MLB Predictions — June 26, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ TB	2 - 5	3 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
ATL @ SF	4 - 1	4 - 1	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-1	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ MIL	1 - 5	0 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-0	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CIN @ PIT	1 - 2	1 - 2	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 2-1	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ MIN	3 - 5	2 - 5	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 5-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ DET	2 - 1	2 - 1	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 2-1	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
KC @ CHW	1 - 3	1 - 3	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 3-1	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ SD	4 - 2	5 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ STL	3 - 2	3 - 2	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 3-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYY @ BOS	3 - 2	6 - 1	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
OAK @ LAA	3 - 4	1 - 5	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 5-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PHI @ NYM	4 - 1	3 - 2	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 3-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ CLE	3 - 4	3 - 4	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ TOR	5 - 3	6 - 2	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 6-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
WAS @ BAL	3 - 2	3 - 2	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 3-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays

ARI 41-40 (4.28 RPG / 4.59 RA)

3 - 5

TB 46-33 (4.52 RPG / 4.29 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-3 TARGET: ARI 2 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	3	6
TB	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	x	5	7

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.294

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-107.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.206

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-125.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record41-39

Win%0.512

Run Diff-20

RD/Game-0.250

TB Season Quality

Record45-33

Win%0.577

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.167

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5133; margin adjustment: 0.2156; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jorge Barrosa	CF	40	105	19	0.181	2	9	0.246	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.218	0.273	0.438	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.220	0.344	0.330	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.327	0.455	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.239	0.317	0.351	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.355	0.463	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.292	0.343	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	0.500	0.275	0.353	0.539	OK
Tommy Troy	OF	23	75	18	0.240	3	5	0.321	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.223	0.300	0.397	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.194	0.242	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	3	3	3	7	0.188

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	75	287	95	0.331	12	51	0.412	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.310	0.378	0.453	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	77	282	81	0.287	12	54	0.386	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.294	0.378	0.435	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	78	295	84	0.285	19	43	0.377	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.360	0.546	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	54	162	39	0.241	1	21	0.340	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.162	0.253	0.251	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	42	137	37	0.270	4	23	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.287	0.478	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	67	230	47	0.204	6	22	0.290	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.236	0.302	0.322	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	LF	14	42	8	0.190	2	5	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.216	0.324	0.341	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	57	179	40	0.223	0	18	0.325	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.228	0.329	0.343	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	39	93	21	0.226	1	7	0.298	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.124	0.198	0.190	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	7	5	5	4	8	0.233

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	16	77.8	6.25	1.671	6.0	52	5.0	7	5	5	1	5	89	5.0	5	5
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	3	1	15	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.0	2	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	15	87.6	2.77	1.176	5.7	55	6.0	4	1	1	2	4	96	6.0	4	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	33	30.4	2.07	0.921	10.4	35	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	17	1.0	1	2
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	34	30.3	2.97	1.056	8.3	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	23	18.7	4.81	1.390	13.5	28	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-3

Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants

ATL 48-32 (4.84 RPG / 3.75 RA)

4 - 1

SF 34-47 (4.14 RPG / 4.74 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-1 TARGET: ATL 4 - 1 SF (ATL) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	9
SF	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.141

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-133.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.203

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-184.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record48-32

Win%0.600

Run Diff87

RD/Game1.087

SF Season Quality

Record34-47

Win%0.420

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.605

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.9628; margin adjustment: -0.8244; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	73	266	82	0.308	14	42	0.337	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.280	0.306	0.461	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	76	281	75	0.267	8	44	0.318	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.269	0.308	0.438	OK
Matt Olson	1B	80	308	83	0.269	20	52	0.341	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.249	0.321	0.417	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	80	304	85	0.280	12	42	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.317	0.450	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	57	221	60	0.271	15	40	0.352	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.209	0.276	0.381	OK
Austin Riley	3B	80	286	61	0.213	8	36	0.295	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.233	0.307	0.350	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	60	172	48	0.279	6	29	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.284	0.369	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	68	193	44	0.228	4	18	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.284	0.363	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	20	65	5	0.077	0	3	0.167	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.133	0.216	0.180	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	4	4	2	8	0.250

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	75	297	98	0.330	3	29	0.366	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.271	0.315	0.424	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	40	134	38	0.284	6	17	0.386	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.335	0.376	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	72	286	84	0.294	16	41	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.292	0.307	0.480	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	80	307	73	0.238	12	38	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.279	0.414	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	CF	71	270	91	0.337	5	30	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.292	0.327	0.491	OK
Willy Adames	SS	78	309	70	0.227	14	32	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.246	0.403	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	79	286	68	0.238	7	43	0.327	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.199	0.291	0.320	OK
Victor Bericoto	RF	12	26	6	0.231	3	4	0.231	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.128	0.140	0.252	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	55	158	37	0.234	3	15	0.301	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.293	0.358	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	1	1	3	5	0.156

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reynaldo López	Starter	18	42.5	3.60	1.412	8.3	39	5.0	4	1	1	1	2	85	5.0	2	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	24	24.4	1.48	1.148	10.7	29	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	31	30.6	0.59	0.882	7.6	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	36	30.7	1.17	0.717	12.3	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	23	28.1	2.56	1.139	11.2	35	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor McDonald	Starter	9	43.8	5.14	1.393	8.6	42	4.2	8	4	4	2	3	97	4.2	3	4
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	33	29.1	4.64	1.478	12.4	40	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	24	1.2	2	0
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	22	17.4	6.72	1.897	9.3	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	26	17.6	4.60	1.932	14.8	29	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	14	0.2	2	0
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	10	7.5	2.40	1.467	12.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-1

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

CHC 44-37 (4.93 RPG / 4.47 RA)

0 - 6

MIL 49-29 (5.22 RPG / 3.64 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-0 TARGET: CHC 1 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
MIL	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	x	6	7

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.153

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-168.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.288

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-97.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record44-37

Win%0.543

Run Diff37

RD/Game0.457

MIL Season Quality

Record49-29

Win%0.628

Run Diff123

RD/Game1.577

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2476; margin adjustment: 0.524; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	80	303	88	0.290	17	45	0.371	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.281	0.354	0.528	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	78	308	76	0.247	6	26	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.309	0.308	OK
Michael Busch	1B	79	288	70	0.243	9	44	0.374	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.213	0.328	0.363	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	65	240	62	0.258	10	31	0.349	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.246	0.335	0.374	OK
Ian Happ	LF	75	284	66	0.232	16	38	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.331	0.411	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	78	316	76	0.241	4	35	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.231	0.306	0.354	OK
Carson Kelly	C	56	185	52	0.281	4	28	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.260	0.342	0.429	OK
Matt Shaw	RF	45	124	31	0.250	4	19	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.273	0.404	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	75	252	51	0.202	11	46	0.303	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.245	0.334	0.496	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	0	0	3	9	0.182

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	45	178	45	0.253	5	24	0.333	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.294	0.347	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	44	189	56	0.296	10	30	0.346	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.254	0.299	0.432	OK
Brice Turang	2B	73	279	75	0.269	11	47	0.374	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.259	0.350	0.432	OK
William Contreras	C	73	288	87	0.302	8	48	0.363	4	3	0	1	0	1	3	0.000	0.319	0.383	0.485	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	67	233	64	0.275	14	48	0.376	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.266	0.362	0.493	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	38	111	39	0.351	2	24	0.430	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.308	0.397	0.499	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	65	210	51	0.243	4	29	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.317	0.366	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	9	27	7	0.259	0	2	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.314	0.314	OK
David Hamilton	3B	59	182	41	0.225	3	12	0.299	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.275	0.307	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	6	6	3	12	0.226

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Colin Rea	Starter	16	75.6	5.24	1.468	7.0	59	5.1	6	6	6	2	9	105	5.1	9	6
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	35	30.6	4.12	1.536	11.8	40	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	24	17.8	5.06	1.404	13.7	27	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	32	1.2	1	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	15	92.3	1.46	0.758	13.5	138	6.2	3	0	0	2	9	101	6.2	9	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	29	29.0	2.48	0.931	11.8	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	36	42.9	3.36	1.445	13.8	66	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	30	25.6	4.22	1.406	8.4	24	0.1	2	0	0	1	0	19	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-0

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN 38-42 (4.21 RPG / 4.81 RA)

1 - 2

PIT 41-41 (5.04 RPG / 4.73 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 2-1 TARGET: CIN 1 - 2 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7
PIT	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	2	6

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.185

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-184.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.328

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-112.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record37-42

Win%0.468

Run Diff-50

RD/Game-0.633

PIT Season Quality

Record41-40

Win%0.506

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.333

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.023; margin adjustment: 0.4296; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Blake Dunn	CF	33	137	38	0.277	2	6	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.163	0.222	0.260	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	59	235	66	0.281	12	37	0.351	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.241	0.310	0.423	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	50	182	45	0.247	13	35	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.205	0.301	0.412	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	78	293	74	0.253	14	55	0.345	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.326	0.417	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	57	168	43	0.256	8	24	0.346	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.165	0.264	0.290	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	51	185	39	0.211	7	26	0.272	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.264	0.364	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	74	265	64	0.242	13	33	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.281	0.422	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	60	189	40	0.212	6	22	0.304	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.215	0.307	0.356	OK
Matt McLain	2B	70	250	50	0.200	8	25	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.270	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	1	1	2	8	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	50	189	51	0.270	4	22	0.327	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.264	0.314	0.414	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	75	293	73	0.249	19	51	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.261	0.324	0.484	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	81	289	84	0.291	11	52	0.405	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.305	0.404	0.537	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	52	199	40	0.201	6	25	0.277	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.238	0.300	0.366	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	65	246	70	0.285	11	45	0.338	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.273	0.319	0.426	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	12	33	5	0.152	2	6	0.200	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.277	0.438	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	45	145	33	0.228	0	9	0.300	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.287	0.300	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	53	172	50	0.291	1	14	0.328	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.283	0.334	OK
Henry Davis	C	43	135	20	0.148	6	19	0.242	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.185	0.256	0.368	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	2	2	3	7	0.200

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	16	82.8	3.91	1.449	7.0	64	5.0	5	2	2	2	4	95	5.0	4	2
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	33	28.9	4.36	1.349	8.7	28	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	15	0.2	2	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	20	19.1	2.83	1.099	9.4	20	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	11	1.1	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	39	31.5	3.43	1.683	9.1	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	16	86.6	2.91	0.947	11.1	107	6.0	5	0	0	2	7	101	6.0	7	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	33	31.7	2.56	0.915	11.1	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	33	29.9	4.82	1.438	8.1	27	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	34	39.8	4.30	1.407	10.9	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 2-1

Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins

COL 32-49 (4.56 RPG / 5.67 RA)

2 - 5

MIN 38-44 (4.82 RPG / 5.17 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 5-2 TARGET: COL 3 - 5 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 52.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	5
MIN	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	x	5	8

COL Recent Form

Win%0.273

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-245.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.229

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-196.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record32-49

Win%0.395

Run Diff-90

RD/Game-1.111

MIN Season Quality

Record38-44

Win%0.463

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.354

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.86; margin adjustment: 0.3612; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	RF	60	213	63	0.296	5	31	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.289	0.327	0.476	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	45	153	43	0.281	12	28	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.238	0.275	0.440	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	75	284	68	0.239	21	39	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.225	0.281	0.421	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	75	275	79	0.287	12	42	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.281	0.338	0.491	OK
Willi Castro	3B	68	241	68	0.282	6	33	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.341	0.438	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	71	238	75	0.315	3	34	0.375	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.290	0.357	0.446	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	14	48	13	0.271	3	11	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.264	0.365	0.463	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	72	260	55	0.212	6	25	0.257	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.202	0.241	0.338	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	64	180	39	0.217	2	17	0.316	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.210	0.305	0.290	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	5	2	2	3	13	0.161

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	63	203	56	0.276	5	23	0.366	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.195	0.283	0.330	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	70	289	78	0.270	25	41	0.327	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.299	0.519	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	67	241	57	0.237	11	29	0.303	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.145	0.206	0.286	OK
Josh Bell	DH	79	286	70	0.245	9	49	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.262	0.323	0.413	OK
Victor Caratini	C	58	186	45	0.242	6	30	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.286	0.358	0.484	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	48	170	35	0.206	7	21	0.286	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.304	0.370	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	75	283	68	0.240	13	44	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.300	0.433	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	49	137	34	0.248	4	28	0.289	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.270	0.342	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	75	265	66	0.249	2	24	0.329	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.235	0.312	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	5	5	2	9	0.250

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	15	77.0	4.44	1.325	5.4	46	5.1	5	2	2	2	9	90	5.1	9	2
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	23	37.9	2.37	1.135	8.3	35	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	10	1.1	0	1
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	18	17.7	4.58	1.412	11.7	23	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	20	0.2	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	37	24.1	4.85	1.826	9.0	24	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	20	19.8	6.36	2.020	7.3	16	0.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	0.0	0	2

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	14	74.8	4.21	1.350	10.1	84	5.0	3	1	1	2	11	102	5.0	11	1
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	23	17.4	1.55	1.092	11.4	22	1.1	2	1	1	0	2	23	1.1	2	1
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	37	25.3	5.34	1.621	11.0	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	27	30.3	5.05	1.782	11.3	38	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 5-2

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers

HOU 40-44 (4.43 RPG / 4.98 RA)

2 - 1

DET 35-47 (4.06 RPG / 4.05 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 2-1 TARGET: HOU 2 - 1 DET (HOU) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5
DET	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.353

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-211.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.290

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-125.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record40-43

Win%0.482

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.458

DET Season Quality

Record34-47

Win%0.420

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.086

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2781; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	44	169	49	0.290	6	19	0.356	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.278	0.338	0.432	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	81	292	94	0.322	25	56	0.435	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.397	0.511	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	75	269	64	0.238	10	41	0.338	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.259	0.328	0.397	OK
Christian Walker	1B	80	300	71	0.237	18	52	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.207	0.275	0.358	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	60	230	54	0.235	8	21	0.309	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.294	0.367	OK
Joey Loperfido	LF	31	89	21	0.236	1	11	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.225	0.300	0.421	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	30	118	29	0.246	3	15	0.272	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.275	0.383	OK
Cam Smith	RF	79	271	60	0.221	8	28	0.301	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.217	0.285	0.369	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	30	82	23	0.280	2	9	0.330	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.149	0.196	0.343	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	5	2	2	7	7	0.156

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	77	289	82	0.284	6	28	0.389	5	3	2	0	0	2	0	0.667	0.261	0.355	0.417	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	73	272	74	0.272	19	57	0.338	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.312	0.514	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	58	160	35	0.219	10	29	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.204	0.267	0.377	OK
Riley Greene	DH	80	287	85	0.296	9	34	0.391	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.371	0.430	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	79	267	55	0.206	12	30	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.313	0.399	OK
Colt Keith	3B	72	213	53	0.249	4	16	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.261	0.380	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	53	159	29	0.182	2	12	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.211	0.285	0.323	OK
Matt Vierling	LF	60	194	37	0.191	5	26	0.251	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.124	0.190	0.234	OK
James Outman	CF	7	19	3	0.158	1	2	0.200	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.103	0.156	0.204	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	1	1	5	9	0.182

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	12	68.3	3.16	1.215	9.0	68	5.2	5	1	1	3	5	99	5.2	5	1
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	10	10.0	0.90	0.400	14.4	16	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	32	29.1	2.78	1.478	8.0	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	34	30.3	5.64	1.386	9.8	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	38	32.5	2.77	1.077	10.0	36	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	0.1	1	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	15	78.1	3.80	1.037	6.1	53	6.0	3	0	0	4	6	101	6.0	6	0
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	21	17.6	3.58	1.136	11.2	22	1.0	1	2	2	3	1	23	1.0	1	2
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	26	22.4	6.43	1.518	10.0	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	35	33.8	1.60	1.509	7.2	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	35	30.7	4.10	1.661	9.7	33	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 2-1

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

KC 34-48 (4.27 RPG / 4.87 RA)

1 - 3

CHW 41-38 (4.61 RPG / 4.65 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 3-1 TARGET: KC 1 - 3 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	8
CHW	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	x	3	8

KC Recent Form

Win%0.229

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-177.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.343

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.3

Run Diff-73.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record34-48

Win%0.415

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.598

CHW Season Quality

Record41-38

Win%0.519

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.038

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7161; margin adjustment: 0.3008; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	73	253	62	0.245	11	42	0.315	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.261	0.332	0.470	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	DH	75	296	87	0.294	10	31	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.298	0.368	0.467	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	75	258	68	0.264	14	30	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.172	0.237	0.397	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	62	173	38	0.220	5	21	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.311	0.356	OK
Michael Massey	2B	60	184	49	0.266	7	27	0.289	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.179	0.213	0.317	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	75	294	60	0.204	10	30	0.247	4	4	3	0	0	0	1	0.750	0.201	0.228	0.322	OK
Josh Rojas	SS	5	10	3	0.300	1	4	0.300	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.138	0.152	0.314	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	44	133	33	0.248	3	24	0.335	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.318	0.457	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	69	223	50	0.224	3	23	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.222	0.311	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	1	1	1	9	0.229

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.169	0.228	0.322	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.207	0.278	0.445	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.240	0.295	0.349	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.199	0.266	0.280	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.104	0.179	0.216	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.222	0.315	0.382	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.240	0.293	0.427	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.340	0.467	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.214	0.274	0.451	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	8	3	3	6	11	0.250

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Steven Cruz	Starter	21	19.5	7.38	1.846	13.8	30	4.0	6	3	3	4	7	96	4.0	7	3
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	33	32.2	4.19	1.491	10.1	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	28	1.0	1	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	30	27.8	4.53	1.727	8.1	25	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	33	29.5	2.75	1.051	9.2	30	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	34	27.0	3.00	1.333	8.0	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	5	0	0	1	6	98	6.0	6	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 3-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres

LAD 52-29 (5.22 RPG / 3.44 RA)

5 - 2

SD 42-37 (3.91 RPG / 3.97 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-2 TARGET: LAD 4 - 2 SD (LAD) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	5	10
SD	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	3

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.323

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-118.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.299

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-151.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record52-29

Win%0.642

Run Diff144

RD/Game1.778

SD Season Quality

Record42-37

Win%0.532

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.063

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.0066; margin adjustment: -0.8428; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	73	275	81	0.295	17	46	0.414	5	5	2	1	1	0	3	0.400	0.267	0.384	0.542	OK
Andy Pages	CF	80	312	83	0.266	15	58	0.318	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.297	0.393	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	78	294	83	0.282	13	43	0.372	5	3	0	0	0	2	3	0.000	0.289	0.376	0.510	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	45	183	42	0.230	9	21	0.286	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.264	0.317	0.448	OK
Max Muncy	3B	74	244	65	0.266	16	34	0.365	5	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.261	0.345	0.437	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	74	273	64	0.234	6	40	0.331	5	4	2	1	0	1	2	0.500	0.232	0.325	0.363	OK
Tommy Edman	LF	6	22	8	0.364	0	1	0.417	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.268	0.326	0.381	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	45	139	34	0.245	8	22	0.327	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.207	0.273	0.361	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	57	162	39	0.241	3	17	0.321	4	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.251	0.334	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	36	10	5	5	6	13	0.278

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	77	300	85	0.283	3	27	0.348	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.315	0.391	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	16	58	22	0.379	1	11	0.438	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.262	0.252	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	75	293	62	0.212	8	31	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.269	0.351	OK
Manny Machado	3B	77	283	52	0.184	14	43	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.302	0.417	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	72	228	51	0.224	12	33	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.203	0.282	0.356	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	75	261	60	0.230	8	30	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.334	0.313	OK
Ty France	1B	52	163	41	0.252	9	26	0.297	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.214	0.254	0.428	OK
Will Wagner	2B	13	29	8	0.276	0	0	0.432	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.376	0.323	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	22	59	8	0.136	3	7	0.239	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.167	0.242	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	2	2	3	5	0.100

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	13	66.6	4.86	1.321	9.5	70	5.1	3	2	2	3	2	91	5.1	2	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	35	30.9	2.33	0.744	11.7	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	35	20.5	3.07	1.415	16.2	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	27	25.4	3.54	1.181	11.7	33	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.2	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	15	70.1	4.11	1.369	8.3	65	5.0	8	5	5	2	8	107	5.0	8	5
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	32	31.9	0.85	0.846	18.6	66	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	26	1.1	2	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	37	34.7	4.15	1.153	12.7	49	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	37	1.1	0	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	33	27.0	2.67	1.296	6.7	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Kyle Hart	Middle Reliever	17	21.2	4.67	1.038	7.6	18	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	19	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-2

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIA 42-39 (4.31 RPG / 4.27 RA)

3 - 2

STL 42-36 (4.6 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 3-2 TARGET: MIA 3 - 2 STL (MIA) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	7
STL	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.227

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-131.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.210

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-112.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record42-39

Win%0.519

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.037

STL Season Quality

Record42-36

Win%0.538

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.013

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0199; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	78	273	54	0.198	4	19	0.321	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.200	0.296	0.308	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	12	33	7	0.212	2	5	0.257	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.142	0.192	0.297	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	80	294	86	0.293	6	28	0.374	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.263	0.342	0.384	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	57	210	47	0.224	8	29	0.314	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.232	0.308	0.464	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	80	315	107	0.340	6	35	0.374	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.300	0.340	0.469	OK
Owen Caissie	DH	68	193	44	0.228	9	43	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.258	0.315	0.477	OK
Joe Mack	C	38	116	30	0.259	4	18	0.317	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.306	0.436	OK
Esteury Ruiz	LF	33	74	19	0.257	4	9	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.161	0.201	0.366	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	55	177	44	0.249	2	25	0.283	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.214	0.249	0.329	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	2	8	0.206

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	72	285	75	0.263	12	33	0.361	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.243	0.310	0.409	OK
Iván Herrera	C	77	280	72	0.257	10	34	0.398	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.353	0.395	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	76	298	85	0.285	13	56	0.349	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.270	0.329	0.450	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	76	298	87	0.292	17	55	0.345	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.254	0.303	0.402	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	17	59	17	0.288	2	7	0.386	4	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.366	0.453	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	68	257	63	0.245	3	31	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.315	0.389	OK
Nathan Church	CF	55	184	49	0.266	5	19	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.262	0.316	0.406	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	12	42	12	0.286	1	12	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.273	0.414	OK
José Fermín	DH	43	112	31	0.277	3	15	0.322	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.174	0.227	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	2	2	4	4	0.182

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Meyer	Starter	16	88.6	2.84	1.174	10.4	102	5.2	5	2	2	2	4	96	5.2	4	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	26	22.6	7.17	1.416	12.7	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	33	28.0	4.18	1.821	10.9	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	34	26.7	3.37	1.199	13.1	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
John King	Middle Reliever	36	27.9	2.58	0.932	8.7	27	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	16	0.1	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	15	82.4	3.39	1.165	5.8	53	5.1	5	1	1	1	5	92	5.1	5	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	33	31.7	4.26	1.262	9.4	33	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	34	28.0	3.54	1.321	8.7	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	35	27.0	5.00	1.593	11.3	34	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

MIA wins 3-2

New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox

NYY 48-33 (4.99 RPG / 3.69 RA)

6 - 1

BOS 34-46 (3.99 RPG / 3.98 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-1 TARGET: NYY 3 - 2 BOS (NYY) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	6	8
BOS	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.226

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-79.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.238

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-136.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record48-32

Win%0.600

Run Diff110

RD/Game1.375

BOS Season Quality

Record33-46

Win%0.418

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.051

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6991; margin adjustment: -0.7136; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	53	196	59	0.301	14	40	0.355	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.290	0.337	0.560	OK
Amed Rosario	DH	40	121	30	0.248	7	21	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.290	0.442	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	79	288	77	0.267	11	49	0.365	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.349	0.405	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	19	74	17	0.230	3	8	0.260	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.236	0.259	0.425	OK
José Caballero	3B	67	224	58	0.259	8	28	0.317	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.254	0.304	0.427	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	76	276	63	0.228	12	33	0.306	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.310	0.419	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	31	104	27	0.260	1	13	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.354	0.363	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	23	59	13	0.220	2	7	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.320	0.364	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	9	19	6	0.316	0	3	0.381	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.287	0.418	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	6	6	2	11	0.229

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mickey Gasper	DH	33	103	26	0.252	0	6	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.288	0.327	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	73	277	79	0.285	7	35	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.281	0.393	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	77	298	81	0.272	10	38	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.307	0.438	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	75	275	76	0.276	16	46	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.288	0.385	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	73	295	59	0.200	12	38	0.258	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.178	0.230	0.302	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	70	232	52	0.224	6	32	0.281	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.260	0.309	0.454	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	8	24	8	0.333	0	1	0.385	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.154	0.216	0.302	OK
Connor Wong	C	31	89	24	0.270	1	12	0.356	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.150	0.226	0.286	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.234	0.296	0.375
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	5	1	1	0	6	0.156

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	15	75.3	3.59	1.381	10.0	84	5.1	4	1	1	0	3	91	5.1	3	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	32	30.9	3.50	1.359	11.4	39	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	5	1.1	2	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	38	25.1	2.87	1.673	16.5	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	39	29.6	2.13	1.588	11.9	39	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	11	63.4	3.12	1.104	8.8	62	5.2	3	3	3	0	8	86	5.2	8	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	23	22.2	0.81	1.081	11.8	29	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	26	25.2	2.86	1.111	10.7	30	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	19	14.1	7.66	1.986	12.8	20	1.0	3	3	3	2	1	30	1.0	1	3

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-1

Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels

OAK 39-42 (4.63 RPG / 5.3 RA)

1 - 5

LAA 34-48 (4.56 RPG / 5.0 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 5-1 TARGET: OAK 3 - 4 LAA (LAA) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3
LAA	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	x	5	10

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-195.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.310

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-179.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record39-42

Win%0.481

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.667

LAA Season Quality

Record34-48

Win%0.415

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.439

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1274; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	36	122	39	0.320	2	10	0.397	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.289	0.354	0.408	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	80	291	81	0.278	19	62	0.426	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.242	0.379	0.474	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	73	303	80	0.264	19	42	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.280	0.393	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	78	285	70	0.246	13	41	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.251	0.344	0.422	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	25	72	18	0.250	5	10	0.304	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	0.500	0.244	0.314	0.452	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	67	198	39	0.197	5	21	0.274	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.245	0.312	0.392	OK
Max Muncy	3B	39	131	30	0.229	5	20	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.223	0.276	0.435	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	73	232	55	0.237	3	20	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.303	0.355	OK
Alika Williams	SS	17	49	15	0.306	1	6	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.161	0.196	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	3	1	1	6	9	0.100

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	79	311	71	0.228	17	39	0.327	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.237	0.310	0.470	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	63	237	62	0.262	6	30	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.333	0.416	OK
Jo Adell	RF	81	319	79	0.248	10	41	0.290	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.265	0.363	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	61	223	49	0.220	11	37	0.305	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.231	0.313	0.459	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	28	90	26	0.289	2	15	0.366	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.267	0.349	0.398	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	14	55	13	0.236	3	11	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.315	0.450	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	22	79	26	0.329	3	11	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.305	0.489	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	53	171	41	0.240	4	21	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.305	0.397	OK
Josh Lowe	CF	42	129	24	0.186	5	14	0.226	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.214	0.248	0.347	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	10	5	5	1	7	0.294

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	17	80.1	3.26	1.248	8.2	73	5.2	6	3	3	1	5	103	5.2	5	3
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	18	17.3	7.28	1.445	13.0	25	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	40	29.3	4.61	2.014	13.8	45	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.1	1	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	14	66.4	2.44	1.325	8.7	64	6.0	1	0	0	3	6	103	6.0	6	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	30	32.7	3.85	1.284	10.2	37	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	36	24.4	2.95	1.721	12.5	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	29	1.0	1	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	17	14.5	3.10	1.103	13.7	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	31	33.4	4.85	1.437	13.2	49	0.0	0	0	0	2	0	20	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 5-1

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

PHI 46-36 (4.4 RPG / 4.34 RA)

3 - 2

NYM 34-48 (4.01 RPG / 4.6 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 3-2 TARGET: PHI 4 - 1 NYM (PHI) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	11
NYM	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.169

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-115.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.261

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-163.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record45-36

Win%0.556

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.049

NYM Season Quality

Record34-47

Win%0.420

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.580

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8333; margin adjustment: -0.35; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	76	320	75	0.234	7	23	0.281	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.248	0.288	0.341	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	75	288	73	0.253	28	51	0.364	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.275	0.368	0.596	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	79	279	75	0.269	18	47	0.374	5	4	1	1	1	1	3	0.250	0.289	0.389	0.543	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	76	282	63	0.223	9	41	0.279	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.221	0.273	0.330	OK
Brandon Marsh	RF	75	274	89	0.325	12	41	0.358	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.310	0.343	0.551	OK
Derek Hill	CF	9	24	9	0.375	2	5	0.375	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.180	0.210	0.332	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	54	187	38	0.203	5	24	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.220	0.287	0.367	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	74	257	61	0.237	7	39	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.297	0.413	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	45	129	30	0.233	5	24	0.263	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.160	0.175	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	3	3	3	12	0.289

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	76	288	74	0.257	9	30	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.234	0.293	0.387	OK
Juan Soto	LF	61	221	67	0.303	17	38	0.402	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.276	0.379	0.513	OK
Bo Bichette	DH	80	324	82	0.253	10	45	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.290	0.415	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	25	98	21	0.214	2	5	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.294	0.377	OK
Jared Young	1B	33	95	23	0.242	6	12	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.144	0.214	0.322	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	41	138	36	0.261	3	15	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.330	0.400	OK
Ronny Mauricio	2B	11	37	8	0.216	1	2	0.216	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.128	0.138	0.222	OK
Brett Baty	3B	71	231	51	0.221	3	26	0.292	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.190	0.264	0.275	OK
Luis Torrens	C	46	134	29	0.216	1	15	0.266	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.128	0.157	0.222	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	2	2	0	6	0.182

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	11	67.4	2.14	0.890	9.2	69	6.0	6	2	2	0	6	97	6.0	6	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	27	26.2	1.03	0.840	14.8	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	33	28.1	3.20	1.317	11.5	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	35	24.1	7.10	1.992	14.6	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.0	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zach Thornton	Starter	1	4.1	8.78	1.463	6.6	3	4.1	9	2	2	1	5	98	4.1	5	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	28	24.7	4.01	1.457	14.6	40	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	32	31.9	2.26	0.909	10.4	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	33	25.1	2.87	1.554	11.5	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	33	33.6	2.14	1.071	9.9	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever	12	9.6	0.00	0.625	8.4	9	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	12	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 3-2

Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians

SEA 42-41 (4.02 RPG / 3.95 RA)

3 - 4

CLE 42-40 (3.91 RPG / 4.04 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-3 TARGET: SEA 3 - 4 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	6
CLE	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	x	4	3

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.312

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-130.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.269

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-124.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record41-41

Win%0.500

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.049

CLE Season Quality

Record42-39

Win%0.519

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.099

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1198; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	74	271	77	0.284	7	33	0.371	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.313	0.378	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	81	324	80	0.247	14	38	0.308	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.227	0.278	0.359	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	50	191	32	0.168	8	21	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.197	0.287	0.343	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	69	182	50	0.275	12	33	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.306	0.504	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	75	295	76	0.258	8	33	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.254	0.311	0.363	OK
J.P. Crawford	3B	64	224	50	0.223	10	24	0.347	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.233	0.336	0.340	OK
Rob Refsnyder	RF	48	102	14	0.137	3	9	0.209	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.185	0.233	0.264	OK
Cole Young	2B	82	295	74	0.251	7	37	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.221	0.273	0.370	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	32	102	21	0.206	6	16	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.249	0.347	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	3	3	5	5	0.182

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	50	184	48	0.261	7	24	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.336	0.451	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	70	219	51	0.233	9	27	0.325	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.318	0.398	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	77	259	70	0.270	5	33	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.243	0.294	0.352	OK
Kahlil Watson	RF	7	21	5	0.238	1	6	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.260	0.297	0.401	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	64	206	43	0.209	6	26	0.282	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.192	0.262	0.324	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	70	249	53	0.213	1	13	0.317	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.216	0.305	0.285	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	22	67	15	0.224	1	7	0.274	3	2	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.229	0.288	0.312	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	21	48	9	0.188	0	1	0.204	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.131	0.153	0.229	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	61	189	33	0.175	7	26	0.306	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.171	0.287	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	27	3	4	4	3	8	0.111

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Castillo	Starter	15	68.1	5.42	1.454	9.1	69	5.0	2	4	4	1	4	89	5.0	4	4
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	30	26.7	4.72	1.386	14.8	44	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	18	0.2	2	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	36	28.8	3.12	1.562	8.4	27	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	38	30.5	2.36	1.475	9.7	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	16	77.9	4.16	1.438	8.8	76	5.0	3	1	1	2	1	85	5.0	1	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	34	34.0	3.44	1.265	14.6	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	25	18.5	3.89	1.622	8.3	17	1.0	1	2	2	3	1	26	1.0	1	2
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	24	19.5	2.31	1.333	11.1	24	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	27	17.1	3.68	1.404	21.6	41	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-3

Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays

TEX 39-42 (4.01 RPG / 4.17 RA)

6 - 2

TOR 39-42 (4.11 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 6-2 TARGET: TEX 5 - 3 TOR (TEX) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	6	11
TOR	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.270

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-145.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-151.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record39-42

Win%0.481

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.160

TOR Season Quality

Record39-42

Win%0.481

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.346

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1852; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wyatt Langford	CF	39	157	42	0.268	8	20	0.315	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.253	0.295	0.501	OK
Josh Jung	3B	75	291	86	0.296	8	31	0.355	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.245	0.301	0.359	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	79	306	81	0.265	8	28	0.332	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.258	0.313	0.446	OK
Jake Burger	1B	78	286	73	0.255	14	48	0.315	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.260	0.317	0.465	OK
Justin Foscue	DH	32	78	20	0.256	4	10	0.306	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.149	0.207	0.319	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	70	241	63	0.261	6	40	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.136	0.198	0.272	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	41	133	31	0.233	5	14	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.143	0.224	0.222	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	46	123	32	0.260	0	12	0.359	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.253	0.313	0.330	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	24	69	23	0.333	1	6	0.370	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.183	0.219	0.237	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	6	6	3	12	0.289

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	59	228	50	0.219	8	21	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.224	0.296	0.353	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	46	145	43	0.297	3	15	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.288	0.411	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	76	282	77	0.273	4	32	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.313	0.340	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	78	286	69	0.241	18	51	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.267	0.343	0.522	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	63	229	61	0.266	7	22	0.335	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.264	0.324	0.480	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	78	299	88	0.294	7	28	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.256	0.282	0.373	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	72	213	59	0.277	7	29	0.319	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.153	0.197	0.271	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	48	144	36	0.250	7	19	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.318	0.385	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	76	251	58	0.231	7	33	0.274	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.230	0.252	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	2	2	4	6	0.129

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	15	92.4	4.29	1.190	9.0	92	6.1	3	2	2	4	4	105	6.1	4	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	29	35.9	1.25	0.585	10.0	40	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	29	31.1	2.32	0.997	6.9	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	20	24.0	3.75	1.167	10.5	28	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.1	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Corbin	Starter	14	62.1	4.93	1.594	6.8	47	4.1	6	5	5	1	6	81	4.1	6	5
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	38	39.5	0.91	1.013	13.2	58	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	11	1.1	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	39	34.4	2.09	1.337	5.2	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	38	31.6	5.41	1.677	16.2	57	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	40	36.7	3.92	1.335	10.3	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	41	23.5	4.21	1.787	14.9	39	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	14	0.1	1	1
Tommy Nance	Reliever	28	22.5	4.80	1.511	11.6	29	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	17	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 6-2

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles

WAS 41-42 (5.29 RPG / 5.27 RA)

3 - 2

BAL 39-44 (4.64 RPG / 4.92 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 3-2 TARGET: WAS 3 - 2 BAL (WAS) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	10
BAL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	6

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-164.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.214

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-169.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record41-41

Win%0.500

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.049

BAL Season Quality

Record38-44

Win%0.463

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.305

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4085; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	82	315	82	0.260	20	49	0.385	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.217	0.326	0.401	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	66	206	46	0.223	14	39	0.325	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.146	0.233	0.353	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	16	38	7	0.184	0	5	0.295	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.218	0.299	0.355	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	79	290	83	0.286	17	57	0.369	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.269	0.330	0.534	OK
Dylan Crews	LF	31	122	28	0.230	5	17	0.266	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.260	0.274	0.402	OK
Daylen Lile	DH	80	314	79	0.252	8	38	0.309	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.234	0.282	0.364	OK
Jacob Young	CF	69	243	55	0.226	8	30	0.271	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.204	0.238	0.318	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	71	229	55	0.240	0	27	0.324	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.272	0.353	0.349	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	51	167	46	0.275	6	29	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.271	0.412	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	3	3	5	6	0.270

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	79	298	77	0.258	5	21	0.389	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.252	0.358	0.407	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	79	327	74	0.226	15	38	0.298	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.237	0.299	0.403	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	80	302	78	0.258	18	55	0.343	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.262	0.351	0.465	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	60	197	38	0.193	10	30	0.259	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.265	0.373	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	45	128	24	0.188	2	8	0.283	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.305	0.338	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	66	225	58	0.258	12	35	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.252	0.310	0.457	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	66	216	55	0.255	2	30	0.325	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.168	0.237	0.295	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	29	85	17	0.200	4	12	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.298	0.401	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	56	169	52	0.308	3	23	0.359	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.260	0.305	0.428	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	2	2	5	12	0.182

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Alvarez	Starter	9	31.4	3.44	1.433	10.6	37	5.0	3	0	0	4	10	88	5.0	10	0
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	24	22.0	3.68	1.500	10.6	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	31	27.0	6.33	1.963	10.0	30	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	22	1.1	0	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	24	47.7	3.58	1.195	8.7	46	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	34	1.1	0	1
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	26	17.3	5.20	2.486	10.9	21	0.1	0	1	1	0	1	15	0.1	1	1

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	14	70.2	5.51	1.410	6.9	54	5.0	8	3	3	4	2	103	5.0	2	3
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	15	12.4	5.08	1.613	13.8	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	35	21.3	2.11	0.892	11.4	27	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	29.6	3.04	0.912	11.2	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	22	15.2	7.11	1.842	10.1	17	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 3-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays

ARI Recent Form

TB Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants

ATL Recent Form

SF Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

CHC Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins

COL Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

COL Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers

HOU Recent Form

DET Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

KC Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

KC Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres