| Matchup | Target Score | Sim Score | Target Winner | Sim Winner | Winner | Confidence | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL @ BOS | 3 - 4 | 3 - 5 | BOS | BOS | BOS wins 5-3 | 55% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| CHW @ MIN | 2 - 3 | 2 - 3 | MIN | MIN | MIN wins 3-2 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| CLE @ NYY | 1 - 2 | 1 - 2 | NYY | NYY | NYY wins 2-1 | 58% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| COL @ LAA | 2 - 5 | 2 - 4 | LAA | LAA | LAA wins 4-2 | 55% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| DET @ TB | 1 - 2 | 0 - 3 | TB | TB | TB wins 3-0 | 54% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| KC @ CIN | 1 - 2 | 1 - 3 | CIN | CIN | CIN wins 3-1 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| LAD @ ARI | 5 - 3 | 4 - 3 | LAD | LAD | LAD wins 4-3 | 55% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| MIA @ WAS | 3 - 1 | 5 - 1 | MIA | MIA | MIA wins 5-1 | 55% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| NYM @ SEA | 2 - 3 | 1 - 5 | SEA | SEA | SEA wins 5-1 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| OAK @ CHC | 3 - 4 | 3 - 5 | CHC | CHC | CHC wins 5-3 | 56% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| PIT @ HOU | 1 - 2 | 1 - 2 | HOU | HOU | HOU wins 2-1 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| SD @ PHI | 1 - 2 | 2 - 3 | PHI | PHI | PHI wins 3-2 | 55% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| SF @ MIL | 2 - 5 | 3 - 4 | MIL | MIL | MIL wins 4-3 | 62% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| TEX @ STL | 3 - 1 | 2 - 1 | TEX | TEX | TEX wins 2-1 | 54% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| TOR @ ATL | 2 - 4 | 2 - 6 | ATL | ATL | ATL wins 6-2 | 54% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| BOS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
Quality edge: 0.394; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Taylor Ward | LF | 255 | 934 | 243 | 0.260 | 9 | 73 | 0.406 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.391 | 0.328 | OK |
| Gunnar Henderson | SS | 257 | 1099 | 232 | 0.211 | 54 | 137 | 0.266 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.212 | 0.262 | 0.390 | OK |
| Adley Rutschman | C | 163 | 634 | 168 | 0.265 | 31 | 112 | 0.338 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.235 | 0.328 | 0.403 | OK |
| Pete Alonso | 1B | 247 | 947 | 230 | 0.243 | 42 | 152 | 0.324 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.267 | 0.335 | 0.478 | OK |
| Coby Mayo | 3B | 153 | 506 | 108 | 0.213 | 22 | 72 | 0.290 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.242 | 0.305 | 0.490 | OK |
| Samuel Basallo | DH | 165 | 601 | 164 | 0.273 | 32 | 89 | 0.332 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.304 | 0.375 | 0.550 | OK |
| Tyler O'Neill | RF | 107 | 318 | 54 | 0.170 | 8 | 30 | 0.286 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.208 | 0.290 | 0.285 | OK |
| Jackson Holliday | 2B | 29 | 93 | 21 | 0.226 | 5 | 19 | 0.297 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.237 | 0.318 | 0.374 | OK |
| Blaze Alexander | CF | 133 | 440 | 121 | 0.275 | 4 | 55 | 0.326 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.278 | 0.323 | 0.391 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0.118 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jarren Duran | LF | 224 | 934 | 202 | 0.216 | 38 | 136 | 0.288 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.226 | 0.284 | 0.430 | OK |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | CF | 202 | 768 | 217 | 0.283 | 18 | 89 | 0.349 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.167 | 0.255 | 0.298 | 0.398 | OK |
| Wilyer Abreu | RF | 234 | 922 | 259 | 0.281 | 26 | 101 | 0.347 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.249 | 0.316 | 0.382 | OK |
| Willson Contreras | 1B | 223 | 822 | 231 | 0.281 | 49 | 157 | 0.377 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.266 | 0.358 | 0.428 | OK |
| Masataka Yoshida | DH | 115 | 382 | 99 | 0.259 | 4 | 29 | 0.345 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.184 | 0.260 | 0.279 | OK |
| Mickey Gasper | C | 50 | 178 | 61 | 0.343 | 0 | 10 | 0.385 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.288 | 0.335 | 0.367 | OK |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2B | 72 | 214 | 70 | 0.327 | 4 | 35 | 0.412 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.284 | 0.371 | 0.346 | OK |
| Marcelo Mayer | SS | 164 | 548 | 118 | 0.215 | 7 | 47 | 0.276 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.173 | 0.229 | 0.230 | OK |
| Caleb Durbin | 3B | 172 | 592 | 112 | 0.189 | 5 | 74 | 0.266 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.219 | 0.265 | 0.359 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 48 | 42 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 0.286 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Chris Bassitt | Starter | 11 | 51.7 | 5.22 | 1.625 | 6.3 | 36 | 4.2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 4.2 | 2 | 3 |
| Rico Garcia | Middle Reliever | 28 | 24.0 | 0.75 | 0.667 | 11.2 | 30 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Nunez | Middle Reliever | 26 | 24.2 | 5.21 | 1.322 | 11.5 | 31 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yennier Cano | Middle Reliever | 25 | 16.4 | 2.74 | 0.793 | 8.8 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Tyler Wells | Middle Reliever | 21 | 25.7 | 4.55 | 1.323 | 9.1 | 26 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Albert Suárez | Reliever | 8 | 20.2 | 2.67 | 1.238 | 4.5 | 10 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 0.2 | 2 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Payton Tolle | Starter | 7 | 40.4 | 2.67 | 0.916 | 10.2 | 46 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 84 | 6.0 | 7 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | Middle Reliever | 19 | 18.2 | 0.49 | 0.879 | 12.4 | 25 | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 1.2 | 0 | 3 |
| Justin Slaten | Middle Reliever | 11 | 8.6 | 4.19 | 1.512 | 14.7 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jovani Morán | Middle Reliever | 19 | 28.2 | 3.19 | 1.064 | 11.2 | 35 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
BOS wins 5-3 (Extra Innings - 10)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 3 | 9 |
Quality edge: -0.3925; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Sam Antonacci | LF | 153 | 542 | 140 | 0.258 | 5 | 59 | 0.368 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.249 | 0.294 | 0.343 | OK |
| Miguel Vargas | 3B | 243 | 901 | 209 | 0.232 | 58 | 150 | 0.363 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.254 | 0.356 | 0.543 | OK |
| Andrew Benintendi | DH | 176 | 653 | 163 | 0.250 | 16 | 103 | 0.289 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.301 | 0.462 | OK |
| Colson Montgomery | SS | 234 | 880 | 208 | 0.236 | 59 | 154 | 0.332 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.237 | 0.299 | 0.506 | OK |
| Chase Meidroth | 2B | 233 | 900 | 238 | 0.264 | 24 | 87 | 0.338 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.270 | 0.339 | 0.399 | OK |
| Jacob Gonzalez | 1B | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | 0.273 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.240 | 0.306 | 0.330 | OK |
| Tristan Peters | CF | 153 | 466 | 136 | 0.292 | 8 | 50 | 0.354 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.500 | 0.277 | 0.328 | 0.409 | OK |
| Drew Romo | C | 64 | 210 | 38 | 0.181 | 18 | 37 | 0.304 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.137 | 0.237 | 0.336 | OK |
| Rikuu Nishida | RF | 13 | 41 | 10 | 0.244 | 0 | 2 | 0.244 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.219 | 0.230 | 0.287 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Byron Buxton | CF | 222 | 950 | 255 | 0.268 | 83 | 135 | 0.329 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.254 | 0.311 | 0.481 | OK |
| Brooks Lee | 3B | 212 | 804 | 202 | 0.251 | 26 | 125 | 0.308 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.750 | 0.249 | 0.297 | 0.444 | OK |
| Trevor Larnach | LF | 160 | 558 | 153 | 0.274 | 9 | 57 | 0.378 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.213 | 0.316 | 0.352 | OK |
| Josh Bell | DH | 221 | 837 | 187 | 0.223 | 21 | 128 | 0.288 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.259 | 0.312 | 0.382 | OK |
| Austin Martin | RF | 178 | 650 | 187 | 0.288 | 10 | 75 | 0.387 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.216 | 0.307 | 0.304 | OK |
| Victor Caratini | C | 152 | 510 | 94 | 0.184 | 5 | 74 | 0.282 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.213 | 0.287 | 0.269 | OK |
| Luke Keaschall | 2B | 214 | 795 | 194 | 0.244 | 5 | 84 | 0.324 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.273 | 0.336 | 0.358 | OK |
| Tristan Gray | SS | 99 | 326 | 75 | 0.230 | 14 | 69 | 0.277 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.244 | 0.279 | 0.407 | OK |
| Orlando Arcia | 1B | 22 | 76 | 30 | 0.395 | 0 | 4 | 0.425 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.188 | 0.240 | 0.273 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 33 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0.273 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Erick Fedde | Starter | 11 | 51.7 | 5.57 | 1.528 | 5.9 | 34 | 4.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 86 | 4.0 | 3 | 3 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | Middle Reliever | 2 | 1.1 | 16.36 | 3.636 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Grant Taylor | Middle Reliever | 6 | 6.1 | 1.48 | 1.311 | 11.8 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Hudson | Middle Reliever | 24 | 20.9 | 1.72 | 1.483 | 9.9 | 23 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Taj Bradley | Starter | 10 | 55.3 | 3.25 | 1.230 | 10.6 | 65 | 5.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 99 | 5.2 | 6 | 1 |
| Taylor Rogers | Middle Reliever | 24 | 17.0 | 3.71 | 1.824 | 9.0 | 17 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0.2 | 2 | 1 |
| Yoendrys Gómez | Middle Reliever | 14 | 10.8 | 0.83 | 0.926 | 13.3 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Eric Orze | Middle Reliever | 23 | 22.9 | 4.72 | 1.659 | 9.8 | 25 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Banda | Middle Reliever | 29 | 19.7 | 6.85 | 1.675 | 11.0 | 24 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
MIN wins 3-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | x | 2 | 7 |
Quality edge: 1.5065; margin adjustment: 0.6327; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Travis Bazzana | 2B | 116 | 423 | 126 | 0.298 | 12 | 52 | 0.408 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.271 | 0.353 | 0.431 | OK |
| José Ramírez | 3B | 254 | 943 | 223 | 0.236 | 36 | 128 | 0.352 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.244 | 0.347 | 0.420 | OK |
| Chase DeLauter | RF | 218 | 847 | 218 | 0.257 | 32 | 148 | 0.334 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.262 | 0.330 | 0.393 | OK |
| Kyle Manzardo | 1B | 171 | 611 | 131 | 0.214 | 17 | 60 | 0.297 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.229 | 0.304 | 0.365 | OK |
| Rhys Hoskins | DH | 153 | 478 | 97 | 0.203 | 22 | 82 | 0.343 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.210 | 0.334 | 0.446 | OK |
| Angel Martínez | LF | 194 | 748 | 194 | 0.259 | 38 | 119 | 0.298 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.209 | 0.231 | 0.344 | OK |
| Steven Kwan | CF | 232 | 877 | 186 | 0.212 | 4 | 56 | 0.330 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.224 | 0.328 | 0.278 | OK |
| Patrick Bailey | C | 26 | 73 | 12 | 0.164 | 3 | 7 | 0.225 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.177 | 0.234 | 0.280 | OK |
| Brayan Rocchio | SS | 207 | 693 | 208 | 0.300 | 14 | 105 | 0.378 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.266 | 0.327 | 0.382 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 41 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Trent Grisham | CF | 213 | 781 | 165 | 0.211 | 32 | 133 | 0.328 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.244 | 0.361 | 0.397 | OK |
| Ben Rice | 1B | 216 | 821 | 247 | 0.301 | 70 | 172 | 0.402 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.331 | 0.425 | 0.662 | OK |
| Paul Goldschmidt | DH | 112 | 421 | 120 | 0.285 | 25 | 70 | 0.368 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.295 | 0.364 | 0.556 | OK |
| Cody Bellinger | LF | 238 | 873 | 239 | 0.274 | 36 | 161 | 0.380 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.264 | 0.375 | 0.435 | OK |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 2B | 219 | 830 | 206 | 0.248 | 27 | 92 | 0.329 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.251 | 0.327 | 0.428 | OK |
| José Caballero | RF | 167 | 588 | 161 | 0.274 | 18 | 63 | 0.328 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.260 | 0.306 | 0.377 | OK |
| Ryan McMahon | 3B | 155 | 518 | 104 | 0.201 | 18 | 66 | 0.262 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.244 | 0.294 | 0.450 | OK |
| Austin Wells | C | 155 | 506 | 97 | 0.192 | 17 | 32 | 0.309 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.184 | 0.297 | 0.269 | OK |
| Anthony Volpe | SS | 45 | 152 | 46 | 0.303 | 6 | 36 | 0.442 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.250 | 0.384 | 0.428 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0.226 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Gavin Williams | Starter | 12 | 75.4 | 3.10 | 1.101 | 10.5 | 88 | 6.1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 114 | 6.1 | 6 | 1 |
| Cade Smith | Middle Reliever | 27 | 27.2 | 2.65 | 1.103 | 13.9 | 42 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Hunter Gaddis | Middle Reliever | 17 | 13.0 | 4.15 | 1.538 | 9.7 | 14 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Gerrit Cole | Starter | 2 | 12.2 | 0.00 | 0.738 | 8.9 | 12 | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 83 | 5.0 | 8 | 0 |
| David Bednar | Middle Reliever | 24 | 22.6 | 4.78 | 1.681 | 11.5 | 29 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fernando Cruz | Middle Reliever | 28 | 17.9 | 3.02 | 1.788 | 15.1 | 30 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | Middle Reliever | 27 | 18.9 | 3.81 | 1.376 | 5.7 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brent Headrick | Middle Reliever | 29 | 22.6 | 2.39 | 1.681 | 13.1 | 33 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Camilo Doval | Middle Reliever | 26 | 18.6 | 7.26 | 1.398 | 9.2 | 19 | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 |
NYY wins 2-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| LAA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | x | 4 | 9 |
Quality edge: 0.4918; margin adjustment: 0.2066; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jake McCarthy | CF | 142 | 477 | 124 | 0.260 | 10 | 69 | 0.299 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.293 | 0.336 | 0.501 | OK |
| Tyler Freeman | RF | 139 | 512 | 128 | 0.250 | 10 | 57 | 0.325 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.247 | 0.293 | 0.332 | OK |
| TJ Rumfield | DH | 217 | 817 | 230 | 0.282 | 31 | 118 | 0.359 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.270 | 0.356 | 0.442 | OK |
| Hunter Goodman | C | 215 | 854 | 210 | 0.246 | 57 | 94 | 0.313 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.247 | 0.312 | 0.538 | OK |
| Troy Johnston | 1B | 187 | 678 | 223 | 0.329 | 10 | 94 | 0.391 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.302 | 0.357 | 0.424 | OK |
| Willi Castro | SS | 175 | 641 | 166 | 0.259 | 9 | 75 | 0.318 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.255 | 0.318 | 0.375 | OK |
| Sterlin Thompson | LF | 31 | 88 | 15 | 0.170 | 0 | 8 | 0.291 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.139 | 0.241 | 0.225 | OK |
| Kyle Karros | 3B | 184 | 568 | 129 | 0.227 | 9 | 54 | 0.337 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.260 | 0.360 | 0.439 | OK |
| Edouard Julien | 2B | 153 | 530 | 119 | 0.225 | 10 | 60 | 0.325 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.230 | 0.350 | 0.304 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jorge Soler | RF | 224 | 847 | 187 | 0.221 | 36 | 137 | 0.305 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.240 | 0.305 | 0.396 | OK |
| Mike Trout | DH | 255 | 901 | 227 | 0.252 | 63 | 148 | 0.422 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.268 | 0.430 | 0.509 | OK |
| Wade Meckler | LF | 23 | 76 | 24 | 0.316 | 5 | 19 | 0.358 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.268 | 0.313 | 0.456 | OK |
| Vaughn Grissom | 1B | 127 | 473 | 117 | 0.247 | 13 | 98 | 0.313 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.262 | 0.328 | 0.410 | OK |
| Oswald Peraza | SS | 162 | 561 | 159 | 0.283 | 27 | 63 | 0.354 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.284 | 0.316 | 0.457 | OK |
| Donovan Walton | 3B | 24 | 92 | 25 | 0.272 | 0 | 1 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.284 | 0.323 | 0.400 | OK |
| Nick Madrigal | 2B | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.233 | 0.246 | 0.328 | OK |
| Jose Siri | CF | 15 | 35 | 9 | 0.257 | 2 | 6 | 0.257 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.228 | 0.239 | 0.460 | OK |
| Logan O'Hoppe | C | 125 | 425 | 95 | 0.224 | 5 | 47 | 0.318 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.207 | 0.282 | 0.323 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 32 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0.281 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Michael Lorenzen | Starter | 13 | 55.0 | 7.53 | 1.982 | 7.0 | 43 | 4.1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 80 | 4.1 | 4 | 3 |
| Antonio Senzatela | Middle Reliever | 17 | 30.7 | 1.47 | 1.010 | 7.6 | 26 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Juan Mejia | Middle Reliever | 25 | 23.8 | 6.81 | 1.975 | 11.7 | 31 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaden Hill | Middle Reliever | 24 | 15.4 | 4.68 | 1.948 | 13.4 | 23 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Walbert Urena | Starter | 10 | 43.4 | 2.49 | 1.406 | 8.5 | 41 | 5.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 94 | 5.2 | 8 | 2 |
| Kirby Yates | Middle Reliever | 9 | 7.4 | 4.86 | 1.351 | 12.2 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Bachman | Middle Reliever | 21 | 24.6 | 2.56 | 1.260 | 10.6 | 29 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn | Middle Reliever | 22 | 24.1 | 6.35 | 1.535 | 12.0 | 32 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | Middle Reliever | 23 | 30.2 | 4.47 | 1.391 | 8.3 | 28 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
LAA wins 4-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| TB | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | x | 3 | 8 |
Quality edge: 1.0067; margin adjustment: 0.4228; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Gleyber Torres | 2B | 146 | 537 | 137 | 0.255 | 11 | 52 | 0.391 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.256 | 0.383 | 0.358 | OK |
| Kevin McGonigle | SS | 243 | 931 | 278 | 0.299 | 14 | 107 | 0.399 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.250 | 0.347 | 0.362 | OK |
| Dillon Dingler | DH | 209 | 778 | 190 | 0.244 | 51 | 153 | 0.331 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.240 | 0.307 | 0.529 | OK |
| Kerry Carpenter | RF | 119 | 379 | 85 | 0.224 | 23 | 66 | 0.303 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.270 | 0.326 | 0.516 | OK |
| Riley Greene | LF | 239 | 872 | 270 | 0.310 | 19 | 115 | 0.406 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.294 | 0.377 | 0.483 | OK |
| Spencer Torkelson | 1B | 220 | 765 | 161 | 0.210 | 32 | 81 | 0.316 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.238 | 0.324 | 0.409 | OK |
| Colt Keith | 3B | 166 | 538 | 152 | 0.283 | 0 | 23 | 0.330 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.211 | 0.273 | 0.285 | OK |
| Matt Vierling | CF | 162 | 590 | 121 | 0.205 | 15 | 84 | 0.278 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.159 | 0.238 | 0.293 | OK |
| Jake Rogers | C | 56 | 164 | 22 | 0.134 | 0 | 14 | 0.220 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.143 | 0.243 | 0.236 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Chandler Simpson | LF | 226 | 937 | 266 | 0.284 | 0 | 44 | 0.320 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.194 | 0.239 | 0.242 | OK |
| Junior Caminero | 3B | 237 | 932 | 250 | 0.268 | 58 | 130 | 0.367 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.297 | 0.414 | 0.516 | OK |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1B | 232 | 865 | 249 | 0.288 | 44 | 192 | 0.382 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.270 | 0.373 | 0.481 | OK |
| Yandy Díaz | DH | 223 | 873 | 277 | 0.317 | 33 | 156 | 0.397 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.300 | 0.373 | 0.546 | OK |
| Richie Palacios | 2B | 119 | 369 | 102 | 0.276 | 4 | 58 | 0.386 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.199 | 0.318 | 0.285 | OK |
| Ben Williamson | SS | 132 | 442 | 122 | 0.276 | 0 | 57 | 0.357 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.269 | 0.339 | 0.360 | OK |
| Cedric Mullins | CF | 186 | 691 | 130 | 0.188 | 13 | 73 | 0.265 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.181 | 0.275 | 0.265 | OK |
| Nick Fortes | C | 137 | 450 | 112 | 0.249 | 4 | 38 | 0.290 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.211 | 0.236 | 0.299 | OK |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | RF | 16 | 58 | 13 | 0.224 | 6 | 13 | 0.297 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.200 | 0.276 | 0.331 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.258 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Troy Melton | Starter | 2 | 12.2 | 1.48 | 0.984 | 3.0 | 4 | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 84 | 5.0 | 4 | 0 |
| Kyle Finnegan | Middle Reliever | 26 | 25.2 | 1.43 | 1.548 | 5.7 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Will Vest | Middle Reliever | 19 | 16.1 | 8.39 | 1.677 | 11.2 | 20 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 |
| Drew Anderson | Middle Reliever | 20 | 34.5 | 4.43 | 1.391 | 12.0 | 46 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Nick Martinez | Starter | 11 | 65.5 | 1.65 | 1.130 | 5.6 | 41 | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 93 | 6.0 | 4 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | Middle Reliever | 27 | 24.4 | 2.21 | 1.066 | 10.7 | 29 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Ian Seymour | Middle Reliever | 25 | 26.8 | 4.37 | 1.381 | 11.1 | 33 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | Middle Reliever | 26 | 22.8 | 3.16 | 0.965 | 7.5 | 19 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0.2 | 2 | 0 |
TB wins 3-0
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | x | 3 | 5 |
Quality edge: 0.4449; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Carter Jensen | C | 190 | 651 | 151 | 0.232 | 24 | 101 | 0.319 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.214 | 0.292 | 0.369 | OK |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | 248 | 994 | 286 | 0.288 | 40 | 112 | 0.356 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.246 | 0.326 | 0.413 | OK |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1B | 232 | 874 | 171 | 0.196 | 23 | 108 | 0.293 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.314 | 0.322 | OK |
| Salvador Perez | DH | 226 | 871 | 193 | 0.222 | 42 | 111 | 0.275 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.203 | 0.251 | 0.332 | OK |
| Jac Caglianone | RF | 184 | 643 | 142 | 0.221 | 19 | 43 | 0.297 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.180 | 0.254 | 0.319 | OK |
| Isaac Collins | LF | 182 | 600 | 134 | 0.223 | 11 | 71 | 0.350 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.206 | 0.316 | 0.297 | OK |
| Michael Massey | 2B | 118 | 373 | 89 | 0.239 | 12 | 51 | 0.256 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.206 | 0.235 | 0.405 | OK |
| Nick Loftin | 3B | 74 | 218 | 46 | 0.211 | 0 | 48 | 0.319 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.202 | 0.299 | 0.301 | OK |
| Kyle Isbel | CF | 156 | 509 | 133 | 0.261 | 11 | 42 | 0.312 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.208 | 0.241 | 0.316 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0.100 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Blake Dunn | CF | 57 | 245 | 75 | 0.306 | 5 | 15 | 0.370 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.198 | 0.254 | 0.276 | OK |
| JJ Bleday | LF | 117 | 448 | 125 | 0.279 | 34 | 104 | 0.372 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.286 | 0.374 | 0.625 | OK |
| Sal Stewart | 1B | 243 | 908 | 225 | 0.248 | 49 | 160 | 0.357 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.256 | 0.357 | 0.422 | OK |
| Nathaniel Lowe | DH | 133 | 446 | 128 | 0.287 | 36 | 93 | 0.379 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.197 | 0.309 | 0.417 | OK |
| Eugenio Suárez | 3B | 123 | 450 | 105 | 0.233 | 11 | 53 | 0.311 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.210 | 0.295 | 0.350 | OK |
| Spencer Steer | 2B | 212 | 782 | 209 | 0.267 | 32 | 89 | 0.342 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.295 | 0.366 | 0.518 | OK |
| Will Benson | RF | 93 | 248 | 46 | 0.185 | 6 | 11 | 0.303 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.162 | 0.263 | 0.324 | OK |
| Tyler Stephenson | C | 162 | 535 | 103 | 0.193 | 17 | 74 | 0.299 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.200 | 0.300 | 0.323 | OK |
| Matt McLain | SS | 217 | 838 | 177 | 0.211 | 22 | 91 | 0.308 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.196 | 0.289 | 0.312 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0.172 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Stephen Kolek | Starter | 5 | 30.3 | 3.56 | 0.957 | 5.6 | 19 | 6.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 101 | 6.1 | 5 | 1 |
| Lucas Erceg | Middle Reliever | 23 | 21.4 | 5.47 | 1.822 | 8.4 | 20 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Daniel Lynch IV | Middle Reliever | 23 | 20.3 | 2.22 | 1.133 | 12.0 | 27 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Chase Burns | Starter | 11 | 63.4 | 1.99 | 0.978 | 10.2 | 72 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 94 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 |
| Tony Santillan | Middle Reliever | 24 | 21.5 | 4.19 | 1.395 | 9.2 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brock Burke | Middle Reliever | 30 | 23.2 | 4.27 | 1.681 | 10.9 | 28 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tejay Antone | Middle Reliever | 10 | 9.2 | 4.89 | 1.196 | 8.8 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
CIN wins 3-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 |
| ARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Quality edge: -2.05; margin adjustment: -0.861; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Shohei Ohtani | DH | 242 | 935 | 263 | 0.281 | 41 | 154 | 0.407 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.331 | 0.424 | 0.578 | OK |
| Andy Pages | CF | 231 | 882 | 276 | 0.313 | 58 | 222 | 0.361 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.600 | 0.287 | 0.331 | 0.527 | OK |
| Freddie Freeman | 1B | 232 | 875 | 237 | 0.271 | 32 | 125 | 0.370 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.288 | 0.364 | 0.523 | OK |
| Mookie Betts | SS | 96 | 410 | 75 | 0.183 | 29 | 73 | 0.230 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.223 | 0.275 | 0.392 | OK |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | 232 | 893 | 225 | 0.252 | 21 | 120 | 0.346 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.227 | 0.320 | 0.368 | OK |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 196 | 696 | 181 | 0.260 | 54 | 82 | 0.360 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.240 | 0.321 | 0.507 | OK |
| Will Smith | C | 176 | 659 | 169 | 0.256 | 22 | 99 | 0.332 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.273 | 0.372 | 0.470 | OK |
| Alex Call | LF | 65 | 201 | 55 | 0.274 | 0 | 38 | 0.393 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.195 | 0.318 | 0.281 | OK |
| Alex Freeland | 2B | 120 | 386 | 94 | 0.244 | 9 | 35 | 0.321 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.500 | 0.236 | 0.313 | 0.399 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 42 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0.297 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Geraldo Perdomo | SS | 222 | 780 | 175 | 0.224 | 10 | 80 | 0.341 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.223 | 0.321 | 0.363 | OK |
| Corbin Carroll | RF | 227 | 842 | 251 | 0.298 | 33 | 129 | 0.397 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.255 | 0.336 | 0.490 | OK |
| Gabriel Moreno | C | 128 | 462 | 121 | 0.262 | 13 | 74 | 0.327 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.259 | 0.339 | 0.389 | OK |
| Nolan Arenado | 3B | 198 | 686 | 190 | 0.277 | 30 | 118 | 0.360 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.254 | 0.332 | 0.454 | OK |
| Pavin Smith | DH | 10 | 27 | 4 | 0.148 | 0 | 5 | 0.361 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.212 | 0.360 | 0.284 | OK |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | CF | 72 | 253 | 69 | 0.273 | 0 | 28 | 0.341 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.187 | 0.262 | 0.290 | OK |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 2B | 202 | 818 | 252 | 0.308 | 32 | 155 | 0.334 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.243 | 0.272 | 0.372 | OK |
| Jose Fernandez | 1B | 155 | 556 | 149 | 0.268 | 12 | 59 | 0.304 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.214 | 0.254 | 0.319 | OK |
| Tommy Troy | LF | 18 | 57 | 21 | 0.368 | 1 | 1 | 0.446 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.249 | 0.331 | 0.456 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0.133 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Shohei Ohtani | Starter | 23 | 139.0 | 0.52 | 0.777 | 8.7 | 135 | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 144 | 6.0 | 10 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott | Middle Reliever | 27 | 24.5 | 2.20 | 0.735 | 10.7 | 29 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyle Hurt | Middle Reliever | 19 | 18.2 | 2.47 | 0.989 | 10.9 | 22 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Vesia | Middle Reliever | 26 | 16.6 | 2.71 | 1.145 | 15.2 | 28 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Zac Gallen | Starter | 12 | 57.7 | 5.30 | 1.508 | 6.6 | 42 | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 101 | 5.0 | 8 | 2 |
| Paul Sewald | Middle Reliever | 1 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | Middle Reliever | 1 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 2.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Middle Reliever | 2 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.476 | 8.6 | 2 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | Middle Reliever | 1 | 0.1 | 360.00 | 30.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
LAD wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 |
| WAS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Quality edge: 0.2984; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Heriberto Hernández | LF | 103 | 342 | 69 | 0.202 | 7 | 61 | 0.267 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.248 | 0.297 | 0.479 | OK |
| Otto Lopez | SS | 237 | 954 | 331 | 0.347 | 20 | 108 | 0.378 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.313 | 0.341 | 0.471 | OK |
| Kyle Stowers | RF | 144 | 544 | 114 | 0.210 | 13 | 44 | 0.301 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.232 | 0.300 | 0.394 | OK |
| Xavier Edwards | 2B | 243 | 922 | 295 | 0.320 | 26 | 85 | 0.406 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.292 | 0.394 | 0.449 | OK |
| Christopher Morel | DH | 63 | 211 | 39 | 0.185 | 0 | 4 | 0.246 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.211 | 0.258 | 0.294 | OK |
| Esteury Ruiz | CF | 44 | 125 | 24 | 0.192 | 8 | 17 | 0.222 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.123 | 0.174 | 0.314 | OK |
| Connor Norby | 1B | 188 | 637 | 141 | 0.221 | 18 | 63 | 0.329 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.196 | 0.271 | 0.316 | OK |
| Javier Sanoja | 3B | 123 | 423 | 121 | 0.286 | 4 | 79 | 0.326 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.255 | 0.297 | 0.377 | OK |
| Joe Mack | C | 65 | 213 | 45 | 0.211 | 1 | 27 | 0.257 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.206 | 0.246 | 0.315 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 41 | 35 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| James Wood | DH | 271 | 1045 | 301 | 0.288 | 76 | 194 | 0.429 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.256 | 0.384 | 0.510 | OK |
| Dylan Crews | RF | 34 | 142 | 34 | 0.239 | 4 | 6 | 0.265 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.237 | 0.259 | 0.345 | OK |
| Curtis Mead | 3B | 149 | 495 | 127 | 0.257 | 33 | 90 | 0.374 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.209 | 0.315 | 0.418 | OK |
| CJ Abrams | SS | 243 | 923 | 276 | 0.299 | 48 | 206 | 0.389 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.292 | 0.365 | 0.485 | OK |
| Jacob Young | CF | 196 | 737 | 173 | 0.235 | 25 | 93 | 0.288 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.230 | 0.281 | 0.373 | OK |
| Daylen Lile | LF | 251 | 1033 | 263 | 0.255 | 32 | 125 | 0.312 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.235 | 0.290 | 0.357 | OK |
| Keibert Ruiz | C | 115 | 402 | 104 | 0.259 | 18 | 92 | 0.275 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.275 | 0.289 | 0.491 | OK |
| Luis García Jr. | 1B | 178 | 663 | 185 | 0.279 | 21 | 123 | 0.299 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.210 | 0.237 | 0.403 | OK |
| Nasim Nuñez | 2B | 193 | 661 | 128 | 0.194 | 0 | 63 | 0.296 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.208 | 0.291 | 0.265 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Max Meyer | Starter | 12 | 65.5 | 3.02 | 1.115 | 10.2 | 74 | 5.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 91 | 5.2 | 6 | 0 |
| Pete Fairbanks | Middle Reliever | 17 | 14.4 | 7.50 | 1.389 | 13.8 | 22 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Anthony Bender | Middle Reliever | 25 | 19.9 | 4.07 | 1.106 | 11.8 | 26 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Petersen | Middle Reliever | 22 | 20.3 | 3.99 | 1.281 | 11.1 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Andrew Alvarez | Starter | 5 | 15.2 | 4.14 | 1.316 | 10.1 | 17 | 4.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 85 | 4.1 | 7 | 3 |
| Gus Varland | Middle Reliever | 23 | 17.8 | 5.06 | 1.910 | 10.1 | 20 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Clayton Beeter | Middle Reliever | 15 | 14.5 | 2.48 | 1.310 | 9.3 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard Lovelady | Middle Reliever | 19 | 15.4 | 3.51 | 2.143 | 9.9 | 17 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Lord | Middle Reliever | 17 | 34.2 | 2.89 | 1.082 | 8.2 | 31 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Orlando Ribalta | Middle Reliever | 15 | 15.2 | 1.78 | 0.921 | 7.1 | 12 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
MIA wins 5-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | x | 5 | 10 |
Quality edge: 0.8784; margin adjustment: 0.3689; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Carson Benge | RF | 205 | 783 | 207 | 0.264 | 14 | 100 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.255 | 0.316 | 0.455 | OK |
| Bo Bichette | SS | 247 | 1021 | 230 | 0.225 | 24 | 132 | 0.274 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.175 | 0.244 | 0.249 | OK |
| Juan Soto | DH | 169 | 639 | 193 | 0.302 | 46 | 108 | 0.399 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.269 | 0.359 | 0.500 | OK |
| Jared Young | 1B | 30 | 87 | 28 | 0.322 | 2 | 6 | 0.372 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.170 | 0.241 | 0.335 | OK |
| Brett Baty | 3B | 185 | 663 | 162 | 0.244 | 14 | 90 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.206 | 0.261 | 0.308 | OK |
| Marcus Semien | 2B | 225 | 827 | 194 | 0.235 | 21 | 94 | 0.283 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.243 | 0.302 | 0.424 | OK |
| A.J. Ewing | CF | 65 | 223 | 57 | 0.256 | 4 | 22 | 0.366 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.213 | 0.311 | 0.310 | OK |
| MJ Melendez | LF | 90 | 233 | 55 | 0.236 | 8 | 23 | 0.354 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.191 | 0.263 | 0.394 | OK |
| Luis Torrens | C | 98 | 294 | 57 | 0.194 | 0 | 33 | 0.255 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.160 | 0.197 | 0.240 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| J.P. Crawford | SS | 209 | 774 | 176 | 0.227 | 35 | 94 | 0.352 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.238 | 0.358 | 0.427 | OK |
| Julio Rodríguez | CF | 252 | 1032 | 266 | 0.258 | 49 | 133 | 0.315 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.258 | 0.300 | 0.514 | OK |
| Josh Naylor | 1B | 233 | 930 | 248 | 0.267 | 23 | 109 | 0.331 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.262 | 0.318 | 0.373 | OK |
| Randy Arozarena | LF | 244 | 904 | 275 | 0.304 | 24 | 110 | 0.389 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.266 | 0.324 | 0.405 | OK |
| Luke Raley | RF | 157 | 541 | 160 | 0.296 | 47 | 128 | 0.351 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.275 | 0.310 | 0.573 | OK |
| Cole Young | 2B | 229 | 810 | 198 | 0.244 | 14 | 110 | 0.323 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.273 | 0.335 | 0.402 | OK |
| Dominic Canzone | DH | 130 | 384 | 103 | 0.268 | 23 | 85 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.293 | 0.349 | 0.590 | OK |
| Jhonny Pereda | C | 33 | 106 | 18 | 0.170 | 2 | 4 | 0.273 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.224 | 0.307 | 0.329 | OK |
| Colt Emerson | 3B | 38 | 122 | 36 | 0.295 | 6 | 26 | 0.377 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.272 | 0.337 | 0.584 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 34 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 0.294 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Freddy Peralta | Starter | 12 | 63.9 | 3.66 | 1.346 | 9.6 | 68 | 5.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 109 | 5.2 | 7 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | Middle Reliever | 22 | 18.6 | 4.84 | 1.452 | 15.0 | 31 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Luke Weaver | Middle Reliever | 24 | 23.9 | 3.01 | 1.130 | 9.4 | 25 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| George Kirby | Starter | 12 | 71.9 | 3.88 | 1.252 | 7.4 | 59 | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 97 | 6.0 | 5 | 0 |
| Andrés Muñoz | Middle Reliever | 24 | 21.5 | 5.02 | 1.349 | 14.7 | 35 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Brash | Middle Reliever | 17 | 13.6 | 0.66 | 0.882 | 8.6 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| José A. Ferrer | Middle Reliever | 28 | 23.4 | 1.92 | 1.325 | 8.8 | 23 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
SEA wins 5-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| CHC | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | x | 5 | 8 |
Quality edge: 0.9811; margin adjustment: 0.4121; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Carlos Cortes | RF | 153 | 510 | 178 | 0.349 | 24 | 75 | 0.431 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.238 | 0.333 | 0.388 | OK |
| Nick Kurtz | 1B | 252 | 915 | 262 | 0.286 | 41 | 176 | 0.439 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.290 | 0.422 | 0.563 | OK |
| Shea Langeliers | C | 232 | 962 | 293 | 0.305 | 60 | 132 | 0.374 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.253 | 0.315 | 0.462 | OK |
| Tyler Soderstrom | LF | 226 | 872 | 190 | 0.218 | 27 | 110 | 0.306 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.281 | 0.382 | 0.513 | OK |
| Brent Rooker | DH | 163 | 625 | 126 | 0.202 | 37 | 128 | 0.292 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.205 | 0.283 | 0.378 | OK |
| Lawrence Butler | CF | 163 | 553 | 98 | 0.177 | 13 | 56 | 0.278 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.158 | 0.249 | 0.238 | OK |
| Zack Gelof | 3B | 138 | 514 | 132 | 0.257 | 26 | 72 | 0.308 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.229 | 0.268 | 0.367 | OK |
| Jeff McNeil | 2B | 191 | 670 | 179 | 0.267 | 6 | 58 | 0.336 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.213 | 0.275 | 0.284 | OK |
| Alika Williams | SS | 8 | 22 | 4 | 0.182 | 0 | 4 | 0.182 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.108 | 0.122 | 0.161 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Nico Hoerner | 2B | 258 | 1086 | 280 | 0.258 | 21 | 162 | 0.343 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.252 | 0.335 | 0.339 | OK |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CF | 237 | 872 | 213 | 0.244 | 27 | 109 | 0.337 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.281 | 0.345 | 0.441 | OK |
| Alex Bregman | DH | 258 | 1066 | 278 | 0.261 | 18 | 83 | 0.349 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.244 | 0.315 | 0.355 | OK |
| Seiya Suzuki | RF | 185 | 718 | 183 | 0.255 | 32 | 88 | 0.346 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.257 | 0.323 | 0.383 | OK |
| Ian Happ | LF | 242 | 948 | 227 | 0.239 | 64 | 151 | 0.360 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.667 | 0.267 | 0.356 | 0.541 | OK |
| Dansby Swanson | SS | 217 | 751 | 150 | 0.200 | 33 | 117 | 0.307 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.186 | 0.311 | 0.309 | OK |
| Michael Busch | 1B | 251 | 926 | 221 | 0.239 | 30 | 157 | 0.382 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.268 | 0.389 | 0.400 | OK |
| Pedro Ramirez | 3B | 8 | 22 | 7 | 0.318 | 0 | 4 | 0.423 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.168 | 0.277 | 0.356 | OK |
| Miguel Amaya | C | 91 | 298 | 65 | 0.218 | 12 | 33 | 0.323 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.179 | 0.273 | 0.287 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 32 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jeffrey Springs | Starter | 12 | 65.4 | 4.13 | 1.208 | 7.8 | 57 | 5.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 94 | 5.2 | 3 | 3 |
| Hogan Harris | Middle Reliever | 31 | 21.7 | 3.32 | 2.028 | 12.9 | 31 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | Middle Reliever | 26 | 22.1 | 6.11 | 1.629 | 10.2 | 25 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Colin Rea | Starter | 12 | 57.0 | 4.89 | 1.421 | 7.7 | 49 | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 94 | 5.1 | 3 | 3 |
| Daniel Palencia | Middle Reliever | 14 | 11.5 | 2.35 | 1.478 | 10.2 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Caleb Thielbar | Middle Reliever | 14 | 10.8 | 2.50 | 1.389 | 12.5 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacob Webb | Middle Reliever | 25 | 22.1 | 2.85 | 1.493 | 12.6 | 31 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Hoby Milner | Middle Reliever | 27 | 22.1 | 2.85 | 1.176 | 5.3 | 13 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
CHC wins 5-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | x | 2 | 4 |
Quality edge: -1.1937; margin adjustment: -0.5014; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Spencer Horwitz | 1B | 193 | 645 | 186 | 0.288 | 22 | 106 | 0.404 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.271 | 0.390 | 0.448 | OK |
| Brandon Lowe | 2B | 224 | 888 | 240 | 0.270 | 66 | 182 | 0.361 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.241 | 0.318 | 0.488 | OK |
| Bryan Reynolds | LF | 243 | 883 | 247 | 0.280 | 23 | 155 | 0.406 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.303 | 0.447 | 0.553 | OK |
| Nick Gonzales | 3B | 202 | 811 | 251 | 0.309 | 1 | 98 | 0.362 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.327 | 0.374 | 0.425 | OK |
| Oneil Cruz | CF | 248 | 1055 | 282 | 0.267 | 55 | 178 | 0.334 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.256 | 0.339 | 0.533 | OK |
| Marcell Ozuna | DH | 192 | 774 | 147 | 0.190 | 25 | 102 | 0.278 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.206 | 0.276 | 0.318 | OK |
| Jhostynxon Garcia | RF | 23 | 79 | 18 | 0.228 | 0 | 1 | 0.265 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.214 | 0.251 | 0.266 | OK |
| Jared Triolo | SS | 78 | 276 | 61 | 0.221 | 0 | 10 | 0.274 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.207 | 0.254 | 0.252 | OK |
| Henry Davis | C | 127 | 432 | 62 | 0.144 | 15 | 42 | 0.239 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.145 | 0.216 | 0.264 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jeremy Peña | SS | 91 | 379 | 97 | 0.256 | 10 | 30 | 0.308 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.279 | 0.306 | 0.453 | OK |
| Yordan Alvarez | DH | 249 | 922 | 304 | 0.330 | 99 | 187 | 0.445 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.285 | 0.400 | 0.599 | OK |
| Christian Walker | 1B | 234 | 890 | 244 | 0.274 | 67 | 185 | 0.349 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.227 | 0.291 | 0.448 | OK |
| Isaac Paredes | 3B | 214 | 799 | 191 | 0.239 | 26 | 103 | 0.335 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.300 | 0.397 | OK |
| Cam Smith | RF | 217 | 758 | 166 | 0.219 | 20 | 88 | 0.313 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.238 | 0.323 | 0.389 | OK |
| Jake Meyers | CF | 69 | 262 | 59 | 0.225 | 9 | 25 | 0.294 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.230 | 0.286 | 0.355 | OK |
| Zach Dezenzo | LF | 47 | 131 | 27 | 0.206 | 3 | 6 | 0.283 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.667 | 0.192 | 0.267 | 0.344 | OK |
| Nick Allen | 2B | 51 | 144 | 47 | 0.326 | 4 | 19 | 0.395 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.160 | 0.220 | 0.232 | OK |
| Christian Vázquez | C | 121 | 400 | 108 | 0.270 | 16 | 66 | 0.329 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.223 | 0.282 | 0.347 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.143 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Paul Skenes | Starter | 12 | 64.4 | 2.93 | 0.870 | 10.5 | 75 | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 94 | 6.0 | 4 | 1 |
| Gregory Soto | Middle Reliever | 28 | 26.7 | 2.02 | 0.787 | 11.5 | 34 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mason Montgomery | Middle Reliever | 22 | 18.8 | 3.83 | 1.436 | 14.4 | 30 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Spencer Arrighetti | Starter | 8 | 46.3 | 1.36 | 1.145 | 8.4 | 43 | 5.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 107 | 5.2 | 6 | 0 |
| Bryan King | Middle Reliever | 22 | 21.6 | 3.33 | 1.528 | 7.9 | 19 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Bryan Abreu | Middle Reliever | 22 | 17.0 | 9.00 | 2.353 | 13.2 | 25 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Nate Pearson | Middle Reliever | 4 | 3.2 | 0.00 | 1.250 | 5.6 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
HOU wins 2-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | x | 3 | 5 |
Quality edge: -0.3366; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2B | 231 | 890 | 236 | 0.265 | 1 | 70 | 0.342 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.294 | 0.351 | 0.385 | OK |
| Miguel Andujar | DH | 168 | 639 | 179 | 0.280 | 19 | 71 | 0.307 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.235 | 0.262 | 0.381 | OK |
| Manny Machado | 3B | 221 | 799 | 139 | 0.174 | 40 | 122 | 0.267 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.177 | 0.261 | 0.349 | OK |
| Gavin Sheets | LF | 173 | 588 | 147 | 0.250 | 33 | 87 | 0.332 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.225 | 0.309 | 0.429 | OK |
| Xander Bogaerts | SS | 213 | 789 | 198 | 0.251 | 30 | 104 | 0.320 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.226 | 0.304 | 0.355 | OK |
| Ty France | 1B | 103 | 352 | 103 | 0.293 | 20 | 61 | 0.325 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.260 | 0.291 | 0.483 | OK |
| Jackson Merrill | CF | 220 | 859 | 176 | 0.205 | 18 | 89 | 0.280 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.227 | 0.295 | 0.371 | OK |
| Jase Bowen | RF | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.250 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.227 | 0.303 | OK |
| Rodolfo Durán | C | 25 | 65 | 7 | 0.108 | 4 | 8 | 0.256 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.146 | 0.251 | 0.263 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0.212 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Kyle Schwarber | DH | 243 | 946 | 232 | 0.245 | 98 | 185 | 0.358 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.235 | 0.333 | 0.519 | OK |
| Trea Turner | SS | 244 | 1050 | 244 | 0.232 | 34 | 89 | 0.279 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.232 | 0.269 | 0.377 | OK |
| Bryce Harper | 1B | 234 | 850 | 234 | 0.275 | 58 | 150 | 0.383 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.233 | 0.356 | 0.468 | OK |
| Brandon Marsh | LF | 196 | 730 | 248 | 0.340 | 23 | 111 | 0.371 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.344 | 0.379 | 0.497 | OK |
| Alec Bohm | 3B | 213 | 801 | 172 | 0.215 | 18 | 100 | 0.274 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.205 | 0.258 | 0.324 | OK |
| Bryson Stott | 2B | 189 | 680 | 148 | 0.218 | 21 | 99 | 0.269 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.185 | 0.234 | 0.338 | OK |
| J.T. Realmuto | C | 133 | 465 | 116 | 0.249 | 9 | 41 | 0.325 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.238 | 0.285 | 0.349 | OK |
| Adolis García | RF | 217 | 773 | 152 | 0.197 | 12 | 68 | 0.284 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.163 | 0.230 | 0.243 | OK |
| Justin Crawford | CF | 177 | 606 | 144 | 0.238 | 8 | 44 | 0.302 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.228 | 0.277 | 0.345 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0.172 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Walker Buehler | Starter | 11 | 49.8 | 5.06 | 1.365 | 7.8 | 43 | 5.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 86 | 5.0 | 5 | 1 |
| Mason Miller | Middle Reliever | 24 | 23.6 | 0.76 | 0.890 | 18.7 | 49 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Adam | Middle Reliever | 23 | 18.7 | 0.96 | 1.123 | 5.3 | 11 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Adrian Morejon | Middle Reliever | 27 | 25.1 | 4.66 | 1.275 | 12.5 | 35 | 0.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0.2 | 2 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Cristopher Sánchez | Starter | 12 | 78.4 | 1.49 | 1.135 | 10.9 | 95 | 6.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 112 | 6.2 | 8 | 2 |
| Jhoan Duran | Middle Reliever | 19 | 18.2 | 1.48 | 0.934 | 14.3 | 29 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Keller | Middle Reliever | 26 | 24.5 | 3.67 | 1.224 | 10.3 | 28 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | Middle Reliever | 26 | 15.9 | 6.79 | 2.201 | 14.7 | 26 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0.2 | 2 | 0 |
PHI wins 3-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| MIL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | x | 4 | 11 |
Quality edge: 3.0931; margin adjustment: 1.2991; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Casey Schmitt | LF | 199 | 788 | 240 | 0.305 | 51 | 134 | 0.348 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.244 | 0.266 | 0.450 | OK |
| Rafael Devers | 1B | 233 | 907 | 230 | 0.254 | 29 | 125 | 0.302 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.231 | 0.292 | 0.397 | OK |
| Luis Arraez | 2B | 230 | 935 | 315 | 0.337 | 10 | 100 | 0.380 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.294 | 0.340 | 0.408 | OK |
| Willy Adames | SS | 236 | 990 | 252 | 0.255 | 32 | 92 | 0.288 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.240 | 0.278 | 0.463 | OK |
| Jung Hoo Lee | CF | 198 | 778 | 229 | 0.294 | 12 | 76 | 0.338 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.342 | 0.370 | 0.477 | OK |
| Matt Chapman | 3B | 232 | 890 | 200 | 0.225 | 6 | 81 | 0.316 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.211 | 0.293 | 0.345 | OK |
| Bryce Eldridge | DH | 55 | 178 | 37 | 0.208 | 5 | 8 | 0.290 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.256 | 0.333 | 0.453 | OK |
| Daniel Susac | C | 56 | 197 | 67 | 0.340 | 0 | 38 | 0.396 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.200 | 0.261 | 0.316 | OK |
| Victor Bericoto | RF | 7 | 13 | 3 | 0.231 | 0 | 0 | 0.231 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.117 | 0.132 | 0.173 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Christian Yelich | DH | 102 | 395 | 116 | 0.294 | 15 | 63 | 0.359 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.294 | 0.372 | 0.448 | OK |
| Andrew Vaughn | 1B | 64 | 223 | 76 | 0.341 | 4 | 35 | 0.417 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.355 | 0.399 | 0.523 | OK |
| Brice Turang | 2B | 231 | 862 | 248 | 0.288 | 34 | 154 | 0.409 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.273 | 0.412 | 0.454 | OK |
| William Contreras | C | 221 | 894 | 267 | 0.299 | 17 | 156 | 0.369 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.269 | 0.333 | 0.371 | OK |
| Jake Bauers | LF | 184 | 694 | 198 | 0.285 | 36 | 133 | 0.358 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.260 | 0.349 | 0.507 | OK |
| Garrett Mitchell | CF | 169 | 587 | 143 | 0.244 | 7 | 106 | 0.355 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.258 | 0.368 | 0.407 | OK |
| Sal Frelick | RF | 189 | 687 | 154 | 0.224 | 14 | 67 | 0.291 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.245 | 0.299 | 0.346 | OK |
| Luis Rengifo | 3B | 169 | 612 | 133 | 0.217 | 0 | 62 | 0.286 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.184 | 0.258 | 0.249 | OK |
| David Hamilton | SS | 146 | 468 | 111 | 0.237 | 1 | 32 | 0.329 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.247 | 0.331 | 0.343 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 35 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0.314 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Logan Webb | Starter | 9 | 52.1 | 4.84 | 1.401 | 8.1 | 47 | 5.1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 91 | 5.1 | 5 | 3 |
| Caleb Kilian | Middle Reliever | 25 | 22.7 | 4.36 | 1.410 | 11.5 | 29 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Keaton Winn | Middle Reliever | 25 | 24.5 | 2.57 | 0.939 | 8.1 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Erik Miller | Middle Reliever | 19 | 15.0 | 4.80 | 1.600 | 15.0 | 25 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Robert Gasser | Starter | 2 | 8.1 | 6.67 | 1.605 | 7.8 | 7 | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 84 | 4.0 | 5 | 3 |
| Abner Uribe | Middle Reliever | 24 | 20.7 | 4.35 | 1.353 | 10.0 | 23 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Trevor Megill | Middle Reliever | 22 | 22.0 | 2.45 | 0.909 | 11.5 | 28 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaron Ashby | Middle Reliever | 27 | 33.6 | 2.41 | 1.458 | 13.9 | 52 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Chad Patrick | Middle Reliever | 14 | 44.6 | 2.62 | 1.233 | 6.9 | 34 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
MIL wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Quality edge: -0.3672; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Joc Pederson | DH | 162 | 485 | 128 | 0.264 | 25 | 66 | 0.368 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.218 | 0.330 | 0.437 | OK |
| Josh Jung | 3B | 212 | 823 | 251 | 0.305 | 27 | 97 | 0.362 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.298 | 0.349 | 0.492 | OK |
| Brandon Nimmo | RF | 240 | 952 | 249 | 0.262 | 29 | 93 | 0.344 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.224 | 0.279 | 0.375 | OK |
| Jake Burger | 1B | 220 | 850 | 201 | 0.236 | 38 | 148 | 0.288 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.244 | 0.301 | 0.397 | OK |
| Ezequiel Duran | SS | 169 | 591 | 180 | 0.305 | 14 | 110 | 0.360 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.251 | 0.315 | 0.407 | OK |
| Alejandro Osuna | LF | 93 | 263 | 63 | 0.240 | 0 | 24 | 0.375 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.234 | 0.312 | 0.286 | OK |
| Evan Carter | CF | 196 | 634 | 117 | 0.185 | 25 | 69 | 0.301 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.142 | 0.248 | 0.270 | OK |
| Kyle Higashioka | C | 94 | 321 | 63 | 0.196 | 11 | 34 | 0.281 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.168 | 0.254 | 0.265 | OK |
| Nicky Lopez | 2B | 12 | 39 | 7 | 0.179 | 1 | 4 | 0.256 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.500 | 0.147 | 0.208 | 0.220 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Masyn Winn | SS | 204 | 787 | 182 | 0.231 | 6 | 91 | 0.297 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.237 | 0.289 | 0.349 | OK |
| Iván Herrera | C | 248 | 942 | 244 | 0.259 | 28 | 116 | 0.385 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.238 | 0.327 | 0.383 | OK |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 229 | 895 | 283 | 0.316 | 69 | 200 | 0.382 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.244 | 0.304 | 0.432 | OK |
| Nelson Velázquez | DH | 4 | 10 | 4 | 0.400 | 1 | 3 | 0.455 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.274 | 0.285 | 0.426 | OK |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 233 | 941 | 263 | 0.279 | 31 | 160 | 0.344 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.256 | 0.314 | 0.389 | OK |
| José Fermín | LF | 73 | 205 | 41 | 0.200 | 5 | 25 | 0.263 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.137 | 0.198 | 0.240 | OK |
| Nolan Gorman | 3B | 203 | 738 | 169 | 0.229 | 25 | 110 | 0.304 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.186 | 0.263 | 0.326 | OK |
| Thomas Saggese | 2B | 76 | 247 | 41 | 0.166 | 1 | 8 | 0.226 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.171 | 0.263 | 0.304 | OK |
| Victor Scott II | CF | 160 | 475 | 82 | 0.173 | 9 | 27 | 0.247 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.175 | 0.247 | 0.250 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 31 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.103 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| MacKenzie Gore | Starter | 12 | 59.7 | 4.07 | 1.223 | 9.8 | 65 | 5.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 88 | 5.1 | 3 | 1 |
| Jacob Latz | Middle Reliever | 21 | 25.6 | 1.05 | 0.469 | 9.1 | 26 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakob Junis | Middle Reliever | 23 | 25.5 | 1.76 | 0.824 | 6.0 | 17 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Alexander | Middle Reliever | 27 | 21.8 | 3.72 | 1.651 | 8.7 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Andre Pallante | Starter | 11 | 57.3 | 4.24 | 1.361 | 7.2 | 46 | 5.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 102 | 5.1 | 7 | 2 |
| Riley O'Brien | Middle Reliever | 26 | 24.7 | 4.37 | 1.174 | 10.6 | 29 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| JoJo Romero | Middle Reliever | 27 | 22.2 | 3.65 | 1.441 | 10.5 | 26 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| George Soriano | Middle Reliever | 26 | 21.4 | 3.36 | 1.262 | 9.3 | 22 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
TEX wins 2-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 6 | 10 |
Quality edge: 2.2295; margin adjustment: 0.9364; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Nathan Lukes | LF | 73 | 249 | 81 | 0.325 | 0 | 34 | 0.368 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.298 | 0.325 | 0.402 | OK |
| Yohendrick Pinango | RF | 83 | 286 | 88 | 0.308 | 9 | 47 | 0.338 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.264 | 0.292 | 0.430 | OK |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1B | 229 | 842 | 248 | 0.295 | 12 | 99 | 0.393 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.276 | 0.358 | 0.372 | OK |
| Jesús Sánchez | DH | 178 | 598 | 166 | 0.278 | 25 | 105 | 0.320 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.223 | 0.251 | 0.380 | OK |
| Ernie Clement | 2B | 225 | 901 | 274 | 0.304 | 22 | 90 | 0.326 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.289 | 0.308 | 0.430 | OK |
| Daulton Varsho | CF | 216 | 816 | 221 | 0.271 | 24 | 75 | 0.347 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.222 | 0.291 | 0.375 | OK |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3B | 227 | 847 | 187 | 0.221 | 50 | 134 | 0.312 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.215 | 0.304 | 0.451 | OK |
| Andrés Giménez | SS | 198 | 711 | 161 | 0.226 | 25 | 111 | 0.260 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.188 | 0.222 | 0.359 | OK |
| Brandon Valenzuela | C | 109 | 341 | 90 | 0.264 | 17 | 44 | 0.361 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.204 | 0.316 | 0.333 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | DH | 194 | 737 | 174 | 0.236 | 19 | 80 | 0.360 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.269 | 0.413 | 0.616 | OK |
| Michael Harris II | CF | 202 | 791 | 237 | 0.300 | 53 | 137 | 0.323 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.310 | 0.345 | 0.525 | OK |
| Matt Olson | 1B | 251 | 982 | 266 | 0.271 | 70 | 201 | 0.354 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.278 | 0.349 | 0.576 | OK |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 247 | 968 | 270 | 0.279 | 39 | 132 | 0.337 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.305 | 0.355 | 0.488 | OK |
| Mauricio Dubón | LF | 218 | 836 | 211 | 0.252 | 12 | 120 | 0.307 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.219 | 0.274 | 0.329 | OK |
| Austin Riley | 3B | 238 | 903 | 197 | 0.218 | 31 | 130 | 0.291 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.177 | 0.240 | 0.294 | OK |
| Eli White | RF | 74 | 209 | 45 | 0.215 | 6 | 36 | 0.254 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.186 | 0.242 | 0.316 | OK |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SS | 48 | 172 | 17 | 0.099 | 0 | 10 | 0.193 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.128 | 0.209 | 0.159 | OK |
| Chadwick Tromp | C | 21 | 56 | 15 | 0.268 | 0 | 7 | 0.263 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.145 | 0.155 | 0.253 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 0.294 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Patrick Corbin | Starter | 10 | 47.7 | 3.77 | 1.405 | 6.8 | 36 | 5.0 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 98 | 5.0 | 9 | 4 |
| Louis Varland | Middle Reliever | 28 | 28.2 | 0.32 | 1.135 | 13.4 | 42 | 1.1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1.1 | 2 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | Middle Reliever | 28 | 23.1 | 7.01 | 1.948 | 17.5 | 45 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Rogers | Middle Reliever | 28 | 24.1 | 2.61 | 1.245 | 6.0 | 16 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Grant Holmes | Starter | 11 | 55.6 | 4.05 | 1.367 | 8.6 | 53 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 83 | 5.0 | 3 | 2 |
| Raisel Iglesias | Middle Reliever | 18 | 18.2 | 0.99 | 0.934 | 10.9 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Robert Suarez | Middle Reliever | 26 | 25.5 | 0.71 | 0.863 | 8.5 | 24 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dylan Lee | Middle Reliever | 28 | 25.1 | 1.43 | 0.677 | 12.2 | 34 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Kinley | Middle Reliever | 28 | 23.8 | 3.40 | 1.261 | 10.6 | 28 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
ATL wins 6-2