MLB Predictions — May 23, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
CHW @ SF	5 - 2	5 - 2	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 5-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
CLE @ PHI	2 - 4	2 - 5	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
COL @ ARI	2 - 7	3 - 7	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 7-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
DET @ BAL	5 - 2	4 - 1	DET	DET	DET wins 4-1	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
HOU @ CHC	3 - 2	5 - 1	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-1	51%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ MIL	4 - 5	3 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
MIN @ BOS	2 - 3	3 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
NYM @ MIA	2 - 1	4 - 1	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 4-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
OAK @ SD	4 - 2	4 - 3	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 4-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
PIT @ TOR	3 - 1	4 - 0	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-0	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
SEA @ KC	3 - 1	3 - 1	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 3-1	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
STL @ CIN	3 - 2	4 - 3	STL	STL	STL wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml
TB @ NYY	1 - 2	1 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 2-1	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
TEX @ LAA	3 - 2	3 - 2	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 3-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality
WAS @ ATL	2 - 6	2 - 7	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 7-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants

CHW 26-25 (4.51 RPG / 4.78 RA)

5 - 2

SF 21-31 (3.6 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 5-2 TARGET: CHW 5 - 2 SF (CHW) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	1	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	5	8
SF	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	6

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.306

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-64.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Recent Form

Win%0.180

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-138.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record25-24

Win%0.510

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.245

SF Season Quality

Record20-30

Win%0.400

Run Diff-52

RD/Game-1.040

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9604; margin adjustment: -0.4034; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	123	422	108	0.256	5	39	0.376	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.236	0.311	0.352	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	213	765	193	0.252	79	164	0.397	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.258	0.410	0.543	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	211	781	184	0.236	50	132	0.365	5	5	1	1	1	0	4	0.200	0.230	0.348	0.431	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	203	762	173	0.227	57	139	0.326	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.217	0.283	0.434	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	199	754	193	0.256	13	52	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.320	0.326	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	160	594	155	0.261	14	99	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.285	0.401	OK
Jarred Kelenic	RF	52	163	41	0.252	4	16	0.318	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.185	0.253	0.268	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	130	404	108	0.267	8	45	0.327	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.183	0.247	0.298	OK
Drew Romo	C	51	166	30	0.181	15	27	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.155	0.262	0.351	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	5	5	5	10	0.229

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willy Adames	SS	208	873	215	0.246	20	76	0.276	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.231	0.261	0.389	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	206	847	283	0.334	10	89	0.374	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.306	0.347	0.404	OK
Casey Schmitt	LF	170	663	201	0.303	36	92	0.352	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.270	0.463	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	207	801	203	0.253	25	91	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.266	0.385	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	207	806	179	0.222	5	76	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.320	0.348	OK
Daniel Susac	C	38	134	59	0.440	0	28	0.490	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.279	0.349	0.449	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	36	122	17	0.139	4	5	0.198	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.164	0.216	0.261	OK
Harrison Bader	CF	90	342	57	0.167	15	38	0.204	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.173	0.226	0.325	OK
Drew Gilbert	RF	99	340	81	0.238	8	31	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.202	0.245	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	2	2	4	3	0.182

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Hudson	Starter	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	5.0	3	0	0	2	1	80	5.0	1	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	16	1.0	1	1
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	2	0.3	90.00	20.000	30.0	1	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Adrian Houser	Starter	9	45.9	5.49	1.547	5.1	26	5.1	5	3	3	3	5	106	5.1	5	3
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	20	18.3	2.95	1.311	10.8	22	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	28	1.0	2	1
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	22	20.4	2.21	0.833	8.8	20	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	15	11.0	4.91	1.818	16.4	20	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Joel Peguero	Middle Reliever	7	5.6	1.61	0.893	3.2	2	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-2

Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies

CLE 31-23 (4.24 RPG / 3.85 RA)

2 - 5

PHI 26-26 (4.08 RPG / 4.5 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-2 TARGET: CLE 2 - 4 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 55.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
PHI	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	x	5	6

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.442

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-75.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.196

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-129.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Season Quality

Record31-22

Win%0.585

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.453

PHI Season Quality

Record25-26

Win%0.490

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.490

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0851; margin adjustment: -0.4557; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	91	327	89	0.272	8	39	0.399	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.339	0.328	OK
José Ramírez	3B	230	857	209	0.244	36	110	0.367	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.356	0.408	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	194	752	196	0.261	32	143	0.341	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.219	0.298	0.381	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	151	545	119	0.218	16	58	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.239	0.317	0.427	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	139	428	84	0.196	18	73	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.179	0.330	0.347	OK
Daniel Schneemann	SS	146	510	126	0.247	17	77	0.333	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.324	0.394	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	176	680	180	0.265	38	110	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.178	0.204	0.340	OK
Steven Kwan	CF	212	808	164	0.203	4	52	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.176	0.288	0.240	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	16	48	7	0.146	3	6	0.196	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.171	0.227	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	2	2	4	15	0.156

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	218	941	226	0.240	25	76	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.257	0.335	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	218	847	201	0.237	93	176	0.358	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.197	0.296	0.512	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	210	779	216	0.277	53	139	0.381	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.332	0.466	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	187	707	156	0.221	17	94	0.277	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.262	0.357	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	178	674	231	0.343	19	103	0.368	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.285	0.311	0.407	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	166	600	135	0.225	20	90	0.274	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.268	0.387	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	116	409	97	0.237	5	37	0.312	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.206	0.273	0.280	OK
Adolis García	RF	197	720	144	0.200	12	64	0.280	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.154	0.222	0.241	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	158	541	138	0.255	8	44	0.325	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.189	0.246	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	6	5	5	1	6	0.200

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Slade Cecconi	Starter	10	50.7	5.33	1.538	7.5	42	5.0	5	4	4	1	3	91	5.0	3	4
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	24	24.2	2.60	1.116	13.4	36	1.2	1	1	1	0	2	24	1.2	2	1
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	25	16.8	2.14	1.190	20.9	39	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	5	31.2	2.02	0.897	8.7	30	6.1	5	1	1	0	8	107	6.1	8	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	2.05	1.136	15.0	22	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17	1.0	3	0
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	21	19.5	4.15	1.231	11.1	24	1.0	0	0	0	3	2	37	1.0	2	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	23	13.7	7.88	2.482	15.8	24	0.2	0	1	1	0	2	16	0.2	2	1

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-2

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks

COL 20-32 (4.12 RPG / 5.15 RA)

3 - 7

ARI 26-24 (4.5 RPG / 4.54 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 7-3 TARGET: COL 2 - 7 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	7
ARI	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	1	x	7	10

COL Recent Form

Win%0.140

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-178.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.380

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-57.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record19-32

Win%0.373

Run Diff-55

RD/Game-1.078

ARI Season Quality

Record26-23

Win%0.531

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.020

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2951; margin adjustment: 0.5439; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	117	374	99	0.265	8	62	0.309	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.267	0.376	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	194	771	191	0.248	51	84	0.314	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.309	0.437	OK
TJ Rumfield	DH	203	770	213	0.277	26	112	0.352	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.315	0.420	OK
Willi Castro	1B	159	579	146	0.252	8	63	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.338	0.355	OK
Troy Johnston	LF	162	586	195	0.333	10	88	0.391	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.267	0.319	0.385	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	182	688	151	0.219	4	65	0.270	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.277	0.336	OK
Sterlin Thompson	RF	12	38	8	0.211	0	0	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.150	0.164	0.289	OK
Chad Stevens	2B	6	16	4	0.250	0	4	0.400	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.356	0.305	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	164	505	113	0.224	4	40	0.339	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.172	0.280	0.248	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	34	7	3	3	0	4	0.206

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	199	837	203	0.243	30	99	0.292	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.316	0.445	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	199	722	214	0.296	32	120	0.402	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.309	0.401	0.558	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	195	677	149	0.220	9	58	0.351	4	3	3	1	0	1	0	1.000	0.197	0.367	0.317	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	179	623	177	0.284	29	107	0.365	4	4	2	1	6	0	2	0.500	0.277	0.340	0.486	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	179	743	241	0.324	32	141	0.346	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.292	0.421	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	111	410	104	0.254	9	60	0.314	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.289	0.354	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	134	483	142	0.294	12	58	0.329	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.279	0.306	0.374	OK
Tim Tawa	LF	43	124	15	0.121	0	8	0.231	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.176	0.286	0.285	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	47	152	45	0.296	0	24	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.322	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	10	7	7	4	8	0.294

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	11	46.8	7.31	1.987	6.9	36	4.2	7	4	4	1	7	84	4.2	7	4
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	15	28.5	1.26	0.877	8.2	26	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.1	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	21	20.6	4.81	1.845	12.7	29	0.1	2	2	2	1	1	20	0.1	1	2
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	21	14.1	3.83	1.844	13.4	21	1.2	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.2	0	1

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	10	47.6	4.92	1.471	6.4	34	5.0	3	1	1	0	3	85	5.0	3	1
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	6	2.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.0	0	1
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	15	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

ARI wins 7-3

Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles

DET 20-32 (3.85 RPG / 4.35 RA)

4 - 1

BAL 22-29 (4.35 RPG / 5.45 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-1 TARGET: DET 5 - 2 BAL (DET) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	4	9
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5

DET Recent Form

Win%0.255

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-115.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.180

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-164.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record20-32

Win%0.385

Run Diff-26

RD/Game-0.500

BAL Season Quality

Record22-29

Win%0.431

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-1.098

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5279; margin adjustment: -0.2217; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt Vierling	CF	140	499	104	0.208	15	82	0.290	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.154	0.253	0.295	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	217	832	243	0.292	14	79	0.396	5	2	1	1	2	2	1	0.500	0.268	0.364	0.470	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	98	335	56	0.167	5	28	0.231	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.168	0.222	0.238	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	197	680	138	0.203	28	76	0.310	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.207	0.294	0.391	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	183	695	168	0.242	39	124	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.267	0.440	OK
Gage Workman	3B	30	100	22	0.220	6	16	0.220	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.149	0.157	0.354	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	116	405	64	0.158	3	26	0.207	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.163	0.207	0.245	OK
Riley Greene	LF	213	773	255	0.330	17	107	0.426	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.273	0.359	0.403	OK
Colt Keith	3B	148	496	137	0.276	0	23	0.317	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.203	0.251	0.275	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	9	4	4	4	6	0.265

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Colton Cowser	CF	95	275	53	0.193	4	30	0.277	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.301	0.329	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	227	972	220	0.226	46	116	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.313	0.460	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	7	18	8	0.444	4	8	0.545	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.297	0.411	0.562	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	216	824	189	0.229	40	141	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.329	0.510	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	136	540	148	0.274	31	109	0.322	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.309	0.489	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	143	472	94	0.199	19	69	0.274	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.204	0.278	0.334	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	95	294	49	0.167	8	28	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.153	0.248	0.241	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	225	817	216	0.264	9	68	0.419	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.242	0.384	0.379	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	150	561	149	0.266	27	69	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.268	0.389	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	1	1	2	5	0.156

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	10	54.3	4.64	1.418	7.5	45	5.1	4	0	0	0	2	89	5.1	2	0
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	15	12.4	2.18	0.968	13.8	19	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	20	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	22	21.9	0.82	1.507	6.2	15	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	5	1.2	1	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	15	11.8	6.86	1.610	11.4	15	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	6	28.5	4.42	1.544	6.9	22	4.2	5	3	3	2	2	92	4.2	2	3
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	24	19.0	0.95	0.632	12.3	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	22	21.1	4.27	1.137	11.9	28	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	23	16.2	1.67	0.617	8.3	15	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	10	6.7	12.09	2.537	10.7	8	1.0	2	0	0	2	1	27	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-1

Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs

HOU 22-31 (4.25 RPG / 5.21 RA)

5 - 1

CHC 29-23 (4.77 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-1 TARGET: HOU 3 - 2 CHC (HOU) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	5	11
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.412

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-175.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.140

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-136.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record21-31

Win%0.404

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-1.038

CHC Season Quality

Record29-22

Win%0.569

Run Diff26

RD/Game0.510

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.7954; margin adjustment: 0.7541; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	61	263	65	0.247	0	5	0.290	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.229	0.269	0.342	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	188	707	173	0.245	22	93	0.338	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.281	0.383	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	223	829	270	0.326	73	144	0.443	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.338	0.458	OK
Christian Walker	1B	208	788	220	0.279	49	142	0.351	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.207	0.269	0.400	OK
Braden Shewmake	2B	57	207	58	0.280	8	24	0.287	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.211	0.218	0.335	OK
Cam Smith	RF	188	653	138	0.211	15	78	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.186	0.272	0.273	OK
Zach Cole	LF	48	165	28	0.170	8	22	0.194	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.185	0.194	0.320	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	130	458	98	0.214	16	51	0.263	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.183	0.230	0.300	OK
César Salazar	C	13	35	3	0.086	0	0	0.256	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.173	0.286	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	5	5	2	4	0.289

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	205	755	186	0.246	26	96	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.196	0.257	0.343	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	225	917	232	0.253	17	76	0.350	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.236	0.312	0.342	OK
Michael Busch	1B	218	805	189	0.235	21	133	0.373	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.224	0.351	0.404	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	229	958	249	0.260	21	150	0.347	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.234	0.323	0.349	OK
Michael Conforto	LF	72	201	71	0.353	10	38	0.480	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.248	0.382	0.490	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	159	613	168	0.274	32	82	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.313	0.342	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	123	396	85	0.215	23	72	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.188	0.249	0.323	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	81	273	65	0.238	12	33	0.331	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.287	0.371	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	194	678	136	0.201	33	117	0.303	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.171	0.268	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	1	1	3	9	0.129

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kai-Wei Teng	Starter	16	28.2	2.87	1.206	9.6	30	5.0	1	0	0	2	6	74	5.0	6	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	19	19.3	3.26	1.503	7.9	17	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	18	13.9	8.42	2.374	13.6	21	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever	20	27.8	4.86	1.511	7.8	24	1.2	2	0	0	1	0	21	1.2	0	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Colin Rea	Starter	10	44.9	5.21	1.492	8.0	40	4.2	8	3	3	1	2	87	4.2	2	3
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	11	8.5	2.12	1.647	11.6	11	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	24	1.2	0	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	11	7.8	2.31	1.282	12.7	11	1.2	2	2	2	1	1	30	1.2	1	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	22	19.1	3.30	1.571	11.8	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers

LAD 31-20 (5.06 RPG / 3.22 RA)

3 - 5

MIL 30-18 (5.04 RPG / 3.4 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-3 TARGET: LAD 4 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	8
MIL	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	x	5	6

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.280

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-66.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.413

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-48.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record31-20

Win%0.608

Run Diff94

RD/Game1.843

MIL Season Quality

Record30-18

Win%0.625

Run Diff79

RD/Game1.646

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1716; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	215	834	232	0.278	36	137	0.403	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.285	0.411	0.494	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	67	278	50	0.180	19	42	0.243	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.179	0.246	0.349	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	204	788	204	0.259	26	106	0.347	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.361	0.477	OK
Andy Pages	CF	204	768	227	0.296	45	185	0.348	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.295	0.391	OK
Will Smith	C	156	594	149	0.251	16	83	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.205	0.266	0.295	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	208	790	203	0.257	21	109	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.213	0.325	0.342	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	184	682	182	0.267	24	107	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.311	0.402	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	77	237	68	0.287	4	25	0.295	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.266	0.335	OK
Santiago Espinal	3B	38	105	25	0.238	3	11	0.238	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.204	0.211	0.380	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	3	3	2	7	0.229

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	CF	67	303	90	0.297	4	23	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.299	0.377	OK
Brice Turang	2B	206	783	236	0.301	34	145	0.417	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.287	0.399	0.477	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	47	161	54	0.335	4	29	0.437	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.315	0.386	0.501	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	80	307	83	0.270	11	47	0.337	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.222	0.299	0.406	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	107	352	69	0.196	19	57	0.358	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.183	0.340	0.371	OK
Jake Bauers	LF	165	632	184	0.291	30	123	0.360	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.268	0.331	0.434	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	172	635	142	0.224	14	60	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.251	0.271	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	119	374	76	0.203	4	39	0.297	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.339	0.242	OK
David Hamilton	3B	128	411	106	0.258	0	31	0.355	3	3	1	1	0	0	2	0.333	0.247	0.350	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	6	5	5	3	10	0.200

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	8	40.2	5.15	1.468	8.7	39	5.0	5	5	5	2	4	91	5.0	4	5
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	21	18.5	1.46	0.649	9.7	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	9	1.0	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	21	14.9	3.02	1.074	13.9	23	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	14	0.0	0	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	14	14.0	0.64	0.786	10.9	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	13	1.0	3	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	19	14.0	1.93	1.286	9.6	15	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	15	18.7	2.41	1.283	10.1	21	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.1	1	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	1	4.0	4.50	1.250	6.8	3	4.0	5	2	2	1	5	79	4.0	5	2
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	20	16.7	4.85	1.257	10.2	19	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	17	17.0	3.18	1.059	11.6	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	23	27.5	2.95	1.600	15.1	46	1.1	1	1	1	1	2	16	1.1	2	1
DL Hall	Middle Reliever	20	20.3	1.77	1.330	11.5	26	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	22	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-3

Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox

MIN 25-27 (4.65 RPG / 4.6 RA)

3 - 4

BOS 22-29 (3.71 RPG / 4.0 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: MIN 2 - 3 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 51.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	3	7
BOS	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.260

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-108.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-119.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record24-27

Win%0.471

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.020

BOS Season Quality

Record22-28

Win%0.440

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.260

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3255; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	197	855	235	0.275	80	132	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.282	0.326	0.632	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	132	452	115	0.254	8	49	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.176	0.291	0.281	OK
Austin Martin	RF	153	545	167	0.306	10	60	0.417	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.278	0.370	0.432	OK
Josh Bell	DH	193	739	175	0.237	21	124	0.299	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.255	0.308	0.387	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	142	505	116	0.230	18	54	0.327	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.173	0.243	0.319	OK
Victor Caratini	C	131	438	87	0.199	5	64	0.301	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.187	0.274	0.265	OK
Orlando Arcia	2B	2	4	2	0.500	0	0	0.500	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.126	0.143	0.199	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	183	692	165	0.238	20	92	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.270	0.337	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	35	119	37	0.311	9	24	0.401	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.267	0.351	0.505	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	3	3	0	10	0.206

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	195	797	152	0.191	26	116	0.270	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.192	0.281	0.374	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	34	130	45	0.346	0	9	0.366	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.275	0.281	0.360	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	208	818	239	0.292	26	88	0.360	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.283	0.344	0.423	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	199	735	196	0.267	45	149	0.364	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.263	0.335	0.500	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	175	643	180	0.280	13	70	0.353	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.297	0.371	OK
Nick Sogard	3B	18	62	23	0.371	0	5	0.458	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.299	0.390	0.401	OK
Marcelo Mayer	2B	147	496	103	0.208	7	37	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.147	0.207	0.216	OK
Connor Wong	C	63	192	48	0.250	0	29	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.184	0.242	0.316	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	SS	50	146	42	0.288	0	13	0.346	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.282	0.355	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	8	4	4	2	10	0.242

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	8	46.3	2.92	1.210	10.1	52	6.0	5	3	3	2	9	100	6.0	9	3
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	19	14.7	3.06	1.769	8.6	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	20	19.5	4.15	1.641	8.8	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	13	18.2	4.95	1.648	8.4	17	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	24	16.3	8.28	1.656	10.5	19	0.0	3	1	1	0	0	17	0.0	0	1

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jovani Morán	Starter	15	23.1	2.73	1.126	11.3	29	5.0	4	2	2	0	7	75	5.0	7	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	18	17.2	0.52	0.872	12.0	23	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	19	19.1	2.83	1.047	11.3	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	10	7.5	4.80	1.467	14.4	12	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	19	1.2	1	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins

NYM 22-30 (3.96 RPG / 4.29 RA)

4 - 1

MIA 24-29 (4.28 RPG / 4.57 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 4-1 TARGET: NYM 2 - 1 MIA (NYM) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	8
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.408

Avg Runs1.5

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-90.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.320

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-120.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record22-29

Win%0.431

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.275

MIA Season Quality

Record23-29

Win%0.442

Run Diff-18

RD/Game-0.346

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0552; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	178	681	188	0.276	11	83	0.337	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.243	0.309	0.330	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	222	928	209	0.225	24	131	0.273	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.207	0.251	0.322	OK
Juan Soto	LF	152	580	176	0.303	37	91	0.403	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.300	0.398	0.597	OK
Brett Baty	3B	165	603	151	0.250	14	88	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.298	0.368	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	159	596	138	0.232	24	91	0.271	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.161	0.197	0.287	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	40	125	38	0.304	4	20	0.466	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.409	0.402	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	201	745	178	0.239	14	85	0.287	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.255	0.297	OK
MJ Melendez	DH	75	201	50	0.249	7	20	0.357	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.180	0.250	0.334	OK
Luis Torrens	C	80	243	46	0.189	0	31	0.245	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.144	0.178	0.224	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	3	8	0.229

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	217	827	260	0.314	26	84	0.398	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.260	0.337	0.417	OK
Liam Hicks	DH	181	652	190	0.291	39	189	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.275	0.375	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	211	855	298	0.349	19	97	0.380	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.291	0.321	0.422	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	119	447	96	0.215	12	33	0.316	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.217	0.296	0.424	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	217	812	161	0.198	13	59	0.328	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.167	0.275	0.265	OK
Connor Norby	1B	171	582	135	0.232	18	62	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.187	0.295	0.310	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	136	428	95	0.222	11	79	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.297	0.412	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	82	259	45	0.174	3	24	0.227	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.107	0.185	0.209	OK
Joe Mack	C	51	169	35	0.207	0	24	0.251	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.194	0.247	0.269	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	1	1	3	8	0.182

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	10	52.7	3.42	1.290	9.2	54	5.1	4	0	0	2	5	94	5.1	5	0
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	18	15.5	3.48	1.290	14.5	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	20	19.7	3.65	1.218	10.1	22	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	21	16.3	1.66	1.288	12.7	23	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Meyer	Starter	10	52.5	2.91	1.143	10.3	60	5.2	6	3	3	1	6	93	5.2	6	3
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	13	11.3	8.76	1.504	15.1	19	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23	1.0	1	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	20	17.0	4.76	1.882	11.1	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	20	15.5	4.65	1.290	11.6	20	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 4-1

Oakland Athletics @ San Diego Padres

OAK 26-25 (4.45 RPG / 4.61 RA)

4 - 3

SD 30-20 (4.14 RPG / 4.0 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 4-3 TARGET: OAK 4 - 2 SD (OAK) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	1	4	6
SD	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	8

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.265

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-117.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Recent Form

Win%0.245

Avg Runs1.0

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-115.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record26-24

Win%0.520

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.080

SD Season Quality

Record29-20

Win%0.592

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.061

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.249; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Cortes	RF	129	435	157	0.361	18	69	0.430	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.345	0.407	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	227	821	237	0.289	38	171	0.449	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.295	0.476	0.517	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	208	866	280	0.323	55	126	0.394	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.267	0.339	0.475	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	147	569	122	0.214	36	127	0.301	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.206	0.282	0.368	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	201	780	158	0.203	22	100	0.293	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.214	0.312	0.371	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	113	418	106	0.254	26	69	0.302	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.195	0.238	0.389	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	29	106	37	0.349	0	12	0.387	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.286	0.350	0.366	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	169	595	173	0.291	6	58	0.350	4	2	2	1	0	2	0	1.000	0.266	0.317	0.361	OK
Darell Hernaiz	SS	98	308	80	0.260	4	29	0.347	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.275	0.227	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	6	4	4	5	8	0.171

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	206	799	193	0.242	0	64	0.317	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.254	0.341	0.306	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	144	550	168	0.305	19	71	0.329	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.276	0.301	0.498	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	153	514	132	0.257	32	85	0.339	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.324	0.465	OK
Manny Machado	3B	197	719	132	0.184	35	107	0.274	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.194	0.275	0.433	OK
Nick Castellanos	RF	104	357	69	0.193	11	64	0.223	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.158	0.189	0.334	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	196	772	160	0.207	17	87	0.281	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.210	0.292	0.316	OK
Ty France	1B	82	280	83	0.296	15	51	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.295	0.482	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	98	323	48	0.149	0	12	0.239	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.130	0.204	0.192	OK
Sung-Mun Song	SS	22	57	13	0.228	0	14	0.312	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.150	0.235	0.245	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	8	3	3	3	12	0.211

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	11	49.7	3.08	1.107	8.0	44	5.2	4	1	1	3	7	95	5.2	7	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	26	18.4	3.91	2.174	12.7	26	1.2	2	1	1	0	1	27	1.2	1	1
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	19	15.4	2.92	1.299	5.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	22	20.3	1.77	0.788	9.3	21	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
José Suarez	Reliever	3	2.1	12.86	2.857	8.6	2	0.2	0	1	1	0	1	16	0.2	1	1

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lucas Giolito	Starter	1	5.0	5.40	0.800	5.4	3	5.0	4	3	3	4	5	103	5.0	5	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	22	21.5	0.84	0.884	18.8	45	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	18	15.5	1.16	1.032	4.1	7	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	22	21.6	5.42	1.343	13.3	32	2.1	2	1	1	0	0	36	2.1	0	1

Game Summary

OAK wins 4-3 (Extra Innings - 10)

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays

PIT 26-26 (4.85 RPG / 4.48 RA)

4 - 0

TOR 25-27 (4.1 RPG / 4.15 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-0 TARGET: PIT 3 - 1 TOR (PIT) Confidence: 51.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	4	7
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.220

Avg Runs1.3

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-107.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.260

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-84.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record26-25

Win%0.510

Run Diff22

RD/Game0.431

TOR Season Quality

Record24-27

Win%0.471

Run Diff-6

RD/Game-0.118

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6078; margin adjustment: -0.2553; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Gonzales	2B	176	705	233	0.330	0	89	0.387	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.319	0.365	0.395	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	179	698	185	0.265	14	94	0.321	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.278	0.364	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	215	788	200	0.254	18	140	0.385	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.210	0.323	0.336	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	175	701	134	0.191	25	89	0.288	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.210	0.298	0.328	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	163	540	152	0.281	12	92	0.397	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.369	0.389	OK
Jhostynxon Garcia	CF	9	37	10	0.270	0	1	0.270	4	3	3	1	0	1	0	1.000	0.242	0.254	0.309	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	63	225	54	0.240	0	8	0.296	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.272	0.285	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	4	12	0	0.000	0	0	0.250	4	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.176	0.347	0.266
Henry Davis	C	112	379	58	0.153	12	37	0.257	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.160	0.234	0.343	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	4	4	5	8	0.206

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	136	550	113	0.205	19	56	0.286	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.219	0.305	0.404	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	190	716	203	0.284	24	74	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.343	0.406	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	213	784	225	0.287	12	97	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.386	0.361	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	62	208	66	0.317	4	35	0.357	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.302	0.394	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	157	537	143	0.266	20	81	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.259	0.357	OK
Ernie Clement	3B	198	796	243	0.305	14	72	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.312	0.352	0.506	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	172	619	150	0.242	20	106	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.231	0.320	OK
Lenyn Sosa	2B	72	245	49	0.200	5	19	0.198	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.150	0.154	0.237	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	70	196	32	0.163	0	7	0.208	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.147	0.163	0.179	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	0	0	3	8	0.156

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	10	54.3	2.65	0.718	10.4	63	6.0	3	0	0	2	7	93	6.0	7	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	23	22.4	2.41	0.848	11.7	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	22	20.4	4.85	1.373	6.6	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	19	16.2	3.33	1.420	14.4	26	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Corbin	Starter	8	36.7	4.41	1.553	6.1	25	4.2	5	2	2	3	5	98	4.2	5	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	25	25.1	0.72	1.195	14.3	40	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	28	1.1	1	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	24	21.7	1.66	1.152	6.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	24	19.9	5.88	1.859	16.7	37	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	25	23.0	3.52	1.261	11.0	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-0

Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals

SEA 25-28 (4.0 RPG / 3.85 RA)

3 - 1

KC 21-31 (3.83 RPG / 4.35 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 3-1 TARGET: SEA 3 - 1 KC (SEA) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	7
KC	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.314

Avg Runs1.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-107.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.140

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-143.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record25-27

Win%0.481

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.250

KC Season Quality

Record20-31

Win%0.392

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.627

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0104; margin adjustment: -0.4244; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	180	645	142	0.220	28	76	0.365	5	3	1	0	0	2	1	0.333	0.192	0.311	0.328	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	224	907	236	0.260	36	98	0.322	5	5	1	1	3	0	0	0.200	0.288	0.335	0.463	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	207	820	212	0.259	22	98	0.327	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.244	0.321	0.335	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	216	773	241	0.312	19	89	0.406	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.268	0.392	0.454	OK
Luke Raley	RF	136	460	136	0.296	40	116	0.356	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.239	0.273	0.462	OK
Cole Young	2B	204	719	171	0.238	13	103	0.323	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.300	0.314	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	114	328	88	0.268	17	75	0.341	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.212	0.297	0.403	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	17	52	9	0.173	1	1	0.246	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.235	0.318	OK
Colt Emerson	3B	14	40	7	0.175	4	12	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.272	0.368	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	34	7	3	3	6	4	0.206

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	213	878	250	0.285	14	89	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.316	0.378	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	223	893	262	0.293	33	104	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.235	0.303	0.391	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	207	781	149	0.191	23	101	0.289	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.189	0.300	0.298	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	204	793	172	0.217	38	95	0.270	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.193	0.244	0.349	OK
Carter Jensen	C	167	572	136	0.238	23	82	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.189	0.275	0.316	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	161	565	129	0.228	18	36	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.157	0.215	0.290	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	163	543	119	0.219	11	67	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.169	0.268	0.252	OK
Michael Massey	2B	100	323	72	0.223	10	44	0.234	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.168	0.185	0.309	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	139	462	127	0.275	11	38	0.331	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.271	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	1	1	1	10	0.182

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	10	60.8	3.55	1.217	7.7	52	6.0	5	1	1	1	5	103	6.0	5	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	21	18.5	4.86	1.351	15.6	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	24	21.1	2.13	1.374	9.4	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	25	18.9	2.86	1.640	10.5	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Stephen Kolek	Starter	3	16.3	4.42	1.043	6.6	12	5.1	4	2	2	4	3	106	5.1	3	2
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	20	18.4	3.42	1.522	8.3	17	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	20	16.8	4.29	1.488	7.5	14	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	20	18.9	1.90	1.005	12.4	26	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 3-1

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds

STL 29-21 (4.54 RPG / 4.5 RA)

4 - 3

CIN 26-25 (4.35 RPG / 5.04 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 4-3 TARGET: STL 3 - 2 CIN (STL) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	9
CIN	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

STL Recent Form

Win%0.163

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-118.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.320

Avg Runs1.7

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-128.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record28-21

Win%0.571

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.102

CIN Season Quality

Record26-24

Win%0.520

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.560

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5351; margin adjustment: -0.2247; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	220	850	204	0.240	42	117	0.364	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.225	0.318	0.385	OK
Iván Herrera	C	221	830	222	0.267	27	111	0.393	5	5	2	1	0	0	3	0.400	0.240	0.332	0.433	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	207	834	243	0.291	31	156	0.355	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.281	0.340	0.457	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	204	795	239	0.301	59	158	0.368	5	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.240	0.303	0.440	OK
Nolan Gorman	DH	180	650	154	0.237	24	109	0.319	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.212	0.309	0.337	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	178	687	172	0.250	5	78	0.325	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.196	0.268	0.302	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.252	0.324	0.399
César Prieto	3B	9	26	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.168	0.180	0.252
Victor Scott II	CF	137	405	77	0.190	9	27	0.251	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.185	0.233	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	36	9	4	4	6	11	0.250

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Bleday	LF	88	319	98	0.307	26	93	0.408	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.347	0.476	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	220	890	265	0.298	56	156	0.366	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.314	0.452	OK
Sal Stewart	DH	216	816	205	0.251	49	149	0.345	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.366	0.496	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	112	379	102	0.269	27	71	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.311	0.434	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	100	377	85	0.225	10	41	0.291	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.196	0.266	0.303	OK
Spencer Steer	2B	187	691	187	0.271	30	75	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.300	0.384	OK
Blake Dunn	RF	27	95	32	0.337	5	5	0.422	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.319	0.460	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	142	464	83	0.179	13	56	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.164	0.277	0.276	OK
Dane Myers	CF	80	219	49	0.224	15	36	0.353	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.178	0.293	0.330	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	4	6	0.156

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	9	48.3	4.10	1.366	7.5	40	5.2	5	2	2	4	4	102	5.2	4	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	23	21.6	3.33	1.065	10.4	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	23	19.0	3.79	1.474	9.9	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	22	17.4	4.14	1.437	8.8	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	23	16.5	7.64	2.303	14.7	27	0.1	0	1	1	0	1	15	0.1	1	1

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Paddack	Starter	2	5.2	3.46	1.538	5.2	3	4.0	7	4	4	3	6	95	4.0	6	4
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	23	22.7	2.38	1.233	10.7	27	1.1	0	0	0	1	3	21	1.1	3	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	20	18.3	3.44	1.257	9.8	20	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	22	15.6	4.62	1.667	11.0	19	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	24	18.7	4.33	1.818	12.0	25	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	27	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

STL wins 4-3

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees

TB 34-15 (4.82 RPG / 3.96 RA)

1 - 2

NYY 30-22 (4.85 RPG / 3.6 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 2-1 TARGET: TB 1 - 2 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 56.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
NYY	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	3

TB Recent Form

Win%0.327

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-54.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.294

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-69.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record34-15

Win%0.694

Run Diff42

RD/Game0.857

NYY Season Quality

Record30-22

Win%0.577

Run Diff65

RD/Game1.250

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2174; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cedric Mullins	CF	164	612	115	0.188	13	66	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.270	0.337	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	135	433	91	0.210	0	54	0.320	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.194	0.311	0.294	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	100	291	83	0.285	4	50	0.409	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.227	0.350	0.305	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	210	783	211	0.269	36	174	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.346	0.419	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	63	157	37	0.236	1	14	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.177	0.247	0.283	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	214	840	227	0.270	57	127	0.368	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.263	0.369	0.461	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	122	452	130	0.288	5	73	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.274	0.372	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	202	830	233	0.281	0	44	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.273	0.283	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	203	802	254	0.317	30	151	0.397	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.281	0.353	0.474	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	1	1	5	5	0.129

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	192	686	130	0.190	25	117	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.348	0.430	OK
José Caballero	SS	151	534	150	0.281	18	58	0.337	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.278	0.320	0.416	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	203	765	186	0.243	21	86	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.318	0.419	OK
Ben Rice	1B	194	729	211	0.289	69	144	0.394	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.257	0.346	0.519	OK
Austin Wells	C	139	437	78	0.178	17	26	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.186	0.325	0.380	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	145	484	90	0.186	13	57	0.252	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.170	0.229	0.290	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	227	822	207	0.252	70	138	0.390	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.202	0.338	0.428	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	218	791	217	0.274	27	140	0.387	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.266	0.384	0.466	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	90	325	88	0.271	23	57	0.361	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.273	0.425	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	27	3	2	2	7	7	0.111

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	9	47.3	3.23	1.015	8.6	45	5.2	1	1	1	5	5	101	5.2	5	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	23	20.4	2.65	1.078	11.0	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	22	21.8	3.72	1.193	12.0	29	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.1	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	23	19.7	2.74	0.863	7.8	17	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	27	1.0	0	1

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	9	48.7	3.70	1.170	11.3	61	5.2	2	1	1	4	3	93	5.2	3	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	22	20.6	5.24	1.699	12.2	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	24	14.6	3.08	1.849	18.5	30	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	23	15.7	1.72	1.083	4.6	8	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 2-1

Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels

TEX 24-26 (3.96 RPG / 3.76 RA)

3 - 2

LAA 18-34 (4.04 RPG / 5.31 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 3-2 TARGET: TEX 3 - 2 LAA (TEX) Confidence: 55.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	4
LAA	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	6

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.260

Avg Runs1.2

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-104.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.154

Avg Runs0.9

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-183.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record24-25

Win%0.490

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.265

LAA Season Quality

Record17-34

Win%0.333

Run Diff-69

RD/Game-1.353

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.8529; margin adjustment: -0.7782; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	138	403	103	0.256	11	41	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.369	0.396	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	210	843	233	0.276	28	86	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.302	0.358	0.550	OK
Josh Jung	3B	193	757	228	0.301	22	88	0.357	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.288	0.346	0.434	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	70	197	49	0.249	0	22	0.391	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.261	0.347	0.346	OK
Jake Burger	1B	194	754	187	0.248	34	135	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.268	0.328	0.476	OK
Evan Carter	CF	175	568	103	0.181	21	57	0.295	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.162	0.261	0.309	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	144	509	153	0.301	14	92	0.361	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.288	0.406	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	38	123	42	0.341	7	27	0.392	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.312	0.465	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	79	279	54	0.194	7	29	0.265	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.181	0.243	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	3	3	3	5	0.129

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	235	931	211	0.227	45	115	0.339	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.228	0.316	0.530	OK
Mike Trout	CF	227	806	202	0.251	58	123	0.419	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.258	0.414	0.488	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	201	811	209	0.258	18	107	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.295	0.378	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	198	737	160	0.217	36	131	0.312	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.206	0.296	0.371	OK
Jo Adell	RF	214	846	212	0.251	27	123	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.210	0.235	0.324	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	4	12	8	0.667	4	12	0.750	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.298	0.442	0.569	MODERATE
Oswald Peraza	2B	139	478	138	0.289	26	54	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.281	0.316	0.505	OK
Sebastián Rivero	C	30	79	12	0.152	0	0	0.183	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.118	0.151	0.154	OK
Donovan Walton	3B	4	12	0	0.000	0	0	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.171	0.340	0.257
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	2	2	5	8	0.182

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	9	54.2	3.65	1.162	9.1	55	6.1	5	1	1	3	5	107	6.1	5	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	18	22.5	0.80	0.444	8.4	21	1.1	1	0	0	2	0	24	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	18	20.3	1.77	0.739	4.0	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Chris Martin	Middle Reliever	9	6.4	9.84	2.188	9.8	7	0.1	0	1	1	0	1	13	0.1	1	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	8	32.4	2.78	1.389	8.3	30	5.1	3	2	2	2	4	84	5.1	4	2
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	18	21.0	5.14	1.381	12.4	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	18	21.5	2.93	1.116	10.5	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	6	4.4	6.14	1.591	16.4	8	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	8	1.1	1	1

Game Summary

TEX wins 3-2

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

WAS 26-27 (5.4 RPG / 5.68 RA)

2 - 7

ATL 36-17 (5.3 RPG / 3.36 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 7-2 TARGET: WAS 2 - 6 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	4
ATL	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	x	7	10

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.288

Avg Runs1.6

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-140.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.314

Avg Runs1.4

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff-74.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record25-27

Win%0.481

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.327

ATL Season Quality

Record36-16

Win%0.692

Run Diff105

RD/Game2.019

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.6635; margin adjustment: 1.1187; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	244	953	255	0.268	65	177	0.410	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.247	0.376	0.478	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	160	593	160	0.270	15	98	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.166	0.190	0.297	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.264	0.292	0.355
CJ Abrams	SS	217	834	254	0.305	44	198	0.392	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.280	0.358	0.584	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	14	57	10	0.175	0	0	0.230	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.192	0.245	0.247	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	225	937	247	0.264	32	120	0.320	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.241	0.292	0.388	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	174	590	114	0.193	0	59	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.179	0.275	0.211	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	110	326	83	0.255	0	17	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.283	0.338	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	100	349	89	0.255	17	82	0.274	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.282	0.484	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	2	2	3	7	0.129

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	167	641	159	0.248	10	50	0.361	5	3	2	1	1	2	0	0.667	0.249	0.361	0.368	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	177	690	201	0.291	44	116	0.312	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.290	0.312	0.524	OK
Matt Olson	1B	225	880	242	0.275	63	189	0.357	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.254	0.337	0.518	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	221	859	234	0.272	34	120	0.335	4	2	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.256	0.325	0.402	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	110	373	131	0.351	16	76	0.376	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.317	0.338	0.486	OK
Austin Riley	3B	214	819	185	0.226	31	129	0.297	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.288	0.354	0.434	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	194	743	201	0.271	12	120	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.324	0.362	0.481	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	148	487	107	0.220	9	43	0.298	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.272	0.338	0.500	OK
Chadwick Tromp	C	8	22	11	0.500	0	6	0.500	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.208	0.224	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	10	7	7	4	8	0.303

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Irvin	Starter	10	46.2	5.84	1.494	9.9	51	4.1	5	3	3	3	5	94	4.1	5	3
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	20	16.4	4.39	1.707	10.4	19	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	15	29.2	3.39	1.199	8.0	26	1.1	3	3	3	1	1	33	1.1	1	3
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	14	12.0	2.25	1.917	10.5	14	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	9	46.4	3.88	1.293	7.4	38	5.1	3	1	1	2	6	90	5.1	6	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	15	15.2	0.00	0.724	11.2	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	22	21.4	0.84	0.935	8.4	20	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	25	22.0	1.23	0.682	11.9	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	24	19.8	4.09	1.414	10.5	23	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 7-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants

CHW Recent Form

SF Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies

CLE Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

PHI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks

COL Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

COL Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles

DET Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

DET Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs

HOU Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers

LAD Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox

MIN Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins