MLB Predictions — June 11, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ MIA	1 - 3	1 - 4	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 4-1	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
ATL @ CHW	4 - 2	6 - 2	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ COL	5 - 3	6 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 6-4	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ PIT	6 - 1	6 - 1	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIN @ DET	5 - 3	4 - 3	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 4-3	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ BAL	3 - 2	4 - 3	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
STL @ NYM	1 - 2	1 - 2	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 2-1	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ KC	3 - 1	3 - 1	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 3-1	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins

ARI 34-34 (4.25 RPG / 4.6 RA)

1 - 4

MIA 34-35 (4.29 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 4-1 TARGET: ARI 1 - 3 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 57.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4
MIA	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	x	4	11

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.311

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-106.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.317

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-127.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record34-33

Win%0.507

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.328

MIA Season Quality

Record33-35

Win%0.485

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.118

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1775; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	234	992	270	0.272	42	154	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.214	0.256	0.374	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	234	867	257	0.296	36	133	0.395	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.251	0.345	0.553	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	134	482	127	0.263	15	77	0.332	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.259	0.345	0.463	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	205	710	194	0.273	30	118	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.305	0.377	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	229	805	185	0.230	10	81	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.374	0.361	OK
LuJames Groover	1B	4	15	3	0.200	0	1	0.200	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.228	0.238	0.307	OK
Tommy Troy	LF	25	78	25	0.321	1	1	0.418	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.353	0.404	OK
Aramis Garcia	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.232	0.297	0.382
Jorge Barrosa	CF	91	290	56	0.193	2	24	0.271	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.177	0.257	0.330	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	1	1	2	3	0.129

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	DH	214	763	213	0.279	48	201	0.356	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.263	0.335	0.438	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	243	981	342	0.349	20	113	0.378	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.332	0.354	0.499	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	150	567	118	0.208	14	51	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.276	0.382	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	249	942	300	0.318	26	87	0.405	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.266	0.365	0.386	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	129	443	127	0.287	5	83	0.325	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.277	0.311	0.428	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	158	494	113	0.229	13	100	0.284	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.202	0.262	0.385	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	247	907	177	0.195	13	64	0.329	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.373	0.338	OK
Joe Mack	C	70	230	52	0.226	1	31	0.270	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.262	0.303	0.354	OK
Esteury Ruiz	LF	48	132	27	0.205	9	19	0.238	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.152	0.204	0.386	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	11	4	4	2	6	0.314

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Merrill Kelly	Starter	10	57.4	5.80	1.516	5.8	37	5.0	7	4	4	1	5	94	5.0	5	4
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.0	1	0	0	1	0	25	2.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	3	0	0	0	1	22	1.0	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	18	41.0	2.20	1.439	7.9	36	5.0	1	0	0	0	3	66	5.0	3	0
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	20	16.6	7.59	1.687	13.6	25	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	24	1.0	0	1
Ryan Gusto	Middle Reliever	4	9.0	6.00	1.444	9.0	9	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	6	1.1	0	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	28	22.2	3.65	1.036	12.6	31	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-1

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox

ATL 45-23 (5.15 RPG / 3.47 RA)

6 - 2

CHW 36-31 (4.75 RPG / 4.6 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-2 TARGET: ATL 4 - 2 CHW (ATL) Confidence: 56.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	0	6	11
CHW	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.293

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-83.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.312

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.3

Run Diff-58.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record45-23

Win%0.662

Run Diff114

RD/Game1.676

CHW Season Quality

Record36-31

Win%0.537

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.149

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.7139; margin adjustment: -0.7198; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	208	814	244	0.300	53	140	0.324	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.308	0.338	0.475	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	225	861	220	0.256	15	128	0.311	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.278	0.335	0.469	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	254	993	277	0.279	40	137	0.337	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.283	0.341	0.437	OK
Matt Olson	1B	258	1009	275	0.273	72	205	0.355	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.280	0.355	0.578	OK
Sandy León	C	25	58	5	0.086	0	0	0.086	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.182	0.191	0.248	OK
Austin Riley	3B	245	927	202	0.218	31	132	0.292	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.221	0.287	0.351	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	163	524	115	0.219	9	45	0.303	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.208	0.288	0.298	OK
Eli White	CF	77	213	45	0.211	6	36	0.253	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.171	0.236	0.294	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	127	429	141	0.329	17	84	0.359	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.243	0.283	0.387	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	38	11	6	6	6	9	0.289

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	157	482	143	0.297	8	54	0.358	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.309	0.406	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	238	897	211	0.235	60	156	0.331	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.287	0.440	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	239	925	245	0.265	24	89	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.314	0.346	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	7	20	6	0.300	1	4	0.391	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.271	0.358	0.413	OK
Drew Romo	C	67	221	39	0.176	18	38	0.293	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.129	0.220	0.300	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	249	924	215	0.233	59	153	0.364	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.355	0.444	OK
Derek Hill	RF	76	190	38	0.200	7	17	0.248	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.128	0.172	0.231	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	158	560	147	0.262	5	61	0.375	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.325	0.367	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	181	668	167	0.250	17	106	0.292	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.299	0.410	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	2	2	1	8	0.100

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	13	55.5	3.08	1.081	7.6	47	5.1	3	2	2	1	5	80	5.1	5	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	21	21.4	1.26	0.981	10.9	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	29	28.5	0.63	0.842	7.9	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	32	28.2	1.28	0.674	12.4	39	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.1	2	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	12	55.0	3.93	1.455	6.9	42	6.1	6	1	1	3	8	110	6.1	8	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	0.0	0	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	4	4	4	2	0	29	1.0	0	4
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-2

Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies

CHC 35-34 (4.59 RPG / 4.54 RA)

6 - 4

COL 26-43 (4.3 RPG / 5.75 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 6-4 TARGET: CHC 5 - 3 COL (CHC) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	1	0	0	1	0	3	0	1	0	6	8
COL	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.078

Avg Runs0.6

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-192.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-225.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record34-33

Win%0.507

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.015

COL Season Quality

Record25-42

Win%0.373

Run Diff-95

RD/Game-1.418

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6045; margin adjustment: -0.6739; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	244	901	223	0.248	31	115	0.339	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.289	0.351	0.530	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	265	1091	282	0.258	18	84	0.347	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.315	0.308	OK
Michael Busch	1B	258	952	228	0.239	31	159	0.382	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.256	0.371	0.423	OK
Ian Happ	LF	249	971	233	0.240	66	155	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.224	0.334	0.491	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	192	740	190	0.257	34	91	0.347	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.258	0.341	0.429	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	265	1113	285	0.256	21	162	0.340	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.238	0.313	0.332	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	148	455	96	0.211	23	75	0.288	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.310	0.358	OK
Carson Kelly	C	157	573	178	0.311	6	64	0.388	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.329	0.341	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	222	769	153	0.199	33	118	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.186	0.287	0.314	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	6	6	3	4	0.235

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	159	544	124	0.228	10	64	0.327	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.270	0.357	0.366	OK
Willi Castro	3B	180	660	172	0.261	9	75	0.320	5	4	1	1	0	1	3	0.250	0.268	0.328	0.380	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	223	838	232	0.277	31	119	0.356	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.230	0.313	0.389	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	221	873	216	0.247	60	100	0.317	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.258	0.344	0.578	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	193	700	228	0.326	10	97	0.387	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.276	0.338	0.404	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	2	7	1	0.143	0	0	0.250	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.230	0.317	0.550	OK
Sterlin Thompson	LF	36	100	20	0.200	0	11	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.177	0.248	0.250	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	212	804	177	0.220	11	84	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.261	0.385	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	86	284	58	0.204	2	32	0.248	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.167	0.200	0.269	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	33	6	4	4	9	11	0.182

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Edward Cabrera	Starter	11	55.8	5.16	1.470	8.5	53	4.2	3	4	4	5	4	100	4.2	4	4
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	17	14.5	2.48	1.310	9.9	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	29	26.3	3.08	1.483	12.0	35	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	18	13.3	4.06	1.429	12.9	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	26	1.0	1	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	30	23.4	5.00	1.410	5.8	15	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	21	1.0	3	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	24	16.8	8.57	2.202	12.9	24	0.1	1	0	0	2	0	16	0.1	0	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Feltner	Starter	7	31.3	4.31	1.182	6.6	23	5.0	6	5	5	2	3	89	5.0	3	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	20	33.9	2.39	1.150	8.5	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	28	25.9	7.30	2.046	12.2	35	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.1	0	1
Seth Halvorsen	Middle Reliever	15	13.6	2.65	1.691	9.3	14	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-4

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

LAD 43-25 (5.37 RPG / 3.29 RA)

6 - 1

PIT 35-33 (5.07 RPG / 4.75 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-1 TARGET: LAD 6 - 1 PIT (LAD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	6	10
PIT	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.322

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-72.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.310

Avg Runs1.7

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-118.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record43-25

Win%0.632

Run Diff141

RD/Game2.074

PIT Season Quality

Record35-33

Win%0.515

Run Diff22

RD/Game0.324

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.9265; margin adjustment: -0.8091; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	248	961	272	0.283	43	160	0.408	5	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.299	0.401	0.539	OK
Andy Pages	CF	237	909	281	0.309	60	227	0.357	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.263	0.311	0.507	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	239	903	247	0.274	33	129	0.371	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.313	0.398	0.520	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	102	434	78	0.180	29	73	0.227	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.203	0.255	0.339	OK
Max Muncy	3B	203	718	191	0.266	54	85	0.364	5	5	2	1	4	0	1	0.400	0.317	0.400	0.523	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	238	916	231	0.252	22	125	0.345	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.238	0.336	0.386	OK
Ryan Ward	LF	13	50	16	0.320	3	15	0.333	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.246	0.270	0.481	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	100	342	98	0.287	32	72	0.366	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.275	0.334	0.501	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	126	404	99	0.245	9	39	0.327	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.335	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	10	6	6	5	8	0.270

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Gonzales	3B	209	839	257	0.306	2	103	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.304	0.352	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	231	912	244	0.268	66	185	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.302	0.430	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	250	910	253	0.278	24	157	0.403	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.356	0.415	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	196	787	151	0.192	25	104	0.280	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.214	0.284	0.308	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	199	669	194	0.290	24	109	0.404	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.266	0.376	0.469	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	18	61	8	0.131	8	21	0.243	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.177	0.271	0.420	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	111	397	108	0.272	1	14	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.263	0.306	0.343	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.083	0.161	0.167
Jared Triolo	SS	85	298	66	0.221	0	11	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.206	0.267	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	3	1	1	5	10	0.100

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	11	68.2	2.64	1.012	5.8	44	6.2	2	1	1	4	6	115	6.2	6	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	30	25.8	2.79	0.853	11.2	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	22	20.4	4.41	1.275	11.9	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	29	17.1	3.68	1.345	15.8	30	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	13	0.1	1	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	25	17.3	2.60	1.387	11.4	22	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	13	0.0	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Keller	Starter	13	71.6	4.90	1.257	6.9	55	5.1	4	5	5	3	5	91	5.1	5	5
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	29	27.7	2.60	0.830	11.0	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	28	24.9	4.70	1.566	8.0	22	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	24	23.2	1.55	1.293	13.6	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Carmen Mlodzinski	Middle Reliever	13	60.1	4.19	1.464	7.8	52	0.2	2	1	1	1	1	11	0.2	1	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	25	21.0	4.71	1.619	14.6	34	0.0	2	0	0	0	0	20	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-1

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers

MIN 31-39 (4.54 RPG / 5.13 RA)

4 - 3

DET 29-40 (4.13 RPG / 4.26 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 4-3 TARGET: MIN 5 - 3 DET (MIN) Confidence: 57.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	9
DET	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.226

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-161.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.344

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-118.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record31-38

Win%0.449

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.435

DET Season Quality

Record28-40

Win%0.412

Run Diff-20

RD/Game-0.294

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0844; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	165	571	155	0.271	9	57	0.375	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.188	0.286	0.306	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	227	968	260	0.269	86	140	0.329	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.255	0.314	0.567	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	178	649	152	0.234	25	73	0.317	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.273	0.443	OK
Josh Bell	DH	228	864	193	0.223	23	134	0.286	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.237	0.283	0.413	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	219	833	206	0.247	28	128	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.291	0.435	OK
Royce Lewis	2B	123	418	71	0.170	13	54	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.198	0.279	0.342	OK
Victor Caratini	C	157	526	100	0.190	6	77	0.286	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.311	0.363	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	105	338	79	0.234	14	70	0.278	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.274	0.377	OK
Austin Martin	RF	184	672	191	0.284	10	75	0.384	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.211	0.302	0.301	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	4	4	3	8	0.250

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	249	953	284	0.298	15	110	0.399	5	3	1	1	2	2	0	0.333	0.264	0.380	0.424	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	152	562	147	0.262	11	57	0.393	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.288	0.391	0.386	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	125	398	89	0.224	25	73	0.302	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.244	0.306	0.526	OK
Riley Greene	LF	245	894	275	0.308	20	117	0.404	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.263	0.360	0.441	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	215	802	198	0.247	54	163	0.334	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.265	0.330	0.560	OK
Colt Keith	3B	172	556	154	0.277	0	23	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.261	0.312	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	226	785	164	0.209	33	84	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.217	0.306	0.400	OK
Zach McKinstry	CF	124	392	62	0.158	5	36	0.242	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.208	0.313	0.289	OK
Jake Rogers	C	57	167	24	0.144	1	15	0.227	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.174	0.266	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	3	3	5	7	0.229

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	5	30.1	4.19	1.096	7.8	26	6.0	4	1	1	2	6	108	6.0	6	1
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	17	12.2	1.48	1.230	14.0	19	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	32	22.0	6.14	1.636	11.0	27	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.0	1	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	10	12.4	7.98	1.694	11.6	16	1.0	2	2	2	2	0	27	1.0	0	2

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	12	63.9	4.08	1.064	6.2	44	5.2	5	1	1	2	6	95	5.2	6	1
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	21	18.1	7.46	1.657	11.4	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	29	27.6	1.63	1.522	6.5	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	29	23.3	5.41	1.845	9.7	25	1.1	3	3	3	1	1	30	1.1	1	3

Game Summary

MIN wins 4-3

Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles

SEA 36-34 (4.24 RPG / 3.87 RA)

4 - 3

BAL 33-37 (4.73 RPG / 5.13 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-3 TARGET: SEA 3 - 2 BAL (SEA) Confidence: 55.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	4	9
BAL	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.373

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-93.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.219

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-154.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record36-33

Win%0.522

Run Diff28

RD/Game0.406

BAL Season Quality

Record32-37

Win%0.464

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.435

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9275; margin adjustment: -0.3896; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	2B	236	840	205	0.244	14	111	0.321	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.247	0.296	0.340	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	259	1060	271	0.256	49	134	0.314	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.218	0.276	0.353	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	240	959	257	0.268	24	115	0.332	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.325	0.405	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	251	930	285	0.306	25	117	0.391	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.317	0.383	0.490	OK
Luke Raley	RF	163	561	162	0.289	47	128	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.264	0.438	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	137	403	110	0.273	24	87	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.307	0.363	0.570	OK
Miles Mastrobuoni	3B	1	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.272	0.372	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	37	120	23	0.192	2	4	0.287	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.254	0.322	0.353	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	42	136	38	0.279	7	28	0.359	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.301	0.539	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	4	4	4	4	0.250

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	263	965	255	0.264	10	76	0.409	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.261	0.398	0.388	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	265	1130	239	0.212	54	137	0.269	5	3	0	1	1	2	0	0.000	0.223	0.291	0.357	OK
Adley Rutschman	DH	168	656	176	0.268	32	119	0.339	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.268	0.334	0.487	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	255	979	238	0.243	44	156	0.324	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.238	0.308	0.448	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	172	617	165	0.267	32	91	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.275	0.356	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	171	579	158	0.273	9	95	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.192	0.274	0.297	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	123	350	73	0.209	11	46	0.298	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.213	0.304	0.392	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	159	531	112	0.211	24	78	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.193	0.255	0.408	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	37	119	26	0.218	6	23	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.207	0.300	0.373	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	3	3	6	9	0.182

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	13	76.3	3.77	1.009	8.8	75	6.0	5	2	2	3	6	103	6.0	6	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	26	22.7	5.55	1.454	14.7	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	32	26.5	2.38	1.472	8.8	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	32	25.3	2.85	1.660	9.2	26	1.0	1	1	1	3	2	28	1.0	2	1

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	13	68.4	3.95	1.535	8.9	68	4.2	7	2	2	2	3	94	4.2	3	2
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	30	25.2	1.43	0.714	11.1	31	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	16	11.8	8.39	1.949	11.4	15	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	29	18.7	2.41	0.749	8.7	18	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.2	0	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	29	29.3	4.91	1.263	11.1	36	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	20	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Mets

STL 37-29 (4.52 RPG / 4.35 RA)

1 - 2

NYM 30-38 (4.0 RPG / 4.26 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 2-1 TARGET: STL 1 - 2 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 56.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	x	2	5

STL Recent Form

Win%0.161

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-93.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.345

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-122.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record37-28

Win%0.569

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.185

NYM Season Quality

Record29-38

Win%0.433

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.284

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6728; margin adjustment: -0.2826; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	251	986	236	0.239	42	119	0.360	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.338	0.368	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	254	965	251	0.260	28	117	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.358	0.376	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	239	966	272	0.282	34	168	0.346	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.292	0.357	0.545	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	235	923	296	0.321	71	208	0.385	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.316	0.363	0.585	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	5	18	3	0.167	1	4	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.347	0.397	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	209	806	185	0.230	6	95	0.298	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.223	0.299	0.310	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	6	18	3	0.167	0	2	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.314	0.372	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	207	749	169	0.226	25	110	0.302	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.172	0.260	0.304	OK
Nathan Church	CF	154	577	147	0.255	20	70	0.285	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.269	0.361	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	1	1	3	4	0.182

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	211	809	215	0.266	15	102	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.310	0.436	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	253	1046	239	0.228	24	136	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.261	0.330	OK
Juan Soto	DH	175	661	195	0.295	46	109	0.393	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.214	0.323	0.373	OK
Jared Young	1B	36	110	34	0.309	3	9	0.361	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.175	0.230	0.337	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	71	244	65	0.266	4	23	0.373	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.251	0.353	0.346	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	231	851	198	0.233	23	96	0.281	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.273	0.411	OK
Brett Baty	3B	191	685	170	0.248	14	92	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.284	0.334	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	131	446	105	0.235	20	45	0.313	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.234	0.290	0.420	OK
MJ Melendez	LF	94	246	57	0.232	9	25	0.347	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.188	0.262	0.397	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	29	5	2	2	1	5	0.172

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Dobbins	Starter	3	12.3	2.93	1.382	10.2	14	4.1	1	0	0	1	4	73	4.1	4	0
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	29	27.7	3.90	1.227	10.1	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	28	22.6	3.58	1.372	9.2	23	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.2	1	1
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	30	23.6	4.19	1.525	11.4	30	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Christian Scott	Starter	8	33.9	2.65	1.386	10.9	41	5.1	3	0	0	1	4	89	5.1	4	0
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	23	19.6	5.05	1.480	15.2	33	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	27	26.9	2.68	1.041	9.0	27	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	27	19.9	1.81	1.457	13.1	29	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 2-1

Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals

TEX 34-34 (4.04 RPG / 3.81 RA)

3 - 1

KC 28-41 (3.9 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 3-1 TARGET: TEX 3 - 1 KC (TEX) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	7
KC	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.311

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-108.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.150

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-171.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record33-34

Win%0.493

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.209

KC Season Quality

Record28-40

Win%0.412

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.706

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.036; margin adjustment: -0.4351; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wyatt Langford	LF	89	370	89	0.241	4	18	0.276	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.224	0.269	0.376	OK
Corey Seager	SS	186	697	127	0.182	33	92	0.292	5	5	1	1	3	0	0	0.200	0.182	0.271	0.348	OK
Josh Jung	3B	218	848	260	0.307	28	100	0.364	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.310	0.361	0.476	OK
Brandon Nimmo	DH	246	974	255	0.262	29	93	0.344	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.252	0.316	0.372	OK
Ezequiel Duran	RF	175	613	186	0.303	14	113	0.359	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.233	0.295	0.383	OK
Jake Burger	1B	226	868	207	0.238	39	152	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.274	0.336	0.458	OK
Evan Carter	CF	202	648	120	0.185	25	71	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.159	0.269	0.263	OK
Elias Díaz	C	2	5	2	0.400	0	1	0.400	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.262	0.473	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	15	45	10	0.222	1	5	0.314	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.160	0.230	0.237	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	3	3	5	8	0.206

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	196	676	155	0.229	25	106	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.274	0.378	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	255	1023	293	0.286	40	113	0.356	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.326	0.390	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	239	902	180	0.200	24	112	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.310	0.361	OK
Jac Caglianone	DH	190	662	154	0.233	21	48	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.262	0.338	0.477	OK
Lane Thomas	RF	125	365	84	0.230	7	38	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.355	0.342	OK
Michael Massey	2B	124	394	96	0.244	13	53	0.260	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.196	0.218	0.369	OK
Kameron Misner	CF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.085	0.168	0.179
Nick Loftin	3B	79	235	51	0.217	1	52	0.325	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.221	0.319	0.390	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	189	622	139	0.223	11	72	0.351	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.336	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	1	1	1	7	0.129

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	12	59.6	3.62	1.359	7.4	49	5.0	3	1	1	1	5	86	5.0	5	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	23	28.6	0.94	0.559	9.4	30	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	24	27.5	1.64	0.764	6.5	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	5	1.0	0	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	29	23.8	3.78	1.639	8.3	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Jalen Beeks	Middle Reliever	29	20.4	4.85	1.765	9.3	21	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	13	80.3	3.47	1.146	7.5	67	6.0	3	2	2	3	6	109	6.0	6	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	29	28.9	4.36	1.557	10.6	34	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	29	1.0	0	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	26	22.7	5.55	1.938	8.7	22	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	18	1.0	2	1
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	28	24.5	2.20	1.102	10.7	29	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 3-1

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins

ARI Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

MIA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox

ATL Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies

CHC Recent Form

COL Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

LAD Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers

MIN Recent Form

DET Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles

SEA Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

SEA Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Mets

STL Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

STL Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals