MLB Predictions — June 21, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ LAD	1 - 2	1 - 4	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
BOS @ SEA	1 - 2	2 - 3	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 3-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHW @ DET	2 - 1	4 - 1	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 4-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CIN @ NYY	3 - 4	3 - 6	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CLE @ HOU	4 - 2	3 - 2	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 3-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAA @ OAK	4 - 5	1 - 6	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 6-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIL @ ATL	3 - 2	4 - 3	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIN @ ARI	4 - 3	6 - 3	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 6-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYM @ PHI	2 - 4	3 - 4	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PIT @ COL	5 - 4	7 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 7-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SD @ TEX	2 - 1	4 - 1	SD	SD	SD wins 4-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SF @ MIA	3 - 2	3 - 2	SF	SF	SF wins 3-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
STL @ KC	2 - 1	3 - 0	STL	STL	STL wins 3-0	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TOR @ CHC	3 - 1	4 - 1	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 4-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
WAS @ TB	2 - 1	2 - 3	WAS	TB	TB wins 3-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers

BAL 37-42 (4.67 RPG / 4.99 RA)

1 - 4

LAD 49-29 (5.19 RPG / 3.49 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-1 TARGET: BAL 1 - 2 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	4
LAD	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	x	4	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.235

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-169.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.306

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-102.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record35-42

Win%0.455

Run Diff-37

RD/Game-0.481

LAD Season Quality

Record49-27

Win%0.645

Run Diff145

RD/Game1.908

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.6737; margin adjustment: 1.123; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	75	280	71	0.254	3	19	0.390	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.218	0.332	0.312	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	75	310	68	0.219	15	37	0.289	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.198	0.263	0.390	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	76	288	72	0.250	17	49	0.332	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.221	0.299	0.424	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	63	212	55	0.259	10	30	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.236	0.293	0.379	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	56	183	36	0.197	9	27	0.264	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.197	0.255	0.351	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	60	153	35	0.229	6	20	0.318	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.326	0.353	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	62	201	51	0.254	2	29	0.326	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.149	0.218	0.264	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	53	160	49	0.306	2	21	0.356	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.304	0.391	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	53	175	44	0.251	6	26	0.269	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.242	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	31	4	1	1	0	9	0.129

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	69	261	77	0.295	16	43	0.416	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.260	0.375	0.558	OK
Andy Pages	CF	76	295	79	0.268	15	57	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.295	0.405	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	74	279	76	0.272	12	40	0.364	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.253	0.346	0.450	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	41	166	36	0.217	8	19	0.276	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.253	0.307	0.428	OK
Max Muncy	3B	70	227	60	0.264	16	30	0.370	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.363	0.456	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	73	269	64	0.238	6	40	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.255	0.345	0.411	OK
Ryan Ward	LF	16	46	11	0.239	3	11	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.336	0.487	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	53	150	35	0.233	3	17	0.312	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.235	0.313	0.339	OK
Chuckie Robinson	C	2	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.247	0.345
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	8	4	4	5	10	0.258

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	11	60.0	3.30	1.300	6.6	44	6.1	5	3	3	3	7	119	6.1	7	3
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	14	11.4	5.53	1.754	13.4	17	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	15	0.2	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	34	27.6	1.96	0.833	11.4	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	21	15.1	7.15	1.722	9.5	16	0.0	1	1	1	2	0	12	0.0	0	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	34	21.1	2.13	0.806	10.7	25	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	0.0	0	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	13	62.0	4.94	1.242	10.5	72	4.2	2	1	1	0	6	84	4.2	6	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	33	28.9	2.49	0.761	11.8	38	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	6	1.2	1	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	26	26.6	2.71	1.541	10.8	32	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.2	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	34	19.5	3.23	1.385	15.7	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-1

Boston Red Sox @ Seattle Mariners

BOS 31-44 (3.92 RPG / 4.01 RA)

2 - 3

SEA 40-39 (4.13 RPG / 3.91 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 3-2 TARGET: BOS 1 - 2 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 52.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	6
SEA	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	6

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-133.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.286

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-118.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Season Quality

Record30-43

Win%0.411

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.123

SEA Season Quality

Record39-38

Win%0.506

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.247

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5133; margin adjustment: 0.2156; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	3	7	2	0.286	0	0	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.136	0.233	0.320	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	68	255	73	0.286	7	32	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.283	0.414	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	30	97	25	0.258	0	6	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.228	0.278	0.334	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	70	255	73	0.286	16	44	0.381	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.235	0.309	0.431	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	69	280	58	0.207	12	37	0.266	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.256	0.366	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	65	216	45	0.208	5	29	0.264	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.283	0.454	OK
Marcelo Mayer	SS	64	193	43	0.223	3	22	0.288	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.146	0.219	0.236	OK
Connor Wong	C	27	79	21	0.266	0	10	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.157	0.236	0.276	OK
Nate Eaton	RF	3	6	0	0.000	0	0	0.143	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.100	0.214	0.160
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	2	2	3	10	0.182

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	60	207	45	0.217	10	23	0.348	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.207	0.320	0.334	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	46	175	29	0.166	7	20	0.264	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.195	0.301	0.300	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	77	308	76	0.247	14	37	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.271	0.383	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	71	281	71	0.253	8	33	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.282	0.353	OK
Rob Refsnyder	DH	46	98	13	0.133	3	9	0.207	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.189	0.243	0.276	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	67	175	49	0.280	11	31	0.347	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.337	0.528	OK
Victor Robles	LF	19	55	14	0.255	0	2	0.281	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.252	0.306	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.192	0.281	0.300
Cole Young	2B	78	282	71	0.252	6	34	0.316	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.271	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	6	3	3	1	8	0.194

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	10	57.4	2.98	1.080	9.4	60	5.2	3	1	1	1	6	99	5.2	6	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	22	21.2	0.85	0.991	12.3	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	23	22.2	2.84	1.036	11.4	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	17	12.1	7.44	1.901	14.1	19	0.0	2	2	2	0	0	16	0.0	0	2

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	15	84.8	3.50	1.050	9.8	92	6.0	5	1	1	2	8	111	6.0	8	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	28	24.7	5.10	1.457	14.2	39	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	35	27.8	3.24	1.619	8.7	27	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	35	27.5	2.62	1.564	9.5	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 3-2

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

CHW 39-37 (4.64 RPG / 4.7 RA)

4 - 1

DET 33-44 (4.08 RPG / 4.14 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 4-1 TARGET: CHW 2 - 1 DET (CHW) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	6
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.338

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.3

Run Diff-71.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.313

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-114.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record39-36

Win%0.520

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.040

DET Season Quality

Record32-44

Win%0.421

Run Diff-6

RD/Game-0.079

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1874; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	56	191	56	0.293	4	19	0.393	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.295	0.349	0.510	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	68	211	50	0.237	9	37	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.300	0.526	OK
Colson Montgomery	3B	72	263	59	0.224	20	45	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.229	0.304	0.529	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	72	273	75	0.275	6	25	0.340	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.303	0.359	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	10	35	7	0.200	1	4	0.243	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.211	0.256	0.365	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	1B	16	44	8	0.182	1	5	0.294	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.203	0.280	0.287	OK
Edgar Quero	C	46	141	27	0.191	2	15	0.247	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.212	0.262	0.284	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	66	187	53	0.283	3	22	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.141	0.206	0.278	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	45	121	25	0.207	0	8	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.273	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	3	4	0.182

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	72	268	76	0.284	6	26	0.392	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.362	0.456	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	68	251	68	0.271	17	53	0.339	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.288	0.332	0.527	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	53	146	34	0.233	10	29	0.311	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.235	0.296	0.475	OK
Riley Greene	DH	75	271	79	0.292	8	33	0.382	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.235	0.324	0.376	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	74	250	50	0.200	12	28	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.199	0.291	0.408	OK
Colt Keith	3B	67	197	51	0.259	4	15	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.286	0.518	OK
James Outman	CF	4	11	3	0.273	1	2	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.123	0.168	0.254	OK
Trei Cruz	LF	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.234	0.324
Zach McKinstry	2B	48	142	24	0.169	2	10	0.264	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.174	0.272	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	1	1	3	5	0.206

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	2	0	0	3	3	94	6.0	3	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.1	0	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	14	1.0	1	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	14	71.1	3.80	1.055	6.3	50	5.2	5	3	3	3	4	98	5.2	4	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	20	16.6	3.25	1.084	11.9	22	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	24	20.3	7.09	1.675	10.2	23	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	13	1.0	0	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	32	30.7	1.76	1.661	6.2	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-1

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees

CIN 37-39 (4.28 RPG / 4.88 RA)

3 - 6

NYY 46-30 (5.12 RPG / 3.64 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-3 TARGET: CIN 3 - 4 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	8
NYY	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	x	6	3

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.215

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-178.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.283

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-70.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record36-39

Win%0.480

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.653

NYY Season Quality

Record46-29

Win%0.613

Run Diff115

RD/Game1.533

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.3867; margin adjustment: 1.0024; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Blake Dunn	CF	29	121	34	0.281	2	5	0.341	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.162	0.221	0.262	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	46	171	45	0.263	13	35	0.363	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.223	0.328	0.464	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	74	278	71	0.255	14	53	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.326	0.435	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	54	160	42	0.262	8	24	0.352	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.181	0.284	0.319	OK
Spencer Steer	2B	71	252	61	0.242	12	31	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.198	0.274	0.403	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	47	172	37	0.215	7	25	0.273	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.211	0.261	0.395	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	21	67	14	0.209	3	3	0.254	4	2	1	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.212	0.257	0.401	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	57	181	38	0.210	5	19	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.292	0.323	OK
Edwin Arroyo	SS	14	47	12	0.255	0	2	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.212	0.244	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	2	9	0.229

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	1B	69	260	75	0.288	21	51	0.384	4	2	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.261	0.350	0.531	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	14	54	13	0.241	2	5	0.281	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.255	0.285	0.445	OK
Cody Bellinger	DH	74	272	75	0.276	11	49	0.369	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.286	0.375	0.480	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	21	53	12	0.226	2	7	0.339	4	1	0	1	0	3	0	0.000	0.249	0.356	0.440	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	71	257	58	0.226	11	31	0.307	4	2	1	1	3	1	0	0.500	0.226	0.310	0.448	OK
José Caballero	LF	62	207	54	0.261	7	26	0.317	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.313	0.457	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	62	184	39	0.212	8	23	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.287	0.399	OK
Austin Wells	C	47	145	24	0.166	4	7	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.189	0.295	0.284	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	26	86	23	0.267	1	13	0.376	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.385	0.418	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	26	3	6	6	7	8	0.115

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	14	79.5	2.04	1.031	10.8	95	6.0	2	2	2	5	7	107	6.0	7	2
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	31	25.9	4.52	1.467	9.4	27	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	37	30.4	3.55	1.711	9.2	31	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	18	17.8	3.03	1.067	8.6	17	1.0	1	3	3	2	0	24	1.0	0	3

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz	Starter	3	12.3	4.39	1.951	4.4	6	4.1	7	3	3	0	6	91	4.1	6	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	30	28.8	3.75	1.424	11.9	38	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	32	23.9	6.03	1.381	9.8	26	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	35	23.6	3.05	1.695	15.6	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	37	27.4	2.30	1.642	12.5	38	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	24	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros

CLE 41-37 (3.97 RPG / 4.06 RA)

3 - 2

HOU 37-42 (4.51 RPG / 5.03 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 3-2 TARGET: CLE 4 - 2 HOU (CLE) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	10
HOU	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.258

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-123.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.369

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-212.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Season Quality

Record41-36

Win%0.532

Run Diff-6

RD/Game-0.078

HOU Season Quality

Record36-42

Win%0.462

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.538

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5669; margin adjustment: -0.2381; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	DH	46	168	46	0.274	7	23	0.369	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.277	0.365	0.532	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	66	206	49	0.238	9	26	0.325	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.240	0.312	0.435	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	73	241	65	0.270	5	33	0.344	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.242	0.302	0.364	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	12	40	10	0.250	2	5	0.286	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.256	0.291	0.424	OK
Daniel Schneemann	2B	60	193	42	0.218	6	26	0.291	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.201	0.275	0.373	OK
Kahlil Watson	RF	3	10	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.220	0.306
Steven Kwan	LF	67	239	50	0.209	1	13	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.201	0.303	0.262	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	19	61	14	0.230	1	5	0.262	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.236	0.281	0.330	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	17	38	6	0.158	0	1	0.179	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.112	0.139	0.182	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	3	3	3	9	0.270

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	39	155	44	0.284	6	18	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.309	0.463	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	76	277	90	0.325	24	55	0.429	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.285	0.371	0.505	OK
Christian Walker	1B	76	283	69	0.244	18	52	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.213	0.285	0.396	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	70	248	57	0.230	10	36	0.337	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.327	0.420	OK
Jose Altuve	DH	55	209	50	0.239	8	20	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.295	0.428	OK
Joey Loperfido	CF	26	76	19	0.250	0	7	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.310	0.367	OK
Cam Smith	RF	75	257	57	0.222	7	26	0.303	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.230	0.298	0.372	OK
Raynel Delgado	2B	3	8	3	0.375	0	2	0.375	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.221	0.299	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	49	149	33	0.221	4	19	0.280	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.253	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	2	2	2	10	0.156

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Slade Cecconi	Starter	15	76.0	4.74	1.447	7.7	65	5.1	5	2	2	2	4	102	5.1	4	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	32	32.6	2.48	1.104	14.1	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	23	17.3	4.16	1.561	8.3	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	22	17.4	2.07	1.264	11.9	23	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kai-Wei Teng	Starter	21	51.3	4.56	1.423	10.2	58	4.2	7	3	3	3	4	103	4.2	4	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	7	7.0	1.29	0.429	14.1	11	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	29	26.9	3.01	1.524	8.0	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	28	23.0	7.04	1.913	12.9	33	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	31	27.1	4.98	1.292	10.3	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 3-2

Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics

LAA 32-47 (4.57 RPG / 5.03 RA)

1 - 6

OAK 38-40 (4.67 RPG / 5.36 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 6-1 TARGET: LAA 4 - 5 OAK (OAK) Confidence: 51.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7
OAK	1	0	2	0	2	1	0	0	x	6	7

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.309

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-174.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.258

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-182.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record30-47

Win%0.390

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.584

OAK Season Quality

Record38-38

Win%0.500

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.592

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1579; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	75	297	67	0.226	16	37	0.328	5	5	1	0	0	0	4	0.200	0.229	0.309	0.483	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	25	80	23	0.288	2	13	0.360	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.258	0.331	0.399	OK
Jo Adell	RF	78	306	77	0.252	10	41	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.241	0.266	0.372	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	59	222	56	0.252	5	28	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.294	0.373	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	11	45	11	0.244	2	8	0.292	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.292	0.422	OK
Christian Moore	2B	2	8	1	0.125	0	1	0.111	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.233	0.316	OK
Donovan Walton	DH	19	67	23	0.343	2	8	0.371	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.291	0.322	0.501	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	49	160	39	0.244	4	20	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.269	0.323	0.435	OK
Jose Siri	CF	24	60	17	0.283	4	16	0.333	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.225	0.273	0.421	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	1	1	3	15	0.206

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zack Gelof	2B	56	203	58	0.286	11	30	0.341	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.257	0.384	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	76	275	79	0.287	18	58	0.437	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.263	0.401	0.486	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	47	192	55	0.286	4	26	0.313	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.261	0.294	0.394	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	74	270	65	0.241	13	40	0.342	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	0.500	0.245	0.345	0.467	OK
Jonah Heim	C	22	65	17	0.262	5	8	0.304	4	3	3	1	3	1	0	1.000	0.281	0.334	0.523	OK
Joey Meneses	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.319	0.435
Colby Thomas	RF	29	62	14	0.226	2	6	0.273	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.243	0.309	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	32	108	34	0.315	2	9	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.333	0.399	OK
Max Muncy	3B	35	118	27	0.229	4	16	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.268	0.460	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	6	6	5	8	0.226

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	15	85.2	3.80	1.033	10.6	100	6.1	4	3	3	3	7	104	6.1	7	3
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	16	13.5	3.33	1.111	12.7	19	1.0	3	3	3	0	0	15	1.0	0	3
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	27	29.7	4.24	1.414	10.6	35	0.0	0	0	0	2	0	18	0.0	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	33	22.2	2.84	1.712	12.2	30	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	18	0.2	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	20	37.5	6.72	1.520	11.8	49	4.0	4	1	1	3	10	86	4.0	10	1
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	16	15.9	5.66	1.321	12.5	22	1.1	1	0	0	0	3	21	1.1	3	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	38	28.2	3.83	1.950	13.7	43	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	36	30.2	4.77	1.358	10.4	35	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	37	2.0	1	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 6-1

Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves

MIL 46-29 (5.29 RPG / 3.71 RA)

4 - 3

ATL 48-29 (4.92 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-3 TARGET: MIL 3 - 2 ATL (MIL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	8
ATL	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	7

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.302

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-78.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-121.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record45-29

Win%0.608

Run Diff114

RD/Game1.541

ATL Season Quality

Record48-28

Win%0.632

Run Diff97

RD/Game1.276

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.229; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	42	166	45	0.271	5	24	0.348	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.246	0.320	0.398	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	40	171	52	0.304	10	29	0.358	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.302	0.486	OK
Brice Turang	2B	69	261	69	0.264	11	46	0.376	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.234	0.338	0.419	OK
William Contreras	C	69	273	79	0.289	6	43	0.349	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.263	0.325	0.376	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	63	218	59	0.271	13	46	0.372	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.334	0.426	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	61	198	49	0.247	4	29	0.339	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.326	0.441	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	66	214	49	0.229	3	25	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.303	0.326	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	5	16	6	0.375	0	2	0.389	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.310	0.346	OK
David Hamilton	3B	56	172	39	0.227	3	11	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.206	0.274	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	4	4	4	8	0.229

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mauricio Dubón	LF	72	264	68	0.258	7	43	0.312	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.240	0.286	0.385	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	53	207	60	0.290	15	40	0.370	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.244	0.312	0.478	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	76	290	82	0.283	12	40	0.334	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.268	0.311	0.444	OK
Matt Olson	1B	76	294	80	0.272	20	51	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.258	0.329	0.461	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	69	249	77	0.309	14	41	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.295	0.327	0.491	OK
Austin Riley	3B	76	272	57	0.210	8	36	0.289	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.229	0.290	0.353	OK
Joey Bart	C	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.273	0.376
Eli White	RF	39	92	21	0.228	3	14	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.210	0.254	0.363	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	18	59	5	0.085	0	3	0.182	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.145	0.232	0.197	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	3	3	4	10	0.206

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	5	23.3	5.02	1.416	9.3	24	5.0	5	2	2	4	5	98	5.0	5	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	27	27.0	2.67	1.000	12.3	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	29	25.0	3.96	1.280	10.4	29	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	34	40.9	3.52	1.516	13.6	62	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	22	1.1	1	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	29	25.4	3.90	1.260	8.5	24	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	20	0.2	2	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	15	86.1	3.24	1.173	7.6	73	5.2	7	3	3	3	4	104	5.2	4	3
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	23	23.4	1.54	1.111	10.8	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	31	30.6	0.59	0.882	7.6	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	35	29.6	1.22	0.743	12.8	42	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	21	27.0	2.67	1.148	11.3	34	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	18	0.2	1	1
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever	12	16.4	2.20	0.915	10.4	19	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-3

Minnesota Twins @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MIN 38-41 (4.91 RPG / 5.14 RA)

6 - 3

ARI 39-38 (4.3 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 6-3 TARGET: MIN 4 - 3 ARI (MIN) Confidence: 52.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	6	12
ARI	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.221

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-172.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.284

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff-103.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record36-41

Win%0.468

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.364

ARI Season Quality

Record39-36

Win%0.520

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.200

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2423; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	60	195	54	0.277	5	22	0.368	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.217	0.297	0.361	OK
Byron Buxton	DH	66	271	74	0.273	24	40	0.333	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.265	0.319	0.554	OK
Kody Clemens	RF	64	230	57	0.248	11	29	0.311	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.166	0.218	0.337	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	44	155	31	0.200	7	21	0.284	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.293	0.413	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	71	269	66	0.245	12	43	0.299	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.259	0.309	0.459	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	71	255	66	0.259	2	24	0.338	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.290	0.368	0.396	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	30	74	20	0.270	4	18	0.349	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.293	0.371	0.553	OK
Kyler Fedko	CF	2	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.167	5	2	1	1	0	3	0	0.500	0.186	0.306	0.285
Alex Jackson	C	12	38	11	0.289	0	2	0.308	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.239	0.248	0.370	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	39	12	6	6	6	6	0.308

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	71	288	74	0.257	12	44	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.307	0.430	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	73	250	60	0.240	4	27	0.356	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.356	0.347	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	73	271	76	0.280	13	42	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.262	0.335	0.515	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	50	171	47	0.275	6	25	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.283	0.353	0.480	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	15	39	8	0.205	1	5	0.304	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.252	0.341	0.372	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	71	240	57	0.238	8	31	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.276	0.333	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.194	0.252	0.311	OK
Jorge Barrosa	CF	39	103	19	0.184	2	9	0.250	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.198	0.255	0.405	OK
Tommy Troy	LF	21	67	17	0.254	2	4	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.312	0.389	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	7	3	3	2	7	0.212

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Paredes	Starter	4	13.6	4.63	1.103	6.6	10	5.0	5	1	1	1	6	82	5.0	6	1
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	21	15.4	1.75	1.169	12.9	22	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	12	1.1	1	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	35	23.3	5.79	1.717	10.8	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	13	16.6	8.13	1.747	13.0	24	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	23	1.0	0	1
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	32	20.9	5.60	1.914	10.3	24	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	13	0.2	0	1

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jean Cabrera	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	8	2	2	2	2	81	3.0	2	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.1	1	1
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	21	1.1	1	1
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	0	1	1	2	1	21	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	2	1	21	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-3

New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies

NYM 34-42 (4.07 RPG / 4.42 RA)

3 - 4

PHI 41-35 (4.25 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 4-3 TARGET: NYM 2 - 4 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	7
PHI	0	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	x	4	6

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.364

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-147.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.209

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-118.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record34-42

Win%0.447

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.355

PHI Season Quality

Record41-35

Win%0.539

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.105

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3882; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	71	268	69	0.257	8	28	0.316	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.237	0.279	0.379	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	75	304	76	0.250	8	42	0.293	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.269	0.307	0.405	OK
Juan Soto	LF	58	213	65	0.305	17	38	0.399	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.293	0.387	0.554	OK
Jared Young	1B	28	85	20	0.235	4	9	0.293	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.131	0.183	0.244	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	36	120	31	0.258	2	12	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.320	0.378	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	75	271	61	0.225	9	29	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.295	0.358	OK
Brett Baty	3B	66	218	49	0.225	3	26	0.293	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.203	0.276	0.299	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	44	143	36	0.252	5	13	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.315	0.380	OK
Luis Torrens	C	44	128	28	0.219	1	15	0.270	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.141	0.171	0.240	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	3	3	4	10	0.206

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	71	297	68	0.229	7	22	0.277	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.227	0.266	0.324	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	72	277	70	0.253	27	48	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.354	0.582	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	74	259	67	0.259	16	43	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.365	0.483	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	71	264	61	0.231	9	40	0.282	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.245	0.286	0.387	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	41	115	27	0.235	4	18	0.262	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.178	0.194	0.319	OK
Brandon Marsh	RF	70	253	80	0.316	9	35	0.351	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.261	0.297	0.425	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	50	172	36	0.209	5	19	0.286	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.227	0.290	0.399	OK
Derek Hill	CF	4	12	3	0.250	0	1	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.131	0.165	0.206	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	69	238	56	0.235	6	35	0.293	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.301	0.388	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	6	4	4	4	8	0.207

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Peterson	Starter	15	61.9	6.11	1.680	8.4	58	4.1	5	3	3	4	5	88	4.1	5	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	26	22.7	4.76	1.498	15.1	38	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	0.1	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	30	29.9	2.41	0.936	9.9	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	30	22.1	2.44	1.538	12.6	31	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	32	31.6	2.28	1.139	9.4	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.1	2	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	10	62.2	2.03	0.852	9.0	62	6.1	3	1	1	3	6	113	6.1	6	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	25	24.2	1.12	0.868	13.8	37	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	23	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	30	25.1	2.51	1.315	11.1	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	32	21.1	8.10	2.133	14.5	34	0.2	3	2	2	0	2	19	0.2	2	2

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies

PIT 39-39 (5.01 RPG / 4.83 RA)

7 - 3

COL 30-48 (4.56 RPG / 5.72 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 7-3 TARGET: PIT 5 - 4 COL (PIT) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	1	4	0	1	0	1	0	0	7	11
COL	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	3	8

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.306

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-135.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.227

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-235.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record38-38

Win%0.500

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.171

COL Season Quality

Record29-47

Win%0.382

Run Diff-89

RD/Game-1.171

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.5197; margin adjustment: -0.6383; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	71	235	66	0.281	10	33	0.389	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.365	0.461	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	71	274	67	0.245	18	49	0.327	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.248	0.323	0.485	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	77	274	78	0.285	10	48	0.400	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.309	0.398	0.540	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	61	229	64	0.279	11	41	0.337	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.269	0.318	0.431	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	70	266	77	0.289	2	33	0.338	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.248	0.284	0.337	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	24	64	16	0.250	3	8	0.368	4	3	2	1	4	1	1	0.667	0.277	0.384	0.487	OK
Tyler Callihan	LF	14	36	10	0.278	2	6	0.409	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.158	0.281	0.343	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	49	156	46	0.295	1	12	0.335	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.296	0.341	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	41	133	31	0.233	0	8	0.301	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.292	0.311	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	7	7	3	5	0.289

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	56	195	57	0.292	5	27	0.330	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.284	0.321	0.465	OK
Willi Castro	SS	64	224	62	0.277	5	32	0.353	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.262	0.335	0.404	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	71	258	73	0.283	11	38	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.272	0.336	0.506	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	46	161	43	0.267	3	20	0.344	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.166	0.205	0.263	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	11	38	9	0.237	3	8	0.356	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.239	0.336	0.471	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	61	173	37	0.214	2	17	0.310	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.317	0.320	OK
Sterlin Thompson	DH	25	67	16	0.239	2	9	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.161	0.213	0.331	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	70	208	52	0.250	4	20	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.267	0.351	0.433	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	34	101	22	0.218	4	13	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.145	0.181	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	3	12	0.229

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	4	17.1	6.32	1.637	9.5	18	4.0	6	3	3	3	7	92	4.0	7	3
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	31	29.7	2.42	0.875	11.2	37	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	30	2.0	2	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	31	27.9	4.19	1.398	8.4	26	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	28	26.4	2.39	1.364	13.3	39	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	24	1.2	2	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	16	68.1	7.40	1.924	7.9	60	4.0	7	4	4	2	2	87	4.0	2	4
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	22	35.9	2.51	1.198	8.3	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	30	27.1	7.31	2.030	12.3	37	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	19	17.8	7.08	2.135	8.1	16	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	36	23.1	5.06	1.861	9.4	24	0.2	2	1	1	1	2	18	0.2	2	1
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	32	19.2	7.03	2.292	13.1	28	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.1	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Reliever	17	16.7	4.85	1.497	11.3	21	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 7-3

San Diego Padres @ Texas Rangers

SD 39-37 (3.89 RPG / 4.03 RA)

4 - 1

TEX 37-40 (4.01 RPG / 4.16 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-1 TARGET: SD 2 - 1 TEX (SD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	4	8
TEX	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7

SD Recent Form

Win%0.234

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-146.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.270

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-137.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record39-36

Win%0.520

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.120

TEX Season Quality

Record36-40

Win%0.474

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.158

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1074; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Samad Taylor	RF	12	43	16	0.372	1	8	0.438	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.190	0.269	0.269	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	71	278	60	0.216	8	31	0.278	5	3	2	1	1	2	1	0.667	0.240	0.288	0.396	OK
Manny Machado	3B	73	270	48	0.178	13	41	0.256	5	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.209	0.280	0.392	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	68	219	50	0.228	12	32	0.316	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.300	0.425	OK
Will Wagner	DH	10	22	7	0.318	0	0	0.464	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.258	0.392	0.373	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	71	250	56	0.224	8	28	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.220	0.298	0.305	OK
Ty France	1B	48	151	38	0.252	8	24	0.302	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.222	0.267	0.441	OK
Sung-Mun Song	2B	19	46	9	0.196	0	4	0.288	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.126	0.216	0.186	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	19	48	7	0.146	3	6	0.268	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.184	0.276	0.374	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	8	4	4	5	10	0.235

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wyatt Langford	CF	34	136	36	0.265	5	13	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.308	0.475	OK
Josh Jung	3B	71	275	84	0.305	8	30	0.363	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.260	0.310	0.376	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	74	287	75	0.261	7	26	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.302	0.404	OK
Jake Burger	1B	74	273	68	0.249	13	46	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.302	0.442	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	70	195	45	0.231	9	25	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.146	0.242	0.285	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	65	222	61	0.275	5	38	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.147	0.225	0.283	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	41	107	27	0.252	0	11	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.249	0.310	0.322	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	38	123	28	0.228	5	14	0.301	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.139	0.216	0.246	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	19	55	17	0.309	1	5	0.345	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.162	0.192	0.224	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	34	7	1	1	0	11	0.206

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Wandy Peralta	Starter	31	31.3	2.30	1.565	6.9	24	5.0	5	0	0	0	4	78	5.0	4	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	35	32.7	4.40	1.223	12.7	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	32	26.0	2.77	1.346	6.9	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
David Morgan	Middle Reliever	15	15.4	5.84	2.338	13.4	23	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	17	1.0	2	1
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	16	21.1	1.71	1.137	11.5	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18	1.0	3	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	14	86.4	4.27	1.181	8.6	83	6.1	3	2	2	3	8	111	6.1	8	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	27	33.8	0.80	0.503	9.6	36	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	26	28.9	2.18	0.934	6.9	22	1.1	3	2	2	1	1	30	1.1	1	2
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	27	19.6	6.89	1.684	11.9	26	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	13	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 4-1

San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins

SF 32-46 (4.15 RPG / 4.78 RA)

3 - 2

MIA 40-38 (4.31 RPG / 4.31 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 3-2 TARGET: SF 3 - 2 MIA (SF) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	11
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.182

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-186.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-125.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record32-45

Win%0.416

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.623

MIA Season Quality

Record39-38

Win%0.506

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.013

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7468; margin adjustment: 0.3136; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	73	291	96	0.330	3	29	0.367	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.290	0.332	0.447	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	36	122	38	0.311	6	17	0.401	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.275	0.366	0.492	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	68	270	79	0.293	16	40	0.322	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.300	0.315	0.504	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	76	292	71	0.243	11	36	0.307	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.243	0.316	0.487	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	67	256	86	0.336	4	26	0.366	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.297	0.323	0.461	OK
Willy Adames	SS	74	294	67	0.228	13	31	0.269	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.204	0.241	0.412	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	75	275	66	0.240	7	42	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.199	0.280	0.352	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	52	153	36	0.235	3	15	0.291	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.227	0.281	0.362	OK
Daniel Susac	C	30	95	27	0.284	0	14	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.141	0.188	0.226	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	3	3	2	8	0.289

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	DH	73	248	69	0.278	13	53	0.359	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.280	0.350	0.419	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	76	301	100	0.332	5	32	0.364	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.267	0.306	0.389	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	53	195	43	0.221	7	27	0.314	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.236	0.313	0.454	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	76	280	80	0.286	6	26	0.370	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.321	0.342	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	47	146	34	0.233	7	28	0.289	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.248	0.299	0.443	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	64	182	41	0.225	8	40	0.283	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.257	0.315	0.511	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	74	260	54	0.208	4	19	0.330	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.331	0.376	OK
Joe Mack	C	35	106	27	0.255	3	16	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.333	0.471	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	53	170	42	0.247	2	24	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.248	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	2	2	6	5	0.229

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	12	75.1	3.48	1.158	7.8	65	6.1	6	2	2	3	3	122	6.1	3	2
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	31	27.9	3.55	1.290	12.3	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	20	16.2	6.11	1.914	9.4	17	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	24	16.5	4.91	1.879	15.3	28	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	16	0.2	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Gusto	Starter	5	13.2	7.50	1.818	6.8	10	3.0	7	2	2	2	5	67	3.0	5	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	24	20.6	6.55	1.408	13.5	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	31	25.9	3.82	1.853	11.8	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	32	25.5	3.53	1.176	12.7	36	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	29	28.3	3.82	1.166	12.1	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
John King	Middle Reliever	34	25.8	2.79	0.930	9.1	26	2.0	2	0	0	0	0	29	2.0	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 3-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals

STL 41-34 (4.65 RPG / 4.6 RA)

3 - 0

KC 32-46 (4.24 RPG / 4.81 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 3-0 TARGET: STL 2 - 1 KC (STL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	6
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3

STL Recent Form

Win%0.145

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-106.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.182

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-176.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record40-34

Win%0.541

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.027

KC Season Quality

Record32-45

Win%0.416

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.545

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7599; margin adjustment: -0.3192; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	68	266	70	0.263	10	30	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.346	0.387	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	73	267	68	0.255	9	31	0.395	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.341	0.367	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	72	284	79	0.278	13	53	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.301	0.439	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	72	283	84	0.297	17	55	0.350	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.271	0.318	0.450	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	13	45	12	0.267	2	6	0.358	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.256	0.346	0.398	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	65	244	59	0.242	2	27	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.334	0.374	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	13	36	6	0.167	1	6	0.268	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.308	0.366	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	8	30	9	0.300	1	7	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.266	0.427	OK
Nathan Church	CF	51	175	46	0.263	5	18	0.305	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.260	0.318	0.398	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	4	0.182

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	DH	68	234	56	0.239	9	38	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.266	0.322	0.448	OK
Maikel Garcia	SS	65	255	69	0.271	3	30	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.306	0.368	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	70	238	63	0.265	10	24	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.175	0.234	0.336	OK
Salvador Perez	C	70	275	58	0.211	10	27	0.253	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.248	0.353	OK
Michael Massey	2B	56	168	43	0.256	7	25	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.146	0.178	0.292	OK
Lane Thomas	RF	57	155	36	0.232	5	19	0.351	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.348	0.428	OK
Kameron Misner	CF	5	16	6	0.375	0	3	0.412	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.139	0.191	0.187	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	39	113	27	0.239	1	20	0.336	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.241	0.334	0.422	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	65	208	47	0.226	3	23	0.340	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.232	0.320	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	0	0	2	6	0.100

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	14	80.5	3.80	1.155	8.4	75	6.1	3	0	0	1	3	94	6.1	3	0
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	31	29.7	3.94	1.279	9.7	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	32	26.9	3.68	1.338	9.0	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	33	25.0	5.04	1.680	11.5	32	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	14	0.2	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Stephen Kolek	Starter	8	49.4	2.73	1.053	6.2	34	6.2	2	2	2	0	4	92	6.2	4	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	32	31.2	4.33	1.538	10.1	35	1.0	3	1	1	2	0	13	1.0	0	1
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	28	25.7	4.90	1.790	8.1	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	32	28.5	2.84	1.088	9.5	30	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 3-0

Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs

TOR 38-39 (4.1 RPG / 4.43 RA)

4 - 1

CHC 40-37 (4.75 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 4-1 TARGET: TOR 3 - 1 CHC (TOR) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	4	8
CHC	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.242

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-152.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.114

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-182.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record38-39

Win%0.494

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.325

CHC Season Quality

Record40-37

Win%0.519

Run Diff21

RD/Game0.273

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6364; margin adjustment: 0.2673; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	42	134	41	0.306	2	14	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.268	0.297	0.412	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	72	241	56	0.232	7	33	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.254	0.275	0.414	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	75	291	85	0.292	7	28	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.252	0.354	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	72	265	74	0.279	4	31	0.359	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.250	0.318	0.369	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	46	138	36	0.261	7	19	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.272	0.346	0.453	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	74	271	62	0.229	16	45	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.291	0.430	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	69	206	58	0.282	7	29	0.318	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.163	0.204	0.294	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	41	127	36	0.283	4	17	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.289	0.381	OK
George Springer	DH	55	211	47	0.223	8	21	0.312	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.236	0.316	0.429	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	8	4	4	0	4	0.229

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	76	286	83	0.290	16	40	0.367	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.317	0.377	0.624	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	71	236	44	0.186	8	31	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.322	0.368	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	74	300	71	0.237	4	35	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.286	0.308	OK
Michael Busch	1B	75	271	68	0.251	8	42	0.381	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.235	0.356	0.372	OK
Carson Kelly	C	53	177	50	0.282	4	25	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.338	0.441	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	75	296	75	0.253	6	25	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.347	0.346	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	62	227	61	0.269	10	31	0.358	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.284	0.372	0.442	OK
Ian Happ	LF	72	272	63	0.232	16	37	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.325	0.414	OK
Matt Shaw	RF	43	117	30	0.256	4	18	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.282	0.435	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	1	1	3	8	0.182

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	13	71.6	2.77	1.215	13.8	110	6.0	4	1	1	2	8	100	6.0	8	1
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	37	38.5	0.94	1.013	13.3	57	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	37	32.4	1.94	1.235	5.6	20	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	7	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	36	30.3	5.64	1.650	16.0	54	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	17	0.2	0	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	38	33.6	3.75	1.399	10.7	40	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.0	0	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	15	85.5	4.32	1.076	8.8	84	5.2	6	3	3	0	4	89	5.2	4	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	33	28.6	4.41	1.538	12.3	39	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.2	0	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	22	15.8	5.70	1.519	13.1	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	28	19.2	7.50	2.240	12.7	27	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	17	0.2	0	1

Game Summary

TOR wins 4-1

Washington Nationals @ Tampa Bay Rays

WAS 40-38 (5.33 RPG / 5.18 RA)

2 - 3

TB 43-31 (4.42 RPG / 4.31 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 3-2 TARGET: WAS 2 - 1 TB (WAS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	5
TB	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	x	3	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.281

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-144.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.197

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-137.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record40-37

Win%0.519

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.169

TB Season Quality

Record42-31

Win%0.575

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.096

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0109; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	77	294	80	0.272	20	48	0.399	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.356	0.476	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	71	235	62	0.264	10	46	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.184	0.208	0.357	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	61	185	43	0.232	11	34	0.343	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.153	0.257	0.315	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	75	279	79	0.283	16	56	0.366	4	4	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.312	0.477	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	76	298	75	0.252	8	37	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.222	0.278	0.359	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	26	101	20	0.198	5	15	0.236	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.225	0.243	0.409	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.228	0.264	0.329
Drew Millas	C	35	107	20	0.187	2	8	0.269	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.276	0.314	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	66	213	49	0.230	0	24	0.315	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.284	0.365	0.396	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	3	8	0.156

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	70	270	87	0.322	12	48	0.401	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.283	0.348	0.406	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	38	123	33	0.268	3	20	0.297	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.284	0.439	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	72	262	72	0.275	12	51	0.378	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.263	0.349	0.419	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	73	275	78	0.284	15	34	0.378	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.286	0.373	0.441	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	41	111	32	0.288	4	24	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.323	0.441	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	52	160	39	0.244	1	18	0.312	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.223	0.283	0.356	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	67	263	69	0.262	0	15	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.143	0.180	0.196	OK
Nick Fortes	C	55	168	43	0.256	1	14	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.249	0.274	0.354	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	53	165	36	0.218	0	18	0.321	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.313	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	3	3	3	7	0.250

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Alvarez	Starter	8	27.4	3.61	1.496	10.2	31	4.1	3	1	1	2	5	72	4.1	5	1
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	21	20.7	3.91	1.401	10.9	25	1.1	3	2	2	1	0	30	1.1	0	2
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	21	18.7	2.89	1.123	6.7	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	23	47.5	2.46	1.074	8.3	44	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	25	1.1	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	14	81.6	2.65	1.176	5.5	50	6.0	3	0	0	1	6	90	6.0	6	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	31	28.4	1.90	0.951	10.5	33	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	32	28.3	3.18	1.095	8.3	26	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	21	16.7	5.39	1.497	13.5	25	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 3-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers

BAL Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Seattle Mariners

BOS Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

CHW Recent Form

DET Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees

CIN Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros

CLE Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics

LAA Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves

MIL Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Arizona Diamondbacks