| Matchup | Target Score | Sim Score | Winner | Confidence | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS @ BAL | 2 - 6 | 4 - 5 | BAL wins 5-4 | 69% | enhanced_ml |
| CHC @ LAD | 6 - 4 | 2 - 6 | LAD wins 6-2 | 79% | enhanced_ml |
| CLE @ TOR | 5 - 3 | 6 - 0 | CLE wins 6-0 | 63% | enhanced_ml |
| COL @ NYM | 5 - 4 | 6 - 5 | COL wins 6-5 (Extra Innings - 10) | 75% | enhanced_ml |
| DET @ CIN | 4 - 5 | 3 - 6 | CIN wins 6-3 | 63% | enhanced_ml |
| LAA @ KC | 6 - 3 | 6 - 2 | LAA wins 6-2 | 79% | enhanced_ml |
| MIA @ SF | 3 - 2 | 7 - 0 | MIA wins 7-0 | 61% | enhanced_ml |
| MIN @ TB | 5 - 4 | 6 - 3 | MIN wins 6-3 | 73% | enhanced_ml |
| NYY @ HOU | 7 - 4 | 6 - 5 | NYY wins 6-5 | 89% | enhanced_ml |
| OAK @ TEX | 5 - 6 | 2 - 6 | TEX wins 6-2 | 62% | enhanced_ml |
| PHI @ ATL | 1 - 7 | 2 - 6 | ATL wins 6-2 | 91% | enhanced_ml |
| PIT @ MIL | 5 - 4 | 5 - 1 | PIT wins 5-1 | 61% | enhanced_ml |
| SEA @ STL | 4 - 5 | 6 - 7 | STL wins 7-6 (Extra Innings - 11) | 65% | enhanced_ml |
| WAS @ CHW | 3 - 8 | 1 - 5 | CHW wins 5-1 | 75% | enhanced_ml |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 5 | 6 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jarren Duran | LF | 20 | 76 | 15 | 0.197 | 1 | 11 | 0.265 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.259 | 0.335 | OK |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | CF | 23 | 74 | 19 | 0.257 | 1 | 7 | 0.337 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.225 | 0.300 | 0.297 | OK |
| Masataka Yoshida | DH | 15 | 42 | 11 | 0.262 | 0 | 5 | 0.392 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.290 | 0.398 | 0.370 | OK |
| Willson Contreras | 1B | 24 | 84 | 21 | 0.250 | 4 | 12 | 0.376 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.250 | 0.334 | 0.417 | OK |
| Wilyer Abreu | RF | 24 | 91 | 26 | 0.286 | 3 | 11 | 0.343 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.238 | 0.313 | 0.337 | OK |
| Trevor Story | SS | 25 | 102 | 19 | 0.186 | 2 | 17 | 0.220 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.190 | 0.242 | 0.310 | OK |
| Marcelo Mayer | 2B | 21 | 59 | 12 | 0.203 | 1 | 4 | 0.284 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.215 | 0.300 | 0.323 | OK |
| Caleb Durbin | 3B | 23 | 78 | 11 | 0.141 | 0 | 7 | 0.230 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.155 | 0.243 | 0.241 | OK |
| Carlos Narváez | C | 16 | 53 | 13 | 0.245 | 1 | 2 | 0.273 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.227 | 0.253 | 0.341 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Gunnar Henderson | SS | 25 | 106 | 20 | 0.189 | 7 | 15 | 0.269 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.159 | 0.229 | 0.366 | OK |
| Taylor Ward | LF | 25 | 99 | 28 | 0.283 | 1 | 11 | 0.395 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.240 | 0.362 | 0.397 | OK |
| Adley Rutschman | C | 11 | 38 | 12 | 0.316 | 1 | 5 | 0.395 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.294 | 0.385 | 0.529 | OK |
| Pete Alonso | 1B | 25 | 94 | 20 | 0.213 | 3 | 10 | 0.327 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.228 | 0.345 | 0.423 | OK |
| Dylan Beavers | RF | 19 | 62 | 14 | 0.226 | 1 | 7 | 0.300 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.208 | 0.296 | 0.291 | OK |
| Samuel Basallo | DH | 18 | 64 | 11 | 0.172 | 3 | 6 | 0.274 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.181 | 0.292 | 0.342 | OK |
| Leody Taveras | CF | 19 | 52 | 17 | 0.327 | 2 | 14 | 0.426 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.316 | 0.416 | 0.500 | OK |
| Coby Mayo | 3B | 18 | 61 | 10 | 0.164 | 2 | 10 | 0.261 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.176 | 0.253 | 0.345 | OK |
| Jeremiah Jackson | 2B | 22 | 78 | 23 | 0.295 | 5 | 19 | 0.317 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.303 | 0.330 | 0.571 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 30 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0.200 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Brayan Bello | Starter | 4 | 17.5 | 7.20 | 2.057 | 6.7 | 13 | 6.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 117 | 4.2 | 3 | 4 |
| Aroldis Chapman | Middle Reliever | 8 | 7.2 | 1.25 | 1.111 | 10.0 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0.667 | 2 | 1 |
| Garrett Whitlock | Middle Reliever | 9 | 9.0 | 2.00 | 1.111 | 12.0 | 12 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1.1 | 3 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Brandon Young | Starter | 1 | 5.0 | 0.00 | 0.800 | 3.6 | 2 | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 82 | 4.0 | 4 | 2 |
| Rico Garcia | Middle Reliever | 12 | 11.3 | 0.80 | 0.442 | 10.4 | 13 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Anthony Nunez | Middle Reliever | 11 | 11.4 | 1.58 | 0.702 | 11.8 | 15 | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Tyler Wells | Middle Reliever | 11 | 13.5 | 4.00 | 1.259 | 10.7 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2.1 | 4 | 1 |
BAL wins 5-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| LAD | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 6 | 10 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Nico Hoerner | 2B | 25 | 102 | 31 | 0.304 | 4 | 22 | 0.381 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.298 | 0.356 | 0.490 | OK |
| Michael Busch | 1B | 24 | 91 | 18 | 0.198 | 2 | 10 | 0.282 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.239 | 0.314 | 0.351 | OK |
| Alex Bregman | 3B | 25 | 104 | 27 | 0.260 | 2 | 9 | 0.339 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.286 | 0.367 | 0.387 | OK |
| Ian Happ | LF | 23 | 92 | 23 | 0.250 | 7 | 14 | 0.361 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.280 | 0.387 | 0.553 | OK |
| Seiya Suzuki | RF | 13 | 47 | 15 | 0.319 | 3 | 7 | 0.448 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.332 | 0.446 | 0.568 | OK |
| Moisés Ballesteros | DH | 21 | 51 | 20 | 0.392 | 3 | 10 | 0.429 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.448 | 0.491 | 0.768 | OK |
| Carson Kelly | C | 19 | 63 | 21 | 0.333 | 2 | 9 | 0.432 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.355 | 0.464 | 0.553 | OK |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CF | 25 | 95 | 23 | 0.242 | 1 | 7 | 0.294 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.267 | 0.313 | 0.362 | OK |
| Dansby Swanson | SS | 25 | 83 | 16 | 0.193 | 5 | 17 | 0.333 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.210 | 0.352 | 0.431 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Shohei Ohtani | DH | 24 | 94 | 23 | 0.245 | 5 | 11 | 0.365 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.220 | 0.317 | 0.373 | OK |
| Freddie Freeman | 1B | 23 | 91 | 27 | 0.297 | 3 | 14 | 0.366 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.322 | 0.401 | 0.497 | OK |
| Will Smith | C | 21 | 75 | 20 | 0.267 | 2 | 11 | 0.325 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.322 | 0.319 | OK |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | 24 | 94 | 23 | 0.245 | 3 | 13 | 0.327 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.242 | 0.312 | 0.395 | OK |
| Teoscar Hernández | LF | 22 | 82 | 20 | 0.244 | 4 | 13 | 0.292 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.222 | 0.283 | 0.436 | OK |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 24 | 85 | 25 | 0.294 | 8 | 9 | 0.381 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.321 | 0.404 | 0.660 | OK |
| Andy Pages | CF | 25 | 89 | 30 | 0.337 | 5 | 21 | 0.388 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.275 | 0.333 | 0.439 | OK |
| Hyeseong Kim | SS | 13 | 34 | 11 | 0.324 | 1 | 5 | 0.415 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.318 | 0.405 | 0.473 | OK |
| Alex Freeland | 2B | 20 | 61 | 13 | 0.213 | 1 | 5 | 0.279 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.208 | 0.277 | 0.257 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 0.294 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jameson Taillon | Starter | 4 | 22.2 | 4.05 | 1.306 | 8.5 | 21 | 5.0 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 111 | 4.2 | 5 | 2 |
| Caleb Thielbar | Middle Reliever | 10 | 6.8 | 2.65 | 1.324 | 14.6 | 11 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 39 | 0.667 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Brown | Middle Reliever | 8 | 18.3 | 2.46 | 1.148 | 9.8 | 20 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3.0 | 4 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Emmet Sheehan | Starter | 4 | 19.3 | 6.06 | 1.451 | 8.4 | 18 | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 4.2 | 4 | 3 |
| Tanner Scott | Middle Reliever | 12 | 10.2 | 0.88 | 0.588 | 7.9 | 9 | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
| Alex Vesia | Middle Reliever | 10 | 8.2 | 0.00 | 0.610 | 11.0 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
| Jack Dreyer | Middle Reliever | 10 | 9.4 | 4.79 | 1.170 | 10.5 | 11 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 |
LAD wins 6-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Daniel Schneemann | 2B | 20 | 58 | 18 | 0.310 | 2 | 11 | 0.394 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.360 | 0.457 | 0.590 | OK |
| Chase DeLauter | RF | 22 | 81 | 19 | 0.235 | 5 | 15 | 0.323 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.216 | 0.325 | 0.433 | OK |
| José Ramírez | 3B | 26 | 94 | 22 | 0.234 | 6 | 12 | 0.363 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.274 | 0.418 | 0.590 | OK |
| Kyle Manzardo | 1B | 22 | 72 | 14 | 0.194 | 1 | 5 | 0.284 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.236 | 0.310 | 0.312 | OK |
| Rhys Hoskins | DH | 19 | 57 | 12 | 0.211 | 1 | 6 | 0.348 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.193 | 0.331 | 0.317 | OK |
| George Valera | LF | 8 | 26 | 6 | 0.231 | 0 | 4 | 0.259 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.231 | 0.259 | 0.308 | OK |
| Angel Martínez | CF | 21 | 70 | 19 | 0.271 | 3 | 10 | 0.320 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.238 | 0.267 | 0.437 | OK |
| Bo Naylor | C | 17 | 54 | 7 | 0.130 | 1 | 3 | 0.190 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.126 | 0.197 | 0.229 | OK |
| Brayan Rocchio | SS | 25 | 78 | 21 | 0.269 | 3 | 15 | 0.367 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.310 | 0.382 | 0.494 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 0.212 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Nathan Lukes | RF | 18 | 51 | 12 | 0.235 | 0 | 8 | 0.273 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.266 | 0.289 | 0.339 | OK |
| Ernie Clement | 2B | 24 | 100 | 32 | 0.320 | 0 | 6 | 0.327 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.337 | 0.341 | 0.452 | OK |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1B | 24 | 89 | 30 | 0.337 | 2 | 12 | 0.427 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.346 | 0.424 | 0.471 | OK |
| Jesús Sánchez | LF | 23 | 71 | 19 | 0.268 | 2 | 11 | 0.325 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.264 | 0.324 | 0.340 | OK |
| Lenyn Sosa | DH | 7 | 18 | 5 | 0.278 | 0 | 4 | 0.263 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.271 | 0.267 | 0.387 | OK |
| Daulton Varsho | CF | 21 | 76 | 20 | 0.263 | 3 | 7 | 0.333 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.295 | 0.344 | 0.513 | OK |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3B | 23 | 87 | 18 | 0.207 | 3 | 8 | 0.289 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.200 | 0.287 | 0.319 | OK |
| Andrés Giménez | SS | 24 | 86 | 23 | 0.267 | 3 | 12 | 0.297 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.272 | 0.289 | 0.454 | OK |
| Tyler Heineman | C | 13 | 32 | 7 | 0.219 | 0 | 2 | 0.265 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.160 | 0.160 | 0.160 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Gavin Williams | Starter | 5 | 29.2 | 2.16 | 1.027 | 12.3 | 40 | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 104 | 5.0 | 5 | 4 |
| Cade Smith | Middle Reliever | 12 | 12.0 | 4.50 | 1.417 | 11.2 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 |
| Hunter Gaddis | Middle Reliever | 4 | 4.0 | 4.50 | 1.000 | 13.5 | 6 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
| Tim Herrin | Middle Reliever | 9 | 3.8 | 0.00 | 2.632 | 7.1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Max Scherzer | Starter | 4 | 16.1 | 7.27 | 1.304 | 5.6 | 10 | 5.0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 98 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | Middle Reliever | 12 | 9.5 | 8.53 | 2.316 | 22.7 | 24 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Tyler Rogers | Middle Reliever | 12 | 11.4 | 0.79 | 1.053 | 3.9 | 5 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Fluharty | Middle Reliever | 11 | 6.1 | 5.90 | 1.803 | 17.7 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
CLE wins 6-0
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Mickey Moniak | DH | 19 | 68 | 22 | 0.324 | 8 | 15 | 0.347 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.331 | 0.358 | 0.734 | OK |
| Hunter Goodman | C | 24 | 87 | 23 | 0.264 | 6 | 9 | 0.340 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.269 | 0.334 | 0.604 | OK |
| TJ Rumfield | 1B | 26 | 91 | 24 | 0.264 | 3 | 15 | 0.320 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.240 | 0.297 | 0.401 | OK |
| Tyler Freeman | 2B | 13 | 41 | 12 | 0.293 | 0 | 7 | 0.370 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.279 | 0.343 | 0.306 | OK |
| Troy Johnston | RF | 22 | 77 | 25 | 0.325 | 2 | 12 | 0.366 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.350 | 0.405 | 0.482 | OK |
| Kyle Karros | 3B | 26 | 70 | 14 | 0.200 | 1 | 3 | 0.337 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.211 | 0.363 | 0.333 | OK |
| Ezequiel Tovar | SS | 25 | 93 | 19 | 0.204 | 1 | 6 | 0.245 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.161 | 0.208 | 0.245 | OK |
| Jake McCarthy | LF | 16 | 47 | 11 | 0.234 | 0 | 4 | 0.294 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.272 | 0.347 | 0.416 | OK |
| Brenton Doyle | CF | 24 | 70 | 15 | 0.214 | 1 | 2 | 0.276 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.290 | 0.301 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0.189 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Bo Bichette | 3B | 25 | 105 | 25 | 0.238 | 1 | 12 | 0.270 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.231 | 0.250 | 0.306 | OK |
| Juan Soto | DH | 10 | 37 | 12 | 0.324 | 1 | 5 | 0.419 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.324 | 0.419 | 0.459 | OK |
| Francisco Alvarez | C | 22 | 66 | 16 | 0.242 | 4 | 7 | 0.346 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.225 | 0.325 | 0.406 | OK |
| Brett Baty | RF | 21 | 71 | 16 | 0.225 | 1 | 10 | 0.230 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.210 | 0.256 | 0.328 | OK |
| Mark Vientos | 1B | 20 | 62 | 14 | 0.226 | 2 | 7 | 0.269 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.187 | 0.234 | 0.303 | OK |
| Marcus Semien | 2B | 25 | 88 | 21 | 0.239 | 1 | 8 | 0.299 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.264 | 0.324 | 0.355 | OK |
| Carson Benge | LF | 21 | 69 | 11 | 0.159 | 2 | 4 | 0.237 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.178 | 0.245 | 0.316 | OK |
| Tyrone Taylor | CF | 14 | 33 | 7 | 0.212 | 1 | 6 | 0.235 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.222 | 0.249 | 0.324 | OK |
| Ronny Mauricio | SS | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0.125 | 0 | 1 | 0.125 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.125 | 0.125 | 0.125 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 0.231 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Michael Lorenzen | Starter | 6 | 20.5 | 7.90 | 2.244 | 7.0 | 16 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 83 | 4.0 | 4 | 3 |
| Victor Vodnik | Middle Reliever | 10 | 10.2 | 7.94 | 2.255 | 7.1 | 8 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 1.1 | 3 | 1 |
| Antonio Senzatela | Middle Reliever | 7 | 14.7 | 0.61 | 0.816 | 10.4 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3.0 | 6 | 1 |
| Jaden Hill | Middle Reliever | 11 | 7.2 | 2.50 | 1.806 | 13.8 | 11 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1.2 | 3 | 0 |
| Brennan Bernardino | Middle Reliever | 13 | 8.2 | 1.10 | 1.463 | 11.0 | 10 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0.667 | 2 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Freddy Peralta | Starter | 5 | 25.5 | 4.24 | 1.137 | 9.9 | 28 | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 80 | 5.0 | 6 | 4 |
| Devin Williams | Middle Reliever | 8 | 6.3 | 8.57 | 2.540 | 18.6 | 13 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
| Luke Weaver | Middle Reliever | 10 | 8.6 | 6.28 | 1.279 | 7.3 | 7 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 |
| Craig Kimbrel | Middle Reliever | 5 | 3.4 | 7.94 | 2.059 | 10.6 | 4 | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 44 | 0.667 | 2 | 1 |
COL wins 6-5 (Extra Innings - 10)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | x | 6 | 8 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jahmai Jones | RF | 13 | 25 | 6 | 0.240 | 2 | 4 | 0.240 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.253 | 0.253 | 0.548 | OK |
| Gleyber Torres | DH | 25 | 93 | 22 | 0.237 | 1 | 7 | 0.363 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.250 | 0.367 | 0.293 | OK |
| Kevin McGonigle | 3B | 25 | 94 | 30 | 0.319 | 1 | 11 | 0.407 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.335 | 0.422 | 0.536 | OK |
| Matt Vierling | CF | 15 | 43 | 10 | 0.233 | 1 | 6 | 0.277 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.248 | 0.303 | 0.397 | OK |
| Dillon Dingler | C | 22 | 76 | 20 | 0.263 | 5 | 19 | 0.341 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.260 | 0.322 | 0.534 | OK |
| Riley Greene | LF | 26 | 90 | 26 | 0.289 | 2 | 16 | 0.396 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.500 | 0.320 | 0.432 | 0.507 | OK |
| Spencer Torkelson | 1B | 25 | 78 | 15 | 0.192 | 2 | 9 | 0.330 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.180 | 0.301 | 0.339 | OK |
| Hao-Yu Lee | 2B | 4 | 14 | 3 | 0.214 | 0 | 1 | 0.267 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.214 | 0.267 | 0.286 | OK |
| Javier Báez | SS | 20 | 68 | 19 | 0.279 | 1 | 5 | 0.306 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.262 | 0.286 | 0.356 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Dane Myers | CF | 15 | 31 | 8 | 0.258 | 1 | 3 | 0.378 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.257 | 0.407 | 0.378 | OK |
| Matt McLain | 2B | 23 | 90 | 18 | 0.200 | 0 | 4 | 0.321 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.189 | 0.320 | 0.245 | OK |
| Elly De La Cruz | SS | 25 | 102 | 27 | 0.265 | 8 | 18 | 0.330 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.261 | 0.314 | 0.562 | OK |
| Sal Stewart | 1B | 25 | 91 | 27 | 0.297 | 8 | 24 | 0.389 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.285 | 0.354 | 0.603 | OK |
| Eugenio Suárez | DH | 25 | 91 | 21 | 0.231 | 3 | 11 | 0.300 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.230 | 0.303 | 0.366 | OK |
| Spencer Steer | LF | 23 | 77 | 17 | 0.221 | 4 | 6 | 0.291 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.239 | 0.308 | 0.478 | OK |
| Tyler Stephenson | C | 18 | 57 | 9 | 0.158 | 2 | 5 | 0.279 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.161 | 0.304 | 0.225 | OK |
| Rece Hinds | RF | 7 | 24 | 3 | 0.125 | 0 | 5 | 0.185 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.125 | 0.160 | 0.208 | OK |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 3B | 19 | 59 | 5 | 0.085 | 1 | 1 | 0.169 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.080 | 0.176 | 0.152 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Framber Valdez | Starter | 5 | 30.0 | 3.30 | 1.200 | 6.0 | 20 | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 111 | 6.1 | 5 | 3 |
| Kenley Jansen | Middle Reliever | 8 | 6.2 | 1.45 | 1.290 | 11.6 | 8 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Kyle Finnegan | Middle Reliever | 11 | 10.3 | 0.00 | 1.262 | 4.4 | 5 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Andrew Abbott | Starter | 5 | 23.5 | 6.13 | 1.830 | 5.7 | 15 | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 105 | 5.1 | 4 | 4 |
| Emilio Pagán | Middle Reliever | 11 | 11.1 | 4.86 | 1.261 | 8.1 | 10 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 |
| Brock Burke | Middle Reliever | 12 | 9.0 | 1.00 | 1.333 | 13.0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 |
CIN wins 6-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Zach Neto | SS | 26 | 101 | 24 | 0.238 | 5 | 11 | 0.364 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.229 | 0.355 | 0.386 | OK |
| Mike Trout | CF | 25 | 88 | 21 | 0.239 | 8 | 17 | 0.417 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.257 | 0.428 | 0.666 | OK |
| Jo Adell | RF | 26 | 104 | 28 | 0.269 | 3 | 15 | 0.312 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.292 | 0.395 | OK |
| Jorge Soler | DH | 22 | 79 | 17 | 0.215 | 5 | 19 | 0.326 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.213 | 0.317 | 0.466 | OK |
| Oswald Peraza | 3B | 20 | 68 | 20 | 0.294 | 4 | 8 | 0.351 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.331 | 0.392 | 0.614 | OK |
| Nolan Schanuel | 1B | 23 | 92 | 22 | 0.239 | 3 | 18 | 0.308 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.256 | 0.324 | 0.392 | OK |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | 7 | 20 | 5 | 0.250 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.250 | 0.423 | 0.250 | OK |
| Logan O'Hoppe | C | 23 | 72 | 15 | 0.208 | 1 | 8 | 0.326 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.210 | 0.314 | 0.292 | OK |
| Bryce Teodosio | LF | 9 | 25 | 4 | 0.160 | 0 | 1 | 0.192 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.188 | 0.235 | 0.188 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Nick Loftin | 3B | 5 | 13 | 4 | 0.308 | 0 | 3 | 0.400 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.308 | 0.438 | 0.462 | OK |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | 25 | 95 | 27 | 0.284 | 0 | 10 | 0.364 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.297 | 0.382 | 0.383 | OK |
| Salvador Perez | 1B | 24 | 93 | 16 | 0.172 | 3 | 6 | 0.212 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.179 | 0.203 | 0.295 | OK |
| Lane Thomas | CF | 17 | 45 | 9 | 0.200 | 0 | 2 | 0.321 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.224 | 0.345 | 0.239 | OK |
| Starling Marte | RF | 8 | 23 | 5 | 0.217 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.217 | 0.217 | 0.304 | OK |
| Carter Jensen | DH | 22 | 69 | 19 | 0.275 | 6 | 14 | 0.354 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.295 | 0.377 | 0.551 | OK |
| Isaac Collins | LF | 18 | 60 | 11 | 0.183 | 1 | 4 | 0.269 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.172 | 0.244 | 0.212 | OK |
| Elias Díaz | C | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0.500 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.244 | 0.307 | 0.394 | OK |
| Michael Massey | 2B | 12 | 33 | 8 | 0.242 | 1 | 4 | 0.257 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.245 | 0.264 | 0.458 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0.270 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Yusei Kikuchi | Starter | 5 | 23.3 | 5.79 | 1.674 | 10.4 | 27 | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 122 | 4.2 | 4 | 2 |
| Jordan Romano | Middle Reliever | 9 | 6.4 | 2.81 | 1.250 | 16.9 | 12 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Drew Pomeranz | Middle Reliever | 9 | 8.3 | 7.59 | 1.566 | 6.5 | 6 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
| Chase Silseth | Middle Reliever | 13 | 7.0 | 3.86 | 2.000 | 12.9 | 10 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3.0 | 4 | 3 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Noah Cameron | Starter | 4 | 19.3 | 5.60 | 1.503 | 7.9 | 17 | 6.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 130 | 6.0 | 4 | 2 |
| Lucas Erceg | Middle Reliever | 10 | 8.4 | 6.43 | 1.905 | 5.4 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt Strahm | Middle Reliever | 9 | 8.2 | 5.49 | 1.463 | 11.0 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | Middle Reliever | 10 | 6.6 | 6.82 | 2.121 | 5.5 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
LAA wins 6-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jakob Marsee | CF | 25 | 95 | 17 | 0.179 | 1 | 7 | 0.307 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.205 | 0.335 | 0.309 | OK |
| Kyle Stowers | LF | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0.300 | 0 | 0 | 0.462 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.300 | 0.417 | 0.400 | OK |
| Otto Lopez | SS | 24 | 92 | 29 | 0.315 | 3 | 11 | 0.366 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.309 | 0.353 | 0.517 | OK |
| Xavier Edwards | 2B | 25 | 94 | 31 | 0.330 | 1 | 7 | 0.411 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.314 | 0.412 | 0.411 | OK |
| Liam Hicks | C | 24 | 78 | 25 | 0.321 | 4 | 21 | 0.368 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.337 | 0.379 | 0.508 | OK |
| Agustín Ramírez | DH | 24 | 88 | 20 | 0.227 | 2 | 12 | 0.303 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.225 | 0.287 | 0.385 | OK |
| Owen Caissie | RF | 22 | 71 | 16 | 0.225 | 2 | 14 | 0.260 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.192 | 0.219 | 0.297 | OK |
| Graham Pauley | 3B | 19 | 54 | 10 | 0.185 | 0 | 5 | 0.214 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.180 | 0.219 | 0.275 | OK |
| Connor Norby | 1B | 22 | 73 | 18 | 0.247 | 2 | 7 | 0.341 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.256 | 0.320 | 0.401 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 0.289 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Willy Adames | SS | 25 | 101 | 23 | 0.228 | 3 | 6 | 0.271 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.211 | 0.237 | 0.370 | OK |
| Luis Arraez | 2B | 24 | 92 | 28 | 0.304 | 0 | 6 | 0.340 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.306 | 0.341 | 0.338 | OK |
| Matt Chapman | 3B | 25 | 98 | 28 | 0.286 | 1 | 12 | 0.333 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.271 | 0.314 | 0.337 | OK |
| Rafael Devers | 1B | 25 | 100 | 23 | 0.230 | 2 | 9 | 0.267 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.236 | 0.265 | 0.309 | OK |
| Casey Schmitt | DH | 19 | 71 | 20 | 0.282 | 2 | 8 | 0.325 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.267 | 0.292 | 0.454 | OK |
| Jung Hoo Lee | RF | 25 | 87 | 22 | 0.253 | 1 | 9 | 0.302 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.281 | 0.325 | 0.365 | OK |
| Heliot Ramos | LF | 24 | 87 | 23 | 0.264 | 2 | 13 | 0.304 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.284 | 0.331 | 0.465 | OK |
| Drew Gilbert | CF | 8 | 23 | 5 | 0.217 | 1 | 2 | 0.280 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.280 | 0.348 | OK |
| Eric Haase | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Sandy Alcantara | Starter | 5 | 35.1 | 3.08 | 1.054 | 5.9 | 23 | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 98 | 5.2 | 4 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | Middle Reliever | 9 | 8.2 | 7.68 | 1.098 | 14.3 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Tyler Phillips | Middle Reliever | 7 | 14.3 | 0.63 | 1.259 | 11.3 | 18 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1.2 | 2 | 2 |
| Anthony Bender | Middle Reliever | 11 | 7.0 | 9.00 | 2.429 | 16.7 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Adrian Houser | Starter | 4 | 20.5 | 5.71 | 1.659 | 4.8 | 11 | 5.0 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 102 | 5.2 | 4 | 3 |
| Ryan Walker | Middle Reliever | 11 | 9.6 | 3.75 | 1.562 | 11.2 | 12 | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Erik Miller | Middle Reliever | 9 | 6.6 | 5.45 | 1.970 | 17.7 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Gage | Middle Reliever | 11 | 7.9 | 2.28 | 1.266 | 8.0 | 7 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.667 | 2 | 1 |
MIA wins 7-0
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Byron Buxton | DH | 23 | 96 | 22 | 0.229 | 5 | 7 | 0.292 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.251 | 0.300 | 0.521 | OK |
| Trevor Larnach | LF | 17 | 46 | 12 | 0.261 | 1 | 7 | 0.414 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.200 | 0.250 | 0.424 | 0.381 | OK |
| Austin Martin | CF | 18 | 49 | 17 | 0.347 | 1 | 6 | 0.500 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.370 | 0.535 | 0.525 | OK |
| Victor Caratini | C | 19 | 64 | 16 | 0.250 | 1 | 11 | 0.350 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.230 | 0.336 | 0.308 | OK |
| Kody Clemens | 1B | 16 | 49 | 8 | 0.163 | 2 | 3 | 0.268 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.167 | 0.261 | 0.334 | OK |
| Royce Lewis | 3B | 14 | 44 | 9 | 0.205 | 2 | 8 | 0.340 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.219 | 0.359 | 0.281 | OK |
| Matt Wallner | RF | 22 | 79 | 15 | 0.190 | 3 | 7 | 0.281 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.167 | 0.263 | 0.251 | OK |
| Brooks Lee | SS | 22 | 76 | 18 | 0.237 | 3 | 12 | 0.301 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.237 | 0.305 | 0.358 | OK |
| Tristan Gray | 2B | 14 | 41 | 11 | 0.268 | 3 | 13 | 0.311 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.254 | 0.280 | 0.481 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Chandler Simpson | LF | 24 | 96 | 31 | 0.323 | 0 | 5 | 0.347 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.294 | 0.315 | 0.337 | OK |
| Junior Caminero | 3B | 24 | 96 | 25 | 0.260 | 6 | 12 | 0.345 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.280 | 0.355 | 0.535 | OK |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1B | 24 | 85 | 19 | 0.224 | 4 | 19 | 0.361 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.391 | 0.386 | OK |
| Yandy Díaz | DH | 24 | 94 | 32 | 0.340 | 3 | 18 | 0.426 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.327 | 0.410 | 0.437 | OK |
| Jonny DeLuca | RF | 17 | 50 | 14 | 0.280 | 2 | 13 | 0.321 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.280 | 0.322 | 0.476 | OK |
| Cedric Mullins | CF | 21 | 77 | 12 | 0.156 | 2 | 8 | 0.205 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.171 | 0.218 | 0.316 | OK |
| Ben Williamson | 2B | 20 | 62 | 15 | 0.242 | 0 | 7 | 0.309 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.245 | 0.338 | 0.328 | OK |
| Nick Fortes | C | 19 | 62 | 18 | 0.290 | 1 | 7 | 0.343 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.271 | 0.312 | 0.351 | OK |
| Taylor Walls | SS | 14 | 48 | 10 | 0.208 | 0 | 4 | 0.269 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.214 | 0.274 | 0.226 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Taj Bradley | Starter | 5 | 27.2 | 1.65 | 1.250 | 11.2 | 34 | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 84 | 5.0 | 4 | 4 |
| Cole Sands | Middle Reliever | 10 | 9.4 | 3.83 | 1.383 | 9.6 | 10 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Banda | Middle Reliever | 11 | 7.9 | 12.53 | 2.025 | 11.4 | 10 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Drew Rasmussen | Starter | 4 | 19.2 | 2.81 | 0.677 | 9.4 | 20 | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 96 | 4.0 | 4 | 2 |
| Bryan Baker | Middle Reliever | 9 | 8.1 | 4.44 | 1.235 | 10.0 | 9 | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 50 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | Middle Reliever | 10 | 8.7 | 6.21 | 1.034 | 10.3 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
MIN wins 6-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| HOU | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Trent Grisham | CF | 23 | 72 | 12 | 0.167 | 3 | 14 | 0.310 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.177 | 0.283 | 0.394 | OK |
| Aaron Judge | RF | 25 | 91 | 22 | 0.242 | 9 | 17 | 0.361 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.256 | 0.380 | 0.643 | OK |
| Cody Bellinger | LF | 24 | 85 | 23 | 0.271 | 3 | 13 | 0.373 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.288 | 0.389 | 0.478 | OK |
| Ben Rice | 1B | 23 | 74 | 23 | 0.311 | 8 | 17 | 0.457 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.284 | 0.421 | 0.693 | OK |
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | 23 | 87 | 22 | 0.253 | 3 | 13 | 0.301 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.225 | 0.263 | 0.434 | OK |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 2B | 24 | 85 | 16 | 0.188 | 1 | 4 | 0.274 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.198 | 0.298 | 0.303 | OK |
| J.C. Escarra | C | 7 | 19 | 3 | 0.158 | 0 | 4 | 0.200 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.158 | 0.200 | 0.316 | OK |
| Ryan McMahon | 3B | 21 | 49 | 7 | 0.143 | 1 | 4 | 0.276 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.162 | 0.299 | 0.248 | OK |
| José Caballero | SS | 24 | 84 | 21 | 0.250 | 1 | 8 | 0.292 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.294 | 0.333 | 0.418 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Carlos Correa | SS | 23 | 88 | 25 | 0.284 | 1 | 13 | 0.366 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.279 | 0.369 | 0.372 | OK |
| Yordan Alvarez | DH | 26 | 95 | 33 | 0.347 | 11 | 26 | 0.466 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.351 | 0.445 | 0.791 | OK |
| Isaac Paredes | 3B | 21 | 75 | 17 | 0.227 | 2 | 10 | 0.333 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.200 | 0.227 | 0.330 | 0.376 | OK |
| Jose Altuve | 2B | 25 | 98 | 25 | 0.255 | 3 | 8 | 0.354 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.233 | 0.306 | 0.369 | OK |
| Christian Walker | 1B | 26 | 91 | 24 | 0.264 | 5 | 18 | 0.358 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.241 | 0.345 | 0.468 | OK |
| Cam Smith | RF | 26 | 88 | 21 | 0.239 | 3 | 11 | 0.324 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.206 | 0.294 | 0.314 | OK |
| Dustin Harris | LF | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.167 | 0.348 | 0.222 | |
| Yainer Diaz | C | 18 | 71 | 14 | 0.197 | 1 | 10 | 0.224 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.181 | 0.197 | 0.285 | OK |
| Brice Matthews | CF | 15 | 36 | 6 | 0.167 | 1 | 5 | 0.250 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.176 | 0.278 | 0.324 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Will Warren | Starter | 5 | 23.7 | 2.66 | 1.181 | 11.8 | 31 | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 109 | 4.1 | 7 | 2 |
| David Bednar | Middle Reliever | 11 | 10.2 | 3.53 | 1.667 | 11.5 | 13 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 |
| Fernando Cruz | Middle Reliever | 10 | 3.6 | 5.00 | 3.056 | 25.0 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1.2 | 3 | 1 |
| Camilo Doval | Middle Reliever | 10 | 6.7 | 9.40 | 1.493 | 10.7 | 8 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Starter | 4 | 20.1 | 6.27 | 1.343 | 9.4 | 21 | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 91 | 4.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | Middle Reliever | 9 | 8.4 | 4.29 | 1.310 | 8.6 | 8 | 2.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 64 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Bryan King | Middle Reliever | 9 | 8.8 | 5.11 | 1.818 | 12.3 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 |
| Steven Okert | Middle Reliever | 13 | 9.2 | 3.91 | 1.304 | 8.8 | 9 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 1.2 | 3 | 0 |
NYY wins 6-5
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| TEX | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 6 | 10 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Nick Kurtz | 1B | 24 | 83 | 20 | 0.241 | 4 | 11 | 0.427 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.000 | 0.262 | 0.452 | 0.488 | OK |
| Shea Langeliers | C | 24 | 98 | 30 | 0.306 | 8 | 14 | 0.370 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.314 | 0.392 | 0.595 | OK |
| Carlos Cortes | DH | 19 | 52 | 17 | 0.327 | 2 | 7 | 0.397 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.326 | 0.382 | 0.500 | OK |
| Tyler Soderstrom | LF | 25 | 96 | 21 | 0.219 | 2 | 17 | 0.303 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.218 | 0.318 | 0.389 | OK |
| Jacob Wilson | SS | 24 | 104 | 29 | 0.279 | 2 | 13 | 0.286 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.295 | 0.305 | 0.431 | OK |
| Jeff McNeil | 2B | 23 | 75 | 21 | 0.280 | 1 | 6 | 0.353 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.258 | 0.342 | 0.387 | OK |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 24 | 86 | 22 | 0.256 | 2 | 7 | 0.320 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.207 | 0.286 | 0.338 | OK |
| Lawrence Butler | RF | 24 | 78 | 15 | 0.192 | 2 | 9 | 0.276 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.203 | 0.288 | 0.314 | OK |
| Zack Gelof | CF | 7 | 16 | 3 | 0.188 | 0 | 2 | 0.188 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.188 | 0.188 | 0.250 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 31 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Brandon Nimmo | RF | 25 | 102 | 31 | 0.304 | 4 | 11 | 0.383 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.268 | 0.349 | 0.458 | OK |
| Joc Pederson | DH | 23 | 55 | 13 | 0.236 | 1 | 4 | 0.368 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.271 | 0.408 | 0.321 | OK |
| Corey Seager | SS | 24 | 87 | 18 | 0.207 | 6 | 16 | 0.317 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.200 | 0.311 | 0.442 | OK |
| Jake Burger | 1B | 25 | 100 | 24 | 0.240 | 5 | 19 | 0.267 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.247 | 0.277 | 0.453 | OK |
| Josh Jung | 3B | 22 | 79 | 24 | 0.304 | 3 | 11 | 0.364 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.330 | 0.384 | 0.627 | OK |
| Evan Carter | CF | 24 | 74 | 16 | 0.216 | 3 | 9 | 0.322 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.207 | 0.324 | 0.364 | OK |
| Kyle Higashioka | C | 10 | 33 | 8 | 0.242 | 1 | 3 | 0.342 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.219 | 0.324 | 0.344 | OK |
| Josh Smith | 2B | 23 | 72 | 13 | 0.181 | 0 | 6 | 0.286 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.185 | 0.298 | 0.229 | OK |
| Alejandro Osuna | LF | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.500 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.244 | 0.307 | 0.394 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0.294 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Luis Severino | Starter | 5 | 24.2 | 6.32 | 1.736 | 10.0 | 27 | 5.0 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 102 | 4.1 | 5 | 4 |
| Joel Kuhnel | Middle Reliever | 8 | 6.5 | 2.77 | 1.231 | 4.2 | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Hogan Harris | Middle Reliever | 14 | 11.4 | 3.16 | 1.754 | 10.3 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Nathan Eovaldi | Starter | 5 | 26.2 | 5.15 | 1.565 | 10.0 | 29 | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 113 | 6.1 | 5 | 2 |
| Jakob Junis | Middle Reliever | 11 | 12.1 | 2.23 | 0.826 | 4.5 | 6 | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Beeks | Middle Reliever | 12 | 9.6 | 1.88 | 1.250 | 10.3 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
TEX wins 6-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| ATL | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 6 | 8 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Trea Turner | SS | 25 | 102 | 23 | 0.225 | 2 | 7 | 0.288 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.207 | 0.282 | 0.313 | OK |
| Kyle Schwarber | DH | 25 | 91 | 18 | 0.198 | 8 | 15 | 0.342 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.190 | 0.308 | 0.508 | OK |
| Bryce Harper | 1B | 25 | 92 | 24 | 0.261 | 5 | 13 | 0.352 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.254 | 0.338 | 0.484 | OK |
| Adolis García | RF | 25 | 86 | 19 | 0.221 | 3 | 6 | 0.306 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.233 | 0.324 | 0.386 | OK |
| Brandon Marsh | LF | 22 | 80 | 24 | 0.300 | 4 | 14 | 0.329 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.313 | 0.345 | 0.511 | OK |
| Bryson Stott | 2B | 19 | 67 | 14 | 0.209 | 0 | 3 | 0.264 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.217 | 0.266 | 0.246 | OK |
| Alec Bohm | 3B | 24 | 86 | 13 | 0.151 | 1 | 11 | 0.227 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.153 | 0.218 | 0.201 | OK |
| Justin Crawford | CF | 22 | 69 | 18 | 0.261 | 0 | 3 | 0.346 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.234 | 0.322 | 0.334 | OK |
| Garrett Stubbs | C | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.244 | 0.307 | 0.394 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0.188 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | RF | 26 | 99 | 23 | 0.232 | 1 | 6 | 0.339 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.226 | 0.334 | 0.297 | OK |
| Drake Baldwin | C | 26 | 107 | 34 | 0.318 | 7 | 23 | 0.392 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.327 | 0.405 | 0.545 | OK |
| Matt Olson | 1B | 26 | 103 | 29 | 0.282 | 7 | 22 | 0.359 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.276 | 0.349 | 0.580 | OK |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 26 | 101 | 30 | 0.297 | 5 | 15 | 0.342 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.294 | 0.342 | 0.496 | OK |
| Austin Riley | 3B | 26 | 99 | 22 | 0.222 | 3 | 16 | 0.312 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.750 | 0.219 | 0.294 | 0.409 | OK |
| Dominic Smith | DH | 19 | 58 | 21 | 0.362 | 4 | 17 | 0.387 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.382 | 0.397 | 0.621 | OK |
| Mauricio Dubón | SS | 24 | 89 | 25 | 0.281 | 2 | 14 | 0.326 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.257 | 0.309 | 0.367 | OK |
| Mike Yastrzemski | LF | 24 | 77 | 15 | 0.195 | 0 | 5 | 0.279 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.207 | 0.267 | 0.259 | OK |
| Eli White | CF | 12 | 26 | 5 | 0.192 | 1 | 4 | 0.214 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.192 | 0.208 | 0.356 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Andrew Painter | Starter | 4 | 18.1 | 4.48 | 1.381 | 9.9 | 20 | 5.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 113 | 5.1 | 6 | 1 |
| Brad Keller | Middle Reliever | 11 | 9.4 | 4.79 | 1.277 | 8.6 | 9 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 |
| José Alvarado | Middle Reliever | 12 | 6.7 | 10.75 | 2.687 | 14.8 | 11 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Grant Holmes | Starter | 5 | 25.4 | 3.54 | 1.142 | 7.4 | 21 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 94 | 5.1 | 5 | 2 |
| Robert Suarez | Middle Reliever | 11 | 10.2 | 0.88 | 0.882 | 9.7 | 11 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | Middle Reliever | 8 | 4.4 | 10.23 | 1.818 | 14.3 | 7 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
ATL wins 6-2
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Oneil Cruz | CF | 25 | 102 | 29 | 0.284 | 8 | 23 | 0.348 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.254 | 0.320 | 0.527 | OK |
| Brandon Lowe | 2B | 21 | 84 | 21 | 0.250 | 7 | 19 | 0.351 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.262 | 0.352 | 0.570 | OK |
| Bryan Reynolds | LF | 25 | 91 | 23 | 0.253 | 3 | 16 | 0.373 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.249 | 0.386 | 0.371 | OK |
| Marcell Ozuna | DH | 20 | 80 | 14 | 0.175 | 2 | 8 | 0.241 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.222 | 0.269 | 0.360 | OK |
| Ryan O'Hearn | RF | 22 | 80 | 26 | 0.325 | 4 | 16 | 0.411 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.328 | 0.412 | 0.489 | OK |
| Nick Gonzales | 3B | 21 | 77 | 22 | 0.286 | 0 | 11 | 0.321 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.296 | 0.331 | 0.320 | OK |
| Spencer Horwitz | 1B | 22 | 62 | 16 | 0.258 | 2 | 5 | 0.382 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.268 | 0.393 | 0.443 | OK |
| Konnor Griffin | SS | 18 | 66 | 12 | 0.182 | 0 | 8 | 0.247 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.196 | 0.251 | 0.264 | OK |
| Henry Davis | C | 15 | 48 | 8 | 0.167 | 0 | 3 | 0.273 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.148 | 0.258 | 0.185 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Brice Turang | 2B | 22 | 82 | 23 | 0.280 | 4 | 18 | 0.412 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.291 | 0.417 | 0.533 | OK |
| William Contreras | C | 22 | 86 | 26 | 0.302 | 2 | 14 | 0.381 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.311 | 0.378 | 0.432 | OK |
| Jake Bauers | 1B | 22 | 76 | 18 | 0.237 | 5 | 15 | 0.301 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.242 | 0.304 | 0.454 | OK |
| Tyler Black | DH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | |
| Luis Rengifo | 3B | 20 | 67 | 12 | 0.179 | 0 | 5 | 0.253 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.192 | 0.267 | 0.275 | OK |
| Garrett Mitchell | CF | 20 | 59 | 15 | 0.254 | 1 | 18 | 0.405 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.243 | 0.419 | 0.380 | OK |
| Sal Frelick | RF | 22 | 76 | 16 | 0.211 | 1 | 5 | 0.310 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.214 | 0.300 | 0.253 | OK |
| Brandon Lockridge | LF | 20 | 62 | 17 | 0.274 | 0 | 6 | 0.348 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.265 | 0.342 | 0.319 | OK |
| David Hamilton | SS | 19 | 57 | 14 | 0.246 | 0 | 4 | 0.377 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.241 | 0.337 | 0.241 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Paul Skenes | Starter | 5 | 21.3 | 3.38 | 0.939 | 9.7 | 23 | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 95 | 4.2 | 5 | 2 |
| Dennis Santana | Middle Reliever | 12 | 12.0 | 0.75 | 0.750 | 6.8 | 9 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Yohan Ramírez | Middle Reliever | 11 | 14.8 | 2.43 | 1.351 | 10.3 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Brandon Woodruff | Starter | 4 | 23.2 | 3.49 | 0.948 | 7.8 | 20 | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 102 | 4.2 | 5 | 2 |
| Abner Uribe | Middle Reliever | 11 | 7.7 | 5.84 | 1.558 | 11.7 | 10 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 38 | 0.667 | 1 | 0 |
| Grant Anderson | Middle Reliever | 13 | 11.8 | 3.05 | 1.102 | 8.4 | 11 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0.667 | 1 | 1 |
PIT wins 5-1
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 |
| STL | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| J.P. Crawford | SS | 18 | 60 | 12 | 0.200 | 1 | 6 | 0.351 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.196 | 0.325 | 0.310 | OK |
| Cal Raleigh | C | 26 | 101 | 20 | 0.198 | 5 | 14 | 0.281 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.236 | 0.311 | 0.456 | OK |
| Julio Rodríguez | CF | 26 | 98 | 24 | 0.245 | 1 | 8 | 0.339 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.280 | 0.369 | 0.339 | OK |
| Josh Naylor | 1B | 24 | 93 | 18 | 0.194 | 2 | 10 | 0.269 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.246 | 0.318 | 0.384 | OK |
| Randy Arozarena | LF | 26 | 93 | 27 | 0.290 | 2 | 10 | 0.385 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.290 | 0.361 | 0.431 | OK |
| Luke Raley | RF | 24 | 72 | 21 | 0.292 | 5 | 13 | 0.354 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.314 | 0.379 | 0.602 | OK |
| Dominic Canzone | DH | 21 | 54 | 14 | 0.259 | 3 | 10 | 0.317 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.280 | 0.335 | 0.558 | OK |
| Cole Young | 2B | 26 | 90 | 21 | 0.233 | 2 | 11 | 0.324 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.218 | 0.304 | 0.284 | OK |
| Leo Rivas | 3B | 20 | 60 | 9 | 0.150 | 0 | 5 | 0.278 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.145 | 0.273 | 0.189 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 43 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0.256 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| JJ Wetherholt | 2B | 24 | 87 | 19 | 0.218 | 3 | 11 | 0.364 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.211 | 0.338 | 0.367 | OK |
| Iván Herrera | C | 24 | 87 | 19 | 0.218 | 3 | 12 | 0.378 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.236 | 0.367 | 0.414 | OK |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 23 | 90 | 25 | 0.278 | 3 | 17 | 0.359 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.167 | 0.293 | 0.355 | 0.491 | OK |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 23 | 89 | 26 | 0.292 | 8 | 16 | 0.357 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.283 | 0.348 | 0.579 | OK |
| Nolan Gorman | DH | 23 | 77 | 16 | 0.208 | 3 | 15 | 0.284 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.202 | 0.265 | 0.325 | OK |
| Masyn Winn | SS | 18 | 70 | 18 | 0.257 | 1 | 9 | 0.338 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.288 | 0.372 | 0.462 | OK |
| Nathan Church | CF | 18 | 55 | 13 | 0.236 | 2 | 7 | 0.300 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.271 | 0.334 | 0.412 | OK |
| Ramón Urías | 3B | 14 | 43 | 8 | 0.186 | 2 | 5 | 0.250 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.159 | 0.270 | 0.306 | OK |
| José Fermín | 2B | 9 | 24 | 5 | 0.208 | 1 | 2 | 0.259 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.208 | 0.296 | 0.375 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 42 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 0.214 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| George Kirby | Starter | 5 | 32.4 | 3.06 | 1.080 | 7.5 | 27 | 4.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 94 | 6.1 | 7 | 2 |
| Andrés Muñoz | Middle Reliever | 10 | 8.3 | 8.67 | 1.687 | 16.3 | 15 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 46 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt Brash | Middle Reliever | 10 | 7.4 | 0.00 | 0.676 | 6.1 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Middle Reliever | 12 | 9.6 | 2.81 | 1.875 | 8.4 | 9 | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Andre Pallante | Starter | 4 | 20.0 | 4.05 | 1.450 | 5.4 | 12 | 6.0 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 91 | 5.0 | 3 | 1 |
| Riley O'Brien | Middle Reliever | 13 | 12.4 | 0.00 | 0.484 | 10.9 | 15 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| JoJo Romero | Middle Reliever | 11 | 9.9 | 2.73 | 1.313 | 5.5 | 6 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0.667 | 2 | 1 |
| Gordon Graceffo | Middle Reliever | 9 | 10.5 | 0.86 | 1.048 | 5.1 | 6 | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 59 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
STL wins 7-6 (Extra Innings - 11)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| CHW | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | x | 5 | 9 |
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| James Wood | RF | 26 | 102 | 26 | 0.255 | 10 | 21 | 0.402 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.239 | 0.399 | 0.613 | OK |
| Daylen Lile | LF | 25 | 105 | 31 | 0.295 | 3 | 13 | 0.351 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.310 | 0.374 | 0.525 | OK |
| Brady House | DH | 23 | 92 | 22 | 0.239 | 2 | 9 | 0.286 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.231 | 0.267 | 0.306 | OK |
| CJ Abrams | SS | 25 | 89 | 26 | 0.292 | 7 | 20 | 0.413 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.269 | 0.394 | 0.525 | OK |
| Jacob Young | CF | 22 | 80 | 20 | 0.250 | 2 | 12 | 0.286 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.232 | 0.261 | 0.338 | OK |
| Jorbit Vivas | 3B | 19 | 50 | 15 | 0.300 | 0 | 3 | 0.400 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.291 | 0.384 | 0.367 | OK |
| Nasim Nuñez | 2B | 22 | 75 | 13 | 0.173 | 0 | 6 | 0.271 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.144 | 0.254 | 0.152 | OK |
| Luis García Jr. | 2B | 25 | 82 | 20 | 0.244 | 1 | 15 | 0.279 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.243 | 0.292 | 0.324 | OK |
| Drew Millas | C | 13 | 41 | 7 | 0.171 | 0 | 2 | 0.244 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.190 | 0.190 | 0.286 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Everson Pereira | DH | 13 | 48 | 13 | 0.271 | 3 | 6 | 0.345 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.289 | 0.341 | 0.553 | OK |
| Chase Meidroth | 2B | 23 | 87 | 23 | 0.264 | 1 | 2 | 0.354 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.285 | 0.376 | 0.361 | OK |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1B | 25 | 87 | 22 | 0.253 | 10 | 19 | 0.394 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.295 | 0.433 | 0.687 | OK |
| Miguel Vargas | 3B | 24 | 87 | 17 | 0.195 | 5 | 13 | 0.336 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.195 | 0.332 | 0.450 | OK |
| Colson Montgomery | SS | 25 | 89 | 21 | 0.236 | 7 | 18 | 0.333 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.271 | 0.356 | 0.641 | OK |
| Edgar Quero | C | 17 | 56 | 9 | 0.161 | 0 | 4 | 0.262 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.147 | 0.286 | 0.172 | OK |
| Sam Antonacci | LF | 8 | 27 | 5 | 0.185 | 1 | 3 | 0.290 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.500 | 0.185 | 0.273 | 0.370 | OK |
| Luisangel Acuña | CF | 20 | 63 | 12 | 0.190 | 0 | 3 | 0.235 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.166 | 0.214 | 0.188 | OK |
| Tristan Peters | RF | 16 | 42 | 9 | 0.214 | 0 | 1 | 0.267 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.178 | 0.227 | 0.195 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0.273 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Miles Mikolas | Starter | 5 | 19.2 | 9.38 | 2.031 | 7.0 | 15 | 5.0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 109 | 4.0 | 2 | 3 |
| Clayton Beeter | Middle Reliever | 10 | 9.4 | 3.83 | 1.383 | 8.6 | 9 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 |
| Gus Varland | Middle Reliever | 10 | 7.7 | 4.68 | 1.948 | 12.9 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Bryan Hudson | Starter | 11 | 8.8 | 2.05 | 1.932 | 14.3 | 14 | 5.0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 94 | 4.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | Middle Reliever | 2 | 1.1 | 16.36 | 3.636 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Leasure | Middle Reliever | 8 | 8.3 | 4.34 | 1.084 | 9.8 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0.667 | 2 | 0 |
| Jordan Hicks | Middle Reliever | 2 | 0.3 | 90.00 | 20.000 | 30.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
CHW wins 5-1