MLB Predictions — May 11, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ TEX	2 - 4	3 - 4	TEX wins 4-3	67%	enhanced_ml
LAA @ CLE	3 - 5	3 - 4	CLE wins 4-3 (Extra Innings - 11)	60%	enhanced_ml
NYY @ BAL	5 - 4	7 - 4	NYY wins 7-4	52%	enhanced_ml
SEA @ HOU	4 - 3	5 - 1	SEA wins 5-1	51%	enhanced_ml
SF @ LAD	3 - 4	3 - 5	LAD wins 5-3	52%	enhanced_ml
TB @ TOR	4 - 3	5 - 3	TB wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers

ARI 19-20 (4.33 RPG / 4.9 RA)

3 - 4

TEX 19-21 (3.73 RPG / 3.8 RA)

TEX WINS Target: ARI 2 - 4 TEX Confidence: 66.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5
TEX	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	x	4	7

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-8

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	35	145	31	0.214	5	15	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.240	0.399	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	37	132	34	0.258	5	20	0.351	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.218	0.274	0.401	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	36	123	27	0.220	2	11	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.147	0.278	0.235	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	DH	21	78	15	0.192	2	13	0.238	4	3	2	1	3	1	1	0.667	0.179	0.260	0.293	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	30	122	40	0.328	6	21	0.349	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.235	0.275	0.306	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	36	123	33	0.268	6	18	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.365	0.431	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	15	55	12	0.218	0	4	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.361	0.332	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	16	57	12	0.211	1	6	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.287	0.387	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	2	7	2	0.286	0	3	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.252	0.302	0.402	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	4	6	0.156

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	38	148	41	0.277	4	12	0.361	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.205	0.328	0.252	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	26	85	24	0.282	2	11	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.264	0.348	0.464	OK
Corey Seager	SS	39	145	28	0.193	7	19	0.300	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.150	0.265	0.297	OK
Josh Jung	3B	36	138	46	0.333	5	20	0.384	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.313	0.349	0.455	OK
Evan Carter	CF	35	112	21	0.188	5	13	0.313	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.179	0.315	0.434	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	29	81	17	0.210	1	6	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.309	0.355	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	10	25	6	0.240	0	4	0.406	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.342	0.332	OK
Jake Burger	1B	37	147	30	0.204	5	18	0.239	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.160	0.205	0.238	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	15	54	10	0.185	1	5	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.193	0.256	0.259	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	7	4	4	5	3	0.233

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Soroka	Starter	7	36.3	4.21	1.460	10.4	42	4.2	4	0	0	3	1	85	4.2	1	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.2	2	3	3	1	1	24	0.2	1	3
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.2	1	1	1	1	1	27	1.2	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jakob Junis	Starter	15	16.1	1.68	0.807	3.9	7	3.1	4	3	3	2	1	66	3.1	1	3
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	16	19.5	0.92	0.462	7.8	17	1.2	1	0	0	1	1	23	1.2	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	17	12.9	5.58	1.550	11.9	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	18	16.0	2.81	1.750	7.3	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Gavin Collyer	Middle Reliever	11	8.5	0.00	0.941	8.5	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Jalen Beeks	Middle Reliever	18	14.2	3.17	1.268	10.1	16	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians

LAA 16-25 (4.32 RPG / 4.9 RA)

3 - 4

CLE 21-21 (4.12 RPG / 4.21 RA)

CLE WINS Target: LAA 3 - 5 CLE Confidence: 60.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
LAA	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9
CLE	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	41	162	36	0.222	6	18	0.328	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.317	0.467	OK
Mike Trout	CF	40	141	35	0.248	11	23	0.414	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.352	0.429	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	15	55	16	0.291	1	8	0.365	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.227	0.309	0.366	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	37	133	30	0.226	8	28	0.325	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.207	0.311	0.422	OK
Jo Adell	RF	41	161	44	0.273	6	23	0.314	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.296	0.353	0.602	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	37	147	37	0.252	3	20	0.304	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.251	0.290	0.346	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	26	93	26	0.280	5	11	0.337	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.315	0.432	OK
Sebastián Rivero	C	6	17	3	0.176	0	0	0.222	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.187	0.249	0.281	OK
Bryce Teodosio	LF	13	38	10	0.263	0	2	0.300	5	5	3	0	0	0	0	0.600	0.305	0.354	0.426	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	42	9	3	3	3	8	0.214

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	38	149	31	0.208	1	9	0.304	6	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.181	0.286	0.248	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	34	132	39	0.295	6	25	0.373	6	5	3	1	3	1	1	0.600	0.316	0.370	0.464	OK
José Ramírez	3B	42	153	34	0.222	6	16	0.353	6	5	2	1	1	1	0	0.400	0.260	0.423	0.319	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	26	84	17	0.202	3	13	0.330	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.157	0.277	0.356	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	29	102	18	0.176	1	9	0.261	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.299	0.291	OK
David Fry	C	15	44	12	0.273	3	6	0.385	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.340	0.511	OK
Daniel Schneemann	CF	29	101	28	0.277	4	13	0.360	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.228	0.341	0.318	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	11	36	7	0.194	1	4	0.396	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.214	0.363	0.353	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	40	133	37	0.278	3	19	0.360	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.325	0.414	0.404	OK
TEAM TOTALS									48	41	8	4	4	6	9	0.195

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brent Suter	Starter	15	20.7	4.35	1.449	9.6	22	3.1	2	1	1	4	4	88	3.1	4	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	14	18.8	4.79	1.170	12.9	27	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	14	16.2	3.89	1.296	11.7	21	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.2	0	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	1.000	9.0	1	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	23	1.0	2	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	17	10.3	3.50	2.136	12.2	14	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	5	5.3	1.70	0.377	13.6	8	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	17	0.2	1	0
Mitch Farris	Reliever	6	14.3	3.78	1.748	6.9	11	2.1	1	2	2	1	1	37	-	-	-

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	8	37.7	3.58	1.432	8.8	37	4.2	4	2	2	1	5	91	4.2	5	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	18	18.1	3.48	1.271	11.9	24	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	25	1.1	1	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	20	13.6	2.65	1.029	19.2	29	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Matt Festa	Middle Reliever	17	14.7	6.73	1.497	11.6	19	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	10	6.6	8.18	2.121	10.9	8	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.1	1	0
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	16	10.1	0.00	1.881	5.3	6	1.2	1	1	1	1	1	26	1.2	1	1

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-3 (Extra Innings - 11)

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

NYY 26-15 (5.24 RPG / 3.46 RA)

7 - 4

BAL 18-23 (4.41 RPG / 5.41 RA)

NYY WINS Target: NYY 5 - 4 BAL Confidence: 51.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0	7	9
BAL	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	4	6

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff26

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-29

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	33	120	21	0.175	3	18	0.303	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.212	0.277	0.340	OK
Ben Rice	1B	32	117	35	0.299	11	25	0.411	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.222	0.304	0.467	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	41	146	39	0.267	16	30	0.406	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.261	0.397	0.586	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	39	142	41	0.289	5	26	0.392	5	4	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.353	0.463	0.590	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	38	143	30	0.210	4	14	0.292	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.199	0.264	0.297	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	27	89	17	0.191	2	9	0.250	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.232	0.357	OK
Spencer Jones	DH	3	9	1	0.111	0	1	0.200	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.211	0.280	0.324	OK
Max Schuemann	SS	1	4	1	0.250	0	1	0.250	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.245	0.299	0.408	OK
Austin Wells	C	30	92	17	0.185	3	5	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.167	0.292	0.268	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	7	7	6	7	0.250

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	40	141	37	0.262	1	12	0.426	5	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.101	0.393	0.142	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	40	171	36	0.211	9	21	0.269	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.219	0.255	0.300	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	23	90	26	0.289	5	19	0.347	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.272	0.341	0.510	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	41	154	33	0.214	8	22	0.312	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.206	0.253	0.493	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	14	43	8	0.186	1	5	0.340	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.200	0.342	0.263	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	30	100	16	0.160	3	11	0.222	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.149	0.172	0.200	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	26	87	24	0.276	2	18	0.388	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.324	0.347	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	8	17	4	0.235	0	0	0.435	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.230	0.360	0.316	OK
Blaze Alexander	2B	25	80	17	0.212	0	2	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.284	0.339	0.336	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	6	4	4	5	6	0.188

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	7	37.5	3.12	1.227	10.8	45	4.2	3	2	2	4	3	93	4.2	3	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	17	15.6	4.04	1.538	12.1	21	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	12	1.1	0	1
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	19	10.2	4.41	2.353	20.3	23	0.2	2	1	1	1	2	29	0.2	2	1
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	19	14.3	1.26	0.979	4.4	7	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.1	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	21	17.5	2.06	1.486	11.3	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	4	20.2	4.46	1.485	6.2	14	4.2	4	2	2	2	5	110	4.2	5	2
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	19	16.6	0.54	0.482	10.8	20	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.2	0	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	18	11.2	1.61	0.625	8.8	11	1.2	3	4	4	3	1	42	1.2	1	4
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	7	4.5	16.00	3.556	14.0	7	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	30	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 7-4

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

SEA 19-22 (4.07 RPG / 4.02 RA)

5 - 1

HOU 16-25 (4.78 RPG / 5.61 RA)

SEA WINS Target: SEA 4 - 3 HOU Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	5	10
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brendan Donovan	3B	19	66	18	0.273	3	8	0.388	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.237	0.338	0.334	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	41	162	44	0.272	6	18	0.337	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.292	0.335	0.579	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	38	149	38	0.255	5	20	0.317	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.365	0.413	0.527	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	37	147	23	0.156	7	17	0.241	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.079	0.140	0.175	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	41	147	41	0.279	3	13	0.368	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.271	0.349	0.342	OK
Luke Raley	RF	28	92	24	0.261	7	21	0.313	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.298	0.652	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	32	112	23	0.205	4	11	0.364	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.353	0.401	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	25	70	19	0.271	3	11	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.338	0.407	OK
Cole Young	2B	41	143	37	0.259	3	21	0.335	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.328	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	10	5	5	2	6	0.270

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	37	144	35	0.243	3	9	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.268	0.306	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	41	151	48	0.318	13	29	0.422	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.210	0.296	0.416	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	35	127	33	0.260	3	16	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.328	0.333	OK
Christian Walker	1B	40	148	42	0.284	9	27	0.352	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.190	0.228	0.362	OK
Zach Cole	LF	5	14	3	0.214	1	2	0.214	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.235	0.277	0.429	OK
Cam Smith	RF	38	134	28	0.209	3	15	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.157	0.242	0.233	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	24	78	17	0.218	4	12	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.218	0.269	0.445	OK
Braden Shewmake	SS	5	17	5	0.294	2	2	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.262	0.302	0.486	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	17	59	18	0.305	3	12	0.369	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.220	0.284	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	1	1	3	12	0.156

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	8	50.6	3.02	1.126	6.9	39	4.2	2	0	0	2	5	100	4.2	5	0
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	16	14.3	6.29	1.469	15.7	25	2.0	2	0	0	1	2	27	2.0	2	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	20	17.9	2.01	1.508	8.0	16	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	19	1.1	2	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	20	15.4	2.92	1.494	8.2	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	4	22.1	2.44	1.176	9.4	23	5.1	2	2	2	2	5	99	5.1	5	2
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	13	13.8	3.91	1.522	9.8	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	10.17	2.522	15.7	20	1.1	5	2	2	0	1	26	1.1	1	2
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	15	14.6	4.93	1.301	8.6	14	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	16	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-1

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SF 16-24 (3.25 RPG / 4.45 RA)

3 - 5

LAD 24-16 (5.08 RPG / 3.35 RA)

LAD WINS Target: SF 3 - 4 LAD Confidence: 51.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	7
LAD	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	x	5	6

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-23

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	39	147	40	0.272	2	11	0.316	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.234	0.257	0.301	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	37	145	45	0.310	0	14	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.279	0.330	0.392	OK
Casey Schmitt	1B	33	123	35	0.285	6	18	0.331	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.274	0.469	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	40	151	35	0.232	4	16	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.291	0.335	0.593	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	37	144	39	0.271	4	17	0.303	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.279	0.316	0.485	OK
Willy Adames	SS	39	158	33	0.209	3	8	0.242	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.271	0.329	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	39	149	35	0.235	1	13	0.313	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.175	0.258	0.276	OK
Harrison Bader	CF	14	50	6	0.120	1	3	0.151	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.159	0.195	0.230	OK
Jesus Rodriguez	C	5	17	6	0.353	1	3	0.389	4	3	2	1	3	1	0	0.667	0.285	0.337	0.446	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	2	11	0.206

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	37	141	34	0.241	6	16	0.374	5	5	2	1	5	0	1	0.400	0.213	0.328	0.301	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	7	28	5	0.179	2	7	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.270	0.382	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	38	150	40	0.267	4	20	0.333	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.230	0.315	0.445	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	38	144	36	0.250	4	19	0.345	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.415	0.452	OK
Will Smith	C	27	107	28	0.262	3	16	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.302	0.356	OK
Max Muncy	3B	37	127	35	0.276	10	15	0.374	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.289	0.399	OK
Andy Pages	CF	39	146	49	0.336	9	35	0.377	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.380	0.416	0.782	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	35	126	30	0.238	4	17	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.212	0.304	0.259	OK
Hyeseong Kim	2B	24	73	21	0.288	1	8	0.354	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.247	0.298	0.354	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	30	6	5	5	7	4	0.200

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor McDonald	Starter	1	7.0	1.29	0.286	10.3	8	4.2	3	2	2	6	2	108	4.2	2	2
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	18	16.4	2.74	0.854	7.7	14	0.2	3	3	3	1	1	30	0.2	1	3
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	17	15.9	1.70	1.321	10.2	18	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.2	1	0
Matt Gage	Middle Reliever	19	11.8	1.53	1.610	7.6	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	6	28.2	6.06	1.702	8.3	26	5.2	5	2	2	1	8	98	5.2	8	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	18	15.4	1.75	0.649	9.4	16	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.1	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	16	11.6	1.55	0.862	12.4	16	0.1	0	0	0	0	2	14	0.1	2	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	13	9.6	1.88	1.250	11.2	12	1.2	2	1	1	1	0	22	1.2	0	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-3

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

TB 26-13 (4.38 RPG / 3.87 RA)

5 - 3

TOR 18-22 (4.1 RPG / 4.4 RA)

TB WINS Target: TB 4 - 3 TOR Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	10
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	8

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed1.6

Run Diff19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	36	145	42	0.290	0	7	0.318	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.263	0.281	0.300	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	38	146	37	0.253	11	19	0.341	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.322	0.494	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	36	134	36	0.269	7	29	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.326	0.416	0.436	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	37	140	44	0.314	5	23	0.394	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.311	0.367	OK
Jake Fraley	RF	21	65	17	0.262	2	5	0.333	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.273	0.317	0.396	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	18	46	8	0.174	1	4	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.131	0.254	0.202	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	30	111	15	0.135	2	11	0.192	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.158	0.216	0.203	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	14	32	9	0.281	0	3	0.395	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.280	0.365	0.381	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	27	81	16	0.198	0	6	0.301	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.219	0.325	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	10	5	5	1	6	0.278

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	21	80	16	0.200	2	6	0.289	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.216	0.294	0.316	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	8	24	10	0.417	0	4	0.440	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.324	0.361	0.429	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	39	145	45	0.310	2	17	0.398	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.219	0.299	0.257	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	39	145	36	0.248	10	26	0.331	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.300	0.377	0.601	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	34	128	32	0.250	4	9	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.285	0.356	0.372	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	29	107	27	0.252	5	16	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.262	0.313	0.425	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	39	158	47	0.297	2	12	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.303	0.324	0.448	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	35	129	32	0.248	3	18	0.272	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.186	0.207	0.235	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	17	54	14	0.259	4	10	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.299	0.375	0.583	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	3	3	5	9	0.229

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	7	36.2	2.98	0.939	9.2	37	4.1	1	0	0	4	5	89	4.1	5	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	17	15.2	2.37	0.921	10.1	17	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	16	19.5	2.77	1.385	7.4	16	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	30	1.1	0	1
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	7	5.2	5.19	1.923	15.6	9	0.2	3	2	2	0	1	18	0.2	1	2
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	15	15.1	2.98	1.258	11.9	20	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.1	2	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	8	45.5	3.16	1.011	8.5	43	3.2	5	3	3	1	4	84	3.2	4	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	19	17.1	0.53	1.228	15.3	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.1	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	18	16.5	2.18	1.152	5.5	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	18	15.5	5.81	1.871	17.4	30	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	12	0.2	1	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	19	16.7	3.23	1.317	10.8	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.1	1	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	19	9.7	6.49	1.856	17.6	19	1.0	4	2	2	0	0	24	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

TB wins 5-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers

ARI Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians

LAA Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

NYY Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

SEA Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SF Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

TB Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary