| Matchup | Target Score | Sim Score | Target Winner | Sim Winner | Winner | Confidence | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI @ SF | 4 - 1 | 4 - 3 | ARI | ARI | ARI wins 4-3 | 53% | enhanced_ml |
| ATL @ BOS | 3 - 2 | 5 - 1 | ATL | ATL | ATL wins 5-1 | 53% | enhanced_ml |
| CHC @ PIT | 4 - 3 | 5 - 2 | CHC | CHC | CHC wins 5-2 | 60% | enhanced_ml |
| CIN @ NYM | 3 - 2 | 4 - 3 | CIN | CIN | CIN wins 4-3 | 51% | enhanced_ml |
| COL @ LAD | 1 - 5 | 2 - 4 | LAD | LAD | LAD wins 4-2 | 53% | enhanced_ml |
| HOU @ TEX | 3 - 4 | 3 - 5 | TEX | TEX | TEX wins 5-3 | 57% | enhanced_ml |
| LAA @ DET | 2 - 4 | 2 - 3 | DET | DET | DET wins 3-2 | 57% | enhanced_ml |
| MIA @ TOR | 2 - 1 | 3 - 1 | MIA | MIA | MIA wins 3-1 | 51% | enhanced_ml |
| MIN @ CHW | 2 - 1 | 3 - 2 | MIN | MIN | MIN wins 3-2 | 53% | enhanced_ml |
| NYY @ KC | 4 - 1 | 5 - 0 | NYY | NYY | NYY wins 5-0 | 53% | enhanced_ml |
| PHI @ SD | 2 - 4 | 1 - 4 | SD | SD | SD wins 4-1 | 57% | enhanced_ml |
| SEA @ OAK | 3 - 4 | 3 - 4 | OAK | OAK | OAK wins 4-3 | 51% | enhanced_ml |
| STL @ MIL | 1 - 2 | 0 - 3 | MIL | MIL | MIL wins 3-0 | 58% | enhanced_ml |
| TB @ BAL | 5 - 8 | 4 - 5 | BAL | BAL | BAL wins 5-4 | 60% | enhanced_ml |
| WAS @ CLE | 2 - 3 | 2 - 3 | CLE | CLE | CLE wins 3-2 | 55% | enhanced_ml |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| SF | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Quality edge: -1.3616; margin adjustment: -0.5719; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Ketel Marte | 2B | 48 | 199 | 55 | 0.276 | 8 | 30 | 0.326 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.308 | 0.359 | 0.525 | OK |
| Corbin Carroll | RF | 50 | 181 | 55 | 0.304 | 7 | 28 | 0.399 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.297 | 0.381 | 0.559 | OK |
| Geraldo Perdomo | SS | 50 | 172 | 38 | 0.221 | 2 | 19 | 0.337 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.211 | 0.334 | 0.334 | OK |
| Nolan Arenado | 3B | 49 | 167 | 45 | 0.269 | 7 | 27 | 0.347 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.227 | 0.300 | 0.401 | OK |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | CF | 16 | 55 | 17 | 0.309 | 0 | 7 | 0.367 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.246 | 0.307 | 0.395 | OK |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 1B | 43 | 175 | 52 | 0.297 | 7 | 29 | 0.324 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.200 | 0.233 | 0.318 | OK |
| Gabriel Moreno | C | 27 | 100 | 24 | 0.240 | 3 | 13 | 0.304 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.207 | 0.277 | 0.355 | OK |
| Adrian Del Castillo | DH | 29 | 103 | 18 | 0.175 | 2 | 15 | 0.239 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.170 | 0.246 | 0.264 | OK |
| Tommy Troy | LF | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0.429 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.216 | 0.307 | 0.584 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Willy Adames | SS | 53 | 213 | 50 | 0.235 | 6 | 17 | 0.276 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.205 | 0.249 | 0.382 | OK |
| Casey Schmitt | 2B | 45 | 172 | 51 | 0.297 | 11 | 29 | 0.339 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.243 | 0.273 | 0.522 | OK |
| Matt Chapman | 3B | 52 | 199 | 47 | 0.236 | 1 | 16 | 0.312 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.226 | 0.295 | 0.341 | OK |
| Rafael Devers | 1B | 54 | 207 | 51 | 0.246 | 7 | 27 | 0.291 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.208 | 0.250 | 0.391 | OK |
| Harrison Bader | CF | 25 | 93 | 17 | 0.183 | 5 | 13 | 0.214 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.182 | 0.218 | 0.373 | OK |
| Jesus Rodriguez | LF | 10 | 33 | 8 | 0.242 | 1 | 5 | 0.306 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.179 | 0.231 | 0.257 | OK |
| Bryce Eldridge | DH | 12 | 40 | 7 | 0.175 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.179 | 0.250 | 0.281 | OK |
| Eric Haase | C | 8 | 25 | 6 | 0.240 | 2 | 4 | 0.269 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.182 | 0.219 | 0.411 | OK |
| Victor Bericoto | RF | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.168 | 0.181 | 0.263 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Starter | 10 | 59.4 | 2.27 | 1.212 | 6.5 | 43 | 6.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 94 | 6.2 | 6 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | Middle Reliever | 1 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Juan Morillo | Middle Reliever | 2 | 1.2 | 15.00 | 3.333 | 7.5 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Taylor Clarke | Middle Reliever | 1 | 0.1 | 360.00 | 30.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Tyler Mahle | Starter | 10 | 50.5 | 6.24 | 1.604 | 9.6 | 54 | 4.2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 88 | 4.2 | 6 | 4 |
| Caleb Kilian | Middle Reliever | 21 | 19.3 | 2.80 | 1.244 | 11.7 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keaton Winn | Middle Reliever | 23 | 22.4 | 2.01 | 0.848 | 8.4 | 21 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Erik Miller | Middle Reliever | 16 | 12.0 | 4.50 | 1.667 | 15.8 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joel Peguero | Middle Reliever | 9 | 7.7 | 3.51 | 1.299 | 3.5 | 3 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
ARI wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Quality edge: -2.562; margin adjustment: -1.076; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | RF | 40 | 149 | 36 | 0.242 | 2 | 11 | 0.358 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.212 | 0.326 | 0.328 | OK |
| Mauricio Dubón | LF | 50 | 188 | 48 | 0.255 | 3 | 27 | 0.307 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.241 | 0.282 | 0.388 | OK |
| Matt Olson | 1B | 54 | 209 | 55 | 0.263 | 14 | 42 | 0.342 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.200 | 0.284 | 0.393 | OK |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 54 | 208 | 57 | 0.274 | 8 | 27 | 0.332 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.237 | 0.294 | 0.349 | OK |
| Austin Riley | 3B | 53 | 200 | 45 | 0.225 | 8 | 31 | 0.294 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.223 | 0.282 | 0.381 | OK |
| Eli White | DH | 18 | 52 | 11 | 0.212 | 2 | 9 | 0.236 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.216 | 0.250 | 0.374 | OK |
| Michael Harris II | CF | 45 | 175 | 49 | 0.280 | 10 | 25 | 0.306 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.223 | 0.248 | 0.411 | OK |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SS | 10 | 34 | 4 | 0.118 | 0 | 2 | 0.231 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.170 | 0.277 | 0.230 | OK |
| Sandy León | C | 6 | 16 | 2 | 0.125 | 0 | 0 | 0.125 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.179 | 0.192 | 0.268 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.289 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jarren Duran | LF | 45 | 185 | 36 | 0.195 | 6 | 25 | 0.268 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.184 | 0.252 | 0.369 | OK |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | CF | 45 | 165 | 45 | 0.273 | 3 | 16 | 0.344 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.212 | 0.267 | 0.349 | OK |
| Wilyer Abreu | RF | 51 | 198 | 58 | 0.293 | 6 | 20 | 0.356 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.223 | 0.282 | 0.351 | OK |
| Willson Contreras | 1B | 49 | 178 | 50 | 0.281 | 11 | 33 | 0.373 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.321 | 0.468 | OK |
| Masataka Yoshida | DH | 23 | 80 | 20 | 0.250 | 1 | 6 | 0.337 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.192 | 0.262 | 0.342 | OK |
| Mickey Gasper | C | 8 | 32 | 11 | 0.344 | 0 | 2 | 0.364 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.199 | 0.207 | 0.300 | OK |
| Nick Sogard | 2B | 7 | 23 | 7 | 0.304 | 0 | 2 | 0.429 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.202 | 0.330 | 0.374 | OK |
| Marcelo Mayer | SS | 40 | 132 | 27 | 0.205 | 2 | 11 | 0.272 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.163 | 0.223 | 0.252 | OK |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 3B | 16 | 45 | 10 | 0.222 | 0 | 3 | 0.300 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.182 | 0.262 | 0.239 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Spencer Strider | Starter | 4 | 20.3 | 3.10 | 1.182 | 12.0 | 27 | 6.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 97 | 6.1 | 5 | 0 |
| Raisel Iglesias | Middle Reliever | 15 | 15.2 | 0.00 | 0.724 | 11.2 | 19 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 |
| Robert Suarez | Middle Reliever | 22 | 21.4 | 0.84 | 0.935 | 8.4 | 20 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Ranger Suarez | Starter | 9 | 47.5 | 2.46 | 1.032 | 8.1 | 43 | 5.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 89 | 5.2 | 4 | 2 |
| Aroldis Chapman | Middle Reliever | 18 | 17.2 | 0.52 | 0.872 | 12.0 | 23 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Garrett Whitlock | Middle Reliever | 20 | 19.2 | 3.28 | 1.146 | 11.7 | 25 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Justin Slaten | Middle Reliever | 10 | 7.5 | 4.80 | 1.467 | 14.4 | 12 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
ATL wins 5-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Quality edge: 0.0463; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CF | 53 | 191 | 43 | 0.225 | 6 | 23 | 0.313 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.189 | 0.280 | 0.353 | OK |
| Nico Hoerner | 2B | 51 | 207 | 52 | 0.251 | 4 | 31 | 0.339 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.209 | 0.299 | 0.317 | OK |
| Michael Busch | 1B | 52 | 190 | 43 | 0.226 | 6 | 29 | 0.355 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.202 | 0.325 | 0.420 | OK |
| Alex Bregman | 3B | 52 | 210 | 52 | 0.248 | 4 | 15 | 0.335 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.229 | 0.305 | 0.316 | OK |
| Ian Happ | LF | 50 | 185 | 39 | 0.211 | 10 | 20 | 0.348 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.165 | 0.296 | 0.312 | OK |
| Seiya Suzuki | RF | 37 | 140 | 35 | 0.250 | 7 | 18 | 0.346 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.186 | 0.274 | 0.299 | OK |
| Moisés Ballesteros | DH | 35 | 106 | 25 | 0.236 | 6 | 18 | 0.320 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.194 | 0.300 | 0.308 | OK |
| Carson Kelly | C | 33 | 121 | 35 | 0.289 | 1 | 13 | 0.368 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.219 | 0.289 | 0.312 | OK |
| Dansby Swanson | SS | 50 | 171 | 31 | 0.181 | 7 | 25 | 0.281 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.157 | 0.248 | 0.271 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 42 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Konnor Griffin | SS | 45 | 171 | 45 | 0.263 | 3 | 19 | 0.324 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.236 | 0.290 | 0.357 | OK |
| Brandon Lowe | 2B | 46 | 181 | 49 | 0.271 | 13 | 33 | 0.361 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.256 | 0.339 | 0.499 | OK |
| Bryan Reynolds | LF | 51 | 187 | 48 | 0.257 | 4 | 31 | 0.383 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.229 | 0.341 | 0.350 | OK |
| Nick Gonzales | 3B | 44 | 173 | 53 | 0.306 | 0 | 21 | 0.360 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.234 | 0.280 | 0.314 | OK |
| Oneil Cruz | CF | 50 | 213 | 55 | 0.258 | 11 | 34 | 0.322 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.207 | 0.266 | 0.368 | OK |
| Marcell Ozuna | DH | 41 | 162 | 30 | 0.185 | 5 | 20 | 0.271 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.168 | 0.251 | 0.274 | OK |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | RF | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0.125 | 1 | 2 | 0.222 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.194 | 0.276 | 0.341 | OK |
| Spencer Horwitz | 1B | 42 | 140 | 39 | 0.279 | 4 | 20 | 0.392 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.236 | 0.350 | 0.403 | OK |
| Henry Davis | C | 32 | 104 | 15 | 0.144 | 4 | 10 | 0.239 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.152 | 0.223 | 0.321 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jordan Wicks | Starter | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 62 | 3.0 | 4 | 1 |
| Daniel Palencia | Middle Reliever | 11 | 8.5 | 2.12 | 1.647 | 11.6 | 11 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 2.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Caleb Thielbar | Middle Reliever | 12 | 8.8 | 3.07 | 1.364 | 12.3 | 12 | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jacob Webb | Middle Reliever | 23 | 20.1 | 3.13 | 1.592 | 12.1 | 27 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Braxton Ashcraft | Starter | 10 | 60.7 | 2.97 | 1.054 | 9.6 | 65 | 6.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 107 | 6.1 | 6 | 1 |
| Gregory Soto | Middle Reliever | 25 | 24.4 | 2.21 | 0.820 | 11.4 | 31 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dennis Santana | Middle Reliever | 22 | 20.4 | 4.85 | 1.373 | 6.6 | 15 | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 1.0 | 2 | 3 |
| Mason Montgomery | Middle Reliever | 20 | 17.4 | 3.10 | 1.322 | 14.5 | 28 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Evan Sisk | Middle Reliever | 18 | 19.3 | 1.87 | 1.192 | 12.1 | 26 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
CHC wins 5-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
Quality edge: -0.1157; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Blake Dunn | RF | 9 | 36 | 12 | 0.333 | 1 | 2 | 0.400 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.200 | 0.237 | 0.289 | 0.414 | OK |
| Elly De La Cruz | SS | 53 | 213 | 60 | 0.282 | 12 | 35 | 0.347 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.215 | 0.285 | 0.425 | OK |
| Sal Stewart | DH | 53 | 198 | 50 | 0.253 | 12 | 34 | 0.351 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.226 | 0.335 | 0.422 | OK |
| Spencer Steer | 1B | 49 | 177 | 47 | 0.266 | 7 | 21 | 0.335 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.303 | 0.372 | OK |
| Eugenio Suárez | 3B | 26 | 94 | 22 | 0.234 | 2 | 9 | 0.314 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.200 | 0.281 | 0.312 | OK |
| Dane Myers | CF | 12 | 40 | 8 | 0.200 | 3 | 6 | 0.327 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.184 | 0.293 | 0.348 | OK |
| JJ Bleday | LF | 25 | 89 | 24 | 0.270 | 7 | 21 | 0.377 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.205 | 0.314 | 0.439 | OK |
| Tyler Stephenson | C | 37 | 123 | 21 | 0.171 | 4 | 15 | 0.273 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.163 | 0.267 | 0.296 | OK |
| Matt McLain | 2B | 48 | 185 | 37 | 0.200 | 5 | 20 | 0.295 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.155 | 0.238 | 0.277 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Carson Benge | RF | 46 | 172 | 43 | 0.250 | 3 | 18 | 0.317 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.208 | 0.267 | 0.301 | OK |
| Bo Bichette | SS | 54 | 220 | 50 | 0.227 | 5 | 27 | 0.274 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.215 | 0.260 | 0.327 | OK |
| Juan Soto | DH | 36 | 135 | 39 | 0.289 | 10 | 21 | 0.386 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.254 | 0.354 | 0.557 | OK |
| A.J. Ewing | CF | 13 | 43 | 12 | 0.279 | 1 | 4 | 0.392 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.223 | 0.331 | 0.341 | OK |
| Jared Young | 1B | 6 | 18 | 7 | 0.389 | 0 | 1 | 0.421 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.246 | 0.289 | 0.409 | OK |
| Brett Baty | 3B | 44 | 154 | 38 | 0.247 | 3 | 20 | 0.312 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.278 | 0.339 | OK |
| Marcus Semien | 2B | 54 | 196 | 43 | 0.219 | 4 | 19 | 0.268 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.180 | 0.224 | 0.292 | OK |
| MJ Melendez | LF | 23 | 62 | 15 | 0.242 | 2 | 6 | 0.365 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.175 | 0.264 | 0.318 | OK |
| Luis Torrens | C | 22 | 69 | 11 | 0.159 | 0 | 5 | 0.205 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.158 | 0.197 | 0.253 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Chase Burns | Starter | 10 | 58.3 | 1.85 | 0.961 | 9.9 | 64 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 90 | 6.0 | 5 | 0 |
| Graham Ashcraft | Middle Reliever | 25 | 24.9 | 2.17 | 1.165 | 11.6 | 32 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Santillan | Middle Reliever | 21 | 19.3 | 4.20 | 1.399 | 9.8 | 21 | 1.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Pierce Johnson | Middle Reliever | 23 | 17.6 | 4.09 | 1.477 | 10.2 | 20 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| David Peterson | Starter | 11 | 46.7 | 5.20 | 1.606 | 9.4 | 49 | 4.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 82 | 4.1 | 4 | 4 |
| Devin Williams | Middle Reliever | 19 | 15.6 | 5.77 | 1.538 | 14.4 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Weaver | Middle Reliever | 21 | 20.7 | 3.48 | 1.159 | 10.0 | 23 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brooks Raley | Middle Reliever | 22 | 16.5 | 1.64 | 1.455 | 12.5 | 23 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazobán | Middle Reliever | 22 | 21.1 | 2.13 | 1.137 | 8.1 | 19 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
CIN wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 4 | 8 |
Quality edge: 3.5451; margin adjustment: 1.4; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Willi Castro | 1B | 39 | 140 | 37 | 0.264 | 2 | 17 | 0.329 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.228 | 0.296 | 0.338 | OK |
| Tyler Freeman | RF | 26 | 99 | 23 | 0.232 | 2 | 11 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.184 | 0.217 | 0.272 | OK |
| Ezequiel Tovar | SS | 49 | 178 | 39 | 0.219 | 2 | 16 | 0.269 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.205 | 0.249 | 0.341 | OK |
| Hunter Goodman | C | 46 | 184 | 44 | 0.239 | 11 | 18 | 0.300 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.188 | 0.239 | 0.329 | OK |
| Braxton Fulford | DH | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.165 | 0.307 | 0.254 | |
| Jake McCarthy | CF | 38 | 122 | 32 | 0.262 | 2 | 17 | 0.300 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.191 | 0.224 | 0.328 | OK |
| Kyle Karros | 3B | 46 | 143 | 30 | 0.210 | 1 | 11 | 0.315 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.164 | 0.269 | 0.244 | OK |
| Troy Johnston | LF | 43 | 155 | 50 | 0.323 | 2 | 21 | 0.382 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.219 | 0.287 | 0.329 | OK |
| Chad Stevens | 2B | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0.111 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.165 | 0.241 | 0.248 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Shohei Ohtani | DH | 49 | 187 | 51 | 0.273 | 8 | 29 | 0.403 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.258 | 0.394 | 0.458 | OK |
| Andy Pages | CF | 53 | 198 | 57 | 0.288 | 11 | 46 | 0.339 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.244 | 0.300 | 0.448 | OK |
| Freddie Freeman | 1B | 51 | 192 | 50 | 0.260 | 6 | 24 | 0.360 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.233 | 0.358 | 0.436 | OK |
| Mookie Betts | SS | 19 | 79 | 13 | 0.165 | 4 | 10 | 0.221 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.185 | 0.237 | 0.328 | OK |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | 51 | 190 | 47 | 0.247 | 4 | 25 | 0.350 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.327 | 0.383 | OK |
| Teoscar Hernández | LF | 49 | 177 | 49 | 0.277 | 7 | 31 | 0.350 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.263 | 0.339 | 0.463 | OK |
| Will Smith | C | 38 | 145 | 35 | 0.241 | 4 | 20 | 0.311 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.189 | 0.268 | 0.286 | OK |
| Miguel Rojas | 2B | 18 | 60 | 18 | 0.300 | 1 | 7 | 0.328 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.226 | 0.256 | 0.336 | OK |
| Enrique Hernández | 3B | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.000 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.219 | 0.232 | 0.922 | LARGE |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 32 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kyle Freeland | Starter | 8 | 36.7 | 7.36 | 1.771 | 8.6 | 35 | 4.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 86 | 4.1 | 9 | 4 |
| Antonio Senzatela | Middle Reliever | 15 | 28.5 | 1.26 | 0.877 | 8.2 | 26 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Juan Mejia | Middle Reliever | 22 | 21.6 | 5.42 | 1.852 | 12.1 | 29 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaden Hill | Middle Reliever | 22 | 14.2 | 3.80 | 1.901 | 13.3 | 21 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Eric Lauer | Starter | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 79 | 4.2 | 6 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | Middle Reliever | 23 | 20.5 | 1.32 | 0.634 | 11.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Alex Vesia | Middle Reliever | 23 | 16.1 | 2.80 | 1.118 | 14.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle Hurt | Middle Reliever | 16 | 16.0 | 1.12 | 0.875 | 10.7 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
LAD wins 4-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
Quality edge: 0.6772; margin adjustment: 0.2844; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jeremy Peña | SS | 17 | 69 | 17 | 0.246 | 0 | 4 | 0.303 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.208 | 0.240 | 0.302 | OK |
| Isaac Paredes | 3B | 48 | 177 | 44 | 0.249 | 5 | 20 | 0.338 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.283 | 0.342 | OK |
| Yordan Alvarez | DH | 54 | 193 | 58 | 0.301 | 16 | 33 | 0.415 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.226 | 0.348 | 0.467 | OK |
| Christian Walker | 1B | 54 | 199 | 53 | 0.266 | 15 | 40 | 0.338 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.230 | 0.296 | 0.523 | OK |
| Taylor Trammell | LF | 8 | 27 | 9 | 0.333 | 0 | 4 | 0.400 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.238 | 0.311 | 0.398 | OK |
| Cam Smith | RF | 49 | 170 | 35 | 0.206 | 3 | 15 | 0.303 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.202 | 0.279 | 0.295 | OK |
| Braden Shewmake | 2B | 16 | 57 | 14 | 0.246 | 2 | 6 | 0.259 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.184 | 0.206 | 0.299 | OK |
| Brice Matthews | CF | 35 | 121 | 24 | 0.198 | 4 | 12 | 0.240 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.172 | 0.216 | 0.283 | OK |
| César Salazar | C | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0.071 | 0 | 0 | 0.188 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.168 | 0.263 | 0.249 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0.167 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Joc Pederson | DH | 38 | 105 | 21 | 0.200 | 2 | 8 | 0.326 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.205 | 0.343 | 0.327 | OK |
| Alejandro Osuna | LF | 20 | 56 | 15 | 0.268 | 0 | 5 | 0.414 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.244 | 0.340 | 0.333 | OK |
| Brandon Nimmo | RF | 51 | 198 | 53 | 0.268 | 6 | 18 | 0.351 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.214 | 0.294 | 0.394 | OK |
| Josh Jung | 3B | 47 | 181 | 55 | 0.304 | 5 | 21 | 0.359 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.236 | 0.296 | 0.373 | OK |
| Jake Burger | 1B | 49 | 189 | 45 | 0.238 | 9 | 31 | 0.289 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.219 | 0.278 | 0.434 | OK |
| Evan Carter | CF | 45 | 143 | 25 | 0.175 | 5 | 15 | 0.292 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.600 | 0.161 | 0.266 | 0.289 | OK |
| Ezequiel Duran | SS | 39 | 135 | 37 | 0.274 | 4 | 22 | 0.333 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.200 | 0.264 | 0.373 | OK |
| Justin Foscue | 2B | 12 | 42 | 13 | 0.310 | 2 | 6 | 0.362 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.219 | 0.270 | 0.376 | OK |
| Kyle Higashioka | C | 22 | 77 | 15 | 0.195 | 3 | 9 | 0.262 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.178 | 0.242 | 0.322 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 44 | 39 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0.256 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jason Alexander | Starter | 3 | 12.1 | 7.44 | 1.736 | 7.4 | 10 | 3.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 66 | 3.2 | 4 | 0 |
| Bryan King | Middle Reliever | 20 | 20.3 | 3.10 | 1.478 | 8.0 | 18 | 1.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 1.2 | 0 | 2 |
| Bryan Abreu | Middle Reliever | 19 | 14.9 | 7.85 | 2.349 | 12.7 | 21 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| AJ Blubaugh | Middle Reliever | 21 | 29.8 | 5.13 | 1.477 | 7.2 | 24 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | Middle Reliever | 26 | 18.9 | 4.76 | 1.323 | 10.0 | 21 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Nate Pearson | Reliever | 2 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 0.500 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jack Leiter | Starter | 10 | 52.8 | 4.77 | 1.439 | 10.2 | 60 | 5.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 105 | 5.2 | 8 | 2 |
| Jacob Latz | Middle Reliever | 18 | 22.5 | 0.80 | 0.444 | 8.4 | 21 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakob Junis | Middle Reliever | 19 | 22.3 | 1.61 | 0.762 | 5.2 | 13 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Chris Martin | Middle Reliever | 10 | 7.4 | 8.51 | 2.162 | 8.5 | 7 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
TEX wins 5-3 (Extra Innings - 10)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| DET | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 3 | 8 |
Quality edge: 0.713; margin adjustment: 0.2994; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Zach Neto | SS | 54 | 211 | 47 | 0.223 | 10 | 24 | 0.332 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.200 | 0.291 | 0.415 | OK |
| Mike Trout | CF | 53 | 188 | 45 | 0.239 | 13 | 28 | 0.399 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.217 | 0.368 | 0.421 | OK |
| Vaughn Grissom | 1B | 24 | 91 | 20 | 0.220 | 2 | 12 | 0.294 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.181 | 0.247 | 0.299 | OK |
| Jorge Soler | DH | 49 | 181 | 39 | 0.215 | 9 | 30 | 0.303 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.196 | 0.268 | 0.361 | OK |
| Wade Meckler | LF | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0.500 | 1 | 3 | 0.571 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.233 | 0.332 | 0.384 | OK |
| Jo Adell | RF | 54 | 207 | 51 | 0.246 | 7 | 28 | 0.295 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.191 | 0.218 | 0.323 | OK |
| Oswald Peraza | 3B | 35 | 124 | 34 | 0.274 | 6 | 14 | 0.343 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.228 | 0.275 | 0.392 | OK |
| Donovan Walton | 2B | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.125 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.161 | 0.258 | 0.241 | |
| Logan O'Hoppe | C | 30 | 100 | 20 | 0.200 | 1 | 10 | 0.302 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.178 | 0.258 | 0.249 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Kevin McGonigle | 3B | 51 | 194 | 55 | 0.284 | 3 | 19 | 0.388 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.224 | 0.327 | 0.376 | OK |
| Dillon Dingler | C | 44 | 167 | 39 | 0.234 | 10 | 30 | 0.316 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.198 | 0.275 | 0.418 | OK |
| Riley Greene | LF | 53 | 192 | 60 | 0.312 | 4 | 24 | 0.405 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.220 | 0.306 | 0.346 | OK |
| Colt Keith | DH | 35 | 122 | 33 | 0.270 | 0 | 5 | 0.308 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.211 | 0.247 | 0.307 | OK |
| Spencer Torkelson | 1B | 49 | 169 | 34 | 0.201 | 7 | 19 | 0.310 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.183 | 0.281 | 0.353 | OK |
| Zach McKinstry | SS | 26 | 88 | 15 | 0.170 | 1 | 7 | 0.240 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.170 | 0.234 | 0.240 | OK |
| Gage Workman | 2B | 6 | 23 | 5 | 0.217 | 1 | 3 | 0.217 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.183 | 0.192 | 0.400 | OK |
| Matt Vierling | CF | 35 | 127 | 28 | 0.220 | 3 | 18 | 0.289 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.190 | 0.264 | 0.326 | OK |
| Wenceel Pérez | RF | 30 | 107 | 16 | 0.150 | 0 | 5 | 0.202 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.154 | 0.209 | 0.219 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jack Kochanowicz | Starter | 10 | 55.7 | 4.69 | 1.382 | 6.6 | 41 | 5.2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 97 | 5.2 | 7 | 3 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn | Middle Reliever | 19 | 22.0 | 5.32 | 1.364 | 12.3 | 30 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Bachman | Middle Reliever | 19 | 22.5 | 2.80 | 1.200 | 10.8 | 27 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | Middle Reliever | 7 | 5.4 | 5.00 | 1.296 | 15.0 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Keider Montero | Starter | 9 | 47.7 | 3.96 | 1.048 | 6.0 | 32 | 5.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 83 | 5.2 | 6 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | Middle Reliever | 16 | 13.4 | 4.03 | 1.119 | 12.8 | 19 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 |
| Kyle Finnegan | Middle Reliever | 23 | 22.1 | 1.22 | 1.629 | 6.1 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Will Vest | Middle Reliever | 16 | 12.8 | 6.33 | 1.484 | 11.2 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
DET wins 3-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Quality edge: -0.146; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Xavier Edwards | 2B | 54 | 205 | 63 | 0.307 | 6 | 19 | 0.388 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.242 | 0.324 | 0.402 | OK |
| Liam Hicks | DH | 44 | 161 | 45 | 0.280 | 11 | 44 | 0.351 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.214 | 0.291 | 0.417 | OK |
| Otto Lopez | SS | 52 | 208 | 69 | 0.332 | 4 | 22 | 0.363 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.246 | 0.279 | 0.376 | OK |
| Kyle Stowers | RF | 31 | 115 | 25 | 0.217 | 3 | 10 | 0.308 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.196 | 0.270 | 0.381 | OK |
| Connor Norby | 1B | 46 | 152 | 33 | 0.217 | 4 | 14 | 0.326 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.177 | 0.267 | 0.295 | OK |
| Jakob Marsee | CF | 50 | 186 | 36 | 0.194 | 3 | 14 | 0.320 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.169 | 0.281 | 0.280 | OK |
| Heriberto Hernández | LF | 21 | 75 | 12 | 0.160 | 0 | 10 | 0.229 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.161 | 0.224 | 0.228 | OK |
| Joe Mack | C | 16 | 51 | 10 | 0.196 | 0 | 6 | 0.255 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.180 | 0.241 | 0.265 | OK |
| Javier Sanoja | 3B | 30 | 104 | 28 | 0.269 | 1 | 17 | 0.315 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.213 | 0.261 | 0.376 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| George Springer | DH | 34 | 134 | 26 | 0.194 | 5 | 12 | 0.275 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.187 | 0.263 | 0.382 | OK |
| Daulton Varsho | CF | 47 | 177 | 46 | 0.260 | 5 | 16 | 0.335 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.222 | 0.297 | 0.364 | OK |
| Jesús Sánchez | RF | 40 | 137 | 39 | 0.285 | 5 | 20 | 0.320 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.262 | 0.299 | 0.402 | OK |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3B | 51 | 191 | 41 | 0.215 | 10 | 27 | 0.294 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.172 | 0.248 | 0.298 | OK |
| Yohendrick Pinango | LF | 19 | 65 | 20 | 0.308 | 1 | 9 | 0.338 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.226 | 0.260 | 0.342 | OK |
| Ernie Clement | 2B | 51 | 202 | 60 | 0.297 | 4 | 19 | 0.322 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.246 | 0.279 | 0.429 | OK |
| Andrés Giménez | SS | 46 | 166 | 39 | 0.235 | 5 | 27 | 0.271 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.176 | 0.209 | 0.289 | OK |
| Brandon Valenzuela | C | 27 | 84 | 21 | 0.250 | 4 | 10 | 0.344 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.307 | 0.320 | OK |
| Lenyn Sosa | 1B | 21 | 70 | 13 | 0.186 | 1 | 4 | 0.194 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.166 | 0.182 | 0.267 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Sandy Alcantara | Starter | 11 | 69.2 | 4.03 | 1.286 | 6.2 | 48 | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 99 | 6.0 | 5 | 0 |
| Pete Fairbanks | Middle Reliever | 14 | 12.3 | 8.05 | 1.545 | 14.6 | 20 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Calvin Faucher | Middle Reliever | 21 | 18.1 | 4.48 | 1.878 | 10.9 | 22 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Bender | Middle Reliever | 22 | 17.6 | 4.09 | 1.193 | 11.8 | 23 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Braydon Fisher | Starter | 27 | 25.0 | 3.24 | 1.200 | 11.2 | 31 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 94 | 5.0 | 3 | 2 |
| Louis Varland | Middle Reliever | 25 | 25.1 | 0.72 | 1.195 | 14.3 | 40 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Rogers | Middle Reliever | 25 | 21.9 | 2.88 | 1.279 | 6.2 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Hoffman | Middle Reliever | 25 | 20.9 | 5.60 | 1.770 | 17.2 | 40 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mason Fluharty | Middle Reliever | 27 | 13.4 | 5.37 | 2.015 | 17.5 | 26 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
MIA wins 3-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
Quality edge: -0.2781; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Byron Buxton | DH | 45 | 190 | 50 | 0.263 | 16 | 26 | 0.322 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.240 | 0.292 | 0.509 | OK |
| Brooks Lee | 3B | 48 | 179 | 45 | 0.251 | 6 | 25 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.234 | 0.287 | 0.414 | OK |
| Trevor Larnach | LF | 34 | 118 | 34 | 0.288 | 2 | 13 | 0.396 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.256 | 0.349 | 0.396 | OK |
| Kody Clemens | 1B | 37 | 134 | 32 | 0.239 | 4 | 13 | 0.325 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.213 | 0.270 | 0.352 | OK |
| Austin Martin | RF | 37 | 135 | 39 | 0.289 | 2 | 14 | 0.394 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.222 | 0.313 | 0.359 | OK |
| Victor Caratini | C | 34 | 115 | 21 | 0.183 | 2 | 16 | 0.286 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.170 | 0.248 | 0.268 | OK |
| Tristan Gray | SS | 22 | 72 | 16 | 0.222 | 3 | 14 | 0.278 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.190 | 0.252 | 0.291 | OK |
| Luke Keaschall | 2B | 48 | 178 | 42 | 0.236 | 1 | 18 | 0.317 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.209 | 0.278 | 0.302 | OK |
| James Outman | CF | 15 | 48 | 10 | 0.208 | 0 | 3 | 0.255 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.189 | 0.242 | 0.355 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Sam Antonacci | LF | 31 | 109 | 28 | 0.257 | 1 | 10 | 0.359 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.212 | 0.264 | 0.324 | OK |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1B | 51 | 184 | 43 | 0.234 | 18 | 37 | 0.374 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.212 | 0.344 | 0.437 | OK |
| Miguel Vargas | 3B | 49 | 181 | 43 | 0.238 | 12 | 31 | 0.364 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.322 | 0.431 | OK |
| Colson Montgomery | SS | 50 | 186 | 40 | 0.215 | 13 | 32 | 0.318 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.179 | 0.262 | 0.350 | OK |
| Chase Meidroth | 2B | 49 | 186 | 50 | 0.269 | 4 | 13 | 0.340 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.220 | 0.298 | 0.344 | OK |
| Andrew Benintendi | DH | 39 | 144 | 34 | 0.236 | 3 | 20 | 0.277 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.190 | 0.235 | 0.327 | OK |
| Tristan Peters | CF | 39 | 118 | 29 | 0.246 | 2 | 11 | 0.310 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.667 | 0.199 | 0.266 | 0.329 | OK |
| Drew Romo | C | 16 | 51 | 10 | 0.196 | 5 | 10 | 0.317 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.180 | 0.278 | 0.382 | OK |
| Rikuu Nishida | RF | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.333 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.195 | 0.207 | 0.288 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Joe Ryan | Starter | 11 | 56.2 | 3.04 | 0.979 | 9.8 | 61 | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 103 | 6.0 | 6 | 2 |
| Taylor Rogers | Middle Reliever | 21 | 14.9 | 3.02 | 1.879 | 9.1 | 15 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Orze | Middle Reliever | 21 | 20.5 | 3.95 | 1.561 | 9.2 | 21 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Morris | Middle Reliever | 14 | 18.4 | 5.38 | 1.848 | 8.3 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Sean Burke | Starter | 10 | 51.6 | 4.19 | 1.240 | 8.0 | 46 | 6.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 100 | 6.1 | 4 | 1 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | Middle Reliever | 2 | 1.1 | 16.36 | 3.636 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 |
| Grant Taylor | Middle Reliever | 6 | 6.1 | 1.48 | 1.311 | 11.8 | 8 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Newcomb | Middle Reliever | 1 | 2.1 | 8.57 | 1.905 | 4.3 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0.2 | 2 | 1 |
MIN wins 3-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 |
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Quality edge: -2.0185; margin adjustment: -0.8478; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Trent Grisham | CF | 43 | 157 | 29 | 0.185 | 4 | 22 | 0.309 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.205 | 0.322 | 0.343 | OK |
| Aaron Judge | RF | 54 | 196 | 49 | 0.250 | 17 | 32 | 0.377 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.208 | 0.324 | 0.426 | OK |
| Cody Bellinger | LF | 52 | 188 | 51 | 0.271 | 7 | 31 | 0.378 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.242 | 0.354 | 0.467 | OK |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 1B | 22 | 80 | 20 | 0.250 | 5 | 12 | 0.341 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.215 | 0.292 | 0.429 | OK |
| Ben Rice | DH | 45 | 170 | 46 | 0.271 | 15 | 31 | 0.365 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.200 | 0.285 | 0.413 | OK |
| Amed Rosario | 3B | 22 | 72 | 19 | 0.264 | 4 | 14 | 0.316 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.219 | 0.278 | 0.386 | OK |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 2B | 50 | 187 | 47 | 0.251 | 5 | 19 | 0.329 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.247 | 0.321 | 0.391 | OK |
| Anthony Volpe | SS | 9 | 26 | 6 | 0.231 | 0 | 5 | 0.412 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.667 | 0.203 | 0.361 | 0.332 | OK |
| Austin Wells | C | 38 | 118 | 20 | 0.169 | 4 | 6 | 0.288 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.159 | 0.272 | 0.277 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 41 | 35 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Maikel Garcia | 3B | 51 | 209 | 55 | 0.263 | 3 | 20 | 0.319 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.208 | 0.261 | 0.325 | OK |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | 54 | 214 | 63 | 0.294 | 8 | 24 | 0.360 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.223 | 0.287 | 0.395 | OK |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1B | 50 | 188 | 38 | 0.202 | 5 | 23 | 0.290 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.182 | 0.278 | 0.301 | OK |
| Salvador Perez | C | 52 | 200 | 43 | 0.215 | 9 | 25 | 0.263 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.252 | 0.383 | OK |
| Carter Jensen | DH | 44 | 149 | 33 | 0.221 | 6 | 23 | 0.312 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.183 | 0.272 | 0.307 | OK |
| Lane Thomas | LF | 24 | 75 | 15 | 0.200 | 1 | 6 | 0.330 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.179 | 0.299 | 0.249 | OK |
| Jac Caglianone | RF | 43 | 152 | 36 | 0.237 | 4 | 9 | 0.310 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.183 | 0.251 | 0.313 | OK |
| Nick Loftin | 2B | 15 | 46 | 7 | 0.152 | 0 | 7 | 0.273 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.140 | 0.231 | 0.229 | OK |
| Kyle Isbel | CF | 42 | 131 | 34 | 0.260 | 3 | 11 | 0.315 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.179 | 0.226 | 0.297 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0.100 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Cam Schlittler | Starter | 11 | 64.6 | 1.53 | 0.882 | 10.4 | 75 | 6.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 93 | 6.1 | 6 | 0 |
| David Bednar | Middle Reliever | 23 | 21.6 | 5.00 | 1.667 | 11.7 | 28 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fernando Cruz | Middle Reliever | 25 | 15.6 | 2.88 | 1.923 | 17.3 | 30 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | Middle Reliever | 25 | 16.9 | 1.60 | 1.124 | 5.9 | 11 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Bailey Falter | Starter | 4 | 7.1 | 10.14 | 2.958 | 7.6 | 6 | 3.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 80 | 3.0 | 3 | 4 |
| Lucas Erceg | Middle Reliever | 22 | 20.4 | 5.29 | 1.765 | 7.9 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Mears | Middle Reliever | 20 | 16.8 | 4.29 | 1.488 | 7.5 | 14 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Daniel Lynch IV | Middle Reliever | 22 | 20.1 | 1.79 | 0.995 | 12.1 | 27 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | Middle Reliever | 22 | 17.3 | 3.64 | 1.676 | 6.2 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Lange | Middle Reliever | 21 | 22.6 | 5.18 | 1.460 | 9.2 | 23 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
NYY wins 5-0
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | x | 4 | 10 |
Quality edge: 0.5729; margin adjustment: 0.2406; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Kyle Schwarber | DH | 51 | 193 | 45 | 0.233 | 21 | 37 | 0.354 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.308 | 0.486 | OK |
| Trea Turner | SS | 52 | 217 | 48 | 0.221 | 5 | 16 | 0.274 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.173 | 0.235 | 0.278 | OK |
| Bryce Harper | 1B | 53 | 193 | 52 | 0.269 | 12 | 32 | 0.360 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.226 | 0.323 | 0.412 | OK |
| Brandon Marsh | RF | 46 | 175 | 56 | 0.320 | 5 | 24 | 0.348 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.238 | 0.276 | 0.407 | OK |
| Alec Bohm | 3B | 49 | 180 | 38 | 0.211 | 5 | 22 | 0.275 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.183 | 0.248 | 0.326 | OK |
| Bryson Stott | 2B | 43 | 156 | 36 | 0.231 | 5 | 23 | 0.284 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.209 | 0.266 | 0.368 | OK |
| J.T. Realmuto | C | 33 | 114 | 25 | 0.219 | 1 | 8 | 0.291 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.178 | 0.244 | 0.253 | OK |
| Justin Crawford | CF | 43 | 144 | 36 | 0.250 | 2 | 11 | 0.321 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.168 | 0.232 | 0.291 | OK |
| Edmundo Sosa | LF | 23 | 74 | 15 | 0.203 | 2 | 11 | 0.231 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.160 | 0.188 | 0.294 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2B | 51 | 192 | 49 | 0.255 | 0 | 15 | 0.339 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.251 | 0.343 | 0.327 | OK |
| Xander Bogaerts | SS | 50 | 183 | 44 | 0.240 | 6 | 22 | 0.310 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.194 | 0.264 | 0.279 | OK |
| Gavin Sheets | LF | 41 | 138 | 34 | 0.246 | 7 | 19 | 0.329 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.231 | 0.316 | 0.420 | OK |
| Manny Machado | 3B | 51 | 182 | 31 | 0.170 | 8 | 25 | 0.265 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.152 | 0.250 | 0.307 | OK |
| Miguel Andujar | DH | 40 | 151 | 43 | 0.285 | 5 | 17 | 0.312 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.212 | 0.241 | 0.393 | OK |
| Jackson Merrill | CF | 48 | 186 | 37 | 0.199 | 4 | 19 | 0.273 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.158 | 0.235 | 0.263 | OK |
| Ty France | 1B | 24 | 84 | 25 | 0.298 | 5 | 14 | 0.330 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.241 | 0.270 | 0.425 | OK |
| Ramón Laureano | RF | 44 | 163 | 35 | 0.215 | 6 | 20 | 0.297 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.169 | 0.247 | 0.319 | OK |
| Freddy Fermin | C | 28 | 89 | 13 | 0.146 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.139 | 0.233 | 0.217 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0.294 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Aaron Nola | Starter | 10 | 48.8 | 6.27 | 1.619 | 9.4 | 51 | 4.2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 95 | 4.2 | 2 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | Middle Reliever | 16 | 15.2 | 1.78 | 1.118 | 14.2 | 24 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Keller | Middle Reliever | 23 | 21.5 | 3.77 | 1.163 | 10.9 | 26 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | Middle Reliever | 23 | 13.7 | 7.88 | 2.482 | 15.8 | 24 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Orion Kerkering | Middle Reliever | 22 | 17.0 | 2.65 | 1.235 | 9.5 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Randy Vásquez | Starter | 10 | 53.5 | 3.03 | 1.215 | 7.6 | 45 | 5.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 91 | 5.2 | 6 | 1 |
| Mason Miller | Middle Reliever | 23 | 22.5 | 0.80 | 0.844 | 18.8 | 47 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jason Adam | Middle Reliever | 19 | 16.5 | 1.09 | 1.030 | 5.5 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Adrian Morejon | Middle Reliever | 23 | 22.6 | 5.18 | 1.283 | 12.7 | 32 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
SD wins 4-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| OAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 4 | 7 |
Quality edge: -0.1735; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| J.P. Crawford | SS | 44 | 159 | 32 | 0.201 | 7 | 18 | 0.339 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.183 | 0.291 | 0.343 | OK |
| Julio Rodríguez | CF | 55 | 219 | 57 | 0.260 | 9 | 23 | 0.322 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.237 | 0.293 | 0.413 | OK |
| Randy Arozarena | LF | 55 | 197 | 59 | 0.299 | 6 | 25 | 0.390 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.250 | 0.330 | 0.477 | OK |
| Josh Naylor | 1B | 51 | 200 | 50 | 0.250 | 5 | 24 | 0.317 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.209 | 0.280 | 0.296 | OK |
| Rob Refsnyder | DH | 14 | 43 | 4 | 0.093 | 1 | 2 | 0.149 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.153 | 0.205 | 0.238 | OK |
| Mitch Garver | C | 18 | 55 | 11 | 0.200 | 2 | 5 | 0.371 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.193 | 0.352 | 0.332 | OK |
| Cole Young | 2B | 55 | 191 | 46 | 0.241 | 3 | 26 | 0.321 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.201 | 0.270 | 0.315 | OK |
| Victor Robles | RF | 5 | 15 | 3 | 0.200 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.188 | 0.199 | 0.322 | OK |
| Colt Emerson | 3B | 8 | 24 | 6 | 0.250 | 1 | 4 | 0.357 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.214 | 0.296 | 0.412 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Carlos Cortes | RF | 35 | 117 | 39 | 0.333 | 5 | 17 | 0.415 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.257 | 0.353 | 0.439 | OK |
| Nick Kurtz | 1B | 53 | 189 | 54 | 0.286 | 8 | 37 | 0.444 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.257 | 0.420 | 0.408 | OK |
| Shea Langeliers | C | 49 | 201 | 61 | 0.303 | 13 | 28 | 0.373 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.281 | 0.407 | OK |
| Brent Rooker | DH | 36 | 139 | 27 | 0.194 | 7 | 25 | 0.278 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.181 | 0.258 | 0.303 | OK |
| Tyler Soderstrom | LF | 50 | 192 | 39 | 0.203 | 5 | 24 | 0.287 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.194 | 0.277 | 0.335 | OK |
| Jeff McNeil | 2B | 45 | 159 | 44 | 0.277 | 2 | 15 | 0.346 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.280 | 0.306 | OK |
| Zack Gelof | 3B | 31 | 115 | 26 | 0.226 | 6 | 17 | 0.282 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.174 | 0.228 | 0.313 | OK |
| Lawrence Butler | CF | 34 | 120 | 21 | 0.175 | 3 | 12 | 0.283 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.146 | 0.254 | 0.229 | OK |
| Darell Hernaiz | SS | 28 | 86 | 23 | 0.267 | 1 | 7 | 0.357 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.221 | 0.305 | 0.303 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0.226 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Emerson Hancock | Starter | 10 | 58.2 | 3.09 | 1.065 | 9.3 | 60 | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 106 | 6.0 | 4 | 3 |
| Andrés Muñoz | Middle Reliever | 21 | 18.5 | 4.86 | 1.351 | 15.6 | 32 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| José A. Ferrer | Middle Reliever | 25 | 21.2 | 2.12 | 1.368 | 9.3 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eduard Bazardo | Middle Reliever | 25 | 18.9 | 2.86 | 1.640 | 10.5 | 22 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cooper Criswell | Middle Reliever | 19 | 21.4 | 3.36 | 1.168 | 7.6 | 18 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Luis Severino | Starter | 11 | 60.5 | 4.31 | 1.471 | 9.5 | 64 | 5.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 98 | 5.1 | 3 | 3 |
| Hogan Harris | Middle Reliever | 27 | 18.5 | 3.89 | 2.270 | 13.1 | 27 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Joel Kuhnel | Middle Reliever | 21 | 17.5 | 2.57 | 1.200 | 6.7 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | Middle Reliever | 24 | 21.5 | 1.67 | 0.791 | 9.2 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Sterner | Middle Reliever | 25 | 20.7 | 4.78 | 1.498 | 10.9 | 25 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | Middle Reliever | 24 | 20.1 | 6.72 | 1.692 | 10.7 | 24 | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
OAK wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | x | 3 | 7 |
Quality edge: 1.5251; margin adjustment: 0.6405; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| JJ Wetherholt | 2B | 50 | 195 | 47 | 0.241 | 9 | 25 | 0.362 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.202 | 0.301 | 0.317 | OK |
| Iván Herrera | C | 52 | 195 | 51 | 0.262 | 6 | 26 | 0.387 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.216 | 0.314 | 0.393 | OK |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 50 | 193 | 58 | 0.301 | 15 | 42 | 0.370 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.234 | 0.298 | 0.488 | OK |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 49 | 196 | 57 | 0.291 | 7 | 35 | 0.359 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.244 | 0.315 | 0.393 | OK |
| José Fermín | LF | 12 | 40 | 8 | 0.200 | 1 | 4 | 0.233 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.182 | 0.223 | 0.288 | OK |
| Masyn Winn | SS | 45 | 170 | 40 | 0.235 | 1 | 18 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.166 | 0.242 | 0.266 | OK |
| Bryan Torres | LF | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0.273 | 1 | 2 | 0.385 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.188 | 0.300 | 0.310 | OK |
| Yohel Pozo | DH | 4 | 16 | 5 | 0.312 | 0 | 2 | 0.312 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.190 | 0.199 | 0.309 | OK |
| Victor Scott II | CF | 44 | 127 | 25 | 0.197 | 2 | 7 | 0.259 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.186 | 0.247 | 0.280 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Christian Yelich | DH | 21 | 82 | 21 | 0.256 | 3 | 11 | 0.322 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.204 | 0.276 | 0.398 | OK |
| Jackson Chourio | LF | 18 | 79 | 22 | 0.278 | 1 | 5 | 0.321 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.226 | 0.274 | 0.371 | OK |
| Brice Turang | 2B | 48 | 178 | 51 | 0.287 | 7 | 30 | 0.410 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.236 | 0.368 | 0.394 | OK |
| William Contreras | C | 47 | 190 | 58 | 0.305 | 4 | 31 | 0.376 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.277 | 0.348 | 0.398 | OK |
| Jake Bauers | 1B | 40 | 151 | 44 | 0.291 | 7 | 28 | 0.363 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.245 | 0.310 | 0.397 | OK |
| Garrett Mitchell | CF | 37 | 126 | 31 | 0.246 | 2 | 25 | 0.356 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.228 | 0.332 | 0.384 | OK |
| Luis Rengifo | 3B | 35 | 131 | 29 | 0.221 | 0 | 14 | 0.285 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.202 | 0.261 | 0.286 | OK |
| Sal Frelick | RF | 43 | 156 | 33 | 0.212 | 3 | 16 | 0.275 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.176 | 0.231 | 0.257 | OK |
| David Hamilton | SS | 37 | 113 | 27 | 0.239 | 0 | 8 | 0.333 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.213 | 0.299 | 0.296 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 0.226 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Michael McGreevy | Starter | 10 | 55.4 | 2.44 | 1.011 | 6.0 | 37 | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 111 | 6.0 | 5 | 1 |
| Riley O'Brien | Middle Reliever | 24 | 22.7 | 3.17 | 1.057 | 10.7 | 27 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| JoJo Romero | Middle Reliever | 24 | 20.0 | 3.60 | 1.500 | 9.9 | 22 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kyle Harrison | Starter | 9 | 45.2 | 1.79 | 1.084 | 11.7 | 59 | 5.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 100 | 5.2 | 7 | 0 |
| Abner Uribe | Middle Reliever | 20 | 16.7 | 4.85 | 1.257 | 10.2 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Trevor Megill | Middle Reliever | 17 | 17.0 | 3.18 | 1.059 | 11.6 | 22 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaron Ashby | Middle Reliever | 24 | 29.5 | 2.75 | 1.492 | 14.3 | 47 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
MIL wins 3-0
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
Quality edge: -2.0969; margin adjustment: -0.8807; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Chandler Simpson | LF | 47 | 193 | 54 | 0.280 | 0 | 8 | 0.312 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.600 | 0.233 | 0.271 | 0.315 | OK |
| Junior Caminero | 3B | 50 | 195 | 52 | 0.267 | 13 | 27 | 0.357 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.247 | 0.342 | 0.414 | OK |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1B | 48 | 179 | 48 | 0.268 | 9 | 40 | 0.366 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.231 | 0.335 | 0.420 | OK |
| Yandy Díaz | DH | 48 | 185 | 58 | 0.314 | 8 | 33 | 0.390 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.284 | 0.343 | 0.496 | OK |
| Richie Palacios | 2B | 27 | 82 | 21 | 0.256 | 1 | 13 | 0.367 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.235 | 0.333 | 0.328 | OK |
| Cedric Mullins | CF | 41 | 151 | 28 | 0.185 | 3 | 15 | 0.257 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.210 | 0.277 | 0.310 | OK |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | RF | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.200 | 1 | 2 | 0.200 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.178 | 0.186 | 0.308 | OK |
| Hunter Feduccia | C | 21 | 50 | 13 | 0.260 | 1 | 5 | 0.345 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.292 | 0.368 | OK |
| Oliver Dunn | SS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.316 | 0.396 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0.286 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Taylor Ward | LF | 53 | 193 | 49 | 0.254 | 2 | 15 | 0.403 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.205 | 0.350 | 0.325 | OK |
| Gunnar Henderson | SS | 53 | 226 | 50 | 0.221 | 11 | 26 | 0.275 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.264 | 0.391 | OK |
| Pete Alonso | 1B | 54 | 204 | 48 | 0.235 | 10 | 33 | 0.319 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.750 | 0.227 | 0.310 | 0.427 | OK |
| Samuel Basallo | C | 37 | 138 | 36 | 0.261 | 7 | 17 | 0.318 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.215 | 0.274 | 0.396 | OK |
| Leody Taveras | CF | 35 | 118 | 32 | 0.271 | 2 | 19 | 0.377 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.218 | 0.319 | 0.356 | OK |
| Jeremiah Jackson | DH | 41 | 152 | 39 | 0.257 | 6 | 25 | 0.272 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.216 | 0.233 | 0.345 | OK |
| Colton Cowser | RF | 27 | 78 | 14 | 0.179 | 1 | 7 | 0.270 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.177 | 0.268 | 0.294 | OK |
| Blaze Alexander | 3B | 32 | 105 | 24 | 0.229 | 0 | 6 | 0.289 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.196 | 0.254 | 0.263 | OK |
| Jackson Holliday | 2B | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0.167 | 1 | 3 | 0.267 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.178 | 0.283 | 0.306 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 41 | 35 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0.257 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Griffin Jax | Starter | 15 | 25.2 | 2.86 | 1.349 | 8.6 | 24 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 94 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 |
| Bryan Baker | Middle Reliever | 24 | 21.4 | 2.52 | 1.028 | 10.9 | 26 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ian Seymour | Middle Reliever | 23 | 23.8 | 3.40 | 1.261 | 11.7 | 31 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | Middle Reliever | 24 | 20.7 | 3.48 | 0.966 | 7.4 | 17 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 |
| Garrett Cleavinger | Middle Reliever | 11 | 7.4 | 6.08 | 2.297 | 15.8 | 13 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Shane Baz | Starter | 10 | 55.0 | 5.07 | 1.509 | 7.9 | 48 | 5.0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 97 | 5.0 | 3 | 3 |
| Rico Garcia | Middle Reliever | 25 | 21.0 | 0.86 | 0.714 | 11.6 | 27 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Nunez | Middle Reliever | 23 | 22.1 | 4.48 | 1.176 | 11.4 | 28 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yennier Cano | Middle Reliever | 24 | 16.3 | 1.66 | 0.613 | 8.8 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Kittredge | Middle Reliever | 11 | 6.8 | 11.91 | 2.647 | 10.6 | 8 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
BAL wins 5-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 3 | 5 |
Quality edge: 0.4705; margin adjustment: 0.1976; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| James Wood | LF | 55 | 210 | 56 | 0.267 | 14 | 35 | 0.405 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.260 | 0.390 | 0.482 | OK |
| Curtis Mead | 3B | 23 | 87 | 24 | 0.276 | 6 | 15 | 0.370 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.230 | 0.310 | 0.478 | OK |
| Andrés Chaparro | 1B | 6 | 14 | 2 | 0.143 | 0 | 1 | 0.294 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.174 | 0.307 | 0.321 | OK |
| CJ Abrams | SS | 53 | 197 | 57 | 0.289 | 12 | 46 | 0.381 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.223 | 0.307 | 0.480 | OK |
| Dylan Crews | RF | 7 | 29 | 7 | 0.241 | 1 | 1 | 0.267 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.194 | 0.226 | 0.328 | OK |
| Daylen Lile | DH | 54 | 218 | 57 | 0.261 | 7 | 26 | 0.317 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.261 | 0.353 | OK |
| Jacob Young | CF | 46 | 171 | 40 | 0.234 | 7 | 23 | 0.284 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.255 | 0.412 | OK |
| Nasim Nuñez | 2B | 47 | 156 | 30 | 0.192 | 0 | 16 | 0.294 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.163 | 0.254 | 0.213 | OK |
| Keibert Ruiz | C | 29 | 99 | 25 | 0.253 | 4 | 20 | 0.269 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.228 | 0.248 | 0.455 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Travis Bazzana | 2B | 24 | 87 | 25 | 0.287 | 3 | 10 | 0.392 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.247 | 0.332 | 0.402 | OK |
| José Ramírez | 3B | 56 | 206 | 47 | 0.228 | 8 | 24 | 0.347 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.212 | 0.320 | 0.364 | OK |
| Chase DeLauter | DH | 47 | 180 | 46 | 0.256 | 7 | 30 | 0.340 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.204 | 0.295 | 0.360 | OK |
| Kyle Manzardo | 1B | 36 | 129 | 25 | 0.194 | 3 | 12 | 0.281 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.208 | 0.289 | 0.360 | OK |
| Daniel Schneemann | CF | 39 | 135 | 33 | 0.244 | 4 | 17 | 0.325 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.198 | 0.280 | 0.328 | OK |
| Angel Martínez | RF | 42 | 163 | 42 | 0.258 | 9 | 26 | 0.301 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.194 | 0.222 | 0.378 | OK |
| Steven Kwan | LF | 51 | 186 | 38 | 0.204 | 1 | 12 | 0.327 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.186 | 0.309 | 0.255 | OK |
| Patrick Bailey | C | 8 | 23 | 3 | 0.130 | 1 | 3 | 0.200 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.159 | 0.217 | 0.271 | OK |
| Brayan Rocchio | SS | 53 | 171 | 49 | 0.287 | 4 | 27 | 0.369 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.245 | 0.320 | 0.383 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 31 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0.172 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Cade Cavalli | Starter | 11 | 51.8 | 4.00 | 1.486 | 10.6 | 61 | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 85 | 5.0 | 6 | 3 |
| Andrew Alvarez | Reliever | 4 | 12.2 | 2.95 | 1.066 | 11.8 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard Lovelady | Reliever | 16 | 13.1 | 2.06 | 1.832 | 10.3 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Clayton Beeter | Reliever | 12 | 11.4 | 3.16 | 1.228 | 10.3 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Joey Cantillo | Starter | 11 | 53.9 | 3.17 | 1.373 | 8.5 | 51 | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 104 | 6.0 | 5 | 1 |
| Shawn Armstrong | Reliever | 13 | 10.0 | 1.80 | 1.500 | 14.4 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Codi Heuer | Reliever | 2 | 2.2 | 4.09 | 1.818 | 12.3 | 3 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Colin Holderman | Reliever | 14 | 16.0 | 1.69 | 0.875 | 11.8 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
CLE wins 3-2