| Matchup | Target Score | Sim Score | Target Winner | Sim Winner | Winner | Confidence | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI @ SEA | 2 - 4 | 1 - 3 | SEA | SEA | SEA wins 3-1 | 56% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| ATL @ CIN | 6 - 2 | 4 - 3 | ATL | ATL | ATL wins 4-3 | 61% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| BOS @ CLE | 1 - 2 | 1 - 3 | CLE | CLE | CLE wins 3-1 | 56% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| CHC @ STL | 4 - 2 | 4 - 1 | CHC | CHC | CHC wins 4-1 | 56% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| DET @ CHW | 6 - 7 | 3 - 8 | CHW | CHW | CHW wins 8-3 | 54% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| KC @ TEX | 4 - 6 | 3 - 6 | TEX | TEX | TEX wins 6-3 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| LAA @ TB | 1 - 3 | 2 - 3 | TB | TB | TB wins 3-2 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| MIA @ NYM | 2 - 1 | 3 - 1 | MIA | MIA | MIA wins 3-1 | 55% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| MIL @ HOU | 2 - 4 | 1 - 6 | HOU | HOU | HOU wins 6-1 | 56% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| MIN @ PIT | 2 - 3 | 1 - 5 | PIT | PIT | PIT wins 5-1 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| NYY @ OAK | 3 - 1 | 3 - 2 | NYY | NYY | NYY wins 3-2 | 52% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| PHI @ LAD | 2 - 4 | 2 - 6 | LAD | LAD | LAD wins 6-2 | 58% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| SD @ WAS | 3 - 2 | 5 - 1 | SD | SD | SD wins 5-1 | 54% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| SF @ COL | 4 - 3 | 4 - 3 | SF | SF | SF wins 4-3 | 56% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| TOR @ BAL | 2 - 1 | 4 - 0 | TOR | TOR | TOR wins 4-0 | 56% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
Quality edge: 0.0579; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Ketel Marte | 2B | 224 | 952 | 265 | 0.278 | 40 | 146 | 0.324 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.281 | 0.328 | 0.462 | OK |
| Corbin Carroll | RF | 223 | 825 | 247 | 0.299 | 32 | 128 | 0.400 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.263 | 0.360 | 0.490 | OK |
| Geraldo Perdomo | SS | 218 | 769 | 174 | 0.226 | 10 | 80 | 0.343 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.257 | 0.358 | 0.399 | OK |
| Nolan Arenado | 3B | 195 | 675 | 188 | 0.279 | 29 | 115 | 0.362 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.278 | 0.369 | 0.440 | OK |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | CF | 69 | 242 | 66 | 0.273 | 0 | 28 | 0.341 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.194 | 0.275 | 0.312 | OK |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 1B | 198 | 804 | 249 | 0.310 | 32 | 155 | 0.335 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.278 | 0.300 | 0.436 | OK |
| Gabriel Moreno | C | 124 | 451 | 119 | 0.264 | 13 | 74 | 0.326 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.290 | 0.368 | 0.465 | OK |
| Adrian Del Castillo | DH | 122 | 437 | 83 | 0.190 | 14 | 76 | 0.244 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.201 | 0.258 | 0.338 | OK |
| Tommy Troy | LF | 15 | 47 | 18 | 0.383 | 0 | 0 | 0.473 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.289 | 0.383 | 0.484 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| J.P. Crawford | SS | 205 | 760 | 174 | 0.229 | 35 | 94 | 0.353 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.269 | 0.365 | 0.443 | OK |
| Julio Rodríguez | CF | 248 | 1015 | 263 | 0.259 | 47 | 130 | 0.318 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.256 | 0.303 | 0.487 | OK |
| Josh Naylor | 1B | 230 | 919 | 246 | 0.268 | 22 | 108 | 0.332 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.277 | 0.333 | 0.362 | OK |
| Randy Arozarena | LF | 240 | 887 | 273 | 0.308 | 24 | 110 | 0.392 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.284 | 0.347 | 0.443 | OK |
| Luke Raley | RF | 153 | 528 | 157 | 0.297 | 46 | 127 | 0.350 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.269 | 0.298 | 0.580 | OK |
| Cole Young | 2B | 225 | 796 | 193 | 0.242 | 13 | 107 | 0.322 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.262 | 0.334 | 0.363 | OK |
| Dominic Canzone | DH | 126 | 372 | 96 | 0.258 | 21 | 83 | 0.325 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.234 | 0.292 | 0.508 | OK |
| Mitch Garver | C | 84 | 251 | 55 | 0.219 | 8 | 24 | 0.368 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.240 | 0.371 | 0.379 | OK |
| Colt Emerson | 3B | 34 | 109 | 31 | 0.284 | 4 | 24 | 0.371 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.262 | 0.331 | 0.535 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 0.242 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Ryne Nelson | Starter | 11 | 57.2 | 4.88 | 1.241 | 7.7 | 49 | 6.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 116 | 6.2 | 8 | 2 |
| Paul Sewald | Middle Reliever | 1 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Middle Reliever | 2 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.476 | 8.6 | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | Middle Reliever | 1 | 0.1 | 360.00 | 30.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Juan Morillo | Middle Reliever | 2 | 1.2 | 15.00 | 3.333 | 7.5 | 1 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Bryan Woo | Starter | 11 | 63.2 | 3.84 | 1.044 | 8.4 | 59 | 5.2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 100 | 5.2 | 6 | 1 |
| Andrés Muñoz | Middle Reliever | 23 | 20.5 | 5.27 | 1.415 | 14.9 | 34 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Brash | Middle Reliever | 16 | 12.6 | 0.71 | 0.952 | 8.6 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| José A. Ferrer | Middle Reliever | 27 | 22.4 | 2.01 | 1.384 | 8.8 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
SEA wins 3-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| CIN | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
Quality edge: -2.6475; margin adjustment: -1.1119; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | RF | 191 | 727 | 170 | 0.234 | 16 | 76 | 0.357 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.394 | 0.501 | OK |
| Michael Harris II | CF | 199 | 780 | 234 | 0.300 | 53 | 136 | 0.321 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.319 | 0.337 | 0.583 | OK |
| Matt Olson | 1B | 248 | 970 | 263 | 0.271 | 68 | 199 | 0.355 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.289 | 0.364 | 0.559 | OK |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 244 | 958 | 266 | 0.278 | 39 | 130 | 0.336 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.314 | 0.364 | 0.534 | OK |
| Dominic Smith | DH | 119 | 400 | 138 | 0.345 | 16 | 81 | 0.374 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.316 | 0.357 | 0.454 | OK |
| Mauricio Dubón | 3B | 215 | 829 | 210 | 0.253 | 12 | 120 | 0.307 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.284 | 0.360 | OK |
| Mike Yastrzemski | LF | 153 | 497 | 110 | 0.221 | 9 | 44 | 0.303 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.276 | 0.341 | 0.453 | OK |
| Jorge Mateo | SS | 74 | 240 | 89 | 0.371 | 6 | 27 | 0.421 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.284 | 0.348 | 0.425 | OK |
| Sandy León | C | 19 | 44 | 4 | 0.091 | 0 | 0 | 0.091 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.178 | 0.190 | 0.257 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 32 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0.188 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Blake Dunn | RF | 53 | 230 | 73 | 0.317 | 5 | 14 | 0.382 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.244 | 0.296 | 0.324 | OK |
| Elly De La Cruz | SS | 244 | 999 | 293 | 0.293 | 65 | 193 | 0.363 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.234 | 0.295 | 0.441 | OK |
| Sal Stewart | DH | 239 | 894 | 223 | 0.249 | 49 | 160 | 0.359 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.249 | 0.355 | 0.422 | OK |
| Eugenio Suárez | 3B | 119 | 437 | 103 | 0.236 | 10 | 51 | 0.313 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.204 | 0.303 | 0.313 | OK |
| Spencer Steer | 1B | 208 | 769 | 203 | 0.264 | 30 | 87 | 0.338 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.236 | 0.300 | 0.376 | OK |
| JJ Bleday | LF | 113 | 432 | 120 | 0.278 | 32 | 99 | 0.373 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.242 | 0.346 | 0.497 | OK |
| Tyler Stephenson | C | 159 | 525 | 103 | 0.196 | 17 | 74 | 0.304 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.328 | 0.369 | OK |
| Matt McLain | 2B | 213 | 830 | 176 | 0.212 | 22 | 90 | 0.308 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.188 | 0.267 | 0.300 | OK |
| TJ Friedl | CF | 173 | 656 | 124 | 0.189 | 9 | 36 | 0.267 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.205 | 0.286 | 0.278 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Martín Pérez | Starter | 11 | 45.5 | 2.77 | 1.055 | 7.9 | 40 | 6.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 107 | 6.0 | 5 | 3 |
| Raisel Iglesias | Middle Reliever | 16 | 16.2 | 1.11 | 0.926 | 11.1 | 20 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Suarez | Middle Reliever | 24 | 23.4 | 0.77 | 0.897 | 8.5 | 22 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dylan Lee | Middle Reliever | 27 | 24.1 | 1.49 | 0.664 | 12.3 | 33 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Brady Singer | Starter | 10 | 44.6 | 6.46 | 1.749 | 6.9 | 34 | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 82 | 4.0 | 4 | 3 |
| Tony Santillan | Middle Reliever | 22 | 20.3 | 3.99 | 1.330 | 9.3 | 21 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pierce Johnson | Middle Reliever | 24 | 17.8 | 4.04 | 1.517 | 10.1 | 20 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Brock Burke | Middle Reliever | 27 | 20.1 | 4.48 | 1.841 | 11.2 | 25 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tejay Antone | Middle Reliever | 8 | 7.2 | 6.25 | 1.111 | 8.8 | 7 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
ATL wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 3 | 6 |
Quality edge: 0.8071; margin adjustment: 0.339; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jarren Duran | LF | 221 | 921 | 198 | 0.215 | 36 | 132 | 0.286 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.220 | 0.272 | 0.374 | OK |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | CF | 200 | 759 | 214 | 0.282 | 18 | 89 | 0.348 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.253 | 0.294 | 0.404 | OK |
| Wilyer Abreu | RF | 231 | 911 | 256 | 0.281 | 26 | 98 | 0.347 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.312 | 0.399 | OK |
| Willson Contreras | 1B | 221 | 816 | 231 | 0.283 | 49 | 157 | 0.378 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.284 | 0.369 | 0.465 | OK |
| Nick Sogard | 2B | 37 | 123 | 35 | 0.285 | 0 | 5 | 0.376 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.242 | 0.325 | 0.388 | OK |
| Andruw Monasterio | DH | 95 | 338 | 87 | 0.257 | 6 | 44 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.166 | 0.221 | 0.291 | OK |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | SS | 69 | 201 | 67 | 0.333 | 4 | 34 | 0.422 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.315 | 0.421 | 0.393 | OK |
| Connor Wong | C | 67 | 204 | 48 | 0.235 | 0 | 29 | 0.328 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.164 | 0.247 | 0.281 | OK |
| Caleb Durbin | 3B | 169 | 580 | 108 | 0.186 | 5 | 70 | 0.265 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.206 | 0.256 | 0.323 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0.100 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Travis Bazzana | 2B | 113 | 410 | 123 | 0.300 | 12 | 48 | 0.413 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.309 | 0.400 | 0.490 | OK |
| José Ramírez | 3B | 251 | 930 | 218 | 0.234 | 36 | 124 | 0.351 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.223 | 0.346 | 0.377 | OK |
| Chase DeLauter | DH | 215 | 834 | 215 | 0.258 | 32 | 147 | 0.334 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.282 | 0.351 | 0.440 | OK |
| Kyle Manzardo | 1B | 168 | 601 | 129 | 0.215 | 16 | 58 | 0.296 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.241 | 0.323 | 0.354 | OK |
| Angel Martínez | LF | 192 | 741 | 193 | 0.260 | 38 | 119 | 0.300 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.231 | 0.253 | 0.382 | OK |
| Daniel Schneemann | CF | 161 | 555 | 135 | 0.243 | 17 | 77 | 0.332 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.248 | 0.345 | 0.378 | OK |
| Petey Halpin | RF | 26 | 83 | 10 | 0.120 | 0 | 5 | 0.170 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.101 | 0.149 | 0.141 | OK |
| Austin Hedges | C | 82 | 258 | 61 | 0.236 | 5 | 17 | 0.309 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.278 | 0.324 | OK |
| Brayan Rocchio | SS | 204 | 684 | 205 | 0.300 | 14 | 104 | 0.377 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.295 | 0.351 | 0.424 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0.200 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Sonny Gray | Starter | 9 | 43.3 | 3.33 | 1.224 | 7.1 | 34 | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 86 | 5.0 | 5 | 3 |
| Aroldis Chapman | Middle Reliever | 18 | 17.2 | 0.52 | 0.872 | 12.0 | 23 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Justin Slaten | Middle Reliever | 10 | 7.5 | 4.80 | 1.467 | 14.4 | 12 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jovani Morán | Middle Reliever | 18 | 27.1 | 3.32 | 1.107 | 11.3 | 34 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Parker Messick | Starter | 11 | 62.0 | 2.32 | 1.081 | 10.2 | 70 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 97 | 6.0 | 8 | 0 |
| Cade Smith | Middle Reliever | 27 | 27.2 | 2.65 | 1.103 | 13.9 | 42 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Hunter Gaddis | Middle Reliever | 16 | 12.0 | 4.50 | 1.583 | 9.0 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Shawn Armstrong | Middle Reliever | 15 | 11.2 | 1.61 | 1.429 | 14.5 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
CLE wins 3-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Quality edge: -0.4575; margin adjustment: -0.1922; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CF | 234 | 859 | 206 | 0.240 | 26 | 107 | 0.334 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.237 | 0.318 | 0.369 | OK |
| Nico Hoerner | 2B | 255 | 1074 | 276 | 0.257 | 21 | 161 | 0.342 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.245 | 0.323 | 0.345 | OK |
| Michael Busch | 1B | 248 | 915 | 217 | 0.237 | 30 | 155 | 0.383 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.234 | 0.385 | 0.384 | OK |
| Alex Bregman | 3B | 255 | 1054 | 276 | 0.262 | 17 | 81 | 0.350 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.255 | 0.327 | 0.344 | OK |
| Ian Happ | LF | 239 | 936 | 225 | 0.240 | 64 | 151 | 0.361 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.279 | 0.376 | 0.576 | OK |
| Seiya Suzuki | RF | 182 | 705 | 182 | 0.258 | 32 | 88 | 0.350 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.274 | 0.346 | 0.409 | OK |
| Moisés Ballesteros | DH | 141 | 437 | 91 | 0.208 | 23 | 72 | 0.287 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.189 | 0.265 | 0.336 | OK |
| Miguel Amaya | C | 90 | 295 | 65 | 0.220 | 12 | 33 | 0.324 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.182 | 0.281 | 0.292 | OK |
| Dansby Swanson | SS | 214 | 744 | 150 | 0.202 | 33 | 117 | 0.307 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.195 | 0.309 | 0.341 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0.212 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| JJ Wetherholt | 2B | 244 | 957 | 225 | 0.235 | 42 | 117 | 0.358 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.227 | 0.309 | 0.385 | OK |
| Iván Herrera | DH | 244 | 927 | 241 | 0.260 | 28 | 116 | 0.387 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.261 | 0.366 | 0.416 | OK |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 229 | 925 | 257 | 0.278 | 31 | 156 | 0.343 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.231 | 0.289 | 0.374 | OK |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 225 | 878 | 281 | 0.320 | 69 | 198 | 0.387 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.308 | 0.367 | 0.535 | OK |
| Nolan Gorman | 3B | 199 | 728 | 168 | 0.231 | 24 | 109 | 0.305 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.218 | 0.285 | 0.318 | OK |
| Masyn Winn | SS | 200 | 772 | 178 | 0.231 | 5 | 88 | 0.297 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.228 | 0.279 | 0.313 | OK |
| Jimmy Crooks | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.235 | 0.301 | 0.384 | |
| Bryan Torres | LF | 21 | 81 | 22 | 0.272 | 0 | 4 | 0.352 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.255 | 0.325 | 0.408 | OK |
| Victor Scott II | CF | 156 | 467 | 80 | 0.171 | 9 | 27 | 0.245 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.165 | 0.248 | 0.234 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Ben Brown | Starter | 16 | 43.5 | 2.07 | 1.011 | 9.7 | 47 | 5.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 97 | 5.2 | 5 | 0 |
| Daniel Palencia | Middle Reliever | 12 | 9.5 | 2.84 | 1.579 | 11.4 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Caleb Thielbar | Middle Reliever | 14 | 10.8 | 2.50 | 1.389 | 12.5 | 15 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jacob Webb | Middle Reliever | 24 | 21.1 | 2.99 | 1.517 | 12.8 | 30 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kyle Leahy | Starter | 10 | 50.2 | 4.48 | 1.594 | 7.5 | 42 | 4.2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 99 | 4.2 | 6 | 3 |
| Riley O'Brien | Middle Reliever | 25 | 23.7 | 3.42 | 1.055 | 10.3 | 27 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 |
| JoJo Romero | Middle Reliever | 26 | 22.0 | 3.27 | 1.409 | 10.2 | 25 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 1.2 | 0 | 1 |
| George Soriano | Middle Reliever | 24 | 19.4 | 3.71 | 1.289 | 8.4 | 18 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
CHC wins 4-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| CHW | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | x | 8 | 11 |
Quality edge: 0.7898; margin adjustment: 0.3317; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Kevin McGonigle | 3B | 240 | 921 | 275 | 0.299 | 14 | 107 | 0.398 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.254 | 0.342 | 0.378 | OK |
| Dillon Dingler | C | 206 | 765 | 186 | 0.243 | 49 | 148 | 0.332 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.224 | 0.314 | 0.459 | OK |
| Matt Vierling | CF | 159 | 580 | 118 | 0.203 | 15 | 82 | 0.276 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.151 | 0.225 | 0.269 | OK |
| Riley Greene | LF | 235 | 856 | 265 | 0.310 | 17 | 111 | 0.407 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.281 | 0.363 | 0.401 | OK |
| Spencer Torkelson | 1B | 216 | 750 | 155 | 0.207 | 32 | 80 | 0.313 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.200 | 0.288 | 0.405 | OK |
| Jahmai Jones | DH | 74 | 160 | 26 | 0.162 | 4 | 15 | 0.260 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.119 | 0.207 | 0.213 | OK |
| Wenceel Pérez | RF | 137 | 477 | 84 | 0.176 | 11 | 34 | 0.235 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.285 | 0.429 | OK |
| Hao-Yu Lee | 2B | 74 | 218 | 39 | 0.179 | 2 | 23 | 0.238 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.164 | 0.217 | 0.264 | OK |
| Zack Short | SS | 29 | 66 | 10 | 0.152 | 0 | 1 | 0.380 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.136 | 0.331 | 0.178 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Chase Meidroth | 2B | 229 | 885 | 233 | 0.263 | 24 | 86 | 0.337 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.247 | 0.333 | 0.381 | OK |
| Randal Grichuk | RF | 38 | 100 | 35 | 0.350 | 8 | 41 | 0.387 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.277 | 0.294 | 0.485 | OK |
| Miguel Vargas | 1B | 239 | 885 | 204 | 0.231 | 56 | 144 | 0.363 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.226 | 0.355 | 0.453 | OK |
| Colson Montgomery | 3B | 230 | 868 | 205 | 0.236 | 57 | 152 | 0.332 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.261 | 0.321 | 0.466 | OK |
| Edgar Quero | C | 127 | 429 | 82 | 0.191 | 5 | 60 | 0.267 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.216 | 0.293 | 0.270 | OK |
| Derek Hill | CF | 70 | 174 | 36 | 0.207 | 6 | 15 | 0.258 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.146 | 0.202 | 0.240 | OK |
| Luisangel Acuña | SS | 109 | 339 | 58 | 0.171 | 0 | 22 | 0.235 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.185 | 0.240 | 0.224 | OK |
| Andrew Benintendi | DH | 171 | 635 | 158 | 0.249 | 14 | 99 | 0.287 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.750 | 0.226 | 0.267 | 0.363 | OK |
| Sam Antonacci | LF | 149 | 526 | 138 | 0.262 | 5 | 59 | 0.374 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.272 | 0.325 | 0.368 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 35 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0.314 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Framber Valdez | Starter | 11 | 60.3 | 4.33 | 1.343 | 7.5 | 50 | 5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 90 | 5.1 | 5 | 4 |
| Kyle Finnegan | Middle Reliever | 25 | 24.1 | 1.49 | 1.577 | 5.6 | 15 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Will Vest | Middle Reliever | 18 | 14.9 | 8.46 | 1.678 | 10.9 | 18 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Drew Anderson | Middle Reliever | 19 | 34.3 | 3.94 | 1.283 | 12.1 | 46 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Holton | Middle Reliever | 24 | 21.7 | 5.39 | 1.705 | 9.5 | 23 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brenan Hanifee | Middle Reliever | 10 | 9.7 | 1.86 | 1.443 | 5.6 | 6 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Anthony Kay | Starter | 11 | 50.0 | 4.14 | 1.460 | 7.0 | 39 | 6.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 104 | 6.1 | 6 | 1 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | Middle Reliever | 2 | 1.1 | 16.36 | 3.636 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Grant Taylor | Middle Reliever | 6 | 6.1 | 1.48 | 1.311 | 11.8 | 8 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bryan Hudson | Middle Reliever | 24 | 20.9 | 1.72 | 1.483 | 9.9 | 23 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Newcomb | Middle Reliever | 1 | 2.1 | 8.57 | 1.905 | 4.3 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 |
CHW wins 8-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | x | 6 | 10 |
Quality edge: 0.8304; margin adjustment: 0.3488; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Carter Jensen | C | 186 | 637 | 148 | 0.232 | 23 | 98 | 0.320 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.207 | 0.285 | 0.347 | OK |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | 244 | 979 | 282 | 0.288 | 40 | 111 | 0.355 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.229 | 0.291 | 0.421 | OK |
| Maikel Garcia | 3B | 235 | 972 | 279 | 0.287 | 14 | 99 | 0.338 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.283 | 0.332 | 0.417 | OK |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1B | 228 | 857 | 167 | 0.195 | 23 | 106 | 0.292 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.190 | 0.280 | 0.302 | OK |
| Salvador Perez | DH | 223 | 858 | 192 | 0.224 | 42 | 111 | 0.276 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.223 | 0.267 | 0.378 | OK |
| Jac Caglianone | RF | 180 | 628 | 138 | 0.220 | 18 | 40 | 0.294 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.160 | 0.221 | 0.281 | OK |
| Isaac Collins | LF | 179 | 589 | 131 | 0.222 | 11 | 71 | 0.350 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.186 | 0.297 | 0.277 | OK |
| Michael Massey | 2B | 114 | 359 | 83 | 0.231 | 10 | 46 | 0.247 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.170 | 0.197 | 0.330 | OK |
| Kyle Isbel | CF | 152 | 499 | 131 | 0.263 | 11 | 42 | 0.314 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.200 | 0.236 | 0.306 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Joc Pederson | DH | 158 | 470 | 123 | 0.262 | 24 | 62 | 0.365 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.217 | 0.318 | 0.453 | OK |
| Josh Jung | 3B | 208 | 806 | 245 | 0.304 | 26 | 92 | 0.362 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.317 | 0.378 | 0.551 | OK |
| Brandon Nimmo | RF | 236 | 936 | 247 | 0.264 | 29 | 92 | 0.347 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.239 | 0.299 | 0.405 | OK |
| Jake Burger | 1B | 216 | 835 | 197 | 0.236 | 38 | 147 | 0.286 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.216 | 0.258 | 0.368 | OK |
| Ezequiel Duran | SS | 165 | 576 | 175 | 0.304 | 14 | 106 | 0.358 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.272 | 0.326 | 0.421 | OK |
| Alejandro Osuna | LF | 89 | 250 | 60 | 0.240 | 0 | 22 | 0.381 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.221 | 0.310 | 0.279 | OK |
| Danny Jansen | C | 131 | 439 | 82 | 0.187 | 13 | 43 | 0.285 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.190 | 0.261 | 0.328 | OK |
| Nicky Lopez | 2B | 8 | 25 | 1 | 0.040 | 1 | 2 | 0.172 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.097 | 0.190 | 0.194 | OK |
| Michael Helman | CF | 12 | 32 | 5 | 0.156 | 0 | 0 | 0.229 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.201 | 0.266 | 0.354 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 0.294 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Seth Lugo | Starter | 11 | 63.6 | 3.82 | 1.415 | 7.6 | 54 | 5.2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 113 | 5.2 | 7 | 3 |
| Lucas Erceg | Middle Reliever | 22 | 20.4 | 5.29 | 1.765 | 7.9 | 18 | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Daniel Lynch IV | Middle Reliever | 22 | 20.1 | 1.79 | 0.995 | 12.1 | 27 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | Middle Reliever | 23 | 18.3 | 3.44 | 1.585 | 5.9 | 12 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kumar Rocker | Starter | 10 | 48.6 | 4.07 | 1.399 | 7.8 | 42 | 4.2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 91 | 4.2 | 8 | 3 |
| Jacob Latz | Middle Reliever | 19 | 23.6 | 1.14 | 0.466 | 8.8 | 23 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakob Junis | Middle Reliever | 20 | 23.3 | 1.55 | 0.730 | 5.0 | 13 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Alexander | Middle Reliever | 25 | 20.7 | 2.61 | 1.594 | 8.3 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
TEX wins 6-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| TB | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 3 | 8 |
Quality edge: 1.9205; margin adjustment: 0.8066; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Zach Neto | SS | 258 | 1019 | 246 | 0.241 | 45 | 126 | 0.352 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.258 | 0.356 | 0.453 | OK |
| Mike Trout | CF | 251 | 887 | 222 | 0.250 | 62 | 147 | 0.421 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.270 | 0.444 | 0.543 | OK |
| Vaughn Grissom | 1B | 123 | 459 | 113 | 0.246 | 13 | 97 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.239 | 0.301 | 0.396 | OK |
| Jorge Soler | DH | 220 | 830 | 182 | 0.219 | 36 | 135 | 0.305 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.220 | 0.287 | 0.367 | OK |
| Wade Meckler | LF | 20 | 67 | 20 | 0.299 | 4 | 13 | 0.338 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.240 | 0.281 | 0.362 | OK |
| Jo Adell | RF | 235 | 924 | 225 | 0.244 | 32 | 129 | 0.291 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.223 | 0.245 | 0.374 | OK |
| Oswald Peraza | 2B | 158 | 543 | 153 | 0.282 | 26 | 62 | 0.354 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.238 | 0.275 | 0.383 | OK |
| Donovan Walton | 3B | 20 | 78 | 20 | 0.256 | 0 | 0 | 0.293 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.252 | 0.288 | 0.353 | OK |
| Sebastián Rivero | C | 41 | 117 | 16 | 0.137 | 0 | 4 | 0.179 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.122 | 0.167 | 0.156 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Yandy Díaz | DH | 219 | 858 | 272 | 0.317 | 32 | 154 | 0.396 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.297 | 0.385 | 0.526 | OK |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1B | 228 | 849 | 247 | 0.291 | 43 | 191 | 0.384 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.364 | 0.457 | 0.572 | OK |
| Junior Caminero | 3B | 233 | 919 | 244 | 0.266 | 57 | 127 | 0.362 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.256 | 0.351 | 0.436 | OK |
| Ryan Vilade | RF | 78 | 231 | 79 | 0.342 | 7 | 56 | 0.405 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.272 | 0.360 | 0.439 | OK |
| Chandler Simpson | LF | 222 | 922 | 265 | 0.287 | 0 | 44 | 0.323 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.244 | 0.295 | 0.302 | OK |
| Ben Williamson | 2B | 128 | 432 | 119 | 0.275 | 0 | 54 | 0.359 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.279 | 0.366 | 0.395 | OK |
| Nick Fortes | C | 135 | 443 | 111 | 0.251 | 4 | 36 | 0.293 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.225 | 0.253 | 0.312 | OK |
| Cedric Mullins | CF | 183 | 683 | 129 | 0.189 | 13 | 72 | 0.262 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.192 | 0.252 | 0.271 | OK |
| Taylor Walls | SS | 145 | 485 | 97 | 0.200 | 0 | 54 | 0.301 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.198 | 0.286 | 0.286 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0.258 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Reid Detmers | Starter | 11 | 60.2 | 4.78 | 1.196 | 11.2 | 75 | 5.2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 99 | 5.2 | 5 | 3 |
| Kirby Yates | Middle Reliever | 8 | 6.4 | 4.22 | 1.250 | 14.1 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sam Bachman | Middle Reliever | 20 | 23.5 | 2.68 | 1.277 | 10.7 | 28 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn | Middle Reliever | 21 | 23.1 | 6.62 | 1.558 | 12.1 | 31 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Drew Rasmussen | Starter | 10 | 54.3 | 2.82 | 0.994 | 8.5 | 51 | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 96 | 6.0 | 7 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | Middle Reliever | 25 | 22.4 | 2.41 | 1.116 | 11.2 | 28 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ian Seymour | Middle Reliever | 23 | 23.8 | 3.40 | 1.261 | 11.7 | 31 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | Middle Reliever | 25 | 21.7 | 3.32 | 0.922 | 7.5 | 18 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 |
TB wins 3-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Quality edge: -0.2559; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Xavier Edwards | 2B | 239 | 908 | 293 | 0.323 | 26 | 85 | 0.408 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.356 | 0.440 | 0.547 | OK |
| Liam Hicks | 1B | 204 | 730 | 204 | 0.279 | 47 | 197 | 0.355 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.233 | 0.318 | 0.404 | OK |
| Otto Lopez | SS | 233 | 938 | 326 | 0.348 | 19 | 107 | 0.377 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.370 | 0.393 | 0.494 | OK |
| Kyle Stowers | LF | 140 | 528 | 111 | 0.210 | 12 | 42 | 0.303 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.231 | 0.304 | 0.362 | OK |
| Jakob Marsee | CF | 238 | 881 | 171 | 0.194 | 13 | 64 | 0.326 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.195 | 0.301 | 0.295 | OK |
| Leo Jiménez | DH | 50 | 156 | 40 | 0.256 | 0 | 4 | 0.322 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.178 | 0.251 | 0.236 | OK |
| Owen Caissie | RF | 149 | 471 | 110 | 0.234 | 12 | 95 | 0.286 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.263 | 0.304 | 0.438 | OK |
| Christopher Morel | 3B | 62 | 208 | 39 | 0.188 | 0 | 4 | 0.246 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.207 | 0.249 | 0.295 | OK |
| Joe Mack | C | 62 | 204 | 43 | 0.211 | 0 | 24 | 0.258 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.249 | 0.274 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Carson Benge | RF | 201 | 768 | 201 | 0.262 | 11 | 96 | 0.331 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.255 | 0.305 | 0.334 | OK |
| Bo Bichette | 3B | 243 | 1008 | 230 | 0.228 | 24 | 131 | 0.275 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.213 | 0.278 | 0.301 | OK |
| Juan Soto | LF | 165 | 624 | 189 | 0.303 | 45 | 103 | 0.401 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.308 | 0.396 | 0.629 | OK |
| Jared Young | DH | 26 | 73 | 25 | 0.342 | 0 | 4 | 0.385 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.195 | 0.261 | 0.316 | OK |
| Mark Vientos | 1B | 178 | 664 | 151 | 0.227 | 25 | 96 | 0.268 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.163 | 0.195 | 0.295 | OK |
| A.J. Ewing | CF | 61 | 209 | 56 | 0.268 | 4 | 22 | 0.381 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.337 | 0.340 | OK |
| Marcus Semien | 2B | 221 | 815 | 189 | 0.232 | 19 | 90 | 0.280 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.500 | 0.206 | 0.268 | 0.318 | OK |
| Vidal Bruján | SS | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0.077 | 0 | 1 | 0.294 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.177 | 0.340 | 0.271 | OK |
| Hayden Senger | C | 11 | 24 | 2 | 0.083 | 0 | 4 | 0.083 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.216 | 0.295 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Tyler Phillips | Starter | 16 | 31.8 | 1.13 | 1.321 | 8.8 | 31 | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 77 | 5.0 | 4 | 0 |
| Pete Fairbanks | Middle Reliever | 16 | 13.4 | 8.06 | 1.493 | 14.1 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Bender | Middle Reliever | 23 | 18.6 | 3.87 | 1.129 | 11.6 | 24 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Petersen | Middle Reliever | 20 | 18.3 | 4.43 | 1.311 | 10.8 | 22 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | Middle Reliever | 24 | 19.4 | 5.57 | 1.495 | 12.5 | 27 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Christian Scott | Starter | 6 | 23.7 | 3.42 | 1.477 | 11.4 | 30 | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 79 | 5.0 | 5 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | Middle Reliever | 20 | 16.6 | 5.42 | 1.627 | 15.2 | 28 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Weaver | Middle Reliever | 23 | 22.8 | 3.16 | 1.184 | 9.5 | 24 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brooks Raley | Middle Reliever | 24 | 17.7 | 1.53 | 1.469 | 12.7 | 25 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazobán | Middle Reliever | 24 | 23.1 | 2.34 | 1.212 | 8.2 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
MIA wins 3-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| HOU | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | x | 6 | 11 |
Quality edge: -2.3712; margin adjustment: -0.9959; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Christian Yelich | DH | 98 | 380 | 110 | 0.289 | 15 | 59 | 0.351 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.282 | 0.339 | 0.475 | OK |
| Jackson Chourio | LF | 90 | 391 | 109 | 0.279 | 5 | 25 | 0.324 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.245 | 0.296 | 0.389 | OK |
| Brice Turang | 2B | 227 | 849 | 244 | 0.287 | 34 | 150 | 0.408 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.237 | 0.363 | 0.403 | OK |
| William Contreras | C | 218 | 882 | 264 | 0.299 | 17 | 153 | 0.371 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.273 | 0.336 | 0.383 | OK |
| Jake Bauers | RF | 180 | 679 | 195 | 0.287 | 34 | 128 | 0.358 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.273 | 0.337 | 0.493 | OK |
| Andrew Vaughn | 1B | 61 | 211 | 70 | 0.332 | 4 | 33 | 0.412 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.343 | 0.393 | 0.553 | OK |
| Garrett Mitchell | CF | 166 | 577 | 141 | 0.244 | 7 | 106 | 0.356 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.265 | 0.362 | 0.456 | OK |
| Joey Ortiz | SS | 130 | 411 | 83 | 0.202 | 4 | 39 | 0.295 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.209 | 0.297 | 0.267 | OK |
| David Hamilton | 3B | 142 | 455 | 107 | 0.235 | 1 | 32 | 0.327 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.205 | 0.284 | 0.286 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jeremy Peña | SS | 88 | 365 | 91 | 0.249 | 9 | 26 | 0.304 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.254 | 0.285 | 0.433 | OK |
| Yordan Alvarez | DH | 246 | 911 | 300 | 0.329 | 98 | 184 | 0.445 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.276 | 0.396 | 0.608 | OK |
| Christian Walker | 1B | 231 | 877 | 242 | 0.276 | 66 | 181 | 0.351 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.226 | 0.301 | 0.443 | OK |
| Taylor Trammell | LF | 44 | 152 | 54 | 0.355 | 0 | 23 | 0.399 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.246 | 0.291 | 0.409 | OK |
| Isaac Paredes | 3B | 211 | 789 | 189 | 0.240 | 26 | 101 | 0.335 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.215 | 0.296 | 0.415 | OK |
| Cam Smith | RF | 214 | 749 | 165 | 0.220 | 20 | 88 | 0.314 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.241 | 0.314 | 0.385 | OK |
| Braden Shewmake | 2B | 73 | 257 | 62 | 0.241 | 8 | 27 | 0.247 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.154 | 0.170 | 0.248 | OK |
| Jake Meyers | CF | 66 | 251 | 55 | 0.219 | 9 | 24 | 0.291 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.182 | 0.253 | 0.306 | OK |
| Christian Vázquez | C | 118 | 391 | 106 | 0.271 | 16 | 66 | 0.329 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.229 | 0.284 | 0.370 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 35 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0.314 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Brandon Sproat | Starter | 10 | 42.1 | 6.20 | 1.639 | 10.3 | 48 | 4.1 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 4.1 | 1 | 5 |
| Abner Uribe | Middle Reliever | 22 | 18.7 | 4.33 | 1.337 | 10.6 | 22 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevor Megill | Middle Reliever | 20 | 20.0 | 2.70 | 1.000 | 11.2 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaron Ashby | Middle Reliever | 26 | 32.5 | 2.22 | 1.415 | 14.1 | 51 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 |
| Chad Patrick | Middle Reliever | 13 | 43.6 | 2.68 | 1.261 | 6.8 | 33 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| DL Hall | Middle Reliever | 22 | 23.4 | 2.69 | 1.410 | 11.2 | 29 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Peter Lambert | Starter | 7 | 40.1 | 3.82 | 1.172 | 9.0 | 40 | 6.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 106 | 6.2 | 6 | 0 |
| Bryan King | Middle Reliever | 22 | 21.6 | 3.33 | 1.528 | 7.9 | 19 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Bryan Abreu | Middle Reliever | 21 | 16.0 | 7.88 | 2.312 | 12.9 | 23 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 |
| Nate Pearson | Middle Reliever | 3 | 2.2 | 0.00 | 1.364 | 8.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
HOU wins 6-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | x | 5 | 10 |
Quality edge: 0.7328; margin adjustment: 0.3078; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Byron Buxton | DH | 219 | 937 | 251 | 0.268 | 83 | 135 | 0.328 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.251 | 0.317 | 0.524 | OK |
| Trevor Larnach | LF | 156 | 546 | 150 | 0.275 | 9 | 56 | 0.377 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.197 | 0.287 | 0.322 | OK |
| Josh Bell | 1B | 217 | 823 | 181 | 0.220 | 21 | 125 | 0.284 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.217 | 0.270 | 0.347 | OK |
| Kody Clemens | CF | 168 | 611 | 139 | 0.227 | 22 | 68 | 0.315 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.172 | 0.237 | 0.366 | OK |
| Austin Martin | RF | 174 | 634 | 186 | 0.293 | 10 | 74 | 0.393 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.245 | 0.333 | 0.346 | OK |
| Victor Caratini | C | 150 | 502 | 92 | 0.183 | 5 | 72 | 0.281 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.203 | 0.272 | 0.254 | OK |
| Orlando Arcia | 3B | 20 | 68 | 29 | 0.426 | 0 | 4 | 0.458 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.220 | 0.275 | 0.322 | OK |
| Luke Keaschall | 2B | 210 | 781 | 188 | 0.241 | 5 | 81 | 0.322 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.242 | 0.306 | 0.352 | OK |
| Tristan Gray | SS | 95 | 313 | 71 | 0.227 | 13 | 60 | 0.276 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.280 | 0.379 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Spencer Horwitz | 1B | 190 | 631 | 183 | 0.290 | 21 | 105 | 0.407 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.271 | 0.406 | 0.430 | OK |
| Brandon Lowe | 2B | 221 | 875 | 237 | 0.271 | 65 | 178 | 0.363 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.600 | 0.239 | 0.321 | 0.496 | OK |
| Bryan Reynolds | RF | 240 | 875 | 245 | 0.280 | 23 | 154 | 0.404 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.335 | 0.448 | 0.636 | OK |
| Nick Gonzales | 3B | 199 | 799 | 244 | 0.305 | 0 | 94 | 0.358 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.260 | 0.301 | 0.324 | OK |
| Oneil Cruz | CF | 245 | 1044 | 279 | 0.267 | 53 | 171 | 0.332 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.238 | 0.312 | 0.429 | OK |
| Konnor Griffin | DH | 197 | 762 | 196 | 0.257 | 18 | 99 | 0.320 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.261 | 0.313 | 0.456 | OK |
| Endy Rodríguez | C | 22 | 68 | 19 | 0.279 | 0 | 8 | 0.437 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.411 | 0.354 | OK |
| Jake Mangum | LF | 103 | 369 | 95 | 0.257 | 0 | 11 | 0.318 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.231 | 0.280 | 0.277 | OK |
| Jared Triolo | SS | 75 | 266 | 59 | 0.222 | 0 | 8 | 0.271 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.206 | 0.240 | 0.257 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 34 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0.294 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Bailey Ober | Starter | 11 | 61.3 | 3.96 | 1.109 | 6.3 | 43 | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 106 | 6.0 | 6 | 2 |
| Taylor Rogers | Middle Reliever | 24 | 17.0 | 3.71 | 1.824 | 9.0 | 17 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Yoendrys Gómez | Middle Reliever | 12 | 8.7 | 1.03 | 1.034 | 13.4 | 13 | 0.1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Mitch Keller | Starter | 11 | 63.4 | 3.69 | 1.088 | 6.5 | 46 | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 93 | 6.0 | 7 | 1 |
| Gregory Soto | Middle Reliever | 26 | 25.4 | 2.13 | 0.787 | 11.3 | 32 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Montgomery | Middle Reliever | 21 | 18.6 | 2.90 | 1.237 | 14.5 | 30 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Yohan Ramírez | Middle Reliever | 25 | 28.3 | 5.41 | 1.625 | 11.4 | 36 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0.2 | 2 | 0 |
PIT wins 5-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| OAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
Quality edge: -2.2232; margin adjustment: -0.9337; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Trent Grisham | CF | 210 | 770 | 163 | 0.212 | 32 | 131 | 0.327 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.264 | 0.369 | 0.468 | OK |
| Ben Rice | DH | 213 | 809 | 243 | 0.300 | 70 | 167 | 0.401 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.336 | 0.429 | 0.681 | OK |
| Aaron Judge | RF | 245 | 885 | 230 | 0.260 | 74 | 157 | 0.394 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.252 | 0.379 | 0.508 | OK |
| Cody Bellinger | LF | 235 | 861 | 235 | 0.273 | 36 | 159 | 0.379 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.257 | 0.359 | 0.472 | OK |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 2B | 217 | 821 | 204 | 0.248 | 27 | 92 | 0.330 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.266 | 0.349 | 0.473 | OK |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 1B | 109 | 408 | 115 | 0.282 | 24 | 65 | 0.366 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.291 | 0.366 | 0.531 | OK |
| Ryan McMahon | 3B | 153 | 513 | 102 | 0.199 | 18 | 66 | 0.261 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.237 | 0.288 | 0.451 | OK |
| Austin Wells | C | 152 | 498 | 96 | 0.193 | 17 | 32 | 0.310 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.199 | 0.308 | 0.305 | OK |
| Anthony Volpe | SS | 42 | 140 | 44 | 0.314 | 6 | 35 | 0.461 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.278 | 0.424 | 0.501 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Colby Thomas | RF | 39 | 110 | 35 | 0.318 | 2 | 14 | 0.359 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.237 | 0.278 | 0.373 | OK |
| Nick Kurtz | 1B | 249 | 905 | 256 | 0.283 | 39 | 172 | 0.437 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.223 | 0.359 | 0.402 | OK |
| Shea Langeliers | C | 230 | 955 | 292 | 0.306 | 59 | 130 | 0.375 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.251 | 0.310 | 0.441 | OK |
| Brent Rooker | DH | 160 | 613 | 123 | 0.201 | 36 | 127 | 0.291 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.172 | 0.268 | 0.309 | OK |
| Tyler Soderstrom | LF | 223 | 863 | 185 | 0.214 | 26 | 109 | 0.303 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.237 | 0.335 | 0.457 | OK |
| Henry Bolte | CF | 46 | 166 | 52 | 0.313 | 0 | 16 | 0.369 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.272 | 0.331 | 0.348 | OK |
| Zack Gelof | 3B | 135 | 502 | 128 | 0.255 | 26 | 70 | 0.307 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.229 | 0.271 | 0.391 | OK |
| Darell Hernaiz | SS | 112 | 352 | 97 | 0.276 | 4 | 29 | 0.353 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.219 | 0.292 | 0.274 | OK |
| Alika Williams | 2B | 7 | 19 | 4 | 0.211 | 0 | 4 | 0.211 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.118 | 0.132 | 0.178 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Ryan Weathers | Starter | 10 | 55.7 | 3.23 | 1.149 | 10.5 | 65 | 5.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 92 | 5.2 | 6 | 0 |
| David Bednar | Middle Reliever | 23 | 21.6 | 5.00 | 1.667 | 11.7 | 28 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Fernando Cruz | Middle Reliever | 27 | 16.9 | 2.66 | 1.775 | 16.0 | 30 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | Middle Reliever | 25 | 16.9 | 1.60 | 1.124 | 5.9 | 11 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| J.T. Ginn | Starter | 12 | 51.8 | 3.30 | 1.178 | 8.3 | 48 | 5.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 96 | 5.2 | 7 | 3 |
| Hogan Harris | Middle Reliever | 29 | 20.6 | 3.50 | 2.039 | 12.7 | 29 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | Middle Reliever | 25 | 21.1 | 6.40 | 1.659 | 10.7 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | Middle Reliever | 25 | 22.5 | 2.00 | 0.844 | 8.8 | 22 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
NYY wins 3-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| LAD | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | x | 6 | 10 |
Quality edge: 2.6339; margin adjustment: 1.1062; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Kyle Schwarber | DH | 240 | 936 | 231 | 0.247 | 98 | 185 | 0.359 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.500 | 0.245 | 0.330 | 0.542 | OK |
| Trea Turner | SS | 241 | 1038 | 240 | 0.231 | 34 | 89 | 0.278 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.253 | 0.398 | OK |
| Bryce Harper | 1B | 231 | 843 | 232 | 0.275 | 57 | 147 | 0.381 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.214 | 0.325 | 0.436 | OK |
| Brandon Marsh | LF | 193 | 721 | 244 | 0.338 | 23 | 111 | 0.369 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.307 | 0.339 | 0.518 | OK |
| Alec Bohm | 3B | 210 | 790 | 170 | 0.215 | 17 | 99 | 0.275 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.200 | 0.251 | 0.294 | OK |
| Bryson Stott | 2B | 186 | 669 | 147 | 0.220 | 20 | 98 | 0.271 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.176 | 0.221 | 0.299 | OK |
| J.T. Realmuto | C | 132 | 461 | 116 | 0.252 | 9 | 41 | 0.328 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.287 | 0.360 | OK |
| Adolis García | RF | 214 | 763 | 151 | 0.198 | 12 | 68 | 0.286 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.152 | 0.230 | 0.241 | OK |
| Justin Crawford | CF | 174 | 595 | 141 | 0.237 | 8 | 44 | 0.303 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.197 | 0.250 | 0.313 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Shohei Ohtani | DH | 238 | 917 | 255 | 0.278 | 41 | 152 | 0.406 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.293 | 0.398 | 0.588 | OK |
| Andy Pages | CF | 227 | 865 | 272 | 0.314 | 58 | 221 | 0.363 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.333 | 0.375 | 0.643 | OK |
| Freddie Freeman | 1B | 228 | 859 | 232 | 0.270 | 31 | 120 | 0.371 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.306 | 0.393 | 0.571 | OK |
| Mookie Betts | SS | 92 | 395 | 70 | 0.177 | 29 | 71 | 0.220 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.192 | 0.225 | 0.412 | OK |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | 228 | 879 | 223 | 0.254 | 21 | 119 | 0.347 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.248 | 0.333 | 0.395 | OK |
| Will Smith | C | 174 | 652 | 168 | 0.258 | 22 | 99 | 0.333 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.311 | 0.411 | 0.566 | OK |
| Miguel Rojas | 2B | 92 | 290 | 78 | 0.269 | 4 | 35 | 0.297 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.267 | 0.293 | 0.382 | OK |
| Alex Call | LF | 62 | 192 | 52 | 0.271 | 0 | 35 | 0.395 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.197 | 0.330 | 0.278 | OK |
| Santiago Espinal | 3B | 43 | 125 | 30 | 0.240 | 3 | 16 | 0.269 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.223 | 0.267 | 0.408 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0.294 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jesús Luzardo | Starter | 11 | 59.8 | 4.52 | 1.321 | 10.8 | 72 | 5.1 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 101 | 5.1 | 3 | 6 |
| Jhoan Duran | Middle Reliever | 17 | 16.2 | 1.67 | 1.049 | 14.4 | 26 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Brad Keller | Middle Reliever | 24 | 22.5 | 4.00 | 1.244 | 10.8 | 27 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Roki Sasaki | Starter | 9 | 45.2 | 4.98 | 1.438 | 8.6 | 43 | 5.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 103 | 5.1 | 4 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | Middle Reliever | 25 | 22.5 | 1.20 | 0.622 | 11.2 | 28 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle Hurt | Middle Reliever | 17 | 17.0 | 1.06 | 0.824 | 10.6 | 20 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 |
| Alex Vesia | Middle Reliever | 24 | 16.2 | 2.78 | 1.111 | 14.4 | 26 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Blake Treinen | Middle Reliever | 20 | 14.1 | 1.91 | 1.277 | 10.2 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
LAD wins 6-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 |
| WAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Quality edge: -0.2284; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2B | 228 | 877 | 231 | 0.263 | 0 | 69 | 0.341 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.297 | 0.361 | 0.352 | OK |
| Gavin Sheets | LF | 170 | 577 | 146 | 0.253 | 32 | 85 | 0.334 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.239 | 0.315 | 0.429 | OK |
| Miguel Andujar | DH | 165 | 631 | 177 | 0.281 | 19 | 71 | 0.306 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.232 | 0.255 | 0.400 | OK |
| Manny Machado | 3B | 218 | 787 | 137 | 0.174 | 39 | 120 | 0.268 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.173 | 0.266 | 0.345 | OK |
| Jackson Merrill | CF | 217 | 848 | 173 | 0.204 | 18 | 89 | 0.279 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.229 | 0.292 | 0.384 | OK |
| Xander Bogaerts | SS | 210 | 780 | 196 | 0.251 | 29 | 103 | 0.319 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.238 | 0.299 | 0.342 | OK |
| Ty France | 1B | 100 | 344 | 101 | 0.294 | 20 | 60 | 0.325 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.252 | 0.275 | 0.473 | OK |
| Ramón Laureano | RF | 196 | 731 | 163 | 0.223 | 29 | 99 | 0.302 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.209 | 0.278 | 0.407 | OK |
| Rodolfo Durán | C | 24 | 62 | 7 | 0.113 | 4 | 8 | 0.257 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.165 | 0.265 | 0.309 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 35 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| James Wood | RF | 267 | 1029 | 298 | 0.290 | 75 | 192 | 0.432 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.295 | 0.431 | 0.588 | OK |
| Luis García Jr. | 1B | 174 | 649 | 181 | 0.279 | 20 | 119 | 0.299 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.224 | 0.245 | 0.414 | OK |
| Daylen Lile | LF | 247 | 1018 | 260 | 0.255 | 32 | 124 | 0.313 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.229 | 0.288 | 0.366 | OK |
| CJ Abrams | SS | 239 | 907 | 271 | 0.299 | 48 | 206 | 0.390 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.318 | 0.396 | 0.561 | OK |
| Jose Fernandez | DH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.244 | 0.270 | 0.364 | |
| Jorbit Vivas | 3B | 119 | 355 | 91 | 0.256 | 4 | 21 | 0.344 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.229 | 0.314 | 0.373 | OK |
| Dylan Crews | CF | 32 | 135 | 33 | 0.244 | 4 | 5 | 0.266 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.247 | 0.271 | 0.376 | OK |
| Drew Millas | C | 99 | 331 | 59 | 0.178 | 4 | 27 | 0.261 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.179 | 0.246 | 0.254 | OK |
| Nasim Nuñez | 2B | 191 | 657 | 126 | 0.192 | 0 | 63 | 0.295 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.199 | 0.284 | 0.261 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Michael King | Starter | 11 | 60.6 | 2.82 | 1.172 | 9.4 | 63 | 5.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 95 | 5.2 | 6 | 1 |
| Mason Miller | Middle Reliever | 24 | 23.6 | 0.76 | 0.890 | 18.7 | 49 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jason Adam | Middle Reliever | 21 | 17.6 | 1.02 | 1.080 | 5.1 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adrian Morejon | Middle Reliever | 26 | 24.9 | 4.70 | 1.245 | 12.7 | 35 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Foster Griffin | Starter | 11 | 61.3 | 3.67 | 1.142 | 8.8 | 60 | 5.2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 105 | 5.2 | 3 | 4 |
| Gus Varland | Middle Reliever | 22 | 17.6 | 4.60 | 1.705 | 9.7 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Clayton Beeter | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.4 | 2.90 | 1.290 | 9.4 | 13 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Richard Lovelady | Middle Reliever | 17 | 13.2 | 2.73 | 2.121 | 10.2 | 15 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
SD wins 5-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
Quality edge: -0.4496; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Willy Adames | SS | 232 | 975 | 247 | 0.253 | 30 | 87 | 0.286 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.267 | 0.293 | 0.494 | OK |
| Luis Arraez | 2B | 226 | 919 | 311 | 0.338 | 10 | 97 | 0.381 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.359 | 0.393 | 0.465 | OK |
| Casey Schmitt | LF | 195 | 769 | 236 | 0.307 | 51 | 132 | 0.351 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.268 | 0.292 | 0.527 | OK |
| Rafael Devers | 1B | 229 | 890 | 226 | 0.254 | 29 | 124 | 0.301 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.234 | 0.280 | 0.403 | OK |
| Jung Hoo Lee | RF | 194 | 763 | 220 | 0.288 | 12 | 73 | 0.334 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.322 | 0.354 | 0.441 | OK |
| Matt Chapman | 3B | 228 | 875 | 196 | 0.224 | 5 | 77 | 0.316 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.199 | 0.294 | 0.288 | OK |
| Bryce Eldridge | DH | 51 | 163 | 30 | 0.184 | 4 | 6 | 0.276 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.208 | 0.315 | 0.336 | OK |
| Eric Haase | C | 30 | 95 | 28 | 0.295 | 11 | 18 | 0.316 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.260 | 0.285 | 0.577 | OK |
| Drew Gilbert | CF | 112 | 377 | 92 | 0.244 | 8 | 31 | 0.298 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.237 | 0.275 | 0.369 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jake McCarthy | CF | 138 | 461 | 117 | 0.254 | 8 | 62 | 0.291 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.251 | 0.280 | 0.379 | OK |
| TJ Rumfield | 1B | 215 | 808 | 226 | 0.280 | 30 | 116 | 0.357 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.253 | 0.352 | 0.415 | OK |
| Hunter Goodman | DH | 211 | 837 | 206 | 0.246 | 55 | 90 | 0.312 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.225 | 0.276 | 0.467 | OK |
| Willi Castro | 3B | 171 | 625 | 162 | 0.259 | 8 | 71 | 0.315 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.250 | 0.298 | 0.343 | OK |
| Troy Johnston | RF | 183 | 659 | 216 | 0.328 | 10 | 92 | 0.391 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.269 | 0.326 | 0.391 | OK |
| Ezequiel Tovar | SS | 203 | 767 | 170 | 0.222 | 10 | 81 | 0.269 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.221 | 0.283 | 0.393 | OK |
| Sterlin Thompson | LF | 27 | 78 | 13 | 0.167 | 0 | 6 | 0.270 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.144 | 0.221 | 0.223 | OK |
| Edouard Julien | 2B | 149 | 523 | 116 | 0.222 | 10 | 59 | 0.319 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.185 | 0.284 | 0.269 | OK |
| Brett Sullivan | C | 81 | 274 | 55 | 0.201 | 2 | 32 | 0.247 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.147 | 0.184 | 0.293 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Adrian Houser | Starter | 10 | 50.1 | 5.57 | 1.557 | 5.6 | 31 | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 92 | 5.0 | 7 | 3 |
| Caleb Kilian | Middle Reliever | 23 | 21.5 | 4.60 | 1.349 | 11.3 | 27 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Keaton Winn | Middle Reliever | 25 | 24.5 | 2.57 | 0.939 | 8.1 | 22 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Erik Miller | Middle Reliever | 18 | 14.0 | 5.14 | 1.643 | 15.4 | 24 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Ryan Feltner | Starter | 5 | 19.3 | 6.53 | 1.554 | 7.9 | 17 | 4.0 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 81 | 4.0 | 2 | 4 |
| Antonio Senzatela | Middle Reliever | 16 | 29.5 | 1.53 | 0.949 | 7.9 | 26 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Juan Mejia | Middle Reliever | 23 | 22.6 | 5.97 | 1.903 | 11.5 | 29 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Hill | Middle Reliever | 23 | 15.3 | 3.53 | 1.830 | 13.5 | 23 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brennan Bernardino | Middle Reliever | 26 | 16.5 | 5.45 | 1.636 | 8.7 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
SF wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Quality edge: -0.7845; margin adjustment: -0.3295; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| George Springer | DH | 163 | 664 | 142 | 0.214 | 23 | 65 | 0.292 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.228 | 0.290 | 0.386 | OK |
| Nathan Lukes | LF | 70 | 237 | 76 | 0.321 | 0 | 34 | 0.361 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.307 | 0.320 | 0.425 | OK |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1B | 226 | 828 | 243 | 0.293 | 12 | 99 | 0.393 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.285 | 0.387 | 0.374 | OK |
| Daulton Varsho | CF | 213 | 805 | 220 | 0.273 | 24 | 74 | 0.351 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.247 | 0.329 | 0.397 | OK |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3B | 224 | 838 | 184 | 0.220 | 49 | 130 | 0.309 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.212 | 0.283 | 0.429 | OK |
| Jesús Sánchez | RF | 175 | 592 | 164 | 0.277 | 25 | 104 | 0.320 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.233 | 0.263 | 0.427 | OK |
| Ernie Clement | 2B | 222 | 889 | 268 | 0.301 | 22 | 88 | 0.324 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.278 | 0.299 | 0.457 | OK |
| Andrés Giménez | SS | 195 | 701 | 161 | 0.230 | 25 | 111 | 0.262 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.224 | 0.245 | 0.421 | OK |
| Tyler Heineman | C | 76 | 211 | 35 | 0.166 | 3 | 10 | 0.218 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.178 | 0.218 | 0.299 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Taylor Ward | LF | 252 | 923 | 243 | 0.263 | 9 | 72 | 0.408 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.279 | 0.414 | 0.377 | OK |
| Gunnar Henderson | SS | 254 | 1086 | 228 | 0.210 | 54 | 134 | 0.265 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.188 | 0.234 | 0.400 | OK |
| Adley Rutschman | C | 160 | 626 | 167 | 0.267 | 31 | 110 | 0.337 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.254 | 0.319 | 0.452 | OK |
| Pete Alonso | 1B | 244 | 935 | 225 | 0.241 | 41 | 148 | 0.323 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.234 | 0.306 | 0.416 | OK |
| Samuel Basallo | DH | 162 | 592 | 160 | 0.270 | 32 | 88 | 0.327 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.265 | 0.320 | 0.564 | OK |
| Coby Mayo | 3B | 151 | 499 | 106 | 0.212 | 21 | 71 | 0.289 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.239 | 0.313 | 0.448 | OK |
| Leody Taveras | CF | 161 | 545 | 151 | 0.277 | 9 | 89 | 0.369 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.225 | 0.308 | 0.329 | OK |
| Jackson Holliday | 2B | 27 | 87 | 20 | 0.230 | 5 | 18 | 0.291 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.233 | 0.301 | 0.376 | OK |
| Jeremiah Jackson | RF | 170 | 635 | 152 | 0.239 | 21 | 85 | 0.256 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.197 | 0.211 | 0.306 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Trey Yesavage | Starter | 6 | 31.3 | 2.30 | 1.086 | 10.1 | 35 | 5.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 87 | 5.1 | 6 | 0 |
| Louis Varland | Middle Reliever | 27 | 27.2 | 0.33 | 1.176 | 13.6 | 41 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeff Hoffman | Middle Reliever | 27 | 23.0 | 5.09 | 1.739 | 17.2 | 44 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Tyler Rogers | Middle Reliever | 27 | 23.1 | 2.73 | 1.299 | 6.2 | 16 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Brandon Young | Starter | 7 | 34.7 | 3.63 | 1.470 | 6.7 | 26 | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 92 | 5.0 | 4 | 4 |
| Rico Garcia | Middle Reliever | 26 | 22.0 | 0.82 | 0.727 | 11.5 | 28 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Nunez | Middle Reliever | 25 | 24.1 | 4.48 | 1.245 | 11.2 | 30 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yennier Cano | Middle Reliever | 25 | 16.4 | 2.74 | 0.793 | 8.8 | 16 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Wells | Middle Reliever | 20 | 24.7 | 3.28 | 1.174 | 9.5 | 26 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
TOR wins 4-0