MLB Predictions — May 2, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ CHC	1 - 6	1 - 6	CHC wins 6-1	78%	enhanced_ml
ATL @ COL	6 - 3	6 - 3	ATL wins 6-3	64%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ NYY	2 - 6	2 - 6	NYY wins 6-2	72%	enhanced_ml
CHW @ SD	4 - 3	4 - 3	CHW wins 4-3	59%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ PIT	2 - 5	2 - 5	PIT wins 5-2	57%	enhanced_ml
CLE @ OAK	3 - 8	3 - 8	OAK wins 8-3	60%	enhanced_ml
HOU @ BOS	6 - 4	6 - 4	HOU wins 6-4	56%	enhanced_ml
KC @ SEA	5 - 3	5 - 3	KC wins 5-3	57%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ STL	3 - 6	3 - 6	STL wins 6-3	64%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ WAS	5 - 3	5 - 3	MIL wins 5-3	60%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ LAA	5 - 3	5 - 3	NYM wins 5-3	74%	enhanced_ml
PHI @ MIA	2 - 7	2 - 7	MIA wins 7-2	60%	enhanced_ml
SF @ TB	2 - 5	2 - 5	TB wins 5-2	77%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ DET	2 - 4	2 - 4	DET wins 4-2	57%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ MIN	4 - 3	4 - 3	TOR wins 4-3 (Extra Innings - 10)	57%	enhanced_ml

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs

ARI 16-16 (4.56 RPG / 5.41 RA)

1 - 6

CHC 21-12 (5.36 RPG / 4.21 RA)

CHC WINS Target: ARI 1 - 6 CHC Confidence: 78.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
CHC	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	x	6	11

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed7.1

Run Diff-24

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak4W

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	28	116	27	0.233	5	11	0.288	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.288	0.385	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	28	94	23	0.245	2	9	0.360	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.233	0.372	0.454	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	29	103	29	0.282	4	18	0.380	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.257	0.317	0.469	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	22	90	35	0.389	6	18	0.409	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.577	0.603	0.803	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	9	36	7	0.194	0	4	0.237	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.280	0.280	OK
Nolan Arenado	DH	29	102	28	0.275	5	17	0.312	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.326	0.418	0.532	OK
Jose Fernandez	3B	22	84	28	0.333	3	12	0.356	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.325	0.349	0.439	OK
James McCann	C	9	29	7	0.241	0	2	0.267	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.283	0.297	0.346	OK
Jorge Barrosa	CF	17	59	13	0.220	0	5	0.270	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.255	0.396	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	1	1	2	6	0.129

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Busch	1B	30	117	23	0.197	2	12	0.296	4	3	1	2	1	0	0.750	0.213	0.367	0.361	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	22	66	20	0.303	5	14	0.365	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.144	0.249	0.354	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	31	126	31	0.246	3	11	0.338	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.198	0.349	0.319	OK
Ian Happ	LF	30	115	26	0.226	7	14	0.355	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.164	0.349	0.274	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	17	65	21	0.323	5	9	0.429	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.352	0.433	0.646	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	31	118	29	0.246	3	13	0.310	4	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.278	0.367	0.518	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	30	101	21	0.208	6	22	0.336	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.339	0.489	OK
Matt Shaw	2B	18	58	17	0.293	3	9	0.344	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.450	0.496	0.887	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	15	50	12	0.240	2	6	0.321	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.329	0.426	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	11	6	6	7	6	0.314

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryne Nelson	Starter	6	23.8	8.32	1.639	9.1	24	3.0	11	3	3	4	2	107	3.0	2	3
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	0	1	1	2	1	25	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	10	1.0	0	1
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	1	0	15	1.0	0	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	6	34.1	3.17	0.880	10.0	38	5.0	2	0	0	1	4	79	5.0	4	0
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	10	21.5	2.09	1.116	9.2	22	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	7	4.6	15.65	2.826	17.6	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	14	10.8	5.00	2.130	12.5	15	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	14	1.0	0	1
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	15	12.9	2.79	1.085	3.5	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-1

Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies

ATL 23-10 (5.61 RPG / 3.55 RA)

6 - 3

COL 14-19 (4.33 RPG / 4.61 RA)

ATL WINS Target: ATL 6 - 3 COL Confidence: 64.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	6	12
COL	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	3	4

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff6

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	33	125	31	0.248	2	9	0.360	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.305	0.403	0.456	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	33	134	40	0.299	7	25	0.377	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.270	0.377	0.343	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	33	128	41	0.320	7	20	0.369	5	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.358	0.421	0.718	OK
Matt Olson	1B	33	128	38	0.297	10	29	0.378	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.311	0.390	0.781	OK
Michael Harris II	DH	26	98	30	0.306	6	18	0.337	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.397	0.414	0.597	OK
Mauricio Dubón	CF	31	114	32	0.281	2	18	0.328	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.313	0.353	0.557	OK
Austin Riley	3B	32	122	25	0.205	3	18	0.285	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.149	0.180	0.186	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	23	82	17	0.207	0	6	0.278	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.236	0.256	0.301	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	10	29	7	0.241	0	1	0.290	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.135	0.176	0.150	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	12	6	6	3	7	0.308

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jordan Beck	LF	16	55	8	0.145	1	7	0.186	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.166	0.195	0.226	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	22	74	13	0.176	1	3	0.265	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.196	0.302	0.260	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	30	112	29	0.259	2	16	0.328	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.278	0.323	0.378	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	28	111	28	0.252	9	14	0.325	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.239	0.287	0.630	OK
Willi Castro	2B	22	79	19	0.241	1	11	0.310	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.194	0.265	0.252	OK
Brett Sullivan	DH	12	42	12	0.286	0	6	0.302	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.309	0.335	0.454	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	29	87	18	0.207	1	4	0.330	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.211	0.297	0.245	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	30	115	23	0.200	1	8	0.252	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.136	0.241	0.155	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	26	98	31	0.316	2	15	0.362	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.349	0.393	0.473	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	3	3	1	7	0.129

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	6	35.0	2.31	0.914	9.8	38	6.0	3	2	2	1	4	82	6.0	4	2
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	15	13.3	1.35	1.203	9.5	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	8	1.0	1	0
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	14	8.0	5.62	1.750	9.0	8	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	15	1.0	1	1
Reynaldo López	Middle Reliever	6	23.2	3.49	1.336	8.5	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brennan Bernardino	Opener	14	9.4	0.96	1.383	10.5	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	12	12.2	8.11	2.131	8.1	11	1.0	3	0	0	0	2	22	1.0	2	0
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	9	17.1	0.53	0.819	10.0	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	12	11.6	3.10	1.207	10.9	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	13	13.0	6.92	2.154	11.8	17	1.0	4	4	4	3	0	46	1.0	0	4
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	14	8.5	6.35	2.588	13.8	13	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	14	1.0	1	1
Zach Agnos	Reliever	10	17.5	6.69	1.771	8.7	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tanner Gordon	Reliever	3	11.0	7.36	1.727	10.6	13	2.0	2	1	1	0	1	34	2.0	1	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-3

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

BAL 15-18 (4.58 RPG / 5.24 RA)

2 - 6

NYY 22-11 (5.12 RPG / 3.39 RA)

NYY WINS Target: BAL 2 - 6 NYY Confidence: 72.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4
NYY	1	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	x	6	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed7.0

Run Diff-17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	32	119	35	0.294	1	11	0.426	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.195	0.444	0.244	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	32	135	28	0.207	9	19	0.275	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.277	0.468	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	16	62	20	0.323	4	16	0.373	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.312	0.326	0.552	OK
Pete Alonso	DH	32	118	24	0.203	5	14	0.319	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.199	0.338	0.553	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	10	32	7	0.219	1	4	0.359	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.374	0.267	OK
Coby Mayo	1B	23	78	13	0.167	3	11	0.244	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.130	0.156	0.303	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	27	99	27	0.273	6	24	0.291	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.245	0.479	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	4	10	3	0.300	0	0	0.462	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.300	0.462	0.300	OK
Blaze Alexander	CF	20	63	11	0.175	0	1	0.246	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.285	0.263	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	2	2	1	7	0.129

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	25	89	13	0.146	2	11	0.294	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.131	0.218	0.242	OK
Ben Rice	1B	27	99	32	0.323	10	24	0.438	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.354	0.416	0.694	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	32	114	30	0.263	12	21	0.396	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.380	0.514	0.730	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	30	110	27	0.245	3	14	0.351	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.264	0.348	0.457	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	29	110	23	0.209	3	10	0.293	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.270	0.354	OK
Jasson Domínguez	DH	3	9	1	0.111	0	0	0.200	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.111	0.200	0.111	OK
J.C. Escarra	C	8	29	6	0.207	0	5	0.233	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.240	0.383	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	20	64	10	0.156	1	5	0.239	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.174	0.196	0.203	OK
José Caballero	SS	31	109	29	0.266	4	12	0.310	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.254	0.299	0.515	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	6	6	1	7	0.250

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	6	29.3	4.30	1.775	9.5	31	5.0	6	4	4	0	4	86	5.0	4	4
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	0.00	1.000	12.0	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	15	12.5	0.72	0.400	10.8	15	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	14	14.4	2.50	1.042	11.2	18	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	21	1.0	0	1

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	6	32.5	3.32	1.262	11.1	40	6.0	4	2	2	1	4	86	6.0	4	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	13	12.2	3.69	1.721	10.3	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	15	7.0	5.14	2.571	24.4	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	17	13.0	2.08	1.692	11.1	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-2

Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres

CHW 15-17 (4.28 RPG / 4.84 RA)

4 - 3

SD 19-12 (4.55 RPG / 4.48 RA)

CHW WINS Target: CHW 4 - 3 SD Confidence: 59.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	4	8
SD	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	4

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Andrew Benintendi	DH	21	83	18	0.217	2	12	0.250	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.202	0.235	0.377	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	31	112	27	0.241	13	26	0.386	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.411	0.593	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	30	111	24	0.216	6	15	0.358	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.244	0.385	0.408	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	30	111	26	0.234	9	22	0.336	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.273	0.350	0.609	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	29	111	29	0.261	1	3	0.341	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.284	0.347	0.393	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	12	41	9	0.220	1	7	0.340	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.302	0.397	0.488	OK
Edgar Quero	C	20	68	11	0.162	0	4	0.256	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.144	0.262	0.154	OK
Jarred Kelenic	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	-	-	-
Tristan Peters	CF	20	61	16	0.262	0	3	0.318	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.331	0.269	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	1	8	0.229

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ramón Laureano	LF	27	109	27	0.248	4	18	0.311	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.180	0.262	0.234	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	30	115	31	0.270	0	12	0.346	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.354	0.395	0.459	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	29	115	23	0.200	3	15	0.270	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.144	0.230	0.170	OK
Manny Machado	3B	29	102	23	0.225	4	17	0.336	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.290	0.339	0.572	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	30	112	30	0.268	5	17	0.349	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.340	0.410	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	22	79	17	0.215	2	8	0.262	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.168	0.243	0.231	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	19	69	22	0.319	1	8	0.356	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.319	0.351	0.558	OK
Luis Campusano	C	14	41	13	0.317	3	8	0.378	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.356	0.411	0.841	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	27	88	13	0.148	1	4	0.279	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.105	0.273	0.124	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	3	3	5	8	0.129

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	6	33.2	3.25	1.054	6.5	24	5.0	2	0	0	3	7	95	5.0	7	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	27	1.0	0	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	13	1.0	1	1
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	2	0.3	90.00	20.000	30.0	1	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	6	33.2	2.44	1.054	9.2	34	5.0	4	2	2	1	3	83	5.0	3	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	15	15.1	1.19	0.596	17.3	29	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	26	1.0	2	2
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	6.82	1.742	11.6	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	9	7.3	2.47	0.959	4.9	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	12	11.3	2.39	1.593	9.6	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-3

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN 20-13 (4.27 RPG / 4.91 RA)

2 - 5

PIT 18-16 (5.26 RPG / 4.38 RA)

PIT WINS Target: CIN 2 - 5 PIT Confidence: 56.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	9
PIT	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	x	5	7

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed7.5

Run Diff-18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff5

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
TJ Friedl	CF	27	108	22	0.204	2	7	0.283	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.315	0.331	0.631	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	4	9	2	0.222	1	1	0.417	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.200	0.400	0.481	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	32	128	35	0.273	10	25	0.345	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.278	0.331	0.509	OK
Sal Stewart	2B	32	118	32	0.271	9	29	0.362	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.150	0.215	0.268	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	15	50	14	0.280	5	11	0.368	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.300	0.382	0.755	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	29	98	23	0.235	5	10	0.321	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.373	0.490	0.616	OK
Will Benson	RF	13	34	4	0.118	0	1	0.211	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.076	0.181	0.088	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	23	74	12	0.162	2	6	0.276	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.163	0.254	0.259	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	25	80	10	0.125	1	1	0.186	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.252	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	2	2	3	5	0.250

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	30	129	33	0.256	9	26	0.319	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.185	0.246	0.394	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	28	111	27	0.243	8	20	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.281	0.476	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	32	116	30	0.259	4	21	0.400	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.324	0.456	0.732	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	30	113	35	0.310	5	21	0.389	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.280	0.348	0.387	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	27	106	36	0.340	0	15	0.386	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.443	0.524	0.480	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	25	102	17	0.167	3	10	0.227	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.156	0.203	0.314	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	26	82	20	0.244	2	9	0.373	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.198	0.344	0.327	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	25	94	22	0.234	2	13	0.301	2	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.324	0.409	OK
Henry Davis	C	21	68	12	0.176	2	6	0.263	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.165	0.231	0.428	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	7	5	5	2	7	0.233

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	6	33.3	3.24	1.201	6.8	25	6.0	1	1	1	2	7	89	6.0	7	1
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	13	13.1	5.50	1.374	6.9	10	1.0	5	4	4	0	0	29	1.0	0	4
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	2.05	1.136	10.2	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carmen Mlodzinski	Starter	6	26.7	4.38	1.536	10.1	30	6.0	5	1	1	2	2	102	6.0	2	1
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	3.17	1.197	6.3	10	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	25	1.0	2	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	1.90	0.845	12.7	20	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	17	14.8	4.26	1.622	7.3	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-2

Cleveland Guardians @ Oakland Athletics

CLE 18-16 (4.26 RPG / 4.18 RA)

3 - 8

OAK 17-16 (4.3 RPG / 4.79 RA)

OAK WINS Target: CLE 3 - 8 OAK Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
OAK	1	1	0	1	4	0	0	1	x	8	11

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	30	117	27	0.231	1	8	0.321	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.356	0.342	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	23	88	25	0.284	5	15	0.323	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.184	0.192	0.341	OK
José Ramírez	3B	33	120	26	0.217	6	12	0.343	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.160	0.287	0.255	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	21	70	16	0.229	2	8	0.357	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.241	0.393	0.492	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	27	103	29	0.282	5	20	0.364	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.465	0.525	0.642	OK
David Fry	RF	11	30	8	0.267	1	1	0.405	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.403	0.380	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	3	9	0	0.000	0	0	0.308	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	-	0.308	-
Austin Hedges	C	11	35	10	0.286	0	2	0.333	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.237	0.289	0.260	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	32	104	29	0.279	3	18	0.353	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.308	0.327	0.384	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	3	3	5	8	0.182

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	31	110	25	0.227	5	15	0.410	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.197	0.368	0.380	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	31	129	42	0.326	8	15	0.383	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.394	0.440	0.633	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	30	113	24	0.212	3	18	0.302	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.207	0.323	0.446	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	15	58	8	0.138	3	11	0.224	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.137	0.207	0.351	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	19	62	23	0.371	4	13	0.435	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.450	0.490	0.733	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	31	132	38	0.288	2	15	0.301	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.336	0.372	0.411	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	25	89	28	0.315	1	7	0.386	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.377	0.442	0.521	OK
Lawrence Butler	CF	23	85	16	0.188	3	12	0.274	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.154	0.244	0.327	OK
Darell Hernaiz	3B	12	36	8	0.222	1	4	0.349	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.285	0.416	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	11	8	8	6	3	0.324

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Slade Cecconi	Starter	6	29.4	6.43	1.565	7.7	25	4.0	6	3	3	5	1	97	4.0	1	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	15	15.1	3.58	1.325	10.7	18	1.0	3	4	4	1	0	30	1.0	0	4
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	6	5.1	7.06	1.373	10.6	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	17	11.4	3.16	1.140	18.9	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Matt Festa	Middle Reliever	13	12.1	5.95	1.322	10.4	14	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Lopez	Starter	6	24.2	5.95	1.983	6.7	18	4.0	4	3	3	2	5	80	4.0	5	3
Jack Perkins	Middle Reliever	8	12.4	2.90	1.129	12.3	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	18	13.9	3.24	2.014	12.3	19	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	15	1.0	0	0
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	11	9.1	2.97	1.429	4.9	5	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	23	1.0	2	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	15	10.9	7.43	2.110	11.6	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	15	14.8	5.47	1.757	11.6	19	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 8-3

Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox

HOU 13-21 (5.15 RPG / 5.88 RA)

6 - 4

BOS 13-20 (3.91 RPG / 4.42 RA)

HOU WINS Target: HOU 6 - 4 BOS Confidence: 56.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	2	6	10
BOS	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	4	8

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Correa	SS	29	111	32	0.288	3	15	0.370	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.335	0.402	0.635	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	33	123	42	0.341	12	27	0.446	4	2	1	3	1	0	0.500	0.311	0.374	0.550	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	27	100	27	0.270	3	15	0.360	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.433	0.493	0.555	OK
Christian Walker	1B	32	118	35	0.297	7	24	0.368	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.371	0.408	0.639	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	30	116	29	0.250	3	8	0.346	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.216	0.292	0.266	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	24	96	25	0.260	2	14	0.277	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.386	0.390	0.502	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	17	55	12	0.218	2	7	0.259	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.294	0.418	OK
Cam Smith	RF	30	106	22	0.208	3	13	0.309	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.132	0.254	0.263	OK
Dustin Harris	LF	8	24	5	0.208	0	4	0.286	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.269	0.307	0.346	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	6	6	5	10	0.270

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	DH	25	102	18	0.176	2	14	0.236	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.137	0.168	0.322	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	31	110	29	0.264	7	20	0.379	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.288	0.383	0.601	OK
Roman Anthony	LF	26	99	22	0.222	0	4	0.347	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.279	0.360	0.342	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	31	118	35	0.297	4	13	0.362	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.296	0.399	0.403	OK
Trevor Story	SS	31	126	26	0.206	2	17	0.244	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.231	0.280	0.290	OK
Marcelo Mayer	2B	23	73	17	0.233	1	7	0.305	3	0	1	1	2	1	0.000	0.327	0.369	0.386	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	27	95	25	0.263	1	8	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.291	0.332	0.480	OK
Connor Wong	C	12	36	9	0.250	0	5	0.341	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.148	0.273	0.239	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	29	101	18	0.178	1	10	0.265	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.214	0.273	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	8	4	4	7	8	0.235

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	3	18.0	2.00	1.111	10.5	21	5.0	2	1	1	1	7	83	5.0	7	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	11	10.4	6.06	1.635	8.7	10	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	25	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	11	10.8	4.17	1.667	10.8	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	16	10.5	6.00	1.619	7.7	9	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	29	1.0	0	1
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	11	8.4	13.93	3.095	17.1	16	1.0	3	2	2	2	0	33	1.0	0	2

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connelly Early	Starter	6	30.5	2.95	1.246	8.3	28	5.0	2	1	1	2	7	80	5.0	7	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	0.98	0.978	10.8	11	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	3.00	1.250	9.8	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	14	10.0	6.30	1.800	15.3	17	1.0	2	2	2	3	2	46	1.0	2	2
Danny Coulombe	Middle Reliever	12	4.5	10.00	2.667	10.0	5	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

HOU wins 6-4

Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners

KC 13-19 (4.16 RPG / 4.81 RA)

5 - 3

SEA 16-17 (4.24 RPG / 4.06 RA)

KC WINS Target: KC 5 - 3 SEA Confidence: 57.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	5	5
SEA	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	8

KC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	29	116	32	0.276	3	11	0.341	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.292	0.342	0.579	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	32	125	36	0.288	2	15	0.368	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.292	0.375	0.580	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	29	107	19	0.178	4	16	0.281	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.306	0.427	0.776	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	31	124	26	0.210	5	13	0.244	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.311	0.344	0.529	OK
Carter Jensen	C	26	91	23	0.253	6	16	0.337	3	1	1	4	0	1	0.333	0.168	0.266	0.255	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	25	87	21	0.241	2	3	0.327	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.290	0.463	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	23	80	17	0.212	2	9	0.330	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.223	0.326	0.377	OK
Michael Massey	2B	17	51	12	0.235	1	7	0.255	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.239	0.317	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	24	75	21	0.280	3	8	0.341	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.261	0.320	0.418	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	5	5	5	2	10	0.161

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	24	83	17	0.205	2	7	0.371	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.207	0.372	0.332	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	33	130	34	0.262	4	16	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.323	0.342	0.630	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	30	117	25	0.214	4	15	0.285	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.297	0.339	0.457	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	33	118	34	0.288	3	12	0.377	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.366	0.567	OK
Cole Young	2B	33	116	32	0.276	3	19	0.346	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.350	0.367	0.447	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	21	62	18	0.290	3	11	0.348	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.312	0.353	0.468	OK
Luke Raley	RF	23	79	20	0.253	4	11	0.306	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.091	0.142	0.194	OK
Mitch Garver	C	9	27	6	0.222	0	1	0.417	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.473	0.258	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	23	72	10	0.139	0	5	0.267	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.071	0.202	0.086	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	3	3	1	11	0.229

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	6	36.5	2.71	1.205	7.6	31	6.0	7	3	3	1	8	109	6.0	8	3
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	14	12.4	4.35	1.613	8.0	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	4.02	1.429	11.2	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	2.57	1.238	7.7	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	6	34.2	2.89	0.994	8.4	32	5.0	3	3	3	1	5	83	5.0	5	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	13	11.3	6.37	1.416	15.9	20	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	20	1.0	1	2
Jose A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	16	13.8	2.61	1.739	7.8	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	15	11.2	1.61	1.339	8.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	15	10.0	3.60	1.900	10.8	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

KC wins 5-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals

LAD 20-13 (5.18 RPG / 3.36 RA)

3 - 6

STL 20-13 (5.0 RPG / 4.91 RA)

STL WINS Target: LAD 3 - 6 STL Confidence: 64.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5
STL	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	2	x	6	9

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff12

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	30	115	30	0.261	6	13	0.392	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.292	0.447	0.488	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	30	120	32	0.267	3	15	0.333	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.287	0.245	OK
Will Smith	C	22	88	24	0.273	3	15	0.330	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.284	0.340	0.394	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	30	117	28	0.239	3	15	0.331	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.338	0.349	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	28	101	24	0.238	4	17	0.310	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.370	0.265	OK
Max Muncy	3B	29	103	30	0.291	9	12	0.381	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.299	0.413	0.653	OK
Andy Pages	CF	31	115	37	0.322	5	25	0.365	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.270	0.316	OK
Hyeseong Kim	SS	18	53	16	0.302	1	7	0.377	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.224	0.283	0.250	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	24	75	18	0.240	1	6	0.301	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.292	0.328	0.372	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	3	3	1	5	0.156

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	31	120	30	0.250	7	16	0.370	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.276	0.362	0.643	OK
Iván Herrera	C	32	114	29	0.254	4	14	0.419	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.322	0.469	0.466	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	30	121	34	0.281	5	26	0.358	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.377	0.450	0.719	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	30	118	37	0.314	9	25	0.379	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.366	0.407	0.575	OK
Nolan Gorman	DH	28	103	23	0.223	4	20	0.291	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.290	0.527	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	26	102	27	0.265	1	13	0.339	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.288	0.362	0.335	OK
Nathan Church	LF	23	85	20	0.235	4	13	0.267	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.212	0.344	OK
Ramón Urías	3B	16	52	9	0.173	2	5	0.254	3	3	1	2	1	0	1.000	0.123	0.252	0.165	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	28	82	14	0.171	1	5	0.233	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.083	0.178	0.206	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	9	6	6	5	7	0.281

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	5	22.2	6.49	1.847	8.9	22	5.0	4	4	4	5	4	108	5.0	4	4
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	15	12.4	2.18	0.806	9.4	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	13	9.5	1.89	0.947	13.3	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	10	7.5	1.20	1.333	10.8	9	1.0	4	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	6	32.4	3.06	0.926	5.8	21	4.0	5	2	2	0	1	53	4.0	1	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	15	14.4	1.25	0.833	10.6	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	15	11.5	5.48	1.739	8.6	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	15	10.2	10.59	2.843	15.9	18	1.0	0	1	1	1	3	24	1.0	3	1
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	15	12.8	4.22	1.250	8.4	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	14	16.0	1.12	0.938	5.6	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 6-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals

MIL 18-14 (5.31 RPG / 3.88 RA)

5 - 3

WAS 15-19 (5.21 RPG / 5.74 RA)

MIL WINS Target: MIL 5 - 3 WAS Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	5	5
WAS	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	23	79	20	0.253	1	20	0.385	3	2	1	4	1	1	0.667	0.226	0.346	0.335	OK
Brice Turang	2B	29	107	31	0.290	4	20	0.421	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.328	0.446	0.472	OK
William Contreras	DH	28	115	36	0.313	3	23	0.383	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.474	0.515	0.664	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	18	58	13	0.224	4	11	0.392	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.356	0.347	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	25	96	25	0.260	5	18	0.336	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.370	0.340	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	21	79	16	0.203	0	10	0.273	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.327	0.364	OK
Brandon Lockridge	LF	20	68	18	0.265	0	7	0.359	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.364	0.230	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	25	91	18	0.198	3	7	0.291	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.227	0.277	0.497	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	20	64	13	0.203	0	6	0.292	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.352	0.219	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	5	5	4	5	0.156

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	LF	33	126	29	0.230	10	24	0.390	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.156	0.308	0.306	OK
Curtis Mead	1B	11	42	11	0.262	3	8	0.354	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.289	0.398	0.632	OK
Brady House	3B	26	108	23	0.213	4	14	0.274	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.144	0.269	0.334	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	31	110	32	0.291	8	26	0.403	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.297	0.396	0.524	OK
Jacob Young	CF	27	102	24	0.235	2	14	0.278	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.277	0.284	OK
Daylen Lile	DH	32	131	34	0.260	3	14	0.326	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.172	0.254	0.281	OK
Joey Wiemer	RF	14	50	16	0.320	2	6	0.404	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.240	0.295	0.349	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	27	93	19	0.204	0	10	0.315	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.267	0.401	0.269	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	16	52	9	0.173	1	7	0.200	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.171	0.194	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	2	11	0.206

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	5	23.2	2.33	1.078	11.6	30	4.0	5	3	3	1	4	82	4.0	4	3
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	13	9.7	4.64	1.237	12.1	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	16	18.2	2.97	1.648	16.8	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	11	11.0	3.27	1.182	10.6	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	16	13.1	4.12	1.221	10.3	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0
DL Hall	Middle Reliever	12	11.9	2.27	1.681	12.9	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	6	33.2	2.71	1.084	8.1	30	6.0	3	2	2	2	4	94	6.0	4	2
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	13	10.8	3.33	1.574	11.7	14	1.0	2	3	3	2	0	30	1.0	0	3
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	16	12.3	5.12	1.707	7.3	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	10	19.8	4.09	1.162	6.4	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-3

New York Mets @ Los Angeles Angels

NYM 11-21 (3.44 RPG / 4.5 RA)

5 - 3

LAA 12-21 (4.64 RPG / 5.0 RA)

NYM WINS Target: NYM 5 - 3 LAA Confidence: 74.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	9
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	3	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-23

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak7L

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bo Bichette	3B	32	130	31	0.238	2	14	0.279	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.247	0.303	0.363	OK
Juan Soto	DH	16	60	20	0.333	3	8	0.437	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.414	0.519	0.760	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	25	84	18	0.214	4	8	0.302	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.135	0.167	0.178	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	21	71	16	0.225	2	8	0.282	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.314	0.331	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	32	114	25	0.219	1	11	0.274	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.210	0.254	0.243	OK
Andy Ibáñez	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.182	0.182	0.182
Tyrone Taylor	CF	13	36	9	0.250	1	3	0.289	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.313	0.390	OK
Austin Slater	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.244	0.319	0.244
Ronny Mauricio	SS	8	28	5	0.179	1	1	0.179	4	3	1	3	0	1	0.750	0.163	0.163	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	5	5	4	7	0.250

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	33	132	30	0.227	5	15	0.338	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.214	0.290	0.315	OK
Mike Trout	CF	32	113	28	0.248	10	21	0.426	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.284	0.416	0.600	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	29	115	28	0.243	3	19	0.305	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.285	0.323	0.425	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	29	106	25	0.236	7	25	0.328	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.261	0.311	0.536	OK
Jo Adell	RF	33	133	34	0.256	4	19	0.296	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.196	0.223	0.234	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	23	76	14	0.184	4	10	0.241	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.198	0.210	0.353	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	9	34	13	0.382	1	4	0.436	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.413	0.442	0.683	OK
Oswald Peraza	3B	22	76	21	0.276	4	8	0.345	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.293	0.385	0.380	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	9	26	4	0.154	0	0	0.290	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.160	0.328	0.181	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	4	7	0.206

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	6	34.4	2.62	0.872	11.8	45	6.0	3	2	2	1	4	80	6.0	4	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	11	9.3	5.81	1.828	16.5	17	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	23	1.0	2	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	13	11.6	6.21	1.207	7.8	10	1.0	2	1	1	2	1	35	1.0	1	1
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	1.84	1.020	12.9	14	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	6	32.5	4.43	1.138	10.0	36	4.0	4	2	2	0	0	55	4.0	0	2
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	11	13.7	3.94	1.460	9.9	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	16	8.3	4.34	2.530	10.8	10	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	19	1.0	0	1
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	3	3.2	2.81	0.312	11.2	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	12	18.5	4.38	1.405	9.2	19	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.0	2	0
Drew Pomeranz	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	9.43	2.095	7.7	9	1.0	3	2	2	2	2	35	1.0	2	2

Game Summary

NYM wins 5-3

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins

PHI 13-20 (3.76 RPG / 5.21 RA)

2 - 7

MIA 16-17 (4.36 RPG / 4.24 RA)

MIA WINS Target: PHI 2 - 7 MIA Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
MIA	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	2	x	7	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	31	127	32	0.252	4	11	0.317	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.311	0.358	0.475	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	32	116	25	0.216	11	20	0.368	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.311	0.464	0.854	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	32	118	31	0.263	6	19	0.358	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.352	0.405	OK
Adolis García	CF	31	115	27	0.235	2	10	0.310	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.317	0.330	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	23	85	18	0.212	1	7	0.272	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.228	0.288	0.499	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	29	109	18	0.165	1	14	0.230	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.244	0.267	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	16	54	14	0.259	1	4	0.344	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.295	0.293	OK
Garrett Stubbs	LF	3	9	2	0.222	0	1	0.273	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.273	0.222	OK
Felix Reyes	RF	6	21	3	0.143	1	1	0.143	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.107	0.107	0.168	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	2	2	1	9	0.129

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	31	121	21	0.174	1	7	0.294	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.172	0.293	0.255	OK
Kyle Stowers	RF	10	39	8	0.205	0	1	0.326	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.144	0.276	0.177	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	31	123	41	0.333	3	14	0.371	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.344	0.357	0.472	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	32	118	39	0.331	1	10	0.423	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.261	0.415	0.342	OK
Liam Hicks	C	24	86	28	0.326	7	29	0.374	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.282	0.389	0.759	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	28	106	25	0.236	2	13	0.317	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.350	0.308	OK
Connor Norby	1B	28	93	21	0.226	3	10	0.330	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.168	0.309	0.218	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	20	63	11	0.175	1	6	0.224	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.202	0.280	0.378	OK
Esteury Ruiz	LF	2	6	2	0.333	1	1	0.333	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.340	0.340	0.850	OK
TEAM TOTALS									29	6	7	7	4	10	0.207

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	5	23.3	5.41	1.545	8.1	21	5.0	4	4	4	4	6	94	5.0	6	4
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	14	12.5	5.04	1.120	10.8	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	15	8.1	8.89	2.963	14.4	13	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	11	1.0	1	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	12	10.5	2.57	1.429	7.7	9	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	24	1.0	2	2

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Meyer	Starter	6	29.3	3.38	1.229	10.1	33	4.0	4	1	1	0	6	81	4.0	6	1
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	10	17.4	1.55	1.437	9.8	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	13	9.6	5.62	2.083	12.2	13	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	11	1.0	0	1
John King	Middle Reliever	15	11.1	0.81	0.631	10.5	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	14	9.2	6.85	2.065	13.7	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Andrew Nardi	Middle Reliever	12	9.6	6.56	1.875	12.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 7-2

San Francisco Giants @ Tampa Bay Rays

SF 13-20 (3.18 RPG / 4.18 RA)

2 - 5

TB 20-12 (4.53 RPG / 4.34 RA)

TB WINS Target: SF 2 - 5 TB Confidence: 77.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5
TB	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	x	5	10

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak5L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	31	113	34	0.301	2	10	0.350	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.352	0.395	0.454	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	31	122	37	0.303	0	11	0.331	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.267	0.340	OK
Casey Schmitt	DH	26	96	29	0.302	4	14	0.352	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.326	0.379	0.559	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	32	124	26	0.210	2	11	0.250	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.198	0.254	0.253	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	32	122	32	0.262	1	12	0.343	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.158	0.347	0.224	OK
Willy Adames	SS	31	125	25	0.200	3	6	0.242	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.113	0.149	0.143	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	29	111	30	0.270	3	14	0.305	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.263	0.288	0.379	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	13	42	12	0.286	2	5	0.318	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.353	0.360	0.515	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	25	76	12	0.158	1	5	0.220	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.255	0.238	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	2	2	0	10	0.156

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	29	117	36	0.308	0	6	0.341	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.322	0.354	0.364	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	25	94	12	0.128	2	8	0.186	4	2	1	3	0	2	0.500	0.063	0.136	0.122	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	30	119	31	0.261	9	16	0.331	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.266	0.502	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	29	108	24	0.222	7	25	0.326	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.176	0.223	0.386	OK
Jake Fraley	DH	18	57	14	0.246	2	4	0.328	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.348	0.564	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	16	41	8	0.195	1	4	0.346	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.119	0.249	0.151	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	14	49	12	0.245	1	6	0.288	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.186	0.221	0.214	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	12	28	7	0.250	0	3	0.382	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.257	0.398	0.257	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	20	62	13	0.210	0	4	0.310	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.395	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	5	5	2	11	0.294

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	6	34.4	2.62	0.930	9.7	37	5.0	7	4	4	0	6	93	5.0	6	4
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	13	10.8	5.00	1.759	10.8	13	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	12	9.7	3.71	1.443	15.8	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	13	12.2	2.95	0.902	9.6	13	1.0	1	0	0	2	1	27	1.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Opener	11	9.0	5.00	1.667	12.0	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	13	12.1	2.98	0.992	10.4	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	3.75	1.333	12.8	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever	13	16.5	3.27	1.636	7.6	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Hunter Bigge	Middle Reliever	8	6.6	5.45	1.515	6.8	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	12	10.8	5.00	0.926	9.2	11	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	20	1.0	1	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Reliever	9	16.4	6.59	1.768	7.1	13	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Casey Legumina	Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	2.000	0.0	0	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	25	2.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-2

Texas Rangers @ Detroit Tigers

TEX 16-17 (3.82 RPG / 3.67 RA)

2 - 4

DET 17-17 (4.44 RPG / 4.09 RA)

DET WINS Target: TEX 2 - 4 DET Confidence: 57.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
DET	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	x	4	6

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Evan Carter	CF	27	85	17	0.200	3	9	0.317	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.079	0.204	0.134	OK
Corey Seager	SS	31	114	24	0.211	6	17	0.319	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.170	0.287	0.314	OK
Josh Jung	3B	28	105	34	0.324	4	19	0.385	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.387	0.460	0.572	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	24	67	13	0.194	1	4	0.300	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.149	0.218	0.161	OK
Jake Burger	1B	31	124	27	0.218	4	16	0.252	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.199	0.255	0.260	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	5	10	2	0.200	0	1	0.467	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.197	0.462	0.310	OK
Ezequiel Duran	RF	18	56	15	0.268	1	6	0.339	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.341	0.350	OK
Josh Smith	2B	24	78	15	0.192	0	6	0.304	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.203	0.362	0.224	OK
Danny Jansen	C	20	69	15	0.217	2	8	0.289	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.200	0.295	0.447	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	2	2	5	11	0.156

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	31	120	38	0.317	2	13	0.414	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.238	0.374	0.314	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	31	114	28	0.246	2	10	0.380	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.284	0.416	0.400	OK
Colt Keith	3B	22	80	23	0.288	0	4	0.313	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.265	0.288	0.289	OK
Riley Greene	LF	32	116	34	0.293	4	19	0.397	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.270	0.377	0.457	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	24	91	23	0.253	5	19	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.192	0.269	0.303	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	23	75	17	0.227	5	14	0.322	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.301	0.575	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	30	101	24	0.238	5	12	0.364	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.314	0.430	0.585	OK
Wenceel Pérez	CF	13	45	4	0.089	0	2	0.146	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.187	0.241	0.243	OK
Jace Jung	DH	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.500	1	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	-	0.500	-
TEAM TOTALS									30	6	4	4	4	10	0.200

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	5	26.2	3.44	1.336	7.6	22	4.0	3	2	2	2	5	81	4.0	5	2
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	14	15.1	1.79	0.728	3.6	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12	1.0	2	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	14	16.5	1.09	0.485	8.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	15	11.8	6.10	1.525	12.2	16	1.0	3	2	2	2	0	34	1.0	0	2
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	14	13.7	0.66	1.314	7.9	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	5	26.3	4.11	1.027	7.9	23	4.0	3	1	1	3	6	88	4.0	6	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	9	6.4	4.22	1.562	12.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	15	14.5	0.62	1.310	7.4	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	7.35	1.735	11.9	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	13	10.9	6.61	2.294	7.4	9	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	15	1.0	1	1
Burch Smith	Middle Reliever	4	7.1	2.54	1.408	13.9	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins

TOR 16-17 (4.24 RPG / 4.64 RA)

4 - 3

MIN 14-20 (4.74 RPG / 4.91 RA)

TOR WINS Target: TOR 4 - 3 MIN Confidence: 56.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
TOR	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	9
MIN	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	16	63	13	0.206	2	6	0.296	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.269	0.347	0.376	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	31	126	38	0.302	1	9	0.323	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.251	0.340	0.450	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	32	117	40	0.342	2	15	0.430	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.328	0.421	0.387	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	31	114	26	0.228	7	18	0.312	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.242	0.333	0.606	OK
Lenyn Sosa	2B	9	30	7	0.233	0	2	0.226	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.277	0.348	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	27	101	23	0.228	4	8	0.304	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.177	0.275	0.312	OK
Myles Straw	RF	11	33	9	0.273	0	1	0.342	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.289	0.257	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	13	36	4	0.111	0	3	0.289	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.038	0.314	0.052	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	12	38	8	0.211	2	3	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.268	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	9	4	4	4	4	0.231

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	30	127	33	0.260	9	13	0.317	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.343	0.391	0.814	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	20	64	18	0.281	1	8	0.425	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.310	0.460	0.440	OK
Josh Bell	DH	31	114	26	0.228	3	17	0.315	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.190	0.240	0.214	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	23	83	24	0.289	4	21	0.388	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.324	0.377	0.523	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	18	66	14	0.212	3	8	0.316	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.357	0.398	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	31	121	26	0.215	1	14	0.271	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.200	0.281	0.242	OK
Matt Wallner	RF	26	94	16	0.170	3	7	0.278	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.081	0.261	0.105	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	28	102	25	0.245	5	15	0.306	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.336	0.442	OK
Tristan Gray	3B	14	49	12	0.245	3	13	0.283	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.249	0.295	0.382	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	7	3	3	1	10	0.189

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	6	30.4	2.96	1.414	14.5	49	5.0	5	2	2	1	5	88	5.0	5	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	16	14.9	0.60	1.208	16.9	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	16	15.4	0.58	0.779	5.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	11	1.0	2	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	15	12.5	7.20	2.080	20.2	28	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	16	14.4	1.87	1.250	10.6	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0
Spencer Miles	Reliever	9	14.5	3.10	1.241	9.3	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	2	9.0	4.00	0.889	11.0	11	4.0	4	3	3	2	0	63	4.0	0	3
Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	12	9.8	5.51	1.633	10.1	11	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	18	12.1	3.72	1.653	8.2	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	13	12.7	5.67	1.575	9.2	13	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	25	1.0	2	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	13	9.0	4.00	1.889	7.0	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Kody Funderburk	Middle Reliever	14	8.4	3.21	2.024	8.6	8	2.0	2	1	1	0	0	28	2.0	0	1

Game Summary

TOR wins 4-3 (Extra Innings - 10)

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs

ARI Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies

ATL Recent Form

COL Recent Form

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

BAL Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres

CHW Recent Form

SD Recent Form

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Oakland Athletics

CLE Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox

HOU Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners

KC Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals

LAD Recent Form

STL Recent Form

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals

MIL Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation