MLB Predictions — June 1, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
CHW @ MIN	3 - 2	3 - 0	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 3-0	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ LAA	3 - 5	2 - 5	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 5-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
DET @ TB	1 - 2	1 - 2	TB	TB	TB wins 2-1	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
KC @ CIN	6 - 7	6 - 7	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 7-6	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAD @ ARI	3 - 4	2 - 4	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 4-2	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ WAS	2 - 3	2 - 3	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 3-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYM @ SEA	2 - 3	2 - 4	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SF @ MIL	1 - 3	2 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-2	62%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ STL	4 - 2	3 - 2	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 3-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins

CHW 32-27 (4.66 RPG / 4.53 RA)

3 - 0

MIN 27-33 (4.58 RPG / 4.93 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 3-0 TARGET: CHW 3 - 2 MIN (CHW) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	3	5
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.286

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff-63.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.276

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-135.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record32-27

Win%0.542

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.136

MIN Season Quality

Record27-33

Win%0.450

Run Diff-21

RD/Game-0.350

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6242; margin adjustment: -0.2621; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	151	533	138	0.259	5	59	0.370	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.258	0.307	0.349	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	241	892	205	0.230	56	144	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.346	0.444	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	174	645	161	0.250	15	101	0.288	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.296	0.427	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	232	874	208	0.238	59	154	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.273	0.333	0.539	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	231	892	235	0.263	24	86	0.337	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.249	0.328	0.382	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	1B	1	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.263	0.274	0.373	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	151	461	134	0.291	8	50	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.297	0.351	0.426	OK
Edgar Quero	C	128	432	84	0.194	6	62	0.268	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.216	0.286	0.305	OK
Rikuu Nishida	RF	12	37	9	0.243	0	2	0.243	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.205	0.215	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	3	3	4	9	0.156

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	DH	220	941	253	0.269	83	135	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.327	0.515	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	210	798	200	0.251	26	124	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.270	0.409	OK
Kody Clemens	CF	170	620	142	0.229	22	70	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.181	0.240	0.376	OK
Josh Bell	1B	219	831	184	0.221	21	128	0.285	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.233	0.283	0.360	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	158	553	150	0.271	9	56	0.374	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.182	0.277	0.304	OK
Austin Martin	RF	176	643	186	0.289	10	74	0.389	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.211	0.299	0.304	OK
Victor Caratini	C	151	506	93	0.184	5	73	0.282	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.281	0.261	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	212	789	192	0.243	5	81	0.324	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.320	0.360	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	97	319	72	0.226	13	62	0.275	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.271	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	0	0	2	6	0.100

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Sandlin	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	1	0	0	1	4	45	3.0	4	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.2	1	0	0	1	0	28	1.2	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	6	1.2	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joe Ryan	Starter	12	63.4	2.98	0.946	9.9	70	6.0	3	2	2	4	6	107	6.0	6	2
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	24	17.0	3.71	1.824	9.0	17	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	12	8.7	1.03	1.034	13.4	13	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	23	22.9	4.72	1.659	9.8	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 3-0

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Angels

COL 22-38 (4.18 RPG / 5.57 RA)

2 - 5

LAA 23-37 (4.25 RPG / 5.1 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 5-2 TARGET: COL 3 - 5 LAA (LAA) Confidence: 57.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	7
LAA	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	x	5	9

COL Recent Form

Win%0.143

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-213.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.179

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-155.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record22-38

Win%0.367

Run Diff-83

RD/Game-1.383

LAA Season Quality

Record23-37

Win%0.383

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.850

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5583; margin adjustment: 0.2345; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	140	468	120	0.256	9	67	0.293	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.260	0.294	0.418	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	138	508	127	0.250	10	56	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.276	0.321	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	213	845	207	0.245	55	90	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.281	0.455	OK
Troy Johnston	LF	185	669	219	0.327	10	93	0.389	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.274	0.328	0.393	OK
Willi Castro	2B	173	635	165	0.260	8	72	0.315	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.247	0.294	0.335	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	205	775	172	0.222	10	81	0.269	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.281	0.391	OK
Edouard Julien	1B	151	526	117	0.222	10	59	0.322	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.195	0.299	0.273	OK
Sterlin Thompson	DH	29	81	13	0.160	0	7	0.269	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.118	0.200	0.186	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	182	561	126	0.225	9	53	0.334	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.334	0.439	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	2	2	1	3	0.206

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	260	1026	246	0.240	45	126	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.356	0.443	OK
Mike Trout	CF	253	894	225	0.252	63	148	0.422	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.292	0.460	0.580	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	125	466	115	0.247	13	98	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.318	0.402	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	222	838	183	0.218	36	135	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.295	0.367	OK
Jo Adell	RF	237	933	227	0.243	33	132	0.291	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.234	0.255	0.393	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	160	552	156	0.283	27	63	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.268	0.302	0.451	OK
Jose Siri	LF	14	30	8	0.267	1	2	0.267	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.239	0.250	0.448	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	124	421	95	0.226	5	47	0.320	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.221	0.294	0.338	OK
Nick Madrigal	3B	2	6	2	0.333	0	0	0.333	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.207	0.219	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	5	5	1	9	0.273

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	9	40.7	8.40	1.818	8.6	39	4.0	7	5	5	1	5	85	4.0	5	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	16	29.5	1.53	0.949	7.9	26	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	24	22.8	7.11	2.018	11.8	30	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	0.1	1	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	23	15.3	3.53	1.830	13.5	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	28	18.5	4.86	1.622	8.8	18	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	12	69.7	2.71	1.176	10.1	78	6.0	5	1	1	1	3	97	6.0	3	1
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	4.22	1.250	14.1	10	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	15	1.0	0	1
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	21	24.6	2.56	1.260	10.6	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	21	23.1	6.62	1.558	12.1	31	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 5-2

Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays

DET 22-38 (3.72 RPG / 4.37 RA)

1 - 2

TB 36-20 (4.68 RPG / 4.34 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 2-1 TARGET: DET 1 - 2 TB (TB) Confidence: 53.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7
TB	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	x	2	4

DET Recent Form

Win%0.254

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-132.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.296

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-95.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record22-38

Win%0.367

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.650

TB Season Quality

Record36-20

Win%0.643

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.339

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4036; margin adjustment: 0.5895; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	242	927	277	0.299	14	107	0.399	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.242	0.335	0.356	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	207	769	186	0.242	49	148	0.331	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.210	0.293	0.429	OK
Kerry Carpenter	LF	118	374	82	0.219	22	64	0.300	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.224	0.284	0.390	OK
Riley Greene	DH	237	864	266	0.308	17	111	0.404	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.267	0.346	0.381	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	218	758	159	0.210	32	81	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.300	0.391	OK
Colt Keith	3B	165	534	152	0.285	0	23	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.296	0.294	OK
Wenceel Pérez	CF	139	485	85	0.175	12	35	0.234	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.192	0.255	0.389	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	76	223	40	0.179	2	23	0.238	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.165	0.215	0.254	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	118	373	56	0.150	5	36	0.232	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.134	0.273	0.193	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	1	1	4	10	0.206

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	221	866	274	0.316	33	156	0.396	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.293	0.382	0.547	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	230	856	249	0.291	44	192	0.386	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.337	0.445	0.568	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	117	362	100	0.276	4	58	0.385	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.207	0.310	0.280	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	235	925	248	0.268	57	128	0.367	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.287	0.398	0.475	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	224	931	265	0.285	0	44	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.266	0.261	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	14	52	13	0.250	6	13	0.304	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.300	0.346	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	185	689	130	0.189	13	73	0.263	3	3	1	1	2	0	2	0.333	0.192	0.265	0.276	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	74	195	49	0.251	1	14	0.320	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.223	0.284	0.275	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	147	491	99	0.202	0	54	0.304	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.202	0.293	0.282	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	28	4	2	2	4	9	0.143

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ty Madden	Starter	3	11.1	2.43	0.811	9.7	12	3.2	3	1	1	2	5	71	3.2	5	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	25	24.1	1.49	1.577	5.6	15	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	18	14.9	8.46	1.678	10.9	18	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	18	1.0	2	1
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	20	34.5	4.43	1.391	12.0	46	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	34	1.1	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	16	27.2	2.98	1.397	8.9	27	5.0	6	1	1	4	6	97	5.0	6	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	26	23.4	2.31	1.111	11.2	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	24	24.8	3.63	1.290	11.6	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	26	22.8	3.16	0.965	7.5	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	13	10.4	4.33	1.635	13.8	16	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	14	0.2	2	0
Casey Legumina	Middle Reliever	10	10.8	3.33	1.574	5.8	7	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 2-1

Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds

KC 22-37 (3.75 RPG / 4.75 RA)

6 - 7

CIN 30-28 (4.41 RPG / 4.97 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 7-6 TARGET: KC 6 - 7 CIN (CIN) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	12
CIN	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	2	x	7	10

KC Recent Form

Win%0.109

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-185.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.296

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-155.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record22-37

Win%0.373

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-1.000

CIN Season Quality

Record30-28

Win%0.517

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.552

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6648; margin adjustment: 0.2792; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	188	646	151	0.234	24	101	0.320	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.216	0.289	0.372	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	246	988	285	0.288	40	112	0.355	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.306	0.414	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	230	865	169	0.195	23	107	0.293	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.203	0.299	0.314	OK
Jac Caglianone	DH	182	636	140	0.220	18	40	0.294	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.168	0.232	0.283	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	181	595	133	0.224	11	71	0.351	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.198	0.314	0.292	OK
Lane Thomas	RF	117	342	76	0.222	6	33	0.350	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.196	0.306	0.271	OK
Michael Massey	2B	116	364	85	0.234	11	48	0.251	4	4	1	1	4	0	1	0.250	0.186	0.223	0.372	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	72	211	44	0.209	0	47	0.316	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.179	0.263	0.282	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	154	503	133	0.264	11	42	0.315	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.216	0.249	0.325	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	39	12	6	6	3	7	0.308

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Blake Dunn	CF	55	238	74	0.311	5	14	0.376	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.290	0.316	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	115	440	124	0.282	33	103	0.375	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.286	0.379	0.591	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	241	901	224	0.249	49	160	0.358	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.370	0.440	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	121	444	104	0.234	11	53	0.310	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.208	0.300	0.349	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	131	442	128	0.290	36	93	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.344	0.457	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	210	775	206	0.266	30	87	0.340	4	3	3	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.268	0.336	0.411	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	160	528	103	0.195	17	74	0.303	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.229	0.338	0.379	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.258	0.326	0.393
Matt McLain	SS	215	833	176	0.211	22	90	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.283	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	7	7	2	9	0.294

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luinder Avila	Starter	10	21.1	5.12	1.848	8.5	20	3.2	6	4	4	2	5	84	3.2	5	4
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	22	20.4	5.29	1.765	7.9	18	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	23	20.3	2.22	1.133	12.0	27	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	32	2.0	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	24	18.5	3.41	1.568	5.8	12	1.1	2	2	2	0	2	23	1.1	2	2

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lyon Richardson	Starter	1	0.2	45.00	5.000	45.0	1	1.1	6	5	5	1	3	39	1.1	3	5
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	24	21.5	4.19	1.395	9.2	22	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	29	22.2	4.46	1.712	10.9	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	5.49	1.220	7.7	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Sam Moll	Middle Reliever	27	20.2	3.12	1.287	11.6	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	2	2.3	0.00	0.435	15.7	4	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Yunior Marte	Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	40.000	90.0	1	2.0	1	1	1	1	1	44	2.0	1	1

Game Summary

CIN wins 7-6

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAD 38-21 (5.32 RPG / 3.14 RA)

2 - 4

ARI 31-27 (4.55 RPG / 4.41 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 4-2 TARGET: LAD 3 - 4 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 58.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	6
ARI	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	x	4	8

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.321

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-63.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.357

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-73.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record38-21

Win%0.644

Run Diff129

RD/Game2.186

ARI Season Quality

Record31-27

Win%0.534

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.138

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.2129; margin adjustment: -0.9294; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	240	927	258	0.278	41	152	0.405	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.296	0.395	0.553	OK
Andy Pages	CF	229	874	274	0.314	58	221	0.362	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.310	0.355	0.600	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	230	866	234	0.270	31	122	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.299	0.379	0.548	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	94	402	73	0.182	29	72	0.227	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.207	0.252	0.405	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	230	887	225	0.254	21	120	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.324	0.386	OK
Will Smith	C	175	655	169	0.258	22	99	0.334	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.304	0.415	0.529	OK
Max Muncy	3B	194	689	181	0.263	54	82	0.363	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.244	0.329	0.511	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	93	292	78	0.267	4	35	0.297	4	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.256	0.288	0.368	OK
Alex Call	LF	64	198	55	0.278	0	38	0.398	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.211	0.335	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	2	2	4	8	0.182

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	226	959	265	0.276	40	147	0.322	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.242	0.297	0.394	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	225	833	248	0.298	32	128	0.398	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.239	0.328	0.448	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	220	776	174	0.224	10	80	0.341	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.331	0.368	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	196	679	188	0.277	29	115	0.360	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.345	0.413	OK
Pavin Smith	DH	8	24	4	0.167	0	4	0.375	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.227	0.361	0.305	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	126	456	120	0.263	13	74	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.270	0.346	0.419	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	200	811	251	0.309	32	155	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.258	0.280	0.397	OK
Jorge Barrosa	CF	91	290	56	0.193	2	24	0.271	4	2	1	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.173	0.253	0.325	OK
Tommy Troy	LF	16	50	18	0.360	0	0	0.448	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.334	0.416	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	8	4	4	5	7	0.250

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	10	49.8	4.88	1.285	10.7	59	5.0	6	3	3	3	6	101	5.0	6	3
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	26	23.5	2.30	0.723	10.7	28	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	18	18.0	1.00	0.778	10.5	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	25	16.4	2.74	1.159	14.8	27	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	14	0.0	0	1
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	21	15.1	1.79	1.192	10.7	18	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	11	65.4	2.34	1.223	6.7	49	6.2	4	0	0	0	6	101	6.2	6	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.2	0	1	1	3	1	20	0.2	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-2

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals

MIA 26-34 (4.17 RPG / 4.65 RA)

2 - 3

WAS 31-29 (5.4 RPG / 5.38 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 3-2 TARGET: MIA 2 - 3 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 54.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	8
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	x	3	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.286

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-145.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.271

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-135.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record26-34

Win%0.433

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.483

WAS Season Quality

Record31-29

Win%0.517

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.017

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.625; margin adjustment: 0.2625; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	DH	206	738	207	0.280	47	198	0.356	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.331	0.413	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	235	945	326	0.345	19	107	0.375	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.327	0.350	0.445	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	142	536	112	0.209	12	42	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.293	0.359	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	241	915	294	0.321	26	85	0.407	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.334	0.427	0.511	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	51	159	41	0.258	0	4	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.175	0.254	0.229	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	151	477	112	0.235	12	96	0.286	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.304	0.442	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	240	888	172	0.194	13	64	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.297	0.299	OK
Joe Mack	C	63	207	43	0.208	0	24	0.255	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.193	0.236	0.259	OK
Connor Norby	1B	187	633	140	0.221	18	62	0.329	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.185	0.264	0.296	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	2	2	1	6	0.229

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	269	1037	300	0.289	76	194	0.431	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.283	0.419	0.574	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	176	656	184	0.280	21	122	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.243	0.405	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	147	487	125	0.257	33	89	0.376	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.212	0.322	0.428	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	241	915	274	0.299	48	206	0.390	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.319	0.394	0.544	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	249	1026	260	0.253	32	125	0.310	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	0.333	0.216	0.270	0.347	OK
Jacob Young	CF	194	731	171	0.234	24	91	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.265	0.329	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.242	0.268	0.360
Keibert Ruiz	C	113	397	104	0.262	18	91	0.278	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.301	0.508	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	192	659	127	0.193	0	63	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.289	0.262	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	3	3	5	7	0.226

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	12	74.4	4.72	1.344	6.3	52	6.0	6	1	1	1	5	111	6.0	5	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	16	13.4	8.06	1.493	14.1	21	0.2	0	1	1	1	2	16	0.2	2	1
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	24	19.7	4.11	1.117	11.4	25	1.1	1	1	1	3	0	38	1.1	0	1

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	12	57.8	3.74	1.453	10.6	68	5.0	6	2	2	1	4	86	5.0	4	2
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	23	17.8	5.06	1.910	10.1	20	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	15	14.5	2.48	1.310	9.3	15	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	17	13.2	2.73	2.121	10.2	15	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 3-2

New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners

NYM 26-33 (4.05 RPG / 4.27 RA)

2 - 4

SEA 31-29 (4.25 RPG / 3.75 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-2 TARGET: NYM 2 - 3 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 53.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	6
SEA	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	x	4	9

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.385

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-106.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.436

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-88.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record26-33

Win%0.441

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.220

SEA Season Quality

Record31-29

Win%0.517

Run Diff30

RD/Game0.500

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8343; margin adjustment: 0.3504; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	203	776	205	0.264	12	97	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.318	0.385	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	245	1014	230	0.227	24	132	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.188	0.265	0.267	OK
Juan Soto	LF	167	631	192	0.304	46	108	0.402	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.305	0.396	0.607	OK
Jared Young	1B	28	81	27	0.333	1	5	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.185	0.248	0.319	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	63	216	56	0.259	4	22	0.373	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.217	0.320	0.310	OK
MJ Melendez	DH	88	230	55	0.239	8	23	0.355	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.209	0.286	0.402	OK
Brett Baty	3B	183	656	161	0.245	14	90	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.264	0.318	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	223	821	193	0.235	20	93	0.284	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.297	0.363	OK
Luis Torrens	C	97	291	57	0.196	0	33	0.257	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.170	0.208	0.248	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	8	0.182

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	207	768	176	0.229	35	94	0.352	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.275	0.372	0.453	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	250	1024	265	0.259	48	131	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.305	0.517	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	232	927	247	0.266	22	108	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.322	0.344	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	242	896	274	0.306	24	110	0.390	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.274	0.333	0.419	OK
Luke Raley	RF	155	534	160	0.300	47	128	0.355	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.290	0.325	0.609	OK
Cole Young	2B	227	803	195	0.243	14	109	0.321	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.268	0.336	0.396	OK
Rob Refsnyder	DH	85	214	24	0.112	8	22	0.208	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.180	0.243	0.362	OK
Mitch Garver	C	85	254	55	0.217	8	24	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.242	0.369	0.374	OK
Colt Emerson	3B	36	115	33	0.287	5	25	0.374	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.265	0.335	0.552	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	4	4	4	10	0.273

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Austin Warren	Starter	14	17.0	1.59	1.353	11.6	22	4.0	6	4	4	3	6	92	4.0	6	4
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	21	17.6	5.11	1.534	14.8	29	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	23	22.8	3.16	1.184	9.5	24	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	24	17.7	1.53	1.469	12.7	25	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	25	24.1	2.24	1.162	9.0	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	11	64.2	2.80	1.012	8.8	63	6.0	2	0	0	0	6	93	6.0	6	0
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	16	12.6	0.71	0.952	8.6	12	2.0	1	0	0	2	1	36	2.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	27	22.4	2.01	1.384	8.8	22	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-2

San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers

SF 23-36 (3.93 RPG / 4.75 RA)

2 - 4

MIL 35-21 (4.79 RPG / 3.46 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-2 TARGET: SF 1 - 3 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 61.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	4
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	x	4	6

SF Recent Form

Win%0.204

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-141.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.373

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-72.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record23-36

Win%0.390

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.814

MIL Season Quality

Record35-21

Win%0.625

Run Diff74

RD/Game1.321

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.4877; margin adjustment: 1.0449; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Casey Schmitt	LF	197	779	240	0.308	51	134	0.351	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.279	0.482	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	231	900	230	0.256	29	125	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.285	0.404	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	228	927	312	0.337	10	100	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.317	0.356	0.409	OK
Willy Adames	SS	234	984	250	0.254	31	91	0.287	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.279	0.465	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	196	773	227	0.294	12	75	0.338	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.334	0.364	0.470	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	230	885	199	0.225	5	79	0.315	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.202	0.279	0.301	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	53	173	35	0.202	5	7	0.287	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.325	0.416	OK
Eric Haase	C	31	98	29	0.296	11	18	0.317	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.276	0.544	OK
Jonah Cox	CF	1	1	1	1.000	0	0	1.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.112	0.127	1.638	LARGE
TEAM TOTALS									31	31	4	2	2	0	9	0.129

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	100	387	111	0.287	15	59	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.326	0.429	OK
Jackson Chourio	CF	91	395	110	0.278	5	26	0.323	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.295	0.392	OK
Brice Turang	2B	229	856	244	0.285	34	150	0.405	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.225	0.354	0.378	OK
William Contreras	C	219	886	265	0.299	17	154	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.267	0.329	0.376	OK
Jake Bauers	LF	182	687	197	0.287	35	130	0.357	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.263	0.326	0.480	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	63	219	74	0.338	4	33	0.415	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.345	0.391	0.529	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	187	678	150	0.221	14	66	0.289	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.270	0.295	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	167	606	131	0.216	0	61	0.284	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.248	0.244	OK
David Hamilton	SS	144	460	108	0.235	1	32	0.327	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.211	0.295	0.302	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	4	4	3	8	0.200

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	11	58.6	3.38	1.212	10.4	68	5.0	6	4	4	2	4	96	5.0	4	4
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	24	22.5	4.40	1.333	11.6	29	2.0	0	0	0	0	3	20	2.0	3	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	25	24.5	2.57	0.939	8.1	22	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Drohan	Starter	11	25.7	2.80	1.167	9.8	28	5.0	2	1	1	0	7	69	5.0	7	1
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	23	19.7	4.11	1.269	10.5	23	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	21	21.0	2.57	0.952	11.6	27	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	26	32.5	2.22	1.415	14.1	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-2

Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals

TEX 28-31 (4.02 RPG / 3.9 RA)

3 - 2

STL 31-26 (4.33 RPG / 4.51 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 3-2 TARGET: TEX 4 - 2 STL (TEX) Confidence: 53.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	6
STL	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.298

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-109.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.130

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-124.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record28-31

Win%0.475

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.119

STL Season Quality

Record31-26

Win%0.544

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.175

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1902; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	160	478	124	0.259	25	63	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.187	0.299	0.393	OK
Josh Jung	3B	210	815	250	0.307	27	95	0.365	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.321	0.379	0.557	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	238	945	248	0.262	29	92	0.345	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.223	0.282	0.381	OK
Jake Burger	1B	218	842	201	0.239	38	148	0.290	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.295	0.405	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	167	584	177	0.303	14	109	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.308	0.397	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	91	255	61	0.239	0	23	0.378	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.300	0.269	OK
Evan Carter	CF	194	627	116	0.185	25	69	0.302	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.144	0.249	0.290	OK
Danny Jansen	C	132	442	83	0.188	13	45	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.187	0.256	0.322	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	10	32	5	0.156	1	3	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.131	0.206	0.208	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	8	0.182

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	246	964	230	0.239	42	117	0.360	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.261	0.342	0.408	OK
Iván Herrera	C	246	934	243	0.260	28	116	0.387	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.259	0.360	0.413	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	231	932	260	0.279	31	159	0.344	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.242	0.303	0.378	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	227	886	282	0.318	69	199	0.385	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.282	0.343	0.488	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	22	84	22	0.262	0	4	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.313	0.396	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	202	778	179	0.230	5	90	0.297	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.229	0.285	0.307	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	201	732	168	0.230	24	109	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.198	0.265	0.290	OK
Jimmy Crooks	DH	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.222	0.234	0.323
Victor Scott II	CF	158	470	80	0.170	9	27	0.245	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.149	0.242	0.210	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	2	2	5	9	0.229

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	11	58.5	3.85	1.026	10.8	70	5.2	4	1	1	3	6	106	5.2	6	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	20	24.6	1.10	0.488	8.8	24	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	21	23.5	1.91	0.851	5.7	15	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	26	20.8	3.89	1.731	8.7	20	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	15	0.2	1	0
Chris Martin	Middle Reliever	12	9.4	8.62	2.128	6.7	7	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	15	0.1	0	1

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	11	59.4	3.03	1.111	6.5	43	5.2	6	3	3	3	6	101	5.2	6	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	25	23.7	3.42	1.055	10.3	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	26	22.0	3.27	1.409	10.2	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	24	19.4	3.71	1.289	8.4	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 3-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins

CHW Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Angels

COL Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

COL Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays

DET Recent Form

TB Recent Form

DET Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds

KC Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

KC Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAD Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals

MIA Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners

NYM Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

NYM Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers