MLB Predictions — June 23, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ STL	3 - 5	2 - 5	STL	STL	STL wins 5-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
ATL @ SD	2 - 3	1 - 3	SD	SD	SD wins 3-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
BAL @ LAA	6 - 4	7 - 6	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 7-6	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
BOS @ COL	4 - 2	5 - 2	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ NYM	5 - 3	5 - 2	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CLE @ CHW	3 - 2	3 - 2	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 3-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ TOR	3 - 2	3 - 2	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 3-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
KC @ TB	1 - 3	2 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 4-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ MIN	2 - 1	3 - 1	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 3-1	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIL @ CIN	4 - 2	4 - 1	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYY @ DET	2 - 1	3 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
OAK @ SF	3 - 4	3 - 4	SF	SF	SF wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PHI @ WAS	4 - 2	4 - 2	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ PIT	5 - 3	4 - 3	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-3	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ MIA	2 - 1	2 - 1	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 2-1	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals

ARI 39-39 (4.27 RPG / 4.6 RA)

2 - 5

STL 42-34 (4.63 RPG / 4.57 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 5-2 TARGET: ARI 3 - 5 STL (STL) Confidence: 56.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
ARI	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	10
STL	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	8

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.279

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-107.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.190

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-108.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record39-39

Win%0.500

Run Diff-26

RD/Game-0.333

STL Season Quality

Record42-34

Win%0.553

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.066

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4781; margin adjustment: 0.2008; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jorge Barrosa	CF	40	105	19	0.181	2	9	0.246	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.219	0.274	0.439	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.219	0.342	0.327	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.272	0.325	0.455	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	5	4	2	0	0	1	2	0.500	0.235	0.313	0.346	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	5	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.276	0.352	0.459	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.290	0.340	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.276	0.355	0.540	OK
Tommy Troy	OF	23	75	18	0.240	3	5	0.321	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.225	0.302	0.399	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.195	0.242	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	39	10	2	2	3	7	0.256

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	SS	70	275	75	0.273	12	33	0.373	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.285	0.356	0.465	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	75	275	72	0.262	10	34	0.401	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.265	0.364	0.438	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	74	291	84	0.289	17	55	0.343	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.298	0.411	OK
Lars Nootbaar	CF	15	52	14	0.269	2	7	0.371	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.261	0.359	0.412	OK
Nelson Velázquez	LF	12	31	10	0.323	2	6	0.382	5	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.277	0.323	0.485	OK
José Fermín	2B	41	105	28	0.267	2	14	0.310	5	4	2	1	3	1	0	0.500	0.185	0.230	0.268	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	74	291	83	0.285	13	55	0.351	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.270	0.337	0.460	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	10	37	10	0.270	1	8	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.234	0.261	0.402	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	39	127	28	0.220	4	11	0.257	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.251	0.351	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	8	5	5	5	4	0.229

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	16	77.8	6.25	1.671	6.0	52	5.0	7	5	5	1	2	89	5.0	2	5
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	4	1.0	1	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Ryan Thompson	Reliever	2	2.0	0.00	0.000	4.5	1	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	14	69.3	4.68	1.587	7.7	59	5.0	9	2	2	2	3	104	5.0	3	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	33	31.7	4.26	1.262	9.4	33	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	34	28.0	3.54	1.321	8.7	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	35	27.0	5.00	1.593	11.3	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	34	25.4	6.38	1.850	13.1	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

STL wins 5-2 (Extra Innings - 10)

Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres

ATL 48-30 (4.86 RPG / 3.69 RA)

1 - 3

SD 40-37 (3.86 RPG / 3.97 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 3-1 TARGET: ATL 2 - 3 SD (SD) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6
SD	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	x	3	9

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.177

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.242

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-149.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record48-29

Win%0.623

Run Diff92

RD/Game1.195

SD Season Quality

Record39-37

Win%0.513

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.132

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.4917; margin adjustment: -0.6265; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	71	257	79	0.307	14	41	0.337	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.287	0.313	0.458	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	78	297	83	0.279	12	41	0.329	5	4	2	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.266	0.309	0.439	OK
Matt Olson	1B	78	300	81	0.270	20	51	0.341	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.252	0.321	0.434	OK
Dominic Smith	LF	58	167	47	0.281	6	29	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.293	0.379	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	74	272	72	0.265	7	43	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.305	0.410	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	55	215	60	0.279	15	40	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.223	0.294	0.411	OK
Austin Riley	3B	78	280	61	0.218	8	36	0.294	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.254	0.311	0.369	OK
Rowdy Tellez	DH	5	5	1	0.200	1	2	0.200	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.116	0.131	0.209	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	67	191	44	0.230	4	18	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.288	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	1	1	6	8	0.182

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	75	292	83	0.284	2	25	0.349	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.263	0.321	0.365	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	14	50	17	0.340	1	8	0.400	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.178	0.248	0.250	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	73	285	61	0.214	8	31	0.277	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.228	0.281	0.380	OK
Manny Machado	3B	75	276	51	0.185	14	42	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.300	0.440	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	70	224	51	0.228	12	33	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.313	0.429	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	73	254	58	0.228	8	29	0.320	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.234	0.336	0.315	OK
Will Wagner	DH	12	27	8	0.296	0	0	0.441	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.252	0.387	0.350	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	21	55	7	0.127	3	6	0.238	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.174	0.253	0.338	OK
Sung-Mun Song	2B	20	50	10	0.200	0	5	0.286	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.126	0.208	0.197	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	3	3	2	6	0.273

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
JR Ritchie	Starter	7	35.2	4.60	1.392	7.7	30	5.0	7	2	2	2	3	95	5.0	3	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	23	23.4	1.54	1.111	10.8	28	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	31	30.6	0.59	0.882	7.6	26	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	35	29.6	1.22	0.743	12.8	42	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	14	0.2	2	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Wandy Peralta	Starter	32	32.3	2.23	1.548	6.7	24	5.0	2	0	0	1	4	85	5.0	4	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	36	33.7	4.27	1.187	12.8	48	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	32	26.0	2.77	1.346	6.9	20	1.0	0	0	0	2	2	21	1.0	2	0
David Morgan	Middle Reliever	15	15.4	5.84	2.338	13.4	23	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	27	1.0	0	1
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	17	22.1	1.63	1.131	11.4	28	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 3-1

Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels

BAL 38-42 (4.69 RPG / 4.94 RA)

7 - 6

LAA 32-48 (4.53 RPG / 5.04 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 7-6 TARGET: BAL 6 - 4 LAA (BAL) Confidence: 56.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	1	1	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	7	11
LAA	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	0	1	6	9

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-157.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-182.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record37-42

Win%0.468

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.316

LAA Season Quality

Record32-47

Win%0.405

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.456

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2342; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	77	289	75	0.260	5	21	0.393	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.249	0.359	0.402	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	77	319	73	0.229	15	38	0.300	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.249	0.316	0.449	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	78	295	75	0.254	18	53	0.337	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.334	0.483	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	64	216	56	0.259	10	31	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.315	0.403	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	58	191	37	0.194	10	30	0.262	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.207	0.271	0.391	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	64	209	54	0.258	2	29	0.328	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.174	0.238	0.307	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	62	162	38	0.235	7	24	0.319	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.342	0.420	OK
Tyler O'Neill	DH	44	126	24	0.190	2	8	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.299	0.340	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	55	184	46	0.250	6	27	0.267	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.255	0.388	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	38	11	7	7	0	8	0.289

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	77	306	69	0.225	17	39	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.293	0.449	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	43	147	34	0.231	4	26	0.311	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.289	0.390	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	61	229	60	0.262	5	28	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.325	0.402	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	59	218	48	0.220	10	34	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.300	0.423	OK
Jo Adell	RF	80	315	78	0.248	10	41	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.265	0.364	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	67	222	59	0.266	7	21	0.309	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.259	0.282	0.404	OK
Christian Moore	LF	3	12	2	0.167	0	1	0.154	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.228	0.302	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	51	167	40	0.240	4	20	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.315	0.420	OK
Jose Siri	CF	26	67	19	0.284	4	16	0.329	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.235	0.278	0.418	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	36	9	6	6	0	7	0.250

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	15	86.2	4.18	1.404	7.9	76	6.0	6	3	3	0	2	102	6.0	2	3
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	14	11.4	5.53	1.754	13.4	17	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	35	28.6	2.20	0.839	11.3	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	21	15.1	7.15	1.722	9.5	16	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	12	0.2	2	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	34	21.1	2.13	0.806	10.7	25	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	12	0.1	1	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	5	13.1	13.05	2.366	4.8	7	3.0	8	6	6	0	1	62	3.0	1	6
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	17	14.5	3.10	1.103	13.7	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	28	30.7	4.10	1.368	10.3	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	34	23.2	2.72	1.681	12.4	32	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	30	32.4	5.00	1.481	12.8	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	30	42.4	4.46	1.297	8.1	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0
Mitch Farris	Reliever	13	27.7	3.90	1.661	9.7	30	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	4	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 7-6

Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies

BOS 31-45 (3.89 RPG / 4.0 RA)

5 - 2

COL 31-48 (4.54 RPG / 5.67 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-2 TARGET: BOS 4 - 2 COL (BOS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	5	9
COL	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-135.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.212

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-243.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

BOS Season Quality

Record31-44

Win%0.413

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.093

COL Season Quality

Record30-48

Win%0.385

Run Diff-90

RD/Game-1.154

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.1036; margin adjustment: -0.4635; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nate Eaton	LF	4	8	1	0.125	1	1	0.300	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.123	0.276	0.228	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	70	263	74	0.281	7	32	0.332	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.283	0.412	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	74	286	79	0.276	9	36	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.325	0.433	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	72	263	74	0.281	16	45	0.375	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.241	0.308	0.444	OK
Jarren Duran	DH	71	287	58	0.202	12	37	0.262	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.243	0.335	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	67	222	49	0.221	5	30	0.277	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.289	0.331	0.528	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	42	118	27	0.229	2	11	0.266	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.132	0.170	0.240	OK
Connor Wong	C	29	82	21	0.256	0	10	0.344	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.150	0.230	0.259	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	5	13	2	0.154	0	0	0.214	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.121	0.183	0.239	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	9	5	5	1	6	0.257

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	58	204	60	0.294	5	30	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.279	0.315	0.471	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	43	148	42	0.284	12	28	0.335	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.272	0.455	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	73	276	67	0.243	21	39	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.272	0.444	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	73	266	75	0.282	12	41	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.332	0.505	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	48	168	47	0.280	3	20	0.356	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.182	0.218	0.265	OK
Willi Castro	3B	66	233	64	0.275	5	32	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.251	0.321	0.387	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	69	233	72	0.309	3	33	0.371	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.256	0.332	0.435	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	70	252	54	0.214	5	24	0.261	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.204	0.248	0.315	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	63	177	39	0.220	2	17	0.317	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.226	0.314	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	2	2	1	12	0.206

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	13	68.4	3.16	1.199	7.2	55	5.2	5	2	2	1	7	90	5.2	7	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	22	21.2	0.85	0.991	12.3	29	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	24	23.2	2.72	1.164	10.9	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	17	12.1	7.44	1.901	14.1	19	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	31	25.1	3.94	1.394	10.8	30	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	15	0.2	2	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Sullivan	Starter	2	7.0	10.29	1.857	5.1	4	3.0	8	4	4	1	4	66	3.0	4	4
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	22	35.9	2.51	1.198	8.3	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	31	28.3	8.27	2.120	11.8	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	20	19.8	6.36	2.020	7.3	16	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	37	24.1	4.85	1.826	9.0	24	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	6	2.0	0	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	32	19.2	7.03	2.292	13.1	28	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-2

Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets

CHC 40-37 (4.75 RPG / 4.48 RA)

5 - 2

NYM 34-43 (4.04 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-2 TARGET: CHC 5 - 3 NYM (CHC) Confidence: 55.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	5	7
NYM	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.129

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-182.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.348

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-143.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record40-37

Win%0.519

Run Diff21

RD/Game0.273

NYM Season Quality

Record34-43

Win%0.442

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.403

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7922; margin adjustment: -0.3327; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	76	286	83	0.290	16	40	0.367	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.318	0.379	0.627	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	75	296	75	0.253	6	25	0.347	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.246	0.342	0.346	OK
Michael Busch	1B	75	271	68	0.251	8	42	0.381	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.236	0.357	0.373	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	62	227	61	0.269	10	31	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.288	0.372	0.445	OK
Ian Happ	LF	72	272	63	0.232	16	37	0.342	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.238	0.332	0.429	OK
Matt Shaw	RF	43	117	30	0.256	4	18	0.302	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.255	0.300	0.461	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	74	300	71	0.237	4	35	0.311	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.223	0.293	0.313	OK
Carson Kelly	C	53	177	50	0.282	4	25	0.359	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.328	0.419	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	71	236	44	0.186	8	31	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.321	0.360	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	5	5	5	7	0.206

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	72	271	70	0.258	9	29	0.319	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.288	0.414	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	76	308	76	0.247	8	42	0.289	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.253	0.291	0.382	OK
Juan Soto	LF	59	216	66	0.306	17	38	0.401	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.299	0.391	0.554	OK
Jared Young	1B	29	88	21	0.239	4	9	0.302	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.136	0.196	0.247	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	37	124	33	0.266	2	13	0.343	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.330	0.393	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	76	275	61	0.222	9	29	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.287	0.352	OK
Brett Baty	3B	67	220	49	0.223	3	26	0.291	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.182	0.247	0.275	OK
MJ Melendez	DH	49	110	21	0.191	4	11	0.308	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.179	0.278	0.315	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	45	147	36	0.245	5	13	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.239	0.299	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	2	2	4	9	0.250

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Edward Cabrera	Starter	13	65.0	5.40	1.446	8.4	61	4.2	5	2	2	2	4	94	4.2	4	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	33	28.6	4.41	1.538	12.3	39	1.2	1	0	0	1	1	28	1.2	1	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	22	15.8	5.70	1.519	13.1	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	28	19.2	7.50	2.240	12.7	27	0.2	2	0	0	1	2	18	0.2	2	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	35	27.6	4.24	1.341	5.5	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kodai Senga	Starter	6	22.6	9.56	1.991	11.2	28	4.0	5	4	4	4	2	93	4.0	2	4
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	26	22.7	4.36	1.454	15.1	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	30	29.9	2.41	0.936	9.9	33	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	31	23.1	2.34	1.515	12.1	31	1.2	1	1	1	0	3	26	1.2	3	1
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	32	31.6	2.28	1.139	9.4	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-2

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

CLE 41-38 (3.99 RPG / 4.09 RA)

3 - 2

CHW 40-37 (4.66 RPG / 4.7 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 3-2 TARGET: CLE 3 - 2 CHW (CLE) Confidence: 55.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	3	7
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	7

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-120.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.309

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.3

Run Diff-73.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Season Quality

Record41-38

Win%0.519

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.101

CHW Season Quality

Record40-37

Win%0.519

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.039

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.063; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	48	175	48	0.274	7	24	0.373	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.288	0.377	0.530	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	68	213	50	0.235	9	27	0.321	5	5	1	1	2	0	4	0.200	0.236	0.309	0.428	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	75	250	69	0.276	5	33	0.348	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.268	0.320	0.395	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	59	182	32	0.176	7	26	0.305	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.191	0.296	0.372	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	62	199	43	0.216	6	26	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.204	0.272	0.341	OK
Kahlil Watson	RF	5	13	1	0.077	0	2	0.077	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.226	0.238	0.322	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	68	241	50	0.207	1	13	0.316	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.194	0.298	0.255	OK
Austin Hedges	C	34	102	26	0.255	1	9	0.319	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.237	0.298	0.351	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	19	45	7	0.156	0	1	0.174	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.120	0.144	0.222	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	3	3	5	8	0.206

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Junior Perez	CF	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.257	0.361
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.274	0.440	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.237	0.292	0.348	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	48	8	0.167	1	5	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.261	0.274	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.106	0.181	0.216	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.311	0.375	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.293	0.426	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.339	0.464	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.273	0.446	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	2	5	0.206

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	15	83.4	2.81	1.139	9.8	91	6.0	4	0	0	2	5	96	6.0	5	0
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	33	33.8	2.93	1.154	14.4	54	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.1	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	24	18.3	3.93	1.530	8.4	17	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	23	18.4	2.45	1.304	11.7	24	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	3	0	0	4	5	101	6.0	5	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	27	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

CLE wins 3-2

Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays

HOU 38-43 (4.53 RPG / 5.04 RA)

3 - 2

TOR 39-40 (4.14 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 3-2 TARGET: HOU 3 - 2 TOR (HOU) Confidence: 56.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
TOR	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.333

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-213.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.288

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-145.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record37-43

Win%0.463

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.537

TOR Season Quality

Record39-39

Win%0.500

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.295

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2989; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	57	216	51	0.236	8	21	0.311	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.231	0.294	0.401	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	78	281	92	0.327	25	56	0.437	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.286	0.390	0.541	OK
Christian Walker	1B	78	290	70	0.241	18	52	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.210	0.281	0.389	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	72	255	61	0.239	10	38	0.344	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.261	0.335	0.404	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	28	110	26	0.236	2	14	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.270	0.351	OK
Cam Smith	RF	76	260	57	0.219	7	26	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.228	0.294	0.365	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	28	77	21	0.273	0	7	0.325	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.152	0.209	0.271	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	60	173	35	0.202	6	17	0.249	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.243	0.343	OK
Raynel Delgado	SS	5	14	4	0.286	0	2	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.223	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	9	0.206

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	56	215	49	0.228	8	21	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.254	0.329	0.430	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	73	269	76	0.283	4	32	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.271	0.335	0.392	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	70	207	58	0.280	7	29	0.323	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.172	0.219	0.306	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	75	274	64	0.234	17	46	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.306	0.492	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	46	138	36	0.261	7	19	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.275	0.349	0.458	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	61	219	56	0.256	6	20	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.230	0.301	0.407	OK
Luis Urías	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.249	0.312	0.385
Myles Straw	RF	54	120	29	0.242	2	9	0.303	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.141	0.214	0.219	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	73	244	57	0.234	7	33	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.265	0.373	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	2	2	3	8	0.182

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	11	63.3	3.27	1.122	8.2	58	5.2	6	2	2	1	5	95	5.2	5	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	1.12	0.375	14.6	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	31	28.1	2.88	1.495	8.3	26	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	17	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	28	23.0	7.04	1.913	12.9	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Bieber	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	4	3	3	2	4	61	3.0	4	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	38	39.5	0.91	1.013	13.2	58	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	38	33.4	1.89	1.287	5.4	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	36	30.3	5.64	1.650	16.0	54	1.2	2	0	0	0	0	27	1.2	0	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	39	34.7	3.63	1.354	10.4	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	39	21.5	4.19	1.814	15.9	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 3-2

Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays

KC 33-46 (4.22 RPG / 4.76 RA)

2 - 4

TB 43-32 (4.37 RPG / 4.28 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-2 TARGET: KC 1 - 3 TB (TB) Confidence: 56.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	6
TB	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	x	4	6

KC Recent Form

Win%0.191

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-179.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.194

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-134.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record33-46

Win%0.418

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.544

TB Season Quality

Record43-32

Win%0.573

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.093

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8711; margin adjustment: 0.3658; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lane Thomas	CF	59	164	38	0.232	5	21	0.345	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.338	0.418	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	41	120	29	0.242	2	22	0.333	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.244	0.325	0.444	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	72	245	65	0.265	12	27	0.338	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.173	0.243	0.382	OK
Salvador Perez	C	72	283	59	0.208	10	28	0.252	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.252	0.359	OK
Carter Jensen	DH	70	241	59	0.245	10	40	0.312	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.284	0.351	0.502	OK
Starling Marte	RF	31	83	23	0.277	1	6	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.268	0.309	0.390	OK
Michael Massey	2B	58	176	46	0.261	7	27	0.285	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.164	0.203	0.303	OK
Tyler Tolbert	SS	12	21	4	0.190	0	1	0.280	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.117	0.218	0.161	OK
Kameron Misner	LF	6	20	7	0.350	0	3	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.137	0.177	0.183	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	2	2	4	9	0.182

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	72	276	90	0.326	12	50	0.407	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.303	0.375	0.443	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	74	268	74	0.276	12	51	0.381	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.269	0.362	0.423	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	65	222	44	0.198	6	21	0.284	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.217	0.280	0.317	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	75	283	78	0.276	15	34	0.369	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.260	0.345	0.408	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	52	152	36	0.237	1	21	0.343	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.161	0.261	0.261	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	40	130	35	0.269	4	22	0.296	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.268	0.459	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	69	271	72	0.266	0	15	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.162	0.197	0.222	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	54	169	37	0.219	0	18	0.320	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.322	0.329	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	37	85	21	0.247	1	6	0.323	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.143	0.221	0.213	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	6	4	4	4	6	0.200

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luinder Avila	Starter	14	36.5	5.67	1.699	8.1	33	4.0	4	4	4	4	3	78	4.0	3	4
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	33	32.2	4.19	1.491	10.1	36	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	2.0	0	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	29	26.8	4.70	1.754	8.1	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.0	2	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	32	28.5	2.84	1.088	9.5	30	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane McClanahan	Starter	14	65.8	3.42	1.261	9.4	69	5.0	1	0	0	3	7	80	5.0	7	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	32	29.4	1.84	0.918	10.1	33	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	33	29.3	3.07	1.092	8.6	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	22	17.7	5.08	1.469	13.7	27	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	2
Casey Legumina	Middle Reliever	16	16.4	3.29	1.463	7.7	14	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-2

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins

LAD 50-29 (5.15 RPG / 3.46 RA)

3 - 1

MIN 38-42 (4.86 RPG / 5.1 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 3-1 TARGET: LAD 2 - 1 MIN (LAD) Confidence: 54.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	8
MIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.286

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-120.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.235

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-179.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record50-29

Win%0.633

Run Diff134

RD/Game1.696

MIN Season Quality

Record38-42

Win%0.475

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.237

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.1706; margin adjustment: -0.9116; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	71	267	79	0.296	17	44	0.418	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.389	0.614	OK
Andy Pages	CF	78	303	80	0.264	15	57	0.313	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.292	0.404	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	76	286	78	0.273	13	41	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.331	0.471	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	43	173	37	0.214	8	19	0.275	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.311	0.423	OK
Tommy Edman	LF	5	17	7	0.412	0	0	0.444	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.292	0.333	0.424	OK
Max Muncy	3B	72	234	62	0.265	16	31	0.368	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.265	0.364	0.475	OK
Alex Call	RF	39	96	25	0.260	0	14	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.164	0.259	0.234	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	55	154	36	0.234	3	17	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.252	0.334	0.349	OK
Chuckie Robinson	C	4	11	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.210	0.223	0.309
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	3	3	1	8	0.229

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	LF	62	206	49	0.238	2	17	0.336	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.220	0.307	0.317	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	68	280	77	0.275	25	41	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.307	0.532	OK
Josh Bell	DH	77	278	69	0.248	9	48	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.266	0.329	0.439	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	46	162	33	0.204	7	21	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.289	0.390	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	73	277	66	0.238	12	43	0.291	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.227	0.274	0.406	OK
Victor Caratini	C	56	178	42	0.236	5	29	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.351	0.446	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	73	262	66	0.252	2	24	0.330	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.327	0.348	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	32	81	23	0.284	4	18	0.356	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.282	0.351	0.497	OK
Kyler Fedko	RF	3	7	0	0.000	0	0	0.125	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.175	0.269	0.261
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	1	1	3	12	0.182

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	13	78.4	2.76	1.020	5.7	50	6.0	4	1	1	0	6	103	6.0	6	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	34	29.9	2.41	0.736	11.4	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	27	27.6	2.93	1.594	11.1	34	1.1	1	0	0	1	2	28	1.1	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	34	19.5	3.23	1.385	15.7	34	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	16	0.2	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kendry Rojas	Starter	5	14.1	1.28	1.489	8.9	14	3.0	4	1	1	1	3	54	3.0	3	1
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	22	16.4	1.65	1.159	12.1	22	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	21	2.0	1	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	36	24.3	5.56	1.646	10.7	29	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	26	29.3	5.22	1.809	11.7	38	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	13	16.6	8.13	1.747	13.0	24	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	23	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 3-1

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

MIL 47-29 (5.25 RPG / 3.67 RA)

4 - 1

CIN 37-40 (4.23 RPG / 4.84 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-1 TARGET: MIL 4 - 2 CIN (MIL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	9
CIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.277

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-92.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.231

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-177.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record47-29

Win%0.618

Run Diff120

RD/Game1.579

CIN Season Quality

Record37-40

Win%0.481

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.610

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.3962; margin adjustment: -1.0064; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	42	180	53	0.294	10	30	0.347	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.251	0.299	0.450	OK
Brice Turang	2B	71	270	72	0.267	11	47	0.375	5	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.346	0.416	OK
William Contreras	DH	71	281	83	0.295	7	46	0.355	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.295	0.358	0.435	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	36	109	38	0.349	2	20	0.423	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.310	0.390	0.488	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	65	226	61	0.270	13	46	0.370	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.243	0.341	0.411	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	43	117	26	0.222	7	21	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.259	0.375	0.460	OK
Blake Perkins	CF	36	83	13	0.157	1	10	0.231	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.153	0.214	0.281	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	7	20	7	0.350	0	2	0.391	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.290	0.356	0.372	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	54	158	32	0.203	1	15	0.283	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.211	0.286	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	9	4	4	5	8	0.257

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Blake Dunn	CF	31	129	36	0.279	2	5	0.340	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.166	0.231	0.258	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	48	178	45	0.253	13	35	0.351	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.297	0.405	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	76	286	72	0.252	14	54	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.303	0.389	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	56	165	42	0.255	8	24	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.162	0.266	0.297	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	49	179	37	0.207	7	25	0.263	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.193	0.241	0.334	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	23	74	16	0.216	3	4	0.256	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.262	0.393	OK
Jose Trevino	C	13	41	6	0.146	0	2	0.167	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.205	0.260	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	15	50	12	0.240	0	2	0.304	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.255	0.302	OK
Matt McLain	2B	69	248	50	0.202	8	25	0.303	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.178	0.268	0.298	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	1	1	2	8	0.156

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Sproat	Starter	14	60.4	6.26	1.540	9.4	63	4.2	5	1	1	1	5	86	4.2	5	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	28	28.0	2.57	0.964	12.2	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	30	26.0	3.81	1.231	10.4	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	35	41.9	3.44	1.480	13.7	64	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	29	25.4	3.90	1.260	8.5	24	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	8	40.8	6.40	1.667	7.1	32	4.2	6	4	4	4	3	93	4.2	3	4
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	33	28.9	4.36	1.349	8.7	28	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	19	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	38	30.5	3.54	1.705	9.4	32	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	19	18.0	3.00	1.111	9.0	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Sam Moll	Middle Reliever	34	26.4	3.75	1.326	12.3	36	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.1	1	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	11	9.2	1.96	1.630	11.7	12	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-1

New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers

NYY 46-31 (5.09 RPG / 3.66 RA)

3 - 2

DET 34-44 (4.09 RPG / 4.13 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-2 TARGET: NYY 2 - 1 DET (NYY) Confidence: 54.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	5
DET	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.267

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-76.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.313

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-115.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record46-31

Win%0.597

Run Diff110

RD/Game1.429

DET Season Quality

Record34-44

Win%0.436

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.038

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.7093; margin adjustment: -0.7179; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	71	267	77	0.288	22	52	0.384	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.346	0.535	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	16	62	14	0.226	2	5	0.262	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.261	0.396	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	76	278	76	0.273	11	49	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.252	0.349	0.418	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	50	184	54	0.293	12	37	0.348	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.267	0.312	0.490	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	73	265	60	0.226	11	31	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.301	0.404	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	22	55	12	0.218	2	7	0.328	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.240	0.347	0.424	OK
José Caballero	3B	64	213	55	0.258	7	26	0.319	4	3	1	1	3	0	0	0.333	0.246	0.305	0.382	OK
Austin Wells	C	49	148	24	0.162	4	7	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.176	0.274	0.250	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	28	93	25	0.269	1	13	0.376	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.376	0.393	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	3	3	4	6	0.156

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	74	276	79	0.286	6	28	0.396	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.354	0.427	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	70	260	70	0.269	18	55	0.336	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.268	0.311	0.498	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	58	187	35	0.187	5	25	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.118	0.186	0.247	OK
Riley Greene	LF	77	277	82	0.296	9	34	0.390	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.239	0.337	0.405	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	76	257	54	0.210	12	30	0.310	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.224	0.309	0.411	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	49	88	13	0.148	2	7	0.219	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.112	0.179	0.176	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	39	107	25	0.234	2	10	0.261	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.242	0.268	0.381	OK
Zach McKinstry	SS	50	148	27	0.182	2	11	0.272	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.200	0.290	0.327	OK
James Outman	CF	6	16	3	0.188	1	2	0.235	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.106	0.159	0.208	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	2	2	3	10	0.129

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	7	35.3	3.57	1.275	10.5	41	5.1	3	1	1	2	7	92	5.1	7	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	30	28.8	3.75	1.424	11.9	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	33	24.9	6.14	1.446	10.1	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	36	23.8	3.03	1.681	15.5	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	38	28.4	2.22	1.585	12.0	38	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	15	0.2	1	1

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	10	50.0	2.70	1.060	9.4	52	5.2	3	3	3	4	5	96	5.2	5	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	20	16.6	3.25	1.084	11.9	22	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	6	1.1	0	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	26	22.4	6.43	1.518	10.0	25	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	33	31.7	1.70	1.609	6.2	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-2

Oakland Athletics @ San Francisco Giants

OAK 38-40 (4.67 RPG / 5.36 RA)

3 - 4

SF 32-46 (4.15 RPG / 4.78 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 4-3 TARGET: OAK 3 - 4 SF (SF) Confidence: 54.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	6
SF	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	x	4	11

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.227

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-189.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.194

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-191.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record38-40

Win%0.487

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.692

SF Season Quality

Record32-46

Win%0.410

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.628

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0513; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zack Gelof	2B	57	208	60	0.288	11	30	0.342	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.206	0.262	0.390	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	77	279	81	0.290	19	61	0.439	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.271	0.408	0.526	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	70	292	79	0.271	19	40	0.333	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.231	0.284	0.438	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	75	273	66	0.242	13	41	0.344	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.249	0.346	0.471	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	48	196	55	0.281	4	26	0.311	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.255	0.293	0.386	OK
Joey Meneses	DH	1	3	1	0.333	0	1	0.333	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.258	0.269	0.366	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	33	111	35	0.315	2	10	0.391	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.281	0.356	0.415	OK
Colby Thomas	RF	30	65	14	0.215	2	6	0.261	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.185	0.231	0.288	OK
Max Muncy	3B	36	121	27	0.223	4	16	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.256	0.407	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	33	6	3	3	8	9	0.182

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	74	295	97	0.329	3	29	0.365	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.284	0.327	0.441	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	37	125	38	0.304	6	17	0.397	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.264	0.358	0.465	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	69	274	81	0.296	16	41	0.324	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.313	0.328	0.513	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	77	295	71	0.241	11	36	0.307	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.245	0.319	0.490	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	68	259	86	0.332	4	26	0.365	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.282	0.315	0.449	OK
Willy Adames	SS	75	298	67	0.225	13	31	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.242	0.409	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	76	277	66	0.238	7	42	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.201	0.279	0.352	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	53	156	37	0.237	3	15	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.285	0.369	OK
Daniel Susac	C	31	98	27	0.276	0	14	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.139	0.186	0.223	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	11	4	4	1	6	0.314

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Civale	Starter	12	57.5	5.01	1.617	6.4	41	4.0	7	3	3	1	5	91	4.0	5	3
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	17	17.1	6.32	1.345	13.2	25	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	39	28.3	4.77	2.049	13.7	43	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	0	1
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	36	30.2	4.77	1.358	10.4	35	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	15	77.1	4.20	1.375	8.6	74	5.0	4	1	1	3	3	106	5.0	3	1
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	31	27.9	3.55	1.290	12.3	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.0	2	0
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	20	16.2	6.11	1.914	9.4	17	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	24	16.5	4.91	1.879	15.3	28	0.2	2	2	2	1	2	18	0.2	2	2
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	8	5.5	0.00	1.455	11.5	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	15	10.1	3.56	2.178	12.5	14	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	17	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

SF wins 4-3

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals

PHI 42-36 (4.23 RPG / 4.32 RA)

4 - 2

WAS 41-38 (5.32 RPG / 5.13 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 4-2 TARGET: PHI 4 - 2 WAS (PHI) Confidence: 52.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	4	6
WAS	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	4

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.176

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-122.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.262

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-146.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record42-36

Win%0.538

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.090

WAS Season Quality

Record41-38

Win%0.519

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.190

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2504; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	73	304	69	0.227	7	22	0.276	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.272	0.322	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	74	284	71	0.250	28	51	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.342	0.575	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	76	267	72	0.270	17	44	0.375	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.287	0.385	0.546	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	72	260	81	0.312	10	36	0.345	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.252	0.283	0.423	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	73	271	62	0.229	9	40	0.281	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.288	0.367	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	71	245	57	0.233	6	35	0.289	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.241	0.294	0.381	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	51	176	36	0.205	5	19	0.281	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.207	0.266	0.357	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	6	19	1	0.053	1	2	0.053	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.194	0.205	0.324	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	69	210	49	0.233	2	15	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.240	0.289	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	4	4	2	10	0.188

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	79	300	82	0.273	20	49	0.401	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.359	0.469	OK
Curtis Mead	1B	63	194	44	0.227	12	36	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.147	0.243	0.318	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	14	32	6	0.188	0	5	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.211	0.312	0.362	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	77	287	82	0.286	17	57	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.322	0.531	OK
Dylan Crews	LF	28	110	23	0.209	5	17	0.243	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.241	0.256	0.423	OK
Jacob Young	CF	67	236	54	0.229	8	28	0.275	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.214	0.253	0.339	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	53	136	34	0.250	1	10	0.325	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.338	0.370	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	68	220	53	0.241	0	24	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.288	0.358	0.370	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	49	160	46	0.288	6	29	0.310	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.287	0.441	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	2	2	0	12	0.129

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	15	83.1	4.33	1.348	10.5	97	6.0	2	1	1	0	9	96	6.0	9	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	26	25.2	1.07	0.873	14.3	40	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	5	1.0	1	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	31	26.1	2.41	1.264	11.0	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	33	22.1	7.74	2.081	14.7	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1.0	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
PJ Poulin	Starter	29	24.9	3.61	1.687	6.9	19	4.1	4	2	2	2	7	75	4.1	7	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	22	21.7	3.73	1.382	10.8	26	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	22	19.7	3.65	1.218	7.3	16	1.2	2	2	2	0	1	27	1.2	1	2
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	23	47.5	2.46	1.074	8.3	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	34	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-2

Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates

SEA 40-39 (4.13 RPG / 3.91 RA)

4 - 3

PIT 39-39 (5.01 RPG / 4.83 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-3 TARGET: SEA 5 - 3 PIT (SEA) Confidence: 56.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	10
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.323

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-118.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.333

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-137.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record40-39

Win%0.506

Run Diff17

RD/Game0.215

PIT Season Quality

Record39-39

Win%0.500

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.179

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0452; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	61	210	46	0.219	10	23	0.350	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.211	0.322	0.340	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	47	179	29	0.162	7	20	0.259	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.187	0.288	0.292	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	78	311	77	0.248	14	37	0.311	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.288	0.399	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	72	284	71	0.250	8	33	0.312	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.287	0.344	OK
Randy Arozarena	DH	71	261	76	0.291	7	33	0.377	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.281	0.347	0.443	OK
Luke Raley	RF	66	192	46	0.240	14	35	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.267	0.434	OK
Cole Young	2B	79	285	72	0.253	6	35	0.316	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.293	0.388	OK
Victor Robles	LF	20	58	14	0.241	0	2	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.240	0.286	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	29	92	20	0.217	6	16	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.258	0.393	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	4	4	1	7	0.270

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	72	240	68	0.283	10	33	0.389	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.263	0.359	0.431	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	72	279	68	0.244	18	49	0.325	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.313	0.466	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	78	279	80	0.287	11	51	0.400	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.303	0.389	0.565	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	71	270	79	0.293	3	35	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.259	0.291	0.381	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	62	233	64	0.275	11	41	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.302	0.407	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	25	68	17	0.250	3	8	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.367	0.452	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	51	196	39	0.199	6	24	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.273	0.336	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	50	160	49	0.306	1	13	0.345	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.269	0.305	0.359	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	42	136	32	0.235	0	9	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.294	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	2	8	0.182

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	15	87.9	4.20	1.342	8.1	79	5.2	3	1	1	0	5	93	5.2	5	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	29	25.7	4.90	1.440	14.4	41	1.1	3	2	2	1	0	17	1.1	0	2
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	35	27.8	3.24	1.619	8.7	27	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	16	0.2	2	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	36	28.5	2.53	1.509	9.5	30	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Keller	Starter	15	80.7	5.35	1.363	7.2	65	4.2	8	4	4	0	3	92	4.2	3	4
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	32	30.7	2.64	0.945	11.1	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	32	28.9	4.98	1.453	8.1	26	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	29	28.4	2.22	1.338	13.3	42	1.2	2	0	0	0	2	17	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-3

Texas Rangers @ Miami Marlins

TEX 38-40 (4.01 RPG / 4.14 RA)

2 - 1

MIA 40-39 (4.29 RPG / 4.3 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 2-1 TARGET: TEX 2 - 1 MIA (TEX) Confidence: 54.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.266

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-138.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.231

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-132.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record38-40

Win%0.487

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.128

MIA Season Quality

Record40-39

Win%0.506

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.013

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1443; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	1B	72	202	47	0.233	9	25	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.149	0.247	0.268	OK
Wyatt Langford	CF	36	144	38	0.264	6	16	0.312	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.271	0.319	0.510	OK
Brandon Nimmo	DH	76	294	79	0.269	7	26	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.270	0.319	0.417	OK
Josh Jung	3B	73	283	86	0.304	8	31	0.362	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.271	0.324	0.388	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	67	230	62	0.270	6	40	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.152	0.225	0.310	OK
Alejandro Osuna	RF	43	112	28	0.250	0	12	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.321	0.342	OK
Jarred Kelenic	LF	2	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.145	0.221	0.239	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	39	126	28	0.222	5	14	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.132	0.211	0.236	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	21	61	20	0.328	1	5	0.359	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.180	0.206	0.237	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	2	2	1	6	0.229

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	76	267	54	0.202	4	19	0.323	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.214	0.301	0.343	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	78	307	103	0.336	5	33	0.369	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.277	0.319	0.410	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	55	201	45	0.224	8	29	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.249	0.330	0.510	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	78	286	83	0.290	6	27	0.374	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.331	0.370	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	66	187	42	0.225	8	40	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.262	0.318	0.507	OK
Heriberto Hernández	DH	48	150	34	0.227	7	28	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.283	0.401	OK
Joe Mack	C	37	112	28	0.250	3	16	0.311	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.262	0.318	0.423	OK
Connor Norby	1B	63	196	41	0.209	4	16	0.319	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.210	0.296	0.326	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	54	173	42	0.243	2	25	0.279	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.202	0.238	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	6	1	1	4	12	0.188

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	15	27.7	3.90	1.336	6.2	19	5.0	3	0	0	1	8	88	5.0	8	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	28	34.9	0.77	0.544	9.8	38	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	32	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	28	30.1	2.39	1.030	6.9	23	1.1	2	1	1	1	2	27	1.1	2	1
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	27	19.6	6.89	1.684	11.9	26	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	25	1.1	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	16	102.4	4.22	1.250	6.8	77	6.1	6	2	2	1	3	102	6.1	3	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	24	20.6	6.55	1.408	13.5	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	33	28.0	4.18	1.821	10.9	34	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	7	1.0	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	33	25.6	3.52	1.211	13.0	37	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 2-1

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals

ARI Recent Form

STL Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres

ATL Recent Form

SD Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels

BAL Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies

BOS Recent Form

COL Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets

CHC Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

CLE Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays

HOU Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

TOR Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays