| Matchup | Target Score | Sim Score | Winner | Confidence | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ LAD | 5 - 6 | 5 - 6 | LAD wins 6-5 | 53% | enhanced_ml |
| CHC @ TEX | 7 - 4 | 7 - 4 | CHC wins 7-4 | 77% | enhanced_ml |
| COL @ PHI | 3 - 6 | 3 - 6 | PHI wins 6-3 | 60% | enhanced_ml |
| DET @ KC | 5 - 3 | 5 - 3 | DET wins 5-3 | 54% | enhanced_ml |
| HOU @ CIN | 6 - 3 | 6 - 3 | HOU wins 6-3 | 59% | enhanced_ml |
| LAA @ TOR | 7 - 3 | 7 - 3 | LAA wins 7-3 | 60% | enhanced_ml |
| MIN @ CLE | 4 - 7 | 4 - 7 | CLE wins 7-4 | 63% | enhanced_ml |
| NYM @ ARI | 6 - 4 | 6 - 4 | NYM wins 6-4 | 58% | enhanced_ml |
| NYY @ MIL | 7 - 4 | 7 - 4 | NYY wins 7-4 | 63% | enhanced_ml |
| OAK @ BAL | 8 - 3 | 8 - 3 | OAK wins 8-3 | 62% | enhanced_ml |
| PIT @ SF | 4 - 1 | 4 - 1 | PIT wins 4-1 | 66% | enhanced_ml |
| SEA @ CHW | 3 - 6 | 3 - 6 | CHW wins 6-3 | 63% | enhanced_ml |
| STL @ SD | 6 - 3 | 6 - 3 | STL wins 6-3 | 68% | enhanced_ml |
| TB @ BOS | 5 - 3 | 5 - 3 | TB wins 5-3 | 63% | enhanced_ml |
| WAS @ MIA | 4 - 2 | 4 - 2 | WAS wins 4-2 | 66% | enhanced_ml |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Drake Baldwin | C | 38 | 155 | 47 | 0.303 | 9 | 30 | 0.379 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.318 | 0.387 | 0.573 | OK |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 38 | 146 | 47 | 0.322 | 8 | 23 | 0.374 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.331 | 0.405 | 0.592 | OK |
| Matt Olson | 1B | 38 | 146 | 44 | 0.301 | 13 | 33 | 0.388 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.320 | 0.429 | 0.879 | OK |
| Michael Harris II | CF | 29 | 110 | 31 | 0.282 | 6 | 18 | 0.310 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.229 | 0.238 | 0.341 | OK |
| Mauricio Dubón | LF | 36 | 131 | 35 | 0.267 | 2 | 20 | 0.329 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.220 | 0.335 | 0.334 | OK |
| Dominic Smith | DH | 18 | 63 | 22 | 0.349 | 4 | 17 | 0.373 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.302 | 0.326 | 0.422 | OK |
| Austin Riley | 3B | 37 | 141 | 29 | 0.206 | 5 | 22 | 0.280 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.193 | 0.231 | 0.421 | OK |
| Mike Yastrzemski | RF | 27 | 96 | 20 | 0.208 | 0 | 6 | 0.269 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.244 | 0.256 | 0.289 | OK |
| Jim Jarvis | SS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.500 | 0.333 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 41 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0.289 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Shohei Ohtani | DH | 34 | 129 | 32 | 0.248 | 6 | 15 | 0.389 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.187 | 0.365 | 0.309 | OK |
| Will Smith | C | 25 | 100 | 27 | 0.270 | 3 | 16 | 0.327 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.297 | 0.354 | 0.411 | OK |
| Freddie Freeman | 1B | 35 | 140 | 39 | 0.279 | 3 | 19 | 0.344 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.309 | 0.372 | 0.433 | OK |
| Andy Pages | CF | 36 | 136 | 46 | 0.338 | 8 | 33 | 0.378 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.377 | 0.405 | 0.737 | OK |
| Teoscar Hernández | LF | 33 | 121 | 28 | 0.231 | 4 | 17 | 0.304 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.216 | 0.308 | 0.243 | OK |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | 35 | 138 | 35 | 0.254 | 4 | 18 | 0.340 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.305 | 0.379 | 0.507 | OK |
| Miguel Rojas | SS | 12 | 41 | 13 | 0.317 | 1 | 4 | 0.333 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.296 | 0.306 | 0.491 | OK |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 34 | 118 | 34 | 0.288 | 9 | 13 | 0.391 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.271 | 0.428 | 0.384 | OK |
| Santiago Espinal | 2B | 6 | 19 | 3 | 0.158 | 0 | 2 | 0.158 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.166 | 0.166 | 0.166 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 31 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 0.161 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Chris Sale | Starter | 7 | 42.0 | 2.14 | 0.905 | 10.5 | 49 | 5.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 78 | 5.2 | 5 | 2 |
| Raisel Iglesias | Middle Reliever | 9 | 9.2 | 0.00 | 0.761 | 12.7 | 13 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Robert Suarez | Middle Reliever | 16 | 15.2 | 0.59 | 0.921 | 9.5 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dylan Lee | Middle Reliever | 18 | 16.5 | 1.09 | 0.485 | 12.5 | 23 | 0.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 0.2 | 1 | 3 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Emmet Sheehan | Starter | 6 | 29.6 | 5.47 | 1.385 | 10.9 | 36 | 2.2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 2.2 | 3 | 5 |
| Tanner Scott | Middle Reliever | 17 | 14.4 | 1.87 | 0.694 | 9.4 | 15 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Alex Vesia | Middle Reliever | 15 | 11.5 | 1.57 | 0.870 | 12.5 | 16 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1.2 | 3 | 0 |
| Blake Treinen | Middle Reliever | 13 | 9.6 | 1.88 | 1.250 | 11.2 | 12 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Will Klein | Middle Reliever | 10 | 13.5 | 3.33 | 1.481 | 10.0 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Dreyer | Middle Reliever | 16 | 15.7 | 2.87 | 1.083 | 11.5 | 20 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Edgardo Henriquez | Reliever | 12 | 12.1 | 4.46 | 1.322 | 8.2 | 11 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
LAD wins 6-5
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| TEX | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Nico Hoerner | 2B | 36 | 148 | 42 | 0.284 | 4 | 28 | 0.363 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.249 | 0.333 | 0.347 | OK |
| Michael Conforto | DH | 9 | 25 | 9 | 0.360 | 1 | 5 | 0.500 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.367 | 0.488 | 0.667 | OK |
| Alex Bregman | 3B | 37 | 148 | 34 | 0.230 | 3 | 12 | 0.331 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.170 | 0.337 | 0.236 | OK |
| Ian Happ | LF | 36 | 136 | 33 | 0.243 | 9 | 17 | 0.376 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.241 | 0.407 | 0.471 | OK |
| Seiya Suzuki | RF | 22 | 84 | 26 | 0.310 | 6 | 14 | 0.410 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.291 | 0.374 | 0.561 | OK |
| Michael Busch | 1B | 36 | 137 | 31 | 0.226 | 3 | 19 | 0.333 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.331 | 0.454 | 0.596 | OK |
| Carson Kelly | C | 23 | 87 | 26 | 0.299 | 1 | 9 | 0.384 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.291 | 0.346 | 0.316 | OK |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CF | 37 | 139 | 35 | 0.252 | 4 | 16 | 0.320 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.298 | 0.372 | 0.593 | OK |
| Dansby Swanson | SS | 36 | 123 | 24 | 0.195 | 6 | 23 | 0.315 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.143 | 0.228 | 0.177 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 43 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Brandon Nimmo | RF | 35 | 138 | 41 | 0.297 | 4 | 12 | 0.376 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.325 | 0.425 | 0.356 | OK |
| Ezequiel Duran | 2B | 23 | 73 | 22 | 0.301 | 2 | 11 | 0.388 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.358 | 0.465 | 0.672 | OK |
| Corey Seager | SS | 36 | 134 | 28 | 0.209 | 7 | 19 | 0.316 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.186 | 0.299 | 0.338 | OK |
| Josh Jung | 3B | 33 | 126 | 40 | 0.317 | 4 | 19 | 0.374 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.315 | 0.361 | 0.400 | OK |
| Evan Carter | CF | 32 | 104 | 20 | 0.192 | 4 | 11 | 0.303 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.143 | 0.238 | 0.316 | OK |
| Joc Pederson | DH | 27 | 75 | 14 | 0.187 | 1 | 5 | 0.281 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.147 | 0.190 | 0.158 | OK |
| Jake Burger | 1B | 36 | 144 | 30 | 0.208 | 5 | 18 | 0.243 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.174 | 0.220 | 0.306 | OK |
| Alejandro Osuna | LF | 8 | 18 | 3 | 0.167 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.161 | 0.379 | 0.226 | OK |
| Danny Jansen | C | 23 | 77 | 16 | 0.208 | 2 | 8 | 0.299 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.190 | 0.333 | 0.441 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 32 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Ben Brown | Starter | 12 | 24.5 | 2.20 | 1.061 | 8.8 | 24 | 4.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 103 | 4.2 | 7 | 3 |
| Daniel Palencia | Middle Reliever | 7 | 6.1 | 0.00 | 0.984 | 8.9 | 6 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Phil Maton | Middle Reliever | 10 | 6.7 | 10.75 | 2.239 | 14.8 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jacob Webb | Middle Reliever | 16 | 13.0 | 4.15 | 1.769 | 11.8 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kumar Rocker | Starter | 6 | 28.2 | 4.79 | 1.489 | 7.7 | 24 | 3.1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 97 | 3.1 | 4 | 4 |
| Jacob Latz | Middle Reliever | 15 | 17.5 | 1.03 | 0.514 | 8.2 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakob Junis | Middle Reliever | 14 | 15.1 | 1.79 | 0.728 | 3.6 | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.2 | 0 | 1 |
| Cole Winn | Middle Reliever | 16 | 11.9 | 6.05 | 1.681 | 12.1 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Alexander | Middle Reliever | 17 | 15.0 | 3.00 | 1.800 | 7.8 | 13 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Gavin Collyer | Middle Reliever | 10 | 6.5 | 0.00 | 0.923 | 9.7 | 7 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 |
CHC wins 7-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| PHI | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | x | 6 | 9 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jordan Beck | LF | 18 | 62 | 10 | 0.161 | 1 | 9 | 0.197 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.185 | 0.217 | 0.354 | OK |
| Tyler Freeman | RF | 16 | 60 | 16 | 0.267 | 1 | 8 | 0.362 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.307 | 0.417 | 0.464 | OK |
| TJ Rumfield | 1B | 35 | 132 | 36 | 0.273 | 4 | 19 | 0.340 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.323 | 0.379 | 0.557 | OK |
| Hunter Goodman | C | 32 | 127 | 29 | 0.228 | 9 | 14 | 0.305 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.149 | 0.227 | 0.308 | OK |
| Brenton Doyle | CF | 24 | 80 | 13 | 0.162 | 1 | 3 | 0.247 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.128 | 0.212 | 0.188 | OK |
| Willi Castro | 2B | 26 | 94 | 24 | 0.255 | 1 | 12 | 0.327 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.280 | 0.355 | 0.306 | OK |
| Kyle Karros | 3B | 33 | 99 | 22 | 0.222 | 1 | 5 | 0.347 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.667 | 0.306 | 0.411 | 0.358 | OK |
| Ezequiel Tovar | SS | 34 | 127 | 24 | 0.189 | 1 | 9 | 0.241 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.101 | 0.189 | 0.118 | OK |
| Brett Sullivan | DH | 15 | 53 | 13 | 0.245 | 0 | 6 | 0.273 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.253 | 0.303 | 0.390 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0.235 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Trea Turner | SS | 37 | 153 | 36 | 0.235 | 4 | 12 | 0.291 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.216 | 0.228 | 0.322 | OK |
| Kyle Schwarber | DH | 38 | 139 | 30 | 0.216 | 12 | 21 | 0.355 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.250 | 0.349 | 0.518 | OK |
| Bryce Harper | 1B | 38 | 138 | 38 | 0.275 | 9 | 23 | 0.369 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.354 | 0.452 | 0.834 | OK |
| Adolis García | RF | 36 | 133 | 32 | 0.241 | 3 | 12 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.265 | 0.305 | 0.401 | OK |
| Brandon Marsh | LF | 31 | 120 | 40 | 0.333 | 4 | 19 | 0.354 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.417 | 0.439 | 0.549 | OK |
| J.T. Realmuto | C | 20 | 68 | 18 | 0.265 | 1 | 7 | 0.329 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.263 | 0.276 | 0.316 | OK |
| Bryson Stott | 2B | 28 | 103 | 21 | 0.204 | 3 | 12 | 0.255 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.184 | 0.209 | 0.526 | OK |
| Edmundo Sosa | 3B | 14 | 47 | 12 | 0.255 | 1 | 7 | 0.271 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.276 | 0.279 | 0.312 | OK |
| Justin Crawford | CF | 31 | 106 | 29 | 0.274 | 0 | 7 | 0.336 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.288 | 0.325 | 0.399 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0.273 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Chase Dollander | Starter | 8 | 36.4 | 3.46 | 1.181 | 10.4 | 42 | 4.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 89 | 4.1 | 4 | 2 |
| Victor Vodnik | Middle Reliever | 13 | 13.2 | 7.50 | 2.045 | 8.2 | 12 | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 1.0 | 1 | 3 |
| Antonio Senzatela | Middle Reliever | 11 | 21.3 | 1.27 | 0.939 | 9.3 | 22 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jimmy Herget | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.6 | 5.00 | 1.429 | 10.0 | 14 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jesús Luzardo | Starter | 7 | 38.8 | 5.34 | 1.340 | 11.8 | 51 | 3.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 78 | 3.2 | 4 | 2 |
| Jhoan Duran | Middle Reliever | 8 | 7.2 | 2.50 | 1.250 | 12.5 | 10 | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 2.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Brad Keller | Middle Reliever | 16 | 14.5 | 4.34 | 1.310 | 9.9 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | Middle Reliever | 17 | 9.3 | 7.74 | 2.796 | 15.5 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Orion Kerkering | Middle Reliever | 14 | 11.6 | 2.33 | 1.293 | 7.0 | 9 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
PHI wins 6-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 |
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Matt Vierling | CF | 21 | 73 | 17 | 0.233 | 1 | 12 | 0.296 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.222 | 0.300 | 0.406 | OK |
| Kevin McGonigle | 3B | 35 | 136 | 41 | 0.301 | 2 | 16 | 0.395 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.212 | 0.277 | 0.278 | OK |
| Jahmai Jones | DH | 8 | 22 | 6 | 0.273 | 1 | 3 | 0.304 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.225 | 0.271 | 0.388 | OK |
| Dillon Dingler | C | 28 | 107 | 27 | 0.252 | 6 | 25 | 0.322 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.235 | 0.262 | 0.414 | OK |
| Riley Greene | LF | 37 | 134 | 40 | 0.299 | 4 | 19 | 0.397 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.304 | 0.385 | 0.434 | OK |
| Wenceel Pérez | RF | 17 | 59 | 7 | 0.119 | 0 | 3 | 0.175 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.196 | 0.241 | 0.209 | OK |
| Spencer Torkelson | 1B | 35 | 119 | 25 | 0.210 | 6 | 14 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.000 | 0.135 | 0.242 | 0.328 | OK |
| Hao-Yu Lee | 2B | 11 | 36 | 6 | 0.167 | 0 | 3 | 0.231 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.147 | 0.224 | 0.179 | OK |
| Zack Short | SS | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.667 | 0.750 | 1.000 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 34 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 0.235 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Maikel Garcia | 3B | 35 | 140 | 38 | 0.271 | 3 | 14 | 0.333 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.267 | 0.324 | 0.394 | OK |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | 38 | 151 | 45 | 0.298 | 4 | 17 | 0.368 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.339 | 0.387 | 0.605 | OK |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1B | 35 | 133 | 26 | 0.195 | 5 | 18 | 0.279 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.261 | 0.303 | 0.467 | OK |
| Salvador Perez | DH | 37 | 146 | 29 | 0.199 | 5 | 17 | 0.237 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.171 | 0.231 | 0.243 | OK |
| Carter Jensen | C | 31 | 109 | 25 | 0.229 | 6 | 17 | 0.320 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.133 | 0.251 | 0.169 | OK |
| Jac Caglianone | RF | 30 | 106 | 25 | 0.236 | 3 | 6 | 0.319 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.210 | 0.295 | 0.379 | OK |
| Isaac Collins | LF | 29 | 97 | 24 | 0.247 | 3 | 12 | 0.368 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.359 | 0.478 | 0.626 | OK |
| Michael Massey | 2B | 21 | 64 | 15 | 0.234 | 2 | 9 | 0.250 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.243 | 0.251 | 0.446 | OK |
| Kyle Isbel | CF | 28 | 86 | 24 | 0.279 | 3 | 8 | 0.347 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.263 | 0.344 | 0.386 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Keider Montero | Starter | 6 | 32.5 | 3.60 | 1.046 | 6.9 | 25 | 4.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 81 | 4.2 | 4 | 0 |
| Kenley Jansen | Middle Reliever | 10 | 7.4 | 3.65 | 1.486 | 12.2 | 10 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle Finnegan | Middle Reliever | 17 | 16.5 | 0.55 | 1.333 | 7.1 | 13 | 0.2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 0.2 | 1 | 3 |
| Burch Smith | Middle Reliever | 7 | 11.1 | 1.62 | 1.171 | 13.0 | 16 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brant Hurter | Middle Reliever | 15 | 15.4 | 1.75 | 0.909 | 7.6 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kris Bubic | Starter | 7 | 40.2 | 3.36 | 1.144 | 9.4 | 42 | 4.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 98 | 4.2 | 7 | 2 |
| Lucas Erceg | Middle Reliever | 16 | 14.4 | 3.75 | 1.458 | 8.8 | 14 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt Strahm | Middle Reliever | 14 | 13.2 | 3.41 | 1.212 | 9.5 | 14 | 0.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 0.1 | 2 | 2 |
| Nick Mears | Middle Reliever | 15 | 12.5 | 2.16 | 1.200 | 7.2 | 10 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Daniel Lynch IV | Middle Reliever | 15 | 14.5 | 1.86 | 0.621 | 12.4 | 20 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 |
DET wins 5-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jose Altuve | 2B | 34 | 133 | 32 | 0.241 | 3 | 9 | 0.327 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.197 | 0.228 | 0.293 | OK |
| Yordan Alvarez | DH | 38 | 141 | 45 | 0.319 | 12 | 27 | 0.423 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.220 | 0.303 | 0.319 | OK |
| Isaac Paredes | 3B | 32 | 115 | 31 | 0.270 | 3 | 15 | 0.368 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.304 | 0.425 | 0.440 | OK |
| Christian Walker | 1B | 37 | 136 | 42 | 0.309 | 9 | 27 | 0.379 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.375 | 0.432 | 0.679 | OK |
| Cam Smith | RF | 35 | 125 | 27 | 0.216 | 3 | 15 | 0.303 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.228 | 0.267 | 0.313 | OK |
| Brice Matthews | CF | 21 | 68 | 15 | 0.221 | 4 | 12 | 0.280 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.242 | 0.314 | 0.540 | OK |
| Zach Dezenzo | LF | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | |
| Christian Vázquez | C | 15 | 53 | 17 | 0.321 | 2 | 11 | 0.379 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.257 | 0.296 | 0.336 | OK |
| Nick Allen | SS | 5 | 14 | 4 | 0.286 | 0 | 0 | 0.375 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.286 | 0.375 | 0.357 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 43 | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 0.270 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| TJ Friedl | CF | 32 | 126 | 25 | 0.198 | 2 | 7 | 0.279 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.213 | 0.279 | 0.347 | OK |
| JJ Bleday | LF | 10 | 33 | 10 | 0.303 | 4 | 7 | 0.410 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.302 | 0.389 | 0.693 | OK |
| Elly De La Cruz | SS | 38 | 151 | 40 | 0.265 | 10 | 28 | 0.337 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.222 | 0.286 | 0.338 | OK |
| Sal Stewart | 1B | 38 | 143 | 35 | 0.245 | 10 | 30 | 0.333 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.160 | 0.234 | 0.313 | OK |
| Nathaniel Lowe | DH | 20 | 68 | 19 | 0.279 | 6 | 15 | 0.364 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.284 | 0.359 | 0.565 | OK |
| Spencer Steer | RF | 35 | 121 | 30 | 0.248 | 6 | 12 | 0.328 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.315 | 0.390 | 0.498 | OK |
| Tyler Stephenson | C | 27 | 89 | 16 | 0.180 | 2 | 6 | 0.288 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.204 | 0.295 | 0.278 | OK |
| Matt McLain | 2B | 34 | 132 | 27 | 0.205 | 3 | 10 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.171 | 0.233 | 0.306 | OK |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 3B | 29 | 95 | 13 | 0.137 | 2 | 3 | 0.196 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.180 | 0.219 | 0.332 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Mike Burrows | Starter | 7 | 36.5 | 6.16 | 1.699 | 8.9 | 36 | 2.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 83 | 2.2 | 3 | 0 |
| Bryan King | Middle Reliever | 13 | 13.8 | 3.91 | 1.522 | 9.8 | 15 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Abreu | Middle Reliever | 13 | 11.4 | 10.26 | 2.544 | 15.8 | 20 | 1.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | Middle Reliever | 14 | 13.6 | 5.29 | 1.397 | 7.9 | 12 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kai-Wei Teng | Middle Reliever | 14 | 20.2 | 2.67 | 1.089 | 9.8 | 22 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| AJ Blubaugh | Middle Reliever | 14 | 20.6 | 5.68 | 1.505 | 8.7 | 20 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Bennett Sousa | Reliever | 4 | 3.1 | 5.81 | 1.613 | 11.6 | 4 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Nick Lodolo | Starter | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 93 | 3.1 | 5 | 3 |
| Tony Santillan | Middle Reliever | 16 | 15.2 | 2.96 | 1.316 | 9.5 | 16 | 1.2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 42 | 1.2 | 2 | 3 |
| Graham Ashcraft | Middle Reliever | 18 | 17.5 | 2.06 | 1.429 | 10.3 | 20 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Connor Phillips | Middle Reliever | 18 | 17.2 | 5.23 | 1.860 | 11.0 | 21 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 |
| Brock Burke | Middle Reliever | 18 | 13.4 | 4.03 | 2.015 | 14.1 | 21 | 0.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pierce Johnson | Middle Reliever | 16 | 10.3 | 5.24 | 1.845 | 11.4 | 13 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
HOU wins 6-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| TOR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Zach Neto | SS | 38 | 149 | 33 | 0.221 | 6 | 18 | 0.335 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.196 | 0.317 | 0.428 | OK |
| Mike Trout | CF | 37 | 131 | 34 | 0.260 | 11 | 23 | 0.429 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.600 | 0.315 | 0.450 | 0.543 | OK |
| Nolan Schanuel | 1B | 34 | 136 | 35 | 0.257 | 3 | 20 | 0.309 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.315 | 0.331 | 0.450 | OK |
| Jorge Soler | DH | 34 | 122 | 29 | 0.238 | 8 | 28 | 0.342 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.255 | 0.389 | 0.481 | OK |
| Yoán Moncada | 3B | 26 | 88 | 14 | 0.159 | 3 | 8 | 0.288 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.110 | 0.160 | 0.165 | OK |
| Jo Adell | RF | 38 | 151 | 39 | 0.258 | 4 | 21 | 0.298 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.260 | 0.298 | 0.278 | OK |
| Josh Lowe | LF | 27 | 91 | 14 | 0.154 | 4 | 10 | 0.204 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.081 | 0.091 | 0.139 | OK |
| Sebastián Rivero | C | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0.333 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | OK |
| Adam Frazier | 2B | 15 | 47 | 13 | 0.277 | 1 | 5 | 0.346 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.222 | 0.236 | 0.438 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 41 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 0.316 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| George Springer | DH | 19 | 72 | 13 | 0.181 | 2 | 6 | 0.280 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.183 | 0.276 | 0.242 | OK |
| Myles Straw | RF | 14 | 41 | 13 | 0.317 | 1 | 3 | 0.408 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.326 | 0.433 | 0.535 | OK |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1B | 36 | 134 | 43 | 0.321 | 2 | 16 | 0.405 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.239 | 0.312 | 0.277 | OK |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3B | 36 | 134 | 33 | 0.246 | 10 | 23 | 0.331 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.308 | 0.392 | 0.730 | OK |
| Daulton Varsho | CF | 31 | 116 | 27 | 0.233 | 4 | 9 | 0.310 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.225 | 0.305 | 0.349 | OK |
| Ernie Clement | 2B | 36 | 146 | 41 | 0.281 | 1 | 9 | 0.305 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.179 | 0.230 | 0.238 | OK |
| Davis Schneider | LF | 15 | 41 | 5 | 0.122 | 0 | 5 | 0.294 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.079 | 0.294 | 0.143 | OK |
| Andrés Giménez | SS | 32 | 119 | 32 | 0.269 | 3 | 17 | 0.296 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.250 | 0.279 | 0.306 | OK |
| Brandon Valenzuela | C | 15 | 47 | 10 | 0.213 | 3 | 6 | 0.275 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.272 | 0.358 | 0.558 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Reid Detmers | Starter | 7 | 38.6 | 4.43 | 1.192 | 10.3 | 44 | 3.2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 90 | 3.2 | 5 | 3 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn | Middle Reliever | 13 | 17.8 | 5.06 | 1.236 | 12.6 | 25 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Bachman | Middle Reliever | 13 | 16.1 | 3.91 | 1.304 | 11.7 | 21 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Chase Silseth | Middle Reliever | 17 | 10.3 | 3.50 | 2.136 | 12.2 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | Middle Reliever | 14 | 19.7 | 4.57 | 1.523 | 9.1 | 20 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Dylan Cease | Starter | 7 | 37.4 | 3.13 | 1.364 | 13.5 | 56 | 2.2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 73 | 2.2 | 3 | 4 |
| Louis Varland | Middle Reliever | 18 | 16.1 | 0.56 | 1.304 | 16.2 | 29 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Rogers | Middle Reliever | 17 | 15.5 | 1.74 | 1.032 | 5.8 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeff Hoffman | Middle Reliever | 17 | 14.5 | 6.21 | 1.931 | 18.0 | 29 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Braydon Fisher | Middle Reliever | 18 | 15.7 | 3.44 | 1.401 | 11.5 | 20 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Fluharty | Middle Reliever | 18 | 8.7 | 7.24 | 2.069 | 17.6 | 17 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tommy Nance | Reliever | 16 | 12.6 | 5.71 | 1.508 | 14.3 | 20 | 1.1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.1 | 2 | 3 |
LAA wins 7-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| CLE | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 7 | 9 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Byron Buxton | CF | 35 | 148 | 36 | 0.243 | 11 | 17 | 0.298 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.211 | 0.256 | 0.548 | OK |
| Austin Martin | LF | 23 | 77 | 24 | 0.312 | 1 | 6 | 0.449 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.320 | 0.406 | 0.345 | OK |
| Ryan Jeffers | C | 26 | 95 | 29 | 0.305 | 5 | 22 | 0.402 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.347 | 0.412 | 0.707 | OK |
| Josh Bell | DH | 34 | 127 | 27 | 0.213 | 3 | 18 | 0.294 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.149 | 0.180 | 0.172 | OK |
| Luke Keaschall | 2B | 36 | 135 | 32 | 0.237 | 1 | 15 | 0.314 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.353 | 0.495 | 0.554 | OK |
| Brooks Lee | SS | 33 | 121 | 32 | 0.264 | 5 | 21 | 0.321 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.329 | 0.372 | 0.489 | OK |
| Victor Caratini | 1B | 25 | 85 | 17 | 0.200 | 1 | 12 | 0.301 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.108 | 0.201 | 0.117 | OK |
| Matt Wallner | RF | 30 | 107 | 20 | 0.187 | 4 | 10 | 0.287 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.221 | 0.318 | 0.411 | OK |
| Royce Lewis | 3B | 23 | 77 | 13 | 0.169 | 3 | 11 | 0.270 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.107 | 0.183 | 0.165 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Steven Kwan | LF | 35 | 137 | 29 | 0.212 | 1 | 9 | 0.306 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.149 | 0.258 | 0.178 | OK |
| Angel Martínez | RF | 27 | 103 | 30 | 0.291 | 5 | 15 | 0.336 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.275 | 0.328 | 0.423 | OK |
| José Ramírez | 3B | 39 | 142 | 30 | 0.211 | 6 | 14 | 0.341 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.183 | 0.343 | 0.239 | OK |
| Rhys Hoskins | 1B | 25 | 82 | 17 | 0.207 | 3 | 12 | 0.333 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.202 | 0.324 | 0.512 | OK |
| David Fry | DH | 14 | 40 | 11 | 0.275 | 3 | 6 | 0.396 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.245 | 0.368 | 0.593 | OK |
| Travis Bazzana | 2B | 8 | 26 | 5 | 0.192 | 0 | 2 | 0.382 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.238 | 0.403 | 0.238 | OK |
| Brayan Rocchio | SS | 37 | 122 | 32 | 0.262 | 3 | 19 | 0.343 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.205 | 0.296 | 0.236 | OK |
| Austin Hedges | C | 14 | 45 | 14 | 0.311 | 1 | 3 | 0.360 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.336 | 0.404 | 0.575 | OK |
| Petey Halpin | CF | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0.167 | 0 | 1 | 0.231 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.167 | 0.231 | 0.167 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 33 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0.273 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Connor Prielipp | Starter | 3 | 14.0 | 3.86 | 0.929 | 9.6 | 15 | 2.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 |
| Justin Topa | Middle Reliever | 21 | 13.5 | 9.33 | 2.296 | 8.7 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Eric Orze | Middle Reliever | 15 | 14.8 | 5.47 | 1.622 | 9.7 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taylor Rogers | Middle Reliever | 15 | 12.3 | 3.66 | 1.870 | 8.8 | 12 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kody Funderburk | Middle Reliever | 17 | 10.6 | 3.40 | 1.792 | 8.5 | 10 | 0.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Morris | Middle Reliever | 7 | 13.8 | 5.87 | 1.739 | 9.1 | 14 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Banda | Reliever | 18 | 11.7 | 10.77 | 1.880 | 10.8 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Parker Messick | Starter | 7 | 40.4 | 2.45 | 0.941 | 9.8 | 44 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 |
| Cade Smith | Middle Reliever | 17 | 17.1 | 3.16 | 1.228 | 12.1 | 23 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Erik Sabrowski | Middle Reliever | 19 | 12.6 | 2.86 | 1.111 | 19.3 | 27 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt Festa | Middle Reliever | 16 | 14.5 | 5.59 | 1.310 | 10.6 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hunter Gaddis | Middle Reliever | 9 | 5.6 | 9.64 | 2.500 | 11.2 | 7 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0.1 | 2 | 1 |
| Tim Herrin | Middle Reliever | 14 | 8.1 | 0.00 | 1.975 | 5.6 | 5 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Colin Holderman | Reliever | 7 | 11.3 | 1.59 | 0.708 | 8.8 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Peyton Pallette | Reliever | 11 | 14.2 | 5.07 | 1.549 | 9.5 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
CLE wins 7-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 |
| ARI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Juan Soto | LF | 21 | 80 | 23 | 0.288 | 4 | 10 | 0.383 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.294 | 0.494 | OK |
| Bo Bichette | SS | 37 | 152 | 36 | 0.237 | 2 | 16 | 0.276 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.284 | 0.281 | OK |
| Brett Baty | 3B | 28 | 97 | 22 | 0.227 | 1 | 11 | 0.290 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.201 | 0.360 | 0.274 | OK |
| Mark Vientos | 1B | 26 | 91 | 20 | 0.220 | 4 | 14 | 0.273 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.210 | 0.258 | 0.478 | OK |
| Carson Benge | CF | 29 | 100 | 21 | 0.210 | 3 | 10 | 0.282 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.291 | 0.371 | 0.537 | OK |
| Marcus Semien | 2B | 37 | 132 | 30 | 0.227 | 2 | 13 | 0.285 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.248 | 0.313 | 0.405 | OK |
| MJ Melendez | RF | 13 | 36 | 13 | 0.361 | 2 | 6 | 0.439 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.398 | 0.475 | 0.785 | OK |
| Francisco Alvarez | DH | 29 | 99 | 23 | 0.232 | 4 | 9 | 0.319 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.253 | 0.312 | 0.316 | OK |
| Luis Torrens | C | 11 | 33 | 5 | 0.152 | 0 | 3 | 0.200 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.112 | 0.196 | 0.182 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 38 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0.289 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Geraldo Perdomo | SS | 33 | 111 | 26 | 0.234 | 2 | 11 | 0.356 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.400 | 0.188 | 0.338 | 0.323 | OK |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 2B | 27 | 110 | 38 | 0.345 | 6 | 19 | 0.363 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.268 | 0.282 | 0.399 | OK |
| Corbin Carroll | RF | 34 | 121 | 32 | 0.264 | 5 | 20 | 0.359 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.202 | 0.271 | 0.391 | OK |
| Adrian Del Castillo | DH | 18 | 70 | 14 | 0.200 | 2 | 13 | 0.230 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.161 | 0.181 | 0.224 | OK |
| Nolan Arenado | 3B | 33 | 113 | 31 | 0.274 | 5 | 17 | 0.325 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.283 | 0.390 | 0.394 | OK |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | LF | 13 | 47 | 12 | 0.255 | 0 | 4 | 0.340 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.368 | 0.465 | 0.426 | OK |
| Gabriel Moreno | C | 14 | 52 | 12 | 0.231 | 1 | 6 | 0.281 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.182 | 0.211 | 0.347 | OK |
| Jose Fernandez | 1B | 24 | 89 | 28 | 0.315 | 3 | 12 | 0.351 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.229 | 0.329 | 0.296 | OK |
| Jorge Barrosa | CF | 18 | 62 | 13 | 0.210 | 0 | 5 | 0.258 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.165 | 0.219 | 0.303 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Nolan McLean | Starter | 7 | 38.4 | 3.05 | 0.964 | 12.0 | 51 | 4.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 81 | 4.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | Middle Reliever | 13 | 10.5 | 5.14 | 1.619 | 17.1 | 20 | 1.1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 1.1 | 2 | 3 |
| Luke Weaver | Middle Reliever | 15 | 13.7 | 5.26 | 1.168 | 9.9 | 15 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Brooks Raley | Middle Reliever | 15 | 11.9 | 1.51 | 1.008 | 13.6 | 18 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazobán | Middle Reliever | 16 | 13.7 | 1.97 | 1.241 | 9.2 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Ryne Nelson | Starter | 7 | 29.0 | 7.14 | 1.552 | 8.7 | 28 | 4.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 88 | 4.1 | 3 | 2 |
| Paul Sewald | Middle Reliever | 1 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Juan Morillo | Middle Reliever | 2 | 1.2 | 15.00 | 3.333 | 7.5 | 1 | 1.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Middle Reliever | 2 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.476 | 8.6 | 2 | 0.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0.1 | 1 | 2 |
| Kevin Ginkel | Middle Reliever | 1 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 2.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
NYM wins 6-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Trent Grisham | CF | 31 | 113 | 20 | 0.177 | 3 | 18 | 0.307 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.227 | 0.299 | 0.394 | OK |
| Ben Rice | 1B | 29 | 104 | 35 | 0.337 | 11 | 25 | 0.453 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.405 | 0.475 | 0.799 | OK |
| Aaron Judge | RF | 38 | 137 | 37 | 0.270 | 15 | 29 | 0.401 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.344 | 0.447 | 0.814 | OK |
| Cody Bellinger | LF | 36 | 132 | 39 | 0.295 | 5 | 26 | 0.392 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.406 | 0.480 | 0.785 | OK |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 2B | 35 | 132 | 28 | 0.212 | 4 | 13 | 0.295 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.203 | 0.273 | 0.357 | OK |
| Spencer Jones | DH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 1.000 | |
| José Caballero | SS | 36 | 125 | 32 | 0.256 | 4 | 13 | 0.311 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.201 | 0.308 | 0.302 | OK |
| Austin Wells | C | 28 | 86 | 17 | 0.198 | 3 | 5 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.193 | 0.318 | 0.280 | OK |
| Ryan McMahon | 3B | 25 | 83 | 17 | 0.205 | 2 | 9 | 0.267 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.308 | 0.320 | 0.492 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 32 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 0.188 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jackson Chourio | LF | 2 | 9 | 6 | 0.667 | 0 | 1 | 0.700 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.667 | 0.700 | 1.000 | OK |
| Brice Turang | 2B | 32 | 118 | 36 | 0.305 | 5 | 22 | 0.439 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.387 | 0.533 | 0.563 | OK |
| William Contreras | C | 32 | 132 | 38 | 0.288 | 3 | 23 | 0.361 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.286 | 0.349 | 0.343 | OK |
| Gary Sánchez | DH | 20 | 66 | 14 | 0.212 | 4 | 11 | 0.373 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.201 | 0.336 | 0.303 | OK |
| Andrew Vaughn | 1B | 3 | 12 | 3 | 0.250 | 1 | 4 | 0.308 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.250 | 0.308 | 0.500 | OK |
| Luis Rengifo | 3B | 24 | 91 | 18 | 0.198 | 0 | 11 | 0.260 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.201 | 0.251 | 0.259 | OK |
| Brandon Lockridge | CF | 22 | 76 | 22 | 0.289 | 0 | 9 | 0.372 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.327 | 0.417 | 0.381 | OK |
| Sal Frelick | RF | 29 | 105 | 22 | 0.210 | 3 | 7 | 0.303 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.250 | 0.321 | 0.331 | OK |
| Joey Ortiz | SS | 23 | 74 | 14 | 0.189 | 0 | 8 | 0.265 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.182 | 0.265 | 0.182 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 33 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Max Fried | Starter | 8 | 51.5 | 2.45 | 0.913 | 7.5 | 43 | 4.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 98 | 4.2 | 4 | 2 |
| David Bednar | Middle Reliever | 15 | 14.4 | 3.75 | 1.597 | 11.2 | 18 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Fernando Cruz | Middle Reliever | 17 | 9.0 | 4.00 | 2.333 | 20.0 | 20 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | Middle Reliever | 17 | 13.2 | 1.36 | 0.985 | 4.8 | 7 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jacob Misiorowski | Starter | 7 | 37.3 | 2.90 | 1.019 | 14.2 | 59 | 3.1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 104 | 3.1 | 3 | 4 |
| Abner Uribe | Middle Reliever | 15 | 11.7 | 4.62 | 1.197 | 10.8 | 14 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaron Ashby | Middle Reliever | 17 | 20.2 | 2.67 | 1.535 | 15.6 | 35 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Trevor Megill | Middle Reliever | 13 | 13.0 | 3.46 | 1.154 | 10.4 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DL Hall | Middle Reliever | 15 | 14.2 | 1.90 | 1.408 | 12.7 | 20 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Grant Anderson | Middle Reliever | 18 | 13.5 | 4.00 | 1.333 | 10.0 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
NYY wins 7-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Nick Kurtz | 1B | 36 | 131 | 33 | 0.252 | 5 | 18 | 0.413 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.297 | 0.393 | 0.345 | OK |
| Shea Langeliers | C | 33 | 139 | 47 | 0.338 | 11 | 20 | 0.391 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.409 | 0.449 | 0.822 | OK |
| Tyler Soderstrom | LF | 35 | 132 | 29 | 0.220 | 5 | 20 | 0.311 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.600 | 0.240 | 0.343 | 0.532 | OK |
| Brent Rooker | DH | 20 | 78 | 14 | 0.179 | 4 | 15 | 0.258 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.307 | 0.422 | OK |
| Carlos Cortes | RF | 22 | 75 | 27 | 0.360 | 4 | 14 | 0.415 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.384 | 0.413 | 0.527 | OK |
| Jacob Wilson | SS | 36 | 151 | 44 | 0.291 | 3 | 18 | 0.308 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.314 | 0.349 | 0.475 | OK |
| Lawrence Butler | CF | 26 | 93 | 18 | 0.194 | 3 | 12 | 0.306 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.192 | 0.373 | 0.381 | OK |
| Zack Gelof | 3B | 14 | 49 | 13 | 0.265 | 3 | 10 | 0.308 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.319 | 0.377 | 0.727 | OK |
| Jeff McNeil | 2B | 29 | 104 | 34 | 0.327 | 1 | 12 | 0.385 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.391 | 0.410 | 0.489 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 42 | 37 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 0.297 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Taylor Ward | LF | 37 | 133 | 37 | 0.278 | 1 | 12 | 0.429 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.159 | 0.440 | 0.183 | OK |
| Gunnar Henderson | SS | 37 | 159 | 32 | 0.201 | 9 | 20 | 0.260 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.200 | 0.187 | 0.205 | 0.271 | OK |
| Adley Rutschman | C | 20 | 78 | 23 | 0.295 | 4 | 18 | 0.353 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.229 | 0.287 | 0.417 | OK |
| Pete Alonso | 1B | 38 | 142 | 32 | 0.225 | 7 | 21 | 0.329 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.313 | 0.395 | 0.651 | OK |
| Tyler O'Neill | RF | 13 | 40 | 8 | 0.200 | 1 | 5 | 0.360 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.172 | 0.363 | 0.187 | OK |
| Coby Mayo | DH | 28 | 95 | 16 | 0.168 | 3 | 11 | 0.233 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.175 | 0.188 | 0.241 | OK |
| Leody Taveras | CF | 23 | 77 | 22 | 0.286 | 2 | 18 | 0.402 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.243 | 0.357 | 0.370 | OK |
| Jeremiah Jackson | 2B | 32 | 118 | 30 | 0.254 | 6 | 24 | 0.276 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.188 | 0.219 | 0.262 | OK |
| Blaze Alexander | 3B | 24 | 79 | 17 | 0.215 | 0 | 2 | 0.271 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.294 | 0.320 | 0.309 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 41 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jacob Lopez | Starter | 7 | 29.3 | 6.76 | 1.945 | 7.1 | 23 | 3.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 88 | 3.1 | 7 | 0 |
| Jack Perkins | Middle Reliever | 9 | 13.5 | 4.00 | 1.259 | 12.7 | 19 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Hogan Harris | Middle Reliever | 20 | 14.2 | 3.80 | 2.324 | 12.0 | 19 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Joel Kuhnel | Middle Reliever | 12 | 10.1 | 2.67 | 1.386 | 4.5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | Middle Reliever | 15 | 14.1 | 1.91 | 0.780 | 8.9 | 14 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | Middle Reliever | 17 | 12.1 | 9.67 | 2.231 | 11.9 | 16 | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.1 | 3 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kyle Bradish | Starter | 7 | 33.3 | 5.14 | 1.862 | 9.5 | 35 | 2.2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 65 | 2.2 | 2 | 5 |
| Rico Garcia | Middle Reliever | 18 | 15.6 | 0.58 | 0.449 | 11.0 | 19 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Yennier Cano | Middle Reliever | 18 | 11.2 | 1.61 | 0.625 | 8.8 | 11 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Kittredge | Middle Reliever | 6 | 3.5 | 18.00 | 3.714 | 15.4 | 6 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Keegan Akin | Middle Reliever | 6 | 5.2 | 12.12 | 2.115 | 8.7 | 5 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Dietrich Enns | Middle Reliever | 6 | 6.6 | 2.73 | 1.667 | 12.3 | 9 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Lou Trivino | Reliever | 1 | 0.2 | 270.00 | 35.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 |
OAK wins 8-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jared Triolo | 3B | 8 | 30 | 6 | 0.200 | 0 | 1 | 0.273 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.216 | 0.275 | 0.279 | OK |
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | 31 | 121 | 38 | 0.314 | 0 | 17 | 0.366 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.295 | 0.383 | 0.322 | OK |
| Bryan Reynolds | LF | 37 | 132 | 34 | 0.258 | 4 | 22 | 0.404 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.264 | 0.425 | 0.404 | OK |
| Marcell Ozuna | DH | 29 | 117 | 22 | 0.188 | 3 | 13 | 0.252 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.248 | 0.322 | 0.397 | OK |
| Oneil Cruz | CF | 35 | 150 | 37 | 0.247 | 9 | 28 | 0.311 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.199 | 0.267 | 0.275 | OK |
| Konnor Griffin | SS | 30 | 112 | 29 | 0.259 | 2 | 15 | 0.325 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.340 | 0.404 | 0.568 | OK |
| Joey Bart | C | 15 | 48 | 11 | 0.229 | 2 | 3 | 0.275 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.288 | 0.305 | 0.480 | OK |
| Nick Yorke | 1B | 16 | 61 | 13 | 0.213 | 1 | 3 | 0.290 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.158 | 0.211 | 0.273 | OK |
| Billy Cook | RF | 5 | 14 | 2 | 0.143 | 0 | 0 | 0.143 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.143 | 0.143 | 0.143 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 33 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jung Hoo Lee | RF | 36 | 132 | 35 | 0.265 | 2 | 11 | 0.315 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.148 | 0.193 | 0.191 | OK |
| Luis Arraez | 2B | 34 | 133 | 42 | 0.316 | 0 | 11 | 0.340 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.354 | 0.359 | 0.508 | OK |
| Casey Schmitt | DH | 31 | 115 | 34 | 0.296 | 6 | 18 | 0.344 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.282 | 0.326 | 0.576 | OK |
| Rafael Devers | 1B | 37 | 140 | 31 | 0.221 | 3 | 15 | 0.265 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.272 | 0.329 | 0.500 | OK |
| Matt Chapman | 3B | 36 | 137 | 32 | 0.234 | 1 | 12 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.077 | 0.151 | 0.113 | OK |
| Willy Adames | SS | 36 | 144 | 28 | 0.194 | 3 | 6 | 0.232 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.156 | 0.171 | 0.217 | OK |
| Heliot Ramos | LF | 34 | 131 | 33 | 0.252 | 3 | 14 | 0.283 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.188 | 0.199 | 0.328 | OK |
| Drew Gilbert | CF | 16 | 50 | 14 | 0.280 | 2 | 5 | 0.321 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.298 | 0.332 | 0.400 | OK |
| Jesus Rodriguez | C | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0.444 | 1 | 2 | 0.444 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.444 | 0.444 | 0.778 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Carmen Mlodzinski | Starter | 7 | 31.9 | 5.08 | 1.599 | 11.3 | 40 | 3.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 82 | 3.2 | 4 | 0 |
| Dennis Santana | Middle Reliever | 17 | 16.2 | 3.89 | 1.296 | 5.6 | 10 | 2.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 2.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Gregory Soto | Middle Reliever | 19 | 18.3 | 1.48 | 0.710 | 12.3 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Isaac Mattson | Middle Reliever | 18 | 14.9 | 4.23 | 1.611 | 7.9 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mason Montgomery | Middle Reliever | 15 | 11.9 | 3.78 | 1.681 | 16.6 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Robbie Ray | Starter | 7 | 38.5 | 3.04 | 1.091 | 9.4 | 40 | 2.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 69 | 2.2 | 2 | 3 |
| Ryan Walker | Middle Reliever | 15 | 12.8 | 6.33 | 1.953 | 9.1 | 13 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keaton Winn | Middle Reliever | 16 | 14.4 | 3.12 | 0.903 | 8.1 | 13 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Caleb Kilian | Middle Reliever | 15 | 13.9 | 1.29 | 1.151 | 11.7 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Gage | Middle Reliever | 17 | 10.6 | 1.70 | 1.604 | 7.6 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Joel Peguero | Middle Reliever | 2 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 0.500 | 4.5 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
PIT wins 4-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| CHW | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Brendan Donovan | 3B | 17 | 56 | 17 | 0.304 | 3 | 8 | 0.429 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.287 | 0.433 | 0.404 | OK |
| Cal Raleigh | C | 34 | 135 | 23 | 0.170 | 7 | 17 | 0.255 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.094 | 0.174 | 0.216 | OK |
| Julio Rodríguez | CF | 38 | 150 | 39 | 0.260 | 5 | 17 | 0.327 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.265 | 0.300 | 0.492 | OK |
| Josh Naylor | 1B | 35 | 137 | 32 | 0.234 | 4 | 17 | 0.298 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.315 | 0.353 | 0.394 | OK |
| Randy Arozarena | LF | 38 | 136 | 36 | 0.265 | 3 | 12 | 0.354 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.173 | 0.266 | 0.262 | OK |
| J.P. Crawford | SS | 29 | 101 | 21 | 0.208 | 4 | 11 | 0.370 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.219 | 0.370 | 0.487 | OK |
| Luke Raley | RF | 26 | 85 | 22 | 0.259 | 5 | 14 | 0.315 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.158 | 0.228 | 0.388 | OK |
| Dominic Canzone | DH | 23 | 67 | 19 | 0.284 | 3 | 11 | 0.347 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.318 | 0.366 | 0.470 | OK |
| Cole Young | 2B | 38 | 134 | 37 | 0.276 | 3 | 20 | 0.342 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.297 | 0.330 | 0.402 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 42 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Sam Antonacci | LF | 17 | 58 | 14 | 0.241 | 1 | 8 | 0.366 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.287 | 0.410 | 0.376 | OK |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1B | 35 | 128 | 30 | 0.234 | 14 | 28 | 0.369 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.204 | 0.318 | 0.527 | OK |
| Miguel Vargas | 3B | 34 | 127 | 27 | 0.213 | 7 | 18 | 0.348 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.316 | 0.377 | OK |
| Colson Montgomery | SS | 35 | 129 | 29 | 0.225 | 9 | 23 | 0.333 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.196 | 0.324 | 0.374 | OK |
| Chase Meidroth | 2B | 34 | 131 | 37 | 0.282 | 2 | 5 | 0.358 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.359 | 0.416 | 0.490 | OK |
| Andrew Benintendi | DH | 26 | 100 | 25 | 0.250 | 2 | 14 | 0.280 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.337 | 0.354 | 0.402 | OK |
| Jarred Kelenic | RF | 4 | 11 | 4 | 0.364 | 0 | 0 | 0.417 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.364 | 0.417 | 0.364 | OK |
| Tristan Peters | CF | 24 | 71 | 18 | 0.254 | 0 | 4 | 0.312 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.242 | 0.317 | 0.245 | OK |
| Drew Romo | C | 6 | 16 | 3 | 0.188 | 3 | 4 | 0.458 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.207 | 0.477 | 0.828 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 0.235 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Emerson Hancock | Starter | 7 | 41.2 | 2.62 | 0.971 | 10.0 | 46 | 4.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 91 | 4.2 | 6 | 3 |
| Andrés Muñoz | Middle Reliever | 16 | 14.3 | 6.29 | 1.469 | 15.7 | 25 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| José A. Ferrer | Middle Reliever | 19 | 16.9 | 2.13 | 1.479 | 8.5 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Eduard Bazardo | Middle Reliever | 18 | 13.4 | 2.01 | 1.418 | 8.7 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper Criswell | Middle Reliever | 13 | 16.1 | 2.24 | 0.870 | 8.4 | 15 | 0.2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0.2 | 0 | 3 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Sean Burke | Starter | 7 | 39.2 | 2.76 | 1.020 | 7.3 | 32 | 3.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 106 | 3.2 | 4 | 0 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | Middle Reliever | 2 | 1.1 | 16.36 | 3.636 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Grant Taylor | Middle Reliever | 6 | 6.1 | 1.48 | 1.311 | 11.8 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sean Newcomb | Middle Reliever | 1 | 2.1 | 8.57 | 1.905 | 4.3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jordan Hicks | Middle Reliever | 2 | 0.3 | 90.00 | 20.000 | 30.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
CHW wins 6-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| JJ Wetherholt | 2B | 36 | 138 | 33 | 0.239 | 7 | 18 | 0.359 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.204 | 0.317 | 0.322 | OK |
| Iván Herrera | C | 37 | 132 | 32 | 0.242 | 4 | 17 | 0.402 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.236 | 0.370 | 0.393 | OK |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 35 | 140 | 38 | 0.271 | 6 | 30 | 0.348 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.266 | 0.341 | 0.507 | OK |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 35 | 134 | 42 | 0.313 | 10 | 27 | 0.388 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.336 | 0.435 | 0.628 | OK |
| Nolan Gorman | DH | 32 | 117 | 26 | 0.222 | 4 | 20 | 0.293 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.222 | 0.290 | 0.452 | OK |
| Masyn Winn | SS | 31 | 121 | 32 | 0.264 | 1 | 15 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.264 | 0.318 | 0.384 | OK |
| Nathan Church | LF | 27 | 101 | 24 | 0.238 | 4 | 13 | 0.264 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.235 | 0.240 | 0.362 | OK |
| César Prieto | 3B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.500 | 1.250 | |
| Victor Scott II | CF | 32 | 93 | 18 | 0.194 | 1 | 5 | 0.255 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.224 | 0.282 | 0.309 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 41 | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 0.270 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jackson Merrill | CF | 35 | 139 | 32 | 0.230 | 4 | 18 | 0.296 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.306 | 0.363 | 0.490 | OK |
| Xander Bogaerts | SS | 35 | 129 | 35 | 0.271 | 6 | 21 | 0.352 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.274 | 0.350 | 0.443 | OK |
| Manny Machado | 3B | 35 | 124 | 25 | 0.202 | 5 | 18 | 0.313 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.161 | 0.248 | 0.364 | OK |
| Gavin Sheets | 1B | 26 | 93 | 20 | 0.215 | 3 | 9 | 0.263 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.189 | 0.263 | 0.341 | OK |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | RF | 35 | 135 | 34 | 0.252 | 0 | 12 | 0.320 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.208 | 0.232 | 0.267 | OK |
| Miguel Andujar | DH | 25 | 93 | 29 | 0.312 | 2 | 10 | 0.340 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.276 | 0.288 | 0.540 | OK |
| Ramón Laureano | LF | 32 | 124 | 29 | 0.234 | 5 | 19 | 0.312 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.158 | 0.304 | 0.316 | OK |
| Freddy Fermin | C | 19 | 60 | 9 | 0.150 | 0 | 3 | 0.264 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.102 | 0.193 | 0.164 | OK |
| Sung-Mun Song | 2B | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0.333 | 0 | 2 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.500 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 0.212 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Michael McGreevy | Starter | 7 | 38.4 | 2.58 | 0.938 | 5.6 | 24 | 2.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 2.2 | 4 | 1 |
| Riley O'Brien | Middle Reliever | 18 | 16.6 | 2.17 | 0.964 | 10.8 | 20 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2.1 | 1 | 0 |
| JoJo Romero | Middle Reliever | 18 | 14.5 | 4.34 | 1.517 | 8.7 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryne Stanek | Middle Reliever | 17 | 12.2 | 8.85 | 2.541 | 14.8 | 20 | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 |
| George Soriano | Middle Reliever | 17 | 14.0 | 3.86 | 1.357 | 9.0 | 14 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Gordon Graceffo | Middle Reliever | 15 | 16.1 | 2.24 | 1.118 | 5.6 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Griffin Canning | Starter | 1 | 5.0 | 1.80 | 1.200 | 12.6 | 7 | 4.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 87 | 4.1 | 5 | 2 |
| Mason Miller | Middle Reliever | 17 | 17.1 | 1.05 | 0.585 | 17.9 | 34 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jason Adam | Middle Reliever | 12 | 10.3 | 1.75 | 0.971 | 4.4 | 5 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 |
| Adrian Morejon | Middle Reliever | 16 | 17.2 | 6.28 | 1.512 | 13.1 | 25 | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jeremiah Estrada | Middle Reliever | 9 | 8.5 | 5.29 | 1.294 | 13.8 | 13 | 1.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1.2 | 1 | 2 |
STL wins 6-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| BOS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Yandy Díaz | DH | 35 | 133 | 43 | 0.323 | 5 | 23 | 0.401 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.290 | 0.328 | 0.491 | OK |
| Ryan Vilade | RF | 12 | 35 | 11 | 0.314 | 1 | 8 | 0.368 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.265 | 0.323 | 0.440 | OK |
| Junior Caminero | 3B | 36 | 138 | 36 | 0.261 | 10 | 18 | 0.352 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.247 | 0.403 | 0.441 | OK |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1B | 35 | 131 | 35 | 0.267 | 7 | 29 | 0.361 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.392 | 0.459 | 0.491 | OK |
| Jonny DeLuca | CF | 18 | 65 | 18 | 0.277 | 1 | 7 | 0.319 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.290 | 0.335 | 0.380 | OK |
| Ben Williamson | 2B | 25 | 87 | 22 | 0.253 | 0 | 11 | 0.330 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.333 | 0.411 | 0.378 | OK |
| Chandler Simpson | LF | 34 | 138 | 41 | 0.297 | 0 | 7 | 0.327 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.272 | 0.281 | 0.288 | OK |
| Nick Fortes | C | 23 | 79 | 22 | 0.278 | 1 | 7 | 0.296 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.266 | 0.278 | 0.298 | OK |
| Taylor Walls | SS | 25 | 76 | 15 | 0.197 | 0 | 6 | 0.307 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.171 | 0.328 | 0.206 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 43 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jarren Duran | LF | 31 | 128 | 25 | 0.195 | 4 | 18 | 0.259 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.227 | 0.291 | 0.480 | OK |
| Willson Contreras | 1B | 37 | 133 | 35 | 0.263 | 8 | 23 | 0.373 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.272 | 0.373 | 0.483 | OK |
| Wilyer Abreu | RF | 37 | 140 | 42 | 0.300 | 5 | 17 | 0.377 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.285 | 0.396 | 0.428 | OK |
| Masataka Yoshida | DH | 15 | 52 | 14 | 0.269 | 0 | 4 | 0.387 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.246 | 0.307 | 0.267 | OK |
| Trevor Story | SS | 36 | 147 | 30 | 0.204 | 2 | 18 | 0.242 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.202 | 0.238 | 0.226 | OK |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | CF | 33 | 119 | 32 | 0.269 | 2 | 13 | 0.341 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.287 | 0.361 | 0.432 | OK |
| Marcelo Mayer | 2B | 28 | 91 | 21 | 0.231 | 1 | 8 | 0.304 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.253 | 0.321 | 0.280 | OK |
| Carlos Narváez | C | 23 | 75 | 16 | 0.213 | 2 | 3 | 0.272 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.154 | 0.296 | 0.300 | OK |
| Caleb Durbin | 3B | 34 | 120 | 22 | 0.183 | 1 | 13 | 0.263 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.209 | 0.257 | 0.259 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jesse Scholtens | Starter | 5 | 21.5 | 3.35 | 1.209 | 7.1 | 17 | 4.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 71 | 4.1 | 4 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | Middle Reliever | 16 | 14.2 | 2.54 | 0.845 | 10.1 | 16 | 1.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 |
| Cole Sulser | Middle Reliever | 16 | 19.5 | 2.77 | 1.385 | 7.4 | 16 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Garrett Cleavinger | Middle Reliever | 6 | 4.2 | 6.43 | 2.381 | 12.9 | 6 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 |
| Ian Seymour | Middle Reliever | 15 | 15.1 | 2.98 | 1.258 | 11.9 | 20 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Connelly Early | Starter | 7 | 34.5 | 3.91 | 1.362 | 8.1 | 31 | 3.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 83 | 3.1 | 2 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | Middle Reliever | 12 | 11.2 | 0.80 | 0.893 | 11.2 | 14 | 1.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1.1 | 3 | 2 |
| Garrett Whitlock | Middle Reliever | 14 | 14.1 | 3.83 | 1.348 | 10.9 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zack Kelly | Middle Reliever | 13 | 11.8 | 3.81 | 1.356 | 9.2 | 12 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Weissert | Middle Reliever | 16 | 12.1 | 5.95 | 1.736 | 13.4 | 18 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jovani Morán | Middle Reliever | 10 | 18.7 | 2.89 | 1.230 | 9.6 | 20 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
TB wins 5-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| James Wood | DH | 38 | 144 | 35 | 0.243 | 10 | 27 | 0.394 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.500 | 0.286 | 0.402 | 0.419 | OK |
| Curtis Mead | 1B | 15 | 57 | 15 | 0.263 | 3 | 11 | 0.354 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.245 | 0.348 | 0.436 | OK |
| Brady House | 3B | 29 | 120 | 27 | 0.225 | 5 | 17 | 0.285 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.237 | 0.326 | 0.528 | OK |
| CJ Abrams | SS | 36 | 130 | 38 | 0.292 | 9 | 33 | 0.394 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.307 | 0.362 | 0.555 | OK |
| Jacob Young | CF | 32 | 122 | 28 | 0.230 | 2 | 14 | 0.271 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.212 | 0.251 | 0.237 | OK |
| Daylen Lile | LF | 37 | 147 | 36 | 0.245 | 3 | 14 | 0.323 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.144 | 0.277 | 0.216 | OK |
| Joey Wiemer | RF | 15 | 52 | 16 | 0.308 | 2 | 6 | 0.390 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.227 | 0.279 | 0.339 | OK |
| Nasim Nuñez | 2B | 32 | 106 | 23 | 0.217 | 0 | 14 | 0.317 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.290 | 0.353 | 0.390 | OK |
| Keibert Ruiz | C | 20 | 66 | 14 | 0.212 | 2 | 11 | 0.232 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.254 | 0.265 | 0.517 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 44 | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 0.270 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Xavier Edwards | 2B | 37 | 136 | 44 | 0.324 | 2 | 12 | 0.414 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.272 | 0.368 | 0.413 | OK |
| Otto Lopez | SS | 36 | 145 | 49 | 0.338 | 4 | 16 | 0.370 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.358 | 0.365 | 0.501 | OK |
| Kyle Stowers | RF | 15 | 58 | 13 | 0.224 | 0 | 1 | 0.318 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.225 | 0.286 | 0.235 | OK |
| Christopher Morel | 1B | 6 | 20 | 4 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | 0.304 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.216 | 0.309 | 0.216 | OK |
| Connor Norby | DH | 33 | 108 | 25 | 0.231 | 3 | 12 | 0.344 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.236 | 0.387 | 0.306 | OK |
| Javier Sanoja | LF | 20 | 69 | 20 | 0.290 | 0 | 7 | 0.347 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.185 | 0.275 | 0.234 | OK |
| Joe Mack | C | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0.222 | 0 | 1 | 0.222 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.222 | 0.222 | 0.222 | OK |
| Leo Jiménez | 3B | 7 | 16 | 3 | 0.188 | 0 | 0 | 0.350 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.144 | 0.343 | 0.144 | OK |
| Esteury Ruiz | CF | 5 | 17 | 4 | 0.235 | 2 | 3 | 0.235 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.235 | 0.235 | 0.647 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Foster Griffin | Starter | 7 | 39.2 | 2.30 | 1.097 | 7.6 | 33 | 4.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 83 | 4.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Gus Varland | Middle Reliever | 15 | 12.1 | 3.72 | 1.570 | 11.9 | 16 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| PJ Poulin | Middle Reliever | 18 | 15.3 | 4.12 | 1.634 | 8.2 | 14 | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Brad Lord | Middle Reliever | 11 | 21.8 | 4.13 | 1.330 | 6.6 | 16 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Richard Lovelady | Middle Reliever | 8 | 5.8 | 1.55 | 2.414 | 12.4 | 8 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Sandy Alcantara | Starter | 8 | 51.2 | 4.04 | 1.289 | 6.3 | 36 | 2.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 85 | 2.2 | 4 | 1 |
| Tyler Phillips | Middle Reliever | 11 | 20.4 | 1.32 | 1.422 | 9.7 | 22 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Faucher | Middle Reliever | 16 | 12.6 | 4.29 | 1.746 | 11.4 | 16 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| John King | Middle Reliever | 17 | 12.4 | 0.73 | 0.645 | 10.2 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Bender | Middle Reliever | 16 | 10.4 | 6.06 | 1.827 | 13.8 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Petersen | Middle Reliever | 13 | 13.4 | 3.36 | 1.045 | 10.7 | 16 | 1.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 1.0 | 2 | 3 |
WAS wins 4-2