MLB Predictions — May 7, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ MIA	5 - 2	5 - 2	BAL wins 5-2 (Extra Innings - 10)	56%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ CHC	3 - 6	3 - 6	CHC wins 6-3	58%	enhanced_ml
CLE @ KC	3 - 4	3 - 4	KC wins 4-3	58%	enhanced_ml
MIN @ WAS	6 - 5	6 - 5	MIN wins 6-5	51%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ COL	6 - 3	6 - 3	NYM wins 6-3	58%	enhanced_ml
OAK @ PHI	5 - 6	5 - 6	PHI wins 6-5	57%	enhanced_ml
PIT @ ARI	4 - 3	4 - 3	PIT wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml
STL @ SD	5 - 2	5 - 2	STL wins 5-2	62%	enhanced_ml
TB @ BOS	4 - 5	4 - 5	BOS wins 5-4	54%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ NYY	2 - 6	2 - 6	NYY wins 6-2	54%	enhanced_ml

Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins

BAL 17-20 (4.62 RPG / 5.59 RA)

5 - 2

MIA 16-21 (4.24 RPG / 4.43 RA)

BAL WINS Target: BAL 5 - 2 MIA Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
BAL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	8
MIA	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed7.2

Run Diff-23

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	36	154	31	0.201	9	19	0.262	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.164	0.183	0.250	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	36	130	37	0.285	1	12	0.434	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.182	0.438	0.206	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	26	87	19	0.218	2	10	0.296	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.205	0.288	0.317	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	37	138	31	0.225	7	20	0.331	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.302	0.387	0.710	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	26	97	24	0.247	5	13	0.318	5	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.302	0.347	0.507	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	12	36	7	0.194	1	4	0.370	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.160	0.356	0.176	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	20	59	11	0.186	0	5	0.279	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.170	0.266	0.214	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	27	91	14	0.154	3	11	0.222	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.112	0.126	0.211	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	31	115	29	0.252	6	24	0.269	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.151	0.154	0.224	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	37	8	5	5	5	10	0.216

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	35	141	47	0.333	4	16	0.367	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.362	0.369	0.522	OK
Connor Norby	1B	32	106	24	0.226	3	11	0.336	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.193	0.339	0.292	OK
Liam Hicks	C	28	101	34	0.337	8	32	0.388	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.339	0.407	0.596	OK
Christopher Morel	DH	5	16	4	0.250	0	0	0.368	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.368	0.250	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	16	57	9	0.158	0	7	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.140	0.209	0.147	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	4	14	4	0.286	2	3	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.286	0.786	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	35	137	24	0.175	1	9	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.179	0.265	0.242	OK
Leo Jiménez	2B	6	14	3	0.214	0	0	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.159	0.323	0.159	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	19	66	20	0.303	0	7	0.352	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.275	0.242	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	4	2	2	1	6	0.118

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Povich	Starter	3	15.4	4.68	1.364	6.4	11	4.1	3	0	0	0	4	75	4.1	4	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	5	3.3	19.09	3.636	13.6	5	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	12	1.2	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	18	15.6	0.58	0.449	11.0	19	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	9	0.1	0	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	16	16.6	3.25	1.024	10.8	20	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.2	1	0
Keegan Akin	Middle Reliever	5	4.2	15.00	2.143	8.6	4	0.1	0	1	1	0	0	7	0.1	0	1
Lou Trivino	Reliever	1	0.2	270.00	35.000	0.0	0	1.2	0	1	1	1	1	19	1.2	1	1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Meyer	Starter	7	36.3	2.73	1.047	9.9	40	4.2	3	1	1	2	5	90	4.2	5	1
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	11	20.4	1.32	1.422	9.7	22	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.1	0	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	15	11.6	4.66	1.810	11.6	15	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	15	1.0	0	0
John King	Middle Reliever	17	12.4	0.73	0.645	10.2	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	16	10.4	6.06	1.827	13.8	16	0.2	1	1	1	1	1	24	0.2	1	1
Andrew Nardi	Middle Reliever	14	11.6	6.98	1.897	10.9	14	1.1	3	3	3	1	1	31	1.1	1	3

Game Summary

BAL wins 5-2 (Extra Innings - 10)

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN 20-18 (4.11 RPG / 4.89 RA)

3 - 6

CHC 26-12 (5.47 RPG / 4.16 RA)

CHC WINS Target: CIN 3 - 6 CHC Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	5
CHC	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	x	6	6

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed6.9

Run Diff-31

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak6L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak8W

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dane Myers	CF	7	23	6	0.261	1	1	0.433	5	4	1	1	3	1	2	0.250	0.284	0.473	0.440	OK
Matt McLain	SS	33	128	26	0.203	3	10	0.306	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.155	0.197	0.346	OK
Elly De La Cruz	DH	37	146	39	0.267	10	28	0.341	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.320	0.351	OK
Sal Stewart	2B	37	139	34	0.245	9	29	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.127	0.178	0.183	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	34	118	29	0.246	6	12	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.294	0.328	0.472	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	26	85	16	0.188	2	6	0.293	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.231	0.297	0.331	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	9	29	9	0.310	4	6	0.412	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.328	0.411	0.800	OK
Blake Dunn	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.500	0.500	0.500
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	28	91	11	0.121	2	3	0.184	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.144	0.200	0.329	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	5	3	3	7	5	0.156

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	35	144	41	0.285	4	27	0.361	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.326	0.315	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	26	80	22	0.275	6	16	0.344	4	2	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.165	0.273	0.389	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	36	145	34	0.234	3	12	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.167	0.312	0.232	OK
Ian Happ	LF	35	133	33	0.248	9	17	0.379	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.315	0.463	0.692	OK
Michael Busch	1B	35	133	30	0.226	3	19	0.335	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.348	0.489	0.667	OK
Michael Conforto	RF	8	22	6	0.273	0	3	0.429	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.291	0.438	0.397	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	35	120	24	0.200	6	22	0.317	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.187	0.250	0.269	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	36	136	34	0.250	4	15	0.315	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.349	0.568	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	17	55	12	0.218	2	6	0.317	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.346	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	6	6	2	9	0.200

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	7	34.4	5.23	1.424	6.8	26	4.2	3	3	3	1	4	82	4.2	4	3
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	16	15.2	2.96	1.316	9.5	16	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	26	1.0	1	3
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	18	17.5	2.06	1.429	10.3	20	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	17	16.2	2.78	1.667	11.7	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	7	41.1	2.41	0.852	9.4	43	4.2	2	0	0	3	3	93	4.2	3	0
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	12	24.5	2.20	1.061	8.8	24	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.1	0	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	10	6.7	10.75	2.239	14.8	11	0.2	2	3	3	2	1	32	0.2	1	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	16	13.0	4.15	1.769	11.8	17	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.1	0	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	18	15.1	2.98	1.192	3.6	6	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

CLE 20-19 (4.15 RPG / 4.26 RA)

3 - 4

KC 17-21 (4.13 RPG / 4.55 RA)

KC WINS Target: CLE 3 - 4 KC Confidence: 58.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	3	5
KC	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	x	4	10

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.6

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-8

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

KC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff23

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	34	133	28	0.211	1	9	0.303	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.172	0.279	0.202	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	31	118	36	0.305	6	23	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.478	0.542	0.734	OK
José Ramírez	DH	38	139	29	0.209	6	14	0.333	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.160	0.279	0.240	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	26	93	16	0.172	1	6	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.161	0.211	0.169	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	26	90	26	0.289	4	12	0.354	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	0.000	0.196	0.244	0.343	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	7	23	4	0.174	0	2	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.361	0.202	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	36	118	30	0.254	3	19	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.166	0.235	0.222	OK
Bo Naylor	C	22	75	10	0.133	1	4	0.177	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.124	0.142	0.207	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	2	8	1	0.125	0	0	0.125	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.125	0.125	0.125	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	3	3	5	6	0.156

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	34	135	36	0.267	3	13	0.331	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.236	0.292	0.359	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	37	147	41	0.279	3	16	0.349	5	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.248	0.279	0.456	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	34	128	25	0.195	4	17	0.282	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.281	0.328	0.438	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	36	141	29	0.206	5	17	0.245	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.267	0.283	OK
Carter Jensen	C	30	105	24	0.229	6	17	0.317	4	2	2	1	0	2	0	1.000	0.117	0.212	0.155	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	29	101	24	0.238	3	6	0.325	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.303	0.474	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	28	95	23	0.242	3	12	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.335	0.424	0.607	OK
Michael Massey	2B	20	62	14	0.226	2	9	0.242	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.222	0.415	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	27	84	24	0.286	3	8	0.355	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.277	0.352	0.394	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	10	4	4	4	7	0.312

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Slade Cecconi	Starter	7	34.5	6.78	1.623	7.3	28	4.1	7	2	2	2	4	97	4.1	4	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	16	16.1	3.35	1.304	11.7	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	18	12.5	2.88	1.120	18.7	26	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0
Matt Festa	Middle Reliever	16	14.5	5.59	1.310	10.6	17	1.1	2	2	2	2	2	29	1.1	2	2

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	7	42.5	2.75	1.271	7.8	37	5.1	3	2	2	3	4	106	5.1	4	2
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	16	14.4	3.75	1.458	8.8	14	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	3.41	1.212	9.5	14	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	23	1.1	1	0
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	2.35	1.130	7.8	10	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

KC wins 4-3

Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals

MIN 16-22 (4.82 RPG / 5.13 RA)

6 - 5

WAS 18-20 (5.39 RPG / 5.66 RA)

MIN WINS Target: MIN 6 - 5 WAS Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	6	9
WAS	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	5	7

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	34	143	35	0.245	11	17	0.301	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.247	0.307	0.664	OK
Trevor Larnach	DH	24	81	23	0.284	1	11	0.402	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.277	0.355	0.397	OK
Austin Martin	LF	22	72	23	0.319	1	6	0.462	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.338	0.428	0.364	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	25	91	26	0.286	4	21	0.383	5	4	2	1	0	1	2	0.500	0.296	0.355	0.490	OK
Matt Wallner	RF	29	105	20	0.190	4	10	0.286	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.216	0.307	0.392	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	35	133	31	0.233	1	15	0.302	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.303	0.430	0.492	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	22	77	16	0.208	3	9	0.330	4	3	2	1	3	1	1	0.667	0.191	0.363	0.310	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	32	118	30	0.254	5	19	0.307	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.298	0.321	0.420	OK
Tristan Gray	3B	16	55	13	0.236	3	13	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.238	0.278	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	6	6	5	10	0.250

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	37	142	34	0.239	10	27	0.386	5	4	1	1	3	1	2	0.250	0.234	0.317	0.329	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	36	144	35	0.243	3	14	0.319	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.134	0.274	0.235	OK
Curtis Mead	1B	14	53	14	0.264	3	9	0.361	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.304	0.420	0.593	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	35	126	38	0.302	9	33	0.404	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.316	0.386	0.572	OK
Brady House	3B	28	117	26	0.222	5	17	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.276	0.488	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.329	0.296
Jacob Young	CF	31	119	27	0.227	2	14	0.264	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.211	0.233	0.237	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	19	62	11	0.177	1	7	0.200	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.176	0.189	0.285	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	31	105	23	0.219	0	13	0.322	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.297	0.375	0.382	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	5	5	4	9	0.206

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Simeon Woods Richardson	Starter	7	33.5	6.72	1.821	4.6	17	3.2	7	4	4	3	4	99	3.2	4	4
Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	21	13.5	9.33	2.296	8.7	13	1.1	0	1	1	0	1	14	1.1	1	1
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	15	14.8	5.47	1.622	9.7	16	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	14	11.1	4.05	1.892	8.1	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Kody Funderburk	Middle Reliever	17	10.6	3.40	1.792	8.5	10	0.1	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.1	2	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	7	13.8	5.87	1.739	9.1	14	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.2	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Irvin	Starter	7	34.2	5.00	1.316	10.3	39	2.2	6	3	3	3	4	96	2.2	4	3
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	14	11.0	4.09	1.636	11.5	14	2.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	2.1	1	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	17	14.3	4.41	1.608	7.6	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	11	21.8	4.13	1.330	6.6	16	0.1	2	3	3	1	1	27	0.1	1	3
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	7	5.6	1.61	2.143	11.2	7	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.2	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	4	4.0	2.25	1.000	6.8	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-5

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

NYM 14-23 (3.62 RPG / 4.38 RA)

6 - 3

COL 15-23 (4.29 RPG / 4.95 RA)

NYM WINS Target: NYM 6 - 3 COL Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	6	5
COL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	9

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak6L

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Juan Soto	DH	20	76	22	0.289	4	10	0.389	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.226	0.330	0.446	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	36	149	36	0.242	2	16	0.277	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.273	0.296	0.314	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	25	87	20	0.230	4	14	0.284	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.299	0.540	OK
Austin Slater	RF	1	3	2	0.667	0	0	0.667	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.330	0.373	0.385	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	36	130	30	0.231	2	13	0.279	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.264	0.281	0.409	OK
Andy Ibáñez	LF	1	2	0	0.000	0	1	0.000	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.154	0.154	0.154
Francisco Alvarez	C	28	96	22	0.229	4	9	0.312	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.223	0.268	0.295	OK
Tyrone Taylor	CF	15	44	10	0.227	1	4	0.261	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.239	0.255	OK
Vidal Bruján	SS	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	-	0.250	-
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	6	6	4	7	0.156

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	25	89	26	0.292	2	12	0.376	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.312	0.404	0.459	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	26	101	34	0.337	11	20	0.382	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.372	0.439	0.892	OK
Tyler Freeman	DH	15	56	15	0.268	1	8	0.369	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.323	0.431	0.480	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	34	129	35	0.271	4	19	0.336	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.307	0.350	0.535	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	29	108	35	0.324	2	16	0.376	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.372	0.436	0.478	OK
Willi Castro	SS	25	92	23	0.250	1	11	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.240	0.270	0.267	OK
Jake McCarthy	CF	22	65	17	0.262	1	8	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.319	0.381	0.599	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	32	96	21	0.219	1	5	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.283	0.359	0.295	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	14	49	13	0.265	0	6	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.310	0.399	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	3	3	2	9	0.250

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Christian Scott	Starter	2	6.1	4.43	1.311	13.3	9	5.1	6	1	1	1	7	103	5.1	7	1
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	5.14	1.619	17.1	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.1	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	15	13.7	5.26	1.168	9.9	15	0.2	2	2	2	1	1	28	0.2	1	2
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	15	11.9	1.51	1.008	13.6	18	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	15	1.2	0	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jose Quintana	Starter	5	23.4	4.23	1.410	4.6	12	4.2	5	5	5	4	5	112	4.2	5	5
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	13	13.2	7.50	2.045	8.2	12	1.2	0	1	1	0	0	13	1.2	0	1
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	10	19.3	1.40	0.933	9.3	20	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.2	2	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	13	12.6	5.00	1.429	10.0	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 6-3

Oakland Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies

OAK 18-18 (4.25 RPG / 4.83 RA)

5 - 6

PHI 17-20 (3.97 RPG / 4.81 RA)

PHI WINS Target: OAK 5 - 6 PHI Confidence: 57.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	10
PHI	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	x	6	10

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	35	127	32	0.252	5	17	0.414	5	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.267	0.366	0.315	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	32	134	45	0.336	10	18	0.390	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.432	0.475	0.804	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	34	129	28	0.217	5	20	0.301	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.224	0.297	0.532	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	19	74	12	0.162	3	12	0.238	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.213	0.269	0.361	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	21	70	25	0.357	4	13	0.416	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.410	0.439	0.611	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	35	147	43	0.293	2	16	0.309	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.326	0.372	0.396	OK
Lawrence Butler	CF	25	89	17	0.191	3	12	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.194	0.368	0.352	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	13	44	11	0.250	2	7	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.291	0.354	0.509	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	28	100	33	0.330	1	12	0.389	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.433	0.452	0.587	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	5	5	3	7	0.270

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	36	150	36	0.240	4	12	0.296	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.236	0.323	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	37	135	28	0.207	11	20	0.352	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.200	0.313	0.403	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	37	137	38	0.277	9	23	0.367	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.325	0.405	0.764	OK
Adolis García	RF	35	129	31	0.240	3	12	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.296	0.406	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	30	116	39	0.336	4	19	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.446	0.480	0.633	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	27	100	21	0.210	3	12	0.262	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.218	0.261	0.632	OK
Edmundo Sosa	3B	13	44	12	0.273	1	7	0.289	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.361	0.365	0.467	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	30	103	28	0.272	0	7	0.336	4	3	3	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.267	0.303	0.423	OK
Rafael Marchán	C	12	43	4	0.093	1	2	0.152	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.076	0.151	0.090	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	10	6	6	4	8	0.294

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	8	27.7	4.55	1.336	7.5	23	4.2	7	3	3	1	4	84	4.2	4	3
Jack Perkins	Middle Reliever	9	13.5	4.00	1.259	12.7	19	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	20	14.2	3.80	2.324	12.0	19	0.1	0	0	0	0	2	14	0.1	2	0
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	12	10.1	2.67	1.386	4.5	5	1.2	2	3	3	2	1	35	1.2	1	3

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	6	28.3	5.41	1.625	8.9	28	2.0	5	2	2	1	0	48	2.0	0	2
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	16	14.5	4.34	1.310	9.9	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	17	9.3	7.74	2.796	15.5	16	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	9	1.0	0	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	14	11.6	2.33	1.293	7.0	9	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	16	17.5	3.60	1.086	9.8	19	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	19	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	9	6.8	10.59	2.059	11.9	9	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.0	2	1
Jhoan Duran	Reliever	8	7.2	2.50	1.250	12.5	10	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	12	0.1	1	0
Chase Shugart	Reliever	10	8.8	1.02	1.250	9.2	9	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 6-5

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks

PIT 21-17 (4.87 RPG / 4.21 RA)

4 - 3

ARI 17-19 (4.47 RPG / 5.17 RA)

PIT WINS Target: PIT 4 - 3 ARI Confidence: 52.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	10
ARI	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	6

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	DH	34	147	37	0.252	9	28	0.308	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.209	0.232	0.304	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	31	119	30	0.252	9	22	0.360	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.273	0.420	0.617	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	36	129	34	0.264	4	22	0.407	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.315	0.466	0.588	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	34	126	37	0.294	5	24	0.377	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.310	0.326	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	29	94	23	0.245	2	12	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.330	0.358	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	29	108	29	0.269	2	15	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.374	0.452	0.607	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	7	26	6	0.231	0	1	0.310	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.336	0.310	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	16	64	17	0.266	0	1	0.319	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.267	0.314	0.282	OK
Joey Bart	C	14	44	9	0.205	1	2	0.255	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.272	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	4	4	1	7	0.270

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	32	109	26	0.239	2	11	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.344	0.479	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	32	134	29	0.216	5	13	0.266	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.153	0.194	0.267	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	33	117	30	0.256	4	19	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.133	0.224	0.218	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	DH	17	67	13	0.194	2	12	0.225	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.162	0.188	0.302	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	26	106	37	0.349	6	19	0.367	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.336	0.365	0.469	OK
Jose Fernandez	3B	24	89	28	0.315	3	12	0.351	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.329	0.296	OK
Jorge Barrosa	LF	18	62	13	0.210	0	5	0.258	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.165	0.219	0.303	OK
James McCann	C	9	29	7	0.241	0	2	0.267	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.283	0.297	0.346	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	27	92	17	0.185	2	10	0.227	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.148	0.201	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	3	3	1	5	0.188

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Keller	Starter	7	41.0	2.85	1.049	6.8	31	3.2	3	2	2	1	3	80	3.2	3	2
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	16	15.2	4.14	1.316	5.9	10	2.1	2	1	1	0	0	18	2.1	0	1
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	18	17.3	1.56	0.751	12.5	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	17	14.8	4.26	1.622	7.3	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	14	11.7	3.85	1.538	16.9	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	7	31.4	4.59	1.561	5.7	20	4.1	4	2	2	0	5	75	4.1	5	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	1	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	23	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.2	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	15	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres

STL 21-15 (4.83 RPG / 4.86 RA)

5 - 2

SD 22-14 (4.5 RPG / 4.31 RA)

STL WINS Target: STL 5 - 2 SD Confidence: 61.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	5	9
SD	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	35	136	33	0.243	7	18	0.356	5	5	1	1	3	0	2	0.200	0.196	0.260	0.334	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	36	129	33	0.256	4	17	0.412	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.293	0.402	0.453	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	34	137	37	0.270	5	29	0.344	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.254	0.325	0.462	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	34	130	40	0.308	10	27	0.385	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.388	0.487	0.664	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	31	114	26	0.228	4	20	0.295	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.266	0.311	0.482	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	30	117	31	0.265	1	14	0.336	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.286	0.355	0.339	OK
Nathan Church	LF	26	97	24	0.247	4	13	0.275	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.275	0.467	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	23	79	18	0.228	3	8	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.202	0.245	0.322	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	31	90	17	0.189	1	5	0.253	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.189	0.271	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	9	5	5	1	6	0.257

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Merrill	CF	34	136	32	0.235	4	18	0.297	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.342	0.383	0.522	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	24	89	28	0.315	2	10	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.306	0.318	0.578	OK
Manny Machado	3B	34	121	25	0.207	5	18	0.315	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.170	0.249	0.371	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	34	132	32	0.242	0	12	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.265	0.322	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	34	126	34	0.270	6	20	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.339	0.407	OK
Ramón Laureano	LF	31	122	29	0.238	5	19	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.174	0.284	0.337	OK
Ty France	1B	15	52	15	0.288	3	8	0.327	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.300	0.330	0.511	OK
Nick Castellanos	RF	18	63	13	0.206	1	11	0.250	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.251	0.275	0.433	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	26	93	20	0.215	3	9	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.189	0.263	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	2	2	1	6	0.229

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	7	35.3	4.59	1.530	5.9	23	5.1	5	2	2	0	3	94	5.1	3	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	17	15.6	2.31	1.026	11.0	19	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	21	1.0	2	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	17	13.5	4.67	1.630	8.7	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	14	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	17	12.2	8.85	2.541	14.8	20	1.2	2	0	0	0	0	20	1.2	0	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	7	39.2	2.98	1.148	9.0	39	4.1	4	1	1	1	2	76	4.1	2	1
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	17	17.1	1.05	0.585	17.9	34	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.1	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	16	17.2	6.28	1.512	13.1	25	0.2	3	3	3	0	2	25	0.2	2	3
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	11	9.3	1.94	0.860	4.8	5	1.2	2	1	1	0	1	20	1.2	1	1
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	15	14.4	1.87	1.250	7.5	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 5-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox

TB 24-12 (4.42 RPG / 4.0 RA)

4 - 5

BOS 16-21 (4.03 RPG / 4.22 RA)

BOS WINS Target: TB 4 - 5 BOS Confidence: 53.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	4
BOS	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	x	5	7

TB Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed1.3

Run Diff18

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak6W

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	34	129	41	0.318	5	22	0.401	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.322	0.445	OK
Ryan Vilade	LF	11	32	10	0.312	1	8	0.371	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.312	0.366	0.481	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	35	134	34	0.254	9	16	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.213	0.376	0.288	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	34	126	35	0.278	7	29	0.373	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.460	0.520	0.563	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	17	61	16	0.262	1	7	0.297	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.272	0.351	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	24	83	20	0.241	0	10	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.278	0.345	0.324	OK
Nick Fortes	C	22	77	21	0.273	1	7	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.217	0.236	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	28	104	13	0.125	2	9	0.186	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.071	0.132	0.090	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	24	73	15	0.205	0	6	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.240	0.362	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	4	4	5	12	0.129

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	30	124	24	0.194	4	18	0.259	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.301	0.447	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	36	129	34	0.264	8	23	0.376	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.275	0.374	0.517	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	36	137	41	0.299	5	16	0.381	4	3	2	1	3	1	1	0.667	0.309	0.452	0.453	OK
Trevor Story	SS	35	143	29	0.203	2	18	0.242	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.233	0.275	0.258	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	14	49	14	0.286	0	4	0.397	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.253	0.299	0.275	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	32	115	31	0.270	2	12	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.303	0.380	0.465	OK
Marcelo Mayer	2B	27	87	21	0.241	1	8	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.293	0.359	0.332	OK
Connor Wong	C	14	43	11	0.256	0	6	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.196	0.323	0.268	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	33	117	21	0.179	1	12	0.262	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.216	0.270	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	7	5	5	3	6	0.226

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	12	11.2	4.02	1.518	11.2	14	3.2	7	5	5	2	5	99	3.2	5	5
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	16	14.2	2.54	0.845	10.1	16	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	2.0	0	0
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	15	15.1	2.98	1.258	11.9	20	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	15	18.5	2.92	1.459	7.3	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	1	5.0	1.80	1.400	5.4	3	3.1	2	2	2	4	6	80	3.1	6	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	0.80	0.893	11.2	14	1.1	2	2	2	1	1	22	1.1	1	2
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	14	14.1	3.83	1.348	10.9	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	16	12.1	5.95	1.736	13.4	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.1	2	0
Zack Kelly	Middle Reliever	13	11.8	3.81	1.356	9.2	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	10	18.7	2.89	1.230	9.6	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-4

Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees

TEX 17-20 (3.76 RPG / 3.92 RA)

2 - 6

NYY 26-12 (5.5 RPG / 3.37 RA)

NYY WINS Target: TEX 2 - 6 NYY Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
NYY	0	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	x	6	8

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-7

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	DH	34	133	39	0.293	4	12	0.375	5	3	0	0	0	2	3	0.000	0.342	0.464	0.383	OK
Ezequiel Duran	LF	22	70	21	0.300	1	9	0.375	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.346	0.420	0.547	OK
Corey Seager	SS	35	131	28	0.214	7	19	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.320	0.400	OK
Josh Jung	3B	32	123	40	0.325	4	19	0.378	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.350	0.375	0.459	OK
Joc Pederson	RF	26	73	13	0.178	1	5	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.110	0.162	0.121	OK
Jake Burger	1B	35	140	30	0.214	5	18	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.264	0.375	OK
Evan Carter	CF	31	100	19	0.190	4	11	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.115	0.246	0.303	OK
Danny Jansen	C	22	74	15	0.203	2	8	0.289	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.151	0.271	0.401	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.500
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	2	2	4	8	0.182

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	12	42	8	0.190	2	5	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.292	0.450	OK
Aaron Judge	DH	37	132	36	0.273	15	28	0.407	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.341	0.472	0.872	OK
Cody Bellinger	RF	35	128	36	0.281	5	24	0.379	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.401	0.460	0.884	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	17	55	15	0.273	4	13	0.328	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.317	0.460	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	34	127	27	0.213	4	13	0.299	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.226	0.312	0.391	OK
Jasson Domínguez	LF	8	30	6	0.200	1	4	0.250	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.217	0.260	0.416	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	30	108	17	0.157	3	15	0.295	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.180	0.276	0.415	OK
Max Schuemann	SS	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	1.000
J.C. Escarra	C	9	33	7	0.212	0	5	0.235	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.264	0.448	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	8	6	6	2	3	0.258

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	7	33.5	4.84	1.403	12.1	45	4.2	7	6	6	1	2	103	4.2	2	6
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	14	15.1	1.79	0.728	3.6	6	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	9	2.1	0	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	15	17.5	1.03	0.514	8.2	16	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.0	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Blackburn	Starter	9	13.3	3.38	1.429	6.1	9	3.2	4	2	2	3	5	80	3.2	5	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	15	14.4	3.75	1.597	11.2	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	17	9.0	4.00	2.333	20.0	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	19	15.3	1.76	1.503	11.8	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	16	12.0	1.50	0.917	4.5	6	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.1	0	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	15	10.9	7.43	1.284	12.4	15	1.2	1	0	0	1	1	26	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins

BAL Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

CLE Recent Form

KC Recent Form

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals

MIN Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

NYM Recent Form

COL Recent Form

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Oakland Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies

OAK Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks

PIT Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres

STL Recent Form

SD Recent Form

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox

TB Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees

TEX Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation