MLB Predictions — May 28, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ BOS	2 - 1	4 - 0	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-0	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ PIT	2 - 5	4 - 5	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ TEX	1 - 2	1 - 2	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 2-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAA @ DET	4 - 5	4 - 7	DET	DET	DET wins 7-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIN @ CHW	1 - 2	0 - 3	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 3-0	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TOR @ BAL	5 - 4	7 - 5	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 7-5	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox

ATL 37-19 (5.16 RPG / 3.46 RA)

4 - 0

BOS 23-31 (3.85 RPG / 4.02 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-0 TARGET: ATL 2 - 1 BOS (ATL) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	5
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.212

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-84.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.208

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-108.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record37-19

Win%0.661

Run Diff95

RD/Game1.696

BOS Season Quality

Record23-31

Win%0.426

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.167

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.2153; margin adjustment: -0.9304; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	185	709	164	0.231	10	55	0.349	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.217	0.333	0.325	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	210	804	210	0.261	12	120	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.310	0.383	OK
Matt Olson	1B	242	940	251	0.267	68	199	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.337	0.526	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	238	928	250	0.269	34	120	0.331	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.330	0.387	OK
Austin Riley	3B	229	868	197	0.227	31	129	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.306	0.386	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	193	750	221	0.295	48	128	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.287	0.307	0.509	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	68	216	78	0.361	6	20	0.405	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.269	0.320	0.387	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	114	383	131	0.342	16	77	0.366	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.267	0.289	0.412	OK
Sandy León	C	17	40	4	0.100	0	0	0.100	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.183	0.195	0.256	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	4	4	2	8	0.156

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	215	892	192	0.215	36	126	0.289	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.246	0.300	0.443	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	194	730	209	0.286	18	89	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.319	0.421	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	226	895	252	0.282	26	98	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.309	0.366	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	216	804	225	0.280	49	157	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.327	0.443	OK
Andruw Monasterio	DH	91	322	87	0.270	6	44	0.323	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.190	0.258	0.316	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	34	114	35	0.307	0	5	0.402	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.266	0.350	0.423	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	SS	63	187	55	0.294	4	34	0.365	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.321	0.353	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	111	351	74	0.211	7	11	0.297	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.281	0.283	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	164	560	99	0.177	5	65	0.259	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.153	0.206	0.230	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	0	0	3	6	0.100

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	10	62.0	1.89	0.871	10.5	72	6.2	2	0	0	1	6	97	6.2	6	0
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	16	16.2	1.11	0.926	11.1	20	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	23	22.4	0.80	0.893	8.4	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	26	23.1	1.56	0.693	11.7	30	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.1	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	6	36.2	2.49	0.829	9.7	39	6.0	4	3	3	1	6	92	6.0	6	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	18	17.2	0.52	0.872	12.0	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	20	19.2	3.28	1.146	11.7	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	10	7.5	4.80	1.467	14.4	12	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	5	1.0	1	1
Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	17	25.1	3.23	1.155	11.5	32	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	22	17.6	4.09	1.534	10.7	21	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-0

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CHC 30-26 (4.73 RPG / 4.48 RA)

4 - 5

PIT 29-27 (4.89 RPG / 4.39 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-4 TARGET: CHC 2 - 5 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	4	7
PIT	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	x	5	9

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.073

Avg Runs0.7

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-162.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.235

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-110.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record30-26

Win%0.536

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.250

PIT Season Quality

Record29-27

Win%0.518

Run Diff28

RD/Game0.500

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2232; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	228	834	200	0.240	26	107	0.333	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.233	0.310	0.378	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	249	1045	271	0.259	21	161	0.346	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.261	0.345	0.366	OK
Michael Busch	1B	242	895	214	0.239	30	153	0.381	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.244	0.387	0.407	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	249	1025	270	0.263	17	76	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.341	0.372	OK
Ian Happ	LF	233	907	208	0.229	58	138	0.355	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.235	0.343	0.485	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	176	676	169	0.250	32	78	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.228	0.307	0.366	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	139	433	91	0.210	23	72	0.289	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.196	0.279	0.342	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	86	283	65	0.230	12	33	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.194	0.276	0.312	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	209	728	149	0.205	33	117	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.222	0.332	0.385	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	4	4	5	8	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	184	612	181	0.296	21	105	0.406	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.303	0.402	0.495	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	216	859	237	0.276	65	178	0.366	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.284	0.360	0.590	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	235	860	236	0.274	18	148	0.398	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.325	0.420	0.486	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	197	794	243	0.306	0	94	0.359	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.274	0.316	0.339	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	240	1029	278	0.270	52	169	0.333	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.268	0.317	0.440	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	192	774	147	0.190	25	102	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.205	0.275	0.315	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	196	758	194	0.256	18	98	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.308	0.444	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	18	61	8	0.131	8	21	0.243	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.181	0.276	0.432	OK
Henry Davis	C	122	413	61	0.148	15	40	0.245	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.152	0.221	0.299	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	9	5	5	2	6	0.290

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Colin Rea	Starter	11	51.9	5.03	1.426	7.6	44	5.1	7	3	3	0	6	88	5.1	6	3
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	12	9.5	2.84	1.579	11.4	12	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	23	1.1	0	2
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	2.76	1.327	11.9	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	24	21.1	2.99	1.517	12.8	30	0.1	0	0	0	2	0	18	0.1	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	11	59.3	3.04	0.826	9.9	65	6.0	1	0	0	3	6	103	6.0	6	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	25	24.4	2.21	0.820	11.4	31	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	22	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	20	17.4	3.10	1.322	14.5	28	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	24	27.3	5.27	1.612	11.5	35	1.0	4	3	3	1	0	29	1.0	0	3

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers

HOU 25-32 (4.44 RPG / 5.16 RA)

1 - 2

TEX 25-30 (3.89 RPG / 3.91 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 2-1 TARGET: HOU 1 - 2 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	9
TEX	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	x	2	5

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.411

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-156.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.245

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-113.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record24-32

Win%0.429

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.750

TEX Season Quality

Record25-29

Win%0.463

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8016; margin adjustment: 0.3367; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	83	348	83	0.239	5	22	0.297	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.233	0.270	0.343	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	241	895	300	0.335	98	184	0.449	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.344	0.446	0.796	OK
Isaac Paredes	1B	206	772	185	0.240	22	93	0.334	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.271	0.320	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	39	132	49	0.371	0	19	0.420	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.286	0.337	0.443	OK
Cam Smith	RF	209	729	155	0.213	19	82	0.308	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.202	0.283	0.342	OK
Braden Shewmake	3B	68	239	62	0.259	8	27	0.262	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.192	0.283	OK
Zach Dezenzo	LF	43	121	27	0.223	3	6	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.211	0.311	0.377	OK
Brice Matthews	2B	149	527	112	0.213	16	51	0.266	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.219	0.292	0.332	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	115	382	106	0.277	16	66	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.313	0.402	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	1	1	1	8	0.250

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	154	457	122	0.267	23	61	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.347	0.535	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	85	240	59	0.246	0	22	0.384	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.327	0.284	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	231	920	246	0.267	28	90	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.319	0.395	OK
Josh Jung	3B	203	789	236	0.299	22	88	0.356	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.281	0.333	0.418	OK
Evan Carter	CF	189	612	115	0.188	25	69	0.302	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.167	0.284	0.354	OK
Jake Burger	1B	211	815	195	0.239	38	147	0.291	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.214	0.257	0.372	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	160	556	165	0.297	14	104	0.354	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.238	0.301	0.406	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	88	301	58	0.193	11	33	0.275	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.144	0.221	0.266	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	3	9	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.095	0.111	0.154
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	5	2	2	2	6	0.172

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	7	40.3	1.34	1.216	8.9	40	6.0	3	1	1	0	6	95	6.0	6	1
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	21	20.4	3.53	1.569	8.4	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	19	14.9	7.85	2.349	12.7	21	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	7	1.0	0	1

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	10	61.2	3.68	1.144	9.0	61	6.1	6	0	0	1	5	102	6.1	5	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	19	23.6	1.14	0.466	8.8	23	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.1	2	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	20	23.3	1.55	0.730	5.0	13	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	14	1.0	1	1
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	24	20.5	2.63	1.610	8.3	19	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 2-1

Los Angeles Angels @ Detroit Tigers

LAA 22-35 (4.11 RPG / 5.09 RA)

4 - 7

DET 22-35 (3.82 RPG / 4.37 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 7-4 TARGET: LAA 4 - 5 DET (DET) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	8
DET	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1	x	7	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.167

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-175.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.273

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-119.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record21-35

Win%0.375

Run Diff-62

RD/Game-1.107

DET Season Quality

Record22-34

Win%0.393

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.446

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6875; margin adjustment: 0.2888; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	252	995	234	0.235	45	120	0.345	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.234	0.325	0.421	OK
Mike Trout	CF	244	866	210	0.242	62	135	0.411	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.212	0.395	0.423	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	117	434	106	0.244	13	85	0.313	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.238	0.315	0.391	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	216	814	178	0.219	36	131	0.306	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.223	0.292	0.373	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	15	47	20	0.426	4	12	0.471	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.309	0.359	0.465	OK
Jo Adell	RF	230	904	221	0.244	32	128	0.293	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.223	0.246	0.384	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	82	232	65	0.280	3	23	0.363	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.322	0.382	OK
Sebastián Rivero	C	37	101	12	0.119	0	0	0.168	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.100	0.160	0.134	OK
Donovan Walton	3B	16	62	8	0.129	0	0	0.182	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.176	0.225	0.297	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	8	4	4	7	9	0.229

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Colt Keith	3B	158	519	152	0.293	0	23	0.332	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.327	0.357	0.436	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	235	900	275	0.306	14	107	0.406	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.335	0.431	0.489	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	201	749	185	0.247	48	146	0.334	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.267	0.358	0.508	OK
Riley Greene	LF	230	836	259	0.310	17	111	0.409	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.369	0.398	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	211	731	155	0.212	32	80	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.252	0.335	0.527	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	111	360	56	0.156	5	36	0.220	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.157	0.237	0.224	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	154	561	117	0.209	15	82	0.282	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.174	0.245	0.298	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	132	461	76	0.165	7	30	0.221	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.166	0.240	0.273	OK
Jake Rogers	C	53	159	22	0.138	0	14	0.217	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.155	0.238	0.256	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	7	7	5	5	0.250

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	2	8.4	11.79	2.381	9.6	9	4.1	6	6	6	5	2	93	4.1	2	6
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	4.22	1.250	14.1	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	19	22.5	2.80	1.200	10.8	27	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	19	22.0	5.32	1.364	12.3	30	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	13	10.8	3.33	1.481	11.7	14	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.2	1	0
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	20	27.9	4.52	1.434	8.4	26	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	4	0.2	1	1

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Flaherty	Starter	11	44.9	6.21	1.737	11.0	55	4.1	5	3	3	7	5	98	4.1	5	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	17	13.6	3.97	1.176	12.6	19	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	24	23.1	1.17	1.558	5.8	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	17	13.9	9.06	1.727	11.0	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	18	34.1	3.70	1.261	11.9	45	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 7-4

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox

MIN 27-30 (4.53 RPG / 4.75 RA)

0 - 3

CHW 29-27 (4.68 RPG / 4.68 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 3-0 TARGET: MIN 1 - 2 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
CHW	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	x	3	5

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.296

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-114.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.288

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-69.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record27-29

Win%0.482

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.161

CHW Season Quality

Record28-27

Win%0.509

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.073

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1284; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	DH	214	921	247	0.268	83	135	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.310	0.582	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	204	774	197	0.255	24	121	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.256	0.301	0.412	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	151	526	148	0.281	8	54	0.386	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.207	0.299	0.321	OK
Kody Clemens	RF	163	591	138	0.234	21	67	0.323	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.204	0.277	0.438	OK
Josh Bell	1B	212	803	176	0.219	21	125	0.285	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.194	0.253	0.303	OK
Orlando Arcia	2B	16	56	29	0.518	0	4	0.518	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.269	0.373	OK
Victor Caratini	C	145	487	87	0.179	5	68	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.170	0.244	0.226	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	90	294	62	0.211	13	58	0.265	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.183	0.248	0.290	OK
Ryan Kreidler	CF	46	156	43	0.276	9	24	0.351	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.320	0.426	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	0	0	3	9	0.129

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	223	866	232	0.268	24	86	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.273	0.347	0.435	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	236	862	212	0.246	93	183	0.384	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.386	0.603	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	234	868	202	0.233	55	141	0.364	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.363	0.437	OK
Randal Grichuk	DH	29	59	16	0.271	8	19	0.338	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.270	0.454	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	225	848	197	0.232	57	148	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.475	OK
Edgar Quero	C	118	404	71	0.176	5	55	0.252	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.184	0.279	0.237	OK
Derek Hill	RF	65	167	36	0.216	6	15	0.268	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.188	0.254	0.295	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	144	505	132	0.261	5	59	0.377	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.283	0.345	0.383	OK
Luisangel Acuña	CF	103	313	53	0.169	0	17	0.239	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.159	0.215	0.197	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	29	5	3	3	2	6	0.172

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kendry Rojas	Starter	5	14.1	1.28	1.489	8.9	14	3.0	5	3	3	2	4	73	3.0	4	3
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	22	15.9	2.83	1.824	9.1	16	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	10	7.5	1.20	0.933	12.0	10	3.0	0	0	0	0	1	40	3.0	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	10	60.5	2.08	1.041	9.8	66	7.0	2	0	0	0	7	94	7.0	7	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	0.0	2	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	3	2	17	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 3-0

Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles

TOR 27-29 (4.04 RPG / 4.11 RA)

7 - 5

BAL 26-30 (4.54 RPG / 5.27 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 7-5 TARGET: TOR 5 - 4 BAL (TOR) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	4	7	6
BAL	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.291

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff-98.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.204

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-146.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record27-29

Win%0.482

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.071

BAL Season Quality

Record26-30

Win%0.464

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.732

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6875; margin adjustment: -0.2888; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	157	635	136	0.214	23	65	0.294	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.254	0.315	0.399	OK
Nathan Lukes	LF	65	223	71	0.318	0	34	0.361	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.305	0.319	0.426	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	221	812	241	0.297	12	97	0.395	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.325	0.417	0.409	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	208	789	218	0.276	24	74	0.352	5	5	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.324	0.386	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	219	822	183	0.223	48	128	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.311	0.471	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	173	588	162	0.276	25	104	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.235	0.265	0.454	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	217	869	263	0.303	22	88	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.295	0.470	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	190	681	156	0.229	20	106	0.262	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.213	0.234	0.328	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	102	322	89	0.276	17	44	0.363	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.274	0.353	0.416	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	6	7	7	4	11	0.167

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	DH	247	907	234	0.258	9	72	0.403	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.238	0.368	0.339	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	249	1066	228	0.214	54	134	0.268	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.268	0.522	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	155	606	163	0.269	31	109	0.340	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.279	0.351	0.512	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	239	915	220	0.240	40	147	0.324	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.231	0.311	0.396	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	148	492	104	0.211	19	69	0.289	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.239	0.319	0.397	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	156	526	146	0.278	9	89	0.371	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.248	0.331	0.359	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	104	312	53	0.170	8	30	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.206	0.290	0.287	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	22	67	14	0.209	4	17	0.289	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.319	0.360	OK
Blaze Alexander	LF	127	424	111	0.262	4	54	0.315	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.270	0.312	0.415	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	39	9	5	5	2	9	0.231

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Corbin	Starter	9	42.7	4.00	1.452	6.7	32	5.0	5	3	3	1	4	82	5.0	4	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	26	26.1	0.34	1.188	14.1	41	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	26	22.0	5.32	1.773	17.2	42	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	26	22.9	2.75	1.223	5.9	15	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	28	26.0	3.12	1.192	11.1	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0
Spencer Miles	Reliever	15	31.0	2.32	1.097	9.3	32	0.1	1	2	2	0	1	24	0.1	1	2

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Bassitt	Starter	10	45.7	5.71	1.729	6.7	34	4.2	3	3	3	0	5	88	4.2	5	3
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	25	21.0	0.86	0.714	11.6	27	1.2	1	2	2	1	1	28	1.2	1	2
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	24	23.1	4.29	1.126	10.9	28	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17	1.0	3	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	24	16.3	1.66	0.613	8.8	16	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	24	1.1	0	1
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	19	23.7	3.42	1.224	9.5	25	1.1	1	1	1	1	2	24	1.1	2	1

Game Summary

TOR wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10)

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox

ATL Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CHC Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers

HOU Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Detroit Tigers

LAA Recent Form

DET Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox

MIN Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles

TOR Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

TOR Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary