MLB Predictions — May 29, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ SEA	3 - 5	3 - 4	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
ATL @ CIN	7 - 2	6 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
BOS @ CLE	4 - 3	4 - 3	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ STL	2 - 3	3 - 5	STL	STL	STL wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
DET @ CHW	3 - 4	2 - 5	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 5-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
KC @ TEX	2 - 3	2 - 5	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAA @ TB	2 - 3	2 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ NYM	1 - 2	1 - 2	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 2-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIL @ HOU	2 - 1	3 - 0	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 3-0	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIN @ PIT	3 - 2	4 - 2	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYY @ OAK	6 - 2	5 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PHI @ LAD	3 - 4	2 - 7	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 7-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SD @ WAS	4 - 3	4 - 3	SD	SD	SD wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SF @ COL	5 - 6	5 - 6	COL	COL	COL wins 6-5	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TOR @ BAL	4 - 3	5 - 1	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 5-1	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Seattle Mariners

ARI 31-24 (4.64 RPG / 4.38 RA)

3 - 4

SEA 28-29 (4.21 RPG / 3.79 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-3 TARGET: ARI 3 - 5 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	10
SEA	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	x	4	7

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.407

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff-48.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.396

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-95.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record31-24

Win%0.564

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.255

SEA Season Quality

Record28-29

Win%0.491

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.421

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0579; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	223	948	265	0.280	40	146	0.324	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.289	0.331	0.482	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	222	819	245	0.299	32	128	0.400	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.259	0.362	0.489	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	217	763	171	0.224	9	79	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.349	0.347	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	123	446	116	0.260	13	72	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.280	0.364	0.457	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	DH	121	435	83	0.191	14	76	0.244	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.265	0.358	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	68	237	65	0.274	0	28	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.202	0.284	0.323	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	197	799	249	0.312	32	153	0.337	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.292	0.315	0.455	OK
Jose Fernandez	3B	147	532	146	0.274	12	58	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.239	0.265	0.356	OK
Tommy Troy	LF	14	43	18	0.419	0	0	0.500	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.316	0.404	0.519	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	3	3	1	9	0.270

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	204	756	172	0.228	33	91	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.351	0.388	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	247	1010	260	0.257	46	128	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.293	0.444	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	229	915	245	0.268	22	108	0.332	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.279	0.331	0.361	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	239	882	271	0.307	24	109	0.392	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.280	0.345	0.438	OK
Luke Raley	RF	152	524	155	0.296	45	126	0.349	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.264	0.294	0.554	OK
Cole Young	2B	224	792	192	0.242	13	107	0.322	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.328	0.356	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	125	369	96	0.260	21	83	0.327	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.297	0.507	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	30	95	13	0.137	1	1	0.255	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.175	0.274	0.250	OK
Colt Emerson	3B	33	105	31	0.295	4	24	0.383	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.273	0.344	0.549	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	7	4	4	1	2	0.226

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	11	52.7	4.95	1.480	6.8	40	5.1	3	3	3	0	1	86	5.1	1	3
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	0.2	3	1	1	1	0	6	0.2	0	1

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	11	66.8	3.64	1.243	7.4	55	6.0	7	2	2	1	7	111	6.0	7	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	22	19.5	5.08	1.385	15.2	33	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	15	12.4	0.00	0.645	8.0	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	26	22.2	2.03	1.351	8.9	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-3

Atlanta Braves @ Cincinnati Reds

ATL 39-19 (5.29 RPG / 3.43 RA)

6 - 4

CIN 29-27 (4.43 RPG / 4.98 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-4 TARGET: ATL 7 - 2 CIN (ATL) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
ATL	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	10
CIN	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	4

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.231

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-80.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.327

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-133.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record38-19

Win%0.667

Run Diff103

RD/Game1.807

CIN Season Quality

Record29-26

Win%0.527

Run Diff-26

RD/Game-0.473

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.4888; margin adjustment: -1.0453; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	190	724	169	0.233	15	75	0.356	5	4	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.243	0.379	0.451	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	198	775	231	0.298	53	133	0.320	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.308	0.327	0.580	OK
Matt Olson	1B	247	965	261	0.270	68	199	0.355	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.280	0.358	0.557	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	243	953	265	0.278	39	130	0.337	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.313	0.366	0.532	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	118	395	135	0.342	16	81	0.371	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.303	0.346	0.442	OK
Austin Riley	3B	234	893	197	0.221	31	129	0.293	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.269	0.348	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	152	494	108	0.219	9	43	0.299	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.243	0.304	0.399	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	73	236	88	0.373	6	25	0.424	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.294	0.358	0.437	OK
Chadwick Tromp	C	18	50	15	0.300	0	6	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.175	0.187	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	40	10	6	6	2	3	0.250

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Blake Dunn	RF	52	225	73	0.324	5	14	0.390	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.256	0.311	0.340	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	243	995	293	0.294	65	193	0.364	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.312	0.467	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	112	429	118	0.275	31	98	0.370	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.344	0.485	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	238	890	220	0.247	49	159	0.358	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.240	0.349	0.411	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	118	433	103	0.238	10	51	0.315	5	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.312	0.329	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	129	434	127	0.293	35	92	0.385	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.232	0.361	0.455	OK
Spencer Steer	2B	207	765	202	0.264	30	87	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.307	0.382	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	158	521	101	0.194	17	74	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.213	0.329	0.372	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	172	654	123	0.188	9	36	0.266	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.190	0.270	0.265	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	34	4	4	4	6	11	0.118

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	10	51.4	3.85	1.323	8.4	48	5.1	2	3	3	4	6	89	5.1	6	3
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	16	16.2	1.11	0.926	11.1	20	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	23	22.4	0.80	0.893	8.4	21	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	9	1.1	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	26	23.1	1.56	0.693	11.7	30	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	26	21.8	3.72	1.330	10.7	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	13	18.7	2.89	1.176	11.6	24	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	0.0	0	0
Dylan Dodd	Reliever	6	9.2	0.98	0.761	10.8	11	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	22	0.0	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Paddack	Starter	2	10.0	4.50	1.700	7.2	8	4.0	6	4	4	1	1	83	4.0	1	4
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	25	24.9	2.17	1.165	11.6	32	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	29	2.1	0	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	22	20.3	3.99	1.330	9.3	21	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	24	17.8	4.04	1.517	10.1	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	27	20.1	4.48	1.841	11.2	25	1.1	3	2	2	1	1	17	1.1	1	2

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

BOS 23-33 (3.8 RPG / 4.12 RA)

4 - 3

CLE 34-25 (4.14 RPG / 3.9 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: BOS 4 - 3 CLE (BOS) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	8
CLE	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	6

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.167

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-116.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.364

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-100.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Season Quality

Record23-32

Win%0.418

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.309

CLE Season Quality

Record33-25

Win%0.569

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.224

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7594; margin adjustment: 0.3189; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	220	917	197	0.215	36	131	0.286	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.223	0.277	0.384	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	199	755	214	0.283	18	89	0.350	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.264	0.306	0.414	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	230	907	256	0.282	26	98	0.348	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.257	0.317	0.400	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	220	812	229	0.282	49	157	0.377	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.275	0.360	0.455	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	111	368	96	0.261	4	26	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.192	0.271	0.308	OK
Mickey Gasper	C	47	167	57	0.341	0	9	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.331	0.350	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	68	197	65	0.330	4	34	0.421	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.310	0.420	0.392	OK
Marcelo Mayer	SS	160	537	115	0.214	7	45	0.274	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.240	0.253	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	168	576	107	0.186	5	69	0.265	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.208	0.258	0.318	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	4	4	2	7	0.229

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	112	406	122	0.300	12	48	0.414	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.311	0.407	0.499	OK
José Ramírez	3B	250	926	217	0.234	36	124	0.351	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.223	0.346	0.382	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	214	830	213	0.257	32	147	0.334	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.272	0.342	0.426	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	151	470	95	0.202	22	81	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.343	0.489	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	167	597	127	0.213	16	58	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.315	0.349	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	191	737	192	0.261	38	118	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.228	0.252	0.386	OK
Daniel Schneemann	CF	160	552	134	0.243	17	77	0.332	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.340	0.375	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	24	67	10	0.149	3	6	0.219	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.178	0.241	0.269	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	203	681	205	0.301	14	104	0.379	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.308	0.364	0.438	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	8	0.182

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Samaniego	Starter	16	13.6	1.32	1.324	8.6	13	4.1	2	1	1	1	4	77	4.1	4	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	18	17.2	0.52	0.872	12.0	23	2.1	0	0	0	1	0	40	2.1	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	10	7.5	4.80	1.467	14.4	12	1.0	2	0	0	1	2	23	1.0	2	0
Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	18	27.1	3.32	1.107	11.3	34	1.1	2	2	2	1	2	27	1.1	2	2

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Slade Cecconi	Starter	11	55.7	5.33	1.526	7.6	47	5.0	6	3	3	1	3	98	5.0	3	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	26	26.2	2.75	1.107	13.4	39	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	25	1.2	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	15	11.0	4.91	1.545	9.8	12	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17	1.0	3	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	14	11.0	1.64	1.455	13.9	17	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals

CHC 31-27 (4.78 RPG / 4.47 RA)

3 - 5

STL 30-25 (4.38 RPG / 4.55 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 5-3 TARGET: CHC 2 - 3 STL (STL) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	11
STL	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	x	5	9

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.107

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-159.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Recent Form

Win%0.132

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-121.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record31-26

Win%0.544

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.333

STL Season Quality

Record29-25

Win%0.537

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.185

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5288; margin adjustment: -0.2221; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	233	854	205	0.240	26	107	0.335	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.320	0.370	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	254	1070	276	0.258	21	161	0.343	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.255	0.332	0.356	OK
Michael Busch	1B	247	910	214	0.235	30	153	0.382	5	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.380	0.383	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	254	1050	275	0.262	17	81	0.350	5	4	2	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.258	0.332	0.348	OK
Ian Happ	LF	238	932	223	0.239	63	148	0.361	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.266	0.368	0.535	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	181	701	179	0.255	32	88	0.348	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.259	0.335	0.399	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	85	243	73	0.300	12	42	0.422	5	3	1	1	1	2	1	0.333	0.203	0.332	0.436	OK
Carson Kelly	C	149	548	174	0.318	6	63	0.396	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.316	0.373	0.400	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	213	740	149	0.201	33	117	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.320	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	38	11	3	3	4	8	0.289

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	243	953	224	0.235	42	117	0.358	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.311	0.379	OK
Iván Herrera	C	243	924	240	0.260	27	115	0.386	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.260	0.366	0.389	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	224	875	281	0.321	69	198	0.388	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.314	0.370	0.549	OK
Nelson Velázquez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.321	0.440
Alec Burleson	1B	228	921	257	0.279	31	156	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.303	0.391	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	199	768	176	0.229	5	88	0.296	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.218	0.272	0.302	OK
José Fermín	LF	69	196	39	0.199	5	24	0.265	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.144	0.211	0.248	OK
Thomas Saggese	3B	74	244	40	0.164	0	7	0.221	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.182	0.248	0.238	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	155	464	80	0.172	9	27	0.247	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.175	0.256	0.243	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	9	5	5	0	4	0.273

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	11	64.2	4.07	1.075	9.4	67	6.0	7	3	3	0	4	97	6.0	4	3
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	12	9.5	2.84	1.579	11.4	12	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	6	1.0	0	2
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	14	10.8	2.50	1.389	12.5	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	10	54.3	3.81	1.271	7.1	43	5.2	9	3	3	2	5	115	5.2	5	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	24	22.7	3.17	1.057	10.7	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	25	21.0	3.43	1.476	9.9	23	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	23	18.4	3.91	1.359	8.3	17	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 5-3

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

DET 22-35 (3.82 RPG / 4.37 RA)

2 - 5

CHW 29-27 (4.68 RPG / 4.68 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 5-2 TARGET: DET 3 - 4 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 51.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
DET	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3
CHW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	5	8

DET Recent Form

Win%0.250

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-121.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.283

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-67.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record22-35

Win%0.386

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.544

CHW Season Quality

Record29-27

Win%0.518

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7417; margin adjustment: 0.3115; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	239	916	275	0.300	14	107	0.400	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.270	0.360	0.402	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	205	761	185	0.243	48	146	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.228	0.319	0.440	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	73	159	26	0.164	4	15	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.129	0.216	0.219	OK
Riley Greene	LF	234	852	263	0.309	17	111	0.406	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.277	0.363	0.400	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	215	747	155	0.207	32	80	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.209	0.295	0.418	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	136	473	84	0.178	11	34	0.237	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.293	0.432	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	158	577	117	0.203	15	82	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.146	0.215	0.263	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	115	368	56	0.152	5	36	0.231	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.148	0.273	0.215	OK
Zack Short	SS	28	64	10	0.156	0	0	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.144	0.333	0.182	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	3	2	2	4	10	0.091

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	148	521	136	0.261	5	59	0.374	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.284	0.338	0.379	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	240	870	216	0.248	93	187	0.390	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.280	0.434	0.631	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	238	880	202	0.230	55	141	0.363	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.217	0.355	0.411	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	229	864	205	0.237	57	152	0.333	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.270	0.329	0.478	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	228	881	232	0.263	24	86	0.337	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.340	0.389	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	171	635	158	0.249	14	99	0.287	5	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.272	0.366	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	145	438	118	0.269	8	45	0.337	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.321	0.329	OK
Rikuu Nishida	RF	7	25	7	0.280	0	0	0.280	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.212	0.226	0.283	OK
Drew Romo	C	62	203	37	0.182	18	37	0.308	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.149	0.256	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	37	8	5	5	6	7	0.216

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Troy Melton	Starter	1	5.2	1.73	0.962	5.2	3	5.0	3	1	1	5	5	92	5.0	5	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	24	23.1	1.17	1.558	5.8	15	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	17	13.9	9.06	1.727	11.0	17	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	18	34.1	3.70	1.261	11.9	45	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	6	1.1	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	24	21.7	5.39	1.705	9.5	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Ricky Vanasco	Reliever	5	5.4	18.33	3.704	6.7	4	0.1	3	3	3	0	0	34	0.1	0	3

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Erick Fedde	Starter	10	47.7	5.66	1.509	5.8	31	4.2	3	2	2	3	5	89	4.2	5	2
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	2.1	0	0	0	1	1	33	2.1	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	2.0	0	0	0	0	4	25	2.0	4	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-2 (Extra Innings - 10)

Kansas City Royals @ Texas Rangers

KC 22-34 (3.77 RPG / 4.61 RA)

2 - 5

TEX 25-31 (3.84 RPG / 3.93 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-2 TARGET: KC 2 - 3 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 52.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	7
TEX	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	x	5	9

KC Recent Form

Win%0.154

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-174.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.222

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-118.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record22-34

Win%0.393

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.839

TEX Season Quality

Record25-30

Win%0.455

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.018

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9136; margin adjustment: 0.3837; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lane Thomas	LF	114	334	75	0.225	6	32	0.355	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.351	0.327	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	243	975	282	0.289	40	111	0.356	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.308	0.443	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	234	969	277	0.286	14	99	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.275	0.322	0.409	OK
Salvador Perez	C	222	855	191	0.223	42	111	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.259	0.376	OK
Starling Marte	DH	56	171	54	0.316	0	8	0.366	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.250	0.300	0.330	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	227	854	165	0.193	23	105	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.184	0.274	0.298	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	69	203	43	0.212	0	47	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.191	0.270	0.307	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	179	624	137	0.220	18	40	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.164	0.228	0.288	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	151	496	131	0.264	11	42	0.315	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.211	0.247	0.315	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	2	2	1	4	0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	157	466	122	0.262	23	61	0.364	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.324	0.459	OK
Josh Jung	3B	207	801	244	0.305	26	92	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.316	0.378	0.539	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	235	932	246	0.264	28	90	0.347	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.237	0.299	0.375	OK
Jake Burger	1B	215	831	195	0.235	38	147	0.285	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.207	0.251	0.360	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	164	572	173	0.302	14	104	0.357	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.317	0.411	OK
Evan Carter	CF	193	624	115	0.184	25	69	0.301	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.144	0.254	0.290	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	88	246	59	0.240	0	22	0.383	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.307	0.267	OK
Danny Jansen	C	130	436	82	0.188	13	43	0.285	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.191	0.259	0.334	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	7	21	0	0.000	0	0	0.160	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.090	0.191	0.145
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	9	5	5	3	6	0.273

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Stephen Kolek	Starter	4	25.3	2.85	0.870	5.0	14	6.1	3	3	3	2	5	97	6.1	5	3
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	22	20.4	5.29	1.765	7.9	18	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	3	0.2	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	22	20.1	1.79	0.995	12.1	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	7	1.0	1	0
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	21	17.0	5.82	1.706	7.9	15	0.0	3	1	1	0	0	17	0.0	0	1
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	23	18.3	3.44	1.585	5.9	12	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	14	0.0	0	0
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	22	22.7	5.15	1.498	9.1	23	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Eli Morgan	Reliever	10	12.4	6.53	2.016	6.5	9	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.0	0	1

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	11	53.6	4.53	1.269	10.4	62	5.1	5	2	2	1	1	87	5.1	1	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	19	23.6	1.14	0.466	8.8	23	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	20	23.3	1.55	0.730	5.0	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	24	20.5	2.63	1.610	8.3	19	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	10	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-2

Los Angeles Angels @ Tampa Bay Rays

LAA 22-36 (4.12 RPG / 5.14 RA)

2 - 5

TB 35-19 (4.7 RPG / 4.2 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-2 TARGET: LAA 2 - 3 TB (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4
TB	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	x	5	9

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.164

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-169.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.269

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-76.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record22-35

Win%0.386

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.982

TB Season Quality

Record34-19

Win%0.642

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.453

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.8186; margin adjustment: 0.7638; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	257	1015	244	0.240	45	125	0.351	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.349	0.445	OK
Mike Trout	DH	250	884	222	0.251	62	147	0.421	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.439	0.543	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	122	454	111	0.244	13	95	0.308	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.300	0.390	OK
Jo Adell	RF	234	920	225	0.245	32	128	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.253	0.379	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	19	63	20	0.317	4	12	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.298	0.379	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	157	539	151	0.280	26	62	0.353	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.270	0.381	OK
Nick Madrigal	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.234	0.303	0.374
Logan O'Hoppe	C	122	414	93	0.225	4	46	0.319	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.290	0.298	OK
Jose Siri	CF	11	23	5	0.217	1	1	0.217	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.190	0.203	0.384	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	2	2	1	5	0.129

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	218	853	270	0.317	30	151	0.396	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.290	0.374	0.443	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	227	845	245	0.290	42	190	0.383	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.351	0.441	0.530	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	232	915	242	0.264	57	127	0.361	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.249	0.345	0.425	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	77	227	79	0.348	7	56	0.412	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.284	0.376	0.450	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	221	918	264	0.288	0	44	0.323	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.252	0.301	0.313	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	127	430	118	0.274	0	54	0.357	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.268	0.361	0.383	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	115	356	99	0.278	4	56	0.384	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.306	0.275	OK
Nick Fortes	C	134	440	111	0.252	4	35	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.258	0.312	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	182	680	129	0.190	13	72	0.262	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.198	0.255	0.280	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	5	5	4	7	0.273

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	9	37.4	2.65	1.417	8.7	36	5.1	5	3	3	3	5	106	5.1	5	3
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	4.22	1.250	14.1	10	1.1	3	2	2	1	1	30	1.1	1	2
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	20	23.5	2.68	1.277	10.7	28	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.1	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	10	58.5	1.54	1.128	5.5	36	6.0	2	0	0	0	4	84	6.0	4	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	24	21.4	2.52	1.028	10.9	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	23	23.8	3.40	1.261	11.7	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	24	20.7	3.48	0.966	7.4	17	0.2	2	2	2	1	1	18	0.2	1	2

Game Summary

TB wins 5-2

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

MIA 26-31 (4.23 RPG / 4.46 RA)

1 - 2

NYM 23-33 (3.82 RPG / 4.34 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 2-1 TARGET: MIA 1 - 2 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	7
NYM	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	x	2	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.315

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-115.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.385

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-110.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record26-31

Win%0.456

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.228

NYM Season Quality

Record23-33

Win%0.411

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.518

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3579; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	238	904	291	0.322	26	84	0.407	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.348	0.431	0.526	OK
Liam Hicks	1B	203	726	203	0.280	47	197	0.354	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.238	0.318	0.416	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	232	934	326	0.349	19	106	0.379	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.375	0.398	0.501	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	139	523	108	0.207	12	41	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.215	0.293	0.335	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	237	876	169	0.193	13	63	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.188	0.299	0.281	OK
Connor Norby	DH	185	624	139	0.223	18	62	0.332	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.196	0.283	0.316	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	148	466	108	0.232	11	93	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.301	0.406	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	121	415	121	0.292	4	79	0.330	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.305	0.339	0.449	OK
Joe Mack	C	61	200	42	0.210	0	24	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.255	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	1	1	3	7	0.206

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	200	764	201	0.263	11	96	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.306	0.338	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	242	1004	229	0.228	24	131	0.275	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.212	0.272	0.303	OK
Juan Soto	LF	164	620	188	0.303	45	103	0.401	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.304	0.391	0.626	OK
Jared Young	DH	25	71	25	0.352	0	4	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.205	0.257	0.318	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	60	205	54	0.263	4	20	0.379	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.334	0.332	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	177	660	150	0.227	24	95	0.268	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.162	0.195	0.275	OK
Brett Baty	3B	181	648	159	0.245	14	88	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.205	0.276	0.328	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	220	811	188	0.232	19	90	0.280	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.199	0.263	0.307	OK
Luis Torrens	C	95	285	55	0.193	0	31	0.253	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.174	0.214	0.267	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	2	2	3	7	0.226

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Meyer	Starter	11	59.5	2.57	1.076	10.3	68	6.0	5	1	1	2	6	99	6.0	6	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	15	13.3	7.44	1.429	14.2	21	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	17	0.2	1	1
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	22	17.6	4.09	1.193	11.8	23	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	20	1.1	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	11	59.7	3.62	1.307	9.5	63	5.2	3	0	0	1	7	97	5.2	7	0
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	20	16.6	5.42	1.627	15.2	28	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	22	21.8	3.30	1.147	9.9	24	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.1	0	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	23	17.6	1.53	1.477	12.3	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 2-1

Milwaukee Brewers @ Houston Astros

MIL 33-20 (4.89 RPG / 3.42 RA)

3 - 0

HOU 26-32 (4.45 RPG / 5.09 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 3-0 TARGET: MIL 2 - 1 HOU (MIL) Confidence: 52.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	4
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.380

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-67.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.404

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-155.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Season Quality

Record33-20

Win%0.623

Run Diff78

RD/Game1.472

HOU Season Quality

Record25-32

Win%0.439

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.719

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.4671; margin adjustment: -1.0362; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	97	376	110	0.293	15	59	0.353	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.295	0.348	0.495	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	89	387	108	0.279	4	23	0.323	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.248	0.296	0.363	OK
Brice Turang	2B	226	847	244	0.288	34	149	0.408	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.367	0.415	OK
William Contreras	C	217	877	264	0.301	17	153	0.373	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.297	0.361	0.413	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	179	676	195	0.288	34	127	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.292	0.350	0.527	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	165	576	140	0.243	7	106	0.353	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.256	0.351	0.442	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	166	602	131	0.218	0	61	0.285	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.189	0.262	0.257	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	185	671	149	0.222	14	66	0.291	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.288	0.320	OK
David Hamilton	SS	141	452	106	0.235	0	31	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.199	0.280	0.239	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	3	3	6	5	0.129

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Trammell	LF	43	148	53	0.358	0	23	0.403	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.302	0.420	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	210	784	189	0.241	26	101	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.312	0.439	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	245	907	300	0.331	98	184	0.446	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.296	0.412	0.666	OK
Christian Walker	1B	230	872	241	0.276	66	181	0.351	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.227	0.304	0.457	OK
Cam Smith	RF	213	745	163	0.219	19	86	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.305	0.351	OK
Braden Shewmake	SS	72	255	62	0.243	8	27	0.246	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.162	0.172	0.258	OK
Jake Meyers	CF	65	247	53	0.215	9	23	0.288	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.177	0.252	0.298	OK
Nick Allen	2B	48	137	47	0.343	4	18	0.416	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.282	0.311	OK
César Salazar	C	20	53	3	0.057	0	3	0.219	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.142	0.238	0.198	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	0	0	2	6	0.129

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Coleman Crow	Starter	2	10.1	2.67	0.792	6.2	7	5.0	2	0	0	1	5	74	5.0	5	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	21	17.7	4.58	1.299	10.7	21	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	19	19.0	2.84	1.053	10.9	23	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	24	1.2	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	25	31.5	2.29	1.429	14.0	49	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	26	1.1	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kai-Wei Teng	Starter	17	34.2	2.37	1.140	9.5	36	6.0	0	0	0	3	4	88	6.0	4	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	21	20.4	3.53	1.569	8.4	19	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	20	15.9	7.36	2.201	13.0	23	1.0	4	3	3	1	0	15	1.0	0	3
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	3	2.2	0.00	1.364	8.2	2	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.0	0	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	22	19.6	4.13	1.224	10.1	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 3-0

Minnesota Twins @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MIN 27-31 (4.53 RPG / 4.78 RA)

4 - 2

PIT 30-28 (4.86 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 4-2 TARGET: MIN 3 - 2 PIT (MIN) Confidence: 52.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	9
PIT	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.255

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-119.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.231

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-111.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record27-30

Win%0.474

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.228

PIT Season Quality

Record29-28

Win%0.509

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.404

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6842; margin adjustment: 0.2874; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	DH	218	933	251	0.269	83	135	0.329	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.264	0.330	0.555	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	208	790	197	0.249	24	121	0.307	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.225	0.271	0.361	OK
Kody Clemens	CF	167	607	138	0.227	21	67	0.315	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.177	0.243	0.354	OK
Josh Bell	1B	216	819	180	0.220	21	125	0.284	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.215	0.269	0.349	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	155	542	148	0.273	8	54	0.377	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.193	0.287	0.296	OK
Austin Martin	RF	173	631	186	0.295	10	74	0.394	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.342	0.361	OK
Victor Caratini	C	149	499	91	0.182	5	72	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.258	0.241	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	209	777	187	0.241	5	81	0.323	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.310	0.338	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	94	310	70	0.226	13	58	0.276	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.238	0.280	0.377	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	4	4	3	5	0.250

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	189	627	181	0.289	21	105	0.405	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.397	0.432	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	220	871	237	0.272	65	178	0.364	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.250	0.328	0.517	OK
Bryan Reynolds	RF	239	872	244	0.280	22	152	0.403	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.327	0.434	0.581	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	198	795	243	0.306	0	94	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.304	0.324	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	244	1041	278	0.267	52	169	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.306	0.405	OK
Konnor Griffin	DH	196	758	194	0.256	18	98	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.306	0.442	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	21	64	18	0.281	0	8	0.446	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.245	0.416	0.346	OK
Jhostynxon Garcia	LF	22	76	18	0.237	0	1	0.275	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.224	0.263	0.276	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	74	262	59	0.225	0	8	0.275	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.251	0.262	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	2	9	0.156

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	9	51.3	2.81	1.189	10.4	59	6.0	4	2	2	2	6	97	6.0	6	2
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	23	16.9	2.66	1.716	8.5	16	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	11	8.5	1.06	0.941	12.7	12	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	5	1.1	1	0
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	22	21.7	4.98	1.705	9.1	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	7	3	3	2	2	67	3.0	2	3
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	25	24.4	2.21	0.820	11.4	31	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	23	1.2	1	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	21	18.6	2.90	1.237	14.5	30	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	24	1.1	1	1
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	25	28.3	5.41	1.625	11.4	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	19	19.5	1.85	1.282	12.5	27	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 4-2

New York Yankees @ Oakland Athletics

NYY 34-22 (5.0 RPG / 3.41 RA)

5 - 2

OAK 27-29 (4.21 RPG / 4.66 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-2 TARGET: NYY 6 - 2 OAK (NYY) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	5	7
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.264

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-69.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.226

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-134.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record34-22

Win%0.607

Run Diff89

RD/Game1.589

OAK Season Quality

Record27-29

Win%0.482

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.446

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.2232; margin adjustment: -0.9337; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	209	765	161	0.210	32	131	0.327	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.260	0.365	0.477	OK
Ben Rice	DH	212	804	239	0.297	69	165	0.399	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.316	0.413	0.634	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	244	881	229	0.260	74	155	0.394	5	3	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.257	0.384	0.516	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	234	857	234	0.273	36	159	0.379	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.262	0.360	0.490	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	216	816	204	0.250	27	92	0.332	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.271	0.354	0.473	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	108	403	114	0.283	23	62	0.368	5	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.290	0.366	0.517	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	152	509	101	0.198	17	65	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.287	0.414	OK
J.C. Escarra	C	61	207	47	0.227	0	28	0.274	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.263	0.314	0.373	OK
José Caballero	SS	163	576	158	0.274	18	62	0.327	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.260	0.292	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	34	7	5	5	7	6	0.206

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Colby Thomas	RF	38	107	35	0.327	2	14	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.296	0.403	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	248	901	255	0.283	38	171	0.437	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.368	0.388	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	229	951	292	0.307	59	130	0.377	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.322	0.459	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	159	609	122	0.200	36	127	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.173	0.271	0.317	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	222	861	184	0.214	26	109	0.301	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.230	0.317	0.449	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	45	162	49	0.302	0	16	0.361	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.258	0.320	0.334	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	134	498	126	0.253	26	69	0.306	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.267	0.388	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	188	658	177	0.269	6	58	0.338	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.277	0.294	OK
Darell Hernaiz	SS	111	351	97	0.276	4	29	0.352	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.290	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	1	11	0.129

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	3	12.3	4.39	1.545	12.4	17	4.1	2	1	1	1	6	87	4.1	6	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	23	21.6	5.00	1.667	11.7	28	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	26	16.7	2.69	1.796	16.2	30	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	2.0	1	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	25	16.9	1.60	1.124	5.9	11	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.1	2	1

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Severino	Starter	11	60.5	4.31	1.471	9.5	64	5.0	3	0	0	3	3	105	5.0	3	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	28	19.5	3.69	2.154	12.9	28	1.0	3	4	4	1	0	26	1.0	0	4
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	24	20.1	6.72	1.692	10.7	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	24	21.5	1.67	0.791	9.2	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	22	18.5	2.92	1.351	6.3	13	1.0	1	1	1	3	2	28	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-2

Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers

PHI 29-27 (3.98 RPG / 4.29 RA)

2 - 7

LAD 36-20 (5.32 RPG / 3.18 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 7-2 TARGET: PHI 3 - 4 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 52.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5
LAD	0	3	0	0	3	0	1	0	x	7	11

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.218

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-131.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.315

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-57.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record29-27

Win%0.518

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.304

LAD Season Quality

Record36-20

Win%0.643

Run Diff120

RD/Game2.143

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.6339; margin adjustment: 1.1062; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	239	932	230	0.247	97	184	0.359	5	4	3	1	2	1	0	0.750	0.246	0.332	0.526	OK
Trea Turner	SS	240	1034	240	0.232	34	89	0.279	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.220	0.262	0.415	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	230	839	232	0.277	57	147	0.382	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.228	0.340	0.460	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	209	786	170	0.216	17	99	0.276	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.208	0.259	0.300	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	185	666	147	0.221	20	98	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.187	0.233	0.314	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	131	458	116	0.253	9	41	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.302	0.384	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	192	718	243	0.338	23	111	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.301	0.336	0.510	OK
Adolis García	RF	213	760	148	0.195	12	68	0.283	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.160	0.246	0.252	OK
Steward Berroa	CF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.220	0.291	0.364
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	5	2	2	7	7	0.156

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	237	913	252	0.276	40	151	0.405	5	5	1	1	3	0	0	0.200	0.276	0.387	0.542	OK
Andy Pages	CF	226	861	272	0.316	58	221	0.365	5	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.351	0.391	0.677	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	227	855	231	0.270	30	119	0.372	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.311	0.400	0.551	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	91	392	70	0.179	29	71	0.222	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.237	0.446	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	227	876	223	0.255	21	119	0.348	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.335	0.400	OK
Max Muncy	3B	191	681	178	0.261	52	80	0.363	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.320	0.429	OK
Will Smith	C	173	649	167	0.257	21	98	0.333	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.299	0.392	0.508	OK
Alex Call	LF	61	190	52	0.274	0	35	0.396	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.206	0.335	0.285	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	116	377	91	0.241	8	33	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.289	0.314	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	11	7	7	3	5	0.314

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	6	37.2	1.69	0.833	8.7	36	6.0	9	3	3	2	5	111	6.0	5	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	17	16.2	1.67	1.049	14.4	26	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	24	22.5	4.00	1.244	10.8	27	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	17	1.0	0	2
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	24	14.7	7.35	2.381	15.9	26	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	16	0.0	0	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	9	55.2	3.10	1.123	5.1	31	6.2	4	2	2	7	5	124	6.2	5	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	24	21.5	1.26	0.651	11.3	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	17	17.0	1.06	0.824	10.6	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	8	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	23	16.1	2.80	1.118	14.0	25	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 7-2

San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals

SD 31-24 (3.89 RPG / 3.91 RA)

4 - 3

WAS 29-28 (5.37 RPG / 5.44 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-3 TARGET: SD 4 - 3 WAS (SD) Confidence: 54.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	4	8
WAS	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7

SD Recent Form

Win%0.189

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-121.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.281

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-125.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record31-24

Win%0.564

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.018

WAS Season Quality

Record29-28

Win%0.509

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.070

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1343; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	227	872	228	0.261	0	68	0.340	5	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.283	0.351	0.337	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	169	574	144	0.251	32	85	0.330	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.231	0.305	0.429	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	209	776	196	0.253	29	102	0.321	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.244	0.305	0.348	OK
Manny Machado	3B	217	783	136	0.174	39	119	0.267	5	4	2	1	2	1	2	0.500	0.171	0.263	0.347	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	216	844	172	0.204	17	87	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.284	0.350	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	164	626	176	0.281	19	71	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.258	0.406	OK
Ramón Laureano	RF	195	727	163	0.224	29	99	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.287	0.432	OK
Ty France	1B	99	341	99	0.290	19	59	0.322	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.240	0.264	0.428	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	106	339	48	0.142	0	12	0.245	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.129	0.239	0.189	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	4	4	4	6	0.229

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	266	1026	298	0.290	75	192	0.432	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.316	0.443	0.625	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	173	644	180	0.280	20	119	0.299	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.242	0.263	0.458	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	144	478	122	0.255	32	84	0.374	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.205	0.318	0.410	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	238	905	271	0.299	48	206	0.389	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.321	0.393	0.562	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	31	130	32	0.246	4	4	0.269	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.252	0.277	0.382	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	246	1013	259	0.256	32	124	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.295	0.374	OK
Jacob Young	CF	192	726	170	0.234	24	90	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.226	0.263	0.349	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	111	390	100	0.256	17	90	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.278	0.462	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	190	654	126	0.193	0	63	0.296	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.204	0.292	0.260	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	34	7	3	3	7	8	0.206

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lucas Giolito	Starter	2	10.0	2.70	1.300	4.5	5	5.0	6	2	2	4	6	97	5.0	6	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	23	22.5	0.80	0.844	18.8	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	20	17.5	1.03	0.971	5.1	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	25	23.8	4.92	1.303	12.5	33	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	18	15.9	3.40	1.132	11.3	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Ron Marinaccio	Middle Reliever	20	28.9	4.36	1.349	7.8	25	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	10	0.0	0	1

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paxton Schultz	Starter	15	16.8	5.89	1.607	11.2	21	4.1	6	3	3	4	3	89	4.1	3	3
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	22	17.6	4.60	1.705	9.7	19	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	13	12.4	2.90	1.290	9.4	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	17	13.2	2.73	2.121	10.2	15	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	16	32.2	3.07	1.118	8.1	29	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	27	1.1	1	1

Game Summary

SD wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies

SF 22-34 (3.64 RPG / 4.61 RA)

5 - 6

COL 20-37 (4.02 RPG / 5.37 RA)

WINNER: COL wins 6-5 TARGET: SF 5 - 6 COL (COL) Confidence: 51.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
SF	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	11
COL	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	11

SF Recent Form

Win%0.192

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-138.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.109

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-201.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record22-34

Win%0.393

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.964

COL Season Quality

Record20-37

Win%0.351

Run Diff-77

RD/Game-1.351

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4496; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willy Adames	SS	231	971	247	0.254	30	86	0.287	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.278	0.305	0.527	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	225	915	309	0.338	10	97	0.380	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.359	0.393	0.464	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	194	764	235	0.308	51	132	0.352	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.280	0.305	0.551	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	228	886	224	0.253	29	123	0.299	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.231	0.274	0.391	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	227	870	195	0.224	5	76	0.316	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.203	0.299	0.292	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	193	758	216	0.285	12	73	0.331	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.288	0.323	0.400	OK
Daniel Susac	C	53	187	63	0.337	0	36	0.392	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.212	0.271	0.327	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	50	162	29	0.179	4	5	0.265	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.196	0.284	0.311	OK
Harrison Bader	CF	106	400	69	0.172	19	54	0.204	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.165	0.195	0.329	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	41	11	5	5	3	9	0.268

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	137	456	115	0.252	8	62	0.290	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.245	0.275	0.366	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	135	500	121	0.242	10	56	0.315	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.200	0.225	0.270	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	214	803	225	0.280	30	116	0.358	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.251	0.354	0.415	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	210	833	204	0.245	54	87	0.310	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.219	0.266	0.435	OK
Troy Johnston	LF	182	654	215	0.329	10	92	0.392	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.276	0.334	0.401	OK
Willi Castro	2B	170	620	160	0.258	8	71	0.315	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.243	0.294	0.328	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	202	763	168	0.220	8	77	0.267	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.210	0.263	0.316	OK
Edouard Julien	DH	148	519	115	0.222	10	59	0.320	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.173	0.280	0.255	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	179	553	123	0.222	8	52	0.332	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.324	0.398	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	41	11	6	6	4	10	0.268

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	8	48.0	5.06	1.396	7.9	42	5.1	8	5	5	0	7	91	5.1	7	5
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	22	21.3	2.54	1.127	11.0	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	24	23.4	1.92	0.897	8.5	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	17	13.0	5.54	1.692	15.9	23	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.2	0	0
Joel Peguero	Middle Reliever	9	7.7	3.51	1.299	3.5	3	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	14	0.1	0	0
Matt Gage	Middle Reliever	26	16.5	2.18	1.455	9.8	18	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
JT Brubaker	Reliever	18	25.0	3.24	1.560	6.8	19	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.0	0	0
Ryan Borucki	Reliever	20	18.4	4.89	1.739	7.3	15	0.0	2	1	1	3	0	21	0.0	0	1

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	12	51.8	7.47	1.969	7.1	41	4.2	10	4	4	0	6	89	4.2	6	4
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	16	29.5	1.53	0.949	7.9	26	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	23	1.1	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	22	21.6	5.42	1.852	12.1	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	22	14.2	3.80	1.901	13.3	21	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	26	16.5	5.45	1.636	8.7	16	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	12	0.2	0	0
Seth Halvorsen	Middle Reliever	10	9.1	3.96	1.868	9.9	10	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Keegan Thompson	Reliever	1	2.2	0.00	2.273	8.2	2	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

COL wins 6-5 (Extra Innings - 10)

Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles

TOR 29-29 (4.03 RPG / 4.07 RA)

5 - 1

BAL 26-32 (4.48 RPG / 5.22 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 5-1 TARGET: TOR 4 - 3 BAL (TOR) Confidence: 54.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	5	9
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.286

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-99.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.182

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-145.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record28-29

Win%0.491

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.053

BAL Season Quality

Record26-31

Win%0.456

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.737

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7368; margin adjustment: -0.3095; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	162	660	141	0.214	23	65	0.291	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.229	0.289	0.386	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	221	885	267	0.302	22	88	0.324	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.279	0.301	0.457	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	225	824	241	0.292	12	97	0.393	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.278	0.383	0.359	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	223	834	183	0.219	48	128	0.309	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.285	0.408	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	212	801	218	0.272	24	74	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.239	0.322	0.367	OK
Myles Straw	LF	94	242	61	0.252	7	17	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.152	0.230	0.236	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	RF	80	276	84	0.304	8	44	0.336	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.261	0.293	0.425	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	106	330	89	0.270	17	44	0.369	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.371	0.388	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	195	701	161	0.230	25	111	0.262	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.226	0.246	0.420	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	5	5	4	8	0.250

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	251	919	242	0.263	9	72	0.408	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.277	0.412	0.377	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	253	1082	228	0.211	54	134	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.198	0.240	0.420	OK
Adley Rutschman	DH	159	622	167	0.268	31	109	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.269	0.332	0.474	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	243	931	224	0.241	40	147	0.323	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.234	0.306	0.393	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	161	589	158	0.268	31	86	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.313	0.514	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	160	542	150	0.277	9	89	0.368	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.309	0.334	OK
Colton Cowser	RF	111	315	63	0.200	8	38	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.297	0.311	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	150	496	106	0.214	21	71	0.290	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.241	0.317	0.436	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	26	83	18	0.217	4	17	0.283	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.216	0.290	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	1	1	4	9	0.156

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Adam Macko	Starter	6	2.7	0.00	1.481	13.3	4	3.0	2	0	0	1	5	60	3.0	5	0
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	27	27.2	0.33	1.176	13.6	41	2.0	0	0	0	1	1	29	2.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	27	23.0	5.09	1.739	17.2	44	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	27	23.1	2.73	1.299	6.2	16	2.0	2	1	1	1	1	35	2.0	1	1
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	29	27.0	3.00	1.148	11.0	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	9	40.8	7.28	1.691	7.7	35	4.0	8	5	5	4	4	90	4.0	4	5
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	25	21.0	0.86	0.714	11.6	27	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	21	2.0	1	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	25	24.1	4.48	1.245	11.2	30	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	24	16.3	1.66	0.613	8.8	16	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-1

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Seattle Mariners

ARI Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Cincinnati Reds

ATL Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

BOS Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals

CHC Recent Form

STL Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

DET Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

DET Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Texas Rangers

KC Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

KC Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Tampa Bay Rays

LAA Recent Form

TB Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets