MLB Predictions — June 10, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ MIA	4 - 3	5 - 4	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 5-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
ATL @ CHW	2 - 1	3 - 1	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 3-1	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
BOS @ TB	2 - 3	2 - 3	TB	TB	TB wins 3-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ COL	9 - 4	8 - 5	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 8-5	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CIN @ SD	2 - 4	2 - 6	SD	SD	SD wins 6-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ LAA	2 - 3	1 - 4	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 4-1	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ PIT	4 - 1	4 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-2	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIL @ OAK	5 - 7	6 - 8	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 8-6	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIN @ DET	6 - 5	8 - 3	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 8-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYY @ CLE	3 - 2	3 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PHI @ TOR	6 - 4	6 - 4	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 6-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ BAL	4 - 2	5 - 1	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 5-1	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
STL @ NYM	1 - 2	0 - 3	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 3-0	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ KC	7 - 5	6 - 5	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 6-5	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
WAS @ SF	3 - 2	3 - 2	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 3-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins

ARI 34-32 (4.38 RPG / 4.59 RA)

5 - 4

MIA 32-35 (4.27 RPG / 4.51 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 5-4 TARGET: ARI 4 - 3 MIA (ARI) Confidence: 57.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5	6
MIA	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	8

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.317

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-102.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.305

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-130.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record34-32

Win%0.515

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.212

MIA Season Quality

Record32-35

Win%0.478

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.239

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.083; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	233	987	270	0.274	42	154	0.319	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.273	0.412	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	233	864	256	0.296	36	133	0.395	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.352	0.599	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	133	479	125	0.261	15	77	0.329	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.332	0.467	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	204	707	193	0.273	30	118	0.356	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.235	0.302	0.384	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	16	40	6	0.150	0	6	0.327	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.368	0.294	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	228	801	184	0.230	10	81	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.281	0.386	0.370	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	205	824	252	0.306	32	155	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.258	0.350	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	78	275	73	0.265	0	29	0.331	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.177	0.235	0.287	OK
Tommy Troy	LF	24	74	25	0.338	1	1	0.437	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.362	0.409	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	5	5	3	5	0.182

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	C	213	759	211	0.278	48	201	0.355	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.245	0.333	0.403	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	242	976	340	0.348	20	111	0.378	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.323	0.345	0.492	OK
Kyle Stowers	DH	149	564	117	0.207	13	48	0.297	5	3	0	1	1	2	1	0.000	0.211	0.279	0.357	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	248	940	300	0.319	26	87	0.405	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.286	0.375	0.412	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	106	354	72	0.203	7	61	0.269	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.242	0.296	0.434	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	246	904	176	0.195	13	64	0.328	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.356	0.315	OK
Christopher Morel	1B	64	213	40	0.188	0	4	0.248	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.261	0.295	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	157	491	112	0.228	12	97	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.185	0.259	0.315	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	128	439	126	0.287	5	83	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.293	0.405	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	8	4	4	7	7	0.229

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryne Nelson	Starter	13	69.3	4.81	1.227	7.1	55	6.2	6	2	2	5	4	122	6.2	4	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	0	1	1	0	0	8	0.1	0	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	0.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	0.0	0	1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Gusto	Starter	3	5.0	10.80	1.800	9.0	5	3.0	6	4	4	2	2	64	3.0	2	4
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	20	16.6	7.59	1.687	13.6	25	2.0	0	1	1	0	0	25	2.0	0	1
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	28	22.2	3.65	1.036	12.6	31	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	2.0	1	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	25	23.3	3.86	1.330	11.6	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	27	22.7	4.36	1.982	11.9	30	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 5-4

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox

ATL 45-22 (5.21 RPG / 3.49 RA)

3 - 1

CHW 35-31 (4.79 RPG / 4.65 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 3-1 TARGET: ATL 2 - 1 CHW (ATL) Confidence: 56.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	8
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.298

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-85.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.317

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.3

Run Diff-57.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record45-22

Win%0.672

Run Diff115

RD/Game1.716

CHW Season Quality

Record35-31

Win%0.530

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.136

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.7921; margin adjustment: -0.7527; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	207	809	244	0.302	53	140	0.325	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.325	0.355	0.509	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	253	988	276	0.279	40	137	0.338	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.280	0.339	0.436	OK
Matt Olson	1B	257	1006	274	0.272	72	205	0.354	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.277	0.346	0.574	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	126	425	140	0.329	17	84	0.360	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.296	0.410	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	224	857	219	0.256	15	128	0.311	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.289	0.352	0.513	OK
Austin Riley	3B	244	924	202	0.219	31	132	0.292	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.290	0.352	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	162	520	114	0.219	9	45	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.209	0.299	0.304	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	80	254	91	0.358	8	29	0.409	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.204	0.272	0.371	OK
Austin Wynns	C	2	7	1	0.143	0	0	0.143	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.120	0.183	0.155	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	8	3	3	7	6	0.229

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	238	921	244	0.265	24	89	0.338	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	0.750	0.256	0.318	0.358	OK
Randal Grichuk	DH	46	119	40	0.336	10	45	0.373	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.263	0.288	0.539	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	248	920	214	0.233	59	153	0.364	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.241	0.365	0.465	OK
Edgar Quero	C	133	446	86	0.193	6	62	0.265	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.186	0.247	0.247	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	1	5	2	0.400	1	3	0.400	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.243	0.375	OK
Derek Hill	LF	71	178	36	0.202	6	15	0.253	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.125	0.179	0.200	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	1B	7	20	6	0.300	1	4	0.391	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.275	0.366	0.419	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	114	352	62	0.176	0	23	0.242	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.198	0.254	0.247	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	157	482	143	0.297	8	54	0.358	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.244	0.299	0.391	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	1	1	6	8	0.206

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	12	72.2	2.24	1.039	10.7	86	6.0	7	1	1	4	7	113	6.0	7	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	21	21.4	1.26	0.981	10.9	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	29	28.5	0.63	0.842	7.9	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	31	28.1	1.28	0.676	12.2	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	15	1.0	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	11	66.5	2.03	1.008	9.6	71	7.0	3	2	2	4	6	125	7.0	6	2
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	0.0	3	1	1	2	0	17	0.0	0	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 3-1

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS 27-39 (3.91 RPG / 4.12 RA)

2 - 3

TB 40-25 (4.57 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 3-2 TARGET: BOS 2 - 3 TB (TB) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	4
TB	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	9

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.232

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-121.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.224

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-122.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Season Quality

Record27-38

Win%0.415

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.185

TB Season Quality

Record39-25

Win%0.609

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.156

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6319; margin adjustment: 0.2654; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	230	959	205	0.214	38	137	0.284	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.240	0.326	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	208	792	224	0.283	18	90	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.294	0.365	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	240	946	265	0.280	27	105	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.306	0.371	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	229	845	239	0.283	51	163	0.378	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.268	0.336	0.503	OK
Mickey Gasper	C	55	198	64	0.323	0	12	0.366	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.246	0.286	0.336	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	118	393	100	0.254	4	29	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.167	0.242	0.256	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	178	612	117	0.191	5	75	0.266	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.205	0.256	0.305	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	SS	78	233	73	0.313	4	36	0.394	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.228	0.299	0.302	OK
Andruw Monasterio	2B	100	348	91	0.261	7	45	0.311	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.197	0.241	0.392	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	5	0.129

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	229	897	287	0.320	34	162	0.398	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.327	0.388	0.509	OK
Austin Slater	RF	2	7	2	0.286	0	0	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.295	0.295	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	243	955	256	0.268	58	130	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.269	0.373	0.453	OK
Ryan Vilade	LF	85	255	88	0.345	8	62	0.405	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.309	0.374	0.485	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	237	882	252	0.286	44	194	0.382	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.242	0.362	0.394	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	136	455	124	0.273	0	58	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.319	0.331	OK
Nick Fortes	C	142	466	116	0.249	4	39	0.293	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.233	0.254	0.318	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	192	710	134	0.189	15	76	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.187	0.277	0.321	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	151	504	101	0.200	0	54	0.303	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.204	0.295	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	3	3	2	4	0.273

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	2	10.1	4.46	1.485	3.6	4	5.0	6	2	2	1	2	86	5.0	2	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	20	19.2	0.47	0.938	12.2	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	7.35	1.735	14.7	16	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	26	20.9	4.31	1.531	11.2	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Danny Coulombe	Middle Reliever	17	8.7	6.21	1.724	9.3	9	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	6	1.0	0	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	12	65.3	3.03	0.934	8.8	64	6.0	2	1	1	1	5	86	6.0	5	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	29	26.4	2.05	1.023	10.2	30	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	26	30.8	4.09	1.266	11.1	38	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	18	1.1	0	1
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	29	25.0	2.88	1.000	7.9	22	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 3-2

Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies

CHC 34-33 (4.57 RPG / 4.58 RA)

8 - 5

COL 25-42 (4.34 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 8-5 TARGET: CHC 9 - 4 COL (CHC) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	2	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	8	10
COL	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	9

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.079

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-189.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-227.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record34-32

Win%0.515

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.045

COL Season Quality

Record24-42

Win%0.364

Run Diff-99

RD/Game-1.500

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.7727; margin adjustment: -0.7445; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	243	897	222	0.247	31	115	0.340	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.297	0.359	0.547	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	C	147	453	96	0.212	23	74	0.289	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.257	0.329	0.385	OK
Michael Busch	1B	257	948	227	0.239	31	159	0.382	5	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.386	0.445	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	264	1089	282	0.259	18	84	0.347	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.230	0.310	0.325	OK
Ian Happ	LF	248	967	232	0.240	65	154	0.360	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.241	0.349	0.520	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	191	736	189	0.257	34	91	0.348	5	4	2	1	5	0	1	0.500	0.277	0.361	0.455	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	264	1109	284	0.256	21	162	0.340	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.233	0.310	0.315	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	93	260	75	0.288	12	42	0.407	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.167	0.295	0.358	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	221	767	153	0.199	33	118	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.285	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	36	10	8	8	5	7	0.278

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willi Castro	LF	179	656	172	0.262	9	75	0.322	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.276	0.336	0.412	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	189	583	134	0.230	9	55	0.340	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.274	0.378	0.409	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	222	834	230	0.276	30	117	0.355	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.217	0.306	0.346	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	220	870	214	0.246	60	100	0.315	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.248	0.335	0.592	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	211	800	175	0.219	11	84	0.265	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.207	0.253	0.378	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	1	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.500	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.263	0.421	0.928	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	192	697	228	0.327	10	97	0.388	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.288	0.343	0.422	OK
Braxton Fulford	DH	22	44	12	0.273	3	8	0.365	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.152	0.259	0.257	OK
Chad Stevens	2B	21	55	4	0.073	0	4	0.215	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.137	0.253	0.197	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	9	5	5	5	10	0.257

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	13	75.3	4.78	1.089	8.8	74	5.2	7	3	3	3	5	115	5.2	5	3
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	17	14.5	2.48	1.310	9.9	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	28	25.3	2.49	1.423	12.1	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	18	1.0	3	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	17	12.2	4.43	1.557	12.5	17	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	30	23.4	5.00	1.410	5.8	15	0.1	2	2	2	0	0	15	0.1	0	2

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	14	58.1	8.36	2.083	7.4	48	4.0	7	5	5	2	2	86	4.0	2	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	19	32.9	2.19	1.125	8.5	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.1	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	27	24.9	7.59	2.129	11.9	33	1.0	2	2	2	2	0	7	1.0	0	2
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	27	17.5	6.69	2.171	12.9	25	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	16	0.2	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	31	19.8	5.91	1.717	9.1	20	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	13	0.2	1	0
Seth Halvorsen	Middle Reliever	15	13.6	2.65	1.691	9.3	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sammy Peralta	Reliever	1	0.2	90.00	20.000	45.0	1	0.1	0	1	1	0	0	23	0.1	0	1

Game Summary

CHC wins 8-5

Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres

CIN 32-35 (4.27 RPG / 5.07 RA)

2 - 6

SD 35-32 (3.81 RPG / 4.03 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 6-2 TARGET: CIN 2 - 4 SD (SD) Confidence: 57.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	8
SD	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	x	6	10

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.262

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-184.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.186

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-139.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record31-34

Win%0.477

Run Diff-55

RD/Game-0.846

SD Season Quality

Record34-31

Win%0.523

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.215

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7; margin adjustment: 0.294; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt McLain	SS	222	854	183	0.214	25	95	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.352	0.512	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	123	476	130	0.273	34	105	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.317	0.452	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	249	931	230	0.247	50	165	0.357	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.228	0.340	0.408	OK
Spencer Steer	2B	218	801	210	0.262	32	90	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.209	0.298	0.365	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	139	461	131	0.284	36	93	0.376	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.186	0.287	0.345	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	128	471	107	0.227	11	55	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.190	0.254	0.301	OK
Dane Myers	CF	98	266	69	0.259	15	41	0.383	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.208	0.311	0.323	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	34	106	17	0.160	0	0	0.226	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.182	0.243	0.225	OK
P.J. Higgins	C	20	56	14	0.250	0	6	0.274	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.221	0.260	0.296	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	8	2	2	0	4	0.229

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	238	920	245	0.266	1	71	0.342	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.283	0.346	0.368	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	227	887	181	0.204	19	93	0.278	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.202	0.265	0.328	OK
Manny Machado	3B	228	828	144	0.174	41	125	0.264	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.184	0.253	0.330	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	179	609	148	0.243	33	88	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.196	0.283	0.371	OK
Will Wagner	DH	1	2	1	0.500	0	0	0.667	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.259	0.472	0.367	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	4	12	5	0.417	0	4	0.533	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.169	0.316	0.288	OK
Bryce Johnson	RF	40	108	18	0.167	0	6	0.250	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.129	0.203	0.205	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	27	67	7	0.104	4	8	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.144	0.286	0.256	OK
Sung-Mun Song	SS	30	78	16	0.205	0	14	0.311	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.140	0.249	0.210	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	10	6	6	4	5	0.294

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	12	53.6	6.04	1.735	7.1	42	4.1	8	6	6	3	1	91	4.1	1	6
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	28	23.7	4.94	1.519	9.1	24	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.1	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	33	26.4	3.75	1.667	10.2	30	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Sam Moll	Middle Reliever	30	22.4	3.62	1.339	12.5	31	1.1	2	0	0	0	3	23	1.1	3	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	14	12.6	3.57	1.349	10.0	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	13	72.6	3.47	1.143	8.6	69	5.2	8	2	2	0	3	95	5.2	3	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	28	26.8	1.01	0.896	18.8	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	27	21.9	1.64	1.324	7.0	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	31	28.5	5.05	1.298	12.9	41	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 6-2

Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels

HOU 31-38 (4.54 RPG / 5.07 RA)

1 - 4

LAA 26-42 (4.49 RPG / 5.12 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 4-1 TARGET: HOU 2 - 3 LAA (LAA) Confidence: 54.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5
LAA	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	x	4	8

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.328

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-184.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.217

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-154.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record31-37

Win%0.456

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.412

LAA Season Quality

Record25-42

Win%0.373

Run Diff-52

RD/Game-0.776

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4885; margin adjustment: -0.2052; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	191	752	190	0.253	22	62	0.334	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.227	0.307	0.410	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	256	945	314	0.332	100	193	0.448	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.329	0.447	0.615	OK
Christian Walker	1B	241	917	251	0.274	67	189	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.260	0.323	0.475	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	221	822	198	0.241	29	112	0.338	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.253	0.346	0.470	OK
Cam Smith	RF	223	782	172	0.220	20	92	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.313	0.372	OK
Jake Meyers	CF	76	283	62	0.219	9	26	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.279	0.309	OK
Shay Whitcomb	SS	18	35	5	0.143	4	13	0.143	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.114	0.125	0.203	OK
Brice Matthews	LF	159	549	115	0.209	16	52	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.204	0.248	0.299	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	126	418	111	0.266	16	68	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.270	0.350	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	1	1	4	10	0.156

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	265	1046	251	0.240	48	131	0.351	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.334	0.502	OK
Mike Trout	DH	261	925	228	0.246	63	148	0.416	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.200	0.350	0.377	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	29	98	32	0.327	5	21	0.389	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.285	0.360	0.450	OK
Jo Adell	RF	245	964	236	0.245	34	138	0.292	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.264	0.289	0.416	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	168	584	163	0.279	27	69	0.347	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.268	0.395	OK
Nick Madrigal	3B	9	26	9	0.346	0	1	0.433	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.296	0.388	0.406	OK
Trey Mancini	1B	2	6	3	0.500	0	2	0.429	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.283	0.294	0.391	OK
Jose Siri	CF	20	49	14	0.286	2	9	0.300	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.253	0.276	0.440	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	130	440	98	0.223	5	50	0.314	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.205	0.269	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	4	4	2	7	0.250

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	9	50.2	3.59	1.275	8.4	47	5.2	6	4	4	2	6	97	5.2	6	4
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	0.00	0.333	21.0	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	25	24.6	2.93	1.504	7.7	21	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.1	0	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	13	71.2	4.42	1.180	11.1	88	6.0	5	1	1	3	7	103	6.0	7	1
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	12	10.4	4.33	1.250	13.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	24	26.7	2.36	1.199	11.1	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	28	18.0	2.00	1.778	11.5	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 4-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

LAD 43-24 (5.33 RPG / 3.21 RA)

4 - 2

PIT 34-33 (5.01 RPG / 4.7 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-2 TARGET: LAD 4 - 1 PIT (LAD) Confidence: 61.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	9
PIT	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.310

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-70.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.263

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-116.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record43-24

Win%0.642

Run Diff142

RD/Game2.119

PIT Season Quality

Record34-33

Win%0.507

Run Diff21

RD/Game0.313

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.0075; margin adjustment: -0.8431; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	247	956	271	0.283	42	158	0.409	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.328	0.433	0.544	OK
Andy Pages	CF	236	905	280	0.309	60	227	0.357	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.261	0.306	0.511	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	238	899	246	0.274	33	129	0.371	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.306	0.387	0.504	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	101	430	78	0.181	29	73	0.229	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.205	0.257	0.346	OK
Max Muncy	3B	202	715	190	0.266	54	84	0.364	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.322	0.397	0.516	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	237	912	229	0.251	22	124	0.345	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.335	0.401	OK
Ryan Ward	LF	12	47	15	0.319	2	11	0.333	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.231	0.256	0.408	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	99	338	98	0.290	32	72	0.370	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.299	0.359	0.534	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	125	402	99	0.246	9	39	0.327	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.257	0.351	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	4	4	6	10	0.250

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	198	664	192	0.289	23	107	0.404	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.268	0.380	0.433	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	230	908	243	0.268	66	183	0.358	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.221	0.300	0.437	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	249	906	252	0.278	24	157	0.403	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.363	0.432	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	189	731	212	0.290	32	135	0.365	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.249	0.313	0.455	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	208	836	257	0.307	2	103	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.307	0.361	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	30	88	22	0.250	1	11	0.394	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.339	0.332	OK
Tyler Callihan	RF	6	14	4	0.286	0	4	0.474	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.133	0.329	0.522	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	110	393	105	0.267	1	14	0.325	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.248	0.292	0.314	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	84	294	65	0.221	0	11	0.280	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.194	0.257	0.249	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	2	2	4	10	0.100

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shohei Ohtani	Starter	24	145.0	0.50	0.766	8.8	141	6.0	2	1	1	4	10	137	6.0	10	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	30	25.8	2.79	0.853	11.2	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	21	20.3	2.66	1.034	12.0	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	28	17.0	3.71	1.353	15.9	30	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	4	0.2	0	1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	2	9.1	4.95	1.648	9.9	10	4.1	5	4	4	5	4	90	4.1	4	4
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	28	26.7	2.02	0.787	11.5	34	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	23	1.0	0	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	28	24.9	4.70	1.566	8.0	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	25	21.0	4.71	1.619	14.6	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Carmen Mlodzinski	Middle Reliever	12	56.9	3.80	1.441	7.8	49	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	4	1.0	2	0
Wilber Dotel	Middle Reliever	7	16.2	1.11	0.741	9.4	17	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	34	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-2

Milwaukee Brewers @ Oakland Athletics

MIL 41-24 (5.37 RPG / 3.77 RA)

6 - 8

OAK 32-35 (4.39 RPG / 5.01 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 8-6 TARGET: MIL 5 - 7 OAK (OAK) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	6	7
OAK	4	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	x	8	9

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.375

Avg Runs1.8

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-55.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.262

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-160.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record41-23

Win%0.641

Run Diff106

RD/Game1.656

OAK Season Quality

Record31-35

Win%0.470

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.667

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.5793; margin adjustment: -1.0833; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	108	426	125	0.293	15	64	0.357	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.293	0.349	0.434	OK
Jackson Chourio	CF	100	434	125	0.288	8	37	0.335	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.295	0.342	0.487	OK
Brice Turang	2B	238	893	256	0.287	37	161	0.405	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.277	0.384	0.530	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	71	247	85	0.344	5	42	0.413	5	5	4	1	5	0	1	0.800	0.364	0.403	0.592	OK
Jake Bauers	LF	190	710	204	0.287	38	140	0.366	5	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.316	0.443	0.634	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	117	377	76	0.202	20	60	0.360	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.352	0.461	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	196	707	158	0.223	14	73	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.236	0.314	0.328	OK
David Hamilton	3B	152	488	116	0.238	3	34	0.330	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.251	0.343	0.390	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	137	430	88	0.205	4	42	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.324	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	34	7	6	6	6	4	0.206

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	259	941	268	0.285	45	183	0.439	5	2	2	1	0	3	0	1.000	0.267	0.419	0.591	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	233	895	198	0.221	31	120	0.312	5	4	1	1	1	1	3	0.250	0.264	0.381	0.579	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	239	997	302	0.303	63	137	0.371	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.251	0.302	0.461	OK
Carlos Cortes	DH	158	524	181	0.345	24	75	0.428	5	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.307	0.330	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	145	541	140	0.259	28	75	0.311	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.199	0.249	0.385	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	169	567	100	0.176	13	56	0.275	5	5	1	1	2	0	3	0.200	0.175	0.254	0.246	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	55	197	60	0.305	1	19	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.312	0.380	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	197	688	180	0.262	6	58	0.330	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.177	0.243	0.242	OK
Alika Williams	SS	13	42	8	0.190	0	6	0.209	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.114	0.142	0.192	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	32	9	8	8	9	10	0.281

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Sproat	Starter	12	51.2	6.50	1.641	9.5	54	4.2	8	8	8	6	5	119	4.2	5	8
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	23	23.0	3.13	1.043	11.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	25	21.8	4.13	1.330	10.3	25	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	29	35.8	3.27	1.536	14.1	56	1.1	0	0	0	2	2	25	1.1	2	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	27	24.2	3.35	1.198	8.6	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	18	28.5	6.95	1.439	12.3	39	4.0	6	6	6	4	3	84	4.0	3	6
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	34	24.9	3.61	1.928	13.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	30	24.4	5.90	1.598	11.1	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	29	24.8	3.63	1.210	8.7	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	32	26.1	3.79	1.226	10.0	29	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	19	25.8	2.79	1.202	10.5	30	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	5	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 8-6

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers

MIN 30-38 (4.59 RPG / 5.06 RA)

8 - 3

DET 28-39 (4.03 RPG / 4.3 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 8-3 TARGET: MIN 6 - 5 DET (MIN) Confidence: 56.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	1	0	0	3	0	0	2	2	0	8	9
DET	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	7

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.197

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-161.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.328

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-114.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record30-38

Win%0.441

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.471

DET Season Quality

Record28-39

Win%0.418

Run Diff-18

RD/Game-0.269

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.167; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	RF	183	669	190	0.284	10	75	0.382	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.221	0.305	0.313	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	226	964	258	0.268	85	137	0.328	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.244	0.299	0.523	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	218	830	205	0.247	28	128	0.304	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.217	0.265	0.420	OK
Orlando Arcia	SS	27	89	33	0.371	1	5	0.404	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.187	0.236	0.303	OK
Josh Bell	DH	227	859	192	0.224	23	133	0.286	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.237	0.284	0.427	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	122	414	70	0.169	12	53	0.265	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.189	0.265	0.293	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	220	813	198	0.244	5	84	0.325	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.242	0.317	0.308	OK
Ryan Kreidler	LF	56	178	44	0.247	9	29	0.320	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	0.333	0.181	0.254	0.345	OK
Alex Jackson	C	14	47	10	0.213	0	1	0.213	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.215	0.225	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	8	8	4	10	0.250

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	248	951	284	0.299	15	110	0.399	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.276	0.369	0.436	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	151	558	144	0.258	11	56	0.390	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.276	0.378	0.369	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	124	396	88	0.222	25	71	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.299	0.511	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	214	797	197	0.247	54	162	0.334	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.277	0.344	0.607	OK
Riley Greene	LF	244	890	275	0.309	20	117	0.405	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.292	0.384	0.472	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	225	782	164	0.210	33	84	0.314	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.223	0.306	0.406	OK
Colt Keith	DH	171	553	154	0.278	0	23	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.268	0.313	OK
Zach McKinstry	CF	123	388	61	0.157	5	36	0.242	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.209	0.320	0.293	OK
Zack Short	SS	34	75	13	0.173	0	2	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.150	0.326	0.202	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	7	3	3	2	9	0.219

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Paredes	Starter	2	6.4	5.62	1.250	5.6	4	3.2	5	2	2	1	4	77	3.2	4	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	16	11.2	0.80	1.071	14.5	18	2.0	2	1	1	0	0	34	2.0	0	1
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	28	19.5	5.08	1.846	8.8	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	27	27.0	5.33	1.667	9.3	28	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	31	20.8	6.49	1.683	11.2	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17	1.0	3	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	13	71.5	4.28	1.343	7.4	59	5.2	5	4	4	1	7	103	5.2	7	4
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	29	27.6	1.63	1.522	6.5	20	1.2	2	2	2	1	1	40	1.2	1	2
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	21	18.1	7.46	1.657	11.4	23	1.0	2	2	2	2	1	27	1.0	1	2
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	29	23.3	5.41	1.845	9.7	25	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 8-3

New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians

NYY 41-26 (5.1 RPG / 3.57 RA)

3 - 2

CLE 37-33 (4.04 RPG / 4.13 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-2 TARGET: NYY 3 - 2 CLE (NYY) Confidence: 55.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
NYY	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	4
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	5

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.339

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-69.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.270

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-116.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record40-26

Win%0.606

Run Diff99

RD/Game1.500

CLE Season Quality

Record37-32

Win%0.536

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.029

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6337; margin adjustment: -0.6862; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	DH	118	444	127	0.286	26	74	0.366	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.288	0.350	0.526	OK
Ben Rice	1B	222	843	252	0.299	71	173	0.401	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.284	0.388	0.560	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	244	893	244	0.273	37	166	0.378	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.376	0.459	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	98	337	98	0.291	27	76	0.334	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.294	0.479	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	219	806	174	0.216	33	135	0.330	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	0.000	0.271	0.367	0.450	OK
José Caballero	RF	172	603	164	0.272	19	64	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.291	0.409	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	225	850	209	0.246	30	98	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.302	0.438	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	50	168	47	0.280	6	36	0.415	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.337	0.351	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	2	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.209	0.295
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	4	3	3	4	7	0.118

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Angel Martínez	RF	201	774	199	0.257	39	122	0.297	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.179	0.208	0.325	OK
José Ramírez	DH	261	971	231	0.238	38	130	0.351	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.332	0.411	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	158	493	100	0.203	23	85	0.345	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.206	0.346	0.420	OK
David Fry	LF	91	261	69	0.264	10	28	0.354	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.258	0.339	0.399	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	123	451	129	0.286	13	54	0.395	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.221	0.317	0.387	OK
Stuart Fairchild	CF	4	8	1	0.125	0	1	0.300	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.113	0.267	0.170	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	168	578	139	0.240	17	78	0.327	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.217	0.290	0.320	OK
Austin Hedges	C	87	274	70	0.255	5	20	0.327	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.237	0.312	0.336	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	214	717	212	0.296	15	107	0.374	4	1	1	0	0	3	0	1.000	0.242	0.310	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	35	5	2	2	8	6	0.143

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	5	24.3	2.96	1.235	10.0	27	5.0	1	0	0	5	5	90	5.0	5	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	27	25.8	4.19	1.512	11.5	33	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	32	21.4	2.52	1.589	15.6	37	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	31	21.2	3.82	1.321	5.5	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	32	24.0	2.62	1.708	13.1	35	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Ryan Yarbrough	Reliever	13	19.7	3.65	1.218	7.3	16	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	0.1	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	13	72.2	2.49	1.108	9.7	78	6.0	3	2	2	3	6	98	6.0	6	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	29	29.4	2.76	1.088	14.1	46	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	19	14.1	4.47	1.631	8.9	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	20	16.2	2.22	1.296	11.1	20	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	24	1.1	1	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 10)

Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays

PHI 36-31 (4.01 RPG / 4.27 RA)

6 - 4

TOR 33-35 (4.07 RPG / 4.29 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 6-4 TARGET: PHI 6 - 4 TOR (PHI) Confidence: 57.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	6
TOR	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	8

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.246

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-136.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.194

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record36-31

Win%0.537

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.254

TOR Season Quality

Record33-35

Win%0.485

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.221

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0449; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	250	973	239	0.246	99	186	0.360	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.236	0.345	0.460	OK
Trea Turner	SS	251	1078	250	0.232	34	91	0.279	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.227	0.282	0.335	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	241	872	240	0.275	58	151	0.384	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.403	0.460	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	203	757	257	0.339	26	118	0.371	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.312	0.348	0.568	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	220	827	181	0.219	19	107	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.308	0.403	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	196	702	155	0.221	21	103	0.274	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.304	0.390	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	139	484	118	0.244	10	43	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.195	0.274	0.286	OK
Adolis García	RF	224	799	158	0.198	15	74	0.282	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.202	0.258	0.378	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	183	621	147	0.237	8	45	0.301	4	3	1	1	3	0	2	0.333	0.225	0.279	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	6	6	4	7	0.182

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	170	691	146	0.211	23	65	0.289	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.198	0.274	0.331	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	236	868	252	0.290	12	100	0.387	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.228	0.311	0.306	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	232	930	283	0.304	24	94	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.281	0.299	0.483	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	234	875	196	0.224	50	136	0.312	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.315	0.403	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	89	306	95	0.310	10	49	0.341	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.287	0.319	0.458	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	115	359	97	0.270	20	51	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.268	0.356	0.521	OK
Charles McAdoo	2B	4	14	3	0.214	1	3	0.214	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.245	0.368	OK
Myles Straw	CF	101	259	64	0.247	7	20	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.157	0.237	0.240	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	80	275	89	0.324	1	37	0.367	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.262	0.284	0.360	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	4	4	2	11	0.229

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	13	70.9	4.70	1.368	10.2	80	5.2	6	4	4	1	7	96	5.2	7	4
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	22	21.2	1.27	0.849	14.0	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	29	27.5	3.60	1.309	9.8	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	28	23.1	2.34	1.299	11.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	29	18.1	6.96	2.099	14.9	30	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	11	0.1	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	19	18.0	4.50	1.278	10.5	21	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Scherzer	Starter	5	18.2	9.89	1.648	4.9	10	4.0	6	6	6	4	2	84	4.0	2	6
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	32	32.4	0.56	1.080	12.8	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	31	27.2	2.32	1.140	6.0	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	33	30.2	2.98	1.126	11.0	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	31	25.3	6.76	1.858	17.4	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	34	19.0	4.26	1.737	16.6	35	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0
Tommy Nance	Reliever	21	17.8	4.55	1.461	13.1	26	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 6-4

Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles

SEA 36-32 (4.26 RPG / 3.78 RA)

5 - 1

BAL 31-37 (4.66 RPG / 5.18 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 5-1 TARGET: SEA 4 - 2 BAL (SEA) Confidence: 59.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	5	10
BAL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.379

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-84.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.190

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-154.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record36-32

Win%0.529

Run Diff33

RD/Game0.485

BAL Season Quality

Record31-37

Win%0.456

Run Diff-35

RD/Game-0.515

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.1103; margin adjustment: -0.4663; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	SS	235	836	204	0.244	14	111	0.321	5	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.301	0.346	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	258	1056	271	0.257	49	133	0.315	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.243	0.304	0.401	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	239	955	256	0.268	24	114	0.332	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.283	0.341	0.421	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	250	926	285	0.308	25	117	0.393	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.330	0.399	0.511	OK
Luke Raley	RF	162	558	162	0.290	47	128	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.266	0.459	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	136	399	109	0.273	24	87	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.309	0.365	0.598	OK
Mitch Garver	C	88	265	57	0.215	9	28	0.358	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.344	0.373	OK
Miles Mastrobuoni	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.259	0.327	0.396
Patrick Wisdom	3B	17	55	5	0.091	1	6	0.123	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.108	0.146	0.180	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	5	5	2	8	0.270

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	262	962	254	0.264	10	76	0.408	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.385	0.378	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	264	1126	238	0.211	54	137	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.291	0.358	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	254	974	236	0.242	43	155	0.324	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.229	0.306	0.403	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	122	347	73	0.210	11	46	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.318	0.420	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	170	576	156	0.271	9	94	0.359	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.170	0.253	0.263	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	36	115	25	0.217	5	19	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.315	0.364	OK
Tyler O'Neill	DH	111	330	56	0.170	8	30	0.286	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.197	0.291	0.281	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	138	453	126	0.278	5	58	0.332	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.317	0.425	OK
Sam Huff	C	11	38	9	0.237	0	4	0.237	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.192	0.203	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	1	1	2	9	0.129

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	13	75.9	4.15	1.318	7.6	64	5.2	3	1	1	2	4	95	5.2	4	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	26	22.7	5.55	1.454	14.7	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	19	14.8	0.61	0.946	9.1	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	32	26.5	2.38	1.472	8.8	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	9	47.0	3.64	1.404	7.1	37	5.2	6	4	4	2	5	109	5.2	5	4
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	30	25.2	1.43	0.714	11.1	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	16	11.8	8.39	1.949	11.4	15	1.0	3	1	1	0	2	22	1.0	2	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	28	17.6	2.56	0.795	8.2	16	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-1

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Mets

STL 36-28 (4.45 RPG / 4.38 RA)

0 - 3

NYM 29-37 (4.02 RPG / 4.2 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 3-0 TARGET: STL 1 - 2 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 55.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
NYM	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	3	4

STL Recent Form

Win%0.164

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-102.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.351

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-112.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record36-28

Win%0.562

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.078

NYM Season Quality

Record29-37

Win%0.439

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.182

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4446; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	250	981	233	0.238	42	119	0.359	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.245	0.334	0.360	OK
Iván Herrera	C	253	962	250	0.260	28	117	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.340	0.383	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	238	961	271	0.282	33	167	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.300	0.366	0.526	OK
Jordan Walker	DH	234	918	294	0.320	70	204	0.385	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.320	0.368	0.560	OK
Lars Nootbaar	RF	4	14	3	0.214	1	4	0.353	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.356	0.436	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	208	802	184	0.229	6	94	0.297	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.297	0.316	OK
Nelson Velázquez	LF	7	18	7	0.389	1	4	0.450	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.294	0.336	0.442	OK
Nathan Church	CF	153	573	147	0.257	20	70	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.279	0.376	OK
José Fermín	LF	77	219	47	0.215	5	26	0.276	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.181	0.244	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	30	3	0	0	0	8	0.100

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	210	805	215	0.267	15	102	0.334	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.276	0.321	0.446	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	252	1042	239	0.229	24	136	0.277	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.297	0.367	OK
Juan Soto	LF	174	658	195	0.296	46	109	0.394	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.228	0.330	0.389	OK
Jared Young	1B	35	107	33	0.308	3	9	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.176	0.233	0.331	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	230	847	198	0.234	23	96	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.278	0.417	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	70	242	65	0.269	4	23	0.373	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.276	0.368	0.371	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	130	442	104	0.235	19	43	0.313	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.237	0.295	0.390	OK
Brett Baty	3B	190	682	169	0.248	14	92	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.271	0.319	OK
Luis Torrens	C	102	308	61	0.198	1	35	0.256	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.159	0.193	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	28	4	3	3	2	9	0.143

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	12	62.5	4.03	1.328	7.3	51	5.1	4	3	3	2	5	96	5.1	5	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	29	27.7	3.90	1.227	10.1	31	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.2	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	28	22.6	3.58	1.372	9.2	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	29	22.6	4.38	1.593	11.5	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Austin Warren	Starter	16	20.0	2.25	1.250	10.4	23	5.0	2	0	0	0	6	72	5.0	6	0
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	23	19.6	5.05	1.480	15.2	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	27	26.9	2.68	1.041	9.0	27	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	27	19.9	1.81	1.457	13.1	29	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 3-0

Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals

TEX 32-34 (4.02 RPG / 3.83 RA)

6 - 5

KC 28-39 (3.93 RPG / 4.61 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 6-5 TARGET: TEX 7 - 5 KC (TEX) Confidence: 54.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	6	10
KC	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	9

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.333

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-106.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.167

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-169.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record32-34

Win%0.485

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.182

KC Season Quality

Record28-39

Win%0.418

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.687

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9688; margin adjustment: -0.4069; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	167	504	130	0.258	25	68	0.360	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.174	0.271	0.350	OK
Corey Seager	SS	185	692	127	0.184	33	92	0.293	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.186	0.271	0.355	OK
Josh Jung	3B	217	843	259	0.307	28	99	0.365	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.314	0.361	0.487	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	245	968	253	0.261	29	93	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.313	0.382	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	88	365	88	0.241	4	18	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.280	0.392	OK
Ezequiel Duran	1B	174	609	185	0.304	14	113	0.359	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.229	0.291	0.376	OK
Evan Carter	CF	201	645	119	0.184	25	70	0.299	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.146	0.238	0.249	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	98	333	66	0.198	12	35	0.284	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.188	0.272	0.310	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	14	42	8	0.190	1	4	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.150	0.209	0.208	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	6	6	1	10	0.270

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lane Thomas	CF	124	361	82	0.227	7	37	0.353	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.237	0.350	0.332	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	254	1018	291	0.286	40	113	0.356	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.242	0.325	0.384	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	240	989	283	0.286	14	103	0.337	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.312	0.391	OK
Salvador Perez	C	230	888	195	0.220	42	112	0.272	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.192	0.234	0.297	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	238	898	179	0.199	24	112	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.230	0.313	0.365	OK
Starling Marte	DH	61	184	56	0.304	1	11	0.356	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.224	0.266	0.350	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	189	657	150	0.228	21	47	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.316	0.440	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	78	231	50	0.216	1	51	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.315	0.365	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	188	617	137	0.222	11	71	0.351	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.336	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	5	5	1	7	0.250

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	13	63.9	4.37	1.330	9.9	70	5.0	8	4	4	0	5	90	5.0	5	4
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	22	27.6	0.98	0.507	9.5	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	23	25.5	1.76	0.824	6.0	17	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	28	22.8	3.55	1.623	8.3	21	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Jalen Beeks	Middle Reliever	29	20.4	4.85	1.765	9.3	21	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	13	74.6	3.98	1.381	7.7	64	5.2	6	3	3	1	7	94	5.2	7	3
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	25	22.6	5.18	1.858	8.4	21	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	20	18.4	4.40	1.250	8.3	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	27	24.3	2.22	1.070	10.7	29	1.0	3	3	3	0	2	18	1.0	2	3

Game Summary

TEX wins 6-5

Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants

WAS 35-34 (5.39 RPG / 5.29 RA)

3 - 2

SF 28-41 (4.19 RPG / 4.93 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 3-2 TARGET: WAS 3 - 2 SF (WAS) Confidence: 57.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	4
SF	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.270

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-149.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.197

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-154.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record34-33

Win%0.507

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.075

SF Season Quality

Record27-40

Win%0.403

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.731

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9627; margin adjustment: -0.4043; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	277	1067	308	0.289	77	196	0.430	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.290	0.413	0.527	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	155	515	131	0.254	34	92	0.372	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.186	0.291	0.380	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	25	70	12	0.171	0	14	0.266	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.195	0.287	0.303	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	40	163	36	0.221	5	9	0.257	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.232	0.334	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	257	1055	269	0.255	33	130	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.333	0.444	OK
Jacob Young	CF	201	753	177	0.235	25	93	0.287	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.273	0.388	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	198	678	133	0.196	0	65	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.304	0.287	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	126	376	95	0.253	4	24	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.288	0.319	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	119	414	108	0.261	18	93	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.294	0.462	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	3	3	5	8	0.129

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Casey Schmitt	SS	206	823	249	0.303	54	139	0.344	5	5	1	1	1	0	4	0.200	0.263	0.282	0.502	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	237	967	326	0.337	10	102	0.378	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.310	0.345	0.431	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	239	912	210	0.230	8	94	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.296	0.388	0.507	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	240	937	234	0.250	30	127	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.219	0.288	0.393	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	205	809	245	0.303	12	80	0.346	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.348	0.374	0.462	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	62	205	48	0.234	6	11	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.288	0.366	0.469	OK
Daniel Susac	C	60	212	70	0.330	0	38	0.389	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.211	0.271	0.309	OK
Victor Bericoto	LF	10	19	4	0.211	1	1	0.211	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.123	0.136	0.218	OK
Jonah Cox	CF	7	12	5	0.417	1	2	0.417	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.140	0.154	0.450	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	2	2	2	11	0.229

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	13	71.3	3.66	1.108	8.7	69	5.1	4	1	1	1	7	91	5.1	7	1
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	18	17.7	4.07	1.412	9.7	19	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	20	39.5	2.51	1.139	8.0	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	31	1.1	2	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	18	17.4	2.07	1.034	6.7	13	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	13	65.8	4.24	1.444	8.6	63	4.1	1	0	0	3	4	94	4.1	4	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	28	25.7	3.85	1.362	11.2	32	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	23	1.1	0	2
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	29	28.1	3.52	1.068	8.3	26	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	13	1.1	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	22	16.3	4.42	1.840	14.9	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	11	7.0	2.57	2.571	14.1	11	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

WAS wins 3-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins

ARI Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

MIA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox

ATL Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS Recent Form

TB Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies

CHC Recent Form

COL Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres

CIN Recent Form

SD Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels

HOU Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

LAD Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Oakland Athletics