MLB Predictions — April 19, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ PHI	8 - 1	6 - 4	ATL wins 6-4	90%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ CLE	4 - 5	5 - 6	CLE wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml
CHW @ OAK	3 - 4	5 - 6	OAK wins 6-5	90%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ MIN	4 - 5	1 - 3	MIN wins 3-1	67%	enhanced_ml
DET @ BOS	5 - 3	5 - 2	DET wins 5-2	68%	enhanced_ml
KC @ NYY	3 - 5	3 - 6	NYY wins 6-3	74%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ COL	7 - 2	3 - 2	LAD wins 3-2	90%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ MIA	5 - 4	9 - 3	MIL wins 9-3	69%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ CHC	3 - 6	4 - 6	CHC wins 6-4	86%	enhanced_ml
SD @ LAA	6 - 4	1 - 2	LAA wins 2-1	85%	enhanced_ml
SF @ WAS	5 - 6	1 - 6	WAS wins 6-1	69%	enhanced_ml
STL @ HOU	6 - 5	5 - 4	STL wins 5-4	88%	enhanced_ml
TB @ PIT	5 - 4	3 - 2	TB wins 3-2	74%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ SEA	4 - 3	4 - 2	TEX wins 4-2	63%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ ARI	3 - 5	3 - 7	ARI wins 7-3	86%	enhanced_ml

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL 14-7 (5.62 RPG / 3.0 RA)

6 - 4

PHI 8-12 (3.65 RPG / 5.45 RA)

ATL WINS Target: ATL 8 - 1 PHI Confidence: 90.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	6	11
PHI	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4	5

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.7

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff32

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-32

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	21	81	20	0.247	1	5	0.347	5	2	0	0	0	3	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	21	88	28	0.318	5	19	0.375	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Matt Olson	1B	21	81	24	0.296	5	15	0.394	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Austin Riley	3B	21	80	20	0.250	3	14	0.326	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	21	82	23	0.280	4	9	0.333	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.500	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	19	62	13	0.210	0	5	0.310	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	16	47	17	0.362	4	16	0.380	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	20	73	23	0.315	2	14	0.359	4	2	2	2	1	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	18	66	17	0.258	3	8	0.290	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	11	6	6	5	9	0.289

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	20	81	21	0.259	2	7	0.310	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	20	71	15	0.211	6	12	0.364	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	20	74	20	0.270	4	11	0.357	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Adolis García	RF	20	70	15	0.214	2	5	0.309	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	18	64	18	0.281	2	11	0.309	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	19	69	10	0.145	1	10	0.211	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.750	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	15	54	11	0.204	0	3	0.271	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Rafael Marchán	C	7	23	1	0.043	1	2	0.083	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	-	-	-
Justin Crawford	CF	18	55	15	0.273	0	1	0.344	3	0	1	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	4	4	4	8	0.156

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	4	21.2	3.40	1.132	7.2	17	5.0	3	4	4	3	4	101	5.1	5	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	7	7.2	0.00	0.556	12.5	10	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	29	1.0	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	1.10	0.976	11.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	16	0.5	1	0
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	7	3.6	7.50	2.222	12.5	5	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	16	0.5	1	2

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	3	14.1	3.83	1.348	10.2	16	5.0	3	0	0	4	4	95	4.2	6	2
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	4.39	1.341	9.9	9	2.0	7	6	6	1	4	61	1.2	3	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	5	5.1	5.29	1.373	7.1	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.2	1	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	9	10.3	2.62	0.680	8.7	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-4

Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians

BAL 10-11 (4.14 RPG / 4.29 RA)

5 - 6

CLE 12-10 (3.95 RPG / 4.14 RA)

CLE WINS Target: BAL 4 - 5 CLE Confidence: 53.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	5	7
CLE	1	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	x	6	9

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	21	83	24	0.289	0	8	0.388	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	21	89	19	0.213	7	15	0.283	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	21	78	16	0.205	2	8	0.326	3	2	2	1	0	0	0.667	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Johnathan Rodríguez	RF	2	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.167	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	18	63	19	0.302	5	17	0.308	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	2	4	2	0.500	0	2	0.500	3	0	0	1	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	15	51	8	0.157	0	4	0.259	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Sam Huff	C	2	5	1	0.200	0	1	0.200	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Blaze Alexander	CF	14	44	10	0.227	0	1	0.292	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	7	5	5	1	10	0.212

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	21	83	20	0.241	1	7	0.315	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	18	61	17	0.279	2	9	0.333	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
José Ramírez	DH	22	79	17	0.215	4	10	0.347	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.500	1.333	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	16	49	10	0.204	1	5	0.339	4	2	0	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
David Fry	RF	12	26	5	0.192	0	0	0.300	3	0	0	1	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	17	51	16	0.314	2	11	0.352	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Juan Brito	2B	10	34	6	0.176	0	1	0.243	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Austin Hedges	C	7	24	7	0.292	0	2	0.333	3	1	2	1	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.500	1.333	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	21	63	14	0.222	3	11	0.338	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	6	6	5	4	0.273

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	4	23.2	3.10	1.293	7.8	20	5.0	8	6	6	4	2	116	7.1	7	2
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	9	8.1	2.22	1.481	13.3	12	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	26	1.1	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	10	9.3	0.00	0.323	9.7	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	22	1.1	2	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	4	19.5	2.77	1.282	11.1	24	5.0	5	4	4	1	4	91	4.0	6	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	11	11.0	4.09	1.273	11.5	14	2.0	2	1	1	0	3	34	2.0	2	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	9	6.8	2.65	1.912	15.9	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18	2.0	3	1
Connor Brogdon	Middle Reliever	8	7.4	7.30	1.216	9.7	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 6-5

Chicago White Sox @ Oakland Athletics

CHW 7-14 (3.57 RPG / 5.19 RA)

5 - 6

OAK 11-10 (4.14 RPG / 4.9 RA)

OAK WINS Target: CHW 3 - 4 OAK Confidence: 90.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	10
OAK	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	6	10

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	19	71	17	0.239	1	2	0.325	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	20	72	11	0.153	2	8	0.287	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	21	67	14	0.209	7	14	0.386	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Everson Pereira	DH	9	33	9	0.273	3	5	0.333	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Edgar Quero	C	15	49	9	0.184	0	2	0.273	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	21	72	14	0.194	4	12	0.310	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Tanner Murray	LF	8	19	5	0.263	1	2	0.333	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Derek Hill	RF	12	23	6	0.261	0	0	0.292	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luisangel Acuña	CF	18	58	12	0.207	0	3	0.254	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	5	5	1	5	0.270

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	SS	20	86	22	0.256	2	10	0.264	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	20	80	26	0.325	6	12	0.393	4	2	2	0	1	0	0.500	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	20	68	16	0.235	2	9	0.429	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Andy Ibáñez	2B	8	15	2	0.133	0	3	0.188	5	2	0	1	0	1	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Max Muncy	DH	20	73	20	0.274	2	6	0.325	2	1	1	0	2	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	21	80	16	0.200	2	15	0.297	4	1	1	4	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Darell Hernaiz	3B	9	20	4	0.200	0	0	0.238	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Denzel Clarke	CF	20	51	9	0.176	0	6	0.236	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Zack Gelof	RF	4	5	1	0.200	0	0	0.200	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	-	-	-
TEAM TOTALS									36	10	6	6	4	5	0.278

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Schultz	Starter	1	4.1	6.59	1.707	8.8	4	5.0	5	5	5	3	3	102	4.0	3	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	2.0	2	0	0	0	1	32	0.5	1	0
Jordan Leasure	Middle Reliever	8	8.3	4.34	1.084	9.8	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.2	2	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	2	0.3	90.00	20.000	30.0	1	0.2	2	1	1	1	0	21	0.5	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	4	24.2	1.49	0.785	7.4	20	6.0	7	3	3	1	3	97	5.2	6	2
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	10	6.8	10.59	2.647	11.9	9	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	14	1.1	1	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	12	10.1	3.56	1.980	9.8	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.5	1	0
Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	8	6.8	1.32	1.176	9.3	7	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	17	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 6-5

Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins

CIN 13-8 (3.38 RPG / 3.9 RA)

1 - 3

MIN 11-10 (5.14 RPG / 4.43 RA)

MIN WINS Target: CIN 4 - 5 MIN Confidence: 66.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	9
MIN	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	x	3	8

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
TJ Friedl	CF	19	73	10	0.137	0	1	0.259	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.500	0.500	0.500	MODERATE
Matt McLain	2B	19	71	13	0.183	0	3	0.326	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	21	83	22	0.265	6	12	0.344	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.400	1.000	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	21	74	22	0.297	7	18	0.404	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	21	74	20	0.270	3	11	0.341	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Spencer Steer	LF	19	64	13	0.203	3	5	0.246	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	15	46	8	0.174	2	5	0.291	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Rece Hinds	RF	4	13	1	0.077	0	1	0.071	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.667	MODERATE
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	16	50	3	0.060	0	0	0.130	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	1	1	1	8	0.250

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	19	77	18	0.234	3	4	0.294	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	13	33	8	0.242	1	7	0.390	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Josh Bell	DH	21	71	19	0.268	3	14	0.361	2	0	0	1	2	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Victor Caratini	C	17	58	14	0.241	1	8	0.352	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Matt Wallner	RF	20	72	13	0.181	3	6	0.272	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	21	81	18	0.222	1	10	0.273	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kody Clemens	1B	12	34	5	0.147	2	3	0.275	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	18	60	14	0.233	3	12	0.292	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Tristan Gray	3B	12	32	9	0.281	2	11	0.333	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	3	3	4	8	0.250

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	4	17.2	5.76	1.744	7.3	14	6.0	5	2	2	4	7	119	5.2	5	2
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	10	10.1	4.46	1.188	8.9	10	2.0	3	1	1	0	1	37	1.1	2	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bailey Ober	Starter	4	19.2	5.62	1.302	6.6	14	6.0	6	0	0	1	6	99	6.1	5	3
Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	9	7.4	4.86	1.757	8.5	7	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	29	0.5	1	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	9	6.8	13.24	2.059	10.6	8	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	16	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 3-1

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox

DET 11-10 (4.19 RPG / 3.48 RA)

5 - 2

BOS 8-12 (3.95 RPG / 4.5 RA)

DET WINS Target: DET 5 - 3 BOS Confidence: 67.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	5	9
BOS	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	7

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jahmai Jones	DH	8	17	3	0.176	0	1	0.176	3	1	0	0	2	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	20	76	18	0.237	1	5	0.352	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	11	29	6	0.207	1	4	0.226	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	18	58	15	0.259	4	14	0.348	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Riley Greene	LF	21	73	18	0.247	1	12	0.353	2	0	1	0	3	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	7	22	1	0.045	1	1	0.125	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.333	0.500	0.333	MODERATE
Spencer Torkelson	1B	20	63	12	0.190	0	6	0.338	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333
Javier Báez	SS	16	54	15	0.278	1	5	0.310	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	5	5	7	8	0.250

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	LF	19	72	17	0.236	1	3	0.345	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Andruw Monasterio	1B	9	23	6	0.261	0	3	0.346	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Willson Contreras	DH	19	64	18	0.281	3	11	0.425	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Trevor Story	SS	20	85	16	0.188	2	17	0.202	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	19	74	23	0.311	3	10	0.354	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	18	57	16	0.281	1	5	0.369	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	18	60	8	0.133	0	6	0.235	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	12	41	8	0.195	0	0	0.214	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	8	21	4	0.190	0	0	0.261	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	2	2	4	5	0.206

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	4	24.0	3.75	1.292	4.9	13	5.0	3	1	1	3	3	99	6.1	5	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	7	5.2	1.73	0.962	12.1	7	2.0	0	0	0	1	1	28	1.2	2	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	9	6.6	6.82	1.667	15.0	11	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	1	0
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	6	9.3	7.74	1.720	8.7	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	2.0	2	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Garrett Crochet	Starter	4	18.3	7.87	1.639	10.8	22	5.0	5	0	0	5	5	131	7.1	8	4
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	7	7.0	1.29	1.000	9.0	7	2.0	4	5	5	1	1	52	0.5	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	2.25	1.250	13.5	12	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.2	3	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	9	6.7	6.72	1.493	14.8	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-2

Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees

KC 7-14 (3.38 RPG / 4.57 RA)

3 - 6

NYY 12-9 (4.9 RPG / 3.9 RA)

NYY WINS Target: KC 3 - 5 NYY Confidence: 74.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	7
NYY	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	x	6	12

KC Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-21

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	21	82	22	0.268	2	9	0.337	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	21	79	21	0.266	0	8	0.344	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	21	79	13	0.165	2	10	0.244	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	20	75	12	0.160	3	6	0.210	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	15	38	7	0.184	0	1	0.311	4	2	0	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Starling Marte	RF	7	20	4	0.200	0	0	0.200	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	15	46	9	0.196	1	4	0.302	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Michael Massey	2B	8	20	4	0.200	0	2	0.238	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Elias Díaz	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	3	7	0.206

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	19	62	21	0.339	7	16	0.474	5	2	2	0	0	0	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	21	77	18	0.234	8	14	0.337	4	3	2	4	0	0	0.750	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	20	73	20	0.274	3	11	0.368	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	6	16	3	0.188	1	3	0.316	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	20	62	9	0.145	2	11	0.303	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Amed Rosario	2B	14	42	11	0.262	3	9	0.289	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Austin Wells	C	17	49	9	0.184	1	1	0.333	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
José Caballero	SS	20	69	16	0.232	1	8	0.284	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	17	43	6	0.140	1	4	0.275	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	12	6	6	0	6	0.333

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cole Ragans	Starter	4	16.2	3.89	1.420	8.9	16	5.0	7	4	4	0	3	89	5.1	6	2
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	7.03	1.719	7.0	5	2.0	3	1	1	0	1	30	0.5	1	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	4.35	1.290	8.7	6	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	20	1.2	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	4	20.3	4.43	1.429	12.4	28	6.0	5	3	3	3	5	122	4.0	2	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	4.39	1.951	13.2	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	0.5	1	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	10	6.7	9.40	1.493	10.7	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.1	2	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	13	9.7	1.86	1.753	12.1	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.5	1	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

LAD 15-5 (5.75 RPG / 3.2 RA)

3 - 2

COL 8-13 (3.81 RPG / 4.43 RA)

LAD WINS Target: LAD 7 - 2 COL Confidence: 90.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	8
COL	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	19	72	19	0.264	5	10	0.396	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	20	77	20	0.260	3	13	0.356	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Will Smith	C	17	61	19	0.311	2	10	0.368	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Max Muncy	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333
Andy Pages	CF	20	72	28	0.389	5	21	0.430	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Alex Call	LF	4	12	5	0.417	0	1	0.533	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ryan Ward	1B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.667
Hyeseong Kim	SS	9	22	6	0.273	1	3	0.393	4	1	0	2	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	17	51	10	0.196	1	3	0.250	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	3	3	1	6	0.229

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	17	49	11	0.224	1	5	0.321	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	15	50	13	0.260	5	9	0.296	3	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	20	70	18	0.257	5	8	0.333	3	1	0	1	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Tyler Freeman	DH	10	30	9	0.300	0	4	0.382	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	21	72	18	0.250	2	9	0.312	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	17	59	18	0.305	2	10	0.339	3	1	0	1	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Willi Castro	SS	16	56	12	0.214	1	8	0.279	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	21	54	10	0.185	0	2	0.328	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jake McCarthy	CF	13	38	7	0.184	0	3	0.262	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	2	2	2	8	0.182

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	3	13.0	6.23	1.846	10.4	15	6.0	4	2	2	2	6	102	4.1	3	2
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	6.00	1.667	15.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.5	1	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	10	8.2	1.10	0.610	8.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.5	1	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	6	8.2	3.29	1.463	9.9	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10	1.1	2	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	5	15.5	8.71	2.387	7.5	13	5.0	8	3	3	1	3	93	4.1	4	3
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	8	9.0	2.00	1.556	5.0	5	3.0	0	0	0	0	2	37	1.0	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	11	7.0	1.29	1.429	10.3	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.2	0	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 3-2

Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins

MIL 12-8 (5.15 RPG / 4.1 RA)

9 - 3

MIA 9-12 (4.52 RPG / 4.67 RA)

MIL WINS Target: MIL 5 - 4 MIA Confidence: 69.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	5	9	11
MIA	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	DH	16	47	13	0.277	1	16	0.433	4	2	2	2	1	1	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Brice Turang	2B	18	67	20	0.299	4	14	0.434	5	2	2	2	0	1	0.400	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	14	38	9	0.237	5	9	0.442	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	19	64	15	0.234	5	13	0.310	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	16	56	9	0.161	0	4	0.226	5	2	0	2	0	1	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brandon Lockridge	CF	17	51	13	0.255	0	6	0.333	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Greg Jones	LF	2	7	1	0.143	0	1	0.143	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Luis Matos	RF	5	14	3	0.214	0	0	0.214	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
David Hamilton	SS	15	43	8	0.186	0	3	0.340	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	11	9	9	4	9	0.289

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	21	81	13	0.160	0	4	0.274	3	0	1	0	2	2	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	21	79	27	0.342	1	6	0.409	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	20	76	26	0.342	3	10	0.393	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	2	1	1	0	3	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333
Agustín Ramírez	DH	20	73	17	0.233	1	10	0.313	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
Liam Hicks	C	20	64	20	0.312	4	18	0.352	4	1	0	2	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.500	1.333	OK
Connor Norby	1B	19	63	17	0.270	2	7	0.365	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	18	57	14	0.246	2	13	0.286	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	15	46	8	0.174	0	5	0.191	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	5	16	0.206

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	4	21.2	3.40	1.038	14.0	33	6.0	6	3	3	3	9	118	4.0	6	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	7	7.0	5.14	1.571	11.6	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	15	0.5	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	10	7.6	4.74	1.447	10.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.1	2	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	10	9.5	3.79	1.263	8.5	9	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	31	0.5	1	1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	4	20.0	5.40	1.550	9.0	20	4.0	5	3	3	2	4	78	4.2	5	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	9.00	1.333	12.0	8	3.0	2	1	1	0	3	45	0.5	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	8	6.3	7.14	2.063	15.7	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.5	1	0
Andrew Nardi	Middle Reliever	7	5.3	6.79	1.698	13.6	8	1.0	4	5	5	2	1	42	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 9-3

New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs

NYM 7-14 (3.38 RPG / 4.52 RA)

4 - 6

CHC 11-9 (5.5 RPG / 4.05 RA)

CHC WINS Target: NYM 3 - 6 CHC Confidence: 85.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	11
CHC	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	x	6	9

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.000

Avg Runs1.8

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-42

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.9

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff28

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	LF	18	60	9	0.150	1	3	0.239	5	3	0	1	0	1	0.600	-	0.250	-
Bo Bichette	3B	21	88	20	0.227	1	9	0.266	4	2	0	1	1	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	21	84	18	0.214	1	1	0.305	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	19	66	17	0.258	2	7	0.372	4	1	1	1	1	3	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
MJ Melendez	DH	3	10	4	0.400	0	1	0.500	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	-	-	-
Mark Vientos	1B	16	50	12	0.240	2	6	0.264	3	1	2	0	2	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brett Baty	RF	18	63	12	0.190	0	7	0.197	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	21	74	16	0.216	1	8	0.280	4	2	0	1	0	2	0.500	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Luis Torrens	C	7	19	5	0.263	0	4	0.263	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	11	4	4	5	11	0.289

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	20	80	26	0.325	3	20	0.402	5	2	2	1	0	0	0.400	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Michael Busch	1B	19	69	12	0.174	0	3	0.275	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	20	83	19	0.229	2	9	0.301	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Ian Happ	LF	18	72	16	0.222	6	11	0.333	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	1.333	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	8	30	8	0.267	0	2	0.405	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	17	42	16	0.381	3	10	0.413	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Carson Kelly	C	16	50	17	0.340	2	9	0.441	3	1	0	1	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	20	78	17	0.218	1	5	0.265	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	20	65	13	0.200	4	12	0.341	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	6	6	5	4	0.273

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tobias Myers	Starter	6	12.3	3.66	0.813	6.6	9	5.0	7	3	3	4	0	101	4.0	3	0
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	6	5.1	7.06	2.157	14.1	8	2.0	2	3	3	1	2	38	1.2	2	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	8.44	1.406	5.6	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	10	2.0	3	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Javier Assad	Starter	2	9.3	8.71	1.720	5.8	6	6.0	8	3	3	2	8	127	4.2	3	2
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	7	16.2	2.78	1.111	8.3	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	19	3.0	3	1
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	8	5.6	3.21	1.429	16.1	10	1.0	2	1	1	2	1	34	1.0	2	0
Riley Martin	Middle Reliever	5	5.1	0.00	0.588	8.8	5	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	20	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-4

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels

SD 14-7 (4.48 RPG / 3.71 RA)

1 - 2

LAA 11-11 (5.18 RPG / 4.64 RA)

LAA WINS Target: SD 6 - 4 LAA Confidence: 84.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	9
LAA	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	2	6

SD Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ramón Laureano	LF	19	73	21	0.288	4	15	0.346	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	20	75	19	0.253	0	11	0.348	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	20	82	19	0.232	3	13	0.284	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Manny Machado	3B	20	66	13	0.197	2	10	0.345	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	14	44	15	0.341	0	2	0.383	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	20	77	20	0.260	3	13	0.321	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Nick Castellanos	RF	14	43	7	0.163	0	5	0.217	4	3	0	0	0	1	0.750	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ty France	1B	9	27	7	0.259	1	1	0.310	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luis Campusano	C	11	30	9	0.300	1	6	0.364	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	-	-	-
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	1	1	2	10	0.250

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	22	88	22	0.250	5	10	0.365	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Mike Trout	CF	21	76	18	0.237	7	16	0.408	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.500	1.333	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	19	78	18	0.231	2	13	0.307	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jo Adell	RF	22	89	26	0.292	3	14	0.337	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Yoán Moncada	DH	18	62	11	0.177	3	8	0.320	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Oswald Peraza	3B	17	60	16	0.267	4	8	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	-	-	-
Josh Lowe	LF	17	56	9	0.161	3	9	0.238	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	19	61	13	0.213	1	8	0.338	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	12	31	10	0.323	1	4	0.447	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	6	2	2	3	6	0.200

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	4	22.2	2.84	1.171	8.1	20	5.0	4	2	2	3	5	100	4.0	5	1
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	10	10.1	0.00	0.396	22.3	25	2.0	2	0	0	0	1	29	0.5	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	9	8.8	8.18	1.932	10.2	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	2	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	4	21.5	3.77	1.116	10.9	26	5.0	6	1	1	1	4	101	4.0	2	1
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	8	5.4	3.33	1.111	16.7	10	2.0	2	0	0	0	3	36	1.1	3	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	11	5.8	3.10	1.897	14.0	9	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	26	3.0	4	2
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	7	14.3	2.52	1.329	9.4	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.5	1	1

Game Summary

LAA wins 2-1

San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals

SF 9-12 (3.57 RPG / 4.43 RA)

1 - 6

WAS 9-12 (5.62 RPG / 6.38 RA)

WAS WINS Target: SF 5 - 6 WAS Confidence: 69.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3
WAS	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	x	6	9

SF Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willy Adames	SS	21	84	22	0.262	3	6	0.311	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	20	78	25	0.321	0	6	0.353	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	21	85	25	0.294	1	12	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	21	85	18	0.212	2	8	0.256	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Casey Schmitt	1B	16	60	19	0.317	2	7	0.369	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	21	75	19	0.253	1	8	0.310	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	20	74	19	0.257	2	13	0.304	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	4	12	3	0.250	1	2	0.357	2	0	0	1	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	16	51	7	0.137	0	1	0.185	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									29	3	1	1	1	8	0.103

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	LF	21	86	22	0.256	7	18	0.385	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Curtis Mead	1B	15	40	8	0.200	1	5	0.273	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Brady House	3B	19	77	18	0.234	2	9	0.280	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	20	71	24	0.338	6	19	0.448	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Jacob Young	CF	17	59	15	0.254	2	8	0.290	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Joey Wiemer	RF	14	41	14	0.341	2	5	0.426	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luis Garcia	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333
Nasim Nuñez	2B	18	62	11	0.177	0	5	0.282	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	13	38	7	0.184	1	8	0.220	4	2	2	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	6	6	3	9	0.273

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	4	21.4	2.52	1.075	10.1	24	5.0	5	4	4	3	5	95	5.1	5	3
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	9	7.6	4.74	1.842	11.8	10	3.0	4	2	2	0	4	49	0.5	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	12	9.8	4.59	1.735	7.3	8	6.0	3	1	1	1	7	94	0.5	1	1
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	9	8.4	4.29	1.429	7.5	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0.5	1	0
Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	8	6.5	4.15	1.692	12.5	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	0.5	1	1
Paxton Schultz	Middle Reliever	5	7.3	4.93	1.233	8.6	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	2.0	4	1

Game Summary

WAS wins 6-1

St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros

STL 12-8 (4.8 RPG / 5.3 RA)

5 - 4

HOU 8-14 (5.27 RPG / 6.05 RA)

STL WINS Target: STL 6 - 5 HOU Confidence: 87.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	5	7
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	4	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-26

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	20	72	17	0.236	3	9	0.380	3	0	1	0	2	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	20	70	14	0.200	2	10	0.387	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	20	77	23	0.299	3	15	0.389	5	2	2	2	0	2	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	20	77	24	0.312	8	16	0.376	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	19	63	14	0.222	3	14	0.292	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	15	58	11	0.190	1	5	0.299	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nathan Church	LF	15	46	10	0.217	1	5	0.265	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	12	38	8	0.211	1	5	0.262	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	18	51	12	0.235	0	3	0.273	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	5	5	5	9	0.206

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Correa	SS	19	72	19	0.264	1	9	0.354	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	22	76	26	0.342	9	20	0.485	4	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	21	79	22	0.278	3	7	0.394	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Christian Walker	1B	22	76	20	0.263	4	16	0.352	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	17	59	11	0.186	0	6	0.314	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Cam Smith	RF	22	74	19	0.257	3	10	0.356	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	15	59	11	0.186	1	9	0.222	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Shay Whitcomb	LF	3	7	1	0.143	1	3	0.143	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	7	24	7	0.292	0	4	0.346	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	4	8	0.229

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	4	21.0	4.29	1.571	5.1	12	5.0	3	0	0	2	2	82	4.2	6	4
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	11	10.3	0.00	0.388	10.5	12	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	30	2.0	3	1
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	10	9.7	0.00	1.031	5.6	6	1.0	4	4	4	2	2	45	0.5	1	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	7	9.4	0.96	0.851	5.7	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	2.2	2	2

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Burrows	Starter	4	21.3	6.76	1.878	7.6	18	5.0	5	5	5	3	6	104	4.2	4	1
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	9	6.4	16.88	3.438	16.9	12	2.0	0	0	0	2	0	34	0.5	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	7	6.6	1.36	1.515	15.0	11	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.2	2	1
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	10	7.9	4.56	1.139	9.1	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

STL wins 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays @ Pittsburgh Pirates

TB 12-8 (5.0 RPG / 5.15 RA)

3 - 2

PIT 12-9 (5.1 RPG / 4.05 RA)

TB WINS Target: TB 5 - 4 PIT Confidence: 74.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	6
PIT	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	20	80	27	0.338	0	4	0.361	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	20	80	20	0.250	4	9	0.344	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	20	74	17	0.230	3	16	0.341	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	20	79	28	0.354	3	16	0.446	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Jake Fraley	RF	15	44	10	0.227	1	2	0.292	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	18	67	10	0.149	2	8	0.205	3	1	0	1	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nick Fortes	C	17	55	18	0.327	1	7	0.373	4	1	2	2	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	13	28	8	0.286	1	4	0.444	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	10	35	9	0.257	0	4	0.316	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	3	3	4	10	0.182

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	RF	14	41	11	0.268	0	1	0.348	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	19	70	23	0.329	4	15	0.410	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	21	75	19	0.253	3	12	0.387	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	16	65	12	0.185	2	7	0.254	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	17	62	15	0.242	0	10	0.277	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	21	86	26	0.302	6	19	0.368	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	14	51	11	0.216	0	8	0.293	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nick Yorke	3B	15	53	13	0.245	0	3	0.328	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Henry Davis	C	13	43	8	0.186	0	3	0.286	3	1	0	1	1	1	0.333	-	-	-
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	2	2	4	11	0.229

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane McClanahan	Starter	3	13.2	4.09	1.212	8.9	13	5.0	5	2	2	4	6	99	4.0	4	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	9	8.1	4.44	1.235	10.0	9	2.0	2	0	0	0	2	32	0.5	1	1
Griffin Jax	Middle Reliever	9	5.8	4.66	1.897	10.9	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.1	2	1
Mason Englert	Middle Reliever	8	9.4	8.62	2.128	6.7	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.5	1	1
Hunter Bigge	Middle Reliever	6	5.4	1.67	1.111	3.3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.5	0	1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Keller	Starter	4	22.0	2.86	1.227	5.7	14	6.0	4	2	2	3	7	123	4.2	5	2
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	11	11.0	0.82	0.818	5.7	7	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	32	1.0	0	1
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	10	13.8	2.61	1.377	10.4	16	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	36	0.5	1	1

Game Summary

TB wins 3-2

Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners

TEX 11-10 (4.29 RPG / 3.67 RA)

4 - 2

SEA 9-13 (3.86 RPG / 3.73 RA)

TEX WINS Target: TEX 4 - 3 SEA Confidence: 63.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	8
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	6

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	21	86	26	0.302	4	11	0.381	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Corey Seager	SS	20	72	15	0.208	5	12	0.330	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	18	75	18	0.240	1	4	0.269	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Jake Burger	1B	21	84	22	0.262	5	17	0.292	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	19	45	11	0.244	1	3	0.352	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Josh Jung	3B	18	66	20	0.303	2	7	0.361	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Evan Carter	CF	20	59	11	0.186	2	5	0.310	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Josh Smith	2B	19	62	11	0.177	0	5	0.282	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Danny Jansen	C	14	48	11	0.229	1	6	0.288	3	1	2	1	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	4	5	0.229

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Rob Refsnyder	RF	9	18	0	0.000	0	0	0.143	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333
Cal Raleigh	DH	22	84	13	0.155	2	11	0.250	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	22	83	17	0.205	1	7	0.305	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	22	78	22	0.282	1	7	0.398	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Mitch Garver	C	6	16	2	0.125	0	0	0.263	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Connor Joe	1B	2	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	1	0	1	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333
J.P. Crawford	SS	14	44	9	0.205	0	4	0.375	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Cole Young	2B	22	74	18	0.243	2	11	0.349	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	16	46	7	0.152	0	4	0.298	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	2	2	4	7	0.182

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	4	20.3	3.10	1.133	13.3	30	5.0	3	0	0	3	4	90	4.1	6	3
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	8	9.1	2.97	0.769	5.9	6	3.0	3	2	2	1	2	57	0.5	1	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	10	8.7	1.03	1.609	9.3	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.2	2	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	4	25.0	2.16	0.920	7.2	20	5.0	3	0	0	3	3	90	5.0	7	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	8	6.3	10.00	2.063	15.7	11	2.0	3	2	2	1	2	45	0.5	1	0
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	8	5.4	0.00	0.741	6.7	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	2	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	10	7.7	1.17	1.429	9.4	8	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	18	1.1	3	1

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Arizona Diamondbacks

TOR 7-13 (3.65 RPG / 5.25 RA)

3 - 7

ARI 13-8 (4.52 RPG / 4.38 RA)

ARI WINS Target: TOR 3 - 5 ARI Confidence: 86.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	10
ARI	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	0	x	7	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	14	37	6	0.162	0	2	0.200	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	20	81	24	0.296	0	5	0.305	5	4	2	0	0	0	0.800	0.500	0.500	0.500	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	20	73	23	0.315	1	8	0.419	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	19	61	16	0.262	2	11	0.309	4	1	0	2	1	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Eloy Jiménez	DH	4	12	4	0.333	0	0	0.385	5	1	0	1	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	20	73	20	0.274	3	11	0.312	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	19	73	15	0.205	2	5	0.275	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Myles Straw	CF	12	23	9	0.391	1	3	0.417	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	9	23	4	0.174	1	2	0.208	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	3	3	2	6	0.270

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	19	79	17	0.215	4	9	0.271	4	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	19	68	21	0.309	3	16	0.400	2	0	2	0	2	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Jose Fernandez	SS	15	56	17	0.304	2	9	0.304	4	2	2	6	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	1	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.250	1.000
Adrian Del Castillo	DH	8	30	9	0.300	1	10	0.300	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	14	53	20	0.377	2	8	0.400	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	19	70	15	0.214	3	11	0.222	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
James McCann	C	9	24	6	0.250	0	3	0.280	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	16	57	9	0.158	0	7	0.200	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	7	7	7	6	6	0.226

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	4	22.1	2.44	0.860	12.6	31	5.0	5	7	7	5	4	112	5.2	6	3
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	10	8.4	8.57	2.262	21.4	20	3.0	2	0	0	1	2	54	2.0	3	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryne Nelson	Starter	4	18.7	3.85	1.123	9.1	19	5.0	2	0	0	0	3	76	4.1	5	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.0	4	1	1	1	1	40	1.1	2	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	19	0.5	1	0
Ryan Thompson	Middle Reliever	2	2.0	0.00	0.000	4.5	1	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	29	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 7-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians

BAL Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Oakland Athletics

CHW Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins

CIN Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox

DET Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees

KC Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

LAD Recent Form

COL Recent Form

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins

MIL Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs

NYM Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels

SD Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation