MLB Predictions — April 28, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ MIL	4 - 5	3 - 4	MIL wins 4-3	46%	enhanced_ml
BOS @ TOR	4 - 5	0 - 1	TOR wins 1-0 (Extra Innings - 10)	46%	enhanced_ml
CHC @ SD	5 - 3	5 - 2	CHC wins 5-2	69%	enhanced_ml
COL @ CIN	3 - 4	2 - 4	CIN wins 4-2	61%	enhanced_ml
DET @ ATL	2 - 5	2 - 3	ATL wins 3-2	89%	enhanced_ml
HOU @ BAL	3 - 4	1 - 2	BAL wins 2-1	54%	enhanced_ml
KC @ OAK	6 - 5	6 - 1	KC wins 6-1	48%	enhanced_ml
LAA @ CHW	4 - 3	5 - 2	LAA wins 5-2	45%	enhanced_ml
MIA @ LAD	3 - 6	3 - 5	LAD wins 5-3	85%	enhanced_ml
NYY @ TEX	4 - 1	4 - 1	NYY wins 4-1	89%	enhanced_ml
SEA @ MIN	7 - 4	4 - 2	SEA wins 4-2	84%	enhanced_ml
SF @ PHI	6 - 2	4 - 2	SF wins 4-2	92%	enhanced_ml
STL @ PIT	3 - 4	2 - 3	PIT wins 3-2	64%	enhanced_ml
TB @ CLE	5 - 3	6 - 5	TB wins 6-5 (Extra Innings - 11)	65%	enhanced_ml
WAS @ NYM	4 - 3	9 - 6	WAS wins 9-6 (Extra Innings - 10)	72%	enhanced_ml

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers

ARI 15-12 (4.89 RPG / 5.07 RA)

3 - 4

MIL 14-13 (4.89 RPG / 4.19 RA)

MIL WINS Target: ARI 4 - 5 MIL Confidence: 45.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	6
MIL	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	x	4	8

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff3

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	20	79	29	0.367	6	20	0.383	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.354	0.363	0.747	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	25	105	25	0.238	4	10	0.292	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.315	0.410	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	25	87	25	0.287	3	17	0.400	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.392	0.508	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	6	24	3	0.125	0	3	0.192	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.125	0.192	0.167	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	DH	13	47	11	0.234	1	10	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.257	0.278	0.400	OK
Jose Fernandez	SS	21	76	26	0.342	3	12	0.359	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.361	0.384	0.511	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	25	91	26	0.286	4	14	0.312	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.334	0.368	0.502	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	21	75	16	0.213	2	10	0.253	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.250	0.282	0.484	OK
James McCann	C	11	32	8	0.250	0	4	0.273	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.259	0.259	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	3	3	0	10	0.182

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	23	68	16	0.235	1	19	0.381	2	0	0	0	3	2	0.000	0.217	0.380	0.365	OK
William Contreras	C	25	99	26	0.263	2	14	0.336	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.238	0.290	0.330	OK
Brice Turang	2B	25	93	24	0.258	4	18	0.391	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.368	0.396	OK
Tyler Black	DH	2	8	2	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.375	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	25	88	23	0.261	5	15	0.316	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.319	0.434	OK
Brandon Lockridge	LF	22	67	18	0.269	0	8	0.347	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.270	0.349	0.321	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	24	81	16	0.198	1	5	0.293	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.212	0.309	0.253	OK
David Hamilton	3B	22	64	15	0.234	0	5	0.355	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.343	0.275	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	20	61	11	0.180	0	4	0.265	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.162	0.277	0.162	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	4	4	6	7	0.250

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Merrill Kelly	Starter	1	5.1	3.53	1.765	5.3	3	5.0	6	3	3	3	4	91	8.0	3	4
Eduardo Rodriguez		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	-	-	-
Andrew Hoffmann		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	28	-	-	-
Juan Morillo		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	15	-	-	-

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chad Patrick	Starter	5	22.3	2.42	1.300	4.4	11	5.0	4	2	2	0	4	79	4.1	5	2
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	13	9.7	4.64	1.237	12.1	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	2	1
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	15	16.0	2.81	1.625	16.9	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.2	4	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	10	10.0	3.60	1.300	10.8	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	0	0
Angel Zerpa	Middle Reliever	12	10.8	7.50	2.037	6.7	8	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	9	0.1	2	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-3

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

BOS 12-17 (4.21 RPG / 4.41 RA)

0 - 1

TOR 12-16 (3.93 RPG / 4.93 RA)

TOR WINS Target: BOS 4 - 5 TOR Confidence: 46.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jarren Duran	CF	24	95	17	0.179	1	11	0.243	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.177	0.224	0.248	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	28	99	25	0.253	6	19	0.375	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.234	0.330	0.447	OK
Roman Anthony	LF	24	87	19	0.218	1	5	0.358	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.392	0.311	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	28	108	33	0.306	4	13	0.364	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.299	0.367	0.463	OK
Trevor Story	SS	28	115	22	0.191	2	17	0.228	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.178	0.232	0.246	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	16	46	12	0.261	0	5	0.382	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.266	0.369	0.317	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	18	61	15	0.246	2	3	0.270	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.273	0.421	OK
Marcelo Mayer	2B	24	70	17	0.243	1	7	0.316	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.275	0.339	0.398	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	27	92	16	0.174	1	11	0.269	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.198	0.295	0.328	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	4	0	0	8	9	0.118

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Myles Straw	RF	19	41	12	0.293	1	3	0.341	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.326	0.410	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	28	116	36	0.310	0	7	0.316	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.326	0.329	0.467	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	28	103	34	0.330	2	14	0.415	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.335	0.399	0.457	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	27	99	22	0.222	5	11	0.306	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.239	0.327	0.460	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	25	88	22	0.250	3	8	0.320	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.301	0.349	OK
Eloy Jiménez	DH	11	28	9	0.321	0	3	0.375	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.312	0.374	0.312	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	18	44	6	0.136	1	5	0.283	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.102	0.284	0.187	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	16	42	8	0.190	0	2	0.227	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.107	0.107	0.107	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	26	94	27	0.287	3	16	0.313	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.295	0.310	0.459	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	2	1	1	2	10	0.065

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	1	6.0	1.50	0.667	16.5	11	6.0	0	0	0	0	7	74	6.0	12	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	1.10	0.976	11.0	10	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	3	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	10	10.0	2.70	1.200	11.7	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	0.2	2	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	4.59	1.633	14.7	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	0.2	0	0
Ryan Watson		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	8	-	-	-

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trey Yesavage	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	5.0	2	0	0	4	3	102	6.0	5	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	7.71	2.190	21.4	25	1.0	1	0	0	2	2	34	1.0	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	14	13.4	0.67	0.896	4.7	7	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	0.2	2	0
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	14	12.9	0.70	1.240	16.0	23	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	24	0.2	2	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	14	13.0	2.08	1.308	10.4	15	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	29	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 1-0 (Extra Innings - 10)

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres

CHC 17-12 (5.38 RPG / 4.38 RA)

5 - 2

SD 19-9 (4.71 RPG / 4.21 RA)

CHC WINS Target: CHC 5 - 3 SD Confidence: 68.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	5	10
SD	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	7

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	29	118	35	0.297	4	24	0.375	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.264	0.338	0.389	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	24	62	24	0.387	5	15	0.426	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.410	0.462	0.803	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	17	63	20	0.317	5	9	0.419	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.328	0.415	0.651	OK
Ian Happ	LF	27	106	25	0.236	7	14	0.347	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.253	0.372	0.461	OK
Michael Busch	1B	28	108	22	0.204	2	11	0.287	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.225	0.288	0.355	OK
Carson Kelly	C	21	70	22	0.314	2	9	0.415	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.322	0.413	0.497	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	29	97	20	0.206	6	21	0.339	2	1	1	1	2	1	0.500	0.204	0.323	0.425	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	29	108	26	0.241	1	7	0.305	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.254	0.324	0.334	OK
Matt Shaw	3B	25	65	19	0.292	2	9	0.338	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.364	0.423	0.586	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	10	5	5	5	11	0.278

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ramón Laureano	LF	26	102	26	0.255	4	18	0.322	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.239	0.312	0.385	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	27	105	27	0.257	0	11	0.339	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.267	0.347	0.290	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	27	108	23	0.213	3	15	0.280	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.179	0.244	0.273	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	27	102	29	0.284	4	16	0.360	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.285	0.372	0.402	OK
Ty France	1B	12	37	11	0.297	3	7	0.350	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.328	0.370	0.730	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	26	84	20	0.238	4	12	0.273	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.276	0.493	OK
Luis Campusano	C	14	40	14	0.350	3	9	0.395	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.400	0.455	0.900	OK
Bryce Johnson	RF	8	16	4	0.250	0	2	0.294	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.273	0.273	0.364	OK
Jake Cronenworth	3B	26	84	13	0.155	1	4	0.283	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.166	0.294	0.217	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	2	2	2	8	0.206

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Edward Cabrera	Starter	5	29.2	2.77	1.199	6.8	22	4.0	4	0	0	2	2	81	4.2	3	1
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	9	20.3	2.22	1.182	9.3	21	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	1.2	5	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	13	8.8	6.14	2.500	12.3	12	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	12	1.0	3	0
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	13	11.7	3.08	1.197	2.3	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	13	0.2	2	0
Corbin Martin	Middle Reliever	4	4.0	0.00	0.500	4.5	2	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	2	0
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	2	4.0	0.00	0.750	2.2	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.0	2	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	5	19.4	6.03	1.701	9.3	20	5.2	7	3	3	2	8	108	6.0	4	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	14	14.1	1.28	0.567	17.9	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.2	3	1
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	13	13.0	6.23	1.615	11.8	17	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	29	1.0	2	1
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	8	6.3	1.43	0.794	4.3	3	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	27	0.0	3	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-2

Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds

COL 13-16 (4.07 RPG / 4.45 RA)

2 - 4

CIN 18-10 (4.21 RPG / 4.18 RA)

CIN WINS Target: COL 3 - 4 CIN Confidence: 61.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	6
CIN	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	1	x	4	6

COL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	23	74	21	0.284	1	10	0.361	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.273	0.364	0.379	OK
Mickey Moniak	CF	22	79	25	0.316	8	15	0.353	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.344	0.389	0.697	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	26	95	25	0.263	7	11	0.340	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.340	0.641	OK
TJ Rumfield	DH	29	100	25	0.250	3	16	0.327	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.239	0.316	0.396	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	15	48	13	0.271	0	7	0.352	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.317	0.275	OK
Troy Johnston	1B	25	89	28	0.315	2	16	0.358	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.326	0.379	0.438	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	29	80	15	0.188	1	3	0.333	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.182	0.340	0.294	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	28	105	21	0.200	1	6	0.236	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.170	0.192	0.245	OK
Jake McCarthy	LF	18	53	14	0.264	0	6	0.316	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.309	0.367	0.464	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	2	2	3	8	0.182

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dane Myers	CF	18	38	10	0.263	1	3	0.391	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.419	0.367	OK
Matt McLain	2B	26	101	21	0.208	2	9	0.333	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.211	0.327	0.380	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	28	113	31	0.274	9	20	0.349	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.269	0.340	0.544	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	28	103	30	0.291	9	29	0.385	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.272	0.356	0.527	OK
Spencer Steer	LF	26	88	19	0.216	4	6	0.293	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.223	0.305	0.405	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	15	43	11	0.256	4	10	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.345	0.664	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	21	64	10	0.156	2	6	0.286	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.149	0.286	0.230	OK
Rece Hinds	RF	8	28	4	0.143	0	5	0.194	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.143	0.172	0.250	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	22	70	8	0.114	1	1	0.184	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.137	0.210	0.269	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	6	4	4	3	10	0.200

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	3	15.2	2.37	1.118	7.7	13	5.0	4	2	2	1	5	86	4.1	6	2
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	11	11.2	7.23	2.054	8.0	10	1.0	0	1	1	1	3	24	1.2	3	1
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	8	15.9	0.57	0.755	10.2	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.2	5	1
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	11	11.0	6.55	2.091	10.6	13	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	27	0.1	3	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	5	27.3	2.64	1.099	9.9	30	5.0	3	0	0	3	3	85	4.0	8	2
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	12	12.1	4.46	1.240	7.4	10	1.0	3	2	2	0	2	26	1.1	1	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	2.41	1.071	10.4	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	0.2	2	0
Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	14	13.3	1.35	1.278	10.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.2	2	0
Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	15	14.1	2.55	1.631	10.2	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 4-2

Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves

DET 15-14 (4.55 RPG / 4.21 RA)

2 - 3

ATL 20-9 (5.72 RPG / 3.48 RA)

ATL WINS Target: DET 2 - 5 ATL Confidence: 89.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	6
ATL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	x	3	8

DET Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jahmai Jones	DH	16	30	7	0.233	2	5	0.258	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.291	0.529	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	27	100	25	0.250	2	9	0.382	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.398	0.354	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	28	106	35	0.330	2	12	0.423	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.341	0.419	0.555	OK
Matt Vierling	RF	18	53	11	0.208	1	9	0.279	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.218	0.304	0.362	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	24	84	20	0.238	5	19	0.319	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.303	0.459	OK
Riley Greene	LF	29	103	31	0.301	3	17	0.400	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.338	0.440	0.534	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	28	89	21	0.236	5	12	0.364	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.356	0.601	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	7	19	4	0.211	1	3	0.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.250	0.421	OK
Javier Báez	CF	23	76	20	0.263	2	6	0.288	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.245	0.269	0.382	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	2	2	1	5	0.182

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	29	109	26	0.239	2	8	0.356	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.359	0.337	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	29	119	37	0.311	7	25	0.388	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.304	0.391	0.498	OK
Matt Olson	1B	29	115	34	0.296	8	25	0.374	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.297	0.381	0.605	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	29	114	36	0.316	5	16	0.355	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.336	0.371	0.509	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	26	93	30	0.323	6	20	0.354	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.400	0.440	0.735	OK
Austin Riley	3B	29	110	23	0.209	3	17	0.298	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.272	0.357	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	21	63	22	0.349	4	17	0.373	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.351	0.365	0.578	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	27	99	28	0.283	2	14	0.330	1	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.245	0.290	0.369	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	26	85	16	0.188	0	5	0.266	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.186	0.232	0.233	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	3	3	2	7	0.250

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	5	27.5	2.62	1.200	10.5	32	5.0	5	2	2	2	6	92	4.0	6	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	9	6.4	4.22	1.562	12.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	2	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	13	12.5	0.72	1.280	7.2	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.1	2	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	7.35	1.735	11.9	13	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	18	0.2	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	5	23.1	2.73	0.952	5.5	14	6.0	3	1	1	1	3	91	4.2	7	1
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	13	12.2	0.74	0.902	9.6	13	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	15	1.1	2	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	14	12.3	1.46	0.650	9.5	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	9	1.2	2	1
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	13	11.3	1.59	0.973	8.8	11	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 3-2

Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles

HOU 11-18 (5.21 RPG / 6.0 RA)

1 - 2

BAL 13-15 (4.46 RPG / 5.0 RA)

BAL WINS Target: HOU 3 - 4 BAL Confidence: 53.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
BAL	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	x	2	4

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Correa	SS	26	96	27	0.281	2	14	0.375	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.283	0.387	0.444	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	29	106	38	0.358	11	26	0.465	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.373	0.448	0.751	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	24	86	20	0.233	3	14	0.327	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.240	0.319	0.430	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	27	104	27	0.260	3	8	0.358	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.311	0.369	OK
Christian Walker	1B	29	103	30	0.291	7	23	0.373	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.283	0.360	0.571	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	20	79	17	0.215	2	12	0.238	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.211	0.225	0.362	OK
Dustin Harris	LF	5	12	0	0.000	0	0	0.200	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.125	0.276	0.167
Cam Smith	RF	29	97	21	0.216	3	12	0.316	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.156	0.267	0.242	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	18	44	6	0.136	1	5	0.208	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.136	0.220	0.259	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	1	1	2	9	0.182

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	28	119	25	0.210	9	18	0.280	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.202	0.266	0.464	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	28	109	34	0.312	1	11	0.424	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.320	0.450	0.475	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	14	51	17	0.333	3	11	0.393	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.330	0.385	0.626	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	28	107	21	0.196	3	10	0.301	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.274	0.329	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	20	73	17	0.233	5	8	0.317	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.273	0.357	0.526	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	21	59	17	0.288	2	15	0.400	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.373	0.432	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	21	70	17	0.243	2	8	0.308	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.295	0.363	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	20	69	13	0.188	3	11	0.273	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.201	0.274	0.445	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	25	89	24	0.270	5	19	0.290	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.258	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									28	4	2	2	4	8	0.143

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kai-Wei Teng	Middle Reliever	11	14.1	2.55	1.064	10.2	16	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	0.2	2	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	10	9.4	6.70	1.596	7.7	8	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	28	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	10	9.8	4.59	1.633	11.9	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	2	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	10	7.4	14.59	2.973	15.8	13	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	11	0.2	2	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	14	10.2	3.53	1.176	7.9	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	0.2	2	0
Peter Lambert		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	2	1	28	-	-	-
AJ Blubaugh		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	21	-	-	-

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	5	27.4	5.26	1.606	7.6	23	5.0	4	1	1	2	4	96	4.0	4	1
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	13	12.3	0.73	0.407	10.2	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	2	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	12	12.4	1.45	0.726	11.6	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.1	2	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	14	7.8	2.31	0.769	10.4	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.1	2	0
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	11	7.2	3.75	1.667	20.0	16	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	17	1.2	3	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 2-1

Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics

KC 11-17 (4.18 RPG / 4.86 RA)

6 - 1

OAK 15-13 (4.25 RPG / 4.54 RA)

KC WINS Target: KC 6 - 5 OAK Confidence: 47.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	6	7
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed6.7

Run Diff-6

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	26	99	26	0.263	2	10	0.339	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.233	0.311	0.317	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	28	109	32	0.294	1	12	0.368	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.319	0.386	0.501	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	27	100	16	0.160	3	14	0.267	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.172	0.293	0.413	OK
Salvador Perez	C	27	107	20	0.187	4	9	0.221	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.203	0.224	0.351	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	24	80	21	0.262	2	4	0.344	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.280	0.357	0.488	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	19	53	12	0.226	1	5	0.349	2	0	1	1	2	1	0.000	0.256	0.382	0.341	OK
Isaac Collins	DH	21	69	16	0.232	2	8	0.346	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.355	0.353	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	8	25	7	0.280	0	7	0.379	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.280	0.400	0.400	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	22	66	19	0.288	3	8	0.347	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.274	0.311	0.454	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	7	6	6	5	8	0.212

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	SS	27	115	32	0.278	2	14	0.282	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.294	0.297	0.411	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	27	112	34	0.304	8	14	0.361	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.303	0.366	0.533	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	27	95	23	0.242	5	12	0.424	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.279	0.458	0.537	OK
Brent Rooker	DH	13	45	6	0.133	2	8	0.241	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.156	0.308	0.344	OK
Colby Thomas	RF	1	4	1	0.250	0	1	0.250	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.308	0.399	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	28	107	23	0.215	3	18	0.303	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.217	0.298	0.422	OK
Zack Gelof	CF	9	24	5	0.208	1	4	0.208	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.217	0.217	0.390	OK
Darell Hernaiz	3B	12	27	6	0.222	1	2	0.323	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.233	0.340	0.356	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	26	84	24	0.286	1	6	0.351	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.291	0.352	0.415	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	1	1	3	8	0.156

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kris Bubic	Starter	5	28.2	4.15	1.135	9.3	29	7.0	4	1	1	1	4	99	4.2	6	1
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	12	10.4	5.19	1.731	7.8	9	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	22	1.1	2	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	4.89	1.304	9.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	27	0.2	2	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Civale	Starter	5	24.5	4.04	1.388	7.7	21	5.0	3	1	1	2	6	89	4.2	4	2
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	9	6.7	2.69	1.343	5.4	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	16	12.6	2.86	1.825	11.4	16	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	9	0.2	2	2
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	13	9.8	8.27	2.245	11.0	12	1.0	4	4	4	3	1	46	1.2	2	1
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	13	12.8	3.52	1.719	12.7	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

KC wins 6-1

Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox

LAA 12-18 (4.87 RPG / 5.1 RA)

5 - 2

CHW 12-17 (4.17 RPG / 5.14 RA)

LAA WINS Target: LAA 4 - 3 CHW Confidence: 45.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	5	8
CHW	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7

LAA Recent Form

Win%?

Avg Runs?

Avg Allowed?

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

CHW Recent Form

Win%?

Avg Runs?

Avg Allowed?

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	30	120	29	0.242	5	15	0.355	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.245	0.352	0.400	OK
Mike Trout	CF	29	103	25	0.243	9	20	0.422	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.240	0.427	0.520	OK
Yoán Moncada	3B	25	76	15	0.197	3	9	0.337	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.217	0.352	0.357	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	26	95	22	0.232	6	23	0.327	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.244	0.330	0.484	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	27	108	25	0.231	3	19	0.298	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.309	0.396	OK
Jo Adell	RF	30	122	32	0.262	4	18	0.305	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.226	0.267	0.334	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	23	69	13	0.188	3	9	0.250	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.221	0.263	0.360	OK
Sebastián Rivero	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.308	0.399
Adam Frazier	2B	19	47	13	0.277	1	5	0.370	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.417	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	8	5	5	4	6	0.235

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Andrew Benintendi	LF	27	86	18	0.209	2	14	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.255	0.441	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	29	103	25	0.243	12	23	0.373	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.285	0.390	0.690	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	28	101	21	0.208	6	14	0.352	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.391	0.520	OK
Colson Montgomery	DH	29	102	23	0.225	7	19	0.336	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.354	0.562	OK
Everson Pereira	RF	17	62	16	0.258	3	7	0.319	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.299	0.404	OK
Sam Antonacci	2B	11	34	7	0.206	1	4	0.317	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.212	0.302	0.405	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	24	64	18	0.281	0	3	0.324	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.311	0.348	0.370	OK
Drew Romo	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333
Luisangel Acuña	SS	22	67	12	0.179	0	3	0.243	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.159	0.243	0.183	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	2	2	1	8	0.206

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	6	37.2	0.24	0.833	10.4	43	5.0	5	0	0	0	5	84	4.1	7	2
Drew Pomeranz	Middle Reliever	12	10.4	9.52	1.827	7.8	9	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	20	0.2	2	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	10	13.5	4.00	1.481	10.0	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.1	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	14	8.0	3.38	2.125	11.2	10	1.0	0	1	1	1	0	16	1.2	3	0
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	10	17.3	3.12	1.329	8.8	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	5	31.1	2.03	1.029	7.5	26	4.0	4	2	2	3	3	86	7.0	5	4
Jordan Leasure	Middle Reliever	8	8.3	4.34	1.084	9.8	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	2	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0.2	2	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	12	9.8	1.84	1.939	13.8	15	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	15	0.2	2	0
Tyler Davis		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	22	-	-	-
Osvaldo Bido		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	17	-	-	-

Game Summary

LAA wins 5-2

Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MIA 13-16 (4.48 RPG / 4.52 RA)

3 - 5

LAD 20-9 (5.66 RPG / 3.31 RA)

LAD WINS Target: MIA 3 - 6 LAD Confidence: 85.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	6
LAD	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	x	5	8

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	29	110	21	0.191	1	8	0.313	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.333	0.320	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	7	27	6	0.222	0	0	0.323	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.300	0.333	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	28	109	34	0.312	3	12	0.356	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.301	0.334	0.473	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	29	106	36	0.340	1	9	0.435	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.341	0.457	0.449	OK
Liam Hicks	C	28	90	28	0.311	6	27	0.350	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.312	0.351	0.544	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	27	102	24	0.235	2	12	0.301	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.223	0.271	0.351	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	26	82	17	0.207	2	14	0.247	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.189	0.228	0.303	OK
Christopher Morel	1B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333
Graham Pauley	3B	21	60	13	0.217	1	9	0.254	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.280	0.398	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	3	3	2	6	0.182

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dalton Rushing	DH	12	39	15	0.385	7	16	0.455	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.351	0.433	0.891	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	27	107	29	0.271	3	15	0.345	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.282	0.370	0.426	OK
Will Smith	C	23	84	21	0.250	3	14	0.304	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.226	0.276	0.340	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	28	110	26	0.236	3	15	0.320	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.299	0.376	OK
Max Muncy	3B	27	94	28	0.298	9	11	0.389	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.350	0.438	0.747	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	26	94	23	0.245	4	17	0.314	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.202	0.293	0.316	OK
Andy Pages	CF	29	104	34	0.327	5	25	0.374	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.263	0.317	0.423	OK
Hyeseong Kim	SS	17	47	15	0.319	1	7	0.389	3	1	1	3	0	0	0.333	0.329	0.382	0.411	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	24	70	16	0.229	1	6	0.295	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.317	0.339	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	8	5	5	1	5	0.258

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	5	26.3	3.76	1.179	5.8	17	5.0	4	1	1	0	5	80	4.2	4	3
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	10	8.3	10.84	1.566	14.1	13	1.0	4	4	4	1	0	30	1.0	1	1
Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	9	16.4	1.65	1.463	10.4	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.2	3	1
John King	Middle Reliever	13	9.9	0.91	0.707	10.9	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0.2	0	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shohei Ohtani	Starter	4	24.0	0.38	0.750	9.4	25	5.0	2	0	0	2	2	81	4.0	4	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	14	11.4	2.37	0.789	9.5	12	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	26	1.1	3	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	12	9.4	1.91	0.957	13.4	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.1	3	1
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	9	6.5	1.38	1.385	11.1	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	2	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	8	10.3	2.62	1.359	10.5	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-3

New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers

NYY 19-10 (5.17 RPG / 3.48 RA)

4 - 1

TEX 14-15 (3.97 RPG / 3.76 RA)

NYY WINS Target: NYY 4 - 1 TEX Confidence: 89.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	4
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.4

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff39

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	27	85	14	0.165	4	16	0.321	3	0	1	1	2	0	0.000	0.165	0.322	0.351	OK
Ben Rice	1B	27	90	29	0.322	10	22	0.451	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.319	0.440	0.767	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	29	103	26	0.252	11	19	0.389	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.268	0.433	0.644	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	28	100	24	0.240	3	14	0.350	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.235	0.353	0.399	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	28	101	22	0.218	3	10	0.301	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.242	0.339	0.425	OK
Jasson Domínguez	DH	1	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.308	0.399	OK
Austin Wells	C	23	67	12	0.179	2	4	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.366	0.298	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	25	66	12	0.182	2	7	0.280	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.308	0.359	OK
José Caballero	SS	28	99	27	0.273	3	11	0.321	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.308	0.344	0.471	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	4	4	4	8	0.129

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	29	118	33	0.280	4	12	0.348	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.316	0.417	OK
Josh Jung	3B	26	93	29	0.312	4	14	0.375	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.343	0.405	0.669	OK
Corey Seager	SS	28	104	22	0.212	6	17	0.306	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.217	0.288	0.404	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	27	63	15	0.238	2	5	0.364	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.383	0.367	OK
Jake Burger	1B	29	114	26	0.228	5	19	0.264	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.254	0.309	OK
Evan Carter	CF	28	84	17	0.202	3	9	0.313	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.212	0.322	0.356	OK
Josh Smith	2B	26	79	16	0.203	0	6	0.319	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.226	0.356	0.269	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	4	6	3	0.500	0	1	0.625	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.500	0.625	0.500	OK
Danny Jansen	C	20	64	13	0.203	1	6	0.271	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.189	0.269	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	1	1	1	12	0.129

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	6	35.2	1.79	0.739	10.5	41	5.0	2	0	0	1	7	82	5.2	6	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	3.21	1.696	11.2	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	12	4.8	7.50	3.125	28.1	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.2	3	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	15	10.9	2.48	1.835	11.6	14	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	14	1.0	2	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	12	10.6	1.70	0.755	3.4	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	0.0	2	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	5	24.4	2.21	1.107	12.9	35	5.0	1	0	0	1	6	80	5.1	6	3
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	12	13.1	2.06	0.840	4.1	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.1	0	1
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	13	10.6	5.09	1.415	11.9	14	1.0	1	2	2	3	1	39	1.2	2	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	12	13.5	1.33	0.519	8.7	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0.2	2	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	13	12.7	0.71	1.339	8.5	12	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	18	0.0	3	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-1

Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins

SEA 14-16 (4.07 RPG / 4.1 RA)

4 - 2

MIN 13-16 (4.93 RPG / 4.69 RA)

SEA WINS Target: SEA 7 - 4 MIN Confidence: 84.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	4	5
MIN	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	22	73	13	0.178	1	6	0.341	4	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.181	0.316	0.282	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	30	117	24	0.205	7	17	0.288	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.233	0.315	0.521	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	30	116	28	0.241	2	10	0.323	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.272	0.333	0.357	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	27	104	21	0.202	3	11	0.282	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.331	0.368	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	30	108	31	0.287	2	11	0.373	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.277	0.337	0.429	OK
Luke Raley	RF	27	78	21	0.269	5	13	0.329	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.282	0.455	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	24	61	17	0.279	3	12	0.338	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.315	0.370	0.556	OK
Cole Young	2B	30	104	27	0.260	3	15	0.339	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.293	0.361	0.419	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	24	71	11	0.155	0	7	0.265	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.146	0.212	0.185	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	4	4	4	6	0.156

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	26	109	25	0.229	6	9	0.292	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.277	0.442	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	20	58	15	0.259	1	8	0.403	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.258	0.421	0.380	OK
Austin Martin	RF	20	55	18	0.327	1	6	0.486	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.338	0.505	0.503	OK
Josh Bell	DH	28	98	23	0.235	3	16	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.225	0.314	0.311	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	19	62	12	0.194	3	8	0.275	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.210	0.268	0.376	OK
Victor Caratini	C	21	72	16	0.222	1	11	0.318	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.196	0.291	0.267	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	28	110	24	0.218	1	13	0.269	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.247	0.267	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	16	48	14	0.292	3	13	0.340	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.288	0.325	0.488	OK
Royce Lewis	3B	17	56	11	0.196	3	10	0.308	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.198	0.305	0.350	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	2	2	2	9	0.206

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	6	32.3	4.46	1.300	9.8	35	5.0	3	1	1	1	5	85	4.1	6	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	12	10.3	6.99	1.553	15.7	18	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	22	1.1	2	0
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	12	9.4	0.00	0.532	5.7	6	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	2	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	13	8.8	3.07	1.705	10.2	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	3	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	13	10.0	1.80	1.300	9.0	10	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	23	0.2	2	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joe Ryan	Starter	6	32.1	3.93	1.028	9.3	33	6.0	3	0	0	1	3	82	4.2	4	2
Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	11	9.6	3.75	1.354	9.4	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	21	0.2	2	1
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	11	7.8	4.62	1.923	8.1	7	1.0	2	4	4	1	0	29	0.2	1	1
Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	17	11.1	4.05	1.712	8.9	11	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-2

San Francisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies

SF 13-15 (3.46 RPG / 4.07 RA)

4 - 2

PHI 9-19 (3.64 RPG / 5.57 RA)

SF WINS Target: SF 6 - 2 PHI Confidence: 92.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	10
PHI	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	10

SF Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-29

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	28	99	31	0.313	2	10	0.358	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.377	0.415	0.548	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	28	106	30	0.283	1	12	0.356	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.292	0.375	0.371	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	27	105	33	0.314	0	8	0.345	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.303	0.328	0.347	OK
Casey Schmitt	DH	22	81	24	0.296	4	13	0.348	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.278	0.323	0.546	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	28	111	24	0.216	2	10	0.256	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.208	0.240	0.291	OK
Willy Adames	SS	27	111	23	0.207	3	6	0.248	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.169	0.193	0.280	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	27	98	26	0.265	3	14	0.308	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.289	0.343	0.515	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	11	34	9	0.265	2	5	0.306	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.271	0.313	0.452	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	22	68	10	0.147	1	5	0.216	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.142	0.215	0.208	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	4	4	2	7	0.270

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	28	113	26	0.230	3	9	0.304	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.302	0.322	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	28	102	20	0.196	9	17	0.344	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.179	0.313	0.496	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	28	104	27	0.260	6	18	0.345	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.340	0.489	OK
Adolis García	RF	28	100	23	0.230	3	7	0.304	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.305	0.377	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	25	91	27	0.297	4	16	0.323	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.292	0.316	0.466	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	22	77	17	0.221	0	4	0.268	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.272	0.301	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	27	98	14	0.143	1	11	0.218	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.141	0.213	0.183	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	24	78	19	0.244	0	3	0.322	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.193	0.269	0.259	OK
Rafael Marchán	C	12	41	4	0.098	1	2	0.140	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.100	0.100	0.100	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	2	2	1	9	0.270

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	5	25.2	5.36	1.627	9.3	26	5.0	7	2	2	0	4	91	5.1	3	1
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	12	10.6	3.40	1.509	10.2	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	0.2	2	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	11	8.7	4.14	1.609	16.6	16	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	27	0.2	2	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	12	10.2	2.65	0.588	11.5	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.1	0	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	12	9.9	0.91	1.111	12.7	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	5	25.7	7.35	1.634	11.6	33	4.0	6	2	2	2	3	79	5.2	5	4
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	12	10.5	4.29	1.143	8.6	10	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.2	2	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	13	7.8	9.23	2.436	12.7	11	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	13	0.2	2	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	9	8.3	3.25	1.566	6.5	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	2	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	13	14.3	4.41	1.119	8.8	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.0	3	0
Tanner Banks	Middle Reliever	10	9.3	5.81	2.366	11.6	12	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	25	0.0	1	0

Game Summary

SF wins 4-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

STL 15-13 (4.61 RPG / 5.07 RA)

2 - 3

PIT 16-13 (4.72 RPG / 3.97 RA)

PIT WINS Target: STL 3 - 4 PIT Confidence: 64.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	5
PIT	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	6

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	28	105	25	0.238	6	14	0.359	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.245	0.339	0.462	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	28	99	23	0.232	4	13	0.398	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.258	0.372	0.480	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	27	106	27	0.255	3	17	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.307	0.387	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	27	102	28	0.275	8	16	0.357	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.238	0.332	0.424	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	27	91	20	0.220	3	15	0.291	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.227	0.292	0.352	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	22	87	22	0.253	1	12	0.320	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.282	0.330	0.416	OK
Nathan Church	LF	22	71	18	0.254	5	12	0.299	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.297	0.341	0.576	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	17	55	14	0.255	3	8	0.311	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.274	0.324	0.491	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	24	68	13	0.191	0	4	0.243	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.146	0.225	0.156	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	2	2	5	7	0.156

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	27	112	29	0.259	8	24	0.320	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.218	0.268	0.471	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	24	96	23	0.240	7	19	0.336	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.229	0.308	0.449	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	29	103	24	0.233	3	17	0.375	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.197	0.358	0.284	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	26	95	30	0.316	4	17	0.402	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.302	0.389	0.453	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	25	93	30	0.323	0	13	0.357	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.360	0.391	0.415	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	26	74	19	0.257	2	8	0.367	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.277	0.384	0.397	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	22	80	17	0.212	1	12	0.273	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.212	0.264	0.296	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	20	62	17	0.274	0	3	0.328	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.302	0.351	0.335	OK
Henry Davis	C	18	59	10	0.169	0	3	0.258	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.160	0.253	0.191	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	6	3	3	6	6	0.188

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	5	24.0	5.62	1.667	5.6	15	4.0	4	1	1	3	4	101	4.0	3	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	14	13.4	1.34	0.821	10.7	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.0	2	1
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	13	11.1	4.86	1.441	6.5	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0.2	2	1
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	13	9.1	9.89	2.747	16.8	17	1.0	1	1	1	3	1	31	0.2	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	13	10.7	5.05	1.215	8.4	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.2	3	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	11	12.7	1.42	1.024	5.7	8	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	16	0.2	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	5	29.2	2.47	1.027	9.9	32	5.0	5	2	2	2	5	91	4.0	5	1
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	14	13.2	3.41	1.288	6.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	22	0.2	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	15	14.2	1.90	0.845	12.7	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.2	2	0
Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	16	14.6	1.23	1.301	7.4	12	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.1	3	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	13	10.7	4.21	1.589	18.5	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 3-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians

TB 18-11 (4.69 RPG / 4.66 RA)

6 - 5

CLE 15-16 (3.87 RPG / 4.19 RA)

TB WINS Target: TB 5 - 3 CLE Confidence: 65.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	1	6	12
CLE	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	6

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	28	110	34	0.309	0	6	0.342	6	1	0	0	0	0	0.167	0.283	0.323	0.305	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	28	112	29	0.259	8	15	0.333	6	3	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.267	0.318	0.533	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	28	101	23	0.228	7	24	0.347	6	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.354	0.520	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	28	107	35	0.327	4	20	0.424	5	1	1	0	1	1	0.200	0.294	0.388	0.432	OK
Jake Fraley	RF	19	53	13	0.245	2	4	0.322	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.260	0.334	0.497	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	24	87	12	0.138	2	8	0.200	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.133	0.200	0.252	OK
Nick Fortes	C	23	72	21	0.292	1	8	0.338	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.282	0.319	0.362	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	18	39	10	0.256	1	5	0.412	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.300	0.417	0.350	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	17	55	11	0.200	0	4	0.279	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.167	0.251	0.201	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	12	6	6	4	3	0.267

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	27	106	23	0.217	1	8	0.300	5	2	1	1	1	0	0.400	0.199	0.290	0.233	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	26	94	23	0.245	5	16	0.327	5	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.236	0.327	0.427	OK
José Ramírez	3B	30	109	25	0.229	6	12	0.354	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.235	0.380	0.464	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	25	79	16	0.203	1	6	0.284	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.218	0.308	0.270	OK
Daniel Schneemann	CF	23	70	22	0.314	4	14	0.392	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.339	0.428	0.639	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	25	87	24	0.276	5	15	0.315	4	1	1	4	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.283	0.515	OK
Bo Naylor	C	19	62	8	0.129	1	3	0.182	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.132	0.183	0.225	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	29	93	25	0.269	3	17	0.352	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.306	0.363	0.439	OK
George Valera	LF	12	36	8	0.222	0	6	0.243	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.213	0.236	0.277	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	6	5	5	7	3	0.154

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	5	29.3	2.15	1.126	6.1	20	2.0	3	5	5	3	1	51	5.0	5	4
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	12	11.1	3.24	1.081	10.5	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.2	2	1
Griffin Jax	Middle Reliever	11	9.0	5.00	1.667	12.0	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.1	3	0
Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	10	10.8	4.17	1.204	13.3	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.2	4	0
Hunter Bigge	Middle Reliever	8	6.6	5.45	1.515	6.8	5	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.1	2	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	11	10.7	5.05	0.935	9.3	11	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	26	0.0	2	0
Steven Matz		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	20	-	-	-
Yoendrys Gómez		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	1	0	0	2	1	41	-	-	-

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	6	29.4	4.59	1.497	8.0	26	6.0	5	2	2	0	2	88	5.1	4	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	13	13.0	4.15	1.462	10.4	15	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	29	1.2	2	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	6	5.1	7.06	1.373	10.6	6	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	34	1.1	2	1
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	15	10.3	3.50	1.262	18.3	21	2.0	2	0	0	1	1	36	1.1	2	1
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	10	4.8	0.00	2.083	7.5	4	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	15	1.1	2	1

Game Summary

TB wins 6-5 (Extra Innings - 11)

Washington Nationals @ New York Mets

WAS 13-16 (5.38 RPG / 5.9 RA)

9 - 6

NYM 9-19 (3.29 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WAS WINS Target: WAS 4 - 3 NYM Confidence: 72.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
WAS	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	4	9	10
NYM	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	12

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-22

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	29	111	27	0.243	10	21	0.404	5	1	1	1	1	3	0.200	0.231	0.421	0.607	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	28	91	23	0.253	1	16	0.281	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.268	0.294	0.360	OK
Brady House	DH	26	102	24	0.235	3	10	0.291	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.225	0.282	0.333	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	28	97	26	0.268	7	21	0.381	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.195	0.301	0.378	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	28	115	32	0.278	3	14	0.346	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.286	0.377	0.499	OK
Jacob Young	CF	25	90	22	0.244	2	12	0.284	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.244	0.283	0.328	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	22	56	16	0.286	0	3	0.379	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.267	0.353	0.328	OK
Drew Millas	C	16	47	7	0.149	0	2	0.216	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.160	0.160	0.240	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	25	85	17	0.200	0	10	0.299	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.195	0.306	0.202	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	10	9	9	6	10	0.250

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bo Bichette	3B	28	116	27	0.233	1	12	0.268	6	2	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.237	0.266	0.298	OK
Juan Soto	DH	13	46	14	0.304	1	5	0.418	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.281	0.425	0.406	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	25	75	18	0.240	4	7	0.333	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.214	0.301	0.342	OK
MJ Melendez	LF	8	22	6	0.273	1	2	0.333	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.273	0.333	0.545	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	22	70	17	0.243	2	7	0.280	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.233	0.274	0.339	OK
Brett Baty	RF	24	82	18	0.220	1	12	0.233	5	2	1	1	0	3	0.400	0.220	0.276	0.344	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	28	100	22	0.220	1	8	0.275	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.243	0.298	0.324	OK
Carson Benge	CF	24	78	14	0.179	2	4	0.247	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.203	0.255	0.333	OK
Ronny Mauricio	SS	5	14	4	0.286	0	1	0.286	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.286	0.286	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	12	6	6	4	12	0.286

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Littell	Starter	5	25.0	7.56	1.680	5.4	15	4.0	9	2	2	3	5	97	4.2	2	3
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	12	9.7	3.71	1.649	12.1	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.2	2	1
Cionel Pérez	Middle Reliever	13	12.3	5.12	1.626	6.6	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12	1.2	2	1
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	15	11.3	5.58	1.858	7.2	9	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	11	0.2	2	1
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	9	17.7	4.58	1.243	6.6	13	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	19	0.2	1	0
Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	5	5.2	1.73	1.923	10.4	6	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	17	0.2	0	0
Andre Granillo		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	19	-	-	-

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Clay Holmes	Starter	5	29.3	2.15	1.058	5.8	19	4.0	3	2	2	3	3	80	5.1	6	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	9	7.3	7.40	2.192	18.5	15	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	2	2
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	11	9.6	5.62	1.250	6.6	7	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	17	1.2	3	1
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	11	7.8	2.31	1.282	12.7	11	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	22	1.1	2	1
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	12	9.6	1.88	1.458	10.3	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	0.2	2	1
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever	5	3.4	7.94	2.059	10.6	4	2.0	4	4	4	1	3	49	0.0	3	2

Game Summary

WAS wins 9-6 (Extra Innings - 10)

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers

ARI Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

BOS Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres

CHC Recent Form

SD Recent Form

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds

COL Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves

DET Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles

HOU Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics

KC Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox

LAA Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MIA Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers

NYY Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation