MLB Predictions — May 6, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ SEA	4 - 3	4 - 3	ATL wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ MIA	4 - 6	4 - 6	MIA wins 6-4 (Extra Innings - 10)	56%	enhanced_ml
BOS @ DET	5 - 3	5 - 3	BOS wins 5-3	60%	enhanced_ml
CHW @ LAA	6 - 2	6 - 2	CHW wins 6-2	58%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ CHC	4 - 6	4 - 6	CHC wins 6-4	58%	enhanced_ml
CLE @ KC	6 - 3	6 - 3	CLE wins 6-3	53%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ HOU	5 - 3	5 - 3	LAD wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ STL	3 - 5	3 - 5	STL wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml
MIN @ WAS	6 - 3	6 - 3	MIN wins 6-3	65%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ COL	4 - 3	4 - 3	NYM wins 4-3	57%	enhanced_ml
OAK @ PHI	2 - 6	2 - 6	PHI wins 6-2	70%	enhanced_ml
PIT @ ARI	8 - 4	8 - 4	PIT wins 8-4	76%	enhanced_ml
SD @ SF	4 - 2	4 - 2	SD wins 4-2	57%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ NYY	2 - 5	2 - 5	NYY wins 5-2	60%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ TB	3 - 4	3 - 4	TB wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml

Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners

ATL 26-12 (5.61 RPG / 3.53 RA)

4 - 3

SEA 18-20 (4.03 RPG / 3.92 RA)

ATL WINS Target: ATL 4 - 3 SEA Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
SEA	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	4

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	37	151	46	0.305	9	30	0.382	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.297	0.385	0.552	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	37	143	47	0.329	8	23	0.377	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.370	0.430	0.662	OK
Matt Olson	1B	37	143	44	0.308	13	33	0.392	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.366	0.480	1.012	OK
Michael Harris II	LF	28	106	31	0.292	6	18	0.321	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.273	0.357	OK
Mauricio Dubón	CF	35	127	34	0.268	2	20	0.331	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.344	0.399	OK
Austin Riley	3B	36	138	29	0.210	5	22	0.286	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.249	0.277	0.486	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	26	93	19	0.204	0	6	0.267	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.211	0.224	0.265	OK
Sean Murphy	C	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250
Eli White	CF	15	43	9	0.209	2	7	0.239	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.276	0.433	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	4	4	4	9	0.206

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	28	99	21	0.212	4	11	0.366	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.359	0.486	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	33	131	23	0.176	7	17	0.262	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.136	0.217	0.356	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	37	146	38	0.260	4	16	0.329	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.298	0.333	0.585	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	34	133	31	0.233	4	17	0.299	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.318	0.361	0.424	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	37	132	35	0.265	3	12	0.357	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.173	0.264	0.348	OK
Cole Young	2B	37	130	34	0.262	3	19	0.331	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.219	0.263	0.291	OK
Connor Joe	RF	5	14	3	0.214	1	1	0.312	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.312	0.500	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.500	0.500	1.250
Leo Rivas	3B	27	83	11	0.133	0	5	0.270	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.092	0.257	0.100	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	3	3	4	10	0.129

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	6	28.1	2.24	0.996	6.1	19	5.0	2	3	3	3	7	89	5.0	7	3
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	17	15.3	2.94	1.242	10.6	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	16	9.2	6.85	2.174	10.8	11	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	19	1.0	0	0
Reynaldo López	Middle Reliever	7	24.2	3.35	1.364	8.6	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	5	10.2	4.41	1.176	10.6	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	7	41.0	4.61	1.073	6.4	29	3.0	4	2	2	2	3	73	3.0	3	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	16	14.3	6.29	1.469	15.7	25	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jose A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	18	15.9	2.26	1.572	8.5	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	17	12.4	1.45	1.290	8.7	12	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Cooper Criswell	Middle Reliever	12	15.1	2.38	0.927	8.3	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Alex Hoppe	Middle Reliever	3	3.2	8.44	1.875	19.7	7	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	23	1.0	2	1
Nick Davila	Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	2.000	9.0	1	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	13	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-3

Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins

BAL 16-20 (4.56 RPG / 5.64 RA)

4 - 6

MIA 16-20 (4.25 RPG / 4.36 RA)

MIA WINS Target: BAL 4 - 6 MIA Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
BAL	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	4	11
MIA	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	10

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed8.5

Run Diff-42

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-11

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	35	149	31	0.208	9	19	0.270	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.213	0.231	0.346	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	35	128	37	0.289	1	12	0.429	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.231	0.462	0.256	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	19	75	21	0.280	4	16	0.325	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.220	0.229	0.430	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	36	133	30	0.226	6	17	0.335	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.323	0.434	0.737	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	25	94	23	0.245	5	13	0.311	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.309	0.332	0.533	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	22	74	21	0.284	2	18	0.398	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.231	0.340	0.372	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	25	85	18	0.212	2	9	0.284	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.171	0.266	0.239	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	26	88	14	0.159	3	11	0.229	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.122	0.136	0.252	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	30	111	29	0.261	6	24	0.278	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.210	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	11	4	4	2	14	0.268

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	36	132	44	0.333	2	11	0.425	4	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.312	0.402	0.473	OK
Liam Hicks	1B	27	98	33	0.337	8	32	0.384	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.339	0.419	0.686	OK
Connor Norby	3B	31	103	24	0.233	3	11	0.339	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.225	0.339	0.321	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	14	54	12	0.222	0	1	0.323	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.193	0.281	0.204	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	34	133	23	0.173	1	7	0.293	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.157	0.266	0.189	OK
Christopher Morel	DH	4	13	4	0.308	0	0	0.400	4	3	1	3	1	0	0.750	0.308	0.400	0.308	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	27	87	17	0.195	1	13	0.247	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.114	0.205	0.147	OK
Joe Mack	C	2	7	2	0.286	0	1	0.286	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.286	0.286	0.286	OK
Javier Sanoja	SS	18	62	19	0.306	0	7	0.358	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.319	0.291	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	10	6	6	4	8	0.250

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	3	14.2	6.34	1.690	5.7	9	4.0	5	2	2	3	3	87	4.0	3	2
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	5	3.3	19.09	3.636	13.6	5	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	15	1.0	1	1
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	17	14.6	0.62	0.411	11.1	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	15	15.5	3.48	1.097	11.0	19	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	15	1.0	0	0
Keegan Akin	Middle Reliever	5	4.2	15.00	2.143	8.6	4	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	17	9.2	1.96	0.761	10.8	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Lou Trivino	Reliever	1	0.2	270.00	35.000	0.0	0	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	2

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	7	36.1	4.49	1.385	9.7	39	5.0	4	1	1	1	6	88	5.0	6	1
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	11	20.4	1.32	1.422	9.7	22	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	32	1.0	0	2
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	15	11.6	4.66	1.810	11.6	15	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	25	1.0	2	0
John King	Middle Reliever	17	12.4	0.73	0.645	10.2	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	16	10.4	6.06	1.827	13.8	16	2.0	1	1	1	0	5	38	2.0	5	1

Game Summary

MIA wins 6-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers

BOS 15-21 (4.03 RPG / 4.33 RA)

5 - 3

DET 18-19 (4.46 RPG / 4.19 RA)

BOS WINS Target: BOS 5 - 3 DET Confidence: 60.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	1	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	12
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	5

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	29	121	24	0.198	4	18	0.254	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.245	0.281	0.518	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	35	126	34	0.270	8	22	0.382	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.316	0.413	0.584	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	35	132	41	0.311	5	16	0.393	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.335	0.475	0.483	OK
Trevor Story	SS	34	139	29	0.209	2	18	0.248	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.264	0.319	0.313	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	13	45	12	0.267	0	4	0.389	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.259	0.324	0.299	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	31	113	31	0.274	2	12	0.339	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.313	0.351	0.469	OK
Marcelo Mayer	2B	26	84	20	0.238	1	8	0.309	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.300	0.350	0.351	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	22	73	16	0.219	2	3	0.260	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.188	0.262	0.423	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	32	113	20	0.177	1	11	0.262	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.279	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	12	5	5	1	8	0.308

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	34	132	41	0.311	2	16	0.405	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.232	0.355	0.300	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	20	70	16	0.229	1	12	0.286	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.311	0.460	OK
Colt Keith	3B	25	89	26	0.292	0	4	0.330	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.302	0.362	0.318	OK
Riley Greene	LF	36	130	38	0.292	4	19	0.395	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.306	0.392	0.402	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	27	103	27	0.262	6	25	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.263	0.415	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	25	83	18	0.217	5	14	0.305	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.275	0.498	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	14	47	9	0.191	1	5	0.240	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.188	0.220	0.285	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	34	116	25	0.216	6	14	0.336	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.172	0.288	0.397	OK
Jace Jung	DH	2	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.500	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.250	0.500	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	3	3	3	10	0.156

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	5	22.3	4.44	1.345	5.2	13	6.0	2	1	1	1	6	94	6.0	6	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	0.80	0.893	11.2	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	14	14.1	3.83	1.348	10.9	17	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	31	1.0	1	2
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	15	11.1	6.49	1.892	14.6	18	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	29	1.0	2	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Flaherty	Starter	7	27.6	6.20	1.884	10.4	32	5.0	10	4	4	1	4	93	5.0	4	4
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	10	7.4	3.65	1.486	12.2	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	16	15.5	0.58	1.290	7.5	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	15	12.1	5.95	2.314	8.2	11	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	14	1.0	1	1
Burch Smith	Middle Reliever	6	10.1	1.78	1.188	13.4	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-3

Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

CHW 17-20 (4.19 RPG / 4.62 RA)

6 - 2

LAA 15-23 (4.47 RPG / 4.84 RA)

CHW WINS Target: CHW 6 - 2 LAA Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	6	6
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	6

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-27

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	16	55	14	0.255	1	7	0.373	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.350	0.450	0.453	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	34	124	30	0.242	14	28	0.379	4	3	1	1	1	1	0.750	0.228	0.388	0.602	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	33	123	27	0.220	7	18	0.358	5	0	1	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.366	0.420	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	34	125	28	0.224	9	23	0.336	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.350	0.419	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	33	128	35	0.273	2	5	0.347	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.307	0.350	0.456	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	25	98	25	0.255	2	13	0.282	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.325	0.334	0.387	OK
Jarred Kelenic	RF	3	10	4	0.400	0	0	0.400	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.400	0.400	0.400	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	23	69	18	0.261	0	4	0.320	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.341	0.272	OK
Drew Romo	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	-	0.500	-
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	6	6	5	13	0.182

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	37	147	32	0.218	6	16	0.327	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.153	0.258	0.306	OK
Mike Trout	CF	36	126	33	0.262	11	22	0.436	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.328	0.465	0.565	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	12	45	14	0.311	1	6	0.373	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.277	0.320	0.467	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	33	121	28	0.231	8	27	0.324	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.299	0.519	OK
Jo Adell	RF	37	148	39	0.264	4	20	0.299	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.268	0.281	0.313	OK
Oswald Peraza	3B	24	85	24	0.282	4	9	0.344	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.288	0.355	0.397	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	33	132	34	0.258	3	20	0.310	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.314	0.331	0.453	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	11	32	6	0.188	0	0	0.297	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.202	0.291	0.208	OK
Bryce Teodosio	LF	11	32	8	0.250	0	2	0.273	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.339	0.352	0.390	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	2	2	3	7	0.182

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Schultz	Starter	4	21.1	2.56	1.043	8.5	20	6.0	3	0	0	1	5	104	6.0	5	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	17	1.0	1	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	5	15.4	4.09	1.948	9.9	17	5.0	5	5	5	4	7	105	5.0	7	5
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	13	16.1	3.91	1.304	11.7	21	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	22	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	16	8.3	4.34	2.530	10.8	10	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	15	1.0	1	1
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	4	4.2	2.14	0.476	12.9	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	13	19.5	4.15	1.385	9.2	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-2

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN 20-16 (4.08 RPG / 4.75 RA)

4 - 6

CHC 24-12 (5.36 RPG / 4.14 RA)

CHC WINS Target: CIN 4 - 6 CHC Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	9
CHC	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	x	6	9

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-23

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak7W

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
TJ Friedl	CF	31	123	24	0.195	2	7	0.272	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.269	0.384	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	8	24	7	0.292	4	5	0.414	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.285	0.385	0.833	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	36	142	39	0.275	10	25	0.352	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.252	0.354	0.396	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	36	135	34	0.252	9	29	0.335	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.154	0.185	0.238	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	19	64	18	0.281	6	15	0.361	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.326	0.587	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	33	113	28	0.248	5	11	0.323	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.318	0.382	0.399	OK
Will Benson	RF	16	44	7	0.159	1	2	0.245	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.166	0.242	0.356	OK
Jose Trevino	C	6	19	3	0.158	0	0	0.200	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.183	0.230	0.244	OK
Matt McLain	2B	32	125	24	0.192	2	9	0.299	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.137	0.180	0.219	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	4	4	0	10	0.250

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	34	139	41	0.295	4	27	0.373	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.271	0.351	0.361	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	25	77	22	0.286	6	16	0.356	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.169	0.271	0.393	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	35	141	33	0.234	3	12	0.331	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.175	0.298	0.292	OK
Ian Happ	LF	34	128	30	0.234	8	15	0.372	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.443	0.539	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	21	80	25	0.312	6	13	0.411	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.264	0.347	0.506	OK
Michael Busch	1B	34	130	29	0.223	3	18	0.327	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.356	0.463	0.686	OK
Carson Kelly	C	22	83	25	0.301	1	9	0.389	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.291	0.347	0.317	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	35	133	32	0.241	3	13	0.303	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.276	0.400	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	34	116	23	0.198	6	22	0.319	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.194	0.254	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	6	6	4	6	0.273

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	7	31.4	5.73	1.783	5.7	20	4.0	9	6	6	2	4	105	4.0	4	6
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	14	13.3	6.77	1.504	7.4	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	16	15.2	2.96	1.316	9.5	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	17	16.5	1.09	1.394	10.4	19	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	24	1.0	1	0
Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	17	16.2	2.78	1.667	11.7	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Colin Rea	Starter	7	31.5	4.57	1.365	8.6	30	5.0	6	3	3	0	6	74	5.0	6	3
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	12	24.5	2.20	1.061	8.8	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	9	5.7	12.63	2.632	15.8	10	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	24	1.0	2	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	15	11.8	4.58	1.949	12.2	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	17	14.1	2.55	1.135	3.2	5	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-4

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

CLE 18-19 (4.08 RPG / 4.32 RA)

6 - 3

KC 17-19 (4.19 RPG / 4.5 RA)

CLE WINS Target: CLE 6 - 3 KC Confidence: 53.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	6	11
KC	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Angel Martínez	LF	26	99	29	0.293	5	15	0.333	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.291	0.323	0.493	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	30	114	34	0.298	6	21	0.382	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.491	0.562	0.721	OK
José Ramírez	3B	37	137	29	0.212	6	14	0.329	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.164	0.265	0.251	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	24	79	17	0.215	3	12	0.344	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.204	0.332	0.515	OK
David Fry	RF	13	36	11	0.306	3	5	0.432	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.300	0.427	0.779	OK
Daniel Schneemann	2B	25	87	25	0.287	4	12	0.347	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.218	0.243	0.328	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	35	115	30	0.261	3	19	0.336	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.250	0.288	0.304	OK
Austin Hedges	C	13	42	13	0.310	1	3	0.348	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.345	0.390	0.596	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	1	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	-	-	-
TEAM TOTALS									38	11	6	6	5	8	0.289

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	33	132	34	0.258	3	13	0.320	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.198	0.263	0.321	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	36	143	41	0.287	3	16	0.358	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.283	0.333	0.498	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	18	58	12	0.207	1	4	0.343	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.406	0.397	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	35	139	29	0.209	5	16	0.245	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.303	0.411	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	33	124	24	0.194	4	17	0.283	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.286	0.332	0.504	OK
Starling Marte	RF	9	31	10	0.323	0	2	0.333	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.363	0.373	0.442	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	27	91	23	0.253	3	12	0.367	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.385	0.481	0.695	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	9	31	7	0.226	0	6	0.314	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.344	0.310	OK
Elias Díaz	C	3	10	4	0.400	1	3	0.455	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.400	0.455	0.900	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	3	3	3	6	0.156

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	7	32.7	3.85	1.468	9.9	36	4.0	2	2	2	3	2	77	4.0	2	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	15	15.1	3.58	1.325	10.7	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	7	5.2	8.65	1.923	12.1	7	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	17	11.4	3.16	1.140	18.9	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1.0	0	0
Matt Festa	Middle Reliever	15	13.5	6.00	1.407	10.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	13	8.0	0.00	1.750	5.6	5	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	22	1.0	2	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cole Ragans	Starter	7	31.4	5.45	1.497	11.8	41	4.0	4	2	2	3	2	89	4.0	2	2
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	16	14.4	3.75	1.458	8.8	14	1.0	5	4	4	1	1	30	1.0	1	4
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	3.41	1.212	9.5	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	2.35	1.130	7.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	14	13.5	2.00	0.667	12.0	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15	1.0	3	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	14	10.0	5.40	1.900	4.5	5	1.0	2	0	0	1	2	25	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 6-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros

LAD 23-14 (5.3 RPG / 3.22 RA)

5 - 3

HOU 15-23 (4.87 RPG / 5.84 RA)

LAD WINS Target: LAD 5 - 3 HOU Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	5	9
HOU	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	3

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	33	125	30	0.240	6	14	0.382	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.116	0.342	0.203	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	34	138	38	0.275	3	18	0.333	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.308	0.331	0.394	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	32	117	28	0.239	4	17	0.313	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.246	0.351	0.274	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	34	134	33	0.246	4	18	0.331	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.260	0.329	0.447	OK
Max Muncy	3B	33	115	33	0.287	9	13	0.393	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.268	0.436	0.421	OK
Andy Pages	CF	35	131	43	0.328	5	27	0.371	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.331	0.362	0.415	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	15	51	17	0.333	7	16	0.404	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.297	0.411	OK
Hyeseong Kim	SS	21	62	19	0.306	1	8	0.371	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.280	0.320	0.296	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	28	85	22	0.259	2	7	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.350	0.451	0.540	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	5	5	4	7	0.250

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Matthews	2B	20	64	14	0.219	3	11	0.282	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.304	0.406	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	37	139	45	0.324	12	27	0.428	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.292	0.313	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	31	113	30	0.265	3	15	0.366	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.317	0.442	0.447	OK
Christian Walker	1B	36	132	41	0.311	9	27	0.383	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.386	0.455	0.728	OK
Cam Smith	RF	34	122	27	0.221	3	15	0.309	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.268	0.308	OK
Zach Cole	CF	2	7	1	0.143	1	1	0.143	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.143	0.143	0.571	OK
Zach Dezenzo	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	1	1	3	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	1.333
Braden Shewmake	SS	3	11	3	0.273	1	1	0.273	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.273	0.545	OK
César Salazar	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	-	-	-
TEAM TOTALS									30	3	3	3	3	6	0.100

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Glasnow	Starter	6	38.2	2.59	0.838	11.1	47	4.0	2	3	3	3	4	79	4.0	4	3
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	16	13.4	2.01	0.746	10.1	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	15	11.5	1.57	0.870	12.5	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	12	8.6	1.05	1.163	12.6	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	10	13.5	3.33	1.481	10.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0
Jack Dreyer	Middle Reliever	15	13.7	3.28	1.168	12.5	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lance McCullers Jr.	Starter	6	31.1	6.37	1.415	9.5	33	6.0	9	5	5	0	5	100	6.0	5	5
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	13	12.6	5.71	1.508	8.6	12	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	23	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	13	13.8	3.91	1.522	9.8	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	18	11.7	6.15	1.880	8.5	11	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	15	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIL 19-16 (5.17 RPG / 3.86 RA)

3 - 5

STL 21-15 (4.83 RPG / 4.86 RA)

STL WINS Target: MIL 3 - 5 STL Confidence: 57.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	8
STL	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	x	5	9

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	26	91	21	0.231	1	21	0.364	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.183	0.294	0.246	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	1	4	4	1.000	0	0	1.000	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	1.000	1.000	1.500	OK
Brice Turang	2B	31	115	35	0.304	5	22	0.434	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.388	0.505	0.606	OK
William Contreras	C	31	128	38	0.297	3	23	0.366	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.370	0.420	0.509	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	28	106	27	0.255	5	18	0.336	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.361	0.327	OK
Andrew Vaughn	DH	2	8	1	0.125	0	1	0.222	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.125	0.222	0.125	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	28	100	20	0.200	3	7	0.298	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.220	0.302	0.376	OK
David Hamilton	3B	27	83	20	0.241	0	7	0.344	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.252	0.304	0.301	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	22	70	13	0.186	0	8	0.266	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.157	0.268	0.157	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	3	3	7	7	0.229

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	34	132	33	0.250	7	18	0.365	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.263	0.337	0.489	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	35	125	32	0.256	4	17	0.416	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.296	0.427	0.455	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	33	133	36	0.271	5	28	0.347	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.283	0.350	0.486	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	33	128	40	0.312	10	27	0.382	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.408	0.471	0.730	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	30	111	25	0.225	4	20	0.288	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.250	0.289	0.440	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	29	113	31	0.274	1	14	0.346	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.319	0.384	0.371	OK
Nathan Church	LF	26	97	24	0.247	4	13	0.275	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.275	0.467	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	22	76	18	0.237	3	8	0.289	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.225	0.271	0.343	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	30	87	16	0.184	1	5	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.145	0.260	0.232	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	5	5	3	13	0.273

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Sproat	Starter	6	24.8	7.26	1.734	9.1	25	5.0	3	2	2	2	6	88	5.0	6	2
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	14	10.7	4.21	1.215	11.8	14	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	16	18.2	2.97	1.648	16.8	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	20	1.0	3	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	3.00	1.083	9.8	13	1.0	3	2	2	1	2	30	1.0	2	2

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	6	31.1	3.76	1.318	7.5	26	4.0	4	2	2	6	4	96	4.0	4	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	17	15.6	2.31	1.026	11.0	19	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	17	13.5	4.67	1.630	8.7	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	17	12.2	8.85	2.541	14.8	20	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	16	13.0	4.15	1.385	9.0	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	15	16.1	2.24	1.118	5.6	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

STL wins 5-3

Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals

MIN 16-20 (4.89 RPG / 4.81 RA)

6 - 3

WAS 16-20 (5.08 RPG / 5.78 RA)

MIN WINS Target: MIN 6 - 3 WAS Confidence: 64.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	6	12
WAS	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	10

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	33	140	35	0.250	11	17	0.307	5	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.303	0.357	0.790	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	31	114	30	0.263	5	19	0.317	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.327	0.349	0.486	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	23	77	23	0.299	1	11	0.419	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.342	0.422	0.466	OK
Josh Bell	DH	33	123	27	0.220	3	18	0.302	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.157	0.193	0.179	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	21	75	16	0.213	3	9	0.337	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.243	0.412	0.387	OK
Victor Caratini	C	24	82	17	0.207	1	12	0.310	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.108	0.206	0.117	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	34	130	30	0.231	1	15	0.301	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.272	0.403	0.420	OK
Matt Wallner	RF	28	102	18	0.176	3	8	0.276	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.140	0.264	0.200	OK
Tristan Gray	3B	15	52	13	0.250	3	13	0.286	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.277	0.313	0.444	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	12	6	6	1	7	0.308

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	36	138	32	0.232	10	25	0.380	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.176	0.277	0.274	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	35	141	35	0.248	3	14	0.316	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.141	0.235	0.239	OK
Curtis Mead	1B	13	50	14	0.280	3	9	0.357	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.303	0.380	0.584	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	34	121	35	0.289	8	28	0.397	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.290	0.388	0.486	OK
Brady House	3B	27	112	24	0.214	4	14	0.273	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.157	0.236	0.316	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.329	0.296
Jacob Young	CF	30	114	25	0.219	2	14	0.258	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.173	0.196	0.201	OK
Drew Millas	C	17	52	8	0.154	0	2	0.228	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.127	0.183	0.158	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	30	101	22	0.218	0	12	0.325	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.298	0.411	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	3	3	4	5	0.270

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bailey Ober	Starter	7	37.3	3.62	1.153	7.0	29	4.0	4	1	1	2	2	80	4.0	2	1
Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	20	13.3	5.41	1.880	8.1	12	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	17	1.0	0	1
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	15	14.8	5.47	1.622	9.7	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	14	11.1	4.05	1.892	8.1	10	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	27	1.0	0	0
Kody Funderburk	Middle Reliever	16	9.6	2.81	1.875	7.5	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Luis García	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	6.00	1.000	0.0	0	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	27	1.0	1	1

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Miles Mikolas	Starter	7	26.4	8.52	1.780	6.5	19	5.0	9	4	4	1	4	103	5.0	4	4
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	14	11.0	4.09	1.636	11.5	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	17	14.3	4.41	1.608	7.6	12	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	14	1.0	1	2
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	11	21.8	4.13	1.330	6.6	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	7	5.6	1.61	2.143	11.2	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-3

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

NYM 13-22 (3.49 RPG / 4.31 RA)

4 - 3

COL 14-22 (4.22 RPG / 4.89 RA)

NYM WINS Target: NYM 4 - 3 COL Confidence: 57.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	4	8
COL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	5

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Juan Soto	LF	19	72	21	0.292	3	8	0.400	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.256	0.382	0.395	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	35	144	34	0.236	2	15	0.273	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.275	0.277	OK
MJ Melendez	RF	12	34	11	0.324	2	6	0.395	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.319	0.403	0.586	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	24	83	20	0.241	4	14	0.289	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.276	0.344	0.597	OK
Brett Baty	3B	27	93	20	0.215	1	11	0.275	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.173	0.337	0.236	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	35	125	26	0.208	1	11	0.259	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.136	0.154	0.149	OK
Carson Benge	CF	28	95	19	0.200	3	8	0.276	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.227	0.320	0.447	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	27	92	20	0.217	4	8	0.298	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.157	0.180	0.231	OK
Luis Torrens	C	10	30	5	0.167	0	2	0.194	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.156	0.196	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	1	9	0.229

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	24	84	24	0.286	2	12	0.375	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.306	0.407	0.483	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	25	96	33	0.344	11	20	0.390	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.385	0.452	0.931	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	31	123	28	0.228	9	14	0.301	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.142	0.200	0.344	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	33	125	32	0.256	3	18	0.319	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.282	0.381	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	14	52	13	0.250	1	7	0.350	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.257	0.385	0.381	OK
Troy Johnston	LF	28	104	33	0.317	2	15	0.372	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.345	0.427	0.444	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	31	92	20	0.217	1	5	0.339	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.285	0.347	0.308	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	33	123	24	0.195	1	9	0.248	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.169	0.275	0.187	OK
Jake McCarthy	CF	21	61	16	0.262	0	6	0.328	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.334	0.405	0.520	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	3	3	2	10	0.156

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	7	36.7	3.68	1.253	10.3	42	5.0	4	1	1	1	4	74	5.0	4	1
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	12	10.3	5.24	1.650	15.7	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	14	12.7	5.67	1.181	9.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	14	10.8	1.67	1.019	13.3	16	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	24	1.0	1	2
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	15	12.7	1.42	1.102	9.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	8	32.6	6.35	1.840	6.6	24	5.0	3	2	2	0	6	72	5.0	6	2
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	13	13.2	7.50	2.045	8.2	12	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	18	1.0	1	2
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	10	19.3	1.40	0.933	9.3	20	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	13	12.6	5.00	1.429	10.0	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	14	15.0	6.00	1.867	13.2	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 4-3

Oakland Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies

OAK 18-17 (4.29 RPG / 4.8 RA)

2 - 6

PHI 16-20 (3.92 RPG / 4.86 RA)

PHI WINS Target: OAK 2 - 6 PHI Confidence: 70.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
PHI	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	0	x	6	9

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	34	123	30	0.244	5	16	0.408	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.249	0.351	0.347	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	34	142	42	0.296	2	15	0.313	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.345	0.389	0.416	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	33	125	27	0.216	4	19	0.303	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.221	0.304	0.458	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	18	71	11	0.155	3	12	0.225	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.229	0.356	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	20	67	25	0.373	4	13	0.432	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.452	0.484	0.791	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	27	96	32	0.333	1	12	0.394	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.424	0.461	0.585	OK
Jonah Heim	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.251	0.308	0.500
Lawrence Butler	CF	24	87	17	0.195	3	12	0.293	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.182	0.307	0.329	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	12	40	10	0.250	2	7	0.302	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.330	0.445	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	2	2	3	7	0.182

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	35	145	35	0.241	4	12	0.299	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.272	0.433	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	36	132	27	0.205	11	20	0.348	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.169	0.263	0.354	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	36	133	38	0.286	9	23	0.377	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.373	0.459	0.841	OK
Adolis García	RF	34	125	29	0.232	2	11	0.305	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.295	0.284	OK
Edmundo Sosa	2B	12	40	10	0.250	1	5	0.268	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.294	0.304	0.413	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	19	64	16	0.250	1	7	0.319	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.196	0.210	0.253	OK
Brandon Marsh	CF	29	112	36	0.321	4	18	0.345	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.389	0.429	0.535	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	33	123	20	0.163	1	15	0.232	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.197	0.265	0.216	OK
Felix Reyes	LF	8	28	4	0.143	1	1	0.143	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.105	0.105	0.210	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	6	6	3	8	0.273

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	7	38.2	4.01	1.099	8.2	35	5.0	4	1	1	1	4	79	5.0	4	1
Jack Perkins	Middle Reliever	8	12.4	2.90	1.129	12.3	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	19	14.0	3.86	2.214	12.2	19	1.0	4	5	5	2	1	38	1.0	1	5
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	12	10.1	2.67	1.386	4.5	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	2	11.0	2.45	1.000	11.5	14	5.0	5	1	1	1	4	81	5.0	4	1
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	15	13.5	4.67	1.185	10.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	16	9.1	7.91	2.637	13.8	14	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	13	11.5	2.35	1.304	7.0	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	15	17.3	3.64	1.098	9.4	18	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 6-2

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks

PIT 19-17 (5.0 RPG / 4.39 RA)

8 - 4

ARI 17-17 (4.68 RPG / 5.32 RA)

PIT WINS Target: PIT 8 - 4 ARI Confidence: 75.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	8	9
ARI	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	9

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-4

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	33	143	37	0.259	9	28	0.316	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.238	0.275	0.357	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	30	115	28	0.243	8	21	0.356	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.231	0.392	0.497	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	35	125	32	0.256	4	22	0.405	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.305	0.479	0.636	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	33	123	37	0.301	5	24	0.380	4	3	1	4	0	1	0.750	0.236	0.310	0.328	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	30	118	38	0.322	0	17	0.370	5	0	1	0	0	3	0.000	0.324	0.417	0.350	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	28	113	21	0.186	3	13	0.252	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.322	0.388	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	28	90	22	0.244	2	12	0.369	3	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.198	0.351	0.364	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	28	104	28	0.269	2	15	0.339	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.384	0.461	0.618	OK
Henry Davis	C	22	74	12	0.162	2	7	0.244	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.147	0.200	0.382	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	9	8	8	6	9	0.257

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	31	106	26	0.245	2	11	0.354	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.259	0.357	0.510	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	31	130	29	0.223	5	13	0.273	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.208	0.246	0.390	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	32	113	30	0.265	4	19	0.366	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.186	0.272	0.298	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	DH	14	56	11	0.196	2	10	0.237	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.139	0.206	0.336	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	25	103	37	0.359	6	19	0.377	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.380	0.406	0.512	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	12	44	11	0.250	0	4	0.340	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.372	0.471	0.429	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	32	110	30	0.273	5	17	0.325	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.249	0.361	0.359	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	13	49	12	0.245	1	6	0.296	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.237	0.290	0.435	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	26	90	17	0.189	2	10	0.232	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.153	0.203	0.311	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	4	4	4	7	0.250

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	7	33.3	3.24	0.871	10.5	39	5.0	6	2	2	1	2	85	5.0	2	2
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	16	15.2	4.14	1.316	5.9	10	1.0	1	0	0	2	1	32	1.0	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	17	16.3	1.66	0.736	12.7	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0
Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	17	14.8	4.26	1.622	7.3	12	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	21	1.0	0	2
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	14	11.7	3.85	1.538	16.9	22	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17	1.0	3	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Soroka	Starter	6	30.2	4.77	1.457	10.7	36	5.0	2	2	2	5	3	104	5.0	3	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	26	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	4	4	4	1	3	40	1.0	3	4
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	18	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

PIT wins 8-4

San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants

SD 22-14 (4.5 RPG / 4.31 RA)

4 - 2

SF 14-23 (3.11 RPG / 4.24 RA)

SD WINS Target: SD 4 - 2 SF Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	10
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	7

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Merrill	CF	33	132	31	0.235	4	18	0.294	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.323	0.366	0.477	OK
Manny Machado	3B	33	118	25	0.212	5	18	0.317	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.207	0.276	0.405	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	23	85	28	0.329	2	10	0.360	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.340	0.352	0.614	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	25	90	19	0.211	2	8	0.260	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.182	0.253	0.223	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	33	128	32	0.250	0	12	0.322	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.294	0.361	OK
Ramón Laureano	LF	30	120	29	0.242	5	19	0.306	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.189	0.250	0.343	OK
Nick Castellanos	RF	17	59	11	0.186	1	11	0.234	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.209	0.245	0.394	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	18	56	9	0.161	0	3	0.279	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.137	0.239	0.203	OK
Sung-Mun Song	SS	1	4	2	0.500	0	2	0.500	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.500	0.500	0.750	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	4	4	3	9	0.270

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heliot Ramos	LF	33	127	33	0.260	3	14	0.291	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.217	0.374	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	CF	35	128	35	0.273	2	11	0.324	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.197	0.247	0.259	OK
Casey Schmitt	2B	30	111	34	0.306	6	18	0.355	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.338	0.386	0.684	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	35	134	32	0.239	1	12	0.315	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.087	0.199	0.122	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	36	137	30	0.219	2	14	0.264	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.259	0.317	0.364	OK
Willy Adames	SS	35	141	28	0.199	3	6	0.236	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.178	0.193	0.239	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	2	6	1	0.167	0	0	0.286	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.167	0.286	0.167	OK
Jesus Rodriguez	RF	2	6	2	0.333	1	2	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.833	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	26	79	12	0.152	1	5	0.212	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.153	0.193	0.198	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	2	2	2	10	0.206

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bradgley Rodriguez	Starter	14	13.4	2.01	1.343	8.1	12	6.0	2	0	0	1	6	85	6.0	6	0
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	16	16.1	1.12	0.621	17.9	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	15	15.2	7.11	1.645	12.4	21	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	11	9.3	1.94	0.860	4.8	5	1.0	4	2	2	0	2	23	1.0	2	2

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Adrian Houser	Starter	6	28.7	7.53	1.812	5.0	16	4.0	9	4	4	1	3	92	4.0	3	4
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	14	11.8	5.34	1.780	9.9	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	2.54	0.845	8.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	15	13.9	1.29	1.151	11.7	18	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Matt Gage	Middle Reliever	16	10.5	1.71	1.524	7.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Ryan Borucki	Middle Reliever	13	9.0	7.00	2.111	9.0	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

SD wins 4-2

Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees

TEX 16-19 (3.74 RPG / 3.86 RA)

2 - 5

NYY 25-11 (5.53 RPG / 3.33 RA)

NYY WINS Target: TEX 2 - 5 NYY Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	5
NYY	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	x	5	5

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-19

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff34

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak5W

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	DH	33	130	39	0.300	4	12	0.374	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.367	0.448	0.419	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	21	67	20	0.299	1	7	0.373	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.390	0.473	0.595	OK
Corey Seager	SS	34	126	26	0.206	6	17	0.311	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.188	0.309	0.278	OK
Josh Jung	3B	31	118	40	0.339	4	19	0.392	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.392	0.417	0.514	OK
Evan Carter	CF	30	96	18	0.188	3	9	0.307	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.088	0.224	0.156	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	13	47	9	0.191	1	4	0.283	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.176	0.240	0.254	OK
Jake Burger	1B	34	136	28	0.206	5	18	0.243	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.155	0.203	0.311	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	7	15	2	0.133	0	1	0.381	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.114	0.359	0.192	OK
Andrew McCutchen	RF	10	28	7	0.250	1	3	0.300	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.241	0.294	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	2	2	3	7	0.156

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	29	104	17	0.163	3	15	0.305	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.319	0.504	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	36	128	35	0.273	14	27	0.411	4	1	1	4	0	0	0.250	0.370	0.524	0.810	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	34	125	35	0.280	5	24	0.376	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.406	0.473	0.926	OK
Jasson Domínguez	DH	7	26	6	0.231	1	4	0.286	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.315	0.483	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	33	124	27	0.218	4	13	0.305	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.351	0.415	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	11	39	8	0.205	2	5	0.295	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.295	0.482	OK
Austin Wells	C	27	83	16	0.193	3	5	0.333	2	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.216	0.338	0.382	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	24	80	17	0.212	2	9	0.276	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.316	0.329	0.526	OK
José Caballero	SS	35	123	32	0.260	4	13	0.311	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.242	0.314	0.441	OK
TEAM TOTALS									29	5	5	5	2	4	0.172

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	7	39.2	4.82	1.352	9.0	39	5.0	5	5	5	1	3	95	5.0	3	5
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	14	15.1	1.79	0.728	3.6	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	14	16.5	1.09	0.485	8.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	14	1.0	0	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	15	11.8	6.10	1.525	12.2	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	7	35.8	2.51	1.117	11.6	46	6.0	1	0	0	2	3	83	6.0	3	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	15	14.4	3.75	1.597	11.2	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	17	9.0	4.00	2.333	20.0	20	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	23	1.0	2	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	19	15.3	1.76	1.503	11.8	20	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	21	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

TOR 16-21 (3.97 RPG / 4.57 RA)

3 - 4

TB 24-12 (4.42 RPG / 4.0 RA)

TB WINS Target: TOR 3 - 4 TB Confidence: 55.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	5
TB	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	x	4	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed1.4

Run Diff20

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak5W

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	18	68	13	0.191	2	6	0.295	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.211	0.326	0.271	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	35	131	32	0.244	10	23	0.327	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.312	0.388	0.821	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	35	130	43	0.331	2	16	0.416	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.351	0.314	OK
Lenyn Sosa	2B	12	43	10	0.233	1	4	0.227	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.260	0.411	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	35	142	41	0.289	1	9	0.313	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.291	0.295	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	14	39	5	0.128	0	5	0.306	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.102	0.330	0.176	OK
Myles Straw	CF	13	38	11	0.289	1	3	0.391	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.370	0.396	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	RF	7	21	10	0.476	0	4	0.500	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.474	0.500	0.526	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	16	48	9	0.188	0	2	0.235	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.128	0.170	0.128	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	3	3	2	8	0.156

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	33	125	40	0.320	5	22	0.406	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.299	0.341	0.466	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	10	30	10	0.333	1	8	0.375	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.376	0.416	0.546	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	34	130	34	0.262	9	16	0.353	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.274	0.427	0.509	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	33	125	35	0.280	7	29	0.363	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.428	0.445	0.577	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	16	57	15	0.263	1	6	0.300	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.261	0.282	0.326	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	23	80	20	0.250	0	10	0.318	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.272	0.322	0.319	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	33	134	40	0.299	0	6	0.329	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.287	0.287	OK
Nick Fortes	C	21	74	20	0.270	1	7	0.289	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.204	0.216	0.237	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	23	71	14	0.197	0	6	0.296	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.197	0.292	0.262	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	4	4	2	8	0.273

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Corbin	Starter	5	23.5	3.83	1.319	7.7	20	4.0	8	4	4	1	5	94	4.0	5	4
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	17	15.1	0.60	1.192	17.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	17	15.5	1.74	1.032	5.8	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	17	14.5	6.21	1.931	18.0	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	17	14.6	3.70	1.438	11.1	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane McClanahan	Starter	6	28.3	3.18	1.201	9.5	30	6.0	1	0	0	0	5	82	6.0	5	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	15	13.2	2.73	0.909	10.2	15	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	14	14.1	3.19	1.348	12.1	19	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	24	1.0	2	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	15	18.5	2.92	1.459	7.3	15	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	27	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners

ATL Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins

BAL Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers

BOS Recent Form

DET Recent Form

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

CHW Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

CLE Recent Form

KC Recent Form

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros

LAD Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals

MIN Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

NYM Recent Form

COL Recent Form

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation