MLB Predictions — April 22, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ WAS	7 - 4	7 - 3	ATL wins 7-3	77%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ KC	5 - 3	9 - 4	BAL wins 9-4	73%	enhanced_ml
CHW @ ARI	3 - 4	3 - 4	ARI wins 4-3 (Extra Innings - 10)	66%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ TB	6 - 4	5 - 2	CIN wins 5-2	75%	enhanced_ml
HOU @ CLE	4 - 5	3 - 4	CLE wins 4-3	76%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ SF	5 - 3	2 - 1	LAD wins 2-1	68%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ DET	4 - 5	1 - 4	DET wins 4-1	72%	enhanced_ml
MIN @ NYM	5 - 2	6 - 3	MIN wins 6-3	88%	enhanced_ml
NYY @ BOS	4 - 2	6 - 2	NYY wins 6-2	66%	enhanced_ml
OAK @ SEA	5 - 4	3 - 0	OAK wins 3-0	75%	enhanced_ml
PHI @ CHC	3 - 7	5 - 6	CHC wins 6-5	85%	enhanced_ml
PIT @ TEX	5 - 6	3 - 6	TEX wins 6-3	65%	enhanced_ml
SD @ COL	6 - 1	7 - 4	SD wins 7-4	88%	enhanced_ml
STL @ MIA	5 - 3	4 - 2	STL wins 4-2	80%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ LAA	4 - 5	1 - 4	LAA wins 4-1	64%	enhanced_ml

Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals

ATL 16-8 (5.62 RPG / 3.33 RA)

7 - 3

WAS 11-13 (5.67 RPG / 6.12 RA)

ATL WINS Target: ATL 7 - 4 WAS Confidence: 76.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	2	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	7	9
WAS	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	7

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	24	91	22	0.242	1	5	0.352	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.280	0.404	0.483	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	24	100	31	0.310	6	22	0.378	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.263	0.337	0.457	OK
Matt Olson	1B	24	94	25	0.266	6	19	0.352	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.271	0.362	0.483	OK
Austin Riley	3B	24	91	21	0.231	3	16	0.320	4	1	2	1	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.306	0.401	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	24	93	26	0.280	4	11	0.333	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.308	0.367	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	21	77	22	0.286	4	11	0.321	4	2	2	1	0	0	0.500	0.249	0.268	0.410	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	22	80	25	0.312	2	14	0.360	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.292	0.338	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	22	71	15	0.211	0	5	0.300	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.332	0.396	OK
Jonah Heim	C	8	27	6	0.222	0	2	0.300	4	2	0	1	0	0	0.500	0.214	0.274	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	7	7	3	6	0.250

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	24	95	23	0.242	8	19	0.390	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.243	0.321	0.438	OK
Luis Garcia	1B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333
Brady House	3B	22	87	21	0.241	2	9	0.290	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.236	0.262	0.330	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	23	81	24	0.296	6	19	0.420	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.262	0.331	0.450	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	23	98	27	0.276	2	10	0.330	4	1	0	2	0	0	0.250	0.342	0.385	0.587	OK
Jacob Young	CF	20	71	18	0.254	2	12	0.293	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.295	0.306	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	17	43	13	0.302	0	2	0.415	3	0	0	1	1	1	0.000	0.268	0.389	0.325	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.297	0.297	0.422
Keibert Ruiz	C	14	41	9	0.220	1	9	0.250	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.273	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	3	10	0.206

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Didier Fuentes	Starter	1	4.0	2.25	0.750	9.0	4	5.0	5	3	3	3	6	111	4.0	3	1
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	0.98	0.870	10.8	11	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	23	1.0	2	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	11	9.3	0.97	0.753	8.7	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	9	1.1	2	0
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	10	4.8	5.62	1.875	11.2	6	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	3	1

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Littell	Starter	4	19.0	7.11	1.737	6.6	14	4.0	7	5	5	1	3	88	5.1	3	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	10	9.4	3.83	1.383	8.6	9	3.0	1	2	2	2	1	57	0.5	1	0
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	9	7.5	3.60	1.600	12.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	0.5	1	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	14	10.1	6.24	1.980	7.1	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 7-3

Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals

BAL 12-13 (4.44 RPG / 4.6 RA)

9 - 4

KC 8-17 (3.52 RPG / 4.92 RA)

BAL WINS Target: BAL 5 - 3 KC Confidence: 73.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	0	0	9	8
KC	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	24	101	20	0.198	7	15	0.281	5	3	2	1	0	0	0.600	0.265	0.340	0.427	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	24	96	27	0.281	1	11	0.386	3	0	2	0	2	3	0.000	0.227	0.319	0.473	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	11	38	12	0.316	1	5	0.395	5	1	1	3	0	2	0.200	0.231	0.316	0.386	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	24	90	19	0.211	2	8	0.324	5	2	1	4	0	2	0.400	0.272	0.347	0.524	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	17	60	10	0.167	3	6	0.275	3	1	0	1	0	0	0.333	0.166	0.250	0.325	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	21	74	22	0.297	5	17	0.321	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.320	0.435	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	18	57	12	0.211	1	7	0.292	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.348	0.359	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	18	48	15	0.312	2	13	0.421	3	1	2	0	1	1	0.333	0.274	0.333	0.411	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	17	54	10	0.185	0	1	0.254	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.199	0.283	0.282	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	8	9	9	5	11	0.235

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	24	95	26	0.274	2	10	0.346	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.263	0.336	0.418	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	24	90	26	0.289	0	10	0.371	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.296	0.353	0.499	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	24	91	13	0.143	2	11	0.229	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.262	0.320	0.543	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	23	89	16	0.180	3	6	0.221	4	1	0	2	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.262	0.420	OK
Carter Jensen	C	21	66	17	0.258	5	12	0.333	4	0	0	1	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.361	0.532	OK
Michael Massey	2B	11	29	6	0.207	1	4	0.226	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.266	0.327	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	21	71	18	0.254	1	2	0.329	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.141	0.236	0.294	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	16	41	8	0.195	0	1	0.327	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.177	0.295	0.246	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	20	58	16	0.276	2	6	0.333	4	2	2	0	0	1	0.500	0.258	0.305	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	1	11	0.229

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Bassitt	Starter	4	15.3	6.47	2.222	4.1	7	6.0	5	1	1	0	5	88	4.2	7	3
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	11	9.2	2.93	1.522	14.7	15	2.0	3	3	3	0	4	37	0.5	0	0
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	11	7.2	3.75	1.667	20.0	16	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	23	0.5	1	1

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	4	27.0	1.00	0.778	7.7	23	3.0	4	4	4	2	3	59	5.0	4	1
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	10	8.4	6.43	1.905	5.4	5	3.0	3	5	5	2	3	59	1.0	3	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	5.49	1.463	11.0	10	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	37	1.0	2	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	8	8.3	1.08	0.602	13.0	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15	1.1	2	1

Game Summary

BAL wins 9-4

Chicago White Sox @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CHW 9-14 (4.04 RPG / 5.13 RA)

3 - 4

ARI 13-10 (4.52 RPG / 4.91 RA)

ARI WINS Target: CHW 3 - 4 ARI Confidence: 66.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
CHW	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	11
ARI	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	11

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-2

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	21	79	20	0.253	1	2	0.344	5	1	0	0	1	2	0.200	0.230	0.299	0.303	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	22	79	14	0.177	4	11	0.320	5	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.339	0.405	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	23	77	18	0.234	9	17	0.394	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.234	0.394	0.584	OK
Everson Pereira	DH	11	40	11	0.275	3	6	0.348	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.190	0.269	0.381	OK
Edgar Quero	C	16	53	9	0.170	0	3	0.250	3	1	0	1	1	1	0.333	0.267	0.324	0.367	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	23	80	17	0.212	6	16	0.323	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.238	0.315	0.545	OK
Tanner Murray	LF	9	22	5	0.227	1	2	0.292	4	2	0	1	1	0	0.500	0.248	0.304	0.409	OK
Derek Hill	RF	13	27	7	0.259	1	1	0.286	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.224	0.294	0.335	OK
Luisangel Acuña	CF	19	61	12	0.197	0	3	0.242	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.215	0.267	0.243	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	11	3	3	5	12	0.268

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	21	87	19	0.218	4	9	0.277	5	2	0	1	1	0	0.400	0.281	0.358	0.500	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	21	73	21	0.288	3	16	0.391	4	0	1	0	2	2	0.000	0.259	0.346	0.518	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	22	73	17	0.233	1	5	0.341	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.319	0.421	0.507	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	21	76	17	0.224	3	11	0.241	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.235	0.282	0.375	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	DH	3	11	1	0.091	0	1	0.167	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.243	0.291	0.409	OK
Jose Fernandez	1B	17	64	19	0.297	2	9	0.297	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.297	0.297	0.422	OK
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.188	0.260	0.271	OK
Jorge Barrosa	CF	15	50	12	0.240	1	6	0.283	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.182	0.215	0.331	OK
James McCann	C	11	32	8	0.250	0	4	0.273	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.258	0.314	0.413	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	11	4	4	5	6	0.275

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	4	15.7	2.87	1.401	6.9	12	5.0	4	3	3	3	2	93	4.2	2	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	2.0	4	0	0	1	1	43	0.5	1	0
Jordan Leasure	Middle Reliever	8	8.3	4.34	1.084	9.8	9	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	25	0.5	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	2	0.3	90.00	20.000	30.0	1	2.0	2	1	1	0	1	29	0.5	1	1

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	4	23.0	1.96	1.217	5.5	14	5.0	7	2	2	5	8	124	5.1	7	4
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.0	2	0	0	0	0	33	1.1	2	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0.5	1	0
Ryan Thompson	Middle Reliever	2	2.0	0.00	0.000	4.5	1	2.0	2	1	1	0	4	32	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-3 (Extra Innings - 10)

Cincinnati Reds @ Tampa Bay Rays

CIN 16-9 (3.88 RPG / 3.96 RA)

5 - 2

TB 13-11 (4.83 RPG / 5.33 RA)

CIN WINS Target: CIN 6 - 4 TB Confidence: 74.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	5	9
TB	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	8

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff20

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
TJ Friedl	CF	21	83	13	0.157	0	4	0.263	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.226	0.349	0.316	OK
Matt McLain	2B	22	86	17	0.198	0	4	0.324	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.303	0.347	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	24	98	27	0.276	8	18	0.343	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.257	0.332	0.424	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	24	87	26	0.299	8	24	0.394	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.256	0.326	0.544	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	24	87	21	0.241	3	11	0.312	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.227	0.293	0.507	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	11	26	6	0.231	0	5	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.228	0.305	0.380	OK
Spencer Steer	LF	22	74	16	0.216	4	6	0.289	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.228	0.332	0.450	OK
Will Benson	RF	14	32	6	0.188	0	1	0.257	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.208	0.250	0.360	OK
P.J. Higgins	C	3	8	2	0.250	0	0	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.304	0.409	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	5	5	1	15	0.250

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	23	90	29	0.322	3	17	0.413	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.327	0.405	0.525	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	23	83	19	0.229	4	19	0.356	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.315	0.386	0.466	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	23	92	24	0.261	5	10	0.349	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.314	0.537	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	12	26	6	0.231	0	2	0.259	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.276	0.282	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	16	47	14	0.298	2	13	0.327	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.317	0.343	0.481	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	19	58	14	0.241	0	6	0.312	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.248	0.305	0.310	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	23	93	30	0.323	0	4	0.351	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.300	0.330	0.349	OK
Nick Fortes	C	18	59	18	0.305	1	7	0.349	3	1	0	1	0	1	0.333	0.245	0.307	0.365	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	13	45	9	0.200	0	4	0.265	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.283	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	8	2	2	1	9	0.235

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Williamson	Starter	4	19.5	4.62	1.436	5.5	12	6.0	3	1	1	0	7	91	5.1	3	1
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	11	11.1	4.86	1.261	8.1	10	2.0	3	0	0	1	1	41	1.2	2	0
Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	13	11.9	2.27	1.765	10.6	14	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.2	3	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	4	21.3	2.54	1.268	5.9	14	6.0	6	2	2	1	10	112	6.1	5	5
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	9	8.1	4.44	1.235	10.0	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.5	1	1
Griffin Jax	Middle Reliever	10	6.9	6.52	1.884	13.0	10	1.0	3	3	3	0	2	28	0.5	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	9	7.7	7.01	1.169	10.5	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 5-2

Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians

HOU 10-16 (5.27 RPG / 5.77 RA)

3 - 4

CLE 14-12 (4.04 RPG / 4.27 RA)

CLE WINS Target: HOU 4 - 5 CLE Confidence: 75.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	9
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	x	4	10

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Correa	SS	22	84	24	0.286	1	13	0.371	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.294	0.356	0.432	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	25	91	30	0.330	10	24	0.456	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.293	0.399	0.543	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	24	94	25	0.266	3	8	0.367	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.300	0.404	OK
Christian Walker	1B	25	88	23	0.261	5	18	0.353	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.298	0.423	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	20	71	16	0.225	2	10	0.337	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.352	0.432	OK
Cam Smith	RF	25	84	21	0.250	3	11	0.337	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.316	0.368	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	18	71	14	0.197	1	10	0.224	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.264	0.288	0.423	OK
Dustin Harris	CF	3	6	0	0.000	0	0	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.299	0.310
Brice Matthews	LF	14	34	6	0.176	1	5	0.243	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.171	0.241	0.408	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	3	3	1	5	0.250

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	24	94	21	0.223	1	8	0.308	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.295	0.326	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	21	77	17	0.221	5	15	0.315	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.320	0.482	OK
José Ramírez	DH	25	90	21	0.233	6	12	0.367	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.282	0.362	0.498	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	21	70	14	0.200	1	5	0.282	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.321	0.457	OK
George Valera	LF	7	22	6	0.273	0	4	0.304	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.321	0.443	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	19	55	17	0.309	2	11	0.387	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.141	0.197	0.268	OK
Juan Brito	2B	12	41	7	0.171	0	3	0.244	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.171	0.244	0.244	OK
Bo Naylor	C	16	51	7	0.137	1	3	0.185	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.186	0.269	0.360	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	24	74	21	0.284	3	15	0.384	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.310	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	4	4	4	9	0.294

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	1	5.0	7.20	1.600	14.4	8	5.0	3	1	1	2	5	85	4.0	9	5
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	9	6.4	16.88	3.438	16.9	12	2.0	5	2	2	1	3	56	0.5	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	9	8.8	5.11	1.818	12.3	12	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	29	1.1	2	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	5	23.4	5.00	1.581	8.8	23	5.0	2	0	0	1	2	76	5.1	5	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	12	12.0	4.50	1.417	11.2	15	2.0	2	0	0	0	2	31	1.2	1	1
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	11	8.8	2.05	1.477	13.3	13	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	19	0.5	1	0
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	9	3.8	0.00	2.632	7.1	3	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	23	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants

LAD 16-7 (5.83 RPG / 3.43 RA)

2 - 1

SF 10-13 (3.39 RPG / 4.22 RA)

LAD WINS Target: LAD 5 - 3 SF Confidence: 67.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
SF	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff20

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	22	85	23	0.271	5	11	0.396	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.279	0.402	0.654	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	22	86	21	0.244	3	13	0.333	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.373	0.452	OK
Will Smith	C	20	72	20	0.278	2	11	0.329	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.276	0.374	0.473	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	21	83	24	0.289	3	14	0.366	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.289	0.366	0.494	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	20	74	20	0.270	4	13	0.321	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.284	0.444	OK
Max Muncy	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.275	0.397
Andy Pages	CF	23	82	30	0.366	5	21	0.411	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.204	0.238	0.367	OK
Hyeseong Kim	SS	11	27	9	0.333	1	4	0.441	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.283	0.328	0.400	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	12	35	13	0.371	1	3	0.378	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.277	0.323	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	2	2	3	6	0.206

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willy Adames	SS	23	93	23	0.247	3	6	0.293	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.223	0.316	0.417	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	22	86	26	0.302	0	6	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.287	0.321	0.382	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	23	91	26	0.286	1	12	0.337	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.240	0.340	0.422	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	23	93	21	0.226	2	9	0.265	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.346	0.457	OK
Casey Schmitt	DH	18	67	20	0.299	2	8	0.342	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.280	0.397	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	23	81	21	0.259	1	9	0.311	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.298	0.353	0.424	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	22	81	21	0.259	2	13	0.302	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.298	0.334	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	6	19	5	0.263	1	2	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.262	0.361	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	18	55	8	0.145	0	1	0.217	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.213	0.270	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	1	1	2	5	0.182

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shohei Ohtani	Starter	3	18.0	0.50	0.722	9.0	18	6.0	5	1	1	2	4	106	4.0	3	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	11	9.2	0.98	0.652	8.8	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0.5	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	10	8.2	0.00	0.610	11.0	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	0.5	1	0
Jack Dreyer	Middle Reliever	9	8.4	2.14	0.952	11.8	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	0.5	1	1

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	4	18.2	7.42	1.978	10.4	21	5.0	5	2	2	1	3	84	5.2	3	3
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	10	8.6	4.19	1.628	12.6	12	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	28	1.2	2	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	9	6.6	5.45	1.970	17.7	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	3	0
Matt Gage	Middle Reliever	11	7.9	2.28	1.266	8.0	7	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	26	0.5	1	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 2-1

Milwaukee Brewers @ Detroit Tigers

MIL 13-9 (5.36 RPG / 4.14 RA)

1 - 4

DET 12-12 (4.33 RPG / 3.96 RA)

DET WINS Target: MIL 4 - 5 DET Confidence: 72.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7
DET	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	x	4	8

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	20	75	23	0.307	4	18	0.430	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.280	0.351	0.423	OK
William Contreras	C	20	78	24	0.308	2	13	0.393	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.343	0.442	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	21	72	17	0.236	5	14	0.304	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.383	0.429	OK
Gary Sánchez	DH	16	47	11	0.234	5	12	0.410	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.233	0.370	0.539	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	18	55	15	0.273	1	18	0.420	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.358	0.358	OK
Brandon Lockridge	LF	18	55	14	0.255	0	6	0.328	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.234	0.291	0.311	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	20	71	14	0.197	1	5	0.305	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.332	0.389	OK
David Hamilton	3B	17	50	12	0.240	0	3	0.377	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.212	0.303	0.299	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	16	52	10	0.192	0	4	0.263	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.277	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	1	1	1	8	0.206

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	23	87	28	0.322	1	10	0.410	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.322	0.410	0.494	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	23	86	21	0.244	1	7	0.371	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.256	0.358	0.383	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	11	23	5	0.217	1	3	0.217	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.299	0.395	0.569	OK
Riley Greene	LF	24	83	22	0.265	1	14	0.378	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.270	0.414	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	23	70	13	0.186	0	6	0.337	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.240	0.326	0.403	OK
Wenceel Pérez	CF	10	28	2	0.071	1	1	0.133	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.225	0.287	0.399	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	21	60	13	0.217	4	12	0.329	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.312	0.457	OK
Javier Báez	SS	18	61	17	0.279	1	5	0.308	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.247	0.345	OK
Jake Rogers	C	7	21	3	0.143	0	4	0.167	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.186	0.265	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	4	4	3	9	0.250

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
DL Hall	Starter	10	7.8	3.46	2.051	13.8	12	5.0	5	4	4	2	5	95	4.0	2	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	4.50	1.375	11.2	10	2.0	2	0	0	0	3	33	0.5	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	10	7.6	4.74	1.447	10.7	9	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	25	0.5	1	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	4	21.5	2.93	1.256	10.5	25	6.0	3	0	0	1	6	89	4.2	4	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	7	5.2	1.73	0.962	12.1	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.5	1	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	10	7.6	5.92	1.579	13.0	11	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	23	0.5	1	1
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	10	7.9	4.56	1.899	9.1	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-1

Minnesota Twins @ New York Mets

MIN 12-11 (5.09 RPG / 4.48 RA)

6 - 3

NYM 7-16 (3.26 RPG / 4.43 RA)

MIN WINS Target: MIN 5 - 2 NYM Confidence: 88.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	6	9
NYM	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	6

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.000

Avg Runs1.9

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-34

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	21	86	20	0.233	4	6	0.295	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.260	0.322	0.533	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	15	38	10	0.263	1	7	0.429	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.251	0.340	0.369	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	23	90	20	0.222	1	12	0.268	4	1	0	1	1	1	0.250	0.276	0.345	0.393	OK
Matt Wallner	RF	21	75	14	0.187	3	7	0.282	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.187	0.293	0.454	OK
Josh Bell	DH	23	79	20	0.253	3	15	0.348	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.237	0.319	0.404	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	16	57	15	0.263	2	12	0.373	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.263	0.351	0.391	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	14	42	7	0.167	2	3	0.271	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.193	0.251	0.363	OK
Royce Lewis	3B	13	40	8	0.200	2	8	0.347	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.233	0.291	0.388	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	20	68	14	0.206	3	12	0.270	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.282	0.366	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	6	6	5	9	0.250

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	23	91	19	0.209	2	4	0.301	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.266	0.345	0.467	OK
Juan Soto	LF	8	31	11	0.355	1	5	0.412	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.396	0.524	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	23	96	21	0.219	1	9	0.255	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.299	0.346	0.461	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	21	74	18	0.243	2	7	0.349	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.306	0.362	OK
Mark Vientos	DH	18	56	13	0.232	2	6	0.267	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.307	0.487	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	23	80	18	0.225	1	8	0.292	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.303	0.355	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	20	60	15	0.250	4	5	0.357	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.255	0.343	0.451	OK
Brett Baty	1B	20	67	14	0.209	0	7	0.214	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.297	0.357	0.466	OK
Tyrone Taylor	RF	13	30	6	0.200	1	6	0.226	3	2	1	2	0	1	0.667	0.209	0.252	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	3	3	2	8	0.182

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	6.0	4	3	3	1	6	99	7.644	5	3
Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	10	9.4	3.83	1.383	9.6	10	2.0	2	0	0	0	2	27	0.667	2	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	10	7.8	11.54	1.795	11.5	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	0.667	1	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Clay Holmes	Starter	4	22.3	2.02	1.121	6.5	16	5.0	7	5	5	4	5	113	5.1	7	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	7	6.1	7.38	2.131	16.2	11	2.0	0	0	0	0	3	27	1.1	1	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	9	7.5	7.20	1.200	4.8	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	3	1
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever	4	3.2	0.00	1.250	8.4	3	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	30	0.667	2	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-3

New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox

NYY 14-9 (4.96 RPG / 3.57 RA)

6 - 2

BOS 9-14 (3.87 RPG / 4.61 RA)

NYY WINS Target: NYY 4 - 2 BOS Confidence: 66.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	6	9
BOS	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	6

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	1B	21	69	22	0.319	8	17	0.466	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.291	0.349	0.550	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	23	85	20	0.235	9	16	0.343	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.376	0.522	0.730	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	22	79	22	0.278	3	11	0.385	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.265	0.348	0.426	OK
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	21	79	20	0.253	3	13	0.306	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.259	0.339	0.564	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	21	66	11	0.167	3	14	0.321	5	3	2	4	0	2	0.600	0.227	0.339	0.450	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	16	48	12	0.250	3	9	0.302	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.287	0.317	0.462	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	22	77	14	0.182	0	3	0.276	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.323	0.461	OK
José Caballero	SS	22	77	18	0.234	1	8	0.280	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.366	0.389	OK
Austin Wells	C	19	54	10	0.185	1	2	0.338	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.216	0.283	0.407	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	6	6	5	9	0.250

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	LF	22	80	18	0.225	1	4	0.361	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.320	0.418	0.508	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	11	28	6	0.214	0	3	0.290	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.305	0.366	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	22	77	21	0.273	4	12	0.398	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.259	0.352	0.448	OK
Trevor Story	DH	23	95	18	0.189	2	17	0.225	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.308	0.434	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	22	85	24	0.282	3	11	0.337	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.318	0.461	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	21	66	19	0.288	1	7	0.373	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.294	0.406	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	21	71	11	0.155	0	7	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.331	0.374	OK
Connor Wong	C	9	24	8	0.333	0	2	0.385	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.277	0.271	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	10	25	5	0.200	0	2	0.259	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.251	0.284	0.318	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	2	2	1	4	0.182

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Fried	Starter	5	32.4	3.06	0.833	6.4	23	5.0	4	1	1	1	3	87	5.1	6	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	3.91	1.848	12.7	13	2.0	2	1	1	0	0	28	0.5	1	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	10	6.7	9.40	1.493	10.7	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.1	2	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	14	9.9	1.82	1.818	12.7	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	2.2	2	2

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	4	22.1	3.26	1.086	6.1	15	5.0	6	4	4	3	4	95	4.0	0	0
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	8	7.2	1.25	1.111	10.0	8	2.0	3	2	2	1	2	39	1.0	3	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	9	9.0	2.00	1.111	12.0	12	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.2	3	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	10	7.7	5.84	1.299	16.4	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-2

Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners

OAK 13-12 (4.24 RPG / 4.84 RA)

3 - 0

SEA 11-15 (3.88 RPG / 3.81 RA)

OAK WINS Target: OAK 5 - 4 SEA Confidence: 75.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	3	9
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	23	79	18	0.228	3	10	0.419	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.281	0.390	0.581	OK
Shea Langeliers	DH	23	93	29	0.312	8	14	0.379	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.334	0.549	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	18	47	15	0.319	2	7	0.396	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.312	0.349	0.539	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	24	93	21	0.226	2	16	0.314	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.326	0.389	0.505	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	23	100	27	0.270	2	12	0.277	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.304	0.342	0.432	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	22	72	20	0.278	1	5	0.354	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.256	0.345	0.414	OK
Max Muncy	3B	23	84	22	0.262	2	7	0.312	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.228	0.275	0.397	OK
Lawrence Butler	CF	23	75	15	0.200	2	9	0.277	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.293	0.362	OK
Austin Wynns	C	7	20	2	0.100	0	0	0.182	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.298	0.472	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	3	3	1	7	0.250

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	17	55	10	0.182	1	6	0.348	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.300	0.348	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	25	96	17	0.177	4	13	0.266	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.365	0.607	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	25	93	22	0.237	1	7	0.336	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.319	0.471	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	23	88	15	0.170	2	9	0.253	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.302	0.360	0.476	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	25	90	25	0.278	2	9	0.381	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.335	0.417	OK
Luke Raley	DH	23	71	21	0.296	5	13	0.351	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.189	0.298	0.287	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	20	52	14	0.269	3	10	0.328	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.288	0.342	0.450	OK
Cole Young	2B	25	86	21	0.244	2	11	0.337	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.218	0.306	0.307	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	19	56	8	0.143	0	5	0.279	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.201	0.347	0.270	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	0	0	1	5	0.156

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Civale	Starter	4	19.4	3.71	1.392	7.4	16	5.0	4	0	0	0	4	72	4.2	5	2
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	11	7.8	9.23	2.564	11.5	10	3.0	0	0	0	1	0	38	0.5	1	1
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	10	8.9	1.01	1.124	11.1	11	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	0.5	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	5	28.3	4.13	1.201	10.2	32	6.0	8	3	3	1	5	97	4.0	7	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	9	7.3	8.63	1.781	17.3	14	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	32	0.5	1	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	11	8.7	2.07	1.494	9.3	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 3-0

Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs

PHI 8-15 (3.48 RPG / 5.43 RA)

5 - 6

CHC 14-9 (5.39 RPG / 3.78 RA)

CHC WINS Target: PHI 3 - 7 CHC Confidence: 85.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	1	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	5	6
CHC	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6	11

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-29

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.8

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff27

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	LF	23	83	18	0.217	8	15	0.363	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.228	0.341	0.596	OK
Trea Turner	SS	23	94	22	0.234	2	7	0.294	3	1	1	0	2	2	0.333	0.304	0.354	0.456	OK
Bryce Harper	DH	23	84	23	0.274	5	13	0.365	4	1	0	1	1	1	0.250	0.262	0.357	0.488	OK
Felix Reyes	1B	2	7	2	0.286	1	1	0.286	3	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.242	0.306	0.390	OK
Adolis García	RF	23	81	17	0.210	2	5	0.301	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.224	0.275	0.386	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	22	78	10	0.128	1	11	0.205	3	1	0	1	0	0	0.333	0.292	0.361	0.411	OK
Edmundo Sosa	2B	11	32	7	0.219	1	5	0.242	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.286	0.307	0.551	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	20	60	17	0.283	0	2	0.377	4	1	0	2	0	1	0.250	0.283	0.377	0.400	OK
Rafael Marchán	C	9	31	2	0.065	1	2	0.094	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.242	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	6	5	5	8	8	0.188

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	23	92	30	0.326	4	22	0.402	5	4	1	3	0	0	0.800	0.322	0.365	0.430	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	23	94	23	0.245	2	9	0.327	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.268	0.356	0.439	OK
Ian Happ	LF	21	82	20	0.244	6	11	0.367	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.239	0.341	0.421	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	11	39	10	0.256	1	4	0.396	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.237	0.347	0.430	OK
Michael Busch	1B	22	81	14	0.173	0	5	0.269	3	1	1	1	2	2	0.333	0.265	0.347	0.536	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	23	75	14	0.187	5	15	0.337	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.299	0.413	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	19	45	17	0.378	3	10	0.420	3	1	2	0	1	0	0.333	0.324	0.400	0.514	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	11	37	9	0.243	1	4	0.317	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.329	0.459	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	23	89	20	0.225	1	5	0.281	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.286	0.474	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	11	6	6	4	10	0.297

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Backhus	Starter	7	4.8	7.50	1.667	16.9	9	6.0	6	4	4	3	6	119	4.0	1	1
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	10	8.4	4.29	1.310	9.6	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	25	1.1	2	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	11	5.7	12.63	2.807	15.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	2	0
Tanner Banks	Middle Reliever	9	9.2	5.87	2.065	10.8	11	0.2	5	2	2	0	1	27	0.5	1	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	2	8.4	7.50	1.310	18.2	17	6.0	5	4	4	5	5	126	5.2	4	3
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	7	16.2	2.78	1.111	8.3	15	2.0	1	1	1	2	2	39	3.0	3	2
Luke Little	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	9.0	1	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-5

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Texas Rangers

PIT 13-10 (4.96 RPG / 4.04 RA)

3 - 6

TEX 12-11 (4.22 RPG / 3.61 RA)

TEX WINS Target: PIT 5 - 6 TEX Confidence: 64.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	8
TEX	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	1	x	6	10

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	23	93	27	0.290	6	19	0.359	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.215	0.308	0.404	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	19	75	20	0.267	7	18	0.375	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.258	0.317	0.493	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	23	82	21	0.256	3	15	0.386	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.272	0.372	0.456	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	18	73	13	0.178	2	7	0.241	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.353	0.417	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	20	74	24	0.324	4	16	0.402	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.290	0.375	0.447	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	19	70	19	0.271	0	11	0.301	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.267	0.292	0.339	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	20	55	14	0.255	2	5	0.382	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.357	0.430	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	16	58	12	0.207	0	8	0.277	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.277	0.276	OK
Henry Davis	C	14	46	8	0.174	0	3	0.269	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.168	0.242	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	3	3	1	11	0.229

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	23	95	28	0.295	4	11	0.368	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.260	0.319	0.429	OK
Corey Seager	SS	22	79	16	0.203	5	13	0.323	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.259	0.364	0.477	OK
Jake Burger	1B	23	92	23	0.250	5	17	0.278	5	1	0	1	0	0	0.200	0.239	0.271	0.426	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	21	51	12	0.235	1	3	0.355	2	0	0	1	2	1	0.000	0.205	0.308	0.379	OK
Josh Jung	3B	20	72	21	0.292	2	9	0.350	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.301	0.403	OK
Evan Carter	CF	22	66	13	0.197	2	7	0.316	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.232	0.331	0.378	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	9	29	7	0.241	1	3	0.353	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.296	0.398	OK
Josh Smith	2B	21	67	13	0.194	0	6	0.295	3	1	2	0	1	0	0.333	0.207	0.304	0.285	OK
Ezequiel Duran	LF	16	47	14	0.298	1	8	0.353	3	2	2	0	0	0	0.667	0.243	0.270	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	6	6	4	5	0.294

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	4	22.2	2.43	1.081	10.9	27	6.0	8	5	5	3	3	128	4.0	5	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	0.80	0.714	12.9	16	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	3	0
Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	13	12.5	1.44	1.440	7.2	10	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	15	1.2	2	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Leiter	Starter	4	19.4	5.10	1.546	11.1	24	6.0	5	2	2	1	7	92	4.1	4	2
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	10	11.1	2.43	0.901	4.9	6	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	16	0.5	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	11	9.5	2.84	1.368	11.4	12	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	2	1
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	11	9.7	0.93	1.443	9.3	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

TEX wins 6-3

San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies

SD 16-7 (4.22 RPG / 3.43 RA)

7 - 4

COL 9-15 (3.83 RPG / 4.67 RA)

SD WINS Target: SD 6 - 1 COL Confidence: 88.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	2	0	0	5	0	0	0	7	10
COL	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	4	5

SD Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-23

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ramón Laureano	LF	21	81	21	0.259	4	15	0.315	5	2	2	4	1	1	0.400	0.278	0.338	0.508	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	22	83	22	0.265	0	11	0.351	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.265	0.374	0.419	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	22	89	19	0.213	3	13	0.271	4	2	0	1	1	1	0.500	0.257	0.311	0.452	OK
Manny Machado	3B	22	73	13	0.178	2	11	0.326	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.333	0.459	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	22	83	22	0.265	3	14	0.337	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.265	0.330	0.392	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	21	69	16	0.232	2	6	0.274	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.236	0.309	0.397	OK
Nick Castellanos	1B	15	44	7	0.159	0	5	0.213	4	0	1	0	1	3	0.000	0.234	0.275	0.375	OK
Luis Campusano	C	12	32	9	0.281	1	6	0.343	2	1	2	0	3	0	0.500	0.170	0.290	0.302	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	22	71	11	0.155	1	3	0.268	3	0	0	1	1	0	0.000	0.241	0.382	0.335	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	10	7	7	8	7	0.278

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	19	58	15	0.259	1	8	0.338	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.239	0.328	0.334	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	17	59	16	0.271	6	12	0.302	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.271	0.289	0.493	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	23	83	20	0.241	5	8	0.315	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.276	0.320	0.549	OK
Tyler Freeman	DH	11	34	10	0.294	0	5	0.385	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.314	0.300	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	24	82	20	0.244	3	11	0.300	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.300	0.390	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	20	69	21	0.304	2	10	0.342	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.296	0.352	0.461	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	24	63	13	0.206	1	3	0.346	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.321	0.280	OK
Willi Castro	SS	19	65	15	0.231	1	8	0.286	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.321	0.384	OK
Jake McCarthy	CF	14	41	8	0.195	0	3	0.267	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.201	0.261	0.334	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	4	4	2	8	0.156

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	4	17.2	4.71	1.279	9.4	18	6.0	2	3	3	1	5	97	5.2	5	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	11	11.1	0.00	0.360	21.9	27	2.0	2	0	0	0	3	34	0.5	1	0
David Morgan	Middle Reliever	8	9.6	1.88	1.771	10.3	11	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	22	0.5	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	4	20.2	4.01	1.188	6.7	15	4.0	4	2	2	2	5	92	5.2	3	2
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	9	10.0	3.60	1.800	5.4	6	3.0	5	5	5	3	1	69	0.5	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	11	10.6	1.70	0.943	9.3	11	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	16	0.5	1	1
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	10	6.1	1.48	1.803	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	24	1.2	3	1

Game Summary

SD wins 7-4

St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins

STL 14-10 (4.67 RPG / 5.12 RA)

4 - 2

MIA 12-13 (4.48 RPG / 4.4 RA)

STL WINS Target: STL 5 - 3 MIA Confidence: 79.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	4	5
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	23	83	19	0.229	3	11	0.377	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.377	0.361	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	23	83	18	0.217	2	11	0.383	3	1	0	0	2	2	0.333	0.269	0.360	0.429	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	22	74	15	0.203	3	15	0.274	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.284	0.339	OK
Ramón Urías	1B	13	39	8	0.205	2	5	0.273	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.310	0.389	OK
José Fermin	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333
Nathan Church	RF	17	52	12	0.231	2	7	0.286	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.204	0.267	0.306	OK
Thomas Saggese	SS	14	47	9	0.191	0	2	0.255	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.310	0.350	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	14	46	9	0.196	1	5	0.255	4	1	1	4	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.270	0.356	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	21	58	12	0.207	0	4	0.266	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.215	0.300	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	4	4	7	7	0.156

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	24	91	16	0.176	1	5	0.303	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.257	0.344	0.413	OK
Xavier Edwards	DH	24	89	31	0.348	1	7	0.431	5	1	0	1	0	1	0.200	0.293	0.356	0.372	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	23	88	28	0.318	3	11	0.371	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.256	0.313	0.390	OK
Liam Hicks	1B	23	74	24	0.324	4	21	0.373	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.219	0.326	0.281	OK
Agustín Ramírez	C	23	85	18	0.212	2	11	0.284	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.220	0.283	0.377	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	17	52	8	0.154	0	9	0.267	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.240	0.335	0.415	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	21	67	15	0.224	2	13	0.260	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.265	0.383	OK
Leo Jiménez	2B	5	11	3	0.273	0	0	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.239	0.226	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	16	50	16	0.320	0	9	0.358	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.247	0.297	0.416	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	2	2	2	14	0.229

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	4	19.0	5.21	1.526	6.2	13	6.0	3	1	1	2	10	110	4.0	2	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	13	12.4	0.00	0.484	10.9	15	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	23	0.5	1	1
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	11	9.9	2.73	1.313	5.5	6	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	14	0.5	1	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	8	9.5	0.95	0.947	5.7	6	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	17	2.0	2	1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	4	21.3	4.65	1.362	6.3	15	6.0	4	4	4	5	5	113	6.1	4	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	7.88	1.125	13.5	12	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	24	0.5	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	10	6.6	5.45	2.121	16.4	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.5	1	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	8	9.2	3.91	1.087	7.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	2.0	3	1

Game Summary

STL wins 4-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels

TOR 10-14 (3.96 RPG / 5.0 RA)

1 - 4

LAA 12-14 (4.85 RPG / 4.46 RA)

LAA WINS Target: TOR 4 - 5 LAA Confidence: 64.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6
LAA	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	4	5

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	LF	17	46	10	0.217	0	7	0.260	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.310	0.386	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	23	95	29	0.305	0	5	0.312	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.336	0.361	0.466	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	DH	23	85	30	0.353	2	12	0.444	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.334	0.408	0.573	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	22	68	18	0.265	2	11	0.325	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.238	0.300	0.392	OK
Lenyn Sosa	1B	6	14	4	0.286	0	4	0.267	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.265	0.290	0.431	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	20	72	19	0.264	3	7	0.338	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.246	0.300	0.518	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	22	84	17	0.202	3	8	0.280	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.202	0.280	0.333	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	23	82	21	0.256	3	12	0.287	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.287	0.338	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	12	29	7	0.241	0	1	0.290	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.276	0.345	0.381	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	1	1	1	10	0.182

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	25	97	23	0.237	5	11	0.362	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.254	0.326	0.469	OK
Mike Trout	DH	24	85	20	0.235	7	16	0.409	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.358	0.398	OK
Jo Adell	LF	25	100	27	0.270	3	14	0.318	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.269	0.508	OK
Jorge Soler	RF	21	76	17	0.224	5	19	0.330	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.301	0.403	OK
Oswald Peraza	3B	19	65	19	0.292	4	8	0.352	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.179	0.232	0.251	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	22	88	20	0.227	2	14	0.300	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.259	0.345	0.380	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	6	16	4	0.250	0	1	0.429	1	1	1	0	2	0	1.000	0.248	0.304	0.409	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	22	68	13	0.191	1	8	0.317	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.267	0.354	OK
Bryce Teodosio	CF	8	21	2	0.095	0	1	0.136	3	2	1	1	0	1	0.667	0.189	0.234	0.277	OK
TEAM TOTALS									29	5	4	4	4	10	0.172

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eric Lauer	Starter	4	17.2	7.33	1.512	8.4	16	5.0	4	4	4	4	6	99	4.0	4	2
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	12	9.5	8.53	2.316	22.7	24	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	29	0.5	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	12	11.4	0.79	1.053	3.9	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	0.5	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	5	32.2	0.28	0.745	10.9	39	6.0	3	0	0	0	7	86	5.1	5	4
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	8	5.4	3.33	1.111	16.7	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	0.5	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	12	6.8	2.65	1.765	13.2	10	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	22	3.0	5	1
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	8	15.3	2.35	1.307	8.8	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 4-1

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals

ATL Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals

BAL Recent Form

KC Recent Form

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CHW Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Tampa Bay Rays

CIN Recent Form

TB Recent Form

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians

HOU Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants

LAD Recent Form

SF Recent Form

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Detroit Tigers

MIL Recent Form

DET Recent Form

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ New York Mets

MIN Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox

NYY Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners

OAK Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation