MLB Predictions — May 16, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ COL	4 - 3	5 - 3	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 5-3	59%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ WAS	4 - 5	3 - 6	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 6-3	59%	enhanced_ml
BOS @ ATL	1 - 5	0 - 6	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-0	64%	enhanced_ml
CHC @ CHW	6 - 5	6 - 5	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 6-5	51%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ CLE	6 - 5	5 - 4	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml
KC @ STL	3 - 4	3 - 4	STL	STL	STL wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ LAA	3 - 2	4 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-2	54%	enhanced_ml
MIA @ TB	1 - 5	1 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-1	60%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ MIN	5 - 3	5 - 3	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-3	62%	enhanced_ml
NYY @ NYM	4 - 2	5 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-2	64%	enhanced_ml
PHI @ PIT	5 - 6	4 - 5	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml
SD @ SEA	4 - 3	4 - 3	SD	SD	SD wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml
SF @ OAK	3 - 5	1 - 7	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 7-1	54%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ HOU	4 - 2	4 - 2	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-2	59%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ DET	4 - 5	3 - 4	DET	DET	DET wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies

ARI 21-23 (4.32 RPG / 4.75 RA)

5 - 3

COL 18-28 (4.2 RPG / 5.11 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 5-3 TARGET: ARI 4 - 3 COL (ARI) Confidence: 58.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	5	8
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	9

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff2

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ARI Season Quality

Record20-22

Win%0.476

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.595

COL Season Quality

Record17-27

Win%0.386

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.818

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3577; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	DH	39	162	34	0.210	5	15	0.260	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.263	0.344	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	41	144	39	0.271	5	20	0.378	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.281	0.390	0.486	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	40	138	30	0.217	2	12	0.333	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.202	0.319	0.320	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	40	135	38	0.281	6	20	0.353	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.290	0.378	0.465	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	34	140	47	0.336	7	27	0.354	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.297	0.320	0.478	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	19	70	14	0.200	0	7	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.186	0.269	0.257	OK
Jose Fernandez	1B	28	105	30	0.286	3	13	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.256	0.327	OK
James McCann	C	9	29	7	0.241	0	2	0.267	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.261	0.341	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	6	21	5	0.238	0	5	0.273	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.271	0.370	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	5	5	2	7	0.229

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willi Castro	2B	32	116	27	0.233	2	13	0.299	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.203	0.263	0.328	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	27	90	13	0.144	1	3	0.230	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.135	0.217	0.196	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	41	155	42	0.271	5	21	0.341	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.276	0.340	0.460	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	38	152	37	0.243	11	18	0.307	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.271	0.443	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	33	127	40	0.315	12	25	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.276	0.323	0.592	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	40	146	30	0.205	1	11	0.255	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.258	0.301	OK
Sterlin Thompson	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.316	0.400
Kyle Karros	3B	38	116	26	0.224	1	10	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.327	0.309	OK
Jake McCarthy	LF	28	82	22	0.268	2	14	0.326	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.228	0.282	0.429	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	3	3	2	7	0.250

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	8	47.3	2.28	1.226	6.3	33	6.2	3	0	0	2	5	103	6.2	5	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	0.1	6	3	3	0	1	22	0.1	1	3
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	8	40.6	4.21	1.232	5.3	24	5.0	4	1	1	1	5	82	5.0	5	1
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	16	15.6	7.50	2.244	8.7	15	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	20	1.0	0	2
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	12	24.3	1.48	0.864	8.9	24	1.1	3	2	2	0	1	14	1.1	1	2
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	17	18.0	5.00	1.722	13.0	26	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	18	10.8	5.00	2.222	13.3	16	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 5-3

Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals

BAL 20-26 (4.3 RPG / 5.35 RA)

3 - 6

WAS 23-23 (5.48 RPG / 5.67 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 6-3 TARGET: BAL 4 - 5 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 59.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	6
WAS	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	x	6	7

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-2

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

BAL Season Quality

Record20-25

Win%0.444

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.844

WAS Season Quality

Record22-23

Win%0.489

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.422

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4889; margin adjustment: 0.2053; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	44	188	38	0.202	9	22	0.256	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.203	0.248	0.344	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	44	155	41	0.265	1	12	0.425	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.244	0.410	0.351	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	27	106	28	0.264	6	22	0.313	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.223	0.268	0.440	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	45	169	36	0.213	8	23	0.304	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.203	0.280	0.366	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	31	116	31	0.267	5	14	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.269	0.328	0.424	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	18	54	9	0.167	1	6	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.154	0.303	0.226	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	28	94	24	0.255	2	18	0.364	4	2	0	1	1	2	0	0.000	0.198	0.304	0.313	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	34	111	20	0.180	4	15	0.254	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	0.500	0.198	0.265	0.348	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	36	132	32	0.242	6	25	0.261	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.200	0.223	0.325	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	6	3	3	7	7	0.182

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	45	171	40	0.234	12	29	0.379	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.228	0.354	0.474	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	32	116	31	0.267	3	21	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.301	0.338	0.542	OK
Jose Fernandez	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.273	0.349
CJ Abrams	SS	43	157	46	0.293	9	36	0.389	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.276	0.353	0.460	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	44	175	48	0.274	7	24	0.335	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.309	0.362	0.600	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	38	123	25	0.203	0	14	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.171	0.282	0.217	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	23	78	16	0.205	3	13	0.222	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.204	0.218	0.441	OK
Jorbit Vivas	DH	25	73	19	0.260	0	3	0.353	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.215	0.291	0.293	OK
Jacob Young	CF	39	148	31	0.209	3	16	0.259	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.172	0.219	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	7	6	6	3	6	0.233

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Bassitt	Starter	8	36.6	5.41	1.803	6.4	26	4.2	6	6	6	3	3	89	4.2	3	6
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	20	17.6	0.51	0.455	11.2	22	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	18	18.6	2.90	1.075	10.6	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Dietrich Enns	Middle Reliever	9	9.8	1.84	1.531	10.1	11	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	9	38.7	4.19	1.654	10.2	44	4.2	4	2	2	3	4	83	4.2	4	2
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	18	13.4	5.37	1.866	12.1	18	1.2	1	1	1	3	1	22	1.2	1	1
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	21	16.5	3.82	1.697	8.2	15	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	18	0.2	0	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	13	25.2	3.57	1.270	7.5	21	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	33	1.1	1	0
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	11	8.9	1.01	2.247	12.1	12	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 6-3

Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves

BOS 18-26 (3.7 RPG / 4.02 RA)

0 - 6

ATL 31-14 (5.33 RPG / 3.29 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-0 TARGET: BOS 1 - 5 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
ATL	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	x	6	9

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

BOS Season Quality

Record18-26

Win%0.409

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.318

ATL Season Quality

Record31-14

Win%0.689

Run Diff92

RD/Game2.044

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.7823; margin adjustment: 1.1686; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	37	153	27	0.176	4	18	0.241	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.147	0.200	0.241	OK
Mickey Gasper	C	4	16	7	0.438	0	2	0.471	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.287	0.296	0.455	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	43	162	49	0.302	6	19	0.377	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.268	0.339	0.398	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	41	147	36	0.245	8	23	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.281	0.326	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	19	64	16	0.250	0	4	0.360	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.190	0.277	0.257	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	38	137	38	0.277	3	15	0.349	3	2	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.240	0.286	0.389	OK
Marcelo Mayer	2B	33	108	24	0.222	2	9	0.298	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.179	0.246	0.291	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	14	54	13	0.241	1	7	0.305	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.202	0.264	0.362	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	40	135	23	0.170	1	13	0.253	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.136	0.191	0.216	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	0	0	1	9	0.100

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	45	181	54	0.298	12	34	0.377	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.294	0.360	0.588	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	45	173	49	0.283	8	25	0.339	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.265	0.352	OK
Matt Olson	1B	45	174	50	0.287	14	37	0.364	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.268	0.344	0.555	OK
Austin Riley	3B	44	167	37	0.222	6	25	0.292	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.247	0.300	0.413	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	43	160	40	0.250	3	25	0.306	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.210	0.258	0.370	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	36	138	41	0.297	7	20	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.291	0.418	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	4	13	1	0.077	0	0	0.143	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.236	0.247	OK
Sandy León	C	2	4	2	0.500	0	0	0.500	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.220	0.233	0.301	OK
José Azócar	RF	3	6	2	0.333	0	0	0.333	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.204	0.218	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	9	6	6	1	6	0.273

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	4	22.2	2.84	0.901	10.9	27	5.1	7	3	3	0	3	88	5.1	3	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	0.63	0.845	13.3	21	2.0	2	3	3	1	2	29	2.0	2	3
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	17	17.1	3.16	1.111	11.6	22	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	9	52.8	1.88	1.042	9.0	53	6.2	2	0	0	0	7	90	6.2	7	0
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	13	13.2	0.00	0.758	11.6	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	19	18.4	0.49	0.924	9.3	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	22	19.7	0.91	0.508	11.9	26	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	15	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-0

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox

CHC 29-16 (5.11 RPG / 4.04 RA)

6 - 5

CHW 22-22 (4.41 RPG / 4.7 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 6-5 TARGET: CHC 6 - 5 CHW (CHC) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	6	9
CHW	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	5	7

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHC Season Quality

Record29-16

Win%0.644

Run Diff48

RD/Game1.067

CHW Season Quality

Record22-22

Win%0.500

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.295

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.5788; margin adjustment: -0.6631; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	SS	43	177	46	0.260	4	29	0.337	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.237	0.307	0.347	OK
Michael Busch	1B	43	159	36	0.226	3	23	0.349	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.244	0.369	0.371	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	43	174	42	0.241	4	13	0.332	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.271	0.352	0.395	OK
Ian Happ	DH	43	158	38	0.241	10	20	0.381	5	3	2	1	2	2	1	0.667	0.247	0.384	0.473	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	29	109	30	0.275	7	17	0.385	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.222	0.330	0.401	OK
Michael Conforto	LF	12	36	12	0.333	1	5	0.467	5	4	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.279	0.411	0.501	OK
Matt Shaw	2B	22	70	18	0.257	3	10	0.303	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.244	0.292	0.433	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	44	163	39	0.239	4	18	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.208	0.274	0.321	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	19	61	14	0.230	2	8	0.338	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.210	0.296	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	36	9	6	6	5	11	0.250

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	23	80	20	0.250	1	9	0.365	5	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.298	0.373	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	42	151	34	0.225	15	29	0.369	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.215	0.363	0.415	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	41	151	37	0.245	10	24	0.373	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.277	0.386	0.529	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	41	153	36	0.235	12	30	0.331	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.243	0.307	0.535	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	41	153	43	0.281	3	10	0.356	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.260	0.342	0.414	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	31	114	26	0.228	2	14	0.274	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.188	0.250	0.290	OK
Jarred Kelenic	RF	11	33	9	0.273	1	4	0.333	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.224	0.286	0.353	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	30	91	23	0.253	0	7	0.306	4	3	1	1	3	0	0	0.333	0.219	0.271	0.292	OK
Drew Romo	C	11	35	7	0.200	4	7	0.349	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.193	0.311	0.449	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	32	7	5	5	6	6	0.219

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jameson Taillon	Starter	8	44.5	4.04	1.169	8.1	40	5.2	4	3	3	3	4	99	5.2	4	3
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	9	7.3	2.47	1.233	11.1	9	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	27	1.0	0	1
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	9.18	1.939	14.7	16	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	19	16.0	3.94	1.688	11.2	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	20	17.3	2.60	1.156	3.6	7	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	17	0.1	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	8	49.3	1.64	1.014	9.5	52	7.0	5	1	1	4	10	119	7.0	10	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	0.0	4	4	4	1	0	16	0.0	0	4
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	21	0.0	0	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	12	9.8	1.84	1.939	13.8	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-5

Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians

CIN 24-21 (4.38 RPG / 4.93 RA)

5 - 4

CLE 24-22 (4.2 RPG / 4.13 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 5-4 TARGET: CIN 6 - 5 CLE (CIN) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
CIN	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	5	9
CLE	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	9

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-2

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Season Quality

Record24-21

Win%0.533

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.556

CLE Season Quality

Record24-22

Win%0.522

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.065

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6034; margin adjustment: 0.2534; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dane Myers	CF	9	31	7	0.226	2	4	0.385	6	5	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.251	0.382	0.459	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	45	181	54	0.298	10	30	0.360	5	4	2	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.319	0.369	0.486	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	45	172	41	0.238	10	30	0.325	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.307	0.380	OK
Spencer Steer	LF	42	151	39	0.258	7	15	0.331	5	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.265	0.326	0.437	OK
JJ Bleday	DH	17	58	20	0.345	6	19	0.465	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.320	0.438	0.663	OK
Matt McLain	2B	41	155	35	0.226	5	19	0.330	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.240	0.335	0.448	OK
Blake Dunn	RF	3	11	3	0.273	1	1	0.429	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.218	0.367	0.431	OK
Jose Trevino	C	9	28	4	0.143	0	2	0.172	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.157	0.188	0.233	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	34	111	17	0.153	2	5	0.203	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.173	0.218	0.262	OK
TEAM TOTALS									46	39	9	5	5	6	6	0.231

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Daniel Schneemann	CF	32	109	30	0.275	4	16	0.358	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.337	0.383	OK
José Ramírez	3B	46	168	37	0.220	6	17	0.347	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.348	0.349	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	38	145	41	0.283	6	26	0.365	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.266	0.353	0.430	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	31	110	20	0.182	1	9	0.266	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.204	0.279	0.275	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	15	50	12	0.240	1	7	0.406	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.249	0.383	0.341	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	41	159	32	0.201	1	10	0.308	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.156	0.265	0.215	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	33	127	35	0.276	7	19	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.280	0.450	OK
Austin Hedges	C	17	54	15	0.278	1	4	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.222	0.289	0.352	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	44	145	39	0.269	3	23	0.348	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.329	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	39	9	4	4	2	8	0.231

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Paddack	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	4.0	8	4	4	2	2	84	4.0	2	4
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	21	20.5	1.76	1.268	11.0	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	19	17.3	3.64	1.329	9.4	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	20	14.5	4.34	1.586	10.6	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	21	17.4	3.10	1.724	12.4	24	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Luis Mey	Reliever	5	8.0	3.38	1.250	14.6	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	9	43.7	3.09	1.373	8.4	41	5.2	5	2	2	2	4	106	5.2	4	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	20	20.2	3.12	1.139	12.9	29	2.0	1	1	1	0	0	33	2.0	0	1
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	22	15.6	2.31	1.090	20.2	35	1.0	0	0	0	3	1	25	1.0	1	0
Matt Festa	Middle Reliever	20	15.9	6.23	1.509	11.3	20	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	11	7.7	7.01	1.948	9.4	8	0.2	3	2	2	1	0	21	0.2	0	2

Game Summary

CIN wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals

KC 19-27 (4.07 RPG / 4.57 RA)

3 - 4

STL 27-18 (4.62 RPG / 4.51 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 4-3 TARGET: KC 3 - 4 STL (STL) Confidence: 53.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
STL	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	x	4	10

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

KC Season Quality

Record19-25

Win%0.432

Run Diff-20

RD/Game-0.455

STL Season Quality

Record25-18

Win%0.581

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.047

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7254; margin adjustment: 0.3047; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	42	169	45	0.266	3	18	0.333	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.248	0.320	0.365	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	45	178	55	0.309	7	23	0.381	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.319	0.393	0.568	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	42	159	32	0.201	5	21	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.293	0.321	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	43	170	34	0.200	6	18	0.238	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.223	0.320	OK
Carter Jensen	C	36	123	29	0.236	6	19	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.212	0.317	0.335	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	35	123	29	0.236	3	6	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.205	0.271	0.339	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	35	117	26	0.222	3	15	0.345	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.168	0.278	0.277	OK
Michael Massey	2B	25	77	17	0.221	3	12	0.235	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.190	0.212	0.396	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	34	108	29	0.269	3	10	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.249	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	4	0.182

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Masyn Winn	SS	38	148	38	0.257	1	16	0.325	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.313	0.359	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	44	163	43	0.264	4	20	0.396	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.272	0.364	0.385	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	42	163	51	0.313	13	34	0.386	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.316	0.385	0.631	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	41	168	47	0.280	6	31	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.278	0.336	0.418	OK
José Fermin	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.308	0.372
Thomas Saggese	2B	17	57	8	0.140	0	1	0.197	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.134	0.187	0.197	OK
Nathan Church	LF	34	127	31	0.244	4	15	0.276	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.252	0.314	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	28	95	20	0.211	4	9	0.255	3	2	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.181	0.214	0.328	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	36	104	19	0.183	2	6	0.246	3	3	2	0	0	0	1	0.667	0.173	0.234	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	10	4	4	0	9	0.303

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	7	34.5	5.74	1.681	8.3	32	5.0	7	3	3	0	9	86	5.0	9	3
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	19	17.4	3.62	1.552	8.8	17	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	23	2.0	0	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	17	15.4	4.09	1.364	9.9	17	0.0	3	1	1	0	0	16	0.0	0	1
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	18	13.8	3.26	1.522	7.8	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	8	39.2	4.36	1.607	7.3	32	5.0	6	3	3	3	3	93	5.0	3	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	22	20.6	2.62	0.971	10.9	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.1	0	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	22	17.9	4.02	1.508	9.6	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	20	15.4	4.09	1.494	9.4	16	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	5	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 4-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels

LAD 27-18 (4.96 RPG / 3.36 RA)

4 - 2

LAA 16-29 (4.07 RPG / 4.91 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-2 TARGET: LAD 3 - 2 LAA (LAD) Confidence: 53.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	7
LAA	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.6

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-21

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

LAD Season Quality

Record26-18

Win%0.591

Run Diff66

RD/Game1.500

LAA Season Quality

Record16-28

Win%0.364

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.727

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.5682; margin adjustment: -1.0786; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	40	154	37	0.240	7	17	0.370	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.224	0.340	0.400	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	11	46	7	0.152	3	8	0.204	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.232	0.395	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	42	163	44	0.270	4	20	0.343	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.271	0.349	0.421	OK
Will Smith	C	32	124	32	0.258	4	18	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.318	0.386	OK
Andy Pages	CF	44	163	50	0.307	10	38	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.301	0.494	OK
Max Muncy	3B	41	141	39	0.277	12	18	0.374	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.344	0.542	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	40	145	39	0.269	5	20	0.340	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.291	0.353	0.452	OK
Alex Call	RF	9	31	8	0.258	0	4	0.400	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.349	0.291	OK
Hyeseong Kim	2B	28	85	23	0.271	1	9	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.281	0.302	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	7	4	4	2	8	0.212

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Vaughn Grissom	3B	19	70	18	0.257	2	10	0.338	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.214	0.298	0.372	OK
Mike Trout	CF	44	156	38	0.244	11	23	0.407	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.358	0.376	OK
Zach Neto	SS	45	175	40	0.229	7	20	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.233	0.338	0.421	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	41	149	32	0.215	8	28	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.170	0.251	0.320	OK
Jo Adell	RF	45	175	46	0.263	6	25	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.253	0.405	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	29	102	27	0.265	5	11	0.330	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.206	0.256	0.355	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	40	159	41	0.258	3	20	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.279	0.327	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	24	78	16	0.205	1	8	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.179	0.275	0.241	OK
Jose Siri	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.309	0.372
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	2	2	2	8	0.156

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	7	44.2	2.44	0.995	4.5	22	7.0	3	2	2	2	5	105	7.0	5	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	20	17.4	1.55	0.632	9.3	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	19	13.7	3.28	1.168	13.8	21	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	0.75	0.667	12.0	16	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	12	0.1	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	9	53.4	1.69	1.067	10.3	61	6.1	2	2	2	2	6	95	6.1	6	2
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	15	19.8	4.55	1.162	13.2	29	1.1	4	2	2	0	0	9	1.1	0	2
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	15	17.3	3.64	1.214	11.4	22	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	3	2.2	8.18	1.818	16.4	4	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-2

Miami Marlins @ Tampa Bay Rays

MIA 21-25 (4.3 RPG / 4.52 RA)

1 - 5

TB 29-15 (4.57 RPG / 4.07 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-1 TARGET: MIA 1 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 60.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3
TB	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	x	5	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

MIA Season Quality

Record20-25

Win%0.444

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.333

TB Season Quality

Record29-14

Win%0.674

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.628

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.3062; margin adjustment: 0.5486; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	44	163	51	0.313	4	15	0.401	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.357	0.433	OK
Liam Hicks	DH	35	127	38	0.299	9	38	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.303	0.412	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	43	173	58	0.335	4	19	0.366	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.282	0.311	0.412	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	22	82	17	0.207	1	3	0.309	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.179	0.266	0.272	OK
Connor Norby	1B	38	126	29	0.230	4	13	0.333	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.210	0.288	0.359	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	42	160	30	0.188	3	13	0.307	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.292	0.330	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	23	80	20	0.250	0	7	0.302	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.232	0.241	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	31	97	20	0.206	2	17	0.264	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.184	0.248	0.329	OK
Joe Mack	C	9	29	5	0.172	0	2	0.200	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.176	0.210	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	1	1	1	9	0.100

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	39	158	47	0.297	0	8	0.327	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.289	0.323	0.352	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	42	164	41	0.250	11	19	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.240	0.320	0.428	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	40	146	41	0.281	8	33	0.385	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	0.500	0.324	0.431	0.506	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	41	158	47	0.297	6	26	0.378	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.313	0.391	OK
Jake Fraley	RF	24	76	18	0.237	2	5	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.287	0.361	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	21	58	14	0.241	1	8	0.366	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.236	0.340	0.321	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	34	127	21	0.165	3	14	0.219	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.240	0.316	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	17	41	11	0.268	0	4	0.367	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.242	0.331	0.327	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	31	95	20	0.211	0	11	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.298	0.298	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	30	7	5	5	6	8	0.233

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	9	57.2	3.93	1.276	6.1	39	6.0	5	4	4	3	6	103	6.0	6	4
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	13	23.6	1.14	1.314	9.5	25	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	28	1.1	2	0
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	10	8.3	10.84	1.566	14.1	13	0.0	2	1	1	1	0	17	0.0	0	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	18	15.8	3.42	1.582	9.7	17	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	14	0.2	0	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	8	46.5	1.74	1.075	6.0	31	6.0	3	1	1	1	6	89	6.0	6	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	19	16.4	2.74	1.098	11.0	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	17	20.6	2.62	1.311	7.0	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	8	1.0	3	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	9	6.3	4.29	1.905	14.3	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-1

Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins

MIL 25-17 (5.05 RPG / 3.6 RA)

5 - 3

MIN 20-25 (4.73 RPG / 4.87 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-3 TARGET: MIL 5 - 3 MIN (MIL) Confidence: 62.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	5	9
MIN	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	7

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Season Quality

Record25-17

Win%0.595

Run Diff61

RD/Game1.452

MIN Season Quality

Record20-25

Win%0.444

Run Diff-6

RD/Game-0.133

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.8119; margin adjustment: -0.761; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	9	40	12	0.300	0	3	0.349	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.299	0.374	OK
Brice Turang	2B	39	145	43	0.297	6	27	0.418	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.307	0.421	0.524	OK
William Contreras	DH	39	156	44	0.282	3	27	0.362	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.250	0.339	0.347	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	8	28	8	0.286	1	6	0.394	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.276	0.349	0.415	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	30	112	25	0.223	0	14	0.290	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.250	0.311	0.329	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	23	77	16	0.208	4	12	0.365	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.192	0.333	0.347	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	35	128	28	0.219	3	10	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.282	0.280	OK
Blake Perkins	CF	13	41	6	0.146	0	7	0.255	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.174	0.258	0.277	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	27	87	18	0.207	1	11	0.268	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.215	0.276	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	5	5	5	9	0.250

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	RF	29	102	34	0.333	1	10	0.448	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.317	0.415	0.410	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	40	149	38	0.255	5	22	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.295	0.352	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	31	111	32	0.288	6	25	0.398	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.367	0.489	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	28	94	26	0.277	1	11	0.398	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.353	0.353	OK
Josh Bell	DH	41	156	32	0.205	3	23	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.181	0.239	0.271	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	28	97	23	0.237	4	10	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.308	0.425	OK
Royce Lewis	3B	29	97	16	0.165	3	13	0.268	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.142	0.235	0.233	OK
Tristan Gray	2B	18	63	14	0.222	3	14	0.254	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.187	0.214	0.294	OK
James Outman	CF	9	31	7	0.226	0	3	0.250	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.242	0.272	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	3	3	1	6	0.206

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Henderson	Starter	3	13.0	4.15	0.923	11.1	16	4.1	4	2	2	0	3	67	4.1	3	2
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	19	15.7	5.16	1.338	10.3	18	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.1	2	1
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	21	26.2	2.40	1.450	15.1	44	2.0	1	0	0	1	0	28	2.0	0	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	16	16.0	3.38	1.125	11.2	20	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	4	19.0	3.32	1.000	9.9	21	5.0	4	2	2	2	7	94	5.0	7	2
Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	22	14.7	8.57	2.245	9.2	15	1.1	4	3	3	2	0	37	1.1	0	3
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	17	16.2	5.00	1.728	8.9	16	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	17	14.3	3.15	1.748	8.2	13	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-3

New York Yankees @ New York Mets

NYY 28-17 (5.07 RPG / 3.47 RA)

5 - 2

NYM 18-26 (3.7 RPG / 4.16 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-2 TARGET: NYY 4 - 2 NYM (NYY) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	1	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	5	7
NYM	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	7

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

NYY Season Quality

Record28-17

Win%0.622

Run Diff72

RD/Game1.600

NYM Season Quality

Record18-26

Win%0.409

Run Diff-20

RD/Game-0.455

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.3742; margin adjustment: -0.9972; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	36	133	41	0.308	13	28	0.415	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.296	0.395	0.627	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	45	161	43	0.267	16	30	0.401	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.265	0.389	0.541	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	43	157	42	0.268	5	28	0.372	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.238	0.355	0.403	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	15	54	14	0.259	4	8	0.355	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.275	0.356	0.594	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	41	154	34	0.221	4	16	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.233	0.307	0.356	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	20	65	18	0.277	4	14	0.333	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.249	0.314	0.418	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	37	133	22	0.165	4	21	0.302	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.159	0.299	0.310	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	2	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.429	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.155	0.475	0.224
Austin Wells	C	33	103	18	0.175	3	5	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.145	0.258	0.212	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	5	5	2	10	0.206

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	36	129	30	0.233	3	13	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.261	0.314	0.361	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	44	178	38	0.213	2	18	0.264	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.170	0.233	0.224	OK
Juan Soto	LF	28	106	28	0.264	6	14	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.325	0.464	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	33	119	27	0.227	6	19	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.213	0.252	0.379	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	44	157	36	0.229	3	14	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.279	0.339	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	4	12	3	0.250	1	3	0.438	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.382	0.483	OK
Austin Slater	DH	3	10	4	0.400	0	0	0.400	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.242	0.291	0.323	OK
Brett Baty	3B	34	119	29	0.244	2	15	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.301	0.373	OK
Luis Torrens	C	15	46	8	0.174	0	4	0.224	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.170	0.209	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	2	2	1	7	0.206

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	1	4.1	6.59	1.707	8.8	4	4.1	5	2	2	1	4	78	4.1	4	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	19	17.6	4.09	1.534	11.2	22	2.2	0	0	0	0	1	12	2.2	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	21	12.4	3.63	2.016	18.1	25	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	20	14.5	1.24	0.966	4.3	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Huascar Brazobán	Starter	18	16.8	2.68	1.190	8.6	16	4.2	3	2	2	2	7	78	4.2	7	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	15	12.5	4.32	1.440	15.8	22	1.0	3	3	3	0	0	22	1.0	0	3
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	17	15.7	4.59	1.338	9.7	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	18	14.9	1.21	1.074	12.1	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Austin Warren	Middle Reliever	9	10.8	0.83	1.296	12.5	15	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-2

Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates

PHI 23-23 (4.2 RPG / 4.7 RA)

4 - 5

PIT 24-22 (4.98 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-4 TARGET: PHI 5 - 6 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	10
PIT	0	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	x	5	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PHI Season Quality

Record22-23

Win%0.489

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.644

PIT Season Quality

Record24-21

Win%0.533

Run Diff30

RD/Game0.667

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.3778; margin adjustment: 0.5787; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	43	182	42	0.231	4	13	0.277	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.230	0.271	0.312	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	45	169	40	0.237	20	35	0.365	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.279	0.383	0.791	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	44	163	46	0.282	10	26	0.372	5	3	1	1	2	2	2	0.333	0.287	0.371	0.530	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	40	148	29	0.196	3	20	0.256	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.233	0.283	0.331	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	38	146	49	0.336	4	22	0.359	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.312	0.339	0.423	OK
Adolis García	RF	42	157	34	0.217	3	12	0.282	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.176	0.233	0.276	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	34	126	27	0.214	3	16	0.259	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.206	0.244	0.356	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	26	91	21	0.231	1	8	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.188	0.227	0.266	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	36	122	35	0.287	2	10	0.356	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.267	0.332	0.462	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	4	4	4	7	0.270

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	42	180	48	0.267	10	32	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.280	0.342	0.478	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	37	141	36	0.255	3	19	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.300	0.396	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	43	155	40	0.258	4	26	0.396	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.258	0.382	0.361	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	36	143	27	0.189	5	16	0.275	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.183	0.272	0.336	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	41	157	46	0.293	7	29	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.257	0.330	0.446	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	36	141	45	0.319	0	19	0.381	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.286	0.346	0.355	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	38	149	38	0.255	12	31	0.356	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.219	0.324	0.508	OK
Jared Triolo	RF	12	42	10	0.238	0	2	0.304	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.223	0.276	0.306	OK
Henry Davis	C	26	86	13	0.151	2	8	0.255	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.139	0.233	0.244	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	6	5	5	6	3	0.200

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	9	54.4	2.15	1.305	11.1	67	6.1	4	3	3	5	3	112	6.1	3	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	1.61	1.161	15.3	19	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	12	1.0	0	2
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	19	17.5	4.11	1.314	11.8	23	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	8	38.3	4.70	1.488	8.0	34	5.0	8	4	4	3	3	111	5.0	3	4
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	22	21.4	2.52	0.888	10.9	26	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	27	1.1	2	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	19	17.4	3.62	1.322	5.2	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	18	15.2	3.55	1.447	15.4	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	19	15.0	5.40	1.800	7.8	13	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	15	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners

SD 26-18 (4.09 RPG / 4.11 RA)

4 - 3

SEA 22-24 (4.15 RPG / 3.85 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-3 TARGET: SD 4 - 3 SEA (SD) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	4	8
SEA	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-2

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SD Season Quality

Record25-18

Win%0.581

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.070

SEA Season Quality

Record22-23

Win%0.489

Run Diff16

RD/Game0.356

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2866; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Merrill	CF	41	162	34	0.210	4	18	0.281	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.186	0.258	0.296	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	42	160	38	0.238	0	14	0.313	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.294	0.269	OK
Manny Machado	DH	42	151	28	0.185	6	20	0.280	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.159	0.248	0.268	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	33	113	26	0.230	4	12	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.335	0.457	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	42	155	40	0.258	6	21	0.331	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.235	0.304	0.342	OK
Miguel Andujar	3B	31	116	35	0.302	3	13	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.274	0.459	OK
Nick Castellanos	RF	22	78	16	0.205	1	13	0.241	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.206	0.243	0.314	OK
Ramón Laureano	LF	37	140	32	0.229	5	19	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.191	0.276	0.316	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	3	8	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.166	0.179	0.246
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	3	5	0.229

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	37	132	28	0.212	5	15	0.362	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.224	0.354	0.380	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	46	183	47	0.257	7	20	0.323	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.227	0.288	0.412	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	43	170	42	0.247	5	20	0.310	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.308	0.350	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	46	167	51	0.305	4	16	0.392	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.339	0.402	0.501	OK
Luke Raley	RF	33	106	29	0.274	9	25	0.342	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	0.333	0.270	0.321	0.595	OK
Cole Young	2B	46	161	41	0.255	3	24	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.286	0.325	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	30	84	23	0.274	4	17	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.304	0.438	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	3	8	2	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.231	0.301	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	30	90	12	0.133	0	5	0.269	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.123	0.233	0.190	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	3	3	3	10	0.250

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	8	34.7	5.45	1.412	8.0	31	4.2	6	2	2	3	5	101	4.2	5	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	20	20.3	0.89	0.788	19.5	44	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	15	12.5	1.44	1.040	4.3	6	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	19	18.5	6.32	1.514	13.1	27	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	12	10.8	4.17	1.204	13.3	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	9	49.3	3.83	1.176	9.5	52	5.1	2	2	2	2	4	91	5.1	4	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	18	16.3	5.52	1.411	16.0	29	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	22	16.6	2.71	1.506	9.2	17	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Cooper Criswell	Middle Reliever	16	18.3	2.46	0.984	7.9	16	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	24	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

SD wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ Oakland Athletics

SF 18-27 (3.31 RPG / 4.38 RA)

1 - 7

OAK 23-21 (4.43 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 7-1 TARGET: SF 3 - 5 OAK (OAK) Confidence: 53.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3
OAK	1	0	2	3	1	0	0	0	x	7	7

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SF Season Quality

Record18-26

Win%0.409

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-1.023

OAK Season Quality

Record22-21

Win%0.512

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.116

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0603; margin adjustment: 0.4453; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	44	169	45	0.266	3	15	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.282	0.385	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	42	167	53	0.317	1	15	0.352	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.307	0.349	0.434	OK
Casey Schmitt	DH	36	134	37	0.276	6	18	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.266	0.398	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	45	169	41	0.243	5	18	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.318	0.442	OK
Willy Adames	SS	44	178	40	0.225	3	11	0.258	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.241	0.271	0.347	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	43	165	36	0.218	1	14	0.295	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.167	0.235	0.248	OK
Drew Gilbert	LF	21	66	15	0.227	2	7	0.301	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.177	0.249	0.256	OK
Harrison Bader	CF	17	61	10	0.164	3	5	0.188	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.180	0.208	0.354	OK
Jesus Rodriguez	C	7	24	6	0.250	1	4	0.308	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.240	0.269	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	1	1	1	7	0.100

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	43	156	43	0.276	8	29	0.429	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.310	0.440	0.613	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	40	166	56	0.337	12	27	0.393	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.328	0.384	0.589	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	41	158	31	0.196	5	20	0.277	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.180	0.256	0.357	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	27	103	20	0.194	5	18	0.286	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.304	0.346	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	3	10	5	0.500	0	2	0.500	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.297	0.358	0.372	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	21	74	19	0.257	5	13	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.285	0.462	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	31	110	21	0.191	3	12	0.299	4	4	1	1	3	0	3	0.250	0.179	0.288	0.272	OK
Darell Hernaiz	SS	19	58	14	0.241	1	5	0.333	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.246	0.331	0.297	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	35	124	37	0.298	1	13	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.296	0.334	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	7	7	4	8	0.226

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor McDonald	Starter	2	12.1	2.98	1.074	8.9	12	5.0	4	6	6	1	4	91	5.0	4	6
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	18	17.0	1.59	1.235	10.1	19	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	9	1.0	2	1
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	19	17.4	2.59	0.862	7.8	15	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.1	1	0
Joel Peguero	Middle Reliever	5	4.4	2.05	0.909	2.0	1	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Matt Gage	Middle Reliever	22	13.2	2.05	1.667	8.9	13	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	15	0.2	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Severino	Starter	9	47.5	4.17	1.558	8.9	47	5.0	2	1	1	1	5	97	5.0	5	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	24	16.4	3.29	2.195	13.2	24	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	5	1.2	0	0
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	17	13.4	3.36	1.343	5.4	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	19	17.3	1.56	0.809	9.4	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 7-1

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros

TEX 21-23 (3.68 RPG / 3.73 RA)

4 - 2

HOU 18-28 (4.52 RPG / 5.52 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-2 TARGET: TEX 4 - 2 HOU (TEX) Confidence: 59.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	4	6
HOU	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-25

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TEX Season Quality

Record21-22

Win%0.488

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

HOU Season Quality

Record17-28

Win%0.378

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-1.067

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2326; margin adjustment: -0.5177; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	33	93	18	0.194	2	7	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.195	0.296	0.336	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	42	163	45	0.276	4	12	0.357	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.320	0.371	OK
Josh Jung	3B	40	154	49	0.318	5	20	0.365	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.300	0.337	0.454	OK
Evan Carter	CF	39	125	23	0.184	5	13	0.299	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.190	0.293	0.363	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	30	100	27	0.270	3	13	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.242	0.319	0.434	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	14	35	8	0.229	0	5	0.413	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.333	0.285	OK
Jake Burger	1B	41	159	35	0.220	6	24	0.260	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.266	0.377	OK
Danny Jansen	C	26	85	17	0.200	2	9	0.292	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.182	0.252	0.315	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	3	9	2	0.222	1	1	0.222	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.222	0.358	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	2	8	0.182

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	41	159	39	0.245	3	11	0.328	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.241	0.315	0.340	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	40	146	38	0.260	4	18	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.311	0.386	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	46	168	54	0.321	14	30	0.431	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.297	0.403	0.556	OK
Christian Walker	1B	45	165	44	0.267	10	29	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.201	0.276	0.414	OK
Braden Shewmake	SS	10	38	13	0.342	2	6	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.280	0.288	0.392	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	29	99	21	0.212	4	12	0.255	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.187	0.230	0.324	OK
Zach Cole	RF	9	30	6	0.200	1	3	0.226	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.182	0.191	0.273	OK
Zach Dezenzo	LF	5	16	3	0.188	1	2	0.278	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.276	0.419	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	21	71	19	0.268	3	12	0.325	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.192	0.252	0.325	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	2	2	2	3	0.100

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	8	43.5	2.69	0.943	11.8	57	5.2	2	2	2	2	3	88	5.2	3	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	17	20.5	0.88	0.439	7.5	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	16	18.3	1.97	0.820	4.4	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	20	15.9	5.66	1.698	12.5	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kai-Wei Teng	Starter	15	23.2	3.49	1.207	8.9	23	5.0	1	1	1	0	5	66	5.0	5	1
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	16	17.0	3.71	1.529	8.5	16	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	22	1.1	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	15	12.5	9.36	2.400	15.1	21	1.0	3	3	3	1	1	26	1.0	1	3
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	16	15.7	4.59	1.210	9.2	16	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever	17	24.6	5.49	1.585	8.0	22	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	10	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers

TOR 20-25 (4.09 RPG / 4.4 RA)

3 - 4

DET 20-26 (4.07 RPG / 4.28 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-3 TARGET: TOR 4 - 5 DET (DET) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5
DET	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	x	4	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

DET Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-27

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

TOR Season Quality

Record19-25

Win%0.432

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.341

DET Season Quality

Record20-25

Win%0.444

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.200

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1598; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	25	96	18	0.188	2	7	0.278	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.195	0.272	0.296	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	11	35	12	0.343	0	4	0.395	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.277	0.334	0.354	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	43	159	46	0.289	2	19	0.380	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.311	0.289	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	43	159	38	0.239	10	27	0.326	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.223	0.314	0.387	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	38	143	34	0.238	5	13	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.286	0.363	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	32	114	31	0.272	5	16	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.304	0.416	OK
Lenyn Sosa	2B	15	51	10	0.196	1	4	0.192	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.182	0.280	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	38	139	36	0.259	5	25	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.246	0.427	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	19	54	9	0.167	0	2	0.211	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.147	0.167	0.179	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	3	4	0.156

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	42	159	46	0.289	2	16	0.399	5	4	1	0	0	1	3	0.250	0.255	0.365	0.374	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	35	134	34	0.254	8	27	0.324	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.262	0.317	0.504	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	14	42	7	0.167	0	4	0.239	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.178	0.247	0.308	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	27	97	20	0.206	1	14	0.278	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.186	0.264	0.316	OK
Riley Greene	LF	44	160	53	0.331	4	23	0.425	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.336	0.425	0.478	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	42	143	29	0.203	6	17	0.324	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.162	0.282	0.286	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	20	65	11	0.169	1	5	0.250	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.162	0.242	0.235	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	22	80	12	0.150	0	5	0.200	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.179	0.227	0.233	OK
Jake Rogers	C	13	38	6	0.158	0	4	0.209	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.161	0.206	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	31	7	4	4	5	8	0.226

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mason Fluharty	Starter	21	10.8	5.83	1.759	15.8	19	5.0	5	2	2	4	6	94	5.0	6	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	21	19.1	0.47	1.361	15.1	32	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	8	1.0	1	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	20	17.7	2.03	1.243	6.1	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	21	17.7	6.61	2.034	17.3	34	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	18	0.0	0	1
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	22	19.7	3.65	1.320	9.6	21	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	19	15.8	5.13	1.519	13.7	24	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	6	29.6	3.04	1.250	10.6	35	5.1	5	3	3	2	4	90	5.1	4	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	13	10.4	2.60	1.058	14.7	17	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	19	18.8	0.48	1.383	6.7	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Burch Smith	Middle Reliever	10	13.3	3.38	1.504	12.2	18	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies

ARI Recent Form

COL Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals

BAL Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves

BOS Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox

CHC Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians

CIN Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals

KC Recent Form

STL Recent Form

KC Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels

LAD Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Tampa Bay Rays