MLB Predictions — June 8, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BOS @ TB	3 - 2	4 - 1	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-1	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CIN @ SD	3 - 2	3 - 2	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 3-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ LAA	5 - 3	5 - 2	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIL @ OAK	5 - 1	5 - 2	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYY @ CLE	2 - 1	2 - 1	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 2-1	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PHI @ TOR	4 - 1	3 - 2	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 3-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ BAL	3 - 1	4 - 1	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-1	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
WAS @ SF	4 - 2	4 - 2	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 4-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS 27-36 (3.95 RPG / 4.1 RA)

4 - 1

TB 37-25 (4.56 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-1 TARGET: BOS 3 - 2 TB (BOS) Confidence: 55.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	4	7
TB	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.236

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-112.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.228

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-120.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Season Quality

Record27-36

Win%0.429

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.143

TB Season Quality

Record37-25

Win%0.597

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.113

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5081; margin adjustment: 0.2134; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	228	951	204	0.215	38	136	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.200	0.250	0.352	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	206	784	223	0.284	18	90	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.284	0.326	0.414	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	238	938	263	0.280	27	105	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.247	0.309	0.398	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	227	838	239	0.285	51	163	0.380	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.303	0.380	0.558	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	53	190	63	0.332	0	12	0.376	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.305	0.352	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	176	607	116	0.191	5	75	0.266	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.267	0.342	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	76	227	71	0.313	4	36	0.395	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.231	0.310	0.300	OK
Marcelo Mayer	SS	167	555	119	0.214	7	47	0.274	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.159	0.207	0.213	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	117	374	76	0.203	7	11	0.285	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.186	0.250	0.277	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	4	4	1	4	0.206

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	227	891	285	0.320	33	160	0.398	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.316	0.373	0.485	OK
Austin Slater	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.287	0.285
Junior Caminero	3B	241	948	254	0.268	58	130	0.367	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.365	0.441	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	83	249	84	0.337	8	62	0.397	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.338	0.465	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	236	878	251	0.286	44	193	0.382	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.237	0.362	0.392	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	134	447	122	0.273	0	57	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.337	0.334	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	150	501	101	0.202	0	54	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.300	0.288	OK
Nick Fortes	C	140	460	113	0.246	4	38	0.288	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.197	0.220	0.278	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	190	704	132	0.188	15	75	0.265	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.173	0.257	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	1	1	2	4	0.156

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connelly Early	Starter	12	64.7	3.34	1.206	8.8	63	6.0	3	1	1	1	1	100	6.0	1	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	20	19.2	0.47	0.938	12.2	26	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	7.35	1.735	14.7	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	25	20.8	4.33	1.442	10.8	25	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ian Seymour	Starter	25	26.8	4.37	1.381	11.1	33	5.0	6	3	3	1	2	94	5.0	2	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	27	24.4	2.21	1.066	10.7	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	27	23.8	3.03	1.008	7.9	21	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	15	12.4	5.08	1.613	13.8	19	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-1

Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres

CIN 31-33 (4.3 RPG / 5.09 RA)

3 - 2

SD 33-31 (3.77 RPG / 4.05 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 3-2 TARGET: CIN 3 - 2 SD (CIN) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	6
SD	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	9

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.271

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-192.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.190

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-141.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record31-33

Win%0.484

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.797

SD Season Quality

Record33-31

Win%0.516

Run Diff-18

RD/Game-0.281

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5625; margin adjustment: 0.2362; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Blake Dunn	CF	61	264	83	0.314	6	17	0.374	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.227	0.272	0.327	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	121	466	128	0.275	34	105	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.314	0.459	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	247	924	228	0.247	49	162	0.356	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.324	0.380	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	137	457	130	0.284	36	93	0.375	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.182	0.274	0.349	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	126	462	106	0.229	11	54	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.275	0.294	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	33	102	16	0.157	0	0	0.225	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.183	0.245	0.226	OK
Matt McLain	SS	220	848	181	0.213	25	95	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.231	0.316	0.480	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	165	545	107	0.196	18	75	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.307	0.373	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	5	14	3	0.214	0	0	0.312	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.209	0.299	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	2	7	0.182

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	236	910	241	0.265	1	71	0.340	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.269	0.329	0.346	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	225	877	179	0.204	19	92	0.279	5	4	3	0	0	1	0	0.750	0.211	0.282	0.360	OK
Ty France	1B	108	369	106	0.287	20	61	0.324	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.245	0.294	0.426	OK
Manny Machado	3B	226	819	142	0.173	41	124	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.181	0.253	0.344	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	218	805	199	0.247	30	105	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.197	0.270	0.296	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	177	600	147	0.245	33	87	0.329	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.192	0.286	0.384	OK
Jase Bowen	RF	4	12	1	0.083	0	0	0.083	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.196	0.208	0.286	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	2	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.500	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.126	0.378	0.188	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	112	355	51	0.144	2	18	0.245	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.167	0.247	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	2	2	3	5	0.250

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	13	66.8	4.18	1.482	6.3	47	5.0	5	0	0	2	4	92	5.0	4	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	27	22.7	5.15	1.498	9.1	23	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	32	25.2	3.93	1.667	10.4	29	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Sam Moll	Middle Reliever	29	22.2	3.65	1.306	11.8	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	12	10.6	4.25	1.321	10.2	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	12	55.8	4.68	1.326	7.9	49	5.1	4	2	2	1	5	93	5.1	5	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	26	24.8	1.09	0.968	18.5	51	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	22	1.1	0	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	25	19.9	1.81	1.307	5.9	13	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	29	26.2	5.50	1.374	12.7	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 3-2

Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels

HOU 30-37 (4.58 RPG / 5.01 RA)

5 - 2

LAA 25-41 (4.41 RPG / 5.18 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-2 TARGET: HOU 5 - 3 LAA (HOU) Confidence: 57.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	5	13
LAA	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.333

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-170.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.224

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-161.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record30-37

Win%0.448

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.433

LAA Season Quality

Record25-41

Win%0.379

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.773

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4434; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	96	397	104	0.262	10	32	0.318	6	5	2	1	1	1	1	0.400	0.290	0.342	0.432	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	254	939	312	0.332	100	193	0.448	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.339	0.448	0.630	OK
Christian Walker	1B	239	910	249	0.274	67	187	0.347	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.249	0.308	0.453	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	219	816	197	0.241	29	112	0.337	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.262	0.344	0.531	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	189	745	190	0.255	22	62	0.336	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.252	0.325	0.489	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	3	10	3	0.300	1	3	0.300	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.258	0.268	0.490	OK
Cam Smith	RF	221	774	170	0.220	20	91	0.313	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.233	0.317	0.363	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	51	173	58	0.335	0	24	0.382	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.200	0.251	0.330	OK
Collin Price	C	2	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.200	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.205	0.343	0.304
TEAM TOTALS									46	40	13	5	5	5	5	0.325

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	263	1039	249	0.240	47	130	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.224	0.312	0.449	OK
Mike Trout	CF	259	917	227	0.248	63	148	0.417	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.206	0.363	0.390	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	27	92	30	0.326	5	19	0.374	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.293	0.347	0.462	OK
Jo Adell	RF	243	956	234	0.245	34	136	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.273	0.404	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.308	0.385
Nick Madrigal	2B	8	23	8	0.348	0	1	0.423	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.282	0.364	0.398	OK
Trey Mancini	1B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.335	0.443
Donovan Walton	DH	27	104	26	0.250	0	1	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.262	0.327	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	128	435	96	0.221	5	48	0.313	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.196	0.262	0.311	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	4	2	2	5	9	0.133

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	9	50.3	1.97	1.193	8.2	46	6.2	3	1	1	3	6	105	6.2	6	1
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	2	2.0	0.00	0.500	18.0	4	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.0	0	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	24	23.6	3.05	1.525	8.0	21	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	25	22.8	3.55	1.096	10.7	27	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	12	1.1	1	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	4	16.6	10.30	2.048	9.2	17	4.1	10	5	5	3	2	102	4.1	2	5
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	10	8.4	4.29	1.310	12.9	12	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	23	25.7	2.45	1.206	11.2	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	28	18.0	2.00	1.778	11.5	23	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Drew Pomeranz	Middle Reliever	23	18.0	6.00	1.944	8.0	16	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-2

Milwaukee Brewers @ Oakland Athletics

MIL 40-23 (5.22 RPG / 3.56 RA)

5 - 2

OAK 31-34 (4.2 RPG / 4.86 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-2 TARGET: MIL 5 - 1 OAK (MIL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	5	8
OAK	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	7

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-53.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.254

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-162.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record40-23

Win%0.635

Run Diff105

RD/Game1.667

OAK Season Quality

Record31-34

Win%0.477

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.662

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.5652; margin adjustment: -1.0774; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	106	414	121	0.292	15	63	0.357	5	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.355	0.441	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	98	424	121	0.285	7	34	0.333	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.293	0.341	0.516	OK
Brice Turang	2B	236	883	255	0.289	36	158	0.408	4	3	0	1	2	0	0	0.000	0.298	0.405	0.532	OK
William Contreras	C	226	914	271	0.296	18	159	0.365	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.259	0.315	0.382	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	188	704	202	0.287	37	137	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.285	0.395	0.571	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	69	240	81	0.338	4	38	0.409	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.310	0.353	0.471	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	173	600	147	0.245	7	109	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.273	0.372	0.447	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	173	625	135	0.216	0	66	0.286	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.164	0.240	0.233	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	136	427	86	0.201	4	42	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.312	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	5	5	1	5	0.235

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shea Langeliers	C	237	985	298	0.303	62	135	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.294	0.470	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	257	932	264	0.283	42	179	0.437	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.383	0.449	OK
Colby Thomas	RF	44	119	36	0.303	3	15	0.346	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.211	0.262	0.385	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	168	641	131	0.204	39	131	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.295	0.450	OK
Max Muncy	3B	106	392	96	0.245	8	30	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.200	0.256	0.346	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	231	888	194	0.218	28	114	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.342	0.437	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	53	187	58	0.310	0	17	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.323	0.356	OK
Zack Gelof	2B	143	531	137	0.258	26	73	0.311	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.198	0.259	0.326	OK
Alika Williams	SS	11	33	6	0.182	0	5	0.206	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.105	0.139	0.144	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	34	7	2	2	0	8	0.206

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	11	56.4	1.60	1.046	11.6	73	6.0	5	1	1	0	7	91	6.0	7	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	23	23.0	3.13	1.043	11.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	24	20.7	4.35	1.353	10.0	23	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	28	34.6	2.60	1.474	13.8	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	13	68.6	4.46	1.268	7.9	60	5.1	7	5	5	1	3	92	5.1	3	5
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	33	23.7	3.04	1.899	12.9	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	29	24.3	5.56	1.481	10.7	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	28	23.8	2.65	1.092	8.7	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	31	26.0	3.81	1.192	9.7	28	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-2

New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians

NYY 38-26 (5.06 RPG / 3.56 RA)

2 - 1

CLE 37-30 (4.06 RPG / 4.04 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 2-1 TARGET: NYY 2 - 1 CLE (NYY) Confidence: 55.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	6
CLE	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.286

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-65.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.295

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-119.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record38-26

Win%0.594

Run Diff96

RD/Game1.500

CLE Season Quality

Record37-30

Win%0.552

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.015

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.5473; margin adjustment: -0.6499; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	217	797	171	0.215	33	135	0.329	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.368	0.459	OK
Ben Rice	1B	220	835	250	0.299	71	173	0.401	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.286	0.385	0.584	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	DH	116	436	124	0.284	25	71	0.365	5	3	2	1	0	2	1	0.667	0.288	0.347	0.523	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	242	885	242	0.273	37	164	0.378	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.265	0.364	0.459	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	223	843	208	0.247	29	97	0.327	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.305	0.447	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	29	76	18	0.237	0	9	0.318	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	0.500	0.263	0.330	0.334	OK
José Caballero	SS	171	600	164	0.273	19	64	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.285	0.406	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	158	527	106	0.201	18	67	0.261	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.224	0.272	0.353	OK
J.C. Escarra	C	63	214	47	0.220	0	28	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.285	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	33	6	2	2	6	7	0.182

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	121	443	129	0.291	13	54	0.399	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.234	0.315	0.405	OK
José Ramírez	3B	259	962	228	0.237	38	130	0.351	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.241	0.341	0.448	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	223	865	221	0.255	32	149	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.293	0.347	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	176	626	135	0.216	18	62	0.298	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.228	0.305	0.417	OK
Daniel Schneemann	CF	166	575	138	0.240	17	78	0.327	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.291	0.326	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	199	765	196	0.256	38	119	0.296	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.170	0.191	0.293	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	237	894	191	0.214	4	56	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.319	0.293	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	29	85	13	0.153	3	7	0.207	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.167	0.218	0.262	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	212	710	210	0.296	15	106	0.373	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.286	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	1	1	1	8	0.206

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	12	62.0	3.34	1.242	10.2	70	5.2	6	1	1	1	5	93	5.2	5	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	26	24.6	4.39	1.545	11.0	30	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	31	20.2	2.67	1.634	14.7	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	29	20.1	4.03	1.393	5.8	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	31	23.8	2.27	1.681	12.9	34	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.1	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	13	80.5	3.24	1.093	10.5	94	6.1	2	1	1	5	7	107	6.1	7	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	28	28.2	2.87	1.099	13.7	43	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	18	14.0	3.86	1.429	9.0	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	18	14.2	1.90	1.268	12.7	20	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	19	20.2	2.23	0.891	12.0	27	0.0	2	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 2-1

Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays

PHI 35-30 (4.03 RPG / 4.32 RA)

3 - 2

TOR 32-34 (4.12 RPG / 4.32 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 3-2 TARGET: PHI 4 - 1 TOR (PHI) Confidence: 57.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
TOR	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.207

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-137.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.213

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-127.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record35-30

Win%0.538

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.292

TOR Season Quality

Record32-34

Win%0.485

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.197

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0149; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	249	1070	249	0.233	34	91	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.280	0.341	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	248	965	238	0.247	99	186	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.362	0.518	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	239	867	239	0.276	58	151	0.384	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.257	0.376	0.443	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	218	820	180	0.220	19	106	0.278	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.260	0.309	0.411	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	137	476	117	0.246	10	42	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.206	0.286	0.340	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	194	695	152	0.219	21	101	0.271	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.216	0.274	0.349	OK
Adolis García	RF	222	792	157	0.198	14	72	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.208	0.264	0.377	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	94	299	56	0.187	6	44	0.223	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.127	0.149	0.245	OK
Brandon Marsh	CF	201	750	256	0.341	26	117	0.373	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.323	0.358	0.564	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	3	3	1	9	0.206

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	169	687	146	0.213	23	65	0.291	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.203	0.279	0.341	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	234	860	251	0.292	12	100	0.389	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.337	0.338	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	232	868	195	0.225	50	136	0.313	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.261	0.324	0.417	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	218	820	222	0.271	24	75	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.296	0.353	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	230	922	281	0.305	23	93	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.295	0.313	0.464	OK
Myles Straw	RF	100	257	63	0.245	7	20	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.151	0.222	0.225	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	113	353	96	0.272	20	50	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.366	0.549	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	87	300	92	0.307	10	48	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.290	0.418	OK
Charles McAdoo	2B	3	11	3	0.273	1	3	0.273	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.226	0.236	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	2	2	5	4	0.129

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	13	85.4	1.48	1.101	10.9	103	7.0	2	1	1	4	4	110	7.0	4	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	21	20.2	1.34	0.842	14.7	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	28	26.5	3.74	1.283	9.8	29	0.2	1	1	1	1	0	16	0.2	0	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	27	22.0	2.45	1.364	11.0	27	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.1	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Corbin	Starter	11	52.7	4.10	1.423	6.3	37	5.0	6	3	3	1	4	93	5.0	4	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	31	31.4	0.29	1.051	12.9	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	31	27.2	2.32	1.140	6.0	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	33	30.2	2.98	1.126	11.0	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	30	24.3	7.04	1.893	17.4	47	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 3-2

Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles

SEA 34-32 (4.21 RPG / 3.77 RA)

4 - 1

BAL 31-35 (4.68 RPG / 5.15 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-1 TARGET: SEA 3 - 1 BAL (SEA) Confidence: 57.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	4	9
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.386

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-89.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.177

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-148.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record34-32

Win%0.515

Run Diff29

RD/Game0.439

BAL Season Quality

Record31-35

Win%0.470

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.470

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9773; margin adjustment: -0.4105; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	SS	233	827	203	0.245	14	111	0.323	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.266	0.317	0.362	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	256	1048	270	0.258	49	133	0.316	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.253	0.311	0.459	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	237	947	253	0.267	23	110	0.331	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.270	0.324	0.396	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	248	917	279	0.304	24	113	0.390	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.275	0.354	0.418	OK
Luke Raley	RF	161	554	162	0.292	47	128	0.347	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.264	0.460	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	134	395	107	0.271	24	87	0.334	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.303	0.351	0.581	OK
Patrick Wisdom	3B	15	46	4	0.087	1	6	0.125	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.116	0.162	0.212	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	36	116	22	0.190	2	4	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.327	0.362	OK
Ryan Bliss	2B	2	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.117	0.133	0.182
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	4	4	4	7	0.250

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	260	955	251	0.263	10	76	0.407	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.269	0.393	0.398	OK
Gunnar Henderson	DH	262	1119	237	0.212	54	137	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.269	0.360	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	252	966	235	0.243	43	154	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.327	0.437	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	120	340	73	0.215	11	46	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.341	0.453	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	168	568	154	0.271	9	92	0.361	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.173	0.258	0.268	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	34	109	24	0.220	5	19	0.300	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.221	0.314	0.365	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	157	523	111	0.212	23	77	0.287	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.212	0.269	0.425	OK
Blaze Alexander	SS	136	449	124	0.276	5	57	0.328	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.271	0.322	0.429	OK
Sam Huff	C	9	33	8	0.242	0	4	0.242	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.188	0.201	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	1	1	3	14	0.100

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	12	70.2	2.82	0.954	9.0	70	6.0	1	0	0	1	7	104	6.0	7	0
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	25	21.7	5.81	1.475	14.5	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18	1.0	3	0
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	18	14.6	0.62	0.890	8.6	14	1.0	1	1	1	2	3	24	1.0	3	1
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	31	25.5	1.76	1.373	8.8	25	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trey Gibson	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	5	1	1	2	4	73	3.0	4	1
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	29	24.2	1.12	0.702	11.5	31	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	15	10.8	8.33	1.852	11.7	14	1.2	4	3	3	2	0	45	1.2	0	3
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	28	17.6	2.56	0.795	8.2	16	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	28	27.2	4.63	1.287	11.2	34	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-1

Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants

WAS 33-33 (5.33 RPG / 5.27 RA)

4 - 2

SF 27-39 (4.12 RPG / 4.85 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 4-2 TARGET: WAS 4 - 2 SF (WAS) Confidence: 58.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	9
SF	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.279

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-148.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-158.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record33-33

Win%0.500

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.061

SF Season Quality

Record26-39

Win%0.400

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.754

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9645; margin adjustment: -0.4051; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	275	1058	304	0.287	77	195	0.430	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.246	0.388	0.493	OK
Luis Garcia	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.255	0.327	0.449
Curtis Mead	1B	153	509	131	0.257	34	92	0.374	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.200	0.305	0.406	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	247	939	279	0.297	50	208	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.342	0.512	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	38	158	36	0.228	5	9	0.261	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.233	0.344	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	255	1049	267	0.255	33	127	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.311	0.407	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	118	410	107	0.261	18	93	0.280	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.259	0.292	0.464	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	124	371	95	0.256	4	24	0.343	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.312	0.341	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	196	671	131	0.195	0	65	0.296	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.229	0.304	0.270	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	9	4	4	3	5	0.257

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Casey Schmitt	LF	204	813	247	0.304	54	139	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.291	0.539	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	238	929	234	0.252	30	127	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.289	0.415	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	235	957	322	0.336	10	102	0.378	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.305	0.341	0.416	OK
Willy Adames	SS	241	1009	256	0.254	34	97	0.289	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.239	0.289	0.485	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	203	799	239	0.299	12	78	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.355	0.381	0.479	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	60	197	44	0.223	5	9	0.306	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.285	0.364	0.414	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	237	906	207	0.228	8	93	0.319	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.276	0.354	0.481	OK
Eric Haase	C	35	110	31	0.282	12	22	0.313	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.281	0.519	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	120	402	98	0.244	9	34	0.296	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.227	0.270	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	2	2	1	6	0.129

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Richard Lovelady	Starter	19	15.4	3.51	2.143	9.9	17	4.0	4	2	2	1	6	66	4.0	6	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	16	15.6	3.46	1.474	10.4	18	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	25	2.0	0	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	19	37.3	2.65	1.072	8.2	34	3.0	0	0	0	0	0	30	3.0	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	10	59.1	4.26	1.269	7.8	51	6.0	6	4	4	3	4	106	6.0	4	4
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	28	25.7	3.85	1.362	11.2	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	28	27.9	2.58	0.968	8.1	25	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	10	1.1	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	22	16.3	4.42	1.840	14.9	27	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	18	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 4-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS Recent Form

TB Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres

CIN Recent Form

SD Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels

HOU Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Oakland Athletics

MIL Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians

NYY Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

NYY Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays

PHI Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

PHI Season Quality

TOR Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles

SEA Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

SEA Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants