MLB Predictions — May 1, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ CHC	4 - 5	4 - 5	CHC wins 5-4	57%	enhanced_ml
ATL @ COL	6 - 3	6 - 3	ATL wins 6-3	63%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ NYY	3 - 5	3 - 5	NYY wins 5-3	61%	enhanced_ml
CHW @ SD	5 - 3	5 - 3	CHW wins 5-3	61%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ PIT	3 - 5	3 - 5	PIT wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml
CLE @ OAK	2 - 5	2 - 5	OAK wins 5-2	70%	enhanced_ml
HOU @ BOS	7 - 3	7 - 3	HOU wins 7-3	56%	enhanced_ml
KC @ SEA	3 - 5	3 - 5	SEA wins 5-3	57%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ STL	6 - 2	6 - 2	LAD wins 6-2	60%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ WAS	6 - 5	6 - 5	MIL wins 6-5 (Extra Innings - 10)	54%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ LAA	5 - 4	5 - 4	NYM wins 5-4	60%	enhanced_ml
PHI @ MIA	4 - 6	4 - 6	MIA wins 6-4	57%	enhanced_ml
SF @ TB	2 - 6	2 - 6	TB wins 6-2	69%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ DET	4 - 5	4 - 5	DET wins 5-4	59%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ MIN	5 - 2	5 - 2	TOR wins 5-2	65%	enhanced_ml

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs

ARI 16-15 (4.71 RPG / 5.52 RA)

4 - 5

CHC 20-12 (5.47 RPG / 4.34 RA)

CHC WINS Target: ARI 4 - 5 CHC Confidence: 57.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	4	8
CHC	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	11

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed7.9

Run Diff-28

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff2

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak3W

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	27	89	21	0.236	1	6	0.358	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.236	0.418	0.412	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	23	90	34	0.378	6	20	0.398	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.422	0.441	0.658	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	28	98	29	0.296	4	18	0.397	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.310	0.403	0.591	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	DH	16	58	12	0.207	2	11	0.246	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.117	0.194	0.308	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	13	40	11	0.275	0	5	0.333	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.306	0.369	0.504	OK
Jose Fernandez	1B	23	83	27	0.325	3	12	0.349	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.312	0.353	0.441	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	28	98	27	0.276	5	17	0.314	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.351	0.440	0.561	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	24	85	16	0.188	2	10	0.225	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.170	0.182	0.335	OK
Jorge Barrosa	LF	15	50	12	0.240	1	6	0.283	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.326	0.673	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	2	6	0.229

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	31	127	37	0.291	4	26	0.370	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.242	0.332	0.330	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	26	71	24	0.338	5	15	0.385	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.204	0.271	0.471	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	31	124	32	0.258	3	11	0.350	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.252	0.402	0.339	OK
Ian Happ	LF	29	113	26	0.230	7	14	0.351	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.173	0.335	0.282	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	18	67	22	0.328	5	9	0.430	5	2	1	0	0	3	0.400	0.360	0.419	0.672	OK
Michael Busch	1B	30	114	22	0.193	2	11	0.295	4	3	1	3	1	0	0.750	0.174	0.333	0.285	OK
Carson Kelly	C	22	75	23	0.307	2	9	0.402	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.348	0.363	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	31	116	28	0.241	3	13	0.307	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.248	0.343	0.492	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	30	98	21	0.214	6	23	0.344	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.278	0.377	0.598	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	11	5	5	6	5	0.333

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	6	28.2	3.19	1.383	5.4	17	5.0	7	3	3	2	3	89	5.0	3	3
Eduardo Rodriguez	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	27	1.0	2	0
Merrill Kelly	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Ryne Nelson	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.0	2	2	2	1	0	15	0.0	0	2

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Colin Rea	Starter	6	26.4	4.77	1.326	8.2	24	5.0	3	0	0	1	5	78	5.0	5	0
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	10	21.5	2.09	1.116	9.2	22	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	6	3.6	20.00	3.611	17.5	7	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	13	8.8	6.14	2.500	12.3	12	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	7	1.0	0	1
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	15	12.9	2.79	1.085	3.5	5	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-4

Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies

ATL 22-10 (5.53 RPG / 3.47 RA)

6 - 3

COL 14-18 (4.28 RPG / 4.5 RA)

ATL WINS Target: ATL 6 - 3 COL Confidence: 62.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	1	1	6	11
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	6

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	32	121	29	0.240	2	9	0.352	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.244	0.358	0.400	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	32	130	40	0.308	7	25	0.384	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.324	0.414	0.405	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	32	124	40	0.323	7	20	0.368	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.398	0.438	0.762	OK
Matt Olson	1B	32	125	37	0.296	9	28	0.371	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.335	0.394	0.745	OK
Mauricio Dubón	CF	30	109	30	0.275	2	15	0.325	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.245	0.324	0.351	OK
Austin Riley	3B	32	121	23	0.190	3	17	0.274	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.072	0.110	0.131	OK
Eli White	LF	17	41	8	0.195	2	7	0.209	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.199	0.202	0.403	OK
Jonah Heim	C	10	32	7	0.219	0	2	0.306	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.318	0.349	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	13	30	8	0.267	1	3	0.312	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.168	0.207	0.195	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	11	6	6	2	8	0.297

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	25	79	24	0.304	2	12	0.389	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.414	0.512	0.709	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	25	89	28	0.315	8	17	0.361	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.354	0.447	0.541	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	29	109	28	0.257	9	14	0.331	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.310	0.642	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	32	114	30	0.263	3	16	0.331	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.334	0.411	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	17	56	16	0.286	1	9	0.355	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.303	0.351	0.512	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	27	96	30	0.312	2	16	0.359	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.289	0.348	0.365	OK
Willi Castro	3B	23	77	19	0.247	1	10	0.318	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.342	0.331	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	31	114	23	0.202	1	8	0.248	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.136	0.212	0.155	OK
Jake McCarthy	CF	19	56	15	0.268	0	6	0.317	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.408	0.427	0.529	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	3	3	2	4	0.182

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	6	31.4	3.73	1.242	7.2	25	5.0	3	0	0	0	4	75	5.0	4	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	13	12.2	0.74	0.902	9.6	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	0	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	15	13.3	1.35	1.203	9.5	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	14	8.0	5.62	1.750	9.0	8	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	21	1.0	0	2
Joel Payamps	Middle Reliever	11	6.5	9.69	1.846	12.5	9	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	24	1.0	0	1

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jose Quintana	Starter	4	17.4	5.17	1.609	4.7	9	5.0	4	2	2	0	7	83	5.0	7	2
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	12	12.2	8.11	2.131	8.1	11	1.0	3	3	3	0	0	26	1.0	0	3
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	9	17.1	0.53	0.819	10.0	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	12	11.6	3.10	1.207	10.9	14	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	27	1.0	0	1
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	6.00	2.000	12.0	16	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	25	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-3

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

BAL 15-16 (4.68 RPG / 5.06 RA)

3 - 5

NYY 20-11 (4.94 RPG / 3.42 RA)

NYY WINS Target: BAL 3 - 5 NYY Confidence: 60.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	7
NYY	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	x	5	7

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed6.7

Run Diff-9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff26

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	31	131	28	0.214	9	19	0.283	4	3	1	1	1	1	0.750	0.230	0.284	0.471	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	31	115	35	0.304	1	11	0.438	2	2	1	0	3	0	1.000	0.294	0.525	0.376	OK
Adley Rutschman	DH	16	59	21	0.356	4	17	0.406	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.407	0.420	0.769	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	31	116	23	0.198	4	13	0.306	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.157	0.248	0.369	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	22	82	19	0.232	5	9	0.308	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.316	0.342	0.588	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	24	79	18	0.228	2	9	0.303	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.197	0.309	0.303	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	23	66	19	0.288	2	17	0.397	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.337	0.395	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	23	77	13	0.169	3	12	0.244	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.136	0.156	0.316	OK
Blaze Alexander	2B	21	62	11	0.177	0	1	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.121	0.218	0.195	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	7	7	0.206

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	9	28	5	0.179	1	4	0.281	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.160	0.231	0.350	OK
Ben Rice	DH	29	98	32	0.327	10	22	0.446	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.351	0.415	0.588	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	31	111	28	0.252	12	20	0.381	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.276	0.372	0.717	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	30	108	26	0.241	3	15	0.344	1	1	1	1	3	0	1.000	0.184	0.269	0.261	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	19	57	15	0.263	4	13	0.302	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.248	0.283	0.401	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	30	109	22	0.202	3	10	0.281	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.167	0.212	0.330	OK
José Caballero	SS	30	105	28	0.267	3	11	0.312	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.321	0.394	OK
Austin Wells	C	24	70	14	0.200	3	5	0.345	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.377	0.512	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	29	93	14	0.151	4	16	0.298	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.128	0.254	0.291	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	7	5	5	4	6	0.233

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Povich	Starter	2	11.4	2.37	1.053	5.5	7	4.0	5	4	4	2	3	81	4.0	3	4
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	12	10.2	2.65	1.373	13.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	0.00	1.000	12.0	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	15	12.5	0.72	0.400	10.8	15	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	25	1.0	1	1
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	14	14.4	2.50	1.042	11.2	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	6	29.7	2.73	1.212	11.2	37	4.0	3	0	0	3	2	80	4.0	2	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	13	12.2	3.69	1.721	10.3	14	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	32	1.0	0	1
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	14	6.8	5.29	2.647	25.1	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	17	13.0	2.08	1.692	11.1	16	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	13	10.8	1.67	0.741	3.3	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	12	8.7	8.28	1.379	11.4	11	1.0	2	2	2	2	0	29	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-3

Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres

CHW 14-17 (4.16 RPG / 4.94 RA)

5 - 3

SD 19-11 (4.63 RPG / 4.37 RA)

CHW WINS Target: CHW 5 - 3 SD Confidence: 60.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	7
SD	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	3	10

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Andrew Benintendi	DH	29	90	19	0.211	2	14	0.258	2	0	0	0	3	1	0.000	0.194	0.247	0.308	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	31	110	26	0.236	12	23	0.375	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.208	0.330	0.441	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	30	107	23	0.215	6	15	0.366	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.279	0.473	0.517	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	31	111	26	0.234	8	21	0.336	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.254	0.337	0.491	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	29	109	28	0.257	1	3	0.339	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.332	0.333	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	13	40	9	0.225	1	6	0.347	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.275	0.402	0.529	OK
Austin Hays	RF	11	39	9	0.231	1	6	0.250	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.289	0.315	0.335	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	25	66	18	0.273	0	3	0.314	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.316	0.330	0.343	OK
Drew Romo	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.500	0.500	0.750
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	5	5	4	9	0.206

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ramón Laureano	LF	28	107	27	0.252	4	18	0.317	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.199	0.286	0.255	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	29	112	28	0.250	0	12	0.326	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.248	0.292	0.255	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	20	67	21	0.313	1	7	0.352	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.317	0.355	0.571	OK
Manny Machado	3B	28	99	22	0.222	4	16	0.331	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.293	0.321	0.558	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	29	109	30	0.275	5	17	0.352	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.341	0.417	OK
Ty France	1B	14	45	13	0.289	3	8	0.333	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.290	0.322	0.600	OK
Nick Castellanos	RF	19	55	9	0.164	1	9	0.220	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.210	0.293	0.610	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	15	47	8	0.170	0	3	0.293	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.188	0.325	0.253	OK
Bryce Johnson	CF	9	20	5	0.250	0	2	0.286	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.324	0.340	0.424	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	3	3	2	7	0.270

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Schultz	Starter	3	15.1	3.58	1.126	10.7	18	5.0	6	2	2	2	2	90	5.0	2	2
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	12	9.8	1.84	1.939	13.8	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Jordan Leasure	Middle Reliever	8	8.3	4.34	1.084	9.8	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tyler Davis	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Germán Márquez	Starter	5	24.2	4.46	1.364	6.3	17	5.0	4	4	4	2	5	96	5.0	5	4
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	15	15.1	1.19	0.596	17.3	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	6.82	1.742	11.6	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	9	7.3	2.47	0.959	4.9	4	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	25	1.0	2	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	12	11.3	2.39	1.593	9.6	12	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	24	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-3

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN 20-11 (4.29 RPG / 4.39 RA)

3 - 5

PIT 16-16 (4.78 RPG / 4.41 RA)

PIT WINS Target: CIN 3 - 5 PIT Confidence: 51.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	5
PIT	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	x	5	11

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
TJ Friedl	CF	28	107	20	0.187	2	7	0.269	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.260	0.276	0.560	OK
Matt McLain	2B	29	114	24	0.211	2	9	0.323	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.191	0.260	0.281	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	31	124	35	0.282	10	24	0.355	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.317	0.396	0.635	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	31	114	32	0.281	9	29	0.373	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.220	0.313	0.392	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	18	52	15	0.288	5	12	0.373	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.345	0.446	0.866	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	29	97	23	0.237	5	10	0.318	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.339	0.460	0.606	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	3	6	2	0.333	1	1	0.556	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.324	0.547	0.788	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	24	73	13	0.178	2	6	0.291	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.209	0.287	0.338	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	24	77	10	0.130	1	1	0.193	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.254	0.379	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	3	3	6	4	0.156

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	30	125	32	0.256	9	26	0.321	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.164	0.227	0.352	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	27	107	27	0.252	8	20	0.339	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.259	0.305	0.544	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	32	114	28	0.246	3	19	0.387	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.251	0.408	0.398	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	29	108	33	0.306	5	20	0.389	4	3	0	0	0	1	0.750	0.223	0.306	0.352	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	28	104	33	0.317	0	15	0.360	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.332	0.428	0.390	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	25	99	16	0.162	2	8	0.217	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.130	0.146	0.169	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	29	84	21	0.250	3	10	0.363	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.230	0.322	0.414	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	25	91	21	0.231	2	13	0.290	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.301	0.399	OK
Henry Davis	C	20	65	10	0.154	0	3	0.236	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.107	0.153	0.116	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	11	5	5	1	5	0.314

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	6	28.3	5.09	1.661	6.0	19	5.0	8	4	4	1	3	94	5.0	3	4
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	13	13.1	5.50	1.374	6.9	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	2.05	1.136	10.2	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	16	15.1	2.38	1.589	11.3	19	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	11	1.0	0	1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Keller	Starter	6	34.0	3.18	1.147	6.6	25	5.0	2	1	1	4	2	94	5.0	2	1
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	3.17	1.197	6.3	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	1.90	0.845	12.7	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	17	14.8	4.26	1.622	7.3	12	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	26	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	14	11.7	3.85	1.538	16.9	22	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	22	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Oakland Athletics

CLE 16-16 (3.84 RPG / 4.09 RA)

2 - 5

OAK 17-14 (4.23 RPG / 4.39 RA)

OAK WINS Target: CLE 2 - 5 OAK Confidence: 70.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	5
OAK	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	x	5	8

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	29	113	25	0.221	1	8	0.310	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.203	0.316	0.307	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	28	101	26	0.257	5	18	0.339	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.366	0.422	0.465	OK
José Ramírez	3B	32	117	26	0.222	6	12	0.341	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.198	0.272	0.371	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	27	86	16	0.186	1	7	0.260	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.148	0.167	0.197	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	23	69	14	0.203	1	6	0.345	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.161	0.335	0.184	OK
Daniel Schneemann	CF	25	78	25	0.321	4	14	0.391	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.374	0.420	0.593	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	2	6	0	0.000	0	0	0.250	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	1.000
Bo Naylor	C	21	68	8	0.118	1	3	0.167	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.082	0.124	0.136	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	31	99	28	0.283	3	17	0.360	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.330	0.349	0.361	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	2	2	3	8	0.156

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	SS	30	128	37	0.289	2	15	0.298	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.363	0.371	0.462	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	30	125	41	0.328	8	15	0.382	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.398	0.428	0.634	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	30	106	25	0.236	5	15	0.417	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.201	0.372	0.388	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	15	54	6	0.111	2	8	0.206	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.036	0.128	0.099	OK
Darell Hernaiz	3B	15	39	10	0.256	1	4	0.341	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.322	0.391	0.360	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	29	109	23	0.211	3	18	0.298	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.158	0.262	0.350	OK
Colby Thomas	RF	3	9	2	0.222	0	1	0.364	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.221	0.368	0.221	OK
Zack Gelof	CF	12	35	8	0.229	1	4	0.250	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.240	0.265	0.337	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	29	91	26	0.286	1	7	0.359	2	1	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.286	0.383	0.400	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	8	5	5	3	11	0.267

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	6	28.7	3.14	1.394	10.7	34	5.0	6	3	3	1	8	107	5.0	8	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	14	14.0	3.86	1.429	10.9	17	1.0	2	2	2	2	2	34	1.0	2	2
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	6	5.1	7.06	1.373	10.6	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	16	10.4	3.46	1.250	19.0	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	7	23.6	3.43	1.144	7.2	19	5.0	2	1	1	2	4	81	5.0	4	1
Jack Perkins	Middle Reliever	8	12.4	2.90	1.129	12.3	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	25	1.0	3	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	17	12.8	3.52	2.031	12.0	17	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	29	1.0	1	1
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	10	7.9	3.42	1.519	4.6	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	15	10.9	7.43	2.110	11.6	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 5-2

Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox

HOU 12-20 (5.25 RPG / 6.06 RA)

7 - 3

BOS 12-19 (3.97 RPG / 4.48 RA)

HOU WINS Target: HOU 7 - 3 BOS Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	3	0	7	9
BOS	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	5

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Correa	SS	28	106	29	0.274	2	14	0.361	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.239	0.338	0.387	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	32	118	42	0.356	12	27	0.462	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.358	0.424	0.624	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	27	99	25	0.253	3	15	0.339	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.379	0.415	0.499	OK
Christian Walker	1B	32	116	34	0.293	7	24	0.366	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.353	0.383	0.681	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	29	112	28	0.250	3	8	0.349	3	1	1	3	2	1	0.333	0.179	0.268	0.248	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	23	92	23	0.250	2	14	0.268	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.366	0.368	0.507	OK
Cam Smith	RF	31	105	23	0.219	4	15	0.317	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.139	0.280	0.283	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	21	58	12	0.207	2	8	0.258	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.309	0.329	0.486	OK
Dustin Harris	LF	8	24	4	0.167	0	4	0.250	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.277	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	7	7	6	5	0.250

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	LF	26	100	17	0.170	1	11	0.231	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.087	0.122	0.116	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	30	107	28	0.262	7	20	0.375	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.299	0.374	0.670	OK
Roman Anthony	DH	26	96	20	0.208	1	5	0.339	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.149	0.259	0.166	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	30	114	35	0.307	4	13	0.373	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.331	0.428	0.437	OK
Trevor Story	SS	30	122	24	0.197	2	17	0.237	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.299	0.289	OK
Marcelo Mayer	2B	26	75	19	0.253	1	7	0.321	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.386	0.429	0.453	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	28	95	25	0.263	1	10	0.333	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.264	0.306	0.450	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	19	64	15	0.234	2	3	0.258	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.243	0.255	0.507	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	29	99	17	0.172	1	11	0.261	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.239	0.318	0.407	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	3	3	5	12	0.156

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Burrows	Starter	6	30.5	6.49	1.738	9.7	33	4.0	4	2	2	2	5	86	4.0	5	2
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	11	10.4	6.06	1.635	8.7	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12	1.0	2	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	10	9.8	4.59	1.633	11.9	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	16	10.5	6.00	1.619	7.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	11	8.4	13.93	3.095	17.1	16	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	16	1.0	1	1
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever	13	17.4	6.21	1.552	7.8	15	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.0	1	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	4.0	8	4	4	3	2	101	4.0	2	4
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	1.10	0.976	11.0	10	2.0	0	0	0	0	3	15	2.0	3	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	11	11.0	3.27	1.182	10.6	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	14	10.0	6.30	1.800	15.3	17	1.0	1	3	3	2	0	25	1.0	0	3
Danny Coulombe	Middle Reliever	11	4.3	10.47	2.558	10.5	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 7-3

Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners

KC 12-19 (4.06 RPG / 4.77 RA)

3 - 5

SEA 16-16 (4.19 RPG / 3.97 RA)

SEA WINS Target: KC 3 - 5 SEA Confidence: 57.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	2
SEA	0	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	x	5	10

KC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff3

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	29	113	31	0.274	3	11	0.341	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.285	0.330	0.610	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	31	121	35	0.289	2	15	0.367	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.318	0.396	0.630	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	29	103	17	0.165	3	14	0.274	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.422	0.681	OK
Salvador Perez	C	30	120	24	0.200	5	11	0.236	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.278	0.318	0.445	OK
Carter Jensen	DH	28	90	23	0.256	6	16	0.340	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.194	0.308	0.286	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	27	88	22	0.250	2	4	0.333	3	1	1	3	0	1	0.333	0.237	0.345	0.419	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	24	79	17	0.215	2	8	0.333	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.372	0.329	OK
Michael Massey	2B	18	50	11	0.220	1	7	0.255	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.161	0.237	0.238	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	24	72	21	0.292	3	8	0.354	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.354	0.406	0.565	OK
TEAM TOTALS									29	2	3	3	3	8	0.069

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	24	80	16	0.200	2	7	0.366	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.208	0.374	0.364	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	32	125	24	0.192	7	18	0.275	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.218	0.282	0.523	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	32	126	32	0.254	2	12	0.329	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.323	0.348	0.503	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	29	113	24	0.212	4	15	0.286	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.319	0.384	0.555	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	32	114	33	0.289	2	11	0.381	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.297	0.367	0.530	OK
Mitch Garver	DH	13	34	7	0.206	0	1	0.341	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.279	0.424	0.332	OK
Cole Young	2B	32	112	32	0.286	3	19	0.357	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.436	0.450	0.634	OK
Connor Joe	RF	5	14	3	0.214	0	2	0.267	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.282	0.342	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	25	74	11	0.149	0	7	0.264	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.118	0.205	0.134	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	5	5	5	5	0.294

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cole Ragans	Starter	6	26.3	5.13	1.521	11.3	33	5.0	7	4	4	3	3	106	5.0	3	4
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	13	11.4	4.74	1.754	7.9	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	11	10.2	4.41	1.471	10.6	12	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	26	1.0	1	1
Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	12	10.3	2.62	1.165	7.9	9	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	6	35.0	3.86	1.057	6.9	27	5.0	2	3	3	3	5	81	5.0	5	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	13	11.3	6.37	1.416	15.9	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	13	10.4	0.00	0.481	6.9	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Jose A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	15	12.8	2.11	1.641	7.7	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	15	11.2	1.61	1.339	8.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals

LAD 20-11 (5.39 RPG / 3.26 RA)

6 - 2

STL 18-13 (5.0 RPG / 5.1 RA)

LAD WINS Target: LAD 6 - 2 STL Confidence: 60.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	9
STL	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	7

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff5

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	29	110	30	0.273	6	13	0.406	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.385	0.535	0.656	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	29	116	30	0.259	3	15	0.328	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.269	0.239	OK
Will Smith	C	25	89	24	0.270	3	15	0.320	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.270	0.301	0.386	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	27	98	23	0.235	4	17	0.303	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.178	0.322	0.217	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	30	116	28	0.241	3	15	0.331	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.238	0.328	0.371	OK
Andy Pages	CF	31	112	36	0.321	5	25	0.366	4	3	1	4	0	1	0.750	0.249	0.279	0.341	OK
Max Muncy	3B	29	101	29	0.287	9	11	0.374	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.304	0.391	0.629	OK
Miguel Rojas	SS	16	44	15	0.341	1	5	0.348	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.247	0.360	OK
Santiago Espinal	2B	9	23	5	0.217	0	2	0.217	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.180	0.180	0.263	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	6	6	1	9	0.250

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	31	117	30	0.256	7	16	0.378	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.304	0.392	0.742	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	31	109	27	0.248	4	14	0.420	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.314	0.500	0.513	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	30	119	33	0.277	4	25	0.356	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.353	0.411	0.573	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	30	116	33	0.284	9	23	0.354	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.280	0.356	0.440	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	30	103	23	0.223	4	19	0.291	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.291	0.377	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	25	99	25	0.253	1	13	0.324	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.294	0.292	OK
Nathan Church	LF	25	85	20	0.235	5	14	0.275	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.209	0.393	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	19	65	17	0.262	3	8	0.310	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.355	0.387	0.597	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	27	78	14	0.179	1	5	0.244	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.111	0.204	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	7	2	2	0	9	0.212

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	5	25.4	4.96	1.299	9.9	28	5.0	7	2	2	0	7	91	5.0	7	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	15	12.4	2.18	0.806	9.4	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	13	9.5	1.89	0.947	13.3	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	10	7.5	1.20	1.333	10.8	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	9	12.3	2.93	1.463	11.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	6	30.1	4.78	1.561	5.7	19	3.0	6	5	5	1	3	63	3.0	3	5
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	15	14.4	1.25	0.833	10.6	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	15	11.5	5.48	1.739	8.6	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	15	10.2	10.59	2.843	15.9	18	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.0	2	1
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	14	11.7	4.62	1.282	8.5	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	13	15.0	1.20	0.867	5.4	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Matt Svanson	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-2

Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals

MIL 16-14 (5.33 RPG / 4.07 RA)

6 - 5

WAS 15-17 (5.47 RPG / 5.78 RA)

MIL WINS Target: MIL 6 - 5 WAS Confidence: 53.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
MIL	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	6	11
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	5	8

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff3

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	26	78	19	0.244	1	20	0.385	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.222	0.342	0.308	OK
Brice Turang	2B	28	103	30	0.291	4	20	0.422	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.331	0.449	0.477	OK
William Contreras	C	28	111	32	0.288	3	20	0.363	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.339	0.396	0.539	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	28	100	26	0.260	5	19	0.321	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.281	0.349	0.405	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	26	85	16	0.188	0	9	0.255	4	3	1	2	1	0	0.750	0.253	0.301	0.376	OK
Tyler Black	DH	5	18	7	0.389	0	6	0.421	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.407	0.451	0.535	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	27	90	19	0.211	3	7	0.304	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.293	0.575	OK
Blake Perkins	LF	17	41	5	0.122	0	5	0.234	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.088	0.192	0.155	OK
David Hamilton	SS	25	75	18	0.240	0	7	0.345	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.290	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	11	6	6	3	7	0.268

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	32	122	29	0.238	10	24	0.400	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.189	0.379	0.357	OK
Luis Garcia	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	-	-	-
Curtis Mead	1B	23	63	14	0.222	4	12	0.310	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.251	0.360	0.560	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	31	108	32	0.296	8	26	0.405	5	3	1	3	0	1	0.600	0.324	0.403	0.570	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	31	128	33	0.258	3	14	0.321	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.133	0.201	0.203	OK
Brady House	3B	28	111	25	0.225	4	14	0.283	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.194	0.284	0.423	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	24	63	18	0.286	0	3	0.370	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.281	0.278	OK
Drew Millas	C	18	52	8	0.154	0	2	0.214	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.137	0.149	0.170	OK
Jacob Young	CF	28	101	24	0.238	2	15	0.280	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.292	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	8	5	5	1	8	0.211

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	6	32.2	3.35	1.118	14.3	51	6.0	4	2	2	0	4	89	6.0	4	2
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	13	9.7	4.64	1.237	12.1	13	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	30	1.0	1	2
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	15	16.0	2.81	1.625	16.9	30	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	11	11.0	3.27	1.182	10.6	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Jake Woodford	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Irvin	Starter	6	29.2	4.93	1.199	10.5	34	4.0	5	3	3	2	4	79	4.0	4	3
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	13	10.8	3.33	1.574	11.7	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Cionel Pérez	Middle Reliever	14	13.3	4.74	1.504	6.1	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	15	1.0	0	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	16	12.3	5.12	1.707	7.3	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	10	19.8	4.09	1.162	6.4	14	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	6	5.4	1.67	2.037	10.0	6	2.0	2	2	2	0	1	31	2.0	1	2

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-5 (Extra Innings - 10)

New York Mets @ Los Angeles Angels

NYM 10-21 (3.42 RPG / 4.55 RA)

5 - 4

LAA 12-20 (4.69 RPG / 5.03 RA)

NYM WINS Target: NYM 5 - 4 LAA Confidence: 59.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	10
LAA	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	9

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-23

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak6L

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bo Bichette	3B	31	126	29	0.230	2	14	0.272	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.199	0.281	0.346	OK
Juan Soto	LF	16	58	20	0.345	3	8	0.441	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.375	0.485	0.719	OK
MJ Melendez	DH	11	29	10	0.345	2	6	0.406	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.483	0.534	0.963	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	28	84	19	0.226	4	7	0.312	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.158	0.183	0.250	OK
Brett Baty	1B	27	90	19	0.211	1	12	0.240	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.141	0.230	0.193	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	31	110	24	0.218	1	9	0.275	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.196	0.242	0.230	OK
Carson Benge	RF	27	90	17	0.189	2	6	0.247	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.253	0.281	OK
Tyrone Taylor	CF	20	49	11	0.224	2	7	0.240	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.235	0.238	0.360	OK
Ronny Mauricio	SS	8	26	5	0.192	0	1	0.192	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.206	0.206	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	5	5	0	4	0.270

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	32	129	30	0.233	5	15	0.340	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.213	0.279	0.313	OK
Mike Trout	CF	31	109	27	0.248	10	21	0.431	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.299	0.474	0.680	OK
Yoán Moncada	3B	27	82	15	0.183	3	9	0.316	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.213	0.271	0.240	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	28	102	24	0.235	6	23	0.331	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.267	0.318	0.472	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	29	113	27	0.239	3	19	0.302	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.312	0.420	OK
Jo Adell	RF	32	130	34	0.262	4	19	0.302	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.234	0.262	0.314	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	25	77	14	0.182	4	10	0.238	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.234	0.246	0.459	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	9	25	4	0.160	0	0	0.300	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.170	0.345	0.192	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	21	52	14	0.269	1	5	0.356	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.280	0.443	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	4	4	2	9	0.250

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Christian Scott	Starter	1	1.1	8.18	4.545	8.2	1	4.0	7	3	3	1	5	92	4.0	5	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	10	8.3	6.51	2.048	16.3	15	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	12	1.0	1	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	12	10.6	6.79	1.321	6.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	12	8.8	2.05	1.136	13.3	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	12	9.6	1.88	1.458	10.3	11	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever	6	4.4	6.14	1.591	14.3	7	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	4	10.4	5.19	2.404	11.2	13	3.0	6	3	3	0	1	62	3.0	1	3
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	11	13.7	3.94	1.460	9.9	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	15	8.2	4.39	2.439	11.0	10	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	11	18.3	3.44	1.311	8.9	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Drew Pomeranz	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	9.43	2.095	7.7	9	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	11	14.7	6.12	1.293	12.9	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Yusei Kikuchi	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 5-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins

PHI 12-19 (3.81 RPG / 5.26 RA)

4 - 6

MIA 15-16 (4.35 RPG / 4.32 RA)

MIA WINS Target: PHI 4 - 6 MIA Confidence: 57.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	4	8
MIA	0	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	x	6	8

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	31	111	25	0.225	11	20	0.381	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.382	0.541	1.062	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	31	114	30	0.263	6	19	0.356	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.270	0.375	0.408	OK
Adolis García	RF	31	111	27	0.243	3	11	0.320	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.272	0.330	0.423	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	28	99	30	0.303	4	17	0.324	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.343	0.338	0.559	OK
Edmundo Sosa	SS	15	42	11	0.262	1	7	0.279	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.275	0.363	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	25	87	18	0.207	0	5	0.258	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.200	0.240	0.379	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	29	106	16	0.151	1	13	0.218	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.160	0.194	0.223	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	27	90	24	0.267	0	5	0.333	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.267	0.306	0.358	OK
Rafael Marchán	C	14	47	4	0.085	1	2	0.140	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.106	0.179	0.119	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	1	9	0.229

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	31	118	21	0.178	1	8	0.300	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.191	0.320	0.281	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	9	35	8	0.229	0	1	0.341	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.171	0.286	0.218	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	30	118	38	0.322	3	12	0.362	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.293	0.307	0.395	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	31	113	38	0.336	1	9	0.432	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.300	0.456	0.344	OK
Liam Hicks	C	29	92	29	0.315	7	28	0.365	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.320	0.409	0.879	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	28	104	24	0.231	2	12	0.308	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.349	0.335	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	28	87	18	0.207	2	15	0.242	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.123	0.135	0.174	OK
Christopher Morel	1B	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.250	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.250	1.333
Javier Sanoja	3B	20	62	20	0.323	0	10	0.364	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.321	0.358	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	6	6	7	5	0.250

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	1	5.0	3.60	1.200	10.8	6	3.0	6	3	3	4	2	76	3.0	2	3
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	13	11.5	4.70	1.043	10.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	14	8.0	9.00	2.750	13.5	12	1.0	0	1	1	1	0	19	1.0	0	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	11	9.5	2.84	1.579	7.6	8	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	15	17.3	3.64	1.098	9.4	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0
Tanner Banks	Middle Reliever	11	10.4	5.19	2.308	12.1	14	1.0	0	1	1	1	2	21	1.0	2	1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	6	31.1	4.63	1.415	9.5	33	5.0	5	3	3	1	5	92	5.0	5	3
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	10	17.4	1.55	1.437	9.8	19	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
John King	Middle Reliever	15	11.1	0.81	0.631	10.5	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	13	9.6	5.62	2.083	12.2	13	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	14	9.2	6.85	2.065	13.7	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 6-4

San Francisco Giants @ Tampa Bay Rays

SF 13-18 (3.35 RPG / 4.19 RA)

2 - 6

TB 18-12 (4.57 RPG / 4.6 RA)

TB WINS Target: SF 2 - 6 TB Confidence: 69.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3
TB	1	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	x	6	10

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-8

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heliot Ramos	LF	30	110	31	0.282	3	15	0.322	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.345	0.366	0.545	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	31	118	32	0.271	1	12	0.353	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.213	0.415	0.309	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	30	118	36	0.305	0	11	0.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.276	0.337	OK
Casey Schmitt	DH	25	93	28	0.301	4	14	0.353	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.353	0.416	0.676	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	31	121	25	0.207	2	11	0.248	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.153	0.215	0.207	OK
Willy Adames	SS	30	122	24	0.197	3	6	0.240	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.085	0.120	0.116	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	CF	31	111	33	0.297	2	11	0.344	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.326	0.377	0.464	OK
Jerar Encarnacion	RF	13	30	6	0.200	0	0	0.200	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.116	0.116	0.123	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	24	74	11	0.149	1	5	0.212	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.144	0.207	0.187	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	3	2	2	1	7	0.100

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	30	118	37	0.314	0	6	0.349	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.297	0.355	0.338	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	30	117	30	0.256	8	15	0.328	3	3	1	3	1	0	1.000	0.225	0.246	0.385	OK
Ryan Vilade	1B	14	32	11	0.344	0	5	0.382	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.545	0.579	0.611	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	30	115	38	0.330	4	20	0.421	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.301	0.406	0.423	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	25	80	20	0.250	0	9	0.310	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.238	0.272	0.336	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	20	60	17	0.283	2	13	0.317	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.306	0.427	OK
Jake Fraley	RF	21	60	15	0.250	2	4	0.328	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.288	0.370	0.614	OK
Nick Fortes	C	24	76	21	0.276	1	8	0.321	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.233	0.267	0.298	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	19	59	11	0.186	0	4	0.294	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.090	0.326	0.142	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	6	6	2	6	0.294

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	6	32.4	2.78	1.173	9.7	35	4.0	9	6	6	1	3	81	4.0	3	6
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	13	10.8	5.00	1.759	10.8	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	12	9.7	3.71	1.443	15.8	17	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	13	12.2	2.95	0.902	9.6	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	13	11.9	0.76	1.008	12.1	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane McClanahan	Starter	5	22.3	4.04	1.300	10.1	25	6.0	2	0	0	1	3	80	6.0	3	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	12	11.1	3.24	1.081	10.5	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Griffin Jax	Middle Reliever	11	9.0	5.00	1.667	12.0	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	22	1.0	1	0
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	11	11.0	4.09	1.364	13.9	17	1.0	0	2	2	0	2	22	1.0	2	2

Game Summary

TB wins 6-2

Texas Rangers @ Detroit Tigers

TEX 15-16 (3.87 RPG / 3.61 RA)

4 - 5

DET 16-16 (4.44 RPG / 4.16 RA)

DET WINS Target: TEX 4 - 5 DET Confidence: 58.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	7
DET	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	x	5	6

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	31	124	36	0.290	4	12	0.364	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.323	0.401	0.375	OK
Evan Carter	CF	30	90	17	0.189	3	9	0.295	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.082	0.178	0.140	OK
Corey Seager	SS	30	111	23	0.207	6	17	0.308	4	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.181	0.256	0.289	OK
Josh Jung	3B	28	101	32	0.317	4	17	0.381	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.358	0.435	0.629	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	29	71	16	0.225	2	5	0.341	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.179	0.257	0.347	OK
Jake Burger	1B	31	122	26	0.213	5	19	0.248	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.130	0.192	0.161	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	6	8	3	0.375	0	1	0.615	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.330	0.594	0.330	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	21	59	17	0.288	1	8	0.354	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.412	0.495	0.593	OK
Danny Jansen	C	21	67	14	0.209	1	7	0.284	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.179	0.290	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	7	4	4	5	7	0.212

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	30	110	28	0.255	2	10	0.387	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.313	0.462	0.438	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	31	116	38	0.328	2	13	0.426	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.349	0.467	0.520	OK
Jahmai Jones	LF	19	36	7	0.194	2	5	0.216	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.082	0.143	0.163	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	27	93	23	0.247	5	20	0.327	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.280	0.359	OK
Riley Greene	DH	32	113	32	0.283	4	18	0.391	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.249	0.388	0.479	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	20	62	14	0.226	1	11	0.286	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.321	0.372	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	31	101	23	0.228	5	12	0.350	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.271	0.344	0.596	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	16	46	6	0.130	2	3	0.184	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.239	0.297	0.527	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	9	24	5	0.208	1	3	0.296	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.211	0.334	0.532	OK
TEAM TOTALS									29	6	5	5	8	6	0.207

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	6	30.3	4.46	1.320	12.5	42	3.0	5	5	5	7	2	109	3.0	2	5
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	13	14.1	1.91	0.780	3.8	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	13	15.5	1.16	0.516	8.1	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	14	11.6	5.43	1.379	11.6	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	19	1.0	2	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	13	12.7	0.71	1.339	8.5	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Gavin Collyer	Middle Reliever	7	4.4	0.00	1.136	8.2	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Flaherty	Starter	6	24.4	5.53	1.803	10.3	28	4.0	5	2	2	3	4	89	4.0	4	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	9	6.4	4.22	1.562	12.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	15	14.5	0.62	1.310	7.4	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	7.35	1.735	11.9	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	13	10.9	6.61	2.294	7.4	9	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	10	1.0	0	1
Burch Smith	Middle Reliever	3	5.1	1.76	1.373	14.1	8	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	30	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

DET wins 5-4

Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins

TOR 14-17 (3.94 RPG / 4.71 RA)

5 - 2

MIN 14-18 (4.81 RPG / 4.66 RA)

TOR WINS Target: TOR 5 - 2 MIN Confidence: 64.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	5	10
MIN	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.355

Avg Runs1.7

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-63.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.188

Avg Runs1.8

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-71.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	16	60	13	0.217	2	7	0.309	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.305	0.387	0.425	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	30	91	23	0.253	4	15	0.297	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.204	0.213	0.412	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	31	113	40	0.354	2	15	0.438	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.474	0.535	0.588	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	30	110	24	0.218	5	15	0.301	5	1	1	3	0	1	0.200	0.167	0.241	0.239	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	28	98	23	0.235	4	8	0.312	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.207	0.316	0.413	OK
Lenyn Sosa	2B	10	28	6	0.214	0	4	0.207	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.184	0.182	0.244	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	4	6	2	0.333	0	1	0.429	2	0	0	0	3	1	0.000	0.333	0.429	0.333	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	29	105	28	0.267	3	16	0.291	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.249	0.252	0.358	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	17	45	8	0.178	0	2	0.213	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.089	0.096	0.089	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	5	5	6	10	0.270

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	29	123	31	0.252	8	11	0.306	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.371	0.718	OK
Austin Martin	RF	23	64	20	0.312	1	7	0.464	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.258	0.387	0.337	OK
Ryan Jeffers	DH	22	79	23	0.291	4	20	0.398	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.334	0.404	0.535	OK
Josh Bell	1B	31	111	25	0.225	3	17	0.315	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.160	0.212	0.185	OK
Victor Caratini	C	23	77	17	0.221	1	12	0.312	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.155	0.211	0.188	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	31	120	26	0.217	1	14	0.267	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.281	0.274	OK
Royce Lewis	3B	20	66	13	0.197	3	10	0.303	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.190	0.245	0.252	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	28	99	24	0.242	5	17	0.306	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.282	0.378	OK
James Outman	LF	11	27	3	0.111	0	0	0.143	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.171	0.185	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	2	2	3	4	0.229

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Corbin	Starter	4	18.4	3.91	1.304	7.8	16	6.0	5	1	1	2	3	97	6.0	3	1
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	15	13.9	0.65	1.151	16.8	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	15	14.4	0.62	0.833	5.0	8	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	7.04	2.000	21.1	27	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	14	1.0	0	1

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Simeon Woods Richardson	Starter	6	29.3	6.45	1.741	4.6	15	4.0	8	5	5	3	3	101	4.0	3	5
Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	12	9.8	5.51	1.633	10.1	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	18	12.1	3.72	1.653	8.2	11	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	23	1.0	3	0
Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	12	10.6	5.94	1.698	10.2	12	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	23	1.0	0	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	12	8.0	4.50	2.000	7.9	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Kody Funderburk	Middle Reliever	14	8.4	3.21	2.024	8.6	8	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	26	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs

ARI Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies

ATL Recent Form

COL Recent Form

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

BAL Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres

CHW Recent Form

SD Recent Form

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Oakland Athletics

CLE Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox

HOU Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners

KC Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals

LAD Recent Form

STL Recent Form

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals

MIL Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation