MLB Predictions — June 14, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ CIN	3 - 4	3 - 5	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
ATL @ NYM	2 - 1	2 - 1	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 2-1	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ SF	2 - 1	2 - 1	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 2-1	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ OAK	4 - 6	4 - 6	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 6-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
DET @ CLE	1 - 2	1 - 2	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 2-1	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ KC	2 - 1	3 - 1	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 3-1	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ CHW	3 - 2	4 - 3	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ PIT	1 - 2	2 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 3-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYY @ TOR	5 - 1	6 - 1	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-1	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PHI @ MIL	1 - 2	1 - 2	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 2-1	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SD @ BAL	5 - 4	6 - 2	SD	SD	SD wins 6-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ WAS	3 - 1	5 - 0	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 5-0	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
STL @ MIN	3 - 1	2 - 1	STL	STL	STL wins 2-1	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TB @ LAA	4 - 2	5 - 3	TB	TB	TB wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ BOS	3 - 2	3 - 2	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 3-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds

ARI 36-35 (4.23 RPG / 4.51 RA)

3 - 5

CIN 33-37 (4.19 RPG / 5.01 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 5-3 TARGET: ARI 3 - 4 CIN (CIN) Confidence: 55.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	9
CIN	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	x	5	9

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.266

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-120.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.197

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-191.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record35-35

Win%0.500

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.314

CIN Season Quality

Record33-36

Win%0.478

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.812

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5299; margin adjustment: -0.2226; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	DH	65	267	67	0.251	11	40	0.300	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.244	0.291	0.406	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	67	248	70	0.282	12	34	0.373	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.257	0.332	0.534	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	46	154	41	0.266	5	22	0.352	5	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.271	0.357	0.467	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	65	218	53	0.243	8	31	0.325	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.213	0.281	0.336	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	59	221	60	0.271	7	37	0.305	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.256	0.329	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	67	231	55	0.238	3	22	0.344	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.253	0.360	0.350	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	7	22	8	0.364	1	4	0.440	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.306	0.341	0.480	OK
LuJames Groover	1B	4	15	3	0.200	0	1	0.200	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.226	0.236	0.308	OK
Tommy Troy	LF	17	54	12	0.222	1	1	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.204	0.304	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	3	3	3	6	0.250

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Blake Dunn	CF	24	100	28	0.280	2	5	0.333	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.159	0.214	0.257	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	40	152	41	0.270	11	29	0.360	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.320	0.451	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	68	255	64	0.251	13	42	0.350	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.220	0.323	0.397	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	49	146	36	0.247	8	24	0.333	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.155	0.255	0.277	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	42	152	33	0.217	5	18	0.281	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.222	0.279	0.359	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	17	51	11	0.216	2	2	0.259	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.283	0.396	OK
Matt McLain	SS	62	227	47	0.207	8	25	0.302	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.309	0.389	OK
Jose Trevino	C	10	29	4	0.138	0	2	0.167	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.179	0.209	0.278	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	8	24	6	0.250	0	2	0.321	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.214	0.276	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	5	5	3	7	0.273

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	14	67.8	5.58	1.593	6.1	46	5.0	7	4	4	2	5	104	5.0	5	4
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	21	1.0	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	14	72.8	4.20	1.442	6.6	53	5.0	8	3	3	1	3	105	5.0	3	3
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	30	24.9	4.70	1.486	9.0	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	34	27.4	3.61	1.715	9.9	30	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Sam Moll	Middle Reliever	30	22.4	3.62	1.339	12.5	31	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	8	6.8	2.65	1.471	11.9	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 5-3

Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets

ATL 46-25 (5.06 RPG / 3.55 RA)

2 - 1

NYM 32-39 (4.06 RPG / 4.21 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 2-1 TARGET: ATL 2 - 1 NYM (ATL) Confidence: 58.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	9
NYM	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.339

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-92.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.361

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-130.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record46-24

Win%0.657

Run Diff114

RD/Game1.629

NYM Season Quality

Record31-39

Win%0.443

Run Diff-18

RD/Game-0.257

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.2071; margin adjustment: -0.927; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	65	241	73	0.303	14	41	0.332	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.280	0.308	0.463	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	66	243	63	0.259	6	37	0.316	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.306	0.406	OK
Matt Olson	1B	70	274	74	0.270	20	51	0.341	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.263	0.330	0.552	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	70	268	76	0.284	10	37	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.339	0.425	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	53	153	44	0.288	6	28	0.315	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.242	0.275	0.378	OK
Austin Riley	3B	70	253	52	0.206	8	34	0.288	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.212	0.288	0.342	OK
Eli White	RF	34	78	19	0.244	3	14	0.286	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.294	0.471	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	62	175	41	0.234	3	17	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.293	0.336	OK
Sandy León	C	17	39	3	0.077	0	0	0.077	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.167	0.177	0.232	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	2	2	2	8	0.250

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	65	240	61	0.254	7	26	0.317	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.218	0.266	0.351	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	69	277	65	0.235	8	40	0.280	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.272	0.426	OK
Juan Soto	DH	52	192	56	0.292	15	32	0.380	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.259	0.346	0.491	OK
Jared Young	1B	24	71	19	0.268	4	8	0.333	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.146	0.206	0.293	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	30	100	25	0.250	1	7	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.306	0.336	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	69	248	55	0.222	8	25	0.277	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.199	0.257	0.315	OK
Brett Baty	3B	61	206	47	0.228	3	25	0.284	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.195	0.248	0.294	OK
MJ Melendez	LF	43	100	21	0.210	4	11	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.208	0.275	0.391	OK
Luis Torrens	C	41	115	26	0.226	1	15	0.282	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.144	0.177	0.268	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	5	1	1	6	7	0.156

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	14	82.1	2.74	1.084	7.8	71	6.1	4	1	1	3	5	115	6.1	5	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	22	22.4	1.21	1.027	10.8	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	30	29.5	0.61	0.814	7.9	26	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	33	28.4	1.27	0.704	12.7	40	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	14	0.2	1	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	14	75.9	4.15	1.357	9.4	79	5.2	6	2	2	1	4	104	5.2	4	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	25	21.7	4.56	1.429	15.3	37	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	28	27.9	2.58	1.004	8.7	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	29	21.1	2.56	1.564	13.2	31	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 2-1

Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants

CHC 37-35 (4.57 RPG / 4.44 RA)

2 - 1

SF 29-43 (4.11 RPG / 4.89 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 2-1 TARGET: CHC 2 - 1 SF (CHC) Confidence: 56.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.092

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-187.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.190

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-180.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record36-34

Win%0.514

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.114

SF Season Quality

Record28-42

Win%0.400

Run Diff-55

RD/Game-0.786

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0714; margin adjustment: -0.45; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	70	262	70	0.267	12	33	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.273	0.326	0.505	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	69	276	69	0.250	6	22	0.337	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.241	0.320	0.376	OK
Michael Busch	1B	69	249	64	0.257	8	42	0.384	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.379	0.482	OK
Ian Happ	LF	66	247	57	0.231	16	37	0.346	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.330	0.490	OK
Michael Conforto	RF	42	93	22	0.237	4	12	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.135	0.235	0.291	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	10	28	7	0.250	1	2	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.162	0.242	0.313	OK
Carson Kelly	C	50	166	46	0.277	3	18	0.351	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.311	0.378	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	55	150	35	0.233	6	22	0.299	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.301	0.351	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	65	217	39	0.180	7	28	0.287	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.186	0.292	0.301	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	2	2	2	5	0.156

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt Chapman	3B	69	254	65	0.256	6	37	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.285	0.355	0.497	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	67	268	88	0.328	2	25	0.362	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.282	0.313	0.416	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	30	101	32	0.317	5	13	0.402	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.303	0.389	0.564	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	70	274	65	0.237	9	33	0.294	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.212	0.273	0.397	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	62	250	67	0.268	15	37	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.254	0.413	OK
Willy Adames	SS	68	273	64	0.234	11	29	0.278	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.250	0.377	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	62	237	79	0.333	3	24	0.368	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.306	0.337	0.422	OK
Daniel Susac	C	26	84	25	0.298	0	12	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.152	0.207	0.250	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	47	136	31	0.228	3	13	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.255	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	1	1	4	9	0.156

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Rolison	Starter	20	20.5	2.63	1.463	10.5	24	5.0	0	0	0	3	3	80	5.0	3	0
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	17	14.5	2.48	1.310	9.9	16	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	29	26.3	3.08	1.483	12.0	35	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	19	14.5	3.72	1.310	12.4	20	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	32	24.5	4.78	1.429	5.5	15	0.2	3	1	1	0	1	17	0.2	1	1

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	11	67.1	3.89	1.192	7.8	58	6.0	3	2	2	2	4	93	6.0	4	2
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	29	26.7	3.71	1.348	11.5	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	29	28.1	3.52	1.068	8.3	26	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	5	1.1	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	23	16.4	4.94	1.890	14.8	27	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 2-1

Colorado Rockies @ Oakland Athletics

COL 27-45 (4.57 RPG / 5.82 RA)

4 - 6

OAK 35-36 (4.51 RPG / 5.23 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 6-4 TARGET: COL 4 - 6 OAK (OAK) Confidence: 55.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	9
OAK	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	6	11

COL Recent Form

Win%0.194

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-241.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.290

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-161.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record26-44

Win%0.371

Run Diff-102

RD/Game-1.457

OAK Season Quality

Record34-35

Win%0.493

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.565

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0739; margin adjustment: 0.451; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willi Castro	2B	58	203	54	0.266	3	22	0.339	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.252	0.318	0.363	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	42	143	39	0.273	3	18	0.354	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.182	0.234	0.286	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	65	234	66	0.282	8	31	0.362	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.269	0.345	0.456	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	65	246	58	0.236	18	33	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.291	0.449	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	63	228	49	0.215	5	23	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.255	0.357	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	5	19	4	0.211	2	4	0.250	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.228	0.268	0.485	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	66	193	46	0.238	3	17	0.341	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.260	0.356	0.393	OK
Troy Johnston	LF	64	221	70	0.317	2	29	0.368	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.276	0.326	0.411	OK
Braxton Fulford	DH	16	27	6	0.222	1	4	0.290	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.125	0.207	0.220	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	4	4	2	14	0.250

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lawrence Butler	CF	58	167	29	0.174	4	17	0.262	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.313	0.390	OK
Nick Kurtz	DH	69	249	71	0.285	16	50	0.437	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.282	0.421	0.583	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	67	245	58	0.237	11	37	0.333	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.264	0.358	0.553	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	56	160	49	0.306	6	19	0.395	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.167	0.259	0.330	OK
Zack Gelof	2B	50	181	49	0.271	9	25	0.316	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.183	0.228	0.373	OK
Jonah Heim	C	17	48	11	0.229	4	6	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.341	0.582	OK
Max Muncy	3B	30	107	25	0.234	2	11	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.281	0.376	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	62	203	47	0.232	2	15	0.301	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.267	0.274	OK
Alika Williams	SS	12	36	10	0.278	1	5	0.316	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.151	0.199	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	36	11	6	6	0	7	0.306

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	13	66.0	4.23	1.333	5.3	39	5.1	6	2	2	0	5	88	5.1	5	2
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	20	33.9	2.39	1.150	8.5	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.1	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	29	27.0	7.00	1.963	12.0	36	0.1	3	2	2	0	1	19	0.1	1	2
Seth Halvorsen	Middle Reliever	17	14.0	3.86	1.929	10.3	16	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	14	73.6	4.77	1.318	7.7	63	5.1	6	2	2	2	7	105	5.1	7	2
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	36	26.2	3.44	1.908	13.4	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	30	1.0	3	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	31	25.4	5.67	1.575	11.0	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	31	26.0	3.46	1.231	8.7	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	33	27.1	3.99	1.218	10.0	30	0.2	2	2	2	0	1	14	0.2	1	2

Game Summary

OAK wins 6-4

Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

DET 29-42 (4.06 RPG / 4.23 RA)

1 - 2

CLE 39-33 (4.01 RPG / 4.06 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 2-1 TARGET: DET 1 - 2 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	x	2	4

DET Recent Form

Win%0.306

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-116.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.262

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-123.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record29-42

Win%0.408

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.169

CLE Season Quality

Record39-33

Win%0.542

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.042

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3272; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt Vierling	CF	52	172	33	0.192	4	22	0.255	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.120	0.186	0.226	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	67	251	70	0.279	4	24	0.386	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.334	0.366	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	42	156	44	0.282	4	18	0.397	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.374	0.421	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	69	233	48	0.206	11	27	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.213	0.295	0.437	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	63	232	60	0.259	16	50	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.273	0.325	0.527	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	45	132	24	0.182	2	10	0.272	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.322	0.369	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	48	135	32	0.237	9	26	0.316	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.315	0.480	OK
Riley Greene	LF	70	252	76	0.302	8	33	0.392	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.240	0.337	0.439	OK
Colt Keith	3B	64	189	48	0.254	1	9	0.299	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.214	0.258	0.351	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	1	1	2	9	0.129

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Daniel Schneemann	CF	55	179	41	0.229	5	22	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.272	0.362	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	68	222	61	0.275	5	32	0.349	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.289	0.360	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	41	151	38	0.252	4	17	0.345	3	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.300	0.344	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	61	188	44	0.234	7	21	0.319	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.318	0.396	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	16	51	10	0.196	1	5	0.236	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.213	0.263	0.316	OK
José Ramírez	3B	71	265	64	0.242	10	33	0.340	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.239	0.324	0.395	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	62	226	54	0.239	11	33	0.276	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.155	0.184	0.318	OK
Steven Kwan	CF	62	226	49	0.217	1	13	0.322	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.312	0.283	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	64	237	63	0.266	7	34	0.336	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.242	0.315	0.360	OK
TEAM TOTALS									29	28	4	2	2	1	7	0.143

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	9	45.8	2.36	1.004	9.6	49	5.2	4	2	2	1	6	87	5.2	6	2
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	21	18.1	7.46	1.657	11.4	23	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	19	0.2	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	30	28.7	1.57	1.533	6.3	20	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.2	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	14	85.5	3.37	1.111	10.4	99	6.1	3	1	1	1	9	96	6.1	9	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	31	31.5	2.57	1.079	14.0	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	21	16.1	3.91	1.491	7.8	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	20	16.2	2.22	1.296	11.1	20	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	14	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 2-1

Houston Astros @ Kansas City Royals

HOU 33-40 (4.56 RPG / 5.1 RA)

3 - 1

KC 29-43 (4.0 RPG / 4.68 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 3-1 TARGET: HOU 2 - 1 KC (HOU) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	8
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.371

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-187.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.164

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-176.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record33-39

Win%0.458

Run Diff-35

RD/Game-0.486

KC Season Quality

Record28-43

Win%0.394

Run Diff-53

RD/Game-0.746

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3563; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	33	129	36	0.279	3	12	0.352	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.313	0.351	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	70	253	84	0.332	24	54	0.441	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.327	0.419	0.603	OK
Christian Walker	1B	70	263	66	0.251	18	52	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.297	0.479	OK
Joey Loperfido	LF	22	65	16	0.246	0	7	0.333	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.235	0.321	0.355	OK
Cam Smith	RF	69	236	51	0.216	7	26	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.227	0.298	0.391	OK
Jake Meyers	CF	31	104	23	0.221	3	10	0.281	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.282	0.367	OK
Brice Matthews	2B	54	158	33	0.209	6	17	0.254	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.299	0.481	OK
Collin Price	C	4	10	2	0.200	0	0	0.273	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.206	0.275	0.370	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	24	72	21	0.292	0	7	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.152	0.210	0.268	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	3	3	1	9	0.229

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	DH	63	213	47	0.221	8	35	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.288	0.389	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	70	279	79	0.283	9	27	0.353	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.329	0.410	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	64	212	56	0.264	8	19	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.205	0.282	0.374	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	62	246	65	0.264	3	25	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.296	0.359	OK
Michael Massey	2B	51	152	41	0.270	6	23	0.288	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.178	0.203	0.324	OK
Salvador Perez	C	64	249	52	0.209	9	26	0.256	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.238	0.303	OK
Kameron Misner	CF	3	9	4	0.444	0	3	0.500	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.141	0.222	0.195	OK
Lane Thomas	RF	51	131	30	0.229	3	15	0.354	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.341	0.352	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	59	187	40	0.214	3	17	0.338	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.314	0.301	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	1	1	1	7	0.156

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	10	56.3	2.24	1.208	8.5	53	6.0	3	0	0	1	5	94	6.0	5	0
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	0.00	0.200	12.6	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	28	25.9	2.78	1.506	8.3	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	26	21.0	7.29	2.048	13.3	31	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	12	1.0	1	1

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Stephen Kolek	Starter	7	42.3	3.19	1.087	6.4	30	6.1	6	3	3	1	6	102	6.1	6	3
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	30	30.1	4.49	1.561	10.5	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	27	24.7	5.10	1.862	8.0	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	4	1.0	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	29	25.5	2.12	1.059	10.2	29	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 3-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago White Sox

LAD 45-27 (5.36 RPG / 3.4 RA)

4 - 3

CHW 38-32 (4.76 RPG / 4.59 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-3 TARGET: LAD 3 - 2 CHW (LAD) Confidence: 55.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	4	7
CHW	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	6

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.344

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-73.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.308

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff-62.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record45-26

Win%0.634

Run Diff143

RD/Game2.014

CHW Season Quality

Record37-32

Win%0.536

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.145

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.0155; margin adjustment: -0.8465; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	64	246	75	0.305	14	41	0.426	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.310	0.426	0.610	OK
Andy Pages	CF	70	270	75	0.278	15	56	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.300	0.444	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	68	258	71	0.275	10	37	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.262	0.344	0.431	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	35	143	28	0.196	6	17	0.256	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.282	0.344	OK
Max Muncy	3B	64	213	58	0.272	16	28	0.372	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.312	0.405	0.585	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	67	247	58	0.235	5	36	0.336	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.343	0.383	OK
Ryan Ward	LF	12	35	8	0.229	3	11	0.270	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.248	0.293	0.486	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	37	115	31	0.270	8	21	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.343	0.467	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	47	134	31	0.231	3	14	0.316	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.327	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	3	0.206

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	50	172	48	0.279	1	16	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.302	0.345	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	67	247	61	0.247	16	44	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.349	0.451	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	62	199	46	0.231	7	31	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.284	0.405	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	66	243	53	0.218	16	38	0.317	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.203	0.283	0.413	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	4	15	4	0.267	1	4	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.218	0.267	0.451	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	66	251	70	0.279	5	23	0.346	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.326	0.361	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	1B	11	33	8	0.242	1	5	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.310	0.324	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	61	174	52	0.299	3	21	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.172	0.235	0.357	OK
Drew Romo	C	24	80	13	0.162	5	11	0.253	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.106	0.188	0.229	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	7	0.182

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	12	57.0	4.89	1.263	10.1	64	4.2	3	1	1	1	4	84	4.2	4	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	31	26.9	2.68	0.818	11.7	35	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	23	25.2	2.50	1.429	11.4	32	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	19	1.0	2	2
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	31	17.4	3.62	1.322	16.0	31	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	7	1.1	0	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	26	17.5	3.09	1.486	11.3	22	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Hudson	Starter	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	5.0	1	0	0	0	2	66	5.0	2	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	2	3	3	1	0	23	1.0	0	3
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	3	1	1	1	0	15	1.0	0	1
Brandon Eisert	Middle Reliever	12	11.5	3.91	1.391	10.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	19	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-3

Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MIA 36-36 (4.31 RPG / 4.31 RA)

2 - 3

PIT 36-36 (4.99 RPG / 4.79 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 3-2 TARGET: MIA 1 - 2 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 55.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	9
PIT	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	x	3	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.290

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-125.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.317

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-134.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record25-34

Win%0.424

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.712

PIT Season Quality

Record32-32

Win%0.500

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.172

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9981; margin adjustment: 0.4192; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	1B	68	228	62	0.272	13	51	0.352	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	0.333	0.275	0.341	0.456	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	70	278	96	0.345	5	31	0.374	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.319	0.343	0.462	OK
Kyle Stowers	DH	48	176	38	0.216	5	21	0.305	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.227	0.302	0.396	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	71	260	78	0.300	6	24	0.383	5	3	2	0	0	2	0	0.667	0.265	0.354	0.384	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	42	127	30	0.236	5	25	0.295	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.272	0.323	0.420	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	59	168	36	0.214	6	35	0.271	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.277	0.406	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	68	236	48	0.203	3	17	0.335	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.230	0.345	0.342	OK
Joe Mack	C	30	93	22	0.237	1	13	0.283	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.249	0.295	0.356	OK
Connor Norby	3B	57	181	38	0.210	4	16	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.307	0.354	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	9	2	2	5	6	0.257

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	DH	65	213	61	0.286	9	31	0.386	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.266	0.348	0.442	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	65	249	61	0.245	17	46	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.299	0.463	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	71	253	67	0.265	7	41	0.386	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.340	0.414	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	55	202	57	0.282	10	35	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.303	0.406	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	64	243	72	0.296	2	31	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.283	0.330	OK
Tyler Callihan	RF	8	20	7	0.350	2	6	0.500	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.165	0.331	0.461	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	44	135	40	0.296	1	10	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.313	0.356	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	36	115	26	0.226	0	7	0.294	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.284	0.293	OK
Henry Davis	C	39	123	17	0.138	5	17	0.236	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.170	0.255	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	3	3	2	7	0.226

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Meyer	Starter	14	77.6	2.90	1.108	10.0	86	6.0	3	2	2	1	6	93	6.0	6	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	21	17.6	7.16	1.591	13.8	27	0.2	3	1	1	0	1	18	0.2	1	1
Ryan Gusto	Middle Reliever	4	9.0	6.00	1.444	9.0	9	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	23	1.1	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	14	74.6	2.90	0.952	10.7	89	6.0	4	0	0	3	6	109	6.0	6	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	30	28.7	2.51	0.836	11.0	35	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	29	25.9	4.52	1.506	7.6	22	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	26	1.0	0	2
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	25	23.4	2.31	1.410	13.8	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 3-2

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays

NYY 43-27 (5.11 RPG / 3.59 RA)

6 - 1

TOR 34-38 (4.07 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-1 TARGET: NYY 5 - 1 TOR (NYY) Confidence: 64.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	1	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	6	9
TOR	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	7

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.357

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-77.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.219

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-143.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record42-27

Win%0.609

Run Diff102

RD/Game1.478

TOR Season Quality

Record34-37

Win%0.479

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.239

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.9124; margin adjustment: -0.8032; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	42	151	43	0.285	9	31	0.351	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.283	0.340	0.514	OK
Ben Rice	DH	63	234	68	0.291	18	44	0.388	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.349	0.465	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	9	34	7	0.206	2	5	0.250	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.268	0.457	OK
Cody Bellinger	CF	68	248	67	0.270	10	45	0.367	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.351	0.450	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	34	101	26	0.257	6	19	0.294	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.280	0.417	OK
José Caballero	2B	57	189	49	0.259	5	18	0.316	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.257	0.308	0.388	OK
Max Schuemann	LF	9	21	5	0.238	0	3	0.407	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.132	0.312	0.304	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	20	67	13	0.194	1	9	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.193	0.298	0.308	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	4	7	0	0.000	0	0	0.125	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.179	0.273	0.267
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	6	6	1	5	0.250

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	49	187	38	0.203	6	16	0.300	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.192	0.289	0.337	OK
Nathan Lukes	CF	36	114	34	0.298	1	12	0.352	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.251	0.291	0.352	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	6	23	6	0.261	1	4	0.346	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.245	0.323	0.435	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	RF	38	117	35	0.299	4	17	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.314	0.407	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	68	251	58	0.231	15	41	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.293	0.427	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	65	192	56	0.292	7	29	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.192	0.226	0.343	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	70	272	83	0.305	7	28	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.288	0.429	OK
Davis Schneider	2B	33	73	9	0.123	1	8	0.273	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.150	0.280	0.246	OK
Charles McAdoo	1B	6	20	4	0.200	1	3	0.200	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.210	0.221	0.289	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	1	1	5	4	0.206

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	13	66.1	3.40	1.241	10.2	75	5.1	5	1	1	3	4	94	5.1	4	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	28	26.8	4.03	1.455	12.1	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	34	23.4	2.69	1.667	15.4	40	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	34	25.2	2.50	1.746	12.9	36	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	8	1.0	0	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	31	21.2	3.82	1.321	5.5	13	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Corbin	Starter	12	55.7	4.69	1.490	6.5	40	4.2	7	5	5	1	2	84	4.2	2	5
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	34	34.4	1.05	1.076	12.8	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	34	30.2	2.09	1.126	6.0	20	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	35	31.3	3.16	1.278	11.2	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	32	26.3	6.50	1.825	17.1	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	4	1.0	0	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	36	20.2	4.46	1.733	16.5	37	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-1

Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers

PHI 38-33 (4.01 RPG / 4.34 RA)

1 - 2

MIL 43-26 (5.36 RPG / 3.74 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 2-1 TARGET: PHI 1 - 2 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 56.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4
MIL	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	x	2	5

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.274

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.328

Avg Runs1.7

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-63.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record38-32

Win%0.543

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.271

MIL Season Quality

Record42-26

Win%0.618

Run Diff108

RD/Game1.588

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.9718; margin adjustment: 0.8282; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	66	253	62	0.245	23	41	0.359	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.347	0.469	OK
Trea Turner	SS	67	280	63	0.225	7	21	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.251	0.296	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	68	238	62	0.261	15	39	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.357	0.438	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	66	243	54	0.222	8	34	0.278	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.275	0.363	OK
Brandon Marsh	RF	64	228	75	0.329	8	32	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.267	0.303	0.430	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	37	103	23	0.223	4	18	0.248	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.152	0.170	0.284	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	63	217	50	0.230	6	32	0.285	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.309	0.405	OK
Rafael Marchán	C	21	68	7	0.103	2	6	0.141	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.170	0.188	0.272	OK
Derek Hill	CF	1	5	1	0.200	0	0	0.200	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.114	0.151	0.190	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	1	1	1	6	0.129

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	34	148	47	0.318	8	25	0.366	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.299	0.345	0.573	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	29	93	34	0.366	2	18	0.427	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.337	0.392	0.554	OK
William Contreras	DH	64	254	74	0.291	6	43	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.276	0.334	0.419	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	38	106	24	0.226	7	19	0.364	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.284	0.392	0.562	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	55	181	37	0.204	0	19	0.281	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.142	0.234	0.209	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	55	179	44	0.246	3	28	0.346	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.273	0.353	0.476	OK
Blake Perkins	RF	32	71	8	0.113	0	7	0.203	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.111	0.189	0.177	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	49	142	29	0.204	1	14	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.306	0.310	OK
David Hamilton	2B	53	164	37	0.226	3	11	0.306	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.202	0.280	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	29	5	2	2	6	8	0.172

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	14	92.4	1.56	1.071	11.0	113	7.0	4	2	2	4	8	116	7.0	8	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	24	23.2	1.16	0.862	13.6	35	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	15	0.2	0	0
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	31	28.7	4.39	1.429	9.7	31	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	17	0.1	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	12	58.5	2.77	1.179	11.8	77	6.0	1	0	0	1	6	88	6.0	6	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	25	25.0	2.88	1.080	12.2	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	25	21.8	4.13	1.330	10.3	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	30	36.8	3.18	1.549	13.7	56	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	6	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 2-1

San Diego Padres @ Baltimore Orioles

SD 37-33 (3.89 RPG / 4.03 RA)

6 - 2

BAL 34-39 (4.7 RPG / 5.15 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 6-2 TARGET: SD 5 - 4 BAL (SD) Confidence: 57.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	6	10
BAL	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	8

SD Recent Form

Win%0.230

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-140.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.242

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-155.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record36-33

Win%0.522

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.188

BAL Season Quality

Record34-38

Win%0.472

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.417

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3025; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	67	262	73	0.279	2	21	0.347	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.263	0.324	0.381	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	65	251	51	0.203	7	27	0.273	5	5	2	1	0	0	3	0.400	0.213	0.272	0.378	OK
Manny Machado	3B	67	247	44	0.178	12	35	0.255	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.213	0.275	0.392	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	65	229	53	0.231	8	27	0.310	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.230	0.309	0.327	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	62	200	46	0.230	11	30	0.319	5	4	1	1	4	1	1	0.250	0.227	0.303	0.439	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	7	24	9	0.375	1	8	0.444	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.256	0.289	OK
Nick Solak	DH	1	2	1	0.500	0	1	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.136	0.151	0.199	OK
Jase Bowen	RF	7	21	3	0.143	0	0	0.182	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.188	0.231	0.265	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	13	30	4	0.133	2	3	0.316	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.185	0.330	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	6	6	4	10	0.270

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	69	253	66	0.261	3	19	0.408	5	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.249	0.385	0.351	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	69	287	64	0.223	13	32	0.293	5	4	2	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.226	0.298	0.385	OK
Adley Rutschman	DH	49	183	50	0.273	8	40	0.346	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.276	0.352	0.491	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	70	268	69	0.257	16	48	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.272	0.348	0.527	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	57	189	49	0.259	10	29	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.290	0.422	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	56	179	46	0.257	2	28	0.337	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.160	0.241	0.277	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	55	139	31	0.223	6	20	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.307	0.393	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	50	169	42	0.249	5	23	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.268	0.344	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	48	143	43	0.301	2	19	0.353	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.287	0.328	0.433	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	2	2	3	8	0.235

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	13	60.0	4.50	1.400	8.0	53	5.0	5	1	1	1	3	85	5.0	3	1
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	28	26.8	1.01	0.896	18.8	56	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	17	1.0	3	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	28	22.9	1.57	1.310	6.7	17	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	32	28.6	5.03	1.294	12.9	41	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	29	27.9	2.58	1.362	9.4	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	12	57.2	6.45	1.556	6.9	44	4.2	6	4	4	3	7	101	4.2	7	4
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	31	25.4	1.42	0.787	11.0	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	18	13.8	7.17	1.667	9.8	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	30	19.7	2.28	0.711	9.6	21	1.0	3	2	2	1	2	26	1.0	2	2
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	30	30.3	4.75	1.254	11.3	38	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	32	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

SD wins 6-2

Seattle Mariners @ Washington Nationals

SEA 37-36 (4.26 RPG / 3.99 RA)

5 - 0

WAS 37-35 (5.44 RPG / 5.26 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 5-0 TARGET: SEA 3 - 1 WAS (SEA) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	5	10
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.339

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-97.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.266

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-146.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record37-35

Win%0.514

Run Diff29

RD/Game0.403

WAS Season Quality

Record36-35

Win%0.507

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.056

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3567; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	2B	72	261	68	0.261	5	32	0.324	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.267	0.309	0.383	OK
Julio Rodríguez	DH	72	290	73	0.252	13	34	0.314	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.232	0.297	0.359	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	67	266	67	0.252	8	32	0.315	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.289	0.360	OK
Luke Raley	LF	64	187	46	0.246	14	35	0.309	5	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.223	0.268	0.433	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	61	158	45	0.285	10	29	0.347	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.297	0.348	0.609	OK
Victor Robles	CF	14	40	11	0.275	0	2	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.260	0.340	OK
Miles Mastrobuoni	3B	4	13	3	0.231	0	1	0.267	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.298	0.328	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	18	60	17	0.283	2	4	0.338	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.263	0.308	0.353	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	22	73	17	0.233	6	14	0.309	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.222	0.279	0.508	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	5	5	3	10	0.270

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	71	270	74	0.274	19	44	0.408	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.270	0.381	0.517	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	65	215	56	0.260	9	43	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.175	0.204	0.393	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	20	78	15	0.192	3	9	0.241	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.211	0.235	0.347	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	69	254	74	0.291	14	53	0.380	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.274	0.336	0.466	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	43	138	37	0.268	5	27	0.290	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.258	0.284	0.442	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	70	278	73	0.263	8	36	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.275	0.332	0.438	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	60	195	39	0.200	0	20	0.286	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.223	0.297	0.286	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	50	129	31	0.240	1	9	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.307	0.345	OK
Jacob Young	CF	61	215	50	0.233	8	27	0.279	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.210	0.246	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	0	0	4	7	0.129

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	13	75.2	2.75	0.957	8.7	73	6.0	2	0	0	2	6	101	6.0	6	0
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	26	22.7	5.55	1.454	14.7	37	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	33	26.6	3.38	1.579	8.8	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	33	25.5	2.82	1.686	9.5	27	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
PJ Poulin	Starter	26	20.9	3.88	1.770	7.8	18	4.1	7	3	3	2	6	84	4.1	6	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	18	17.7	4.07	1.412	9.7	19	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	27	21.0	5.14	1.905	10.3	24	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	17	1.0	2	1
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	20	18.6	1.94	1.022	6.8	14	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	21	41.5	2.39	1.108	8.0	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-0

St. Louis Cardinals @ Minnesota Twins

STL 38-31 (4.62 RPG / 4.45 RA)

2 - 1

MIN 33-40 (4.63 RPG / 5.21 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 2-1 TARGET: STL 3 - 1 MIN (STL) Confidence: 57.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	7
MIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3

STL Recent Form

Win%0.169

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-86.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.215

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-188.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record38-30

Win%0.559

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.191

MIN Season Quality

Record32-40

Win%0.444

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.597

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.96; margin adjustment: -0.4032; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	SS	62	241	61	0.253	9	27	0.359	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.341	0.368	OK
Iván Herrera	C	67	249	66	0.265	9	30	0.393	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.294	0.388	0.489	OK
Alec Burleson	DH	66	260	74	0.285	12	49	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.331	0.546	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	66	260	78	0.300	17	53	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.282	0.326	0.523	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	8	28	7	0.250	2	5	0.364	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.346	0.451	OK
Blaze Jordan	1B	2	8	4	0.500	1	4	0.500	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.278	0.287	0.636	OK
Bryan Torres	2B	11	35	8	0.229	1	3	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.240	0.318	0.404	OK
José Fermín	LF	37	93	25	0.269	2	12	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.195	0.247	0.289	OK
Nathan Church	CF	46	164	41	0.250	5	17	0.279	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.265	0.361	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	2	2	1	12	0.206

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	55	173	43	0.249	3	16	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.147	0.246	0.249	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	60	245	66	0.269	22	34	0.331	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.264	0.317	0.598	OK
Kody Clemens	RF	58	203	50	0.246	10	25	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.160	0.214	0.374	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	38	130	27	0.208	6	17	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.319	0.475	OK
Josh Bell	DH	69	250	57	0.228	7	40	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.273	0.392	OK
Victor Caratini	C	51	160	34	0.212	3	23	0.304	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.303	0.347	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	66	246	59	0.240	11	38	0.296	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.284	0.409	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	43	120	31	0.258	4	27	0.303	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.247	0.294	0.358	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	65	234	57	0.244	2	23	0.318	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.296	0.339	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	1	1	2	3	0.100

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	13	71.4	3.03	1.092	6.2	49	5.2	2	1	1	1	3	87	5.2	3	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	30	28.7	4.08	1.289	10.0	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	30	24.7	3.28	1.255	8.7	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	32	24.9	4.34	1.526	11.2	31	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	6	1.1	0	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	12	63.6	4.10	1.415	10.3	73	5.0	2	1	1	1	6	96	5.0	6	1
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	18	12.3	2.20	1.463	13.9	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	33	22.2	6.08	1.667	10.9	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	11	14.5	7.45	1.655	10.6	17	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	6	1.1	0	1
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	28	27.1	5.98	1.771	9.6	29	0.2	2	0	0	0	2	13	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

STL wins 2-1

Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Angels

TB 41-27 (4.53 RPG / 4.41 RA)

5 - 3

LAA 29-43 (4.49 RPG / 5.01 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-3 TARGET: TB 4 - 2 LAA (TB) Confidence: 57.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	1	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	9
LAA	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	6

TB Recent Form

Win%0.220

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-142.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.274

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-148.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record40-26

Win%0.606

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.167

LAA Season Quality

Record28-42

Win%0.400

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.586

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0615; margin adjustment: -0.4458; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	64	246	80	0.325	12	46	0.402	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.288	0.356	0.454	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	66	238	64	0.269	11	48	0.375	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.337	0.362	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	59	201	39	0.194	6	21	0.279	5	4	3	1	1	1	1	0.750	0.234	0.305	0.394	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	67	253	69	0.273	14	30	0.373	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.246	0.344	0.398	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	62	243	65	0.267	0	12	0.302	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.132	0.177	0.188	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	47	139	32	0.230	1	20	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.135	0.234	0.214	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	47	145	37	0.255	0	17	0.329	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.299	0.324	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	34	76	19	0.250	1	5	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.136	0.218	0.208	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	12	37	6	0.162	1	3	0.262	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.187	0.279	0.265	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	5	5	5	7	0.250

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	68	268	61	0.228	13	32	0.333	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.294	0.396	OK
Mike Trout	CF	70	249	56	0.225	15	32	0.391	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.218	0.366	0.400	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	18	59	18	0.305	2	12	0.379	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.262	0.341	0.429	OK
Jo Adell	RF	71	277	69	0.249	10	39	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.279	0.386	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	54	204	53	0.260	4	25	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.306	0.364	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	4	18	4	0.222	0	4	0.222	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.238	0.347	OK
Nick Madrigal	2B	11	33	12	0.364	0	2	0.447	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.277	0.370	0.365	OK
Donovan Walton	DH	15	51	15	0.294	0	3	0.333	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.242	0.287	0.366	OK
Logan Porter	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.089	0.162	0.179
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	3	3	6	6	0.182

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Legumina	Starter	14	15.1	2.38	1.258	7.7	13	5.0	3	2	2	4	3	97	5.0	3	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	29	26.4	2.05	1.023	10.2	30	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	29	25.0	2.88	1.000	7.9	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	18	14.5	6.21	1.655	13.7	22	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	23	24.0	6.00	1.833	9.4	25	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	18	1.0	2	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	5	21.7	8.71	1.935	9.5	23	4.1	9	5	5	2	3	94	4.1	3	5
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	13	11.4	3.95	1.140	12.6	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	25	27.7	2.27	1.227	11.0	34	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	30	20.0	2.25	1.700	11.7	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Drew Pomeranz	Middle Reliever	24	19.0	5.68	1.842	7.6	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	27	29.2	5.55	1.541	12.6	41	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	20	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-3

Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox

TEX 34-36 (3.99 RPG / 3.93 RA)

3 - 2

BOS 29-39 (4.03 RPG / 4.06 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 3-2 TARGET: TEX 3 - 2 BOS (TEX) Confidence: 56.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	7
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.295

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-126.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-120.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record34-36

Win%0.486

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.057

BOS Season Quality

Record29-39

Win%0.426

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.029

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1754; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wyatt Langford	DH	28	112	27	0.241	2	7	0.280	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.272	0.364	OK
Josh Jung	3B	65	251	77	0.307	8	30	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.315	0.388	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	68	260	66	0.254	7	23	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.301	0.380	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	60	205	59	0.288	4	35	0.339	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.170	0.224	0.292	OK
Jake Burger	1B	68	250	62	0.248	12	42	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.333	0.476	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	25	68	16	0.235	3	9	0.284	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.135	0.185	0.279	OK
Cody Freeman	LF	2	6	2	0.333	0	0	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.139	0.152	0.201	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	35	111	25	0.225	4	11	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.137	0.223	0.242	OK
Alejandro Osuna	CF	36	91	23	0.253	0	9	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.307	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	4	0.206

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Masataka Yoshida	DH	43	130	31	0.238	1	10	0.315	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.137	0.206	0.218	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	63	234	68	0.291	7	32	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.305	0.462	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	67	261	73	0.280	8	33	0.337	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.301	0.427	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	64	233	69	0.296	14	41	0.388	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.328	0.496	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	63	257	54	0.210	11	36	0.268	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.246	0.355	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	60	198	39	0.197	3	26	0.255	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.266	0.406	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	37	106	29	0.274	1	12	0.336	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.301	0.329	OK
Marcelo Mayer	SS	59	177	39	0.220	3	17	0.281	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.132	0.191	0.236	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	38	118	25	0.212	2	3	0.285	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.260	0.288	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	2	2	1	8	0.129

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	13	79.4	4.31	1.196	8.7	77	6.1	4	2	2	1	4	96	6.1	4	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	24	30.6	0.88	0.523	9.7	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	4	1.1	2	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	24	27.5	1.64	0.764	6.5	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	25	18.4	6.85	1.739	12.2	25	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.1	1	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connelly Early	Starter	13	68.9	3.40	1.263	9.0	69	5.2	5	3	3	2	2	97	5.2	2	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	21	20.2	0.45	0.941	12.5	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	22	21.2	2.97	1.085	11.5	27	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	15	11.0	8.18	1.909	13.9	17	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 3-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds

ARI Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets

ATL Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants

CHC Recent Form

SF Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Oakland Athletics

COL Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

COL Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

DET Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

DET Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Kansas City Royals

HOU Recent Form

KC Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago White Sox

LAD Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates