MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

May 27, 2026 — Player-by-Player Deep Comparison (15 games)
Actual stats = real season stats prior to game date  |  Simulated = predicted game stats  |  Model = pre-game model predictions

All Games Overview

MatchupTarget ScoreSim ScoreTarget WinnerSim WinnerWinnerConfidenceMethod
ARI @ SF3 - 13 - 1ARIARIARI wins 3-161%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
ATL @ BOS3 - 13 - 1ATLATLATL wins 3-160%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CHC @ PIT2 - 52 - 6PITPITPIT wins 6-257%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CIN @ NYM3 - 42 - 5NYMNYMNYM wins 5-254%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ LAD1 - 51 - 5LADLADLAD wins 5-153%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ TEX2 - 31 - 5TEXTEXTEX wins 5-157%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
LAA @ DET1 - 21 - 2DETDETDET wins 2-155%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIA @ TOR2 - 31 - 4TORTORTOR wins 4-157%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIN @ CHW3 - 24 - 1MINMINMIN wins 4-152%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYY @ KC5 - 25 - 2NYYNYYNYY wins 5-253%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PHI @ SD2 - 12 - 1PHIPHIPHI wins 2-154%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ OAK3 - 24 - 3SEASEASEA wins 4-354%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
STL @ MIL3 - 42 - 5MILMILMIL wins 5-253%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TB @ BAL3 - 23 - 1TBTBTB wins 3-156%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
WAS @ CLE1 - 32 - 3CLECLECLE wins 3-254%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
Actual Season Stats (green)
Simulated Game Stats (blue)
Model Predictions (purple)
LARGE deviation (>40%)
MODERATE deviation (20-40%)
OK deviation (<20%)

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

ARI 31-24 (4.64 RPG / 4.38 RA)
3 - 1
SF 22-34 (3.64 RPG / 4.61 RA)
WINNER: ARI wins 3-1 TARGET: ARI 3 - 1 SF (ARI) Confidence: 61.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
ARI00000200139
SF00000100017

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.389
Avg Runs1.5
Avg Allowed2.4
Run Diff-50.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.216
Avg Runs1.4
Avg Allowed4.0
Run Diff-133.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record29-24
Win%0.547
Run Diff11
RD/Game0.208

SF Season Quality

Record22-32
Win%0.407
Run Diff-51
RD/Game-0.944

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.3616; margin adjustment: -0.5719; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Ketel Marte2B 218923255 0.276 401460.322 55210 02 0.400 0.294 0.337 0.527 OK
Corbin CarrollRF 218803245 0.305 321280.407 55000 00 0.000 0.291 0.406 0.539 OK
Geraldo PerdomoSS 213755167 0.221 9750.339 54000 12 0.000 0.231 0.343 0.342 OK
Adrian Del CastilloDH 11741979 0.189 14720.243 43100 00 0.333 0.217 0.278 0.411 OK
Ryan WaldschmidtCF 6422565 0.289 0280.350 44111 01 0.250 0.228 0.287 0.364 OK
Ildemaro Vargas1B 193787245 0.311 321490.339 44200 01 0.500 0.283 0.307 0.466 OK
Jose Fernandez3B 147532146 0.274 12580.307 44100 01 0.250 0.245 0.271 0.364 OK
Aramis GarciaC 000 0.000 000.000 44212 01 0.500 0.247 0.313 0.401
Tommy TroyLF 113415 0.441 000.537 43000 10 0.000 0.307 0.434 0.523 OK
TEAM TOTALS 39369 33 28 0.250

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Willy AdamesSS 227955239 0.250 30860.284 44111 01 0.250 0.251 0.284 0.501 OK
Luis Arraez2B 221899297 0.330 10890.374 44000 00 0.000 0.283 0.323 0.411 OK
Casey SchmittLF 189744235 0.316 511320.360 44100 03 0.250 0.294 0.320 0.606 OK
Rafael Devers1B 224870224 0.257 291230.304 44100 01 0.250 0.245 0.287 0.433 OK
Matt Chapman3B 223854195 0.228 5760.321 44100 01 0.250 0.200 0.356 0.290 OK
Bryce EldridgeDH 4715629 0.186 450.262 44100 01 0.250 0.202 0.274 0.320 OK
Daniel SusacC 5017863 0.354 0360.410 44100 01 0.250 0.213 0.274 0.331 OK
Drew GilbertCF 11037390 0.241 8310.296 43000 00 0.000 0.220 0.259 0.359 OK
Will BrennanRF 19474 0.085 000.085 33100 00 0.333 0.173 0.184 0.238 OK
TEAM TOTALS 35347 11 08 0.206

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Michael SorokaStarter 1053.63.36 1.2879.657 6.15000695 6.1 6 0
Paul SewaldMiddle Reliever 10.10.00 0.0000.00 1.00000013 1.0 0 0
Juan MorilloMiddle Reliever 21.215.00 3.3337.51 1.00000218 1.0 2 0
Taylor ClarkeMiddle Reliever 10.1360.00 30.0000.00 0.22110016 0.2 0 1

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Trevor McDonaldStarter 421.55.02 1.0708.821 5.262226109 5.2 6 2
Caleb KilianMiddle Reliever 2119.32.80 1.24411.725 1.10000220 1.1 2 0
Keaton WinnMiddle Reliever 2423.41.92 0.8978.522 1.01000016 1.0 0 0
Erik MillerMiddle Reliever 1713.05.54 1.69215.923 1.02110019 1.0 0 1

Game Summary

ARI wins 3-1


Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox

ATL 37-18 (5.25 RPG / 3.38 RA)
3 - 1
BOS 22-31 (3.77 RPG / 4.09 RA)
WINNER: ATL wins 3-1 TARGET: ATL 3 - 1 BOS (ATL) Confidence: 59.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
ATL11000001036
BOS00010000016

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.212
Avg Runs1.3
Avg Allowed2.8
Run Diff-77.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.170
Avg Runs1.0
Avg Allowed3.2
Run Diff-119.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record37-18
Win%0.673
Run Diff103
RD/Game1.873

BOS Season Quality

Record22-31
Win%0.415
Run Diff-17
RD/Game-0.321

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.5799; margin adjustment: -1.0836; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF 181697164 0.235 10550.350 44111 00 0.250 0.237 0.345 0.349 OK
Mauricio DubónLF 206788206 0.261 121200.317 43111 10 0.333 0.255 0.313 0.379 OK
Matt Olson1B 238928251 0.270 681990.355 44000 02 0.000 0.265 0.342 0.592 OK
Ozzie Albies2B 234916246 0.269 341200.328 43000 10 0.000 0.259 0.311 0.387 OK
Austin Riley3B 225856197 0.230 311290.301 44000 01 0.000 0.259 0.326 0.451 OK
Michael Harris IICF 189734221 0.301 481280.324 44200 00 0.500 0.347 0.366 0.634 OK
Jorge MateoDH 6420070 0.350 6200.398 44100 02 0.250 0.245 0.317 0.390 OK
Ha-Seong KimSS 4315317 0.111 0100.214 44111 01 0.250 0.144 0.237 0.180 OK
Chadwick TrompC 133311 0.333 060.333 33000 01 0.000 0.170 0.184 0.225 OK
TEAM TOTALS 35336 33 27 0.182

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Jarren DuranLF 210867172 0.198 311210.275 44100 00 0.250 0.203 0.261 0.379 OK
Ceddanne RafaelaCF 189705194 0.275 18790.347 44100 00 0.250 0.240 0.286 0.413 OK
Wilyer AbreuRF 221870247 0.284 26880.352 44100 01 0.250 0.234 0.310 0.372 OK
Willson Contreras1B 211779220 0.282 491570.376 44000 01 0.000 0.284 0.353 0.490 OK
Masataka YoshidaDH 10735292 0.261 4260.351 43100 11 0.333 0.181 0.272 0.337 OK
Mickey GasperC 4315553 0.342 090.374 44111 00 0.250 0.259 0.296 0.334 OK
Nick Sogard2B 3010231 0.304 050.408 43000 12 0.000 0.251 0.347 0.439 OK
Marcelo MayerSS 155520107 0.206 7410.268 44000 00 0.000 0.149 0.200 0.211 OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa3B 5917151 0.298 4300.375 33100 00 0.333 0.258 0.346 0.413 OK
TEAM TOTALS 35336 11 25 0.182

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Bryce ElderStarter 1166.82.02 1.0188.160 6.251125107 6.2 5 1
Raisel IglesiasMiddle Reliever 1616.21.11 0.92611.120 1.01000016 1.0 0 0
Robert SuarezMiddle Reliever 2322.40.80 0.8938.421 1.0000004 1.0 0 0
Dylan LeeMiddle Reliever 2623.11.56 0.69311.730 0.10000015 0.1 0 0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Connelly EarlyStarter 1052.63.42 1.2178.650 5.14222594 5.1 5 2
Aroldis ChapmanMiddle Reliever 1817.20.52 0.87212.023 1.01000016 1.0 0 0
Garrett WhitlockMiddle Reliever 2019.23.28 1.14611.725 1.00000014 1.0 0 0
Justin SlatenMiddle Reliever 107.54.80 1.46714.412 1.01110116 1.0 1 1
Greg WeissertMiddle Reliever 2217.64.09 1.53410.721 0.20000116 0.2 1 0

Game Summary

ATL wins 3-1


Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CHC 29-26 (4.64 RPG / 4.49 RA)
2 - 6
PIT 29-26 (4.91 RPG / 4.29 RA)
WINNER: PIT wins 6-2 TARGET: CHC 2 - 5 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
CHC10000100025
PIT00004200x68

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.073
Avg Runs0.7
Avg Allowed3.6
Run Diff-161.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.275
Avg Runs1.4
Avg Allowed3.3
Run Diff-98.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record29-26
Win%0.527
Run Diff8
RD/Game0.145

PIT Season Quality

Record29-26
Win%0.527
Run Diff34
RD/Game0.618

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4727; margin adjustment: 0.1985; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF 222804194 0.241 261010.333 55111 01 0.200 0.230 0.299 0.359 OK
Nico Hoerner2B 2431015259 0.255 211550.341 44000 00 0.000 0.237 0.311 0.339 OK
Michael Busch1B 236877208 0.237 301470.372 44000 02 0.000 0.236 0.359 0.425 OK
Alex Bregman3B 243989258 0.261 17760.354 42100 21 0.500 0.281 0.354 0.386 OK
Ian HappLF 227871196 0.225 521080.356 43000 00 0.000 0.214 0.330 0.424 OK
Seiya SuzukiRF 171651164 0.252 32780.351 42000 21 0.000 0.197 0.280 0.332 OK
Moisés BallesterosDH 13742991 0.212 23720.291 44111 01 0.250 0.200 0.287 0.352 OK
Carson KellyC 144528164 0.311 6630.387 44200 00 0.500 0.297 0.355 0.380 OK
Dansby SwansonSS 204708139 0.196 331170.299 44000 00 0.000 0.172 0.284 0.309 OK
TEAM TOTALS 37325 22 46 0.156

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Spencer Horwitz1B 180596177 0.297 211050.409 44213 01 0.500 0.337 0.440 0.591 OK
Brandon Lowe2B 212843233 0.276 611660.368 44000 01 0.000 0.305 0.381 0.547 OK
Bryan ReynoldsLF 231844224 0.265 181480.393 43010 10 0.000 0.289 0.393 0.455 OK
Nick Gonzales3B 193778243 0.312 0940.366 43111 10 0.333 0.298 0.339 0.373 OK
Oneil CruzCF 2361013278 0.274 521690.338 44000 01 0.000 0.338 0.383 0.518 OK
Konnor GriffinSS 192742190 0.256 14940.321 43000 11 0.000 0.245 0.318 0.362 OK
Marcell OzunaDH 188758143 0.189 251020.279 44110 01 0.250 0.193 0.265 0.307 OK
Endy RodríguezC 216418 0.281 080.446 44211 00 0.500 0.250 0.421 0.351 OK
Esmerlyn ValdezRF 14458 0.178 8210.315 33211 00 0.667 0.212 0.329 0.530 OK
TEAM TOTALS 35328 66 35 0.250

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Jameson TaillonStarter 1053.75.36 1.3047.947 5.16443597 5.1 5 4
Daniel PalenciaMiddle Reliever 129.52.84 1.57911.412 1.02220019 1.0 0 2
Caleb ThielbarMiddle Reliever 128.83.07 1.36412.312 1.10000017 1.1 0 0
Jacob WebbMiddle Reliever 2320.13.13 1.59212.127 0.10000018 0.1 0 0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Bubba ChandlerStarter 1046.34.86 1.4909.147 4.24113485 4.2 4 1
Gregory SotoMiddle Reliever 2524.42.21 0.82011.431 1.01110117 1.0 1 1
Dennis SantanaMiddle Reliever 2321.44.63 1.4026.716 1.00000017 1.0 0 0
Mason MontgomeryMiddle Reliever 2017.43.10 1.32214.528 1.00001117 1.0 1 0
Evan SiskMiddle Reliever 1819.31.87 1.19212.126 1.10000014 1.1 0 0

Game Summary

PIT wins 6-2


Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets

CIN 29-25 (4.5 RPG / 4.94 RA)
2 - 5
NYM 22-33 (3.82 RPG / 4.38 RA)
WINNER: NYM wins 5-2 TARGET: CIN 3 - 4 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
CIN01010000025
NYM01003100x59

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.302
Avg Runs1.6
Avg Allowed4.1
Run Diff-131.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.392
Avg Runs1.2
Avg Allowed3.3
Run Diff-109.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record29-25
Win%0.537
Run Diff-24
RD/Game-0.444

NYM Season Quality

Record22-33
Win%0.400
Run Diff-31
RD/Game-0.564

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3247; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Blake DunnRF 4618955 0.291 5140.371 43000 10 0.000 0.226 0.300 0.324 OK
Elly De La CruzSS 238975293 0.301 651930.368 44000 00 0.000 0.288 0.349 0.529 OK
JJ BledayLF 107409118 0.289 31980.379 43111 11 0.333 0.301 0.386 0.581 OK
Sal Stewart3B 233870215 0.247 491540.357 44100 01 0.250 0.257 0.357 0.435 OK
Eugenio SuárezDH 113418103 0.246 10510.311 44100 00 0.250 0.268 0.328 0.404 OK
Nathaniel Lowe1B 124419122 0.291 35870.373 43000 11 0.000 0.250 0.360 0.523 OK
Spencer Steer2B 202740197 0.266 30870.342 44111 00 0.250 0.240 0.333 0.391 OK
Tyler StephensonC 15450997 0.191 17740.298 44100 01 0.250 0.221 0.328 0.388 OK
TJ FriedlCF 169648120 0.185 9360.261 33000 02 0.000 0.156 0.212 0.230 OK
TEAM TOTALS 35325 22 36 0.156

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Carson BengeRF 196748193 0.258 11880.328 54111 11 0.250 0.223 0.276 0.306 OK
Bo BichetteSS 238992229 0.231 241310.275 44000 01 0.000 0.245 0.284 0.338 OK
Juan SotoLF 160608180 0.296 41990.396 42110 21 0.500 0.270 0.367 0.562 OK
Mark Vientos1B 173644150 0.233 24950.274 44113 02 0.250 0.183 0.215 0.299 OK
Marcus Semien2B 216799188 0.235 19900.281 44210 00 0.500 0.228 0.269 0.373 OK
A.J. EwingCF 5618954 0.286 4200.405 44000 01 0.000 0.261 0.367 0.370 OK
Eric WagamanDH 240 0.000 000.000 43100 10 0.333 0.119 0.134 0.190
Brett Baty3B 178639159 0.249 14880.315 44211 01 0.500 0.226 0.297 0.367 OK
Luis TorrensC 9227652 0.188 0310.251 44100 00 0.250 0.163 0.208 0.258 OK
TEAM TOTALS 37339 55 47 0.273

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Andrew AbbottStarter 1154.84.11 1.5156.238 5.06443696 5.0 6 4
Graham AshcraftMiddle Reliever 2524.92.17 1.16511.632 1.12110023 1.1 0 1
Tony SantillanMiddle Reliever 2220.33.99 1.3309.321 0.20001115 0.2 1 0
Pierce JohnsonMiddle Reliever 2417.84.04 1.51710.120 1.01000018 1.0 0 0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Huascar BrazobánStarter 2221.12.13 1.1378.119 5.04222383 5.0 3 2
Devin WilliamsMiddle Reliever 1915.65.77 1.53814.425 1.10000017 1.1 0 0
Luke WeaverMiddle Reliever 2120.73.48 1.15910.023 1.00001118 1.0 1 0
Brooks RaleyMiddle Reliever 2216.51.64 1.45512.523 1.21000218 1.2 2 0

Game Summary

NYM wins 5-2


Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers

COL 20-36 (4.07 RPG / 5.39 RA)
1 - 5
LAD 35-20 (5.35 RPG / 3.22 RA)
WINNER: LAD wins 5-1 TARGET: COL 1 - 5 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
COL01000000014
LAD01020011x57

COL Recent Form

Win%0.111
Avg Runs0.9
Avg Allowed4.6
Run Diff-196.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.321
Avg Runs1.7
Avg Allowed2.7
Run Diff-52.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

COL Season Quality

Record20-35
Win%0.364
Run Diff-65
RD/Game-1.182

LAD Season Quality

Record34-20
Win%0.630
Run Diff108
RD/Game2.000

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 3.5808; margin adjustment: 1.4; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Jake McCarthyCF 134447115 0.257 8620.295 44100 01 0.250 0.241 0.272 0.360 OK
Tyler FreemanRF 131484117 0.242 10560.317 44000 00 0.000 0.184 0.211 0.259 OK
TJ Rumfield1B 210795225 0.283 301160.356 44200 01 0.500 0.264 0.321 0.452 OK
Hunter GoodmanC 206821204 0.248 54870.311 44000 00 0.000 0.216 0.264 0.446 OK
Troy JohnstonLF 178638215 0.337 10920.401 43000 11 0.000 0.276 0.336 0.411 OK
Willi Castro3B 166604160 0.265 8670.322 43000 11 0.000 0.270 0.319 0.354 OK
Ezequiel TovarSS 199757168 0.222 8770.267 43111 10 0.333 0.209 0.246 0.327 OK
Sterlin ThompsonDH 247213 0.181 060.262 33000 00 0.000 0.137 0.183 0.214 OK
Edouard Julien2B 146515115 0.223 10590.322 33000 01 0.000 0.159 0.262 0.237 OK
TEAM TOTALS 34314 11 35 0.129

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Shohei OhtaniDH 233897248 0.276 361470.407 54000 10 0.000 0.278 0.406 0.478 OK
Mookie BettsSS 8737670 0.186 29710.231 44000 00 0.000 0.247 0.279 0.564 OK
Freddie Freeman1B 223839223 0.266 261150.370 44211 01 0.500 0.313 0.414 0.484 OK
Kyle TuckerRF 227876223 0.255 211190.348 44000 02 0.000 0.258 0.343 0.411 OK
Andy PagesCF 222845264 0.312 542170.362 43111 10 0.333 0.374 0.415 0.700 OK
Will SmithC 170646164 0.254 21980.325 43110 11 0.333 0.278 0.345 0.462 OK
Max Muncy3B 187665178 0.268 52800.371 42111 21 0.500 0.249 0.349 0.467 OK
Teoscar HernándezLF 200739208 0.281 291370.355 44100 00 0.250 0.291 0.356 0.441 OK
Alex Freeland2B 11336891 0.247 8330.326 43112 11 0.333 0.228 0.307 0.336 OK
TEAM TOTALS 37317 55 66 0.226

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Tomoyuki SuganoStarter 1051.84.00 1.2744.928 5.04334691 5.0 6 3
Antonio SenzatelaMiddle Reliever 1528.51.26 0.8778.226 1.10000014 1.1 0 0
Juan MejiaMiddle Reliever 2221.65.42 1.85212.129 0.00001020 0.0 0 0
Jaden HillMiddle Reliever 2214.23.80 1.90113.321 1.01110016 1.0 0 1
Brennan BernardinoMiddle Reliever 2515.45.84 1.7539.416 0.22111018 0.2 0 1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Shohei OhtaniStarter 19115.00.31 0.8008.4107 6.121135128 6.1 5 1
Tanner ScottMiddle Reliever 2320.51.32 0.63411.025 1.0000003 1.0 0 0
Alex VesiaMiddle Reliever 2316.12.80 1.11814.025 1.0200005 1.0 0 0
Kyle HurtMiddle Reliever 1616.01.12 0.87510.719 0.2000002 0.2 0 0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-1


Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers

HOU 24-32 (4.45 RPG / 5.2 RA)
1 - 5
TEX 25-29 (3.91 RPG / 3.91 RA)
WINNER: TEX wins 5-1 TARGET: HOU 2 - 3 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
HOU00000100017
TEX00005000x59

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.436
Avg Runs1.4
Avg Allowed4.3
Run Diff-157.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.231
Avg Runs1.2
Avg Allowed3.4
Run Diff-115.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record24-31
Win%0.436
Run Diff-39
RD/Game-0.709

TEX Season Quality

Record24-29
Win%0.453
Run Diff-3
RD/Game-0.057

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6772; margin adjustment: 0.2844; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Jeremy PeñaSS 7832378 0.241 5220.304 44100 02 0.250 0.242 0.292 0.405 OK
Yordan AlvarezDH 236875285 0.326 881740.440 43100 11 0.333 0.310 0.413 0.712 OK
Christian Walker1B 225852241 0.283 661810.355 44211 02 0.500 0.246 0.312 0.512 OK
Taylor TrammellLF 3512041 0.342 0190.397 44100 02 0.250 0.257 0.320 0.385 OK
Cam SmithRF 205713155 0.217 19820.314 44000 03 0.000 0.229 0.318 0.416 OK
Braden Shewmake3B 6523362 0.266 8240.272 44100 00 0.250 0.196 0.208 0.304 OK
Jake MeyersCF 6123553 0.226 9230.290 43000 11 0.000 0.191 0.241 0.331 OK
Brice Matthews2B 145515108 0.210 16510.259 44100 01 0.250 0.210 0.274 0.324 OK
Christian VázquezC 111366102 0.279 16660.340 44000 01 0.000 0.264 0.319 0.417 OK
TEAM TOTALS 36347 11 213 0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Joc PedersonDH 150441110 0.249 15530.359 55100 00 0.200 0.194 0.304 0.374 OK
Alejandro OsunaLF 8223159 0.255 0220.396 44210 02 0.500 0.231 0.345 0.291 OK
Brandon NimmoRF 227904242 0.268 28860.350 42000 22 0.000 0.249 0.326 0.396 OK
Josh Jung3B 199773232 0.300 22880.358 44212 00 0.500 0.282 0.347 0.424 OK
Jake Burger1B 207799195 0.244 381470.296 44112 01 0.250 0.237 0.282 0.419 OK
Evan CarterCF 185600115 0.192 25690.303 43000 11 0.000 0.208 0.305 0.459 OK
Ezequiel DuranSS 158552165 0.299 141040.356 43100 10 0.333 0.249 0.313 0.422 OK
Danny JansenC 12642078 0.186 13430.286 44011 01 0.000 0.163 0.233 0.320 OK
Nicky Lopez2B 000 0.000 000.000 44210 02 0.500 0.102 0.118 0.164
TEAM TOTALS 37339 55 49 0.273

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Mike BurrowsStarter 1054.75.92 1.5727.948 4.284444107 4.2 4 4
Bryan KingMiddle Reliever 2020.33.10 1.4788.018 1.01000120 1.0 1 0
Bryan AbreuMiddle Reliever 1914.97.85 2.34912.721 1.10110217 1.1 2 1
Nate PearsonMiddle Reliever 22.00.00 0.5000.00 1.00000216 1.0 2 0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Jacob deGromStarter 1052.53.94 1.04811.064 5.250018101 5.2 8 0
Jacob LatzMiddle Reliever 1923.61.14 0.4668.823 1.10000318 1.1 3 0
Jakob JunisMiddle Reliever 2023.31.55 0.7305.013 1.01001220 1.0 2 0
Chris MartinMiddle Reliever 107.48.51 2.1628.57 1.01110016 1.0 0 1

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-1


Los Angeles Angels @ Detroit Tigers

LAA 21-34 (4.13 RPG / 5.18 RA)
1 - 2
DET 21-34 (3.87 RPG / 4.4 RA)
WINNER: DET wins 2-1 TARGET: LAA 1 - 2 DET (DET) Confidence: 54.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
LAA00000000114
DET00010000126

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.167
Avg Runs1.0
Avg Allowed4.2
Run Diff-172.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.241
Avg Runs1.0
Avg Allowed3.2
Run Diff-123.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

LAA Season Quality

Record21-34
Win%0.382
Run Diff-58
RD/Game-1.055

DET Season Quality

Record21-34
Win%0.382
Run Diff-29
RD/Game-0.527

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5273; margin adjustment: 0.2215; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Zach NetoSS 248979234 0.239 451200.350 44000 02 0.000 0.277 0.373 0.483 OK
Mike TroutCF 240858210 0.245 621350.409 44000 02 0.000 0.224 0.376 0.443 OK
Vaughn Grissom1B 113422106 0.251 13850.316 44000 01 0.000 0.265 0.323 0.447 OK
Jorge SolerDH 212798174 0.218 361310.307 43000 11 0.000 0.222 0.293 0.375 OK
Wade MecklerLF 123820 0.526 4120.571 43200 10 0.667 0.333 0.382 0.455 OK
Jo AdellRF 227895221 0.247 321280.296 43011 01 0.000 0.232 0.256 0.407 OK
Oswald Peraza2B 152526151 0.287 26620.361 44000 01 0.000 0.265 0.304 0.422 OK
Donovan Walton3B 13535 0.094 000.158 43100 12 0.333 0.171 0.211 0.321 OK
Logan O'HoppeC 11940593 0.230 4460.326 32100 11 0.500 0.246 0.316 0.335 OK
TEAM TOTALS 35304 11 411 0.133

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Colt Keith3B 155510146 0.286 0230.326 43100 10 0.333 0.301 0.333 0.419 OK
Kevin McGonigleSS 231888267 0.301 141070.401 43000 10 0.000 0.312 0.404 0.482 OK
Dillon DinglerC 197737177 0.240 481420.326 44000 02 0.000 0.220 0.317 0.461 OK
Riley GreeneLF 226820255 0.311 171070.411 44100 01 0.250 0.262 0.377 0.395 OK
Zach McKinstryRF 10734856 0.161 5360.219 44211 01 0.500 0.160 0.216 0.230 OK
Spencer Torkelson1B 207715143 0.200 28760.311 44000 01 0.000 0.189 0.288 0.347 OK
Wenceel PérezCF 12844976 0.169 7300.220 44111 00 0.250 0.186 0.246 0.327 OK
Gage WorkmanDH 3210422 0.212 6160.212 33100 02 0.333 0.144 0.153 0.345 OK
Hao-Yu Lee2B 6920139 0.194 2230.257 33000 01 0.000 0.189 0.244 0.299 OK
TEAM TOTALS 34326 22 28 0.188

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
José SorianoStarter 1164.72.50 1.09710.374 6.04111696 6.0 6 1
Kirby YatesMiddle Reliever 86.44.22 1.25014.110 0.20000117 0.2 1 0
Sam BachmanMiddle Reliever 1922.52.80 1.20010.827 1.10001121 1.1 1 0
Ryan ZeferjahnMiddle Reliever 1922.05.32 1.36412.330 0.02110016 0.0 0 1

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Casey MizeStarter 841.82.58 1.0299.343 5.22002793 5.2 7 0
Kenley JansenMiddle Reliever 1613.44.03 1.11912.819 1.10000017 1.1 0 0
Kyle FinneganMiddle Reliever 2322.11.22 1.6296.115 1.01001320 1.0 3 0
Will VestMiddle Reliever 1713.99.06 1.72711.017 1.01111120 1.0 1 1

Game Summary

DET wins 2-1


Miami Marlins @ Toronto Blue Jays

MIA 26-31 (4.23 RPG / 4.46 RA)
1 - 4
TOR 27-29 (4.04 RPG / 4.11 RA)
WINNER: TOR wins 4-1 TARGET: MIA 2 - 3 TOR (TOR) Confidence: 56.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
MIA00001000016
TOR00400000x47

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.340
Avg Runs1.4
Avg Allowed3.6
Run Diff-116.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.296
Avg Runs1.1
Avg Allowed2.9
Run Diff-97.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record26-30
Win%0.464
Run Diff-12
RD/Game-0.214

TOR Season Quality

Record26-29
Win%0.473
Run Diff-5
RD/Game-0.091

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.136; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Xavier Edwards2B 234892279 0.313 26840.397 54100 10 0.250 0.268 0.348 0.431 OK
Liam HicksC 199714203 0.284 471970.356 54000 10 0.000 0.240 0.310 0.419 OK
Otto LopezSS 228918310 0.338 191020.369 44111 01 0.250 0.288 0.321 0.417 OK
Kyle StowersLF 135507104 0.205 12410.302 44000 01 0.000 0.200 0.292 0.337 OK
Jakob MarseeCF 233864169 0.196 13630.327 43000 12 0.000 0.201 0.326 0.295 OK
Connor NorbyDH 181612139 0.227 18620.334 43000 11 0.000 0.195 0.294 0.318 OK
Owen CaissieRF 146462106 0.229 11930.283 43000 13 0.000 0.238 0.283 0.394 OK
Christopher Morel1B 5819635 0.179 040.241 44200 01 0.500 0.193 0.242 0.294 OK
Graham Pauley3B 8827348 0.176 3240.227 44200 01 0.500 0.137 0.188 0.234 OK
TEAM TOTALS 38336 11 510 0.182

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Nathan LukesRF 6120767 0.324 0300.369 44110 00 0.250 0.326 0.340 0.427 OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B 217800233 0.291 12970.389 44100 00 0.250 0.296 0.383 0.378 OK
Daulton VarshoCF 204773218 0.282 24740.358 43110 10 0.333 0.284 0.357 0.422 OK
Jesús SánchezDH 171584162 0.277 251040.320 44212 00 0.500 0.243 0.274 0.466 OK
Kazuma Okamoto3B 216816180 0.221 451250.307 44112 01 0.250 0.222 0.296 0.380 OK
Yohendrick PinangoLF 7726784 0.315 8440.346 42000 21 0.000 0.275 0.306 0.453 OK
Ernie Clement2B 214860263 0.306 22880.328 44000 01 0.000 0.288 0.311 0.519 OK
Andrés GiménezSS 187672153 0.228 201060.261 33000 00 0.000 0.190 0.212 0.305 OK
Tyler HeinemanC 7320535 0.171 3100.213 33100 00 0.333 0.177 0.192 0.297 OK
TEAM TOTALS 34317 44 33 0.226

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Eury PérezStarter 1158.24.95 1.3069.763 5.173332100 5.1 2 3
Pete FairbanksMiddle Reliever 1412.38.05 1.54514.620 0.00110014 0.0 0 1
Calvin FaucherMiddle Reliever 2118.14.48 1.87810.922 1.1000004 1.1 0 0
Anthony BenderMiddle Reliever 2217.64.09 1.19311.823 1.10000117 1.1 1 0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Kevin GausmanStarter 1161.93.34 1.0828.961 5.241147111 5.2 7 1
Louis VarlandMiddle Reliever 2525.10.72 1.19514.340 1.11001027 1.1 0 0
Tyler RogersMiddle Reliever 2521.92.88 1.2796.215 1.00000215 1.0 2 0
Jeff HoffmanMiddle Reliever 2520.95.60 1.77017.240 1.01000116 1.0 1 0

Game Summary

TOR wins 4-1


Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox

MIN 27-28 (4.62 RPG / 4.55 RA)
4 - 1
CHW 27-27 (4.46 RPG / 4.78 RA)
WINNER: MIN wins 4-1 TARGET: MIN 3 - 2 CHW (MIN) Confidence: 51.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
MIN00010300046
CHW00001000018

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.283
Avg Runs1.3
Avg Allowed3.2
Run Diff-103.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.275
Avg Runs1.3
Avg Allowed2.7
Run Diff-75.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record27-28
Win%0.491
Run Diff4
RD/Game0.073

CHW Season Quality

Record27-27
Win%0.500
Run Diff-17
RD/Game-0.315

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3739; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Byron BuxtonDH 211912244 0.268 801320.327 54110 10 0.250 0.242 0.310 0.518 OK
Brooks Lee3B 201765197 0.258 241210.316 44100 00 0.250 0.278 0.324 0.462 OK
Trevor LarnachLF 147510148 0.290 8540.397 43111 10 0.333 0.243 0.336 0.374 OK
Josh Bell1B 209794176 0.222 211250.288 44000 00 0.000 0.205 0.267 0.318 OK
Kody ClemensCF 160582135 0.232 18640.323 44112 01 0.250 0.197 0.275 0.378 OK
Austin MartinRF 171627186 0.297 10740.396 43111 11 0.333 0.266 0.349 0.373 OK
Luke Keaschall2B 206768184 0.240 5810.323 44100 00 0.250 0.245 0.312 0.321 OK
Tristan GraySS 8728562 0.218 13580.272 43000 12 0.000 0.206 0.296 0.315 OK
Alex JacksonC 7256 0.240 000.240 44000 00 0.000 0.253 0.266 0.439 OK
TEAM TOTALS 37336 44 44 0.182

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth2B 217836220 0.263 18620.333 54100 10 0.250 0.271 0.333 0.377 OK
Munetaka MurakamiDH 231842202 0.240 881780.379 55111 01 0.200 0.229 0.351 0.565 OK
Miguel Vargas1B 229853197 0.231 551410.359 44100 03 0.250 0.201 0.309 0.408 OK
Randal GrichukRF 295916 0.271 8190.338 44000 01 0.000 0.223 0.263 0.446 OK
Colson Montgomery3B 220823187 0.227 571430.328 44100 02 0.250 0.233 0.305 0.455 OK
Edgar QueroC 11840471 0.176 5550.252 44000 01 0.000 0.180 0.275 0.232 OK
Derek HillCF 6516736 0.216 6150.268 43100 11 0.333 0.186 0.252 0.293 OK
Sam AntonacciLF 134465112 0.241 5440.357 43100 11 0.333 0.224 0.282 0.328 OK
Luisangel AcuñaSS 10331353 0.169 0170.239 44200 00 0.500 0.155 0.211 0.193 OK
TEAM TOTALS 38358 11 310 0.229

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Connor PrielippStarter 629.04.03 1.1729.330 5.061126101 5.0 6 1
Taylor RogersMiddle Reliever 2215.92.83 1.8249.116 0.20000216 0.2 2 0
Eric OrzeMiddle Reliever 2120.53.95 1.5619.221 1.10000120 1.1 1 0
Andrew MorrisMiddle Reliever 1518.65.32 1.8288.217 1.01000119 1.0 1 0
Anthony BandaMiddle Reliever 2617.57.71 1.60010.320 1.01001020 1.0 0 0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
David SandlinStarter 000.00 0.0000.00 3.05333365 3.0 3 3
Seranthony DomínguezMiddle Reliever 21.116.36 3.6360.00 3.11110049 3.1 0 1
Grant TaylorMiddle Reliever 66.11.48 1.31111.88 1.00000118 1.0 1 0
Bryan HudsonMiddle Reliever 2420.91.72 1.4839.923 1.20001025 1.2 0 0

Game Summary

MIN wins 4-1


New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals

NYY 33-22 (4.96 RPG / 3.47 RA)
5 - 2
KC 22-33 (3.84 RPG / 4.56 RA)
WINNER: NYY wins 5-2 TARGET: NYY 5 - 2 KC (NYY) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
NYY00140000054
KC00000020027

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.288
Avg Runs1.2
Avg Allowed2.6
Run Diff-68.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.154
Avg Runs0.8
Avg Allowed3.9
Run Diff-164.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record33-22
Win%0.600
Run Diff82
RD/Game1.491

KC Season Quality

Record22-33
Win%0.400
Run Diff-40
RD/Game-0.727

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.5182; margin adjustment: -1.0576; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Paul Goldschmidt1B 103383104 0.272 23570.354 44000 00 0.000 0.272 0.338 0.521 OK
Ben RiceDH 207784229 0.292 691500.394 44000 02 0.000 0.309 0.404 0.604 OK
Aaron JudgeRF 240869229 0.264 741510.400 43110 10 0.333 0.300 0.435 0.595 OK
Cody BellingerCF 230841234 0.278 361590.385 44000 00 0.000 0.293 0.391 0.577 OK
Amed Rosario2B 9332497 0.299 27760.344 43000 01 0.000 0.315 0.358 0.650 OK
Anthony VolpeSS 3812844 0.344 6350.481 43010 11 0.000 0.324 0.452 0.588 OK
Ryan McMahon3B 14849393 0.189 13570.254 43111 11 0.333 0.195 0.254 0.305 OK
José CaballeroLF 159560154 0.275 18620.329 44112 01 0.250 0.259 0.292 0.380 OK
Austin WellsC 14848296 0.199 17320.318 43112 11 0.333 0.236 0.340 0.343 OK
TEAM TOTALS 36314 55 47 0.129

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia3B 230953269 0.282 14990.334 55210 01 0.400 0.237 0.286 0.346 OK
Bobby Witt Jr.SS 239959282 0.294 401110.361 44312 00 0.750 0.262 0.324 0.520 OK
Vinnie Pasquantino1B 223838165 0.197 231050.295 44000 00 0.000 0.206 0.303 0.337 OK
Salvador PerezDH 219846188 0.222 421110.275 43000 10 0.000 0.210 0.258 0.393 OK
Carter JensenC 183628148 0.236 23980.324 43000 12 0.000 0.209 0.289 0.356 OK
Lane ThomasCF 11132575 0.231 6320.363 43100 01 0.333 0.251 0.377 0.365 OK
Jac CaglianoneRF 176615137 0.223 18400.298 44000 00 0.000 0.171 0.240 0.295 OK
Michael Massey2B 11135080 0.229 10460.245 44000 03 0.000 0.145 0.194 0.263 OK
Isaac CollinsLF 176580131 0.226 11710.354 44100 01 0.250 0.196 0.324 0.290 OK
TEAM TOTALS 37347 22 28 0.206

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Gerrit ColeStarter 16.00.00 0.8333.02 5.03002685 5.0 6 0
David BednarMiddle Reliever 2321.65.00 1.66711.728 1.24220033 1.2 0 2
Fernando CruzMiddle Reliever 2515.62.88 1.92317.330 1.00000116 1.0 1 0
Tim HillMiddle Reliever 2516.91.60 1.1245.911 1.10000117 1.1 1 0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Noah CameronStarter 946.54.84 1.4848.544 5.13553288 5.1 2 5
Lucas ErcegMiddle Reliever 2220.45.29 1.7657.918 1.00000110 1.0 1 0
Nick MearsMiddle Reliever 2016.84.29 1.4887.514 1.00000215 1.0 2 0
Daniel Lynch IVMiddle Reliever 2220.11.79 0.99512.127 1.00000217 1.0 2 0
John SchreiberMiddle Reliever 2217.33.64 1.6766.212 0.21000016 0.2 0 0
Alex LangeMiddle Reliever 2122.65.18 1.4609.223 0.00001014 0.0 0 0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-2


Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres

PHI 29-27 (3.98 RPG / 4.29 RA)
2 - 1
SD 31-24 (3.89 RPG / 3.91 RA)
WINNER: PHI wins 2-1 TARGET: PHI 2 - 1 SD (PHI) Confidence: 54.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
PHI01010000025
SD00000000115

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.185
Avg Runs0.8
Avg Allowed3.3
Run Diff-131.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.212
Avg Runs1.0
Avg Allowed3.3
Run Diff-124.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

PHI Season Quality

Record27-27
Win%0.500
Run Diff-21
RD/Game-0.389

SD Season Quality

Record31-22
Win%0.585
Run Diff3
RD/Game0.057

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5729; margin adjustment: 0.2406; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Kyle SchwarberDH 235916222 0.242 971800.357 44000 01 0.000 0.243 0.336 0.567 OK
Trea TurnerSS 2361018236 0.232 30810.280 44000 01 0.000 0.230 0.274 0.394 OK
Bryce Harper1B 226823232 0.282 571470.389 44111 01 0.250 0.270 0.412 0.595 OK
Alec Bohm3B 205770166 0.216 17990.276 44200 00 0.500 0.209 0.267 0.307 OK
Bryson Stott2B 181650147 0.226 20980.278 44111 00 0.250 0.205 0.256 0.340 OK
J.T. RealmutoC 128449113 0.252 9410.329 33000 01 0.000 0.263 0.314 0.427 OK
Adolis GarcíaRF 210751148 0.197 12680.286 33000 01 0.000 0.176 0.270 0.278 OK
Justin CrawfordCF 171586138 0.235 8440.302 33100 00 0.333 0.182 0.236 0.296 OK
Edmundo SosaLF 8728555 0.193 5410.223 33000 02 0.000 0.131 0.154 0.211 OK
TEAM TOTALS 32325 22 07 0.156

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Fernando Tatis Jr.2B 223856220 0.257 0680.337 44000 01 0.000 0.271 0.350 0.328 OK
Miguel Andujar3B 160610176 0.289 19710.314 44200 01 0.500 0.247 0.274 0.425 OK
Gavin Sheets1B 165558144 0.258 32850.339 44000 00 0.000 0.257 0.340 0.458 OK
Manny MachadoDH 213767136 0.177 391190.272 44211 00 0.500 0.188 0.292 0.418 OK
Xander BogaertsSS 205760192 0.253 291020.322 44100 01 0.250 0.237 0.303 0.344 OK
Ramón LaureanoLF 191711159 0.224 29990.304 44000 01 0.000 0.208 0.279 0.423 OK
Jackson MerrillCF 212828164 0.198 17870.274 32000 11 0.000 0.171 0.239 0.275 OK
Nick CastellanosRF 11438769 0.178 11640.215 33000 01 0.000 0.121 0.165 0.226 OK
Freddy FerminC 10433548 0.143 0120.247 33000 00 0.000 0.129 0.254 0.190 OK
TEAM TOTALS 33325 11 16 0.156

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Cristopher SánchezStarter 1171.41.64 1.16210.886 6.240016100 6.2 6 0
Jhoan DuranMiddle Reliever 1716.21.67 1.04914.426 1.0000003 1.0 0 0
Brad KellerMiddle Reliever 2422.54.00 1.24410.827 0.2000008 0.2 0 0
José AlvaradoMiddle Reliever 2313.77.88 2.48215.824 0.21110016 0.2 0 1

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Walker BuehlerStarter 1044.75.23 1.4548.341 5.04220682 5.0 6 2
Mason MillerMiddle Reliever 2322.50.80 0.84418.847 1.0100004 1.0 0 0
Jason AdamMiddle Reliever 1916.51.09 1.0305.510 1.00000015 1.0 0 0
Adrian MorejonMiddle Reliever 2423.64.96 1.27112.633 1.00000113 1.0 1 0
Jeremiah EstradaMiddle Reliever 1714.93.62 1.14111.519 1.00000014 1.0 0 0

Game Summary

PHI wins 2-1


Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics

SEA 28-29 (4.21 RPG / 3.79 RA)
4 - 3
OAK 27-29 (4.21 RPG / 4.66 RA)
WINNER: SEA wins 4-3 TARGET: SEA 3 - 2 OAK (SEA) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
SEA00020200048
OAK00000300038

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.365
Avg Runs1.3
Avg Allowed3.3
Run Diff-105.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.231
Avg Runs1.1
Avg Allowed3.7
Run Diff-131.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record26-29
Win%0.473
Run Diff13
RD/Game0.236

OAK Season Quality

Record27-27
Win%0.500
Run Diff-14
RD/Game-0.259

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4547; margin adjustment: -0.191; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
J.P. CrawfordSS 199731157 0.215 33910.344 55000 01 0.000 0.219 0.328 0.377 OK
Julio RodríguezCF 242985255 0.259 411130.319 55000 02 0.000 0.252 0.300 0.404 OK
Randy ArozarenaDH 234857266 0.310 241090.397 43210 10 0.667 0.296 0.362 0.479 OK
Josh Naylor1B 224890235 0.264 221080.330 43211 10 0.667 0.284 0.340 0.371 OK
Rob RefsnyderLF 8120421 0.103 5130.204 44112 00 0.250 0.166 0.232 0.241 OK
Victor RoblesRF 195718 0.316 030.316 44100 02 0.250 0.289 0.298 0.445 OK
Cole Young2B 219772182 0.236 131070.314 44111 00 0.250 0.217 0.278 0.328 OK
Jhonny PeredaC 258013 0.162 110.212 44100 01 0.250 0.199 0.217 0.283 OK
Colt Emerson3B 298923 0.258 4160.365 43000 11 0.000 0.233 0.328 0.450 OK
TEAM TOTALS 38358 44 37 0.229

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Carlos CortesRF 146489173 0.354 24750.435 53111 20 0.333 0.241 0.349 0.411 OK
Nick Kurtz1B 244885255 0.288 381710.443 55100 01 0.200 0.243 0.389 0.410 OK
Shea LangeliersDH 225935288 0.308 591300.378 54000 11 0.000 0.254 0.316 0.481 OK
Tyler SoderstromLF 218849180 0.212 261090.297 55100 00 0.200 0.239 0.310 0.471 OK
Jonah HeimC 259619 0.198 000.238 43210 11 0.667 0.235 0.308 0.410 OK
Henry BolteCF 4114645 0.308 0160.371 44112 01 0.250 0.262 0.335 0.350 OK
Jeff McNeil2B 184642177 0.276 6580.345 44100 01 0.250 0.242 0.308 0.325 OK
Zack Gelof3B 130482118 0.245 26690.300 43000 10 0.000 0.212 0.260 0.359 OK
Darell HernaizSS 10733589 0.266 4290.346 44100 00 0.250 0.203 0.278 0.270 OK
TEAM TOTALS 40358 33 55 0.229

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Logan GilbertStarter 1160.74.15 1.1379.363 5.273345108 5.2 5 3
Andrés MuñozMiddle Reliever 2219.55.08 1.38515.233 1.00000015 1.0 0 0
Matt BrashMiddle Reliever 1512.40.00 0.6458.011 1.10001015 1.1 0 0
José A. FerrerMiddle Reliever 2622.22.03 1.3518.922 1.01000016 1.0 0 0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Jeffrey SpringsStarter 1160.44.17 1.1927.550 5.184403103 5.1 3 4
Hogan HarrisMiddle Reliever 2819.53.69 2.15412.928 1.20003135 1.2 1 0
Joel KuhnelMiddle Reliever 2117.52.57 1.2576.713 1.00000214 1.0 2 0
Scott BarlowMiddle Reliever 2421.51.67 0.7919.222 1.00000113 1.0 1 0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-3


St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers

STL 29-25 (4.35 RPG / 4.54 RA)
2 - 5
MIL 33-20 (4.89 RPG / 3.42 RA)
WINNER: MIL wins 5-2 TARGET: STL 3 - 4 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 53.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
STL10100000025
MIL11012000x510

STL Recent Form

Win%0.173
Avg Runs0.8
Avg Allowed3.2
Run Diff-123.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.388
Avg Runs1.4
Avg Allowed2.8
Run Diff-67.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

STL Season Quality

Record29-24
Win%0.547
Run Diff-9
RD/Game-0.170

MIL Season Quality

Record32-20
Win%0.615
Run Diff77
RD/Game1.481

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.7529; margin adjustment: 0.7362; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt2B 239937220 0.235 421170.359 43111 10 0.333 0.202 0.297 0.328 OK
Iván HerreraDH 239912236 0.259 271150.385 44100 00 0.250 0.233 0.335 0.361 OK
Alec Burleson1B 224905257 0.284 311560.350 44111 00 0.250 0.248 0.309 0.397 OK
Jordan WalkerRF 220859273 0.318 691980.386 44000 01 0.000 0.277 0.340 0.525 OK
Nolan Gorman3B 194710164 0.231 241090.307 44000 01 0.000 0.193 0.268 0.296 OK
Masyn WinnSS 195752172 0.229 5880.297 44000 01 0.000 0.184 0.240 0.270 OK
Bryan TorresLF 176518 0.277 000.373 33000 01 0.000 0.274 0.334 0.328 OK
Pedro PagésC 12443499 0.228 16360.269 33000 00 0.000 0.210 0.241 0.320 OK
Victor Scott IICF 15245880 0.175 9270.245 33200 01 0.667 0.170 0.233 0.242 OK
TEAM TOTALS 33325 22 15 0.156

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Christian YelichDH 93360106 0.294 15550.357 44312 01 0.750 0.315 0.370 0.548 OK
Jackson ChourioLF 85371108 0.291 4230.336 44000 00 0.000 0.275 0.339 0.396 OK
Brice Turang2B 222831244 0.294 341490.414 44211 00 0.500 0.254 0.388 0.423 OK
William ContrerasC 214868264 0.304 171530.376 43110 10 0.333 0.323 0.389 0.447 OK
Jake Bauers1B 176670195 0.291 341270.359 44112 01 0.250 0.305 0.362 0.552 OK
Garrett MitchellCF 162567137 0.242 71060.353 43000 11 0.000 0.252 0.350 0.434 OK
Luis Rengifo3B 163593128 0.216 0610.285 44210 00 0.500 0.186 0.274 0.252 OK
Sal FrelickRF 182665149 0.224 14660.293 44100 01 0.250 0.225 0.302 0.336 OK
David HamiltonSS 139448106 0.237 0310.329 44000 02 0.000 0.204 0.287 0.245 OK
TEAM TOTALS 363410 55 26 0.294

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Dustin MayStarter 1053.35.07 1.4457.142 5.010551497 5.0 4 5
Riley O'BrienMiddle Reliever 2422.73.17 1.05710.727 1.00000216 1.0 2 0
JoJo RomeroMiddle Reliever 2420.03.60 1.5009.922 1.00001016 1.0 0 0
George SorianoMiddle Reliever 2318.43.91 1.3598.317 1.00000016 1.0 0 0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Chad PatrickStarter 1239.62.73 1.2376.629 5.04220375 5.0 3 2
Abner UribeMiddle Reliever 2117.74.58 1.29910.721 1.00000116 1.0 1 0
Trevor MegillMiddle Reliever 1818.03.00 1.05611.022 1.21001011 1.2 0 0
Aaron AshbyMiddle Reliever 2429.52.44 1.45814.347 1.10000126 1.1 1 0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-2


Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles

TB 34-18 (4.69 RPG / 4.06 RA)
3 - 1
BAL 25-30 (4.42 RPG / 5.33 RA)
WINNER: TB wins 3-1 TARGET: TB 3 - 2 BAL (TB) Confidence: 56.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
123456789RH
TB00020001038
BAL10000000018

TB Recent Form

Win%0.294
Avg Runs1.3
Avg Allowed2.6
Run Diff-67.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.189
Avg Runs1.2
Avg Allowed4.1
Run Diff-157.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

TB Season Quality

Record34-18
Win%0.654
Run Diff33
RD/Game0.635

BAL Season Quality

Record25-30
Win%0.455
Run Diff-50
RD/Game-0.909

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.8427; margin adjustment: -0.7739; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Chandler SimpsonLF 216898259 0.288 0440.321 55100 01 0.200 0.267 0.301 0.341 OK
Junior Caminero3B 229906242 0.267 571270.364 54100 11 0.250 0.267 0.367 0.453 OK
Jonathan Aranda1B 224839239 0.285 421900.378 55000 02 0.000 0.318 0.405 0.510 OK
Yandy DíazDH 215850270 0.318 301510.394 44200 00 0.500 0.302 0.354 0.466 OK
Richie Palacios2B 11134095 0.279 4560.389 43100 11 0.333 0.218 0.311 0.279 OK
Ryan ViladeRF 7321579 0.367 7480.422 44211 00 0.500 0.332 0.413 0.530 OK
Cedric MullinsCF 178664125 0.188 13720.263 43011 11 0.000 0.186 0.250 0.272 OK
Carson WilliamsSS 2910314 0.136 0130.191 44100 01 0.250 0.139 0.203 0.217 OK
Hunter FeducciaC 6917737 0.209 1140.285 43011 11 0.000 0.145 0.209 0.213 OK
TEAM TOTALS 39358 33 48 0.229

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Taylor WardLF 243891230 0.258 9720.406 54000 10 0.000 0.227 0.368 0.334 OK
Gunnar HendersonSS 2451050220 0.210 461220.265 44000 01 0.000 0.191 0.236 0.351 OK
Adley RutschmanC 150586148 0.253 311090.322 44311 00 0.750 0.219 0.297 0.413 OK
Pete AlonsoDH 234890215 0.242 401470.327 43100 11 0.333 0.232 0.326 0.413 OK
Tyler O'NeillRF 10230851 0.166 8280.286 44000 01 0.000 0.173 0.262 0.254 OK
Coby Mayo1B 14347294 0.199 19690.274 44100 01 0.250 0.202 0.276 0.332 OK
Jeremiah Jackson2B 165618152 0.246 21850.263 44000 01 0.000 0.233 0.247 0.353 OK
Weston Wilson3B 4311029 0.264 460.386 44200 02 0.500 0.213 0.314 0.332 OK
Blaze AlexanderCF 12340899 0.243 0300.299 44100 00 0.250 0.212 0.261 0.257 OK
TEAM TOTALS 37358 11 27 0.229

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Steven MatzStarter 841.13.72 1.1197.233 5.03112595 5.0 5 1
Bryan BakerMiddle Reliever 2421.42.52 1.02810.926 1.11000120 1.1 1 0
Ian SeymourMiddle Reliever 2323.83.40 1.26111.731 1.12000123 1.1 1 0
Kevin KellyMiddle Reliever 2420.73.48 0.9667.417 1.12000023 1.1 0 0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Trey GibsonStarter 000.00 0.0000.00 2.14114469 2.1 4 1
Rico GarciaMiddle Reliever 2521.00.86 0.71411.627 1.20000021 1.2 0 0
Anthony NunezMiddle Reliever 2322.14.48 1.17611.428 1.21000032 1.2 0 0
Yennier CanoMiddle Reliever 2416.31.66 0.6138.816 1.00000113 1.0 1 0
Tyler WellsMiddle Reliever 1923.73.42 1.2249.525 1.12110123 1.1 1 1
Keegan AkinMiddle Reliever 129.514.21 2.31610.411 1.01110216 1.0 2 1

Game Summary

TB wins 3-1


Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians

WAS 29-28 (5.37 RPG / 5.44 RA)
2 - 3
CLE 33-25 (4.14 RPG / 3.91 RA)
WINNER: CLE wins 3-2 TARGET: WAS 1 - 3 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 53.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
12345678910RH
WAS000200000025
CLE110000000135

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.286
Avg Runs1.4
Avg Allowed3.8
Run Diff-133.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.352
Avg Runs1.2
Avg Allowed2.9
Run Diff-94.0
Off Trendcold
Def Trendstrong
Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record29-27
Win%0.518
Run Diff-3
RD/Game-0.054

CLE Season Quality

Record32-25
Win%0.561
Run Diff12
RD/Game0.211

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3294; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
James WoodRF 2621014294 0.290 751920.431 54000 11 0.000 0.326 0.446 0.646 OK
Luis García Jr.1B 170635180 0.283 201190.303 55100 00 0.200 0.261 0.282 0.485 OK
Curtis Mead3B 140462118 0.255 32840.378 55000 03 0.000 0.201 0.331 0.448 OK
CJ AbramsSS 234893263 0.295 482020.384 43110 10 0.333 0.280 0.365 0.520 OK
Daylen LileLF 2421001259 0.259 321200.318 44100 01 0.250 0.244 0.321 0.388 OK
Jose FernandezDH 000 0.000 000.000 42112 20 0.500 0.236 0.262 0.353
Jorbit Vivas2B 11434291 0.266 4210.348 44100 00 0.250 0.267 0.326 0.462 OK
Drew MillasC 9632256 0.174 4270.259 44000 01 0.000 0.162 0.232 0.235 OK
Jacob YoungCF 189717170 0.237 24900.290 44000 02 0.000 0.236 0.272 0.374 OK
TEAM TOTALS 39355 22 48 0.143

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Travis Bazzana2B 108390114 0.292 12480.412 55111 01 0.200 0.292 0.409 0.458 OK
José RamírezDH 246918217 0.236 361200.352 53000 21 0.000 0.238 0.340 0.411 OK
Chase DeLauterRF 210814205 0.252 321430.331 55111 01 0.200 0.238 0.315 0.401 OK
Kyle Manzardo1B 163585123 0.210 16580.290 44000 02 0.000 0.213 0.290 0.334 OK
Angel MartínezLF 187721184 0.255 381140.296 44100 00 0.250 0.191 0.216 0.361 OK
Daniel Schneemann3B 156540130 0.241 17770.328 43100 11 0.333 0.224 0.313 0.360 OK
Steven KwanCF 227857180 0.210 4560.330 44000 00 0.000 0.224 0.349 0.282 OK
Austin HedgesC 7824261 0.252 5170.327 43111 10 0.333 0.220 0.304 0.340 OK
Brayan RocchioSS 199665201 0.302 141040.381 44000 01 0.000 0.346 0.400 0.452 OK
TEAM TOTALS 39355 33 47 0.143

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
PJ PoulinStarter 2419.74.11 1.7777.316 4.13223576 4.1 5 2
Gus VarlandMiddle Reliever 2116.64.88 1.80710.319 1.11000020 1.1 0 0
Brad LordMiddle Reliever 1632.23.07 1.1188.129 1.1000105 1.1 0 0
Richard LoveladyMiddle Reliever 1613.12.06 1.83210.315 1.00000116 1.0 1 0
Mitchell ParkerMiddle Reliever 1226.35.48 1.2178.625 0.20000124 0.2 1 0
Clayton BeeterReliever 1211.43.16 1.22810.313 1.11110020 1.1 0 1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Gavin WilliamsStarter 1168.43.29 1.12611.184 6.242237108 6.2 7 2
Cade SmithMiddle Reliever 2525.22.50 1.07113.237 1.10000017 1.1 0 0
Hunter GaddisMiddle Reliever 1511.04.91 1.5459.812 1.01000116 1.0 1 0
Shawn ArmstrongMiddle Reliever 1411.01.64 1.45513.917 1.00001012 1.0 0 0

Game Summary

CLE wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 10)