MLB Predictions — April 17, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ PHI	8 - 3	4 - 3	ATL wins 4-3	85%	enhanced_ml
BAL @ CLE	4 - 5	2 - 4	CLE wins 4-2	60%	enhanced_ml
CHW @ OAK	1 - 4	4 - 5	OAK wins 5-4	87%	enhanced_ml
CIN @ MIN	3 - 7	1 - 5	MIN wins 5-1	80%	enhanced_ml
DET @ BOS	5 - 6	4 - 7	BOS wins 7-4	67%	enhanced_ml
KC @ NYY	2 - 4	2 - 3	NYY wins 3-2	64%	enhanced_ml
LAD @ COL	7 - 2	5 - 1	LAD wins 5-1	90%	enhanced_ml
MIL @ MIA	4 - 3	5 - 3	MIL wins 5-3	67%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ CHC	1 - 8	1 - 8	CHC wins 8-1	83%	enhanced_ml
SD @ LAA	6 - 5	6 - 3	SD wins 6-3	87%	enhanced_ml
SF @ WAS	3 - 5	2 - 4	WAS wins 4-2	65%	enhanced_ml
STL @ HOU	6 - 5	8 - 2	STL wins 8-2	84%	enhanced_ml
TB @ PIT	5 - 4	7 - 6	TB wins 7-6 (Extra Innings - 11)	79%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ SEA	5 - 2	6 - 2	TEX wins 6-2	73%	enhanced_ml
TOR @ ARI	2 - 6	4 - 6	ARI wins 6-4	86%	enhanced_ml

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL 12-7 (5.58 RPG / 3.26 RA)

4 - 3

PHI 8-10 (4.0 RPG / 5.39 RA)

ATL WINS Target: ATL 8 - 3 PHI Confidence: 84.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	4	8
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	7

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-22

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	19	73	18	0.247	1	5	0.341	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	19	78	25	0.321	5	19	0.384	5	2	1	4	0	1	0.400	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Matt Olson	1B	19	75	22	0.293	5	14	0.369	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Austin Riley	3B	19	70	16	0.229	1	9	0.316	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	19	73	21	0.288	4	8	0.338	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	18	59	12	0.203	0	4	0.309	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	15	42	16	0.381	3	15	0.400	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	18	66	22	0.333	2	12	0.371	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	17	62	14	0.226	2	7	0.262	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	5	5	0.229

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	18	73	19	0.260	2	7	0.308	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.500	0.500	0.750	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	18	63	14	0.222	6	12	0.380	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	18	66	17	0.258	4	11	0.355	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
Adolis García	RF	18	65	15	0.231	2	5	0.301	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Edmundo Sosa	2B	8	21	6	0.286	1	5	0.318	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	13	44	12	0.273	1	4	0.373	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	17	62	9	0.145	1	10	0.217	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	17	53	15	0.283	0	1	0.345	4	1	0	2	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Otto Kemp	LF	6	16	2	0.125	0	0	0.125	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	1	11	0.206

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	3	14.1	3.19	0.922	3.8	6	6.0	2	0	0	0	7	85	6.0	5	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	7	7.2	0.00	0.556	12.5	10	1.0	4	3	3	0	2	33	0.5	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	8	7.2	1.25	1.111	10.0	8	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	0.5	1	0
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	7	3.6	7.50	2.222	12.5	5	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	0	1

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taijuan Walker	Starter	3	14.2	7.61	1.972	7.6	12	6.0	5	1	1	3	5	108	6.1	3	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	1.45	0.806	11.6	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	3	1
Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	8	7.2	5.00	1.389	10.0	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	0.5	1	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	8	8.3	3.25	0.723	10.8	10	1.0	2	3	3	2	0	34	0.5	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-3

Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians

BAL 9-10 (4.16 RPG / 4.32 RA)

2 - 4

CLE 11-9 (3.95 RPG / 4.15 RA)

CLE WINS Target: BAL 4 - 5 CLE Confidence: 60.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	5
CLE	0	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	x	4	9

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	19	80	17	0.212	6	14	0.289	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	19	76	23	0.303	0	8	0.393	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	19	70	14	0.200	2	8	0.325	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Dylan Beavers	DH	14	43	10	0.233	1	5	0.306	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	14	51	8	0.157	3	4	0.259	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	13	32	12	0.375	0	8	0.487	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Colton Cowser	RF	15	38	8	0.211	0	3	0.311	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	13	45	7	0.156	0	4	0.255	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	16	56	18	0.321	4	14	0.328	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.500	0.600	0.500	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	2	2	2	10	0.156

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	19	75	19	0.253	1	7	0.325	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	17	61	15	0.246	5	12	0.329	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
José Ramírez	3B	20	76	17	0.224	4	10	0.322	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Kyle Manzardo	DH	17	53	10	0.189	1	3	0.283	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	14	44	9	0.205	1	5	0.327	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Daniel Schneemann	SS	15	44	13	0.295	1	7	0.340	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	17	57	16	0.281	2	9	0.339	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Bo Naylor	C	12	38	6	0.158	0	2	0.220	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	-	-	-
Juan Brito	2B	9	30	6	0.200	0	1	0.273	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	4	4	2	10	0.273

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Bassitt	Starter	3	10.3	9.61	2.524	4.4	5	6.0	7	4	4	1	9	128	5.1	5	3
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	8	7.1	2.54	1.549	13.9	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	0.5	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	9	8.3	0.00	0.361	10.8	10	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	30	1.0	3	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	4	17.4	6.72	1.724	9.3	18	6.0	3	0	0	2	7	92	5.1	4	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	10	10.0	4.50	1.400	9.9	11	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	21	0.5	1	1
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	9	6.8	2.65	1.912	15.9	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.2	3	1
Connor Brogdon	Middle Reliever	7	6.3	7.14	1.111	8.6	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-2

Chicago White Sox @ Oakland Athletics

CHW 6-13 (3.16 RPG / 5.26 RA)

4 - 5

OAK 10-9 (4.11 RPG / 4.63 RA)

OAK WINS Target: CHW 1 - 4 OAK Confidence: 87.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	7
OAK	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	x	5	8

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-16

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Andrew Benintendi	DH	17	48	8	0.167	0	2	0.245	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	19	60	10	0.167	5	9	0.346	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	18	63	10	0.159	2	8	0.289	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	19	64	11	0.172	3	9	0.274	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Everson Pereira	RF	6	20	5	0.250	2	4	0.286	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	2	7	1	0.143	0	0	0.250	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Edgar Quero	C	14	44	7	0.159	0	1	0.260	3	1	2	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	17	63	14	0.222	1	2	0.310	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luisangel Acuña	CF	16	53	9	0.170	0	2	0.211	4	1	0	2	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	4	4	2	8	0.206

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeff McNeil	2B	18	58	16	0.276	0	3	0.354	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	18	71	23	0.324	6	12	0.392	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nick Kurtz	1B	18	63	13	0.206	1	6	0.383	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	DH	19	71	15	0.211	2	14	0.309	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	18	76	20	0.263	1	9	0.273	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	13	31	9	0.290	1	6	0.389	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Max Muncy	3B	18	66	19	0.288	2	5	0.338	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	18	60	12	0.200	2	6	0.262	3	1	0	2	0	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Denzel Clarke	CF	18	47	8	0.170	0	6	0.220	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	5	5	2	5	0.250

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	3	18.0	2.50	1.111	7.5	15	5.0	3	1	1	1	3	80	4.0	4	2
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	2.0	5	4	4	1	2	50	0.5	1	0
Jordan Leasure	Middle Reliever	8	8.3	4.34	1.084	9.8	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.5	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Civale	Starter	3	15.2	1.78	0.987	7.1	12	7.0	3	0	0	0	6	95	4.2	5	2
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	11	9.0	3.00	2.111	11.0	11	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	27	0.5	0	1
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	9	5.8	7.76	2.069	9.3	6	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	25	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 5-4

Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins

CIN 11-8 (3.37 RPG / 4.05 RA)

1 - 5

MIN 11-8 (5.42 RPG / 4.53 RA)

MIN WINS Target: CIN 3 - 7 MIN Confidence: 79.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
MIN	1	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	x	5	10

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff22

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
TJ Friedl	CF	17	65	10	0.154	0	1	0.286	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Matt McLain	2B	18	67	13	0.194	0	3	0.341	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	19	75	20	0.267	6	11	0.345	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	19	66	20	0.303	7	17	0.412	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	19	66	16	0.242	3	9	0.324	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	9	19	4	0.211	0	5	0.348	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Spencer Steer	LF	17	60	12	0.200	3	5	0.246	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Will Benson	RF	12	28	5	0.179	0	1	0.233	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	13	40	7	0.175	2	3	0.312	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	1	1	0	8	0.129

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	17	68	16	0.235	3	4	0.293	4	3	2	1	0	1	0.750	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Austin Martin	LF	14	38	12	0.316	1	3	0.490	3	1	2	2	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	19	72	16	0.222	1	9	0.278	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.500	0.500	0.500	OK
Ryan Jeffers	DH	13	45	13	0.289	2	10	0.407	4	1	0	1	0	3	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Josh Bell	1B	19	63	15	0.238	3	14	0.347	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Victor Caratini	C	16	54	14	0.259	1	8	0.373	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Matt Wallner	RF	18	68	13	0.191	3	6	0.276	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	16	54	13	0.241	3	11	0.281	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ryan Kreidler	3B	3	11	2	0.182	2	4	0.250	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	5	5	1	9	0.294

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Williamson	Starter	3	14.4	5.62	1.458	6.2	10	5.0	7	4	4	0	7	99	4.0	4	3
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	9	9.1	4.95	1.319	8.9	9	2.0	3	1	1	1	2	45	0.5	1	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	0.00	1.000	11.2	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.2	3	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joe Ryan	Starter	4	21.1	3.84	0.995	9.4	22	6.0	3	1	1	0	5	84	4.1	5	2
Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	7	5.4	5.00	1.852	8.3	5	2.0	0	0	0	0	3	27	0.5	1	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	9	6.8	13.24	2.059	10.6	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 5-1

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox

DET 10-9 (4.42 RPG / 3.74 RA)

4 - 7

BOS 7-11 (4.28 RPG / 4.78 RA)

BOS WINS Target: DET 5 - 6 BOS Confidence: 67.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	8
BOS	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	x	7	11

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff4

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	18	68	17	0.250	1	5	0.366	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	19	68	21	0.309	1	8	0.420	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	7	13	1	0.077	0	1	0.077	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	MODERATE
Dillon Dingler	C	16	53	15	0.283	4	14	0.367	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Matt Vierling	LF	10	26	6	0.231	1	4	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Wenceel Pérez	RF	5	15	1	0.067	1	1	0.125	3	2	2	0	1	0	0.667	0.333	0.333	0.333	MODERATE
Spencer Torkelson	1B	18	55	12	0.218	0	6	0.377	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	0	3	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333
Javier Báez	CF	14	47	13	0.277	1	5	0.314	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	3	9	0.229

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	DH	17	65	16	0.246	1	3	0.355	4	3	3	2	1	1	0.750	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	17	57	17	0.298	3	11	0.444	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	17	66	22	0.333	3	10	0.380	4	3	1	1	1	1	0.750	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Trevor Story	SS	18	77	16	0.208	2	17	0.222	5	1	0	2	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	15	60	10	0.167	1	10	0.254	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	16	50	15	0.300	1	5	0.386	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Marcelo Mayer	2B	16	48	9	0.188	1	3	0.259	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	16	55	7	0.127	0	6	0.226	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Connor Wong	C	7	19	7	0.368	0	2	0.400	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	11	7	7	5	10	0.314

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	3	15.3	4.12	1.503	10.6	18	6.0	7	4	4	4	8	142	4.1	4	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	6	4.2	2.14	0.952	15.0	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	19	0.5	0	0
Will Vest	Middle Reliever	8	5.5	8.18	1.636	14.7	9	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	25	1.0	2	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	3	14.1	5.11	1.489	7.0	11	6.0	1	0	0	1	7	95	4.0	0	0
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	1.50	0.667	9.0	6	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	34	0.5	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	7	7.0	2.57	1.429	14.1	11	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.2	3	1
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	8	5.7	7.89	1.579	17.4	11	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	25	1.2	3	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 7-4

Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees

KC 7-12 (3.42 RPG / 4.16 RA)

2 - 3

NYY 10-9 (4.53 RPG / 4.0 RA)

NYY WINS Target: KC 2 - 4 NYY Confidence: 63.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
NYY	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	x	3	9

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	19	75	20	0.267	2	9	0.333	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	19	72	20	0.278	0	8	0.361	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	19	71	11	0.155	1	8	0.244	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Salvador Perez	C	19	71	12	0.169	3	6	0.221	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Carter Jensen	DH	17	54	12	0.222	4	10	0.259	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	13	31	6	0.194	0	1	0.342	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	17	55	15	0.273	0	1	0.355	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	-	0.250	-
Michael Massey	2B	6	14	3	0.214	0	0	0.267	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	16	44	13	0.295	2	6	0.367	3	1	0	2	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	2	2	3	8	0.206

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	19	58	9	0.155	2	11	0.319	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	19	72	17	0.236	8	14	0.321	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	18	65	16	0.246	1	6	0.346	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	18	66	18	0.273	2	10	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.000	OK
Ben Rice	1B	17	55	18	0.327	5	13	0.464	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	12	34	9	0.265	2	6	0.297	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	19	67	12	0.179	0	3	0.257	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
José Caballero	SS	18	63	14	0.222	1	8	0.269	3	2	0	1	1	0	0.667	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Austin Wells	C	16	47	9	0.191	1	1	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	3	3	3	9	0.273

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	3	21.0	0.43	0.714	7.3	17	6.0	9	3	3	1	8	117	5.1	4	3
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	7.03	1.719	7.0	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.1	2	1
Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	4.35	1.290	8.7	6	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	22	1.1	2	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	4	21.2	2.55	0.755	12.7	30	5.0	4	2	2	3	7	112	4.1	6	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	8	7.2	5.00	2.083	12.5	10	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	25	0.5	1	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	9	5.7	9.47	1.579	11.1	7	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	18	0.5	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	12	8.7	2.07	1.954	12.4	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	2.0	3	2

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-2

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

LAD 14-4 (5.83 RPG / 3.28 RA)

5 - 1

COL 7-12 (3.95 RPG / 4.37 RA)

LAD WINS Target: LAD 7 - 2 COL Confidence: 89.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	11
COL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff28

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	17	63	16	0.254	5	10	0.402	3	1	2	0	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	18	67	16	0.239	2	11	0.350	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Will Smith	C	15	56	16	0.286	2	8	0.355	5	3	1	2	0	2	0.600	0.500	0.500	0.500	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	18	74	20	0.270	3	14	0.325	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	16	58	18	0.310	4	12	0.349	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Max Muncy	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333
Andy Pages	CF	18	66	27	0.409	5	20	0.451	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Hyeseong Kim	SS	7	18	5	0.278	1	3	0.391	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	15	46	9	0.196	1	2	0.260	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	11	5	5	1	10	0.289

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Edouard Julien	2B	15	43	11	0.256	1	5	0.333	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	13	43	11	0.256	5	9	0.283	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	19	64	17	0.266	2	8	0.333	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	15	51	15	0.294	2	7	0.333	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	18	73	17	0.233	1	6	0.273	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	9	26	7	0.269	0	4	0.269	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	17	53	12	0.226	1	1	0.305	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	19	51	10	0.196	0	1	0.328	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jake McCarthy	LF	12	35	6	0.171	0	3	0.256	3	1	0	1	0	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	4	1	1	4	9	0.129

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Glasnow	Starter	3	18.0	4.00	0.944	11.0	22	5.0	2	1	1	4	4	88	4.0	6	1
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	6.00	1.667	15.0	10	2.0	2	0	0	0	1	32	0.5	1	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	10	8.2	1.10	0.610	8.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.2	0	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	5	7.2	1.25	1.250	11.2	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.5	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	3	16.2	2.22	0.802	6.7	12	4.0	8	5	5	1	4	77	5.1	5	1
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	7	8.0	2.25	1.500	5.6	5	3.0	3	0	0	0	4	43	1.0	2	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	9	8.6	2.09	0.930	7.3	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.2	2	0
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	5	10.7	0.00	0.654	12.6	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	3.0	4	2

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-1

Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins

MIL 10-8 (5.06 RPG / 4.17 RA)

5 - 3

MIA 9-10 (4.63 RPG / 4.53 RA)

MIL WINS Target: MIL 4 - 3 MIA Confidence: 66.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	0	5	9
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	7

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sal Frelick	RF	16	56	10	0.179	1	3	0.303	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
William Contreras	C	16	63	20	0.317	2	11	0.411	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brice Turang	2B	16	60	18	0.300	3	11	0.425	2	2	2	1	2	0	1.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Gary Sánchez	DH	12	33	9	0.273	5	9	0.429	4	2	2	2	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	17	55	12	0.218	5	13	0.295	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brandon Lockridge	LF	16	47	12	0.255	0	5	0.327	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	14	41	11	0.268	1	13	0.400	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	14	49	10	0.204	0	4	0.250	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
David Hamilton	3B	14	38	8	0.211	0	3	0.375	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	5	5	2	10	0.250

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	19	73	12	0.164	0	4	0.279	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	19	71	24	0.338	1	6	0.405	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Agustín Ramírez	C	18	64	16	0.250	1	9	0.338	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Liam Hicks	DH	18	55	17	0.309	4	18	0.355	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	18	67	22	0.328	2	8	0.387	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.250	0.400	1.000	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	16	51	12	0.235	2	12	0.286	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Connor Norby	1B	17	55	15	0.273	2	6	0.379	3	0	1	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	15	47	7	0.149	0	6	0.259	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	14	44	8	0.182	0	5	0.200	4	2	0	2	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	3	3	1	10	0.206

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	4	21.2	3.40	1.038	14.0	33	6.0	5	0	0	0	6	102	4.0	8	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	6.00	1.667	10.5	7	2.0	0	0	0	0	4	31	0.5	1	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	9	8.5	4.24	1.294	9.5	9	1.0	2	3	3	1	0	25	1.2	3	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	3	16.2	4.44	1.296	6.7	12	6.0	8	5	5	1	6	120	4.2	4	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	10.80	1.600	12.6	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	0.5	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	7	5.3	5.09	1.887	17.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.1	0	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	7	8.0	3.38	1.125	7.9	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.5	1	2

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-3

New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs

NYM 7-13 (3.45 RPG / 4.55 RA)

1 - 8

CHC 10-9 (5.58 RPG / 4.16 RA)

CHC WINS Target: NYM 1 - 8 CHC Confidence: 83.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8
CHC	5	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	x	8	8

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.1

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-28

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carson Benge	RF	16	53	8	0.151	1	3	0.237	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	19	79	18	0.228	1	9	0.271	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	19	76	14	0.184	1	1	0.287	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	17	58	14	0.241	2	7	0.371	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.000	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	16	48	13	0.271	4	4	0.386	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
MJ Melendez	DH	1	4	2	0.500	0	1	0.500	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	-	-	-
Marcus Semien	2B	19	67	13	0.194	1	7	0.257	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brett Baty	1B	16	59	12	0.203	0	7	0.197	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	1.000	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	9	22	4	0.182	1	4	0.217	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	1	1	2	9	0.229

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	18	71	23	0.324	2	18	0.410	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Michael Busch	1B	17	61	9	0.148	0	3	0.254	3	1	2	1	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	18	74	18	0.243	2	9	0.321	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ian Happ	LF	16	66	14	0.212	4	8	0.307	4	2	2	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	6	23	6	0.261	0	1	0.393	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	15	38	13	0.342	2	7	0.381	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Carson Kelly	C	14	45	15	0.333	1	6	0.444	4	0	0	1	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	18	72	17	0.236	1	5	0.276	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	18	60	12	0.200	4	11	0.347	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	8	8	5	7	0.250

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kodai Senga	Starter	3	13.3	7.44	1.805	12.9	19	5.0	5	7	7	5	3	111	4.0	3	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	6	5.1	7.06	2.157	14.1	8	2.0	3	1	1	0	4	41	1.1	3	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	8.71	1.452	5.8	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	0.5	1	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Edward Cabrera	Starter	3	16.2	1.67	1.173	7.2	13	6.0	6	1	1	0	7	87	4.0	4	1
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	0.00	1.000	9.0	5	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	0.5	1	0
Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	6	14.2	3.17	1.056	8.9	14	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	18	3.0	3	1
Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	8	7.4	2.43	0.946	1.2	1	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 8-1

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels

SD 13-6 (4.74 RPG / 3.63 RA)

6 - 3

LAA 10-10 (5.25 RPG / 4.9 RA)

SD WINS Target: SD 6 - 5 LAA Confidence: 86.5% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	6	7
LAA	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	3	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff28

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.4

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ramón Laureano	LF	18	69	20	0.290	4	13	0.355	4	2	2	3	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	18	68	17	0.250	0	9	0.338	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.500	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	18	73	19	0.260	3	13	0.316	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Manny Machado	3B	18	58	12	0.207	2	10	0.368	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	18	71	19	0.268	3	13	0.325	3	1	2	0	1	0	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	17	57	14	0.246	2	6	0.283	4	2	2	1	0	2	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	13	41	13	0.317	0	2	0.364	4	1	0	1	0	3	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	10	31	5	0.161	0	2	0.270	3	1	0	1	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	18	61	9	0.148	1	3	0.246	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	7	6	6	4	10	0.212

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	20	80	19	0.238	5	9	0.358	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Mike Trout	CF	19	69	17	0.246	7	16	0.416	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	17	70	14	0.200	2	11	0.278	2	1	1	0	3	0	0.500	0.250	0.400	0.500	OK
Jo Adell	DH	20	81	25	0.309	3	12	0.349	5	1	0	0	0	4	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Yoán Moncada	3B	16	53	9	0.170	2	7	0.333	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	15	52	14	0.269	4	8	0.333	5	1	0	1	0	1	0.200	-	-	-
Josh Lowe	RF	15	50	7	0.140	2	7	0.228	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	17	55	12	0.218	1	8	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Adam Frazier	LF	10	23	7	0.304	1	3	0.467	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	9	3	3	6	10	0.257

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matt Waldron	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	5.0	6	2	2	4	7	119	4.0	2	1
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	9	9.1	0.00	0.220	22.7	23	2.0	1	1	1	0	1	28	0.5	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	8	7.7	9.35	2.078	9.4	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	0.5	1	1
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	4	2.2	0.00	0.909	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	2	1	28	2.1	4	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	4	27.0	0.33	0.667	10.3	31	5.0	4	4	4	3	5	106	6.1	6	3
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	7	4.4	4.09	1.136	14.3	7	2.0	0	0	0	0	3	26	0.5	1	1
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	10	5.7	3.16	1.930	14.2	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	3.0	3	1
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	7	9.4	3.83	1.489	10.5	11	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	28	1.1	1	1

Game Summary

SD wins 6-3

San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals

SF 7-12 (3.05 RPG / 4.32 RA)

2 - 4

WAS 9-10 (5.63 RPG / 6.16 RA)

WAS WINS Target: SF 3 - 5 WAS Confidence: 65.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	7
WAS	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	x	4	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-2

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-6

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Willy Adames	SS	19	73	19	0.260	3	6	0.316	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	18	67	21	0.313	0	6	0.351	4	3	2	0	0	0	0.750	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Matt Chapman	3B	19	74	20	0.270	1	8	0.316	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	19	74	16	0.216	2	6	0.266	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Casey Schmitt	DH	14	49	15	0.306	1	5	0.370	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	19	65	16	0.246	1	8	0.301	4	2	0	2	0	1	0.500	0.500	0.600	0.500	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	18	65	15	0.231	0	7	0.265	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Daniel Susac	C	6	16	9	0.562	0	5	0.588	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	2	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.200	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	2	2	2	11	0.206

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	19	78	20	0.256	5	15	0.376	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Brady House	3B	17	70	17	0.243	2	7	0.293	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Luis Garcia	1B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333
CJ Abrams	SS	18	62	23	0.371	6	19	0.481	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Joey Wiemer	CF	12	37	13	0.351	2	5	0.442	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	19	83	23	0.277	0	6	0.310	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	16	55	11	0.200	0	5	0.302	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333
Keibert Ruiz	C	12	35	6	0.171	1	8	0.189	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	4	4	2	7	0.250

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	4	24.0	5.25	1.375	7.9	21	5.0	5	4	4	2	4	97	5.2	6	3
Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	8	5.6	4.82	1.607	12.9	8	2.0	3	0	0	0	2	39	0.5	1	1
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	7	4.6	7.83	2.391	19.6	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	2	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Littell	Starter	3	15.0	4.20	1.400	6.0	10	6.0	4	1	1	0	8	93	5.2	4	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	9	8.4	4.29	1.429	7.5	7	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	26	1.2	2	0
Cionel Pérez	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	3.29	1.220	7.7	7	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	24	0.5	1	0
Mitchell Parker	Middle Reliever	1	2.0	0.00	1.000	22.5	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

WAS wins 4-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros

STL 10-8 (4.44 RPG / 5.39 RA)

8 - 2

HOU 8-12 (5.35 RPG / 5.85 RA)

STL WINS Target: STL 6 - 5 HOU Confidence: 84.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	2	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	8	8
HOU	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	7

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-25

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	18	66	15	0.227	3	9	0.354	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	18	62	12	0.194	1	7	0.386	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.000	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	18	68	19	0.279	2	14	0.375	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	18	69	22	0.319	8	15	0.373	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	17	53	11	0.208	2	9	0.290	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	13	48	9	0.188	0	1	0.316	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Nathan Church	LF	13	39	8	0.205	1	5	0.244	4	2	2	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	11	34	7	0.206	1	5	0.263	3	1	2	4	1	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Victor Scott II	CF	17	47	12	0.255	0	3	0.294	4	1	0	2	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	8	8	7	5	0.229

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	19	70	21	0.300	2	6	0.417	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	20	67	22	0.328	7	18	0.483	5	2	2	1	0	0	0.400	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Carlos Correa	3B	17	65	18	0.277	1	9	0.356	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Christian Walker	1B	20	68	20	0.294	4	16	0.388	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Joey Loperfido	LF	18	55	15	0.273	0	6	0.339	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Cam Smith	RF	20	70	19	0.271	3	10	0.350	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	5	16	4	0.250	0	3	0.333	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	8	27	10	0.370	1	9	0.393	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nick Allen	SS	9	19	5	0.263	0	0	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	2	2	4	5	0.206

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	3	14.0	5.14	1.714	4.5	7	5.0	6	2	2	3	4	107	4.0	2	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	10	10.1	0.00	0.396	9.8	11	2.0	1	0	0	1	1	29	0.5	1	1
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	9	8.7	0.00	1.034	6.2	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.2	3	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	7	7.3	2.47	0.959	6.2	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.1	2	1

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	5.0	7	8	8	5	3	130	7.2	4	2
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	8	5.4	15.00	3.519	20.0	12	2.0	0	0	0	1	1	30	0.5	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	7	6.6	1.36	1.515	15.0	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.2	2	1
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	9	6.9	5.22	1.159	10.4	8	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	26	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

STL wins 8-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Pittsburgh Pirates

TB 11-7 (5.06 RPG / 5.06 RA)

7 - 6

PIT 11-8 (5.0 RPG / 4.0 RA)

TB WINS Target: TB 5 - 4 PIT Confidence: 78.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
TB	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	7	9
PIT	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	6	10

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	18	69	24	0.348	0	4	0.375	5	1	2	0	0	1	0.200	0.250	0.400	0.250	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	18	69	17	0.246	4	7	0.354	5	3	2	1	0	0	0.600	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	18	67	15	0.224	3	15	0.329	5	2	2	3	0	2	0.400	0.250	0.400	0.500	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	18	70	26	0.371	3	16	0.463	4	2	0	2	1	1	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Jake Fraley	RF	13	38	8	0.211	1	2	0.286	4	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	17	51	13	0.255	0	6	0.321	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	16	58	8	0.138	1	5	0.203	4	0	0	1	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nick Fortes	C	15	50	16	0.320	1	7	0.346	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	11	24	7	0.292	1	4	0.469	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	9	7	7	2	11	0.220

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	19	76	24	0.316	5	17	0.381	5	2	2	0	0	2	0.400	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	17	65	17	0.262	7	16	0.377	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.250	0.250	1.000	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	19	68	19	0.279	3	12	0.390	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	17	63	21	0.333	3	13	0.413	5	1	0	1	0	0	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	14	55	7	0.127	1	5	0.213	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	15	57	15	0.263	0	10	0.300	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	17	46	10	0.217	1	3	0.339	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.667	0.750	0.667	MODERATE
Konnor Griffin	SS	12	42	9	0.214	0	6	0.292	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Henry Davis	C	11	37	8	0.216	0	3	0.310	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	-	-	-
TEAM TOTALS									43	10	6	6	2	7	0.233

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	3	16.2	2.22	0.988	6.1	11	7.0	4	1	1	1	6	103	6.0	5	2
Griffin Jax	Middle Reliever	7	4.6	3.91	1.957	9.8	5	1.0	4	4	4	0	0	27	0.5	0	0
Hunter Bigge	Middle Reliever	5	4.4	2.05	1.364	4.1	2	3.0	2	1	1	1	1	54	1.1	3	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	3	13.3	4.06	1.654	9.5	14	5.0	6	3	3	1	5	91	4.0	2	1
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	10	10.0	0.90	0.700	5.4	6	3.0	2	2	2	1	2	55	1.2	2	1
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	9	10.8	2.50	1.204	12.5	15	3.0	1	2	2	0	4	45	1.1	3	0

Game Summary

TB wins 7-6 (Extra Innings - 11)

Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners

TEX 10-9 (4.32 RPG / 3.68 RA)

6 - 2

SEA 8-12 (3.9 RPG / 3.7 RA)

TEX WINS Target: TEX 5 - 2 SEA Confidence: 72.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	6	10
SEA	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	19	76	24	0.316	3	10	0.395	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Corey Seager	SS	18	64	13	0.203	5	12	0.321	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.667	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	16	65	12	0.185	1	3	0.221	5	3	2	2	0	0	0.600	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Jake Burger	1B	19	75	19	0.253	5	16	0.278	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Evan Carter	CF	18	53	10	0.189	2	4	0.306	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	17	41	9	0.220	1	3	0.312	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Josh Jung	3B	16	57	15	0.263	1	5	0.323	4	1	0	1	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Josh Smith	2B	17	57	10	0.175	0	5	0.266	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Danny Jansen	C	13	43	10	0.233	1	6	0.298	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	10	6	6	2	14	0.270

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brendan Donovan	3B	16	54	17	0.315	3	8	0.441	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	20	77	13	0.169	2	11	0.253	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.250	0.400	1.000	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	20	75	15	0.200	1	6	0.310	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.500	0.600	0.500	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	19	76	9	0.118	2	7	0.193	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	20	70	21	0.300	1	7	0.424	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Luke Raley	RF	18	61	20	0.328	4	12	0.379	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	12	35	6	0.171	0	4	0.383	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	16	41	8	0.195	2	7	0.277	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Cole Young	2B	20	69	15	0.217	2	9	0.308	2	0	0	1	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	5	2	2	3	8	0.161

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	3	15.2	2.96	0.987	13.0	22	5.0	4	2	2	3	5	97	5.1	7	1
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	8	9.1	2.97	0.769	5.9	6	3.0	0	0	0	0	3	43	0.5	1	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	9	8.5	1.06	1.529	9.5	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	3	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	4	23.2	4.27	1.121	9.7	25	4.0	7	4	4	2	6	89	4.0	6	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	10.16	2.097	14.5	10	3.0	2	2	2	0	3	46	0.5	1	0
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	7	5.3	0.00	0.755	6.8	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	19	1.2	2	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	8	6.5	1.38	1.231	8.3	6	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	14	0.5	1	1

Game Summary

TEX wins 6-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Arizona Diamondbacks

TOR 7-11 (3.78 RPG / 5.17 RA)

4 - 6

ARI 11-8 (4.37 RPG / 4.58 RA)

ARI WINS Target: TOR 2 - 6 ARI Confidence: 85.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	6
ARI	0	1	1	0	4	0	0	0	x	6	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-20

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Davis Schneider	LF	11	28	6	0.214	1	5	0.333	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	17	64	17	0.266	3	7	0.338	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	18	65	21	0.323	1	7	0.436	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	17	53	14	0.264	2	10	0.317	4	2	2	0	0	2	0.500	0.333	0.333	0.667	OK
Lenyn Sosa	DH	3	8	3	0.375	0	0	0.375	3	1	0	1	0	1	0.333	0.250	0.250	0.500	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	18	65	19	0.292	3	11	0.333	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.333	0.500	0.333	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	17	65	13	0.200	2	4	0.278	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.250	0.250	0.250	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	18	73	21	0.288	0	5	0.297	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	9	20	6	0.300	0	1	0.364	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	6	4	4	3	12	0.188

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	17	71	15	0.211	4	9	0.263	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.333	0.333	1.000	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	17	61	19	0.311	2	11	0.394	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	19	62	12	0.194	1	4	0.307	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.500	0.600	0.500	MODERATE
Jose Fernandez	DH	13	49	15	0.306	2	8	0.306	4	1	0	1	0	2	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	17	63	13	0.206	2	9	0.215	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	12	47	18	0.383	2	8	0.408	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
James McCann	C	9	24	6	0.250	0	3	0.280	3	2	2	1	0	0	0.667	0.333	0.333	1.333	OK
Tim Tawa	LF	12	32	3	0.094	0	1	0.189	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
Jorge Barrosa	CF	13	45	11	0.244	0	4	0.292	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.333	0.333	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	6	6	0	4	0.273

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	8	7.8	1.15	0.897	13.8	12	5.0	9	6	6	0	1	91	1.1	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	9	7.4	4.86	2.027	21.9	18	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	1.2	3	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	9	9.2	0.98	1.304	4.9	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12	0.5	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Soroka	Starter	3	15.2	2.96	1.250	13.6	23	6.0	3	3	3	2	9	98	4.1	4	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.0	3	1	1	1	2	48	1.2	0	1
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 6-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians

BAL Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Oakland Athletics

CHW Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins

CIN Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox

DET Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees

KC Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

LAD Recent Form

COL Recent Form

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins

MIL Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs

NYM Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels

SD Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation