MLB Predictions — May 5, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ SEA	5 - 2	5 - 2	ATL wins 5-2	66%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ MIA	3 - 7	3 - 7	MIA wins 7-3	71%	enhanced_ml
BOS @ DET	5 - 1	5 - 1	BOS wins 5-1	56%	enhanced_ml
CHW @ LAA	5 - 2	5 - 2	CHW wins 5-2	77%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ CHC	1 - 7	1 - 7	CHC wins 7-1	79%	enhanced_ml
CLE @ KC	7 - 2	7 - 2	CLE wins 7-2	55%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ HOU	4 - 3	4 - 3	LAD wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ STL	4 - 6	4 - 6	STL wins 6-4	56%	enhanced_ml
MIN @ WAS	3 - 6	3 - 6	WAS wins 6-3	61%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ COL	5 - 4	5 - 4	NYM wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10)	57%	enhanced_ml
OAK @ PHI	1 - 7	1 - 7	PHI wins 7-1	68%	enhanced_ml
PIT @ ARI	6 - 2	6 - 2	PIT wins 6-2	72%	enhanced_ml
SD @ SF	3 - 5	3 - 5	SF wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ NYY	1 - 5	1 - 5	NYY wins 5-1	58%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ TB	1 - 4	1 - 4	TB wins 4-1	60%	enhanced_ml

Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners

ATL 25-11 (5.81 RPG / 3.58 RA)

5 - 2

SEA 17-19 (4.11 RPG / 4.03 RA)

ATL WINS Target: ATL 5 - 2 SEA Confidence: 66.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	5	10
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	4

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	36	147	46	0.313	9	30	0.392	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.325	0.421	0.587	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	36	139	46	0.331	8	23	0.381	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.403	0.458	0.720	OK
Matt Olson	1B	36	140	42	0.300	12	32	0.383	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.301	0.408	0.815	OK
Michael Harris II	LF	27	102	31	0.304	6	18	0.333	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.328	0.350	0.473	OK
Mauricio Dubón	CF	34	124	32	0.258	2	18	0.319	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.197	0.312	0.326	OK
Austin Riley	3B	35	134	29	0.216	5	22	0.293	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.252	0.287	0.491	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	17	59	22	0.373	4	17	0.397	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.351	0.373	0.542	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	25	90	18	0.200	0	6	0.265	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.205	0.218	0.257	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	13	41	12	0.293	1	3	0.326	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.297	0.311	0.470	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	5	5	5	8	0.270

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	27	95	20	0.211	3	9	0.370	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.417	0.488	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	32	127	23	0.181	7	17	0.269	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.167	0.244	0.477	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	36	142	38	0.268	4	16	0.338	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.315	0.348	0.595	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	33	130	29	0.223	4	17	0.287	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.292	0.371	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	36	128	35	0.273	3	12	0.367	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.188	0.297	0.378	OK
Luke Raley	RF	25	84	22	0.262	5	14	0.319	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.149	0.216	0.364	OK
Cole Young	2B	36	128	33	0.258	3	19	0.324	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.246	0.322	OK
Mitch Garver	C	11	34	7	0.206	0	1	0.386	1	0	0	0	3	0	0.000	0.238	0.423	0.238	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	26	80	11	0.138	0	5	0.278	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.093	0.276	0.101	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	2	2	6	4	0.129

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	7	41.6	1.95	1.082	7.8	36	5.0	1	0	0	2	3	84	5.0	3	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	17	15.3	2.94	1.242	10.6	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	16	9.2	6.85	2.174	10.8	11	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	28	1.0	0	1
Reynaldo López	Middle Reliever	7	24.2	3.35	1.364	8.6	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	5	10.2	4.41	1.176	10.6	12	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	39	1.0	0	1

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	7	43.6	3.10	1.170	7.0	34	6.0	7	2	2	2	4	103	6.0	4	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	15	13.3	5.41	1.429	15.6	23	1.0	3	3	3	3	1	41	1.0	1	3
Jose A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	17	14.9	2.42	1.678	7.9	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	17	12.4	1.45	1.290	8.7	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-2

Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins

BAL 16-20 (4.56 RPG / 5.64 RA)

3 - 7

MIA 16-20 (4.25 RPG / 4.36 RA)

MIA WINS Target: BAL 3 - 7 MIA Confidence: 70.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	5
MIA	1	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	x	7	11

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed8.1

Run Diff-37

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	34	144	30	0.208	9	19	0.272	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.224	0.339	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	34	125	36	0.288	1	12	0.423	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.201	0.448	0.238	OK
Dylan Beavers	DH	24	82	18	0.220	2	9	0.286	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.174	0.245	0.242	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	35	130	28	0.215	6	15	0.320	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.358	0.638	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	24	90	20	0.222	5	9	0.293	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.259	0.285	0.455	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	21	69	20	0.290	2	17	0.410	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.350	0.416	OK
Colton Cowser	RF	19	54	11	0.204	0	4	0.302	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.202	0.299	0.248	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	25	84	14	0.167	3	11	0.239	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.127	0.150	0.262	OK
Blaze Alexander	2B	23	75	16	0.213	0	2	0.272	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.294	0.337	0.336	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	3	3	1	9	0.156

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	35	129	43	0.333	2	11	0.419	3	2	1	3	1	1	0.667	0.322	0.372	0.488	OK
Liam Hicks	1B	26	93	29	0.312	7	29	0.364	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.237	0.344	0.564	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	34	136	46	0.338	3	15	0.372	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.387	0.394	0.462	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	13	50	12	0.240	0	1	0.333	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.227	0.320	0.256	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	33	128	23	0.180	1	7	0.303	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.189	0.302	0.247	OK
Connor Norby	DH	30	100	23	0.230	3	11	0.333	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.215	0.332	0.314	OK
Joe Mack	C	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	-	0.250	-
Owen Caissie	RF	26	85	17	0.200	1	13	0.237	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.107	0.123	0.140	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	22	67	11	0.164	1	6	0.211	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.121	0.190	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	11	7	7	4	9	0.314

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Bassitt	Starter	6	26.6	5.75	1.955	5.8	17	3.0	8	5	5	4	4	96	3.0	4	5
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	4	3.1	20.32	3.226	11.6	4	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	21	1.0	2	1
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	16	13.5	0.67	0.370	10.7	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	14	14.4	2.50	1.042	11.2	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Keegan Akin	Middle Reliever	4	3.2	19.69	2.812	8.4	3	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	15	1.0	2	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	17	9.2	1.96	0.761	10.8	11	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	7	47.1	3.06	1.168	5.9	31	5.0	3	3	3	0	5	79	5.0	5	3
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	11	20.4	1.32	1.422	9.7	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	15	11.6	4.66	1.810	11.6	15	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	21	1.0	2	0
John King	Middle Reliever	17	12.4	0.73	0.645	10.2	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	15	10.2	6.18	1.863	14.1	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 7-3

Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers

BOS 15-21 (4.03 RPG / 4.33 RA)

5 - 1

DET 18-19 (4.46 RPG / 4.19 RA)

BOS WINS Target: BOS 5 - 1 DET Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	5	7
DET	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	4

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	28	116	24	0.207	4	18	0.264	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.262	0.299	0.546	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	34	122	33	0.270	7	21	0.381	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.330	0.409	0.567	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	34	128	38	0.297	4	15	0.379	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.305	0.451	0.384	OK
Trevor Story	SS	33	135	28	0.207	2	18	0.243	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.299	0.313	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	30	108	28	0.259	1	8	0.328	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.227	0.270	0.290	OK
Andruw Monasterio	DH	11	41	9	0.220	1	6	0.304	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.247	0.312	0.452	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	31	108	18	0.167	1	10	0.256	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.158	0.228	0.216	OK
Connor Wong	C	13	40	10	0.250	0	5	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.159	0.276	0.234	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	11	32	7	0.219	0	1	0.265	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.241	0.215	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	7	5	5	6	9	0.212

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt Vierling	CF	19	66	14	0.212	0	11	0.274	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.197	0.257	0.309	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	33	129	41	0.318	2	16	0.409	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.281	0.375	0.357	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	8	22	6	0.273	1	3	0.304	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.271	0.388	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	26	99	26	0.263	6	24	0.336	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.306	0.467	OK
Riley Greene	LF	35	127	37	0.291	4	19	0.392	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.285	0.380	0.407	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	16	55	6	0.109	0	2	0.169	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.254	0.230	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	33	113	25	0.221	6	14	0.338	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.234	0.321	0.489	OK
Zach McKinstry	3B	13	43	9	0.209	1	5	0.261	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.259	0.308	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	10	32	6	0.188	0	3	0.257	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.188	0.266	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	1	1	2	8	0.129

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jovani Morán	Starter	9	17.7	2.03	1.017	8.6	17	5.0	2	1	1	2	4	84	5.0	4	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	0.80	0.893	11.2	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	14	14.1	3.83	1.348	10.9	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	15	11.1	6.49	1.892	14.6	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Zack Kelly	Middle Reliever	12	10.8	5.00	1.296	8.3	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	7	40.1	3.37	1.272	7.2	32	6.0	3	2	2	3	7	109	6.0	7	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	10	7.4	3.65	1.486	12.2	10	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	27	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	16	15.5	0.58	1.290	7.5	13	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	15	12.1	5.95	2.314	8.2	11	1.0	3	3	3	0	0	23	1.0	0	3

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-1

Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

CHW 17-18 (4.29 RPG / 4.54 RA)

5 - 2

LAA 13-23 (4.39 RPG / 4.97 RA)

CHW WINS Target: CHW 5 - 2 LAA Confidence: 76.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	5	10
LAA	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-31

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	32	123	33	0.268	1	4	0.345	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.296	0.360	0.376	OK
Miguel Vargas	1B	32	120	27	0.225	7	18	0.356	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.281	0.392	0.458	OK
Colson Montgomery	3B	33	121	27	0.223	9	23	0.333	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.332	0.378	OK
Randal Grichuk	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.251	0.382
Edgar Quero	C	21	72	12	0.167	0	5	0.256	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.171	0.243	0.184	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	24	94	23	0.245	2	13	0.273	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.294	0.311	0.380	OK
Derek Hill	CF	9	24	5	0.208	1	1	0.269	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.190	0.252	0.371	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	22	69	12	0.174	0	3	0.247	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.107	0.249	0.122	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	15	52	13	0.250	1	7	0.365	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.334	0.431	0.488	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	5	5	1	4	0.270

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	36	143	30	0.210	5	15	0.323	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.092	0.205	0.141	OK
Mike Trout	CF	35	124	31	0.250	10	21	0.422	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.387	0.461	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	32	128	33	0.258	3	19	0.312	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.345	0.362	0.509	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	32	117	27	0.231	7	26	0.326	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.308	0.422	OK
Jo Adell	RF	36	145	39	0.269	4	20	0.305	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.290	0.303	0.335	OK
Yoán Moncada	3B	25	85	13	0.153	3	8	0.287	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.119	0.170	0.174	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	11	42	14	0.333	1	6	0.396	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.350	0.386	0.558	OK
Sebastián Rivero	C	2	6	3	0.500	0	0	0.500	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.500	0.500	0.500	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	26	88	14	0.159	4	10	0.211	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.083	0.094	0.144	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	2	2	4	5	0.182

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Erick Fedde	Starter	6	32.4	3.33	1.080	6.1	22	6.0	4	0	0	3	4	100	6.0	4	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	17	1.0	0	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	13	1.0	0	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sam Aldegheri	Starter	1	1.2	7.50	2.500	15.0	2	4.0	6	4	4	1	3	83	4.0	3	4
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	12	14.9	3.62	1.342	10.9	18	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	2.0	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	16	8.3	4.34	2.530	10.8	10	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	3	3.2	2.81	0.312	11.2	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	13	19.5	4.15	1.385	9.2	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-2

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN 20-15 (4.14 RPG / 4.8 RA)

1 - 7

CHC 23-12 (5.43 RPG / 4.2 RA)

CHC WINS Target: CIN 1 - 7 CHC Confidence: 79.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4
CHC	0	1	2	0	4	0	0	0	x	7	11

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed6.9

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak6W

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
TJ Friedl	CF	30	118	24	0.203	2	7	0.282	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.271	0.310	0.512	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	7	20	6	0.300	3	4	0.440	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.285	0.431	0.770	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	35	137	39	0.285	10	25	0.364	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.309	0.411	0.458	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	35	131	33	0.252	9	29	0.338	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.125	0.184	0.211	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	18	60	16	0.267	5	14	0.353	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.266	0.346	0.643	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	32	109	27	0.248	5	11	0.325	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.363	0.437	0.472	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	25	82	15	0.183	2	6	0.284	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.272	0.322	OK
Matt McLain	2B	31	121	24	0.198	2	9	0.307	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.153	0.194	0.241	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	27	87	11	0.126	2	3	0.191	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.185	0.240	0.375	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	1	1	3	8	0.129

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	33	136	40	0.294	4	27	0.365	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.241	0.299	0.328	OK
Alex Bregman	DH	34	137	32	0.234	3	11	0.329	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.177	0.316	0.296	OK
Ian Happ	LF	33	124	30	0.242	8	15	0.377	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.275	0.468	0.613	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	20	76	25	0.329	6	13	0.422	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.345	0.420	0.617	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	33	111	22	0.198	6	22	0.324	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.223	0.309	0.310	OK
Michael Busch	1B	33	126	26	0.206	2	16	0.311	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.261	0.383	0.485	OK
Matt Shaw	3B	19	61	17	0.279	3	9	0.328	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.309	0.381	0.547	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	16	52	12	0.231	2	6	0.322	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.206	0.319	0.353	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	34	129	31	0.240	3	13	0.305	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.284	0.476	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	11	7	7	2	6	0.314

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	7	33.5	6.18	1.731	6.4	24	4.0	6	3	3	0	2	62	4.0	2	3
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	14	13.3	6.77	1.504	7.4	11	1.0	3	4	4	2	1	39	1.0	1	4
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	2.54	1.338	9.5	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	17	16.5	1.09	1.394	10.4	19	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	16	15.1	2.38	1.589	11.3	19	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jameson Taillon	Starter	6	34.2	4.47	1.170	8.2	31	6.0	2	0	0	1	4	86	6.0	4	0
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	12	24.5	2.20	1.061	8.8	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	9	5.7	12.63	2.632	15.8	10	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	14	10.8	5.00	2.130	12.5	15	1.0	0	1	1	1	3	18	1.0	3	1

Game Summary

CHC wins 7-1

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

CLE 18-19 (4.08 RPG / 4.32 RA)

7 - 2

KC 17-19 (4.19 RPG / 4.5 RA)

CLE WINS Target: CLE 7 - 2 KC Confidence: 55.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	7	10
KC	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	5

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff22

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	33	129	28	0.217	1	9	0.311	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.207	0.334	0.260	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	29	110	33	0.300	6	21	0.386	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.492	0.567	0.741	OK
José Ramírez	3B	36	133	29	0.218	6	14	0.338	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.196	0.300	0.307	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	25	89	15	0.169	1	6	0.250	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.133	0.185	0.141	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	23	76	16	0.211	2	9	0.337	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.174	0.332	0.380	OK
Daniel Schneemann	SS	24	83	24	0.289	4	12	0.352	5	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.262	0.339	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	6	20	4	0.200	0	2	0.385	3	1	1	2	2	1	0.333	0.210	0.375	0.210	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	25	96	29	0.302	5	15	0.343	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.284	0.315	0.482	OK
Bo Naylor	C	21	73	10	0.137	1	4	0.182	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.116	0.134	0.194	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	7	7	7	4	0.270

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	32	129	34	0.264	3	13	0.322	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.273	0.307	0.492	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	35	139	39	0.281	3	16	0.354	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.237	0.319	0.434	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	32	120	24	0.200	4	17	0.291	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.324	0.393	0.574	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	34	135	28	0.207	5	14	0.245	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.310	0.404	OK
Carter Jensen	C	29	101	24	0.238	6	17	0.328	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.139	0.239	0.207	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	28	97	24	0.247	3	6	0.336	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.344	0.534	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	26	88	20	0.227	2	11	0.349	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.299	0.416	0.432	OK
Michael Massey	2B	19	59	12	0.203	1	7	0.222	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.145	0.173	0.230	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	26	82	24	0.293	3	8	0.356	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.295	0.359	0.410	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	2	2	1	7	0.156

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	7	42.4	2.76	1.038	11.2	53	5.0	4	1	1	1	3	77	5.0	3	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	15	15.1	3.58	1.325	10.7	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	7	5.2	8.65	1.923	12.1	7	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	9	1.0	0	1
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	17	11.4	3.16	1.140	18.9	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12	1.0	2	0
Matt Festa	Middle Reliever	15	13.5	6.00	1.407	10.0	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Stephen Kolek	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	4.0	5	3	3	2	2	77	4.0	2	3
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	15	13.4	4.03	1.493	8.7	13	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	3.41	1.212	9.5	14	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	2.57	1.238	7.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	13	12.5	2.16	0.640	13.0	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	14	10.0	5.40	1.900	4.5	5	1.0	2	3	3	3	0	35	1.0	0	3

Game Summary

CLE wins 7-2

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros

LAD 22-13 (5.23 RPG / 3.29 RA)

4 - 3

HOU 14-22 (5.03 RPG / 5.81 RA)

LAD WINS Target: LAD 4 - 3 HOU Confidence: 63.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	8
HOU	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dalton Rushing	DH	14	48	17	0.354	7	16	0.426	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.271	0.351	0.497	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	33	134	37	0.276	3	18	0.336	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.274	0.297	0.330	OK
Will Smith	C	24	96	27	0.281	3	16	0.340	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.308	0.361	0.420	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	33	131	32	0.244	4	17	0.327	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.320	0.462	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	31	113	28	0.248	4	17	0.323	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.353	0.276	OK
Max Muncy	3B	32	112	33	0.295	9	13	0.397	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.310	0.457	0.507	OK
Andy Pages	CF	34	127	40	0.315	5	27	0.360	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.265	0.300	0.360	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	27	84	22	0.262	2	7	0.323	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.338	0.394	0.504	OK
Miguel Rojas	SS	11	37	13	0.351	1	4	0.368	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.338	0.348	0.547	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	2	8	0.229

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Correa	SS	32	122	34	0.279	3	16	0.369	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.276	0.370	0.473	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	36	135	45	0.333	12	27	0.438	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.300	0.384	0.466	OK
Isaac Paredes	1B	30	111	30	0.270	3	15	0.367	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.340	0.435	0.460	OK
Christian Walker	DH	35	129	40	0.310	8	26	0.384	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.395	0.460	0.616	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	33	129	32	0.248	3	9	0.336	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.223	0.271	0.323	OK
Cam Smith	RF	33	119	27	0.227	3	15	0.316	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.298	0.386	OK
Zach Cole	CF	1	4	1	0.250	1	1	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	14	50	17	0.340	2	11	0.400	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.300	0.337	0.391	OK
Nick Allen	3B	4	11	3	0.273	0	0	0.385	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.273	0.385	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	3	3	6	12	0.156

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shohei Ohtani	Starter	5	30.0	0.60	0.867	10.2	34	4.0	3	1	1	5	3	93	4.0	3	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	16	13.4	2.01	0.746	10.1	15	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	22	1.0	0	2
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	14	10.5	1.71	0.952	12.9	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	20	1.0	3	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	12	8.6	1.05	1.163	12.6	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	10	13.5	3.33	1.481	10.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Jack Dreyer	Middle Reliever	15	13.7	3.28	1.168	12.5	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	3	15.1	3.58	1.258	11.3	19	5.0	5	2	2	2	4	92	5.0	4	2
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	13	12.6	5.71	1.508	8.6	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	12	11.8	3.81	1.525	9.9	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	18	11.7	6.15	1.880	8.5	11	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	13	11.4	10.26	2.544	15.8	20	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	21	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIL 18-16 (5.15 RPG / 3.91 RA)

4 - 6

STL 21-14 (4.91 RPG / 4.83 RA)

STL WINS Target: MIL 4 - 6 STL Confidence: 56.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	4	8
STL	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	x	6	9

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	26	91	21	0.231	1	21	0.364	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.183	0.294	0.246	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	22	70	13	0.186	0	8	0.266	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.157	0.268	0.157	OK
Brice Turang	2B	31	115	35	0.304	5	22	0.434	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.388	0.505	0.606	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	28	106	27	0.255	5	18	0.336	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.361	0.327	OK
William Contreras	C	31	128	38	0.297	3	23	0.366	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.370	0.420	0.509	OK
David Hamilton	3B	27	83	20	0.241	0	7	0.344	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.304	0.301	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	28	100	20	0.200	3	7	0.298	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.302	0.376	OK
Brandon Lockridge	LF	22	76	22	0.289	0	9	0.372	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.327	0.417	0.381	OK
Tyler Black	3B	5	20	9	0.450	0	7	0.476	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.450	0.476	0.650	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	1	9	0.229

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Victor Scott II	CF	30	87	16	0.184	1	5	0.250	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.145	0.260	0.232	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	29	113	31	0.274	1	14	0.346	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.319	0.384	0.371	OK
JJ Wetherholt	SS	34	132	33	0.250	7	18	0.365	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.263	0.337	0.489	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	33	133	36	0.271	5	28	0.347	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.283	0.350	0.486	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	22	76	18	0.237	3	8	0.289	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.271	0.343	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	30	111	25	0.225	4	20	0.288	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.289	0.440	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	33	128	40	0.312	10	27	0.382	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.408	0.471	0.730	OK
Nathan Church	LF	26	97	24	0.247	4	13	0.275	3	2	1	1	0	1	0.667	0.270	0.275	0.467	OK
Iván Herrera	C	35	125	32	0.256	4	17	0.416	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.296	0.427	0.455	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	6	6	1	7	0.273

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Sproat	Starter	6	24.8	7.26	1.734	9.1	25	3.0	9	6	6	0	3	65	3.0	3	6
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	14	10.7	4.21	1.215	11.8	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	16	18.2	2.97	1.648	16.8	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	3.00	1.083	9.8	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	18	13.5	4.00	1.333	10.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
DL Hall	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	2.05	1.515	13.0	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	6	31.1	3.76	1.318	7.5	26	5.0	3	1	1	1	5	76	5.0	5	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	17	15.6	2.31	1.026	11.0	19	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	17	13.5	4.67	1.630	8.7	13	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	14	1.0	1	1
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	17	12.2	8.85	2.541	14.8	20	1.0	3	2	2	0	2	25	1.0	2	2
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	16	13.0	4.15	1.385	9.0	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 6-4

Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals

MIN 16-20 (4.89 RPG / 4.81 RA)

3 - 6

WAS 16-20 (5.08 RPG / 5.78 RA)

WAS WINS Target: MIN 3 - 6 WAS Confidence: 61.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
WAS	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	x	6	9

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	32	134	34	0.254	10	14	0.313	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.314	0.373	0.733	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	22	72	21	0.292	1	9	0.420	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.321	0.407	0.449	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	24	87	25	0.287	4	21	0.382	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.316	0.367	0.494	OK
Josh Bell	DH	32	118	26	0.220	3	17	0.306	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.161	0.199	0.185	OK
Austin Martin	RF	21	67	22	0.328	1	6	0.477	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.346	0.455	0.404	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	20	73	16	0.219	3	9	0.321	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.364	0.394	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	33	128	29	0.227	1	15	0.284	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.308	0.373	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	30	109	27	0.248	5	16	0.305	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.311	0.340	0.407	OK
Royce Lewis	3B	22	74	13	0.176	3	10	0.274	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.131	0.180	0.189	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	3	10	0.206

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	35	134	31	0.231	10	24	0.383	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.311	0.311	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	34	138	34	0.246	3	14	0.311	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.147	0.217	0.205	OK
Curtis Mead	1B	12	46	12	0.261	3	8	0.346	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.269	0.378	0.552	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	33	117	35	0.299	8	27	0.408	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.379	0.472	0.600	OK
Jacob Young	CF	29	110	25	0.227	2	14	0.267	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.240	0.226	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	21	63	17	0.270	0	3	0.356	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.256	0.246	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	29	98	22	0.224	0	12	0.327	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.319	0.429	0.321	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.229	0.329	0.296
Keibert Ruiz	C	18	58	11	0.190	1	7	0.213	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.188	0.201	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	6	6	3	3	0.273

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	7	40.3	2.90	1.241	9.8	44	5.0	7	4	4	2	0	87	5.0	0	4
Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	20	13.3	5.41	1.880	8.1	12	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	22	1.0	1	2
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	14	13.8	5.22	1.594	9.8	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	14	11.1	4.05	1.892	8.1	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	7	29.5	3.97	1.729	11.6	38	5.0	4	3	3	3	5	98	5.0	5	3
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	14	11.0	4.09	1.636	11.5	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	17	14.3	4.41	1.608	7.6	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	11	21.8	4.13	1.330	6.6	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	7	5.6	1.61	2.143	11.2	7	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 6-3

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

NYM 13-22 (3.49 RPG / 4.31 RA)

5 - 4

COL 14-22 (4.22 RPG / 4.89 RA)

NYM WINS Target: NYM 5 - 4 COL Confidence: 57.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	1	5	10
COL	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	OF	28	95	19	0.200	3	8	0.276	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.227	0.320	0.447	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	35	144	34	0.236	2	15	0.273	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.275	0.277	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	35	125	26	0.208	1	11	0.259	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.136	0.154	0.149	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	24	83	20	0.241	4	14	0.289	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.276	0.344	0.597	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	27	92	20	0.217	4	8	0.298	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.157	0.180	0.231	OK
Brett Baty	RF	27	93	20	0.215	1	11	0.275	5	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.173	0.337	0.236	OK
Tyrone Taylor	RF	15	44	10	0.227	1	4	0.261	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.205	0.239	0.255	OK
Juan Soto	LF	19	72	21	0.292	3	8	0.400	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.256	0.382	0.395	OK
MJ Melendez	LF	12	34	11	0.324	2	6	0.395	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.319	0.403	0.586	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	10	5	5	5	7	0.250

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	21	61	16	0.262	0	6	0.328	4	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.334	0.405	0.520	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	33	123	24	0.195	1	9	0.248	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.169	0.275	0.187	OK
Willi Castro	2B	25	92	23	0.250	1	11	0.310	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.240	0.270	0.267	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	33	125	32	0.256	3	18	0.319	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.246	0.282	0.381	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	31	123	28	0.228	9	14	0.301	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.142	0.200	0.344	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	31	92	20	0.217	1	5	0.339	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.285	0.347	0.308	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	28	104	33	0.317	2	15	0.372	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.345	0.427	0.444	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	25	96	33	0.344	11	20	0.390	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.385	0.452	0.931	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	24	84	24	0.286	2	12	0.375	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.306	0.407	0.483	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	7	4	4	6	9	0.189

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	7	36.7	3.68	1.253	10.3	42	3.0	2	3	3	6	3	95	3.0	3	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	12	10.3	5.24	1.650	15.7	18	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	14	12.7	5.67	1.181	9.2	13	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	14	10.8	1.67	1.019	13.3	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	15	12.7	1.42	1.102	9.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	4.22	1.562	12.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Tobias Myers	Reliever	10	20.6	2.18	0.922	7.0	16	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	22	1.0	1	0
Austin Warren	Reliever	5	5.4	1.67	1.111	13.3	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	8	32.6	6.35	1.840	6.6	24	5.0	4	2	2	1	3	77	5.0	3	2
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	13	13.2	7.50	2.045	8.2	12	1.0	3	2	2	2	0	32	1.0	0	2
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	10	19.3	1.40	0.933	9.3	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	13	12.6	5.00	1.429	10.0	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	14	15.0	6.00	1.867	13.2	22	2.0	2	1	1	2	3	49	2.0	3	1

Game Summary

NYM wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

Oakland Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies

OAK 18-17 (4.29 RPG / 4.8 RA)

1 - 7

PHI 16-20 (3.92 RPG / 4.86 RA)

PHI WINS Target: OAK 1 - 7 PHI Confidence: 68.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
PHI	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	2	x	7	11

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	SS	33	139	41	0.295	2	15	0.312	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.374	0.426	0.477	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	17	67	11	0.164	3	12	0.237	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.192	0.234	0.356	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	33	119	29	0.244	5	16	0.412	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.280	0.397	0.429	OK
Colby Thomas	RF	5	14	4	0.286	1	2	0.375	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.286	0.375	0.500	OK
Zack Gelof	CF	11	37	9	0.243	2	7	0.282	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.279	0.336	0.471	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	32	122	27	0.221	4	19	0.304	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.261	0.346	0.529	OK
Austin Wynns	C	10	34	3	0.088	0	0	0.162	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.072	0.153	0.072	OK
Darell Hernaiz	2B	14	44	9	0.205	1	4	0.314	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.346	0.296	OK
Brett Harris	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	1	1	4	6	0.129

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	34	140	33	0.236	4	11	0.296	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.192	0.227	0.358	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	35	127	27	0.213	11	20	0.359	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.265	0.375	0.569	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	35	129	35	0.271	7	20	0.362	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.291	0.412	0.594	OK
Adolis García	RF	33	122	29	0.238	2	10	0.309	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.285	0.326	0.332	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	28	107	33	0.308	4	18	0.333	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.343	0.381	0.496	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	18	60	15	0.250	1	5	0.324	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.224	0.239	0.251	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	26	96	19	0.198	2	10	0.252	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.161	0.208	0.442	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	32	120	19	0.158	1	15	0.224	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.166	0.212	0.194	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	29	99	26	0.263	0	7	0.330	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.281	0.317	0.403	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	11	7	7	6	5	0.314

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Severino	Starter	7	37.4	4.57	1.471	9.6	40	4.0	7	3	3	3	1	97	4.0	1	3
Jack Perkins	Middle Reliever	8	12.4	2.90	1.129	12.3	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	19	14.0	3.86	2.214	12.2	19	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	24	1.0	1	2
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	12	10.1	2.67	1.386	4.5	5	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	16	11.9	6.81	1.933	11.3	15	1.0	2	2	2	2	0	35	1.0	0	2

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	7	39.4	2.97	1.548	11.4	50	4.0	4	0	0	3	3	93	4.0	3	0
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	15	13.5	4.67	1.185	10.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	11	1.0	2	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	16	9.1	7.91	2.637	13.8	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	13	11.5	2.35	1.304	7.0	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	15	17.3	3.64	1.098	9.4	18	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	9	6.8	10.59	2.059	11.9	9	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	8	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

PHI wins 7-1

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks

PIT 19-16 (5.14 RPG / 4.26 RA)

6 - 2

ARI 16-17 (4.55 RPG / 5.48 RA)

PIT WINS Target: PIT 6 - 2 ARI Confidence: 71.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	6	12
ARI	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	8

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed6.8

Run Diff-22

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	32	139	37	0.266	9	28	0.325	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.245	0.295	0.387	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	29	114	38	0.333	0	17	0.382	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.352	0.439	0.379	OK
Bryan Reynolds	RF	34	122	32	0.262	4	22	0.409	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.298	0.474	0.617	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	32	120	37	0.308	5	24	0.388	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.265	0.334	0.364	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	27	110	21	0.191	3	13	0.252	5	2	1	4	0	1	0.400	0.235	0.294	0.408	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	27	102	27	0.265	2	15	0.330	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.384	0.453	0.601	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	15	61	17	0.279	0	1	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.315	0.279	OK
Joey Bart	C	13	41	9	0.220	1	2	0.273	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.279	0.304	0.371	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	6	23	5	0.217	0	1	0.308	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.214	0.312	0.238	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	12	6	6	3	12	0.316

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	30	102	25	0.245	2	9	0.352	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.266	0.389	0.494	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	30	125	27	0.216	5	11	0.269	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.163	0.211	0.293	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	31	110	30	0.273	4	18	0.372	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.320	0.448	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	DH	14	56	11	0.196	2	10	0.237	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.139	0.206	0.336	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	24	98	36	0.367	6	18	0.386	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.411	0.436	0.565	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	11	43	10	0.233	0	4	0.283	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.302	0.345	0.353	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	31	109	30	0.275	5	17	0.310	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.299	0.348	0.512	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	12	45	10	0.222	1	5	0.280	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.239	0.299	0.417	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	25	87	16	0.184	2	10	0.220	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.189	0.203	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	2	2	3	5	0.229

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	6	28.3	5.09	1.519	8.6	27	4.0	6	1	1	2	2	80	4.0	2	1
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	3.17	1.197	6.3	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	17	16.3	1.66	0.736	12.7	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	17	14.8	4.26	1.622	7.3	12	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	12	1.0	0	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	14	11.7	3.85	1.538	16.9	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	15	19.8	2.27	1.263	10.9	24	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	13	1.0	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	6	32.2	3.07	1.429	6.1	22	4.0	4	1	1	3	8	91	4.0	8	1
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	26	1.0	1	2
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	23	1.0	2	1
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	11	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

PIT wins 6-2

San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants

SD 20-14 (4.32 RPG / 4.38 RA)

3 - 5

SF 14-21 (3.11 RPG / 4.06 RA)

SF WINS Target: SD 3 - 5 SF Confidence: 51.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	3
SF	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	x	5	10

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Merrill	CF	32	127	28	0.220	4	16	0.283	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.300	0.372	OK
Manny Machado	3B	32	113	25	0.221	5	18	0.328	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.224	0.295	0.429	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	22	80	25	0.312	2	9	0.345	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.280	0.293	0.538	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	24	85	17	0.200	2	8	0.253	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.149	0.236	0.203	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	32	123	31	0.252	0	12	0.326	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.273	0.306	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	33	122	32	0.262	5	18	0.343	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.185	0.283	0.273	OK
Nick Castellanos	LF	16	56	10	0.179	1	9	0.233	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.159	0.208	0.335	OK
Luis Campusano	C	15	45	13	0.289	3	8	0.347	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.321	0.375	0.759	OK
Sung-Mun Song	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	1.333
TEAM TOTALS									30	3	3	3	5	10	0.100

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	34	124	34	0.274	2	10	0.326	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.306	0.331	OK
Casey Schmitt	2B	29	107	33	0.308	5	16	0.359	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.354	0.413	0.636	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	35	133	29	0.218	2	14	0.264	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.323	0.367	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	32	123	33	0.268	3	14	0.300	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.254	0.414	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.250	0.333	0.500
Matt Chapman	3B	34	130	32	0.246	1	12	0.324	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.134	0.260	0.194	OK
Willy Adames	SS	34	137	27	0.197	3	6	0.236	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.164	0.180	0.225	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	15	47	13	0.277	2	5	0.320	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.304	0.337	0.406	OK
Jesus Rodriguez	C	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	1.000
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	5	5	2	5	0.294

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	6	23.6	5.72	1.653	9.2	24	3.0	3	4	4	1	1	53	3.0	1	4
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	16	16.1	1.12	0.621	17.9	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	15	15.2	7.11	1.645	12.4	21	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	21	1.0	0	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	10	8.3	2.17	0.964	5.4	5	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	14	13.4	2.01	1.343	8.1	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Ron Marinaccio	Middle Reliever	12	17.5	5.66	1.600	6.7	13	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	7	44.0	4.30	1.364	7.8	38	5.0	2	2	2	2	5	73	5.0	5	2
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	14	11.8	5.34	1.780	9.9	13	1.0	1	0	0	2	2	32	1.0	2	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	2.54	0.845	8.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	15	13.9	1.29	1.151	11.7	18	1.0	0	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Matt Gage	Middle Reliever	16	10.5	1.71	1.524	7.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

SF wins 5-3

Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees

TEX 16-19 (3.74 RPG / 3.86 RA)

1 - 5

NYY 25-11 (5.53 RPG / 3.33 RA)

NYY WINS Target: TEX 1 - 5 NYY Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	5
NYY	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	x	5	9

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.6

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-11

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs7.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff39

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Evan Carter	CF	29	93	17	0.183	3	9	0.294	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.072	0.149	0.135	OK
Corey Seager	SS	33	122	26	0.213	6	17	0.315	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.341	0.376	OK
Josh Jung	3B	30	113	37	0.327	4	19	0.384	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.366	0.411	0.494	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	25	71	13	0.183	1	4	0.286	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.110	0.192	0.121	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	20	63	17	0.270	1	6	0.343	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.310	0.401	0.438	OK
Jake Burger	1B	33	132	28	0.212	5	17	0.245	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.156	0.178	0.313	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	6	14	2	0.143	0	1	0.368	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.116	0.323	0.193	OK
Danny Jansen	C	21	71	15	0.211	2	8	0.291	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.202	0.328	0.471	OK
Andrew McCutchen	RF	9	24	5	0.208	1	3	0.269	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.152	0.217	0.267	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	1	1	1	8	0.156

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	28	100	17	0.170	3	15	0.315	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.221	0.334	0.515	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	35	125	34	0.272	14	27	0.409	3	3	1	4	1	0	1.000	0.328	0.489	0.728	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	33	122	33	0.270	5	21	0.366	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.355	0.413	0.786	OK
Jasson Domínguez	DH	6	22	6	0.273	1	4	0.333	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.341	0.525	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	32	120	26	0.217	3	12	0.307	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.352	0.324	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	10	35	6	0.171	1	4	0.275	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.162	0.254	0.317	OK
Austin Wells	C	26	80	16	0.200	3	5	0.337	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.223	0.347	0.393	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	23	76	15	0.197	1	7	0.265	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.277	0.366	OK
José Caballero	SS	34	119	31	0.261	4	13	0.312	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.258	0.330	0.494	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	5	5	3	7	0.273

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	6	30.4	2.07	0.987	11.8	40	4.0	5	1	1	1	5	80	4.0	5	1
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	14	15.1	1.79	0.728	3.6	6	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	14	16.5	1.09	0.485	8.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	15	11.8	6.10	1.525	12.2	16	1.0	3	4	4	2	1	35	1.0	1	4
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	15	13.8	1.96	1.522	7.8	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz	Starter	1	4.0	4.50	2.000	6.8	3	4.0	5	1	1	1	5	92	4.0	5	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	3.41	1.667	10.9	16	3.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	3.0	2	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	16	8.0	4.50	2.375	21.4	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	18	14.2	1.90	1.620	10.8	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-1

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

TOR 16-20 (4.08 RPG / 4.61 RA)

1 - 4

TB 23-12 (4.46 RPG / 4.11 RA)

TB WINS Target: TOR 1 - 4 TB Confidence: 59.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	3
TB	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	x	4	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed1.3

Run Diff23

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	17	64	13	0.203	2	6	0.301	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.243	0.352	0.335	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	6	17	9	0.529	0	3	0.556	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.531	0.559	0.594	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	34	127	30	0.236	9	22	0.322	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.277	0.377	0.734	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	26	96	25	0.260	4	14	0.295	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.263	0.353	OK
Lenyn Sosa	1B	11	40	9	0.225	1	4	0.220	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.235	0.395	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	30	113	26	0.230	4	9	0.304	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.208	0.267	0.394	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	34	138	40	0.290	1	9	0.315	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.286	0.368	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	31	115	30	0.261	3	16	0.289	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.215	0.240	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	14	45	10	0.222	3	6	0.271	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.329	0.536	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	3	1	1	1	5	0.100

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	32	130	38	0.292	0	6	0.324	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.277	0.271	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	33	127	33	0.260	9	16	0.349	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.262	0.395	0.519	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	32	121	33	0.273	7	28	0.359	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.395	0.423	0.516	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	32	121	39	0.322	5	21	0.410	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.280	0.359	0.453	OK
Jake Fraley	RF	20	61	15	0.246	2	5	0.324	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.246	0.309	0.392	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	22	76	18	0.237	0	9	0.310	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.284	0.279	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	27	101	13	0.129	2	9	0.191	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.079	0.138	0.109	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	13	29	8	0.276	0	3	0.400	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.314	0.430	0.378	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	17	43	8	0.186	1	4	0.357	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.089	0.293	0.121	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	4	4	3	7	0.273

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	7	39.5	3.19	0.987	9.1	40	4.0	7	2	2	2	3	91	4.0	3	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	16	14.9	0.60	1.208	16.9	28	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	14	1.0	1	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	16	15.4	0.58	0.779	5.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	16	13.5	6.67	2.000	18.7	28	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	17	14.6	3.70	1.438	11.1	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	6	30.2	2.68	0.861	9.5	32	5.0	2	0	0	0	4	69	5.0	4	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	15	13.2	2.73	0.909	10.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	14	14.1	3.19	1.348	12.1	19	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	12	1.0	0	1
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	14	17.5	3.09	1.543	7.7	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Hunter Bigge	Middle Reliever	9	8.6	4.19	1.395	8.4	8	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-1

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners

ATL Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins

BAL Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers

BOS Recent Form

DET Recent Form

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

CHW Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

CLE Recent Form

KC Recent Form

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros

LAD Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals

MIN Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

NYM Recent Form

COL Recent Form

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation