| Matchup | Target Score | Sim Score | Winner | Confidence | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI @ CHC | 3 - 6 | 3 - 6 | CHC wins 6-3 | 66% | enhanced_ml |
| ATL @ COL | 5 - 3 | 5 - 3 | ATL wins 5-3 | 62% | enhanced_ml |
| BAL @ NYY | 4 - 7 | 4 - 7 | NYY wins 7-4 | 70% | enhanced_ml |
| CHW @ SD | 5 - 4 | 5 - 4 | CHW wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 11) | 59% | enhanced_ml |
| CIN @ PIT | 3 - 5 | 3 - 5 | PIT wins 5-3 (Extra Innings - 10) | 66% | enhanced_ml |
| CLE @ OAK | 5 - 4 | 5 - 4 | CLE wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10) | 56% | enhanced_ml |
| HOU @ BOS | 5 - 6 | 5 - 6 | BOS wins 6-5 | 55% | enhanced_ml |
| KC @ SEA | 5 - 2 | 5 - 2 | KC wins 5-2 | 63% | enhanced_ml |
| LAD @ STL | 7 - 4 | 7 - 4 | LAD wins 7-4 | 58% | enhanced_ml |
| MIL @ WAS | 5 - 2 | 5 - 2 | MIL wins 5-2 | 60% | enhanced_ml |
| NYM @ LAA | 5 - 3 | 5 - 3 | NYM wins 5-3 | 66% | enhanced_ml |
| PHI @ MIA | 7 - 4 | 7 - 4 | PHI wins 7-4 | 58% | enhanced_ml |
| SF @ TB | 2 - 6 | 2 - 6 | TB wins 6-2 | 76% | enhanced_ml |
| TEX @ DET | 3 - 6 | 3 - 6 | DET wins 6-3 | 58% | enhanced_ml |
| TOR @ MIN | 5 - 2 | 5 - 2 | TOR wins 5-2 | 58% | enhanced_ml |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | x | 6 | 8 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Ketel Marte | 2B | 29 | 120 | 27 | 0.225 | 5 | 11 | 0.279 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.179 | 0.232 | 0.319 | OK |
| Geraldo Perdomo | SS | 29 | 98 | 24 | 0.245 | 2 | 9 | 0.356 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.243 | 0.360 | 0.455 | OK |
| Corbin Carroll | RF | 30 | 107 | 30 | 0.280 | 4 | 18 | 0.376 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.245 | 0.288 | 0.423 | OK |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 1B | 23 | 94 | 35 | 0.372 | 6 | 18 | 0.392 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.400 | 0.436 | 0.537 | OK |
| Nolan Arenado | 3B | 30 | 105 | 29 | 0.276 | 5 | 17 | 0.312 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.305 | 0.383 | 0.510 | OK |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | LF | 10 | 40 | 8 | 0.200 | 0 | 4 | 0.238 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.268 | 0.302 | 0.340 | OK |
| Gabriel Moreno | C | 11 | 41 | 9 | 0.220 | 0 | 3 | 0.283 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.224 | 0.288 | 0.290 | OK |
| Jose Fernandez | DH | 23 | 86 | 28 | 0.326 | 3 | 12 | 0.356 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.249 | 0.360 | 0.355 | OK |
| Jorge Barrosa | CF | 18 | 62 | 13 | 0.210 | 0 | 5 | 0.258 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.179 | 0.221 | 0.339 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Nico Hoerner | 2B | 31 | 127 | 37 | 0.291 | 4 | 26 | 0.370 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.242 | 0.332 | 0.330 | OK |
| Moisés Ballesteros | DH | 23 | 70 | 20 | 0.286 | 5 | 14 | 0.346 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.112 | 0.196 | 0.258 | OK |
| Alex Bregman | 3B | 32 | 130 | 31 | 0.238 | 3 | 11 | 0.329 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.176 | 0.327 | 0.277 | OK |
| Ian Happ | LF | 31 | 118 | 29 | 0.246 | 8 | 15 | 0.373 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.277 | 0.435 | 0.626 | OK |
| Seiya Suzuki | RF | 18 | 68 | 21 | 0.309 | 5 | 10 | 0.407 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.258 | 0.336 | 0.463 | OK |
| Michael Busch | 1B | 31 | 120 | 24 | 0.200 | 2 | 12 | 0.302 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.351 | 0.369 | OK |
| Carson Kelly | C | 20 | 76 | 23 | 0.303 | 1 | 7 | 0.391 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.320 | 0.375 | 0.376 | OK |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CF | 32 | 121 | 29 | 0.240 | 3 | 13 | 0.308 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.252 | 0.345 | 0.491 | OK |
| Dansby Swanson | SS | 31 | 104 | 22 | 0.212 | 6 | 22 | 0.336 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.232 | 0.311 | 0.353 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Merrill Kelly | Starter | 3 | 14.2 | 9.51 | 2.324 | 5.7 | 9 | 4.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 99 | 4.0 | 3 | 3 |
| Paul Sewald | Middle Reliever | 1 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Juan Morillo | Middle Reliever | 2 | 1.2 | 15.00 | 3.333 | 7.5 | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Middle Reliever | 2 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.476 | 8.6 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | Middle Reliever | 1 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 2.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Matthew Boyd | Starter | 4 | 16.6 | 7.59 | 1.566 | 14.1 | 26 | 4.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 92 | 4.0 | 5 | 2 |
| Ben Brown | Middle Reliever | 11 | 23.5 | 1.91 | 1.021 | 8.8 | 23 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Phil Maton | Middle Reliever | 7 | 4.6 | 15.65 | 2.826 | 17.6 | 9 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacob Webb | Middle Reliever | 14 | 10.8 | 5.00 | 2.130 | 12.5 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Hoby Milner | Middle Reliever | 15 | 12.9 | 2.79 | 1.085 | 3.5 | 5 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yacksel Ríos | Middle Reliever | 1 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 15.0 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
CHC wins 6-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Mauricio Dubón | CF | 32 | 117 | 32 | 0.274 | 2 | 18 | 0.325 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.188 | 0.288 | 0.325 | OK |
| Drake Baldwin | DH | 34 | 138 | 43 | 0.312 | 8 | 29 | 0.391 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.323 | 0.423 | 0.561 | OK |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 34 | 132 | 43 | 0.326 | 7 | 21 | 0.370 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.600 | 0.393 | 0.438 | 0.787 | OK |
| Matt Olson | 1B | 34 | 133 | 39 | 0.293 | 11 | 30 | 0.373 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.309 | 0.386 | 0.790 | OK |
| Austin Riley | 3B | 33 | 125 | 26 | 0.208 | 4 | 20 | 0.291 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.205 | 0.254 | 0.398 | OK |
| Eli White | LF | 13 | 35 | 6 | 0.171 | 2 | 6 | 0.189 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.158 | 0.162 | 0.340 | OK |
| Jonah Heim | C | 11 | 35 | 7 | 0.200 | 0 | 3 | 0.300 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.204 | 0.301 | 0.294 | OK |
| Jorge Mateo | SS | 11 | 33 | 9 | 0.273 | 0 | 1 | 0.314 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.258 | 0.290 | 0.342 | OK |
| José Azocar | RF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.250 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 0.289 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Edouard Julien | 2B | 23 | 80 | 24 | 0.300 | 2 | 12 | 0.385 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.338 | 0.434 | 0.567 | OK |
| Mickey Moniak | LF | 23 | 88 | 29 | 0.330 | 9 | 17 | 0.375 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.348 | 0.424 | 0.701 | OK |
| Hunter Goodman | DH | 29 | 114 | 28 | 0.246 | 9 | 14 | 0.323 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.199 | 0.272 | 0.495 | OK |
| TJ Rumfield | 1B | 31 | 116 | 29 | 0.250 | 2 | 16 | 0.318 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.249 | 0.281 | 0.340 | OK |
| Troy Johnston | RF | 27 | 101 | 31 | 0.307 | 2 | 15 | 0.352 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.269 | 0.312 | 0.367 | OK |
| Willi Castro | 3B | 23 | 83 | 20 | 0.241 | 1 | 11 | 0.308 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.204 | 0.260 | 0.254 | OK |
| Brett Sullivan | C | 13 | 46 | 13 | 0.283 | 0 | 6 | 0.298 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.311 | 0.335 | 0.449 | OK |
| Ezequiel Tovar | SS | 31 | 117 | 23 | 0.197 | 1 | 8 | 0.254 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.146 | 0.284 | 0.165 | OK |
| Jake McCarthy | CF | 20 | 58 | 15 | 0.259 | 0 | 6 | 0.317 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.322 | 0.390 | 0.435 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Spencer Strider | Starter | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 4.0 | 3 | 3 |
| Tyler Kinley | Middle Reliever | 15 | 13.3 | 1.35 | 1.203 | 9.5 | 14 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Bummer | Middle Reliever | 14 | 8.0 | 5.62 | 1.750 | 9.0 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | Middle Reliever | 6 | 23.2 | 3.49 | 1.336 | 8.5 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kyle Freeland | Starter | 4 | 20.2 | 3.56 | 1.139 | 7.6 | 17 | 4.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 88 | 4.0 | 3 | 0 |
| Victor Vodnik | Middle Reliever | 12 | 12.2 | 8.11 | 2.131 | 8.1 | 11 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Antonio Senzatela | Middle Reliever | 9 | 17.1 | 0.53 | 0.819 | 10.0 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jimmy Herget | Middle Reliever | 12 | 11.6 | 3.10 | 1.207 | 10.9 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Juan Mejia | Middle Reliever | 13 | 13.0 | 6.92 | 2.154 | 11.8 | 17 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jaden Hill | Middle Reliever | 14 | 8.5 | 6.35 | 2.588 | 13.8 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
ATL wins 5-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | x | 7 | 8 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Taylor Ward | LF | 33 | 122 | 36 | 0.295 | 1 | 12 | 0.428 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.233 | 0.467 | 0.271 | OK |
| Adley Rutschman | C | 17 | 66 | 20 | 0.303 | 4 | 16 | 0.352 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.254 | 0.264 | 0.466 | OK |
| Pete Alonso | DH | 33 | 122 | 25 | 0.205 | 6 | 15 | 0.317 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.239 | 0.364 | 0.716 | OK |
| Tyler O'Neill | RF | 11 | 33 | 7 | 0.212 | 1 | 4 | 0.381 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.214 | 0.442 | 0.254 | OK |
| Coby Mayo | 1B | 24 | 80 | 13 | 0.162 | 3 | 11 | 0.239 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.089 | 0.110 | 0.211 | OK |
| Leody Taveras | CF | 19 | 63 | 18 | 0.286 | 2 | 16 | 0.400 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.178 | 0.295 | 0.344 | OK |
| Jeremiah Jackson | 2B | 28 | 103 | 27 | 0.262 | 6 | 24 | 0.280 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.155 | 0.164 | 0.309 | OK |
| Weston Wilson | 3B | 5 | 12 | 3 | 0.250 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.250 | 0.400 | 0.250 | OK |
| Blaze Alexander | SS | 21 | 67 | 11 | 0.164 | 0 | 1 | 0.233 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.119 | 0.167 | 0.153 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Trent Grisham | CF | 26 | 93 | 15 | 0.161 | 3 | 13 | 0.307 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.198 | 0.301 | 0.445 | OK |
| Ben Rice | 1B | 28 | 102 | 33 | 0.324 | 10 | 24 | 0.444 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.354 | 0.454 | 0.656 | OK |
| Aaron Judge | RF | 33 | 117 | 30 | 0.256 | 12 | 21 | 0.396 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.294 | 0.492 | 0.580 | OK |
| Cody Bellinger | LF | 31 | 114 | 31 | 0.272 | 5 | 18 | 0.370 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.453 | 0.505 | 1.047 | OK |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 2B | 30 | 113 | 24 | 0.212 | 3 | 11 | 0.299 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.302 | 0.358 | OK |
| Jasson Domínguez | DH | 4 | 13 | 2 | 0.154 | 0 | 0 | 0.214 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.154 | 0.214 | 0.154 | OK |
| Austin Wells | C | 24 | 73 | 15 | 0.205 | 3 | 5 | 0.337 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.258 | 0.386 | 0.517 | OK |
| Ryan McMahon | 3B | 21 | 68 | 11 | 0.162 | 1 | 5 | 0.240 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.166 | 0.186 | 0.245 | OK |
| José Caballero | SS | 32 | 112 | 29 | 0.259 | 4 | 12 | 0.308 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.219 | 0.297 | 0.458 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kyle Bradish | Starter | 7 | 33.3 | 5.14 | 1.862 | 9.5 | 35 | 4.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 107 | 4.0 | 7 | 5 |
| Andrew Kittredge | Middle Reliever | 3 | 3.0 | 0.00 | 1.000 | 12.0 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Rico Garcia | Middle Reliever | 15 | 12.5 | 0.72 | 0.400 | 10.8 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Nunez | Middle Reliever | 14 | 14.4 | 2.50 | 1.042 | 11.2 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keegan Akin | Middle Reliever | 3 | 3.0 | 21.00 | 3.000 | 9.0 | 3 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Max Fried | Starter | 7 | 46.4 | 2.13 | 0.819 | 7.2 | 37 | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 88 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 |
| David Bednar | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.2 | 3.69 | 1.721 | 10.3 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Fernando Cruz | Middle Reliever | 15 | 7.0 | 5.14 | 2.571 | 24.4 | 19 | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.0 | 0 | 4 |
| Brent Headrick | Middle Reliever | 17 | 13.0 | 2.08 | 1.692 | 11.1 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
NYY wins 7-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| SD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Sam Antonacci | LF | 13 | 45 | 11 | 0.244 | 1 | 7 | 0.352 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.344 | 0.410 | 0.546 | OK |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1B | 32 | 116 | 27 | 0.233 | 13 | 26 | 0.375 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.210 | 0.373 | 0.542 | OK |
| Andrew Benintendi | DH | 22 | 87 | 19 | 0.218 | 2 | 12 | 0.250 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.185 | 0.214 | 0.283 | OK |
| Colson Montgomery | 3B | 31 | 114 | 26 | 0.228 | 9 | 22 | 0.333 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.600 | 0.244 | 0.342 | 0.542 | OK |
| Chase Meidroth | 2B | 30 | 114 | 30 | 0.263 | 1 | 3 | 0.346 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.266 | 0.347 | 0.363 | OK |
| Jarred Kelenic | RF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | - | - | - | |
| Tristan Peters | CF | 21 | 62 | 17 | 0.274 | 0 | 4 | 0.338 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.357 | 0.455 | 0.361 | OK |
| Luisangel Acuña | SS | 22 | 69 | 12 | 0.174 | 0 | 3 | 0.247 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.134 | 0.284 | 0.145 | OK |
| Drew Romo | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | - | 0.500 | - | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 0.154 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Ramón Laureano | LF | 28 | 113 | 28 | 0.248 | 4 | 18 | 0.310 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.199 | 0.268 | 0.252 | OK |
| Miguel Andujar | DH | 20 | 73 | 24 | 0.329 | 1 | 8 | 0.364 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.167 | 0.340 | 0.365 | 0.523 | OK |
| Jackson Merrill | CF | 30 | 119 | 25 | 0.210 | 3 | 15 | 0.277 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.206 | 0.270 | 0.231 | OK |
| Manny Machado | 3B | 30 | 105 | 23 | 0.219 | 4 | 17 | 0.333 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.276 | 0.346 | 0.567 | OK |
| Xander Bogaerts | SS | 31 | 115 | 30 | 0.261 | 5 | 17 | 0.346 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.215 | 0.323 | 0.378 | OK |
| Ty France | 1B | 14 | 48 | 13 | 0.271 | 3 | 8 | 0.314 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.241 | 0.468 | OK |
| Nick Castellanos | RF | 15 | 54 | 9 | 0.167 | 1 | 9 | 0.224 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.122 | 0.181 | 0.290 | OK |
| Freddy Fermin | C | 16 | 51 | 9 | 0.176 | 0 | 3 | 0.290 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.169 | 0.273 | 0.258 | OK |
| Jake Cronenworth | 2B | 28 | 91 | 14 | 0.154 | 1 | 4 | 0.280 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.139 | 0.279 | 0.158 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 43 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 0.233 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Anthony Kay | Starter | 6 | 22.9 | 6.68 | 1.834 | 5.9 | 15 | 4.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 96 | 4.0 | 3 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | Middle Reliever | 2 | 1.1 | 16.36 | 3.636 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Grant Taylor | Middle Reliever | 6 | 6.1 | 1.48 | 1.311 | 11.8 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sean Newcomb | Middle Reliever | 1 | 2.1 | 8.57 | 1.905 | 4.3 | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Jordan Hicks | Middle Reliever | 2 | 0.3 | 90.00 | 20.000 | 30.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bryan Hudson | Middle Reliever | 12 | 9.8 | 1.84 | 1.939 | 13.8 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Leasure | Reliever | 8 | 8.3 | 4.34 | 1.084 | 9.8 | 9 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Griffin Canning | Starter | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 4.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 81 | 4.0 | 11 | 1 |
| Mason Miller | Middle Reliever | 15 | 15.1 | 1.19 | 0.596 | 17.3 | 29 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Adrian Morejon | Middle Reliever | 14 | 13.2 | 6.82 | 1.742 | 11.6 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jason Adam | Middle Reliever | 9 | 7.3 | 2.47 | 0.959 | 4.9 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bradgley Rodriguez | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.3 | 2.20 | 1.463 | 8.8 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ron Marinaccio | Middle Reliever | 12 | 17.5 | 5.66 | 1.600 | 6.7 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Estrada | Reliever | 8 | 7.3 | 4.93 | 1.370 | 13.6 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Wandy Peralta | Reliever | 14 | 13.0 | 4.15 | 1.615 | 9.0 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
CHW wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 11)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| TJ Friedl | CF | 28 | 111 | 23 | 0.207 | 2 | 7 | 0.290 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.297 | 0.341 | 0.525 | OK |
| JJ Bleday | LF | 5 | 13 | 4 | 0.308 | 2 | 3 | 0.471 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.301 | 0.463 | 0.839 | OK |
| Elly De La Cruz | SS | 33 | 130 | 36 | 0.277 | 10 | 25 | 0.352 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.200 | 0.298 | 0.374 | 0.579 | OK |
| Sal Stewart | 3B | 33 | 123 | 32 | 0.260 | 9 | 29 | 0.350 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.127 | 0.178 | 0.218 | OK |
| Nathaniel Lowe | DH | 16 | 54 | 16 | 0.296 | 5 | 14 | 0.377 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.350 | 0.412 | 0.721 | OK |
| Spencer Steer | 1B | 30 | 102 | 24 | 0.235 | 5 | 10 | 0.319 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.339 | 0.439 | 0.528 | OK |
| Will Benson | RF | 14 | 38 | 6 | 0.158 | 1 | 2 | 0.238 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.188 | 0.264 | 0.441 | OK |
| Jose Trevino | C | 5 | 16 | 2 | 0.125 | 0 | 0 | 0.176 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.125 | 0.176 | 0.125 | OK |
| Matt McLain | 2B | 30 | 118 | 24 | 0.203 | 2 | 9 | 0.314 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.171 | 0.221 | 0.260 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0.231 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Oneil Cruz | CF | 31 | 135 | 35 | 0.259 | 9 | 27 | 0.320 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.231 | 0.281 | 0.430 | OK |
| Brandon Lowe | 2B | 29 | 112 | 28 | 0.250 | 8 | 21 | 0.359 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.266 | 0.400 | 0.558 | OK |
| Bryan Reynolds | LF | 33 | 119 | 32 | 0.269 | 4 | 22 | 0.413 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.396 | 0.547 | 0.815 | OK |
| Ryan O'Hearn | RF | 31 | 117 | 37 | 0.316 | 5 | 24 | 0.397 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.332 | 0.403 | 0.478 | OK |
| Nick Gonzales | 3B | 28 | 111 | 38 | 0.342 | 0 | 17 | 0.392 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.424 | 0.510 | 0.445 | OK |
| Marcell Ozuna | DH | 26 | 107 | 20 | 0.187 | 3 | 13 | 0.250 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.256 | 0.320 | 0.475 | OK |
| Spencer Horwitz | 1B | 27 | 87 | 22 | 0.253 | 2 | 12 | 0.380 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.238 | 0.379 | 0.398 | OK |
| Konnor Griffin | SS | 26 | 99 | 26 | 0.263 | 2 | 15 | 0.330 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.384 | 0.451 | 0.628 | OK |
| Joey Bart | C | 12 | 39 | 8 | 0.205 | 1 | 2 | 0.262 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.238 | 0.265 | 0.325 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 0.211 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Chase Burns | Starter | 6 | 33.3 | 2.70 | 1.141 | 10.5 | 39 | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 92 | 5.0 | 6 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | Middle Reliever | 13 | 13.1 | 5.50 | 1.374 | 6.9 | 10 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Tony Santillan | Middle Reliever | 14 | 13.2 | 2.05 | 1.136 | 10.2 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Phillips | Middle Reliever | 16 | 15.1 | 2.38 | 1.589 | 11.3 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brock Burke | Middle Reliever | 16 | 13.0 | 4.15 | 1.769 | 13.2 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Luis Mey | Reliever | 2 | 3.0 | 3.00 | 1.000 | 15.0 | 5 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Braxton Ashcraft | Starter | 6 | 33.3 | 3.78 | 1.171 | 10.5 | 39 | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 100 | 5.0 | 5 | 3 |
| Dennis Santana | Middle Reliever | 15 | 14.2 | 3.17 | 1.197 | 6.3 | 10 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | Middle Reliever | 16 | 15.2 | 1.78 | 0.789 | 12.4 | 21 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Isaac Mattson | Middle Reliever | 17 | 14.8 | 4.26 | 1.622 | 7.3 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Montgomery | Middle Reliever | 14 | 11.7 | 3.85 | 1.538 | 16.9 | 22 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |
PIT wins 5-3 (Extra Innings - 10)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| OAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Steven Kwan | LF | 31 | 121 | 28 | 0.231 | 1 | 9 | 0.329 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.259 | 0.401 | 0.335 | OK |
| Chase DeLauter | RF | 28 | 106 | 31 | 0.292 | 5 | 20 | 0.382 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.532 | 0.608 | 0.715 | OK |
| José Ramírez | DH | 34 | 126 | 27 | 0.214 | 6 | 14 | 0.336 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.170 | 0.266 | 0.281 | OK |
| Kyle Manzardo | 1B | 24 | 85 | 13 | 0.153 | 1 | 6 | 0.240 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.061 | 0.149 | 0.070 | OK |
| Daniel Schneemann | 3B | 22 | 75 | 24 | 0.320 | 4 | 12 | 0.386 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.251 | 0.289 | 0.401 | OK |
| Travis Bazzana | 2B | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0.077 | 0 | 2 | 0.333 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.077 | 0.333 | 0.077 | OK |
| Petey Halpin | CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | - | - | - | |
| Austin Hedges | C | 12 | 40 | 13 | 0.325 | 1 | 3 | 0.364 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.332 | 0.375 | 0.562 | OK |
| Brayan Rocchio | SS | 33 | 108 | 30 | 0.278 | 3 | 19 | 0.355 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.281 | 0.325 | 0.348 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jacob Wilson | SS | 32 | 135 | 40 | 0.296 | 2 | 15 | 0.309 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.370 | 0.405 | 0.480 | OK |
| Brent Rooker | DH | 16 | 62 | 10 | 0.161 | 3 | 11 | 0.239 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.226 | 0.279 | 0.417 | OK |
| Nick Kurtz | 1B | 32 | 115 | 28 | 0.243 | 5 | 16 | 0.416 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.200 | 0.258 | 0.395 | 0.407 | OK |
| Colby Thomas | RF | 4 | 12 | 3 | 0.250 | 0 | 1 | 0.357 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.247 | 0.360 | 0.247 | OK |
| Zack Gelof | CF | 10 | 34 | 8 | 0.235 | 1 | 6 | 0.257 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.268 | 0.289 | 0.318 | OK |
| Tyler Soderstrom | LF | 31 | 118 | 24 | 0.203 | 3 | 18 | 0.291 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.140 | 0.226 | 0.282 | OK |
| Austin Wynns | C | 9 | 31 | 3 | 0.097 | 0 | 0 | 0.152 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.076 | 0.126 | 0.076 | OK |
| Darell Hernaiz | 3B | 13 | 40 | 8 | 0.200 | 1 | 4 | 0.319 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.192 | 0.326 | 0.229 | OK |
| Jeff McNeil | 2B | 26 | 92 | 30 | 0.326 | 1 | 9 | 0.390 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.413 | 0.452 | 0.544 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0.237 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Parker Messick | Starter | 6 | 35.4 | 1.78 | 0.904 | 9.7 | 38 | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 91 | 6.0 | 5 | 2 |
| Cade Smith | Middle Reliever | 15 | 15.1 | 3.58 | 1.325 | 10.7 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hunter Gaddis | Middle Reliever | 7 | 5.2 | 8.65 | 1.923 | 12.1 | 7 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Erik Sabrowski | Middle Reliever | 17 | 11.4 | 3.16 | 1.140 | 18.9 | 24 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Peyton Pallette | Reliever | 9 | 12.2 | 3.69 | 1.311 | 9.6 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Aaron Civale | Starter | 6 | 29.5 | 3.36 | 1.356 | 7.3 | 24 | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 76 | 5.0 | 4 | 1 |
| Jack Perkins | Middle Reliever | 8 | 12.4 | 2.90 | 1.129 | 12.3 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Hogan Harris | Middle Reliever | 19 | 14.0 | 3.86 | 2.214 | 12.2 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Joel Kuhnel | Middle Reliever | 11 | 9.1 | 2.97 | 1.429 | 4.9 | 5 | 1.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | Middle Reliever | 15 | 10.9 | 7.43 | 2.110 | 11.6 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin Sterner | Middle Reliever | 15 | 14.8 | 5.47 | 1.757 | 11.6 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
CLE wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| BOS | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Carlos Correa | SS | 30 | 115 | 34 | 0.296 | 3 | 16 | 0.379 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.358 | 0.432 | 0.573 | OK |
| Yordan Alvarez | DH | 34 | 127 | 42 | 0.331 | 12 | 27 | 0.438 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.244 | 0.335 | 0.440 | OK |
| Isaac Paredes | 3B | 28 | 104 | 28 | 0.269 | 3 | 15 | 0.361 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.360 | 0.449 | 0.472 | OK |
| Christian Walker | 1B | 33 | 122 | 38 | 0.311 | 8 | 26 | 0.384 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.377 | 0.431 | 0.620 | OK |
| Jose Altuve | 2B | 31 | 121 | 30 | 0.248 | 3 | 8 | 0.341 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.198 | 0.254 | 0.281 | OK |
| Brice Matthews | CF | 18 | 58 | 14 | 0.241 | 3 | 10 | 0.290 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.363 | 0.410 | 0.672 | OK |
| Cam Smith | RF | 31 | 110 | 23 | 0.209 | 3 | 13 | 0.307 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.164 | 0.267 | 0.329 | OK |
| Christian Vázquez | C | 12 | 43 | 15 | 0.349 | 2 | 11 | 0.417 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.750 | 0.272 | 0.363 | 0.385 | OK |
| Dustin Harris | LF | 9 | 28 | 7 | 0.250 | 0 | 4 | 0.312 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.331 | 0.360 | 0.403 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0.289 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jarren Duran | LF | 26 | 106 | 19 | 0.179 | 2 | 14 | 0.243 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.165 | 0.231 | 0.328 | OK |
| Willson Contreras | 1B | 32 | 114 | 30 | 0.263 | 7 | 21 | 0.372 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.280 | 0.349 | 0.511 | OK |
| Roman Anthony | DH | 27 | 102 | 23 | 0.225 | 0 | 4 | 0.358 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.316 | 0.438 | 0.377 | OK |
| Wilyer Abreu | RF | 32 | 121 | 37 | 0.306 | 4 | 14 | 0.378 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.346 | 0.463 | 0.455 | OK |
| Andruw Monasterio | SS | 9 | 35 | 8 | 0.229 | 1 | 6 | 0.308 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.197 | 0.242 | 0.374 | OK |
| Marcelo Mayer | 2B | 24 | 76 | 17 | 0.224 | 1 | 7 | 0.294 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.294 | 0.295 | OK |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | CF | 28 | 99 | 26 | 0.263 | 1 | 8 | 0.330 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.278 | 0.390 | OK |
| Carlos Narváez | C | 20 | 66 | 15 | 0.227 | 2 | 3 | 0.261 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.204 | 0.248 | 0.482 | OK |
| Caleb Durbin | 3B | 30 | 104 | 18 | 0.173 | 1 | 10 | 0.265 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.191 | 0.279 | 0.249 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 31 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 0.194 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Cody Bolton | Starter | 4 | 9.1 | 5.93 | 1.758 | 10.9 | 11 | 5.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 100 | 5.0 | 2 | 4 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | Middle Reliever | 12 | 11.6 | 6.21 | 1.552 | 8.5 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Bryan King | Middle Reliever | 12 | 11.8 | 3.81 | 1.525 | 9.9 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | Middle Reliever | 16 | 10.5 | 6.00 | 1.619 | 7.7 | 9 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bryan Abreu | Middle Reliever | 11 | 8.4 | 13.93 | 3.095 | 17.1 | 16 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 0.2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Ranger Suarez | Starter | 6 | 34.3 | 3.15 | 0.962 | 7.6 | 29 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 91 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 |
| Aroldis Chapman | Middle Reliever | 10 | 9.2 | 0.98 | 0.978 | 10.8 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Garrett Whitlock | Middle Reliever | 12 | 12.0 | 3.00 | 1.250 | 9.8 | 13 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Greg Weissert | Middle Reliever | 14 | 10.0 | 6.30 | 1.800 | 15.3 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | Middle Reliever | 12 | 4.5 | 10.00 | 2.667 | 10.0 | 5 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
BOS wins 6-5
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 |
| SEA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Maikel Garcia | 3B | 30 | 120 | 33 | 0.275 | 3 | 13 | 0.336 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.304 | 0.336 | 0.590 | OK |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | 33 | 130 | 37 | 0.285 | 2 | 15 | 0.362 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.262 | 0.344 | 0.442 | OK |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1B | 30 | 111 | 20 | 0.180 | 4 | 16 | 0.280 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.257 | 0.371 | 0.557 | OK |
| Salvador Perez | DH | 32 | 128 | 27 | 0.211 | 5 | 13 | 0.244 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.298 | 0.323 | 0.496 | OK |
| Carter Jensen | C | 27 | 95 | 23 | 0.242 | 6 | 16 | 0.324 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.124 | 0.202 | 0.190 | OK |
| Jac Caglianone | RF | 26 | 91 | 23 | 0.253 | 2 | 4 | 0.333 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.271 | 0.345 | 0.496 | OK |
| Isaac Collins | LF | 24 | 84 | 18 | 0.214 | 2 | 9 | 0.327 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.213 | 0.296 | 0.295 | OK |
| Michael Massey | 2B | 18 | 55 | 12 | 0.218 | 1 | 7 | 0.237 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.181 | 0.201 | 0.249 | OK |
| Kyle Isbel | CF | 25 | 79 | 22 | 0.278 | 3 | 8 | 0.337 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.268 | 0.326 | 0.384 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0.325 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Rob Refsnyder | DH | 9 | 27 | 4 | 0.148 | 1 | 1 | 0.233 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.216 | 0.266 | 0.330 | OK |
| Julio Rodríguez | CF | 34 | 134 | 36 | 0.269 | 4 | 16 | 0.338 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.345 | 0.363 | 0.681 | OK |
| Josh Naylor | 1B | 31 | 121 | 26 | 0.215 | 4 | 16 | 0.284 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.281 | 0.324 | 0.444 | OK |
| Randy Arozarena | LF | 34 | 121 | 34 | 0.281 | 3 | 12 | 0.373 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.297 | 0.397 | 0.589 | OK |
| J.P. Crawford | SS | 25 | 88 | 18 | 0.205 | 2 | 7 | 0.364 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.233 | 0.382 | 0.352 | OK |
| Cole Young | 2B | 34 | 120 | 32 | 0.267 | 3 | 19 | 0.336 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.282 | 0.299 | 0.377 | OK |
| Connor Joe | RF | 4 | 12 | 3 | 0.250 | 1 | 1 | 0.308 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.286 | 0.333 | 0.762 | OK |
| Jhonny Pereda | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | - | - | - | |
| Leo Rivas | 3B | 24 | 75 | 11 | 0.147 | 0 | 5 | 0.278 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.140 | 0.287 | 0.154 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 31 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kris Bubic | Starter | 6 | 33.2 | 3.80 | 1.205 | 9.5 | 35 | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 87 | 5.0 | 6 | 1 |
| Lucas Erceg | Middle Reliever | 15 | 13.4 | 4.03 | 1.493 | 8.7 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Strahm | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.2 | 3.69 | 1.311 | 10.3 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Mears | Middle Reliever | 13 | 10.5 | 2.57 | 1.238 | 7.7 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Lynch IV | Middle Reliever | 12 | 11.4 | 2.37 | 0.702 | 11.8 | 15 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Luis Castillo | Starter | 6 | 27.4 | 6.57 | 1.788 | 8.5 | 26 | 4.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 83 | 4.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Andrés Muñoz | Middle Reliever | 14 | 12.3 | 5.85 | 1.463 | 15.4 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Middle Reliever | 16 | 13.8 | 2.61 | 1.739 | 7.8 | 12 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Eduard Bazardo | Middle Reliever | 16 | 12.2 | 1.48 | 1.230 | 8.1 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | Middle Reliever | 15 | 10.0 | 3.60 | 1.900 | 10.8 | 12 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Cooper Criswell | Middle Reliever | 12 | 15.1 | 2.38 | 0.927 | 8.3 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
KC wins 5-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 |
| STL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Shohei Ohtani | DH | 31 | 119 | 30 | 0.252 | 6 | 13 | 0.381 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.229 | 0.353 | 0.409 | OK |
| Freddie Freeman | 1B | 31 | 124 | 33 | 0.266 | 3 | 15 | 0.331 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.242 | 0.299 | 0.272 | OK |
| Teoscar Hernández | LF | 29 | 104 | 26 | 0.250 | 4 | 17 | 0.325 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.200 | 0.268 | 0.410 | 0.306 | OK |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | 31 | 121 | 29 | 0.240 | 3 | 15 | 0.329 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.232 | 0.324 | 0.322 | OK |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 30 | 106 | 32 | 0.302 | 9 | 13 | 0.393 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.294 | 0.392 | 0.487 | OK |
| Dalton Rushing | C | 13 | 45 | 16 | 0.356 | 7 | 16 | 0.420 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.600 | 0.258 | 0.335 | 0.449 | OK |
| Andy Pages | CF | 32 | 118 | 38 | 0.322 | 5 | 26 | 0.369 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.500 | 0.258 | 0.326 | 0.314 | OK |
| Hyeseong Kim | SS | 19 | 55 | 16 | 0.291 | 1 | 7 | 0.365 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.171 | 0.239 | 0.189 | OK |
| Alex Freeland | 2B | 25 | 77 | 19 | 0.247 | 1 | 6 | 0.306 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.321 | 0.347 | 0.394 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 0.289 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| JJ Wetherholt | 2B | 32 | 124 | 30 | 0.242 | 7 | 16 | 0.360 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.245 | 0.329 | 0.538 | OK |
| Iván Herrera | DH | 33 | 117 | 30 | 0.256 | 4 | 14 | 0.421 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.341 | 0.489 | 0.527 | OK |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 31 | 122 | 39 | 0.320 | 10 | 27 | 0.382 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.406 | 0.437 | 0.700 | OK |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 31 | 124 | 35 | 0.282 | 5 | 27 | 0.362 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.355 | 0.456 | 0.735 | OK |
| Masyn Winn | SS | 27 | 106 | 28 | 0.264 | 1 | 13 | 0.336 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.300 | 0.373 | 0.362 | OK |
| José Fermín | LF | 7 | 22 | 5 | 0.227 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.223 | 0.257 | 0.382 | OK |
| Nathan Church | CF | 24 | 89 | 21 | 0.236 | 4 | 13 | 0.266 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.221 | 0.230 | 0.383 | OK |
| Pedro Pagés | C | 20 | 69 | 18 | 0.261 | 3 | 8 | 0.307 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.343 | 0.377 | 0.609 | OK |
| Ramón Urías | 3B | 17 | 54 | 9 | 0.167 | 2 | 5 | 0.258 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.083 | 0.257 | 0.117 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Justin Wrobleski | Starter | 5 | 30.0 | 1.50 | 0.967 | 4.5 | 15 | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 94 | 5.0 | 4 | 3 |
| Tanner Scott | Middle Reliever | 15 | 12.4 | 2.18 | 0.806 | 9.4 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Vesia | Middle Reliever | 14 | 10.5 | 1.71 | 0.952 | 12.9 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Blake Treinen | Middle Reliever | 10 | 7.5 | 1.20 | 1.333 | 10.8 | 9 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Will Klein | Middle Reliever | 9 | 12.3 | 2.93 | 1.463 | 11.0 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Dustin May | Starter | 6 | 30.2 | 5.36 | 1.556 | 6.6 | 22 | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 103 | 5.0 | 7 | 4 |
| Riley O'Brien | Middle Reliever | 16 | 15.4 | 2.34 | 1.039 | 11.1 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| JoJo Romero | Middle Reliever | 16 | 12.5 | 5.04 | 1.600 | 9.4 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryne Stanek | Middle Reliever | 16 | 11.2 | 9.64 | 2.768 | 15.3 | 19 | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 1.0 | 2 | 3 |
| George Soriano | Middle Reliever | 15 | 12.8 | 4.22 | 1.250 | 8.4 | 12 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
LAD wins 7-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| WAS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Luis Rengifo | 3B | 22 | 83 | 17 | 0.205 | 0 | 10 | 0.272 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.258 | 0.325 | 0.345 | OK |
| William Contreras | C | 29 | 119 | 37 | 0.311 | 3 | 23 | 0.383 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.456 | 0.512 | 0.617 | OK |
| Gary Sánchez | DH | 19 | 62 | 13 | 0.210 | 4 | 11 | 0.380 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.154 | 0.330 | 0.252 | OK |
| Jake Bauers | 1B | 26 | 100 | 25 | 0.250 | 5 | 18 | 0.330 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.166 | 0.321 | 0.241 | OK |
| Garrett Mitchell | CF | 24 | 83 | 21 | 0.253 | 1 | 20 | 0.386 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.231 | 0.351 | 0.316 | OK |
| Brandon Lockridge | LF | 21 | 72 | 20 | 0.278 | 0 | 9 | 0.366 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.292 | 0.389 | 0.304 | OK |
| Sal Frelick | RF | 26 | 95 | 19 | 0.200 | 3 | 7 | 0.290 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.236 | 0.278 | 0.446 | OK |
| David Hamilton | 2B | 25 | 77 | 20 | 0.260 | 0 | 7 | 0.367 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.331 | 0.387 | 0.403 | OK |
| Joey Ortiz | SS | 21 | 68 | 13 | 0.191 | 0 | 7 | 0.276 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.177 | 0.302 | 0.177 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| James Wood | RF | 34 | 130 | 31 | 0.238 | 10 | 24 | 0.393 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.356 | 0.368 | OK |
| Luis García Jr. | 1B | 26 | 94 | 22 | 0.234 | 1 | 16 | 0.263 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.222 | 0.228 | 0.325 | OK |
| Jacob Young | CF | 28 | 106 | 25 | 0.236 | 2 | 14 | 0.277 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.500 | 0.223 | 0.264 | 0.251 | OK |
| CJ Abrams | SS | 32 | 113 | 33 | 0.292 | 8 | 27 | 0.406 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.331 | 0.439 | 0.555 | OK |
| Daylen Lile | LF | 33 | 135 | 34 | 0.252 | 3 | 14 | 0.318 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.153 | 0.223 | 0.251 | OK |
| Nasim Nuñez | 2B | 28 | 95 | 20 | 0.211 | 0 | 10 | 0.318 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.272 | 0.386 | 0.274 | OK |
| Jose Fernandez | DH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.249 | 0.360 | 0.355 | |
| Jorbit Vivas | 3B | 20 | 60 | 17 | 0.283 | 0 | 3 | 0.371 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.224 | 0.257 | 0.248 | OK |
| Keibert Ruiz | C | 17 | 55 | 10 | 0.182 | 1 | 7 | 0.207 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.155 | 0.177 | 0.240 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0.270 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Logan Henderson | Starter | 1 | 2.0 | 9.00 | 2.000 | 13.5 | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 80 | 4.0 | 4 | 2 |
| Abner Uribe | Middle Reliever | 14 | 10.7 | 4.21 | 1.215 | 11.8 | 14 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaron Ashby | Middle Reliever | 16 | 18.2 | 2.97 | 1.648 | 16.8 | 34 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Trevor Megill | Middle Reliever | 12 | 12.0 | 3.00 | 1.083 | 9.8 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Grant Anderson | Middle Reliever | 17 | 13.3 | 4.06 | 1.278 | 10.2 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| DL Hall | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.0 | 2.25 | 1.667 | 12.8 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| PJ Poulin | Middle Reliever | 16 | 12.3 | 5.12 | 1.707 | 7.3 | 10 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Gus Varland | Middle Reliever | 13 | 10.8 | 3.33 | 1.574 | 11.7 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Brad Lord | Middle Reliever | 11 | 21.8 | 4.13 | 1.330 | 6.6 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard Lovelady | Middle Reliever | 6 | 5.4 | 1.67 | 2.037 | 10.0 | 6 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre Granillo | Middle Reliever | 7 | 5.7 | 9.47 | 2.982 | 4.7 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Orlando Ribalta | Reliever | 3 | 3.0 | 0.00 | 0.333 | 6.0 | 2 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Paxton Schultz | Reliever | 8 | 10.3 | 3.50 | 1.262 | 9.6 | 11 | 3.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 79 | 3.0 | 1 | 3 |
MIL wins 5-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Bo Bichette | SS | 33 | 135 | 32 | 0.237 | 2 | 15 | 0.276 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.266 | 0.311 | 0.377 | OK |
| Juan Soto | DH | 17 | 64 | 21 | 0.328 | 3 | 8 | 0.434 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.370 | 0.479 | 0.648 | OK |
| MJ Melendez | LF | 10 | 29 | 10 | 0.345 | 2 | 6 | 0.406 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.353 | 0.397 | 0.696 | OK |
| Brett Baty | 3B | 25 | 86 | 19 | 0.221 | 1 | 11 | 0.269 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.121 | 0.351 | 0.174 | OK |
| Marcus Semien | 2B | 33 | 118 | 26 | 0.220 | 1 | 11 | 0.273 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.218 | 0.254 | 0.250 | OK |
| Carson Benge | RF | 26 | 91 | 17 | 0.187 | 2 | 6 | 0.245 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.192 | 0.209 | 0.235 | OK |
| Mark Vientos | 1B | 22 | 75 | 17 | 0.227 | 2 | 8 | 0.280 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.245 | 0.309 | 0.398 | OK |
| Tyrone Taylor | CF | 14 | 40 | 10 | 0.250 | 1 | 4 | 0.286 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.238 | 0.287 | 0.342 | OK |
| Luis Torrens | C | 8 | 24 | 4 | 0.167 | 0 | 1 | 0.167 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.152 | 0.152 | 0.205 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Zach Neto | SS | 34 | 136 | 30 | 0.221 | 5 | 15 | 0.333 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.144 | 0.227 | 0.202 | OK |
| Mike Trout | CF | 33 | 117 | 30 | 0.256 | 10 | 21 | 0.431 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.339 | 0.474 | 0.557 | OK |
| Nolan Schanuel | 1B | 30 | 120 | 29 | 0.242 | 3 | 19 | 0.301 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.297 | 0.326 | 0.428 | OK |
| Jorge Soler | RF | 30 | 109 | 26 | 0.239 | 7 | 25 | 0.338 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.260 | 0.353 | 0.536 | OK |
| Jo Adell | DH | 34 | 138 | 37 | 0.268 | 4 | 20 | 0.306 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.300 | 0.314 | 0.337 | OK |
| Josh Lowe | LF | 24 | 81 | 14 | 0.173 | 4 | 10 | 0.227 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.150 | 0.161 | 0.276 | OK |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | 10 | 39 | 14 | 0.359 | 1 | 6 | 0.409 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.390 | 0.418 | 0.639 | OK |
| Oswald Peraza | 3B | 23 | 81 | 24 | 0.296 | 4 | 9 | 0.360 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.368 | 0.427 | 0.493 | OK |
| Sebastián Rivero | C | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0.500 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.500 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Clay Holmes | Starter | 6 | 35.3 | 1.78 | 0.992 | 6.4 | 25 | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 80 | 6.0 | 6 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | Middle Reliever | 11 | 9.3 | 5.81 | 1.828 | 16.5 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Weaver | Middle Reliever | 13 | 11.6 | 6.21 | 1.207 | 7.8 | 10 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Brooks Raley | Middle Reliever | 13 | 9.8 | 1.84 | 1.020 | 12.9 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jack Kochanowicz | Starter | 6 | 33.6 | 3.21 | 1.250 | 6.4 | 24 | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 84 | 5.0 | 2 | 3 |
| Sam Bachman | Middle Reliever | 12 | 14.9 | 3.62 | 1.342 | 10.9 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Chase Silseth | Middle Reliever | 16 | 8.3 | 4.34 | 2.530 | 10.8 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| José Fermin | Middle Reliever | 3 | 3.2 | 2.81 | 0.312 | 11.2 | 4 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | Middle Reliever | 12 | 18.5 | 4.38 | 1.405 | 9.2 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
NYM wins 5-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Trea Turner | SS | 32 | 131 | 32 | 0.244 | 4 | 11 | 0.308 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.265 | 0.296 | 0.429 | OK |
| Kyle Schwarber | DH | 33 | 119 | 25 | 0.210 | 11 | 20 | 0.361 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.240 | 0.379 | 0.625 | OK |
| Bryce Harper | 1B | 33 | 121 | 31 | 0.256 | 6 | 19 | 0.350 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.667 | 0.233 | 0.353 | 0.378 | OK |
| Alec Bohm | 3B | 30 | 111 | 18 | 0.162 | 1 | 14 | 0.232 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.220 | 0.278 | 0.264 | OK |
| Brandon Marsh | RF | 26 | 99 | 30 | 0.303 | 4 | 17 | 0.324 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.305 | 0.340 | 0.425 | OK |
| J.T. Realmuto | C | 17 | 57 | 14 | 0.246 | 1 | 4 | 0.328 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.209 | 0.233 | 0.237 | OK |
| Bryson Stott | 2B | 24 | 88 | 18 | 0.205 | 1 | 7 | 0.263 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.175 | 0.245 | 0.414 | OK |
| Felix Reyes | LF | 7 | 24 | 3 | 0.125 | 1 | 1 | 0.125 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.078 | 0.078 | 0.132 | OK |
| Justin Crawford | CF | 27 | 92 | 25 | 0.272 | 0 | 6 | 0.343 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.304 | 0.357 | 0.430 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 0.188 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Otto Lopez | SS | 32 | 128 | 43 | 0.336 | 3 | 15 | 0.372 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.380 | 0.387 | 0.494 | OK |
| Agustín Ramírez | C | 29 | 108 | 26 | 0.241 | 2 | 14 | 0.331 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.287 | 0.440 | 0.337 | OK |
| Kyle Stowers | RF | 11 | 44 | 9 | 0.205 | 0 | 1 | 0.314 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.151 | 0.263 | 0.176 | OK |
| Connor Norby | 1B | 29 | 96 | 23 | 0.240 | 3 | 11 | 0.345 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.242 | 0.363 | 0.346 | OK |
| Xavier Edwards | 2B | 33 | 122 | 41 | 0.336 | 2 | 11 | 0.426 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.313 | 0.429 | 0.494 | OK |
| Christopher Morel | DH | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.167 | 0 | 0 | 0.375 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.167 | 0.375 | 0.167 | OK |
| Leo Jiménez | 3B | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0.273 | 0 | 0 | 0.385 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.246 | 0.393 | 0.246 | OK |
| Esteury Ruiz | CF | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0.300 | 1 | 1 | 0.300 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.308 | 0.308 | 0.716 | OK |
| Javier Sanoja | LF | 17 | 59 | 18 | 0.305 | 0 | 7 | 0.359 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.171 | 0.293 | 0.181 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jesús Luzardo | Starter | 6 | 32.7 | 5.78 | 1.346 | 11.3 | 41 | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 102 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 |
| Brad Keller | Middle Reliever | 14 | 12.5 | 5.04 | 1.120 | 10.8 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | Middle Reliever | 15 | 8.1 | 8.89 | 2.963 | 14.4 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Orion Kerkering | Middle Reliever | 12 | 10.5 | 2.57 | 1.429 | 7.7 | 9 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tim Mayza | Middle Reliever | 15 | 17.3 | 3.64 | 1.098 | 9.4 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Chris Paddack | Starter | 6 | 26.6 | 6.43 | 1.579 | 8.8 | 26 | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 90 | 4.0 | 5 | 2 |
| Tyler Phillips | Middle Reliever | 10 | 17.4 | 1.55 | 1.437 | 9.8 | 19 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Calvin Faucher | Middle Reliever | 13 | 9.6 | 5.62 | 2.083 | 12.2 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| John King | Middle Reliever | 15 | 11.1 | 0.81 | 0.631 | 10.5 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Bender | Middle Reliever | 15 | 10.2 | 6.18 | 1.863 | 14.1 | 16 | 1.0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 |
| Andrew Nardi | Middle Reliever | 13 | 10.6 | 5.94 | 1.698 | 11.9 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
PHI wins 7-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| TB | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | x | 6 | 11 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Heliot Ramos | LF | 30 | 115 | 31 | 0.270 | 3 | 14 | 0.303 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.269 | 0.289 | 0.375 | OK |
| Rafael Devers | 1B | 33 | 128 | 27 | 0.211 | 2 | 12 | 0.250 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.201 | 0.235 | 0.280 | OK |
| Casey Schmitt | DH | 27 | 100 | 30 | 0.300 | 4 | 14 | 0.349 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.298 | 0.328 | 0.429 | OK |
| Luis Arraez | 2B | 32 | 126 | 40 | 0.317 | 0 | 11 | 0.343 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.336 | 0.347 | 0.450 | OK |
| Matt Chapman | 3B | 33 | 126 | 32 | 0.254 | 1 | 12 | 0.333 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.146 | 0.270 | 0.206 | OK |
| Willy Adames | SS | 32 | 129 | 25 | 0.194 | 3 | 6 | 0.235 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.115 | 0.152 | 0.144 | OK |
| Jung Hoo Lee | CF | 32 | 117 | 34 | 0.291 | 2 | 10 | 0.339 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.225 | 0.260 | 0.295 | OK |
| Jerar Encarnacion | RF | 9 | 26 | 5 | 0.192 | 0 | 0 | 0.192 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.121 | OK |
| Eric Haase | C | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0.333 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.500 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 31 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Chandler Simpson | LF | 30 | 121 | 37 | 0.306 | 0 | 6 | 0.338 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.267 | 0.305 | 0.309 | OK |
| Junior Caminero | 3B | 31 | 122 | 32 | 0.262 | 9 | 16 | 0.336 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.254 | 0.299 | 0.488 | OK |
| Jonathan Aranda | DH | 30 | 112 | 26 | 0.232 | 7 | 27 | 0.331 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.248 | 0.292 | 0.433 | OK |
| Ryan Vilade | 1B | 8 | 25 | 9 | 0.360 | 0 | 4 | 0.407 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.401 | 0.441 | 0.437 | OK |
| Jake Fraley | RF | 19 | 59 | 15 | 0.254 | 2 | 5 | 0.333 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.280 | 0.357 | 0.489 | OK |
| Ben Williamson | 2B | 20 | 69 | 15 | 0.217 | 0 | 9 | 0.289 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.175 | 0.216 | 0.288 | OK |
| Cedric Mullins | CF | 26 | 97 | 13 | 0.134 | 2 | 9 | 0.198 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.100 | 0.179 | 0.160 | OK |
| Nick Fortes | C | 19 | 68 | 18 | 0.265 | 1 | 7 | 0.286 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.209 | 0.222 | 0.271 | OK |
| Taylor Walls | SS | 21 | 64 | 13 | 0.203 | 0 | 4 | 0.311 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.193 | 0.372 | 0.279 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0.314 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Tyler Mahle | Starter | 6 | 30.2 | 5.96 | 1.656 | 8.6 | 29 | 3.0 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 65 | 3.0 | 1 | 5 |
| Ryan Walker | Middle Reliever | 13 | 10.8 | 5.00 | 1.759 | 10.8 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Erik Miller | Middle Reliever | 12 | 9.7 | 3.71 | 1.443 | 15.8 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keaton Winn | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.2 | 2.95 | 0.902 | 9.6 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Caleb Kilian | Middle Reliever | 13 | 11.9 | 0.76 | 1.008 | 12.1 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt Gage | Middle Reliever | 15 | 10.3 | 1.75 | 1.456 | 7.0 | 8 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Steven Matz | Starter | 6 | 31.1 | 4.34 | 1.125 | 7.8 | 27 | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 86 | 5.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Bryan Baker | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.1 | 2.98 | 0.992 | 10.4 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Ian Seymour | Middle Reliever | 12 | 12.0 | 3.75 | 1.333 | 12.8 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Cole Sulser | Middle Reliever | 13 | 16.5 | 3.27 | 1.636 | 7.6 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Hunter Bigge | Middle Reliever | 8 | 6.6 | 5.45 | 1.515 | 6.8 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
TB wins 6-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| DET | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | x | 6 | 9 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Brandon Nimmo | DH | 32 | 126 | 38 | 0.302 | 4 | 12 | 0.378 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.440 | 0.522 | 0.486 | OK |
| Andrew McCutchen | LF | 8 | 21 | 4 | 0.190 | 1 | 3 | 0.261 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.081 | 0.157 | 0.183 | OK |
| Corey Seager | SS | 32 | 118 | 25 | 0.212 | 6 | 17 | 0.317 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.198 | 0.312 | 0.343 | OK |
| Josh Jung | 3B | 29 | 109 | 36 | 0.330 | 4 | 19 | 0.388 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.394 | 0.461 | 0.553 | OK |
| Jake Burger | 1B | 32 | 128 | 28 | 0.219 | 5 | 17 | 0.252 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.194 | 0.233 | 0.357 | OK |
| Evan Carter | CF | 28 | 89 | 17 | 0.191 | 3 | 9 | 0.305 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.069 | 0.154 | 0.120 | OK |
| Ezequiel Duran | RF | 19 | 59 | 16 | 0.271 | 1 | 6 | 0.348 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.281 | 0.395 | 0.356 | OK |
| Josh Smith | 2B | 25 | 82 | 17 | 0.207 | 0 | 6 | 0.312 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.280 | 0.384 | 0.299 | OK |
| Kyle Higashioka | C | 12 | 44 | 9 | 0.205 | 1 | 3 | 0.286 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.184 | 0.245 | 0.263 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Kevin McGonigle | SS | 32 | 125 | 39 | 0.312 | 2 | 14 | 0.407 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.224 | 0.328 | 0.292 | OK |
| Matt Vierling | CF | 17 | 59 | 13 | 0.220 | 0 | 8 | 0.277 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.209 | 0.271 | 0.298 | OK |
| Colt Keith | 3B | 23 | 83 | 24 | 0.289 | 0 | 4 | 0.322 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.289 | 0.336 | 0.306 | OK |
| Riley Greene | LF | 33 | 120 | 36 | 0.300 | 4 | 19 | 0.400 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.326 | 0.414 | 0.488 | OK |
| Spencer Torkelson | 1B | 31 | 105 | 24 | 0.229 | 5 | 12 | 0.352 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.220 | 0.336 | 0.370 | OK |
| Kerry Carpenter | DH | 24 | 79 | 17 | 0.215 | 5 | 14 | 0.308 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.186 | 0.239 | 0.455 | OK |
| Wenceel Pérez | RF | 14 | 48 | 6 | 0.125 | 0 | 2 | 0.192 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.286 | 0.357 | 0.332 | OK |
| Hao-Yu Lee | 2B | 8 | 25 | 5 | 0.200 | 0 | 2 | 0.286 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.204 | 0.324 | 0.278 | OK |
| Jake Rogers | C | 10 | 30 | 4 | 0.133 | 0 | 4 | 0.176 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.158 | 0.197 | 0.223 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 0.273 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jack Leiter | Starter | 6 | 30.4 | 5.33 | 1.513 | 9.8 | 33 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 80 | 5.0 | 7 | 2 |
| Jakob Junis | Middle Reliever | 14 | 15.1 | 1.79 | 0.728 | 3.6 | 6 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Latz | Middle Reliever | 14 | 16.5 | 1.09 | 0.485 | 8.2 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Winn | Middle Reliever | 15 | 11.8 | 6.10 | 1.525 | 12.2 | 16 | 1.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Tyler Holton | Middle Reliever | 13 | 10.9 | 6.61 | 2.294 | 7.4 | 9 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | Middle Reliever | 9 | 6.4 | 4.22 | 1.562 | 12.7 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Finnegan | Middle Reliever | 15 | 14.5 | 0.62 | 1.310 | 7.4 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Burch Smith | Middle Reliever | 4 | 7.1 | 2.54 | 1.408 | 13.9 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brant Hurter | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.1 | 2.23 | 0.909 | 7.4 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Drew Anderson | Reliever | 11 | 17.7 | 5.59 | 1.412 | 11.2 | 22 | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brenan Hanifee | Reliever | 2 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 1.000 | 4.5 | 1 | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 3.0 | 2 | 0 |
DET wins 6-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Yohendrick Pinango | LF | 4 | 9 | 5 | 0.556 | 0 | 3 | 0.600 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.556 | 0.600 | 0.556 | OK |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3B | 32 | 119 | 28 | 0.235 | 8 | 20 | 0.316 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.303 | 0.377 | 0.766 | OK |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | DH | 33 | 121 | 40 | 0.331 | 2 | 15 | 0.421 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.275 | 0.389 | 0.333 | OK |
| Jesús Sánchez | RF | 24 | 87 | 21 | 0.241 | 4 | 14 | 0.281 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.173 | 0.189 | 0.343 | OK |
| Lenyn Sosa | 1B | 10 | 35 | 9 | 0.257 | 1 | 4 | 0.250 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.315 | 0.315 | 0.520 | OK |
| Daulton Varsho | CF | 28 | 106 | 24 | 0.226 | 4 | 8 | 0.299 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.198 | 0.266 | 0.356 | OK |
| Ernie Clement | 2B | 32 | 131 | 39 | 0.298 | 1 | 9 | 0.319 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.237 | 0.300 | 0.365 | OK |
| Andrés Giménez | SS | 29 | 108 | 28 | 0.259 | 3 | 16 | 0.283 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.171 | 0.176 | 0.253 | OK |
| Tyler Heineman | C | 15 | 45 | 9 | 0.200 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.131 | 0.175 | 0.131 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Byron Buxton | DH | 31 | 131 | 34 | 0.260 | 10 | 14 | 0.315 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.345 | 0.383 | 0.823 | OK |
| Trevor Larnach | LF | 21 | 68 | 20 | 0.294 | 1 | 9 | 0.429 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.357 | 0.460 | 0.532 | OK |
| Austin Martin | CF | 20 | 64 | 21 | 0.328 | 1 | 6 | 0.476 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.375 | 0.470 | 0.442 | OK |
| Victor Caratini | C | 23 | 79 | 16 | 0.203 | 1 | 11 | 0.302 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.068 | 0.178 | 0.099 | OK |
| Luke Keaschall | 2B | 32 | 124 | 27 | 0.218 | 1 | 14 | 0.277 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.187 | 0.292 | 0.259 | OK |
| Kody Clemens | 1B | 19 | 70 | 15 | 0.214 | 3 | 8 | 0.312 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.243 | 0.330 | 0.388 | OK |
| Royce Lewis | 3B | 21 | 70 | 13 | 0.186 | 3 | 10 | 0.288 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.142 | 0.191 | 0.202 | OK |
| Matt Wallner | RF | 27 | 98 | 16 | 0.163 | 3 | 7 | 0.268 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.053 | 0.198 | 0.076 | OK |
| Brooks Lee | SS | 29 | 105 | 26 | 0.248 | 5 | 16 | 0.307 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.288 | 0.333 | 0.385 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 31 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Trey Yesavage | Starter | 1 | 5.1 | 0.00 | 0.784 | 5.3 | 3 | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 93 | 6.0 | 8 | 0 |
| Louis Varland | Middle Reliever | 16 | 14.9 | 0.60 | 1.208 | 16.9 | 28 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Rogers | Middle Reliever | 16 | 15.4 | 0.58 | 0.779 | 5.8 | 10 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jeff Hoffman | Middle Reliever | 15 | 12.5 | 7.20 | 2.080 | 20.2 | 28 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Joe Ryan | Starter | 7 | 38.1 | 3.78 | 1.050 | 9.2 | 39 | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 96 | 5.0 | 4 | 3 |
| Justin Topa | Middle Reliever | 19 | 12.3 | 4.39 | 1.707 | 8.8 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Eric Orze | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.7 | 5.67 | 1.575 | 9.2 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Taylor Rogers | Middle Reliever | 13 | 9.0 | 4.00 | 1.889 | 7.0 | 7 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kody Funderburk | Middle Reliever | 15 | 9.5 | 2.84 | 1.895 | 7.6 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
TOR wins 5-2