MLB Predictions — June 27, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ TB	3 - 5	3 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
ATL @ SF	4 - 2	4 - 2	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ MIL	1 - 5	2 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CIN @ PIT	3 - 1	4 - 1	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 4-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ MIN	3 - 5	2 - 5	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 5-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ DET	3 - 2	4 - 2	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
KC @ CHW	1 - 2	2 - 3	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 3-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ SD	4 - 1	5 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ STL	1 - 3	1 - 4	STL	STL	STL wins 4-1	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYY @ BOS	2 - 1	2 - 1	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 2-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
OAK @ LAA	2 - 4	2 - 3	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 3-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PHI @ NYM	2 - 1	3 - 0	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 3-0	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ CLE	3 - 1	4 - 1	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-1	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ TOR	2 - 3	2 - 4	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 4-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
WAS @ BAL	1 - 2	2 - 3	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 3-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays

ARI 41-41 (4.26 RPG / 4.59 RA)

3 - 4

TB 47-33 (4.51 RPG / 4.26 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-3 TARGET: ARI 3 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	6
TB	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	4	9

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.299

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-107.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.190

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-123.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record41-40

Win%0.506

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.309

TB Season Quality

Record46-33

Win%0.582

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.228

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6506; margin adjustment: 0.2733; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jorge Barrosa	CF	40	105	19	0.181	2	9	0.246	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.271	0.434	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.218	0.342	0.327	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.270	0.323	0.450	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	4	3	2	1	3	1	1	0.667	0.234	0.313	0.346	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.274	0.351	0.458	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.287	0.338	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.271	0.350	0.534	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.307	0.396
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.238	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	8	0.182

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	76	290	97	0.334	12	52	0.416	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	0.750	0.323	0.391	0.473	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	78	285	82	0.288	12	55	0.387	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.292	0.373	0.445	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	79	298	85	0.285	20	46	0.379	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.283	0.373	0.594	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	14	42	8	0.190	2	5	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.336	0.360	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	72	280	74	0.264	0	16	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.163	0.217	0.232	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	68	234	48	0.205	7	23	0.289	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.303	0.361	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	58	182	40	0.220	0	18	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.224	0.318	0.333	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	55	166	39	0.235	1	21	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.147	0.237	0.224	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	40	96	22	0.229	1	7	0.299	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.130	0.201	0.210	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	4	4	4	8	0.273

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	16	77.8	6.25	1.671	6.0	52	5.0	8	4	4	4	6	103	5.0	6	4
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	5	0.0	0	0
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cole Sulser	Starter	27	29.1	4.95	1.581	10.2	33	4.2	4	3	3	2	6	91	4.2	6	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	33	30.4	2.07	0.921	10.4	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	35	31.3	2.88	1.054	8.1	28	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	24	19.7	4.57	1.371	12.8	28	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	26	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants

ATL 49-32 (4.81 RPG / 3.72 RA)

4 - 2

SF 34-48 (4.1 RPG / 4.72 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-2 TARGET: ATL 4 - 2 SF (ATL) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	8
SF	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	10

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.169

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-135.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.217

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-184.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record48-32

Win%0.600

Run Diff87

RD/Game1.087

SF Season Quality

Record34-47

Win%0.420

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.605

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.9628; margin adjustment: -0.8244; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	74	271	83	0.306	14	42	0.335	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.278	0.304	0.453	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	81	307	86	0.280	12	44	0.331	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.258	0.310	0.400	OK
Matt Olson	1B	81	312	85	0.272	20	52	0.343	5	4	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.332	0.437	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	58	224	60	0.268	15	40	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.276	0.380	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	61	175	49	0.280	6	30	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.297	0.367	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	77	286	77	0.269	8	44	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.283	0.323	0.454	OK
Austin Riley	3B	81	290	62	0.214	8	36	0.294	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.308	0.348	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	69	197	44	0.223	4	18	0.301	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.209	0.275	0.347	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	21	69	5	0.072	0	3	0.158	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.131	0.207	0.178	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	4	3	0.229

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	76	300	99	0.330	3	29	0.368	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.263	0.311	0.405	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	73	290	84	0.290	16	41	0.317	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.262	0.277	0.422	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	72	274	91	0.332	5	30	0.365	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.273	0.308	0.457	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	81	311	74	0.238	12	39	0.301	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.215	0.278	0.422	OK
Willy Adames	SS	79	312	72	0.231	14	32	0.274	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.269	0.432	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	41	138	39	0.283	6	17	0.383	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.330	0.384	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	80	290	68	0.234	7	43	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.281	0.301	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	56	159	37	0.233	3	15	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.294	0.361	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	1	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.500	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.228	0.396	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	10	2	2	2	10	0.270

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	16	92.1	3.81	1.249	7.7	79	5.2	7	1	1	0	7	103	5.2	7	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	25	25.4	1.42	1.102	10.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	18	1.0	2	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	37	31.9	1.13	0.721	11.8	42	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	24	28.2	2.55	1.135	11.5	36	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	13	83.1	3.36	1.119	7.6	70	6.2	4	2	2	2	3	104	6.2	3	2
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	33	29.1	4.64	1.478	12.4	40	1.0	3	2	2	2	0	25	1.0	0	2
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	22	17.4	6.72	1.897	9.3	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	26	17.6	4.60	1.932	14.8	29	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-2

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

CHC 44-38 (4.89 RPG / 4.49 RA)

2 - 5

MIL 50-29 (5.23 RPG / 3.62 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-2 TARGET: CHC 1 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	5
MIL	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	x	5	8

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.139

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-169.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.273

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-96.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record44-38

Win%0.537

Run Diff33

RD/Game0.402

MIL Season Quality

Record50-29

Win%0.633

Run Diff127

RD/Game1.608

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.3496; margin adjustment: 0.5669; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	81	306	88	0.288	17	45	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.264	0.342	0.495	OK
Matt Shaw	RF	46	125	31	0.248	4	19	0.307	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.233	0.292	0.422	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	66	242	63	0.260	11	33	0.351	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.236	0.329	0.392	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	79	311	77	0.248	6	26	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.315	0.311	OK
Michael Busch	1B	80	291	70	0.241	9	44	0.373	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.205	0.326	0.353	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	79	320	76	0.238	4	35	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.300	0.349	OK
Ian Happ	LF	76	287	66	0.230	16	38	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.318	0.380	OK
Carson Kelly	C	57	188	52	0.277	4	28	0.358	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.236	0.326	0.398	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	76	256	51	0.199	11	46	0.299	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.225	0.312	0.462	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	2	10	0.156

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	45	194	58	0.299	10	30	0.348	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.256	0.299	0.430	OK
Brice Turang	2B	74	283	74	0.261	11	47	0.366	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.247	0.337	0.417	OK
William Contreras	C	74	291	89	0.306	9	50	0.368	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.321	0.390	0.529	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	39	114	39	0.342	2	24	0.420	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.287	0.373	0.469	OK
Gary Sánchez	DH	44	121	26	0.215	7	21	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.239	0.354	0.431	OK
Blake Perkins	CF	38	85	13	0.153	1	10	0.226	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.141	0.202	0.252	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	70	226	53	0.235	3	27	0.298	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.254	0.311	0.365	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	10	29	8	0.276	0	2	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.349	0.345	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	55	162	32	0.198	1	15	0.277	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.193	0.265	0.264	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	31	8	5	5	6	7	0.258

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Peterson	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	4.0	5	3	3	5	5	95	4.0	5	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	35	30.6	4.12	1.536	11.8	40	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	24	1.1	1	1
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	24	17.8	5.06	1.404	13.7	27	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	37	29.6	3.95	1.351	5.5	18	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	25	25.0	2.16	1.320	10.4	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	14	70.6	2.55	1.076	11.1	87	6.0	2	0	0	1	7	90	6.0	7	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	30	30.0	2.40	0.933	11.4	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	37	43.9	3.49	1.458	13.5	66	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	21	1.0	1	2
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	30	25.6	4.22	1.406	8.4	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-2

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN 39-42 (4.27 RPG / 4.84 RA)

4 - 1

PIT 41-42 (5.06 RPG / 4.78 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 4-1 TARGET: CIN 3 - 1 PIT (CIN) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
PIT	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.197

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-180.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.328

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-111.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record38-42

Win%0.475

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.600

PIT Season Quality

Record41-41

Win%0.500

Run Diff25

RD/Game0.305

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9424; margin adjustment: 0.3958; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	60	238	66	0.277	12	38	0.346	5	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.242	0.310	0.421	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	79	297	75	0.253	14	55	0.344	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.237	0.318	0.402	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	51	185	45	0.243	13	35	0.349	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.298	0.385	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	52	189	40	0.212	7	26	0.272	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.212	0.265	0.366	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	58	171	44	0.257	8	24	0.345	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.165	0.262	0.301	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	26	81	17	0.210	4	6	0.264	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.223	0.280	0.428	OK
Dane Myers	CF	49	110	28	0.255	3	13	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.141	0.235	0.235	OK
Jose Trevino	C	15	45	8	0.178	0	2	0.196	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.196	0.218	0.275	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	17	55	13	0.236	0	2	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.259	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	4	4	4	5	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	54	176	53	0.301	1	14	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.293	0.324	0.378	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	76	297	73	0.246	19	52	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.311	0.466	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	82	294	85	0.289	11	52	0.402	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.294	0.391	0.508	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	75	285	84	0.295	3	35	0.340	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.280	0.311	0.396	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	66	249	70	0.281	11	45	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.272	0.324	0.427	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	53	202	42	0.208	7	26	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.318	0.421	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	28	78	20	0.256	3	11	0.363	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.260	0.359	0.433	OK
Tyler Callihan	RF	18	47	12	0.255	2	9	0.357	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.141	0.240	0.313	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	46	147	33	0.224	0	9	0.296	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.210	0.277	0.291	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	1	1	1	14	0.156

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	15	84.5	2.02	1.065	10.9	102	6.0	4	1	1	1	10	100	6.0	10	1
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	21	20.1	2.69	1.095	9.0	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	40	32.5	3.32	1.662	9.4	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	26	18.2	3.96	1.538	11.4	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	5	20.1	5.82	1.542	9.4	21	4.1	6	4	4	3	2	85	4.1	2	4
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	33	31.7	2.56	0.915	11.1	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	34	31.0	4.65	1.387	8.4	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	34	39.8	4.30	1.407	10.9	48	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	1	0
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	30	29.4	2.14	1.361	12.9	42	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 4-1

Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins

COL 32-50 (4.6 RPG / 5.71 RA)

2 - 5

MIN 39-44 (4.87 RPG / 5.2 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 5-2 TARGET: COL 3 - 5 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	6
MIN	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	x	5	11

COL Recent Form

Win%0.284

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-246.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.229

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-195.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record32-49

Win%0.395

Run Diff-90

RD/Game-1.111

MIN Season Quality

Record38-44

Win%0.463

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.354

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.86; margin adjustment: 0.3612; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	61	218	66	0.303	6	33	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.297	0.333	0.502	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	46	157	43	0.274	12	29	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.266	0.425	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	76	288	69	0.240	22	42	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.275	0.435	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	76	278	81	0.291	12	43	0.367	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.287	0.352	0.492	OK
Willi Castro	SS	69	246	69	0.280	6	33	0.353	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.271	0.334	0.410	OK
Tyler Freeman	2B	51	177	49	0.277	3	22	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.178	0.210	0.249	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	72	241	76	0.315	3	34	0.375	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.287	0.351	0.435	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	74	218	56	0.257	4	21	0.347	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.344	0.419	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	35	104	22	0.212	4	13	0.243	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.124	0.161	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	5	0.182

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	64	207	58	0.280	5	23	0.369	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.290	0.349	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	71	294	81	0.276	25	43	0.331	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.265	0.309	0.519	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	68	245	59	0.241	12	32	0.309	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.148	0.215	0.318	OK
Josh Bell	DH	80	291	71	0.244	9	51	0.302	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.251	0.310	0.407	OK
Victor Caratini	C	59	190	45	0.237	6	30	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.341	0.435	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	49	175	38	0.217	7	22	0.294	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.316	0.392	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	76	287	69	0.240	14	46	0.296	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.230	0.285	0.443	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	50	141	35	0.248	4	28	0.288	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.283	0.356	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	76	268	66	0.246	2	24	0.326	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.210	0.288	0.293	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	11	5	5	4	5	0.314

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	17	73.2	7.38	1.899	8.0	65	4.0	11	5	5	2	3	92	4.0	3	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	24	38.9	2.54	1.183	8.3	36	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	18	17.7	4.58	1.412	11.7	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	37	24.1	4.85	1.826	9.0	24	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Paredes	Starter	5	18.6	4.35	1.290	5.3	11	5.0	2	0	0	1	3	73	5.0	3	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	23	17.4	1.55	1.092	11.4	22	1.1	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.1	1	2
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	38	25.5	6.00	1.725	10.9	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	28	31.3	4.89	1.725	10.9	38	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 5-2

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers

HOU 41-44 (4.47 RPG / 4.99 RA)

4 - 2

DET 35-48 (4.08 RPG / 4.1 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-2 TARGET: HOU 3 - 2 DET (HOU) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	10
DET	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.333

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-221.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-123.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record40-44

Win%0.476

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.548

DET Season Quality

Record35-47

Win%0.427

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.012

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4858; margin adjustment: 0.204; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	45	173	50	0.289	6	19	0.354	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.276	0.335	0.427	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	76	272	65	0.239	10	41	0.338	5	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.312	0.374	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	61	233	56	0.240	8	21	0.313	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.241	0.306	0.373	OK
Christian Walker	1B	81	304	71	0.234	18	52	0.306	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.200	0.265	0.350	OK
Cam Smith	RF	80	274	60	0.219	8	28	0.298	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.223	0.290	0.378	OK
Yainer Diaz	DH	31	121	30	0.248	3	15	0.273	5	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.246	0.279	0.398	OK
Jake Meyers	CF	39	124	25	0.202	3	11	0.259	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.186	0.237	0.304	OK
Brice Matthews	LF	64	182	35	0.192	6	17	0.241	5	4	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.178	0.232	0.291	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	52	155	33	0.213	4	19	0.269	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.180	0.239	0.278	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	37	10	4	4	4	8	0.270

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	78	291	83	0.285	6	28	0.394	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.261	0.357	0.406	OK
Colt Keith	DH	73	216	54	0.250	5	17	0.299	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.231	0.269	0.426	OK
Riley Greene	LF	81	291	85	0.292	9	34	0.386	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.251	0.348	0.407	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	80	270	55	0.204	12	30	0.304	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.210	0.299	0.370	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	59	164	36	0.220	11	31	0.296	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.217	0.279	0.439	OK
Zach McKinstry	SS	54	161	29	0.180	2	12	0.272	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.204	0.292	0.311	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	42	115	29	0.252	2	10	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.280	0.313	0.406	OK
James Outman	CF	8	21	4	0.190	2	5	0.261	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.115	0.178	0.250	OK
Jake Rogers	C	24	67	10	0.149	1	6	0.234	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.179	0.258	0.302	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	2	2	6	6	0.182

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kai-Wei Teng	Starter	22	57.3	4.24	1.361	9.7	62	4.2	4	2	2	3	1	88	4.2	1	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	10	10.0	0.90	0.400	14.4	16	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	32	29.1	2.78	1.478	8.0	26	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	34	30.3	5.64	1.386	9.8	33	1.1	0	0	0	2	2	25	1.1	2	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	38	32.5	2.77	1.077	10.0	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	16	88.5	3.97	1.345	7.6	75	5.2	4	4	4	4	5	105	5.2	5	4
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	21	17.6	3.58	1.136	11.2	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	26	22.4	6.43	1.518	10.0	25	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	35	33.8	1.60	1.509	7.2	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	35	30.7	4.10	1.661	9.7	33	0.1	2	0	0	0	0	18	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-2

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

KC 34-50 (4.19 RPG / 5.04 RA)

2 - 3

CHW 43-38 (4.79 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 3-2 TARGET: KC 1 - 2 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	10
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	4

KC Recent Form

Win%0.214

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-198.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.343

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.3

Run Diff-73.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record34-49

Win%0.410

Run Diff-70

RD/Game-0.843

CHW Season Quality

Record42-38

Win%0.525

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.225

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2414; margin adjustment: 0.5214; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	DH	74	257	63	0.245	11	42	0.314	6	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.251	0.317	0.440	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	76	299	87	0.291	10	31	0.363	6	4	2	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.284	0.358	0.456	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	76	261	69	0.264	14	30	0.336	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.163	0.229	0.374	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	63	176	38	0.216	5	21	0.329	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.307	0.346	OK
Michael Massey	2B	61	188	49	0.261	7	27	0.283	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.165	0.198	0.298	OK
Salvador Perez	C	76	297	60	0.202	10	30	0.245	5	5	3	0	0	0	1	0.600	0.194	0.221	0.314	OK
John Rave	RF	5	13	4	0.308	1	1	0.400	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.138	0.242	0.551	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	45	136	33	0.243	3	24	0.329	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.304	0.424	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	70	226	51	0.226	3	23	0.335	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.216	0.303	0.318	OK
TEAM TOTALS									47	42	10	2	2	4	6	0.238

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.168	0.228	0.328	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.208	0.278	0.452	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.298	0.352	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.199	0.267	0.282	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.103	0.178	0.215	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.223	0.315	0.383	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.297	0.432	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.282	0.342	0.471	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.276	0.455	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	4	3	3	3	6	0.114

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	16	100.3	3.50	1.167	6.9	77	6.1	2	2	2	2	5	94	6.1	5	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	34	32.3	5.57	1.672	10.3	37	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.1	0	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	31	28.8	5.00	1.736	7.8	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	34	29.7	2.73	1.077	9.1	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Luinder Avila	Reliever	15	41.5	5.20	1.663	8.5	39	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	6	1.1	0	1

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	4	0	0	3	3	100	6.0	3	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.2	2	1	1	0	0	13	1.2	0	1

Game Summary

CHW wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 11)

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres

LAD 52-30 (5.17 RPG / 3.49 RA)

5 - 2

SD 43-37 (3.95 RPG / 3.94 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-2 TARGET: LAD 4 - 1 SD (LAD) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	5	6
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	7

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.303

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-125.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.309

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-142.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record52-29

Win%0.642

Run Diff144

RD/Game1.778

SD Season Quality

Record42-37

Win%0.532

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.063

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.0066; margin adjustment: -0.8428; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	74	279	82	0.294	17	46	0.412	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.264	0.376	0.502	OK
Andy Pages	CF	81	315	84	0.267	15	58	0.320	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.307	0.401	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	79	297	85	0.286	13	43	0.377	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.305	0.391	0.523	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	46	186	43	0.231	10	22	0.291	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.263	0.319	0.475	OK
Max Muncy	3B	75	247	65	0.263	16	34	0.361	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.338	0.429	OK
Tommy Edman	LF	7	25	9	0.360	0	1	0.429	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.267	0.343	0.370	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	75	276	64	0.232	6	40	0.328	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.218	0.312	0.348	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	46	142	34	0.239	8	22	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.257	0.343	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	58	165	39	0.236	3	17	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.240	0.321	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	5	5	5	8	0.182

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	78	305	87	0.285	3	28	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.314	0.394	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	17	61	22	0.361	1	11	0.435	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.178	0.270	0.235	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	76	297	62	0.209	8	31	0.270	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.195	0.248	0.329	OK
Manny Machado	3B	78	285	53	0.186	14	43	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.319	0.412	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	73	231	52	0.225	12	33	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.295	0.365	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	76	264	60	0.227	8	30	0.320	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.330	0.305	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	57	195	48	0.246	5	17	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.227	0.323	OK
Will Wagner	2B	14	30	8	0.267	0	0	0.450	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.211	0.389	0.304	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	41	124	18	0.145	3	11	0.245	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.160	0.252	0.309	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	2	9	0.206

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	14	90.5	2.69	0.884	8.6	86	7.0	3	0	0	1	6	101	7.0	6	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	35	30.9	2.33	0.744	11.7	40	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	21	1.0	1	2
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	35	20.5	3.07	1.415	16.2	37	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	27	25.4	3.54	1.181	11.7	33	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Hart	Starter	17	21.2	4.67	1.038	7.6	18	4.0	2	2	2	2	5	76	4.0	5	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	32	31.9	0.85	0.846	18.6	66	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	28	1.1	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	38	35.7	4.03	1.176	12.4	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	34	28.0	2.57	1.250	6.8	21	1.1	4	3	3	2	0	37	1.1	0	3
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	19	24.4	1.84	1.270	11.4	31	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-2

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIA 43-39 (4.3 RPG / 4.22 RA)

1 - 4

STL 42-37 (4.54 RPG / 4.61 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 4-1 TARGET: MIA 1 - 3 STL (STL) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6
STL	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	x	4	6

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.239

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-128.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.222

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-118.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record42-39

Win%0.519

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.037

STL Season Quality

Record42-36

Win%0.538

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.013

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0199; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	81	297	87	0.293	6	28	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.275	0.354	0.397	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	81	319	107	0.335	6	35	0.369	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.291	0.330	0.458	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	58	214	48	0.224	8	30	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.305	0.461	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	51	159	36	0.226	8	29	0.283	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.230	0.285	0.449	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	69	195	45	0.231	9	43	0.284	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.265	0.313	0.488	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	79	278	55	0.198	4	21	0.319	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.198	0.298	0.302	OK
Griffin Conine	DH	13	36	8	0.222	2	5	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.134	0.217	0.269	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	55	177	44	0.249	2	25	0.283	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.254	0.334	OK
Joe Mack	C	39	119	30	0.252	4	18	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.302	0.416	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	1	1	2	4	0.182

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	73	289	75	0.260	12	33	0.357	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.236	0.303	0.390	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	78	283	72	0.254	10	34	0.397	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.231	0.334	0.380	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	77	301	85	0.282	13	56	0.348	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.260	0.325	0.425	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	77	302	88	0.291	17	55	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.296	0.394	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	18	62	18	0.290	2	7	0.392	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.369	0.441	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	69	260	63	0.242	3	31	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.299	0.370	OK
Bryan Torres	3B	13	39	8	0.205	1	3	0.279	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.204	0.275	0.358	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	17	47	8	0.170	1	7	0.264	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.274	0.314	OK
Nathan Church	CF	56	187	49	0.262	5	19	0.305	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.232	0.283	0.361	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	6	4	4	4	5	0.200

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Gusto	Starter	6	17.3	6.24	1.676	8.3	16	4.1	4	3	3	3	1	79	4.1	1	3
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	26	22.6	7.17	1.416	12.7	32	1.2	2	1	1	1	0	24	1.2	0	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	34	29.0	4.03	1.759	10.9	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	34	26.7	3.37	1.199	13.1	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	15	81.5	3.64	1.202	7.1	64	5.2	5	1	1	2	3	94	5.2	3	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	33	31.7	4.26	1.262	9.4	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	35	29.0	4.03	1.414	8.4	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	36	28.0	4.82	1.536	10.9	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	34	25.4	6.38	1.850	13.1	37	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 4-1

New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox

NYY 48-34 (4.94 RPG / 3.7 RA)

2 - 1

BOS 35-46 (3.99 RPG / 3.94 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 2-1 TARGET: NYY 2 - 1 BOS (NYY) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8
BOS	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.194

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-90.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record48-33

Win%0.593

Run Diff105

RD/Game1.296

BOS Season Quality

Record34-46

Win%0.425

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.013

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.5352; margin adjustment: -0.6448; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	54	200	59	0.295	14	40	0.349	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.273	0.319	0.525	OK
Ben Rice	DH	75	282	79	0.280	22	52	0.372	5	5	2	0	0	0	3	0.400	0.233	0.313	0.442	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	41	124	30	0.242	7	21	0.278	5	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.276	0.423	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	80	292	77	0.264	11	49	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.223	0.329	0.384	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	20	77	18	0.234	3	8	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.266	0.430	OK
José Caballero	2B	68	227	58	0.256	8	28	0.316	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.238	0.294	0.395	OK
Max Schuemann	CF	14	32	6	0.188	0	3	0.333	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.115	0.240	0.275	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	32	107	28	0.262	1	13	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.342	0.366	OK
Austin Wells	C	53	159	26	0.164	4	9	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.181	0.273	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	2	2	3	10	0.229

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Masataka Yoshida	DH	50	152	36	0.237	1	10	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.137	0.210	0.217	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	74	281	79	0.281	7	35	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.275	0.386	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	78	301	82	0.272	10	38	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.235	0.312	0.438	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	76	278	78	0.281	17	48	0.373	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.240	0.312	0.440	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	74	299	60	0.201	12	38	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.186	0.238	0.310	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	71	236	54	0.229	6	32	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.265	0.311	0.461	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	9	28	9	0.321	0	1	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.161	0.216	0.295	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	43	132	27	0.205	2	4	0.279	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.189	0.248	0.285	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	1	3	1	0.333	0	1	0.500	3	3	3	1	1	0	0	1.000	0.230	0.397	0.668	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	1	1	2	7	0.182

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gerrit Cole	Starter	6	31.4	3.73	1.210	8.3	29	5.1	4	1	1	1	6	91	5.1	6	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	32	30.9	3.50	1.359	11.4	39	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	38	25.1	2.87	1.673	16.5	46	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	39	29.6	2.13	1.588	11.9	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	5	26.2	3.78	1.145	7.6	22	5.1	4	2	2	2	5	99	5.1	5	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	23	22.2	0.81	1.081	11.8	29	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	24	1.0	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	26	25.2	2.86	1.111	10.7	30	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	19	14.1	7.66	1.986	12.8	20	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	32	25.3	4.27	1.462	10.7	30	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 2-1

Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels

OAK 40-42 (4.68 RPG / 5.27 RA)

2 - 3

LAA 34-49 (4.54 RPG / 5.05 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 3-2 TARGET: OAK 2 - 4 LAA (LAA) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	7
LAA	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	3	7

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.243

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-192.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.292

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-182.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record39-42

Win%0.481

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.667

LAA Season Quality

Record34-48

Win%0.415

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.439

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1274; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	37	126	40	0.317	2	12	0.393	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.285	0.348	0.399	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	81	296	83	0.280	19	64	0.426	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.244	0.375	0.447	OK
Shea Langeliers	DH	74	308	82	0.266	19	43	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.287	0.395	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	79	288	70	0.243	13	41	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.346	0.419	OK
Jonah Heim	C	26	76	19	0.250	5	11	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.239	0.305	0.428	OK
Colby Thomas	RF	31	68	14	0.206	2	6	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.190	0.234	0.299	OK
Max Muncy	3B	40	135	32	0.237	5	20	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.293	0.453	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	74	236	56	0.237	3	22	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.291	0.316	OK
Alika Williams	SS	18	53	16	0.302	1	7	0.327	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.157	0.190	0.314	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	2	2	1	9	0.206

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	80	316	72	0.228	17	39	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.306	0.460	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	15	59	15	0.254	3	11	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.247	0.316	0.436	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	64	241	63	0.261	6	30	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.266	0.335	0.420	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	62	226	49	0.217	11	37	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.311	0.446	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	29	93	27	0.290	2	15	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.355	0.409	OK
Jo Adell	RF	82	324	80	0.247	11	43	0.289	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.263	0.394	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	23	82	27	0.329	3	12	0.353	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.278	0.303	0.483	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	54	175	41	0.234	4	21	0.301	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.221	0.273	0.337	OK
Josh Lowe	CF	43	132	26	0.197	5	14	0.236	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.232	0.264	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	7	3	3	1	11	0.219

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	21	42.5	6.78	1.482	12.1	57	4.0	5	3	3	1	6	69	4.0	6	3
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	19	18.3	6.89	1.366	12.8	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	23	1.0	1	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	41	29.5	4.58	2.034	14.3	47	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	38	31.3	4.89	1.342	10.4	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Mason Barnett	Middle Reliever	8	14.2	1.27	0.986	12.0	19	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	22	1.0	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	16	91.2	4.05	1.086	10.3	104	6.0	4	1	1	0	6	94	6.0	6	1
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	30	32.7	3.85	1.284	10.2	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	36	24.4	2.95	1.721	12.5	34	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	13	1.0	1	1
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	18	15.5	2.90	1.032	13.9	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 3-2

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

PHI 46-37 (4.37 RPG / 4.36 RA)

3 - 0

NYM 35-48 (4.04 RPG / 4.57 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 3-0 TARGET: PHI 2 - 1 NYM (PHI) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	7
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.183

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-111.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.243

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-167.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record46-36

Win%0.561

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.061

NYM Season Quality

Record34-48

Win%0.415

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.585

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8659; margin adjustment: -0.3637; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	77	324	77	0.238	7	24	0.283	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.257	0.293	0.356	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	76	291	74	0.254	28	51	0.365	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.276	0.371	0.608	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	80	283	78	0.276	18	48	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.300	0.396	0.527	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	76	278	89	0.320	12	41	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.301	0.335	0.542	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	75	260	62	0.238	7	39	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.312	0.427	OK
Edmundo Sosa	3B	46	131	30	0.229	5	24	0.259	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.160	0.174	0.306	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	9	30	4	0.133	1	3	0.133	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.220	0.230	0.309	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	73	224	52	0.232	2	15	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.288	0.343	OK
Rafael Marchán	C	24	75	8	0.107	2	6	0.141	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.181	0.196	0.289	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	9	0.206

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	77	292	75	0.257	9	30	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.288	0.364	OK
Juan Soto	LF	62	225	67	0.298	17	38	0.395	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.353	0.435	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	81	328	83	0.253	10	45	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.289	0.418	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	26	102	22	0.216	2	5	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.284	0.366	OK
Jared Young	1B	34	99	24	0.242	6	13	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.141	0.204	0.306	OK
Mark Vientos	DH	67	221	48	0.217	10	33	0.255	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.140	0.187	0.302	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	42	140	37	0.264	3	15	0.350	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.241	0.335	0.401	OK
Brett Baty	2B	72	234	51	0.218	3	26	0.288	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.250	0.265	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	50	163	41	0.252	8	18	0.320	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.237	0.302	0.451	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	0	0	2	9	0.100

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tim Mayza	Starter	31	32.3	3.34	1.084	9.8	35	5.0	3	0	0	1	6	84	5.0	6	0
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	28	27.2	0.99	0.846	14.6	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	34	29.1	3.09	1.271	11.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	35	24.1	7.10	1.992	14.6	39	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Christian Scott	Starter	9	38.1	3.31	1.444	11.1	47	5.2	2	2	2	3	5	101	5.2	5	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	28	24.7	4.01	1.457	14.6	40	1.0	4	1	1	0	0	25	1.0	0	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	32	31.9	2.26	0.909	10.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	33	25.1	2.87	1.554	11.5	32	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	27	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 3-0

Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians

SEA 42-41 (4.02 RPG / 3.95 RA)

4 - 1

CLE 42-40 (3.91 RPG / 4.04 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-1 TARGET: SEA 3 - 1 CLE (SEA) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	4	6
CLE	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.292

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-125.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.221

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-121.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record42-41

Win%0.506

Run Diff6

RD/Game0.072

CLE Season Quality

Record42-40

Win%0.512

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.122

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.185; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	65	228	51	0.224	10	25	0.346	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.231	0.325	0.335	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	82	328	81	0.247	14	39	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.234	0.283	0.366	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	70	184	50	0.272	12	33	0.343	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.311	0.478	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	75	274	78	0.285	7	33	0.372	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.254	0.326	0.400	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	76	299	76	0.254	8	33	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.303	0.344	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	51	194	32	0.165	8	21	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.192	0.289	0.339	OK
Luke Raley	RF	70	203	49	0.241	14	35	0.303	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.235	0.281	0.417	OK
Cole Young	2B	83	299	75	0.251	7	37	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.278	0.375	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	33	104	22	0.212	7	17	0.293	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.201	0.278	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	4	4	4	9	0.182

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	71	252	54	0.214	1	13	0.317	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.299	0.286	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	51	188	48	0.255	7	24	0.350	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.222	0.308	0.384	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	78	263	71	0.270	5	33	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.297	0.354	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	71	223	52	0.233	9	27	0.324	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.223	0.311	0.368	OK
Kahlil Watson	RF	8	25	6	0.240	1	7	0.269	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.300	0.440	OK
Cooper Ingle	DH	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.442	0.324
Gabriel Arias	3B	14	49	10	0.204	2	5	0.235	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.205	0.239	0.345	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	23	69	15	0.217	1	7	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.218	0.278	0.300	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	22	50	9	0.180	0	1	0.196	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.120	0.142	0.215	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	1	1	4	8	0.182

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	16	90.9	3.37	1.034	9.9	100	6.0	6	1	1	3	6	114	6.0	6	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	31	27.7	4.55	1.336	14.9	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	37	29.8	3.02	1.510	8.5	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	38	30.5	2.36	1.475	9.7	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	25	16.5	2.18	1.333	10.4	19	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	10	0.0	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Slade Cecconi	Starter	16	82.0	4.61	1.439	7.2	66	5.1	3	2	2	2	6	96	5.1	6	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	34	34.0	3.44	1.265	14.6	55	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	28	2.0	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	26	18.7	3.85	1.604	9.1	19	0.2	3	2	2	2	0	25	0.2	0	2
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	24	19.5	2.31	1.333	11.1	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-1

Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays

TEX 41-42 (4.06 RPG / 4.17 RA)

2 - 4

TOR 39-44 (4.11 RPG / 4.49 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 4-2 TARGET: TEX 2 - 3 TOR (TOR) Confidence: 52.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	7
TOR	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	x	4	7

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.266

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-140.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-154.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record40-42

Win%0.488

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.146

TOR Season Quality

Record39-43

Win%0.476

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.354

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2256; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	75	214	53	0.248	12	28	0.347	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.188	0.287	0.391	OK
Wyatt Langford	CF	40	162	45	0.278	8	20	0.324	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.270	0.310	0.505	OK
Corey Seager	SS	48	180	33	0.183	9	24	0.287	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.199	0.290	0.364	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	80	311	82	0.264	8	29	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.316	0.458	OK
Josh Jung	3B	76	295	86	0.292	8	31	0.353	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.290	0.343	OK
Jake Burger	1B	79	288	73	0.253	14	48	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.258	0.329	0.445	OK
Jarred Kelenic	LF	3	7	1	0.143	0	0	0.250	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.134	0.218	0.226	OK
Elias Díaz	C	10	28	9	0.321	0	5	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.246	0.380	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	25	73	24	0.329	1	6	0.364	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.175	0.210	0.228	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	2	2	4	5	0.206

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	47	148	44	0.297	3	15	0.344	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.285	0.409	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	DH	77	286	79	0.276	4	34	0.352	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.313	0.337	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	64	232	61	0.263	7	22	0.333	4	2	1	1	0	2	1	0.500	0.255	0.320	0.463	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	79	290	71	0.245	19	53	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.269	0.343	0.531	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	15	52	10	0.192	1	6	0.246	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.272	0.327	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	79	303	90	0.297	7	28	0.317	4	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.262	0.287	0.376	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	41	127	36	0.283	4	17	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.239	0.294	0.386	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	77	255	60	0.235	7	33	0.277	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.260	0.381	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	73	215	59	0.274	7	29	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.139	0.183	0.255	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	4	4	4	10	0.226

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	16	29.7	3.94	1.347	6.1	20	5.0	4	4	4	3	5	87	5.0	5	4
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	30	36.9	1.22	0.596	9.8	40	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	30	31.3	2.88	1.086	7.5	26	1.0	2	0	0	1	2	22	1.0	2	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	20	24.0	3.75	1.167	10.5	28	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	15	0.2	2	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	14	76.8	2.81	1.224	13.8	118	6.0	6	2	2	2	5	103	6.0	5	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	39	40.5	0.89	1.012	13.1	59	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	39	34.4	2.09	1.337	5.2	20	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	38	31.6	5.41	1.677	16.2	57	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 4-2

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles

WAS 41-42 (5.29 RPG / 5.27 RA)

2 - 3

BAL 39-44 (4.64 RPG / 4.92 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 3-2 TARGET: WAS 1 - 2 BAL (BAL) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	8
BAL	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	x	3	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.212

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-177.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-166.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record41-42

Win%0.494

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.024

BAL Season Quality

Record39-44

Win%0.470

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.277

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3373; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	83	319	83	0.260	20	49	0.383	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.322	0.408	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	76	248	65	0.262	13	49	0.292	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.167	0.217	0.411	OK
José Tena	DH	59	146	32	0.219	3	16	0.278	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.307	0.416	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	80	294	83	0.282	17	57	0.365	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.255	0.316	0.495	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	32	126	29	0.230	5	17	0.265	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.257	0.270	0.395	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	81	317	79	0.249	8	38	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.273	0.353	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	57	146	37	0.253	3	14	0.327	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.276	0.338	0.484	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	72	231	55	0.238	0	27	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.251	0.332	0.327	OK
Drew Millas	C	37	113	20	0.177	2	8	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.243	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	2	2	3	8	0.235

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	80	303	80	0.264	5	21	0.392	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.272	0.373	0.429	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	80	332	74	0.223	15	38	0.294	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.228	0.288	0.396	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	81	304	78	0.257	18	55	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.359	0.467	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	61	201	40	0.199	10	31	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.278	0.410	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	46	130	25	0.192	2	8	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.323	0.355	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	57	172	53	0.308	3	25	0.362	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.285	0.335	0.455	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	67	219	55	0.251	2	30	0.324	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.155	0.232	0.282	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	57	191	47	0.246	6	27	0.263	3	3	3	1	2	0	0	1.000	0.225	0.241	0.346	OK
Chadwick Tromp	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.118	0.130	0.203
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	8	3	3	0	8	0.250

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	16	90.4	3.19	1.073	8.9	89	5.2	6	3	3	0	6	94	5.2	6	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	24	22.0	3.68	1.500	10.6	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	9	1.0	2	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	25	49.9	3.61	1.242	9.2	51	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	5	1.1	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	12	65.0	3.18	1.308	6.8	49	6.0	7	2	2	2	5	108	6.0	5	2
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	16	13.4	4.70	1.493	13.4	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	35	21.3	2.11	0.892	11.4	27	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	29.6	3.04	0.912	11.2	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	22	15.2	7.11	1.842	10.1	17	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	12	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 3-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays

ARI Recent Form

TB Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants

ATL Recent Form

SF Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

CHC Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins

COL Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

COL Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers

HOU Recent Form

DET Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

KC Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

KC Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres