MLB Predictions — April 25, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
BOS @ BAL	3 - 6	2 - 5	BAL wins 5-2	70%	enhanced_ml
CHC @ LAD	7 - 3	6 - 5	CHC wins 6-5	87%	enhanced_ml
CLE @ TOR	3 - 2	3 - 1	CLE wins 3-1	60%	enhanced_ml
COL @ NYM	4 - 3	4 - 1	COL wins 4-1	83%	enhanced_ml
DET @ CIN	4 - 5	3 - 7	CIN wins 7-3	75%	enhanced_ml
LAA @ KC	6 - 3	5 - 2	LAA wins 5-2	75%	enhanced_ml
MIA @ SF	4 - 2	6 - 2	MIA wins 6-2	61%	enhanced_ml
MIN @ TB	5 - 4	8 - 4	MIN wins 8-4	75%	enhanced_ml
NYY @ HOU	8 - 3	6 - 2	NYY wins 6-2	90%	enhanced_ml
OAK @ TEX	5 - 4	6 - 5	OAK wins 6-5 (Extra Innings - 10)	67%	enhanced_ml
PHI @ ATL	0 - 7	1 - 6	ATL wins 6-1	92%	enhanced_ml
PIT @ MIL	4 - 3	5 - 4	PIT wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml
SD @ ARI	5 - 4	4 - 2	SD wins 4-2	66%	enhanced_ml
SEA @ STL	3 - 2	5 - 4	SEA wins 5-4	78%	enhanced_ml
WAS @ CHW	3 - 6	4 - 6	CHW wins 6-4	75%	enhanced_ml

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

BOS 10-17 (4.15 RPG / 4.63 RA)

2 - 5

BAL 13-14 (4.52 RPG / 5.0 RA)

BAL WINS Target: BOS 3 - 6 BAL Confidence: 70.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
BAL	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0	x	5	11

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-22

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	24	78	19	0.244	1	8	0.322	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.288	0.284	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	25	88	21	0.239	4	12	0.362	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.200	0.284	0.330	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	25	95	28	0.295	4	12	0.350	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.330	0.430	OK
Trevor Story	SS	26	105	21	0.200	2	17	0.239	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.209	0.270	0.327	OK
Andruw Monasterio	DH	12	31	6	0.194	0	3	0.286	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.196	0.294	0.252	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	21	81	16	0.198	1	11	0.261	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.247	0.321	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	24	81	12	0.148	0	7	0.242	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.171	0.261	0.255	OK
Connor Wong	C	10	27	8	0.296	0	2	0.345	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.296	0.321	0.444	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	11	28	5	0.179	0	2	0.233	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.183	0.239	0.183	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	2	2	2	7	0.129

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	DH	26	103	32	0.311	1	11	0.419	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.296	0.415	0.450	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	26	111	23	0.207	8	16	0.282	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.188	0.254	0.414	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	12	43	15	0.349	3	11	0.417	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.351	0.400	0.730	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	26	99	21	0.212	3	10	0.322	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.320	0.355	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	10	29	7	0.241	1	4	0.353	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.312	0.345	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	23	82	23	0.280	5	19	0.302	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.291	0.461	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	20	56	17	0.304	2	14	0.409	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.285	0.390	0.459	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	19	66	12	0.182	3	11	0.270	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.197	0.268	0.422	OK
Blaze Alexander	LF	17	54	10	0.185	0	1	0.254	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.150	0.229	0.162	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	11	5	5	0	7	0.314

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Garrett Crochet	Starter	5	23.3	8.11	1.674	11.6	30	5.0	9	4	4	0	4	93	6.0	6	4
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	8	7.2	1.25	1.111	10.0	8	2.0	2	1	1	0	3	36	0.667	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	9	9.0	2.00	1.111	12.0	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	3	1

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	5	28.2	4.15	1.348	8.0	25	6.0	3	2	2	2	5	93	6.1	6	3
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	12	11.3	0.80	0.442	10.4	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	0.667	2	0
Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	11	11.4	1.58	0.702	11.8	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	11	7.2	3.75	1.667	20.0	16	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	2	1

Game Summary

BAL wins 5-2

Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers

CHC 17-9 (5.58 RPG / 3.85 RA)

6 - 5

LAD 17-9 (5.42 RPG / 3.38 RA)

CHC WINS Target: CHC 7 - 3 LAD Confidence: 86.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	5
LAD	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	5	8

CHC Recent Form

Win%1.000

Avg Runs7.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff41

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	26	107	32	0.299	4	23	0.374	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.299	0.355	0.482	OK
Michael Busch	1B	25	96	20	0.208	2	10	0.287	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.243	0.314	0.363	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	26	109	29	0.266	3	10	0.341	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.296	0.368	0.437	OK
Ian Happ	LF	24	96	24	0.250	7	14	0.357	3	1	2	1	1	0	0.333	0.273	0.380	0.532	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	14	51	15	0.294	3	7	0.419	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.306	0.414	0.532	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	22	55	22	0.400	3	10	0.433	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.448	0.489	0.738	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	26	86	18	0.209	6	21	0.349	3	2	1	4	1	1	0.667	0.231	0.365	0.507	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	26	98	24	0.245	1	7	0.302	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.276	0.332	0.372	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	13	44	10	0.227	1	4	0.292	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.212	0.309	0.270	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	6	6	6	12	0.156

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	25	97	23	0.237	5	11	0.361	4	2	0	1	1	1	0.500	0.218	0.324	0.368	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	24	95	27	0.284	3	14	0.352	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.300	0.373	0.468	OK
Max Muncy	3B	25	89	26	0.292	8	9	0.376	4	1	1	1	1	3	0.250	0.331	0.411	0.680	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	25	97	23	0.237	3	13	0.324	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.232	0.313	0.386	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	23	86	20	0.233	4	13	0.280	4	2	2	1	0	0	0.500	0.194	0.256	0.359	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	10	31	13	0.419	7	14	0.486	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.419	0.473	1.161	OK
Andy Pages	CF	26	93	31	0.333	5	21	0.382	3	0	0	1	0	0	0.000	0.273	0.329	0.414	OK
Hyeseong Kim	SS	14	37	13	0.351	1	6	0.432	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.359	0.436	0.504	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	21	63	14	0.222	1	5	0.296	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.213	0.295	0.261	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	8	5	5	5	11	0.235

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Colin Rea	Starter	5	23.3	3.09	1.073	7.7	20	6.0	5	3	3	3	7	115	4.2	3	2
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	8	18.3	2.46	1.148	9.8	20	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	21	3.0	4	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	12	7.8	5.77	2.692	12.7	11	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	24	1.2	2	0
Corbin Martin	Middle Reliever	4	4.0	0.00	0.500	4.5	2	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	0.667	2	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	4	17.2	6.28	1.919	8.9	17	5.0	4	6	6	3	8	108	4.0	3	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	13	10.4	2.60	0.769	7.8	9	2.0	1	0	0	2	1	39	0.667	2	1
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	11	8.4	2.14	0.952	11.8	11	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	0.667	2	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	7	9.2	2.93	1.413	9.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	0.667	2	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-5

Cleveland Guardians @ Toronto Blue Jays

CLE 15-13 (4.14 RPG / 4.36 RA)

3 - 1

TOR 11-15 (4.08 RPG / 5.04 RA)

CLE WINS Target: CLE 3 - 2 TOR Confidence: 60.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	8
TOR	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	7

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	25	97	22	0.227	1	8	0.315	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.205	0.299	0.253	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	23	85	19	0.224	5	16	0.316	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.199	0.312	0.398	OK
José Ramírez	3B	27	98	23	0.235	6	12	0.364	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.262	0.410	0.560	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	20	61	13	0.213	1	6	0.351	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.195	0.341	0.313	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	22	74	21	0.284	5	14	0.329	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.270	0.297	0.587	OK
David Fry	RF	13	29	7	0.241	0	0	0.353	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.240	0.382	0.265	OK
Juan Brito	2B	13	44	7	0.159	0	3	0.229	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.120	0.195	0.174	OK
Bo Naylor	C	18	58	8	0.138	1	3	0.194	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.138	0.191	0.234	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	26	82	23	0.280	3	15	0.372	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.340	0.407	0.519	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	3	3	3	9	0.229

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Myles Straw	RF	16	32	10	0.312	1	3	0.371	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.296	0.357	0.441	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	25	104	33	0.317	0	7	0.324	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.321	0.325	0.440	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	25	93	30	0.323	2	13	0.411	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.324	0.390	0.445	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	24	90	20	0.222	4	9	0.307	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.321	0.404	OK
Eloy Jiménez	DH	9	23	9	0.391	0	3	0.444	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.391	0.450	0.391	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	22	80	20	0.250	3	7	0.318	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.317	0.442	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	15	37	6	0.162	1	5	0.295	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.132	0.286	0.245	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	25	90	26	0.289	3	14	0.316	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.296	0.312	0.480	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	14	35	7	0.200	0	2	0.243	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.120	0.120	0.120	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	1	1	1	6	0.206

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	5	23.7	3.42	1.392	11.4	30	5.0	7	1	1	1	2	83	4.0	5	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	13	13.0	4.15	1.462	10.4	15	3.0	0	0	0	0	2	30	1.1	2	1
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	9	3.8	0.00	2.632	7.1	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.667	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	5	28.1	2.56	0.961	11.2	35	5.0	5	3	3	1	4	82	4.2	6	2
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	12	9.5	8.53	2.316	22.7	24	2.0	1	0	0	1	3	42	0.667	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	12	11.4	0.79	1.053	3.9	5	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	25	1.1	2	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	12	7.1	5.07	1.549	17.7	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 3-1

Colorado Rockies @ New York Mets

COL 11-16 (4.15 RPG / 4.74 RA)

4 - 1

NYM 9-17 (3.5 RPG / 4.46 RA)

COL WINS Target: COL 4 - 3 NYM Confidence: 82.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	8
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	6

COL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-22

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brenton Doyle	CF	25	73	16	0.219	1	2	0.288	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.303	0.298	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	26	97	21	0.216	1	6	0.255	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.182	0.215	0.262	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	21	66	18	0.273	1	10	0.351	4	1	0	1	1	2	0.250	0.246	0.339	0.345	OK
Troy Johnston	OF	23	82	26	0.317	2	14	0.356	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.327	0.380	0.449	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	25	91	24	0.264	6	9	0.343	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.278	0.351	0.606	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	27	74	15	0.203	1	3	0.341	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.196	0.352	0.315	OK
Mickey Moniak	RF	20	73	23	0.315	8	15	0.338	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.359	0.715	OK
Jordan Beck	LF	18	50	8	0.160	1	7	0.204	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.187	0.226	0.307	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	27	94	25	0.266	3	16	0.333	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.244	0.307	0.403	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	3	12	0.229

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	23	82	19	0.232	2	8	0.330	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.201	0.268	0.297	OK
Bo Bichette	SS	26	109	26	0.239	1	12	0.270	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.241	0.259	0.314	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	26	92	21	0.228	1	8	0.287	4	2	0	1	0	0	0.500	0.255	0.313	0.342	OK
Mark Vientos	3B	21	66	16	0.242	2	7	0.282	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.269	0.338	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	23	70	17	0.243	4	7	0.341	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.311	0.346	OK
Brett Baty	3B	22	75	18	0.240	1	12	0.244	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.279	0.369	OK
Tyrone Taylor	CF	15	36	8	0.222	1	6	0.243	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.251	0.307	OK
Carson Benge	OF	22	73	12	0.164	2	4	0.238	3	2	1	0	0	1	0.667	0.179	0.233	0.311	OK
MJ Melendez	LF	6	17	5	0.294	1	2	0.368	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.294	0.368	0.588	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	1	1	0	11	0.182

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jose Quintana	Starter	3	12.3	6.59	1.951	2.9	4	6.0	4	1	1	0	7	87	5.2	4	2
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	10	10.2	7.94	2.255	7.1	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.1	3	0
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	8	15.9	0.57	0.755	10.2	18	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	24	3.0	6	4
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	13	8.2	1.10	1.463	11.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.1	2	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kodai Senga	Starter	4	16.4	9.33	2.012	12.1	22	6.0	7	4	4	1	8	98	5.1	3	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	8	6.3	8.57	2.540	18.6	13	2.0	1	0	0	2	3	48	0.667	2	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	11	7.6	1.18	1.447	11.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

COL wins 4-1

Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds

DET 14-13 (4.52 RPG / 4.07 RA)

3 - 7

CIN 17-9 (4.08 RPG / 4.12 RA)

CIN WINS Target: DET 4 - 5 CIN Confidence: 74.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
CIN	5	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	x	7	9

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	26	97	31	0.320	1	11	0.416	3	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.318	0.413	0.486	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	16	48	11	0.229	1	8	0.269	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.253	0.304	0.413	OK
Colt Keith	3B	24	75	25	0.333	0	6	0.367	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.320	0.351	0.380	OK
Riley Greene	LF	27	95	28	0.295	3	17	0.396	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.339	0.443	0.572	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	23	80	20	0.250	5	19	0.333	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.321	0.512	OK
Kerry Carpenter	DH	24	68	15	0.221	6	15	0.321	4	1	0	1	0	2	0.250	0.233	0.329	0.587	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	26	81	17	0.210	3	10	0.347	2	0	0	1	2	1	0.000	0.211	0.319	0.440	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	12	35	2	0.057	1	1	0.108	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.062	0.118	0.156	OK
Javier Báez	2B	21	72	20	0.278	2	6	0.303	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.261	0.284	0.411	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	5	10	0.206

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
TJ Friedl	CF	23	88	14	0.159	0	4	0.260	3	1	2	0	2	0	0.333	0.162	0.240	0.198	OK
Matt McLain	2B	24	94	20	0.213	2	8	0.333	5	1	0	2	0	0	0.200	0.210	0.346	0.374	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	26	106	29	0.274	8	18	0.342	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.269	0.330	0.538	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	26	95	27	0.284	8	24	0.381	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.349	0.584	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	13	35	9	0.257	2	8	0.333	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.251	0.337	0.530	OK
Spencer Steer	LF	24	82	19	0.232	4	6	0.297	3	3	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.268	0.331	0.496	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	19	60	10	0.167	2	6	0.292	4	1	1	4	0	2	0.250	0.167	0.312	0.250	OK
Will Benson	RF	15	34	6	0.176	0	1	0.263	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.162	0.347	0.236	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	20	62	5	0.081	1	1	0.162	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.077	0.162	0.148	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	7	7	6	6	0.273

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Flaherty	Starter	5	22.4	3.62	1.652	9.6	24	5.0	7	7	7	5	5	117	5.2	7	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	9	6.4	4.22	1.562	12.7	9	3.0	2	0	0	1	1	43	0.667	1	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	5	23.2	5.43	1.681	6.2	16	5.0	4	3	3	4	6	99	5.2	4	3
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	11	11.1	4.86	1.261	8.1	10	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	29	1.1	1	1
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	2.41	1.071	10.4	13	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	23	1.1	2	1
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	13	10.0	0.90	1.200	12.6	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	3	1

Game Summary

CIN wins 7-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals

LAA 12-15 (4.78 RPG / 4.52 RA)

5 - 2

KC 9-17 (3.62 RPG / 4.85 RA)

LAA WINS Target: LAA 6 - 3 KC Confidence: 75.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	9
KC	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	27	106	25	0.236	5	12	0.357	5	2	2	1	0	1	0.400	0.226	0.342	0.376	OK
Mike Trout	CF	26	90	21	0.233	8	18	0.425	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.240	0.442	0.589	OK
Jo Adell	RF	27	109	29	0.266	3	16	0.308	5	1	0	1	0	1	0.200	0.238	0.278	0.367	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	23	82	18	0.220	5	19	0.333	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.218	0.330	0.436	OK
Oswald Peraza	3B	21	70	20	0.286	4	8	0.351	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.326	0.400	0.576	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	8	24	7	0.292	0	2	0.414	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.292	0.433	0.375	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	24	96	22	0.229	3	18	0.296	3	1	0	1	0	1	0.333	0.227	0.283	0.359	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	24	75	16	0.213	1	8	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.311	0.272	OK
Bryce Teodosio	LF	10	28	6	0.214	0	1	0.241	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	9	5	5	4	6	0.257

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	23	73	21	0.288	6	14	0.361	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.321	0.397	0.566	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	26	99	28	0.283	0	10	0.360	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.290	0.355	0.388	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	25	94	15	0.160	3	12	0.248	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.157	0.249	0.363	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	25	97	16	0.165	3	6	0.204	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.166	0.189	0.278	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	22	75	19	0.253	1	2	0.325	4	2	0	1	0	2	0.500	0.260	0.318	0.408	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	19	63	13	0.206	1	6	0.296	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.211	0.283	0.249	OK
Michael Massey	2B	13	37	9	0.243	1	5	0.256	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.257	0.462	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	6	17	4	0.235	0	3	0.316	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.350	0.353	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	21	62	17	0.274	3	8	0.328	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.292	0.439	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	2	2	2	6	0.250

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	3	7.2	2.50	1.944	12.5	10	6.0	8	2	2	2	3	115	4.0	2	2
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	9	6.4	2.81	1.250	16.9	12	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	24	0.667	2	1
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	9	16.3	2.21	1.227	9.4	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.1	2	1

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cole Ragans	Starter	5	20.3	6.21	1.724	9.8	22	5.0	4	4	4	3	3	98	4.0	5	3
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	11	9.4	5.74	1.809	6.7	7	2.0	3	1	1	1	1	44	1.1	3	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	4.89	1.304	9.8	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	3	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	10	6.6	6.82	2.121	5.5	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	0.667	2	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 5-2

Miami Marlins @ San Francisco Giants

MIA 13-13 (4.65 RPG / 4.38 RA)

6 - 2

SF 11-15 (3.27 RPG / 4.19 RA)

MIA WINS Target: MIA 4 - 2 SF Confidence: 60.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	6	7
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	9

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-3

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Agustín Ramírez	C	25	93	21	0.226	2	12	0.298	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.233	0.292	0.403	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	25	97	32	0.330	3	12	0.377	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.331	0.372	0.500	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	4	15	6	0.400	0	0	0.500	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.400	0.471	0.600	OK
Connor Norby	1B	23	78	19	0.244	3	10	0.333	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.249	0.310	0.428	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	26	98	34	0.347	1	8	0.429	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.345	0.444	0.456	OK
Heriberto Hernández	RF	19	57	10	0.175	0	9	0.277	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.192	0.307	0.215	OK
Leo Jiménez	DH	5	11	3	0.273	0	0	0.333	4	2	0	2	0	0	0.500	0.273	0.385	0.273	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	17	54	19	0.352	0	9	0.386	2	0	0	1	1	0	0.000	0.350	0.416	0.386	OK
Esteury Ruiz	CF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.320	0.420
TEAM TOTALS									33	7	6	6	5	6	0.212

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willy Adames	SS	26	106	23	0.217	3	6	0.259	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.194	0.219	0.338	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	25	97	31	0.320	0	7	0.352	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.328	0.360	0.359	OK
Matt Chapman	DH	26	102	29	0.284	1	12	0.330	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.281	0.322	0.344	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	26	104	23	0.221	2	9	0.257	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.249	0.292	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	20	75	21	0.280	2	8	0.321	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.266	0.290	0.448	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	26	91	25	0.275	2	10	0.320	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.327	0.366	0.460	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	25	90	24	0.267	2	13	0.312	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.285	0.343	0.471	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	9	26	6	0.231	1	3	0.286	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.286	0.346	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	20	61	9	0.148	1	4	0.212	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.155	0.215	0.225	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	2	2	0	9	0.250

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	5	26.0	4.15	1.346	9.3	27	6.0	5	0	0	0	6	98	5.2	5	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	7.68	1.098	14.3	13	2.0	4	2	2	0	1	37	1.1	2	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	11	7.0	9.00	2.429	16.7	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	0.667	2	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	5	27.4	2.96	1.131	10.2	31	4.0	4	3	3	4	3	86	6.1	7	2
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	11	9.6	3.75	1.562	11.2	12	3.0	3	3	3	1	2	50	1.1	2	1
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	9	6.6	5.45	1.970	17.7	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.1	2	0
Matt Gage	Middle Reliever	11	7.9	2.28	1.266	8.0	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.2	0	1

Game Summary

MIA wins 6-2

Minnesota Twins @ Tampa Bay Rays

MIN 12-14 (4.96 RPG / 4.69 RA)

8 - 4

TB 14-11 (4.88 RPG / 5.2 RA)

MIN WINS Target: MIN 5 - 4 TB Confidence: 75.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	2	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	11
TB	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff2

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	24	101	22	0.218	5	7	0.279	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.235	0.284	0.499	OK
Austin Martin	LF	19	52	18	0.346	1	6	0.500	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.365	0.525	0.540	OK
Josh Bell	DH	25	87	22	0.253	3	16	0.347	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.236	0.322	0.343	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	17	60	16	0.267	3	16	0.389	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.284	0.421	0.563	OK
Victor Caratini	1B	20	68	16	0.235	1	11	0.333	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.314	0.283	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	25	99	20	0.202	1	12	0.245	3	1	2	0	1	0	0.333	0.207	0.240	0.262	OK
Matt Wallner	RF	23	82	16	0.195	3	7	0.290	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.170	0.268	0.251	OK
Royce Lewis	3B	15	48	10	0.208	3	9	0.333	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.212	0.350	0.333	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	23	80	21	0.262	4	13	0.322	3	2	1	4	1	1	0.667	0.273	0.336	0.452	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	11	8	8	3	4	0.289

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	25	99	31	0.313	0	6	0.343	4	3	2	1	0	1	0.750	0.262	0.295	0.287	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	25	100	27	0.270	8	15	0.351	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.283	0.355	0.622	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	25	89	21	0.236	6	21	0.366	3	0	0	1	1	2	0.000	0.251	0.413	0.536	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	25	98	33	0.337	3	18	0.420	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.322	0.397	0.428	OK
Jake Fraley	RF	17	48	11	0.229	1	2	0.302	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.258	0.345	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	21	65	15	0.231	0	7	0.306	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.313	0.288	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	22	80	12	0.150	2	8	0.207	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.157	0.208	0.298	OK
Nick Fortes	C	20	65	19	0.292	1	7	0.343	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.288	0.327	0.387	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	17	38	10	0.263	1	4	0.417	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.280	0.379	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	4	4	2	8	0.182

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bailey Ober	Starter	5	25.3	4.27	1.265	8.5	24	5.0	5	4	4	0	4	85	5.1	4	3
Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	10	9.4	3.83	1.383	9.6	10	3.0	1	0	0	1	4	45	0.667	2	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	12	8.1	12.22	1.975	11.1	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	20	0.667	2	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane McClanahan	Starter	4	17.3	5.20	1.387	9.4	18	5.0	9	7	7	1	1	89	4.0	2	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	10	9.1	3.96	1.099	9.9	10	2.0	2	1	1	2	1	43	1.1	0	1
Griffin Jax	Middle Reliever	10	6.9	6.52	1.884	13.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.667	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	10	8.7	6.21	1.034	10.3	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 8-4

New York Yankees @ Houston Astros

NYY 17-9 (5.15 RPG / 3.42 RA)

6 - 2

HOU 10-17 (5.22 RPG / 6.0 RA)

NYY WINS Target: NYY 8 - 3 HOU Confidence: 89.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	6	10
HOU	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	4

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff23

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	24	74	12	0.162	3	15	0.315	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.179	0.311	0.399	OK
Ben Rice	1B	24	79	25	0.316	9	19	0.455	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.290	0.411	0.748	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	26	93	22	0.237	9	17	0.372	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.239	0.396	0.566	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	25	90	24	0.267	3	13	0.364	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.282	0.381	0.464	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	25	89	19	0.213	2	8	0.300	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.237	0.340	0.384	OK
Amed Rosario	DH	18	52	14	0.269	4	13	0.310	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.262	0.306	0.523	OK
Austin Wells	C	21	61	10	0.164	1	2	0.307	3	1	2	0	0	0	0.333	0.169	0.327	0.250	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	22	53	8	0.151	2	5	0.274	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.168	0.297	0.334	OK
José Caballero	SS	25	88	23	0.261	2	10	0.301	4	2	0	2	0	0	0.500	0.305	0.343	0.438	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	6	6	3	4	0.270

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Correa	SS	24	91	25	0.275	1	13	0.356	4	1	0	1	1	0	0.250	0.265	0.356	0.358	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	27	98	35	0.357	11	26	0.471	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.376	0.460	0.808	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	22	78	17	0.218	2	10	0.322	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.201	0.306	0.349	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	26	101	27	0.267	3	8	0.362	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.233	0.304	0.374	OK
Christian Walker	1B	27	95	26	0.274	5	18	0.364	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.358	0.486	OK
Yainer Diaz	DH	19	75	16	0.213	2	12	0.238	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.216	0.358	OK
Cam Smith	RF	27	91	21	0.231	3	12	0.321	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.190	0.292	0.295	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	12	37	13	0.351	2	10	0.429	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.353	0.421	0.647	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	16	40	6	0.150	1	5	0.227	3	0	0	1	1	0	0.000	0.157	0.252	0.288	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	2	2	6	7	0.129

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	5	27.4	3.28	1.277	11.8	36	5.0	1	1	1	4	6	89	4.0	1	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	11	10.2	3.53	1.667	11.5	13	2.0	2	0	0	0	0	31	1.1	3	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	11	4.6	7.83	3.043	25.4	13	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	24	1.2	3	1
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	10	6.7	9.40	1.493	10.7	8	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	15	0.667	2	1

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Burrows	Starter	5	25.5	7.06	1.765	8.8	25	5.0	6	5	5	2	2	95	4.0	4	3
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	9	8.4	4.29	1.310	8.6	8	2.0	1	0	0	1	1	30	1.0	1	1
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	9	8.8	5.11	1.818	12.3	12	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	21	1.2	3	1
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	13	9.2	3.91	1.304	8.8	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10	1.2	3	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-2

Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers

OAK 14-12 (4.38 RPG / 4.69 RA)

6 - 5

TEX 13-13 (4.15 RPG / 3.85 RA)

OAK WINS Target: OAK 5 - 4 TEX Confidence: 66.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
OAK	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	6	9
TEX	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	5	8

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shea Langeliers	DH	25	102	30	0.294	8	14	0.357	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.286	0.367	0.561	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	25	87	22	0.253	5	12	0.435	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.289	0.469	0.562	OK
Colby Thomas	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	26	100	22	0.220	3	18	0.301	4	0	2	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.317	0.441	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	25	108	29	0.269	2	13	0.275	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.288	0.298	0.422	OK
Max Muncy	3B	25	90	22	0.244	2	7	0.307	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.198	0.267	0.324	OK
Darell Hernaiz	2B	10	22	5	0.227	1	1	0.320	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.245	0.342	0.393	OK
Austin Wynns	C	8	24	3	0.125	0	0	0.192	5	1	1	3	0	2	0.200	0.125	0.192	0.125	OK
Zack Gelof	CF	8	20	5	0.250	1	4	0.250	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.450	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	9	6	6	4	10	0.231

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	26	106	31	0.292	4	11	0.370	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.263	0.344	0.450	OK
Andrew McCutchen	DH	17	33	8	0.242	1	5	0.278	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.217	0.256	0.337	OK
Corey Seager	SS	25	91	20	0.220	6	16	0.324	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.229	0.328	0.482	OK
Jake Burger	1B	26	104	24	0.231	5	19	0.257	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.244	0.361	OK
Josh Jung	3B	23	83	25	0.301	3	12	0.359	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.328	0.381	0.627	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	17	50	14	0.280	1	8	0.333	3	0	1	0	2	2	0.000	0.284	0.349	0.407	OK
Danny Jansen	C	17	58	12	0.207	1	6	0.258	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.202	0.269	0.300	OK
Evan Carter	CF	25	78	17	0.218	3	9	0.319	4	1	0	2	0	2	0.250	0.221	0.326	0.373	OK
Sam Haggerty	LF	10	15	2	0.133	0	0	0.188	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.117	0.177	0.117	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	8	5	5	4	12	0.211

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	5	29.2	3.39	0.993	8.3	27	5.0	6	3	3	3	3	101	6.1	4	2
Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	8	6.5	2.77	1.231	4.2	3	2.0	2	2	2	1	3	44	1.2	0	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	15	11.6	3.10	1.897	11.6	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12	1.1	2	1
Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	12	11.8	3.81	1.780	12.2	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.1	2	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	10	8.9	1.01	1.124	11.1	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	2	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	5	25.3	4.27	1.225	12.5	35	5.0	4	2	2	3	6	98	5.0	7	2
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	11	12.1	2.23	0.826	4.5	6	2.0	2	0	0	0	3	30	1.2	0	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	12	9.6	5.62	1.562	12.2	13	1.0	2	3	3	0	0	21	1.2	2	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	12	11.7	0.77	1.282	9.2	12	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	0.667	0	0
Jalen Beeks	Middle Reliever	12	9.6	1.88	1.250	10.3	11	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 6-5 (Extra Innings - 10)

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves

PHI 8-18 (3.54 RPG / 5.58 RA)

1 - 6

ATL 19-8 (5.74 RPG / 3.37 RA)

ATL WINS Target: PHI 0 - 7 ATL Confidence: 91.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4
ATL	0	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	x	6	13

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.000

Avg Runs2.6

Avg Allowed6.9

Run Diff-43

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	26	105	24	0.229	3	9	0.302	3	2	0	1	1	0	0.667	0.211	0.305	0.365	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	26	95	18	0.189	8	15	0.336	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.164	0.284	0.411	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	26	97	25	0.258	6	14	0.345	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.322	0.514	OK
Adolis García	RF	26	91	22	0.242	3	6	0.320	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.254	0.340	0.388	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	23	85	25	0.294	4	14	0.322	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.317	0.347	0.506	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	20	71	15	0.211	0	3	0.263	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.277	0.258	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	25	89	14	0.157	1	11	0.238	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.159	0.237	0.206	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	23	73	18	0.247	0	3	0.329	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.196	0.275	0.278	OK
Rafael Marchán	C	10	35	3	0.086	1	2	0.111	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.062	0.062	0.062	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	1	1	5	7	0.129

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	27	102	24	0.235	2	8	0.350	5	1	0	1	0	2	0.200	0.230	0.349	0.351	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	27	112	34	0.304	7	23	0.376	4	3	2	0	1	1	0.750	0.306	0.379	0.516	OK
Matt Olson	1B	27	108	31	0.287	7	22	0.361	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.280	0.350	0.574	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	27	105	32	0.305	5	15	0.348	5	2	2	4	0	0	0.400	0.316	0.355	0.511	OK
Michael Harris II	DH	24	86	28	0.326	6	18	0.356	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.370	0.406	0.711	OK
Austin Riley	3B	27	102	22	0.216	3	16	0.310	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.209	0.289	0.402	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	25	92	26	0.283	2	14	0.333	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.303	0.334	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	25	81	16	0.198	0	5	0.278	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.209	0.257	0.259	OK
Eli White	CF	13	28	6	0.214	1	4	0.233	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.218	0.232	0.372	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	13	6	6	5	11	0.351

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	5.0	11	5	5	4	7	147	5.2	7	3
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	11	9.4	4.79	1.277	8.6	9	3.0	2	1	1	1	4	55	0.667	2	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	5	28.6	1.57	1.014	9.1	29	5.0	2	0	0	4	5	94	4.1	5	1
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	0.80	0.982	9.6	12	2.0	2	1	1	1	2	38	1.1	0	1
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	13	11.3	0.80	0.619	8.8	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	2	0
Joel Payamps	Middle Reliever	9	5.4	8.33	1.667	11.7	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.667	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-1

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

PIT 15-11 (4.96 RPG / 3.96 RA)

5 - 4

MIL 13-12 (4.96 RPG / 4.28 RA)

PIT WINS Target: PIT 4 - 3 MIL Confidence: 52.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	8
MIL	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	4	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	26	107	29	0.271	8	24	0.333	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.225	0.277	0.485	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	22	89	22	0.247	7	19	0.343	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.266	0.342	0.578	OK
Bryan Reynolds	RF	26	94	23	0.245	3	16	0.374	4	2	0	2	1	0	0.500	0.209	0.373	0.305	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	23	84	28	0.333	4	16	0.414	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.414	0.508	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	22	81	23	0.284	0	12	0.318	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.293	0.318	0.315	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	23	65	17	0.262	2	6	0.388	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.284	0.408	0.454	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	17	51	15	0.294	0	2	0.357	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.324	0.389	0.364	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	19	70	15	0.214	1	11	0.273	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.237	0.279	0.362	OK
Henry Davis	C	16	52	9	0.173	0	3	0.271	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.173	0.270	0.222	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	5	5	5	5	0.229

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	23	85	23	0.271	4	18	0.406	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.257	0.391	0.433	OK
William Contreras	C	23	90	26	0.289	2	14	0.366	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.293	0.353	0.410	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	23	79	19	0.241	5	15	0.302	4	0	0	1	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.311	0.457	OK
Tyler Black	DH	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.307	0.397
Garrett Mitchell	CF	21	61	15	0.246	1	18	0.395	3	2	2	0	1	1	0.667	0.231	0.411	0.369	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	23	78	16	0.205	1	5	0.303	4	2	0	1	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.303	0.255	OK
Greg Jones	LF	5	11	2	0.182	0	1	0.182	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.182	0.182	OK
David Hamilton	3B	20	59	14	0.237	0	4	0.366	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.242	0.337	0.242	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	19	58	11	0.190	0	4	0.266	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.173	0.270	0.173	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	4	4	3	7	0.206

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Keller	Starter	5	29.0	2.79	1.103	5.9	19	5.0	7	4	4	3	2	92	4.1	3	2
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	0.75	0.750	6.8	9	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	27	1.1	0	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	13	12.2	2.21	0.902	14.0	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.667	2	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	11	8.7	5.17	1.839	20.7	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.1	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	5	26.2	3.09	1.107	14.4	42	5.0	7	4	4	3	4	100	4.0	7	2
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	11	7.7	5.84	1.558	11.7	10	2.0	0	0	0	1	0	28	0.667	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	13	13.0	3.46	1.769	16.6	24	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.2	3	1
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	13	11.8	3.05	1.102	8.4	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.2	2	1

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks

SD 17-8 (4.4 RPG / 3.8 RA)

4 - 2

ARI 14-11 (4.64 RPG / 4.96 RA)

SD WINS Target: SD 5 - 4 ARI Confidence: 65.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
ARI	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	8

SD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ramón Laureano	LF	23	91	24	0.264	4	17	0.320	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.273	0.331	0.519	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	24	92	23	0.250	0	11	0.330	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.333	0.290	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	24	95	20	0.211	3	14	0.279	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.277	0.379	OK
Manny Machado	3B	24	82	16	0.195	2	11	0.327	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.195	0.306	0.253	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	24	90	26	0.289	4	16	0.366	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.336	0.430	0.504	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	23	75	17	0.227	3	9	0.266	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.211	0.262	0.442	OK
Ty France	1B	10	30	7	0.233	1	1	0.281	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.245	0.288	0.392	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	13	40	7	0.175	0	2	0.320	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.158	0.333	0.211	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	24	78	13	0.167	1	4	0.286	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.169	0.297	0.222	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	4	4	2	8	0.206

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	24	81	21	0.259	1	6	0.361	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.296	0.388	0.461	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	23	96	23	0.240	4	9	0.291	3	1	0	0	2	0	0.333	0.267	0.322	0.463	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	23	81	24	0.296	3	17	0.396	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.289	0.396	0.548	OK
Adrian Del Castillo	C	11	42	11	0.262	1	10	0.279	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.300	0.436	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	4	16	1	0.062	0	1	0.118	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.062	0.118	0.062	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	18	70	25	0.357	5	16	0.375	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.338	0.349	0.670	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	23	84	22	0.262	4	14	0.284	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.313	0.339	0.557	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	19	68	21	0.309	2	9	0.329	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.308	0.334	0.389	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	19	67	13	0.194	1	8	0.239	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.216	0.252	0.404	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	2	2	4	6	0.229

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Germán Márquez	Starter	4	18.2	3.96	1.429	7.4	15	5.0	7	2	2	3	4	111	5.1	3	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	12	12.1	0.00	0.413	20.1	27	3.0	1	0	0	1	1	43	1.1	2	0
David Morgan	Middle Reliever	9	10.7	3.36	2.056	11.8	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.667	2	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	5	25.2	3.57	1.508	5.0	14	5.0	5	4	4	2	5	87	5.0	6	3
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	1	0	0	0	2	37	0.667	2	1
Ryan Thompson	Middle Reliever	2	2.0	0.00	0.000	4.5	1	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

SD wins 4-2

Seattle Mariners @ St. Louis Cardinals

SEA 13-15 (4.11 RPG / 3.93 RA)

5 - 4

STL 14-12 (4.73 RPG / 5.27 RA)

SEA WINS Target: SEA 3 - 2 STL Confidence: 77.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	5	9
STL	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	7

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Rob Refsnyder	RF	14	29	2	0.069	1	2	0.176	4	2	0	2	1	1	0.500	0.079	0.182	0.198	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	27	104	20	0.192	5	14	0.280	5	1	0	1	0	0	0.200	0.218	0.304	0.440	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	27	102	24	0.235	1	8	0.328	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.252	0.343	0.299	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	25	96	19	0.198	3	11	0.278	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.259	0.333	0.447	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	27	97	28	0.289	2	10	0.381	4	1	2	1	1	1	0.250	0.300	0.368	0.454	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	19	62	12	0.194	1	6	0.359	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.313	0.301	OK
Mitch Garver	C	9	25	4	0.160	0	0	0.276	2	1	2	1	1	1	0.500	0.160	0.276	0.200	OK
Cole Young	2B	27	94	22	0.234	2	12	0.321	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.312	0.293	OK
Will Wilson	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	5	5	4	9	0.250

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	25	91	20	0.220	3	11	0.360	3	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.223	0.346	0.376	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	25	90	20	0.222	3	12	0.383	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.239	0.363	0.413	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	24	93	25	0.269	3	17	0.355	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.282	0.346	0.472	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	24	93	26	0.280	8	16	0.343	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.321	0.520	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	24	81	18	0.222	3	15	0.293	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.231	0.289	0.366	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	19	74	20	0.270	1	11	0.345	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.322	0.401	0.495	OK
Nathan Church	LF	19	59	14	0.237	2	7	0.297	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.331	0.401	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	15	49	10	0.204	1	5	0.259	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.257	0.273	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	22	61	12	0.197	0	4	0.254	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.163	0.244	0.174	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	4	4	5	7	0.206

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	5	32.0	2.25	0.875	7.3	26	5.0	6	4	4	4	6	123	5.0	6	4
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	11	9.3	7.74	1.613	16.5	17	2.0	1	0	0	1	0	31	0.667	2	1
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	11	8.4	0.00	0.595	5.4	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.667	2	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	12	8.9	2.02	1.461	9.1	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.667	2	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	5	27.0	3.67	1.407	5.3	16	5.0	8	4	4	2	4	111	5.2	5	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	13	12.4	0.00	0.484	10.9	15	2.0	1	1	1	0	1	27	1.2	0	1
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	11	9.9	2.73	1.313	5.5	6	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.1	2	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	10	12.5	0.72	0.880	5.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	19	2.1	0	1

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-4

Washington Nationals @ Chicago White Sox

WAS 11-16 (5.48 RPG / 6.19 RA)

4 - 6

CHW 11-15 (4.19 RPG / 5.15 RA)

CHW WINS Target: WAS 3 - 6 CHW Confidence: 75.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	8
CHW	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	x	6	7

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff5

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	LF	27	104	26	0.250	10	21	0.409	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.239	0.412	0.613	OK
Curtis Mead	2B	19	50	10	0.200	3	10	0.273	4	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.173	0.233	0.427	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	2	6	2	0.333	0	0	0.333	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.429	0.500	OK
Brady House	3B	24	96	23	0.240	3	11	0.284	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.268	0.355	OK
Daylen Lile	DH	26	108	32	0.296	3	14	0.356	4	2	0	2	0	0	0.500	0.304	0.377	0.519	OK
Jacob Young	CF	23	84	20	0.238	2	12	0.273	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.244	0.286	OK
Joey Wiemer	RF	17	46	16	0.348	3	6	0.434	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.286	0.333	0.643	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	23	78	14	0.179	0	6	0.281	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.150	0.272	0.158	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	16	47	9	0.191	1	9	0.220	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.208	0.240	0.292	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	5	11	0.229

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Andrew Benintendi	DH	24	76	17	0.224	2	11	0.268	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.284	0.472	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	26	90	23	0.256	11	20	0.398	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.307	0.439	0.743	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	25	91	19	0.209	5	13	0.342	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.352	0.472	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	26	92	22	0.239	7	19	0.340	3	2	2	1	1	0	0.667	0.262	0.356	0.583	OK
Everson Pereira	RF	14	49	14	0.286	3	6	0.357	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.286	0.342	0.543	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	9	28	6	0.214	1	4	0.343	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.214	0.323	0.429	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	24	91	23	0.253	1	2	0.340	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.278	0.368	0.352	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	16	42	9	0.214	0	1	0.267	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.178	0.227	0.195	OK
Edgar Quero	C	18	59	9	0.153	0	4	0.250	4	1	0	2	0	0	0.250	0.142	0.278	0.166	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	7	6	6	3	7	0.226

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Irvin	Starter	5	24.0	6.00	1.292	9.4	25	4.0	7	6	6	1	3	93	5.1	3	1
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	10	9.4	3.83	1.383	8.6	9	3.0	0	0	0	2	2	57	1.1	2	0
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	10	7.7	4.68	1.948	12.9	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.1	2	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Schultz	Starter	2	9.1	3.96	0.989	9.9	10	5.0	7	4	4	4	7	112	4.0	3	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	2.0	0	0	0	1	1	33	1.2	1	0
Jordan Leasure	Middle Reliever	8	8.3	4.34	1.084	9.8	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	3	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.2	3	1

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

BOS Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers

CHC Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Toronto Blue Jays

CLE Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ New York Mets

COL Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds

DET Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals

LAA Recent Form

KC Recent Form

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ San Francisco Giants

MIA Recent Form

SF Recent Form

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Tampa Bay Rays

MIN Recent Form

TB Recent Form

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Houston Astros

NYY Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers

OAK Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation