MLB Predictions — May 4, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ SEA	7 - 4	7 - 4	ATL wins 7-4	68%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ NYY	4 - 8	4 - 8	NYY wins 8-4	58%	enhanced_ml
BOS @ DET	2 - 6	2 - 6	DET wins 6-2	60%	enhanced_ml
CHW @ LAA	7 - 1	7 - 1	CHW wins 7-1	62%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ CHC	2 - 9	2 - 9	CHC wins 9-2	79%	enhanced_ml
CLE @ KC	7 - 5	7 - 5	CLE wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10)	51%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ HOU	6 - 1	6 - 1	LAD wins 6-1	64%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ STL	5 - 4	5 - 4	MIL wins 5-4	63%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ COL	5 - 2	5 - 2	NYM wins 5-2	58%	enhanced_ml
PHI @ MIA	4 - 6	4 - 6	MIA wins 6-4	58%	enhanced_ml
SD @ SF	6 - 3	6 - 3	SD wins 6-3	57%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ TB	4 - 6	4 - 6	TB wins 6-4	66%	enhanced_ml

Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners

ATL 25-10 (5.86 RPG / 3.54 RA)

7 - 4

SEA 16-19 (4.09 RPG / 4.03 RA)

ATL WINS Target: ATL 7 - 4 SEA Confidence: 68.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	2	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	7	10
SEA	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	4	8

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	35	143	45	0.315	8	29	0.391	4	1	1	4	0	0	0.250	0.369	0.448	0.573	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	35	135	45	0.333	7	22	0.384	4	3	1	0	1	0	0.750	0.432	0.490	0.754	OK
Matt Olson	1B	35	137	41	0.299	11	31	0.380	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.330	0.412	0.800	OK
Mauricio Dubón	CF	33	120	32	0.267	2	18	0.328	3	1	1	1	2	1	0.333	0.149	0.335	0.245	OK
Austin Riley	3B	34	130	27	0.208	4	21	0.288	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.220	0.269	0.398	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	24	86	17	0.198	0	6	0.266	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.195	0.213	0.259	OK
Sean Murphy	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	-	-	-
Eli White	RF	14	39	8	0.205	2	7	0.238	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.259	0.301	0.556	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	12	38	11	0.289	1	3	0.325	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.310	0.322	0.544	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	10	7	7	5	9	0.278

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	26	92	19	0.207	2	7	0.360	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.259	0.389	0.374	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	35	138	37	0.268	4	16	0.336	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.354	0.368	0.688	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	32	125	27	0.216	4	17	0.283	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.280	0.307	0.420	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	35	125	34	0.272	3	12	0.363	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.224	0.319	0.505	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	22	65	18	0.277	3	11	0.333	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.284	0.319	0.427	OK
Luke Raley	RF	24	82	21	0.256	4	11	0.307	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.112	0.137	0.182	OK
Cole Young	2B	35	124	33	0.266	3	19	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.299	0.315	0.392	OK
Mitch Garver	C	10	31	7	0.226	0	1	0.400	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.260	0.439	0.260	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	25	77	11	0.143	0	5	0.280	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.118	0.296	0.133	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	4	6	0.229

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
JR Ritchie	Starter	2	12.1	2.98	1.322	8.2	11	5.0	3	2	2	1	5	82	5.0	5	2
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	16	14.3	1.89	1.189	10.1	16	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	15	9.0	7.00	1.889	10.0	10	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	10	1.0	0	1
Reynaldo López	Middle Reliever	7	24.2	3.35	1.364	8.6	23	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	5	10.2	4.41	1.176	10.6	12	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	25	1.0	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	7	37.3	4.10	1.314	9.4	39	3.0	6	3	3	1	4	69	3.0	4	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	14	12.3	5.85	1.463	15.4	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jose A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	16	13.8	2.61	1.739	7.8	12	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	22	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	16	12.2	1.48	1.230	8.1	11	1.0	2	3	3	1	0	24	1.0	0	3
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	15	10.0	3.60	1.900	10.8	12	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Cooper Criswell	Middle Reliever	12	15.1	2.38	0.927	8.3	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Cole Wilcox	Reliever	11	11.7	6.15	2.479	11.5	15	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	23	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 7-4

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

BAL 15-19 (4.53 RPG / 5.41 RA)

4 - 8

NYY 23-11 (5.29 RPG / 3.38 RA)

NYY WINS Target: BAL 4 - 8 NYY Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	7
NYY	0	2	0	0	1	5	0	0	x	8	9

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed7.5

Run Diff-24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff30

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	33	139	29	0.209	9	19	0.275	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.252	0.385	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	18	70	20	0.286	4	16	0.333	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.216	0.226	0.403	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	23	78	17	0.218	2	9	0.287	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.140	0.221	0.194	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	34	126	27	0.214	6	15	0.322	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.271	0.389	0.688	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	23	86	20	0.233	5	9	0.305	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.289	0.311	0.499	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	20	66	19	0.288	2	17	0.405	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.210	0.326	0.377	OK
Colton Cowser	LF	18	52	10	0.192	0	3	0.271	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.169	0.200	0.227	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	29	107	28	0.262	6	24	0.279	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.221	0.363	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	22	71	13	0.183	0	2	0.247	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.262	0.299	0.293	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	4	4	1	13	0.206

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	27	97	15	0.155	3	14	0.294	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.155	0.234	0.372	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	34	121	32	0.264	13	23	0.403	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.334	0.491	0.740	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	32	118	32	0.271	5	18	0.371	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.381	0.457	0.845	OK
Jasson Domínguez	DH	5	18	5	0.278	1	3	0.316	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.278	0.316	0.556	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	31	116	25	0.216	3	12	0.303	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.236	0.335	0.316	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	9	31	5	0.161	1	4	0.278	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.144	0.241	0.316	OK
Austin Wells	C	25	78	16	0.205	3	5	0.330	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.376	0.509	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	22	72	14	0.194	1	6	0.266	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.276	0.295	0.400	OK
José Caballero	SS	33	116	30	0.259	4	12	0.306	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.223	0.279	0.398	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	8	8	5	3	0.273

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	6	32.6	4.69	1.564	8.0	29	5.0	6	3	3	2	2	89	5.0	2	3
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	4	3.1	20.32	3.226	11.6	4	1.0	3	5	5	3	0	43	1.0	0	5
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	16	13.5	0.67	0.370	10.7	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	8	1.0	1	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	14	14.4	2.50	1.042	11.2	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	7	41.2	1.53	0.752	10.7	49	5.0	4	3	3	1	7	84	5.0	7	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	3.41	1.667	10.9	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	20	1.0	3	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	16	8.0	4.50	2.375	21.4	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	18	14.2	1.90	1.620	10.8	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	14	10.9	1.65	0.734	3.3	4	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	23	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 8-4

Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers

BOS 13-21 (3.82 RPG / 4.38 RA)

2 - 6

DET 18-17 (4.51 RPG / 4.0 RA)

DET WINS Target: BOS 2 - 6 DET Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	6
DET	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1	x	6	9

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

DET Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	DH	27	111	21	0.189	3	15	0.250	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.232	0.276	0.491	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	33	118	33	0.280	7	21	0.387	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.356	0.414	0.618	OK
Roman Anthony	LF	28	107	24	0.224	0	4	0.352	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.372	0.358	OK
Trevor Story	SS	32	130	27	0.208	2	18	0.245	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.286	0.294	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	33	124	37	0.298	4	14	0.379	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.292	0.447	0.374	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	29	103	26	0.252	1	8	0.325	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.192	0.238	0.257	OK
Marcelo Mayer	2B	25	80	18	0.225	1	7	0.300	1	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.259	0.335	0.301	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	21	70	16	0.229	2	3	0.260	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.210	0.252	0.437	OK
Andruw Monasterio	3B	10	37	8	0.216	1	6	0.310	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.166	0.285	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	2	2	3	7	0.182

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jahmai Jones	DH	7	20	6	0.300	1	3	0.300	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.261	0.261	0.519	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	18	63	14	0.222	0	10	0.275	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.258	0.343	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	25	95	25	0.263	6	22	0.340	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.306	0.468	OK
Riley Greene	LF	34	123	36	0.293	4	19	0.396	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.300	0.396	0.457	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	32	109	25	0.229	6	14	0.349	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.314	0.500	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	15	51	6	0.118	0	2	0.182	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.301	0.263	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	9	28	6	0.214	0	3	0.290	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.218	0.303	0.278	OK
Colt Keith	3B	24	87	24	0.276	0	4	0.308	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.259	0.226	OK
Zack Short	SS	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	6	6	3	6	0.273

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	2	10.2	3.53	1.078	13.2	15	3.0	6	5	5	0	0	54	3.0	0	5
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	11	10.2	0.88	0.980	11.5	13	1.0	0	0	0	2	2	30	1.0	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	13	13.1	2.75	1.221	10.3	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	15	11.1	6.49	1.892	14.6	18	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Danny Coulombe	Middle Reliever	12	4.5	10.00	2.667	10.0	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0
Zack Kelly	Middle Reliever	12	10.8	5.00	1.296	8.3	10	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	14	11.1	6.49	2.342	8.1	10	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	25	1.0	1	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	9	6.4	4.22	1.562	12.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	16	15.5	0.58	1.290	7.5	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Burch Smith	Middle Reliever	5	8.1	2.22	1.358	12.2	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Brant Hurter	Middle Reliever	14	15.2	1.78	0.921	7.1	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Drew Anderson	Reliever	11	17.7	5.59	1.412	11.2	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Ricky Vanasco	Reliever	1	1.1	8.18	1.818	16.4	2	3.0	4	1	1	1	2	50	3.0	2	1

Game Summary

DET wins 6-2

Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

CHW 16-18 (4.24 RPG / 4.68 RA)

7 - 1

LAA 13-22 (4.51 RPG / 4.94 RA)

CHW WINS Target: CHW 7 - 1 LAA Confidence: 62.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	2	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	7	10
LAA	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	14	48	11	0.229	1	7	0.345	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.299	0.395	0.486	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	33	120	27	0.225	13	26	0.365	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.135	0.282	0.346	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	31	115	25	0.217	6	17	0.355	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.258	0.365	0.392	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	32	116	26	0.224	9	22	0.338	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.215	0.381	0.493	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	31	118	32	0.271	1	3	0.351	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.317	0.382	0.397	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	23	89	19	0.213	2	12	0.245	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.191	0.214	0.293	OK
Jarred Kelenic	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.500	0.500	1.250
Tristan Peters	CF	22	66	18	0.273	0	4	0.333	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.336	0.413	0.339	OK
Drew Romo	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.500
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	7	7	3	2	0.270

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	35	139	30	0.216	5	15	0.331	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.125	0.237	0.183	OK
Mike Trout	CF	34	120	31	0.258	10	21	0.433	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.334	0.484	0.519	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	31	124	31	0.250	3	19	0.307	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.335	0.365	0.457	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	31	113	27	0.239	7	26	0.336	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.361	0.464	OK
Yoán Moncada	3B	24	82	13	0.159	3	8	0.296	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.141	0.233	0.225	OK
Jo Adell	RF	35	142	38	0.268	4	20	0.305	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.305	0.315	0.341	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	25	85	14	0.165	4	10	0.217	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.094	0.104	0.210	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	10	29	4	0.138	0	0	0.265	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.140	0.258	0.159	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	14	45	13	0.289	1	5	0.360	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.254	0.437	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	1	1	3	9	0.182

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	6	36.3	1.98	1.102	8.2	33	5.0	3	0	0	1	5	81	5.0	5	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	25	1.0	1	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	2	0.3	90.00	20.000	30.0	1	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	7	42.2	0.85	0.948	10.5	49	2.0	5	1	1	2	0	49	2.0	0	1
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	12	14.9	3.62	1.342	10.9	18	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	13	1.0	0	1
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	16	8.3	4.34	2.530	10.8	10	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	13	1.0	0	1
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	3	3.2	2.81	0.312	11.2	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	12	18.5	4.38	1.405	9.2	19	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Drew Pomeranz	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	9.39	1.913	7.8	10	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Tayler Saucedo	Reliever	1	0.2	45.00	0.000	90.0	2	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	13	1.0	0	1
Nick Sandlin	Reliever	7	7.5	9.60	1.600	7.2	6	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

CHW wins 7-1

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN 20-14 (4.15 RPG / 4.79 RA)

2 - 9

CHC 22-12 (5.44 RPG / 4.21 RA)

CHC WINS Target: CIN 2 - 9 CHC Confidence: 79.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	8
CHC	0	0	4	0	3	0	2	0	x	9	9

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed7.0

Run Diff-25

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak5W

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
TJ Friedl	CF	29	115	24	0.209	2	7	0.289	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.295	0.338	0.510	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	6	15	5	0.333	2	3	0.500	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.324	0.481	0.726	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	34	133	36	0.271	10	25	0.349	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.200	0.316	0.353	OK
Sal Stewart	2B	34	127	32	0.252	9	29	0.340	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.099	0.143	0.174	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	17	57	16	0.281	5	14	0.359	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.273	0.337	0.608	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	31	105	25	0.238	5	10	0.319	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.335	0.411	0.436	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	24	78	14	0.179	2	6	0.286	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.206	0.272	0.309	OK
Will Benson	RF	15	41	6	0.146	1	2	0.222	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.151	0.207	0.393	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	26	84	10	0.119	1	1	0.178	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.171	0.198	0.297	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	2	2	4	6	0.229

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	32	132	39	0.295	4	26	0.371	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.257	0.336	0.372	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	24	74	22	0.297	6	16	0.361	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.206	0.303	0.473	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	33	134	31	0.231	3	11	0.325	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.164	0.294	0.262	OK
Ian Happ	LF	32	121	30	0.248	8	15	0.381	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.290	0.478	0.652	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	19	73	23	0.315	5	10	0.407	4	0	1	0	0	2	0.000	0.309	0.361	0.535	OK
Michael Busch	1B	32	123	26	0.211	2	16	0.312	4	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.282	0.416	0.536	OK
Carson Kelly	C	21	80	25	0.312	1	9	0.396	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.347	0.387	0.386	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	33	125	30	0.240	3	13	0.307	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.240	0.318	0.507	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	32	107	22	0.206	6	22	0.333	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.229	0.334	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	9	9	3	5	0.273

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Petty	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	3	4	4	2	1	53	3.0	1	4
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	13	13.1	5.50	1.374	6.9	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	2.54	1.338	9.5	15	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	24	1.0	1	3
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	16	15.3	1.18	1.307	10.0	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	16	15.1	2.38	1.589	11.3	19	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	27	1.0	0	2
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	16	13.0	4.15	1.769	13.2	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Edward Cabrera	Starter	6	34.4	3.14	1.221	7.6	29	5.0	4	0	0	1	2	81	5.0	2	0
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	11	23.5	1.91	1.021	8.8	23	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	23	1.0	2	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	8	5.6	12.86	2.679	16.1	10	1.0	2	1	1	2	1	32	1.0	1	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	14	10.8	5.00	2.130	12.5	15	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	10	1.0	1	1
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	16	13.9	2.59	1.079	3.2	5	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 9-2

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

CLE 18-17 (4.17 RPG / 4.26 RA)

7 - 5

KC 15-19 (4.12 RPG / 4.62 RA)

CLE WINS Target: CLE 7 - 5 KC Confidence: 51.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
CLE	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	11
KC	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	5	10

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	32	125	28	0.224	1	9	0.319	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.233	0.376	0.302	OK
Daniel Schneemann	CF	23	79	24	0.304	4	12	0.368	4	2	1	2	2	2	0.500	0.188	0.226	0.333	OK
José Ramírez	3B	35	129	28	0.217	6	14	0.340	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.174	0.281	0.286	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	22	72	16	0.222	2	9	0.352	6	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.374	0.495	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	5	16	3	0.188	0	2	0.409	5	3	1	1	1	0	0.600	0.188	0.409	0.188	OK
David Fry	DH	12	33	9	0.273	2	3	0.415	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.252	0.426	0.650	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	24	94	28	0.298	5	15	0.333	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.320	0.327	0.451	OK
Bo Naylor	C	20	70	10	0.143	1	4	0.189	3	2	1	1	2	1	0.667	0.148	0.166	0.235	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	34	112	30	0.268	3	19	0.344	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.239	0.286	0.298	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	11	7	7	8	10	0.275

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	31	125	34	0.272	3	13	0.331	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.267	0.297	0.469	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	34	135	38	0.281	2	15	0.357	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.336	0.360	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	31	116	22	0.190	4	16	0.285	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.301	0.364	0.547	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	33	131	27	0.206	5	13	0.245	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.230	0.295	0.354	OK
Carter Jensen	C	28	97	23	0.237	6	17	0.330	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.122	0.260	0.189	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	17	55	12	0.218	1	4	0.348	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.268	0.426	0.372	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	27	94	23	0.245	2	5	0.330	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.215	0.308	0.372	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	25	86	20	0.233	2	11	0.343	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.306	0.382	0.440	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	8	27	6	0.222	0	4	0.323	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.181	0.302	0.240	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	10	5	5	2	8	0.250

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	7	34.4	4.19	1.483	8.4	32	5.0	7	3	3	0	5	89	5.0	5	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	15	15.1	3.58	1.325	10.7	18	1.0	1	0	0	2	2	27	1.0	2	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	7	5.2	8.65	1.923	12.1	7	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	12	1.0	0	1
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	17	11.4	3.16	1.140	18.9	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Matt Festa	Middle Reliever	14	12.3	5.85	1.382	10.2	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Reliever	6	9.3	1.94	0.860	7.7	8	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	14	1.0	0	1

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	6	37.1	3.15	1.132	8.0	33	4.0	5	3	3	4	5	93	4.0	5	3
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	15	13.4	4.03	1.493	8.7	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	13	12.2	3.69	1.311	10.3	14	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	2.57	1.238	7.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	13	12.5	2.16	0.640	13.0	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	14	10.0	5.40	1.900	4.5	5	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	22	1.0	2	1
Alex Lange	Reliever	12	13.2	6.82	1.742	13.0	19	1.0	3	3	3	1	1	35	1.0	1	3

Game Summary

CLE wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10)

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros

LAD 21-13 (5.15 RPG / 3.29 RA)

6 - 1

HOU 14-21 (5.09 RPG / 5.74 RA)

LAD WINS Target: LAD 6 - 1 HOU Confidence: 64.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	6	10
HOU	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	32	122	30	0.246	6	13	0.382	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.158	0.321	0.250	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	32	129	35	0.271	3	16	0.333	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.252	0.277	0.310	OK
Will Smith	C	23	91	24	0.264	3	15	0.327	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.261	0.335	0.365	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	30	108	27	0.250	4	17	0.328	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.291	0.427	0.321	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	32	126	30	0.238	3	15	0.324	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.239	0.329	0.364	OK
Max Muncy	3B	31	109	33	0.303	9	13	0.397	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.314	0.425	0.508	OK
Andy Pages	CF	33	122	39	0.320	5	27	0.366	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.272	0.317	0.385	OK
Hyeseong Kim	SS	20	57	18	0.316	1	8	0.385	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.296	0.345	0.314	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	26	80	19	0.238	1	6	0.295	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.259	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	6	6	4	10	0.270

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Correa	SS	31	118	34	0.288	3	16	0.380	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.320	0.420	0.511	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	35	132	43	0.326	12	27	0.430	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.298	0.390	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	29	108	29	0.269	3	15	0.363	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.339	0.434	0.491	OK
Christian Walker	1B	34	125	40	0.320	8	26	0.394	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.410	0.479	0.635	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	32	125	31	0.248	3	8	0.338	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.243	0.330	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	19	61	14	0.230	3	11	0.284	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.285	0.348	0.517	OK
Cam Smith	RF	32	115	26	0.226	3	15	0.318	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.307	0.396	OK
Zach Cole	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	-	-	-
Yainer Diaz	C	25	101	25	0.248	2	14	0.264	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.324	0.328	0.435	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	1	1	1	5	0.156

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	6	37.2	2.90	1.022	7.7	32	5.0	5	1	1	1	2	87	5.0	2	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	16	13.4	2.01	0.746	10.1	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	14	10.5	1.71	0.952	12.9	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	11	7.6	1.18	1.316	10.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	10	13.5	3.33	1.481	10.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	17	11.5	5.48	1.565	7.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	13	12.6	5.71	1.508	8.6	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	12	11.8	3.81	1.525	9.9	13	1.0	5	2	2	0	2	29	1.0	2	2
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	12	10.4	11.25	2.692	14.7	17	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	14	1.0	1	1
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever	14	20.6	5.68	1.505	8.7	20	1.0	1	1	1	2	2	29	1.0	2	1
Kai-Wei Teng	Reliever	13	18.2	2.97	1.154	9.9	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Ryan Weiss	Reliever	8	19.8	7.27	2.172	11.4	25	3.0	3	2	2	2	3	62	3.0	3	2

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-1

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIL 18-15 (5.21 RPG / 3.85 RA)

5 - 4

STL 20-14 (4.88 RPG / 4.88 RA)

MIL WINS Target: MIL 5 - 4 STL Confidence: 62.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	5	9
STL	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	7

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	25	86	21	0.244	1	21	0.381	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.230	0.350	0.314	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.200	0.200	0.200
Brice Turang	2B	30	110	32	0.291	4	20	0.428	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.360	0.507	0.509	OK
William Contreras	C	30	123	37	0.301	3	23	0.372	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.354	0.408	0.485	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	27	104	26	0.250	5	18	0.328	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.199	0.302	0.268	OK
Andrew Vaughn	DH	1	4	1	0.250	0	1	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	27	97	19	0.196	3	7	0.291	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.234	0.311	0.434	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	23	87	17	0.195	0	10	0.260	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.211	0.258	0.281	OK
David Hamilton	SS	26	79	20	0.253	0	7	0.359	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.319	0.374	0.383	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	5	5	3	11	0.250

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	33	128	31	0.242	7	16	0.357	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.248	0.303	0.513	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	34	120	30	0.250	4	14	0.417	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.435	0.431	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	32	128	36	0.281	5	28	0.359	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.314	0.396	0.571	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	32	125	39	0.312	10	27	0.379	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.375	0.423	0.678	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	29	107	23	0.215	4	20	0.281	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.234	0.435	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	28	110	30	0.273	1	13	0.341	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.309	0.383	0.363	OK
Nathan Church	LF	25	93	23	0.247	4	13	0.276	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.280	0.286	0.428	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	21	73	18	0.247	3	8	0.291	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.276	0.446	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	29	84	14	0.167	1	5	0.237	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.084	0.202	0.212	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	4	4	2	9	0.206

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chad Patrick	Starter	6	27.3	2.64	1.282	5.3	16	5.0	4	4	4	2	4	89	5.0	4	4
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	14	10.7	4.21	1.215	11.8	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	16	18.2	2.97	1.648	16.8	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	3.00	1.083	9.8	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	17	13.3	4.06	1.278	10.2	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	6	29.1	5.57	1.684	6.8	22	4.0	5	2	2	0	5	83	4.0	5	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	16	15.4	2.34	1.039	11.1	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	16	12.5	5.04	1.600	9.4	13	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	24	1.0	2	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	16	11.2	9.64	2.768	15.3	19	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	29	1.0	0	3
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	15	12.8	4.22	1.250	8.4	12	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	22	1.0	0	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	14	16.0	1.12	0.938	5.6	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-4

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

NYM 13-22 (3.49 RPG / 4.31 RA)

5 - 2

COL 14-22 (4.22 RPG / 4.89 RA)

NYM WINS Target: NYM 5 - 2 COL Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	5	6
COL	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Juan Soto	LF	18	69	21	0.304	3	8	0.407	3	0	1	0	2	3	0.000	0.292	0.394	0.484	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	34	140	34	0.243	2	15	0.280	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.282	0.312	0.321	OK
MJ Melendez	RF	11	31	11	0.355	2	6	0.429	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.392	0.490	0.625	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	23	79	19	0.241	4	12	0.291	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.291	0.344	0.750	OK
Brett Baty	3B	26	89	20	0.225	1	11	0.286	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.429	0.271	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	34	122	26	0.213	1	11	0.265	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.202	0.220	0.224	OK
Carson Benge	CF	27	93	18	0.194	2	7	0.265	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.316	0.330	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	26	89	19	0.213	4	8	0.297	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.121	0.145	0.162	OK
Luis Torrens	C	9	27	4	0.148	0	1	0.179	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.146	0.188	0.198	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	5	5	4	12	0.182

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mickey Moniak	LF	24	92	31	0.337	11	20	0.386	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.386	0.467	1.030	OK
Tyler Freeman	DH	13	49	13	0.265	1	7	0.357	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.322	0.432	0.505	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	32	121	32	0.264	3	18	0.328	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.298	0.328	0.480	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	30	119	28	0.235	9	14	0.311	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.188	0.261	0.473	OK
Willi Castro	2B	24	88	22	0.250	1	11	0.312	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.325	0.331	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	17	59	9	0.153	1	8	0.190	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.169	0.197	0.272	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	30	89	19	0.213	1	4	0.339	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.255	0.353	0.279	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	32	120	24	0.200	1	9	0.254	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.306	0.214	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	23	78	13	0.167	1	3	0.253	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.170	0.271	0.229	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	2	2	1	8	0.206

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	14	11.7	1.54	1.197	10.0	13	1.0	4	2	2	1	0	24	1.0	0	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	11	9.3	5.81	1.828	16.5	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	14	12.7	5.67	1.181	9.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	14	10.8	1.67	1.019	13.3	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever	7	5.4	5.00	1.667	13.3	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Tobias Myers	Reliever	10	20.6	2.18	0.922	7.0	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Austin Warren	Reliever	4	3.4	2.65	1.471	13.2	5	3.0	2	0	0	0	3	43	3.0	3	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	6	30.5	2.95	1.213	6.2	21	4.0	4	2	2	2	7	86	4.0	7	2
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	13	13.2	7.50	2.045	8.2	12	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	10	19.3	1.40	0.933	9.3	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	13	12.6	5.00	1.429	10.0	14	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	22	1.0	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	13	13.0	6.92	2.154	11.8	17	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	15	1.0	2	1
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	14	8.5	6.35	2.588	13.8	13	1.0	0	1	1	1	2	23	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

NYM wins 5-2

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins

PHI 14-20 (3.85 RPG / 5.12 RA)

4 - 6

MIA 16-18 (4.29 RPG / 4.32 RA)

MIA WINS Target: PHI 4 - 6 MIA Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
MIA	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	0	x	6	10

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	33	136	33	0.243	4	11	0.304	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.262	0.289	0.438	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	34	123	27	0.220	11	20	0.368	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.295	0.420	0.629	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	34	125	32	0.256	6	19	0.352	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.216	0.358	0.370	OK
Adolis García	RF	32	118	27	0.229	2	10	0.303	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.258	0.316	0.329	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	27	103	32	0.311	4	18	0.336	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.364	0.418	0.522	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	25	92	19	0.207	2	10	0.263	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.199	0.245	0.534	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	31	116	19	0.164	1	15	0.231	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.267	0.254	OK
Garrett Stubbs	C	4	11	3	0.273	0	1	0.308	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.273	0.308	0.273	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	28	96	26	0.271	0	7	0.340	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.310	0.356	0.438	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	4	4	5	8	0.206

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	32	124	21	0.169	1	7	0.297	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.175	0.326	0.259	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	12	46	10	0.217	0	1	0.321	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.206	0.298	0.230	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	33	132	45	0.341	3	15	0.376	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.419	0.426	0.513	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	34	125	42	0.336	2	11	0.424	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.316	0.384	0.487	OK
Liam Hicks	DH	25	89	29	0.326	7	29	0.379	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.290	0.411	0.600	OK
Christopher Morel	1B	3	10	3	0.300	0	0	0.417	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.308	0.422	0.308	OK
Joe Mack	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	-	0.250	-
Owen Caissie	RF	25	83	17	0.205	1	13	0.242	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.115	0.130	0.158	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	21	65	11	0.169	1	6	0.217	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.159	0.246	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	6	6	2	4	0.294

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	6	30.4	6.22	1.612	10.4	35	6.0	5	2	2	2	3	99	6.0	3	2
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	14	12.5	5.04	1.120	10.8	15	1.0	5	4	4	0	0	31	1.0	0	4
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	15	8.1	8.89	2.963	14.4	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	6	32.3	3.07	1.084	5.9	21	4.0	6	4	4	4	5	99	4.0	5	4
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	11	20.4	1.32	1.422	9.7	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	14	10.6	5.09	1.887	11.9	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
John King	Middle Reliever	16	12.2	0.74	0.656	10.3	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	15	10.2	6.18	1.863	14.1	16	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	16	1.0	0	0
Andrew Nardi	Middle Reliever	13	10.6	5.94	1.698	11.9	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 6-4

San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants

SD 20-13 (4.39 RPG / 4.42 RA)

6 - 3

SF 13-21 (3.12 RPG / 4.12 RA)

SD WINS Target: SD 6 - 3 SF Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	6	11
SF	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	4

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed6.7

Run Diff-19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-18

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak6L

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ramón Laureano	LF	29	116	28	0.241	4	18	0.308	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.181	0.260	0.233	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	31	119	31	0.261	0	12	0.336	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.311	0.349	0.413	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	31	123	26	0.211	3	15	0.276	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.199	0.262	0.223	OK
Manny Machado	3B	31	109	25	0.229	5	18	0.338	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.304	0.373	0.562	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	32	119	32	0.269	5	18	0.351	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.230	0.339	0.397	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	23	82	17	0.207	2	8	0.261	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.139	0.257	0.200	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	21	77	25	0.325	2	9	0.358	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.330	0.355	0.606	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	17	53	9	0.170	0	3	0.292	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.147	0.265	0.213	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	29	94	14	0.149	1	4	0.273	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.123	0.216	0.141	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	11	6	6	3	8	0.297

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	33	120	34	0.283	2	10	0.336	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.197	0.278	0.267	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	28	104	32	0.308	4	15	0.354	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.368	0.397	0.495	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	33	130	40	0.308	0	11	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.298	0.309	0.388	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	31	119	32	0.269	3	14	0.302	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.285	0.390	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	34	131	28	0.214	2	12	0.257	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.282	0.344	OK
Willy Adames	SS	33	133	26	0.195	3	6	0.236	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.136	0.171	0.199	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	-	0.250	-
Jesus Rodriguez	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333
Drew Gilbert	CF	14	44	13	0.295	2	5	0.340	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.383	0.423	0.539	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	3	3	3	5	0.129

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	6	33.2	2.98	1.175	9.2	34	5.0	4	3	3	2	3	98	5.0	3	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	16	16.1	1.12	0.621	17.9	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	16	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	15	15.2	7.11	1.645	12.4	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	10	8.3	2.17	0.964	5.4	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	13	12.3	2.20	1.463	8.8	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor McDonald	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	4.0	5	2	2	2	5	92	4.0	5	2
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	14	11.8	5.34	1.780	9.9	13	2.0	3	2	2	1	1	32	2.0	1	2
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	12	9.7	3.71	1.443	15.8	17	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	2.73	0.909	8.9	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	14	12.9	0.70	1.163	11.2	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 6-3

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

TOR 16-18 (4.21 RPG / 4.62 RA)

4 - 6

TB 21-12 (4.45 RPG / 4.24 RA)

TB WINS Target: TOR 4 - 6 TB Confidence: 66.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4	6
TB	0	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	x	6	10

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed1.3

Run Diff24

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	5	12	6	0.500	0	3	0.538	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.500	0.538	0.500	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	33	123	29	0.236	9	22	0.319	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.298	0.384	0.837	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	34	126	42	0.333	2	15	0.421	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.294	0.383	0.327	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	25	92	24	0.261	4	14	0.297	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.254	0.268	0.352	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	33	134	39	0.291	1	9	0.317	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.194	0.301	0.302	OK
Daulton Varsho	DH	29	109	26	0.239	4	9	0.314	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.318	0.428	OK
Myles Straw	CF	12	35	10	0.286	1	3	0.381	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.374	0.533	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	30	111	29	0.261	3	16	0.291	3	1	1	2	0	2	0.333	0.185	0.217	0.243	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	13	41	9	0.220	3	6	0.273	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.224	0.297	0.504	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	4	4	1	6	0.182

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	31	126	37	0.294	0	6	0.326	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.256	0.288	0.296	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	32	124	33	0.266	9	16	0.352	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.301	0.409	0.550	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	9	28	9	0.321	0	5	0.367	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.273	0.316	0.288	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	31	117	39	0.333	5	21	0.422	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.339	0.421	0.628	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	31	117	30	0.256	7	28	0.348	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.367	0.400	0.541	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	15	53	14	0.264	1	6	0.304	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.285	0.343	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	21	72	16	0.222	0	9	0.300	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.302	0.329	OK
Nick Fortes	C	20	71	19	0.268	1	7	0.288	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.212	0.224	0.245	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	22	68	13	0.191	0	4	0.295	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.157	0.311	0.225	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	6	6	4	6	0.294

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eric Lauer	Starter	6	26.3	6.16	1.559	6.8	20	4.0	7	4	4	2	4	85	4.0	4	4
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	16	14.9	0.60	1.208	16.9	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	16	15.4	0.58	0.779	5.8	10	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	16	13.5	6.67	2.000	18.7	28	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	27	1.0	0	1
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	17	14.6	3.70	1.438	11.1	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	6	36.3	1.74	1.019	6.0	24	5.0	2	2	2	1	3	70	5.0	3	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	14	13.1	2.75	0.916	10.3	15	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	13	13.0	3.46	1.231	11.8	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	13	16.5	3.27	1.636	7.6	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Hunter Bigge	Middle Reliever	9	8.6	4.19	1.395	8.4	8	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	13	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

TB wins 6-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners

ATL Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

BAL Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers

BOS Recent Form

DET Recent Form

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

CHW Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

CLE Recent Form

KC Recent Form

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros

LAD Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

MIL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

NYM Recent Form

COL Recent Form

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins

PHI Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation