MLB Predictions — June 13, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ CIN	4 - 2	5 - 2	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 5-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
ATL @ NYM	4 - 1	6 - 1	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-1	65%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ SF	2 - 1	2 - 0	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 2-0	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ OAK	3 - 6	3 - 6	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 6-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
DET @ CLE	4 - 2	4 - 3	DET	DET	DET wins 4-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ KC	4 - 3	4 - 2	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ CHW	3 - 1	4 - 1	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-1	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ PIT	4 - 2	6 - 2	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 6-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYY @ TOR	3 - 1	3 - 0	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-0	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PHI @ MIL	1 - 6	4 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SD @ BAL	5 - 4	5 - 4	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ WAS	4 - 3	4 - 2	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
STL @ MIN	3 - 2	4 - 3	STL	STL	STL wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TB @ LAA	3 - 2	4 - 1	TB	TB	TB wins 4-1	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ BOS	1 - 2	0 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-0	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds

ARI 35-35 (4.21 RPG / 4.53 RA)

5 - 2

CIN 33-36 (4.2 RPG / 5.01 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 5-2 TARGET: ARI 4 - 2 CIN (ARI) Confidence: 57.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	5	11
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	4

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.302

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-108.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.197

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-188.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record35-34

Win%0.507

Run Diff-21

RD/Game-0.304

CIN Season Quality

Record32-36

Win%0.471

Run Diff-57

RD/Game-0.838

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5889; margin adjustment: -0.2473; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	64	263	65	0.247	11	40	0.295	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.233	0.276	0.406	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	66	243	68	0.280	11	33	0.372	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.255	0.334	0.534	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	45	150	39	0.260	5	22	0.345	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.265	0.353	0.475	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	64	214	53	0.248	8	31	0.328	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.228	0.293	0.355	OK
Pavin Smith	1B	11	25	3	0.120	0	3	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.224	0.359	0.307	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	66	229	55	0.240	3	22	0.342	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.272	0.371	0.369	OK
Tommy Troy	LF	16	50	12	0.240	1	1	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.332	0.348	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	C	38	120	23	0.192	4	20	0.252	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.281	0.364	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	31	108	28	0.259	0	8	0.316	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.140	0.198	0.254	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	5	5	2	10	0.289

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edwin Arroyo	SS	7	22	5	0.227	0	1	0.280	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.292	0.299	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	39	149	41	0.275	11	29	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.233	0.323	0.461	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	67	252	64	0.254	13	42	0.354	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.325	0.399	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	48	143	36	0.252	8	24	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.160	0.262	0.283	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	65	230	59	0.257	10	26	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.293	0.401	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	41	149	33	0.221	5	18	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.226	0.285	0.376	OK
Noelvi Marte	CF	16	48	10	0.208	1	1	0.255	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.274	0.346	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	53	168	35	0.208	5	19	0.304	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.237	0.326	0.382	OK
Matt McLain	2B	61	224	46	0.205	8	25	0.302	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.303	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	10	0.129

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Soroka	Starter	13	72.6	3.35	1.171	8.9	72	6.2	2	0	0	1	7	94	6.2	7	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	2	0.1	1	1
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	9	40.4	5.12	1.485	6.9	31	4.1	7	3	3	1	6	85	4.1	6	3
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	29	23.9	4.90	1.548	9.4	25	1.0	2	2	2	1	2	23	1.0	2	2
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	34	27.4	3.61	1.715	9.9	30	1.1	2	0	0	0	2	23	1.1	2	0
Sam Moll	Middle Reliever	30	22.4	3.62	1.339	12.5	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	7	6.6	2.73	1.212	10.9	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 5-2

Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets

ATL 46-24 (5.11 RPG / 3.49 RA)

6 - 1

NYM 31-39 (4.0 RPG / 4.26 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-1 TARGET: ATL 4 - 1 NYM (ATL) Confidence: 64.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	6	10
NYM	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.288

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-94.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.367

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-132.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record45-24

Win%0.652

Run Diff112

RD/Game1.623

NYM Season Quality

Record31-38

Win%0.449

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.232

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.1594; margin adjustment: -0.907; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mauricio Dubón	LF	65	239	62	0.259	6	37	0.317	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.310	0.413	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	64	237	72	0.304	13	40	0.333	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.283	0.313	0.433	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	69	264	75	0.284	10	37	0.340	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.288	0.341	0.426	OK
Matt Olson	1B	69	270	73	0.270	20	51	0.342	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.261	0.330	0.550	OK
Austin Riley	3B	69	249	52	0.209	8	34	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.302	0.362	OK
Eli White	RF	33	74	16	0.216	2	12	0.262	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.264	0.346	OK
Jorge Mateo	DH	34	91	27	0.297	4	11	0.340	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.164	0.220	0.307	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	16	54	5	0.093	0	3	0.183	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.171	0.251	0.226	OK
Sandy León	C	16	36	3	0.083	0	0	0.083	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.173	0.183	0.246	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	6	6	2	3	0.270

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	CF	64	237	61	0.257	7	26	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.287	0.403	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	68	273	63	0.231	8	40	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.266	0.413	OK
Juan Soto	LF	51	188	54	0.287	15	32	0.378	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.338	0.468	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	57	194	41	0.211	7	26	0.245	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.109	0.137	0.214	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	68	245	55	0.224	8	25	0.277	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.213	0.263	0.357	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	38	121	29	0.240	5	12	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.295	0.405	OK
Eric Wagaman	DH	2	4	1	0.250	1	1	0.250	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.117	0.132	0.214	OK
MJ Melendez	RF	42	97	20	0.206	4	11	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.205	0.274	0.406	OK
Vidal Bruján	SS	4	8	1	0.125	0	1	0.222	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.181	0.264	0.262	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	1	1	2	7	0.182

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	13	55.5	3.08	1.081	7.6	47	5.1	5	1	1	0	5	88	5.1	5	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	21	21.4	1.26	0.981	10.9	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	29	28.5	0.63	0.842	7.9	25	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	32	28.2	1.28	0.674	12.4	39	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	14	40.9	5.28	1.516	9.9	45	4.0	7	6	6	0	1	71	4.0	1	6
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	25	21.7	4.56	1.429	15.3	37	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	28	27.9	2.58	1.004	8.7	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	29	21.1	2.56	1.564	13.2	31	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	29	28.6	2.52	1.189	9.4	30	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	0.00	0.806	8.7	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-1

Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants

CHC 36-34 (4.6 RPG / 4.49 RA)

2 - 0

SF 28-42 (4.14 RPG / 4.93 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 2-0 TARGET: CHC 2 - 1 SF (CHC) Confidence: 56.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.108

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-190.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.190

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-172.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record35-34

Win%0.507

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.058

SF Season Quality

Record28-41

Win%0.406

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.739

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9493; margin adjustment: -0.3987; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	69	257	67	0.261	11	32	0.341	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.313	0.453	OK
Alex Bregman	DH	68	272	68	0.250	6	22	0.335	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.310	0.363	OK
Michael Busch	1B	68	246	63	0.256	8	41	0.380	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.365	0.460	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	56	206	52	0.252	10	27	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.257	0.323	0.447	OK
Ian Happ	LF	65	242	56	0.231	15	36	0.348	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.226	0.332	0.465	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	68	272	67	0.246	4	34	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.237	0.308	0.332	OK
Pedro Ramirez	3B	9	23	5	0.217	0	1	0.308	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.145	0.239	0.230	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	31	92	20	0.217	3	10	0.321	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.197	0.275	0.308	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	64	213	39	0.183	7	28	0.289	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.188	0.292	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	6	2	2	2	8	0.188

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	66	263	87	0.331	2	24	0.365	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.289	0.319	0.411	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	29	98	31	0.316	5	13	0.398	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.303	0.384	0.564	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	61	246	66	0.268	15	37	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.247	0.406	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	69	270	63	0.233	9	33	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.196	0.262	0.375	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	61	233	79	0.339	3	24	0.373	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.322	0.351	0.440	OK
Willy Adames	SS	67	269	63	0.234	11	29	0.279	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.196	0.245	0.374	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	68	250	64	0.256	6	37	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.299	0.379	0.526	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	47	136	31	0.228	3	13	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.263	0.340	OK
Eric Haase	C	16	47	11	0.234	4	9	0.280	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.212	0.263	0.431	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	0	0	2	5	0.156

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ben Brown	Starter	18	55.6	1.78	0.899	9.4	58	6.0	2	0	0	2	5	90	6.0	5	0
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	17	14.5	2.48	1.310	9.9	16	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	29	26.3	3.08	1.483	12.0	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	18	13.3	4.06	1.429	12.9	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor McDonald	Starter	7	37.6	4.31	1.223	8.9	37	5.2	4	1	1	1	4	89	5.2	4	1
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	28	25.7	3.85	1.362	11.2	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	29	28.1	3.52	1.068	8.3	26	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	23	16.4	4.94	1.890	14.8	27	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	23	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

CHC wins 2-0

Colorado Rockies @ Oakland Athletics

COL 26-44 (4.3 RPG / 5.76 RA)

3 - 6

OAK 34-35 (4.41 RPG / 4.97 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 6-3 TARGET: COL 3 - 6 OAK (OAK) Confidence: 57.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	5
OAK	0	0	3	0	3	0	0	0	x	6	9

COL Recent Form

Win%0.194

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-240.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.279

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-160.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record26-43

Win%0.377

Run Diff-100

RD/Game-1.449

OAK Season Quality

Record33-35

Win%0.485

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.603

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0091; margin adjustment: 0.4238; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	56	160	35	0.219	2	17	0.313	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.258	0.331	0.353	OK
Willi Castro	SS	57	201	54	0.269	3	22	0.336	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.264	0.318	0.376	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	64	230	64	0.278	8	30	0.360	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.338	0.428	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	64	242	58	0.240	18	33	0.315	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.231	0.303	0.492	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	63	218	68	0.312	2	28	0.361	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.279	0.329	0.417	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	4	15	4	0.267	2	4	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.291	0.537	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	65	190	45	0.237	3	17	0.338	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.255	0.349	0.368	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	31	93	21	0.226	3	11	0.255	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.158	0.184	0.331	OK
Sterlin Thompson	LF	20	52	11	0.212	0	7	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.134	0.205	0.208	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	5	3	3	5	8	0.156

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Colby Thomas	LF	24	54	14	0.259	2	6	0.310	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.250	0.304	0.395	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	68	245	70	0.286	16	50	0.437	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.280	0.416	0.609	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	63	263	74	0.281	18	36	0.343	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.304	0.497	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	16	45	11	0.244	4	6	0.292	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.346	0.611	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	40	164	47	0.287	3	19	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.263	0.296	0.389	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	24	83	25	0.301	1	7	0.372	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.310	0.394	OK
Zack Gelof	RF	49	177	47	0.266	8	23	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.172	0.219	0.342	OK
Max Muncy	3B	29	104	25	0.240	2	11	0.308	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.276	0.375	OK
Alika Williams	2B	11	33	7	0.212	1	4	0.235	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.128	0.160	0.253	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	9	6	6	0	6	0.273

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	11	50.9	8.13	1.768	8.0	45	4.1	9	6	6	0	4	86	4.1	4	6
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	20	33.9	2.39	1.150	8.5	32	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.2	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	28	25.9	7.30	2.046	12.2	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Seth Halvorsen	Middle Reliever	16	13.8	3.91	1.884	9.8	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Estes	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.1	2	1	1	5	4	64	2.1	4	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	36	26.2	3.44	1.908	13.4	39	1.2	2	2	2	0	2	27	1.2	2	2
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	30	24.4	5.90	1.598	11.1	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	30	25.0	3.60	1.240	9.0	25	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	33	27.1	3.99	1.218	10.0	30	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	13	11.9	6.81	1.597	13.6	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 6-3

Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

DET 29-42 (4.06 RPG / 4.23 RA)

4 - 3

CLE 39-33 (4.01 RPG / 4.06 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-3 TARGET: DET 4 - 2 CLE (DET) Confidence: 57.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	7
CLE	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	6

DET Recent Form

Win%0.323

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-110.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.266

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-125.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record29-41

Win%0.414

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.143

CLE Season Quality

Record38-33

Win%0.535

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.070

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2538; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	41	152	42	0.276	4	18	0.391	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.262	0.359	0.398	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	66	246	69	0.280	4	24	0.390	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.352	0.401	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	51	167	32	0.192	4	22	0.257	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.114	0.185	0.225	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	62	228	58	0.254	16	49	0.329	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.270	0.325	0.533	OK
Riley Greene	LF	69	248	75	0.302	8	33	0.394	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.350	0.475	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	43	78	11	0.141	2	7	0.221	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.092	0.179	0.162	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	68	229	48	0.210	11	27	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.221	0.307	0.449	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	49	153	29	0.190	7	17	0.244	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.237	0.294	0.452	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	31	83	17	0.205	2	9	0.241	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.222	0.256	0.384	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	4	4	2	11	0.206

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Angel Martínez	LF	61	225	54	0.240	11	33	0.277	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.163	0.190	0.325	OK
José Ramírez	3B	70	262	63	0.240	10	33	0.340	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.234	0.316	0.383	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	63	236	62	0.263	7	34	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.254	0.322	0.373	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	51	153	29	0.190	6	23	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.204	0.326	0.374	OK
David Fry	DH	37	88	22	0.250	3	8	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.350	0.402	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	40	148	37	0.250	4	17	0.341	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.205	0.296	0.343	OK
Stuart Fairchild	CF	5	10	1	0.100	0	1	0.357	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.110	0.332	0.167	OK
Austin Hedges	C	30	91	24	0.264	1	9	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.314	0.362	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	67	219	61	0.279	5	32	0.353	4	4	0	1	1	0	3	0.000	0.232	0.296	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	6	3	3	3	9	0.188

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	7	42.4	2.76	0.967	9.6	45	6.0	4	1	1	3	6	100	6.0	6	1
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	21	18.1	7.46	1.657	11.4	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	29	27.6	1.63	1.522	6.5	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	30	24.5	5.14	1.796	9.9	27	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	13	1.0	1	2

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	14	64.9	4.71	1.556	8.7	63	4.1	7	4	4	2	6	87	4.1	6	4
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	30	30.4	2.66	1.053	13.9	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	20	15.1	4.17	1.523	8.3	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	20	16.2	2.22	1.296	11.1	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	21	22.2	2.03	0.901	11.4	28	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-3

Houston Astros @ Kansas City Royals

HOU 32-39 (4.58 RPG / 5.08 RA)

4 - 2

KC 28-42 (3.96 RPG / 4.7 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-2 TARGET: HOU 4 - 3 KC (HOU) Confidence: 56.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	4	8
KC	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.371

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-191.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.164

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-178.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record31-39

Win%0.443

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.543

KC Season Quality

Record28-41

Win%0.406

Run Diff-50

RD/Game-0.725

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2374; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	32	124	35	0.282	3	12	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.320	0.360	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	69	248	81	0.327	24	54	0.439	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.315	0.414	0.609	OK
Christian Walker	1B	69	258	65	0.252	17	49	0.322	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.238	0.293	0.444	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	64	228	51	0.224	9	33	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.296	0.377	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	49	185	43	0.232	5	13	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.285	0.334	OK
Cam Smith	RF	68	232	51	0.220	7	26	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.314	0.408	OK
Jake Meyers	CF	30	100	21	0.210	2	9	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.196	0.260	0.293	OK
Brice Matthews	LF	53	154	31	0.201	5	15	0.248	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.268	0.396	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	46	140	32	0.229	4	19	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.265	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	4	4	1	8	0.229

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	62	208	45	0.216	8	32	0.288	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.221	0.284	0.386	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	69	274	76	0.277	9	27	0.349	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.241	0.312	0.372	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	66	246	55	0.224	6	31	0.311	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.240	0.319	0.371	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	61	242	65	0.269	3	25	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.306	0.370	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	63	210	56	0.267	8	19	0.336	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.210	0.275	0.386	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	63	245	51	0.208	9	26	0.256	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	0.500	0.207	0.242	0.307	OK
Michael Massey	2B	50	149	39	0.262	6	22	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.165	0.190	0.311	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	50	128	29	0.227	2	14	0.351	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.238	0.346	0.333	OK
Kameron Misner	CF	2	5	3	0.600	0	3	0.667	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.141	0.266	0.203	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	2	2	4	8	0.229

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Burrows	Starter	13	71.7	5.90	1.604	7.5	60	4.2	6	2	2	4	4	99	4.2	4	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	0.00	0.200	12.6	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	27	24.9	2.89	1.566	8.3	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	25	20.0	7.65	2.100	14.0	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	28	25.0	4.68	1.280	10.4	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	12	64.5	3.91	1.209	8.8	63	5.2	5	3	3	1	4	90	5.2	4	3
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	29	28.9	4.36	1.557	10.6	34	1.1	2	0	0	0	2	21	1.1	2	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	27	24.7	5.10	1.862	8.0	22	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	28	24.5	2.20	1.102	10.7	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-2

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago White Sox

LAD 45-26 (5.38 RPG / 3.37 RA)

4 - 1

CHW 37-32 (4.74 RPG / 4.59 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-1 TARGET: LAD 3 - 1 CHW (LAD) Confidence: 56.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	8
CHW	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.317

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-79.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.338

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff-60.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record44-26

Win%0.629

Run Diff137

RD/Game1.957

CHW Season Quality

Record37-31

Win%0.544

Run Diff16

RD/Game0.235

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.8485; margin adjustment: -0.7764; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	63	243	74	0.305	13	40	0.421	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.315	0.418	0.593	OK
Andy Pages	CF	69	266	74	0.278	15	56	0.323	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.252	0.295	0.463	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	67	253	71	0.281	10	37	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.284	0.364	0.465	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	34	138	25	0.181	6	17	0.245	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.211	0.270	0.329	OK
Max Muncy	3B	63	210	55	0.262	14	24	0.360	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.275	0.361	0.458	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	66	244	57	0.234	5	34	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.333	0.374	OK
Ryan Ward	LF	10	33	8	0.242	3	11	0.265	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.274	0.493	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	36	112	31	0.277	8	21	0.357	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.272	0.344	0.480	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	46	132	31	0.235	3	14	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.233	0.331	0.335	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	4	4	3	8	0.229

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	49	169	48	0.284	1	16	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.305	0.349	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	66	243	61	0.251	16	44	0.374	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.254	0.358	0.464	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	61	196	46	0.235	7	31	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.292	0.415	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	65	240	53	0.221	16	38	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.282	0.411	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	3	12	4	0.333	1	4	0.385	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.276	0.481	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	65	248	70	0.282	5	23	0.350	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.274	0.338	0.374	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	1B	10	30	8	0.267	1	5	0.371	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.236	0.320	0.362	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	60	171	51	0.298	2	20	0.355	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.187	0.249	0.359	OK
Edgar Quero	C	43	130	24	0.185	2	15	0.245	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.192	0.248	0.264	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	31	4	1	1	0	7	0.129

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	12	76.4	2.71	0.929	8.6	73	6.2	3	1	1	0	7	97	6.2	7	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	31	26.9	2.68	0.818	11.7	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	23	25.2	2.50	1.429	11.4	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	30	17.2	3.66	1.337	16.2	31	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.1	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	13	67.8	3.98	1.209	8.9	67	6.0	5	2	2	2	4	99	6.0	4	2
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	3	1	1	1	1	26	1.0	1	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	10	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-1

Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MIA 35-36 (4.31 RPG / 4.34 RA)

6 - 2

PIT 36-35 (5.03 RPG / 4.8 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 6-2 TARGET: MIA 4 - 2 PIT (MIA) Confidence: 57.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	6	10
PIT	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.311

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-123.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.317

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record35-35

Win%0.500

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.014

PIT Season Quality

Record35-35

Win%0.500

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.214

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2286; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	C	67	223	61	0.274	13	50	0.355	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.278	0.348	0.473	OK
Otto Lopez	DH	69	275	94	0.342	5	31	0.369	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.320	0.341	0.474	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	70	257	78	0.304	6	24	0.385	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.269	0.356	0.387	OK
Kyle Stowers	RF	47	173	38	0.220	5	21	0.306	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.243	0.321	0.426	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	41	123	29	0.236	5	24	0.296	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.332	0.432	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	21	64	13	0.203	0	1	0.268	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.133	0.194	0.182	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	67	233	47	0.202	3	17	0.335	5	4	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.353	0.331	OK
Javier Sanoja	SS	47	149	39	0.262	2	24	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.277	0.363	OK
Connor Norby	1B	56	177	37	0.209	4	16	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.303	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	36	10	6	6	6	5	0.278

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	64	210	60	0.286	9	30	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.344	0.435	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	64	245	61	0.249	17	46	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.307	0.500	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	70	249	66	0.265	7	40	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.341	0.402	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	54	198	55	0.278	10	34	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.291	0.392	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	63	239	72	0.301	2	31	0.349	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.294	0.341	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	18	50	12	0.240	2	6	0.345	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.237	0.329	0.431	OK
Tyler Callihan	RF	7	16	5	0.312	2	6	0.500	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.146	0.347	0.540	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	43	131	38	0.290	1	10	0.338	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.303	0.357	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	35	112	26	0.232	0	7	0.295	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.282	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	2	2	3	7	0.129

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lake Bachar	Starter	21	34.7	3.11	0.951	10.6	41	5.0	2	1	1	2	5	77	5.0	5	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	21	17.6	7.16	1.591	13.8	27	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Ryan Gusto	Middle Reliever	4	9.0	6.00	1.444	9.0	9	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	32	1.1	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	29	23.2	3.49	1.078	13.2	34	1.2	2	1	1	0	1	27	1.2	1	1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	13	61.4	4.98	1.466	9.1	62	4.2	6	3	3	2	3	86	4.2	3	3
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	29	27.7	2.60	0.830	11.0	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	29	25.9	4.52	1.506	7.6	22	1.0	4	3	3	2	0	33	1.0	0	3
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	25	23.4	2.31	1.410	13.8	36	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Carmen Mlodzinski	Middle Reliever	13	60.1	4.19	1.464	7.8	52	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	29	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 6-2

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays

NYY 42-27 (5.07 RPG / 3.59 RA)

3 - 0

TOR 34-37 (4.08 RPG / 4.32 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-0 TARGET: NYY 3 - 1 TOR (NYY) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	8
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.345

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-75.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.222

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-138.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record41-27

Win%0.603

Run Diff100

RD/Game1.471

TOR Season Quality

Record34-36

Win%0.486

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.214

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.8607; margin adjustment: -0.7815; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	1B	62	230	67	0.291	18	44	0.390	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.248	0.345	0.463	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	8	30	6	0.200	1	4	0.250	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.240	0.271	0.416	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	67	244	66	0.270	10	45	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.264	0.358	0.476	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	DH	41	147	42	0.286	8	29	0.354	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.288	0.348	0.490	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	65	237	55	0.232	9	29	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.310	0.441	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	15	38	10	0.263	1	5	0.349	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.286	0.363	0.434	OK
José Caballero	SS	56	185	49	0.265	5	18	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.314	0.397	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	57	169	36	0.213	7	21	0.269	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.235	0.294	0.394	OK
J.C. Escarra	C	23	70	12	0.171	0	7	0.213	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.184	0.227	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	3	6	0.229

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	48	183	38	0.208	6	16	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.298	0.348	OK
Nathan Lukes	CF	35	110	34	0.309	1	12	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.303	0.374	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	67	248	57	0.230	14	40	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.290	0.402	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	64	189	56	0.296	7	29	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.204	0.230	0.362	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	69	268	82	0.306	7	28	0.326	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.292	0.434	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	43	127	32	0.252	7	18	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.331	0.456	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	RF	37	115	34	0.296	4	17	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.301	0.430	OK
Charles McAdoo	1B	5	16	3	0.188	1	3	0.188	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.219	0.229	0.342	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	66	221	49	0.222	6	30	0.269	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.221	0.246	0.335	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	0	0	1	8	0.156

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	14	79.9	1.91	0.889	10.0	89	6.0	4	0	0	0	7	93	6.0	7	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	27	25.8	4.19	1.512	11.5	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	33	22.4	2.81	1.607	15.7	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	34	25.2	2.50	1.746	12.9	36	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	14	1.0	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	14	77.9	3.70	1.117	9.1	79	5.2	7	3	3	3	5	104	5.2	5	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	33	33.4	0.54	1.048	12.9	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	33	29.2	2.16	1.096	5.9	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	35	31.3	3.16	1.278	11.2	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	32	26.3	6.50	1.825	17.1	50	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-0

Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers

PHI 37-32 (4.0 RPG / 4.29 RA)

4 - 5

MIL 42-25 (5.34 RPG / 3.72 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-4 TARGET: PHI 1 - 6 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	4	5
MIL	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	1	5	8

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.274

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-130.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.333

Avg Runs1.8

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-55.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record37-32

Win%0.536

Run Diff-20

RD/Game-0.290

MIL Season Quality

Record42-25

Win%0.627

Run Diff109

RD/Game1.627

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.0527; margin adjustment: 0.8621; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	65	248	59	0.238	23	41	0.353	5	3	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.227	0.330	0.451	OK
Trea Turner	SS	66	274	62	0.226	7	21	0.276	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.213	0.260	0.313	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	67	235	62	0.264	15	38	0.374	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.369	0.472	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	65	238	53	0.223	8	34	0.280	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.232	0.284	0.379	OK
Brandon Marsh	RF	63	223	72	0.323	8	31	0.358	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.262	0.302	0.447	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	36	99	20	0.202	3	17	0.229	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.123	0.143	0.240	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	62	212	48	0.226	6	30	0.283	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.243	0.304	0.377	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	45	153	30	0.196	3	11	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.171	0.238	0.259	OK
Derek Hill	CF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.111	0.150	0.209
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	5	4	4	6	10	0.143

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	37	146	40	0.274	4	21	0.350	6	6	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.263	0.331	0.387	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	33	143	43	0.301	6	21	0.353	5	3	1	1	0	2	2	0.333	0.286	0.336	0.506	OK
Brice Turang	2B	63	236	64	0.271	10	42	0.387	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.241	0.346	0.437	OK
William Contreras	C	63	249	71	0.285	6	43	0.345	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.265	0.327	0.412	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	58	202	57	0.282	13	46	0.380	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.387	0.580	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	54	174	42	0.241	2	26	0.345	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.260	0.346	0.432	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	61	204	47	0.230	3	23	0.295	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.257	0.316	0.341	OK
David Hamilton	3B	52	161	37	0.230	3	11	0.311	5	3	1	1	2	1	2	0.333	0.242	0.316	0.387	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	48	139	29	0.209	1	14	0.300	5	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.227	0.313	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									46	37	8	5	5	6	14	0.216

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	13	63.9	6.06	1.502	9.6	68	4.1	6	4	4	3	4	97	4.1	4	4
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	23	22.2	1.22	0.901	13.8	34	2.1	1	0	0	0	2	32	2.1	2	0
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	30	27.7	3.57	1.300	9.7	30	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	20	1.0	2	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	28	23.1	2.34	1.299	11.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	30	19.1	6.60	2.042	15.1	32	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	19	0.2	2	0
Tim Mayza	Reliever	26	27.2	3.64	1.103	9.6	29	0.2	0	0	0	2	2	16	0.2	2	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Drohan	Starter	13	35.8	3.27	1.173	9.3	37	5.0	3	2	2	5	4	104	5.0	4	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	24	24.0	3.00	1.042	11.6	31	1.1	2	2	2	0	2	23	1.1	2	2
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	25	21.8	4.13	1.330	10.3	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	30	36.8	3.18	1.549	13.7	56	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	26	1.2	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	27	24.2	3.35	1.198	8.6	23	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	19	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

San Diego Padres @ Baltimore Orioles

SD 36-33 (3.87 RPG / 4.06 RA)

5 - 4

BAL 34-38 (4.74 RPG / 5.15 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: SD 5 - 4 BAL (SD) Confidence: 55.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	5	10
BAL	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	7

SD Recent Form

Win%0.183

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-147.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-150.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record35-33

Win%0.515

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.279

BAL Season Quality

Record34-37

Win%0.479

Run Diff-24

RD/Game-0.338

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1124; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	66	258	72	0.279	2	21	0.346	5	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.267	0.325	0.382	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	64	247	50	0.202	6	25	0.270	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.210	0.267	0.346	OK
Manny Machado	3B	66	242	43	0.178	11	34	0.256	5	4	3	1	3	1	0	0.750	0.206	0.269	0.356	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	64	228	53	0.232	8	27	0.306	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.228	0.300	0.334	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	61	196	45	0.230	10	29	0.317	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.291	0.398	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	6	19	6	0.316	0	5	0.409	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.162	0.267	0.260	OK
Will Wagner	DH	3	6	3	0.500	0	0	0.700	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.265	0.521	0.489	OK
Jase Bowen	RF	6	17	3	0.176	0	0	0.222	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.192	0.241	0.273	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	39	121	18	0.149	3	11	0.234	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.180	0.245	0.366	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	10	5	5	5	10	0.270

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	DH	68	249	66	0.265	3	19	0.411	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.278	0.410	0.386	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	68	284	64	0.225	13	32	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.312	0.400	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	69	263	66	0.251	15	46	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.251	0.329	0.470	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	56	186	48	0.258	10	29	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.276	0.413	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	55	175	45	0.257	2	27	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.159	0.242	0.258	OK
Colton Cowser	LF	54	137	31	0.226	6	20	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.224	0.312	0.396	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	41	114	22	0.193	2	8	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.327	0.366	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	21	64	14	0.219	3	11	0.297	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.226	0.306	0.397	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	47	139	40	0.288	2	19	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.270	0.315	0.442	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	7	4	4	1	9	0.212

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	13	67.7	3.72	1.329	7.0	53	5.1	4	1	1	0	7	86	5.1	7	1
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	28	26.8	1.01	0.896	18.8	56	1.1	0	1	1	1	1	21	1.1	1	1
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	27	21.9	1.64	1.324	7.0	17	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	21	1.0	0	2
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	31	28.5	5.05	1.298	12.9	41	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trey Gibson	Starter	4	15.6	4.62	1.667	2.9	5	4.0	5	2	2	3	3	89	4.0	3	2
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	31	25.4	1.42	0.787	11.0	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	18	13.8	7.17	1.667	9.8	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	30	19.7	2.28	0.711	9.6	21	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	12	0.2	0	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	30	30.3	4.75	1.254	11.3	38	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	33	1.1	1	0
Keegan Akin	Middle Reliever	19	16.9	8.52	1.716	6.9	13	1.0	3	3	3	1	3	26	1.0	3	3

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4

Seattle Mariners @ Washington Nationals

SEA 37-35 (4.31 RPG / 3.9 RA)

4 - 2

WAS 36-35 (5.38 RPG / 5.32 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-2 TARGET: SEA 4 - 3 WAS (SEA) Confidence: 55.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
WAS	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.361

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-92.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.262

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-149.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record37-34

Win%0.521

Run Diff34

RD/Game0.479

WAS Season Quality

Record35-35

Win%0.500

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.014

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5248; margin adjustment: -0.2204; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	2B	71	256	66	0.258	5	32	0.323	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.263	0.305	0.379	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	71	286	73	0.255	13	34	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.303	0.383	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	66	262	67	0.256	8	32	0.319	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.250	0.307	0.409	OK
Luke Raley	LF	63	184	46	0.250	14	35	0.313	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.239	0.284	0.455	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	60	156	44	0.282	10	29	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.309	0.356	0.617	OK
Victor Robles	RF	13	36	10	0.278	0	2	0.297	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.267	0.352	OK
Miles Mastrobuoni	3B	3	10	3	0.300	0	1	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.256	0.267	0.348	OK
Mitch Garver	C	30	86	16	0.186	3	10	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.201	0.312	0.342	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	21	69	16	0.232	5	12	0.312	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.227	0.287	0.510	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	3	0.206

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	70	266	73	0.274	19	44	0.408	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.378	0.517	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	64	212	55	0.259	8	41	0.285	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.163	0.194	0.352	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	55	168	40	0.238	10	29	0.344	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	0.000	0.154	0.245	0.320	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	68	250	71	0.284	14	51	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.249	0.314	0.448	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	69	274	72	0.263	8	35	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.324	0.411	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	19	74	14	0.189	3	8	0.241	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.199	0.225	0.336	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.261	0.325
Drew Millas	C	33	100	18	0.180	2	8	0.268	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.199	0.273	0.313	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	59	192	39	0.203	0	20	0.287	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.291	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	2	2	4	7	0.129

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Castillo	Starter	13	58.9	5.35	1.409	9.3	61	4.2	4	2	2	4	5	88	4.2	5	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	26	22.7	5.55	1.454	14.7	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	32	26.5	2.38	1.472	8.8	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	32	25.3	2.85	1.660	9.2	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	21	15.1	2.38	1.391	10.1	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	14	67.8	3.98	1.475	10.1	76	5.0	5	4	4	2	1	92	5.0	1	4
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	18	17.7	4.07	1.412	9.7	19	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	27	21.0	5.14	1.905	10.3	24	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	19	18.4	1.96	0.978	6.8	14	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ Minnesota Twins

STL 38-30 (4.63 RPG / 4.44 RA)

4 - 3

MIN 32-40 (4.62 RPG / 5.22 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 4-3 TARGET: STL 3 - 2 MIN (STL) Confidence: 56.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	10
MIN	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	4

STL Recent Form

Win%0.155

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-94.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.203

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-184.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record37-29

Win%0.561

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.167

MIN Season Quality

Record31-39

Win%0.443

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.586

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.929; margin adjustment: -0.3902; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Masyn Winn	SS	58	221	51	0.231	2	25	0.304	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.235	0.292	0.335	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	66	246	64	0.260	7	27	0.387	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.266	0.358	0.380	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	65	255	77	0.302	16	52	0.358	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.282	0.326	0.499	OK
Nelson Velázquez	LF	9	23	8	0.348	2	6	0.400	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.286	0.320	0.499	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	65	255	73	0.286	12	49	0.352	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.275	0.337	0.557	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	1	4	2	0.500	0	1	0.500	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.262	0.271	0.363	OK
José Fermín	LF	36	89	24	0.270	2	12	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.204	0.257	0.302	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	36	118	25	0.212	4	9	0.254	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.246	0.338	OK
Nathan Church	CF	45	160	40	0.250	5	17	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.261	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	4	4	5	9	0.270

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	RF	56	192	47	0.245	2	17	0.342	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.222	0.306	0.314	OK
Byron Buxton	DH	59	241	64	0.266	21	33	0.328	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.260	0.316	0.569	OK
Kody Clemens	LF	57	199	49	0.246	10	24	0.315	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.168	0.224	0.385	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	37	126	25	0.198	5	16	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.312	0.421	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	65	243	58	0.239	11	38	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.218	0.273	0.405	OK
Orlando Arcia	SS	16	46	13	0.283	1	2	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.153	0.193	0.246	OK
Ryan Kreidler	CF	24	62	14	0.226	3	11	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.273	0.358	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	64	230	56	0.243	1	21	0.319	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.302	0.306	OK
Alex Jackson	C	9	27	8	0.296	0	1	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.254	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	3	3	6	6	0.129

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	13	64.7	4.59	1.546	8.5	61	5.0	4	3	3	6	3	99	5.0	3	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	29	27.7	3.90	1.227	10.1	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	30	24.7	3.28	1.255	8.7	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	31	24.7	4.37	1.498	11.3	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	30	22.2	6.89	1.982	13.4	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	29	26.9	2.68	1.152	5.7	17	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	9	43.2	5.21	1.343	10.2	49	5.0	4	3	3	4	5	98	5.0	5	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	18	12.3	2.20	1.463	13.9	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	33	22.2	6.08	1.667	10.9	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	10	12.4	7.98	1.694	11.6	16	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	23	1.0	1	1
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	28	27.1	5.98	1.771	9.6	29	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	19	0.2	1	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	30	20.7	5.65	1.836	10.0	23	0.1	2	0	0	1	1	14	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

STL wins 4-3

Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Angels

TB 40-26 (4.55 RPG / 4.38 RA)

4 - 1

LAA 28-42 (4.46 RPG / 5.04 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-1 TARGET: TB 3 - 2 LAA (TB) Confidence: 55.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	10
LAA	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

TB Recent Form

Win%0.254

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.279

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-153.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record40-25

Win%0.615

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.185

LAA Season Quality

Record27-42

Win%0.391

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.609

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.1294; margin adjustment: -0.4744; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	63	243	80	0.329	12	46	0.404	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.303	0.365	0.471	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	65	235	64	0.272	11	48	0.377	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.244	0.340	0.377	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	58	197	37	0.188	6	21	0.275	5	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.214	0.293	0.377	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	66	249	68	0.273	14	30	0.375	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.243	0.345	0.407	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	61	239	64	0.268	0	12	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.128	0.176	0.190	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	46	135	32	0.237	1	20	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.147	0.251	0.245	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	11	34	6	0.176	1	3	0.263	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.284	0.291	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	33	72	19	0.264	1	5	0.341	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.159	0.242	0.234	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	47	149	32	0.215	0	15	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.312	0.311	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	10	4	4	3	7	0.278

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	67	263	60	0.228	13	32	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.216	0.298	0.422	OK
Mike Trout	CF	69	244	55	0.225	15	32	0.394	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.362	0.392	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	17	57	18	0.316	2	12	0.391	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.269	0.347	0.444	OK
Jo Adell	RF	70	272	65	0.239	10	39	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.267	0.379	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	53	200	51	0.255	4	25	0.311	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.236	0.285	0.361	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	60	199	53	0.266	7	21	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.235	0.261	0.376	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	3	14	2	0.143	0	1	0.143	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.219	0.348	OK
Donovan Walton	DH	14	47	12	0.255	0	1	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.222	0.270	0.330	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	44	141	31	0.220	3	17	0.297	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.243	0.299	0.404	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	1	1	3	7	0.156

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	18	36.2	3.73	1.409	9.0	36	5.0	4	1	1	3	2	90	5.0	2	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	29	26.4	2.05	1.023	10.2	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	29	25.0	2.88	1.000	7.9	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	17	14.4	5.00	1.528	13.1	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	22	23.8	4.54	1.597	8.7	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	14	79.9	3.04	1.277	9.8	87	5.2	5	1	1	3	5	101	5.2	5	1
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	12	10.4	4.33	1.250	13.0	15	1.0	4	3	3	0	1	25	1.0	1	3
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	25	27.7	2.27	1.227	11.0	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	30	20.0	2.25	1.700	11.7	26	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-1

Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox

TEX 34-36 (3.99 RPG / 3.93 RA)

0 - 4

BOS 29-39 (4.03 RPG / 4.06 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-0 TARGET: TEX 1 - 2 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 56.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	x	4	9

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.311

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-121.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-119.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record34-35

Win%0.493

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.101

BOS Season Quality

Record28-39

Win%0.418

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.075

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2883; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wyatt Langford	LF	27	107	24	0.224	2	6	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.226	0.265	0.382	OK
Corey Seager	SS	47	177	33	0.186	9	24	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.284	0.391	OK
Josh Jung	3B	64	247	76	0.308	8	30	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.319	0.416	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	67	259	66	0.255	7	23	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.311	0.392	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	59	200	58	0.290	4	35	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.192	0.246	0.322	OK
Jake Burger	1B	67	247	61	0.247	11	41	0.304	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.339	0.450	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	35	111	25	0.225	4	11	0.306	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.144	0.230	0.256	OK
Justin Foscue	DH	24	65	16	0.246	3	9	0.296	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.137	0.189	0.288	OK
Michael Helman	CF	10	28	5	0.179	1	1	0.233	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.228	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	0	0	1	11	0.129

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mickey Gasper	DH	25	81	22	0.272	0	5	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.281	0.336	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	62	230	66	0.287	7	30	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.300	0.456	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	66	257	72	0.280	8	32	0.338	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.299	0.423	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	63	229	67	0.293	14	41	0.387	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.252	0.317	0.483	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	62	253	53	0.209	10	34	0.268	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.243	0.329	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	59	194	39	0.201	3	26	0.259	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.269	0.414	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	36	102	27	0.265	1	12	0.330	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.221	0.289	0.315	OK
Marcelo Mayer	SS	58	173	38	0.220	3	17	0.281	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.132	0.193	0.247	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	37	115	24	0.209	2	3	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.194	0.259	0.291	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	9	4	4	3	6	0.273

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	13	69.5	3.24	1.007	10.9	84	6.0	7	3	3	3	6	111	6.0	6	3
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	24	30.6	0.88	0.523	9.7	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	24	27.5	1.64	0.764	6.5	20	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	19	0.2	0	1

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	12	63.6	3.25	1.164	8.9	63	6.1	3	0	0	0	8	89	6.1	8	0
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	20	19.2	0.47	0.938	12.2	26	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	21	20.2	3.12	1.139	11.6	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	14	10.0	9.00	2.000	14.4	16	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-0

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds

ARI Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets

ATL Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants

CHC Recent Form

SF Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Oakland Athletics

COL Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

COL Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

DET Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

DET Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Kansas City Royals

HOU Recent Form

KC Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago White Sox

LAD Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates