MLB Predictions — May 17, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ COL	4 - 5	4 - 6	COL	COL	COL wins 6-4	51%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ WAS	4 - 5	2 - 5	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 5-2	55%	enhanced_ml
BOS @ ATL	2 - 3	1 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-1	54%	enhanced_ml
CHC @ CHW	7 - 5	7 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 7-3	51%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ CLE	4 - 5	4 - 5	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 5-4	54%	enhanced_ml
KC @ STL	4 - 5	4 - 6	STL	STL	STL wins 6-4	55%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ LAA	4 - 3	4 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-2	55%	enhanced_ml
MIA @ TB	4 - 5	4 - 6	TB	TB	TB wins 6-4	51%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ MIN	4 - 3	4 - 3	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml
NYY @ NYM	3 - 4	3 - 6	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 6-3	55%	enhanced_ml
PHI @ PIT	3 - 4	1 - 5	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-1	51%	enhanced_ml
SD @ SEA	4 - 3	4 - 3	SD	SD	SD wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml
SF @ OAK	3 - 4	4 - 5	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 5-4	55%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ HOU	3 - 4	0 - 5	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-0	51%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ DET	4 - 3	4 - 3	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies

ARI 21-23 (4.32 RPG / 4.75 RA)

4 - 6

COL 18-28 (4.2 RPG / 5.11 RA)

WINNER: COL wins 6-4 TARGET: ARI 4 - 5 COL (COL) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	4	7
COL	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	1	x	6	11

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff3

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

ARI Season Quality

Record21-23

Win%0.477

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.432

COL Season Quality

Record18-28

Win%0.391

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.913

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6102; margin adjustment: -0.2563; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	35	144	47	0.326	7	27	0.345	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.301	0.320	0.486	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	42	147	40	0.272	5	21	0.384	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.292	0.410	0.502	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	41	142	31	0.218	2	12	0.335	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.206	0.325	0.318	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	41	138	38	0.275	6	20	0.350	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.275	0.362	0.442	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	20	74	16	0.216	0	7	0.289	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.218	0.295	0.300	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	DH	23	83	15	0.181	2	13	0.233	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.162	0.226	0.265	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	20	74	16	0.216	1	10	0.268	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.202	0.250	0.320	OK
Jose Fernandez	1B	29	109	32	0.294	3	13	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.265	0.319	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	7	24	6	0.250	0	5	0.308	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.223	0.284	0.346	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	4	4	4	9	0.206

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	31	108	27	0.250	2	12	0.336	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.204	0.290	0.305	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	34	130	41	0.315	12	27	0.366	5	4	1	0	0	1	3	0.250	0.289	0.334	0.591	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	39	156	39	0.250	11	18	0.312	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.252	0.296	0.470	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	42	158	43	0.272	5	22	0.345	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.266	0.337	0.437	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	35	127	40	0.315	2	18	0.370	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.274	0.324	0.399	OK
Willi Castro	SS	33	120	29	0.242	2	13	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.205	0.264	0.294	OK
Jake McCarthy	CF	29	85	24	0.282	2	15	0.337	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.258	0.306	0.456	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	39	120	27	0.225	1	10	0.336	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.215	0.321	0.305	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	18	63	13	0.206	0	6	0.254	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.171	0.214	0.271	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	11	6	6	4	10	0.314

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Soroka	Starter	8	42.4	3.61	1.344	10.0	47	6.2	3	2	2	3	8	116	6.2	8	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	0.0	5	3	3	0	0	20	0.0	0	3
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	0.1	2	1	1	1	1	16	0.1	1	1

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	10	42.6	6.76	1.901	6.5	31	4.2	6	3	3	1	5	81	4.2	5	3
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	16	15.6	7.50	2.244	8.7	15	1.0	1	1	1	3	2	28	1.0	2	1
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	13	25.3	1.42	0.909	8.9	25	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	24	2.0	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	18	19.2	4.69	1.719	12.2	26	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	24	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

COL wins 6-4

Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals

BAL 21-26 (4.36 RPG / 5.3 RA)

2 - 5

WAS 23-24 (5.43 RPG / 5.7 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-2 TARGET: BAL 4 - 5 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4
WAS	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	x	5	7

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.9

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

BAL Season Quality

Record20-26

Win%0.435

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-1.043

WAS Season Quality

Record23-23

Win%0.500

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.196

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9457; margin adjustment: 0.3972; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	DH	45	160	43	0.269	1	13	0.424	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.407	0.358	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	45	191	38	0.199	9	22	0.256	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.175	0.229	0.313	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	46	173	38	0.220	8	23	0.308	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.220	0.291	0.387	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	19	58	10	0.172	2	7	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.175	0.313	0.311	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	32	120	32	0.267	6	15	0.328	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.274	0.331	0.473	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	29	98	26	0.265	2	18	0.368	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.228	0.324	0.339	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	35	114	21	0.184	4	15	0.262	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.285	0.360	OK
Colton Cowser	LF	23	68	11	0.162	0	5	0.256	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.143	0.238	0.196	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	37	136	33	0.243	6	25	0.261	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.197	0.216	0.307	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	2	2	4	10	0.129

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	46	174	41	0.236	12	29	0.384	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.231	0.363	0.483	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	33	119	32	0.269	3	21	0.302	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.295	0.333	0.541	OK
Brady House	3B	36	147	30	0.204	6	21	0.258	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.181	0.237	0.352	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	44	162	49	0.302	9	37	0.395	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.316	0.388	0.519	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	45	180	49	0.272	7	25	0.332	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.302	0.353	0.585	OK
Jacob Young	CF	40	152	33	0.217	4	19	0.265	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.255	0.338	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.235	0.272	0.328
Keibert Ruiz	C	24	83	19	0.229	4	18	0.244	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.258	0.530	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	39	126	25	0.198	0	14	0.315	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.161	0.290	0.201	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	7	5	5	4	7	0.226

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	5	25.3	4.27	1.423	6.8	19	5.1	6	5	5	4	5	101	5.1	5	5
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	20	17.6	0.51	0.455	11.2	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	18	18.6	2.90	1.075	10.6	22	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.1	0	0
Dietrich Enns	Middle Reliever	10	10.8	1.67	1.481	9.2	11	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Richard Lovelady	Starter	11	8.9	1.01	2.247	12.1	12	4.0	3	2	2	1	6	63	4.0	6	2
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	18	13.4	5.37	1.866	12.1	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	22	16.7	3.77	1.796	8.1	15	1.2	0	0	0	1	2	25	1.2	2	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	13	25.2	3.57	1.270	7.5	21	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	30	1.1	1	0
Paxton Schultz	Middle Reliever	12	15.5	2.32	1.161	10.5	18	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	22	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-2

Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves

BOS 19-27 (3.63 RPG / 4.07 RA)

1 - 4

ATL 32-15 (5.32 RPG / 3.23 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-1 TARGET: BOS 2 - 3 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 53.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	9
ATL	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	x	4	11

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed2.2

Run Diff11

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

BOS Season Quality

Record19-26

Win%0.422

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.289

ATL Season Quality

Record31-15

Win%0.674

Run Diff91

RD/Game1.978

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.6447; margin adjustment: 1.1108; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	38	157	28	0.178	4	18	0.241	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.138	0.192	0.230	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	5	20	8	0.400	0	2	0.429	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.283	0.416	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	44	166	51	0.307	6	19	0.380	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.286	0.353	0.425	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	42	151	38	0.252	9	25	0.359	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.203	0.292	0.381	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	39	141	39	0.277	3	15	0.346	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.283	0.372	OK
Marcelo Mayer	2B	34	112	24	0.214	2	9	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.245	0.290	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	15	58	13	0.224	1	7	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.196	0.253	0.349	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	27	86	19	0.221	2	3	0.287	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.181	0.239	0.303	OK
Nick Sogard	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.212	0.282	0.336
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	1	1	1	8	0.250

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	46	184	56	0.304	13	36	0.385	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.311	0.380	0.615	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	46	177	49	0.277	8	25	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.193	0.251	0.316	OK
Matt Olson	1B	46	178	50	0.281	14	37	0.356	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.320	0.482	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	37	141	41	0.291	7	20	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.265	0.297	0.422	OK
Austin Riley	3B	45	171	37	0.216	6	25	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.271	0.366	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	21	74	28	0.378	4	17	0.405	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.321	0.351	0.467	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	16	51	16	0.314	1	4	0.352	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.281	0.323	0.404	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	30	104	22	0.212	1	9	0.274	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.273	0.333	OK
José Azócar	LF	4	9	4	0.444	0	0	0.444	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.266	0.506	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	11	4	4	0	10	0.314

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brayan Bello	Starter	8	36.9	6.83	1.843	7.1	29	4.1	9	4	4	0	5	90	4.1	5	4
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	16	15.2	0.59	0.921	12.4	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	17	17.1	3.16	1.111	11.6	22	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	15	0.2	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	7	5.3	0.00	1.132	11.9	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Samaniego	Middle Reliever	14	11.6	1.55	1.466	9.3	12	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	8	40.4	4.46	1.337	7.6	34	5.1	7	1	1	0	3	93	5.1	3	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	13	13.2	0.00	0.758	11.6	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	19	18.4	0.49	0.924	9.3	19	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	22	19.7	0.91	0.508	11.9	26	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-1

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox

CHC 29-18 (5.13 RPG / 4.23 RA)

7 - 3

CHW 24-22 (4.59 RPG / 4.74 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 7-3 TARGET: CHC 7 - 5 CHW (CHC) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	2	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	7	9
CHW	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CHC Season Quality

Record29-17

Win%0.630

Run Diff43

RD/Game0.935

CHW Season Quality

Record23-22

Win%0.511

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.178

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2915; margin adjustment: -0.5424; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	44	182	47	0.258	4	29	0.333	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.221	0.290	0.323	OK
Michael Busch	1B	44	163	37	0.227	3	23	0.347	5	4	0	1	0	1	3	0.000	0.225	0.350	0.333	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	44	178	44	0.247	4	13	0.335	5	5	1	1	3	0	0	0.200	0.279	0.357	0.411	OK
Ian Happ	LF	44	162	38	0.235	10	20	0.374	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.371	0.453	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	30	113	30	0.265	7	17	0.373	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.314	0.369	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	13	39	13	0.333	1	5	0.469	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.285	0.420	0.521	OK
Carson Kelly	C	28	104	30	0.288	1	13	0.368	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.254	0.326	0.337	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	45	166	40	0.241	5	20	0.315	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.213	0.286	0.374	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	43	147	27	0.184	6	23	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.155	0.259	0.265	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	7	7	4	5	0.250

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	24	84	22	0.262	1	9	0.370	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.260	0.314	0.386	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	43	154	36	0.234	17	32	0.377	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.384	0.551	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	42	155	38	0.245	11	27	0.370	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.377	0.550	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	42	157	37	0.236	13	31	0.330	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.305	0.549	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	42	157	43	0.274	3	10	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.326	0.397	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	32	117	28	0.239	3	15	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.275	0.389	OK
Edgar Quero	C	23	79	13	0.165	0	7	0.242	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.169	0.237	0.203	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	31	93	23	0.247	0	7	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.196	0.257	0.266	OK
Derek Hill	RF	11	29	6	0.207	1	1	0.258	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.200	0.251	0.315	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	6	0.206

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Colin Rea	Starter	9	40.7	4.86	1.474	8.0	36	5.0	5	2	2	1	5	82	5.0	5	2
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	9	7.3	2.47	1.233	11.1	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	9.18	1.939	14.7	16	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	15	1.0	0	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	19	16.0	3.94	1.688	11.2	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	20	17.3	2.60	1.156	3.6	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Erick Fedde	Starter	8	41.6	3.89	1.202	5.6	26	6.1	5	5	5	3	4	107	6.1	4	5
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	0.0	0	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	20	1.0	0	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	12	9.8	1.84	1.939	13.8	15	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	18	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 7-3

Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians

CIN 24-23 (4.34 RPG / 5.09 RA)

4 - 5

CLE 26-22 (4.38 RPG / 4.1 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 5-4 TARGET: CIN 4 - 5 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 53.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	6
CLE	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	x	5	11

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-4

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

CIN Season Quality

Record24-22

Win%0.522

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.609

CLE Season Quality

Record25-22

Win%0.532

Run Diff6

RD/Game0.128

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7516; margin adjustment: 0.3157; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Will Benson	RF	22	60	9	0.150	1	2	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.153	0.273	0.264	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	46	184	55	0.299	10	30	0.363	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.305	0.361	0.467	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	18	62	20	0.323	6	19	0.440	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.305	0.417	0.625	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	43	155	40	0.258	7	17	0.329	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.261	0.322	0.417	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	46	174	41	0.236	10	31	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.302	0.352	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	24	82	21	0.256	6	15	0.344	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.209	0.299	0.390	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	32	107	18	0.168	3	12	0.266	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.156	0.250	0.277	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	36	138	26	0.188	2	7	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.163	0.230	0.239	OK
Matt McLain	2B	42	159	35	0.220	5	19	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.320	0.429	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	4	4	3	9	0.188

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Daniel Schneemann	3B	33	112	30	0.268	4	16	0.349	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.243	0.328	0.379	OK
José Ramírez	DH	47	172	39	0.227	6	17	0.353	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.248	0.366	0.367	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	39	149	41	0.275	6	26	0.360	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.233	0.329	0.379	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	32	115	22	0.191	1	9	0.271	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.295	0.284	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	16	55	13	0.236	1	7	0.391	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.370	0.336	OK
Steven Kwan	CF	42	162	33	0.204	1	10	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.176	0.296	0.234	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	34	131	37	0.282	8	21	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.302	0.533	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	3	7	0	0.000	0	1	0.125	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.125	0.189	0.165
Brayan Rocchio	SS	45	148	41	0.277	3	25	0.357	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.339	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	11	5	5	1	5	0.314

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	9	40.6	5.99	1.724	6.2	28	4.2	8	3	3	0	5	83	4.2	5	3
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	21	20.5	1.76	1.268	11.0	25	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	19	17.3	3.64	1.329	9.4	18	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	25	1.0	0	2
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	21	14.6	4.93	1.712	10.5	17	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.2	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	9	54.4	3.81	1.195	10.9	66	6.1	5	3	3	3	5	107	6.1	5	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	21	21.2	2.97	1.132	13.2	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	11	1.1	3	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	23	15.7	2.29	1.083	20.6	36	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	14	0.2	1	1
Matt Festa	Middle Reliever	20	15.9	6.23	1.509	11.3	20	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 5-4

Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals

KC 20-27 (4.02 RPG / 4.47 RA)

4 - 6

STL 27-19 (4.52 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 6-4 TARGET: KC 4 - 5 STL (STL) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	4	6
STL	2	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	x	6	10

KC Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak6L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

KC Season Quality

Record19-27

Win%0.413

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.500

STL Season Quality

Record27-18

Win%0.600

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.111

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8915; margin adjustment: 0.3744; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	43	173	46	0.266	3	18	0.332	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.299	0.348	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	46	181	56	0.309	7	23	0.383	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.303	0.383	0.546	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	43	163	33	0.202	5	22	0.287	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.198	0.283	0.309	OK
Salvador Perez	C	44	174	34	0.195	6	18	0.232	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.183	0.211	0.305	OK
Carter Jensen	DH	37	126	29	0.230	6	19	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.315	0.333	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	36	120	27	0.225	3	15	0.349	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.187	0.298	0.295	OK
Lane Thomas	RF	22	68	13	0.191	1	5	0.325	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.167	0.294	0.223	OK
Michael Massey	2B	26	81	18	0.222	3	12	0.235	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.187	0.208	0.376	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	35	111	30	0.270	3	10	0.331	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.221	0.268	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	4	4	4	4	0.182

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	43	167	40	0.240	8	22	0.361	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.338	0.402	OK
Iván Herrera	C	45	166	44	0.265	4	20	0.398	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.278	0.374	0.399	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	42	171	48	0.281	6	33	0.342	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.292	0.348	0.432	OK
Jordan Walker	DH	43	167	52	0.311	13	34	0.383	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.309	0.377	0.594	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	38	139	32	0.230	4	22	0.308	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.327	0.329	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	39	151	38	0.252	1	17	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.285	0.332	OK
Nathan Church	RF	35	130	33	0.254	4	15	0.285	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.280	0.354	OK
Thomas Saggese	LF	18	60	9	0.150	0	1	0.203	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.145	0.194	0.206	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	37	107	21	0.196	2	7	0.256	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.204	0.260	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	10	6	6	5	7	0.294

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Stephen Kolek	Starter	2	10.2	7.06	1.176	7.9	9	4.2	7	4	4	3	4	103	4.2	4	4
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	19	17.4	3.62	1.552	8.8	17	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	18	13.8	3.26	1.522	7.8	12	0.2	3	2	2	0	1	17	0.2	1	2
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	18	16.7	2.16	0.898	13.5	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	19	14.3	4.41	1.818	4.4	7	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	16	0.2	1	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	8	42.1	4.49	1.378	7.1	33	5.1	3	1	1	3	3	91	5.1	3	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	22	20.6	2.62	0.971	10.9	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	22	17.9	4.02	1.508	9.6	19	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	18	1.0	1	2
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	21	16.4	4.39	1.524	8.8	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	22	16.3	7.73	2.209	14.9	27	0.2	0	1	1	0	0	16	0.2	0	1

Game Summary

STL wins 6-4

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels

LAD 28-18 (5.17 RPG / 3.33 RA)

4 - 2

LAA 16-30 (4.02 RPG / 5.13 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-2 TARGET: LAD 4 - 3 LAA (LAD) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	4	8
LAA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	5

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-23

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

LAD Season Quality

Record27-18

Win%0.600

Run Diff72

RD/Game1.600

LAA Season Quality

Record16-29

Win%0.356

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.844

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.8111; margin adjustment: -1.1807; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	41	158	39	0.247	7	22	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.241	0.364	0.443	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	43	167	44	0.263	4	20	0.339	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.339	0.400	OK
Andy Pages	CF	45	167	51	0.305	10	39	0.359	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.318	0.512	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	43	160	40	0.250	4	19	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.364	0.400	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	41	149	40	0.268	5	22	0.341	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.299	0.357	0.461	OK
Max Muncy	3B	42	145	40	0.276	12	19	0.375	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.255	0.355	0.524	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	19	67	19	0.284	7	16	0.351	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.267	0.406	OK
Miguel Rojas	SS	15	51	17	0.333	1	5	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.283	0.382	OK
Hyeseong Kim	2B	29	89	23	0.258	1	9	0.323	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.219	0.287	0.298	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	8	4	4	0	8	0.229

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	46	180	41	0.228	7	20	0.340	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.230	0.333	0.410	OK
Mike Trout	CF	45	160	38	0.238	11	23	0.402	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.197	0.349	0.356	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	41	163	41	0.252	3	20	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.274	0.321	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	42	152	34	0.224	8	28	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.197	0.282	0.364	OK
Yoán Moncada	3B	30	98	17	0.173	3	8	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.188	0.282	0.263	OK
Jo Adell	RF	46	177	47	0.266	6	27	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.213	0.254	0.345	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	31	103	17	0.165	4	10	0.216	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.150	0.196	0.226	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	25	82	17	0.207	1	8	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.184	0.271	0.245	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	16	50	13	0.260	1	5	0.327	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.182	0.246	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	2	2	5	12	0.156

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	7	33.2	5.96	1.657	8.4	31	5.0	5	2	2	3	5	99	5.0	5	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	20	17.4	1.55	0.632	9.3	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	19	13.7	3.28	1.168	13.8	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	0.75	0.667	12.0	16	1.0	0	0	0	2	2	21	1.0	2	0
Jack Dreyer	Middle Reliever	20	19.8	2.27	1.061	10.9	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	19	1.0	3	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	5	1	1	0	6	53	3.0	6	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	15	19.8	4.55	1.162	13.2	29	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	28	2.1	0	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	15	17.3	3.64	1.214	11.4	22	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	3	2.2	8.18	1.818	16.4	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	8	7.5	4.80	0.933	10.8	9	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	22	1.0	1	3

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-2

Miami Marlins @ Tampa Bay Rays

MIA 21-26 (4.28 RPG / 4.55 RA)

4 - 6

TB 30-15 (4.6 RPG / 4.04 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-4 TARGET: MIA 4 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	1	4	7
TB	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	6	8

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIA Season Quality

Record21-25

Win%0.457

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.217

TB Season Quality

Record29-15

Win%0.659

Run Diff22

RD/Game0.500

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0212; margin adjustment: 0.4289; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	45	167	52	0.311	4	15	0.401	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.363	0.431	OK
Liam Hicks	C	36	132	40	0.303	9	40	0.360	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.257	0.312	0.416	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	44	177	60	0.339	4	20	0.367	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.305	0.332	0.443	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	23	87	18	0.207	1	3	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.261	0.271	OK
Connor Norby	DH	39	131	30	0.229	4	14	0.329	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.212	0.287	0.355	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	43	164	33	0.201	3	13	0.320	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.320	0.379	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	11	32	8	0.250	0	1	0.324	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.206	0.271	0.276	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	32	98	20	0.204	2	17	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.261	0.338	OK
Christopher Morel	1B	11	38	6	0.158	0	1	0.220	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.167	0.209	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	4	4	2	9	0.206

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	40	162	48	0.296	0	9	0.329	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.288	0.328	0.351	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	43	169	43	0.254	11	21	0.335	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.246	0.322	0.407	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	41	151	42	0.278	8	34	0.380	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.291	0.397	0.469	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	42	163	48	0.294	6	26	0.373	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.306	0.383	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	22	63	16	0.254	1	8	0.368	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.348	0.336	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	22	82	21	0.256	1	8	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.277	0.341	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	35	130	22	0.169	3	14	0.232	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.214	0.264	0.328	OK
Nick Fortes	C	26	90	26	0.289	1	7	0.304	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.265	0.346	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	32	99	21	0.212	0	11	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.216	0.304	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	8	6	6	5	9	0.242

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	9	47.1	4.97	1.380	10.1	53	5.1	4	3	3	2	6	92	5.1	6	3
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	13	23.6	1.14	1.314	9.5	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	31	1.1	1	0
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	11	9.3	9.68	1.613	14.5	15	0.0	2	1	1	1	0	18	0.0	0	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	18	15.8	3.42	1.582	9.7	17	1.1	0	0	0	2	2	25	1.1	2	0
John King	Middle Reliever	21	14.7	3.06	0.952	9.8	16	0.0	2	2	2	0	0	11	0.0	0	2

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	8	42.2	3.20	0.924	9.2	43	5.2	6	3	3	1	7	97	5.2	7	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	20	17.4	3.10	1.149	11.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	17	20.6	2.62	1.311	7.0	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	10	7.3	4.93	1.781	14.8	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	20	17.4	3.10	0.920	8.3	16	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	13	0.1	0	1

Game Summary

TB wins 6-4

Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins

MIL 26-18 (4.95 RPG / 3.57 RA)

4 - 3

MIN 21-26 (4.66 RPG / 4.79 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-3 TARGET: MIL 4 - 3 MIN (MIL) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	6
MIN	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	5

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIL Season Quality

Record26-17

Win%0.605

Run Diff62

RD/Game1.442

MIN Season Quality

Record20-26

Win%0.435

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.152

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.8488; margin adjustment: -0.7765; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	10	44	14	0.318	1	4	0.362	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.282	0.328	0.487	OK
Brice Turang	2B	40	149	44	0.295	6	27	0.414	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.291	0.404	0.473	OK
William Contreras	C	40	160	45	0.281	3	27	0.359	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.248	0.330	0.338	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	14	53	15	0.283	0	6	0.345	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.303	0.342	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	33	124	35	0.282	6	21	0.360	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.303	0.380	0.505	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	36	132	28	0.212	3	10	0.288	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.282	0.281	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	32	111	26	0.234	1	22	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.323	0.337	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	28	91	18	0.198	1	11	0.257	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.204	0.262	0.296	OK
David Hamilton	3B	32	99	23	0.232	0	7	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.216	0.308	0.259	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	4	4	5	6	0.182

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	RF	30	106	34	0.321	1	10	0.434	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.277	0.378	0.369	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	41	153	38	0.248	5	22	0.303	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.202	0.257	0.306	OK
Ryan Jeffers	DH	32	115	33	0.287	6	25	0.394	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.352	0.453	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	29	101	25	0.248	4	10	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.271	0.336	0.472	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	43	159	36	0.226	1	15	0.309	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.198	0.279	0.267	OK
Victor Caratini	C	29	100	19	0.190	1	13	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.153	0.224	0.194	OK
Royce Lewis	3B	30	101	17	0.168	3	13	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.155	0.241	0.244	OK
Ryan Kreidler	CF	7	20	7	0.350	2	4	0.480	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.290	0.425	0.495	OK
James Outman	LF	10	34	8	0.235	0	3	0.257	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.234	0.262	0.412	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	3	3	4	11	0.156

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.1	1	2	2	3	7	56	2.1	7	2
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	19	15.7	5.16	1.338	10.3	18	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	34	2.1	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	21	26.2	2.40	1.450	15.1	44	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	25	1.1	1	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	16	16.0	3.38	1.125	11.2	20	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
DL Hall	Middle Reliever	18	17.2	2.09	1.453	11.5	22	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	20	1.0	0	1
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	19	14.5	3.72	1.379	9.3	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bailey Ober	Starter	9	51.3	3.51	1.033	6.8	39	6.1	2	2	2	3	5	98	6.1	5	2
Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	22	14.7	8.57	2.245	9.2	15	1.0	3	2	2	2	1	23	1.0	1	2
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	18	18.2	4.45	1.703	8.4	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	17	14.3	3.15	1.748	8.2	13	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	18	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-3

New York Yankees @ New York Mets

NYY 28-19 (5.04 RPG / 3.6 RA)

3 - 6

NYM 20-26 (3.83 RPG / 4.17 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 6-3 TARGET: NYY 3 - 4 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	4
NYM	0	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	x	6	11

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYY Season Quality

Record28-18

Win%0.609

Run Diff69

RD/Game1.500

NYM Season Quality

Record19-26

Win%0.422

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.378

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.1575; margin adjustment: -0.9061; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	38	137	23	0.168	4	22	0.301	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.168	0.301	0.323	OK
Ben Rice	1B	37	137	41	0.299	13	28	0.409	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.273	0.374	0.575	OK
Aaron Judge	DH	46	165	45	0.273	16	30	0.406	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.269	0.391	0.512	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	44	162	42	0.259	5	28	0.363	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.202	0.315	0.358	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	42	159	36	0.226	4	16	0.303	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.309	0.371	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	31	104	17	0.163	2	9	0.216	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.143	0.192	0.222	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	6	16	3	0.188	0	2	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.210	0.320	0.271	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	3	6	0	0.000	0	0	0.455	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.137	0.486	0.204
J.C. Escarra	C	12	42	8	0.190	0	6	0.244	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.188	0.244	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	30	4	3	3	4	8	0.133

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	37	133	33	0.248	3	13	0.306	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.285	0.333	0.389	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	45	181	38	0.210	2	18	0.264	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.168	0.235	0.222	OK
Juan Soto	DH	29	108	30	0.278	6	14	0.378	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.267	0.365	0.497	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	34	123	28	0.228	6	22	0.273	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.212	0.251	0.389	OK
MJ Melendez	LF	18	50	14	0.280	2	6	0.379	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.213	0.306	0.387	OK
Brett Baty	3B	35	123	30	0.244	2	16	0.304	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.242	0.300	0.383	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	45	161	36	0.224	3	14	0.284	4	4	3	1	4	0	0	0.750	0.207	0.269	0.327	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	5	16	4	0.250	1	3	0.400	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.349	0.433	OK
Hayden Senger	C	1	3	0	0.000	0	1	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.190	0.202	0.278
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	11	6	6	4	8	0.314

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz	Starter	2	8.2	5.49	2.195	5.5	5	4.1	7	4	4	3	4	100	4.1	4	4
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	19	17.6	4.09	1.534	11.2	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	21	12.4	3.63	2.016	18.1	25	1.2	3	2	2	1	0	36	1.2	0	2
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	21	14.6	1.85	1.096	4.3	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	9	47.7	3.21	1.258	9.4	50	5.2	3	2	2	2	5	106	5.2	5	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	16	13.5	4.00	1.333	15.3	23	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	18	17.7	4.07	1.243	9.7	19	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	19	15.1	1.19	1.192	12.5	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 6-3

Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates

PHI 24-23 (4.23 RPG / 4.6 RA)

1 - 5

PIT 24-23 (4.87 RPG / 4.49 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-1 TARGET: PHI 3 - 4 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	x	5	4

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

PHI Season Quality

Record23-23

Win%0.500

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.500

PIT Season Quality

Record24-22

Win%0.522

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.522

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0543; margin adjustment: 0.4428; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	44	186	44	0.237	4	14	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.271	0.312	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	46	173	41	0.237	20	36	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.371	0.720	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	45	166	47	0.283	11	29	0.378	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.279	0.375	0.524	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	41	153	31	0.203	3	20	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.288	0.345	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	39	151	50	0.331	4	22	0.354	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.281	0.309	0.391	OK
Adolis García	RF	43	162	35	0.216	3	12	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.166	0.222	0.261	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	35	130	27	0.208	3	16	0.257	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.197	0.243	0.335	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	27	94	21	0.223	1	8	0.288	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.176	0.224	0.248	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	37	124	35	0.282	2	10	0.360	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.245	0.324	0.417	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	1	1	1	7	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	DH	43	184	48	0.261	10	32	0.327	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.265	0.326	0.432	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	39	152	38	0.250	12	31	0.350	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.326	0.536	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	44	159	42	0.264	4	26	0.398	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.272	0.388	0.382	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	37	144	47	0.326	0	19	0.386	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.310	0.361	0.378	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	35	116	32	0.276	2	17	0.394	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.289	0.404	0.421	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	38	145	38	0.262	3	19	0.321	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.291	0.374	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	16	64	17	0.266	0	1	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.293	0.295	OK
Jared Triolo	RF	13	45	10	0.222	0	2	0.286	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.215	0.265	0.295	OK
Henry Davis	C	27	89	13	0.146	2	8	0.248	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.140	0.233	0.249	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	27	4	5	5	5	7	0.148

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	4	24.2	2.60	0.950	8.2	22	6.0	1	2	2	2	6	103	6.0	6	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	1.61	1.161	15.3	19	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	27	1.1	1	0
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	19	17.5	4.11	1.314	11.8	23	0.2	3	3	3	2	0	25	0.2	0	3

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	9	49.3	2.01	0.649	10.2	56	6.0	2	0	0	1	7	90	6.0	7	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	22	21.4	2.52	0.888	10.9	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	19	17.4	3.62	1.322	5.2	10	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	18	15.2	3.55	1.447	15.4	26	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-1

San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners

SD 27-18 (4.16 RPG / 4.11 RA)

4 - 3

SEA 22-25 (4.15 RPG / 3.91 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-3 TARGET: SD 4 - 3 SEA (SD) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	6
SEA	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

SD Season Quality

Record27-18

Win%0.600

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.044

SEA Season Quality

Record22-25

Win%0.468

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.234

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0083; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	43	163	38	0.233	0	14	0.312	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.289	0.259	OK
Miguel Andujar	3B	32	120	36	0.300	3	14	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.283	0.301	0.488	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	34	115	27	0.235	5	13	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.291	0.371	0.547	OK
Manny Machado	DH	43	154	28	0.182	6	20	0.279	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.154	0.251	0.263	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	43	159	41	0.258	6	21	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.301	0.335	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	42	166	34	0.205	4	18	0.275	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.160	0.235	0.253	OK
Ramón Laureano	RF	38	144	33	0.229	5	19	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.283	0.336	OK
Ty France	1B	19	65	17	0.262	4	9	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.251	0.432	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	24	77	13	0.169	0	3	0.258	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.176	0.244	0.244	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	1	10	0.182

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	38	137	30	0.219	6	16	0.363	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.241	0.366	0.425	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	47	188	48	0.255	7	20	0.320	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.215	0.276	0.369	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	44	174	44	0.253	5	20	0.318	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.259	0.323	0.361	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	47	170	52	0.306	4	17	0.394	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.335	0.403	0.496	OK
Luke Raley	RF	34	110	30	0.273	9	25	0.339	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.272	0.318	0.588	OK
Cole Young	2B	47	165	42	0.255	3	26	0.330	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.222	0.286	0.326	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	31	86	23	0.267	4	17	0.337	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.225	0.301	0.421	OK
Mitch Garver	C	14	42	8	0.190	1	3	0.382	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.179	0.357	0.273	OK
Brendan Donovan	3B	23	84	23	0.274	3	8	0.374	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.298	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	3	3	4	10	0.250

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lucas Giolito	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.0	5	2	2	3	6	52	2.0	6	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	20	20.3	0.89	0.788	19.5	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	16	13.5	1.33	0.963	4.7	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	20	19.5	6.00	1.436	12.9	28	0.1	3	1	1	0	1	19	0.1	1	1
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	13	11.8	3.81	1.271	12.2	16	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	18	17.4	2.07	1.149	7.8	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Yuki Matsui	Reliever	3	6.2	0.00	0.968	11.6	8	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	28	1.2	1	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	9	55.6	2.91	1.187	7.4	46	6.0	5	3	3	0	6	97	6.0	6	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	18	16.3	5.52	1.411	16.0	29	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	22	16.6	2.71	1.506	9.2	17	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Cooper Criswell	Middle Reliever	16	18.3	2.46	0.984	7.9	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SD wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ Oakland Athletics

SF 19-27 (3.37 RPG / 4.37 RA)

4 - 5

OAK 23-22 (4.42 RPG / 4.51 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 5-4 TARGET: SF 3 - 4 OAK (OAK) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	4	8
OAK	0	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	x	5	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SF Season Quality

Record18-27

Win%0.400

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-1.067

OAK Season Quality

Record23-21

Win%0.523

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.045

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2053; margin adjustment: 0.5062; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Harrison Bader	CF	18	66	10	0.152	3	5	0.174	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.187	0.212	0.367	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	43	170	54	0.318	1	15	0.359	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.309	0.364	0.449	OK
Casey Schmitt	DH	37	139	41	0.295	8	21	0.344	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.273	0.305	0.527	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	46	174	43	0.247	5	18	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.310	0.417	OK
Willy Adames	SS	45	183	43	0.235	3	13	0.267	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.265	0.293	0.379	OK
Daniel Susac	C	6	23	11	0.478	0	5	0.500	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.286	0.316	0.492	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	44	170	37	0.218	1	15	0.293	4	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.166	0.232	0.248	OK
Drew Gilbert	RF	22	71	17	0.239	2	7	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.197	0.263	0.321	OK
Eric Haase	LF	6	20	6	0.300	2	4	0.333	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.275	0.499	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	3	11	0.229

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	44	159	43	0.270	8	29	0.426	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.298	0.434	0.596	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	27	91	30	0.330	4	15	0.380	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.274	0.330	0.432	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	28	107	22	0.206	6	21	0.293	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.234	0.324	0.422	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	42	161	32	0.199	5	20	0.282	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.179	0.253	0.350	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	36	127	37	0.291	1	14	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.296	0.335	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	22	78	19	0.244	5	13	0.298	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.213	0.268	0.443	OK
Lawrence Butler	CF	32	112	21	0.188	3	12	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.171	0.289	0.253	OK
Jonah Heim	C	2	8	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.183	0.256	0.350
Darell Hernaiz	SS	20	62	16	0.258	1	5	0.343	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.270	0.345	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	5	5	5	11	0.250

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Adrian Houser	Starter	8	39.9	6.09	1.554	5.2	23	5.0	6	4	4	5	8	109	5.0	8	4
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	19	17.2	2.09	1.279	11.0	21	2.0	1	1	1	0	1	28	2.0	1	1
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	19	17.4	2.59	0.862	7.8	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	9	48.3	4.29	1.242	8.2	44	5.0	6	3	3	1	6	99	5.0	6	3
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	24	16.4	3.29	2.195	13.2	24	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	16	0.2	0	0
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	17	13.4	3.36	1.343	5.4	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	20	18.3	1.97	0.874	9.8	20	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	23	1.1	2	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	21	17.1	7.89	1.871	11.6	22	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

OAK wins 5-4

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros

TEX 22-24 (3.72 RPG / 3.65 RA)

0 - 5

HOU 19-29 (4.42 RPG / 5.48 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-0 TARGET: TEX 3 - 4 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
HOU	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	x	5	6

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-16

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

TEX Season Quality

Record21-24

Win%0.467

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.111

HOU Season Quality

Record19-28

Win%0.404

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.915

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8974; margin adjustment: -0.3769; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Evan Carter	CF	40	126	23	0.183	5	13	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.184	0.301	0.326	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	43	168	45	0.268	4	12	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.229	0.302	0.344	OK
Josh Jung	3B	41	158	49	0.310	5	20	0.360	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.300	0.401	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	34	96	19	0.198	2	8	0.310	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.192	0.308	0.323	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	31	105	28	0.267	3	13	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.306	0.414	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	15	39	9	0.231	0	5	0.400	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.325	0.281	OK
Jake Burger	1B	42	162	36	0.222	6	24	0.266	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.288	0.375	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	4	13	3	0.231	1	1	0.231	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.223	0.342	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	18	64	11	0.172	1	5	0.243	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.166	0.230	0.231	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	0	0	2	10	0.156

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Matthews	2B	30	102	21	0.206	4	12	0.248	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.203	0.242	0.343	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	47	171	55	0.322	15	31	0.429	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.309	0.413	0.627	OK
Christian Walker	1B	46	168	45	0.268	11	30	0.340	4	4	2	1	5	0	1	0.500	0.210	0.281	0.462	OK
Zach Cole	CF	10	33	7	0.212	2	4	0.235	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.210	0.219	0.368	OK
Zach Dezenzo	LF	6	19	4	0.211	1	2	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.294	0.443	OK
Braden Shewmake	3B	11	41	13	0.317	2	6	0.317	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.269	0.389	OK
Cam Smith	RF	42	147	28	0.190	3	15	0.286	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.128	0.225	0.208	OK
César Salazar	C	3	8	1	0.125	0	0	0.300	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.185	0.327	0.256	OK
Nick Allen	SS	7	21	5	0.238	0	0	0.304	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.220	0.279	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	6	5	5	2	10	0.200

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	8	47.2	4.19	1.186	9.0	47	6.1	5	5	5	1	9	99	6.1	9	5
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	17	20.5	0.88	0.439	7.5	17	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	5	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	16	18.3	1.97	0.820	4.4	9	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.1	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	20	15.9	5.66	1.698	12.5	22	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	20	18.2	2.47	1.593	7.9	16	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	9	0.0	0	0
Gavin Collyer	Middle Reliever	11	8.5	0.00	0.941	8.5	8	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	5	29.1	2.78	1.134	9.0	29	6.2	3	0	0	1	7	97	6.2	7	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	17	17.2	3.66	1.570	8.4	16	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.1	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	16	13.6	8.60	2.353	13.9	21	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	19	0.1	1	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	17	15.8	5.13	1.392	9.1	16	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	17	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-0

Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers

TOR 21-25 (4.09 RPG / 4.33 RA)

4 - 3

DET 20-27 (4.0 RPG / 4.28 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 4-3 TARGET: TOR 4 - 3 DET (TOR) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	9
DET	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	3	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-27

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TOR Season Quality

Record20-25

Win%0.444

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.311

DET Season Quality

Record20-26

Win%0.435

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.217

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0792; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	12	39	14	0.359	1	5	0.405	5	5	3	1	4	0	1	0.600	0.292	0.343	0.414	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	DH	44	163	46	0.282	2	19	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.298	0.274	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	39	146	36	0.247	5	14	0.321	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.306	0.392	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	33	117	31	0.265	5	16	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.299	0.381	OK
Lenyn Sosa	1B	16	55	11	0.200	1	4	0.196	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.197	0.203	0.318	OK
Ernie Clement	3B	43	172	50	0.291	2	12	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.281	0.358	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	39	142	36	0.254	5	25	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.249	0.437	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	20	61	15	0.246	4	10	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.338	0.431	OK
Davis Schneider	2B	17	44	5	0.114	0	5	0.304	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.136	0.316	0.212	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	4	4	1	9	0.250

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	43	164	48	0.293	2	16	0.399	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.365	0.377	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	36	138	34	0.246	8	27	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.299	0.468	OK
Colt Keith	DH	31	108	31	0.287	0	4	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.261	0.303	0.348	OK
Riley Greene	LF	45	164	54	0.329	4	23	0.421	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.330	0.414	0.464	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	28	101	22	0.218	2	15	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.276	0.376	OK
Gage Workman	3B	3	12	3	0.250	1	3	0.250	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.225	0.486	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	21	69	12	0.174	1	5	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.171	0.244	0.241	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	43	147	30	0.204	6	17	0.322	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.164	0.279	0.282	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	23	83	12	0.145	0	5	0.193	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.161	0.209	0.211	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	3	3	2	8	0.206

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	9	49.7	3.98	1.127	8.7	48	5.2	5	1	1	1	6	91	5.2	6	1
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	22	21.1	0.43	1.327	14.5	34	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	21	18.7	1.93	1.230	6.3	13	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	21	17.7	6.61	2.034	17.3	34	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Flaherty	Starter	9	35.8	6.03	1.816	11.1	44	4.0	4	3	3	0	4	87	4.0	4	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	14	11.4	2.37	0.965	14.2	18	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.2	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	20	19.8	0.91	1.414	6.4	14	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23	1.0	1	1
Burch Smith	Middle Reliever	10	13.3	3.38	1.504	12.2	18	1.1	2	0	0	0	2	6	1.1	2	0
Brant Hurter	Middle Reliever	18	17.9	2.51	1.173	8.0	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies

ARI Recent Form

COL Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals

BAL Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves

BOS Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox

CHC Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians

CIN Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals

KC Recent Form

STL Recent Form

KC Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels

LAD Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Tampa Bay Rays