MLB Predictions — April 18, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ PHI	7 - 2	6 - 2	ATL wins 6-2	88%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ CLE	5 - 4	5 - 4	BAL wins 5-4	62%	enhanced_ml
CHW @ OAK	2 - 5	2 - 6	OAK wins 6-2	86%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ MIN	3 - 6	2 - 7	MIN wins 7-2	74%	enhanced_ml
DET @ BOS	5 - 3	4 - 1	DET wins 4-1	64%	enhanced_ml
KC @ NYY	2 - 4	1 - 3	NYY wins 3-1	67%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ COL	7 - 2	3 - 1	LAD wins 3-1	87%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ MIA	5 - 4	3 - 2	MIL wins 3-2	67%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ CHC	1 - 8	0 - 4	CHC wins 4-0	87%	enhanced_ml
SD @ LAA	8 - 7	4 - 1	SD wins 4-1	79%	enhanced_ml
SF @ WAS	7 - 4	4 - 3	SF wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml
STL @ HOU	7 - 4	2 - 5	HOU wins 5-2	84%	enhanced_ml
TB @ PIT	4 - 5	2 - 3	PIT wins 3-2	68%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ SEA	5 - 2	3 - 2	TEX wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 12)	73%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ ARI	2 - 9	3 - 5	ARI wins 5-3	91%	enhanced_ml

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL 13-7 (5.75 RPG / 3.1 RA)

6 - 2

PHI 8-11 (3.79 RPG / 5.58 RA)

ATL WINS Target: ATL 7 - 2 PHI Confidence: 87.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	0	6	9
PHI	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff26

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-28

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	20	77	19	0.247	1	5	0.344	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	16	47	17	0.362	4	16	0.380	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	20	78	21	0.269	4	9	0.318	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.500	0.500	0.500	OK
Matt Olson	1B	20	77	23	0.299	5	15	0.393	4	0	0	1	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Austin Riley	3B	20	75	18	0.240	3	13	0.321	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	19	69	22	0.319	2	12	0.365	4	2	0	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Eli White	CF	7	15	3	0.200	0	2	0.235	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Jonah Heim	C	6	19	3	0.158	0	2	0.273	3	1	2	1	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	7	16	7	0.438	1	3	0.471	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	6	6	1	13	0.250

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	19	77	20	0.260	2	7	0.313	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.500	0.600	0.500	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	19	67	14	0.209	6	12	0.369	3	2	0	1	1	0	0.667	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	19	70	20	0.286	4	11	0.375	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Adolis García	RF	19	67	15	0.224	2	5	0.312	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	14	48	14	0.292	1	4	0.382	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	18	66	9	0.136	1	10	0.205	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Edmundo Sosa	2B	9	25	6	0.240	1	5	0.269	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brandon Marsh	CF	17	62	18	0.290	2	11	0.318	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	18	55	15	0.273	0	1	0.344	3	0	0	1	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	8	2	2	2	7	0.235

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	4	22.0	3.27	1.045	9.0	22	6.0	6	2	2	2	5	100	5.1	7	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	7	7.2	0.00	0.556	12.5	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.1	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	8	7.2	1.25	1.111	10.0	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	1.2	2	0
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	7	3.6	7.50	2.222	12.5	5	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	0.5	0	1

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	4	22.1	2.04	1.403	12.6	31	6.0	4	2	2	0	11	92	5.2	10	5
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	1.45	0.806	11.6	8	2.0	5	4	4	1	1	45	0.5	1	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	9	10.3	2.62	0.680	8.7	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-2

Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians

BAL 10-10 (4.25 RPG / 4.3 RA)

5 - 4

CLE 11-10 (3.95 RPG / 4.24 RA)

BAL WINS Target: BAL 5 - 4 CLE Confidence: 62.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	5	7
CLE	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	4	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	20	85	17	0.200	6	14	0.274	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.667	0.667	1.667	MODERATE
Taylor Ward	LF	20	79	23	0.291	0	8	0.394	3	1	0	2	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	20	74	16	0.216	2	8	0.341	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	15	46	11	0.239	1	5	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Colton Cowser	DH	16	41	8	0.195	0	3	0.292	3	1	2	1	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	14	35	13	0.371	0	8	0.488	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	15	54	8	0.148	3	4	0.246	4	2	2	2	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	14	48	8	0.167	0	4	0.273	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.000	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	17	60	19	0.317	5	17	0.323	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	5	5	3	8	0.206

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	20	79	20	0.253	1	7	0.330	4	2	0	1	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	18	65	16	0.246	5	12	0.333	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
José Ramírez	3B	21	77	17	0.221	4	10	0.348	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	18	58	11	0.190	1	3	0.277	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	1.333	OK
George Valera	LF	4	11	4	0.364	0	2	0.364	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	15	47	10	0.213	1	5	0.339	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Daniel Schneemann	2B	16	48	15	0.312	2	11	0.353	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Bo Naylor	C	13	42	6	0.143	0	2	0.200	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	20	60	13	0.217	2	8	0.338	4	2	2	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	1	5	0.229

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	1	5.0	3.60	1.200	16.2	9	5.0	6	3	3	1	2	75	5.2	5	3
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	9	8.1	2.22	1.481	13.3	12	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	23	0.5	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	10	9.3	0.00	0.323	9.7	10	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	2	1
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	9	6.8	3.97	1.471	19.9	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	32	1.2	3	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	4	22.2	2.43	1.171	11.8	29	5.0	5	3	3	2	3	90	5.2	8	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	10	10.0	4.50	1.400	9.9	11	2.0	1	1	1	1	1	32	1.1	3	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	9	6.8	2.65	1.912	15.9	12	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	2.0	3	0
Connor Brogdon	Middle Reliever	8	7.4	7.30	1.216	9.7	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	24	0.5	1	1

Game Summary

BAL wins 5-4

Chicago White Sox @ Oakland Athletics

CHW 7-13 (3.45 RPG / 5.1 RA)

2 - 6

OAK 10-10 (4.0 RPG / 4.85 RA)

OAK WINS Target: CHW 2 - 5 OAK Confidence: 86.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
OAK	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	x	6	5

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-8

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Andrew Benintendi	DH	18	54	11	0.204	0	3	0.271	2	1	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	20	65	13	0.200	6	13	0.361	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	19	68	11	0.162	2	8	0.284	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	20	68	13	0.191	3	11	0.295	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	1.333	OK
Everson Pereira	RF	6	20	5	0.250	2	4	0.286	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	3	10	1	0.100	0	0	0.308	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	18	67	16	0.239	1	2	0.329	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	16	42	9	0.214	0	1	0.267	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Reese McGuire	C	2	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	2	2	3	7	0.156

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeff McNeil	2B	19	61	17	0.279	0	3	0.353	3	1	2	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Shea Langeliers	DH	19	75	24	0.320	6	12	0.386	4	2	2	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	19	65	14	0.215	1	7	0.400	2	1	1	3	2	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	20	75	15	0.200	2	14	0.294	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	19	80	20	0.250	1	9	0.259	3	0	0	1	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	14	33	9	0.273	1	6	0.385	3	0	0	1	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Max Muncy	3B	19	68	19	0.279	2	5	0.338	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Lawrence Butler	CF	19	63	12	0.190	2	6	0.250	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Austin Wynns	C	6	16	2	0.125	0	0	0.176	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.500	1.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									28	5	6	6	4	10	0.179

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Erick Fedde	Starter	3	16.0	3.38	1.062	6.8	12	5.0	5	6	6	3	7	109	4.0	4	3
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	28	1.1	1	0
Jordan Leasure	Middle Reliever	8	8.3	4.34	1.084	9.8	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.1	2	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Severino	Starter	4	19.1	5.65	1.728	11.3	24	5.0	5	2	2	3	5	106	5.2	5	2
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	9	6.6	10.91	2.424	10.9	8	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	22	1.0	2	2
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	11	9.0	3.00	2.111	11.0	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.2	2	1
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	10	7.8	10.38	2.308	10.4	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 6-2

Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins

CIN 13-8 (3.38 RPG / 3.9 RA)

2 - 7

MIN 11-10 (5.14 RPG / 4.43 RA)

MIN WINS Target: CIN 3 - 6 MIN Confidence: 73.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	6
MIN	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	7	11

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
TJ Friedl	CF	18	69	10	0.145	0	1	0.272	4	2	0	1	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Will Benson	LF	13	30	5	0.167	0	1	0.219	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	20	78	21	0.269	6	11	0.352	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Sal Stewart	2B	20	70	21	0.300	7	17	0.405	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	20	70	18	0.257	3	11	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	10	22	4	0.182	0	5	0.308	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	14	43	7	0.163	2	3	0.294	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Rece Hinds	RF	3	10	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	15	47	3	0.064	0	0	0.137	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	2	2	3	6	0.182

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	DH	18	72	17	0.236	3	4	0.300	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.250	0.400	1.000	OK
Austin Martin	RF	15	40	13	0.325	1	4	0.491	3	0	1	0	2	2	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Josh Bell	1B	20	67	17	0.254	3	14	0.354	5	2	2	3	0	0	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	14	49	14	0.286	2	10	0.397	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	20	76	16	0.211	1	9	0.265	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	12	30	8	0.267	1	7	0.405	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	17	57	13	0.228	3	11	0.279	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Ryan Kreidler	CF	4	12	2	0.167	2	4	0.286	4	2	0	1	0	2	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Tristan Gray	3B	11	28	8	0.286	2	11	0.344	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	11	7	7	5	8	0.314

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	4	19.3	6.06	1.762	5.6	12	4.0	8	5	5	2	3	90	5.0	4	4
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	10	10.1	4.46	1.188	8.9	10	3.0	3	2	2	2	5	65	0.5	1	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	9	9.0	0.00	1.000	10.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	16	1.2	0	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	4	21.2	1.27	1.274	12.3	29	6.0	4	1	1	2	4	103	5.0	4	2
Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	4.22	1.719	9.8	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.5	1	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	4.22	1.875	9.8	7	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	18	1.2	2	0
Kody Funderburk	Middle Reliever	11	6.1	2.95	2.131	11.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	21	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 7-2

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox

DET 11-10 (4.19 RPG / 3.48 RA)

4 - 1

BOS 8-12 (3.95 RPG / 4.5 RA)

DET WINS Target: DET 5 - 3 BOS Confidence: 64.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	4	7
BOS	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	20	72	22	0.306	1	8	0.412	3	1	0	0	2	0	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	19	71	17	0.239	1	5	0.360	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Colt Keith	DH	18	60	19	0.317	0	5	0.349	3	0	1	1	2	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Riley Greene	LF	20	71	18	0.254	1	12	0.346	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.500	0.600	0.500	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	19	59	12	0.203	0	6	0.356	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	17	52	10	0.192	3	10	0.290	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Wenceel Pérez	CF	6	19	1	0.053	1	1	0.100	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	MODERATE
Javier Báez	SS	15	50	14	0.280	1	5	0.315	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Jake Rogers	C	5	14	1	0.071	0	2	0.125	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	4	4	6	5	0.206

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	LF	18	69	16	0.232	1	3	0.338	4	1	0	1	1	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	8	19	5	0.263	0	3	0.364	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	18	60	17	0.283	3	11	0.434	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Trevor Story	DH	19	81	16	0.198	2	17	0.212	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	18	70	22	0.314	3	10	0.360	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	17	53	15	0.283	1	5	0.377	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	17	58	8	0.138	0	6	0.231	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Connor Wong	C	8	21	8	0.381	0	2	0.435	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	7	18	4	0.222	0	0	0.300	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	1	1	3	8	0.229

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	4	23.4	2.31	0.983	8.8	23	5.0	3	1	1	1	4	76	4.1	10	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	6	4.2	2.14	0.952	15.0	7	2.0	2	0	0	0	1	35	0.5	0	1
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	9	6.6	6.82	1.667	15.0	11	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	21	0.5	1	0
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	6	9.3	7.74	1.720	8.7	9	1.0	2	0	0	1	2	32	0.5	1	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brayan Bello	Starter	3	13.5	6.67	2.074	6.0	9	5.0	3	3	3	2	2	74	6.2	4	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	7	7.0	1.29	1.000	9.0	7	2.0	2	1	1	3	1	50	1.1	3	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	2.25	1.250	13.5	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.5	1	1
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	8	5.7	7.89	1.579	17.4	11	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	29	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-1

Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees

KC 7-14 (3.38 RPG / 4.57 RA)

1 - 3

NYY 12-9 (4.9 RPG / 3.9 RA)

NYY WINS Target: KC 2 - 4 NYY Confidence: 66.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
NYY	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	x	3	5

KC Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	20	78	21	0.269	2	9	0.341	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	20	76	20	0.263	0	8	0.345	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.500	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	20	75	13	0.173	2	10	0.256	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	18	59	16	0.271	0	1	0.348	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Carter Jensen	C	18	56	12	0.214	4	10	0.274	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Michael Massey	2B	7	16	3	0.188	0	0	0.235	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Isaac Collins	DH	14	42	9	0.214	1	4	0.327	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	14	35	7	0.200	0	1	0.333	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	17	46	13	0.283	2	6	0.353	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	1	1	1	7	0.129

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Amed Rosario	3B	13	37	9	0.243	2	6	0.275	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	20	75	18	0.240	8	14	0.329	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Cody Bellinger	CF	19	69	17	0.246	1	6	0.341	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	19	70	18	0.257	2	10	0.316	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Ben Rice	1B	18	59	20	0.339	6	15	0.466	2	1	1	2	2	0	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Randal Grichuk	LF	7	16	1	0.062	0	0	0.118	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	MODERATE
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	20	69	12	0.174	0	3	0.269	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
José Caballero	SS	19	65	14	0.215	1	8	0.271	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
J.C. Escarra	C	6	15	1	0.067	0	1	0.125	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									29	5	3	3	3	11	0.172

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	3	15.3	4.12	1.307	8.2	14	6.0	5	3	3	2	7	113	5.2	5	2
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	7.03	1.719	7.0	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	0.5	1	0
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	4.35	1.290	8.7	6	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	24	0.5	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	4	16.7	2.69	1.377	10.8	20	6.0	3	1	1	0	5	91	5.0	4	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	4.39	1.951	13.2	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.1	2	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	10	6.7	9.40	1.493	10.7	8	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.2	2	1
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	9	7.6	1.18	0.658	3.6	3	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	3	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

LAD 15-4 (5.89 RPG / 3.16 RA)

3 - 1

COL 7-13 (3.8 RPG / 4.5 RA)

LAD WINS Target: LAD 7 - 2 COL Confidence: 87.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	3	9
COL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff32

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	18	68	18	0.265	5	10	0.402	4	1	0	1	1	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	19	72	17	0.236	2	11	0.341	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.250	0.400	0.500	OK
Andy Pages	CF	19	68	28	0.412	5	21	0.453	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	19	78	22	0.282	3	14	0.341	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.400	0.500	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	17	63	18	0.286	4	12	0.324	4	3	0	2	0	1	0.750	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Max Muncy	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333
Dalton Rushing	C	5	17	9	0.529	4	8	0.556	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	16	49	10	0.204	1	3	0.259	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Miguel Rojas	SS	9	28	10	0.357	0	1	0.367	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	3	3	2	11	0.250

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	16	46	11	0.239	1	5	0.327	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Mickey Moniak	RF	14	46	12	0.261	5	9	0.300	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TJ Rumfield	DH	20	68	17	0.250	2	8	0.316	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	19	66	17	0.258	5	8	0.338	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	19	76	18	0.237	1	6	0.275	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Troy Johnston	1B	16	55	15	0.273	2	8	0.310	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	18	56	12	0.214	1	1	0.290	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	20	53	10	0.189	0	1	0.328	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Jordan Beck	LF	13	38	5	0.132	1	6	0.195	2	1	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	1	1	0	8	0.156

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	3	14.3	6.92	1.538	8.8	14	5.0	4	1	1	0	5	87	4.1	3	1
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	6.00	1.667	15.0	10	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	25	0.5	1	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	10	8.2	1.10	0.610	8.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.5	1	0
Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	8	5.5	0.00	1.091	9.8	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.1	3	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Feltner	Starter	3	12.1	7.44	1.736	6.7	9	6.0	5	1	1	1	7	102	4.0	3	2
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	7	8.0	2.25	1.500	5.6	5	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	0.5	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	9	8.6	2.09	0.930	7.3	7	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.1	2	1
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	5	10.7	0.00	0.654	12.6	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	20	3.0	5	4

Game Summary

LAD wins 3-1

Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins

MIL 11-8 (5.16 RPG / 4.21 RA)

3 - 2

MIA 9-11 (4.65 RPG / 4.65 RA)

MIL WINS Target: MIL 5 - 4 MIA Confidence: 67.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	7
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	12

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sal Frelick	RF	17	62	11	0.177	1	3	0.292	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
William Contreras	C	17	68	21	0.309	2	11	0.397	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Brice Turang	2B	17	64	18	0.281	3	11	0.410	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Gary Sánchez	DH	13	35	9	0.257	5	9	0.447	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	18	59	15	0.254	5	13	0.333	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	15	52	8	0.154	0	4	0.211	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	15	45	13	0.289	1	16	0.418	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brandon Lockridge	LF	16	47	12	0.255	0	5	0.327	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	14	49	10	0.204	0	4	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	3	9	0.206

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	20	77	12	0.156	0	4	0.275	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	20	75	26	0.347	1	6	0.417	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	19	69	17	0.246	1	10	0.329	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Liam Hicks	C	19	60	18	0.300	4	18	0.343	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	19	72	25	0.347	3	10	0.400	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Connor Norby	1B	18	59	15	0.254	2	6	0.357	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	17	53	13	0.245	2	13	0.288	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	15	47	7	0.149	0	6	0.259	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	14	45	15	0.333	0	7	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	12	2	2	1	8	0.308

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Woodruff	Starter	3	16.2	4.44	1.111	8.9	16	5.0	5	0	0	1	5	88	4.2	6	3
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	7	7.0	5.14	1.571	11.6	9	2.0	3	0	0	0	2	42	0.5	0	1
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	9	7.4	4.86	1.486	10.9	9	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	20	0.5	1	1
Angel Zerpa	Middle Reliever	10	9.6	6.56	1.979	4.7	5	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	2.1	2	2
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	10	9.5	3.79	1.263	8.5	9	0	1	0	0	0	0	20	2.0	2	1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	4	30.1	2.69	0.864	6.6	22	5.0	3	1	1	2	7	90	4.1	4	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	9.00	1.333	12.0	8	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	27	0.5	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	8	6.3	7.14	2.063	15.7	11	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.2	1	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	7	8.0	3.38	1.125	7.9	7	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	42	2.1	2	2

Game Summary

MIL wins 3-2

New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs

NYM 7-14 (3.38 RPG / 4.52 RA)

0 - 4

CHC 11-9 (5.5 RPG / 4.05 RA)

CHC WINS Target: NYM 1 - 8 CHC Confidence: 86.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
CHC	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	x	4	8

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs2.0

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-39

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	LF	17	57	9	0.158	1	3	0.238	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	20	84	19	0.226	1	9	0.267	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	20	80	16	0.200	1	1	0.297	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.500	0.500	0.500	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	18	62	15	0.242	2	7	0.365	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
MJ Melendez	DH	2	7	4	0.571	0	1	0.625	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.667	0.667	0.667	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	17	51	15	0.294	4	5	0.410	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	15	46	11	0.239	1	5	0.265	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brett Baty	RF	17	61	12	0.197	0	7	0.190	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	20	71	15	0.211	1	8	0.269	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	0	0	3	8	0.129

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	19	76	26	0.342	3	20	0.420	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Michael Busch	1B	18	65	11	0.169	0	3	0.276	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	19	79	19	0.241	2	9	0.315	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Ian Happ	LF	17	70	15	0.214	5	10	0.312	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	7	28	8	0.286	0	2	0.394	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	16	40	15	0.375	3	10	0.409	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	9	30	8	0.267	1	4	0.353	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	19	75	17	0.227	1	5	0.275	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	19	62	13	0.210	4	12	0.354	3	1	0	1	0	0	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	4	4	0	9	0.250

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	4	20.3	3.99	1.182	11.1	25	6.0	5	2	2	0	5	95	5.0	6	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	6	5.1	7.06	2.157	14.1	8	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	15	1.1	2	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	8.71	1.452	5.8	4	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	23	1.0	2	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jameson Taillon	Starter	3	16.2	5.00	1.296	9.4	17	6.0	3	0	0	2	4	103	5.0	6	1
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	6	14.2	3.17	1.056	8.9	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	3.0	5	2
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	7	4.6	3.91	1.739	15.7	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.2	2	1
Riley Martin	Middle Reliever	5	5.1	0.00	0.588	8.8	5	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	20	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-0

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels

SD 13-7 (4.5 RPG / 3.85 RA)

4 - 1

LAA 11-10 (5.38 RPG / 4.67 RA)

SD WINS Target: SD 8 - 7 LAA Confidence: 79.1% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	4	12
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5

SD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.6

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ramón Laureano	LF	18	69	20	0.290	4	13	0.355	5	3	0	0	0	0	0.600	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	19	71	17	0.239	0	9	0.333	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	19	77	19	0.247	3	13	0.301	5	2	2	1	0	0	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Manny Machado	3B	19	62	13	0.210	2	10	0.362	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	19	73	19	0.260	3	13	0.325	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	13	41	13	0.317	0	2	0.364	4	2	0	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ty France	1B	8	25	7	0.280	1	1	0.333	4	2	0	2	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	10	31	5	0.161	0	2	0.270	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	19	65	9	0.138	1	3	0.233	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	12	4	4	2	5	0.308

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	21	85	21	0.247	5	10	0.360	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
Mike Trout	CF	20	72	17	0.236	7	16	0.415	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	18	75	17	0.227	2	12	0.298	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.500	0.500	0.500	OK
Jo Adell	RF	21	86	26	0.302	3	14	0.341	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Yoán Moncada	DH	17	58	10	0.172	3	8	0.324	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Oswald Peraza	3B	16	56	16	0.286	4	8	0.355	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	16	54	9	0.167	3	9	0.246	3	1	0	1	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	18	57	12	0.211	1	8	0.343	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	11	27	9	0.333	1	4	0.471	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	1	1	3	12	0.156

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Germán Márquez	Starter	3	13.0	5.54	1.692	6.9	10	6.0	2	0	0	1	8	96	5.0	2	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	9	9.1	0.00	0.220	22.7	23	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	28	0.5	1	0
David Morgan	Middle Reliever	8	9.6	1.88	1.771	10.3	11	1.0	2	1	1	2	1	34	0.5	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yusei Kikuchi	Starter	4	17.3	7.80	1.965	9.9	19	6.0	8	3	3	1	3	105	4.2	4	3
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	8	5.4	3.33	1.111	16.7	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.5	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	11	5.8	3.10	1.897	14.0	9	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	30	3.0	4	2
Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	7	14.3	2.52	1.329	9.4	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

SD wins 4-1

San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals

SF 8-12 (3.4 RPG / 4.35 RA)

4 - 3

WAS 9-11 (5.6 RPG / 6.35 RA)

SF WINS Target: SF 7 - 4 WAS Confidence: 66.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willy Adames	SS	20	78	21	0.269	3	6	0.321	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	19	72	23	0.319	0	6	0.354	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	20	79	23	0.291	1	11	0.333	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	20	79	17	0.215	2	7	0.262	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Casey Schmitt	DH	15	54	17	0.315	2	6	0.373	2	0	0	1	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	20	69	17	0.246	1	8	0.308	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	19	69	16	0.232	1	11	0.274	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	3	7	1	0.143	1	1	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	15	47	6	0.128	0	1	0.180	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	7	4	4	4	9	0.212

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	20	83	21	0.253	6	16	0.367	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Luis Garcia	1B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667
CJ Abrams	SS	19	66	24	0.364	6	19	0.469	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
Jacob Young	CF	16	53	13	0.245	2	8	0.286	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	20	86	24	0.279	1	8	0.319	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	17	58	11	0.190	0	5	0.299	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	15	38	12	0.316	0	2	0.413	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Drew Millas	C	10	28	5	0.179	0	2	0.281	2	0	0	1	2	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	3	3	6	9	0.229

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Adrian Houser	Starter	3	15.3	5.29	1.634	5.9	10	5.0	2	0	0	3	4	82	5.1	4	2
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	8	5.6	4.82	1.607	12.9	8	2.0	2	0	0	0	1	26	0.5	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	7	4.6	7.83	2.391	19.6	10	1.0	4	3	3	2	2	43	1.1	2	0
Blade Tidwell	Middle Reliever	6	8.0	2.25	0.750	6.8	6	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	24	3.0	4	2

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	4	14.5	4.97	1.862	8.1	13	5.0	5	4	4	3	4	91	5.1	4	4
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	9	8.4	4.29	1.429	7.5	7	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	40	1.0	2	0
Cionel Pérez	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	3.29	1.220	7.7	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Mitchell Parker	Middle Reliever	1	2.0	0.00	1.000	22.5	5	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

SF wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros

STL 11-8 (4.68 RPG / 5.32 RA)

2 - 5

HOU 8-13 (5.29 RPG / 6.0 RA)

HOU WINS Target: STL 7 - 4 HOU Confidence: 84.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8
HOU	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	x	5	7

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-28

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	19	69	16	0.232	3	9	0.368	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Iván Herrera	C	19	66	14	0.212	2	10	0.398	4	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	19	72	21	0.292	2	14	0.388	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	19	73	23	0.315	8	16	0.375	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Nolan Gorman	DH	18	58	12	0.207	3	12	0.284	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	14	53	10	0.189	0	3	0.306	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Ramón Urías	3B	11	33	7	0.212	2	4	0.278	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Nathan Church	CF	14	42	9	0.214	1	5	0.267	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
José Fermin	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	2	2	5	4	0.229

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	20	75	22	0.293	3	7	0.404	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	21	72	24	0.333	8	19	0.479	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Carlos Correa	3B	18	70	19	0.271	1	9	0.346	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Christian Walker	1B	21	72	20	0.278	4	16	0.369	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Isaac Paredes	DH	16	55	11	0.200	0	6	0.333	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	6	20	6	0.300	0	4	0.364	3	2	2	1	1	1	0.667	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Cam Smith	RF	21	72	19	0.264	3	10	0.349	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	9	30	12	0.400	2	10	0.438	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nick Allen	SS	10	20	5	0.250	0	0	0.318	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	7	5	5	4	12	0.226

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	3	15.0	4.80	1.533	4.2	7	5.0	5	4	4	4	9	124	5.1	2	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	10	10.1	0.00	0.396	9.8	11	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	30	1.0	2	2
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	10	9.7	0.00	1.031	5.6	6	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	18	0.5	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lance McCullers Jr.	Starter	3	15.1	5.96	1.325	10.1	17	5.0	6	2	2	3	2	93	4.0	3	3
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	9	6.4	16.88	3.438	16.9	12	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	22	1.0	2	1
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	7	6.6	1.36	1.515	15.0	11	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	0.5	0	1
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	10	7.9	4.56	1.139	9.1	8	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Pittsburgh Pirates

TB 11-8 (4.84 RPG / 5.05 RA)

2 - 3

PIT 12-8 (5.0 RPG / 3.85 RA)

PIT WINS Target: TB 4 - 5 PIT Confidence: 67.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	5
PIT	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	8

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	19	73	25	0.342	0	4	0.368	3	0	0	1	0	2	0.000	0.500	0.500	0.500	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	19	73	18	0.247	4	8	0.349	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	19	70	15	0.214	3	15	0.326	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	19	74	27	0.365	3	16	0.453	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Jake Fraley	RF	14	42	9	0.214	1	2	0.283	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	17	62	8	0.129	1	5	0.191	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	12	26	7	0.269	1	4	0.441	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	9	19	4	0.211	0	1	0.318	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	9	29	9	0.310	0	4	0.375	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	5	2	2	2	11	0.161

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	20	80	25	0.312	6	19	0.382	3	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	18	70	20	0.286	7	18	0.390	4	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	20	72	19	0.264	3	12	0.379	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	18	67	21	0.313	3	13	0.392	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	15	59	10	0.169	1	5	0.246	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nick Yorke	3B	14	47	12	0.255	0	2	0.345	4	3	0	1	0	0	0.750	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	18	49	13	0.265	1	4	0.383	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Konnor Griffin	SS	13	45	10	0.222	0	6	0.308	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	1.000	OK
Henry Davis	C	12	39	8	0.205	0	3	0.311	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	-	-	-
TEAM TOTALS									34	8	3	3	3	9	0.235

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	3	16.0	1.12	0.562	9.6	17	6.0	4	1	1	2	4	105	4.0	5	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	8	7.1	3.80	0.986	8.9	7	1.0	2	0	0	1	2	31	1.1	3	2
Griffin Jax	Middle Reliever	8	4.8	5.62	2.083	9.4	5	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	1	0
Mason Englert	Middle Reliever	7	9.2	8.80	2.065	6.8	7	0.2	1	2	2	0	1	11	1.2	2	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	4	17.3	4.16	0.983	9.4	18	5.0	3	0	0	1	8	88	4.1	9	3
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	11	11.0	0.82	0.818	5.7	7	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	27	0.5	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	11	10.2	0.88	0.686	13.2	15	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.1	3	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	10	7.7	5.84	2.078	22.2	19	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	13	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 3-2

Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners

TEX 11-9 (4.35 RPG / 3.5 RA)

3 - 2

SEA 8-13 (3.71 RPG / 3.76 RA)

TEX WINS Target: TEX 5 - 2 SEA Confidence: 73.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	9
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	9

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	20	80	25	0.312	4	11	0.396	6	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Corey Seager	SS	19	68	15	0.221	5	12	0.337	5	2	0	1	1	0	0.400	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	17	70	15	0.214	1	4	0.247	5	1	0	0	1	1	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jake Burger	1B	20	80	22	0.275	5	17	0.298	5	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	18	43	10	0.233	1	3	0.333	5	1	0	0	1	2	0.200	-	0.250	-
Josh Jung	3B	17	62	18	0.290	1	6	0.343	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Evan Carter	CF	19	57	11	0.193	2	4	0.303	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	14	40	10	0.250	1	6	0.318	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	8	25	7	0.280	1	3	0.379	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	9	3	3	5	8	0.200

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	13	39	7	0.179	0	4	0.373	5	1	1	0	1	2	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	21	80	13	0.162	2	11	0.253	4	0	0	0	2	3	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	21	79	16	0.203	1	6	0.308	6	1	0	1	0	1	0.167	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	20	78	11	0.141	2	7	0.230	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	21	74	21	0.284	1	7	0.404	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Luke Raley	RF	19	63	20	0.317	4	12	0.368	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	17	43	9	0.209	2	7	0.286	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Cole Young	2B	21	71	16	0.225	2	9	0.329	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	15	43	7	0.163	0	3	0.321	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	9	2	2	3	11	0.205

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	4	21.2	5.52	1.509	11.0	26	5.0	3	0	0	2	6	90	5.1	7	2
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	8	9.1	2.97	0.769	5.9	6	2.0	4	2	2	1	1	49	0.5	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	10	8.5	3.18	1.412	10.6	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	0.5	1	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	10	11.5	1.57	0.609	7.8	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	2	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	10	8.7	1.03	1.609	9.3	9	3.0	0	0	0	0	3	54	0.5	1	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	4	27.2	3.31	0.956	7.3	22	5.0	4	2	2	3	4	97	5.0	6	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	10.16	2.097	14.5	10	2.0	2	0	0	0	1	30	1.1	3	0
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	7	5.3	0.00	0.755	6.8	4	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	27	0.5	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	9	6.7	1.34	1.343	10.7	8	4.0	1	0	0	1	2	85	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 12)

Toronto Blue Jays @ Arizona Diamondbacks

TOR 7-12 (3.74 RPG / 5.21 RA)

3 - 5

ARI 12-8 (4.45 RPG / 4.5 RA)

ARI WINS Target: TOR 2 - 9 ARI Confidence: 90.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	7
ARI	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	x	5	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	13	32	3	0.094	0	2	0.143	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	19	76	22	0.289	0	5	0.299	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	19	69	22	0.319	1	8	0.427	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.500	0.500	0.500	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	18	57	15	0.263	2	10	0.312	4	1	0	2	1	0	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Eloy Jiménez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.000
Andrés Giménez	SS	19	69	20	0.290	3	11	0.329	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	18	69	13	0.188	2	4	0.263	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Myles Straw	CF	11	20	8	0.400	1	3	0.429	3	0	0	1	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	10	23	7	0.304	0	1	0.360	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	7	3	3	5	8	0.212

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	DH	18	76	17	0.224	4	9	0.272	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	18	65	20	0.308	2	12	0.395	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	20	66	13	0.197	1	4	0.304	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333
Adrian Del Castillo	C	7	26	9	0.346	1	10	0.346	4	2	0	2	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jose Fernandez	1B	13	49	15	0.306	2	8	0.306	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	18	67	15	0.224	3	11	0.232	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	13	50	19	0.380	2	8	0.404	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	15	54	7	0.130	0	6	0.175	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	5	5	2	5	0.273

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Scherzer	Starter	3	10.1	9.80	1.485	8.0	9	5.0	7	5	5	2	4	107	5.0	4	4
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	9	7.4	4.86	2.027	21.9	18	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	22	0.5	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	9	9.2	0.98	1.304	4.9	5	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	2	1

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	4	20.0	3.60	1.450	5.0	11	5.0	4	2	2	3	6	106	6.2	8	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	36	1.2	3	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	21	1.0	2	0
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	19	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

ARI wins 5-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians

BAL Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Oakland Athletics

CHW Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins

CIN Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox

DET Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees

KC Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

LAD Recent Form

COL Recent Form

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins

MIL Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs

NYM Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels

SD Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation