MLB Predictions — May 14, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
CHC @ ATL	6 - 7	3 - 8	ATL wins 8-3	51%	enhanced_ml
COL @ PIT	4 - 3	4 - 3	COL wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml
DET @ NYM	2 - 3	2 - 3	NYM wins 3-2	54%	enhanced_ml
KC @ CHW	5 - 4	4 - 6	CHW wins 6-4	51%	enhanced_ml
MIA @ MIN	6 - 3	5 - 4	MIA wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml
PHI @ BOS	3 - 4	3 - 4	BOS wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml
SD @ MIL	4 - 3	5 - 3	SD wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml
SEA @ HOU	5 - 4	6 - 2	SEA wins 6-2	54%	enhanced_ml
SF @ LAD	4 - 3	4 - 1	SF wins 4-1	53%	enhanced_ml
STL @ OAK	5 - 3	6 - 2	STL wins 6-2	51%	enhanced_ml
WAS @ CIN	4 - 3	6 - 1	WAS wins 6-1	54%	enhanced_ml

Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves

CHC 27-16 (5.07 RPG / 4.12 RA)

3 - 8

ATL 30-13 (5.51 RPG / 3.35 RA)

ATL WINS Target: CHC 6 - 7 ATL Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	5
ATL	1	0	0	0	0	0	7	0	x	8	13

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	41	168	45	0.268	4	29	0.344	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.197	0.254	0.282	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	41	165	39	0.236	4	13	0.328	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.299	0.363	OK
Ian Happ	LF	41	151	34	0.225	9	18	0.368	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.144	0.327	0.233	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	27	101	28	0.277	7	16	0.388	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.190	0.315	0.384	OK
Matt Shaw	RF	21	66	18	0.273	3	9	0.319	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.272	0.312	0.483	OK
Michael Busch	1B	41	151	34	0.225	3	22	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.423	0.391	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	41	138	26	0.188	6	23	0.303	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.155	0.226	0.239	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	18	57	13	0.228	2	8	0.343	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.224	0.365	0.382	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	42	155	37	0.239	4	17	0.310	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.195	0.277	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	32	5	3	3	9	7	0.156

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	43	173	51	0.295	11	33	0.378	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.256	0.363	0.576	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	43	166	49	0.295	8	25	0.348	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.187	0.242	0.273	OK
Matt Olson	1B	43	166	49	0.295	14	37	0.374	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.269	0.311	0.518	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	34	130	39	0.300	6	19	0.324	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.322	0.337	0.402	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	41	152	40	0.263	3	25	0.321	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.235	0.295	0.395	OK
Austin Riley	3B	42	160	35	0.219	6	25	0.288	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.273	0.318	0.481	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	20	70	27	0.386	4	17	0.413	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.364	0.411	0.487	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	2	6	1	0.167	0	0	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.302	0.351	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	29	102	22	0.216	1	9	0.273	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.263	0.285	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	13	8	8	4	7	0.351

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ben Brown	Starter	13	28.5	1.89	0.947	8.5	27	4.1	4	1	1	2	5	87	4.1	5	1
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	8	6.3	2.86	1.270	10.0	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	12	8.8	10.23	2.045	14.3	14	1.1	7	7	7	2	0	44	1.1	0	7
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	18	15.0	4.20	1.733	11.4	19	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.1	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	8	49.0	2.20	0.878	10.3	56	3.1	2	1	1	4	3	81	3.1	3	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	12	12.2	0.00	0.656	11.1	15	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	25	1.1	1	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	18	17.3	0.52	0.983	9.4	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.1	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	21	19.5	0.92	0.462	11.5	25	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	20	16.6	3.80	1.446	10.3	19	0.1	2	2	2	2	1	25	0.1	1	2
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	17	10.2	6.18	1.961	9.7	11	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 8-3

Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates

COL 17-27 (4.27 RPG / 5.09 RA)

4 - 3

PIT 24-20 (5.0 RPG / 4.27 RA)

COL WINS Target: COL 4 - 3 PIT Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	4	6
PIT	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-22

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jordan Beck	LF	20	69	11	0.159	1	9	0.203	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.218	0.265	0.363	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	26	86	13	0.151	1	3	0.240	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.113	0.210	0.174	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	36	144	35	0.243	10	17	0.310	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.262	0.305	0.437	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	39	149	41	0.275	5	21	0.339	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.292	0.350	0.491	OK
Willi Castro	3B	30	110	27	0.245	2	13	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.226	0.287	0.353	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	31	120	39	0.325	12	25	0.369	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.287	0.337	0.631	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	33	121	39	0.322	2	16	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.328	0.397	0.454	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	38	141	28	0.199	1	11	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.275	0.253	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	29	101	27	0.267	2	12	0.357	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.223	0.310	0.302	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	4	4	1	12	0.182

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	40	171	45	0.263	10	29	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.313	0.386	0.500	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	36	139	36	0.259	10	28	0.366	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.284	0.391	0.575	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	41	146	37	0.253	4	25	0.399	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.366	0.325	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	39	149	43	0.289	6	27	0.365	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.258	0.307	0.411	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	35	132	33	0.250	3	18	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.303	0.435	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	33	108	29	0.269	2	17	0.396	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.313	0.439	0.538	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	34	136	26	0.191	4	14	0.272	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.351	0.413	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.294	0.377
Jared Triolo	3B	10	36	7	0.194	0	1	0.256	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.276	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	7	3	3	1	10	0.212

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Dollander	Starter	9	41.6	3.46	1.226	10.2	47	4.1	7	2	2	0	5	81	4.1	5	2
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	15	15.4	7.01	2.078	8.2	14	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	12	1.0	1	1
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	12	24.3	1.48	0.864	8.9	24	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.2	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	16	17.0	5.29	1.824	13.2	25	0.1	0	0	0	1	2	19	0.1	2	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	18	10.8	5.00	2.222	13.3	16	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.2	1	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mason Montgomery	Starter	16	13.1	3.44	1.527	15.8	23	4.1	3	2	2	0	5	70	4.1	5	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	21	20.4	1.76	0.735	11.5	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	23	1.0	2	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	18	16.4	3.84	1.402	5.5	10	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.2	2	0
Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	19	15.0	5.40	1.800	7.8	13	0.2	2	2	2	0	2	23	0.2	2	2
Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	13	14.0	1.93	1.214	12.9	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

COL wins 4-3

Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets

DET 19-25 (4.16 RPG / 4.39 RA)

2 - 3

NYM 18-25 (3.74 RPG / 4.14 RA)

NYM WINS Target: DET 2 - 3 NYM Confidence: 53.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6
NYM	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	7

DET Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	40	152	46	0.303	2	16	0.411	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.272	0.422	0.351	OK
Colt Keith	3B	29	102	30	0.294	0	4	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.299	0.362	0.376	OK
Riley Greene	LF	42	153	50	0.327	4	22	0.421	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.423	0.493	0.574	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	33	127	31	0.244	7	26	0.314	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.222	0.282	0.444	OK
Gage Workman	2B	1	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.245	0.299	0.407	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	18	58	10	0.172	1	5	0.250	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.152	0.254	0.220	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	40	137	28	0.204	6	16	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.169	0.250	0.307	OK
Wenceel Pérez	CF	21	76	11	0.145	0	5	0.198	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.276	0.299	OK
Jake Rogers	C	12	36	6	0.167	0	4	0.200	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.208	0.259	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	5	0.182

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	34	120	28	0.233	3	13	0.298	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.304	0.356	0.415	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	42	170	38	0.224	2	18	0.272	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.168	0.257	0.201	OK
Juan Soto	DH	26	98	25	0.255	4	11	0.351	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.167	0.248	0.264	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	31	111	26	0.234	5	17	0.283	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.306	0.472	OK
MJ Melendez	LF	16	45	13	0.289	2	6	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.333	0.400	OK
Brett Baty	3B	32	113	26	0.230	1	12	0.285	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.260	0.325	0.357	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	42	151	33	0.219	2	13	0.274	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.199	0.251	0.267	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	2	5	1	0.200	0	2	0.556	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.363	0.442	OK
Hayden Senger	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.294	0.377
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	7	3	3	4	7	0.219

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	7	38.5	3.27	0.987	6.8	29	5.2	2	1	1	2	4	90	5.2	4	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	12	9.4	2.87	1.170	14.4	15	1.1	2	0	0	1	1	26	1.1	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	19	18.8	0.48	1.383	6.7	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Burch Smith	Middle Reliever	9	11.3	3.98	1.681	13.5	17	0.2	3	2	2	1	1	28	0.2	1	2

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	8	44.4	2.84	0.923	11.6	57	4.2	6	2	2	2	4	98	4.2	4	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	15	12.5	4.32	1.440	15.8	22	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.1	0	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	17	15.7	4.59	1.338	9.7	17	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.2	0	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	18	14.9	1.21	1.074	12.1	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.1	1	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	18	16.8	2.68	1.190	8.6	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 3-2

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

KC 19-24 (4.16 RPG / 4.53 RA)

4 - 6

CHW 21-21 (4.36 RPG / 4.64 RA)

CHW WINS Target: KC 5 - 4 CHW Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	7
CHW	0	0	4	0	0	0	2	0	x	6	9

KC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	40	158	44	0.278	3	17	0.348	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.298	0.394	0.411	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	43	170	52	0.306	7	22	0.378	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.343	0.414	0.731	OK
Lane Thomas	RF	21	66	12	0.182	1	4	0.325	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.144	0.297	0.217	OK
Salvador Perez	C	41	161	31	0.193	6	18	0.233	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.148	0.198	0.276	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	12	37	7	0.189	0	7	0.311	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.185	0.307	0.258	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	40	152	32	0.211	5	21	0.291	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.338	0.357	OK
Starling Marte	DH	11	36	12	0.333	0	2	0.375	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.335	0.383	0.445	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	33	112	26	0.232	3	13	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.228	0.333	0.351	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	32	99	27	0.273	3	10	0.333	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.228	0.264	0.290	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	34	7	4	4	6	6	0.206

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	39	148	41	0.277	3	9	0.343	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.270	0.298	0.490	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	39	143	34	0.238	9	23	0.373	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.438	0.645	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	40	146	33	0.226	15	29	0.363	4	3	1	1	3	0	1	0.333	0.195	0.324	0.415	OK
Randal Grichuk	LF	3	8	2	0.250	1	2	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.291	0.425	OK
Edgar Quero	C	23	79	13	0.165	0	7	0.242	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.185	0.233	0.225	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	28	106	26	0.245	2	14	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.318	0.361	0.378	OK
Derek Hill	CF	11	29	6	0.207	1	1	0.258	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.217	0.272	0.375	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	25	77	12	0.156	0	3	0.224	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.141	0.225	0.192	OK
Jarred Kelenic	RF	8	23	6	0.261	0	1	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.295	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	9	6	6	3	9	0.281

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kris Bubic	Starter	8	45.4	3.57	1.189	9.3	47	3.1	4	4	4	3	5	86	3.1	5	4
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	17	15.4	3.51	1.494	8.2	14	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.1	1	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	16	15.2	4.14	1.250	9.5	16	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	17	12.8	3.52	1.406	7.7	11	0.2	2	2	2	0	2	23	0.2	2	2
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	17	15.7	2.29	0.828	13.2	23	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	8	32.9	5.20	1.672	6.8	25	4.1	4	2	2	3	3	96	4.1	3	2
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.1	0	1	1	0	1	11	1.1	1	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.1	0	1	1	1	1	26	1.1	1	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	12	9.8	1.84	1.939	13.8	15	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	32	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-4

Miami Marlins @ Minnesota Twins

MIA 20-24 (4.23 RPG / 4.45 RA)

5 - 4

MIN 20-24 (4.8 RPG / 4.91 RA)

MIA WINS Target: MIA 6 - 3 MIN Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	5	10
MIN	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	42	156	49	0.314	4	15	0.402	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.264	0.335	0.582	OK
Liam Hicks	C	33	120	37	0.308	9	38	0.365	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.225	0.298	0.399	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	41	165	55	0.333	4	18	0.366	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.307	0.339	0.430	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	20	75	17	0.227	1	3	0.326	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.240	0.328	0.400	OK
Christopher Morel	1B	9	30	5	0.167	0	1	0.242	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.169	0.230	0.240	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	40	152	27	0.178	2	12	0.304	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.201	0.348	0.348	OK
Leo Jiménez	DH	10	28	8	0.286	0	1	0.364	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.268	0.332	0.365	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	30	95	19	0.200	2	17	0.259	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.173	0.289	0.344	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	22	77	20	0.260	0	7	0.313	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.177	0.240	0.251	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	37	10	5	5	6	9	0.270

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	DH	40	169	44	0.260	15	23	0.319	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.305	0.373	0.783	OK
Austin Martin	RF	27	94	31	0.330	1	7	0.448	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.332	0.385	0.422	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	29	106	32	0.302	6	25	0.400	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.331	0.416	0.685	OK
Victor Caratini	1B	28	96	19	0.198	1	12	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.169	0.254	0.207	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	41	151	34	0.225	1	15	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.202	0.348	0.276	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	38	140	36	0.257	5	22	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.310	0.319	OK
Royce Lewis	3B	27	90	15	0.167	3	12	0.269	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.156	0.253	0.240	OK
Ryan Kreidler	CF	5	14	3	0.214	2	4	0.389	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.233	0.337	0.514	OK
James Outman	LF	7	25	4	0.160	0	0	0.160	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.227	0.261	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	4	4	2	12	0.206

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Garrett	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.2	4	2	2	1	7	89	3.2	7	2
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	13	23.6	1.14	1.314	9.5	25	1.2	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.2	2	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	17	14.6	3.70	1.575	9.9	16	1.1	2	2	2	0	1	18	1.1	1	2
John King	Middle Reliever	20	13.7	1.31	0.730	10.5	16	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.1	2	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	17	11.4	5.53	1.667	13.4	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.2	5	3	3	2	4	96	3.2	4	3
Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	22	14.7	8.57	2.245	9.2	15	2.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	2.1	2	0
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	17	16.2	5.00	1.728	8.9	16	0.2	1	2	2	3	0	30	0.2	0	2
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	16	13.3	3.38	1.729	8.8	13	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	29	1.1	1	0
Luis García	Middle Reliever	7	7.2	6.25	1.250	1.2	1	1.0	3	0	0	0	2	26	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox

PHI 20-23 (4.02 RPG / 4.79 RA)

3 - 4

BOS 18-24 (3.81 RPG / 4.07 RA)

BOS WINS Target: PHI 3 - 4 BOS Confidence: 53.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	10
BOS	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	4	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff3

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	41	171	40	0.234	4	13	0.283	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.203	0.220	0.257	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	43	159	36	0.226	17	28	0.359	5	5	3	1	1	0	2	0.600	0.272	0.363	0.793	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	42	154	41	0.266	10	24	0.360	5	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.331	0.484	OK
Adolis García	RF	41	153	34	0.222	3	12	0.288	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.167	0.215	0.259	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	38	139	26	0.187	3	20	0.252	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.298	0.350	0.564	OK
Brandon Marsh	CF	36	137	47	0.343	4	21	0.367	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.382	0.419	0.455	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	25	88	20	0.227	1	8	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.169	0.192	0.248	OK
Felix Reyes	LF	9	30	4	0.133	1	2	0.133	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.168	0.199	0.289	OK
Edmundo Sosa	2B	17	58	14	0.241	1	8	0.254	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.264	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	3	3	2	13	0.270

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	35	145	27	0.186	4	18	0.244	5	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.186	0.221	0.297	OK
Andruw Monasterio	DH	12	46	10	0.217	1	7	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.273	0.325	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	41	154	47	0.305	6	18	0.383	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.323	0.397	0.491	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	39	139	35	0.252	8	23	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.199	0.318	0.381	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	36	131	35	0.267	3	15	0.333	4	1	1	1	0	2	0	1.000	0.251	0.316	0.405	OK
Trevor Story	SS	40	161	34	0.211	3	19	0.250	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.255	0.296	0.410	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	25	80	17	0.212	2	3	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.185	0.305	0.325	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	38	132	22	0.167	1	13	0.247	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.137	0.196	0.184	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	12	36	7	0.194	0	2	0.237	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.256	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	6	4	4	3	7	0.188

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	8	41.8	6.24	1.459	12.3	57	4.2	3	2	2	3	4	98	4.2	4	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	11	10.2	1.76	1.176	14.1	16	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	18	16.5	4.36	1.333	11.5	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	19	10.5	6.86	2.476	16.3	19	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	17	13.7	2.63	1.314	7.2	11	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	14	0.2	0	1

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	7	38.3	2.82	0.966	7.5	32	4.1	5	1	1	2	7	84	4.1	7	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	0.68	0.909	13.0	19	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	16	16.1	3.35	1.180	11.2	20	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	2
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	6	5.1	0.00	0.980	10.6	6	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	19	1.1	2	0
Tyler Samaniego	Middle Reliever	13	11.5	0.00	1.304	9.4	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3

San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers

SD 25-18 (4.14 RPG / 4.21 RA)

5 - 3

MIL 24-17 (5.1 RPG / 3.63 RA)

SD WINS Target: SD 4 - 3 MIL Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	5	11
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	6

SD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xander Bogaerts	SS	40	148	38	0.257	6	21	0.333	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.207	0.263	0.307	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	40	151	38	0.252	0	14	0.329	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.337	0.271	OK
Manny Machado	3B	40	144	27	0.188	6	20	0.286	5	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.137	0.175	0.289	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	29	108	32	0.296	3	12	0.321	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.261	0.452	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	31	107	23	0.215	4	12	0.276	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.216	0.320	0.409	OK
Ramón Laureano	LF	35	132	29	0.220	5	19	0.305	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.105	0.283	0.188	OK
Nick Castellanos	RF	21	74	14	0.189	1	13	0.228	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.219	0.246	0.304	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	22	70	12	0.171	0	3	0.268	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.186	0.228	0.242	OK
Bryce Johnson	CF	6	19	4	0.211	0	2	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.279	0.339	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	38	11	5	5	0	10	0.289

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	7	30	10	0.333	0	3	0.394	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.299	0.318	OK
Brice Turang	2B	37	139	41	0.295	6	26	0.414	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.277	0.337	0.461	OK
William Contreras	DH	37	149	43	0.289	3	26	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.282	0.359	0.354	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	22	73	15	0.205	4	11	0.363	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.180	0.296	0.271	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	6	21	5	0.238	1	4	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.338	0.426	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	28	104	22	0.212	0	11	0.284	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.262	0.344	0.320	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	30	105	23	0.219	1	22	0.341	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.170	0.239	0.223	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	33	120	26	0.217	3	10	0.299	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.299	0.328	OK
David Hamilton	SS	30	94	22	0.234	0	7	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.194	0.228	0.246	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	3	3	3	3	0.188

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Canning	Starter	2	9.1	6.92	1.648	11.9	12	3.2	3	2	2	3	2	89	3.2	2	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	19	19.2	0.94	0.677	18.8	40	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	13	2.1	0	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	14	12.3	1.46	0.894	3.7	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	18	17.5	6.69	1.543	13.4	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	12	10.8	4.17	1.204	13.3	16	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	7	33.2	2.44	1.235	11.1	41	3.2	5	1	1	0	5	80	3.2	5	1
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	18	14.7	5.51	1.293	10.4	17	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.1	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	20	24.2	2.23	1.405	16.0	43	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	11	0.2	0	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	15	15.0	3.60	1.200	11.4	19	1.1	4	4	4	0	2	30	1.1	2	4
DL Hall	Middle Reliever	17	16.2	2.22	1.481	11.7	21	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	18	13.5	4.00	1.333	10.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SD wins 5-3

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

SEA 22-23 (4.24 RPG / 3.89 RA)

6 - 2

HOU 17-28 (4.58 RPG / 5.64 RA)

SEA WINS Target: SEA 5 - 4 HOU Confidence: 53.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6	10
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-16

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brendan Donovan	3B	21	74	19	0.257	3	8	0.371	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.184	0.264	0.254	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	44	175	47	0.269	7	20	0.333	5	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.277	0.337	0.506	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	41	162	40	0.247	5	20	0.309	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.276	0.335	0.373	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	44	160	49	0.306	4	16	0.389	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.396	0.454	0.580	OK
Luke Raley	RF	31	100	27	0.270	8	22	0.336	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.279	0.367	0.684	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	35	124	26	0.210	5	14	0.364	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.215	0.320	0.394	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	28	78	21	0.269	4	17	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.226	0.305	0.434	OK
Mitch Garver	C	13	39	7	0.179	0	1	0.373	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.176	0.332	0.232	OK
Cole Young	2B	44	154	38	0.247	3	22	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.143	0.234	0.202	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	10	6	6	5	10	0.278

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Cole	LF	7	22	6	0.273	1	3	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.328	0.402	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	40	155	39	0.252	3	11	0.335	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.277	0.332	0.342	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	44	162	50	0.309	13	29	0.418	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.224	0.358	0.354	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	38	140	37	0.264	3	17	0.352	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.293	0.306	OK
Christian Walker	1B	43	159	44	0.277	10	29	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.174	0.225	0.381	OK
Braden Shewmake	SS	8	30	10	0.333	2	3	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.301	0.331	0.461	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	27	91	19	0.209	4	12	0.255	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.177	0.214	0.303	OK
Cam Smith	RF	40	140	28	0.200	3	15	0.298	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.149	0.276	0.200	OK
César Salazar	C	2	6	1	0.167	0	0	0.167	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.282	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	2	2	1	8	0.182

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Castillo	Starter	8	37.4	6.74	1.658	8.9	37	5.1	5	2	2	1	5	98	5.1	5	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	18	16.3	5.52	1.411	16.0	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.1	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	22	16.6	2.71	1.506	9.2	17	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	21	0.2	2	0
Cooper Criswell	Middle Reliever	15	17.3	2.08	0.925	8.3	16	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.2	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Burrows	Starter	8	43.5	5.17	1.517	8.7	42	2.2	7	3	3	1	6	82	2.2	6	3
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	15	15.8	3.99	1.646	8.5	15	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	10	2.1	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	15	12.5	9.36	2.400	15.1	21	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	11	1.0	0	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	16	15.7	4.59	1.210	9.2	16	0.2	3	2	2	1	1	33	0.2	1	2
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever	17	24.6	5.49	1.585	8.0	22	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	16	1.1	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	21	14.8	4.86	1.486	8.5	14	1.0	0	0	0	2	2	25	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 6-2

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SF 18-25 (3.37 RPG / 4.35 RA)

4 - 1

LAD 25-18 (4.93 RPG / 3.47 RA)

SF WINS Target: SF 4 - 3 LAD Confidence: 52.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	6
LAD	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	42	161	43	0.267	2	13	0.312	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.235	0.273	0.320	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	40	158	49	0.310	0	14	0.347	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.295	0.373	0.359	OK
Casey Schmitt	DH	35	130	37	0.285	6	18	0.338	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.218	0.284	0.327	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	43	162	40	0.247	5	18	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.342	0.413	0.631	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	40	155	42	0.271	4	19	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.298	0.361	0.538	OK
Willy Adames	SS	42	171	38	0.222	3	11	0.253	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.300	0.314	0.374	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	41	157	36	0.229	1	14	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.182	0.264	0.272	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	20	64	15	0.234	2	7	0.300	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.201	0.290	0.268	OK
Eric Haase	C	5	18	6	0.333	2	4	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.277	0.316	0.538	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	4	4	4	12	0.182

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Will Smith	DH	30	117	30	0.256	3	17	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.297	0.292	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	41	159	44	0.277	4	20	0.350	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.279	0.390	0.413	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	41	153	40	0.261	4	19	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.311	0.462	0.540	OK
Andy Pages	CF	42	156	49	0.314	9	35	0.363	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.324	0.474	OK
Max Muncy	3B	39	135	37	0.274	11	17	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.273	0.476	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	38	137	34	0.248	4	18	0.325	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.304	0.390	0.381	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	17	60	19	0.317	7	16	0.379	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.303	0.338	OK
Hyeseong Kim	2B	26	79	21	0.266	1	8	0.330	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.242	0.295	OK
Miguel Rojas	SS	14	48	15	0.312	1	4	0.327	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.271	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	4	1	1	2	7	0.133

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	8	42.5	3.18	1.129	10.8	51	5.1	2	1	1	1	4	83	5.1	4	1
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	18	17.0	1.59	1.235	10.1	19	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	19	17.4	2.59	0.862	7.8	15	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0
Joel Peguero	Middle Reliever	5	4.4	2.05	0.909	2.0	1	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	13	1.2	0	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	7	33.8	5.06	1.420	11.4	43	4.1	2	0	0	1	4	73	4.1	4	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	19	16.4	1.65	0.671	8.8	16	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	17	11.7	3.85	1.197	13.1	17	0.2	3	4	4	2	2	35	0.2	2	4
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	11	11.0	0.82	0.636	13.1	16	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	11	1.2	2	0
Jack Dreyer	Middle Reliever	19	18.8	2.39	1.064	10.5	22	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

SF wins 4-1

St. Louis Cardinals @ Oakland Athletics

STL 25-18 (4.63 RPG / 4.58 RA)

6 - 2

OAK 22-21 (4.42 RPG / 4.53 RA)

STL WINS Target: STL 5 - 3 OAK Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	2	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	10
OAK	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	4

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	41	159	40	0.252	8	22	0.366	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.284	0.374	0.415	OK
Iván Herrera	C	42	154	41	0.266	4	19	0.401	5	3	2	1	2	2	0	0.667	0.337	0.380	0.431	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	40	153	45	0.294	11	30	0.374	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.215	0.320	0.411	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	36	140	36	0.257	1	16	0.321	5	4	3	1	0	1	0	0.750	0.231	0.272	0.294	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	36	131	29	0.221	4	21	0.295	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.215	0.305	0.300	OK
José Fermin	1B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.251	0.327	0.428
Yohel Pozo	DH	3	12	2	0.167	0	2	0.167	5	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.266	0.353	OK
Nathan Church	LF	32	119	30	0.252	4	15	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.290	0.325	0.385	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	34	99	18	0.182	1	5	0.248	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.220	0.286	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	36	10	6	6	6	7	0.278

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	41	150	40	0.267	6	25	0.418	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.328	0.418	0.605	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	38	157	52	0.331	12	25	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.311	0.395	0.588	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	39	149	30	0.201	5	20	0.286	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.161	0.238	0.296	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	25	95	18	0.189	5	18	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.347	0.413	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	26	88	30	0.341	4	15	0.392	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.299	0.335	0.435	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	1	2	2	1.000	0	1	0.750	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.387	0.466	LARGE
Zack Gelof	3B	19	67	17	0.254	4	12	0.306	3	3	2	0	0	0	1	0.667	0.249	0.317	0.464	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	33	118	35	0.297	1	12	0.356	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.268	0.288	OK
Darell Hernaiz	SS	17	54	13	0.241	1	5	0.339	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.257	0.320	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	7	0.129

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	8	44.4	2.23	0.878	6.7	33	4.2	3	1	1	2	5	84	4.2	5	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	20	18.6	2.90	1.022	11.1	23	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	20	16.6	3.80	1.325	9.8	18	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.1	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	19	15.2	4.14	1.447	8.9	15	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	23	1.2	1	1
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	20	15.2	7.11	2.105	14.2	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Lopez	Starter	8	34.4	6.28	1.802	7.3	28	2.2	7	4	4	1	3	65	2.2	3	4
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	23	15.4	3.51	2.273	13.4	23	1.1	1	1	1	2	0	28	1.1	0	1
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	15	12.3	3.66	1.301	4.4	6	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	11	0.2	0	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	18	16.3	1.66	0.798	9.9	18	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.1	1	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	19	14.1	9.57	2.128	11.5	18	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	17	1.0	0	1
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	20	16.6	5.42	1.747	12.5	23	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Luis Medina	Reliever	11	14.5	1.86	1.103	9.3	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	-	-	-

Game Summary

STL wins 6-2

Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds

WAS 21-23 (5.36 RPG / 5.82 RA)

6 - 1

CIN 23-21 (4.32 RPG / 4.91 RA)

WAS WINS Target: WAS 4 - 3 CIN Confidence: 53.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	6	9
CIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	7

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-19

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	43	164	39	0.238	12	29	0.387	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.232	0.353	0.538	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	30	110	30	0.273	3	21	0.296	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.324	0.341	0.625	OK
Brady House	3B	34	140	30	0.214	6	20	0.272	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.192	0.249	0.403	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	41	151	45	0.298	9	36	0.393	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.309	0.371	0.512	OK
Jacob Young	CF	37	141	31	0.220	3	16	0.272	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.189	0.273	0.311	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	42	167	45	0.269	6	22	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.347	0.382	0.711	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	37	119	25	0.210	0	14	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.201	0.337	0.254	OK
Jorbit Vivas	DH	23	70	18	0.257	0	3	0.338	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.194	0.229	0.250	OK
Drew Millas	C	20	62	11	0.177	1	5	0.250	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.207	0.279	0.388	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	6	6	4	10	0.250

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dane Myers	CF	8	27	6	0.222	1	1	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.242	0.381	0.400	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	43	173	51	0.295	10	29	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.384	0.409	0.500	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	43	164	41	0.250	10	30	0.332	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.254	0.305	0.388	OK
Spencer Steer	LF	40	142	35	0.246	7	14	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.301	0.432	OK
JJ Bleday	DH	15	48	14	0.292	4	12	0.443	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.267	0.412	0.491	OK
Blake Dunn	RF	2	7	3	0.429	1	1	0.556	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.286	0.363	0.534	OK
Matt McLain	2B	39	149	31	0.208	3	14	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.298	0.319	OK
Jose Trevino	C	8	24	3	0.125	0	0	0.160	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.199	0.237	0.311	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	32	103	14	0.136	2	3	0.191	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.218	0.261	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	7	1	1	2	13	0.212

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	8	46.2	2.14	1.039	8.2	42	4.1	4	1	1	1	7	86	4.1	7	1
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	17	13.2	5.45	1.818	11.6	17	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	22	1.1	1	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	21	16.5	3.82	1.697	8.2	15	1.1	2	0	0	0	3	28	1.1	3	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	13	25.2	3.57	1.270	7.5	21	0.1	0	0	0	0	2	14	0.1	2	0
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	10	8.8	1.02	2.045	11.2	11	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.2	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	8	46.3	2.14	1.058	9.3	48	3.1	3	3	3	2	4	75	3.1	4	3
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	21	20.5	1.76	1.268	11.0	25	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	14	1.1	2	1
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	18	16.3	3.87	1.350	9.4	17	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	24	1.0	2	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	19	13.5	4.67	1.630	10.0	15	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	20	16.4	3.29	1.707	12.6	23	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	19	18.4	5.38	1.848	11.2	23	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	27	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

WAS wins 6-1

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves

CHC Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates

COL Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets

DET Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

KC Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Minnesota Twins

MIA Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox

PHI Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers

SD Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

SEA Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SF Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

St. Louis Cardinals @ Oakland Athletics

STL Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation