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.291	0.355	OK
Jackson Chourio	CF	46	198	59	0.298	11	31	0.346	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.261	0.303	0.468	OK
Brice Turang	2B	75	287	74	0.258	11	47	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.235	0.326	0.397	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	40	117	39	0.333	2	24	0.410	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.270	0.355	0.449	OK
Jake Bauers	LF	69	236	64	0.271	14	48	0.377	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.366	0.479	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	45	123	27	0.220	7	21	0.349	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.244	0.357	0.428	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	71	229	54	0.236	3	28	0.299	4	2	1	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.256	0.311	0.363	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	11	32	8	0.250	0	2	0.342	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.239	0.337	0.333	OK
David Hamilton	3B	60	186	43	0.231	3	13	0.302	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.232	0.290	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	28	5	2	2	4	7	0.179

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Rolison	Starter	25	25.0	2.16	1.320	10.4	29	5.0	2	0	0	1	5	73	5.0	5	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	36	31.6	3.99	1.487	12.0	42	1.1	3	2	2	2	1	30	1.1	1	2
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	24	17.8	5.06	1.404	13.7	27	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	16	0.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	18	21.6	2.92	1.111	4.2	10	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Woodruff	Starter	7	35.3	3.06	0.907	8.9	35	5.0	2	0	0	2	4	77	5.0	4	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	30	30.0	2.40	0.933	11.4	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	37	43.9	3.49	1.458	13.5	66	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	31	26.7	4.38	1.498	8.1	24	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	5	1.1	0	1
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	8	6.5	5.54	2.000	9.7	7	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 2-1

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN 39-43 (4.27 RPG / 4.89 RA)

4 - 3

PIT 42-42 (5.11 RPG / 4.77 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 4-3 TARGET: CIN 4 - 3 PIT (CIN) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	8
PIT	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	7

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.209

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-183.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.323

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-117.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record39-42

Win%0.481

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.568

PIT Season Quality

Record41-42

Win%0.494

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.277

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8638; margin adjustment: 0.3628; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	61	242	66	0.273	12	38	0.343	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.229	0.303	0.386	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	80	302	77	0.255	15	57	0.345	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.247	0.325	0.444	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	52	189	46	0.243	13	35	0.350	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.200	0.307	0.375	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	53	193	41	0.212	8	29	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.278	0.408	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	76	271	66	0.244	13	34	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.298	0.431	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	27	86	17	0.198	4	6	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.200	0.255	0.377	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	61	193	42	0.218	6	23	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.322	0.380	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	18	57	15	0.263	0	3	0.328	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.284	0.345	OK
Blake Dunn	CF	34	139	39	0.281	2	7	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.156	0.212	0.249	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	8	0.229

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	51	193	53	0.275	5	23	0.333	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.277	0.323	0.461	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	77	301	74	0.246	20	56	0.320	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.251	0.314	0.501	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	83	298	86	0.289	11	52	0.402	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.290	0.391	0.475	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	76	288	85	0.295	3	35	0.344	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.280	0.323	0.377	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	67	254	71	0.280	11	46	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.276	0.327	0.426	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	14	38	8	0.211	4	8	0.250	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.265	0.301	0.538	OK
Tyler Callihan	LF	19	50	12	0.240	2	9	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.141	0.233	0.313	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	55	181	55	0.304	1	14	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.292	0.335	OK
Henry Davis	C	44	137	20	0.146	6	19	0.239	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.187	0.254	0.372	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	3	3	5	6	0.206

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	15	71.6	4.90	1.536	7.4	59	4.2	5	2	2	3	3	94	4.2	3	2
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	22	20.2	2.67	1.089	9.4	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	40	32.5	3.32	1.662	9.4	34	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	24	1.0	0	1
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	26	18.2	3.96	1.538	11.4	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Sam Moll	Middle Reliever	36	27.6	4.89	1.522	11.7	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Keller	Starter	16	86.7	4.98	1.349	7.2	69	5.1	7	4	4	2	3	96	5.1	3	4
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	34	32.7	3.30	1.009	11.0	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	34	31.0	4.65	1.387	8.4	29	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	35	41.8	4.09	1.411	10.8	50	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	31	29.5	2.75	1.424	12.8	42	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 4-3

Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins

COL 33-51 (4.61 RPG / 5.67 RA)

3 - 5

MIN 40-45 (4.85 RPG / 5.2 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 5-3 TARGET: COL 3 - 4 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	7
MIN	2	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	x	5	9

COL Recent Form

Win%0.299

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-243.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.225

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-203.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record33-50

Win%0.398

Run Diff-88

RD/Game-1.060

MIN Season Quality

Record39-45

Win%0.464

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.369

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7912; margin adjustment: 0.3323; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willi Castro	2B	70	251	69	0.275	6	33	0.346	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.256	0.316	0.392	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	52	182	51	0.280	3	22	0.355	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.191	0.221	0.270	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	77	293	72	0.246	25	47	0.312	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.240	0.293	0.547	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	77	282	83	0.294	12	43	0.371	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.305	0.373	0.499	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	16	53	13	0.245	3	11	0.369	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.366	0.434	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	75	221	57	0.258	5	23	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.289	0.369	0.498	OK
Troy Johnston	LF	73	243	76	0.313	3	34	0.372	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.291	0.347	0.439	OK
Braxton Fulford	C	22	39	9	0.231	1	7	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.130	0.239	0.249	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	74	266	57	0.214	6	25	0.261	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.250	0.350	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	3	3	5	9	0.206

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	65	212	61	0.288	5	26	0.373	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.214	0.293	0.359	OK
Byron Buxton	DH	72	298	81	0.272	25	43	0.329	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.251	0.296	0.493	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	69	248	60	0.242	12	33	0.309	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.145	0.213	0.316	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	50	179	38	0.212	7	22	0.289	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.240	0.301	0.377	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	77	291	71	0.244	14	46	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.307	0.479	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	77	271	67	0.247	2	24	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.318	0.323	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	35	90	26	0.289	4	20	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.292	0.351	0.473	OK
Austin Martin	CF	66	214	52	0.243	2	17	0.337	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.243	0.325	0.331	OK
Alex Jackson	C	13	41	13	0.317	0	3	0.349	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.248	0.257	0.375	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	5	5	2	5	0.273

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Feltner	Starter	10	45.6	4.93	1.338	6.9	35	5.0	8	5	5	1	3	91	5.0	3	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	24	38.9	2.54	1.183	8.3	36	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	15	1.1	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	19	17.9	4.53	1.397	11.6	23	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	19	0.2	1	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	38	25.1	4.66	1.753	9.0	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	11	55.2	5.22	1.431	9.0	55	5.0	4	2	2	2	5	102	5.0	5	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	23	17.4	1.55	1.092	11.4	22	1.1	2	1	1	1	2	27	1.1	2	1
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	38	25.5	6.00	1.725	10.9	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	28	31.3	4.89	1.725	10.9	38	1.2	0	0	0	2	1	32	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 5-3

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers

HOU 42-44 (4.5 RPG / 4.99 RA)

2 - 1

DET 35-49 (4.1 RPG / 4.13 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 2-1 TARGET: HOU 2 - 1 DET (HOU) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	5
DET	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.343

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-220.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-120.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record41-44

Win%0.482

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.518

DET Season Quality

Record35-48

Win%0.422

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.012

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4146; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	46	178	53	0.298	6	21	0.360	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.290	0.346	0.436	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	82	295	94	0.319	25	56	0.431	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.258	0.377	0.469	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	77	276	67	0.243	10	43	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.323	0.389	OK
Christian Walker	1B	82	309	75	0.243	18	53	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.293	0.400	OK
Joey Loperfido	RF	33	94	21	0.223	1	11	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.226	0.298	0.430	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	32	126	32	0.254	3	15	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.283	0.395	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	32	86	23	0.267	2	9	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.151	0.210	0.340	OK
Jake Meyers	CF	40	128	26	0.203	3	11	0.264	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.183	0.242	0.288	OK
Raynel Delgado	2B	7	21	6	0.286	0	2	0.286	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.185	0.196	0.255	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	2	2	5	7	0.156

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	79	295	84	0.285	6	28	0.394	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.357	0.395	OK
Colt Keith	1B	74	220	54	0.245	5	17	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.258	0.407	OK
Riley Greene	LF	82	296	87	0.294	9	34	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.345	0.392	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	75	277	75	0.271	19	58	0.336	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.266	0.315	0.501	OK
Kerry Carpenter	DH	60	168	38	0.226	12	35	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.292	0.498	OK
Zach McKinstry	SS	55	165	31	0.188	2	12	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.304	0.326	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	43	119	31	0.261	3	11	0.290	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.283	0.315	0.445	OK
James Outman	CF	9	24	4	0.167	2	5	0.259	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.103	0.177	0.234	OK
Matt Vierling	RF	62	199	38	0.191	5	26	0.250	3	3	2	0	0	0	1	0.667	0.126	0.187	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	8	1	1	0	11	0.229

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	4	18.4	1.47	1.250	13.7	28	5.0	6	1	1	0	5	89	5.0	5	1
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	11	11.0	0.82	0.364	13.9	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	33	30.1	2.69	1.429	8.1	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	34	30.3	5.64	1.386	9.8	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	39	33.6	2.95	1.101	9.6	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	6	1.0	2	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	10	57.8	3.43	1.021	10.3	66	6.0	2	1	1	3	7	98	6.0	7	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	21	17.6	3.58	1.136	11.2	22	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	27	23.4	6.92	1.624	10.4	27	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	35	33.8	1.60	1.509	7.2	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 2-1

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

KC 35-50 (4.2 RPG / 5.02 RA)

3 - 4

CHW 43-39 (4.78 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 4-3 TARGET: KC 1 - 4 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	3	7
CHW	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	x	4	7

KC Recent Form

Win%0.232

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-200.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.343

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.3

Run Diff-74.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record34-50

Win%0.405

Run Diff-71

RD/Game-0.845

CHW Season Quality

Record43-38

Win%0.531

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.235

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.269; margin adjustment: 0.533; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lane Thomas	CF	64	180	38	0.211	5	21	0.322	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.197	0.290	0.317	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	77	303	88	0.290	10	31	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.285	0.356	0.461	OK
Carter Jensen	C	75	261	64	0.245	11	43	0.313	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.253	0.321	0.439	OK
Starling Marte	DH	34	89	23	0.258	1	7	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.254	0.321	0.376	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	77	301	61	0.203	10	30	0.245	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.200	0.227	0.328	OK
Michael Massey	2B	62	190	51	0.268	7	27	0.294	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.171	0.213	0.305	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	71	228	52	0.228	3	23	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.234	0.326	0.338	OK
Tyler Tolbert	3B	15	29	7	0.241	0	1	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.129	0.228	0.170	OK
Kameron Misner	RF	8	28	8	0.286	0	4	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.119	0.151	0.187	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	9	0.206

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.169	0.228	0.322	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.211	0.282	0.453	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.300	0.355	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.271	0.286	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.104	0.179	0.216	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.224	0.316	0.384	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.298	0.433	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.285	0.345	0.474	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.279	0.458	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	7	4	4	3	7	0.233

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luinder Avila	Starter	15	41.5	5.20	1.663	8.5	39	4.0	4	3	3	2	5	79	4.0	5	3
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	34	32.3	5.57	1.672	10.3	37	2.1	2	0	0	1	1	39	2.1	1	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	31	28.8	5.00	1.736	7.8	25	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.2	1	1

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	6	2	2	3	4	106	6.0	4	2
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres

LAD 53-30 (5.29 RPG / 3.48 RA)

3 - 4

SD 43-38 (3.94 RPG / 4.07 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-3 TARGET: LAD 3 - 4 SD (SD) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	9
SD	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	4	5

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.303

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-115.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.279

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-145.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record52-30

Win%0.634

Run Diff138

RD/Game1.683

SD Season Quality

Record43-37

Win%0.537

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.013

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.8154; margin adjustment: -0.7625; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	75	284	84	0.296	17	46	0.412	5	5	3	0	0	0	1	0.600	0.274	0.378	0.500	OK
Andy Pages	CF	82	319	86	0.270	15	58	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.327	0.420	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	80	302	88	0.291	13	44	0.380	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.321	0.403	0.541	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	47	191	44	0.230	11	25	0.288	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.262	0.318	0.506	OK
Max Muncy	3B	76	252	67	0.266	16	35	0.362	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.345	0.452	OK
Tommy Edman	LF	8	29	11	0.379	0	4	0.455	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.276	0.362	0.469	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	76	281	67	0.238	7	44	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.325	0.404	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	59	169	39	0.231	3	17	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.325	0.340	OK
Chuckie Robinson	C	6	16	2	0.125	0	1	0.125	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.240	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	3	3	1	8	0.250

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	79	310	88	0.284	3	29	0.347	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.252	0.308	0.382	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	18	64	22	0.344	1	11	0.432	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.174	0.285	0.230	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	77	302	64	0.212	8	31	0.272	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.206	0.257	0.331	OK
Manny Machado	3B	79	289	53	0.183	14	43	0.270	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.304	0.395	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	74	235	55	0.234	13	35	0.321	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.240	0.320	0.440	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	77	267	60	0.225	8	30	0.317	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.210	0.313	0.290	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	58	198	50	0.253	5	17	0.288	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.218	0.260	0.361	OK
Sung-Mun Song	2B	22	54	12	0.222	0	8	0.311	3	3	1	1	3	0	1	0.333	0.137	0.226	0.205	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	23	63	9	0.143	3	8	0.239	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.170	0.240	0.323	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	5	4	4	4	8	0.172

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	14	65.1	5.53	1.352	10.5	76	4.2	4	4	4	3	4	88	4.2	4	4
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	35	30.9	2.33	0.744	11.7	40	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	36	20.7	3.04	1.401	16.5	38	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	14	0.2	1	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	28	25.5	3.88	1.333	11.6	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	16	89.9	3.40	1.190	7.8	78	6.0	4	1	1	1	7	92	6.0	7	1
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	32	31.9	0.85	0.846	18.6	66	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	38	35.7	4.03	1.176	12.4	49	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	7	1.0	1	2
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	34	28.0	2.57	1.250	6.8	21	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 4-3

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIA 44-40 (4.27 RPG / 4.15 RA)

4 - 2

STL 43-38 (4.47 RPG / 4.57 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 4-2 TARGET: MIA 3 - 2 STL (MIA) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	8
STL	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	6

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-123.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-120.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record44-39

Win%0.530

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.133

STL Season Quality

Record42-38

Win%0.525

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.113

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2527; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	80	282	56	0.199	4	21	0.318	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.204	0.297	0.315	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	82	324	109	0.336	6	36	0.370	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.303	0.340	0.476	OK
Kyle Stowers	DH	59	217	50	0.230	8	32	0.320	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.253	0.323	0.454	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	82	302	90	0.298	6	29	0.379	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.298	0.377	0.429	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	52	162	36	0.222	8	29	0.282	4	3	1	1	2	0	2	0.333	0.220	0.281	0.411	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	14	40	9	0.225	2	5	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.137	0.214	0.254	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	70	198	45	0.227	9	43	0.281	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.260	0.308	0.478	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	32	89	15	0.169	1	10	0.213	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.113	0.161	0.216	OK
Brian Navarreto	C	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.500	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.197	0.553	0.296
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	8	4	4	4	13	0.235

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	74	293	77	0.263	12	33	0.359	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.303	0.356	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	79	287	73	0.254	10	34	0.395	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.220	0.323	0.342	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	78	304	85	0.280	13	56	0.347	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.303	0.394	OK
Lars Nootbaar	RF	19	65	20	0.308	2	7	0.410	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.279	0.388	0.451	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	70	264	64	0.242	3	32	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.295	0.362	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	14	40	8	0.200	1	3	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.196	0.267	0.351	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	13	45	12	0.267	1	12	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.231	0.267	0.403	OK
Nathan Church	CF	57	191	49	0.257	5	19	0.299	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.214	0.260	0.336	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	41	129	28	0.217	4	11	0.259	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.210	0.248	0.334	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	2	2	1	7	0.182

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	21	56.0	3.21	1.429	7.9	49	5.2	4	1	1	0	4	83	5.2	4	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	26	22.6	7.17	1.416	12.7	32	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	7	1.0	2	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	34	29.0	4.03	1.759	10.9	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	35	27.8	3.24	1.187	13.3	41	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	15	75.4	4.30	1.525	7.4	62	5.0	6	3	3	1	7	97	5.0	7	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	33	31.7	4.26	1.262	9.4	33	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	35	29.0	4.03	1.414	8.4	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	26	1.0	2	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	36	28.0	4.82	1.536	10.9	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	34	25.4	6.38	1.850	13.1	37	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-2

New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox

NYY 48-34 (4.94 RPG / 3.7 RA)

0 - 3

BOS 35-46 (3.99 RPG / 3.94 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 3-0 TARGET: NYY 1 - 2 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
BOS	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	x	3	7

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.190

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-101.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-124.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record48-34

Win%0.585

Run Diff102

RD/Game1.244

BOS Season Quality

Record35-46

Win%0.432

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.049

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.4244; margin adjustment: -0.5983; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	78	280	63	0.225	12	33	0.303	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.218	0.287	0.395	OK
Ben Rice	1B	76	286	79	0.276	22	52	0.368	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.227	0.306	0.431	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	21	81	18	0.222	3	8	0.259	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.259	0.415	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	81	294	78	0.265	11	49	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.339	0.375	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	24	62	14	0.226	2	7	0.324	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.322	0.357	OK
Amed Rosario	DH	42	128	31	0.242	7	21	0.277	4	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.229	0.267	0.406	OK
Oswaldo Cabrera	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.236	0.303	0.386
Austin Wells	C	54	162	26	0.160	4	9	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.267	0.264	OK
José Caballero	SS	69	230	58	0.252	8	28	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.217	0.271	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	0	0	1	11	0.229

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nate Eaton	LF	7	17	4	0.235	1	3	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.145	0.291	0.337	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	75	285	81	0.284	7	35	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.292	0.402	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	79	305	82	0.269	10	38	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.227	0.297	0.425	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	77	281	79	0.281	17	50	0.375	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.246	0.322	0.454	OK
Romy Gonzalez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.238	0.309	0.409
Caleb Durbin	3B	72	240	55	0.229	6	32	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.262	0.305	0.452	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	10	30	10	0.333	1	2	0.394	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.174	0.247	0.340	OK
Connor Wong	C	32	91	25	0.275	1	14	0.362	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.163	0.247	0.298	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	2	6	1	0.167	0	1	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.321	0.450	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	3	3	2	6	0.226

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	8	40.4	3.79	1.312	10.2	46	5.1	5	2	2	2	5	96	5.1	5	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	32	30.9	3.50	1.359	11.4	39	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	38	25.1	2.87	1.673	16.5	46	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	40	30.6	2.06	1.569	12.4	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	14	75.4	2.98	1.207	7.9	66	6.0	4	0	0	0	7	94	6.0	7	0
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	24	23.2	0.78	1.078	11.6	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	27	26.2	2.75	1.069	10.3	30	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	20	14.3	7.55	1.958	13.8	22	0.2	3	0	0	0	2	17	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 3-0

Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels

OAK 40-44 (4.61 RPG / 5.25 RA)

6 - 2

LAA 36-49 (4.54 RPG / 4.96 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 6-2 TARGET: OAK 6 - 5 LAA (OAK) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	6	7
LAA	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	6

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.229

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-196.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.301

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-178.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record40-42

Win%0.488

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.585

LAA Season Quality

Record34-49

Win%0.410

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.506

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0379; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	38	131	40	0.305	2	12	0.380	5	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.271	0.332	0.383	OK
Joey Meneses	1B	4	8	1	0.125	0	1	0.300	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.233	0.368	0.337	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	75	311	83	0.267	19	43	0.332	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.298	0.403	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	27	79	20	0.253	6	12	0.310	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.253	0.325	0.488	OK
Colby Thomas	LF	32	71	15	0.211	2	7	0.253	5	4	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.199	0.239	0.305	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	69	202	40	0.198	5	21	0.283	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.319	0.354	OK
Max Muncy	3B	41	138	32	0.232	5	20	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.240	0.295	0.433	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	75	240	56	0.233	3	22	0.301	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.229	0.284	0.308	OK
Alika Williams	SS	19	56	16	0.286	1	7	0.310	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.152	0.184	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	33	7	6	6	6	5	0.212

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	81	320	72	0.225	17	39	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.298	0.420	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	16	63	17	0.270	3	12	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.325	0.443	OK
Nolan Schanuel	DH	65	244	64	0.262	6	30	0.336	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.264	0.334	0.417	OK
Jo Adell	RF	83	326	82	0.252	11	45	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.265	0.416	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	45	153	36	0.235	4	29	0.312	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.297	0.372	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	30	97	27	0.278	2	15	0.358	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.337	0.389	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	70	232	60	0.259	7	22	0.301	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.241	0.264	0.374	OK
Josh Lowe	CF	44	135	27	0.200	5	14	0.238	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.267	0.363	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	2	6	2	0.333	0	0	0.429	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.208	0.242	0.310	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	2	2	3	7	0.182

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Civale	Starter	13	61.5	4.98	1.610	6.7	46	4.0	5	2	2	2	6	83	4.0	6	2
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	19	18.3	6.89	1.366	12.8	26	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	15	1.1	0	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	41	29.5	4.58	2.034	14.3	47	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	39	32.3	4.74	1.331	10.6	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Mason Barnett	Middle Reliever	9	14.4	1.25	1.042	11.9	19	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	5	1.1	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sam Aldegheri	Starter	7	23.5	5.74	1.574	6.1	16	4.0	4	2	2	4	4	79	4.0	4	2
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	31	33.7	3.74	1.335	10.1	38	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	37	24.5	2.94	1.714	12.9	35	2.0	2	3	3	2	0	39	2.0	0	3
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	19	16.5	2.73	0.970	13.6	25	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 6-2

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

PHI 47-37 (4.38 RPG / 4.36 RA)

4 - 1

NYM 35-49 (4.04 RPG / 4.57 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 4-1 TARGET: PHI 3 - 1 NYM (PHI) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	4	9
NYM	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.167

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-120.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.239

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-155.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record46-37

Win%0.554

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.012

NYM Season Quality

Record35-48

Win%0.422

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.530

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.741; margin adjustment: -0.3112; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	78	327	77	0.235	7	24	0.283	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.257	0.299	0.357	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	77	294	74	0.252	28	51	0.364	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.355	0.520	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	81	287	80	0.279	19	50	0.380	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.305	0.399	0.566	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	77	286	63	0.220	9	41	0.276	5	4	2	1	0	1	2	0.500	0.212	0.262	0.322	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	77	282	90	0.319	12	41	0.352	5	4	0	0	0	1	4	0.000	0.298	0.331	0.506	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	55	191	39	0.204	5	24	0.280	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.285	0.367	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	76	263	62	0.236	7	39	0.299	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.249	0.312	0.415	OK
Derek Hill	RF	10	28	10	0.357	2	5	0.357	5	4	2	1	2	1	2	0.500	0.175	0.203	0.317	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	74	227	53	0.233	2	15	0.290	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.233	0.283	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	36	9	4	4	8	13	0.250

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	78	297	77	0.259	9	30	0.321	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.297	0.378	OK
Juan Soto	LF	63	228	69	0.303	17	39	0.401	5	4	3	0	0	1	0	0.750	0.263	0.367	0.464	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	82	331	84	0.254	10	46	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.285	0.400	OK
Eric Wagaman	1B	12	23	5	0.217	2	4	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.122	0.163	0.217	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	51	167	41	0.246	8	18	0.314	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.296	0.433	OK
Mark Vientos	3B	68	224	48	0.214	10	33	0.255	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.125	0.182	0.269	OK
Tyrone Taylor	CF	37	94	17	0.181	2	13	0.206	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.118	0.153	0.217	OK
Brett Baty	2B	73	237	51	0.215	3	26	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.175	0.249	0.259	OK
Luis Torrens	C	47	136	29	0.213	1	15	0.262	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.125	0.154	0.204	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	1	1	2	7	0.182

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	16	89.3	4.13	1.344	11.1	110	6.0	5	1	1	1	5	98	6.0	5	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	28	27.2	0.99	0.846	14.6	44	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	34	29.1	3.09	1.271	11.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	35	24.1	7.10	1.992	14.6	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.0	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cionel Pérez	Starter	10	13.5	4.00	1.111	9.3	14	4.2	7	2	2	3	9	104	4.2	9	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	29	25.7	3.85	1.440	14.4	41	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	33	32.9	2.19	0.881	10.7	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	33	25.1	2.87	1.554	11.5	32	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	20	1.0	1	2
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	35	35.6	2.28	1.124	9.6	38	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	36	1.1	1	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever	13	10.8	0.00	0.648	8.3	10	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-1

Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians

SEA 42-43 (4.02 RPG / 3.98 RA)

4 - 1

CLE 44-40 (3.94 RPG / 4.04 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-1 TARGET: SEA 2 - 1 CLE (SEA) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	8
CLE	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.288

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-128.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.239

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-117.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record42-42

Win%0.500

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.060

CLE Season Quality

Record43-40

Win%0.518

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.108

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1408; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	66	233	51	0.219	10	25	0.339	5	4	2	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.215	0.304	0.314	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	83	332	83	0.250	14	39	0.311	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.244	0.290	0.375	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	77	304	77	0.253	8	33	0.313	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.247	0.299	0.342	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	76	278	80	0.288	8	36	0.376	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.260	0.329	0.441	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	52	197	32	0.162	8	21	0.261	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.188	0.290	0.331	OK
Cole Young	2B	84	303	76	0.251	7	37	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.286	0.386	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	34	107	22	0.206	7	17	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.202	0.285	0.407	OK
Mitch Garver	C	34	97	18	0.186	3	11	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.194	0.304	0.299	OK
Victor Robles	RF	21	61	14	0.230	0	2	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.188	0.234	0.264	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	4	4	6	5	0.229

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	72	256	54	0.211	1	13	0.313	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.215	0.297	0.279	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	52	192	50	0.260	7	24	0.353	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.238	0.321	0.401	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	64	237	63	0.266	7	34	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.324	0.377	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	72	227	53	0.233	9	27	0.323	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.227	0.313	0.367	OK
Kahlil Watson	RF	9	28	7	0.250	1	8	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.277	0.307	0.471	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	79	267	72	0.270	5	34	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.305	0.374	OK
Cooper Ingle	LF	2	5	1	0.200	0	2	0.333	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.248	0.358	0.352	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	15	52	11	0.212	2	5	0.241	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.234	0.335	OK
Austin Hedges	C	36	106	28	0.264	1	9	0.331	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.232	0.291	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	1	1	3	9	0.206

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	15	84.3	3.63	1.032	8.6	81	5.2	5	1	1	3	5	99	5.2	5	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	31	27.7	4.55	1.336	14.9	46	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	38	30.8	2.92	1.461	8.5	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	38	30.5	2.36	1.475	9.7	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	25	16.5	2.18	1.333	10.4	19	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	10	0.1	1	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	16	95.5	3.86	1.152	10.5	111	5.2	2	2	2	4	5	95	5.2	5	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	35	35.0	3.34	1.257	14.4	56	1.1	4	2	2	2	0	36	1.1	0	2
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	27	19.7	3.65	1.574	9.1	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	24	19.5	2.31	1.333	11.1	24	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-1

Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays

TEX 42-42 (4.05 RPG / 4.14 RA)

6 - 4

TOR 39-45 (4.08 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 6-4 TARGET: TEX 5 - 2 TOR (TEX) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	9
TOR	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	5

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.277

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-138.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.229

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-156.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record41-42

Win%0.494

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.108

TOR Season Quality

Record39-44

Win%0.470

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.386

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3133; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	76	219	53	0.242	12	28	0.340	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.179	0.274	0.364	OK
Josh Jung	3B	77	299	87	0.291	8	31	0.353	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.231	0.289	0.349	OK
Corey Seager	SS	49	184	34	0.185	10	25	0.290	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.299	0.403	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	81	315	83	0.263	8	29	0.331	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.250	0.308	0.437	OK
Jake Burger	1B	80	293	76	0.259	14	50	0.322	4	4	1	1	4	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.342	0.454	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	72	247	66	0.267	6	41	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.158	0.224	0.276	OK
Elias Díaz	C	11	33	10	0.303	0	7	0.294	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.232	0.250	0.400	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	48	131	34	0.260	0	14	0.358	4	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.261	0.323	0.325	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	40	162	45	0.278	8	20	0.324	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.308	0.499	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	6	6	3	12	0.250

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	60	232	50	0.216	8	21	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.288	0.338	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	48	151	46	0.305	3	15	0.354	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.310	0.431	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	78	291	79	0.271	4	34	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.299	0.323	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	80	294	71	0.241	19	53	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.321	0.482	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	65	236	61	0.258	7	22	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.303	0.420	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	80	307	93	0.303	7	28	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.284	0.309	0.404	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	16	56	11	0.196	2	7	0.246	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.209	0.258	0.348	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	42	131	37	0.282	5	19	0.324	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.286	0.415	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	78	258	62	0.240	7	34	0.282	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.268	0.374	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	4	4	0	8	0.156

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	15	71.9	4.26	1.419	8.1	65	4.2	5	4	4	0	4	82	4.2	4	4
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	30	36.9	1.22	0.596	9.8	40	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	30	31.3	2.88	1.086	7.5	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	21	26.1	3.45	1.111	11.0	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Robby Ahlstrom	Middle Reliever	11	8.6	5.23	1.628	6.3	6	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Bieber	Starter	1	3.2	11.25	2.812	5.6	2	3.2	6	6	6	2	5	75	3.2	5	6
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	39	40.5	0.89	1.012	13.1	59	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	40	35.4	2.03	1.328	5.1	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	39	32.6	5.25	1.656	16.0	58	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	41	37.7	4.06	1.326	10.0	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	42	23.6	4.96	1.907	14.9	39	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0
Tommy Nance	Reliever	29	23.5	4.60	1.532	11.9	31	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	14	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 6-4

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles

WAS 43-42 (5.28 RPG / 5.22 RA)

2 - 5

BAL 39-46 (4.61 RPG / 4.92 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 5-2 TARGET: WAS 1 - 4 BAL (BAL) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	8
BAL	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	x	5	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.194

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-180.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.186

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-165.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record42-42

Win%0.500

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.036

BAL Season Quality

Record39-45

Win%0.464

Run Diff-24

RD/Game-0.286

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.375; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	84	323	83	0.257	20	49	0.381	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.203	0.311	0.387	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	77	253	69	0.273	14	50	0.302	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.205	0.252	0.487	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	68	212	47	0.222	14	39	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.141	0.225	0.324	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	81	298	83	0.279	17	57	0.363	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.309	0.438	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	33	130	29	0.223	5	17	0.263	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.266	0.379	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	82	322	81	0.252	8	39	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.235	0.280	0.371	OK
Jacob Young	CF	71	246	56	0.228	8	30	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.252	0.344	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	58	151	40	0.265	3	15	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.284	0.342	0.463	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	52	170	47	0.276	6	30	0.302	4	3	3	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.247	0.272	0.411	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	2	2	3	9	0.229

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	81	307	80	0.261	5	21	0.389	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.363	0.395	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	81	337	75	0.223	15	38	0.293	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.227	0.284	0.387	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	53	199	51	0.256	8	40	0.326	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.226	0.293	0.395	OK
Pete Alonso	DH	82	308	79	0.256	18	56	0.346	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.353	0.446	OK
Samuel Basallo	1B	68	231	59	0.255	12	36	0.312	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.248	0.305	0.454	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	62	203	40	0.197	10	31	0.265	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.223	0.283	0.408	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	65	170	39	0.229	7	24	0.311	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.242	0.314	0.381	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	31	89	18	0.202	4	12	0.284	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.218	0.305	0.368	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	58	176	54	0.307	3	25	0.359	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.265	0.316	0.423	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	31	8	5	5	6	8	0.258

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Littell	Starter	16	73.6	5.50	1.399	5.6	46	4.1	6	4	4	3	7	97	4.1	7	4
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	25	23.0	3.52	1.435	11.0	28	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	25	49.9	3.61	1.242	9.2	51	1.1	2	0	0	1	0	39	1.1	0	0
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	26	17.3	5.20	2.486	10.9	21	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	17	1.0	1	1

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	16	87.6	3.70	1.473	9.7	94	5.0	5	1	1	1	6	97	5.0	6	1
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	17	14.4	4.38	1.528	13.1	21	1.1	1	0	0	2	1	28	1.1	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	35	21.3	2.11	0.892	11.4	27	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	24	1.2	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	37	30.6	2.94	0.948	11.2	38	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

BAL wins 5-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays

ARI Recent Form

TB Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants

ATL Recent Form

SF Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

CHC Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins

COL Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

COL Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers

HOU Recent Form

DET Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

KC Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

KC Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres