MLB Predictions — June 2, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ BOS	3 - 4	3 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHW @ MIN	4 - 2	4 - 3	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CLE @ NYY	1 - 3	2 - 3	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-2	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ LAA	5 - 4	6 - 2	COL	COL	COL wins 6-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
DET @ TB	2 - 5	2 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
KC @ CIN	5 - 6	4 - 5	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ ARI	4 - 5	4 - 6	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 6-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ WAS	3 - 2	3 - 2	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 3-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYM @ SEA	2 - 3	1 - 4	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-1	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
OAK @ CHC	6 - 7	5 - 9	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 9-5	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PIT @ HOU	5 - 3	6 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 6-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SD @ PHI	4 - 3	6 - 3	SD	SD	SD wins 6-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SF @ MIL	1 - 4	2 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ STL	3 - 2	5 - 0	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-0	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TOR @ ATL	1 - 2	2 - 3	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 3-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

BAL 28-32 (4.58 RPG / 5.22 RA)

3 - 4

BOS 25-33 (3.98 RPG / 4.07 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: BAL 3 - 4 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 55.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	7
BOS	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	x	4	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.193

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-148.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.189

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-106.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record28-32

Win%0.467

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.633

BOS Season Quality

Record25-33

Win%0.431

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.086

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4937; margin adjustment: 0.2073; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	254	930	243	0.261	9	73	0.407	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.260	0.409	0.354	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	256	1095	231	0.211	54	137	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.256	0.394	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	162	631	167	0.265	31	112	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.322	0.419	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	246	943	228	0.242	41	150	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.322	0.433	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	164	597	163	0.273	32	89	0.332	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.304	0.376	0.599	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	152	502	107	0.213	21	71	0.290	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.316	0.462	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	106	316	53	0.168	8	30	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.198	0.283	0.284	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	163	551	152	0.276	9	90	0.367	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.213	0.298	0.334	OK
Blaze Alexander	2B	132	437	120	0.275	4	54	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.283	0.327	0.422	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	3	3	2	10	0.206

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	223	930	201	0.216	38	136	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.288	0.421	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	201	764	215	0.281	18	89	0.348	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.297	0.408	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	233	919	259	0.282	26	100	0.348	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.262	0.329	0.409	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	222	819	231	0.282	49	157	0.378	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.283	0.372	0.455	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	114	378	99	0.262	4	29	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.197	0.274	0.299	OK
Mickey Gasper	C	49	175	60	0.343	0	10	0.383	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.292	0.335	0.377	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	71	211	70	0.332	4	35	0.417	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.307	0.399	0.379	OK
Marcelo Mayer	SS	163	546	118	0.216	7	46	0.277	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.192	0.247	0.254	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	171	589	111	0.188	5	74	0.265	3	3	2	1	2	0	1	0.667	0.225	0.271	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	4	4	2	8	0.250

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	11	62.0	4.65	1.484	8.3	57	5.0	4	2	2	2	6	99	5.0	6	2
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	27	23.0	0.78	0.696	11.0	28	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	26	24.2	5.21	1.322	11.5	31	1.1	4	2	2	0	0	29	1.1	0	2

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connelly Early	Starter	11	59.6	3.02	1.191	8.6	57	5.2	3	1	1	1	8	96	5.2	8	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	19	18.2	0.49	0.879	12.4	25	1.0	4	2	2	1	0	29	1.0	0	2
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	11	8.6	4.19	1.512	14.7	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	19	28.2	3.19	1.064	11.2	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins

CHW 32-28 (4.68 RPG / 4.6 RA)

4 - 3

MIN 28-33 (4.66 RPG / 4.95 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 4-3 TARGET: CHW 4 - 2 MIN (CHW) Confidence: 55.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	4	8
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	6

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.281

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff-61.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.271

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-132.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record32-28

Win%0.533

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.083

MIN Season Quality

Record28-33

Win%0.459

Run Diff-18

RD/Game-0.295

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4899; margin adjustment: -0.2058; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	232	896	236	0.263	24	86	0.336	5	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.251	0.321	0.387	OK
Randal Grichuk	RF	40	105	35	0.333	8	41	0.369	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.254	0.270	0.454	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	242	897	208	0.232	58	148	0.363	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.250	0.359	0.550	OK
Edgar Quero	C	129	436	84	0.193	6	62	0.266	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.216	0.283	0.313	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	152	538	140	0.260	5	59	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.309	0.363	OK
Derek Hill	CF	70	174	36	0.207	6	15	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.145	0.201	0.240	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	175	649	163	0.251	16	103	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.310	0.475	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	110	343	58	0.169	0	22	0.233	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.175	0.228	0.214	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	1B	1	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.333	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.249	0.261	0.361	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	4	4	4	13	0.229

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	221	946	254	0.268	83	135	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.319	0.506	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	211	801	201	0.251	26	124	0.309	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.286	0.429	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	171	623	143	0.230	22	70	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.190	0.254	0.389	OK
Josh Bell	DH	220	835	186	0.223	21	128	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.249	0.297	0.379	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	159	556	152	0.273	9	57	0.377	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.200	0.298	0.329	OK
Austin Martin	RF	177	647	187	0.289	10	75	0.388	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.307	0.316	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	213	791	192	0.243	5	82	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.328	0.359	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	98	322	73	0.227	14	67	0.274	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.274	0.413	OK
Alex Jackson	C	11	37	7	0.189	0	0	0.189	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.232	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	3	3	1	8	0.182

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	11	66.5	2.03	1.008	9.6	71	7.0	3	0	0	0	7	97	7.0	7	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	0.0	0	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	8	1.0	1	2

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	7	33.1	5.17	1.360	9.5	35	4.2	4	3	3	2	7	100	4.2	7	3
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	24	17.0	3.71	1.824	9.0	17	0.2	2	0	0	0	2	14	0.2	2	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	13	9.7	0.93	1.031	13.0	14	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	23	22.9	4.72	1.659	9.8	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.1	2	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	28	18.7	7.22	1.658	10.1	21	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	24	1.1	1	1

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-3

Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees

CLE 34-27 (4.08 RPG / 4.07 RA)

2 - 3

NYY 36-23 (5.17 RPG / 3.51 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-2 TARGET: CLE 1 - 3 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 60.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	8

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.362

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-123.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.296

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-68.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Season Quality

Record34-27

Win%0.557

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.016

NYY Season Quality

Record36-23

Win%0.610

Run Diff98

RD/Game1.661

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.7238; margin adjustment: 0.724; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	115	419	125	0.298	12	48	0.410	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.277	0.362	0.444	OK
José Ramírez	3B	253	938	220	0.235	36	126	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.333	0.372	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	217	843	218	0.259	32	148	0.334	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.273	0.337	0.412	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	170	607	129	0.213	16	58	0.294	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.291	0.317	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	193	743	193	0.260	38	119	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.238	0.359	OK
Daniel Schneemann	CF	162	558	135	0.242	17	77	0.331	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.322	0.350	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	231	873	184	0.211	4	56	0.329	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.322	0.270	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	25	69	11	0.159	3	7	0.224	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.177	0.237	0.275	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	206	691	207	0.300	14	104	0.377	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.328	0.395	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	29	3	2	2	2	3	0.103

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	215	817	246	0.301	70	172	0.402	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.337	0.430	0.684	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	111	416	117	0.281	24	66	0.365	5	3	1	1	0	2	2	0.333	0.283	0.358	0.509	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	237	868	237	0.273	36	161	0.380	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.251	0.364	0.437	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	95	328	97	0.296	27	76	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.314	0.355	0.656	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	212	778	164	0.211	32	133	0.327	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.366	0.411	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	44	148	46	0.311	6	36	0.452	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.273	0.409	0.471	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	218	826	205	0.248	27	92	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.334	0.450	OK
José Caballero	RF	166	585	161	0.275	18	63	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.263	0.301	0.385	OK
Austin Wells	C	154	502	97	0.193	17	32	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.191	0.305	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	8	3	3	5	8	0.235

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	12	55.9	3.70	1.449	8.4	52	5.0	2	2	2	2	6	95	5.0	6	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	27	27.2	2.65	1.103	13.9	42	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	22	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	16	12.0	4.50	1.583	9.0	12	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	16	12.2	2.21	1.475	14.0	19	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23	1.0	1	1
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	17	18.2	2.47	0.934	11.4	23	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	12	70.6	1.53	0.864	10.3	81	6.0	3	2	2	2	3	93	6.0	3	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	24	22.6	4.78	1.681	11.5	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.1	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	28	17.9	3.02	1.788	15.1	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	26	17.9	3.52	1.285	5.5	11	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-2

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Angels

COL 23-38 (4.26 RPG / 5.61 RA)

6 - 2

LAA 23-38 (4.31 RPG / 5.16 RA)

WINNER: COL wins 6-2 TARGET: COL 5 - 4 LAA (COL) Confidence: 55.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	3	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	6	10
LAA	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	7

COL Recent Form

Win%0.175

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-210.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.179

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-154.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record22-38

Win%0.367

Run Diff-83

RD/Game-1.383

LAA Season Quality

Record23-37

Win%0.383

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.850

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5583; margin adjustment: 0.2345; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	141	472	122	0.258	10	68	0.298	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.279	0.325	0.489	OK
Willi Castro	2B	174	636	165	0.259	8	72	0.319	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.252	0.316	0.343	OK
TJ Rumfield	DH	216	812	228	0.281	30	117	0.359	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.259	0.359	0.411	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	214	850	208	0.245	56	93	0.311	5	5	3	1	5	0	1	0.600	0.228	0.290	0.483	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	186	674	221	0.328	10	94	0.389	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.287	0.338	0.404	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	206	780	172	0.221	10	81	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.269	0.385	OK
Sterlin Thompson	LF	30	85	15	0.176	0	8	0.286	4	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.144	0.228	0.237	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	183	565	128	0.227	9	54	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.257	0.352	0.449	OK
Edouard Julien	1B	152	528	117	0.222	10	59	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.318	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	6	6	2	8	0.270

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jorge Soler	DH	223	843	186	0.221	36	137	0.305	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.239	0.306	0.393	OK
Mike Trout	CF	254	898	226	0.252	63	148	0.422	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.274	0.437	0.536	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	22	73	22	0.301	5	17	0.338	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.246	0.284	0.410	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	126	470	116	0.247	13	98	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.325	0.409	OK
Jo Adell	RF	238	938	228	0.243	33	133	0.290	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.251	0.382	OK
Donovan Walton	3B	23	88	24	0.273	0	1	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.294	0.334	0.405	OK
Oswald Peraza	SS	161	557	158	0.284	27	63	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.279	0.312	0.459	OK
Sebastián Rivero	C	42	121	17	0.140	0	5	0.188	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.133	0.185	0.179	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	85	237	65	0.274	3	23	0.356	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.214	0.301	0.361	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	2	2	4	10	0.206

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	11	56.0	4.18	1.304	5.0	31	5.1	5	2	2	2	6	94	5.1	6	2
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	17	30.7	1.47	1.010	7.6	26	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	23	1.1	2	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	24	22.8	7.11	2.018	11.8	30	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	24	15.4	4.68	1.948	13.4	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	28	18.5	4.86	1.622	8.8	18	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	13	0.1	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	3	13.4	8.06	1.791	9.4	14	4.1	8	4	4	2	2	88	4.1	2	4
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	9	7.4	4.86	1.351	12.2	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	21	24.6	2.56	1.260	10.6	29	1.2	2	2	2	0	1	18	1.2	1	2
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	22	24.1	6.35	1.535	12.0	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	16	12.2	6.64	2.049	13.3	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	19	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

COL wins 6-2

Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays

DET 23-38 (3.82 RPG / 4.44 RA)

2 - 5

TB 36-21 (4.75 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-2 TARGET: DET 2 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 57.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	5
TB	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	x	5	10

DET Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-134.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.309

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-103.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record23-38

Win%0.377

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.623

TB Season Quality

Record36-21

Win%0.632

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.316

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.3205; margin adjustment: 0.5546; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	145	533	136	0.255	10	51	0.391	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.249	0.377	0.322	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	161	586	119	0.203	15	82	0.277	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.146	0.226	0.252	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	208	774	190	0.245	51	152	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.317	0.535	OK
Riley Greene	LF	238	868	269	0.310	18	114	0.406	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.290	0.370	0.447	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	76	163	26	0.160	4	15	0.259	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.103	0.204	0.187	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	219	762	159	0.209	32	81	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.295	0.377	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	140	490	85	0.173	12	35	0.231	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.234	0.349	OK
Zach McKinstry	3B	119	376	57	0.152	5	36	0.232	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.152	0.271	0.217	OK
Zack Short	SS	30	67	10	0.149	0	1	0.383	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.129	0.334	0.171	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	3	6	0.156

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	225	933	266	0.285	0	44	0.321	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.208	0.259	0.260	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	236	928	249	0.268	58	130	0.368	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.297	0.417	0.529	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	231	861	249	0.289	44	192	0.384	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.297	0.403	0.523	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	222	871	277	0.318	33	156	0.397	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.311	0.385	0.567	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	118	365	100	0.274	4	58	0.385	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.194	0.313	0.273	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	80	237	80	0.338	8	60	0.400	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.251	0.332	0.450	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	CF	15	55	13	0.236	6	13	0.311	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.309	0.305	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	75	196	49	0.250	1	14	0.318	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.219	0.281	0.276	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	131	439	121	0.276	0	57	0.358	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.333	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	5	5	2	6	0.294

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Flaherty	Starter	12	50.1	6.11	1.697	11.5	64	4.2	8	4	4	2	2	91	4.2	2	4
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	26	25.2	1.43	1.548	5.7	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	19	16.1	8.39	1.677	11.2	20	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	18	0.0	0	1
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	20	34.5	4.43	1.391	12.0	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	1.1	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	26	23.0	5.09	1.652	9.4	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Steven Matz	Starter	9	44.1	4.69	1.247	7.1	35	4.2	4	1	1	1	3	81	4.2	3	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	26	23.4	2.31	1.111	11.2	29	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	24	24.8	3.63	1.290	11.6	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	26	22.8	3.16	0.965	7.5	19	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	13	1.0	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	14	11.4	3.95	1.579	13.4	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-2

Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds

KC 23-37 (3.83 RPG / 4.7 RA)

4 - 5

CIN 30-29 (4.37 RPG / 5.03 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 5-4 TARGET: KC 5 - 6 CIN (CIN) Confidence: 52.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	4	10
CIN	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	x	5	9

KC Recent Form

Win%0.125

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-172.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.273

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-165.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record23-37

Win%0.383

Run Diff-52

RD/Game-0.867

CIN Season Quality

Record30-29

Win%0.508

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.661

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3934; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lane Thomas	CF	118	347	79	0.228	7	37	0.353	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.232	0.333	0.367	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	247	991	286	0.289	40	112	0.356	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.250	0.319	0.423	OK
Salvador Perez	C	225	867	192	0.221	42	111	0.274	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.205	0.247	0.343	OK
Starling Marte	DH	58	175	54	0.309	0	8	0.362	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.232	0.283	0.317	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	231	869	171	0.197	23	108	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.325	0.338	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	73	214	45	0.210	0	48	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.198	0.289	0.307	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	183	640	142	0.222	19	42	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.182	0.251	0.327	OK
Tyler Tolbert	LF	7	9	1	0.111	0	0	0.111	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.110	0.124	0.178	OK
Michael Massey	2B	117	369	88	0.238	12	49	0.256	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.206	0.238	0.420	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	4	4	3	8	0.270

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dane Myers	CF	93	254	64	0.252	15	41	0.382	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.203	0.327	0.342	OK
JJ Bleday	DH	116	444	125	0.282	34	104	0.375	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.290	0.383	0.634	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	242	905	225	0.249	49	160	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.362	0.434	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	122	447	105	0.235	11	53	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.299	0.356	OK
Spencer Steer	LF	211	778	207	0.266	30	87	0.341	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.275	0.347	0.418	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	161	532	103	0.194	17	74	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.322	0.358	OK
Blake Dunn	RF	56	241	74	0.307	5	14	0.372	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.207	0.264	0.291	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	1	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.226	0.236	0.326	OK
Matt McLain	SS	216	836	177	0.212	22	91	0.308	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.204	0.294	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	5	5	2	7	0.273

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	10	51.5	4.72	1.437	8.4	48	5.0	8	5	5	1	6	91	5.0	6	5
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	22	20.4	5.29	1.765	7.9	18	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	5	0.1	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	23	20.3	2.22	1.133	12.0	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	25	19.5	3.23	1.538	6.0	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	24	23.9	4.90	1.464	9.8	26	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	12	60.8	4.00	1.464	6.2	42	5.0	6	1	1	3	7	94	5.0	7	1
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	24	21.5	4.19	1.395	9.2	22	1.2	2	1	1	0	0	27	1.2	0	1
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	29	22.2	4.46	1.712	10.9	27	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	5.49	1.220	7.7	7	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

CIN wins 5-4

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAD 38-22 (5.25 RPG / 3.15 RA)

4 - 6

ARI 32-27 (4.54 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 6-4 TARGET: LAD 4 - 5 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 54.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	10
ARI	0	0	2	0	2	2	0	0	x	6	10

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.281

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-69.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.351

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-72.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record38-21

Win%0.644

Run Diff129

RD/Game2.186

ARI Season Quality

Record31-27

Win%0.534

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.138

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.2129; margin adjustment: -0.9294; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	241	931	261	0.280	41	152	0.407	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.318	0.411	0.562	OK
Andy Pages	CF	230	878	275	0.313	58	221	0.362	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.293	0.338	0.563	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	231	870	234	0.269	31	123	0.368	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.273	0.353	0.501	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	95	406	74	0.182	29	72	0.228	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.212	0.257	0.390	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	231	890	225	0.253	21	120	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.234	0.319	0.376	OK
Max Muncy	3B	195	692	181	0.262	54	82	0.362	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.326	0.520	OK
Ryan Ward	LF	6	26	10	0.385	0	5	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.253	0.323	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	94	320	90	0.281	31	68	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.304	0.449	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	119	383	93	0.243	9	35	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.302	0.387	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	4	4	3	7	0.270

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	227	963	266	0.276	41	149	0.322	5	5	3	1	5	0	2	0.600	0.234	0.291	0.412	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	226	837	249	0.297	32	128	0.397	5	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.244	0.329	0.459	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	127	459	120	0.261	13	74	0.324	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.260	0.330	0.399	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	197	682	189	0.277	30	116	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.260	0.339	0.454	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	71	248	67	0.270	0	28	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.177	0.260	0.287	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	201	814	251	0.308	32	155	0.334	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.271	0.384	OK
Jose Fernandez	SS	155	556	149	0.268	12	59	0.304	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.259	0.330	OK
Jorge Barrosa	CF	91	290	56	0.193	2	24	0.271	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.175	0.255	0.330	OK
Tommy Troy	DH	17	53	20	0.377	1	1	0.459	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.258	0.346	0.478	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	10	6	6	4	11	0.294

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eric Lauer	Starter	1	6.0	1.50	0.833	6.0	4	5.0	6	4	4	3	7	105	5.0	7	4
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	26	23.5	2.30	0.723	10.7	28	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	2
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	18	18.0	1.00	0.778	10.5	21	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	32	1.1	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	26	16.6	2.71	1.145	15.2	28	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	14	0.2	2	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Soroka	Starter	11	59.6	3.32	1.225	9.1	60	6.2	6	1	1	1	6	106	6.2	6	1
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	0.0	2	2	2	2	0	16	0.0	0	2
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	18	0.1	0	1

Game Summary

ARI wins 6-4

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals

MIA 27-34 (4.21 RPG / 4.62 RA)

3 - 2

WAS 31-30 (5.36 RPG / 5.41 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 3-2 TARGET: MIA 3 - 2 WAS (MIA) Confidence: 52.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	6
WAS	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	5

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.316

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-145.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.283

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-143.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record27-34

Win%0.443

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.410

WAS Season Quality

Record31-30

Win%0.508

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.049

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.459; margin adjustment: 0.1928; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heriberto Hernández	DH	102	337	67	0.199	5	58	0.266	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.242	0.292	0.399	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	236	949	329	0.347	19	107	0.377	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.327	0.355	0.454	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	143	540	113	0.209	13	44	0.300	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.229	0.293	0.395	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	242	919	295	0.321	26	85	0.407	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.318	0.414	0.488	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	52	164	42	0.256	0	4	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.177	0.251	0.233	OK
Liam Hicks	1B	207	742	208	0.280	48	199	0.356	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.341	0.454	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	241	891	172	0.193	13	64	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.294	0.302	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	152	478	112	0.234	12	97	0.287	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.302	0.439	OK
Joe Mack	C	64	210	44	0.210	0	24	0.256	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.200	0.241	0.270	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	3	3	4	8	0.182

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	LF	270	1041	301	0.289	76	194	0.431	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.273	0.404	0.545	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	177	659	184	0.279	21	122	0.300	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.213	0.241	0.394	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	148	491	127	0.259	33	90	0.377	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.222	0.328	0.441	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	242	919	275	0.299	48	206	0.389	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.304	0.379	0.515	OK
Daylen Lile	DH	250	1030	261	0.253	32	125	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.267	0.344	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	33	138	33	0.239	4	6	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.257	0.346	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	122	362	93	0.257	4	21	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.314	0.341	OK
Drew Millas	C	100	335	60	0.179	5	29	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.188	0.252	0.293	OK
Jacob Young	CF	195	735	172	0.234	25	93	0.287	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.211	0.261	0.351	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	5	2	2	4	10	0.161

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lake Bachar	Starter	18	27.5	3.93	1.055	10.5	32	5.0	4	0	0	3	6	91	5.0	6	0
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	17	14.4	7.50	1.389	13.8	22	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	24	19.7	4.11	1.117	11.4	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	21	19.3	4.20	1.295	10.7	23	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	20	1.0	2	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	23	18.5	5.35	2.054	11.7	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Richard Lovelady	Starter	18	13.4	4.03	2.239	10.1	15	3.2	3	2	2	0	4	56	3.2	4	2
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	23	17.8	5.06	1.910	10.1	20	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	15	14.5	2.48	1.310	9.3	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	17	34.2	2.89	1.082	8.2	31	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	34	1.1	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	15	15.2	1.78	0.921	7.1	12	2.0	2	1	1	3	0	43	2.0	0	1

Game Summary

MIA wins 3-2

New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners

NYM 26-34 (4.02 RPG / 4.25 RA)

1 - 4

SEA 32-29 (4.23 RPG / 3.72 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-1 TARGET: NYM 2 - 3 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 54.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
SEA	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	x	4	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.377

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-108.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-91.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record26-33

Win%0.441

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.220

SEA Season Quality

Record31-29

Win%0.517

Run Diff30

RD/Game0.500

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8343; margin adjustment: 0.3504; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	204	780	205	0.263	12	97	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.304	0.375	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	246	1018	230	0.226	24	132	0.274	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.180	0.253	0.258	OK
Juan Soto	LF	168	635	192	0.302	46	108	0.399	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.280	0.371	0.548	OK
Jared Young	DH	29	84	28	0.333	2	6	0.378	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.183	0.243	0.358	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	181	673	153	0.227	25	98	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.161	0.191	0.305	OK
Brett Baty	3B	184	659	161	0.244	14	90	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.257	0.312	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	224	824	194	0.235	21	94	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.244	0.308	0.428	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	64	220	56	0.255	4	22	0.367	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.202	0.304	0.292	OK
Hayden Senger	C	12	27	3	0.111	1	5	0.111	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.208	0.220	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	1	1	1	12	0.182

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	208	772	176	0.228	35	94	0.351	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.357	0.442	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	251	1028	265	0.258	48	131	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.255	0.297	0.503	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	243	899	274	0.305	24	110	0.389	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.322	0.408	OK
Luke Raley	RF	156	536	160	0.299	47	128	0.354	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.291	0.327	0.615	OK
Cole Young	2B	228	806	197	0.244	14	110	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.280	0.346	0.413	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	129	380	100	0.263	23	85	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.266	0.326	0.599	OK
Patrick Wisdom	1B	11	33	2	0.061	0	4	0.061	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.110	0.123	0.194	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	32	102	16	0.157	1	1	0.265	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.296	0.272	OK
Colt Emerson	3B	37	118	34	0.288	6	26	0.373	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.268	0.336	0.592	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	7	4	4	2	6	0.226

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	12	64.7	4.31	1.144	10.7	77	5.1	5	3	3	1	6	93	5.1	6	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	22	18.6	4.84	1.452	15.0	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	24	23.9	3.01	1.130	9.4	25	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	19	1.1	0	1

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	12	66.7	3.78	1.139	9.3	69	6.0	5	1	1	1	8	107	6.0	8	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	24	21.5	5.02	1.349	14.7	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	17	13.6	0.66	0.882	8.6	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	28	23.4	1.92	1.325	8.8	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-1

Oakland Athletics @ Chicago Cubs

OAK 28-31 (4.27 RPG / 4.85 RA)

5 - 9

CHC 32-28 (4.73 RPG / 4.42 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 9-5 TARGET: OAK 6 - 7 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 53.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	5	10
CHC	4	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	x	9	10

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-145.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.102

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-167.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record28-31

Win%0.475

Run Diff-34

RD/Game-0.576

CHC Season Quality

Record32-28

Win%0.533

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.317

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9811; margin adjustment: 0.4121; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Cortes	RF	152	507	178	0.351	24	75	0.434	5	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.349	0.401	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	251	912	261	0.286	40	175	0.439	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.274	0.406	0.505	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	231	958	293	0.306	60	132	0.376	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.266	0.328	0.484	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	225	868	189	0.218	27	110	0.307	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.282	0.388	0.538	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	162	621	125	0.201	37	128	0.292	5	4	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.196	0.282	0.377	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	48	171	52	0.304	0	16	0.363	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.269	0.325	0.344	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	190	666	178	0.267	6	58	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.278	0.296	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	137	511	131	0.256	26	71	0.308	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.230	0.270	0.379	OK
Darell Hernaiz	SS	114	360	98	0.272	4	29	0.350	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.285	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	10	5	5	4	10	0.278

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	257	1084	279	0.257	21	162	0.342	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.321	0.340	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	236	868	211	0.243	27	109	0.337	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.339	0.433	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	257	1062	278	0.262	18	82	0.350	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.327	0.367	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	184	714	183	0.256	32	88	0.348	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.271	0.338	0.403	OK
Ian Happ	LF	241	945	227	0.240	64	151	0.360	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.283	0.372	0.576	OK
Carson Kelly	C	151	556	174	0.313	6	63	0.391	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.296	0.352	0.380	OK
Michael Busch	1B	250	923	220	0.238	30	157	0.382	4	4	1	1	4	0	2	0.250	0.257	0.391	0.396	OK
Kevin Alcántara	DH	4	5	1	0.200	0	0	0.200	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.116	0.131	0.188	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	216	749	150	0.200	33	117	0.307	4	4	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.315	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	9	9	2	6	0.294

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gage Jump	Starter	1	5.0	7.20	2.000	9.0	5	4.2	10	9	9	1	4	93	4.2	4	9
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	30	21.6	3.33	2.037	12.9	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	26	22.1	6.11	1.629	10.2	25	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	16	0.1	0	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	26	22.6	1.99	0.973	8.8	22	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jameson Taillon	Starter	11	58.7	5.52	1.312	7.8	51	5.1	6	4	4	4	4	111	5.1	4	4
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	2.57	1.619	10.3	12	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	14	10.8	2.50	1.389	12.5	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	25	22.1	2.85	1.493	12.6	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	26	20.9	3.01	1.244	5.2	12	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	16	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 9-5

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros

PIT 32-28 (5.02 RPG / 4.5 RA)

6 - 4

HOU 27-34 (4.44 RPG / 4.98 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 6-4 TARGET: PIT 5 - 3 HOU (PIT) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	6
HOU	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	4	9

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.278

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-99.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.397

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-156.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record32-28

Win%0.533

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.517

HOU Season Quality

Record27-34

Win%0.443

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.541

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.1937; margin adjustment: -0.5014; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	DH	192	641	186	0.290	22	106	0.405	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.275	0.397	0.459	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	223	883	239	0.271	65	179	0.362	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.316	0.464	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	242	880	247	0.281	23	155	0.406	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.326	0.455	0.610	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	182	708	207	0.292	30	131	0.368	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.268	0.350	0.457	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	201	807	248	0.307	1	98	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.289	0.333	0.390	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	247	1050	280	0.267	54	175	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.324	0.470	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	23	71	19	0.268	0	8	0.429	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.234	0.399	0.335	OK
Jake Mangum	RF	105	376	99	0.263	1	14	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.310	0.344	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	77	274	61	0.223	0	10	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.244	0.261	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	6	6	4	7	0.182

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	90	374	95	0.254	10	28	0.307	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.278	0.306	0.477	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	248	918	302	0.329	98	184	0.445	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.277	0.395	0.581	OK
Christian Walker	1B	233	885	243	0.275	67	184	0.349	5	5	2	1	1	0	3	0.400	0.226	0.295	0.455	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	213	795	191	0.240	26	103	0.336	5	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.232	0.312	0.441	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	46	160	55	0.344	0	24	0.390	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.270	0.371	OK
Cam Smith	RF	216	756	166	0.220	20	88	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.316	0.394	OK
Jake Meyers	CF	68	258	58	0.225	9	25	0.294	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.220	0.283	0.339	OK
Brice Matthews	2B	153	537	112	0.209	16	51	0.261	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.189	0.249	0.300	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	120	397	107	0.270	16	66	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.277	0.353	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	4	4	2	8	0.250

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	11	51.3	4.91	1.540	9.1	52	4.2	7	4	4	1	4	98	4.2	4	4
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	27	26.5	2.04	0.792	10.9	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	22	18.8	3.83	1.436	14.4	30	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	31	1.1	2	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	26	29.3	5.22	1.570	11.4	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	21	20.8	1.73	1.250	13.0	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Burrows	Starter	11	61.7	5.54	1.491	7.9	54	5.0	6	5	5	2	4	92	5.0	4	5
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	22	21.6	3.33	1.528	7.9	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	21	16.0	7.88	2.312	12.9	23	0.2	0	1	1	1	0	15	0.2	0	1
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	4	3.2	0.00	1.250	5.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	22	19.6	4.13	1.224	10.1	22	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.1	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	28	21.1	4.27	1.185	9.4	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Kai-Wei Teng	Reliever	18	39.2	2.76	1.173	9.9	43	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 6-4

San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies

SD 32-26 (3.91 RPG / 4.02 RA)

6 - 3

PHI 30-29 (3.9 RPG / 4.34 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 6-3 TARGET: SD 4 - 3 PHI (SD) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6	9
PHI	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	8

SD Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-128.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.161

Avg Runs0.6

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-153.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record32-26

Win%0.552

Run Diff-6

RD/Game-0.103

PHI Season Quality

Record30-29

Win%0.508

Run Diff-26

RD/Game-0.441

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4021; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	230	886	233	0.263	1	70	0.340	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.280	0.341	0.363	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	172	584	146	0.250	32	85	0.332	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.220	0.305	0.395	OK
Manny Machado	3B	220	795	139	0.175	40	122	0.268	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.180	0.267	0.364	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	167	635	177	0.279	19	71	0.306	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.218	0.246	0.374	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	219	855	176	0.206	18	89	0.281	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.243	0.310	0.397	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	212	786	198	0.252	30	104	0.321	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.238	0.308	0.369	OK
Sung-Mun Song	2B	26	65	13	0.200	0	14	0.316	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.134	0.260	0.226	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	108	344	48	0.140	0	13	0.244	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.125	0.222	0.188	OK
Ty France	1B	102	351	103	0.293	20	61	0.326	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.281	0.469	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	6	6	5	8	0.250

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	242	944	232	0.246	98	185	0.358	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.246	0.332	0.536	OK
Trea Turner	SS	243	1046	242	0.231	34	89	0.278	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.261	0.396	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	233	847	233	0.275	57	148	0.382	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.343	0.433	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	195	726	244	0.336	23	111	0.368	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.315	0.353	0.496	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	212	797	172	0.216	18	100	0.276	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.215	0.268	0.337	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	188	677	148	0.219	21	99	0.269	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.188	0.230	0.342	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	176	602	143	0.238	8	44	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.227	0.276	0.349	OK
Adolis García	RF	216	770	151	0.196	12	68	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.154	0.223	0.240	OK
Garrett Stubbs	C	21	58	14	0.241	0	3	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.204	0.252	0.263	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	3	8	0.229

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	11	58.7	3.37	1.261	7.2	47	5.1	6	3	3	1	6	98	5.1	6	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	24	23.6	0.76	0.890	18.7	49	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	22	1.1	1	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	22	18.6	0.97	1.075	5.3	11	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	27	25.1	4.66	1.275	12.5	35	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	11	54.8	5.91	1.496	9.2	56	5.0	5	3	3	2	4	100	5.0	4	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	18	17.2	1.57	0.988	13.6	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17	1.0	3	0
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	25	23.5	3.83	1.191	10.7	28	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	28	1.1	0	2
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	25	14.9	7.25	2.349	15.7	26	0.2	1	1	1	1	0	16	0.2	0	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	24	19.0	2.84	1.263	10.9	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SD wins 6-3

San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers

SF 23-37 (3.9 RPG / 4.93 RA)

2 - 4

MIL 36-21 (4.98 RPG / 3.44 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-2 TARGET: SF 1 - 4 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 64.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
MIL	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	x	4	6

SF Recent Form

Win%0.182

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-151.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.392

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-60.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record23-37

Win%0.383

Run Diff-62

RD/Game-1.033

MIL Season Quality

Record36-21

Win%0.632

Run Diff88

RD/Game1.544

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.9496; margin adjustment: 1.2388; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Casey Schmitt	LF	198	783	240	0.307	51	134	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.271	0.462	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	232	902	230	0.255	29	125	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.239	0.301	0.412	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	229	930	313	0.337	10	100	0.380	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.305	0.350	0.393	OK
Willy Adames	SS	235	987	250	0.253	31	91	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.233	0.264	0.434	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	231	887	200	0.225	6	81	0.316	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.212	0.289	0.345	OK
Buddy Kennedy	DH	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.108	0.123	0.185
Daniel Susac	C	55	193	64	0.332	0	38	0.390	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.178	0.243	0.299	OK
Victor Bericoto	RF	6	10	2	0.200	0	0	0.200	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.113	0.128	0.179	OK
Jonah Cox	CF	2	2	1	0.500	0	0	0.500	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.114	0.129	0.874	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	2	2	3	8	0.129

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	101	392	114	0.291	15	61	0.353	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.279	0.346	0.441	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	92	399	112	0.281	5	29	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.319	0.419	OK
Brice Turang	2B	230	858	246	0.287	34	152	0.408	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.248	0.387	0.437	OK
William Contreras	C	220	890	266	0.299	17	156	0.369	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.267	0.327	0.374	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	183	689	197	0.286	35	130	0.359	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.256	0.351	0.472	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	168	584	141	0.241	7	106	0.353	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.347	0.402	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	188	683	152	0.223	14	67	0.290	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.227	0.285	0.334	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	168	609	133	0.218	0	62	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.196	0.272	0.263	OK
David Hamilton	SS	145	465	111	0.239	1	32	0.330	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.257	0.335	0.360	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	6	4	4	5	9	0.200

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor McDonald	Starter	5	27.6	4.57	1.123	8.8	27	5.2	3	2	2	5	7	100	5.2	7	2
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	24	22.5	4.40	1.333	11.6	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.1	0	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	25	24.5	2.57	0.939	8.1	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	18	14.0	5.14	1.643	15.4	24	0.0	3	2	2	0	0	19	0.0	0	2

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	10	51.2	1.58	1.035	10.7	61	6.0	3	1	1	3	6	97	6.0	6	1
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	23	19.7	4.11	1.269	10.5	23	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	21	21.0	2.57	0.952	11.6	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	26	32.5	2.22	1.415	14.1	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-2

Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals

TEX 29-31 (3.98 RPG / 3.85 RA)

5 - 0

STL 31-27 (4.28 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-0 TARGET: TEX 3 - 2 STL (TEX) Confidence: 55.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	11
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.310

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-110.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.109

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-123.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record29-31

Win%0.483

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.133

STL Season Quality

Record31-27

Win%0.534

Run Diff-11

RD/Game-0.190

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2463; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	161	481	125	0.260	25	64	0.365	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.189	0.307	0.391	OK
Josh Jung	3B	211	819	250	0.305	27	95	0.363	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.304	0.358	0.523	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	239	948	249	0.263	29	92	0.345	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.229	0.285	0.387	OK
Jake Burger	1B	219	846	201	0.238	38	148	0.289	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.296	0.406	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	168	588	180	0.306	14	110	0.360	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.261	0.319	0.422	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	92	259	62	0.239	0	23	0.377	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.229	0.309	0.286	OK
Evan Carter	CF	195	631	116	0.184	25	69	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.136	0.239	0.273	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	93	317	60	0.189	11	34	0.276	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.143	0.236	0.242	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	11	36	7	0.194	1	3	0.275	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.151	0.218	0.238	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	5	5	3	7	0.289

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	247	968	230	0.238	42	117	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.333	0.390	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	247	938	243	0.259	28	116	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.337	0.394	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	232	936	261	0.279	31	159	0.344	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.304	0.375	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	228	890	282	0.317	69	199	0.383	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.258	0.319	0.458	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	23	88	23	0.261	0	4	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.307	0.388	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	203	782	180	0.230	6	91	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.286	0.349	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	202	735	168	0.229	24	109	0.304	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.184	0.260	0.273	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	2	5	1	0.200	0	0	0.200	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.237	0.251	0.350	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	159	472	81	0.172	9	27	0.246	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.164	0.247	0.249	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	0	0	2	11	0.129

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	11	68.2	3.96	1.114	8.8	67	6.2	4	0	0	1	9	100	6.2	9	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	21	25.6	1.05	0.469	9.1	26	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	8	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	22	24.5	1.84	0.816	5.9	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	27	21.8	3.72	1.651	8.7	21	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	14	0.0	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	11	60.3	4.63	1.310	7.6	51	6.0	8	4	4	2	6	108	6.0	6	4
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	25	23.7	3.42	1.055	10.3	27	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	26	22.0	3.27	1.409	10.2	25	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	25	20.4	3.53	1.324	8.8	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	26	18.7	6.74	2.139	14.4	30	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-0

Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves

TOR 29-31 (4.07 RPG / 4.18 RA)

2 - 3

ATL 40-20 (5.27 RPG / 3.45 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 3-2 TARGET: TOR 1 - 2 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 56.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	5
ATL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	x	3	5

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.241

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-115.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.264

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-81.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record29-31

Win%0.483

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.117

ATL Season Quality

Record40-20

Win%0.667

Run Diff109

RD/Game1.817

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.2083; margin adjustment: 0.9275; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	164	669	143	0.214	23	65	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.208	0.269	0.355	OK
Nathan Lukes	LF	72	245	79	0.322	0	34	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.287	0.314	0.396	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	228	838	247	0.295	12	99	0.393	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.364	0.364	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	215	813	221	0.272	24	74	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.301	0.382	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	224	897	272	0.303	22	90	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.278	0.298	0.431	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	RF	82	282	86	0.305	9	47	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.272	0.416	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	226	844	185	0.219	49	132	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.194	0.278	0.401	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	197	707	161	0.228	25	111	0.262	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.201	0.233	0.389	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	108	338	90	0.266	17	44	0.364	3	2	1	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.217	0.335	0.354	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	3	6	0.156

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	193	734	174	0.237	19	80	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.276	0.419	0.631	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	201	787	236	0.300	53	136	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.310	0.343	0.546	OK
Matt Olson	1B	250	978	264	0.270	69	200	0.354	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.343	0.537	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	246	966	268	0.277	39	130	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.296	0.343	0.500	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	120	404	138	0.342	16	81	0.371	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.298	0.337	0.432	OK
Austin Riley	3B	237	900	197	0.219	31	130	0.292	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.182	0.244	0.307	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	155	501	112	0.224	9	45	0.305	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.289	0.364	0.428	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	76	247	91	0.368	8	29	0.418	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.258	0.319	0.444	OK
Sandy León	C	21	47	4	0.085	0	0	0.085	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.169	0.179	0.245	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	5	3	3	2	6	0.172

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	12	66.9	3.23	1.121	8.9	66	5.2	2	1	1	1	5	93	5.2	5	1
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	28	28.2	0.32	1.135	13.4	42	2.1	0	0	0	1	1	10	2.1	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	28	23.1	7.01	1.948	17.5	45	0.0	3	2	2	0	0	19	0.0	0	2

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	12	69.9	2.58	1.116	7.9	61	6.0	3	2	2	1	5	89	6.0	5	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	17	17.2	1.05	0.872	11.0	21	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	16	1.0	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	25	24.4	0.74	0.861	8.1	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	28	25.1	1.43	0.677	12.2	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 3-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

BAL Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins

CHW Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees

CLE Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Angels

COL Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

COL Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays

DET Recent Form

TB Recent Form

DET Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds

KC Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

KC Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAD Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals