MLB Predictions — June 16, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ SEA	1 - 2	1 - 2	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 2-1	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHW @ NYY	1 - 2	1 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 2-1	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CLE @ MIL	5 - 6	8 - 5	MIL	CLE	CLE wins 8-5	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ CHC	3 - 5	1 - 6	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 6-1	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
DET @ HOU	2 - 3	2 - 4	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
KC @ WAS	5 - 4	6 - 2	KC	KC	KC wins 6-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAA @ ARI	5 - 3	5 - 3	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 5-3	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ PHI	1 - 2	2 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 3-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIN @ TEX	2 - 3	2 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYM @ CIN	4 - 5	4 - 6	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 6-4	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PIT @ OAK	6 - 5	6 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 6-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SD @ STL	2 - 3	2 - 4	STL	STL	STL wins 4-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SF @ ATL	1 - 6	2 - 6	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TB @ LAD	1 - 2	1 - 3	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 3-1	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TOR @ BOS	2 - 1	3 - 1	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 3-1	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners

BAL 34-39 (4.7 RPG / 5.15 RA)

1 - 2

SEA 37-36 (4.26 RPG / 3.99 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 2-1 TARGET: BAL 1 - 2 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 57.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.231

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-154.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.339

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-105.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record34-39

Win%0.466

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.452

SEA Season Quality

Record37-36

Win%0.507

Run Diff20

RD/Game0.274

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7877; margin adjustment: 0.3308; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	70	258	67	0.260	3	19	0.404	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.372	0.341	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	70	291	66	0.227	13	33	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.314	0.401	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	50	187	50	0.267	8	40	0.340	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.246	0.318	0.424	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	71	271	70	0.258	16	48	0.338	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.272	0.350	0.529	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	58	193	50	0.259	10	29	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.229	0.290	0.418	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	57	182	47	0.258	2	28	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.161	0.240	0.278	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	56	142	32	0.225	6	20	0.309	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.225	0.305	0.395	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	49	147	45	0.306	2	19	0.356	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.294	0.333	0.438	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	23	70	14	0.200	3	11	0.275	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.278	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	1	1	3	11	0.188

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	55	193	44	0.228	10	23	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.360	0.450	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	41	161	26	0.161	7	18	0.243	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.176	0.252	0.288	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	73	294	73	0.248	13	34	0.311	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.227	0.291	0.353	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	62	161	46	0.286	10	29	0.346	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.298	0.347	0.596	OK
Rob Refsnyder	DH	42	88	13	0.148	3	9	0.212	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.234	0.278	0.342	OK
Cole Young	2B	73	265	69	0.260	5	32	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.277	0.320	0.394	OK
Victor Robles	LF	15	43	12	0.279	0	2	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.264	0.340	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	23	76	18	0.237	6	14	0.310	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.234	0.287	0.517	OK
Miles Mastrobuoni	1B	5	16	3	0.188	0	1	0.222	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.271	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	8	2	2	1	8	0.242

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	10	54.0	3.17	1.296	7.0	42	6.0	3	0	0	0	8	91	6.0	8	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	32	26.4	2.05	0.833	10.9	32	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	18	13.8	7.17	1.667	9.8	15	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	11	0.0	0	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	31	20.7	2.17	0.725	10.0	23	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	14	77.8	3.70	1.105	9.5	82	5.2	4	0	0	2	6	100	5.2	6	0
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	26	22.7	5.55	1.454	14.7	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	34	27.6	3.26	1.558	8.8	27	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	15	0.2	0	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	33	25.5	2.82	1.686	9.5	27	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	22	15.2	2.37	1.382	10.1	17	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 2-1

Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees

CHW 38-32 (4.76 RPG / 4.59 RA)

1 - 2

NYY 43-27 (5.11 RPG / 3.59 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 2-1 TARGET: CHW 1 - 2 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 55.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	5

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.333

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.3

Run Diff-58.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.364

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-77.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record38-32

Win%0.543

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.171

NYY Season Quality

Record43-27

Win%0.614

Run Diff107

RD/Game1.529

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4643; margin adjustment: 0.615; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	51	176	49	0.278	2	17	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.308	0.391	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	68	251	62	0.247	16	44	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.348	0.435	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	63	203	48	0.236	7	32	0.295	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.293	0.418	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	67	247	55	0.223	17	40	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.290	0.458	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	5	19	5	0.263	1	4	0.300	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.226	0.267	0.434	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	67	254	71	0.280	6	25	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.268	0.332	0.401	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	1B	12	36	8	0.222	1	5	0.333	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.318	0.323	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	62	177	52	0.294	3	21	0.349	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.157	0.217	0.335	OK
Drew Romo	C	25	83	13	0.157	5	11	0.245	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.099	0.179	0.218	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	1	1	2	5	0.100

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	1B	64	239	70	0.293	19	46	0.388	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.344	0.499	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	69	253	67	0.265	10	45	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.333	0.431	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	DH	43	156	46	0.295	9	31	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.301	0.356	0.503	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	66	240	55	0.229	9	29	0.310	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.224	0.313	0.422	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	17	43	10	0.233	1	5	0.312	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.261	0.332	0.400	OK
José Caballero	RF	58	194	50	0.258	6	21	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.306	0.427	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	58	171	36	0.211	7	21	0.270	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.305	0.393	OK
J.C. Escarra	C	24	73	13	0.178	0	7	0.218	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.198	0.239	0.317	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	21	71	15	0.211	1	11	0.317	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.208	0.306	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	29	5	2	2	4	5	0.172

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	13	76.7	2.46	1.121	9.3	79	6.2	1	0	0	2	5	95	6.2	5	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	0.0	1	1	1	1	0	16	0.0	0	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	0.1	3	1	1	1	0	8	0.1	0	1

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gerrit Cole	Starter	4	21.3	2.54	1.080	7.6	18	5.2	2	0	0	1	4	91	5.2	4	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	29	27.8	3.88	1.475	11.7	36	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	34	23.4	2.69	1.667	15.4	40	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.2	1	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 2-1

Cleveland Guardians @ Milwaukee Brewers

CLE 39-33 (4.01 RPG / 4.06 RA)

8 - 5

MIL 43-26 (5.36 RPG / 3.74 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 8-5 TARGET: CLE 5 - 6 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 55.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	2	0	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	8	10
MIL	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	5	10

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.254

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-123.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.305

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-63.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Season Quality

Record39-33

Win%0.542

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.042

MIL Season Quality

Record43-26

Win%0.623

Run Diff112

RD/Game1.623

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.7871; margin adjustment: 0.7506; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	41	151	38	0.252	4	17	0.345	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.205	0.291	0.335	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	68	222	61	0.275	5	32	0.349	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.227	0.282	0.351	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	52	157	29	0.185	6	23	0.321	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.194	0.309	0.355	OK
David Fry	RF	38	92	22	0.239	3	8	0.333	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.224	0.311	0.355	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	61	188	44	0.234	7	21	0.319	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.237	0.314	0.390	OK
Stuart Fairchild	CF	6	12	3	0.250	0	1	0.471	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.132	0.324	0.187	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	62	226	49	0.217	1	13	0.322	4	4	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.313	0.285	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	9	27	6	0.222	2	4	0.276	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.251	0.306	0.481	OK
Austin Hedges	C	31	93	25	0.269	1	9	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.315	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	8	8	4	8	0.270

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	38	149	41	0.275	4	22	0.351	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.261	0.332	0.385	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	35	152	49	0.322	9	26	0.370	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.304	0.348	0.607	OK
Brice Turang	2B	64	241	64	0.266	10	42	0.381	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.336	0.425	OK
William Contreras	C	65	258	76	0.295	6	43	0.352	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.287	0.342	0.420	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	59	207	58	0.280	13	46	0.377	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.265	0.365	0.529	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	30	96	34	0.354	2	18	0.421	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.320	0.386	0.537	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	56	183	44	0.240	3	28	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.340	0.443	OK
David Hamilton	3B	54	167	38	0.228	3	11	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.220	0.294	0.338	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	56	185	38	0.205	0	19	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.146	0.235	0.211	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	10	5	5	4	8	0.278

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Slade Cecconi	Starter	14	70.8	4.96	1.483	7.8	61	5.0	5	1	1	3	5	92	5.0	5	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	31	31.5	2.57	1.079	14.0	49	1.2	1	1	1	0	0	24	1.2	0	1
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	21	16.1	3.91	1.491	7.8	14	1.0	2	2	2	0	3	19	1.0	3	2
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	20	16.2	2.22	1.296	11.1	20	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	27	1.1	0	1

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	4	18.1	6.46	1.602	9.4	19	4.2	6	5	5	2	5	86	4.2	5	5
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	25	25.0	2.88	1.080	12.2	34	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	26	22.8	3.95	1.316	9.9	25	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	31	38.8	3.02	1.469	13.7	59	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.1	1	0
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever	18	51.8	2.95	1.293	7.3	42	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	4	1.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	27	24.2	3.35	1.198	8.6	23	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	19	0.0	0	0
Joel Kuhnel	Reliever	3	2.3	7.83	2.174	23.5	6	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	18	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

CLE wins 8-5

Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs

COL 27-46 (4.56 RPG / 5.81 RA)

1 - 6

CHC 38-35 (4.58 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 6-1 TARGET: COL 3 - 5 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 56.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6
CHC	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	x	6	8

COL Recent Form

Win%0.190

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-230.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.104

Avg Runs0.6

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-194.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record27-45

Win%0.375

Run Diff-90

RD/Game-1.250

CHC Season Quality

Record37-35

Win%0.514

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.125

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.5833; margin adjustment: 0.665; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	RF	52	178	50	0.281	4	26	0.319	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.263	0.303	0.427	OK
Willi Castro	3B	60	213	60	0.282	5	29	0.356	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.285	0.353	0.443	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	67	244	68	0.279	9	33	0.356	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.261	0.333	0.468	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	67	255	65	0.255	20	37	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.255	0.316	0.518	OK
Troy Johnston	LF	66	227	72	0.317	3	33	0.372	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.294	0.344	0.469	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	7	27	7	0.259	3	8	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.320	0.526	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	33	98	22	0.224	4	13	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.163	0.188	0.372	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	65	236	52	0.220	5	24	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.221	0.260	0.364	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	58	164	36	0.220	2	17	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.326	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	1	1	3	6	0.182

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	72	270	76	0.281	13	35	0.355	5	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.323	0.369	0.588	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	71	284	73	0.257	6	22	0.343	5	3	1	1	0	2	2	0.333	0.264	0.337	0.389	OK
Michael Busch	1B	71	255	65	0.255	8	42	0.385	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.268	0.385	0.456	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	58	211	53	0.251	10	28	0.340	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.269	0.350	0.455	OK
Ian Happ	LF	68	256	57	0.223	16	37	0.336	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.208	0.306	0.427	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	70	281	67	0.238	4	34	0.314	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.290	0.314	OK
Matt Shaw	RF	39	100	26	0.260	3	13	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.307	0.429	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	32	96	21	0.219	3	10	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.207	0.279	0.329	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	67	223	40	0.179	7	28	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.193	0.293	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	32	8	6	6	8	10	0.250

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Feltner	Starter	8	35.4	5.34	1.243	6.6	26	4.2	5	6	6	6	7	110	4.2	7	6
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	21	34.9	2.58	1.175	8.3	32	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	25	1.1	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	30	27.1	7.31	2.030	12.3	37	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	0.0	0	0
Seth Halvorsen	Middle Reliever	17	14.0	3.86	1.929	10.3	16	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.1	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	34	21.1	5.55	1.848	9.4	22	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Edward Cabrera	Starter	12	60.9	5.02	1.461	8.6	58	4.2	2	0	0	2	4	86	4.2	4	0
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	18	15.5	2.32	1.290	11.0	19	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	31	27.4	3.28	1.460	11.8	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	20	15.5	4.65	1.355	12.8	22	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	33	25.5	4.59	1.412	5.3	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-1

Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros

DET 30-42 (4.12 RPG / 4.21 RA)

2 - 4

HOU 33-41 (4.54 RPG / 5.15 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-2 TARGET: DET 2 - 3 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 55.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	5
HOU	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	x	4	8

DET Recent Form

Win%0.302

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-112.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.344

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-205.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record29-42

Win%0.408

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.169

HOU Season Quality

Record33-40

Win%0.452

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.534

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2998; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	68	254	72	0.283	5	25	0.393	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.253	0.358	0.423	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	64	236	62	0.263	16	50	0.337	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.276	0.325	0.512	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	49	137	32	0.234	9	26	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.306	0.436	OK
Riley Greene	LF	71	256	77	0.301	8	33	0.393	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.251	0.343	0.423	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	70	237	49	0.207	12	28	0.307	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.212	0.296	0.470	OK
Colt Keith	DH	65	193	51	0.264	4	15	0.311	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.266	0.301	0.542	OK
Zach McKinstry	SS	46	137	24	0.175	2	10	0.263	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.208	0.292	0.333	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	33	89	20	0.225	2	9	0.258	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.286	0.408	OK
James Outman	CF	2	7	1	0.143	1	1	0.143	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.102	0.150	0.239	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	5	2	2	6	8	0.156

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	35	138	37	0.268	3	12	0.338	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.228	0.289	0.326	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	72	261	87	0.333	24	54	0.439	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.315	0.401	0.584	OK
Christian Walker	DH	72	270	67	0.248	18	52	0.318	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.287	0.457	OK
Isaac Paredes	1B	66	233	52	0.223	10	35	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.307	0.402	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	51	193	46	0.238	7	16	0.318	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.230	0.304	0.432	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	24	97	23	0.237	2	13	0.255	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.270	0.369	OK
Cam Smith	RF	71	243	53	0.218	7	26	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.287	0.377	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	56	164	34	0.207	6	17	0.256	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.277	0.435	OK
Raynel Delgado	3B	1	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.333	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.242	0.254	0.343	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	4	4	3	6	0.250

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	14	76.5	4.47	1.359	7.2	61	5.2	8	4	4	1	5	105	5.2	5	4
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	22	19.2	7.03	1.615	10.8	23	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	31	29.7	1.52	1.549	6.4	21	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	2	10.2	0.88	1.078	15.0	17	5.0	3	0	0	4	7	99	5.0	7	0
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	0.00	0.200	12.6	7	1.0	0	1	1	2	0	21	1.0	0	1
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	28	25.9	2.78	1.506	8.3	24	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	27	22.0	7.36	2.000	13.5	33	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	15	1.0	1	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	29	25.1	5.38	1.394	10.4	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-2

Kansas City Royals @ Washington Nationals

KC 29-44 (3.99 RPG / 4.71 RA)

6 - 2

WAS 38-35 (5.47 RPG / 5.23 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 6-2 TARGET: KC 5 - 4 WAS (KC) Confidence: 56.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	6	8
WAS	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	9

KC Recent Form

Win%0.175

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-182.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.262

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-140.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record29-44

Win%0.397

Run Diff-53

RD/Game-0.726

WAS Season Quality

Record38-35

Win%0.521

Run Diff17

RD/Game0.233

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1438; margin adjustment: 0.4804; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lane Thomas	RF	53	139	31	0.223	3	15	0.343	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.230	0.331	0.357	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	72	286	81	0.283	9	27	0.353	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.265	0.330	0.409	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	66	220	59	0.268	8	20	0.340	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.185	0.258	0.322	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	64	254	69	0.272	3	30	0.325	4	3	0	1	2	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.301	0.366	OK
Starling Marte	DH	29	74	19	0.257	1	5	0.317	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.291	0.389	OK
Salvador Perez	C	66	257	52	0.202	9	26	0.248	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.202	0.234	0.297	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	35	98	23	0.235	1	18	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.254	0.347	0.438	OK
Tyler Tolbert	LF	9	14	3	0.214	0	0	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.117	0.220	0.172	OK
Kameron Misner	CF	4	12	6	0.500	0	3	0.538	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.150	0.214	0.202	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	6	6	3	8	0.235

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	73	277	78	0.282	20	46	0.415	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.301	0.414	0.608	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	67	224	58	0.259	9	45	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.175	0.201	0.366	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	57	175	41	0.234	10	31	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.158	0.255	0.322	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	71	263	75	0.285	14	53	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.327	0.437	OK
Dylan Crews	LF	22	87	17	0.195	4	13	0.239	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.229	0.249	0.414	OK
Daylen Lile	DH	72	285	75	0.263	8	37	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.284	0.339	0.449	OK
Jacob Young	CF	63	222	52	0.234	8	28	0.283	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.240	0.279	0.391	OK
Drew Millas	C	34	103	18	0.175	2	8	0.261	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.201	0.274	0.318	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	62	201	42	0.209	0	22	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.317	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	2	2	1	5	0.250

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	14	87.3	3.61	1.168	7.1	69	6.1	7	2	2	0	5	102	6.1	5	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	30	30.1	4.49	1.561	10.5	35	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	27	24.7	5.10	1.862	8.0	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	30	26.5	2.04	1.019	9.8	29	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	12	0.2	0	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	14	77.3	3.49	1.100	8.6	74	5.1	7	3	3	3	5	100	5.1	5	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	20	19.7	3.65	1.320	10.5	23	1.0	0	2	2	0	0	17	1.0	0	2
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	28	22.0	4.91	1.864	10.2	25	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	20	18.6	1.94	1.022	6.8	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	22	44.5	2.63	1.101	7.9	39	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

KC wins 6-2

Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAA 29-44 (4.47 RPG / 5.0 RA)

5 - 3

ARI 37-35 (4.22 RPG / 4.49 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 5-3 TARGET: LAA 5 - 3 ARI (LAA) Confidence: 57.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	0	5	11
ARI	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	5

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.281

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-161.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.266

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-119.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record29-43

Win%0.403

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.528

ARI Season Quality

Record36-35

Win%0.507

Run Diff-20

RD/Game-0.282

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4025; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	70	277	61	0.220	13	32	0.324	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.200	0.273	0.360	OK
Mike Trout	CF	72	257	59	0.230	16	33	0.393	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.237	0.371	0.462	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	56	209	53	0.254	4	25	0.319	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.247	0.304	0.360	OK
Jo Adell	RF	73	284	73	0.257	10	41	0.302	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.282	0.305	0.409	OK
Nick Madrigal	2B	12	36	12	0.333	0	2	0.429	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.283	0.384	0.374	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	20	65	19	0.292	2	12	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.254	0.329	0.406	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	6	26	6	0.231	0	5	0.231	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.255	0.349	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	46	149	33	0.221	3	17	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.302	0.400	OK
Donovan Walton	DH	17	58	18	0.310	2	5	0.344	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.264	0.303	0.461	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	5	5	2	4	0.289

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	67	275	70	0.255	11	41	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.302	0.401	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	69	236	58	0.246	4	25	0.356	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.259	0.369	0.407	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	69	256	71	0.277	12	34	0.368	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.243	0.321	0.485	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	26	96	22	0.229	1	12	0.283	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.291	0.340	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	67	226	55	0.243	8	31	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.280	0.338	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	60	225	60	0.267	7	37	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.207	0.250	0.325	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	9	27	8	0.296	1	4	0.424	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.340	0.438	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	C	38	120	23	0.192	4	20	0.252	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.278	0.360	OK
LuJames Groover	DH	7	25	5	0.200	0	2	0.286	3	3	2	1	1	0	1	0.667	0.225	0.284	0.297	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	3	6	0.156

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	14	78.2	4.14	1.087	11.2	97	6.0	5	3	3	3	6	103	6.0	6	3
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	13	11.4	3.95	1.140	12.6	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	26	28.7	3.76	1.394	11.0	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	31	20.2	2.23	1.733	12.0	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	28	30.2	5.36	1.490	12.5	42	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Merrill Kelly	Starter	11	63.4	5.54	1.467	5.4	38	5.1	5	2	2	1	3	93	5.1	3	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	5	2	2	0	1	16	1.0	1	2
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

LAA wins 5-3

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies

MIA 36-37 (4.25 RPG / 4.34 RA)

2 - 3

PHI 39-33 (4.06 RPG / 4.28 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 3-2 TARGET: MIA 1 - 2 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 53.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	5

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.262

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-134.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record36-37

Win%0.493

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.096

PHI Season Quality

Record39-33

Win%0.542

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.222

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0536; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	73	267	79	0.296	6	25	0.380	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.328	0.354	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	72	286	97	0.339	5	31	0.369	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.290	0.320	0.414	OK
Liam Hicks	C	70	235	66	0.281	13	51	0.363	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.290	0.361	0.456	OK
Heriberto Hernández	RF	44	135	32	0.237	6	26	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.308	0.432	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	50	157	39	0.248	2	24	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.268	0.353	OK
Leo Jiménez	DH	23	69	13	0.188	0	1	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.118	0.175	0.165	OK
Esteury Ruiz	LF	28	59	13	0.220	3	7	0.277	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.145	0.201	0.336	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	70	244	49	0.201	3	17	0.329	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.210	0.322	0.314	OK
Connor Norby	1B	59	185	39	0.211	4	16	0.323	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.218	0.304	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	5	2	2	0	8	0.156

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Marsh	LF	66	237	77	0.325	8	32	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.266	0.299	0.427	OK
Kyle Schwarber	1B	68	261	64	0.245	23	41	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.260	0.354	0.471	OK
Bryce Harper	DH	70	245	62	0.253	15	40	0.363	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.225	0.339	0.424	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	67	247	54	0.219	8	34	0.274	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.221	0.267	0.359	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	65	222	51	0.230	6	32	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.308	0.382	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	47	161	34	0.211	5	17	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.281	0.382	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	2	7	1	0.143	1	2	0.143	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.239	0.386	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	64	195	45	0.231	2	13	0.289	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.253	0.298	0.353	OK
Edmundo Sosa	SS	39	108	25	0.231	4	18	0.261	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.166	0.183	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	5	3	3	3	7	0.172

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	19	46.0	1.96	1.370	8.0	41	5.1	1	2	2	1	6	74	5.1	6	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	22	18.6	7.26	1.559	14.0	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Ryan Gusto	Middle Reliever	5	13.2	7.50	1.818	6.8	10	0.2	3	0	0	2	1	30	0.2	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	30	24.2	3.72	1.157	13.4	36	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	14	76.1	4.49	1.380	10.4	88	5.2	5	2	2	0	5	96	5.2	5	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	24	23.2	1.16	0.862	13.6	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	31	28.7	4.39	1.429	9.7	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	29	24.1	2.24	1.245	10.8	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 3-2

Minnesota Twins @ Texas Rangers

MIN 34-40 (4.62 RPG / 5.16 RA)

2 - 4

TEX 35-37 (3.99 RPG / 3.93 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-2 TARGET: MIN 2 - 3 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 57.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	7
TEX	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	x	4	10

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.197

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-194.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.258

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record33-40

Win%0.452

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.575

TEX Season Quality

Record35-36

Win%0.493

Run Diff6

RD/Game0.085

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7212; margin adjustment: 0.3029; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	56	176	44	0.250	3	16	0.350	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.147	0.243	0.249	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	62	254	70	0.276	23	36	0.335	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.284	0.332	0.614	OK
Kody Clemens	RF	60	211	52	0.246	10	25	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.162	0.214	0.334	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	40	136	28	0.206	6	18	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.327	0.458	OK
Josh Bell	DH	71	258	61	0.236	8	43	0.289	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.255	0.296	0.433	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	67	250	59	0.236	11	38	0.292	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.217	0.276	0.387	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	67	240	58	0.242	2	23	0.317	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.224	0.296	0.351	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	44	122	31	0.254	4	27	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.285	0.349	OK
Alex Jackson	C	11	33	8	0.242	0	1	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.223	0.232	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	2	2	3	10	0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	66	179	44	0.246	9	25	0.349	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.179	0.276	0.355	OK
Josh Jung	3B	67	258	78	0.302	8	30	0.361	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.309	0.378	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	30	120	28	0.233	3	8	0.276	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.235	0.276	0.400	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	70	269	68	0.253	7	25	0.326	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.296	0.394	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	61	210	59	0.281	4	35	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.164	0.216	0.281	OK
Jake Burger	1B	70	259	64	0.247	12	42	0.304	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.314	0.443	OK
Josh Smith	2B	31	93	20	0.215	0	6	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.340	0.313	OK
Alejandro Osuna	CF	38	98	24	0.245	0	9	0.357	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.232	0.302	0.296	OK
Elias Díaz	C	6	15	6	0.400	0	2	0.400	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.253	0.277	0.436	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	4	4	1	9	0.294

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	6	36.1	5.24	1.191	7.5	30	5.0	4	2	2	1	7	97	5.0	7	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	20	14.4	1.87	1.250	13.1	21	1.0	4	2	2	0	0	25	1.0	0	2
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	34	22.3	6.05	1.749	10.9	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	11	14.5	7.45	1.655	10.6	17	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.0	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	13	63.8	3.67	1.379	7.3	52	5.0	3	1	1	2	6	91	5.0	6	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	25	31.7	0.85	0.505	9.9	35	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	24	1.2	2	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	25	27.7	1.95	0.866	6.8	21	1.2	2	1	1	0	1	27	1.2	1	1
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	25	18.4	6.85	1.739	12.2	25	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-2

New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds

NYM 32-40 (4.0 RPG / 4.32 RA)

4 - 6

CIN 34-37 (4.3 RPG / 4.94 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 6-4 TARGET: NYM 4 - 5 CIN (CIN) Confidence: 57.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	7
CIN	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	x	6	9

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.365

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-136.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.213

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-176.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record32-40

Win%0.444

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.319

CIN Season Quality

Record34-37

Win%0.479

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.648

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2768; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	67	249	64	0.257	7	26	0.320	5	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.246	0.296	0.363	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	71	287	70	0.244	8	40	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.312	0.483	OK
Juan Soto	LF	54	197	58	0.294	15	34	0.391	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.292	0.393	0.541	OK
Jared Young	1B	26	79	20	0.253	4	9	0.314	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.149	0.204	0.290	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	32	108	28	0.259	2	9	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.327	0.405	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	71	256	56	0.219	9	26	0.275	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.282	0.376	OK
Brett Baty	3B	63	212	49	0.231	3	26	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.284	0.319	OK
MJ Melendez	DH	45	103	21	0.204	4	11	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.316	0.384	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	40	129	30	0.233	5	12	0.301	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.231	0.286	0.382	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	2	8	0.206

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Blake Dunn	CF	26	110	29	0.264	2	5	0.314	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.145	0.197	0.249	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	42	159	44	0.277	13	34	0.370	5	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.337	0.537	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	70	263	66	0.251	13	43	0.350	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.221	0.318	0.371	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	50	148	38	0.257	8	24	0.349	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.167	0.282	0.287	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	44	160	36	0.225	7	25	0.286	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.240	0.291	0.455	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	67	236	59	0.250	10	27	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.286	0.367	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	55	175	37	0.211	5	19	0.303	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.234	0.321	0.355	OK
Matt McLain	SS	64	231	48	0.208	8	25	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.209	0.309	0.367	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	10	32	7	0.219	0	2	0.278	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.199	0.244	0.260	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	33	9	6	6	7	3	0.273

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kodai Senga	Starter	5	18.6	9.68	2.097	11.1	23	4.0	6	5	5	3	1	89	4.0	1	5
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	25	21.7	4.56	1.429	15.3	37	0.1	1	0	0	1	0	18	0.1	0	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	28	27.9	2.58	1.004	8.7	27	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	29	21.1	2.56	1.564	13.2	31	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	30	29.6	2.43	1.149	9.1	30	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	0.00	0.781	9.8	7	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	13	0.1	1	1

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	13	59.6	5.74	1.678	7.1	47	4.1	6	3	3	2	5	94	4.1	5	3
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	30	24.9	4.70	1.486	9.0	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	35	28.4	3.49	1.725	9.8	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Sam Moll	Middle Reliever	31	23.4	3.46	1.282	11.9	31	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	9	7.0	2.57	1.857	14.1	11	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	18	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

CIN wins 6-4

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Oakland Athletics

PIT 36-37 (4.95 RPG / 4.88 RA)

6 - 4

OAK 36-36 (4.6 RPG / 5.18 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 6-4 TARGET: PIT 6 - 5 OAK (PIT) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	2	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	6	7
OAK	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	4	8

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.311

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-151.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.297

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-153.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record36-36

Win%0.500

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.194

OAK Season Quality

Record35-36

Win%0.493

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.718

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9233; margin adjustment: -0.3878; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	67	221	62	0.281	9	31	0.383	5	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.338	0.396	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	67	259	62	0.239	17	46	0.323	5	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.289	0.442	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	73	259	70	0.270	8	42	0.394	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.263	0.369	0.457	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	57	211	58	0.275	10	35	0.338	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.240	0.294	0.366	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	66	250	74	0.296	2	31	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.294	0.333	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	21	56	15	0.268	3	7	0.388	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.275	0.386	0.512	OK
Tyler Callihan	RF	10	27	8	0.296	2	6	0.441	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.156	0.286	0.355	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	46	143	43	0.301	1	12	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.308	0.347	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	37	119	27	0.227	0	7	0.292	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.219	0.278	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	6	6	4	6	0.206

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	71	256	75	0.293	18	57	0.443	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.295	0.427	0.613	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	65	271	76	0.280	18	36	0.344	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.309	0.483	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	69	254	62	0.244	12	39	0.337	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.349	0.511	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	42	173	49	0.283	3	21	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.274	0.353	OK
Carlos Cortes	DH	58	170	50	0.294	6	21	0.379	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.164	0.245	0.300	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	52	189	52	0.275	9	26	0.322	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.184	0.225	0.347	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	60	176	34	0.193	4	18	0.276	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.276	0.344	0.421	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	27	92	30	0.326	1	7	0.388	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.293	0.334	0.409	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	64	210	50	0.238	3	19	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.296	0.350	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	4	4	1	5	0.229

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Keller	Starter	14	75.6	5.24	1.336	6.9	58	5.0	6	4	4	1	3	91	5.0	3	4
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	30	28.7	2.51	0.836	11.0	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	30	26.9	4.35	1.450	8.0	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	26	24.4	2.21	1.393	13.3	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	7	1.0	1	0
Carmen Mlodzinski	Middle Reliever	14	63.1	4.14	1.521	7.7	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1.0	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	19	32.5	6.92	1.508	11.9	43	4.0	6	6	6	2	3	88	4.0	3	6
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	36	26.2	3.44	1.908	13.4	39	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	31	25.4	5.67	1.575	11.0	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	32	26.2	4.81	1.374	8.9	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	34	28.1	3.84	1.210	10.2	32	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	35	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 6-4

San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals

SD 37-34 (3.83 RPG / 4.01 RA)

2 - 4

STL 39-31 (4.6 RPG / 4.39 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 4-2 TARGET: SD 2 - 3 STL (STL) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
STL	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	x	4	6

SD Recent Form

Win%0.210

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-149.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.167

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-88.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record37-34

Win%0.521

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.183

STL Season Quality

Record39-31

Win%0.557

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.214

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4514; margin adjustment: 0.1896; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	69	269	75	0.279	2	23	0.347	5	4	3	1	0	1	0	0.750	0.255	0.318	0.369	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	67	259	53	0.205	7	27	0.272	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.210	0.266	0.354	OK
Manny Machado	3B	69	254	45	0.177	12	35	0.255	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.204	0.270	0.367	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	67	235	53	0.226	8	27	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.292	0.307	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	64	206	47	0.228	11	30	0.318	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.228	0.306	0.421	OK
Samad Taylor	RF	8	28	10	0.357	1	8	0.419	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.170	0.242	0.280	OK
Ty France	1B	44	135	34	0.252	6	18	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.255	0.349	OK
Will Wagner	DH	6	12	4	0.333	0	0	0.529	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.233	0.429	0.380	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	15	37	6	0.162	3	6	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.201	0.318	0.426	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	2	2	5	5	0.206

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	64	250	63	0.252	10	30	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.255	0.326	0.383	OK
Iván Herrera	C	69	255	66	0.259	9	30	0.390	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.356	0.439	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	68	268	76	0.284	13	51	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.261	0.318	0.528	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	68	268	80	0.299	17	53	0.353	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.312	0.486	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	10	35	9	0.257	2	5	0.366	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.269	0.363	0.458	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	61	229	53	0.231	2	26	0.304	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.232	0.297	0.325	OK
Jimmy Crooks	DH	9	28	6	0.214	1	6	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.306	0.432	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	4	15	5	0.333	1	4	0.333	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.250	0.260	0.488	OK
Nathan Church	CF	48	169	43	0.254	5	17	0.291	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.234	0.275	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	6	4	4	4	8	0.200

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	14	78.8	3.54	1.180	8.2	72	5.2	6	4	4	4	7	105	5.2	7	4
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	29	23.0	1.96	1.391	6.7	17	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	2.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	33	29.7	4.85	1.279	12.4	41	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.1	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	13	68.5	3.94	1.285	7.4	56	5.1	4	2	2	3	4	103	5.1	4	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	30	28.7	4.08	1.289	10.0	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	31	25.9	3.47	1.313	9.4	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	33	25.0	5.04	1.680	11.5	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	31	23.2	6.59	1.897	13.2	34	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	15	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 4-2

San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves

SF 29-43 (4.11 RPG / 4.89 RA)

2 - 6

ATL 46-25 (5.06 RPG / 3.55 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-2 TARGET: SF 1 - 6 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 65.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
ATL	0	0	5	0	1	0	0	0	x	6	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.203

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-173.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.333

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-100.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record29-43

Win%0.403

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.778

ATL Season Quality

Record46-25

Win%0.648

Run Diff107

RD/Game1.507

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.6525; margin adjustment: 1.114; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	68	272	88	0.324	2	25	0.357	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.292	0.391	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	31	104	33	0.317	5	14	0.405	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.295	0.384	0.546	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	70	257	66	0.257	7	39	0.344	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.278	0.361	0.522	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	71	277	66	0.238	9	33	0.297	4	2	2	1	2	2	0	1.000	0.216	0.279	0.396	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	63	241	81	0.336	3	24	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.288	0.318	0.401	OK
Willy Adames	SS	69	277	64	0.231	11	29	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.190	0.235	0.347	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	63	253	69	0.273	15	37	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.255	0.418	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	48	139	32	0.230	3	14	0.282	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.214	0.271	0.354	OK
Daniel Susac	C	27	87	26	0.299	0	13	0.354	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.154	0.207	0.249	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	2	2	5	7	0.206

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	48	188	57	0.303	13	38	0.389	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.289	0.372	0.545	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	66	244	74	0.303	14	41	0.335	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.279	0.310	0.456	OK
Matt Olson	1B	71	278	75	0.270	20	51	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.268	0.334	0.546	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	71	272	76	0.279	10	37	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.274	0.326	0.408	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	54	156	44	0.282	6	29	0.307	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.274	0.381	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	67	247	64	0.259	6	37	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.264	0.314	0.416	OK
Austin Riley	3B	71	256	52	0.203	8	34	0.287	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.294	0.343	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	63	177	41	0.232	3	17	0.313	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.224	0.297	0.333	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	17	56	5	0.089	0	3	0.177	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.170	0.247	0.225	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	8	6	6	4	3	0.250

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Adrian Houser	Starter	13	61.5	5.85	1.626	6.7	46	4.1	6	5	5	1	1	82	4.1	1	5
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	30	27.7	3.57	1.300	11.7	36	0.2	0	0	0	2	0	16	0.2	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	23	16.4	4.94	1.890	14.8	27	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	16	0.1	0	1
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	6	4.3	0.00	0.698	12.6	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	13	9.0	2.00	2.111	13.0	13	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2	0	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	24	33.2	3.25	1.386	7.0	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	4	1.0	2	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	13	64.8	4.17	1.373	8.2	59	5.0	5	2	2	4	3	100	5.0	3	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	22	22.4	1.21	1.027	10.8	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	30	29.5	0.61	0.814	7.9	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	33	28.4	1.27	0.704	12.7	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	20	25.9	2.43	1.120	11.5	33	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers

TB 41-28 (4.51 RPG / 4.41 RA)

1 - 3

LAD 46-27 (5.34 RPG / 3.4 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 3-1 TARGET: TB 1 - 2 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 58.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7
LAD	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	x	3	5

TB Recent Form

Win%0.217

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-138.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.311

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-84.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record41-27

Win%0.603

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.118

LAD Season Quality

Record45-27

Win%0.625

Run Diff141

RD/Game1.958

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.8738; margin adjustment: 0.787; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	66	255	80	0.314	12	46	0.392	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.320	0.389	OK
Austin Slater	RF	5	18	5	0.278	0	1	0.350	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.243	0.299	0.346	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	68	246	68	0.276	11	48	0.380	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.349	0.381	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	69	262	72	0.275	15	32	0.372	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.241	0.333	0.419	OK
Ryan Vilade	LF	39	107	32	0.299	4	24	0.358	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.280	0.344	0.469	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	49	153	39	0.255	1	18	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.235	0.295	0.359	OK
Chandler Simpson	CF	63	248	66	0.266	0	14	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.126	0.170	0.180	OK
Nick Fortes	C	53	162	43	0.265	1	14	0.310	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.266	0.291	0.377	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	49	154	33	0.214	0	16	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.313	0.302	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	1	1	3	10	0.206

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	66	252	75	0.298	14	41	0.421	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.279	0.406	0.572	OK
Andy Pages	CF	72	279	75	0.269	15	56	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.277	0.399	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	70	265	73	0.275	11	38	0.365	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.257	0.344	0.455	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	37	151	31	0.205	7	18	0.262	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.244	0.293	0.399	OK
Max Muncy	3B	66	219	59	0.269	16	28	0.373	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.280	0.383	0.536	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	69	255	61	0.239	6	39	0.337	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.338	0.405	OK
Ryan Ward	LF	14	40	10	0.250	3	11	0.302	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.260	0.317	0.505	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	49	139	32	0.230	3	16	0.310	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.214	0.296	0.327	OK
Chuckie Robinson	C	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.225	0.238	0.337
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	5	3	3	2	8	0.172

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	13	72.3	2.74	0.885	9.6	77	6.0	4	3	3	1	6	104	6.0	6	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	30	27.4	1.97	0.985	10.5	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	30	27.0	2.67	0.963	8.3	25	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	12	72.4	2.98	1.064	5.6	45	6.0	6	0	0	1	5	110	6.0	5	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	32	27.9	2.58	0.789	11.6	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	24	25.4	2.48	1.457	11.3	32	1.0	1	1	1	2	2	24	1.0	2	1
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	32	17.5	3.60	1.314	15.9	31	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	10	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 3-1

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

TOR 34-38 (4.07 RPG / 4.38 RA)

3 - 1

BOS 29-40 (4.03 RPG / 4.09 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 3-1 TARGET: TOR 2 - 1 BOS (TOR) Confidence: 54.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	7
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.215

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-146.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.236

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-125.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record34-38

Win%0.472

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.306

BOS Season Quality

Record29-40

Win%0.420

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.058

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1697; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	50	192	40	0.208	6	16	0.303	5	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.216	0.309	0.362	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	71	276	84	0.304	7	28	0.324	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.267	0.290	0.413	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	67	246	69	0.280	3	27	0.365	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.239	0.319	0.334	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	7	27	7	0.259	1	4	0.355	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.260	0.346	0.400	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	69	255	60	0.235	15	42	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.318	0.469	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	37	119	37	0.311	1	13	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.281	0.320	0.381	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	34	76	11	0.145	2	9	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.320	0.343	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	67	225	50	0.222	6	30	0.269	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.251	0.337	OK
Myles Straw	CF	51	110	27	0.245	2	9	0.300	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.148	0.210	0.221	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	3	3	5	8	0.206

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Masataka Yoshida	DH	44	134	33	0.246	1	10	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.155	0.220	0.246	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	64	238	68	0.286	7	32	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.295	0.450	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	68	265	74	0.279	8	34	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.304	0.430	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	65	237	72	0.304	16	43	0.394	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.294	0.351	0.592	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	64	261	55	0.211	11	36	0.268	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.252	0.362	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	61	201	39	0.194	3	26	0.255	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.266	0.397	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	38	110	30	0.273	1	12	0.333	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.246	0.307	0.336	OK
Marcelo Mayer	SS	60	180	40	0.222	3	18	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.141	0.196	0.243	OK
Connor Wong	C	25	74	19	0.257	0	10	0.345	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.151	0.224	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	1	1	0	9	0.206

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	12	66.6	2.97	1.186	13.9	103	5.2	4	0	0	0	8	99	5.2	8	0
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	34	34.4	1.05	1.076	12.8	49	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	34	30.2	2.09	1.126	6.0	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	33	27.3	6.26	1.758	17.1	52	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	13	1.1	0	1

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	9	52.4	2.75	1.069	9.3	54	6.0	3	2	2	3	6	108	6.0	6	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	21	20.2	0.45	0.941	12.5	28	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	22	21.2	2.97	1.085	11.5	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	15	11.0	8.18	1.909	13.9	17	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	27	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

TOR wins 3-1

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners

BAL Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees

CHW Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Milwaukee Brewers

CLE Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs

COL Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

COL Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros

DET Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

DET Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Washington Nationals

KC Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

KC Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAA Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies