MLB Predictions — June 17, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ SEA	2 - 3	2 - 4	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHW @ NYY	2 - 4	2 - 5	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-2	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CLE @ MIL	2 - 3	3 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ CHC	2 - 3	1 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 3-1	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
DET @ HOU	2 - 1	4 - 0	DET	DET	DET wins 4-0	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
KC @ WAS	3 - 4	3 - 5	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAA @ ARI	3 - 2	3 - 2	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 3-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ PHI	4 - 2	3 - 2	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 3-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYM @ CIN	4 - 2	6 - 2	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 6-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PIT @ OAK	4 - 2	6 - 2	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 6-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SD @ STL	3 - 2	4 - 2	SD	SD	SD wins 4-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SF @ ATL	2 - 5	1 - 5	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SF @ ATL	2 - 3	2 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TB @ LAD	1 - 2	0 - 3	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 3-0	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TOR @ BOS	4 - 2	5 - 2	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 5-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners

BAL 34-40 (4.65 RPG / 5.12 RA)

2 - 4

SEA 38-36 (4.24 RPG / 3.95 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-2 TARGET: BAL 2 - 3 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 56.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
SEA	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	x	4	7

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.227

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-160.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.323

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-105.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record34-39

Win%0.466

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.452

SEA Season Quality

Record37-36

Win%0.507

Run Diff20

RD/Game0.274

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7877; margin adjustment: 0.3308; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	71	262	68	0.260	3	19	0.402	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.236	0.365	0.346	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	71	295	66	0.224	13	33	0.292	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.232	0.297	0.388	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	51	191	51	0.267	8	40	0.338	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.250	0.319	0.425	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	72	273	70	0.256	16	48	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.347	0.504	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	59	197	51	0.259	10	30	0.318	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.230	0.288	0.408	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	58	185	47	0.254	2	28	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.151	0.231	0.267	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	42	118	23	0.195	2	8	0.291	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.245	0.318	0.366	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	24	73	14	0.192	3	11	0.265	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.193	0.264	0.330	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	50	150	45	0.300	2	19	0.350	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.264	0.302	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	7	2	2	5	8	0.212

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	56	195	45	0.231	10	23	0.363	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.272	0.383	0.460	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	42	164	27	0.165	7	20	0.249	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.187	0.267	0.296	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	74	298	74	0.248	13	35	0.310	4	2	2	1	0	2	0	1.000	0.232	0.294	0.356	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	63	164	47	0.287	10	29	0.350	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.309	0.364	0.609	OK
Cole Young	2B	74	269	69	0.257	5	32	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.310	0.383	OK
Victor Robles	RF	16	47	13	0.277	0	2	0.292	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.269	0.343	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	24	79	19	0.241	6	14	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.296	0.516	OK
Connor Joe	LF	14	33	6	0.182	1	3	0.270	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.203	0.288	0.353	OK
Miles Mastrobuoni	1B	6	17	3	0.176	0	1	0.250	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.217	0.297	0.299	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	7	4	4	4	7	0.233

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	14	72.4	4.35	1.588	9.1	73	4.2	6	4	4	4	3	105	4.2	3	4
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	12	10.2	2.65	1.373	13.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	32	26.4	2.05	0.833	10.9	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	23	1.0	2	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	19	14.0	7.07	1.643	9.6	15	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	10	0.2	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	31	20.7	2.17	0.725	10.0	23	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.2	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	14	81.9	4.18	1.343	8.1	74	5.2	5	2	2	4	6	102	5.2	6	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	27	23.7	5.32	1.435	14.4	38	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	5	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	34	27.6	3.26	1.558	8.8	27	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	15	0.2	2	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	34	26.5	2.72	1.623	9.5	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	22	15.2	2.37	1.382	10.1	17	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0
Nick Davila	Middle Reliever	10	10.2	0.00	1.176	7.1	8	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-2

Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees

CHW 38-33 (4.72 RPG / 4.69 RA)

2 - 5

NYY 44-27 (5.21 RPG / 3.56 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-2 TARGET: CHW 2 - 4 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 58.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
NYY	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	x	5	8

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.328

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.3

Run Diff-62.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.357

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-71.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record38-33

Win%0.535

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.028

NYY Season Quality

Record44-27

Win%0.620

Run Diff117

RD/Game1.648

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.7465; margin adjustment: 0.7335; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	68	258	71	0.275	6	25	0.344	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.249	0.309	0.377	OK
Randal Grichuk	DH	28	58	18	0.310	6	17	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.259	0.301	0.464	OK
Miguel Vargas	1B	69	253	62	0.245	16	44	0.365	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.240	0.342	0.408	OK
Colson Montgomery	3B	68	249	55	0.221	17	40	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.281	0.422	OK
Everson Pereira	CF	20	67	16	0.239	3	7	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.215	0.257	0.359	OK
Edgar Quero	C	44	133	24	0.180	2	15	0.240	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.185	0.239	0.257	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	6	23	5	0.217	1	4	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.198	0.236	0.349	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	43	117	24	0.205	0	8	0.258	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.272	0.297	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	52	179	50	0.279	2	17	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.234	0.299	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	30	4	2	2	6	12	0.133

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	44	161	48	0.298	10	33	0.360	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.302	0.353	0.533	OK
Ben Rice	DH	65	243	71	0.292	20	48	0.391	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.265	0.363	0.540	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	35	103	26	0.252	6	19	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.291	0.436	OK
Cody Bellinger	CF	70	257	70	0.272	10	47	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.268	0.357	0.459	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	10	38	8	0.211	2	5	0.268	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.223	0.268	0.418	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	67	244	56	0.230	9	29	0.312	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.325	0.431	OK
José Caballero	LF	59	198	52	0.263	7	23	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.272	0.314	0.471	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	22	76	18	0.237	1	11	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.324	0.345	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	5	10	2	0.200	0	1	0.273	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.203	0.273	0.370	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	5	5	3	6	0.250

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	14	64.0	4.50	1.469	7.5	53	5.0	5	3	3	2	4	90	5.0	4	3
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	3	1	1	1	1	26	1.0	1	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	12	1.0	1	1

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	6	30.3	3.27	1.221	10.1	34	5.1	2	2	2	6	6	97	5.1	6	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	29	27.8	3.88	1.475	11.7	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	34	23.4	2.69	1.667	15.4	40	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	35	26.2	2.40	1.679	12.7	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	32	22.2	3.65	1.261	5.7	14	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	14	0.2	2	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	31	22.7	5.95	1.366	9.9	25	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-2

Cleveland Guardians @ Milwaukee Brewers

CLE 39-34 (3.97 RPG / 4.03 RA)

3 - 4

MIL 44-26 (5.31 RPG / 3.7 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-3 TARGET: CLE 2 - 3 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 56.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
MIL	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	x	4	7

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-119.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.317

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-70.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Season Quality

Record39-34

Win%0.534

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.055

MIL Season Quality

Record44-26

Win%0.629

Run Diff113

RD/Game1.614

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.8106; margin adjustment: 0.7604; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	42	154	38	0.247	4	17	0.343	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.203	0.293	0.329	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	62	191	45	0.236	7	22	0.323	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.241	0.321	0.381	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	69	226	61	0.270	5	32	0.344	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.267	0.336	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	53	161	30	0.186	6	23	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.198	0.312	0.363	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	56	180	41	0.228	5	22	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.213	0.281	0.364	OK
David Fry	RF	39	93	22	0.237	3	8	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.312	0.337	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	63	230	49	0.213	1	13	0.317	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.199	0.291	0.261	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	14	31	5	0.161	0	1	0.188	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.116	0.147	0.187	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	16	51	10	0.196	1	5	0.236	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.189	0.240	0.285	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	3	3	6	8	0.182

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	39	153	41	0.268	4	22	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.247	0.317	0.370	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	36	155	49	0.316	9	26	0.367	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.296	0.344	0.572	OK
Brice Turang	2B	65	244	66	0.270	11	43	0.386	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.349	0.456	OK
William Contreras	C	66	262	76	0.290	6	43	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.285	0.340	0.412	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	60	209	58	0.278	13	46	0.376	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.353	0.487	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	63	208	47	0.226	3	23	0.296	4	3	3	1	2	1	0	1.000	0.257	0.329	0.341	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	57	186	46	0.247	4	29	0.344	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.277	0.354	0.498	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.250	0.343
David Hamilton	3B	55	170	38	0.224	3	11	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.283	0.330	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	7	4	4	4	7	0.233

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	14	85.5	3.37	1.111	10.4	99	6.1	6	3	3	3	7	110	6.1	7	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	31	31.5	2.57	1.079	14.0	49	1.2	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.2	0	1
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	22	17.1	4.21	1.462	7.4	14	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	16	0.0	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Sproat	Starter	13	57.2	5.98	1.556	9.0	57	4.2	5	3	3	5	3	94	4.2	3	3
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	26	26.0	2.77	1.038	12.5	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	27	23.8	3.78	1.303	10.2	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	32	39.8	3.17	1.508	13.8	61	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.1	0	0
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever	18	51.8	2.95	1.293	7.3	42	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	4	1.0	3	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	27	24.2	3.35	1.198	8.6	23	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	19	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-3

Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs

COL 28-46 (4.57 RPG / 5.76 RA)

1 - 3

CHC 38-36 (4.54 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 3-1 TARGET: COL 2 - 3 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 54.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
COL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5
CHC	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	4

COL Recent Form

Win%0.203

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-225.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.088

Avg Runs0.6

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-196.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record27-46

Win%0.370

Run Diff-91

RD/Game-1.247

CHC Season Quality

Record38-35

Win%0.521

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.137

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.6096; margin adjustment: 0.676; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	53	183	53	0.290	4	26	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.311	0.421	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	44	153	41	0.268	3	20	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.171	0.216	0.287	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	68	248	69	0.278	10	35	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.327	0.496	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	68	259	65	0.251	20	37	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.312	0.503	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	8	30	7	0.233	3	8	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.231	0.315	0.467	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	59	167	37	0.222	2	17	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.331	0.335	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	66	239	52	0.218	5	24	0.266	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.270	0.351	OK
Sterlin Thompson	DH	22	58	12	0.207	0	7	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.134	0.197	0.213	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	68	201	50	0.249	3	19	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.358	0.404	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	5	1	1	1	7	0.143

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	73	275	77	0.280	14	36	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.312	0.356	0.597	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	71	285	67	0.235	4	34	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.206	0.274	0.292	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	59	215	55	0.256	10	28	0.343	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.275	0.354	0.466	OK
Michael Busch	1B	72	258	65	0.252	8	42	0.384	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.252	0.377	0.438	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	72	287	73	0.254	6	22	0.343	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.261	0.343	0.366	OK
Ian Happ	LF	69	260	58	0.223	16	37	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.209	0.305	0.425	OK
Matt Shaw	RF	40	103	27	0.262	3	13	0.306	4	3	1	1	2	0	2	0.333	0.266	0.309	0.427	OK
Carson Kelly	C	51	169	46	0.272	3	18	0.346	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.298	0.360	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	68	225	40	0.178	7	28	0.285	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.188	0.291	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	3	3	2	10	0.129

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Sullivan	Starter	1	3.0	0.00	0.667	6.0	2	3.0	1	1	1	2	6	49	3.0	6	1
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	21	34.9	2.58	1.175	8.3	32	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	8	2.0	2	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	30	27.1	7.31	2.030	12.3	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Seth Halvorsen	Middle Reliever	17	14.0	3.86	1.929	10.3	16	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	28	2.0	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Reliever	19	17.8	7.08	2.135	8.1	16	1.2	1	2	2	0	0	24	1.2	0	2

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Javier Assad	Starter	10	36.0	4.25	1.083	6.0	24	5.0	4	1	1	1	3	81	5.0	3	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	31	27.4	3.28	1.460	11.8	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	20	15.5	4.65	1.355	12.8	22	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	33	25.5	4.59	1.412	5.3	15	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	29	2.1	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 3-1 (Extra Innings - 10)

Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros

DET 30-44 (4.07 RPG / 4.2 RA)

4 - 0

HOU 35-41 (4.53 RPG / 5.07 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-0 TARGET: DET 2 - 1 HOU (DET) Confidence: 54.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	4	4
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3

DET Recent Form

Win%0.297

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-108.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.359

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-206.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record30-42

Win%0.417

Run Diff-6

RD/Game-0.083

HOU Season Quality

Record33-41

Win%0.446

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.608

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4809; margin adjustment: -0.202; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	69	257	73	0.284	5	25	0.395	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.357	0.422	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	65	239	62	0.259	16	51	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.266	0.315	0.490	OK
Riley Greene	LF	72	260	79	0.304	8	33	0.394	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.261	0.347	0.431	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	71	240	49	0.204	12	28	0.306	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.209	0.296	0.463	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	50	139	32	0.230	9	26	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.303	0.421	OK
Colt Keith	3B	65	193	51	0.264	4	15	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.300	0.536	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	53	173	33	0.191	4	22	0.254	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	0.500	0.116	0.182	0.219	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	34	92	22	0.239	2	10	0.271	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.264	0.294	0.433	OK
Jake Rogers	C	21	58	9	0.155	1	5	0.239	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.190	0.269	0.351	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	4	4	4	10	0.129

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	36	143	39	0.273	3	13	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.297	0.345	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	73	266	88	0.331	24	54	0.436	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.312	0.396	0.574	OK
Christian Walker	1B	73	273	68	0.249	18	52	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.293	0.454	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	67	236	53	0.225	10	35	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.216	0.312	0.403	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	52	197	46	0.234	7	16	0.312	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.223	0.294	0.408	OK
Cam Smith	RF	72	247	54	0.219	7	26	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.293	0.367	OK
Joey Loperfido	LF	23	69	16	0.232	0	7	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.201	0.285	0.313	OK
Jake Meyers	CF	33	109	24	0.220	3	10	0.277	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.210	0.261	0.350	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	48	147	32	0.218	4	19	0.272	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.182	0.238	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	3	0	0	5	7	0.100

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	9	45.8	2.36	1.004	9.6	49	5.2	2	0	0	2	5	97	5.2	5	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	23	19.3	6.99	1.710	10.7	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	31	29.7	1.52	1.549	6.4	21	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	32	26.7	4.72	1.723	9.8	29	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	28	1.1	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	10	56.3	3.52	1.226	8.5	53	5.2	3	2	2	4	7	96	5.2	7	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	0.00	0.333	12.0	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	29	26.9	3.01	1.524	8.0	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	27	22.0	7.36	2.000	13.5	33	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	15	1.0	0	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	30	26.1	5.17	1.341	10.3	30	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	7	0.1	0	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	34	27.5	3.27	1.127	9.2	28	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

DET wins 4-0

Kansas City Royals @ Washington Nationals

KC 30-45 (4.01 RPG / 4.69 RA)

3 - 5

WAS 39-36 (5.43 RPG / 5.23 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-3 TARGET: KC 3 - 4 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
WAS	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	x	5	10

KC Recent Form

Win%0.203

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-182.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.277

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-139.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record29-45

Win%0.392

Run Diff-55

RD/Game-0.743

WAS Season Quality

Record39-35

Win%0.527

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.257

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2027; margin adjustment: 0.5051; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	65	221	49	0.222	8	36	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.288	0.384	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	73	290	84	0.290	9	28	0.360	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.282	0.349	0.424	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	67	224	59	0.263	8	20	0.337	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.173	0.244	0.308	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	54	142	32	0.225	4	16	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.349	0.405	OK
Michael Massey	2B	53	157	41	0.261	6	23	0.279	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.164	0.188	0.303	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	67	261	53	0.203	9	26	0.248	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.209	0.239	0.299	OK
John Rave	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.094	0.170	0.191
Nick Loftin	3B	36	102	25	0.245	1	18	0.339	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.246	0.333	0.434	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	62	196	42	0.214	3	19	0.336	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.209	0.316	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	3	3	1	8	0.182

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	74	281	79	0.281	20	48	0.412	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.299	0.409	0.572	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	68	227	60	0.264	9	45	0.288	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.183	0.209	0.351	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	58	178	42	0.236	11	34	0.343	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.165	0.267	0.358	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	72	267	76	0.285	14	53	0.370	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.269	0.330	0.441	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	23	91	17	0.187	4	13	0.229	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.242	0.401	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	73	288	75	0.260	8	37	0.320	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.255	0.313	0.411	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	45	146	41	0.281	6	29	0.301	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.278	0.300	0.481	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.265	0.325
Nasim Nuñez	2B	63	203	44	0.217	0	23	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.344	0.351	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	5	5	2	6	0.294

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luinder Avila	Starter	13	31.3	6.33	1.853	8.1	28	3.2	10	5	5	1	4	82	3.2	4	5
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	30	30.1	4.49	1.561	10.5	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	27	24.7	5.10	1.862	8.0	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	31	27.5	2.95	1.127	9.8	30	2.0	0	0	0	1	0	29	2.0	0	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Littell	Starter	14	64.6	5.43	1.378	5.4	39	4.2	6	3	3	1	5	81	4.2	5	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	20	19.7	3.65	1.320	10.5	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	29	23.0	5.09	1.870	10.2	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	21	18.7	2.89	1.123	6.7	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	22	44.5	2.63	1.101	7.9	39	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAA 30-45 (4.45 RPG / 4.97 RA)

3 - 2

ARI 38-36 (4.22 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 3-2 TARGET: LAA 3 - 2 ARI (LAA) Confidence: 56.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	6
ARI	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	3

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.308

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-154.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.262

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-119.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record29-44

Win%0.397

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.534

ARI Season Quality

Record37-35

Win%0.514

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.264

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4453; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	71	282	63	0.223	14	33	0.325	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.213	0.285	0.417	OK
Mike Trout	DH	73	262	61	0.233	17	36	0.393	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.247	0.375	0.486	OK
Jo Adell	RF	74	289	74	0.256	10	41	0.300	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.286	0.309	0.419	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	63	208	54	0.260	7	21	0.306	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.235	0.260	0.373	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	39	134	33	0.246	4	26	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.324	0.449	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	7	30	8	0.267	0	5	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.273	0.281	0.370	OK
Jose Siri	CF	20	47	15	0.319	3	12	0.385	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.260	0.326	0.463	OK
Logan Porter	C	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.106	0.363	0.169
Wade Meckler	LF	21	68	20	0.294	2	13	0.360	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.228	0.297	0.367	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	6	3	3	7	10	0.182

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	DH	68	279	71	0.254	11	41	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.303	0.397	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	70	240	59	0.246	4	25	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.259	0.365	0.405	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	70	260	72	0.277	12	34	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.248	0.325	0.488	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	48	163	43	0.264	6	24	0.346	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.254	0.329	0.450	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	68	230	55	0.239	8	31	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.275	0.327	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	61	228	60	0.263	7	37	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.200	0.242	0.317	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	10	30	8	0.267	1	4	0.389	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.319	0.409	OK
LuJames Groover	1B	7	25	5	0.200	0	2	0.286	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.225	0.284	0.297	OK
Tommy Troy	LF	19	60	13	0.217	2	2	0.309	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.198	0.284	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	2	2	3	6	0.100

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sam Aldegheri	Starter	5	16.3	2.21	1.350	6.6	12	5.0	2	1	1	1	5	75	5.0	5	1
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	14	12.4	3.63	1.129	12.3	17	2.0	1	1	1	1	0	32	2.0	0	1
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	26	28.7	3.76	1.394	11.0	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	32	21.2	2.12	1.698	12.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	14	79.7	2.60	1.255	6.8	60	6.2	1	2	2	3	8	111	6.2	8	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	3	0	25	1.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	21	0.1	0	1
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	4	0	0	0	2	26	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 3-2

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies

MIA 37-38 (4.32 RPG / 4.39 RA)

3 - 2

PHI 40-34 (4.11 RPG / 4.35 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 3-2 TARGET: MIA 4 - 2 PHI (MIA) Confidence: 57.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	8
PHI	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	8

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.274

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-138.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record36-38

Win%0.486

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.176

PHI Season Quality

Record40-33

Win%0.548

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.137

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1309; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	DH	71	239	67	0.280	13	51	0.361	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.291	0.360	0.456	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	73	290	98	0.338	5	31	0.368	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.285	0.315	0.416	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	50	185	39	0.211	5	22	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.282	0.344	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	74	270	79	0.293	6	25	0.378	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.237	0.331	0.347	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	51	161	40	0.248	2	24	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.270	0.354	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	61	172	36	0.209	6	35	0.266	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.208	0.261	0.390	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	71	248	50	0.202	3	17	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.211	0.314	0.312	OK
Joe Mack	C	32	97	24	0.247	2	14	0.305	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.264	0.327	0.429	OK
Esteury Ruiz	LF	29	63	15	0.238	4	9	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.148	0.197	0.353	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	3	3	3	9	0.235

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	69	287	63	0.220	7	21	0.269	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.196	0.240	0.288	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	69	263	65	0.247	24	42	0.363	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.358	0.481	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	71	248	62	0.250	15	40	0.361	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.206	0.325	0.380	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	67	240	78	0.325	9	34	0.360	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.277	0.314	0.464	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	68	251	56	0.223	9	37	0.277	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.233	0.279	0.405	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	66	226	52	0.230	6	34	0.289	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.241	0.302	0.399	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	3	10	1	0.100	1	2	0.100	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.220	0.231	0.368	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	65	198	45	0.227	2	13	0.285	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.241	0.284	0.337	OK
Garrett Stubbs	C	8	20	4	0.200	0	1	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.191	0.230	0.268	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	2	2	5	9	0.229

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	15	96.4	4.29	1.234	6.6	71	6.2	3	1	1	4	5	109	6.2	5	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	22	18.6	7.26	1.559	14.0	29	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Ryan Gusto	Middle Reliever	5	13.2	7.50	1.818	6.8	10	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	14	1.0	1	1
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	30	24.2	3.72	1.157	13.4	36	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.1	1	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	27	26.3	3.42	1.179	11.6	34	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	0.0	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	13	60.9	6.65	1.626	7.4	50	5.0	6	3	3	0	7	87	5.0	7	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	24	23.2	1.16	0.862	13.6	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	29	24.1	2.24	1.245	10.8	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	31	20.1	7.16	2.040	14.8	33	1.2	2	0	0	3	2	39	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 3-2

New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds

NYM 33-41 (4.05 RPG / 4.28 RA)

6 - 2

CIN 35-38 (4.26 RPG / 4.97 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 6-2 TARGET: NYM 4 - 2 CIN (NYM) Confidence: 57.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	2	6	8
CIN	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	4

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.359

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-141.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.226

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-175.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record32-41

Win%0.438

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.342

CIN Season Quality

Record35-37

Win%0.486

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.611

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.197; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	68	254	64	0.252	7	26	0.314	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.284	0.350	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	72	292	72	0.247	8	41	0.289	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.278	0.312	0.458	OK
Juan Soto	LF	55	201	59	0.294	15	34	0.391	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.285	0.391	0.502	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	72	259	57	0.220	9	26	0.278	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.223	0.289	0.380	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	60	202	44	0.218	8	29	0.250	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.147	0.174	0.282	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	41	131	31	0.237	5	12	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.311	0.400	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	33	112	28	0.250	2	9	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.321	0.383	OK
Luis Torrens	C	42	119	26	0.218	1	15	0.273	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.136	0.169	0.242	OK
Zack Short	SS	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.109	0.249	0.173
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	6	6	3	8	0.229

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edwin Arroyo	2B	11	35	8	0.229	0	2	0.282	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.274	0.323	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	43	161	44	0.273	13	34	0.372	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.341	0.514	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	71	266	68	0.256	14	47	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.330	0.414	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	51	150	38	0.253	8	24	0.345	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.161	0.278	0.281	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	45	164	36	0.220	7	25	0.279	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.280	0.425	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	68	239	60	0.251	11	28	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.303	0.417	OK
Noelvi Marte	CF	19	59	12	0.203	3	3	0.242	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.225	0.262	0.409	OK
Jose Trevino	C	11	32	5	0.156	0	2	0.182	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.185	0.215	0.276	OK
Matt McLain	SS	65	234	48	0.205	8	25	0.309	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.199	0.300	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	2	2	4	11	0.129

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	14	74.7	4.10	1.165	10.6	88	5.0	4	2	2	3	5	93	5.0	5	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	25	21.7	4.56	1.429	15.3	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
David Peterson	Middle Reliever	15	61.9	6.11	1.680	8.4	58	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.1	2	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	29	28.9	2.49	0.969	9.3	30	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	29	21.1	2.56	1.564	13.2	31	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	17	0.2	2	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	7	36.6	5.41	1.503	7.4	30	5.0	6	3	3	2	4	105	5.0	4	3
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	31	25.9	4.52	1.467	9.4	27	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	20	1.0	2	1
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	36	29.4	3.37	1.701	9.5	31	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	29	1.2	2	0
Sam Moll	Middle Reliever	32	24.4	4.06	1.352	12.2	33	1.1	1	2	2	0	0	20	1.1	0	2

Game Summary

NYM wins 6-2

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Oakland Athletics

PIT 37-37 (4.96 RPG / 4.88 RA)

6 - 2

OAK 36-37 (4.6 RPG / 5.19 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 6-2 TARGET: PIT 4 - 2 OAK (PIT) Confidence: 57.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	6	9
OAK	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	3

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.290

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-150.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.281

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-156.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record36-37

Win%0.493

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.068

OAK Season Quality

Record36-36

Win%0.500

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.583

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6416; margin adjustment: -0.2695; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	68	224	62	0.277	9	31	0.383	5	3	3	1	2	2	0	1.000	0.239	0.340	0.389	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	68	264	63	0.239	18	47	0.321	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.214	0.286	0.455	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	74	264	74	0.280	10	45	0.400	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.295	0.394	0.557	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	58	216	61	0.282	10	35	0.343	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.310	0.387	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	67	254	74	0.291	2	32	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.280	0.318	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	49	187	36	0.193	5	23	0.271	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.289	0.318	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	47	147	44	0.299	1	12	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.314	0.347	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	38	122	27	0.221	0	7	0.291	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.214	0.281	0.285	OK
Henry Davis	C	40	126	17	0.135	5	17	0.231	4	3	0	1	0	1	3	0.000	0.162	0.242	0.318	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	6	6	4	8	0.250

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	72	260	76	0.292	18	57	0.442	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.292	0.424	0.602	OK
Shea Langeliers	DH	66	276	77	0.279	18	36	0.342	4	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.304	0.457	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	70	256	62	0.242	12	39	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.259	0.358	0.508	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	43	177	50	0.282	3	21	0.308	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.252	0.285	0.358	OK
Jonah Heim	C	18	53	13	0.245	4	6	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.281	0.335	0.561	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	53	192	55	0.286	10	28	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.250	0.389	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	61	179	35	0.196	4	19	0.276	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.280	0.346	0.409	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	28	96	30	0.312	1	7	0.374	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.267	0.308	0.378	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	65	212	50	0.236	3	19	0.305	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.224	0.295	0.351	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	2	2	4	6	0.100

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	14	82.8	3.37	1.123	9.8	90	6.0	3	2	2	4	6	101	6.0	6	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	31	29.7	2.42	0.875	11.2	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	30	26.9	4.35	1.450	8.0	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	27	25.4	2.13	1.378	13.5	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Civale	Starter	11	54.5	4.29	1.505	6.4	39	5.0	5	4	4	3	4	90	5.0	4	4
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	37	27.2	3.97	1.949	13.2	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	32	26.4	5.45	1.553	10.6	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	32	26.2	4.81	1.374	8.9	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	35	29.1	3.71	1.237	10.5	34	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	15	13.9	6.47	1.439	12.9	20	0.0	2	1	1	1	0	18	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

PIT wins 6-2

San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals

SD 38-35 (3.84 RPG / 3.96 RA)

4 - 2

STL 40-32 (4.53 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-2 TARGET: SD 3 - 2 STL (SD) Confidence: 57.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	4	10
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	4

SD Recent Form

Win%0.222

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-151.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.164

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-94.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record37-35

Win%0.514

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.194

STL Season Quality

Record40-31

Win%0.563

Run Diff16

RD/Game0.225

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.494; margin adjustment: 0.2075; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	70	273	76	0.278	2	23	0.345	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.315	0.348	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	9	31	11	0.355	1	8	0.412	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.173	0.236	0.276	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	68	263	54	0.205	7	28	0.272	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.207	0.264	0.353	OK
Manny Machado	3B	70	257	45	0.175	12	35	0.255	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.197	0.270	0.359	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	65	209	47	0.225	11	30	0.314	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.220	0.296	0.408	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	68	239	53	0.222	8	27	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.279	0.288	OK
Ty France	1B	45	138	35	0.254	6	19	0.304	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.202	0.252	0.341	OK
Will Wagner	2B	7	15	4	0.267	0	0	0.450	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.203	0.374	0.327	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	16	40	6	0.150	3	6	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.297	0.408	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	10	4	4	2	7	0.270

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	65	254	66	0.260	10	30	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.336	0.391	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	70	258	66	0.256	9	30	0.390	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.345	0.434	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	69	273	77	0.282	13	51	0.344	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.310	0.490	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	69	272	80	0.294	17	53	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.255	0.299	0.470	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	11	37	10	0.270	2	6	0.378	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.368	0.430	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	62	232	54	0.233	2	26	0.307	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.238	0.308	0.326	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	10	31	6	0.194	1	6	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.315	0.412	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	5	19	6	0.316	1	5	0.316	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.247	0.257	0.497	OK
Nathan Church	CF	49	172	44	0.256	5	18	0.295	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.285	0.346	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	31	4	2	2	0	8	0.129

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bradgley Rodriguez	Starter	30	28.9	2.49	1.384	9.7	31	5.0	1	0	0	0	5	66	5.0	5	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	29	23.0	1.96	1.391	6.7	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	33	29.7	4.85	1.279	12.4	41	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	2
Ron Marinaccio	Middle Reliever	25	34.4	4.19	1.366	8.4	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.1	0	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	15	19.9	1.81	1.106	10.9	24	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.2	1	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	13	63.3	4.69	1.611	7.4	52	5.0	8	3	3	0	5	91	5.0	5	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	31	29.7	3.94	1.279	9.7	32	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	31	25.9	3.47	1.313	9.4	27	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	33	25.0	5.04	1.680	11.5	32	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	24	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

SD wins 4-2

San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves

SF 31-43 (4.19 RPG / 4.81 RA)

1 - 5

ATL 46-27 (4.97 RPG / 3.64 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-1 TARGET: SF 2 - 5 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3
ATL	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	x	5	7

SF Recent Form

Win%0.215

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-175.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.333

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-100.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record30-43

Win%0.411

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.699

ATL Season Quality

Record46-26

Win%0.639

Run Diff102

RD/Game1.417

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.4572; margin adjustment: 1.032; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	69	274	90	0.328	2	25	0.361	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.300	0.401	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	32	105	34	0.324	5	15	0.415	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.297	0.389	0.533	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	71	258	66	0.256	7	40	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.272	0.353	0.531	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	72	278	66	0.237	9	33	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.289	0.410	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	63	241	81	0.336	3	24	0.370	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.291	0.320	0.405	OK
Willy Adames	SS	70	278	64	0.230	11	29	0.274	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.238	0.350	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	64	254	70	0.276	15	37	0.307	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.267	0.423	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	48	139	32	0.230	3	14	0.282	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.267	0.351	OK
Eric Haase	C	17	51	11	0.216	4	9	0.259	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.191	0.238	0.392	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	1	1	1	9	0.100

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mauricio Dubón	CF	68	248	65	0.262	6	38	0.317	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.267	0.311	0.405	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	49	189	58	0.307	14	39	0.392	4	4	1	1	4	0	0	0.250	0.307	0.390	0.626	OK
Matt Olson	1B	72	279	75	0.269	20	51	0.339	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.254	0.319	0.495	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	72	273	76	0.278	10	37	0.333	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.257	0.310	0.375	OK
Austin Riley	3B	72	257	52	0.202	8	34	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.204	0.283	0.334	OK
Eli White	LF	35	80	19	0.238	3	14	0.279	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.249	0.288	0.465	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	17	56	5	0.089	0	3	0.177	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.173	0.250	0.228	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	63	177	41	0.232	3	17	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.292	0.328	OK
Sandy León	C	18	42	4	0.095	0	0	0.095	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.179	0.188	0.243	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	5	5	5	11	0.226

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Adrian Houser	Starter	14	62.5	6.05	1.664	6.9	48	4.0	5	3	3	4	6	93	4.0	6	3
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	30	27.7	3.57	1.300	11.7	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	23	16.4	4.94	1.890	14.8	27	0.1	2	2	2	1	1	16	0.1	1	2
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	6	4.3	0.00	0.698	12.6	6	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	32	1.2	1	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	13	9.0	2.00	2.111	13.0	13	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.2	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	14	66.8	4.45	1.437	8.2	61	4.2	2	1	1	1	3	80	4.2	3	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	22	22.4	1.21	1.027	10.8	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	10	1.0	2	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	30	29.5	0.61	0.814	7.9	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	33	28.4	1.27	0.704	12.7	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	20	25.9	2.43	1.120	11.5	33	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	5	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-1

San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves

SF 31-43 (4.19 RPG / 4.81 RA)

2 - 4

ATL 46-27 (4.97 RPG / 3.64 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-2 TARGET: SF 2 - 3 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 55.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	4
ATL	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	x	4	6

SF Recent Form

Win%0.215

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-175.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.333

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-100.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record30-43

Win%0.411

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.699

ATL Season Quality

Record46-26

Win%0.639

Run Diff102

RD/Game1.417

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.4572; margin adjustment: 1.032; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	69	274	90	0.328	2	25	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.300	0.401	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	32	105	34	0.324	5	15	0.415	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.297	0.389	0.533	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	71	258	66	0.256	7	40	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.353	0.531	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	72	278	66	0.237	9	33	0.298	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.221	0.289	0.410	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	63	241	81	0.336	3	24	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.291	0.321	0.405	OK
Willy Adames	SS	70	278	64	0.230	11	29	0.274	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.193	0.238	0.350	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	64	254	70	0.276	15	37	0.307	3	3	2	1	1	0	1	0.667	0.248	0.267	0.423	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	48	139	32	0.230	3	14	0.282	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.210	0.267	0.351	OK
Eric Haase	C	17	51	11	0.216	4	9	0.259	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.191	0.238	0.392	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	2	2	1	9	0.129

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mauricio Dubón	CF	68	248	65	0.262	6	38	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.311	0.405	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	49	189	58	0.307	14	39	0.392	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.307	0.390	0.626	OK
Matt Olson	1B	72	279	75	0.269	20	51	0.339	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.254	0.319	0.495	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	72	273	76	0.278	10	37	0.333	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.310	0.375	OK
Austin Riley	3B	72	257	52	0.202	8	34	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.283	0.334	OK
Eli White	LF	35	80	19	0.238	3	14	0.279	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.249	0.288	0.466	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	36	94	27	0.287	4	11	0.330	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.156	0.205	0.293	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	63	177	41	0.232	3	17	0.313	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.219	0.292	0.328	OK
Sandy León	C	18	42	4	0.095	0	0	0.095	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.179	0.188	0.243	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	6	4	4	1	6	0.200

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Whisenhunt	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	2	3	3	1	2	48	3.0	2	3
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	30	27.7	3.57	1.300	11.7	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	23	16.4	4.94	1.890	14.8	27	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	6	4.3	0.00	0.698	12.6	6	1.2	2	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	13	9.0	2.00	2.111	13.0	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
JR Ritchie	Starter	6	30.2	3.87	1.358	7.7	26	5.1	3	1	1	0	6	87	5.1	6	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	22	22.4	1.21	1.027	10.8	27	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	20	1.0	2	1
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	30	29.5	0.61	0.814	7.9	26	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.2	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	33	28.4	1.27	0.704	12.7	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers

TB 41-30 (4.44 RPG / 4.37 RA)

0 - 3

LAD 48-27 (5.28 RPG / 3.36 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 3-0 TARGET: TB 1 - 2 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 58.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
LAD	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	x	3	3

TB Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-137.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.311

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-85.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record41-28

Win%0.594

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.101

LAD Season Quality

Record46-27

Win%0.630

Run Diff142

RD/Game1.945

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.8977; margin adjustment: 0.797; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	67	259	81	0.313	12	46	0.390	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.237	0.305	0.369	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	69	250	68	0.272	11	48	0.375	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.335	0.367	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	61	207	41	0.198	6	21	0.289	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.227	0.301	0.361	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	70	264	72	0.273	15	32	0.371	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.323	0.403	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	48	142	33	0.232	1	20	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.139	0.239	0.232	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	64	251	66	0.263	0	14	0.297	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.126	0.168	0.179	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	13	40	8	0.200	2	5	0.304	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.208	0.306	0.331	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	35	80	20	0.250	1	6	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.135	0.208	0.202	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	50	157	34	0.217	0	16	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.314	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	31	4	0	0	5	9	0.129

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Edman	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.312	0.394
Andy Pages	CF	73	283	76	0.269	15	56	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.276	0.397	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	71	268	75	0.280	11	38	0.368	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.266	0.348	0.449	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	38	154	31	0.201	7	18	0.257	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.290	0.399	OK
Miguel Rojas	DH	42	105	28	0.267	2	12	0.304	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.301	0.345	0.492	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	70	258	62	0.240	6	39	0.337	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.253	0.344	0.413	OK
Alex Call	LF	35	86	22	0.256	0	13	0.356	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.154	0.252	0.230	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	39	122	32	0.262	8	21	0.348	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.312	0.422	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	50	142	32	0.225	3	16	0.304	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.207	0.287	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	27	3	3	3	2	7	0.111

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane McClanahan	Starter	13	62.6	3.31	1.198	9.5	66	5.2	2	2	2	2	5	97	5.2	5	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	30	27.4	1.97	0.985	10.5	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	30	27.0	2.67	0.963	8.3	25	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shohei Ohtani	Starter	11	67.2	1.07	0.848	9.8	73	6.0	2	0	0	2	6	105	6.0	6	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	33	28.9	2.49	0.761	11.8	38	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	25	26.4	2.39	1.439	10.9	32	1.1	1	0	0	1	2	24	1.1	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	32	17.5	3.60	1.314	15.9	31	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	10	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 3-0

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

TOR 35-38 (4.1 RPG / 4.33 RA)

5 - 2

BOS 29-41 (3.99 RPG / 4.11 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 5-2 TARGET: TOR 4 - 2 BOS (TOR) Confidence: 57.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	5	9
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	8

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.215

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-142.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.232

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-133.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record35-38

Win%0.479

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.233

BOS Season Quality

Record29-41

Win%0.414

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.129

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0066; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	51	195	42	0.215	7	19	0.309	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.241	0.337	0.426	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	68	250	69	0.276	3	27	0.360	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.233	0.312	0.325	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	70	257	60	0.233	15	42	0.316	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.240	0.320	0.458	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	8	31	7	0.226	1	4	0.314	5	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.252	0.328	0.386	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	72	281	84	0.299	7	28	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.257	0.281	0.403	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	66	195	56	0.287	7	29	0.325	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.188	0.231	0.345	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	35	80	13	0.162	3	11	0.302	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.218	0.335	0.436	OK
Myles Straw	CF	52	113	27	0.239	2	9	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.143	0.214	0.216	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	68	229	52	0.227	7	31	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.257	0.388	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	5	5	4	9	0.257

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mickey Gasper	C	27	85	23	0.271	0	6	0.323	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.229	0.281	0.335	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	65	243	70	0.288	7	32	0.342	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.265	0.299	0.459	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	69	268	74	0.276	8	34	0.337	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.305	0.408	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	66	241	72	0.299	16	43	0.390	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.284	0.345	0.572	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	65	266	57	0.214	12	37	0.270	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.216	0.258	0.392	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	45	139	34	0.245	1	10	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.149	0.209	0.237	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	3B	39	114	31	0.272	1	12	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.297	0.319	OK
Andruw Monasterio	2B	36	104	25	0.240	2	11	0.282	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.134	0.176	0.289	OK
Marcelo Mayer	SS	61	182	40	0.220	3	18	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.130	0.203	0.213	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	2	2	3	7	0.229

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braydon Fisher	Starter	36	31.5	4.00	1.365	11.4	40	5.0	4	0	0	3	3	87	5.0	3	0
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	35	35.5	1.01	1.099	13.2	52	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.1	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	35	31.2	2.02	1.122	5.8	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	34	28.3	6.04	1.696	16.9	53	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	37	20.4	4.41	1.814	16.3	37	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	3	15.1	5.36	1.523	4.8	8	5.0	7	3	3	2	5	104	5.0	5	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	21	20.2	0.45	0.941	12.5	28	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	22	21.2	2.97	1.085	11.5	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	15	11.0	8.18	1.909	13.9	17	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	29	23.1	3.90	1.429	10.9	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners

BAL Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees

CHW Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Milwaukee Brewers

CLE Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs

COL Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

COL Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros

DET Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

DET Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Washington Nationals

KC Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

KC Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAA Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies