MLB Predictions — May 10, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ LAD	3 - 4	3 - 4	LAD wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml
CHC @ TEX	6 - 5	7 - 5	CHC wins 7-5	51%	enhanced_ml
COL @ PHI	5 - 4	6 - 5	COL wins 6-5	51%	enhanced_ml
DET @ KC	3 - 4	2 - 5	KC wins 5-2	56%	enhanced_ml
HOU @ CIN	4 - 3	6 - 1	HOU wins 6-1	56%	enhanced_ml
LAA @ TOR	3 - 4	3 - 5	TOR wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml
MIN @ CLE	4 - 5	2 - 6	CLE wins 6-2 (Extra Innings - 10)	56%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ ARI	4 - 3	4 - 3	NYM wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml
NYY @ MIL	5 - 4	4 - 3	NYY wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml
OAK @ BAL	5 - 4	6 - 1	OAK wins 6-1	56%	enhanced_ml
PIT @ SF	4 - 3	4 - 3	PIT wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml
SEA @ CHW	4 - 3	5 - 1	SEA wins 5-1	51%	enhanced_ml
STL @ SD	4 - 3	5 - 2	STL wins 5-2	56%	enhanced_ml
TB @ BOS	1 - 3	1 - 4	BOS wins 4-1	51%	enhanced_ml
WAS @ MIA	4 - 5	3 - 4	MIA wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers

ATL 27-13 (5.53 RPG / 3.48 RA)

3 - 4

LAD 24-15 (5.15 RPG / 3.26 RA)

LAD WINS Target: ATL 3 - 4 LAD Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	4
LAD	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	x	4	6

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mauricio Dubón	LF	38	139	38	0.273	2	20	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.278	0.354	0.370	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	40	161	48	0.298	9	31	0.386	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.368	0.413	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	40	156	49	0.314	8	25	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.307	0.436	OK
Matt Olson	1B	40	155	46	0.297	13	35	0.380	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.280	0.372	0.624	OK
Austin Riley	3B	39	149	32	0.215	5	24	0.289	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.246	0.292	0.431	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	31	119	36	0.303	6	19	0.328	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.294	0.312	0.385	OK
Eli White	RF	16	45	10	0.222	2	7	0.250	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.273	0.317	0.453	OK
Sean Murphy	C	3	11	1	0.091	0	0	0.091	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.249	0.315	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	15	48	14	0.292	1	3	0.320	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.283	0.315	0.438	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	3	3	2	9	0.129

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	36	137	34	0.248	6	16	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.384	0.368	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	37	147	40	0.272	4	20	0.335	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	0.500	0.271	0.329	0.472	OK
Andy Pages	CF	38	143	48	0.336	9	35	0.374	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.360	0.381	0.737	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	37	143	36	0.252	4	19	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.302	0.375	0.523	OK
Max Muncy	3B	36	123	34	0.276	9	13	0.378	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.173	0.300	0.261	OK
Alex Call	LF	7	26	8	0.308	0	3	0.438	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.244	0.345	0.327	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	16	56	19	0.339	7	16	0.403	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.317	0.399	OK
Hyeseong Kim	SS	23	70	21	0.300	1	8	0.367	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.317	0.376	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	30	92	23	0.250	2	8	0.327	3	2	2	1	0	1	0	1.000	0.268	0.370	0.434	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	6	4	4	5	7	0.200

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	8	47.6	2.08	1.050	8.5	45	4.1	4	2	2	2	3	82	4.1	3	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	9	9.2	0.00	0.761	12.7	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	16	15.2	0.59	0.921	9.5	16	1.1	2	2	2	2	1	34	1.1	1	2
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	19	17.5	1.03	0.514	11.8	23	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	14	1.1	3	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	6	36.0	1.25	1.000	3.8	15	4.2	4	3	3	0	5	79	4.2	5	3
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	18	15.4	1.75	0.649	9.4	16	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.1	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	16	11.6	1.55	0.862	12.4	16	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.1	1	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	13	9.6	1.88	1.250	11.2	12	1.2	0	0	0	2	1	23	1.2	1	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	11	14.5	3.10	1.517	9.9	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-3

Chicago Cubs @ Texas Rangers

CHC 27-14 (5.24 RPG / 4.1 RA)

7 - 5

TEX 19-21 (3.73 RPG / 3.8 RA)

CHC WINS Target: CHC 6 - 5 TEX Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	2	0	1	0	3	0	1	7	8
TEX	0	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	7

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	38	157	42	0.268	4	28	0.344	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.167	0.257	0.252	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	27	84	22	0.262	6	17	0.326	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.165	0.244	0.360	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	24	90	28	0.311	7	16	0.422	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.289	0.417	0.593	OK
Ian Happ	LF	38	143	34	0.238	9	18	0.374	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.236	0.375	0.449	OK
Michael Busch	1B	38	143	33	0.231	3	22	0.345	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.339	0.467	0.553	OK
Carson Kelly	C	25	93	26	0.280	1	9	0.368	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.308	0.284	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	39	146	37	0.253	4	17	0.323	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.297	0.377	0.516	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	38	130	26	0.200	6	23	0.314	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.218	0.279	0.299	OK
Matt Shaw	3B	20	63	18	0.286	3	9	0.333	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.274	0.328	0.486	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	7	7	4	2	0.229

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	37	144	41	0.285	4	12	0.370	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.351	0.282	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	25	81	23	0.284	2	11	0.366	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.304	0.394	0.545	OK
Corey Seager	SS	38	142	28	0.197	7	19	0.301	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.156	0.267	0.307	OK
Josh Jung	3B	35	134	43	0.321	5	20	0.374	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.298	0.339	0.439	OK
Evan Carter	CF	34	108	20	0.185	4	11	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.177	0.340	0.365	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	28	78	16	0.205	1	6	0.301	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.217	0.263	0.296	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	9	22	5	0.227	0	3	0.414	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.335	0.348	OK
Danny Jansen	C	24	80	16	0.200	2	8	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.179	0.292	0.357	OK
Justin Foscue	1B	1	3	1	0.333	1	1	0.333	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.309	0.482	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	5	5	5	10	0.206

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jameson Taillon	Starter	7	39.4	4.34	1.168	8.2	36	3.2	4	4	4	1	4	75	3.2	4	4
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	7	6.1	0.00	0.984	8.9	6	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.1	0	0
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	13	28.5	1.89	0.947	8.5	27	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	10	6.7	10.75	2.239	14.8	11	0.2	2	1	1	1	2	31	0.2	2	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	17	14.0	4.50	1.857	11.6	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.1	2	0
Ethan Roberts	Middle Reliever	5	4.5	0.00	0.889	4.0	2	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	7	36.5	3.21	1.041	11.6	47	4.1	4	3	3	2	1	81	4.1	1	3
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	15	17.5	1.03	0.514	8.2	16	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.2	0	0
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	15	16.1	1.68	0.807	3.9	7	1.0	1	3	3	1	1	28	1.0	1	3
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	17	12.9	5.58	1.550	11.9	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	18	16.0	2.81	1.750	7.3	13	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	17	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

CHC wins 7-5

Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies

COL 16-25 (4.27 RPG / 5.12 RA)

6 - 5

PHI 19-22 (4.15 RPG / 4.93 RA)

COL WINS Target: COL 5 - 4 PHI Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	6	9
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	5	8

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed6.8

Run Diff-13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jordan Beck	RF	19	66	10	0.152	1	9	0.197	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.184	0.231	0.321	OK
Tyler Freeman	2B	17	66	18	0.273	2	9	0.360	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.281	0.370	0.452	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	34	136	33	0.243	10	16	0.313	5	5	2	1	3	0	2	0.400	0.228	0.277	0.417	OK
Willi Castro	1B	28	103	27	0.262	2	13	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.292	0.356	0.424	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	25	83	13	0.157	1	3	0.247	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.158	0.259	0.241	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	28	108	34	0.315	11	20	0.364	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.268	0.340	0.616	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	35	107	24	0.224	1	9	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.268	0.347	0.396	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	35	132	25	0.189	1	10	0.239	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.153	0.212	0.193	OK
Jake McCarthy	LF	24	72	20	0.278	2	13	0.342	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.308	0.383	0.655	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	6	6	2	8	0.250

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	39	164	40	0.244	4	12	0.295	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.272	0.345	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	40	150	32	0.213	14	25	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.214	0.279	0.557	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	39	142	40	0.282	9	23	0.380	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.360	0.467	0.758	OK
Adolis García	RF	38	141	34	0.241	3	12	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.317	0.416	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	33	126	42	0.333	4	21	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.390	0.426	0.513	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	22	77	20	0.260	1	8	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.286	0.362	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	30	111	23	0.207	3	14	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.212	0.259	0.463	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	35	129	23	0.178	3	19	0.243	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.292	0.500	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	32	110	32	0.291	1	9	0.355	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.339	0.382	0.521	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	5	5	1	10	0.229

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	7	35.6	3.54	1.180	5.6	22	4.1	1	0	0	0	7	75	4.1	7	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	14	15.2	6.51	1.842	8.3	14	1.0	5	5	5	1	1	41	1.0	1	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	11	21.3	1.27	0.939	9.3	22	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.2	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	16	17.0	5.29	1.824	13.2	25	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.1	0	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	16	9.7	5.57	2.474	13.9	15	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.2	1	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	8	47.4	2.47	1.371	11.4	60	4.1	4	1	1	1	5	85	4.1	5	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	2.20	1.220	13.2	12	1.1	2	1	1	0	2	20	1.1	2	1
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	17	15.5	4.65	1.419	10.5	18	1.1	3	3	3	1	0	31	1.1	0	3
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	18	10.3	6.99	2.524	15.7	18	0.2	0	1	1	0	1	9	0.2	1	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	16	13.6	1.99	1.176	7.3	11	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

COL wins 6-5

Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals

DET 18-22 (4.22 RPG / 4.2 RA)

2 - 5

KC 19-21 (4.15 RPG / 4.42 RA)

KC WINS Target: DET 3 - 4 KC Confidence: 56.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	8
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	x	5	8

DET Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt Vierling	CF	23	81	18	0.222	1	12	0.281	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.295	0.402	OK
Kevin McGonigle	3B	37	142	42	0.296	2	16	0.398	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.211	0.336	0.259	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	9	24	6	0.250	1	3	0.308	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.224	0.301	0.366	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	30	115	27	0.235	6	25	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.172	0.201	0.289	OK
Riley Greene	LF	39	141	44	0.312	4	20	0.409	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.367	0.437	0.561	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	18	63	9	0.143	0	4	0.194	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.294	0.329	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	37	127	27	0.213	6	15	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.165	0.252	0.306	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	12	38	6	0.158	0	3	0.220	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.192	0.239	0.275	OK
Zack Short	SS	2	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.199	0.303	0.322
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	2	2	2	7	0.229

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	37	147	40	0.272	3	15	0.335	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.299	0.372	0.450	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	40	158	47	0.297	5	19	0.369	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.338	0.404	0.635	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	37	140	27	0.193	5	18	0.278	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.209	0.259	0.376	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	30	101	25	0.248	3	13	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.296	0.405	0.496	OK
Carter Jensen	DH	33	114	26	0.228	6	17	0.321	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.181	0.272	0.269	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	10	33	7	0.212	0	6	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.199	0.295	0.301	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	32	113	27	0.239	3	6	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.274	0.402	OK
Elias Díaz	C	4	13	4	0.308	1	3	0.357	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.265	0.323	0.491	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	30	93	26	0.280	3	10	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.351	0.339	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	8	5	5	4	9	0.250

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brenan Hanifee	Starter	4	6.2	0.00	0.968	5.8	4	4.1	0	0	0	3	6	78	4.1	6	0
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	10	7.4	3.65	1.486	12.2	10	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	17	16.5	0.55	1.333	7.1	13	1.1	4	3	3	0	2	33	1.1	2	3
Burch Smith	Middle Reliever	8	11.2	3.21	1.429	12.9	16	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	25	1.1	0	2

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	6	30.5	5.61	1.672	8.3	28	3.2	7	2	2	1	5	91	3.2	5	2
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	17	15.4	3.51	1.494	8.2	14	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	10	2.1	1	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	3.80	1.268	9.5	15	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	23	1.0	0	0
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	16	12.6	2.14	1.270	7.1	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	15	14.5	1.86	0.621	12.4	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

KC wins 5-2

Houston Astros @ Cincinnati Reds

HOU 16-25 (4.78 RPG / 5.61 RA)

6 - 1

CIN 22-19 (4.0 RPG / 4.8 RA)

HOU WINS Target: HOU 4 - 3 CIN Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	1	6	9
CIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-33

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	36	140	34	0.243	3	9	0.329	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.212	0.269	0.322	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	40	147	48	0.327	13	29	0.432	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.292	0.389	0.530	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	34	123	32	0.260	3	16	0.359	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.259	0.363	0.357	OK
Christian Walker	1B	39	145	42	0.290	9	27	0.358	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.201	0.238	0.369	OK
Cam Smith	RF	37	132	28	0.212	3	15	0.300	4	3	2	1	3	1	1	0.667	0.182	0.237	0.257	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	23	75	17	0.227	4	12	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.297	0.491	OK
Zach Cole	LF	4	12	3	0.250	1	2	0.250	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.291	0.450	OK
Nick Allen	SS	6	18	5	0.278	0	0	0.350	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.254	0.295	0.371	OK
César Salazar	C	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.223	0.279	0.361
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	6	6	4	8	0.250

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Will Benson	RF	18	49	9	0.184	1	2	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.368	0.439	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	37	128	31	0.242	6	12	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.324	0.401	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	40	159	44	0.277	10	29	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.281	0.368	OK
Sal Stewart	DH	40	151	37	0.245	10	30	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.262	0.335	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	12	40	10	0.250	4	7	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.312	0.454	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	28	92	16	0.174	2	6	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.294	0.305	OK
Blake Dunn	CF	1	4	2	0.500	1	1	0.600	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.282	0.349	0.519	OK
Matt McLain	2B	36	138	29	0.210	3	12	0.310	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.289	0.374	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	30	97	13	0.134	2	3	0.192	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.199	0.244	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	1	1	2	6	0.156

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kai-Wei Teng	Starter	14	20.2	2.67	1.089	9.8	22	5.2	5	0	0	1	5	93	5.2	5	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	13	13.8	3.91	1.522	9.8	15	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	16	0.2	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	10.17	2.522	15.7	20	1.2	0	1	1	0	0	11	1.2	0	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	15	14.6	4.93	1.301	8.6	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	8	38.7	5.35	1.705	6.5	28	4.1	4	3	3	2	5	86	4.1	5	3
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	16	15.2	2.96	1.316	9.5	16	1.1	1	0	0	2	2	30	1.1	2	0
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	19	18.5	1.95	1.351	10.7	22	1.1	3	2	2	0	0	19	1.1	0	2
Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	18	17.2	5.23	1.860	11.0	21	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	10	0.2	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	19	14.4	3.75	1.875	13.8	22	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	15	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

HOU wins 6-1

Los Angeles Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays

LAA 16-25 (4.32 RPG / 4.9 RA)

3 - 5

TOR 18-22 (4.1 RPG / 4.4 RA)

TOR WINS Target: LAA 3 - 4 TOR Confidence: 56.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	6
TOR	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	x	5	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-22

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	40	158	35	0.222	6	18	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.298	0.415	OK
Mike Trout	DH	39	138	35	0.254	11	23	0.418	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.353	0.434	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	14	51	14	0.275	1	6	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.199	0.284	0.312	OK
Jorge Soler	RF	36	129	30	0.233	8	28	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.327	0.436	OK
Jo Adell	LF	40	157	41	0.261	4	21	0.304	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.234	0.299	0.307	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	36	144	37	0.257	3	20	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.299	0.321	0.437	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	25	89	25	0.281	4	9	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.279	0.327	0.365	OK
Sebastián Rivero	C	5	13	3	0.231	0	0	0.286	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.300	0.344	OK
Bryce Teodosio	CF	12	35	10	0.286	0	2	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.334	0.382	0.455	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	8	0.182

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ernie Clement	2B	38	154	46	0.299	2	12	0.319	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.299	0.331	0.447	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	33	124	30	0.242	4	9	0.319	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.282	0.366	0.392	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	DH	38	141	45	0.319	2	17	0.407	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.273	0.352	0.320	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	38	141	35	0.248	10	25	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.300	0.388	0.571	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	28	104	27	0.260	5	16	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.260	0.294	0.441	OK
Lenyn Sosa	1B	13	45	10	0.222	1	4	0.217	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	0.333	0.262	0.279	0.416	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	34	126	32	0.254	3	18	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.245	0.272	OK
Myles Straw	LF	15	44	13	0.295	1	3	0.385	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.266	0.354	0.453	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	17	50	9	0.180	0	2	0.226	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.147	0.200	0.202	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	5	5	5	6	0.250

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	8	46.2	1.75	1.104	10.5	54	3.2	5	3	3	3	5	92	3.2	5	3
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	13	17.8	5.06	1.236	12.6	25	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.2	1	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	13	16.1	3.91	1.304	11.7	21	1.2	3	2	2	0	0	20	1.2	0	2
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	1.000	9.0	1	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	23	1.0	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Miles	Starter	11	16.6	3.80	1.265	8.7	16	4.1	4	2	2	3	5	105	4.1	5	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	19	17.1	0.53	1.228	15.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12	1.0	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	18	16.5	2.18	1.152	5.5	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	18	15.5	5.81	1.871	17.4	30	1.2	2	1	1	0	0	12	1.2	0	1
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	19	16.7	3.23	1.317	10.8	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-3

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

MIN 18-23 (4.73 RPG / 5.02 RA)

2 - 6

CLE 21-21 (4.12 RPG / 4.21 RA)

CLE WINS Target: MIN 4 - 5 CLE Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
MIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	6
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	6	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	37	158	41	0.259	13	21	0.310	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.287	0.314	0.679	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	26	88	24	0.273	1	11	0.390	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.312	0.355	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	27	99	30	0.303	5	23	0.402	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.306	0.379	0.544	OK
Josh Bell	DH	36	136	28	0.206	3	18	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.150	0.178	0.192	OK
Austin Martin	RF	24	82	27	0.329	1	6	0.456	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.344	0.406	0.420	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	38	140	33	0.236	1	15	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.463	0.396	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	24	82	16	0.195	3	9	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.170	0.341	0.303	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	35	130	34	0.262	5	21	0.314	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.303	0.339	0.430	OK
Royce Lewis	3B	25	84	14	0.167	3	11	0.268	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.132	0.209	0.188	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	6	2	2	2	5	0.167

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	37	145	31	0.214	1	9	0.311	5	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.192	0.300	0.267	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	33	127	37	0.291	6	23	0.372	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.323	0.378	0.537	OK
José Ramírez	DH	41	149	33	0.221	6	15	0.352	5	1	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.236	0.393	0.304	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	28	101	18	0.178	1	9	0.250	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.271	0.284	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	28	97	27	0.278	4	13	0.358	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.209	0.310	0.324	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	29	111	30	0.270	5	15	0.319	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.192	0.276	0.297	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	10	33	6	0.182	1	4	0.372	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.206	0.333	0.350	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.168	0.207	0.239
Brayan Rocchio	SS	39	129	33	0.256	3	19	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.326	0.265	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	8	6	6	3	7	0.216

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Morris	Starter	8	14.0	5.79	1.786	9.6	15	4.2	2	2	2	2	3	83	4.2	3	2
Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	21	13.5	9.33	2.296	8.7	13	1.1	0	1	1	1	2	21	1.1	2	1
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	17	16.2	5.00	1.728	8.9	16	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	16	13.3	3.38	1.729	8.8	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Kody Funderburk	Middle Reliever	19	11.8	3.81	1.864	7.6	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Luis García	Reliever	5	4.2	8.57	1.190	0.0	0	0.2	3	2	2	0	1	25	-	-	-

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	8	48.4	3.35	1.116	11.2	60	4.2	5	1	1	0	1	80	4.2	1	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	18	18.1	3.48	1.271	11.9	24	2.1	1	1	1	1	1	25	2.1	1	1
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	20	13.6	2.65	1.029	19.2	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Matt Festa	Middle Reliever	17	14.7	6.73	1.497	11.6	19	2.0	0	0	0	1	2	26	2.0	2	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 6-2 (Extra Innings - 10)

New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks

NYM 15-24 (3.54 RPG / 4.23 RA)

4 - 3

ARI 18-20 (4.32 RPG / 5.0 RA)

NYM WINS Target: NYM 4 - 3 ARI Confidence: 56.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	11
ARI	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Juan Soto	DH	23	87	23	0.264	4	10	0.363	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.199	0.278	0.433	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	39	159	36	0.226	2	16	0.269	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.173	0.239	0.208	OK
Austin Slater	LF	2	6	4	0.667	0	0	0.667	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.305	0.355	0.411	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	28	99	22	0.222	5	16	0.271	5	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.199	0.250	0.420	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	39	139	32	0.230	2	13	0.285	5	4	3	1	1	1	1	0.750	0.293	0.349	0.453	OK
Andy Ibáñez	3B	2	3	0	0.000	0	2	0.000	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.167	0.207	0.266
Tyrone Taylor	CF	17	49	12	0.245	1	5	0.275	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.230	0.275	0.344	OK
Carson Benge	RF	31	107	22	0.206	3	11	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.272	0.366	0.505	OK
Luis Torrens	C	12	37	5	0.135	0	3	0.179	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.164	0.234	0.265	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	11	4	4	5	11	0.297

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	34	142	30	0.211	5	13	0.258	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.169	0.193	0.311	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	36	128	34	0.266	5	20	0.360	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.302	0.448	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	35	119	27	0.227	2	11	0.347	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.173	0.328	0.286	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	DH	19	73	14	0.192	2	13	0.221	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.189	0.220	0.277	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	29	119	40	0.336	6	21	0.352	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.277	0.347	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	35	120	33	0.275	6	18	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.257	0.371	0.480	OK
James McCann	C	9	29	7	0.241	0	2	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.272	0.307	0.378	OK
Jorge Barrosa	CF	18	62	13	0.210	0	5	0.258	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.190	0.246	0.333	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.223	0.279	0.361
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	3	3	1	8	0.206

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Huascar Brazobán	Starter	16	13.7	1.97	1.241	9.2	14	4.1	7	3	3	1	4	102	4.1	4	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	4.70	1.478	16.4	21	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.1	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	16	14.7	4.90	1.293	9.8	16	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	16	12.9	1.40	1.008	12.6	18	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.2	1	0
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever	10	8.4	7.50	1.905	12.9	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	7	39.2	2.53	1.301	6.7	29	2.2	3	0	0	3	4	83	2.2	4	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	12	2.1	1	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.2	0	1	1	2	2	26	1.2	2	1
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	1.0	5	2	2	0	2	33	1.0	2	2

Game Summary

NYM wins 4-3

New York Yankees @ Milwaukee Brewers

NYY 26-15 (5.24 RPG / 3.46 RA)

4 - 3

MIL 22-16 (5.13 RPG / 3.71 RA)

NYY WINS Target: NYY 5 - 4 MIL Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	4	8
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	3

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff34

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	32	116	20	0.172	3	18	0.305	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.228	0.318	0.397	OK
Ben Rice	1B	31	113	35	0.310	11	25	0.423	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.283	0.354	0.590	OK
Aaron Judge	DH	40	143	38	0.266	15	29	0.403	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.383	0.501	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	38	140	40	0.286	5	26	0.383	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.359	0.448	0.629	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	37	139	29	0.209	4	13	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.258	0.320	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	26	85	17	0.200	2	9	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.302	0.447	OK
José Caballero	SS	38	131	34	0.260	4	13	0.317	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.339	0.358	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	2	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.167	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.283	0.331
J.C. Escarra	C	10	36	8	0.222	0	6	0.263	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.245	0.294	0.379	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	4	4	3	10	0.229

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	4	18	8	0.444	0	3	0.474	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.323	0.372	0.480	OK
Brice Turang	2B	34	127	37	0.291	5	22	0.420	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.302	0.411	0.463	OK
William Contreras	DH	34	140	41	0.293	3	26	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.265	0.310	0.337	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	21	70	15	0.214	4	11	0.368	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.199	0.302	0.292	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	4	15	4	0.267	1	4	0.353	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.324	0.446	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	26	96	18	0.188	0	11	0.269	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.277	0.239	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	27	95	22	0.232	1	21	0.360	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.186	0.271	0.266	OK
Blake Perkins	RF	12	39	5	0.128	0	5	0.244	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.159	0.254	0.261	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	24	77	15	0.195	0	9	0.267	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.186	0.258	0.261	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	3	3	3	4	8	0.100

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.2	1	1	1	1	3	77	3.2	3	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	16	15.4	3.51	1.494	11.1	19	2.1	0	0	0	0	2	15	2.1	2	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	18	9.1	4.95	2.527	19.8	20	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.2	0	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	18	13.3	1.35	0.977	4.7	7	1.1	1	1	1	1	2	26	1.1	2	1
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	21	17.5	2.06	1.486	11.3	22	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	26	1.0	1	1

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Henderson	Starter	2	8.0	4.50	0.875	12.4	11	5.2	3	3	3	3	5	109	5.2	5	3
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	15	11.7	4.62	1.197	10.8	14	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.1	3	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	18	22.2	2.43	1.486	15.4	38	0.2	3	1	1	0	1	24	0.2	1	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	13	13.0	3.46	1.154	10.4	15	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-3

Oakland Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles

OAK 21-19 (4.4 RPG / 4.55 RA)

6 - 1

BAL 18-23 (4.41 RPG / 5.41 RA)

OAK WINS Target: OAK 5 - 4 BAL Confidence: 56.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	6	10
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	7

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff6

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed7.5

Run Diff-36

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	38	140	37	0.264	5	20	0.418	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.330	0.420	0.498	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	35	147	50	0.340	11	22	0.391	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.382	0.420	0.701	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	22	86	17	0.198	5	18	0.276	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.267	0.338	0.521	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	37	141	29	0.206	5	20	0.294	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.169	0.273	0.350	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	38	159	46	0.289	3	19	0.309	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.281	0.325	0.417	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	24	82	28	0.341	4	14	0.393	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.295	0.323	0.442	OK
Lawrence Butler	CF	28	101	20	0.198	3	12	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.220	0.352	0.325	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	16	55	15	0.273	3	11	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.294	0.371	0.537	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	31	111	34	0.306	1	12	0.368	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.260	0.308	0.347	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	6	6	1	7	0.270

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	39	167	34	0.204	9	20	0.264	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.190	0.228	0.279	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	39	139	37	0.266	1	12	0.425	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.131	0.410	0.172	OK
Adley Rutschman	DH	22	86	26	0.302	5	19	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.281	0.349	0.520	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	40	150	33	0.220	8	22	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.336	0.591	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	28	105	27	0.257	5	13	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.331	0.370	0.551	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	25	83	23	0.277	2	18	0.394	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.342	0.370	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	28	93	22	0.237	2	10	0.321	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.262	0.375	0.413	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	7	16	4	0.250	0	0	0.400	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.344	0.338	OK
Blaze Alexander	2B	24	79	17	0.215	0	2	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.281	0.317	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	1	1	2	10	0.206

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Severino	Starter	8	42.4	4.25	1.509	9.1	43	4.1	4	0	0	1	7	97	4.1	7	0
Jack Perkins	Middle Reliever	10	13.7	4.60	1.387	13.8	21	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	22	15.3	3.53	2.222	12.9	22	1.2	2	1	1	1	0	21	1.2	0	1
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	14	12.1	2.23	1.157	3.7	5	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	11	0.2	0	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	17	16.1	1.68	0.745	9.5	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.1	2	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keegan Akin	Starter	6	5.2	12.12	2.115	8.7	5	5.1	9	5	5	1	3	109	5.1	3	5
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	18	15.6	0.58	0.449	11.0	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	18	11.2	1.61	0.625	8.8	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	7	4.5	16.00	3.556	14.0	7	1.2	1	1	1	0	2	17	1.2	2	1

Game Summary

OAK wins 6-1

Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Francisco Giants

PIT 22-18 (5.0 RPG / 4.2 RA)

4 - 3

SF 15-24 (3.15 RPG / 4.41 RA)

PIT WINS Target: PIT 4 - 3 SF Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	8
SF	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	6

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.6

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-25

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	37	159	41	0.258	9	28	0.322	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.226	0.310	0.291	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	33	128	35	0.273	10	27	0.373	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.363	0.465	0.765	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	33	128	42	0.328	0	17	0.390	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.278	0.388	0.342	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	36	135	40	0.296	5	26	0.378	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.226	0.301	0.304	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	31	126	25	0.198	4	14	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.317	0.433	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	31	100	25	0.250	2	14	0.379	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.374	0.439	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	32	119	31	0.261	2	17	0.326	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.335	0.379	OK
Nick Yorke	LF	17	63	13	0.206	1	3	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.173	0.217	0.304	OK
Henry Davis	C	23	77	12	0.156	2	7	0.244	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.154	0.231	0.368	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	4	4	2	8	0.229

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	38	141	38	0.270	2	11	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.239	0.253	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	36	141	44	0.312	0	13	0.336	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.313	0.328	0.448	OK
Casey Schmitt	1B	32	119	35	0.294	6	18	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.272	0.315	0.514	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	39	147	33	0.224	4	16	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.313	0.533	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	36	138	37	0.268	3	15	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.302	0.409	OK
Willy Adames	SS	38	152	30	0.197	3	6	0.233	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.228	0.260	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	38	144	33	0.229	1	12	0.306	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.122	0.189	0.166	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	18	57	15	0.263	2	7	0.311	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.310	0.340	OK
Jesus Rodriguez	C	4	11	5	0.455	1	2	0.500	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.305	0.362	0.491	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	3	3	0	6	0.182

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	7	33.3	4.86	1.532	8.4	31	3.1	4	3	3	0	4	61	3.1	4	3
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	17	16.2	3.89	1.296	5.6	10	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.2	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	19	18.3	1.48	0.710	12.3	25	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	11	0.1	0	0
Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	18	14.9	4.23	1.611	7.9	13	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.2	1	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	15	11.9	3.78	1.681	16.6	22	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	16	19.9	4.52	1.407	10.9	24	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.1	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	7	35.3	5.10	1.558	8.7	34	4.1	4	2	2	1	5	77	4.1	5	2
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	16	13.0	7.62	2.231	9.7	14	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	24	1.0	0	1
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	17	15.4	2.92	0.844	8.2	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	16	14.9	1.81	1.275	10.9	18	1.2	0	0	0	1	3	23	1.2	3	0
Matt Gage	Middle Reliever	19	11.8	1.53	1.610	7.6	10	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	21	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

Seattle Mariners @ Chicago White Sox

SEA 19-22 (4.07 RPG / 4.02 RA)

5 - 1

CHW 19-21 (4.28 RPG / 4.62 RA)

SEA WINS Target: SEA 4 - 3 CHW Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	5	11
CHW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brendan Donovan	3B	18	61	18	0.295	3	8	0.413	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.251	0.365	0.352	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	40	158	43	0.272	6	18	0.339	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.304	0.358	0.582	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	37	146	36	0.247	5	20	0.306	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.348	0.382	0.514	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	36	144	23	0.160	7	17	0.241	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.093	0.151	0.189	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	40	144	40	0.278	3	12	0.365	5	4	0	0	0	1	4	0.000	0.279	0.355	0.375	OK
Luke Raley	RF	27	90	24	0.267	7	21	0.320	5	5	3	1	4	0	1	0.600	0.230	0.284	0.607	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	31	108	22	0.204	4	11	0.368	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.218	0.385	0.479	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	24	68	19	0.279	3	11	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.280	0.358	0.437	OK
Cole Young	2B	40	139	37	0.266	3	21	0.344	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.244	0.352	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	38	11	5	5	5	14	0.289

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	19	65	17	0.262	1	9	0.380	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.310	0.412	0.394	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	37	136	31	0.228	15	29	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.215	0.311	0.530	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	36	133	30	0.226	9	21	0.366	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.264	0.400	0.618	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	37	138	31	0.225	10	28	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.296	0.495	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	36	139	39	0.281	2	5	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.308	0.355	0.492	OK
Jarred Kelenic	RF	6	18	6	0.333	0	1	0.400	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.304	0.369	0.395	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	26	77	21	0.273	0	5	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.328	0.379	OK
Randal Grichuk	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.250	0.285	0.402
Drew Romo	C	7	20	3	0.150	3	4	0.393	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.170	0.333	0.379	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	1	1	1	10	0.182

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	8	43.3	4.36	1.316	8.9	43	4.2	3	1	1	0	7	72	4.2	7	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	16	14.3	6.29	1.469	15.7	25	1.1	1	0	0	1	3	25	1.1	3	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	19	16.9	2.13	1.479	8.5	16	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.1	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	19	14.4	1.87	1.389	8.1	13	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.2	0	0
Cooper Criswell	Middle Reliever	13	16.1	2.24	0.870	8.4	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	7	43.3	1.66	1.039	8.9	43	3.2	1	1	1	4	7	83	3.2	7	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.1	3	1	1	0	2	20	1.1	2	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	15	1.2	1	1
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	2	0.3	90.00	20.000	30.0	1	1.0	4	2	2	1	2	31	1.0	2	2
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	12	9.8	1.84	1.939	13.8	15	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-1

St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres

STL 23-16 (4.72 RPG / 4.62 RA)

5 - 2

SD 23-16 (4.28 RPG / 4.23 RA)

STL WINS Target: STL 4 - 3 SD Confidence: 56.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	5	8
SD	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-7

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	38	147	35	0.238	7	20	0.356	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.223	0.330	0.312	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	39	141	38	0.270	4	18	0.416	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.351	0.417	0.494	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	37	149	40	0.268	6	30	0.341	5	5	3	1	3	0	1	0.600	0.237	0.292	0.446	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	37	141	43	0.305	10	27	0.385	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.288	0.406	0.485	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	34	124	28	0.226	4	21	0.298	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.260	0.341	0.413	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	33	128	33	0.258	1	16	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.220	0.273	0.328	OK
Nathan Church	CF	29	108	28	0.259	4	14	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.298	0.331	0.419	OK
Thomas Saggese	LF	15	53	8	0.151	0	1	0.211	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.143	0.177	0.212	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	25	85	18	0.212	3	8	0.261	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.151	0.204	0.261	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	5	5	3	8	0.229

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Merrill	CF	37	147	33	0.224	4	18	0.288	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.247	0.309	0.369	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	37	141	35	0.248	0	14	0.319	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.230	0.277	0.308	OK
Manny Machado	3B	37	132	26	0.197	6	19	0.303	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.124	0.212	0.284	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	28	99	20	0.202	3	9	0.255	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.188	0.244	0.334	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	37	137	35	0.255	6	21	0.333	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.196	0.260	0.358	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	26	96	29	0.302	2	10	0.330	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.249	0.272	0.431	OK
Ty France	1B	17	58	16	0.276	4	9	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.260	0.450	OK
Sung-Mun Song	2B	4	11	2	0.182	0	2	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.291	0.361	OK
Rodolfo Durán	C	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.223	0.279	0.361
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	2	2	4	5	0.229

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	7	34.2	5.00	1.667	7.1	27	4.1	5	2	2	3	3	90	4.1	3	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	18	16.6	2.17	0.964	10.8	20	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.2	0	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	18	14.5	4.34	1.517	8.7	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	18	13.2	8.18	2.348	14.3	21	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	22	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	17	14.0	3.86	1.357	9.0	14	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	24	1.0	2	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	7	28.7	5.96	1.603	9.1	29	4.1	3	2	2	2	5	88	4.1	5	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	18	18.2	0.99	0.659	18.8	38	1.1	2	2	2	0	1	17	1.1	1	2
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	13	11.3	1.59	0.885	4.0	5	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	26	1.0	1	1
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	17	17.4	6.72	1.552	13.4	26	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.1	0	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	10	9.5	4.74	1.158	13.3	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

STL wins 5-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox

TB 26-13 (4.38 RPG / 3.87 RA)

1 - 4

BOS 17-23 (3.9 RPG / 4.2 RA)

BOS WINS Target: TB 1 - 3 BOS Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	6
BOS	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	x	4	6

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed1.5

Run Diff17

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-3

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	35	141	41	0.291	0	7	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.251	0.270	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	37	142	36	0.254	10	18	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.323	0.392	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	26	90	22	0.244	0	11	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.292	0.355	0.361	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	36	136	43	0.316	5	23	0.397	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.247	0.301	0.377	OK
Ryan Vilade	1B	13	39	11	0.282	1	8	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.302	0.403	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	29	108	14	0.130	2	10	0.188	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.135	0.194	0.181	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	19	69	18	0.261	1	7	0.301	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.308	0.368	OK
Nick Fortes	C	24	82	24	0.293	1	7	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.327	0.346	0.390	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	26	79	16	0.203	0	6	0.308	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.208	0.315	0.261	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	1	1	2	9	0.182

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	32	132	26	0.197	4	18	0.259	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.285	0.411	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	38	135	35	0.259	8	23	0.376	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.209	0.339	0.400	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	38	142	43	0.303	6	18	0.387	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.303	0.410	0.536	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	16	56	14	0.250	0	4	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.292	0.296	OK
Trevor Story	SS	37	151	30	0.199	2	18	0.236	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.185	0.227	0.230	OK
Mickey Gasper	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	1	0	0	2	0.333	0.236	0.301	0.385
Marcelo Mayer	2B	29	95	21	0.221	1	8	0.292	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.231	0.297	0.277	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	34	123	34	0.276	3	14	0.346	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.318	0.375	0.523	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	35	123	22	0.179	1	13	0.257	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.209	0.245	0.277	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	6	4	4	2	5	0.200

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	7	41.3	1.74	1.041	6.1	28	3.1	4	2	2	1	2	71	3.1	2	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	16	14.2	2.54	0.845	10.1	16	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	26	1.1	0	1
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	16	19.5	2.77	1.385	7.4	16	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.1	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	6	4.2	6.43	2.381	12.9	6	0.2	0	1	1	0	1	14	0.2	1	1
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	15	15.1	2.98	1.258	11.9	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.1	1	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	3	17.2	2.09	0.756	12.0	23	4.1	4	0	0	0	3	70	4.1	3	0
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	13	12.2	0.74	0.820	11.8	16	1.1	1	0	0	0	3	17	1.1	3	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	15	15.1	3.58	1.258	11.3	19	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.1	0	0
Zack Kelly	Middle Reliever	13	11.8	3.81	1.356	9.2	12	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.1	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	16	12.1	5.95	1.736	13.4	18	1.2	1	1	1	2	2	30	1.2	2	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-1

Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins

WAS 19-22 (5.29 RPG / 5.61 RA)

3 - 4

MIA 19-22 (4.29 RPG / 4.37 RA)

MIA WINS Target: WAS 4 - 5 MIA Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	3	5
MIA	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	x	4	7

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	40	152	37	0.243	11	28	0.395	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.285	0.410	0.539	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	28	101	25	0.248	1	18	0.274	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.294	0.367	OK
Brady House	3B	31	128	29	0.227	5	17	0.283	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.254	0.313	0.463	OK
CJ Abrams	DH	38	138	41	0.297	9	36	0.396	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.306	0.366	0.585	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	39	154	38	0.247	3	15	0.320	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.326	0.342	OK
Jacob Young	CF	34	129	29	0.225	3	16	0.270	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.219	0.282	0.344	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	22	67	17	0.254	0	3	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.193	0.234	0.258	OK
Drew Millas	C	19	60	11	0.183	1	5	0.246	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.228	0.276	0.408	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	34	113	24	0.212	0	14	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.198	0.287	0.299	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	5	3	3	6	6	0.156

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	39	144	46	0.319	4	14	0.410	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.250	0.336	0.498	OK
Liam Hicks	1B	30	108	35	0.324	9	34	0.379	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.300	0.372	0.591	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	38	154	54	0.351	4	16	0.380	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.384	0.399	0.569	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	17	66	16	0.242	1	3	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.265	0.323	0.414	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	37	143	25	0.175	2	12	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.202	0.298	0.361	OK
Christopher Morel	DH	7	23	4	0.174	0	0	0.269	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.213	0.273	0.294	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	29	92	18	0.196	1	15	0.250	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.145	0.253	0.204	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	21	73	20	0.274	0	7	0.329	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.184	0.268	0.261	OK
Joe Mack	C	5	16	4	0.250	0	1	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.287	0.389	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	7	4	4	4	5	0.226

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	8	33.5	4.30	1.761	10.7	40	3.2	7	4	4	2	1	84	3.2	1	4
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	15	12.1	3.72	1.570	11.9	16	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.1	1	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	19	15.4	4.09	1.688	8.2	14	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.1	0	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	12	23.0	3.91	1.304	7.0	18	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.2	0	0
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	9	7.8	1.15	2.051	12.7	11	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	22	1.0	3	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	8	51.2	4.04	1.289	6.3	36	4.1	2	2	2	3	5	86	4.1	5	2
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	12	22.5	1.20	1.378	9.6	24	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	16	12.6	4.29	1.746	11.4	16	1.2	2	0	0	0	0	22	1.2	0	0
John King	Middle Reliever	19	12.7	0.71	0.709	10.6	15	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	25	0.2	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	17	11.4	5.53	1.667	13.4	17	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers

ATL Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Texas Rangers

CHC Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies

COL Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals

DET Recent Form

KC Recent Form

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Cincinnati Reds

HOU Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays

LAA Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

MIN Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks

NYM Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Milwaukee Brewers

NYY Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Oakland Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles

OAK Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation